WEBVTT - Leading Off May 15th, 2025 (Ep. 1012) 0:00:05.200 --> 0:00:08.320 What's up, friends, and welcome into Fantasy pros MLB. This 0:00:09.000 --> 0:00:12.959 is leading off. I'm Chris Welsh. That is Joe Alrico. 0:00:13.080 --> 0:00:16.120 There is no piece of Pia today. Piece of Pia 0:00:16.920 --> 0:00:19.160 might be like under right now. We don't even know. 0:00:19.160 --> 0:00:20.919 We don't know what's going on. Well, we kind of 0:00:20.920 --> 0:00:23.680 know what's going on as a scopey scope, but we 0:00:23.720 --> 0:00:27.120 don't know the exacts of it. Joe will be back tomorrow, 0:00:27.200 --> 0:00:30.120 but we have our replacement Joe, and he's not really 0:00:30.160 --> 0:00:33.159 your replacement. He's just a fantastic Joe. Mister Rico. What's somebody? 0:00:33.760 --> 0:00:35.600 Yeah, I got the call from the manager last night, 0:00:35.680 --> 0:00:37.159 needed me to step up for a little bit of 0:00:37.159 --> 0:00:39.360 a bullpen game today. So happy to do it, Happy 0:00:39.360 --> 0:00:41.479 to step in for Joe. I hope he's doing all right, 0:00:41.520 --> 0:00:43.480 because I'm sure he's not having fun right now. 0:00:43.760 --> 0:00:46.560 No, probably not fun, drinking whatever you have to drink 0:00:46.600 --> 0:00:49.120 prior to a thing that men in their mid forties 0:00:49.240 --> 0:00:51.239 must do. That would have it would have been a 0:00:51.240 --> 0:00:53.600 really great there's a really great sponsorship opportunity that was 0:00:53.640 --> 0:00:56.880 missed in this entire thing, whether whatever it could have been, 0:00:57.000 --> 0:00:58.960 you know, maybe we could have followed along with Joe. 0:00:58.960 --> 0:01:01.800 But you know now time sales they can work on that. 0:01:01.840 --> 0:01:03.320 We got a lot in the show today. It's kind 0:01:03.320 --> 0:01:06.800 of a small short slate, as I guess Thursdays have 0:01:06.959 --> 0:01:09.520 been in general. There's some early games. By the time 0:01:09.600 --> 0:01:10.840 we get to the end of the show, a couple 0:01:10.880 --> 0:01:12.640 of the games are going to start. So we've got 0:01:12.680 --> 0:01:15.720 some best bets for you. We've got stuff across the board, 0:01:16.160 --> 0:01:17.920 So let's start a breakdown and shout out to all 0:01:17.920 --> 0:01:19.800 of our penis and crackerjacks that are hanging at you. 0:01:19.840 --> 0:01:23.039 Guys are welcome to drop questions where we can yap 0:01:23.080 --> 0:01:25.120 with you guys and answer your questions. And a reminder, 0:01:25.160 --> 0:01:28.960 anybody watching after the fact on YouTube or listening on 0:01:29.000 --> 0:01:31.360 the podcast, you can always join us on Twitch live 0:01:32.040 --> 0:01:36.320 Monday through Friday, twelve pm Eastern, Twitch dot Tv, Slash 0:01:36.520 --> 0:01:39.240 Fantasy Pros. That's right, me and Joey. Come and catch 0:01:39.440 --> 0:01:42.679 live whether it's this Joey or the other Joey, twelve 0:01:42.720 --> 0:01:45.440 pm Eastern. We got a bunch of other great offerings. 0:01:45.720 --> 0:01:49.040 Catch it live, Interact, get your questions answered, and do 0:01:49.160 --> 0:01:52.000 it today. Otherwise you're good on all the other platforms. 0:01:52.040 --> 0:01:54.440 All right, let's get into the stuff and the things 0:01:54.480 --> 0:01:58.559 and some big dogs we're eating. Joe went with Aaron Judge, 0:01:58.600 --> 0:02:01.320 mister piece of Pjo and Judge. Yesterday I went with 0:02:01.400 --> 0:02:04.520 Shoe Heyo Tani, both in the home run contest and 0:02:04.600 --> 0:02:07.920 they both homered. They're both back into it. Judge ended 0:02:08.040 --> 0:02:11.120 up going two for four hitting his that ended up 0:02:11.120 --> 0:02:13.120 getting the win on the Mets, and show Heyo Tani 0:02:13.600 --> 0:02:16.200 had a leadoff homer two for four against A's his 0:02:16.360 --> 0:02:20.040 thirteenth of the year, so probably nobody had gotten the 0:02:20.160 --> 0:02:22.560 extra room on the table here in the home run 0:02:22.560 --> 0:02:25.200 contest as the big Dogs were going. I do have 0:02:25.200 --> 0:02:27.360 a question in the Yankee game. I want to hit 0:02:27.400 --> 0:02:29.400 to you, al Riko. This is not going to be 0:02:29.400 --> 0:02:31.440 related to the big guys. Just want to remind everybody 0:02:31.440 --> 0:02:35.240 that the big Dogs did eat Luke Weaver. Luke Weaver 0:02:35.360 --> 0:02:38.160 struck out the side in the ninth got a save 0:02:38.440 --> 0:02:42.120 against the Mariners, and I believe it was maybe his 0:02:42.800 --> 0:02:45.280 not yet, I'm trying to remember what it was. It 0:02:45.320 --> 0:02:48.280 wasn't his ninth save, but he's had a multitude of saves. 0:02:48.639 --> 0:02:50.960 Devin Williams still kind of a mess. My question to 0:02:51.040 --> 0:02:53.720 you is with Luke Weaver, is he going to give 0:02:53.800 --> 0:02:56.639 up the closer role because he has been good and 0:02:56.680 --> 0:02:59.560 he's locking it down. Do you think Devin Williams is 0:02:59.600 --> 0:03:02.560 going to gain this now with what you're seeing out 0:03:02.600 --> 0:03:03.400 of Luke Weaver. 0:03:04.520 --> 0:03:06.840 I think it would be a disaster for the Yankees 0:03:06.880 --> 0:03:09.680 if Williams doesn't end up back in the closer role 0:03:09.720 --> 0:03:10.320 at some point. 0:03:10.360 --> 0:03:11.080 We're still ting. 0:03:11.160 --> 0:03:13.240 The thing with relievers is that we're always dealing with 0:03:13.320 --> 0:03:16.480 relatively small sample sizes. Yeah, Devin Williams has not been 0:03:16.520 --> 0:03:19.040 good to this point of the season, but it's fourteen innings. 0:03:19.560 --> 0:03:22.200 I feel like they I'm not sure when it'll happen exactly, 0:03:22.280 --> 0:03:24.720 but at some point Devin Williams is going to have 0:03:24.760 --> 0:03:27.120 this job back. I think I'm not sure when or 0:03:27.480 --> 0:03:30.360 how exactly it'll happen. But if you see Williams sitting 0:03:30.360 --> 0:03:32.320 on any waiver wires, wh anybody's dropped him, I would 0:03:32.360 --> 0:03:33.600 personally pick him up everywhere. 0:03:34.200 --> 0:03:36.280 I agree with that. I kind of said I thought 0:03:36.320 --> 0:03:38.760 that Luke Weaver might end up being the guy that 0:03:38.800 --> 0:03:40.840 holds us longer than people think, and it would be 0:03:40.880 --> 0:03:42.400 like a month or two. But I would pick up 0:03:42.720 --> 0:03:45.880 Devin Williams. But I would like to point out Luke 0:03:45.920 --> 0:03:48.760 Weaver has a point four to five ERA. I believe 0:03:48.960 --> 0:03:50.720 it was like after he got the gig he had 0:03:50.760 --> 0:03:53.520 been like scathed the tiny bit. But he has four 0:03:53.600 --> 0:03:56.240 saves now a point. He has a higher whip than ERA, 0:03:56.480 --> 0:03:59.680 which is crazy point six whip. He has just been 0:03:59.800 --> 0:04:05.680 relatively unhittable. He's given up one earned run all season long, 0:04:06.120 --> 0:04:08.640 and that was I think right around when he ended 0:04:08.720 --> 0:04:11.320 up taking the gig over. It was like a little 0:04:11.320 --> 0:04:13.520 over like it was about ten days ago, it looks like. 0:04:14.000 --> 0:04:17.480 But he has picked up two saves since the beginning 0:04:17.480 --> 0:04:18.960 of May. So I guess it's not like, you know, 0:04:19.000 --> 0:04:21.840 he's been locking down a million. It's just right here, 0:04:22.080 --> 0:04:24.920 Van Rod his dog. He's dog, And I do think 0:04:24.960 --> 0:04:27.240 they're going to want to give Devin Williams the opportunity back. 0:04:27.279 --> 0:04:29.919 But it's just like how much or maybe are you 0:04:29.960 --> 0:04:31.960 willing to be aggressive on a guy like Luke Weaver 0:04:32.120 --> 0:04:34.680 or even by because I would think owners would be like, oh, 0:04:34.680 --> 0:04:36.800 he's going to lose that job pretty soon, trade him off. 0:04:36.800 --> 0:04:38.640 But if he were to keep that role the rest 0:04:38.680 --> 0:04:42.160 of the year, look out, Luke Weaver would be absolutely 0:04:42.240 --> 0:04:45.839 rolling in the big sp market. Terry Scuba recorded eleven 0:04:45.880 --> 0:04:49.440 strikeouts season high, five runs over six and one third 0:04:49.440 --> 0:04:52.839 of inning on Wednesday, and no decision in a big 0:04:52.880 --> 0:04:55.360 strikeout game, but giving up some runs in that same game. 0:04:55.440 --> 0:04:58.560 Alex Bregman three for four hit is eleventh home run 0:04:58.560 --> 0:05:02.120 of the season. If Aaron Judge was not in the 0:05:02.160 --> 0:05:05.679 AL would we be talking much more loudly about Alex 0:05:05.760 --> 0:05:09.159 Bregman for MVP? And do you think he is one 0:05:09.200 --> 0:05:13.200 of the best returns on top one hundred draft capital? 0:05:13.240 --> 0:05:15.159 And in some cases he was going outside the top 0:05:15.200 --> 0:05:16.600 one hundred, Like do you think it's one of the 0:05:16.640 --> 0:05:18.560 best returns? And do you buy it the rest of 0:05:18.600 --> 0:05:21.560 the season? So I asked you three hundred different questions. 0:05:21.920 --> 0:05:24.040 I buy it to a certain degree. 0:05:24.880 --> 0:05:26.839 The MVP thing is interesting, like if you look just 0:05:26.839 --> 0:05:28.760 from a fantasy point of view, Judge has been the 0:05:28.800 --> 0:05:31.880 most valuable American League player and Bregman is number two, 0:05:32.400 --> 0:05:34.840 a thirty dollars player in twelve team leagues. For those 0:05:34.839 --> 0:05:37.359 auction folks out there, will he keep it up to 0:05:37.400 --> 0:05:40.520 this extent? Probably not, but I could see him finishing 0:05:40.560 --> 0:05:43.480 within the twenty five to thirty homer range runs in 0:05:43.600 --> 0:05:46.240 RBIs both pushing one hundred. I saw an article yesterday 0:05:46.240 --> 0:05:49.480 that talked about how he has his own heading coach 0:05:50.120 --> 0:05:53.400 that found something that he was doing with the Astros 0:05:53.440 --> 0:05:55.440 the last couple of seasons. It was something small that 0:05:55.440 --> 0:05:57.800 you wouldn't even really notice if you're watching just to 0:05:57.839 --> 0:06:00.680 the layman's eye, that they kind of tweaked with him, 0:06:00.680 --> 0:06:02.640 and it seems to have worked so far this season. 0:06:03.120 --> 0:06:05.599 So I think that he's not gonna be a first 0:06:05.640 --> 0:06:07.760 round player because right now he's the number seven player 0:06:07.800 --> 0:06:10.440 for the season. But can he be a top fifty player, 0:06:10.520 --> 0:06:12.880 top forty player? I think absolutely yeah. 0:06:13.240 --> 0:06:14.920 I don't know. There's a part of me I talked 0:06:14.920 --> 0:06:16.640 about this a while ago that I think like a 0:06:16.760 --> 0:06:19.520 dark horse betting might have been Breakman an MVP, but 0:06:19.920 --> 0:06:22.359 he's also one of those guys I wanted to, you know, 0:06:22.400 --> 0:06:25.360 get my shares of Looking at his swing, the only 0:06:25.400 --> 0:06:28.400 thing I'm noticing is he's opened his stands up more 0:06:29.279 --> 0:06:32.279 than he has really in his quite a few years. 0:06:32.279 --> 0:06:35.000 There's really nothing else in there. And then as far 0:06:35.080 --> 0:06:38.919 as like some of the analytics is bat tracking, you know, 0:06:38.960 --> 0:06:41.479 he's squaring the ball up better, but he's he's not 0:06:41.520 --> 0:06:43.839 getting to it faster, he's not swinging it faster, not 0:06:43.880 --> 0:06:47.039 swing length. It's the ballpark. The ballpark has helped as well. 0:06:47.440 --> 0:06:50.280 Funny the metric Baseball Savant has where you can have 0:06:50.360 --> 0:06:52.479 like if a guy played all his games in a 0:06:52.480 --> 0:06:55.039 certain ballpark. Sometimes that'll show you like, oh, what's the 0:06:55.080 --> 0:06:57.919 benefit here? It's actually Boston is actually a little bit 0:06:57.960 --> 0:07:00.360 of a negative, Like he would have thirteen per rejected 0:07:00.400 --> 0:07:02.520 homers in Baltimore if he played all his games there 0:07:02.680 --> 0:07:06.400 while only having nine in Boston. Yet he has been 0:07:06.480 --> 0:07:08.920 absolutely striking the ball, barreling it better than he's ever 0:07:08.960 --> 0:07:12.520 done in his career eleven point five percent, best hard 0:07:12.560 --> 0:07:17.480 hit percentage of his career, under twenty percent. Case he's walking, 0:07:17.800 --> 0:07:20.320 he has a nineteen degree launch angle, which is like 0:07:20.600 --> 0:07:22.360 right at the tippy top of where he's ever been 0:07:22.400 --> 0:07:25.640 in his career. The ballpark is helping. He seems to 0:07:25.680 --> 0:07:28.520 be locked in. I actually think if there's someone out 0:07:28.520 --> 0:07:31.080 there that doesn't believe that he's performing as one of 0:07:31.080 --> 0:07:33.280 the top third basemen and wants to sell out high, 0:07:33.520 --> 0:07:36.080 I think there's maybe a buying opportunity because I think 0:07:36.120 --> 0:07:37.480 this can stick. I don't know he's going to hit 0:07:37.520 --> 0:07:40.200 three fourteen, but I think he could still hit two ninety, 0:07:40.600 --> 0:07:43.640 maybe be one hundred hundred guy close to thirty homers. 0:07:43.680 --> 0:07:45.480 Like I think it's a it's a revival here. So 0:07:45.600 --> 0:07:47.480 I guess I'm a little bit more buy in of 0:07:47.800 --> 0:07:50.280 Alex Bregman than you. Why do you hate Alex Bregman? 0:07:50.920 --> 0:07:51.960 I know I like him a lot. 0:07:52.000 --> 0:07:54.880 I just if somebody's valuing him as a first rounder, 0:07:54.920 --> 0:07:57.480 if somebody is willing to trade you another first round 0:07:57.560 --> 0:08:00.520 caliber player for him, then you should probably listen to it. 0:08:01.040 --> 0:08:02.200 But I got one for you. 0:08:02.480 --> 0:08:04.800 But I still think he's a great, great asset, probably 0:08:04.800 --> 0:08:07.440 the best outside of PCA, probably the best return on 0:08:07.520 --> 0:08:08.800 investment at this point of the season. 0:08:10.080 --> 0:08:12.840 Oh that's interesting. Uh yeah, probably he's probably yeah, in 0:08:12.880 --> 0:08:14.560 the top three or four for sure. Who would you 0:08:14.680 --> 0:08:17.800 rather have rest of season? Alex Bregman or Julio Rodriguez? 0:08:18.360 --> 0:08:20.240 Oh, Man, Julio Rodriguez. 0:08:19.840 --> 0:08:21.800 Is hitting I think around two twenty right now and 0:08:21.840 --> 0:08:24.440 expect a batting average around two fifty. He does steal 0:08:24.440 --> 0:08:25.800 more bases, But who would you rather have? 0:08:26.600 --> 0:08:30.600 I think I would probably go with Bregman, but that 0:08:30.680 --> 0:08:33.240 one's pretty close because Julio the batting average hasn't been great, 0:08:33.280 --> 0:08:35.760 but still seven homers, five steals. He hasn't been bad 0:08:35.800 --> 0:08:38.640 at all, but I think it'll be Bregman by a 0:08:38.679 --> 0:08:40.120 hair m. 0:08:40.640 --> 0:08:42.440 I would like to know, what do you guys think? 0:08:42.440 --> 0:08:44.640 Who would you rather have rest of season? Alex Bregman, 0:08:45.000 --> 0:08:48.040 Julio Rodriguez. That's kind of a fun one. What in 0:08:48.080 --> 0:08:51.520 the hell is going on with Patrick Corbyn? Patrick Corbyn 0:08:52.000 --> 0:08:55.679 struck out nine in six innings. He did allow three 0:08:55.760 --> 0:08:58.600 yearned runs. This is, you know, a Rockies I guess 0:08:58.640 --> 0:09:01.960 the narrative that you can put out there, But what 0:09:02.120 --> 0:09:06.480 is going on with Patrick Corbin? I've loosely said kind 0:09:06.480 --> 0:09:08.840 of made in like a hobby or Bayas type of 0:09:08.880 --> 0:09:12.240 way where it's like listen this version. No, I don't 0:09:12.280 --> 0:09:14.240 buy or anything like that, but there do seem to 0:09:14.240 --> 0:09:18.560 be concerted changes. The team context is working and like 0:09:18.920 --> 0:09:21.280 he's at least streamable and you need to pay attention 0:09:21.320 --> 0:09:24.600 to him streaming in bad matchups. There you go, he 0:09:24.679 --> 0:09:26.800 got I mean that's I think that's a quality And 0:09:26.960 --> 0:09:28.360 what did I just say? I got to look back 0:09:28.360 --> 0:09:30.480 at the stats. Did he goes six? Yeah, you win six? 0:09:30.520 --> 0:09:33.600 That's a quality start he had with nine strikeouts against Colorado. 0:09:34.000 --> 0:09:37.320 The profile looks okay, but my question is is are 0:09:37.360 --> 0:09:40.480 you going to buy into Patrick Corbyn rest of season. 0:09:41.200 --> 0:09:44.360 I can't do it. I personally can't do it. Like 0:09:44.400 --> 0:09:47.240 he's he's been good, no question. If you've had him 0:09:47.280 --> 0:09:49.560 for the last several games, he's done very well. But 0:09:51.080 --> 0:09:52.840 it's Patrick Corbyn at the end of the day. I 0:09:52.840 --> 0:09:55.120 feel like this is a situation where right when people 0:09:55.160 --> 0:09:57.160 are going to start to believe and start opening up 0:09:57.200 --> 0:09:59.600 the fab wallets and the waiver priorities, that's when he's 0:09:59.600 --> 0:10:01.480 gonna let you down. And there's still some things that 0:10:01.520 --> 0:10:03.080 I don't love here, Like he has a three thirty 0:10:03.120 --> 0:10:05.920 five er. He's outperforming that though. I mean, if you 0:10:05.920 --> 0:10:08.240 look at the Sierra four fifty two, the phips are 0:10:08.240 --> 0:10:11.080 all in the mid foors. He's not striking guys out. 0:10:11.160 --> 0:10:13.080 He hasn't been a big strikeout guy in a while, 0:10:13.120 --> 0:10:17.120 but eighteen percent he's a one thirty whip. I think 0:10:17.120 --> 0:10:19.079 this is a situation where right when you start to 0:10:19.120 --> 0:10:21.959 trust him, which is probably right about now, people are 0:10:22.000 --> 0:10:23.000 going to get burned by him. 0:10:23.000 --> 0:10:24.920 So I think you just stay away. It's Patrick Corbyn 0:10:24.920 --> 0:10:25.600 at the end of the day. 0:10:26.000 --> 0:10:27.600 Yeah, let me freeze it a little bit differently then, 0:10:27.640 --> 0:10:30.920 because I guess if I came across as like, hey, guys, 0:10:30.960 --> 0:10:31.839 you know Patrick Corbyn? 0:10:31.960 --> 0:10:32.439 Is it? 0:10:32.440 --> 0:10:36.600 It's him? Is Patrick Corbin as a serviceable streamer? Is 0:10:36.640 --> 0:10:38.480 bring me more of the question? That's I think more 0:10:38.480 --> 0:10:40.640 of what I meant by this, Like, are you willing 0:10:40.679 --> 0:10:43.520 to find some matchups here? Maybe you target teams that 0:10:43.559 --> 0:10:46.000 are struggling against lefties a little bit. You're looking for 0:10:46.120 --> 0:10:49.520 quality starts, you're looking for wins. Is Patrick Corbin someone 0:10:49.520 --> 0:10:51.440 that you're going to give a consideration. 0:10:50.960 --> 0:10:53.359 To for a situation like yesterday? 0:10:54.120 --> 0:10:57.240 Absolutely no problem like playing the playing the Rockies for 0:10:57.320 --> 0:11:00.679 that kind of matchup, I don't mind it. But I 0:11:00.720 --> 0:11:03.920 mean if we're trusting him outside of a bottom five 0:11:04.040 --> 0:11:06.079 or seven team, I think that's where you start to 0:11:06.120 --> 0:11:08.880 get hurt. Like we were talking about Ryan Weathers yesterday against 0:11:08.880 --> 0:11:11.400 the Cubs. If and that's an extreme example because the 0:11:11.440 --> 0:11:13.640 Cubs have been a really good offense, but just trying 0:11:13.640 --> 0:11:15.560 to see who he is slated to face in his 0:11:15.720 --> 0:11:18.880 next start, it looks like it'll be the Yankees early 0:11:19.000 --> 0:11:19.880 next week, So. 0:11:21.400 --> 0:11:23.120 I don't think so, I don't think I can do it. 0:11:23.200 --> 0:11:24.679 What would be do you do? You happen to see 0:11:24.720 --> 0:11:28.480 what would be the one after that, even like a 0:11:28.559 --> 0:11:34.280 rough guestimate of like who they'd be playing Yankees. Well, 0:11:34.320 --> 0:11:36.840 while you look speak of speaking of Ryan Weathers, by 0:11:36.880 --> 0:11:39.720 the way, he had two hits, one run, one walk, 0:11:39.840 --> 0:11:44.280 five strikeouts over five innings against the Cubs, so had tip. 0:11:44.280 --> 0:11:45.920 We were like, don't want to start him on this one. 0:11:45.920 --> 0:11:48.640 Maybe the next one. He was actually pretty pretty efficient. 0:11:48.720 --> 0:11:52.640 Ryan Weathers was, so yeah, it looks like so that 0:11:52.760 --> 0:11:55.000 Yankees won early next week is a stay away, but 0:11:55.160 --> 0:11:57.840 it looks like he would get the White Sox next weekend, 0:11:57.960 --> 0:12:01.320 So maybe you hold him, sit him for that first one. Now, 0:12:01.320 --> 0:12:03.160 if it's a weekly league, you'd have to eat both 0:12:03.160 --> 0:12:04.720 of them. Would you be willing to do that? Because 0:12:04.760 --> 0:12:06.439 if you're setting a weekly lineup, would you eat the 0:12:06.520 --> 0:12:08.079 Yankee start to get the White Sox one? 0:12:09.080 --> 0:12:13.440 It'd be dependent, like Patrick Corbyn over like who other 0:12:13.520 --> 0:12:17.079 ones start? I would there's probably well it's about to 0:12:17.120 --> 0:12:19.400 say this forty or fifty other you know, probably one 0:12:19.480 --> 0:12:22.560 starts I'd rather have, except if you just focus on 0:12:22.559 --> 0:12:26.080 that White Sox one, like that's that's pretty you would 0:12:26.120 --> 0:12:28.480 really like that. But yeah, the Yankees, again, it's just 0:12:28.559 --> 0:12:30.800 about serviceability. I don't Someone said I don't want to 0:12:30.800 --> 0:12:33.000 get into the Corbyn verse. I don't really either, but 0:12:33.280 --> 0:12:36.280 he just continues to just kind of be good. Who 0:12:36.280 --> 0:12:38.200 would you rather have Ryan Weathers or Patrick Corbyn? 0:12:38.760 --> 0:12:40.360 Ryan Weathers, no question for me. 0:12:40.600 --> 0:12:43.800 Ryan Weathers is back. We don't know when and what 0:12:43.920 --> 0:12:46.360 version you're gonna get of Spencer Strider when he's back, 0:12:46.920 --> 0:12:52.400 because apparently he experienced some diminished velocity in a simulated game. 0:12:52.480 --> 0:12:56.160 He threw thirty sixty five pitches. He had started off 0:12:56.280 --> 0:13:00.400 around ninety six, but then he dipped into the ninety 0:13:00.400 --> 0:13:04.320 three to ninety four range. That's a problem. Last month 0:13:04.360 --> 0:13:08.360 he was averaging around ninety five. Reports on like rotal 0:13:08.400 --> 0:13:10.560 World is saying the club is expected to decide later 0:13:10.600 --> 0:13:13.480 this week whether he's going to require another minor league 0:13:13.480 --> 0:13:16.880 rehab start or be activated to start next week against 0:13:16.880 --> 0:13:21.400 the Nationals. I think based on the velocity dip. Unless 0:13:21.440 --> 0:13:23.719 this is something that they were completely comfortable with a 0:13:23.760 --> 0:13:26.679 knew about, I think he's going to another rehab start 0:13:26.720 --> 0:13:30.400 because that type of VLO dip is a concern. Again, 0:13:30.600 --> 0:13:33.040 unless they had it planned for him to not go 0:13:33.120 --> 0:13:35.240 full out. But why would you have a sixty five 0:13:35.440 --> 0:13:39.560 pitch simulated game for that that is worrisome VLO dip 0:13:39.600 --> 0:13:41.400 for him, because I mean because not only by the way, 0:13:41.800 --> 0:13:44.720 you know, if he averaged last month ninety five, he 0:13:44.800 --> 0:13:47.400 starts ninety six. He's a high VLO guy in general, 0:13:47.480 --> 0:13:52.280 So like ninety three ninety four sitting, especially when you're 0:13:52.320 --> 0:13:54.839 more of a primary two pitch pitcher, that's a bit 0:13:54.840 --> 0:13:58.160 of concern. What is your level of concern with Spencer's 0:13:58.160 --> 0:14:00.480 Strider moving through the rest of the season. Because he's 0:14:00.520 --> 0:14:03.240 going to be back, everyone's going to get excited, but 0:14:03.360 --> 0:14:05.760 knowing that you've now had two injuries throughout the year, 0:14:06.080 --> 0:14:08.680 some diminished velos sitting out there, what's your level of 0:14:08.720 --> 0:14:11.000 concern of like, do you want to get out from 0:14:11.080 --> 0:14:13.240 under him once he's activated? Do you want to buy? 0:14:13.440 --> 0:14:14.080 Where are you at? 0:14:15.520 --> 0:14:17.560 I think i'd be more in the cell camp. Once 0:14:17.640 --> 0:14:20.320 you see the report of Spencer Strider is starting on 0:14:20.400 --> 0:14:23.920 Thursday or whatever day it'll be, that'll be potentially when 0:14:23.920 --> 0:14:25.480 he has the most value rest of season. 0:14:25.520 --> 0:14:26.720 I worry about that velocity. 0:14:26.760 --> 0:14:28.560 We were doing the Discord Show when he made that 0:14:28.680 --> 0:14:31.160 debut and we were kind of following along, and he 0:14:31.200 --> 0:14:33.800 wasn't able to maintain his velocity throughout that start. 0:14:34.040 --> 0:14:35.960 If you look year by year, every. 0:14:35.760 --> 0:14:38.240 Season he's lost a tick twenty twenty two, ninety eight, 0:14:38.320 --> 0:14:40.600 down in ninety seven, ninety six, ninety five. If he's 0:14:40.640 --> 0:14:44.280 sitting in ninety three ninety four, that's a serious red flag. 0:14:44.320 --> 0:14:46.600 If you're able to trade Strider based on that name 0:14:46.720 --> 0:14:51.200 value for a top twenty five, top thirty starting pitcher 0:14:51.320 --> 0:14:54.360 or top maybe top one hundred player overall, something like that, 0:14:54.480 --> 0:14:56.280 I think it would be wise to consider it. I'm 0:14:56.320 --> 0:14:57.600 not sure what we're going to see out of him 0:14:57.600 --> 0:14:59.440 this year, and if if we do get him back, 0:14:59.520 --> 0:15:00.840 even if it's to be soon, I'm not sure what 0:15:00.840 --> 0:15:02.600 the results are going to be like, So I'm worried. 0:15:02.640 --> 0:15:03.440 I'm definitely worried. 0:15:03.680 --> 0:15:06.600 I'm too, I'm pretty concerned about that. Like I do 0:15:06.680 --> 0:15:08.840 think he's the type of guy that can bounce back 0:15:08.840 --> 0:15:12.560 from this, but he's having like already these leg issues 0:15:12.600 --> 0:15:16.680 and the VELO unless they give us any information about it. Obviously, 0:15:16.720 --> 0:15:18.520 if he were to bounce back to be the version 0:15:18.520 --> 0:15:20.840 that we know, this is a great buying opportunity because 0:15:20.840 --> 0:15:23.120 of the fear, But to already have like some of 0:15:23.160 --> 0:15:25.320 the down VELO, I don't know what that's going to 0:15:25.400 --> 0:15:28.320 look like. For Strider, especially again because he is a 0:15:28.680 --> 0:15:31.320 primary like fastball slider guy, Like that's what he does. 0:15:31.360 --> 0:15:33.160 It's not like we can go to some other offerings. 0:15:33.200 --> 0:15:36.320 I mean, to be fair, even if you have other offerings, 0:15:36.360 --> 0:15:39.600 like Zach Gallen's a disaster when his fastball velo has 0:15:39.600 --> 0:15:42.040 gone down and down and then when he loses command 0:15:42.080 --> 0:15:43.760 on it, he can't even go to the other stuff. 0:15:43.800 --> 0:15:46.040 And it's been you know, I mean, he's obviously had 0:15:46.040 --> 0:15:48.160 some good starts, but like it's not the same version 0:15:48.560 --> 0:15:50.600 what Strider going to do, because then you're going to 0:15:50.680 --> 0:15:54.880 have Strider trying to lean more on the slider, and 0:15:54.920 --> 0:15:56.920 then all you're going to have is guys waiting on 0:15:57.000 --> 0:16:00.520 the fastball and if you're cranking it at ninety one, bam, 0:16:00.840 --> 0:16:03.600 they're gonna put that bad boy out. A couple of 0:16:03.680 --> 0:16:06.720 rookie lookies and then when I get to some of 0:16:06.760 --> 0:16:09.600 the listeners, some of the Peanuts and cracker Jacks out here, 0:16:09.640 --> 0:16:14.880 of course rookie lookie Simeon Woods Richardson was optioned. So 0:16:15.040 --> 0:16:18.960 this means we are on David Festa or Zebbie Matthews. 0:16:18.960 --> 0:16:21.680 Watch there. I haven't seen if there was a corresponding move, 0:16:21.800 --> 0:16:24.320 it could have happened just now when we started the show, 0:16:24.560 --> 0:16:27.480 it might happen here shortly. I will say David Festa 0:16:27.520 --> 0:16:29.960 has had a couple of really great starts fourteen strikeouts 0:16:29.960 --> 0:16:33.480 over his last two he has had no walks, and 0:16:33.520 --> 0:16:35.440 he's gone relatively deep. I think it was five and 0:16:35.480 --> 0:16:38.320 two thirds and six innings and he's been unhittable. So 0:16:38.440 --> 0:16:42.160 is Zebbi. But Festa was the guy before. I'm gonna say, 0:16:42.200 --> 0:16:44.000 I think this is gonna be a David Festa move, 0:16:44.160 --> 0:16:46.120 and I would go and pick up David Festa right 0:16:46.120 --> 0:16:49.360 now because I think he floats in that line of 0:16:49.520 --> 0:16:52.600 like I'm gonna call it, must pick up, but like 0:16:52.680 --> 0:16:55.720 I would probably dump like a Patrick Corbyn like we're 0:16:55.720 --> 0:16:58.040 talking about, I mean, because he's a streamer and hold 0:16:58.080 --> 0:17:01.440 on to Festa. But don't you they ask me, David Fester, 0:17:01.560 --> 0:17:04.520 Bubba Chandler. I'm not accepting that. But Arico, are you 0:17:04.680 --> 0:17:07.480 running to the wire to speculatively pick up a David 0:17:07.480 --> 0:17:08.240 Festa right now? 0:17:08.880 --> 0:17:11.040 Yeah? I'm coming into the season. I was a huge 0:17:11.119 --> 0:17:11.800 fan of Festa. 0:17:11.800 --> 0:17:13.600 I've been kind of disappointed with the way that the 0:17:13.600 --> 0:17:16.200 Twins have used their entire rotation to start the season, 0:17:16.280 --> 0:17:18.840 like of course, Chris Paddock has actually been looking pretty 0:17:18.880 --> 0:17:22.080 decent recently. Like I thought Paddock and Sebody Richardson would 0:17:22.080 --> 0:17:26.080 be gone pretty early for Matthews and for Festa. Now 0:17:26.320 --> 0:17:27.840 I don't know if they're going to go with Festa. 0:17:27.880 --> 0:17:30.040 I think they probably will. But when they had him 0:17:30.080 --> 0:17:33.359 up before, he was only going four innings, four and 0:17:33.400 --> 0:17:35.679 two thirds every time out. Now his pitches were starting 0:17:35.720 --> 0:17:37.359 to I was following as closely. He was going in 0:17:37.400 --> 0:17:39.320 the sixties for pitches and then up to the seventies, 0:17:39.400 --> 0:17:41.040 up to the eighties, and then they sent him down. 0:17:42.119 --> 0:17:44.080 I think it's Festa, but be on the lookout for 0:17:44.160 --> 0:17:46.520 Zebby as well, because I think Zebby has earned his chance. 0:17:46.600 --> 0:17:48.119 He has a deeper arsenal than Festa. 0:17:48.200 --> 0:17:51.880 I think that long term Matthews is probably the better target, 0:17:51.920 --> 0:17:55.439 but for right now probably will be Festa. But I'm 0:17:55.480 --> 0:17:57.360 not one hundred percent sure which way they're gonna go here. 0:17:57.760 --> 0:17:59.800 So what does someone put this in here as a no? 0:18:00.119 --> 0:18:03.639 And I think this is important to see Cody Funderberg 0:18:03.920 --> 0:18:06.560 is being kept on the roster, but this is it's 0:18:06.560 --> 0:18:10.240 a pretty clerical move in that, like you have three 0:18:10.320 --> 0:18:12.959 or four days to wait for a rotation piece, so 0:18:13.359 --> 0:18:16.359 I think I think you will see them bring up 0:18:16.440 --> 0:18:18.720 David festa In like you know, three day, two or 0:18:18.720 --> 0:18:21.040