1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,840 Speaker 1: We have Priceline CEO Brett Keller joining us now. Brett, 2 00:00:02,920 --> 00:00:05,320 Speaker 1: it's great to have you with us, because it feels 3 00:00:05,360 --> 00:00:08,360 Speaker 1: like for the cruises you're still seeing really robust demand there. 4 00:00:08,400 --> 00:00:10,959 Speaker 1: We were talking about pricing power with some of the 5 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:13,520 Speaker 1: CEOs of some of the big cruise lines earlier in 6 00:00:13,560 --> 00:00:15,760 Speaker 1: the day on Bloomberg TV today, and then you take 7 00:00:15,800 --> 00:00:18,599 Speaker 1: a look at the airlines. It's a much different picture. 8 00:00:18,640 --> 00:00:21,400 Speaker 1: Of course, when it comes to the forecast for travel demand. 9 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:24,520 Speaker 1: From where you're sitting at Priceline, how does it look 10 00:00:24,560 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 1: to you? 11 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:28,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, I think what we're seeing is that consumers 12 00:00:28,400 --> 00:00:32,519 Speaker 2: are certainly seeking out value, and cruise lines create and 13 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:34,479 Speaker 2: produce a lot of value for consumers. It's one of 14 00:00:34,479 --> 00:00:39,320 Speaker 2: the cheapest ways to travel in terms of all inclusive meals, entertainment, etc. 15 00:00:39,760 --> 00:00:41,400 Speaker 2: And you spend many times you can spend less than 16 00:00:41,400 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 2: one hundred dollars per person per night, So it's great 17 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 2: value there. We're seeing the same thing. We have shoppers 18 00:00:45,960 --> 00:00:49,159 Speaker 2: coming into price lines specifically focused on our value offers, 19 00:00:49,200 --> 00:00:53,000 Speaker 2: whether that's our vacation packages, express deals, etc. When you 20 00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:56,560 Speaker 2: look at the flight industry, listen, TSA numbers continue to 21 00:00:56,600 --> 00:00:59,000 Speaker 2: show that there's growth year on year. In fact, we're 22 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:01,720 Speaker 2: tracking five or six sent up year on year for 23 00:01:01,800 --> 00:01:04,320 Speaker 2: the last month, and so consumers are still flying. I 24 00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 2: think what happened in the airline space is they added 25 00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:08,720 Speaker 2: a little too much capacity and so they're removing that 26 00:01:08,800 --> 00:01:11,119 Speaker 2: as they look forward over the next quarter, and that's 27 00:01:11,120 --> 00:01:13,479 Speaker 2: going to put a little more pressure on pricing, as 28 00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:15,680 Speaker 2: their prices have been down for most of the year. 29 00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:18,240 Speaker 1: I mean, what's your opinion there that maybe the airlines 30 00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:21,520 Speaker 1: were betting that this post pandemic burst of travel that 31 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:24,319 Speaker 1: we saw was going to be sustained, whereas now it 32 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 1: seems like maybe we're returning to more normal pre pandemic levels. 33 00:01:29,400 --> 00:01:31,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, obviously travel has been very hot for the last 34 00:01:31,680 --> 00:01:36,120 Speaker 2: year and a half. Consumers were really investing significantly in 35 00:01:36,160 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 2: that part of their spend, and so we saw a 36 00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:42,240 Speaker 2: lot of travel overseas, which is a very rich part 37 00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:44,920 Speaker 2: of the travel experience for the airlines. And so I 38 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:47,280 Speaker 2: think what's happening is consumers are pumping the brakes just 39 00:01:47,360 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 2: a little bit, but travel is still healthy. It continues 40 00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:53,600 Speaker 2: to be one of the highest prioritized discretionary spend categories, 41 00:01:53,960 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 2: and we're certainly seeing that. I think across the industry, 42 00:01:56,360 --> 00:01:59,720 Speaker 2: but there are some pockets leisure travel in particular. Consumers 43 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:01,600 Speaker 2: are being a little more careful about how they're spending 44 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:03,800 Speaker 2: their dollar as they've kind of come through this peak 45 00:02:03,800 --> 00:02:05,720 Speaker 2: of summer now in travel and they're looking forward to 46 00:02:05,760 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 2: Labor Day and beyond. 47 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:13,400 Speaker 3: Last year, brett AI was the buzzword in markets, and 48 00:02:13,400 --> 00:02:15,799 Speaker 3: it's also something we heard a lot from companies. How 49 00:02:15,840 --> 00:02:17,880 Speaker 3: have you worked AI into your product? 50 00:02:18,919 --> 00:02:20,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, thank you for asking that, Listen. We were one 51 00:02:20,840 --> 00:02:23,880 Speaker 2: of the innovators of AI. Over a year ago. We 52 00:02:23,960 --> 00:02:27,640 Speaker 2: launched chatbot and put that to work, and we're finding 53 00:02:27,639 --> 00:02:31,720 Speaker 2: that really across the consumer booking process, this is becoming 54 00:02:31,760 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 2: more and more natural for consumers to interact with So 55 00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:36,440 Speaker 2: they're using it not only to plan and think of 56 00:02:36,480 --> 00:02:40,160 Speaker 2: itineraries ahead of booking their travel, but during the booking 57 00:02:40,160 --> 00:02:43,880 Speaker 2: process itself, they're engaging in our chatbot, asking questions about 58 00:02:43,960 --> 00:02:45,840 Speaker 2: the property that they want to stay at, the location, 59 00:02:45,960 --> 00:02:49,200 Speaker 2: the activities nearby, and then post purchase, they're using it 60 00:02:49,520 --> 00:02:53,639 Speaker 2: to service their product. It's a much easier way to 61 00:02:54,480 --> 00:02:58,360 Speaker 2: very quickly cancel a reservation, make changes to a reservation, 62 00:02:58,680 --> 00:03:01,280 Speaker 2: or find out more information about a refunder other things 63 00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 2: that are important to the consumer. So we're finding it 64 00:03:03,800 --> 00:03:06,639 Speaker 2: to be a very useful and innovative tool to help 65 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:10,040 Speaker 2: the consumer just smooth out that travel process all along 66 00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:10,400 Speaker 2: the way. 67 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:12,880 Speaker 3: How hard are consumers working to save money? I mean 68 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:15,200 Speaker 3: when you say refund it makes me think about sometimes 69 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:16,760 Speaker 3: it's not easy to get those You've got to do 70 00:03:16,800 --> 00:03:21,280 Speaker 3: the legwork. When I look at, for example, car rental prices, 71 00:03:21,600 --> 00:03:25,040 Speaker 3: it always doubles once I add all the insurance and fees, 72 00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:27,440 Speaker 3: and then if I really want to save money, I'll 73 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:29,600 Speaker 3: actually call my credit card and say hey, am I 74 00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 3: insured for this rental car? Or figure out with my 75 00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:34,800 Speaker 3: state farm agent. Like our customers doing the extra work 76 00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 3: to save the money. 77 00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:40,200 Speaker 2: Yes, consumers are absolutely, I think taking the time to 78 00:03:40,280 --> 00:03:43,200 Speaker 2: not only shop ahead of their trip, to look at 79 00:03:43,440 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 2: the various different players in the space who can deliver 80 00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:48,000 Speaker 2: the best value in the lowest price, and two to 81 00:03:48,040 --> 00:03:50,440 Speaker 2: your point, when it comes to add ons, whether that's 82 00:03:50,520 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 2: insurance activities, even dining, they are making very specific decisions 83 00:03:55,600 --> 00:03:59,240 Speaker 2: to fit that within their budget. And so Priceline, for example, 84 00:03:59,440 --> 00:04:02,360 Speaker 2: offers an insurance product with the relicar. We've actually seen 85 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:06,040 Speaker 2: the insurance take rates go up meeting more people are 86 00:04:06,200 --> 00:04:09,560 Speaker 2: adding insurance to their car. I think that's just a 87 00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:12,240 Speaker 2: part of the post pandemic experience. People are really trying 88 00:04:12,280 --> 00:04:16,240 Speaker 2: to protect their purchases, to ensure that if, for in fact, 89 00:04:16,320 --> 00:04:18,760 Speaker 2: they have travel disruption or something happens on the trip, 90 00:04:18,800 --> 00:04:21,080 Speaker 2: they're covered for that. Consumers are insted in that. 91 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:24,600 Speaker 3: Are they clicking on the insurance the airline insurance as well? 92 00:04:24,640 --> 00:04:26,680 Speaker 3: Every time you buy a ticket the airline says, hey, 93 00:04:26,720 --> 00:04:28,680 Speaker 3: if you've give me twenty more dollars, you know you 94 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:31,720 Speaker 3: can cancel on the day of Are more consumers using that? 95 00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:36,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, we have seen an increase in travel insurance associated 96 00:04:36,400 --> 00:04:39,560 Speaker 2: with an airline ticket purchase, especially for the bigger transactions 97 00:04:39,600 --> 00:04:42,440 Speaker 2: like a vacation package. People really do want to protect 98 00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:45,880 Speaker 2: their investment, and insurance is a legitimate and a very 99 00:04:45,880 --> 00:04:46,680 Speaker 2: good way to do that. 100 00:04:47,520 --> 00:04:49,360 Speaker 1: I want to talk to about trends that we might 101 00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:52,040 Speaker 1: be seeing when it comes to length of travel. There 102 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:54,040 Speaker 1: was a really interesting story on the Terminal a couple 103 00:04:54,160 --> 00:04:57,520 Speaker 1: days ago that had data from Embark Beyond which found 104 00:04:57,560 --> 00:05:01,120 Speaker 1: that the average trip length is down fourteen percent year 105 00:05:01,240 --> 00:05:05,159 Speaker 1: over year, now averages six point tuesdays rather than seven 106 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:08,880 Speaker 1: point eight days. Now Embark beyond. It serves primarily US 107 00:05:09,120 --> 00:05:12,800 Speaker 1: ultra high net worth individuals, But are you seeing similar 108 00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:14,799 Speaker 1: trends when it comes to price lines customers? 109 00:05:16,120 --> 00:05:19,480 Speaker 2: Now, we service the value consumer, and in the data 110 00:05:19,520 --> 00:05:22,040 Speaker 2: that we're looking at, we haven't seen a material difference 111 00:05:22,200 --> 00:05:25,479 Speaker 2: in length of stay for our consumers. They continue to 112 00:05:26,279 --> 00:05:29,520 Speaker 2: book at a fairly normal rate in terms of how 113 00:05:29,560 --> 00:05:31,360 Speaker 2: far out they're looking, and so we're not seeing a 114 00:05:31,440 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 2: significant collapse, for example, in last minute bookings and consumers, 115 00:05:35,839 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 2: are you really taking the same types of trips? I 116 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:44,800 Speaker 2: think where we're seeing the focus now is on what 117 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:47,400 Speaker 2: type of trip am I going to take? And am 118 00:05:47,480 --> 00:05:50,000 Speaker 2: I going to change that behavior based on what my 119 00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:52,279 Speaker 2: budget's going to allow me to do? And so obviously 120 00:05:52,320 --> 00:05:54,200 Speaker 2: last year and really earlier this year, we saw a 121 00:05:54,200 --> 00:05:57,720 Speaker 2: lot of travel overseas, over to Europe, over to Asia. 122 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:00,320 Speaker 2: Now as we approach Labor Day, we're seen a lot 123 00:06:00,360 --> 00:06:04,479 Speaker 2: more consumers interested in in more nearby destinations, so things 124 00:06:04,520 --> 00:06:07,520 Speaker 2: like Mexico, the Caribbean, the Bahamas. People still want to 125 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:09,400 Speaker 2: take that vacation, they want to get to beaches and 126 00:06:09,440 --> 00:06:12,760 Speaker 2: warm destinations, but they're sticking a little bit closer than 127 00:06:12,800 --> 00:06:14,880 Speaker 2: they were, say six months ago, and I. 128 00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:17,440 Speaker 1: Mean, it's interesting to tie it back into how we 129 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:20,680 Speaker 1: started this conversation. You think about how people are traveling. 130 00:06:20,920 --> 00:06:24,719 Speaker 1: We've been talking about the trade down across industries really 131 00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:27,160 Speaker 1: all year. When you think about sort of the shift 132 00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:30,640 Speaker 1: from airlines now cruises are hot, really now you see 133 00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:33,360 Speaker 1: people traveling by car more. I mean, is that part 134 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:35,400 Speaker 1: of that overall trade down narrative. 135 00:06:36,520 --> 00:06:39,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's something we watched very closely because it's a 136 00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:42,360 Speaker 2: very rational thing to do. Right, you would have stayed 137 00:06:42,360 --> 00:06:43,880 Speaker 2: in a five star hotel, now you're going to stay 138 00:06:43,880 --> 00:06:45,120 Speaker 2: a four. You would have stayed in the three, and 139 00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:47,680 Speaker 2: now you're shifting down to a two. We haven't seen 140 00:06:47,720 --> 00:06:51,640 Speaker 2: a material move in that trade down experience in the 141 00:06:51,680 --> 00:06:54,040 Speaker 2: bookings and in the consumers that we're looking at here 142 00:06:54,040 --> 00:06:56,960 Speaker 2: at Priceline. And again, I think people still want to travel, 143 00:06:57,680 --> 00:07:00,479 Speaker 2: but they are looking for discounts, they're looking for deals 144 00:07:00,520 --> 00:07:02,160 Speaker 2: to save. They want to do the same trip they 145 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:05,080 Speaker 2: did before, but they'd like to knock off a couple 146 00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:07,360 Speaker 2: of dollars on that trip and bring the pricing down. 147 00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:09,520 Speaker 2: And so again we're seeing a lot more interest in 148 00:07:09,880 --> 00:07:13,240 Speaker 2: our value offers on our Priceline website. 149 00:07:13,560 --> 00:07:16,680 Speaker 1: All right, bred it's always a fascinating conversation with you, 150 00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:19,960 Speaker 1: of course, as we monitor the consumer and the traveler, 151 00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:22,760 Speaker 1: that of course is Priceline CEO Brett Keller