WEBVTT - Kevin McCarthy Talks Presidential Election

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News.

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<v Speaker 2>He's the latensed this morning Kamala Harrison, Donald Trump attempting

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<v Speaker 2>to paint stock contrast and a race that is still

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<v Speaker 2>anyone's to win. A new Bloomberg Morning consult Paul showing

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<v Speaker 2>the candidates tied. I'm unla likely to which is in

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<v Speaker 2>seven battle grand states joining us now? Former Speaker of

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<v Speaker 2>the House Kevin mcconthy, Spaker mcconfee good to say.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, good to be here.

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<v Speaker 2>It's a tight one. And if I could offer you

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<v Speaker 2>the outcome of any one race right now, which one

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<v Speaker 2>would you want to know?

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<v Speaker 1>I would watch Pennsylvania. Why's that because we elect presidents,

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<v Speaker 1>not by popular vote, by electoral college. So you assume,

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<v Speaker 1>if you look at the last election, which was only

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<v Speaker 1>won by forty nine and eighteen votes, that Donald Trump

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<v Speaker 1>would get pretty much the same electoral states that he

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<v Speaker 1>got before. And I believe he'd pick up Georgia. If

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<v Speaker 1>he picks up Pennsylvania, it's over. He's gotten to this

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<v Speaker 1>two seventy. He wouldn't need Arizona, he wouldn't need Nevada.

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<v Speaker 1>And when you look at where the play is, even

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<v Speaker 1>the Union voters in Pennsylvania overwhelmingly support Trump over Kamala

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<v Speaker 1>and Kamala at the end of the day, if she

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<v Speaker 1>loses this race, it's going to be her listening to

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<v Speaker 1>Pelosi when Pelosi pushed her to pick Waltz, not because

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<v Speaker 1>Shapiro's too ambitious. I like leaders who want people who

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<v Speaker 1>are ambitious around them, not people who say I won't compete.

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<v Speaker 3>He's beloved in Pennsylvania and he's out there still campaigning

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<v Speaker 3>for whether or not he's on the ticket or not.

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<v Speaker 3>Do you think in Pennsylvania they would reject the Democratic

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<v Speaker 3>Party even though they love their Democratic governor.

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<v Speaker 1>They're not rejecting the Democratic Party. They're tired of high

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<v Speaker 1>inflation prices, They're tired of the border being wide open.

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<v Speaker 1>They want someone to do with something that they'll actually say.

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<v Speaker 1>You watch President Trump go into a Steeler game and

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<v Speaker 1>people start chanting USA. What do you think they would

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<v Speaker 1>chant if Kamala was sitting there? They probably wouldn't say anything.

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<v Speaker 1>If I asked, you are America? Tell me the three

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<v Speaker 1>things Kamala Harris will do if she gets elected president.

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<v Speaker 1>She has spent a billion dollars. The only thing I

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<v Speaker 1>know is she's going to give people twenty five thousand

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<v Speaker 1>dollars for the first House and bring inflation to home prices.

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<v Speaker 1>That's the only thing I know.

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<v Speaker 3>She can't know how you can sleep.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, it's going to be a very tight race. Republicans

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<v Speaker 1>will win the Senate. We're in a good place, and

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<v Speaker 1>that's purely map the presidency. I give a sixty percent

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<v Speaker 1>chance that President Trump's going to win there. I just watch.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a tight race in the House. It's actually easier

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<v Speaker 1>for Republicans to win seats this cycle. But Republicans now

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<v Speaker 1>are behind on money. I just came back and saw

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<v Speaker 1>four races that were tied. The Democrats had, but they

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<v Speaker 1>don't have the money to go play. They've made a

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<v Speaker 1>mistake in this process. We always had more. I don't

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<v Speaker 1>see the strategy in the House where you're on offense.

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<v Speaker 1>I would go out. We beat the d triple C

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<v Speaker 1>chair last time. Remember the last two cycles, leaders I

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<v Speaker 1>only won when Biden won the presidency. It was the

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<v Speaker 1>first time since nineteen ninety four no Republican incumbent lost,

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<v Speaker 1>but speaker.

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<v Speaker 3>The Republicans were feeling really good this time two years ago.

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<v Speaker 3>Remember Kerry Lake was supposed to be the governor of Arizona.

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<v Speaker 3>It wasn't the red wave, no, but.

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<v Speaker 1>There was one place that still won where everybody else lost.

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<v Speaker 1>Same thing as the election before in the House, and

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<v Speaker 1>we elected the most Republican women, most Republican minorities. We

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<v Speaker 1>won five seats in California, five in New York. We

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<v Speaker 1>won Oregon, we won Arizona. We won where Republicans were losing.

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<v Speaker 1>And if they keep the problem is they're not keeping

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<v Speaker 1>with that same strategy. President Trump, though, this is the

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<v Speaker 1>thing you want to look at it. Who's going to win? Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>First of all, the campaigns in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, the

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<v Speaker 1>incumbent Democrat senators are using Trump and their campaigns not

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<v Speaker 1>against them but hugging them. So tell me how that's

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<v Speaker 1>going to turn out. That's a good sign for a puppet.

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<v Speaker 1>Then you're looking at articles where there's infighting in the

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<v Speaker 1>Democratic Party because they want to know who to blame

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<v Speaker 1>when they lose. And now they're literally talking about would

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<v Speaker 1>it have been better to keep Biden on the ticket.

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<v Speaker 1>And now you have people really going after Pelosi because

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<v Speaker 1>not only did she and Obama push Biden off, she's

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<v Speaker 1>the one who selected the VP candidate that put him

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<v Speaker 1>in this problem.

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<v Speaker 3>You're very well versed in the House races.

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<v Speaker 1>You want to walk through them.

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<v Speaker 3>Oh no, no, no, not all of them. There's too many.

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<v Speaker 3>But no, there's some cubantes prolific. You were a prolific fundraiser.

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<v Speaker 3>You saying they don't have money? Now, whose fault is that?

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<v Speaker 3>That Speaker Johnson's problem?

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<v Speaker 1>Well, look he just came in. No, Look I want

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<v Speaker 1>to put that on Johnson. I put that on the

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<v Speaker 1>aid who partnered with all the Democrats who are helping

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<v Speaker 1>Why would the Democrats partner with these eight Republicans because

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<v Speaker 1>they knew it would give them an advantage in an

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<v Speaker 1>election that they couldn't just our super pac last cycle

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<v Speaker 1>had more money than the D Triple C and their

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<v Speaker 1>super pack. Now, if you want to look at the

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<v Speaker 1>makeup of the environment, and this is where you want

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<v Speaker 1>to you want to see. Timing is everything in politics.

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<v Speaker 1>Gallup does an interesting poll where they don't ask you

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<v Speaker 1>if you'll vote for Harris or Trump. They ask you

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<v Speaker 1>which party do you identify with? And they've done this

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<v Speaker 1>for decades. Republicans are leading forty eight to forty five.

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<v Speaker 1>Now is that important? Yes, Republicans have never led and

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<v Speaker 1>they ask a second question, who's best to solve the problems?

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<v Speaker 1>Republican leading that. So it's a good environment in the

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<v Speaker 1>House North Carolina redistrict, so you automatically start with three

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<v Speaker 1>new seats you can pick up. You've got a race

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<v Speaker 1>in Colorado that last time was a new seat that

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<v Speaker 1>we had a libertarian in that picked up four percent

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<v Speaker 1>of the vote. They're not in Gabe Evans could pick

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<v Speaker 1>up there. Alaska a ranked system. We don't have the

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<v Speaker 1>second Republican running there. We'll pick that seat up. Then

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<v Speaker 1>if you go to Pennsylvania, we had a bad top

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<v Speaker 1>of the ticket last time for governor. Dave McCormick is fantastic.

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<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump is fantastic. So one or two seats there.

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<v Speaker 1>You got Michigan where you have Slotkin who pulled out

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<v Speaker 1>Tom Barretts running.

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<v Speaker 3>You're feeling like Republicans were talking two years ago. We

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<v Speaker 3>only have a little bit of left. I have to

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<v Speaker 3>ask about Elon.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm telling you there's opportunities if you had the resources.

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<v Speaker 3>You see the opportunities. If there was resources, maybe if okay.

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<v Speaker 1>Every cycle I was leader, we gain seats in California.

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<v Speaker 1>There's two other seats we can gain the question is

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<v Speaker 1>are you putting the resources in to get the message out? Again?

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<v Speaker 1>It the environment is there. If you don't turn it out,

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<v Speaker 1>there's a problem.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's talk about man with resources. Elon Musk. He's saying

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<v Speaker 3>that if you are a registered voter, you can get

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<v Speaker 3>one million dollars. There's some legal issues with that. But

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<v Speaker 3>that's not what I want to ask you. I want

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<v Speaker 3>to ask about this idea that he can become the

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<v Speaker 3>head of the Department of Government efficiency. Does that make sense?

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<v Speaker 3>Because now he's talking about if he does become that person,

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<v Speaker 3>maybe there's a pathway to approve autonomous vehicles that will

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<v Speaker 3>directly help his company that he's the chief executive officer of.

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<v Speaker 3>Can he do both? Is that what now?

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<v Speaker 1>Now, I've known Elon for a long time. He's never

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<v Speaker 1>said I want to go into government so I can

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<v Speaker 1>get autonomous vehicles approved. That's not even on his mind.

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<v Speaker 1>But listen to the question you just asked, Oh my god,

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<v Speaker 1>could we have Elon Musk go to government and make

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<v Speaker 1>it efficient? No. We just had a hurricane in North

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<v Speaker 1>Carolina and the only way people can get the Internet

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<v Speaker 1>is because of Elon. We have astronauts stuck in space.

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<v Speaker 1>The only way they can come down is if we

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<v Speaker 1>ask Elon.

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<v Speaker 4>We just watched a rocket that no government did, but

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<v Speaker 4>Elon set it up, created an engine only made in America,

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<v Speaker 4>where before him we paid putin for their rockets, and

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<v Speaker 4>he lands it right on back.

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<v Speaker 1>I would pray Elon would come in and make our

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<v Speaker 1>government efficient. My god, you would have accountability, You would

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<v Speaker 1>have a government that works for the people. And does

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<v Speaker 1>he want any money from it. No, we want more

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<v Speaker 1>people like that. I mean, there is no other country

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<v Speaker 1>in the world. Every single one would beg for Elon

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<v Speaker 1>to come and do it. And somehow the Democrats want

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<v Speaker 1>to think that's wrong. That is what's wrong with them.

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<v Speaker 2>He's going to be tweeting this clip a little bit

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<v Speaker 2>later speaking. Mccontie is going to.

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<v Speaker 1>See your thanks for having me back.

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<v Speaker 2>Thank you appreciate it. The filmhouse speak of that, Kevin

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<v Speaker 2>mccarthie