1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:15,600 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news, single best idea and 2 00:00:15,840 --> 00:00:17,720 Speaker 1: we were ripping up the script all morning here in 3 00:00:17,840 --> 00:00:21,119 Speaker 1: the new flow, just extraordinary here into Meta and Microsoft 4 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:24,280 Speaker 1: this afternoon. Google last time I looked, was up eight 5 00:00:24,360 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 1: nine ten dollars as well as a lift three point 6 00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 1: eight standard deviation move up on Google. But the new 7 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:33,280 Speaker 1: slow is there. Nick Cholis was in today with Data 8 00:00:33,320 --> 00:00:38,040 Speaker 1: Trek Research Exquisite Research, thinking about the broader picture, but 9 00:00:38,280 --> 00:00:42,520 Speaker 1: bringing it down to Nick Colis granularity. Here he is 10 00:00:42,920 --> 00:00:45,400 Speaker 1: on the overweight of the hiss of the moment, I 11 00:00:45,440 --> 00:00:48,519 Speaker 1: should say, the overweight of the decade, the standard IMPORES 12 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:49,120 Speaker 1: five hundred. 13 00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:51,559 Speaker 2: It is dramatic, and it's obviously we're talking about the 14 00:00:51,560 --> 00:00:54,520 Speaker 2: SP five hundred versus anything else, any other index anywhere 15 00:00:54,520 --> 00:00:59,600 Speaker 2: in the world MSCI, Europe, Japan, Emerging Markets, everything you. 16 00:00:59,680 --> 00:01:02,080 Speaker 2: Tech is a heavy weight in the US more than 17 00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:04,160 Speaker 2: anyplace else. And the bottom line is you have to 18 00:01:04,200 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 2: live with it. And there's a reason why these companies 19 00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:10,200 Speaker 2: have gotten so big. They are disruptive innovators at scale, 20 00:01:10,319 --> 00:01:13,360 Speaker 2: and they own most of the Internet, and it's really 21 00:01:13,400 --> 00:01:16,039 Speaker 2: hard to back away from that. Here in the US. 22 00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 2: We talk about it a lot as a negative. When 23 00:01:17,560 --> 00:01:20,800 Speaker 2: I visit clients in Europe, everybody resolutely thinks it's a positive, 24 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:23,600 Speaker 2: and they think, thank God for US equities, because if 25 00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:25,760 Speaker 2: there weren't for the spo FI one hundred, I'd be 26 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:29,479 Speaker 2: stuck owning MSCI Europe earning five to eight percent instead 27 00:01:29,520 --> 00:01:32,440 Speaker 2: of owning the US which is compounding at thirteen. So 28 00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:35,039 Speaker 2: we think of it as a problem here. Nobody else 29 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:35,880 Speaker 2: sins it is a problem. 30 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:39,840 Speaker 1: We replay the morning program and for Global Wall Street, 31 00:01:39,880 --> 00:01:43,360 Speaker 1: the Nikolas interview was so deep, so thick, that I 32 00:01:43,480 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 1: really recommend going out to YouTube search Bloomberg Podcasts and 33 00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 1: you'll see the live broadcast. It's pictures of Lisa and 34 00:01:53,360 --> 00:01:57,280 Speaker 1: Michael Barr and two ugly guys, and there's also separate 35 00:01:57,360 --> 00:02:00,920 Speaker 1: the same look, but it's a tape record of the 36 00:02:00,960 --> 00:02:03,520 Speaker 1: three hours of Bloomberg surveillance. You can go in there 37 00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:06,440 Speaker 1: Global Wall Street and listen to all of Nicholas. I 38 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:09,960 Speaker 1: think that's very valuable as well. First thing I looked 39 00:02:09,960 --> 00:02:13,000 Speaker 1: at this morning, just by chance, was gold out to 40 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:16,760 Speaker 1: a record high. Brought up the te function the trading envelope, 41 00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:20,320 Speaker 1: and there was gold slipping out to a new high, 42 00:02:20,919 --> 00:02:23,680 Speaker 1: which means you have to drag on Dennis Gartment. Let 43 00:02:23,720 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 1: me explain. You can buy gold. You can buy it 44 00:02:26,560 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 1: in US dollars, you can buy it in euros. Well 45 00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:33,519 Speaker 1: over a decade ago, Dennis Gartman said, you ought to 46 00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:35,880 Speaker 1: buy gold, and you ought to buy it in an 47 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:40,880 Speaker 1: overappreciate again, because the yen will depreciate why you own 48 00:02:40,960 --> 00:02:43,560 Speaker 1: your gold, and gold will go up on a relative basis. 49 00:02:43,639 --> 00:02:46,840 Speaker 1: Even more, it's one of the great trades of the decade. 50 00:02:46,880 --> 00:02:52,520 Speaker 1: Here Dennis Gartman on the gold dynamic and the yen dynamic. 51 00:02:52,760 --> 00:02:54,960 Speaker 3: I think gold is a precursor to a higher inflation. 52 00:02:55,120 --> 00:02:58,240 Speaker 3: But you clearly need to have inflationary pressures above two 53 00:02:58,280 --> 00:03:01,920 Speaker 3: and three percent to keep gold moving from at the 54 00:03:01,960 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 3: angle that it has been moving from the lower left 55 00:03:03,760 --> 00:03:06,680 Speaker 3: to the upper right. But again, gold is driven by 56 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:11,079 Speaker 3: two motive forces, inflation and geopolitical circumstances, and right now 57 00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 3: I think geopolitical circumstances are the driving motive force. Plus 58 00:03:14,760 --> 00:03:17,560 Speaker 3: the fact it was a little bit disconcerting to me 59 00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:20,680 Speaker 3: that the bricks Nations met last week and didn't announce 60 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 3: a substantive change in their dollar policies and a substantive 61 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 3: change in the purchase of gold that was a bit disappointing, 62 00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:31,240 Speaker 3: but gold has held very well despite that disappointment. Always 63 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 3: buy things that go up when the news has been 64 00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:35,240 Speaker 3: relatively disappointing. 65 00:03:36,040 --> 00:03:38,440 Speaker 1: That's a really important concept. Let me talk about that, 66 00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:42,040 Speaker 1: Dennis Gartman there on gold in Yen. This is a 67 00:03:42,080 --> 00:03:46,400 Speaker 1: real core investment idea. So let's take shorting, where you 68 00:03:46,440 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 1: believe something's going to go down in price is a rule. 69 00:03:50,000 --> 00:03:54,160 Speaker 1: The optimum short is when a lousy stock in a 70 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:59,400 Speaker 1: lousy sector in a lousy market goes down. It's hard 71 00:03:59,400 --> 00:04:03,720 Speaker 1: to find, but believe me, that's when it's best, most efficacious, 72 00:04:03,760 --> 00:04:06,840 Speaker 1: if you will. What Dennis is talking about, of course, 73 00:04:07,080 --> 00:04:11,560 Speaker 1: is how do stocks react when there is adversity and 74 00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:15,040 Speaker 1: you want to get things that go down less when 75 00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:18,599 Speaker 1: you go down. That's something to study for. Is well. 76 00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:20,440 Speaker 1: We have a busy week. Went back and forth with 77 00:04:20,520 --> 00:04:23,839 Speaker 1: David Gerra. He's on the swing state tour. Kaylee said 78 00:04:23,839 --> 00:04:26,200 Speaker 1: he's in Wisconsin, but maybe that was an hour ago. 79 00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:29,720 Speaker 1: Maybe he's like taking the Sikorski over to Pennsylvania. I'm 80 00:04:29,720 --> 00:04:32,680 Speaker 1: really not sure. Gurra out on the road as we go, 81 00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:35,400 Speaker 1: the election dash into the end of the week. The 82 00:04:35,480 --> 00:04:38,719 Speaker 1: jobs report on Friday and then across over to this 83 00:04:39,080 --> 00:04:43,200 Speaker 1: historic Tuesday election balance of power leading our coverage with 84 00:04:43,279 --> 00:04:46,960 Speaker 1: Jonathan Farrell. Look for that, Jonathan Farrell, Joe Matthew, Kaylee 85 00:04:47,040 --> 00:04:50,640 Speaker 1: lines in a cast of thousands election night. We will 86 00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:54,120 Speaker 1: be there early the next morning to tell you that 87 00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:56,599 Speaker 1: we haven't had a decided election yet. That seems to 88 00:04:56,640 --> 00:05:01,800 Speaker 1: be where we're heading as well. We're on YouTube, subscribe 89 00:05:01,880 --> 00:05:05,880 Speaker 1: to Bloomberg Podcasts and very importantly YouTube at Bloomberg podcast 90 00:05:06,000 --> 00:05:09,840 Speaker 1: is this new survey of Bloomberg Radio on your commute, 91 00:05:09,920 --> 00:05:18,279 Speaker 1: Android Auto, Apple CarPlay Tonight Cole Clarity, Dodgers Yankees Game 92 00:05:18,400 --> 00:05:25,640 Speaker 1: five Single, Best Idea,