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Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News.

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Speaker 2: He's the latensed this morning Kamala Harrison, Donald Trump attempting

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Speaker 2: to paint stock contrast and a race that is still

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Speaker 2: anyone's to win. A new Bloomberg Morning consult Paul showing

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Speaker 2: the candidates tied. I'm unla likely to which is in

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Speaker 2: seven battle grand states joining us now? Former Speaker of

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Speaker 2: the House Kevin mcconthy, Spaker mcconfee good to say.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, good to be here.

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Speaker 2: It's a tight one. And if I could offer you

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Speaker 2: the outcome of any one race right now, which one

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Speaker 2: would you want to know?

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Speaker 1: I would watch Pennsylvania. Why's that because we elect presidents,

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Speaker 1: not by popular vote, by electoral college. So you assume,

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Speaker 1: if you look at the last election, which was only

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Speaker 1: won by forty nine and eighteen votes, that Donald Trump

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Speaker 1: would get pretty much the same electoral states that he

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Speaker 1: got before. And I believe he'd pick up Georgia. If

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Speaker 1: he picks up Pennsylvania, it's over. He's gotten to this

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Speaker 1: two seventy. He wouldn't need Arizona, he wouldn't need Nevada.

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Speaker 1: And when you look at where the play is, even

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Speaker 1: the Union voters in Pennsylvania overwhelmingly support Trump over Kamala

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Speaker 1: and Kamala at the end of the day, if she

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Speaker 1: loses this race, it's going to be her listening to

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Speaker 1: Pelosi when Pelosi pushed her to pick Waltz, not because

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Speaker 1: Shapiro's too ambitious. I like leaders who want people who

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Speaker 1: are ambitious around them, not people who say I won't compete.

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Speaker 3: He's beloved in Pennsylvania and he's out there still campaigning

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Speaker 3: for whether or not he's on the ticket or not.

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Speaker 3: Do you think in Pennsylvania they would reject the Democratic

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Speaker 3: Party even though they love their Democratic governor.

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Speaker 1: They're not rejecting the Democratic Party. They're tired of high

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Speaker 1: inflation prices, They're tired of the border being wide open.

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Speaker 1: They want someone to do with something that they'll actually say.

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Speaker 1: You watch President Trump go into a Steeler game and

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Speaker 1: people start chanting USA. What do you think they would

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Speaker 1: chant if Kamala was sitting there? They probably wouldn't say anything.

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Speaker 1: If I asked, you are America? Tell me the three

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Speaker 1: things Kamala Harris will do if she gets elected president.

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Speaker 1: She has spent a billion dollars. The only thing I

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Speaker 1: know is she's going to give people twenty five thousand

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Speaker 1: dollars for the first House and bring inflation to home prices.

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Speaker 1: That's the only thing I know.

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Speaker 3: She can't know how you can sleep.

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Speaker 1: Okay, it's going to be a very tight race. Republicans

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Speaker 1: will win the Senate. We're in a good place, and

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Speaker 1: that's purely map the presidency. I give a sixty percent

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Speaker 1: chance that President Trump's going to win there. I just watch.

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Speaker 1: It's a tight race in the House. It's actually easier

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Speaker 1: for Republicans to win seats this cycle. But Republicans now

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Speaker 1: are behind on money. I just came back and saw

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Speaker 1: four races that were tied. The Democrats had, but they

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Speaker 1: don't have the money to go play. They've made a

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Speaker 1: mistake in this process. We always had more. I don't

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Speaker 1: see the strategy in the House where you're on offense.

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Speaker 1: I would go out. We beat the d triple C

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Speaker 1: chair last time. Remember the last two cycles, leaders I

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Speaker 1: only won when Biden won the presidency. It was the

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Speaker 1: first time since nineteen ninety four no Republican incumbent lost,

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Speaker 1: but speaker.

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Speaker 3: The Republicans were feeling really good this time two years ago.

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Speaker 3: Remember Kerry Lake was supposed to be the governor of Arizona.

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Speaker 3: It wasn't the red wave, no, but.

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Speaker 1: There was one place that still won where everybody else lost.

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Speaker 1: Same thing as the election before in the House, and

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Speaker 1: we elected the most Republican women, most Republican minorities. We

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Speaker 1: won five seats in California, five in New York. We

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Speaker 1: won Oregon, we won Arizona. We won where Republicans were losing.

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Speaker 1: And if they keep the problem is they're not keeping

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Speaker 1: with that same strategy. President Trump, though, this is the

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Speaker 1: thing you want to look at it. Who's going to win? Okay,

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Speaker 1: First of all, the campaigns in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, the

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Speaker 1: incumbent Democrat senators are using Trump and their campaigns not

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Speaker 1: against them but hugging them. So tell me how that's

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Speaker 1: going to turn out. That's a good sign for a puppet.

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Speaker 1: Then you're looking at articles where there's infighting in the

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Speaker 1: Democratic Party because they want to know who to blame

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Speaker 1: when they lose. And now they're literally talking about would

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Speaker 1: it have been better to keep Biden on the ticket.

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Speaker 1: And now you have people really going after Pelosi because

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Speaker 1: not only did she and Obama push Biden off, she's

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Speaker 1: the one who selected the VP candidate that put him

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Speaker 1: in this problem.

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Speaker 3: You're very well versed in the House races.

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Speaker 1: You want to walk through them.

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Speaker 3: Oh no, no, no, not all of them. There's too many.

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Speaker 3: But no, there's some cubantes prolific. You were a prolific fundraiser.

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Speaker 3: You saying they don't have money? Now, whose fault is that?

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Speaker 3: That Speaker Johnson's problem?

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Speaker 1: Well, look he just came in. No, Look I want

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Speaker 1: to put that on Johnson. I put that on the

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Speaker 1: aid who partnered with all the Democrats who are helping

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Speaker 1: Why would the Democrats partner with these eight Republicans because

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Speaker 1: they knew it would give them an advantage in an

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Speaker 1: election that they couldn't just our super pac last cycle

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Speaker 1: had more money than the D Triple C and their

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Speaker 1: super pack. Now, if you want to look at the

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Speaker 1: makeup of the environment, and this is where you want

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Speaker 1: to you want to see. Timing is everything in politics.

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Speaker 1: Gallup does an interesting poll where they don't ask you

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Speaker 1: if you'll vote for Harris or Trump. They ask you

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Speaker 1: which party do you identify with? And they've done this

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Speaker 1: for decades. Republicans are leading forty eight to forty five.

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Speaker 1: Now is that important? Yes, Republicans have never led and

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Speaker 1: they ask a second question, who's best to solve the problems?

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Speaker 1: Republican leading that. So it's a good environment in the

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Speaker 1: House North Carolina redistrict, so you automatically start with three

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Speaker 1: new seats you can pick up. You've got a race

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Speaker 1: in Colorado that last time was a new seat that

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Speaker 1: we had a libertarian in that picked up four percent

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Speaker 1: of the vote. They're not in Gabe Evans could pick

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Speaker 1: up there. Alaska a ranked system. We don't have the

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Speaker 1: second Republican running there. We'll pick that seat up. Then

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Speaker 1: if you go to Pennsylvania, we had a bad top

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Speaker 1: of the ticket last time for governor. Dave McCormick is fantastic.

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Speaker 1: Donald Trump is fantastic. So one or two seats there.

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Speaker 1: You got Michigan where you have Slotkin who pulled out

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Speaker 1: Tom Barretts running.

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Speaker 3: You're feeling like Republicans were talking two years ago. We

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Speaker 3: only have a little bit of left. I have to

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Speaker 3: ask about Elon.

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Speaker 1: I'm telling you there's opportunities if you had the resources.

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Speaker 3: You see the opportunities. If there was resources, maybe if okay.

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Speaker 1: Every cycle I was leader, we gain seats in California.

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Speaker 1: There's two other seats we can gain the question is

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Speaker 1: are you putting the resources in to get the message out? Again?

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Speaker 1: It the environment is there. If you don't turn it out,

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Speaker 1: there's a problem.

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Speaker 3: Let's talk about man with resources. Elon Musk. He's saying

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Speaker 3: that if you are a registered voter, you can get

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Speaker 3: one million dollars. There's some legal issues with that. But

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Speaker 3: that's not what I want to ask you. I want

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Speaker 3: to ask about this idea that he can become the

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Speaker 3: head of the Department of Government efficiency. Does that make sense?

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Speaker 3: Because now he's talking about if he does become that person,

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Speaker 3: maybe there's a pathway to approve autonomous vehicles that will

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Speaker 3: directly help his company that he's the chief executive officer of.

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Speaker 3: Can he do both? Is that what now?

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Speaker 1: Now, I've known Elon for a long time. He's never

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Speaker 1: said I want to go into government so I can

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Speaker 1: get autonomous vehicles approved. That's not even on his mind.

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Speaker 1: But listen to the question you just asked, Oh my god,

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Speaker 1: could we have Elon Musk go to government and make

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Speaker 1: it efficient? No. We just had a hurricane in North

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Speaker 1: Carolina and the only way people can get the Internet

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Speaker 1: is because of Elon. We have astronauts stuck in space.

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Speaker 1: The only way they can come down is if we

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Speaker 1: ask Elon.

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Speaker 4: We just watched a rocket that no government did, but

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Speaker 4: Elon set it up, created an engine only made in America,

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Speaker 4: where before him we paid putin for their rockets, and

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Speaker 4: he lands it right on back.

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Speaker 1: I would pray Elon would come in and make our

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Speaker 1: government efficient. My god, you would have accountability, You would

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Speaker 1: have a government that works for the people. And does

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Speaker 1: he want any money from it. No, we want more

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Speaker 1: people like that. I mean, there is no other country

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Speaker 1: in the world. Every single one would beg for Elon

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Speaker 1: to come and do it. And somehow the Democrats want

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Speaker 1: to think that's wrong. That is what's wrong with them.

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Speaker 2: He's going to be tweeting this clip a little bit

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Speaker 2: later speaking. Mccontie is going to.

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Speaker 1: See your thanks for having me back.

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Speaker 2: Thank you appreciate it. The filmhouse speak of that, Kevin

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Speaker 2: mccarthie