1 00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:18,200 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Valentine's 2 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:21,119 Speaker 1: Day episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is 3 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:23,959 Speaker 1: Matt Perrault. You guys can follow me across all my 4 00:00:24,079 --> 00:00:27,640 Speaker 1: socials at Sports Talk Matts. And it has just been 5 00:00:27,640 --> 00:00:30,920 Speaker 1: a brutal week. I thought there was a shot, like, 6 00:00:30,960 --> 00:00:34,360 Speaker 1: you know, Thursday Friday, we might you know, small bets, 7 00:00:34,479 --> 00:00:35,879 Speaker 1: we might be able to go to and O two 8 00:00:35,880 --> 00:00:38,960 Speaker 1: and oh kind of cut into the zero to eight 9 00:00:39,479 --> 00:00:43,320 Speaker 1: that I had to start the week, But no such luck. 10 00:00:43,400 --> 00:00:47,559 Speaker 1: We continue to do well in the hockey tournament. Canada 11 00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:51,160 Speaker 1: again covers the two and a half on the puck line, 12 00:00:51,200 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 1: so we got that right. But Straka annihilated Henley, so 13 00:00:56,160 --> 00:00:59,360 Speaker 1: we lose that play for the second round. And now 14 00:00:59,400 --> 00:01:01,800 Speaker 1: we're kind of watching Brian Harmon, who is sort of 15 00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 1: like treading water. We need him in the top twenty 16 00:01:05,480 --> 00:01:09,640 Speaker 1: right now. He's like twenty seventh or so, not great, 17 00:01:09,760 --> 00:01:12,240 Speaker 1: not awful. He's within striking distance. I'm coming in the 18 00:01:12,240 --> 00:01:14,800 Speaker 1: top twenty. So he makes the cut, which is good 19 00:01:15,040 --> 00:01:17,959 Speaker 1: as we head into the weekend at the AT and T. 20 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:21,559 Speaker 1: So let's see what happens here for Brian Harmon going 21 00:01:21,640 --> 00:01:24,520 Speaker 1: forward and hopefully he wants up in the top twenty 22 00:01:24,560 --> 00:01:27,040 Speaker 1: for us coming up on Sunday. So what do we 23 00:01:27,080 --> 00:01:30,680 Speaker 1: do today? It is Valentine's Day, and for those of 24 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:34,400 Speaker 1: you who are celebrating, enjoy it. If you're going out 25 00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:37,520 Speaker 1: to dinner, I feel for you, it's going to be 26 00:01:37,600 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 1: kind of crazy. It's one of those Saturday night ridiculousness. 27 00:01:41,520 --> 00:01:43,959 Speaker 1: If you work in restaurants or if you ever worked 28 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:47,160 Speaker 1: in a restaurant, you know what tonight is. It is 29 00:01:47,280 --> 00:01:52,160 Speaker 1: complete chaos, like it is from open until close, in 30 00:01:52,240 --> 00:01:54,720 Speaker 1: particular if you work at a nice restaurant. So if 31 00:01:54,720 --> 00:01:57,880 Speaker 1: you are somebody who is a server, a chef, somebody 32 00:01:57,880 --> 00:02:00,480 Speaker 1: who works as a matre d, somebody who works in 33 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:05,200 Speaker 1: a restaurant, Tonight, tip of the cap to you at 34 00:02:05,240 --> 00:02:07,280 Speaker 1: a boy to you, and I hopefully you get some 35 00:02:07,400 --> 00:02:13,360 Speaker 1: big tips. If you're going out, guys, tip correctly. Okay, 36 00:02:13,880 --> 00:02:18,400 Speaker 1: I'm not talking about twenty percent. That's just a bare minimum. Okay, 37 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:22,800 Speaker 1: people think it's fifteen percent or ten. No minimum is 38 00:02:22,840 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 1: twenty percent. That's a minimum. Okay. From there we go 39 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:30,760 Speaker 1: up and on Valentine's Day it should be approaching the 40 00:02:30,800 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 1: thirty percent range, okay, like especially if you're at a 41 00:02:34,600 --> 00:02:39,400 Speaker 1: very nice restaurant, especially if you're trying not to impress 42 00:02:39,480 --> 00:02:42,320 Speaker 1: the young lady but to show some class, right that 43 00:02:42,480 --> 00:02:47,320 Speaker 1: you are somebody who understands what it means to have 44 00:02:47,440 --> 00:02:49,560 Speaker 1: somebody come and wait on you. And if they do 45 00:02:49,600 --> 00:02:53,200 Speaker 1: a good job the chaos of Valentine's Day, and that 46 00:02:53,320 --> 00:02:56,600 Speaker 1: means they are not with their loved one on Valentine's Day. 47 00:02:56,680 --> 00:03:03,080 Speaker 1: They're there for you, So be appropriate. Okay, you should 48 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:06,520 Speaker 1: be tipping twenty percent anyway, but tonight on Valentine's Day? 49 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:09,840 Speaker 1: Are you kidding me? It's thirty percent? Okay, Like, I 50 00:03:09,880 --> 00:03:13,600 Speaker 1: don't care how much of a nice restaurant you're going to. Yeah, 51 00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:17,079 Speaker 1: that can get pricey, but if you can swing the 52 00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:19,600 Speaker 1: nice restaurant, you should be able to swing the tip 53 00:03:19,840 --> 00:03:23,000 Speaker 1: on Valentine's Day. So what are we doing today? I've 54 00:03:23,040 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 1: got a Valentine's Day parlay? Uh uh? Why not? I 55 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:30,240 Speaker 1: got to play in the three point contest tonight, and 56 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:34,160 Speaker 1: I also have one bet in hockey to give you 57 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:37,600 Speaker 1: guys coming up here for us today. But before I 58 00:03:37,680 --> 00:03:40,560 Speaker 1: give you the picks for today, let's talk about our 59 00:03:40,600 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 1: friends at hard Rock Bet. They are the total sponsor 60 00:03:43,160 --> 00:03:46,160 Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice podcast. They are Florida's sportsbook. I 61 00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:49,640 Speaker 1: am headed to Florida in a week, so I'm looking 62 00:03:49,640 --> 00:03:51,840 Speaker 1: forward to get down to Florida. Hopefully that's not the 63 00:03:51,880 --> 00:03:54,560 Speaker 1: last time I'm going down there. Hard Rock Bet the 64 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:57,400 Speaker 1: official sports betting partner of the Miami Heat and the 65 00:03:57,520 --> 00:04:00,839 Speaker 1: Orlando Magic. I'm headed to Orlando, so it'll be fun 66 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:02,760 Speaker 1: to see you know that they know their basketball. With 67 00:04:02,840 --> 00:04:06,240 Speaker 1: the NBA All Star Game and All Star festivities coming 68 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:09,320 Speaker 1: up this weekend. Hard Rock Bet is the only legal 69 00:04:09,400 --> 00:04:13,000 Speaker 1: sportsbook in Florida, but they're also live in Arizona, Ohio, 70 00:04:13,200 --> 00:04:18,920 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois, Colorado, and Michigan. More 71 00:04:18,960 --> 00:04:23,159 Speaker 1: states will sign on soon. New daily promo offers on 72 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:26,040 Speaker 1: the hard Rock Bet app, So download the hard Rock 73 00:04:26,080 --> 00:04:31,520 Speaker 1: Bet app and make your first deposit today. Red red 74 00:04:31,640 --> 00:04:34,279 Speaker 1: is the color of the day. So what are we doing. 75 00:04:34,640 --> 00:04:39,839 Speaker 1: We are doing a red Valentine's Day parlay. We will 76 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:45,800 Speaker 1: start with the Red Storm for Saint John's. They're on 77 00:04:45,880 --> 00:04:51,720 Speaker 1: the road against Providence money Line. Saint John's the Red 78 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:58,800 Speaker 1: Wolves of Arkansas State they are at home against South Alabama. 79 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:04,080 Speaker 1: Both St. John's and Arkansas money Line plays minus three 80 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:08,239 Speaker 1: point fifty or so on that and then Texas Tech 81 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:13,240 Speaker 1: the Red Raiders on the road against Arizona. This is 82 00:05:13,320 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 1: a great game, a fun game. And we're talking about 83 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:19,640 Speaker 1: the points here, Okay, we're talking about taking the points. 84 00:05:19,920 --> 00:05:23,160 Speaker 1: Why Texas Tech is seven and four ATS in the 85 00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:27,600 Speaker 1: Big twelve, same with Arizona. Arizona is six six and 86 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:31,240 Speaker 1: one at home ATS wise, because these numbers get are 87 00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:34,640 Speaker 1: pretty inflated for Arizona. Texas Tech on the road this 88 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:37,440 Speaker 1: year is five and six ATS. But they just beat 89 00:05:37,440 --> 00:05:41,040 Speaker 1: West Virginia and covered on the road. They lost outright 90 00:05:41,120 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 1: to UCF laying five. They lost by eight. That's not great, 91 00:05:44,240 --> 00:05:46,400 Speaker 1: but they laid two and a half against Baylor on 92 00:05:46,440 --> 00:05:51,160 Speaker 1: the road and they won by nineteen. They did lose 93 00:05:51,240 --> 00:05:54,160 Speaker 1: and cover against Houston. When they're catching seven and a 94 00:05:54,200 --> 00:05:57,480 Speaker 1: half points, they're catching nine and a half points now. 95 00:05:57,720 --> 00:06:00,479 Speaker 1: And you have Arizona coming off that loss outright to 96 00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:05,120 Speaker 1: KU that was without Darren Peterson, so that was interesting 97 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:08,760 Speaker 1: that they lost. Arizona lost that game. They in their 98 00:06:08,839 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 1: last home game, beat Oklahoma State by thirty seven points. 99 00:06:12,720 --> 00:06:16,040 Speaker 1: They beat West Virginia by thirty five points, and they 100 00:06:16,080 --> 00:06:21,000 Speaker 1: beat Cincinnati by twenty six points. Maybe they're due to 101 00:06:21,120 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 1: have a little bit of a letdown game in Texas 102 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:27,560 Speaker 1: Tech having a chance to potentially cover here. The line 103 00:06:27,640 --> 00:06:30,040 Speaker 1: is nine and a half. We're gonna jump in and 104 00:06:30,080 --> 00:06:37,159 Speaker 1: take it red Valentine's Day parlay Saint John's Arkansas State 105 00:06:37,360 --> 00:06:41,039 Speaker 1: money line. Texas Tech plus nine and a half is 106 00:06:41,080 --> 00:06:44,200 Speaker 1: a plus two to ten parlay for one unit in 107 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:49,440 Speaker 1: college basketball coming up here today on Valentine's Day. Now 108 00:06:50,160 --> 00:06:55,680 Speaker 1: the three point shootout, I'm taking the old guy. Look it, 109 00:06:56,600 --> 00:06:58,800 Speaker 1: any one of these dudes, you could say, youth is 110 00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:01,760 Speaker 1: going to be served. I've heard all sorts of people 111 00:07:01,839 --> 00:07:04,640 Speaker 1: with their own takes about the All Star Game, about 112 00:07:04,640 --> 00:07:08,440 Speaker 1: the three point contest, and they're taking con Canoople because 113 00:07:08,839 --> 00:07:13,000 Speaker 1: he is the new thing, right, He's been outstanding shooting. 114 00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:16,360 Speaker 1: But sometimes when you're a great game shooter, it doesn't 115 00:07:16,360 --> 00:07:18,920 Speaker 1: mean you're a great shooter when it comes to your 116 00:07:18,960 --> 00:07:22,640 Speaker 1: abilities here to hit threes in a three point shootout, 117 00:07:22,960 --> 00:07:25,760 Speaker 1: Dame Lillard has a chance to do in ty Larry 118 00:07:25,800 --> 00:07:27,680 Speaker 1: Bird and I think there's a couple other people I 119 00:07:27,720 --> 00:07:30,080 Speaker 1: read I forget that, who else who have won three 120 00:07:31,600 --> 00:07:36,320 Speaker 1: three three point shootouts in their careers? I could see 121 00:07:36,320 --> 00:07:40,160 Speaker 1: Devin Booker. I don't mind that. I'm not really feeling 122 00:07:40,880 --> 00:07:47,240 Speaker 1: Norman Powell or Bobby Portis or Jamal Murray, maybe Tyrese Maxie, 123 00:07:47,320 --> 00:07:52,400 Speaker 1: but I think Lillard. It might be Canoeple against Lillard. 124 00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:54,800 Speaker 1: It might come down to that. And I get some 125 00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 1: good prices here. I mean you could shop around and 126 00:07:57,040 --> 00:08:01,720 Speaker 1: find some pretty damn good prices. I'm I'm in love 127 00:08:01,800 --> 00:08:05,840 Speaker 1: with the price at plus four eighty on Dame Lillard 128 00:08:05,920 --> 00:08:09,360 Speaker 1: to win the three point contest. I'll take experience, I'll 129 00:08:09,400 --> 00:08:13,280 Speaker 1: take the old man. Let's go Dame Lillard, Damian Lillard 130 00:08:13,880 --> 00:08:17,200 Speaker 1: to win the three point shootout plus four eighty for 131 00:08:17,320 --> 00:08:20,080 Speaker 1: a half a unit. Why not. Let's see what Dame 132 00:08:20,120 --> 00:08:22,320 Speaker 1: Lillard can do and what he can pay pull out 133 00:08:22,360 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 1: here and then finally, USA Hockey up against Denmark. The 134 00:08:26,800 --> 00:08:29,240 Speaker 1: total for this game is six and a half. Okay, 135 00:08:29,800 --> 00:08:32,160 Speaker 1: there's some interesting things going on in the marketplace at 136 00:08:32,160 --> 00:08:36,160 Speaker 1: the moment. Some books have four and a half for 137 00:08:36,280 --> 00:08:40,360 Speaker 1: the puck line for Team USA, and that is juiced 138 00:08:40,480 --> 00:08:44,160 Speaker 1: to Denmark. Some books have three and a half to 139 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:48,160 Speaker 1: Team USA, and we're laying juice on Team USA. That 140 00:08:48,280 --> 00:08:50,760 Speaker 1: means the margin most likely is going to be four. 141 00:08:50,960 --> 00:08:53,720 Speaker 1: That's what the books are thinking. That this margin is four. 142 00:08:54,920 --> 00:08:59,200 Speaker 1: The team total four Team USA is interesting, but not 143 00:08:59,320 --> 00:09:01,960 Speaker 1: every book's got in. Some books are making you do 144 00:09:02,000 --> 00:09:05,040 Speaker 1: it in regulation, which shouldn't matter, to be quite honest. 145 00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:12,400 Speaker 1: But Leon Drysidle plays for Denmark like they're not completely inept, 146 00:09:12,920 --> 00:09:16,400 Speaker 1: like they're not. I don't know if they get completely 147 00:09:16,440 --> 00:09:19,400 Speaker 1: blown out here. I think they might be able to 148 00:09:19,559 --> 00:09:23,679 Speaker 1: score and they might be able to add here. Denmark 149 00:09:23,760 --> 00:09:29,400 Speaker 1: against Germany had some chances. If it's gonna be Frederick 150 00:09:29,520 --> 00:09:33,240 Speaker 1: Anderson in net, that's not great. Team USA should score 151 00:09:33,360 --> 00:09:36,320 Speaker 1: quite a few goals here. But the total for this 152 00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:40,400 Speaker 1: game is six and a half. I know we haven't 153 00:09:40,440 --> 00:09:43,040 Speaker 1: seen I've seen five to one has been like the 154 00:09:43,080 --> 00:09:46,080 Speaker 1: consistent number here. So going under six and a half? 155 00:09:46,320 --> 00:09:49,040 Speaker 1: What if we go five to two and then we've 156 00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:51,400 Speaker 1: laid If you lay three and a half, I don't 157 00:09:51,440 --> 00:09:54,480 Speaker 1: mind Denmark at plus four point fifty, sorry, plus four 158 00:09:54,480 --> 00:09:56,920 Speaker 1: and a half, rather Denmark plus four and a half. 159 00:09:57,160 --> 00:10:01,920 Speaker 1: It's minus one forty two at DraftKings and other books 160 00:10:02,360 --> 00:10:04,720 Speaker 1: to take plus four and a half. But I if 161 00:10:04,720 --> 00:10:07,360 Speaker 1: we're gonna cover four and a half, doesn't it feel 162 00:10:07,360 --> 00:10:11,080 Speaker 1: like the the over is gonna hit like I don't know. 163 00:10:11,080 --> 00:10:13,120 Speaker 1: I don't know. It digs me a four to two final, 164 00:10:14,320 --> 00:10:17,720 Speaker 1: a four to one final, I don't know. I feel 165 00:10:17,720 --> 00:10:20,480 Speaker 1: like Denmark might be able to score here on Team 166 00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:22,760 Speaker 1: USA might be able to get two goals, and I 167 00:10:22,800 --> 00:10:26,360 Speaker 1: think tam USA gets five. It feels like a five 168 00:10:26,360 --> 00:10:28,640 Speaker 1: to two final, and then your four and a half 169 00:10:28,679 --> 00:10:31,439 Speaker 1: covers your three and a half would cover as well 170 00:10:31,480 --> 00:10:34,000 Speaker 1: if you take Denmark. I'm not sure Team USA is 171 00:10:34,000 --> 00:10:36,199 Speaker 1: gonna be able to lay this and win this thing 172 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:39,040 Speaker 1: by five goals. If Team USA covers a four and 173 00:10:39,080 --> 00:10:41,960 Speaker 1: a half, we're going over, are we not? I mean, 174 00:10:42,160 --> 00:10:44,880 Speaker 1: if they win, they're gonna win six to two. Doesn't 175 00:10:44,920 --> 00:10:46,920 Speaker 1: feel like the game is gonna go over. So I 176 00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:49,960 Speaker 1: think the safest bet here in the game is to 177 00:10:50,000 --> 00:10:52,160 Speaker 1: come in and bet the over six and a half. Again, 178 00:10:52,200 --> 00:10:55,280 Speaker 1: I don't mind taking Denmark at plus four and a half. 179 00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:58,720 Speaker 1: It's just expensive. It's just you know, you're laying minus 180 00:10:58,760 --> 00:11:01,400 Speaker 1: one forty one fifty. I don't think we have to 181 00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:04,000 Speaker 1: lay that much juice to get the kind of the 182 00:11:04,040 --> 00:11:07,920 Speaker 1: same outcome on this. So I don't mind taking Denmark 183 00:11:07,960 --> 00:11:09,880 Speaker 1: at plus four and a half. That doesn't bother me 184 00:11:09,960 --> 00:11:13,480 Speaker 1: at all, But I think the over is a cheaper option, 185 00:11:13,520 --> 00:11:15,600 Speaker 1: and I think if Denmark covers four and a half, 186 00:11:15,720 --> 00:11:17,840 Speaker 1: I think we're gonna wind up going over. So we're 187 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:20,840 Speaker 1: gonna bet the over six and a half for Team USA. 188 00:11:21,320 --> 00:11:24,560 Speaker 1: Shop around. I got minus one eighteen, but there's better prices. 189 00:11:24,600 --> 00:11:26,960 Speaker 1: I've seen even money out there in some books I 190 00:11:26,960 --> 00:11:29,079 Speaker 1: can't bet at but you can shop around and find 191 00:11:29,080 --> 00:11:31,240 Speaker 1: a better price. But I got minus one eighteen for 192 00:11:31,320 --> 00:11:36,080 Speaker 1: Team USA up against Denmark. I can't wait to watch 193 00:11:36,160 --> 00:11:37,920 Speaker 1: this game. To be quite honest, I think this is 194 00:11:37,960 --> 00:11:42,080 Speaker 1: going to be a real interesting because Canada has been rolling, 195 00:11:42,280 --> 00:11:45,840 Speaker 1: and I mean absolutely rolling right now, so that's a 196 00:11:45,840 --> 00:11:47,920 Speaker 1: little bit of a concern. I mean I've seen books. 197 00:11:48,920 --> 00:11:50,760 Speaker 1: I mean there's a book in Vegas right now that's 198 00:11:50,760 --> 00:11:52,320 Speaker 1: all the way up to seven and a half, by 199 00:11:52,360 --> 00:11:54,839 Speaker 1: the way, from a total perspective. So we're gonna go 200 00:11:54,920 --> 00:11:56,680 Speaker 1: in and bet the over six and a half. My 201 00:11:56,800 --> 00:11:58,720 Speaker 1: name is Matt Perolt. You guys can follow me because 202 00:11:58,760 --> 00:12:00,760 Speaker 1: all my socials at sports talking a matut. We didn't 203 00:12:00,800 --> 00:12:02,480 Speaker 1: run through that. Sorry, let me run through that. The 204 00:12:02,800 --> 00:12:07,160 Speaker 1: we're doing Saint John's Red Storm. Arkansas State Red Wolves, 205 00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:10,480 Speaker 1: Texas Tech Red Raiders plus the points money line, money 206 00:12:10,480 --> 00:12:13,480 Speaker 1: line plus the points Dame lowerded three points shootout winner 207 00:12:13,679 --> 00:12:16,240 Speaker 1: at plus four eighty and tm USA over six and 208 00:12:16,280 --> 00:12:20,480 Speaker 1: a half against Denmark coming up here today in the Olympics, 209 00:12:20,520 --> 00:12:23,560 Speaker 1: minus Matt Parrel's follow me my social ad sports doc Matt. 210 00:12:23,640 --> 00:12:26,480 Speaker 1: Every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts, it is 211 00:12:26,520 --> 00:12:38,719 Speaker 1: the Daily Juice.