WEBVTT - NFL Week 2 Early Picks | Line Movement Predictions (Ep. 510) 0:00:01.120 --> 0:00:03.400 Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 0:00:03.440 --> 0:00:05.720 your bets. It is me Joey Joe Pi's Apia and 0:00:05.800 --> 0:00:10.200 this is BP ANDFL joining me the Undertaker Andrew Erickson 0:00:10.360 --> 0:00:14.200 for week two, look ahead at some early value on 0:00:14.320 --> 0:00:16.800 the early lines, and if you watched last week, I'm 0:00:16.800 --> 0:00:19.439 pretty sure you did. You got a lot of help 0:00:19.480 --> 0:00:23.040 here from us, including that Cowboys upset. Oh. I wish 0:00:23.079 --> 0:00:25.439 we could have had the Raiders due they gave that 0:00:25.480 --> 0:00:28.680 game away, but you can't get everything. Also, last week 0:00:28.720 --> 0:00:30.280 we crushed some of the props. I hope you made 0:00:30.280 --> 0:00:32.640 money on all those touchdowns that I gave you. And 0:00:32.800 --> 0:00:36.760 of course that Daniel Jones over on the interceptions man 0:00:36.760 --> 0:00:38.960 oh Man, Andrew Erickson, that's one that might be the 0:00:38.960 --> 0:00:41.000 gift that keeps on giving all year. But look, our 0:00:41.080 --> 0:00:45.640 Patriots came out as winners in week one, crushing everyone 0:00:45.760 --> 0:00:48.720 survivor pools. There's a lot of joy that I have 0:00:48.840 --> 0:00:51.880 in that too. That was kind of fun. Andrew, I 0:00:51.920 --> 0:00:53.640 think we should just quit here as Pats fans. I 0:00:53.640 --> 0:00:54.960 don't think it's gonna get any better than this. 0:00:55.040 --> 0:00:57.480 Yes, I've already bet on the Seattle Seahawks to cover 0:00:57.520 --> 0:01:00.520 the spread. That's the way I'm looking at us on again. 0:01:01.080 --> 0:01:04.520 The Bengals are horrible in September. They're always horrible in September, 0:01:04.520 --> 0:01:06.040 and it seemed like maybe this year, oh, Joe Burrow 0:01:06.120 --> 0:01:08.240 is healthy, but then you look at him on the sideline, 0:01:08.240 --> 0:01:10.040 he's like messing around with his wrists. We don't know 0:01:10.080 --> 0:01:11.880 what's going on. Jamar Chase is playing f and our 0:01:11.920 --> 0:01:14.120 practicing all year. Tie Higgins was out, so we're just 0:01:14.160 --> 0:01:16.760 bad vibes overall from the Bengals. But the Bengals do 0:01:16.840 --> 0:01:19.720 this every year. They just kind of sleep walk through 0:01:19.760 --> 0:01:21.759 September and then they find a way to kind of rally, 0:01:21.959 --> 0:01:24.920 get the troops going, get to the playoffs. So let's 0:01:24.959 --> 0:01:27.319 not bury the Bengals quite yet, and let's not overrate 0:01:27.360 --> 0:01:28.720 the Patriots quite yet. 0:01:28.880 --> 0:01:31.840 No, let's definitely not do the ladder. Well, well, I 0:01:31.880 --> 0:01:34.639 don't want to do the former either, but definitely don't 0:01:34.680 --> 0:01:37.080 do the ladder. But we are going to look at 0:01:37.120 --> 0:01:39.280 week two, give you our early takes on the games 0:01:39.280 --> 0:01:41.399 and find some value if there is any on the lines. 0:01:41.440 --> 0:01:43.399 And of course don't forget to sink your sports books 0:01:43.400 --> 0:01:45.440 for free. Download the Betting pros app right now. 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More importantly, to keep making good 0:02:13.440 --> 0:02:16.440 bets on using the Betting Pros app only at DraftKings Sportsbook. 0:02:16.600 --> 0:02:19.799 The crown is yours, all right, let's kick things off 0:02:19.800 --> 0:02:23.079 here Thursday night, another Barnburner two Thursdays in a row 0:02:23.200 --> 0:02:28.359 erics and I love this Buffalo Miami. So the Bills handled, 0:02:28.400 --> 0:02:31.000 they came back there. They were down to the Cardinals, 0:02:31.040 --> 0:02:34.280 they came back. Miami also got dicey there for a while. 0:02:34.320 --> 0:02:36.120 A weird start to this game too, with all the 0:02:36.200 --> 0:02:38.600 drama ahead of time. Miami is one and a half 0:02:38.600 --> 0:02:40.440 point favorites at home. This feels about right to me. 0:02:40.480 --> 0:02:42.920 At minus one ten over on betting pros. The number 0:02:42.960 --> 0:02:45.280 is fifty and a half. If you like Buffalo for 0:02:45.440 --> 0:02:48.560 the win, here you get even money. So Josh Allen 0:02:48.880 --> 0:02:51.880 had to take over and basically dominate in order to 0:02:51.960 --> 0:02:53.760 get this team where they needed to be at home. 0:02:54.080 --> 0:02:56.680 Now they're going to travel to Miami. Any early takes 0:02:56.720 --> 0:02:59.240 or early value see on this line. I know it's 0:02:59.240 --> 0:03:00.639 a high number with the fifty and a half, but 0:03:00.680 --> 0:03:01.959 I feel like it's going to be an over. What 0:03:02.000 --> 0:03:02.480 do you think? 0:03:02.639 --> 0:03:04.799 I think these lines are pretty spot on. It's a 0:03:04.880 --> 0:03:07.280 high total. Like you said, the spread is to Miami 0:03:07.320 --> 0:03:09.600 because they're playing at home, But I would say the 0:03:09.600 --> 0:03:11.000 best value is just builds money line. 0:03:11.080 --> 0:03:11.919 I mean Josh Allen. 0:03:11.960 --> 0:03:14.359 You saw they were down big at home and he 0:03:14.440 --> 0:03:16.960 puts on the Superman cape and makes it happen. So 0:03:17.120 --> 0:03:19.519 I don't see anything about Miami's defense that suggests that 0:03:19.520 --> 0:03:21.959 they're gonna be able to stop Josh Allen in any capacity. 0:03:22.240 --> 0:03:24.320 And as long as Tua starts hitting on more of 0:03:24.360 --> 0:03:26.320 these throws, I don't think the Bill's defense is going 0:03:26.360 --> 0:03:26.679 to stop. 0:03:26.720 --> 0:03:28.200 So maybe the play is just on the over. 0:03:28.960 --> 0:03:32.200 I don't think either defense is really stunting, to be 0:03:32.240 --> 0:03:34.440 honest with you, and look that game could have gone 0:03:34.440 --> 0:03:36.320 another way from Miami too. They got a huge break 0:03:36.320 --> 0:03:39.280 in that game where it turned around. So to me, 0:03:39.360 --> 0:03:40.480 I think the over is the way I'm going to 0:03:40.560 --> 0:03:42.640 which is weird because it's a Thursday night game and sometimes, 0:03:42.720 --> 0:03:44.880 you know, especially early on, those can kind of drag behind. 0:03:45.480 --> 0:03:47.400 I don't believe in either of these defenses, so Erics 0:03:47.400 --> 0:03:49.160 and I are in the same mind on this one. 0:03:49.240 --> 0:03:51.160 Let's go to the next game on our list. The 0:03:51.160 --> 0:03:53.240 Baltimore Ravens are zero to one, but that's okay. They 0:03:53.280 --> 0:03:55.080 lost to the Chiefs. They are at home now. They 0:03:55.120 --> 0:03:56.880 are eight and a half point favorites against the Las 0:03:56.960 --> 0:04:00.160 Vegas Raiders. It's a lot of points, but again, the 0:04:00.240 --> 0:04:03.120 Raiders certainly looked the man like I said they Gardner 0:04:03.120 --> 0:04:05.960 Minshew in company just canded that game to the Chargers, 0:04:06.000 --> 0:04:07.920 and you could tell I'm bitter about it because I 0:04:08.000 --> 0:04:10.000 bet on them. Forty two and a half is the 0:04:10.080 --> 0:04:12.760 number plus three twenty five for the upset for Vegas. 0:04:12.800 --> 0:04:14.840 I'm staying away. This is one of the most heavily 0:04:14.840 --> 0:04:17.960 favorite games of week two. Ericson, do you see any 0:04:18.000 --> 0:04:19.440 early value here on the lines? 0:04:20.600 --> 0:04:22.279 I think I like the under because this is a 0:04:22.279 --> 0:04:25.800 classic spot where we look up and it's Baltimore thirty 0:04:25.839 --> 0:04:26.719 and the Raider seven. 0:04:27.279 --> 0:04:28.800 That's the way I kind of I see this game. 0:04:28.880 --> 0:04:29.440 That's interesting. 0:04:29.480 --> 0:04:31.440 So again, I just think that the Raiders is gonna 0:04:31.440 --> 0:04:34.360 be overmatch. We've seen teams go to Baltimore and get 0:04:34.400 --> 0:04:37.599 completely overwhelmed. Happens to the Lions last year, a Super 0:04:37.600 --> 0:04:40.840 Bowl team. They went to Baltimore and they got whooped. 0:04:41.160 --> 0:04:43.000 So the Raiders, again, we saw what they'd get into. 0:04:43.040 --> 0:04:45.520 The Chargers not over impressive. We're not impressed with Gardner 0:04:45.560 --> 0:04:48.080 Minshew and the Raiders. I mean, they do have a 0:04:48.080 --> 0:04:50.400 good defense. They should have a good defense. So I 0:04:50.440 --> 0:04:51.960 think it's gonna be a little scoring game. So I 0:04:52.000 --> 0:04:52.520 take the under. 0:04:53.400 --> 0:04:56.240 Well, considering that they gave up some huge plays there 0:04:56.240 --> 0:04:59.440 to JK. Dobbins, they should be very worried about. Actually, 0:05:00.040 --> 0:05:01.880 to be very worried, I would think about Dereck Henry 0:05:02.360 --> 0:05:05.480 in this contest. So yeah, I'm with you. Eight and 0:05:05.520 --> 0:05:07.200 a half is a big number. I think we're gonna 0:05:07.200 --> 0:05:09.320 stay away from that. I think you're you might be 0:05:09.320 --> 0:05:11.440 spot on there with the under. I think maybe like 0:05:11.480 --> 0:05:13.640 a twenty seven to ten kind of a feel here 0:05:13.800 --> 0:05:15.640 that would keep this one very much in check on 0:05:15.680 --> 0:05:18.760 the under. Next one here the New Orleans Saints coming 0:05:18.800 --> 0:05:22.840 out a huge win against Andrew Erickson's Carolina Panthers. The 0:05:22.960 --> 0:05:27.279 Dallas Cowboys also undefeated after a week one butt kicking. 0:05:27.320 --> 0:05:30.320 We told you the line was wrong, oil boy? Was it? 0:05:30.960 --> 0:05:33.559 Dallas Cowboys at home? Six and a half point favorites 0:05:33.600 --> 0:05:35.920 over New Orleans? That feels about right to me. I 0:05:35.960 --> 0:05:38.400 think people are gonna overvalue maybe and see a lot 0:05:38.440 --> 0:05:41.520 of value in New Orleans after that incredible win. But 0:05:41.520 --> 0:05:42.840 I don't know how much we want to take out 0:05:42.880 --> 0:05:45.360 of that. Forty five and a half is the total 0:05:45.360 --> 0:05:47.400 plus two forty four New Orleans on the money line? Now, 0:05:47.440 --> 0:05:51.120 I know sometimes you know, the Cowboys can let us 0:05:51.120 --> 0:05:54.400 down and let down their fan base as well. But Andrew, 0:05:54.440 --> 0:05:56.599 based off what you saw yesterday and both these teams 0:05:56.640 --> 0:05:59.600 being victorious, what do you make of this contest here 0:05:59.600 --> 0:06:00.159 in we two? 0:06:00.240 --> 0:06:02.680 I think this is Dallas. They're playing at home. This 0:06:02.760 --> 0:06:05.840 is where they cover games, even when they're heavy favorites. 0:06:06.200 --> 0:06:08.960 They're going to take care of business again. But the 0:06:09.000 --> 0:06:11.320 Saints look good because I think they're playing the Panthers. 0:06:11.800 --> 0:06:13.640 I really think that has more to do with it. 0:06:13.720 --> 0:06:16.640 I'm not still a believer in Dennis Allen long term. 0:06:17.040 --> 0:06:19.120 So for me, this is I'm going to bet against 0:06:19.120 --> 0:06:20.880 the Saints again two weeks in a row, but this 0:06:20.920 --> 0:06:23.599 time I'm actually betting on a good team, not a 0:06:23.640 --> 0:06:25.440 bad team like the Carolina Panthers. So I feel a 0:06:25.440 --> 0:06:28.119 little bit more confident, especially with Dallas playing at home 0:06:28.360 --> 0:06:31.080 and Jerry World, where they are usually very good covering 0:06:31.080 --> 0:06:32.640 spreads even this large. 0:06:33.480 --> 0:06:35.480 I'm comfortable with the six and a half. I would 0:06:35.520 --> 0:06:38.600 bet the six and a half early. However, it would 0:06:38.600 --> 0:06:40.600 not shock me if this went to six or in 0:06:40.640 --> 0:06:43.960 five and a half. Based on people living in this 0:06:44.080 --> 0:06:46.640 New Orleans win a little too much, and you know, 0:06:46.720 --> 0:06:49.400 seeing Derek Carr throw all these touchdowns and oh, maybe 0:06:49.440 --> 0:06:52.200 New Orleans is back, and maybe you know, I'm with you. 0:06:52.320 --> 0:06:53.720 I think it was more of a case of opponent 0:06:53.760 --> 0:06:56.760 than it was New Orleans being great Necessarily. This is 0:06:56.800 --> 0:06:58.960 a much different to the circumstances in the Dallas pass 0:06:59.040 --> 0:07:01.640 rush and Michael Arson's really got after it, and you know, 0:07:01.680 --> 0:07:03.240 I think that's something they could do again in this 0:07:03.279 --> 0:07:06.400 game very easily. Seedeelamb looked great. Any concerns about any 0:07:06.480 --> 0:07:09.960 jet lag for him after not playing that was obviously 0:07:10.120 --> 0:07:12.520 not a factor in this one at all yesterday. So 0:07:13.160 --> 0:07:14.400 I'm good with the six and a half. But I 0:07:14.400 --> 0:07:16.760 would watch this one and I would bet heavier on 0:07:16.800 --> 0:07:19.600 it if it started to move a little bit more 0:07:19.720 --> 0:07:22.200 towards the New Orleans side of things. So just keep 0:07:22.240 --> 0:07:23.760 an eye on this one. I could see this one 0:07:23.800 --> 0:07:26.760 getting a little bit of attention. The Los Angeles Chargers 0:07:26.840 --> 0:07:30.040 came out with a w. The Carolina Panthers did not. 0:07:30.600 --> 0:07:33.480 The Panthers at home four and a half point underdogs. 0:07:34.240 --> 0:07:37.320 That feels like not enough to me based on what 0:07:37.400 --> 0:07:39.640 I saw, or should I say, did not see in 0:07:39.720 --> 0:07:42.520 Sunday's game. Thirty nine and a half is the number here. 0:07:42.600 --> 0:07:45.880 If you like Carolina on the money line, it's plus 0:07:45.880 --> 0:07:49.360 one ninety all right, ericson. So do the Chargers travel? 0:07:49.600 --> 0:07:50.960 That's the question I'm gonna ask you. 0:07:51.120 --> 0:07:54.679 Yeah, that's always like because like the Chargers, Chargers travel. 0:07:54.760 --> 0:07:57.920 You're unsure because it's the Chargers are always going to charge. 0:07:57.960 --> 0:08:00.960 But remember this is Harbaugh's Chargers, you know, and this 0:08:01.040 --> 0:08:03.440 is a typical spot where the Chargers never cover the spread. 0:08:03.480 --> 0:08:07.480 But Harbaugh being there makes a difference. Having an adults 0:08:07.520 --> 0:08:09.240 in the room at head coach makes a big difference. 0:08:09.280 --> 0:08:11.920 So I'm going to keep back in Harbaugh, especially when 0:08:11.960 --> 0:08:12.840 it's against Carolina. 0:08:12.960 --> 0:08:14.239 So yeah, I mean I'm off. 0:08:14.880 --> 0:08:17.440 I hate to jump ship this this early, but and 0:08:17.480 --> 0:08:19.280 I need to rewatch that Carolina game to get a 0:08:19.280 --> 0:08:21.680 better sense of is this just over Is it just 0:08:21.720 --> 0:08:24.320 this team is just so under man with Rice Sung? 0:08:24.440 --> 0:08:27.040 Is he just so overwhelmed? This is never going to work. 0:08:27.120 --> 0:08:28.320 So my lean is I. 0:08:28.320 --> 0:08:29.720 Think the answer to all those questions. 0:08:29.840 --> 0:08:31.920 Yeah, I mean that's that's kind of how I'm leaning 0:08:31.920 --> 0:08:33.920 towards as well. So I think it's still gonna be 0:08:33.920 --> 0:08:35.880 the charges for me. And again I would also go 0:08:35.960 --> 0:08:38.280 towards the under here because the Chargers want to run 0:08:38.280 --> 0:08:42.000 the football and I don't think Parentis can score so under. 0:08:42.280 --> 0:08:44.160 I just have this conversation with debro and Fits on 0:08:44.200 --> 0:08:47.200 the Fantasy Growth podcast this morning. I said, look, I 0:08:47.240 --> 0:08:50.000 think it's safe that we can call Rice Young the 0:08:50.040 --> 0:08:51.680 bus now, Like I don't want to keep getting into 0:08:51.679 --> 0:08:53.640 this and we could say, well, maybe they wanted to 0:08:53.640 --> 0:08:55.600 give Dave ken Allie more time. I don't need to 0:08:55.640 --> 0:08:58.400 see anything else. I really don't, and it's unfortunate. The 0:08:58.400 --> 0:09:00.920 guy had a really good college career always was tough 0:09:00.920 --> 0:09:02.360 on him. In college, I thought he was one of 0:09:02.400 --> 0:09:04.680 these guys that really benefited a great deal from what 0:09:04.920 --> 0:09:07.840 was around him. I thought he always struggled whenever he 0:09:07.920 --> 0:09:10.840 was pressured in the pocket and some of those bigger 0:09:10.920 --> 0:09:13.320 SEC matchups you would see that happen. I thought he 0:09:13.360 --> 0:09:15.480 got better as his career went on in college, but 0:09:15.520 --> 0:09:17.439 it was always something that really concerned me. And look, 0:09:17.480 --> 0:09:20.120 this is where the big boys play, and at this point, 0:09:20.160 --> 0:09:23.560 it is a tough road to see. At the end 0:09:23.559 --> 0:09:26.680 there that Bryce Young comes out looking like, Yeah, I 0:09:26.720 --> 0:09:28.680 deserve to be the number one overall pick. That's just 0:09:28.840 --> 0:09:31.520 where it is. Before we continue with our next game. 0:09:31.600 --> 0:09:33.680 Just a quick reminder to everybody too. When you have 0:09:33.720 --> 0:09:35.560 the Betting Pros app make sure you check out all 0:09:35.559 --> 0:09:38.920 the Betting Pros betting systems now. They're designed to help 0:09:38.960 --> 0:09:42.000 you find winning trends and make smarter bets. You can 0:09:42.040 --> 0:09:46.040 create and customize your own systems by sport, by bet type, timeframe, 0:09:46.080 --> 0:09:48.640 all of that and our systems track your profitability for 0:09:48.720 --> 0:09:52.560 bets across MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, you name it. 0:09:52.840 --> 0:09:55.240 You can use a betting system for it basically tells 0:09:55.240 --> 0:09:56.880 you how good you are at certain things and also 0:09:56.920 --> 0:09:59.480 looking at other people systems too, to help you become 0:09:59.520 --> 0:10:02.280 a better better. So download and use the Betting Pros 0:10:02.280 --> 0:10:05.280 app today, find the most profitable betting systems that work 0:10:05.360 --> 0:10:09.319 for you, and again, start betting smarter, not harder. That's 0:10:09.360 --> 0:10:11.040 what we're here to do, folks. All right, let's go 0:10:11.120 --> 0:10:15.240 to the next game. Here, the Detroit Lions taking on 0:10:15.280 --> 0:10:17.880 the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Baker Mayfield himself a good game. 0:10:17.920 --> 0:10:20.760 They are six and a half point underdogs to the Lions. Here. 0:10:21.600 --> 0:10:23.360 Forty eight and a half is the number plus two 0:10:23.400 --> 0:10:25.520 to sixty five on the money line for Tampa Bay 0:10:25.520 --> 0:10:27.640 to get a victory. I'm gonna say this Ericson. I 0:10:27.640 --> 0:10:29.920 don't know if it's hot take, but I like the 0:10:29.960 --> 0:10:31.840 Buck side of this one. With the points the six 0:10:31.880 --> 0:10:34.160 and a half, I feel like the Bucks can go 0:10:34.240 --> 0:10:36.760 in there. They know they're gonna be underdogs. I think 0:10:36.800 --> 0:10:39.960 Baker Mayfield feeds on that mentality. I thought he had 0:10:40.000 --> 0:10:42.240 a really good game. Yes, the Commander's defense, it's not 0:10:42.320 --> 0:10:46.040 quite the Lions defense. I get that. However, they've got 0:10:46.160 --> 0:10:48.760 enough weapons to compete offensively. I think they can keep 0:10:48.760 --> 0:10:50.600 this within the six and a half. I like the 0:10:50.640 --> 0:10:52.280 early value on this one. What say you? 0:10:52.440 --> 0:10:52.959 I agree? 0:10:53.080 --> 0:10:55.200 You know, last year Baker Mayfield was one of the 0:10:55.200 --> 0:10:59.120 better bets as a road underdog. And look, we're talking 0:10:59.160 --> 0:11:01.760 about former first aw picks Baker Mayfield. 0:11:01.800 --> 0:11:04.040 He's got a swag back, man. I think that he does. 0:11:04.160 --> 0:11:07.160 I think that he's feeling confident. You know how things 0:11:07.640 --> 0:11:10.800 ended up with Cleveland and then Carolina, But now I 0:11:10.840 --> 0:11:13.120 think he's finally found a home in Tampa Bay. They 0:11:13.160 --> 0:11:16.320 signed him to the extension, and I think that maybe 0:11:16.360 --> 0:11:18.040 it was overblown. Again, I talked about during the off 0:11:18.080 --> 0:11:21.000 season how much I like Liam Cohen as the replacement 0:11:21.040 --> 0:11:22.640 for Dave Canals. I know that was the thing that 0:11:22.679 --> 0:11:25.320 we were concerned about. It's gonna lose Canals, what's gonna happen. 0:11:25.440 --> 0:11:28.600 But I felt like bringing Cohen was the key to 0:11:28.600 --> 0:11:31.280 this Buccaneers offense still being successful. At least through Week 0:11:31.320 --> 0:11:34.400 one he was successful. So again, if this was playing 0:11:34.400 --> 0:11:36.680 in Detroit, I obviously like the over. So I'm gonna 0:11:36.679 --> 0:11:39.000 be obviously betting that, of course, but I do think, yes, 0:11:39.040 --> 0:11:40.800 the Buccaneers within a touchdown. 0:11:40.960 --> 0:11:42.199 I do like that value. 0:11:43.040 --> 0:11:45.120 You know what else? I like this next one Indianapolis 0:11:45.160 --> 0:11:47.680 going on the road to Green Bay and Indy is 0:11:47.880 --> 0:11:52.720 favored by only three. I mean, what Malik Wilson's playing 0:11:52.800 --> 0:11:55.280 quarterback as of right now? Like maybe they signed like 0:11:55.280 --> 0:11:58.240 even if they signed Ryan Danehill, Like how many plays 0:11:58.240 --> 0:12:00.920 can he learned and get indoctrinated to the system. Forty 0:12:00.920 --> 0:12:03.079 one and a half is the number. I am tempted 0:12:03.080 --> 0:12:06.640 for the under on this game, but I could also 0:12:06.679 --> 0:12:09.520 see bad things happening in this game, really getting ugly 0:12:09.559 --> 0:12:12.440 at one point, so I'm not running to it. It 0:12:12.559 --> 0:12:15.000 is a low number of anything. Maybe I'm a little 0:12:15.000 --> 0:12:16.800 on the over to tell you the truth, but plus 0:12:16.800 --> 0:12:20.319 one thirty five for agreement Packers on the money line, 0:12:20.880 --> 0:12:23.040 I don't think three is enough. I think this one 0:12:23.120 --> 0:12:25.320 is going to grow. I think this is probably one 0:12:25.360 --> 0:12:28.440 of the clearest early values on betting pros that you 0:12:28.440 --> 0:12:32.000 could find. What say you, Andrew Erickson, Colts to the 0:12:32.040 --> 0:12:33.320 loveless Packers. 0:12:33.360 --> 0:12:36.840 Yeah, when I did my early projections for BP, this 0:12:37.000 --> 0:12:40.319 was more Colts minus four and a half. So I'm 0:12:40.400 --> 0:12:42.920 there with you on the Colts. Like Malik Willis, he 0:12:42.960 --> 0:12:45.040 has been more of a running back than a quarterback 0:12:45.160 --> 0:12:47.160 at the NFL level, Like he has an not shown 0:12:47.200 --> 0:12:49.880 that he can pass away. He takes sacks like a madman, 0:12:50.000 --> 0:12:53.720 like Will Levis and Richardson as explosive as he looked. 0:12:54.000 --> 0:12:56.480 He was nine for nineteen for over two hundred passing 0:12:56.559 --> 0:12:58.880 yards of the most Anthony richards stat line you could 0:12:58.920 --> 0:13:02.080 ask for just throwing out a suit bombs to Aleck Pearce, 0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:05.280 Ashton duell In, but then missing wide open throws. 0:13:05.320 --> 0:13:06.240 So that up and down. 0:13:06.320 --> 0:13:08.640 So again I'm concerned about the total because of the 0:13:08.640 --> 0:13:10.480 matter of does he hit on those explosive plays or 0:13:10.559 --> 0:13:13.200 he does not, And I'm just not confident with Milk Willster. 0:13:13.280 --> 0:13:14.880 I mean I think that I think we talked about 0:13:14.880 --> 0:13:17.199 this another show that Green Bay is gonna be. I 0:13:17.200 --> 0:13:19.480 think they're gonna be shopping for a quarterback soon. I 0:13:19.480 --> 0:13:21.520 think it was about in regards to Russ, right, we 0:13:21.520 --> 0:13:23.000 were talking about Russ as a potential. 0:13:23.720 --> 0:13:25.800 I think, look, it depends on how long. If it's 0:13:25.800 --> 0:13:27.760 gonna be six weeks, then I think it's really important. 0:13:27.920 --> 0:13:31.200 It's gonna be that two to four window. Maybe you 0:13:31.320 --> 0:13:33.200 kind of just grinned, Barrett and try to grind it out. 0:13:33.280 --> 0:13:35.440 I don't know. I mean a Tannehill would make more 0:13:35.480 --> 0:13:38.760 sense then but it's I don't think. I don't think 0:13:38.760 --> 0:13:40.760 the Stewarts is gonna readily throw up the flag here 0:13:40.880 --> 0:13:44.760 and just send Russell Wilson that quickly. It wasn't like fields, 0:13:44.840 --> 0:13:46.760 you know was world yesterday. 0:13:46.800 --> 0:13:49.040 He didn't lose the game for that like that's. 0:13:49.000 --> 0:13:51.240 He didn't like. He didn't lose the game for them. 0:13:51.360 --> 0:13:54.400 And I continue to say that people made fun of me. 0:13:54.440 --> 0:13:56.480 I saw you on the chat telling that the Atlanta 0:13:56.480 --> 0:13:58.480 Falcons defense isn't any good. Well, I think they're better 0:13:58.480 --> 0:14:01.360 than you think they are. Sorry, I think the first 0:14:01.360 --> 0:14:04.080 look was good. By the way, since we've been talking 0:14:04.160 --> 0:14:06.000 about this, it's moved to three and a half already. 0:14:06.400 --> 0:14:09.600 Okay, so there you go, so get it. While again 0:14:09.679 --> 0:14:11.079 is the other thing on because the last thing on 0:14:11.120 --> 0:14:11.880 the Colts too. 0:14:11.720 --> 0:14:13.719 I got it at three this morning and now it's three. 0:14:13.760 --> 0:14:17.360 And the trend all last year was the Colts is 0:14:18.000 --> 0:14:20.320 you never met them as underdog because they always lose, 0:14:20.480 --> 0:14:22.960 but then when their favorites they always cover like they 0:14:22.960 --> 0:14:25.320 were very very much whatever the public market thinks is 0:14:25.360 --> 0:14:26.840 going to happen to them, that's what they would follow 0:14:26.840 --> 0:14:27.240 through and do. 0:14:27.400 --> 0:14:29.480 So. Yes, I like the col Tea even on the road. 0:14:29.640 --> 0:14:30.960 Let me put it to this way too. I thought 0:14:30.960 --> 0:14:35.320 the Colts defense was played inspired compared to maybe what 0:14:35.320 --> 0:14:38.360 we thought the I mean, look, that Houston Texans offense 0:14:38.440 --> 0:14:39.920 is for real. They've got a lot of weapons. I 0:14:39.920 --> 0:14:41.360 know they give up a lot of rushing yards to 0:14:41.800 --> 0:14:45.560 mix and I get that. But but outside of that, 0:14:45.800 --> 0:14:48.800 like that game was close. That was a tight game 0:14:48.920 --> 0:14:51.360 all the way to the end. So let's give them 0:14:51.360 --> 0:14:52.840 a little bit of credit. Like right out of the 0:14:52.880 --> 0:14:55.600 gate again, I love Indian this one. It's already moved 0:14:55.640 --> 0:14:56.840 to three and a half. I'll still take it three 0:14:56.880 --> 0:14:58.480 and a half. I would not be shocked by the 0:14:58.480 --> 0:15:02.000 time we get to what the show with Terrell it. 0:15:01.960 --> 0:15:05.640 Gets to have Alik Willis as the starter. 0:15:06.000 --> 0:15:09.480 I think people are just gonna look, Malik was. 0:15:09.480 --> 0:15:12.000 Is going to start no matter what happens. But we'll 0:15:12.000 --> 0:15:14.920 see who finishes. The San Francisco forty nine ers are 0:15:14.960 --> 0:15:18.440 gonna take all the Minnesota Vikings all. Sam Darnald in 0:15:18.520 --> 0:15:20.520 that building that must have felt good for him. I'm 0:15:20.520 --> 0:15:22.720 happy for Sam Donald in his giant head. That was 0:15:22.720 --> 0:15:25.000 a nice moment for him that he was able to 0:15:25.080 --> 0:15:27.920 go there and exercise those ghosts that he used to 0:15:28.000 --> 0:15:30.720 see at Metlive Stadium. It was a great performance against 0:15:30.720 --> 0:15:32.560 the Giants. At one point he was twelve for twelve 0:15:32.840 --> 0:15:35.160 and now he gets to get home the conquering hero. 0:15:35.240 --> 0:15:37.400 And what do you get the San Francisco forty nine Ers. 0:15:37.520 --> 0:15:39.480 So they are underdogs plus five and a half in 0:15:39.480 --> 0:15:41.400 their own building. Forty five and a half is the 0:15:41.480 --> 0:15:44.280 number plus two hundred for Minnesota. I am going to 0:15:44.360 --> 0:15:46.440 lay off this one early. I want to see again 0:15:46.840 --> 0:15:49.800 the forty nine Ers tonight. We're recording this Monday morning, 0:15:50.160 --> 0:15:52.640 so right now, I think this one looks right to me. 0:15:53.040 --> 0:15:54.440 I'm not going to do anything because if there's a 0:15:54.480 --> 0:15:57.680 macaffrey injury, this line's gonna change. If you know, the 0:15:57.760 --> 0:16:01.200 forty nine Ers stomp amun hole in the Jets fingers crossed, 0:16:01.880 --> 0:16:04.280 then all of a sudden again this line might change 0:16:04.280 --> 0:16:06.640 a little bit more too, and it might be worth changing. 0:16:07.080 --> 0:16:09.760 I'm staying away from this one. What do you see 0:16:09.800 --> 0:16:12.240 when you see this forty nine Ers Vikings game in 0:16:12.280 --> 0:16:12.560 Week two? 0:16:12.600 --> 0:16:15.240 Yeah, the projections I did line up exactly with what 0:16:15.360 --> 0:16:17.720 the lines are, so I'm not Yeah, this is kind 0:16:17.720 --> 0:16:19.720 of a shyaway spot for me too, because I want 0:16:19.720 --> 0:16:21.320 to see, Like you said, which forty nine ers team 0:16:21.360 --> 0:16:21.760 we're getting. 0:16:21.760 --> 0:16:22.720 Are we getting the death. 0:16:22.560 --> 0:16:24.760 Star forty nine ers team this year or are we 0:16:24.800 --> 0:16:27.160 getting the Super Bowl hangover forty nine Ers team? 0:16:27.280 --> 0:16:28.600 So I'm gonna wait. 0:16:28.960 --> 0:16:30.600 Now the one thing I'm not waiting for, which is 0:16:30.600 --> 0:16:32.640 funny because the Jets are playing the forty nine ers. 0:16:32.640 --> 0:16:34.200 And even though I think the Jets are gonna lose 0:16:34.240 --> 0:16:37.400 to the forty nine ers, and if they do, Andrew 0:16:37.400 --> 0:16:40.560 Erickson is gonna have to pay up on Thursday's show. 0:16:40.600 --> 0:16:42.520 You're not gonna want to miss that one, folks, And 0:16:42.600 --> 0:16:44.840 if I will, of course pay up if I am 0:16:44.840 --> 0:16:47.640 the loser here to Andrew Erickson on Thursday. We are 0:16:47.720 --> 0:16:50.920 men of honor, we are men of our word. We're 0:16:50.920 --> 0:16:54.080