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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, presented by DraftKings. The crown is yours.

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Speaker 1: I'm Brandon Kravitz, joined by my fellow d Jens, the

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Speaker 1: returning Kendrim Middleton, and the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation.

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Speaker 1: Stuckey is with us as well for his premium picks.

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Speaker 1: On today's show, we will submit our official plays for

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Speaker 1: Week five in the NFL. We've got our stat of

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Speaker 1: the week, a newly named parlay, some public darlings that

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Speaker 1: you need to be aware of, like and subscribe wherever

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Speaker 1: it is that you are tuned in. The shirt bet

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Speaker 1: has been officially paid off. I don't know if you

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Speaker 1: can see this, guys, I'm gonna tilt the camera down here.

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Speaker 1: It is everybody. I'll stand up for this. It says

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Speaker 1: the cutest pumpkin in the patch.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible.

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Speaker 3: I hope you wear that in public today.

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Speaker 1: I think a pub like flogging on the podcast is

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Speaker 1: probably enough.

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Speaker 2: But I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Thursday nights ago when the Dolphins covered the spread against

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Speaker 1: the Bills. So there you go, Stucky, is this you

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Speaker 1: picked out?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, that's fine. Then you have to bet the Falcons

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Speaker 4: money line against the Bills. And we have to come

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Speaker 4: up with a had to head bet for Brown's Vikings.

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Speaker 4: Since you like Minnesota and Cleveland.

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Speaker 3: I have a secret. I have a tie break for this.

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Speaker 3: What's that I'm on the Vikings?

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Speaker 4: Perfect?

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Speaker 2: We should have to make Stucky a poem?

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Speaker 1: Are we both? It should? We should have to say

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Speaker 1: it with a British accent. Since the games in London.

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Speaker 4: Trying to come up with something that's Cleveland related.

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Speaker 2: What's Minnesota famous for? I don't even know schools.

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Speaker 4: They're mall.

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Speaker 1: They do have a killer mall.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm all the that'm all is a good one.

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Speaker 3: Like famous food, these.

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Speaker 4: Two famous burger places.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna say Skyline Chili is not Minnesota.

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Speaker 1: A producer says that it's in London. We should eat

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Speaker 1: beans and toast on the pod. Is that something you

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Speaker 1: do over there that?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, they do, yes, and it's discussed, but it's it's

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Speaker 3: like a very specific type of beans that they don't

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Speaker 3: sell here.

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Speaker 2: You have to do like the Bush's baked beans thing.

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Speaker 3: Here, but like there's coming like a blue cane and

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Speaker 3: I think they're hinds.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'd be down to do that. Yeah, hell yeah,

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Speaker 2: why not?

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Speaker 1: All right? That sounds easier than writing a pubble.

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Speaker 2: I might gag, but I'm down.

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Speaker 1: Uh all right, So we got that settled. I'm glad

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Speaker 1: that you're on my side. I am due for a

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Speaker 1: win in these head to head bets because Stuckey has

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Speaker 1: been has been running the show so far when it

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Speaker 1: comes to that. And here I am cute at pumpkin

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Speaker 1: in the patch today, Kendra. How's the trip to the

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Speaker 1: West Coast?

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Speaker 3: It was so good only because they won, Like, I

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Speaker 3: had a great time. I ate a lot of good food.

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Speaker 3: But if they lost and I went all that, I

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Speaker 3: would have been really upset. But congrats on congrats on

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Speaker 3: the parlay. I listened to the show. It would hit

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Speaker 3: last week, of course it yeah, it's true.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, but no, the game was really good.

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Speaker 3: I feel better about the Jaguars than I did Rock

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Speaker 3: Perty shouldn't have played that game.

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Speaker 2: Their fans are still mean as hell, but it was good.

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Speaker 1: What was your favorite interaction with a forty nine Ers fan?

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Speaker 2: So I posted it on Twitter.

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Speaker 3: I was talking about this before we got on, but

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Speaker 3: I posted a video. I covered his face because I'm

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Speaker 3: nice and I don't want to ruin anybody's life. But

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Speaker 3: there was this kid sitting in front of us, who

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Speaker 3: refused to believe that I knew anything about football at all,

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Speaker 3: was trying to mansplain the game to me, was asking

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Speaker 3: me to name players. Just an absolute loser was drinking

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Speaker 3: hard ciders the whole game and was so hammered he

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Speaker 3: could like barely walk down the row. And at the

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Speaker 3: end of the game, I was like just cheering. I

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Speaker 3: had the whole thing on video. I was just cheering,

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Speaker 3: and he was like, Rock Party has more playoff appearances

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Speaker 3: than Trevor Lawrence and at the end of this season

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Speaker 3: he still will. And I was like, okay, so what

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Speaker 3: hold this out, loser, And then his friend walked past

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Speaker 3: us and he goes, I saw you on your phone

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Speaker 3: before they scored a touchdown. I was like, okay, yeah,

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Speaker 3: I'm live tweeting the game. Is that supposed to be

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Speaker 3: a burn? Like, go drink your cider and go home,

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Speaker 3: you losers.

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Speaker 1: Unbelievable. This is why people are getting in fights at

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Speaker 1: San Francisco, this sort of behavior.

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Speaker 3: There was a huge fight behind us between like three

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Speaker 3: it was like three forty nine Ers fans and one

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Speaker 3: Jag fan. And he was just cheering because obviously it

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Speaker 3: was a good game. I think he said something that

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Speaker 3: he probably should love, and this one Karen called security

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Speaker 3: and got him kicked out, and as he was getting

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Speaker 3: kicked out, he's trying to fight with three other guys.

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Speaker 2: It was pretty it was pretty awesome.

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Speaker 1: Wow, well, glad that you got the win. I admitted

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Speaker 1: this on the Tuesday episode. This is the first of

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Speaker 1: our three leg parlays that I didn't actually place because

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Speaker 1: I was on the forty nine ers and I didn't

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Speaker 1: want to play both sides, and so unfortunately I didn't

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Speaker 1: profit off of it. But hopefully all of you did

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Speaker 1: that you lost. I mean, it's really been quite an

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Speaker 1: epic run of defeats and it's early in season. You know,

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Speaker 1: I'll take my lumps now, let you guys have your fun,

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Speaker 1: and then when it really matters, I'll pick it back up.

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Speaker 4: But you're the gauge for me. I know that. Like, Okay,

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Speaker 4: if you if you like, if you like this other

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Speaker 4: side I hate, if you like the same side, I

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Speaker 4: better look into it.

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Speaker 1: That was means, that was that was That was probably

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Speaker 1: the most hurtful thing that you've ever said to me

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Speaker 1: in our short time.

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Speaker 4: I'm just being truthful. By the way you mentioned food

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Speaker 4: and Minnesota is that they're they're known for that. They

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Speaker 4: have a couple places. They're known for their juicy bluesy.

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Speaker 4: It's like a Burger and Cleveland. I would say, like corn.

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Speaker 2: Beef sandwiches, Skyline Chili.

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Speaker 4: That's Sincy Cincinnati, which it's just.

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Speaker 2: It's like chocolate chili, right.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's I'm a time purists. I can't like chili

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Speaker 4: on spaghetti is sacrilegious. But speaking of food, my question

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Speaker 4: of the week is if you could only you were

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Speaker 4: forced to eat only one thing for the rest of

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Speaker 4: your life, and you could, you would You would never

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Speaker 4: get sick of it. It gave you all the new

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Speaker 4: you were like, it was completely healthy. No matter what

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Speaker 4: you chose, what would you pick?

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Speaker 2: Hey, this is a dumb question.

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Speaker 1: Let me ask you a personal question kind.

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Speaker 4: Of question is that it is question what would be

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Speaker 4: your meal that you ate for the rest of your life.

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Speaker 4: It could be like one specific thing from a restaurant.

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Speaker 4: It could be a specific meal one thing.

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Speaker 2: Am I gonna get fat?

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Speaker 1: No?

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Speaker 4: You don't, you don't. It doesn't impact your health. My

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Speaker 4: choice is really easy. It's it's either my mom cooking

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Speaker 4: it or my wife. They both make it like perfect

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Speaker 4: it's a homemade eggplant parm like homemade noodles all from scratch,

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Speaker 4: egg by palm and then homemade noodles on top. I

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Speaker 4: could eat it for the rest of my life growing up.

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Speaker 4: On Sundays when I was in high school, when I

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Speaker 4: I would just sit, usually hungover, watching NFL a day,

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Speaker 4: my mom would make me a giant tray of akept

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Speaker 4: farm like a big casserole dish, and I would just

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Speaker 4: eat almost the entire thing and just heat it up

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Speaker 4: throughout the day and night until uh Sunday night football

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Speaker 4: is over. And then my wife learned how to cook

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Speaker 4: it a little little spin on it, but just as good.

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Speaker 4: So that is. That is my easy, easy choice choice one.

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Speaker 1: A yeah, I'm not too far off of that. Mine

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Speaker 1: is lavagna and I'll take it from any direction. Mom, wife,

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Speaker 1: Uh for Zoli's Maggiano's. I don't everybody gross everybody.

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna say a special from waffle House. I want

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Speaker 3: scrambled eggs. I want a chocolate chip waffle. I want

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Speaker 3: truck or Coffee because their coffee is truck or Coffee.

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Speaker 3: I want extra crispy hash browns. I want a cid

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Speaker 3: of grits and a biscuit, not toast breakfast all day.

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Speaker 4: You guys are going Fizzoli's and waffle House for the

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Speaker 4: choice of what you would eat the rest of.

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Speaker 1: Your I'm just saying that if they if that was

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Speaker 1: the only option for the lasagna, I would accept.

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Speaker 3: If I'm not going to get fat, Yeah, I'm gonna

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Speaker 3: eat waffle House every single day.

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Speaker 2: Oh and bacon, duh.

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Speaker 4: I feel it happen. What do you got? You do

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Speaker 4: have something in New York, a certain meal or something

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Speaker 4: from your your.

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Speaker 2: Family, or about waffle House, I wouldn't.

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Speaker 5: Say it's New York specific. I had three things in mind.

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Speaker 6: I love sushi, I was thinking about lobster, and I

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Speaker 6: like sausage and peppers. Those felt like the three things

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Speaker 6: I could potentially eat for every meal and not care.

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Speaker 1: See, I think I like where Evan's head is at.

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Speaker 1: Is that I Part of the reason I like lasagna

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Speaker 1: is it's cost effective too. But in this scenario, I

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Speaker 1: don't think we need to think we don't need the

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Speaker 1: factor in pricing.

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Speaker 6: No, perhaps God, now, yeah, that's the last price didn't

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Speaker 6: even cross my mind.

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Speaker 1: So that's.

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Speaker 2: I'm stucky, not a wlawful house.

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Speaker 1: Perfect transition with seafood into our shrimply unbelievable stat of

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Speaker 1: the week courtesy of that man right there who loves

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Speaker 1: him some lobster is Evan Abrams, with some help from

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Speaker 1: our Rainbow Shrimp as well. The Panthers haven't won or

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Speaker 1: covered a spread in a game regular season postseason where

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Speaker 1: they were favored in a game since twenty twenty one

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Speaker 1: September of twenty twenty one. That's four full years ago.

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Speaker 1: Now this no longer applies because the Dolphins have flipped

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Speaker 1: back to a favorite. They opened as a favorite, then

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Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill went down and the Panthers were favorite. Now

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Speaker 1: we're back to the Dolphins's one point favorites in this game. However,

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Speaker 1: the plight of the Panthers with expectations behind them still applies.

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Speaker 1: Bryce Young has closed as a three point dog or

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Speaker 1: shorter four times in his career as a starter, and

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Speaker 1: Carolina has scored less than twenty points in every single

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Speaker 1: one of those games, averaging thirteen point three in those situations.

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Speaker 1: The Dolphins are going to be able to score on

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Speaker 1: this Panthers defense, and if the Panthers aren't able to

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Speaker 1: match that, then this is a Dolphins spot. Stucky, We

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Speaker 1: talked about this on Tuesday Show. It kind of feels

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Speaker 1: like this is a primed Panthers bounce back. But do

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Speaker 1: those numbers scare you at all?

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Speaker 5: No?

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Speaker 4: I mean, so, if the Fantas close plus one, then

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Speaker 4: then they're okay. But if they're minus one, they're not.

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Speaker 4: I like the Panthers here.

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Speaker 1: The Panthers.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, they flipped to a favor and then there was

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Speaker 4: a service release a person who sells place, There was

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Speaker 4: a couple and then it flipped to Miami. I wouldn't

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Speaker 4: be shocked if this eventually flips back and the Panthers

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Speaker 4: closes a favor. These are not These are two teams

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Speaker 4: that are bad. But I think it's a great spot

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Speaker 4: for the Panthers. They're coming off of a misleading loss.

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Speaker 4: Their special teams were disaster New England. Miami short week

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Speaker 4: no Tyreek Hill. The defense is bad, they're not getting pressure,

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Speaker 4: The offensive line is atrocious. Now you lose one of

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Speaker 4: your two best weapons. Like, what does this Miami team

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Speaker 4: have going for it? They're trying to blitz a ton

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Speaker 4: on defense to make up for their lack of pressure.

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Speaker 4: Bryce Young has been really good against the blitz throughout

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Speaker 4: his short career so yeah. And the Panthers structurally play

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Speaker 4: a defense that you want to play to slow down

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Speaker 4: to it. And this Mike with Daniel offense, so Mike

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Speaker 4: the Donald offense.

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Speaker 3: So I.

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Speaker 4: I like the Panthers here. I think they get it done.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, not scared whatsoever. If anything, they're due. The

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Speaker 4: baby cats are due.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I do care what cats?

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Speaker 1: Are? You back on the sad Cats, Kendra, I'm so close.

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Speaker 2: To being in on the sad Cats. My thing is

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Speaker 2: is that I.

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Speaker 3: Think at this point, I'm not even going to go

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Speaker 3: for the spread. I'm probably gonna go for the money line.

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Speaker 3: I think that's where the value is. It's plus one

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Speaker 3: hundred Obviously, if you're going for the spread, it's going

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Speaker 3: to be like the minus one ten area. If you

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Speaker 3: want the one and a half minus one fifteen, I

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Speaker 3: almost think it that short of a spread, Like you,

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Speaker 3: you got to go with.

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Speaker 2: The money line. That's where the value is.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, dogs off of a loss of four touchdowns or more.

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Speaker 4: For what it's worth sixty percent against the spread past

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Speaker 4: twenty five seasons, and that just goes back to you know,

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Speaker 4: maybe you're getting a little extra value at times when

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Speaker 4: these teams who just got blown out. No one wants

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Speaker 4: to bet them now. You know they're an underdog, although

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Speaker 4: not a huge underdog here, but just in general, teams

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Speaker 4: all flowout losses like that, and Miami was dominated by

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Speaker 4: the Jets. They're probably the most fortunate team of the week,

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Speaker 4: them and the Bears. I mean like minus fifteen net

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Speaker 4: success rate. They you know, the Jets had eleven penalties,

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Speaker 4: they were jobbed by the refs, They had three turnovers

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Speaker 4: and won by the goal line, out gaining the Dolphins

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Speaker 4: four hundred to three hundred. So this Miami team is bad.

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Speaker 4: I have no qualms fading them on the road.

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Speaker 3: They're also not good on the road. They're zero and

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Speaker 3: two on the road. Panthers are one I know at home.

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Speaker 3: Panthers haven't played a ton at home. I think being

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Speaker 3: in your own bed's gotta be good for something.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I think they bounced back.

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Speaker 1: I took the Dolphins as a teaser leg when they

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Speaker 1: were I'm not willing to go head to head. I

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Speaker 1: have them up to seven and a half, so I'm

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna sit with that number. I have that with

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Speaker 1: the Texans. I got that when they were at three

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Speaker 1: and a half. So I feel pretty good about where

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Speaker 1: I'm at with that. That one's in the app, but

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Speaker 1: those numbers have disappeared with Lamar being out. Still to

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Speaker 1: come our newly named parlay a week off of our

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Speaker 1: first dub as a trio. Great week on the Favorites

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Speaker 1: in week four, We're about to get to our picks,

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Speaker 1: but first I'm gonna kick it to myself to talk

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Speaker 1: about DraftKings. The Favorites is sponsored by DraftKings and in

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Speaker 1: partnership with DraftKings, we'd like to tell you the next

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Speaker 1: great touchdown is coming and you can bet on it

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Speaker 1: hundred dollars in bonus bets. That's right, New customers, turn

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Speaker 1: code Favorites when signing up once more, that's code Favorites

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Speaker 1: at DraftKings when signing up to get on board, the

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Speaker 1: crown is yours. So, Kendra, what game has you in

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Speaker 1: a pickle? As we enter week five?

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Speaker 3: I gotta go with the Broncos and the Eagles. I

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Speaker 3: think the Eagles obviously, as we know four and oh

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Speaker 3: have been a lucky four and oh two and oh

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Speaker 3: at home, Broncos two and two, zero and two away.

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Speaker 3: Not sure who Bonix is right now. He's had some

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Speaker 3: really up and down moments through this season. The defense

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Speaker 3: has been strong, but we've also seen them struggle at times.

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Speaker 3: Will Philly's luck run out while the Broncos defense come

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Speaker 3: up with a huge win. This game is a real

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Speaker 3: question mark for me. Obviously, I love the Eagles at home,

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Speaker 3: but the Broncos have been feisty. I think they're due

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Speaker 3: for a big win. This game has me a little confused.

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Speaker 1: This is a luck game through and through. Read Nick

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Speaker 1: Giffen's article at actionnetwork dot com if you haven't already.

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Speaker 1: The luck differential in this game is twenty three. The

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Speaker 1: Eagles have been the luckiest team in the NFL. The

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Speaker 1: Broncos have been twenty fourth and so Nick Giffin has

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Speaker 1: pointed this out as an A grade with a luck

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Speaker 1: based cover rate of sixty percent. Unlucky teams receiving an

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Speaker 1: A grade are twenty five to fifteen and two against

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Speaker 1: the spread. That's nearly sixty three percent, and these luck

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Speaker 1: rankings hit their optimal efficiency weeks two through Week four.

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Speaker 1: A little bit of a dip between week five and

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Speaker 1: week seven, so this is right in the heart of

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Speaker 1: luck ranking season. It picks back up after Week seven,

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Speaker 1: and the Broncos are clearly the side here and it

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Speaker 1: looks like they're taking money as well. This went from

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Speaker 1: four and a half down to three and a half.

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Speaker 1: I have a bet on the Broncos. I'm willing to

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Speaker 1: I'm willing to argue that one in terms of throwing

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Speaker 1: that into our parlay. We'll get to that portion of

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Speaker 1: the show on the tail end. Did you end up

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Speaker 1: up on that side, stucky on the Denver Broncos. Yeah.

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Speaker 4: I played the Broncos mainly a fade of the Eagles.

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Speaker 4: The Eagles that they're just not that not the same

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Speaker 4: team as they were last year. Yet they've been extremely fortunate.

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Speaker 4: You know, you took the blocked field goal, the block

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Speaker 4: punt last week. They played a really banged up Tampa team.

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Speaker 3: Uh.

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Speaker 4: This this team is not look good. Their defense has

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Speaker 4: been around league average. If you look at some of

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Speaker 4: the advanced stats you can run on them, their thirtieth

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Speaker 4: and rushed success rate. I think that's what Denver is

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Speaker 4: gonna lean on here. And the Broncos have the better

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Speaker 4: defense as well. And this Eagles offensive line is also

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Speaker 4: way down Lane Johnson dealing with injury. The interior is

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Speaker 4: not as good. They really missed Mackai Becton. There's also

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Speaker 4: I think some lingering injuries in the interior. So I

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Speaker 4: think the Broncos can take advantage there. You can put

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Speaker 4: certain on aj Brown, not that they're throwing to them anyway.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, what's the deal with that?

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Speaker 4: The offensive quarter? I think it's the offensive coordinator drop off.

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Speaker 4: I think it's massive. I mean it's a team that

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Speaker 4: had nine yards or like nineteen yards last week in

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Speaker 4: the second half. They had thirty three yards in the

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Speaker 4: first half against the Rams. Now you're going up against

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Speaker 4: one of the best defenses in the country. But in

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Speaker 4: the NFL, excuse me, Like the offense is Barkley's not

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Speaker 4: even the same.

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Speaker 1: That's big bets on campus coming through, by the way,

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Speaker 1: we see that. Yeah.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, so I just was I guess I'll plug my

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Speaker 4: college piece. I just spent all night writing my college

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Speaker 4: stuff up. So check out Action neverorkap actually dot com.

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Speaker 4: But the Barkley last year, on the second half of games,

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Speaker 4: he averaged six point seven yards per carry. It's two

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Speaker 4: point seven this year, four yards per carry less, Like

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Speaker 4: the run game isn't even bailing them out. They're just

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Speaker 4: getting by on smoking mirrors. So I do like Denver,

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Speaker 4: And I mean even Lane Johnson's banged up, so he's

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Speaker 4: not at one hundred percent full strength, and he's super important.

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Speaker 4: He might be their most important offensive player. And if

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Speaker 4: you go back historically, I mean he might be. I

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Speaker 4: think he's probably the best right tackle in the NFL. Well,

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Speaker 4: the Eagles are one oh five fifty five and one

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Speaker 4: with Lane Johnson, it's a sixty seven percent win percentage.

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Speaker 4: Without them, they're fifteen and twenty three, thirty nine percent

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Speaker 4: win percentage. So yeah, I think the Broncos can lean

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Speaker 4: on their ground game, lean on their defense. This will

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Speaker 4: be a lower scoring game. Points at a premium, so

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Speaker 4: endything over a field goal.

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Speaker 2: I like, Denver, you guys are scaring me. Fading the

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Speaker 2: Eagles at home.

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Speaker 1: This feels like the bro Hug game of the week.

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Speaker 1: Come on, you.

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Speaker 2: Guys, you guys are scaring me. Like, I get it.

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Speaker 3: AJ Brown is posting Bible verses on Twitter, like, clearly

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00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:37,359
Speaker 3: shit is like not one hundred percent, but fading Eagles

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Speaker 3: out on this scared.

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Speaker 1: Here's the thing that has not looked good the Brown

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Speaker 1: stuff is that they've had these issues before and it

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Speaker 1: didn't stop them. They won a Super Bowl with locker

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Speaker 1: room strife. So I just don't know what to make

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Speaker 1: of that. As far as a look at this game,

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Speaker 1: he hasn't been involved and they've still been winning and

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Speaker 1: covering the spread. They're three and one. Ats.

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Speaker 3: I'm just gonna say, is it a AJ Brown anytime week?

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Speaker 3: Do we think they're going to feed him to make

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Speaker 3: him happy? Because they did that last year when he started,

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Speaker 3: you know, popping off on social media, they fed him

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Speaker 3: to keep him happy.

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Speaker 2: Is this is this?

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Speaker 1: Is this a look just doesn't feel like the matchup

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Speaker 1: for it.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm as certain. And by the way, yeah, the

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Speaker 4: Eagles are three and one against the spread. They needed

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Speaker 4: They were down twenty at home to the Rams and

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Speaker 4: needed a block'll.

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Speaker 1: This is why this is why this has an a

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Speaker 1: grade on it in the luck rankings. Yeah, they didn't cover.

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Speaker 4: Against the Cowboys, so they should be zero and two

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Speaker 4: against the spread at home. So uh yeah, if they

406
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Speaker 4: cover again on a block field goal return that they

407
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Speaker 4: should just go down on like the game is over.

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Speaker 4: The only way you lose is if you return that

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Speaker 4: but uh neither here nor there. So if I lose

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Speaker 4: on a block field again, sobey it. But uh yeah,

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Speaker 4: I like your Gronko's.

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Speaker 1: According to Action Network betting data, teams with sixty percent

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Speaker 1: of the tickets this season ten and twenty four ats

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Speaker 1: through the first four So I've got some public darlings

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Speaker 1: out there. It's a long list. If you just want

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Speaker 1: to fade these teams, chances are you'll end up profitable

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Speaker 1: this weekend the publics do.

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Speaker 4: I wouldn't necessarily say that, though, Just keep out of mind,

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Speaker 4: like they're not gonna they're gonna have They're always remember this,

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Speaker 4: They're gonna have good weeks. Public bets can win all

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Speaker 4: the time. Maybe maybe they're they're due for a bounce back,

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Speaker 4: but what do you got who are.

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Speaker 1: The big eventually? That is true, but if if, And

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Speaker 1: that's the weird thing about trends. Sometimes trends die sight unseen,

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Speaker 1: and sometimes you can catch them on the tail end

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Speaker 1: before they fizzle out. So, of course, don't just blindly

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Speaker 1: bet anything, but buyer beware, I think is probably the

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Speaker 1: best way to put this. On The Ravens plus one

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Speaker 1: and a half these are all teams that I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: mention that sixty of the bets or more according to

431
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Speaker 1: Actionnetwork dot Com. Ravens plus one and a half, Lion's

432
00:20:58,359 --> 00:21:02,880
Speaker 1: minus ten against Cincy, the Bucks plus three against Seattle Giants,

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00:21:02,880 --> 00:21:06,840
Speaker 1: plus two at New Orleans, Colts, minus seven against the Raiders,

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Speaker 1: Cowboys minus two and a half at the Jets, Cardinals

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Speaker 1: minus seven and a half against the Titans, and the

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Speaker 1: Browns are on the borderline. They're fifty nine percent, so

437
00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:18,080
Speaker 1: they're kind of scratching the surface there. But that's a

438
00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:23,040
Speaker 1: ton of public percentages that are out there, and I

439
00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:25,679
Speaker 1: like a couple of these other sides. So I feel

440
00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:28,240
Speaker 1: good being on the fade the public side this week

441
00:21:28,240 --> 00:21:30,880
Speaker 1: because I've definitely gotten caught up with some popular teams

442
00:21:31,320 --> 00:21:33,679
Speaker 1: in the first couple weeks of the season. But it

443
00:21:33,800 --> 00:21:36,680
Speaker 1: feels like some of those teams do have alarm bells

444
00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:39,040
Speaker 1: on them in terms of the public sentiment, Kendrick, is

445
00:21:39,040 --> 00:21:40,400
Speaker 1: there anything that stood out to you there?

446
00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:43,359
Speaker 3: I feel like the only thing that I thought was

447
00:21:43,400 --> 00:21:44,480
Speaker 3: maybe the Giants.

448
00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:45,720
Speaker 2: That's about it.

449
00:21:45,840 --> 00:21:49,080
Speaker 3: Everything other than that, I gotta be honest, I don't

450
00:21:49,119 --> 00:21:51,719
Speaker 3: love this late this week. I feel like, once again

451
00:21:51,920 --> 00:21:54,399
Speaker 3: numbers are just getting too huge. Maybe the Colts, I

452
00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:56,159
Speaker 3: would say, the Colts and the Giants stuck out to me,

453
00:21:56,640 --> 00:21:57,159
Speaker 3: what about you?

454
00:21:57,160 --> 00:21:57,480
Speaker 1: Stuck?

455
00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:03,720
Speaker 4: All makes sense? Nothing that I really pay attention to. Like,

456
00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:06,040
Speaker 4: I mean, last year, the public had like a massive

457
00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:09,680
Speaker 4: year all season long, so that could happen, and it

458
00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:13,840
Speaker 4: doesn't really bother bother me one way or the other.

459
00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:16,280
Speaker 4: I know people love it and love looking at it.

460
00:22:17,560 --> 00:22:20,199
Speaker 4: But the one that I probably agree with them the

461
00:22:20,200 --> 00:22:24,920
Speaker 4: most among those is the Browns. I just can't lay

462
00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:27,520
Speaker 4: points with this Vikings team. I don't care if it's

463
00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:29,280
Speaker 4: a rookie quarterback, like I think it's gonna be an

464
00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:31,680
Speaker 4: upgrade because you can Gabriel movie. They're just gonna hand

465
00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:33,600
Speaker 4: it off. They're gonna try to run on Minnesota is

466
00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:36,320
Speaker 4: their run. He's been bad. I just don't know how

467
00:22:36,320 --> 00:22:40,760
Speaker 4: you're gonna block Cleveland. So with Carson Wentz, who's atrocious,

468
00:22:40,800 --> 00:22:42,560
Speaker 4: I just holds onto the ball too long. He's gonna

469
00:22:42,560 --> 00:22:45,320
Speaker 4: have three backup offensive linemen going up against the Cleveland front.

470
00:22:45,760 --> 00:22:48,560
Speaker 4: I don't know how Minnesota moves the ball. The totals

471
00:22:48,600 --> 00:22:50,879
Speaker 4: thirty six, and then you're gonna ask Minnesota to win

472
00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:54,880
Speaker 4: by margin. So Yeah, I just think they're gonna rely

473
00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:58,400
Speaker 4: on Judkins. Here Minnesota's twenty sixth and rush epa twentieth

474
00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:00,760
Speaker 4: and rush success rate on defense, It's like they've been

475
00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:02,840
Speaker 4: bad against the runn You saw that last week the

476
00:23:02,880 --> 00:23:04,800
Speaker 4: Steelers who couldn't they'd have a run game all.

477
00:23:04,760 --> 00:23:07,640
Speaker 3: Year and had such bet regret. I wanted to bet

478
00:23:07,680 --> 00:23:10,040
Speaker 3: the Steelers so bad. I said this on here. I

479
00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:13,399
Speaker 3: was almost behind the Steelers and I had such bad

480
00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:14,160
Speaker 3: bet regret.

481
00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:16,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean Kenneth Gainwell looked great. He was running

482
00:23:16,520 --> 00:23:19,919
Speaker 4: all over them. So uh, that's probably the one I

483
00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:20,680
Speaker 4: agree with the most.

484
00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:22,680
Speaker 3: My thing is is that the Vikings have just been

485
00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:25,080
Speaker 3: over in that time zone all week, and once again,

486
00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:26,800
Speaker 3: I'm going to live and die by that sword.

487
00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:28,720
Speaker 2: So that's where I'm at with that.

488
00:23:29,000 --> 00:23:31,959
Speaker 1: It's not a big sample size, but it's a small,

489
00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:34,560
Speaker 1: profitable sample size, and it is part of the reason

490
00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:37,159
Speaker 1: why I find myself on Minnesota. That was my plant

491
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:39,879
Speaker 1: the flag game on Tuesday's episode, Evan, where do you

492
00:23:39,960 --> 00:23:43,719
Speaker 1: end up bringing Evan Abrams? Because you write about this

493
00:23:43,840 --> 00:23:47,120
Speaker 1: a lot in the primer, Where do you land on

494
00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:54,159
Speaker 1: the overall value of public sides? And in fading strong

495
00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:56,960
Speaker 1: percentages in that regard or is that something that we

496
00:23:57,160 --> 00:24:00,880
Speaker 1: as recreational betters tend to overrate.

497
00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:03,720
Speaker 6: It's something I look at after coming to a conclusion,

498
00:24:03,840 --> 00:24:05,760
Speaker 6: and it's not something I mean. I think it's just

499
00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:08,880
Speaker 6: interesting information one way or the other. And I think

500
00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:11,360
Speaker 6: a lot of different sources also come up with different percentages.

501
00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:13,600
Speaker 5: I think, And here's the one thing.

502
00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:16,240
Speaker 6: I would want at a betting percentages that I feel

503
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:18,800
Speaker 6: like even Action Network would probably try to do to

504
00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:20,639
Speaker 6: make it a little bit more accurate, is I'd like

505
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:22,600
Speaker 6: to see betting percentages.

506
00:24:22,119 --> 00:24:23,600
Speaker 5: Around the timeline of the.

507
00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:27,320
Speaker 6: Line because, like I'm really really curious about, you know,

508
00:24:27,359 --> 00:24:29,879
Speaker 6: the ravens, Like how much of that money came in early,

509
00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:32,120
Speaker 6: how much of that money since Russia has been named

510
00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:34,440
Speaker 6: the starter? Like I think certain things like that bring

511
00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:36,320
Speaker 6: more to the table and give a little bit more

512
00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:40,400
Speaker 6: information to the situation. But nonetheless, it's eye candy, it's

513
00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:42,720
Speaker 6: fun to talk about, and the numbers as a whole

514
00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:45,679
Speaker 6: is an interesting microcosm of the season.

515
00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:48,440
Speaker 1: Would you also say that it's the most valuable right

516
00:24:48,480 --> 00:24:51,720
Speaker 1: before kickoff and anything prior to that, it can be

517
00:24:51,840 --> 00:24:53,760
Speaker 1: noisy in terms of the numbers.

518
00:24:53,760 --> 00:24:55,399
Speaker 6: I would say, yeah, But I would also say the

519
00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:59,399
Speaker 6: delta between like the start of the weekend, and like,

520
00:24:59,600 --> 00:25:02,119
Speaker 6: I think looking at it in if you could do

521
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:06,720
Speaker 6: it in like spans, would be more interesting because I

522
00:25:06,760 --> 00:25:09,119
Speaker 6: do think, as Stucky knows and everyone knows, like certain

523
00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:12,680
Speaker 6: money comes into the market at different times which impact

524
00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:16,160
Speaker 6: those betting percentages. So something that's like fifty nine percent

525
00:25:16,200 --> 00:25:19,160
Speaker 6: now could be drastically different. So that's probably the way

526
00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:20,960
Speaker 6: I would prefer to look at it if I could.

527
00:25:21,560 --> 00:25:24,720
Speaker 4: I think, Yeah, for example, the forty nine Ers Rams

528
00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:30,520
Speaker 4: game tonight, I mean that's you might see someone say like, hey,

529
00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:34,680
Speaker 4: seventy eight percent of the bets are on the Rams. Well,

530
00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:37,280
Speaker 4: the Rams were minus three and a half, then they

531
00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:39,520
Speaker 4: were minus five and a half, they were minus six

532
00:25:39,560 --> 00:25:41,840
Speaker 4: out there, minus eight and a half. A lot of

533
00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:46,080
Speaker 4: recreational betters will bet the day of and then what

534
00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:49,160
Speaker 4: they're laying eight and a half. So if the forty

535
00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:54,400
Speaker 4: nine Ers win, I mean, if the Rams win by seven, right,

536
00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:58,959
Speaker 4: like they technically didn't cover the clothes, but what percent,

537
00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:01,879
Speaker 4: a lot of people well would have cashed their bets

538
00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:03,880
Speaker 4: because there's just a line at different points. And yeah,

539
00:26:03,880 --> 00:26:05,520
Speaker 4: and as you mentioned, like limit sculpturing the week and

540
00:26:05,560 --> 00:26:08,760
Speaker 4: there's different inflection points with that data. So yeah, I

541
00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:12,280
Speaker 4: think that there's there's definitely an opportunity for media and

542
00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:16,320
Speaker 4: the way that's reported to get a little a little

543
00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:19,959
Speaker 4: bit more refined in how we report that. So but

544
00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:21,160
Speaker 4: definitely interesting to look at.

545
00:26:21,520 --> 00:26:25,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's it's just another it's another data point.

546
00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:28,040
Speaker 1: It is not a reason to place a bet on

547
00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:31,000
Speaker 1: either side. But I will say I tend to feel

548
00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:33,880
Speaker 1: better when I don't see that those percentages are skewed

549
00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:35,960
Speaker 1: in terms of the overall bet percentage, and I happen

550
00:26:36,040 --> 00:26:38,600
Speaker 1: to be on the other side, And this does feel

551
00:26:38,600 --> 00:26:40,800
Speaker 1: like it's one of those weeks. It's time now for

552
00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:45,680
Speaker 1: the artist. Formerly known as the Three Musketeers, Parlay took

553
00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:49,160
Speaker 1: a couple of l's to start the season, and then

554
00:26:49,320 --> 00:26:53,119
Speaker 1: what you know, we renamed it and we cashed with

555
00:26:53,160 --> 00:26:56,080
Speaker 1: a dub last week the Parlay hit. We went six

556
00:26:56,160 --> 00:26:59,119
Speaker 1: and two overall with our best bets on the podcast

557
00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:01,600
Speaker 1: throughout the week. Make sure you're following the favorites on

558
00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:05,760
Speaker 1: the Action Network app forty five percent ROI last week

559
00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:09,119
Speaker 1: absolutely killer. A round of applause for everybody here, But

560
00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:12,520
Speaker 1: we can't celebrate too long because we have to hand

561
00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:15,080
Speaker 1: out more winners. It's just about what have you done

562
00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:17,240
Speaker 1: for me lately? So we've got more to hand out here.

563
00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:19,240
Speaker 1: This is where we're going to nominate two plays each

564
00:27:19,280 --> 00:27:21,879
Speaker 1: see if we can come to a general consensus. Kendrick,

565
00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:25,480
Speaker 1: you put out the social media video asking the audience

566
00:27:25,600 --> 00:27:28,720
Speaker 1: what we should rename this parlay too. I haven't even

567
00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:32,080
Speaker 1: gotten a note about what that is, so inform me

568
00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:33,280
Speaker 1: what are we calling this?

569
00:27:33,920 --> 00:27:35,679
Speaker 2: I think that this is a Gifford question.

570
00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:39,960
Speaker 1: Right, do we have kings and a queen? Right?

571
00:27:40,080 --> 00:27:42,159
Speaker 4: Is not the best? Is not the best one we've gotten.

572
00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:44,520
Speaker 3: I think that that's probably the best bet, But I

573
00:27:44,880 --> 00:27:46,680
Speaker 3: don't know. It's definitely a Gifferd question.

574
00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:52,040
Speaker 4: If you're asked me, that's my vote. Okay, So tennecos

575
00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:53,760
Speaker 4: a DraftKings, I think it makes no sense.

576
00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:55,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm in it now.

577
00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:56,840
Speaker 4: You need to hit it this weekend.

578
00:27:57,400 --> 00:28:02,160
Speaker 1: Okay, the crown is yours, Kendra, go ahead.

579
00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:07,359
Speaker 3: So I am between going with the Titans or the Chargers.

580
00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:11,000
Speaker 3: The Titans have been frisky, man. I loved Cam.

581
00:28:10,880 --> 00:28:13,960
Speaker 2: Woard saying yeah, like, I think that they've played better

582
00:28:14,000 --> 00:28:16,080
Speaker 2: than they've looked. That's what I'll say.

583
00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:18,160
Speaker 1: Yes, scored zero points last week.

584
00:28:18,240 --> 00:28:20,399
Speaker 3: I know, and but they hung in that game for

585
00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:21,240
Speaker 3: the first quarter.

586
00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:22,359
Speaker 2: Don't don't come in me.

587
00:28:22,440 --> 00:28:24,640
Speaker 3: I watched this game in the stadium on my phone.

588
00:28:24,680 --> 00:28:26,200
Speaker 2: They hung in there for that first quarter.

589
00:28:26,240 --> 00:28:28,800
Speaker 3: Okay, I think that they've looked better than the scorer

590
00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:31,600
Speaker 3: has shown. I like that cam Ward is like, yeah,

591
00:28:31,640 --> 00:28:32,080
Speaker 3: we suck.

592
00:28:32,520 --> 00:28:33,360
Speaker 2: It is what it is.

593
00:28:33,720 --> 00:28:35,720
Speaker 3: I don't think that the Cardinals should be favored by

594
00:28:35,720 --> 00:28:39,160
Speaker 3: this many points against anybody. They haven't done anything spectacular,

595
00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:42,360
Speaker 3: too big of a number like the Titans. Other option

596
00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:44,440
Speaker 3: is going to be the Chargers on a bounce back.

597
00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:46,560
Speaker 3: I get that the Chargers are injured. The Commanders are

598
00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:50,280
Speaker 3: also injured. It makes sense for me the Chargers are

599
00:28:50,320 --> 00:28:54,360
Speaker 3: at home this week bounce back or just hoping that

600
00:28:54,400 --> 00:28:57,320
Speaker 3: the Titans can hang in there enough.

601
00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:02,160
Speaker 2: I'll go to my world.

602
00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:06,040
Speaker 3: Usually I hate everything you guys have, so I'll let's see.

603
00:29:06,320 --> 00:29:10,920
Speaker 4: I if I had to pick, like the charters, Evan.

604
00:29:12,600 --> 00:29:15,880
Speaker 1: Joe Joe Alt is highly questionable.

605
00:29:15,960 --> 00:29:20,840
Speaker 3: It looks like doubtful.

606
00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:22,000
Speaker 4: Or high ankles forraying week after a doubt.

607
00:29:22,040 --> 00:29:25,160
Speaker 1: Jaydon Daniels's bag, but how healthy is he?

608
00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:29,440
Speaker 3: Mclaurin's hurt, Like both of these rosters are decimated.

609
00:29:29,480 --> 00:29:30,720
Speaker 2: That's not the question for me.

610
00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:34,160
Speaker 4: Uh, Like, here's the thing. If I had to break

611
00:29:34,160 --> 00:29:38,240
Speaker 4: the tie, every trend in the world says about the Titans, Like, just.

612
00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:39,840
Speaker 2: Weren't you.

613
00:29:41,280 --> 00:29:43,480
Speaker 1: Every every trend except for the Titans.

614
00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:46,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, but I'm saying that there's usually one team that

615
00:29:47,160 --> 00:29:49,320
Speaker 4: just defies that, Like it used to be the Browns

616
00:29:49,360 --> 00:29:51,680
Speaker 4: back in the day that every week they would get

617
00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:53,240
Speaker 4: chart money and they just wouldn't cover.

618
00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:56,800
Speaker 2: All Right. My other option was going to be the Cowboys.

619
00:29:56,800 --> 00:29:57,520
Speaker 2: Do you like that better?

620
00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:02,800
Speaker 4: I bet the Jet So I think the Titans is

621
00:30:02,800 --> 00:30:04,560
Speaker 4: like that. The Titans are three and eighteen against the

622
00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:06,960
Speaker 4: spread under Brian Callahan. He's a joke, Like he's the

623
00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:09,720
Speaker 4: worst coach maybe in NFL history. He costs the team

624
00:30:09,760 --> 00:30:10,280
Speaker 4: every week.

625
00:30:10,520 --> 00:30:12,480
Speaker 1: He's gonna get fired before McDaniel does.

626
00:30:12,560 --> 00:30:14,960
Speaker 4: This team also wears down every week because with their

627
00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:18,400
Speaker 4: defense with sweat on ir that their Simmons wears down.

628
00:30:18,520 --> 00:30:21,440
Speaker 4: So you have one coach who never covers and then

629
00:30:21,480 --> 00:30:26,240
Speaker 4: another coach who always does, in Harball, and who just wins.

630
00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:30,920
Speaker 4: So my vote would be to start off the parlay

631
00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:34,080
Speaker 4: with Chargers money online and just trust Harbor, Harball and

632
00:30:34,120 --> 00:30:36,560
Speaker 4: Herbert to get it done at home. The Washington defense

633
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:37,080
Speaker 4: is bad.

634
00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:40,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, I'm in for that. I was gonna vote

635
00:30:40,200 --> 00:30:42,400
Speaker 1: the Chargers anyway if we can eliminate the number.

636
00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:44,920
Speaker 2: Weren't you in on the Titans on Tuesday?

637
00:30:45,640 --> 00:30:45,720
Speaker 4: Me?

638
00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:50,000
Speaker 1: No, I put them in solitary confinement. They're now in jail.

639
00:30:50,200 --> 00:30:52,280
Speaker 3: I think stuck. He was in on the Titans on Tuesday.

640
00:30:52,280 --> 00:30:55,720
Speaker 3: I listened to this you he was.

641
00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:57,760
Speaker 1: Only he would only lean in that direction because he

642
00:30:57,800 --> 00:31:00,360
Speaker 1: wants to fade me at every opportunity. And I that

643
00:31:00,400 --> 00:31:01,600
Speaker 1: the Titans are unbettable.

644
00:31:02,000 --> 00:31:03,920
Speaker 4: No, I can't bet the Tights. I would need ten,

645
00:31:04,280 --> 00:31:06,480
Speaker 4: I said, I said, there's a number forever you did.

646
00:31:06,680 --> 00:31:09,480
Speaker 2: You did, but I'm just saying not ten. Wait, is

647
00:31:09,560 --> 00:31:12,320
Speaker 2: Lad McConkie still in bet jail for me? Because he

648
00:31:12,400 --> 00:31:13,400
Speaker 2: still has a scorn?

649
00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:17,560
Speaker 4: Yes? He is?

650
00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:20,720
Speaker 2: We hi I it like I was. He is. He

651
00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:21,880
Speaker 2: is my goblin mask.

652
00:31:22,280 --> 00:31:23,640
Speaker 1: I don't know what it is.

653
00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:27,160
Speaker 4: All right, we're starting. So we're starting with Chargers money line.

654
00:31:28,160 --> 00:31:32,440
Speaker 4: My two are going to be the Panthers plus one.

655
00:31:32,560 --> 00:31:36,160
Speaker 4: We'll call it. And I guess if you went money,

656
00:31:36,160 --> 00:31:40,040
Speaker 4: then we'll go Panthers money line or Saints money line.

657
00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:43,120
Speaker 4: I like the Saints ofthing against the Giants. Panthers first

658
00:31:43,200 --> 00:31:47,400
Speaker 4: bet I made, uh the Saints like, look Jackson Dart's

659
00:31:47,400 --> 00:31:49,720
Speaker 4: first road start, there's no molik, neighbors. What did you

660
00:31:49,800 --> 00:31:51,360
Speaker 4: do last week? I mean he threw for eighty yards

661
00:31:51,360 --> 00:31:53,760
Speaker 4: and that was with the leak neighbors playing half the game.

662
00:31:54,440 --> 00:31:56,200
Speaker 4: All you gotta do is spy him. That's all they

663
00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:57,600
Speaker 4: have to do here. And then how are they going

664
00:31:57,640 --> 00:32:01,840
Speaker 4: to move the ball? Quarterbacks making their first two starts

665
00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 4: on the road, so within their first two starts when

666
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:07,800
Speaker 4: they've been on the road. This is thanks to Evan Abrams.

667
00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:09,840
Speaker 4: By the way, they're thirteen and thirty four. Straight up,

668
00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:12,000
Speaker 4: there's tape on. Now what the Giants want to do?

669
00:32:12,040 --> 00:32:14,600
Speaker 4: Like they caught the charters off guard last week, and look,

670
00:32:14,600 --> 00:32:16,480
Speaker 4: if you go back and watch that game, the Giants

671
00:32:16,520 --> 00:32:18,400
Speaker 4: were dominated. They got two picks that basically turned into

672
00:32:18,400 --> 00:32:22,120
Speaker 4: touchdowns because their defensive line dominated the game. Saints are

673
00:32:22,400 --> 00:32:24,120
Speaker 4: haven't won a game yet, looking for their first win

674
00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:26,280
Speaker 4: at home. They went to Totoe with the forty nine ers,

675
00:32:26,320 --> 00:32:28,840
Speaker 4: to Totoe with the Cardinals. They played. They went to Totoe

676
00:32:28,760 --> 00:32:30,920
Speaker 4: with the Bills in Buffalo. That game is basically dead

677
00:32:30,960 --> 00:32:35,680
Speaker 4: even throughout like everyone, I thought that the Saints had

678
00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:37,800
Speaker 4: to have a review to take a touchdown off the

679
00:32:37,800 --> 00:32:39,440
Speaker 4: board that would have given them the lead with six

680
00:32:39,520 --> 00:32:41,880
Speaker 4: to go in the game. So they were right there.

681
00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:45,200
Speaker 4: Their defense is twentyeighth and success rate Giants is twenty ninth.

682
00:32:45,840 --> 00:32:48,880
Speaker 4: The biggest tee here though, and you look, you might

683
00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:52,720
Speaker 4: have Taysom Hill contributing in some way. The rush defenses.

684
00:32:52,760 --> 00:32:54,400
Speaker 4: Both these teams want to run the ball like that's

685
00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:57,000
Speaker 4: all the Giants can do. They're they're just gonna try

686
00:32:57,040 --> 00:33:00,800
Speaker 4: to run dark give it to Scataboo. The Saints are

687
00:33:00,840 --> 00:33:05,200
Speaker 4: sixteenth in rush EPA eleventh and success rate on defense

688
00:33:05,520 --> 00:33:08,400
Speaker 4: against the run. The Giants are thirty second in both.

689
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:11,920
Speaker 2: But the Giants defensive line is so good.

690
00:33:12,600 --> 00:33:13,920
Speaker 1: But that's some past defense.

691
00:33:14,600 --> 00:33:16,240
Speaker 4: I think the I think the Saints can run it

692
00:33:16,280 --> 00:33:19,120
Speaker 4: here just like they did against Buffalo, and they can

693
00:33:19,120 --> 00:33:23,320
Speaker 4: stop the Giants rush. And Rattler has not been bad.

694
00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:25,600
Speaker 4: I mean he's he's basically been around league average. He's

695
00:33:25,600 --> 00:33:28,800
Speaker 4: seventeenth and success rate, fifteenth in completion percentage, sixteenth in

696
00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:34,000
Speaker 4: completion percentage over expectation. So uh yeah, first road start

697
00:33:34,520 --> 00:33:37,720
Speaker 4: for Dart Saints hunning their first win have been better

698
00:33:37,760 --> 00:33:40,760
Speaker 4: than people think. So it's either the Saints or the Panthers.

699
00:33:42,680 --> 00:33:44,640
Speaker 3: All right, Evan, You're gonna have to tie break. But

700
00:33:44,800 --> 00:33:47,800
Speaker 3: also I would like to say back on my Titans thing.

701
00:33:47,960 --> 00:33:50,480
Speaker 3: They got their buck kick last week by twenty six points,

702
00:33:50,840 --> 00:33:53,480
Speaker 3: and stucky. You love to talk about the teams who

703
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:55,520
Speaker 3: get shut out and beat by that many points, So

704
00:33:55,560 --> 00:33:57,480
Speaker 3: I don't want to hear your bull crap about it.

705
00:33:57,840 --> 00:34:00,560
Speaker 4: I team's off of shut out. They are always good

706
00:34:00,600 --> 00:34:03,080
Speaker 4: bets teams off of blots. I got. I said the

707
00:34:03,440 --> 00:34:08,839
Speaker 4: Titans scream. I could every single possible trend you could

708
00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:11,080
Speaker 4: imagine the Titans are going to fit it. But I

709
00:34:11,120 --> 00:34:13,719
Speaker 4: have I have a The Titans have fit that for

710
00:34:13,760 --> 00:34:15,919
Speaker 4: the last year and a half, and they and Brian

711
00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:17,240
Speaker 4: Callahan one.

712
00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:20,439
Speaker 2: Week you I'm gonna like your gold.

713
00:34:20,640 --> 00:34:22,560
Speaker 4: I'm not saying they won't cover, but I'm saying Brian

714
00:34:22,640 --> 00:34:24,840
Speaker 4: Callahan is special. Three and eighteen against the spread is

715
00:34:25,280 --> 00:34:27,600
Speaker 4: like it's in the NFL is a pretty efficient market.

716
00:34:27,600 --> 00:34:30,680
Speaker 4: To go three and eighteen is mind boggling. But Evan,

717
00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:33,239
Speaker 4: you got to break the tide. Brianon is going with

718
00:34:33,640 --> 00:34:37,760
Speaker 4: the Saints, Benjuine with the Panthers, shocker.

719
00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:40,759
Speaker 3: Oh my god, I didn't have them last week, the

720
00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:42,040
Speaker 3: one week I didn't have them.

721
00:34:42,160 --> 00:34:44,040
Speaker 2: Thank God, don't come for me right now.

722
00:34:44,520 --> 00:34:45,440
Speaker 5: I at least have to say this.

723
00:34:45,560 --> 00:34:48,719
Speaker 6: The Titans Cardinals is the perfect market, Like seven and

724
00:34:48,719 --> 00:34:50,319
Speaker 6: a half on both sides. Why would I want to

725
00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:54,520
Speaker 6: touch a Cardinals Panthers game. Also, fewest total tickets of

726
00:34:54,600 --> 00:34:57,280
Speaker 6: any game this weekend. Betters are telling you they want

727
00:34:57,320 --> 00:34:59,040
Speaker 6: nothing to do with either side of that game.

728
00:34:59,080 --> 00:35:00,280
Speaker 5: So I'm sure that what that.

729
00:35:00,120 --> 00:35:03,520
Speaker 4: The stadium too, That stadium is not going to be it's.

730
00:35:03,160 --> 00:35:08,320
Speaker 5: It's gonna be horrible to either way. Panthers, There's absolutely.

731
00:35:07,800 --> 00:35:11,480
Speaker 6: No question that. Like, yeah, the sad Cats, it is

732
00:35:11,520 --> 00:35:14,560
Speaker 6: their time. This is a perfect line for them. I

733
00:35:14,560 --> 00:35:18,239
Speaker 6: would prefer the one and a half because I think that, yeah,

734
00:35:18,800 --> 00:35:21,320
Speaker 6: that game is going to be the sloppiest, dirtiest, worst

735
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:23,799
Speaker 6: thing you've ever seen, where Miami could win by one.

736
00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:26,120
Speaker 5: I like it, But we're gonna go money line, sad Cats.

737
00:35:26,160 --> 00:35:29,760
Speaker 1: Give me the plus, yes, Evan, Yeah, I was really excited.

738
00:35:30,040 --> 00:35:31,799
Speaker 1: I was really excited to get the Saints in there.

739
00:35:31,840 --> 00:35:33,719
Speaker 1: But all right, we got the Chargers money line, we

740
00:35:33,719 --> 00:35:36,319
Speaker 1: have the Panthers money line. I think it's time we

741
00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:39,839
Speaker 1: hit a spread, I have. My two nominees are the

742
00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:42,919
Speaker 1: New York Jets plus two and a half at home

743
00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:47,640
Speaker 1: against the Cowboys or the Broncos the aforementioned plus four

744
00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:51,960
Speaker 1: against the Philadelphia Eagles. You know, the more I sit

745
00:35:52,000 --> 00:35:54,200
Speaker 1: and think about this Eagles team, just the way that

746
00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:58,720
Speaker 1: they've gotten to this point, they feel so fadable. Ceedee

747
00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:01,799
Speaker 1: lamb drops in week one and Kelsey bobble in week two.

748
00:36:01,920 --> 00:36:04,359
Speaker 1: The Rams out a nineteen point lead in week three,

749
00:36:04,760 --> 00:36:09,239
Speaker 1: and then more special teams buffoonery from from them in

750
00:36:09,280 --> 00:36:10,520
Speaker 1: week four against Tampa.

751
00:36:10,640 --> 00:36:10,839
Speaker 4: Yeah.

752
00:36:10,880 --> 00:36:14,359
Speaker 1: AJ Brown disgruntled, whatever that's worth. Saquan hasn't gone off yet,

753
00:36:14,400 --> 00:36:16,719
Speaker 1: They're dealing with Elane Johnson injury. This just feels like

754
00:36:16,840 --> 00:36:18,120
Speaker 1: such a such.

755
00:36:17,880 --> 00:36:21,080
Speaker 2: A fade against the Packers defense.

756
00:36:21,840 --> 00:36:24,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, who did the Cowboys?

757
00:36:24,520 --> 00:36:27,920
Speaker 4: Cowboys? Yeah? Okay, what do you what? Kevin Sketzo, what

758
00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:28,719
Speaker 4: are you going with? Kendra?

759
00:36:29,239 --> 00:36:29,479
Speaker 1: Oh?

760
00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:30,240
Speaker 2: My god?

761
00:36:30,719 --> 00:36:32,840
Speaker 3: Every week you make me feel like I'm choosing between

762
00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:35,520
Speaker 3: Satan and the devil every single week.

763
00:36:35,920 --> 00:36:36,520
Speaker 2: Every week.

764
00:36:36,719 --> 00:36:39,880
Speaker 1: God, I just want to say that, as as poorly

765
00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:42,600
Speaker 1: as my head to heads have gone with Stuckey, I

766
00:36:42,640 --> 00:36:47,480
Speaker 1: am over. I have hit my nominee on this parlay

767
00:36:47,719 --> 00:36:51,000
Speaker 1: two weeks in a row. So I've done my part here.

768
00:36:51,400 --> 00:36:55,160
Speaker 4: Oh Andrew, while you're deciding, I'll say, well said, we'll

769
00:36:55,200 --> 00:36:57,240
Speaker 4: keep it money line, let's go. I'm gonna go Jets.

770
00:36:57,960 --> 00:36:59,360
Speaker 4: I really like the Jets. I mean they look this

771
00:36:59,400 --> 00:37:01,040
Speaker 4: Cowboys team they got they got blown out by the

772
00:37:01,040 --> 00:37:03,879
Speaker 4: Bears backup defensive backs. They couldn't move the ball without

773
00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:06,480
Speaker 4: Ceedee Lamb. They also might be without multiple three or

774
00:37:06,480 --> 00:37:11,040
Speaker 4: four offensive linemen. Turpin might be out. Lamb is already out.

775
00:37:11,120 --> 00:37:12,920
Speaker 4: This is one of the worst defenses in the league.

776
00:37:12,960 --> 00:37:15,520
Speaker 4: They play. All they do is play zone. Fields has

777
00:37:15,520 --> 00:37:17,359
Speaker 4: been good against zone this year. Jets are top ten

778
00:37:17,400 --> 00:37:20,440
Speaker 4: success rate on offensive defense. They've been just completely burnt

779
00:37:20,440 --> 00:37:23,520
Speaker 4: by turnovers. They haven't forced any yet, so they're overdue.

780
00:37:23,760 --> 00:37:25,200
Speaker 4: I think they're the only team in the league hasn't

781
00:37:25,200 --> 00:37:28,960
Speaker 4: forced a turnover. Jags a force thirteen. That makes a

782
00:37:28,960 --> 00:37:31,840
Speaker 4: big difference teams who are zero and four or worse

783
00:37:32,239 --> 00:37:35,120
Speaker 4: facing a team that's five hundred or worse twenty and

784
00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:39,360
Speaker 4: eleven against the spread since twenty eighteen. So yeah, I

785
00:37:39,360 --> 00:37:42,520
Speaker 4: think that there's a lot going for the Jets here,

786
00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:45,000
Speaker 4: and if we want to keep it, keep this money line.

787
00:37:45,680 --> 00:37:47,520
Speaker 4: The Eagles are the new Chiefs. I'm sure they'll find

788
00:37:47,520 --> 00:37:49,719
Speaker 4: a way to win by three. My vote is for

789
00:37:50,560 --> 00:37:54,680
Speaker 4: the Jets and to go Jets money line. To make

790
00:37:54,680 --> 00:37:56,600
Speaker 4: it Chargers Panthers, Jets.

791
00:37:56,600 --> 00:38:02,319
Speaker 3: But Kendra, you fine Jets money line if I don't

792
00:38:02,320 --> 00:38:03,280
Speaker 3: think you like that one.

793
00:38:03,560 --> 00:38:04,600
Speaker 2: I don't think you like that one.

794
00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:07,160
Speaker 1: The Jets, by the way, dead last in Nick Giffen's

795
00:38:07,200 --> 00:38:08,520
Speaker 1: luck rankings. Dead last.

796
00:38:08,560 --> 00:38:09,160
Speaker 2: That's upset.

797
00:38:09,320 --> 00:38:10,800
Speaker 4: Yeah, they should be two and two. They should have

798
00:38:10,840 --> 00:38:14,320
Speaker 4: beat the Steelers. They all played the Steelers, it got

799
00:38:14,920 --> 00:38:18,680
Speaker 4: that entire game, and they dominated the Dolphins last week

800
00:38:18,680 --> 00:38:20,799
Speaker 4: and just got unlucky. So they should be two and two.

801
00:38:21,080 --> 00:38:23,160
Speaker 4: The Cowboys should have lost to the Giants at home.

802
00:38:23,600 --> 00:38:27,160
Speaker 4: They needed a miracle at the end. You know, easily

803
00:38:27,160 --> 00:38:30,440
Speaker 4: could have lost, Like the Cowboys could be over they

804
00:38:30,440 --> 00:38:32,040
Speaker 4: could easily. They could easily be alling four, and the

805
00:38:32,080 --> 00:38:35,120
Speaker 4: Jets could be two and two, and this line death

806
00:38:35,160 --> 00:38:37,200
Speaker 4: would would certainly be a I think the Jets, that's

807
00:38:37,200 --> 00:38:39,080
Speaker 4: a favorite. I think I don't know I make it

808
00:38:39,120 --> 00:38:42,000
Speaker 4: a pick. So uh, if Evan, if you had to

809
00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:45,600
Speaker 4: choose between those, between the Jets and Broncos, who would

810
00:38:45,600 --> 00:38:46,719
Speaker 4: you have went with both?

811
00:38:46,760 --> 00:38:49,040
Speaker 6: These are super sharp sides to the sense of like

812
00:38:49,320 --> 00:38:51,240
Speaker 6: I liked both games and I saw them in the rundown.

813
00:38:51,239 --> 00:38:53,120
Speaker 5: It was probably my favorite selections of the two.

814
00:38:53,160 --> 00:38:54,560
Speaker 4: I think at the moment, you would.

815
00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:55,120
Speaker 1: Go with the Jets.

816
00:38:55,480 --> 00:38:57,319
Speaker 6: I feel terrible about both of them, and then both

817
00:38:57,320 --> 00:39:00,120
Speaker 6: are going to go down in absolute disasters. Consider and

818
00:39:00,120 --> 00:39:03,400
Speaker 6: you're betting against Philly and you're betting on fields. But

819
00:39:04,160 --> 00:39:05,000
Speaker 6: I would go Jets.

820
00:39:05,239 --> 00:39:08,200
Speaker 4: And what's fields is record when other team scores twenty

821
00:39:08,280 --> 00:39:13,239
Speaker 4: five points, it is like five five Yeah. So but

822
00:39:13,280 --> 00:39:16,800
Speaker 4: the Cowboys offense is going to be beat up this week,

823
00:39:17,200 --> 00:39:20,080
Speaker 4: down multip potentially down multiple starting receivers, including their best,

824
00:39:20,280 --> 00:39:24,719
Speaker 4: and maybe down three or four offensive linemen. So it's

825
00:39:24,880 --> 00:39:26,920
Speaker 4: it's it's messy. And if you want to go by

826
00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:29,920
Speaker 4: the Jets can't move the ball will against this embarrassing defense.

827
00:39:30,280 --> 00:39:32,360
Speaker 1: I think if you wanted to go with the spot

828
00:39:32,440 --> 00:39:35,040
Speaker 1: play too the Cowboys coming off of that game, Yes,

829
00:39:35,080 --> 00:39:37,040
Speaker 1: they put up forty on the Packers. That was troubling

830
00:39:37,080 --> 00:39:40,040
Speaker 1: for Green Bay's defense that we all thought was top

831
00:39:40,080 --> 00:39:43,200
Speaker 1: of the line. Clearly there are question marks there, and

832
00:39:43,400 --> 00:39:45,640
Speaker 1: to do that without ceedee Lamb. But that was that

833
00:39:45,719 --> 00:39:48,240
Speaker 1: was a Super Bowl setting. You're on Sunday Night football.

834
00:39:48,400 --> 00:39:50,800
Speaker 1: Micah Parson's back in town. That felt like one of

835
00:39:50,800 --> 00:39:53,879
Speaker 1: the biggest games of the year from a hype perspective,

836
00:39:54,440 --> 00:39:57,080
Speaker 1: and then going to play the Jets the next week.

837
00:39:57,160 --> 00:40:02,680
Speaker 1: Is that's a big letdown spot emotionally. Yeah, tie oh,

838
00:40:02,760 --> 00:40:04,040
Speaker 1: I agree with that wholeheartedly.

839
00:40:04,080 --> 00:40:06,799
Speaker 4: I need to expand, expand the overtime like.

840
00:40:06,719 --> 00:40:09,440
Speaker 3: Fifteen do like do it like college does. Why do

841
00:40:09,520 --> 00:40:12,719
Speaker 3: we do it like college football? The college football overtime rules?

842
00:40:12,960 --> 00:40:13,680
Speaker 4: Yep? Agreed?

843
00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:18,120
Speaker 3: Okay, Wait, I have one last question, Evan, Chiefs are Jags?

844
00:40:18,239 --> 00:40:19,920
Speaker 2: You can break my heart. It's okay. I don't expect

845
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:20,560
Speaker 2: to win this game.

846
00:40:20,920 --> 00:40:22,520
Speaker 5: Oh there is no Jags.

847
00:40:22,600 --> 00:40:26,759
Speaker 6: Yeah, this isn't This isn't even a questions Jags game?

848
00:40:27,239 --> 00:40:28,200
Speaker 2: Are we dragging off?

849
00:40:28,840 --> 00:40:32,399
Speaker 4: Also? Casey is Detroit next week?

850
00:40:32,480 --> 00:40:34,120
Speaker 6: I mean that's going to be a massive game on

851
00:40:34,160 --> 00:40:36,120
Speaker 6: Sunday Night football, even though this is Monday night.

852
00:40:36,239 --> 00:40:39,680
Speaker 1: Like, jack are you going trapped? Are you going trap game? Here? Evan?

853
00:40:41,920 --> 00:40:42,120
Speaker 3: Yeah?

854
00:40:42,160 --> 00:40:42,879
Speaker 4: Every single week.

855
00:40:42,920 --> 00:40:45,120
Speaker 6: But I'm saying like that Lions game is massive I

856
00:40:45,120 --> 00:40:48,000
Speaker 6: think for both teams, and just the same the Seahawks.

857
00:40:48,080 --> 00:40:49,040
Speaker 5: I like Jacksonville.

858
00:40:49,440 --> 00:40:52,960
Speaker 4: This is Jags Podcast I have I bet on the

859
00:40:53,040 --> 00:40:56,279
Speaker 4: Jags uh this year. A couple of times. I have

860
00:40:56,440 --> 00:40:58,120
Speaker 4: had some futures on them to win the division, to

861
00:40:58,120 --> 00:41:00,840
Speaker 4: make the playoffs over their wind. Total love Liam Cohen,

862
00:41:01,480 --> 00:41:02,400
Speaker 4: loved him in college.

863
00:41:02,800 --> 00:41:04,320
Speaker 2: I was looking at flights this morning.

864
00:41:04,920 --> 00:41:07,839
Speaker 4: This This defense is better, their special teams are good.

865
00:41:07,840 --> 00:41:09,440
Speaker 4: The offense is going to come around like it's so

866
00:41:09,520 --> 00:41:14,200
Speaker 4: well schemed. I love the Jags. On Monday night, I'm

867
00:41:14,200 --> 00:41:16,800
Speaker 4: gonna have a podcast now, like I'm invested in the

868
00:41:16,880 --> 00:41:22,279
Speaker 4: Jags for the season, and the Ravens have to feel

869
00:41:22,360 --> 00:41:25,960
Speaker 4: a practice squad with Cooper Rush. Now Brandon's Dolphins are dead,

870
00:41:26,360 --> 00:41:29,320
Speaker 4: so like I'm I'm about thought.

871
00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:32,480
Speaker 5: I feel like you got to try to get Jackson

872
00:41:32,520 --> 00:41:34,800
Speaker 5: Deville on the pod. That's god, I'm going.

873
00:41:34,880 --> 00:41:37,200
Speaker 3: That's That's why I'm going home next weekend. I'm actually

874
00:41:37,239 --> 00:41:38,760
Speaker 3: collaborating with him.

875
00:41:39,080 --> 00:41:41,840
Speaker 1: Amazing, that's awesome. I'm really glad that you brought that up,

876
00:41:41,880 --> 00:41:43,840
Speaker 1: because I did not want to finish this podcast not

877
00:41:43,880 --> 00:41:47,120
Speaker 1: talking about the Chiefs and the Jags. I do worry, though,

878
00:41:47,320 --> 00:41:49,719
Speaker 1: so I'm with you. I think I'm gonna end up

879
00:41:49,760 --> 00:41:52,160
Speaker 1: atting Jacksonville. I had don't have anything on this game yet.

880
00:41:52,200 --> 00:41:56,120
Speaker 1: I worry about that Trayvon Walker injury and Xavier Worthy.

881
00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:59,239
Speaker 1: I think last week was a good example of how

882
00:41:59,320 --> 00:42:01,680
Speaker 1: valuable he is to this offense. He got hurt three

883
00:42:01,760 --> 00:42:05,520
Speaker 1: plays in too Game one in Brazil, the offense came

884
00:42:05,560 --> 00:42:07,640
Speaker 1: back to life with him on the field. Now, was

885
00:42:07,640 --> 00:42:11,400
Speaker 1: that the Ravens defense because they have issues or is

886
00:42:11,440 --> 00:42:14,239
Speaker 1: that the real twenty twenty five Chiefs Because if it is,

887
00:42:15,200 --> 00:42:17,880
Speaker 1: that's not a Chiefs team that I want to fade

888
00:42:17,920 --> 00:42:21,040
Speaker 1: in prime time. So that's that's my concern.

889
00:42:20,760 --> 00:42:23,040
Speaker 4: You trick you. I mean, we saw this Chiefs offense

890
00:42:23,080 --> 00:42:26,040
Speaker 4: all last year with when Worthy played, and they weren't

891
00:42:26,040 --> 00:42:29,480
Speaker 4: that explosive. Uh, the Ravens were without eight starters by

892
00:42:29,520 --> 00:42:32,160
Speaker 4: the end of that game on defense, including five Pro Bowlers.

893
00:42:32,480 --> 00:42:34,759
Speaker 4: You take any defense in the league, and then, by

894
00:42:34,760 --> 00:42:36,600
Speaker 4: the way, you take all those starters out of the

895
00:42:36,680 --> 00:42:39,520
Speaker 4: mix and then half of them during the game, like

896
00:42:39,680 --> 00:42:42,440
Speaker 4: any offense is going to look that explosive and competent.

897
00:42:42,520 --> 00:42:44,600
Speaker 4: I'm not buying it with the Chiefs yet, as far

898
00:42:44,640 --> 00:42:47,480
Speaker 4: as their offense looking explosive and Worthy helps for sure,

899
00:42:47,840 --> 00:42:50,399
Speaker 4: they still don't have a run game. The offensive line

900
00:42:50,440 --> 00:42:53,840
Speaker 4: still has issues. Yeah, the Walker injury Are they going

901
00:42:53,920 --> 00:42:55,640
Speaker 4: to club them up.

902
00:42:55,520 --> 00:42:57,560
Speaker 3: And let them Yeah, they He's not going to play

903
00:42:57,600 --> 00:43:01,279
Speaker 3: this week, but they're definitely going to club them up.

904
00:43:02,719 --> 00:43:05,280
Speaker 3: I watched him. It's pretty big. The defense has played

905
00:43:05,280 --> 00:43:08,760
Speaker 3: really well. But I the way that they switched everything

906
00:43:08,760 --> 00:43:12,080
Speaker 3: around to have Josh Allen kind of like sub in

907
00:43:12,120 --> 00:43:14,719
Speaker 3: a little bit last week I thought was awesome. They

908
00:43:14,719 --> 00:43:16,640
Speaker 3: definitely got a lot more pressure on brock Perty on

909
00:43:16,680 --> 00:43:19,319
Speaker 3: the right side than I thought that they would, which

910
00:43:19,360 --> 00:43:21,480
Speaker 3: was nice. But they're definitely gonna club him up. I

911
00:43:21,520 --> 00:43:22,960
Speaker 3: don't think he's gonna play this week.

912
00:43:23,200 --> 00:43:26,000
Speaker 4: My concern says there's a chance that he plays, so

913
00:43:26,080 --> 00:43:26,439
Speaker 4: we'll say.

914
00:43:26,560 --> 00:43:27,000
Speaker 2: I don't know.

915
00:43:27,200 --> 00:43:29,839
Speaker 3: When I watched him walk off the field, I thought

916
00:43:29,840 --> 00:43:31,960
Speaker 3: it was his shoulder at first because of the way

917
00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:34,080
Speaker 3: that he was like kind of holding his upper body.

918
00:43:35,160 --> 00:43:37,799
Speaker 2: So he's a tough guy. I don't know.

919
00:43:38,080 --> 00:43:41,120
Speaker 3: I don't, I don't. I don't think he plays. But

920
00:43:41,520 --> 00:43:43,600
Speaker 3: it's Chiefs Monday night. They might just shoot him up

921
00:43:43,600 --> 00:43:45,279
Speaker 3: and put a club on him. I'd love if they did.

922
00:43:45,640 --> 00:43:49,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, he had surgery yesterday, so they might just protect

923
00:43:49,560 --> 00:43:50,400
Speaker 4: it and see how.

924
00:43:50,440 --> 00:43:53,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's a long season.

925
00:43:53,600 --> 00:43:55,279
Speaker 2: I think you gotta I think you gotta sit him

926
00:43:55,280 --> 00:43:55,640
Speaker 2: this week.

927
00:43:56,560 --> 00:43:58,520
Speaker 4: Regardless. I like the Jacks, and.

928
00:43:58,480 --> 00:44:00,440
Speaker 2: It's also a better thing than I thought that it was.

929
00:44:00,440 --> 00:44:01,799
Speaker 3: I thought he was going to be out, you know,

930
00:44:02,360 --> 00:44:04,960
Speaker 3: six to eight weeks, and they're saying way less, like

931
00:44:05,440 --> 00:44:07,520
Speaker 3: they're like barely going to miss any time.

932
00:44:07,800 --> 00:44:11,040
Speaker 4: Yea officially day to day per Cohen.

933
00:44:11,120 --> 00:44:14,799
Speaker 1: But I can get down with that one more, one

934
00:44:14,800 --> 00:44:17,960
Speaker 1: more before we officially wrapped. Because the other primetime game

935
00:44:18,040 --> 00:44:21,680
Speaker 1: is Patriots Bills. I really want to bet the Patriots here.

936
00:44:21,719 --> 00:44:23,120
Speaker 1: Can somebody talk me out of it?

937
00:44:23,480 --> 00:44:27,640
Speaker 2: Don't do it, don't do it. No, it's I don't.

938
00:44:27,760 --> 00:44:29,799
Speaker 2: I don't think you should do that. The Bills are

939
00:44:30,200 --> 00:44:33,200
Speaker 2: the Bills have kind of been. I wonder what are

940
00:44:33,200 --> 00:44:35,240
Speaker 2: the Bills luck rankings, because.

941
00:44:36,239 --> 00:44:39,160
Speaker 1: I'm glad you asked they are the fifth luckiest team,

942
00:44:39,200 --> 00:44:40,239
Speaker 1: and I was gonna.

943
00:44:39,960 --> 00:44:42,279
Speaker 3: Say they feel like they've got to be up there too.

944
00:44:42,719 --> 00:44:44,759
Speaker 3: It's the fact that it's in Buffalo. I get that

945
00:44:44,800 --> 00:44:46,920
Speaker 3: they didn't look good against the Saints and they haven't

946
00:44:46,920 --> 00:44:48,520
Speaker 3: been the Bills team that we thought they would be

947
00:44:48,600 --> 00:44:51,000
Speaker 3: this season. But this Patriots team I just think is

948
00:44:51,080 --> 00:44:53,120
Speaker 3: due for a fallback to reality.

949
00:44:53,200 --> 00:44:53,359
Speaker 2: Yeah.

950
00:44:53,360 --> 00:44:55,440
Speaker 3: I was the Panthers, they beat the bag out of them.

951
00:44:55,480 --> 00:44:57,879
Speaker 3: The offense seemed to come together. Drake May maybe had

952
00:44:57,880 --> 00:45:01,040
Speaker 3: his coming out moment last week, but I just the

953
00:45:01,080 --> 00:45:03,600
Speaker 3: way that this Patriots team has been all year. I

954
00:45:03,640 --> 00:45:07,040
Speaker 3: think that they are due to a bump back to reality.

955
00:45:07,320 --> 00:45:11,200
Speaker 3: Divisional game, prime time in Orchard Park. It's the last

956
00:45:11,239 --> 00:45:13,279
Speaker 3: time the Patriots are going to play them in Orchard Park.

957
00:45:13,320 --> 00:45:14,919
Speaker 2: I think they're going to be the bag out of them.

958
00:45:16,000 --> 00:45:18,360
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think the lines just probably about right. To

959
00:45:18,400 --> 00:45:22,000
Speaker 4: be honest, there's some injuries worth monitoring with the Bills,

960
00:45:22,000 --> 00:45:26,600
Speaker 4: like are they gonna get Milano and at Oliver back

961
00:45:27,680 --> 00:45:30,319
Speaker 4: Spencer Brown? The right tack we want to play it

962
00:45:30,400 --> 00:45:31,960
Speaker 4: is not. I don't think it's a great matchup for

963
00:45:32,000 --> 00:45:34,200
Speaker 4: the Patriots because the Bills are still getting a pressure

964
00:45:34,200 --> 00:45:37,280
Speaker 4: at an elite rate. The Patriots are giving up pressure,

965
00:45:37,920 --> 00:45:41,920
Speaker 4: which means there's probably going to be some drives that

966
00:45:41,960 --> 00:45:45,120
Speaker 4: are killed by sacks. And look, May's playing really well,

967
00:45:45,920 --> 00:45:48,239
Speaker 4: especially on late downs, although I'm not sure he can

968
00:45:48,280 --> 00:45:52,040
Speaker 4: sustain this high a level, especially against the defense. It's

969
00:45:52,040 --> 00:45:53,759
Speaker 4: going to get pressure, but he has no help from

970
00:45:53,800 --> 00:45:55,560
Speaker 4: the run game. I think that's huge.

971
00:45:55,320 --> 00:45:58,000
Speaker 2: Because I was just going to add something this week.

972
00:45:58,160 --> 00:46:02,719
Speaker 3: They said this morning that Travion Henderson is expected to

973
00:46:02,800 --> 00:46:06,200
Speaker 3: get the majority of the touches over Stevenson this week.

974
00:46:06,680 --> 00:46:07,680
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna go's.

975
00:46:08,760 --> 00:46:11,120
Speaker 4: Their run game has been so bad, mainly because the

976
00:46:11,120 --> 00:46:14,160
Speaker 4: offensive line and like that's how you want to attack

977
00:46:14,200 --> 00:46:16,360
Speaker 4: this Bills team. And I haven't seen enough on the

978
00:46:16,719 --> 00:46:21,120
Speaker 4: Patriots to have confidence in their run game. Like the

979
00:46:21,160 --> 00:46:23,440
Speaker 4: Saints run game has been decent, which is why I

980
00:46:23,440 --> 00:46:25,000
Speaker 4: thought they could move the ball in Buffalo. I haven't

981
00:46:25,000 --> 00:46:26,520
Speaker 4: seen that from the Patriots. It means you're gonna be

982
00:46:26,560 --> 00:46:29,040
Speaker 4: third and longs and then there's gonna be pressure, and

983
00:46:29,040 --> 00:46:30,960
Speaker 4: then May's probably going to take too many stacks. And

984
00:46:31,040 --> 00:46:33,719
Speaker 4: on the other side of the ball, the Patriots of linebackers,

985
00:46:34,160 --> 00:46:36,719
Speaker 4: their safeties aren't great, and coverage their linebackers the worst

986
00:46:36,719 --> 00:46:39,920
Speaker 4: in the league. I didn't coverage like Splaine and now

987
00:46:40,040 --> 00:46:44,759
Speaker 4: like it's bad. That's bad news against Allen, who is

988
00:46:45,000 --> 00:46:46,920
Speaker 4: can probably just carve them up in the middle of

989
00:46:46,960 --> 00:46:51,840
Speaker 4: the field. So I don't know if it's so. I

990
00:46:51,840 --> 00:46:54,640
Speaker 4: think it's like between seven and ten. It feels probably

991
00:46:54,680 --> 00:46:57,040
Speaker 4: about right. But I'm monitoring their injury report, so I

992
00:46:57,080 --> 00:46:59,080
Speaker 4: don't have anything for you there. Unfortunately, do you have

993
00:46:59,080 --> 00:47:00,359
Speaker 4: anything to add Evan on that game.

994
00:47:01,040 --> 00:47:02,919
Speaker 5: I was just gonna say, I mean whiteouts to Roo

995
00:47:02,920 --> 00:47:03,879
Speaker 5: and one with Penn State.

996
00:47:03,960 --> 00:47:06,080
Speaker 6: So maybe you're worried if you're in Buffalo for this one,

997
00:47:06,120 --> 00:47:08,280
Speaker 6: but I'm sure there's been other white acts this season.

998
00:47:08,719 --> 00:47:09,560
Speaker 5: It's more of a joke.

999
00:47:09,600 --> 00:47:12,160
Speaker 6: Obviously, Stucky took it out words right out of my mouth.

1000
00:47:12,200 --> 00:47:14,040
Speaker 6: I think the eight and a half is actually kind

1001
00:47:14,080 --> 00:47:16,760
Speaker 6: of right on target. I think both teams, like Buffalo

1002
00:47:16,800 --> 00:47:19,200
Speaker 6: has been lucky in New England's playing much better than expected.

1003
00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:21,800
Speaker 6: I think it just they meet this week in a

1004
00:47:21,840 --> 00:47:23,919
Speaker 6: game that's kind of god. I think it's a prop

1005
00:47:23,960 --> 00:47:25,040
Speaker 6: game more or less.

1006
00:47:25,280 --> 00:47:28,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, Henderson anytime touchdown Drake may has been awesome. When

1007
00:47:28,520 --> 00:47:32,720
Speaker 1: he hasn't been Remy Henderson, Yeah, he's also played the Dolphins.

1008
00:47:32,360 --> 00:47:36,320
Speaker 6: Of Hunter, Henry Hunter, Henry Henry not bad.

1009
00:47:36,680 --> 00:47:39,399
Speaker 3: My thing with Henry though, is that like because of

1010
00:47:39,680 --> 00:47:42,200
Speaker 3: the offensive line, the reason he hasn't been as active

1011
00:47:42,280 --> 00:47:43,000
Speaker 3: is because he's been.

1012
00:47:42,880 --> 00:47:44,799
Speaker 2: Expected to block so much. Otherwise he would be their

1013
00:47:44,840 --> 00:47:45,400
Speaker 2: best receiver.

1014
00:47:45,600 --> 00:47:46,040
Speaker 5: That's fair.

1015
00:47:46,520 --> 00:47:49,000
Speaker 1: All right, let's recap it head to head this week

1016
00:47:49,239 --> 00:47:53,000
Speaker 1: Vikings Browns. It's Kendra and I against Stucky and someone's

1017
00:47:53,000 --> 00:47:56,719
Speaker 1: gonna have the gross bean toast if if they lose

1018
00:47:56,760 --> 00:47:58,560
Speaker 1: this one, this.

1019
00:47:58,520 --> 00:48:00,960
Speaker 4: Is win win for me. I either win or get

1020
00:48:00,960 --> 00:48:02,279
Speaker 4: these now.

1021
00:48:02,680 --> 00:48:04,840
Speaker 1: I want, Well, why don't we do the bean toast?

1022
00:48:04,840 --> 00:48:06,640
Speaker 1: I think Stuck you should have to read the poem.

1023
00:48:06,800 --> 00:48:09,480
Speaker 1: I think can we get Stucky reading a poem?

1024
00:48:09,880 --> 00:48:12,480
Speaker 2: I feel like he'll be at writing poems though I don't.

1025
00:48:12,520 --> 00:48:14,520
Speaker 4: I mean I could write it. I don't time to

1026
00:48:14,560 --> 00:48:15,120
Speaker 4: write a poem.

1027
00:48:17,680 --> 00:48:22,080
Speaker 1: Roses are red, you can do. I don't want Sucky

1028
00:48:22,120 --> 00:48:24,600
Speaker 1: eating bean toast on the show. If he's happy about

1029
00:48:24,600 --> 00:48:27,600
Speaker 1: eating bean toast, that's just that. I'm wearing you cutest

1030
00:48:27,600 --> 00:48:29,160
Speaker 1: pumpkin in the pat shirt people.

1031
00:48:29,360 --> 00:48:31,520
Speaker 4: When you guys are eating bean toast, I'll be eating

1032
00:48:31,520 --> 00:48:33,880
Speaker 4: it with you, even after the Browns cover how to

1033
00:48:33,960 --> 00:48:37,200
Speaker 4: Seat It for fun. But I'll write a poem for you.

1034
00:48:36,960 --> 00:48:40,680
Speaker 1: Okay, Parlay this week Chargers money line against the Commanders,

1035
00:48:41,120 --> 00:48:44,399
Speaker 1: Panthers money line against the Dolphins, and Jets money lines.

1036
00:48:44,440 --> 00:48:47,400
Speaker 1: We got a money line special with the Chargers, Panthers

1037
00:48:47,400 --> 00:48:50,560
Speaker 1: and Jets as our two kings and a Queen Parlay,

1038
00:48:51,040 --> 00:48:52,840
Speaker 1: and we're gonna have a jag slumber party.

1039
00:48:53,200 --> 00:48:55,560
Speaker 4: I'm so sick in the head that the one I'm

1040
00:48:55,680 --> 00:48:58,399
Speaker 4: least confident about that is the Chargers. That's how sick

1041
00:48:58,480 --> 00:49:00,840
Speaker 4: my mind is. I'm like, I like the Jets and Panthers,

1042
00:49:00,840 --> 00:49:03,000
Speaker 4: but the Chargers offensive line like.

1043
00:49:03,160 --> 00:49:04,279
Speaker 2: Can just say you hate me?

1044
00:49:05,560 --> 00:49:08,880
Speaker 4: Want to hate my brain? That's my brain. We have

1045
00:49:08,880 --> 00:49:12,360
Speaker 4: a moneyline parlay at the Jets, Chargers, and Panthers. The

1046
00:49:12,520 --> 00:49:17,279
Speaker 4: Jets and Panthers who have one combined win, I'm like, okay,

1047
00:49:17,360 --> 00:49:19,799
Speaker 4: I like those, but the Chargers, who all they do

1048
00:49:19,880 --> 00:49:21,440
Speaker 4: is win under Harball their.

1049
00:49:21,360 --> 00:49:28,280
Speaker 3: Favorite podcast with sad cats between the Panthers and the Jags.

1050
00:49:28,480 --> 00:49:30,080
Speaker 2: My work here is finished.

1051
00:49:30,440 --> 00:49:31,080
Speaker 4: How about this one?

1052
00:49:31,160 --> 00:49:33,800
Speaker 5: Roses are red, violence a blue? Don't bet the Titans

1053
00:49:33,800 --> 00:49:34,560
Speaker 5: will never come through.

1054
00:49:36,080 --> 00:49:38,480
Speaker 2: You're doing his homework for you?

1055
00:49:38,520 --> 00:49:40,320
Speaker 4: What the hell got to be about you? Guys?

1056
00:49:40,360 --> 00:49:43,839
Speaker 1: So, but I like that Evans. Evans talent knows no bounds.

1057
00:49:45,080 --> 00:49:47,000
Speaker 2: Oh my goodness, that's all I got.

1058
00:49:47,200 --> 00:49:49,359
Speaker 1: That's well, it's not gonna get any better than that.

1059
00:49:49,360 --> 00:49:51,520
Speaker 1: That's going to do it for today's episode special Thanks

1060
00:49:51,560 --> 00:49:55,200
Speaker 1: to our producers Gifford Gold, David Payne, our pollet Evan Abrams.

1061
00:49:55,239 --> 00:49:58,359
Speaker 1: The Favorites will return on Sunday evening. A week five

1062
00:49:58,440 --> 00:50:01,760
Speaker 1: recap catch it right here on the Action Network YouTube page.

1063
00:50:01,760 --> 00:50:04,400
Speaker 1: Thanks for tuning in right here on the Favorites podcast

1064
00:50:04,480 --> 00:50:09,000
Speaker 1: presented by DraftKings. The Crown is yours Cashy's tickets.

1065
00:50:10,760 --> 00:50:22,000
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1066
00:50:22,440 --> 00:50:25,280
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1067
00:50:25,560 --> 00:50:28,160
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1068
00:50:28,239 --> 00:50:29,040
Speaker 1: hundred Gambler