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Speaker 1: terms and responsible gaming resources. What is going on everybody?

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Speaker 1: John Middlecoff three in our podcast, how are we doing?

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Speaker 1: My people? It is a Thursday afternoon. Here's the plan.

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Speaker 1: We will dive into the Patriot Way. Might have died

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Speaker 1: today because Belichick did not get the Atlanta Falcons job.

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Speaker 1: Some thoughts on the Hardbob Brothers. Is Jared Goff like

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Speaker 1: kind of flying under the radar right now? All we

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Speaker 1: do is talk about the other three quarterbacks. But former

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Speaker 1: number one overall pick is the Lions in the NFC

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Speaker 1: Championship game. And Fugazi Friday. I forgot about Fugazi Friday

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Speaker 1: last week. I will try to keep it rolling moving forward.

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Speaker 1: I will not forget it again. So Fugazi Friday and

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Speaker 1: Stucky joins us as well to talk the two games,

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Speaker 1: gambling on the props, who he likes in the points spread?

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Speaker 1: Starred week right, obviously Mahomes getting four points, Niners, big

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Speaker 1: favors at home, favorites at home as they were last

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Speaker 1: week and obviously didn't cover. So it's football, So we

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Speaker 1: gotta gamble, gotta have some money on, you know, some props.

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Speaker 1: I'm a big prop guy now did my first prop

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Speaker 1: last week? Didn't hit it, but it was fun. I

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Speaker 1: see where you guys are coming from. Other than that,

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Speaker 1: subscribe to three and Out podcast. Appreciate everyone that has.

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Speaker 1: Make sure you we got a YouTube channel. Make sure

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Speaker 1: to check that out as well, the three nut YouTube

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Speaker 1: channel and the volume dot com. We have merched. The

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Speaker 1: volume dot com has merched. Other than that, content's gonna

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Speaker 1: keep flowing. I think I will have a mail bag

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Speaker 1: out for Saturday as well. I got a lot of

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Speaker 1: mail question so I'm gonna unload some of those for

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Speaker 1: the people and let's rock and roll. But first I

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Speaker 1: gotta tell you about my friends. I saw that the

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Speaker 1: ticket for the forty nine er Lions game has a

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Speaker 1: chance to be the most expensive championship ticket in the

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Speaker 1: history of the league. Last year it was for this round,

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Speaker 1: not counting the Super Bowl. Last year was Philly, which

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Speaker 1: I think was like eighteen seventeen hundred dollars. This has

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Speaker 1: a chance to be well over two thousand dollars. And

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Speaker 1: if you want to buy tickets to some of these events, listen,

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Speaker 1: it's expensive. We'll get into Luca kicking out a guy

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Speaker 1: that was sitting in the second row. You want to

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Speaker 1: save a little money, and that's where my friends the

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Speaker 1: official ticketing app of this podcast, game Time. Come into

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Speaker 1: play Baby, download the game Time app. And when you

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Speaker 1: buy a pair of tickets to anything, concerts, comedy shows,

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Speaker 1: obviously sporting events. Promo code John Promo co John John

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Speaker 1: jo Hn, save twenty dollars. Cannot recommend them enough. Ticket

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Speaker 1: prices to all these pro sports are really expensive. And

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Speaker 1: that's where we come in. Promo co John. Save yourself

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Speaker 1: a little money. Go enjoy yourself, get out of the house.

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Speaker 1: We got a week off next week of no football,

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Speaker 1: so be you know hell, you can see your family

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Speaker 1: again if you're someone like me, So game Time promo

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Speaker 1: co John, enjoy yourself and save a little money. Is

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Speaker 1: the Patriot Way dead? Think about that? Is the Patriot

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Speaker 1: Way dead? It's been out there, I would say, for

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Speaker 1: a little while. Is the Patriot Way dead? Today? It

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Speaker 1: feels like unofficially kind of died, you know. The Atlanta

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Speaker 1: Falcons hired Raheem Morris, who listen is a very deserving candidate.

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Speaker 1: Is someone who should be interviewing everywhere. High level guy

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Speaker 1: has the experienced a long long time ago as a

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Speaker 1: younger coach, clearly not only as mature to as a person,

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Speaker 1: but is a really, really good coach and someone who

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Speaker 1: was of high interest to a lot of people. So

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Speaker 1: it's not crazy, you know, in a vacuum or by itself,

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Speaker 1: that Raheem Morris got a head coaching job, but that

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Speaker 1: the Atlanta Falcons chose him over Bill Belichick, I would say,

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Speaker 1: was pretty shocking. I was stunned, though it had kind

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Speaker 1: of play. I would say, the longer this has went,

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Speaker 1: you went, I wonder if there are people in that

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Speaker 1: building that don't want Bill Belichick, which is pretty clear

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Speaker 1: because if you're Rich McKay, who I've said for a while,

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Speaker 1: I don't know him, but he has this role where

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Speaker 1: it's the best job in sports. Florio wrote about it today, Right,

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Speaker 1: it's an incredible gig. When you win, you get to

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Speaker 1: celebrate like you're a big part of football, and when

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Speaker 1: you lose, you're up there with the owner pointing the

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Speaker 1: finger at the idiot coaches. It's like you get no responsibility.

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Speaker 1: You get to be the president, but you're not just

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Speaker 1: dealing with the business ultimately, like the football people answer

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Speaker 1: to you. Yet when the football situation wins twenty one

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Speaker 1: games in three years, like not my fault, it's the

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Speaker 1: coach doesn't know what he's doing. I know what I'm doing.

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Speaker 1: I'm sitting here with the owner. That guy get him

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Speaker 1: out of there. And of course he didn't want Bill

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Speaker 1: Belichick because you think Bill Belichick is gonna answer to

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Speaker 1: anyone but the owner. And listen, you could make the

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Speaker 1: counter argument is twenty twenty four, he's seventy two years old. Like,

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Speaker 1: if you're an owner, if you're anyone working in the organization,

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Speaker 1: don't you want a guy that you go well, if

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Speaker 1: all goes right, this guy's gonna be our next head

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Speaker 1: coach for a decade, fifteen years, Like, hopefully he's here

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Speaker 1: for a long time. Hopefully he's our Sean McVay where

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Speaker 1: he's coming from, R Mike Tomlin, ur John Harbaugh or

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Speaker 1: Kyle Shanahan. He's gonna be our guy. But Arthur Blank

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Speaker 1: is eighty one years old. So it's like, listen, I'm

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Speaker 1: rooting for his health. I watched the press conference when

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Speaker 1: they fired Arthur Smith. Cognitively feels pretty sharp. Honestly, he

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Speaker 1: just felt like he was closer to seventy than eighty

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Speaker 1: one when you hear him talk. But like, is he

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Speaker 1: really worried about the next ten years or is he

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Speaker 1: trying to win now and be relevant now? And clearly

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Speaker 1: now I'm not saying ultimately he's the decision maker. Didn't

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Speaker 1: go with Bill Belichick And the difference of Bill and

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Speaker 1: some of these other guys, like you're not hiring Bill

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Speaker 1: and expecting general managers to work with him, Like, ultimately,

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Speaker 1: you do kind of have to hand the keys to

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Speaker 1: Bill Belichick. That's what the Chargers just did. Jim Harbaugh

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Speaker 1: is in full control. Seattle Seahawks did it with their GM,

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Speaker 1: John Schneider in full control. The Titans they did it

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Speaker 1: with their GM in full control. Right, So someone has

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Speaker 1: to be in control. And Bill Belichick at this age

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Speaker 1: is not really gonna be like, yeah, I'll answer like

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Speaker 1: seven guys, especially Rich McKay who reports her, you know,

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Speaker 1: all out there that he doesn't like, which I don't

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Speaker 1: totally blame him because he despises people like that, Like

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Speaker 1: what is he actually doing? Like I'm fine with anyone

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Speaker 1: in a president role doing the business side, but when

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Speaker 1: you intermix and you control football yet have you bear

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Speaker 1: no responsibility. It is kind of weird, but it is

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Speaker 1: I think fair to assume that Belichick's coaching career is

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Speaker 1: in major trouble. Right, if he didn't get a job

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Speaker 1: this year, is he more likely to get a job

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Speaker 1: next year when he's seventy three years old and a

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Speaker 1: couple of years go by. It might be all she wrote,

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Speaker 1: which to me seems pretty crazy. I understand, you know,

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Speaker 1: these last couple of years haven't gone perfectly. He is

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Speaker 1: the second most winning as coach in the history of

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Speaker 1: the league. He as an assistant coach and obviously as

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Speaker 1: a head coach, has won eight Super Bowls. He's been

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Speaker 1: to whatever eleven of them, because he lost three when

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Speaker 1: he was with the New England Patriots. I think it

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Speaker 1: is a little nuts to hire Raheem Morris over Bill

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Speaker 1: Belichick when you're an eighty one year old owner. Like,

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Speaker 1: I think that's a mistake. I would have hired Bill Belichick.

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Speaker 1: Could it be a short term thing, of course, But

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Speaker 1: this team, it's not like they're really they've won seven

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Speaker 1: games the last three years. This notion that they have

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Speaker 1: a lot of talent on offense, maybe, like Kyle Pitts

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Speaker 1: was supposed to be the next Tony Gonzalez hasn't quite

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Speaker 1: looked like that. B Jhon Robinson like, I'm sorry, Like

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Speaker 1: he's a good talented player. But there are a lot

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Speaker 1: of talented running backs. I mean they're just Isaiah Pachenko

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Speaker 1: went in the seventh round. He's fucking running over guys

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Speaker 1: left and right in massive games. So I think the

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Speaker 1: Falcons overvalue their talent a little bit. But culturally, like,

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Speaker 1: I just don't buy it now. Raheem Morris been with

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Speaker 1: Sean McVay for a while. I view him and I

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Speaker 1: would imagine they do too, as like a positive culture guy.

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Speaker 1: I've listening to podcasts with him. He's an impressive guy.

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Speaker 1: But did not hire Belichick to me feels like a mistake.

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Speaker 1: I get the other guys, the quote unquote Patriot Way

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Speaker 1: wouldn't touch Josh mcgaiel's and my head coach Patricia no chance.

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Speaker 1: Even Brian Flores, he can't get a he can't get

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Speaker 1: along with offensive coaches and a quarterback. Kind of a

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Speaker 1: problem in the modern day NFL. But Bill, like, I'm

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Speaker 1: pretty sure his resume speaks for himself. But ultimately Atlanta

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Speaker 1: and I think it's pready clear the powers that be there,

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Speaker 1: close to Arthur Smith, wanted no part of Bill, which

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Speaker 1: I understand if I was them, if I put myself

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Speaker 1: in Rich McKay's shoes and Terry Foutina's shoes the general manager.

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't want to hire Bill Belichick either. But when

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Speaker 1: you don't win and you continue to do what you do,

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Speaker 1: like I can't imagine many people like myself are gonna

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Speaker 1: feel bad for you. It's one thing if you don't

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Speaker 1: win and you made the right choice, it's another thing.

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Speaker 1: Like to me Seattle, I was texting with a couple

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Speaker 1: people today around the league. It was like, am I

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Speaker 1: crazy if I'm John Snyder? And I had to choose

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Speaker 1: between if I'm gonna hire a defensive coach because Ben

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Speaker 1: Johnson all signs point to him going to Washington, and

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Speaker 1: it's Dan Quinn or Mike Vrabel. I'm sorry, I'm going

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Speaker 1: with Mike Rabel. I wouldn't even have to think twice.

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Speaker 1: But if they end up hiring dan Quinn, it's like

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Speaker 1: I kind of want to hire my buddy, who is

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Speaker 1: a lot like Pete, positive energy, keep it rolling, like

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Speaker 1: you're gonna hire a defensive coach, hire the right defensive coach. Hell,

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Speaker 1: I would hire Mike McDonald the defensive coordinator for John Harbaugh,

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Speaker 1: over Dan Quinn. But at least as I'm recording this

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Speaker 1: right now signs due point to Dan Quinn, you know,

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Speaker 1: more than likely being their next head coach. So these

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Speaker 1: coaching cycles in general are a complete coin flip unless

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Speaker 1: you hire you know, Andy Reid, which kind of guarantees

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Speaker 1: you to win, or a Jim Harball, which we'll get

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Speaker 1: into in a second. But I would say that was

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Speaker 1: pretty eye opening today. Now, the longer it went, it

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Speaker 1: was pretty clear that Bill's spot as the you know

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Speaker 1: as their choice was diminishing by the day and ultimately

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Speaker 1: wasn't their choice. So dal Bill Belichick will not be

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Speaker 1: a head coach in the NFL. I do think there's

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Speaker 1: something that he could do pretty well. I have a

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Speaker 1: pretty good feel for this. I view myself as the

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Speaker 1: ultimate consumer. I consume a ton of podcasts, games, different

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Speaker 1: broadcasts of sports, like I got a pretty good feel

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Speaker 1: who's good and who's not in terms of an entertainment

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Speaker 1: value as someone who makes their living watching television. And

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Speaker 1: I said right away when NBC a couple of years

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Speaker 1: ago hired Drew Brees, I'm like, this is not gonna work.

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Speaker 1: That this is not gonna work. And he was fired

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Speaker 1: within a year. That has nothing to do against Drew

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Speaker 1: Brees as a player, fantastic player. If I was an

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Speaker 1: NFL team, I'd want Drew Brees to be my offensive

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Speaker 1: coordinator or like I'd hire him as my offensive coordinator

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Speaker 1: assistant GM right now, Like I think Drew brings a

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Speaker 1: lot to the table football wise, but as a personality

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Speaker 1: entertainment never saw it and clearly it didn't work and

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Speaker 1: he was gonzo because the part of the reason when NBC,

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Speaker 1: you know, collins Worth for whatever reason, will not do

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Speaker 1: two games in a weekend. Though toa Rico will, uh,

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Speaker 1: maybe it's contractually Listen, you know, money talk, shit walks.

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Speaker 1: I get it. If you're not gonna pay me more,

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna do more work. But the reason Jason

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Speaker 1: Garrett is in that number two chair is because Drew

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Speaker 1: Brees flopped. I think a lot of people look at

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Speaker 1: Bill Belichick and they say, no personality boring ultimate curmudget

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Speaker 1: well as a head coach because the media serves no

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Speaker 1: purpose for him the majority of the and a lot

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Speaker 1: of the time when he's at the podium during the season,

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Speaker 1: he's going into a game, right so talking about the opponent,

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Speaker 1: he's always very positive. He's always very hesitant to anoint

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Speaker 1: you know, guys on his own team. He just he's

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Speaker 1: been playing the same playbook now in that role for

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Speaker 1: twenty plus years. But we've seen him when he's not

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Speaker 1: the head coach twice in recent memory, and he was fantastic.

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Speaker 1: The NFL did that Top one hundred players of all

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Speaker 1: time and Bill was on the set like with Eisen

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Speaker 1: and Collinsworth, right, and he was awesome because at his core,

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Speaker 1: he does have a personality one and he's the ultimate

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Speaker 1: football nerd. He you know, he's actually closer to Peyton Manning.

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Speaker 1: I'm not Peyton probably got a little more juice to him.

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Speaker 1: But like when Peyton's just nerding out on football on

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Speaker 1: ESPN two on Monday Football, he's just entertaining why because

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Speaker 1: he fucking loves football. And the other thing Belichick knows

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Speaker 1: is the NFL like the back of his hand. He's

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Speaker 1: literally evaluated every player in the league and every coach

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Speaker 1: in the league, offensive and defensive and special teams. There

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Speaker 1: is not anyone associated with the NFL that he doesn't

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Speaker 1: have a scouting report on to me Thursday Night Football

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Speaker 1: on Amazon, Listen. I like Kirkurbstreet. He's a college guy.

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Speaker 1: They have no chemistry him and now do not work.

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Speaker 1: They're both good guys independent of each other. OL's kind

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Speaker 1: of over the hill, but obviously OL's returning next year

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Speaker 1: according all reports, I'd hire Belichick for a year. To me,

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Speaker 1: that is a no brainer. And I think the first

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Speaker 1: reaction a lot of people on social media would be, oh,

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Speaker 1: that's a terrible he's so boring. Watch Bill Belichick on

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Speaker 1: just google it or YouTube it on the top one

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Speaker 1: hundred players, or his college game day appearance when during

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Speaker 1: the Army Navy game when he was with Lee Corso,

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Speaker 1: he's a completely different human being. He would be better

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Speaker 1: than Herbstreet immediately doing NFL games. To me, that's a

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Speaker 1: no brainer. Now, is Bill just gonna retire? He's fifteen

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Speaker 1: games away from being the second all time or excuse me,

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Speaker 1: breaking the record, is the all time winning his coach.

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Speaker 1: I can't imagine he just wants to tap out. But

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Speaker 1: you get to a point, like listen, being too old

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Speaker 1: is a thing, not that I don't think he's still

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Speaker 1: capable of coaching, but the way people view you, like

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Speaker 1: most people don't want to hire people that are seventy two,

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Speaker 1: seventy three years old and pay them twenty million dollars

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Speaker 1: a year. Look at the discourse around are elected officials.

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Speaker 1: We all fucking laugh. We're like, how are the seventy

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Speaker 1: and eighty year olds off? Who's voting for these old fogies?

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Speaker 1: Obviously morons? But you don't you want some youth, You

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Speaker 1: want some young blood. It's why look at the people

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Speaker 1: that have been hired over the last five years. A

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Speaker 1: lot of younger people. Doesn't guarantee it's gonna work. A

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Speaker 1: lot of them fail, but that's what owners and gms

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Speaker 1: are inclined to do. So he's gonna have age working

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Speaker 1: against him. And I think the one way to kind

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Speaker 1: of move that narrative is to go on television. And

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Speaker 1: to me, if I'm Amazon, I would immediately fire herb

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Speaker 1: Street and put Belichick on there, and you would give

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Speaker 1: him a platform. When Thursday night football, everyone is home

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Speaker 1: because the game plan and the coaching staffs by the

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Speaker 1: time they get to Thursday, it's not some all night grind.

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Speaker 1: Every owner is also sitting at home watching that broadcast,

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Speaker 1: so it's not just that be us. It'd be entertaining

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Speaker 1: and it'd be cool. It would be a job interview

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Speaker 1: for him to kind of show the lighter side, because

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Speaker 1: one thing he's gonna have going against him, right, because

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Speaker 1: you can't hire him and then have some forty five

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Speaker 1: year old GM telling him what to do. It's gonna

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Speaker 1: be like, show you're a little looser, Show you're not

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Speaker 1: the biggest raging asshole. That literally, that's kind of the perception.

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Speaker 1: Perception becomes reality because when you look at Belichick, like

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Speaker 1: his resume, no one can sniff that. I mean, the

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Speaker 1: dude that just got hired in Carolina has been an

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Speaker 1: offensive coordinator for like two years a year because Leftwood

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Speaker 1: was the offensive coordinator last year. Again, impressive guy, but

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Speaker 1: look at his resume, a lot of time being a

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Speaker 1: position coach. Chance of that work and slim the none

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Speaker 1: And obviously Belichick would want no part of the Carolina Panthers.

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Speaker 1: That's the thing. I think there's a chance that maybe

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Speaker 1: Belichick wasn't that comfortable with some of the setups. This

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Speaker 1: might not be all on Atlanta, right, It could be

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Speaker 1: Bill like, yeah, I'm not as interested as you think,

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Speaker 1: but he having a platform in changing the narrative. It

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Speaker 1: works now. Like I said, time's on on his side.

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Speaker 1: So if he wanted to get back in he'd need

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Speaker 1: a he'd have to be a big year, and you'd

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Speaker 1: have to show some serious personality which we have seen before.

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Speaker 1: But to me, that is the move. That's the move.

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Speaker 1: If I'm if I'm Belichick and I desire to be

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Speaker 1: a coach again, I gotta be on TV, and I

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Speaker 1: think if I'm Amazon, I'd want all of Belichick. I

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Speaker 1: think that would be a home run, fantastic. Now, there

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Speaker 1: would be some growing pains, like he's ever done it,

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Speaker 1: but I think that to me makes a lot of sense,

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Speaker 1: And honestly, don't be shocked if that ends up happening.

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Speaker 1: I've been thinking of the last twenty four hours since

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Speaker 1: Jim Harbaugh got hired. Are the Harby was about to

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Speaker 1: run this league? Because think about john Win or lose Sunday.

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Speaker 1: All signs point that both his coordinators are coming back. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: you know Munkin is not gonna get a head coaching job.

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Speaker 1: Mike McDonald, who I thought was arguably the best coordinator

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Speaker 1: offensive or defensive in the NFL this season, where's he

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Speaker 1: getting in the job. If Ben Johnson goes to Washington

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Speaker 1: and Seattle hires dan Quinn or Vrabel feels like dan

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Speaker 1: Quinn that's it. All the jobs are filled, like there're

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Speaker 1: no more open seats, like the dance ends. Everyone has

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Speaker 1: a chair, table's full. So John Harbaugh obviously has this

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Speaker 1: quarterback who has gotten dramatically better from when he's already

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Speaker 1: won an MVP. He's got this roster, a lot of

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Speaker 1: guys under contract, and both his coordinators are coming back.

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Speaker 1: So the Ravens at least again next year are gonna

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Speaker 1: be awesome. And we've seen over and over and over

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Speaker 1: Jim Harball comes for his opponents like a tank through

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Speaker 1: a wall, so he's coming. Like, I don't know how

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Speaker 1: good the Charger are gonna be. It's it's impossible to

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Speaker 1: know their roster sitting here, you know, late January, but

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Speaker 1: I think it's fair to say they're gonna be competitive.

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Speaker 1: I'm not saying they're gonna be in the NFC Championship game,

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Speaker 1: but I would be stunned at minimum if they're not,

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Speaker 1: like legit in the playoff mix late in December. And honestly,

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Speaker 1: most people, I bet when the dust settles are gonna

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Speaker 1: pick them as a playoff team, Like, are the Harbas

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Speaker 1: about to seriously stranglehold this NFL? Because the Ravens are

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Speaker 1: gonna be awesome again next year. If they bring both

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Speaker 1: coordinators back, the cohesion there schematically would be on another level.

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Speaker 1: And we know Jim's gonna win with Justin Herbert how big,

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Speaker 1: I don't know, but he's gonna win. Why because that's

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Speaker 1: all he's ever done. And I was also thinking, like,

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Speaker 1: how crazy is that that you don't think about Peyton

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Speaker 1: and Eli? Right they Peyton was an all timer and

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Speaker 1: Eli had some moments, but he was a lot of

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Speaker 1: people argued a little overrated, kind of let you down

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Speaker 1: in spots where you thought he should be better. But

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Speaker 1: obviously you have two sons that are NFL quarterback. One's

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Speaker 1: already in the Hall of Fame, and you know when

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Speaker 1: the I bet Eli ends up there. We've seen it

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Speaker 1: at other positions, right TJ and JJ Watt. JJ's a

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Speaker 1: Hall of Famer. TJ is definitely on the trajectory to

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Speaker 1: be one. Nick and Joey Bosa if they both stay healthy.

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Speaker 1: Bigger question with nick elite family. How often do you

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Speaker 1: have two kids that dominate their profession in the same industry, right,

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Speaker 1: And it's not like there's no nepotism here, right, Sometimes like, well,

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Speaker 1: my dad ran a hedge fun. He gave one of

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Speaker 1: the kids to one the other kid took like his

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Speaker 1: two hundred million dollar inheritance and ran another one. And

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Speaker 1: now they're both worth seven hundred and fifty million. Like

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Speaker 1: they're like, yeah, kind of got a head start. Jim

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Speaker 1: literally had to play in the NFL and then he

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Speaker 1: started coaching as a quality control guy for Al Davis.

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Speaker 1: John was not an NFL player, had to start like

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Speaker 1: an Indiana and worked his way up with Andy Reid

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Speaker 1: and the Philadelphia Eagles. So both these two guys earned

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Speaker 1: every fucking thing they have, and now both of them

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Speaker 1: are just complete ass kickers. And you know what, Like,

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Speaker 1: I'm a sucker for old school football. I never apologized

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Speaker 1: for watching football for the violence. That's the era I

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Speaker 1: grew up in. I watched football for big hits. I

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Speaker 1: watch it for the physicality. Just playing in high school.

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Speaker 1: One reason I sucked like I couldn't be fit. I

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Speaker 1: wasn't big enough, I got shoved around, but it was

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Speaker 1: it was the violence of football was unlike any other sports,

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Speaker 1: whether you play baseball, basketball, maybe hockey. I'm from California

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Speaker 1: obviously hockey. But it's what makes it so special. And

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Speaker 1: both these guys. One's a quarterback, the other is just

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Speaker 1: a nobody player whose dad was a coach became You

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Speaker 1: could argue two of the most physical football coaches in

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Speaker 1: the NFL. Two guys. When you watch their team play,

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Speaker 1: you go, God, the other team better buckle their chin strap.

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Speaker 1: The other team better not flinch because they are fucking

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Speaker 1: coming for your throat. And it's just been awesome to

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Speaker 1: watch obviously the both especially Jim Little out there, but

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Speaker 1: the way they coach football and the way their teams play,

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Speaker 1: or everything I love about the sport. You know, you

406
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Speaker 1: can watch your you know, Big twelve games that are

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Speaker 1: forty eight to forty two, or even some of your

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Speaker 1: NFL shootout games. I like watching games where every yard

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Speaker 1: is contested, where it's like it's really hard to get

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Speaker 1: a first down, even in this modern day NFL where

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Speaker 1: you can't crush guys over the middle, right, I like

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Speaker 1: watching two lines of scrimmages that are hard to move.

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Speaker 1: And obviously John you know, has built that and been

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Speaker 1: a part of that with the Ravens. Get ready Charger fans,

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Speaker 1: because that is clearly gonna happen with the Chargers, Like

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Speaker 1: you don't even need to question what are the Chargers

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Speaker 1: gonna look like? Here's what I would guess. Austin Eckler

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Speaker 1: will not be on the team next year. They will

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Speaker 1: sign a physical back and they will draft another guy high,

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Speaker 1: and their philosophy will be to run it down your throat,

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Speaker 1: play defense with a star quarterback, and watch out because

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Speaker 1: he's proven when he gets a good quarterback, that fish

423
00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:04,000
Speaker 1: belief on how to play football works. Why do the

424
00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:07,159
Speaker 1: Ravens work when Lamar plays well? Obviously he's a special player,

425
00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:10,040
Speaker 1: but because they can run the ball and they dominate

426
00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:13,359
Speaker 1: on defense, this game isn't that complicated, right, And I

427
00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:17,640
Speaker 1: think a lot of guys in the NFL like it's

428
00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:20,040
Speaker 1: hard to fake being a tough guy. Like I'm not

429
00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:22,360
Speaker 1: some tough guy. I can't just walk into a bar

430
00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:26,240
Speaker 1: somewhere in like a you know, in Scottsdale just pick

431
00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:29,720
Speaker 1: fights with people. I'm gonna lose probably a lot of them.

432
00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:32,760
Speaker 1: Most people truly aren't tough. It's like deep down in

433
00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:36,160
Speaker 1: your soul. And when you know a tough guy, everyone

434
00:23:36,240 --> 00:23:39,680
Speaker 1: knows it. Right. We all have someone in the friend group,

435
00:23:39,800 --> 00:23:41,720
Speaker 1: maybe a friend of a friend, maybe a dude that

436
00:23:41,760 --> 00:23:44,960
Speaker 1: wrestled in college. Maybe you know an offensive lineman in

437
00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:47,479
Speaker 1: college where you're just like, I would not mess with

438
00:23:47,520 --> 00:23:50,719
Speaker 1: that guy because you don't have to fake it right. Obviously,

439
00:23:50,760 --> 00:23:52,200
Speaker 1: there are a lot of frauds when it comes to

440
00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:54,400
Speaker 1: being a fake tough guy, and they get their ass

441
00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:57,199
Speaker 1: kicked at different points in time in their life. The

442
00:23:57,240 --> 00:24:00,800
Speaker 1: Harbab brothers are tough and they don't even need to

443
00:24:00,840 --> 00:24:03,119
Speaker 1: talk about it, Like you just watch their team play.

444
00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:05,760
Speaker 1: You watch how they can tuck themselves like they're just

445
00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:09,400
Speaker 1: cut from an old school cloth. I'm just glad both

446
00:24:09,440 --> 00:24:13,320
Speaker 1: of them have played such big roles in just football

447
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:15,879
Speaker 1: because as a fan, like I like the way they coach,

448
00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:19,800
Speaker 1: and I'm glad in a day and age when everything's offense, offense,

449
00:24:19,880 --> 00:24:23,000
Speaker 1: spread it out, spread it out like old school coaches,

450
00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:26,160
Speaker 1: like let's let's fucking get into a heavyweight brawl here,

451
00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:28,240
Speaker 1: buckle up and see who's the toughest guy at the

452
00:24:28,320 --> 00:24:30,480
Speaker 1: end of the game. Like that's ultimately what Jim turned

453
00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:33,280
Speaker 1: Michigan in and what happened. And this is Ryan Day's

454
00:24:33,280 --> 00:24:36,200
Speaker 1: a good coach, but at Ryan Day's core, deep down,

455
00:24:36,840 --> 00:24:39,760
Speaker 1: he's nowhere near as tough as Jim And you can't

456
00:24:39,800 --> 00:24:44,760
Speaker 1: fake that. Like at the Nick Saban. Deep down, it's

457
00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:48,159
Speaker 1: just a tough SLB man. He's his dad was a

458
00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:52,200
Speaker 1: gas station owner in West Virginia. Like, you can't fake

459
00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:55,440
Speaker 1: who you are as a coach, right, Even Andy Reid

460
00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:58,000
Speaker 1: who likes to throw the ball. Andy Reid was a

461
00:24:58,040 --> 00:25:01,639
Speaker 1: college offensive lineman. Why do you think historically he's really

462
00:25:02,600 --> 00:25:06,760
Speaker 1: taken like put a lot into his offensive and defensive

463
00:25:06,760 --> 00:25:10,080
Speaker 1: lines because that's who he is. He's alignment who likes

464
00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:13,000
Speaker 1: throwing bombs. He's got allle Davis to him. But I

465
00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:16,800
Speaker 1: just think that these two brothers man helped change the

466
00:25:16,800 --> 00:25:20,880
Speaker 1: sport in a positive way to back in the day

467
00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:24,200
Speaker 1: when the game was I would say a little more enjoyable.

468
00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:27,200
Speaker 1: I still love football, but you know, I'm a sucker

469
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:30,679
Speaker 1: for some nineties and two thousands just war zone games,

470
00:25:30,840 --> 00:25:34,240
Speaker 1: and those two provide that. A lot of talking points

471
00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:37,840
Speaker 1: over the last really couple weeks in the NFL has

472
00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:41,160
Speaker 1: been about the superstar quarterbacks, right, Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes,

473
00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:44,520
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson, and then Brock Purty. It's just NonStop, and

474
00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:46,960
Speaker 1: let's face it, they deserve it. Lamar Jackson's about to

475
00:25:47,000 --> 00:25:49,359
Speaker 1: win his second MVP. He's got a chance to go

476
00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:52,240
Speaker 1: to his first Super Bowl. Patrick Mahomes just knocked off

477
00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:55,160
Speaker 1: Josh Allen. If Patrick Mahomes win this game, Like, let's

478
00:25:55,160 --> 00:25:57,480
Speaker 1: face it, if Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid win this

479
00:25:57,560 --> 00:26:01,000
Speaker 1: game and Patrick is unreal and somehow just wills his

480
00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:03,440
Speaker 1: team to a victory. I mean we're basically talking about

481
00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:06,680
Speaker 1: like Tom Brady, Michael Jordan, Tiger Woods, like his resume

482
00:26:06,800 --> 00:26:08,800
Speaker 1: would be at a point where it's like, what are

483
00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:12,080
Speaker 1: we watching? How is this possible? You know, Brock Purdy,

484
00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:14,920
Speaker 1: There's just never been anything like him, a guy drafted

485
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:17,680
Speaker 1: at the end of the second round who immediately starts

486
00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:20,200
Speaker 1: as a rookie because of injuries, right, I mean that

487
00:26:20,280 --> 00:26:21,960
Speaker 1: was part of it. Like even Tom, he didn't start

488
00:26:22,040 --> 00:26:23,920
Speaker 1: till a second year, and he was a sixth round pick.

489
00:26:24,280 --> 00:26:26,200
Speaker 1: This guy was the last pick in the seventh round.

490
00:26:26,240 --> 00:26:28,400
Speaker 1: Like Tom was crazy pick one ninety nine. This guy

491
00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:30,240
Speaker 1: was picked two sixty two. So it just makes it

492
00:26:30,359 --> 00:26:34,720
Speaker 1: very polarizing. No one's talking about Jared Goff, Nobody how

493
00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:38,760
Speaker 1: about his career. Think how impressive what he's doing is.

494
00:26:39,119 --> 00:26:41,879
Speaker 1: And I noticed this week listening to Kyle Shanahan and

495
00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:45,199
Speaker 1: Fred Warner talk about him. I saw Richard on his

496
00:26:45,280 --> 00:26:48,000
Speaker 1: podcast from some clip. I don't think it was actually

497
00:26:48,000 --> 00:26:49,520
Speaker 1: on his volume podcast it was. I think he was

498
00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:52,000
Speaker 1: talking with Key Shawn, or might have been on a

499
00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:54,840
Speaker 1: clip on on Disputed or something was like, listen, I've

500
00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:57,320
Speaker 1: played Jared Goff as an opponent and he used to wilt,

501
00:26:58,200 --> 00:27:00,760
Speaker 1: and I do think he's tougher now now. I'm not

502
00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:03,679
Speaker 1: saying he's Philip Rivers out there, like if you hit

503
00:27:03,720 --> 00:27:06,879
Speaker 1: him in interior pressure throws him off. But to me,

504
00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:09,760
Speaker 1: when you watch him play now, he feels better. He

505
00:27:09,760 --> 00:27:12,080
Speaker 1: feels like he's playing the best football of his career.

506
00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:15,240
Speaker 1: And he was the number one overall pick. This is

507
00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:17,639
Speaker 1: a guy that has played in several playoff games before

508
00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:21,480
Speaker 1: he even got to Detroit. This guy, now controversial call,

509
00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:25,560
Speaker 1: won an NFC championship game. And you watch him in Detroit.

510
00:27:25,720 --> 00:27:27,560
Speaker 1: What he's done so far in these two games, right,

511
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:31,080
Speaker 1: they've had little margin foreir If he screws up against

512
00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:34,560
Speaker 1: the Rams, they lose. Last week, I know it was

513
00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:36,639
Speaker 1: a fourteen point game with like five minutes left. That

514
00:27:36,680 --> 00:27:39,400
Speaker 1: thing was tight, Like there are points in time like, wait,

515
00:27:39,600 --> 00:27:42,160
Speaker 1: the Lions really gonna lose us. He hasn't thrown a pick.

516
00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:46,840
Speaker 1: He's been almost seventy five percent completion percentage. And we

517
00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:49,800
Speaker 1: talk a lot about this last draft and how well

518
00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:53,119
Speaker 1: they've drafted in general in Detroit. It really is one

519
00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:56,960
Speaker 1: of the more underrated personnel moves because obviously Stafford worked

520
00:27:56,960 --> 00:27:59,200
Speaker 1: out so well for the Rams, he won them Super Bowl.

521
00:27:59,320 --> 00:28:02,480
Speaker 1: It couldn't have gone much better. But Jared Goff has

522
00:28:02,480 --> 00:28:06,439
Speaker 1: been a huge reason for the Lions resurrection, right I mean,

523
00:28:06,440 --> 00:28:10,760
Speaker 1: he's throwing fifty nine touchdowns the last two years, fifty nine.

524
00:28:10,800 --> 00:28:14,680
Speaker 1: And we talk so much about Dak Prescott and Kirk Cousins,

525
00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:16,440
Speaker 1: and he was always kind of in that group, but

526
00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:18,440
Speaker 1: people put him at the end like, are we sure

527
00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:22,680
Speaker 1: he's not better than those guys, especially Dak Prescott? Are

528
00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:25,520
Speaker 1: we sure he's not better than Dak Prescott? Now, part

529
00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:28,000
Speaker 1: of the reason that makes Jared Goff kind of unique

530
00:28:28,040 --> 00:28:29,920
Speaker 1: is right now, he makes twenty five million dollars a year.

531
00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:32,480
Speaker 1: You could argue for his production for a guy not

532
00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:35,679
Speaker 1: on a rookie contract, he's the best bargain in the NFL.

533
00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:38,959
Speaker 1: Most guys like Dak and above are making forty to

534
00:28:38,960 --> 00:28:42,360
Speaker 1: fifty million dollars. So his ability to play on a

535
00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:44,720
Speaker 1: smaller contract because they just played out what he signed

536
00:28:44,720 --> 00:28:47,720
Speaker 1: with the Rams has allowed them to just build a

537
00:28:47,720 --> 00:28:50,200
Speaker 1: pretty good team, and he's under contract for next year too.

538
00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:52,600
Speaker 1: It does get a little complicated because there's not really

539
00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:55,400
Speaker 1: a middle ground, like what I extend him right now,

540
00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:58,280
Speaker 1: three years, one hundred million guarantee every penny one hundred percent?

541
00:28:58,920 --> 00:29:02,120
Speaker 1: Would he do that? I mean price kind of the

542
00:29:02,160 --> 00:29:05,080
Speaker 1: price like I'm going to Pro Bowls. I'm, you know,

543
00:29:05,120 --> 00:29:08,800
Speaker 1: a top fringe, top ten quarterback in the NFL. Usually

544
00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:11,720
Speaker 1: that conversation a minimum starts it, probably one hundred and

545
00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:16,040
Speaker 1: fifty million dollars guaranteed. So it gets complicated moving forward.

546
00:29:16,080 --> 00:29:18,840
Speaker 1: But the last couple of years, it's hard to not

547
00:29:20,040 --> 00:29:23,600
Speaker 1: really respect his journey any human being. And I've been

548
00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:26,520
Speaker 1: told this twice. One time I didn't have my contract renewed.

549
00:29:26,560 --> 00:29:29,240
Speaker 1: The other time I was basically escorted out of the building.

550
00:29:29,640 --> 00:29:32,200
Speaker 1: When someone tells you in the first time, like Howie

551
00:29:32,280 --> 00:29:34,280
Speaker 1: in the organization in chip Kelly like I get it,

552
00:29:34,320 --> 00:29:38,520
Speaker 1: like new administration bringing in new people, whatever, radio like

553
00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:40,680
Speaker 1: I don't think you're good enough. You don't think I'm

554
00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:42,800
Speaker 1: good enough. You don't think I'm good enough. Now it

555
00:29:42,840 --> 00:29:45,120
Speaker 1: turns out the Raiders pushed me out. But regardless when

556
00:29:45,120 --> 00:29:50,040
Speaker 1: someone tells you that, wait serious, I don't care if

557
00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:53,240
Speaker 1: you're the pettiest human being alive, like Belichick or Portnoy,

558
00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:56,360
Speaker 1: or you're just kind of an even keel, mild mannered

559
00:29:56,360 --> 00:29:59,320
Speaker 1: guy like Jared Goff. If you have some sort of

560
00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:03,360
Speaker 1: compet nature to your soul, that fucking pisses you off.

561
00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:07,640
Speaker 1: And it's something Colin I think wrote in a book

562
00:30:08,320 --> 00:30:10,680
Speaker 1: like The Decade Ago, that holding a grudge is like

563
00:30:10,760 --> 00:30:14,160
Speaker 1: chainsmoking hate, and I would tend to agree with that, Like,

564
00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:18,240
Speaker 1: if you're thinking about the negative thoughts about someone or

565
00:30:18,280 --> 00:30:22,120
Speaker 1: someone that screwed you years ago, it's kind of pointless

566
00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:25,400
Speaker 1: to carry along. But let's face it, we're all human beings.

567
00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:29,760
Speaker 1: There are things that happen in your life negatively professionally

568
00:30:30,400 --> 00:30:34,240
Speaker 1: that you never forget and that helped drive you. And

569
00:30:34,920 --> 00:30:37,720
Speaker 1: Sean mcvayh told this guy, you're not good enough. And

570
00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:41,560
Speaker 1: I saw Andrew Whitworth told a story that Jared Goff

571
00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:43,800
Speaker 1: demanded after he got traded, like Sean, I want to

572
00:30:43,840 --> 00:30:46,040
Speaker 1: meet with you. I want you to tell me to

573
00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:48,920
Speaker 1: my face what the problem was here. And Sean did

574
00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:50,320
Speaker 1: and told him and they kind of hashed it out

575
00:30:50,320 --> 00:30:52,640
Speaker 1: and I think stories have come out since that they

576
00:30:52,680 --> 00:30:56,520
Speaker 1: are much more cordial than the way it ended. And listen,

577
00:30:56,520 --> 00:31:00,040
Speaker 1: I'm not trying to absolve jaredy wasn't playing well, but

578
00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:04,480
Speaker 1: I've said this forever young people, and I can only

579
00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:07,720
Speaker 1: speak for young guys professionally, whether you're playing in the

580
00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:11,040
Speaker 1: NFL or whether you're a car salesman like, it does

581
00:31:11,160 --> 00:31:13,440
Speaker 1: help to have people older than you, people in the

582
00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:19,960
Speaker 1: leadership positions, bosses, partners that express belief in you. There's

583
00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:23,040
Speaker 1: a confidence level that can sway with us. All. So

584
00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:26,440
Speaker 1: when you have someone who doesn't believe in you, it

585
00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:31,240
Speaker 1: can make you question yourself. And when you have someone

586
00:31:31,840 --> 00:31:35,480
Speaker 1: who has the utmost belief, at least the way they

587
00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 1: express it, the way through their actions of I think

588
00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:41,280
Speaker 1: you can do this, I want you to do this,

589
00:31:41,760 --> 00:31:44,920
Speaker 1: we believe in you as a team, as a company whatever.

590
00:31:45,360 --> 00:31:48,280
Speaker 1: That's empowering and that's the way to get the best

591
00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:50,800
Speaker 1: out of people. And the Lions and Dan Campbell have

592
00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:54,200
Speaker 1: really done that with jaredy Goff, and he's returned on

593
00:31:54,240 --> 00:31:57,760
Speaker 1: the investment because he has been fantastic and he was

594
00:31:57,800 --> 00:32:00,000
Speaker 1: a big reason that this team for the first time

595
00:32:00,040 --> 00:32:02,719
Speaker 1: I'm in you know, three decades. I mean I was

596
00:32:03,120 --> 00:32:07,520
Speaker 1: I'm almost forty years old. I was like seven years

597
00:32:07,520 --> 00:32:10,400
Speaker 1: old the last time that they played in this game.

598
00:32:11,040 --> 00:32:14,400
Speaker 1: So just an incredible accomplishment. Having Joe Montana and Barry

599
00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:16,840
Speaker 1: Sanders be the you know, the guys coming out for

600
00:32:16,880 --> 00:32:19,400
Speaker 1: the coin toss. It's gonna be a really really cool

601
00:32:19,440 --> 00:32:23,520
Speaker 1: moment like the AFC Championship game. Mahomes lamar shocked, stunned.

602
00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:26,840
Speaker 1: Couldn't have seen that one coming, right. This one's like

603
00:32:26,920 --> 00:32:29,240
Speaker 1: the Lions, even though we thought I picked the Lions

604
00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:32,440
Speaker 1: to win the division, uh, but that they actually made

605
00:32:32,440 --> 00:32:35,080
Speaker 1: it here, won multiple playoff games which were not easy,

606
00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:38,000
Speaker 1: very very impressive. And I just don't think we talked

607
00:32:38,000 --> 00:32:41,080
Speaker 1: about Jared Goff enough. Okay, before we get out of here,

608
00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:43,200
Speaker 1: I want to I gotta really hammer this home. Try

609
00:32:43,240 --> 00:32:45,840
Speaker 1: to make this a weekly thing, Fugazi Friday, and I

610
00:32:45,880 --> 00:32:48,520
Speaker 1: just try to pick some things that just feel like

611
00:32:48,560 --> 00:32:53,400
Speaker 1: one giant fugazi. Something's off, something's wrong, something just this

612
00:32:53,440 --> 00:32:57,480
Speaker 1: doesn't make sense. This is a borderline scam. And I

613
00:32:57,600 --> 00:33:01,120
Speaker 1: watched the press conference with Howie and Nick Sirianni, who

614
00:33:01,680 --> 00:33:04,640
Speaker 1: anytime you have such a devastating season, you're firing coaches

615
00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:07,880
Speaker 1: left and right. It's gonna be awkward, and the questions

616
00:33:07,920 --> 00:33:11,040
Speaker 1: people are gonna ask Nick Sirianni are gonna be difficult

617
00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:14,160
Speaker 1: for him to answer. But and I'm sure many of

618
00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:16,600
Speaker 1: you saw that he got asked like what do you do?

619
00:33:17,440 --> 00:33:19,440
Speaker 1: But one thing he said like, oh, that's an easy

620
00:33:19,520 --> 00:33:21,640
Speaker 1: question to ask, and what's he really gonna say, like

621
00:33:21,800 --> 00:33:25,000
Speaker 1: break down his day? But he kind of hammered home

622
00:33:25,160 --> 00:33:29,360
Speaker 1: that we need because they fired Brian Johnson. It's always

623
00:33:29,400 --> 00:33:33,160
Speaker 1: weird when you fire a coach and you're like, you know,

624
00:33:33,240 --> 00:33:36,080
Speaker 1: I think the guy's a great coach. He's gonna be

625
00:33:36,120 --> 00:33:39,080
Speaker 1: awesome wherever he goes. Well, you clearly don't because he's

626
00:33:39,080 --> 00:33:41,920
Speaker 1: not on your staff anymore and you want to replace him.

627
00:33:42,680 --> 00:33:45,680
Speaker 1: Nothing is faker in pro sports because it's such a

628
00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:49,440
Speaker 1: public job. Is when you fire a coach or a player,

629
00:33:49,480 --> 00:33:51,640
Speaker 1: but mainly a coach and you know he's a great

630
00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:54,640
Speaker 1: coach man, he's gonna be awesome. You do not believe

631
00:33:54,680 --> 00:33:57,320
Speaker 1: that you might really like the guy, but you don't

632
00:33:57,320 --> 00:33:59,480
Speaker 1: think he's good enough or you would not have fired him,

633
00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:01,960
Speaker 1: or maybe the owner just wanted him fire and you

634
00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:04,360
Speaker 1: wanted to keep him, which doesn't totally feel like like

635
00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:06,400
Speaker 1: Brian Johnson had to go, which is kind of crazy,

636
00:34:06,400 --> 00:34:12,000
Speaker 1: he's interviewing for other jobs, but he said, we got

637
00:34:12,120 --> 00:34:16,279
Speaker 1: stale on offense, and essentially we need someone else to

638
00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:18,919
Speaker 1: bring kind of new views. And I was thinking about

639
00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:22,160
Speaker 1: that today, Like, can you imagine at the end of

640
00:34:22,200 --> 00:34:25,000
Speaker 1: the season, like let's say the Chiefs lose by twenty

641
00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:28,560
Speaker 1: to the Ravens and offensively for their standards, they had

642
00:34:28,719 --> 00:34:30,959
Speaker 1: a bad season, and Andy Reid came out and said,

643
00:34:32,080 --> 00:34:35,120
Speaker 1: we need new people around here. We need to get

644
00:34:35,160 --> 00:34:38,719
Speaker 1: new ideas on offense. He would never say that that's

645
00:34:38,800 --> 00:34:41,959
Speaker 1: his baby. That's what he imagine Kyle Shanahan or Sean

646
00:34:42,040 --> 00:34:44,640
Speaker 1: McVay saying, like, our offense is a problem. I need

647
00:34:44,640 --> 00:34:46,840
Speaker 1: other people to come help me fix it. Listen, sometimes

648
00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:50,320
Speaker 1: you need new coaches, But like, aren't you the offensive coach?

649
00:34:50,719 --> 00:34:53,920
Speaker 1: Aren't you an offensive guy? Shouldn't that be your ability?

650
00:34:54,040 --> 00:34:57,759
Speaker 1: Imagine Bill Belichick back when he was a coach saying that, like,

651
00:34:57,800 --> 00:35:00,319
Speaker 1: our defense sucks, we need to bring a new people

652
00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:03,560
Speaker 1: to fix it. Aren't you the defensive genius? Isn't that

653
00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:06,920
Speaker 1: you're like side of the ball. Isn't that what you

654
00:35:07,000 --> 00:35:10,680
Speaker 1: can directly impact? And can't. And this is my thing

655
00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:13,920
Speaker 1: with with Sirianni. Now they're hiring Vic Fangio, who I

656
00:35:13,960 --> 00:35:17,279
Speaker 1: heard Albert Breer stand today like him and McDaniel weren't

657
00:35:17,320 --> 00:35:20,000
Speaker 1: really getting along. He wouldn't listen to anybody. Do you

658
00:35:20,040 --> 00:35:23,239
Speaker 1: think he's gonna listen to Sirianni? Like one thing with McDaniel,

659
00:35:23,680 --> 00:35:26,440
Speaker 1: even if you know it's not a collaborative process or whatever,

660
00:35:26,760 --> 00:35:28,960
Speaker 1: no one can dispute that McDaniel knows what he's doing

661
00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:32,839
Speaker 1: on offense. He's the offensive coordinator to play caller. Look

662
00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:35,600
Speaker 1: is this gonna work? So this thing already feels kind

663
00:35:35,640 --> 00:35:38,320
Speaker 1: of destined to be weird. Now, Vic in a vacuum

664
00:35:38,360 --> 00:35:40,960
Speaker 1: is an excellent coach, But I don't know, man, I

665
00:35:41,400 --> 00:35:44,399
Speaker 1: think I just I do think the question, like, what

666
00:35:44,560 --> 00:35:47,640
Speaker 1: is Sirianni doing? Is he just running one of the

667
00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:50,200
Speaker 1: great fugazis of all time being a head coach and

668
00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:53,640
Speaker 1: not doing anything. And it's listen, when everything's going well

669
00:35:54,400 --> 00:35:58,759
Speaker 1: any company, when you're making money, everyone's like yeah. It's

670
00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:00,640
Speaker 1: like it was like during too that I was twenty one.

671
00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:03,200
Speaker 1: Everyone's working from home. All these companies are ripping their stock.

672
00:36:03,680 --> 00:36:06,040
Speaker 1: Then the market turns. They're like, what are all these

673
00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:08,480
Speaker 1: people doing. I remember I knew so many people in

674
00:36:08,480 --> 00:36:10,200
Speaker 1: the Bay Area that worked for all these big tech

675
00:36:10,239 --> 00:36:13,279
Speaker 1: companies that were making three to five hundred grand a year.

676
00:36:13,560 --> 00:36:15,600
Speaker 1: They didn't have to do shit. They were going to

677
00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:18,200
Speaker 1: the fucking country club like four days a week. I'm like, God,

678
00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:22,000
Speaker 1: you're just on salary doing nothing. They're like, yeah, I'm

679
00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:24,080
Speaker 1: an HR manager. I make four fifty. We got a

680
00:36:24,160 --> 00:36:27,480
Speaker 1: hiring freeze for a year. Like what this is crazy.

681
00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:29,160
Speaker 1: He's like, I'm head at the country club, but most

682
00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:32,879
Speaker 1: is at ten am. I'm like, it's Tuesday. But those

683
00:36:32,880 --> 00:36:36,560
Speaker 1: people eventually got, you know, fat trimmed, and they lost

684
00:36:36,560 --> 00:36:38,359
Speaker 1: their jobs. Some of them did. Some of them kind

685
00:36:38,400 --> 00:36:41,480
Speaker 1: of finagled their way. Most of us like got to produce,

686
00:36:41,800 --> 00:36:44,360
Speaker 1: right salespeople can't do that. Like, if you don't produce,

687
00:36:44,400 --> 00:36:46,200
Speaker 1: it's pretty clear you're not working. But you're in one

688
00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:49,400
Speaker 1: of these jobs that the ROI on your gig is

689
00:36:49,440 --> 00:36:51,160
Speaker 1: not necessarily tied to you. It's hes to be like, ah,

690
00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:55,239
Speaker 1: I'm working doing what And that's kind of what Syrianne

691
00:36:55,239 --> 00:36:58,360
Speaker 1: feels like right now. There was a moment in the

692
00:36:58,440 --> 00:37:01,680
Speaker 1: Sun's game last night that a guy sitting in the

693
00:37:01,719 --> 00:37:05,720
Speaker 1: second row the Sons were playing the Mavericks that Luca,

694
00:37:06,280 --> 00:37:10,279
Speaker 1: the star player for the Maps, had thrown out. And

695
00:37:10,320 --> 00:37:12,360
Speaker 1: this has kind of been a thing in the NBA,

696
00:37:12,560 --> 00:37:14,600
Speaker 1: I would say the last several years of the Russell

697
00:37:14,600 --> 00:37:18,359
Speaker 1: Westbrooks Lebron's throwing fans out of the game who are

698
00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:22,360
Speaker 1: sitting near the I would say, in the first three rows.

699
00:37:22,800 --> 00:37:25,160
Speaker 1: I don't know if you've ever I haven't been to

700
00:37:25,160 --> 00:37:27,759
Speaker 1: an NBA game in a while since the last playoffs.

701
00:37:28,239 --> 00:37:31,719
Speaker 1: The prices in these games are absurd, and when you're

702
00:37:31,760 --> 00:37:34,799
Speaker 1: going to see top players you sit front row, you're

703
00:37:34,800 --> 00:37:39,480
Speaker 1: talking four figures. Usually where I come from, the consumer

704
00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:42,920
Speaker 1: gets They got to really cross the line in any

705
00:37:42,960 --> 00:37:46,880
Speaker 1: business to get the old heave ho and Luca, this

706
00:37:46,960 --> 00:37:50,000
Speaker 1: guy said, you're out of shape, get your ass on

707
00:37:50,040 --> 00:37:54,480
Speaker 1: a treadmill. He got tossed for that. I truly believe this.

708
00:37:55,239 --> 00:37:57,520
Speaker 1: The NBA is running one of the great fugazis of

709
00:37:57,520 --> 00:38:01,839
Speaker 1: all time. They have this fixed contract with television right

710
00:38:01,960 --> 00:38:05,760
Speaker 1: based on five six million people watching their regular season

711
00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:09,080
Speaker 1: games from twenty fourteen, and the players are benefiting, guys

712
00:38:09,080 --> 00:38:11,719
Speaker 1: like Luca making forty to fifty million dollars a year.

713
00:38:12,360 --> 00:38:15,960
Speaker 1: Yet currently right now, their ratings are more than cutting half.

714
00:38:16,320 --> 00:38:19,760
Speaker 1: So the television networks are taking a bloodbath. They're getting screwed,

715
00:38:19,880 --> 00:38:21,399
Speaker 1: but the players are getting their money no matter what.

716
00:38:21,920 --> 00:38:24,359
Speaker 1: And then Adam Silver, who to me objectively is one

717
00:38:24,400 --> 00:38:27,640
Speaker 1: of the worst commissioners in the in the history of sports.

718
00:38:27,880 --> 00:38:31,240
Speaker 1: In my opinion, he's the worst I've ever seen. Because currently,

719
00:38:31,400 --> 00:38:36,680
Speaker 1: any other CEO, if your main business, which is television,

720
00:38:37,360 --> 00:38:39,919
Speaker 1: you lose half your consumers in a five to six

721
00:38:40,000 --> 00:38:43,080
Speaker 1: year span, you would lose your job. And they're staring

722
00:38:43,160 --> 00:38:47,120
Speaker 1: down a television contract where all these companies are cutting

723
00:38:47,160 --> 00:38:51,239
Speaker 1: money and the only companies with money is big Tech. Well,

724
00:38:51,239 --> 00:38:54,080
Speaker 1: what is big Tech better at than anybody? Everything has

725
00:38:54,120 --> 00:38:56,080
Speaker 1: to add up like this has to make sense. Part

726
00:38:56,120 --> 00:38:59,799
Speaker 1: of the reason Netflix signs the WWE and RAW is

727
00:38:59,840 --> 00:39:02,600
Speaker 1: you no guaranteed how many people are coming. Plus they're

728
00:39:02,640 --> 00:39:05,480
Speaker 1: paying them five hundred million dollars. The NBA is getting

729
00:39:05,520 --> 00:39:07,640
Speaker 1: billions of dollars from all these networks, Like it just

730
00:39:07,680 --> 00:39:11,160
Speaker 1: doesn't that up. And these players have no clue where

731
00:39:11,200 --> 00:39:12,799
Speaker 1: their money comes from. They just think it comes from

732
00:39:12,840 --> 00:39:15,880
Speaker 1: the sky. Well it comes from TV. But the NBA,

733
00:39:16,040 --> 00:39:19,279
Speaker 1: unlike football, because of forty one home dates, is very

734
00:39:19,320 --> 00:39:24,120
Speaker 1: dependent on the gate. And no, I just can't understand.

735
00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:27,960
Speaker 1: I can't fathom running a business and treating your consumer

736
00:39:28,040 --> 00:39:31,280
Speaker 1: like shit. I'm sorry. On the road fans are allowed

737
00:39:31,280 --> 00:39:33,920
Speaker 1: to talk some shit. There is I guess a line

738
00:39:34,080 --> 00:39:36,600
Speaker 1: you can't cross. It's pretty clear when you know it.

739
00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:39,040
Speaker 1: That is not one of them. And I think this

740
00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:42,800
Speaker 1: all gets back to Adam Silver, who easily, in my opinion,

741
00:39:43,239 --> 00:39:45,960
Speaker 1: is just a running joke. And the NBA, right now,

742
00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:47,840
Speaker 1: I've said it for a while. I can see this

743
00:39:47,880 --> 00:39:50,919
Speaker 1: coming from a mile away, the Saudi's and Piff who

744
00:39:51,040 --> 00:39:54,080
Speaker 1: have taken over golf, this is the next league to

745
00:39:54,120 --> 00:39:58,239
Speaker 1: be taken over because they are staring down financial economic

746
00:39:58,320 --> 00:40:01,440
Speaker 1: disaster and they they have a fugaza going on right now,

747
00:40:01,480 --> 00:40:03,759
Speaker 1: a ton of money for the players right now. But

748
00:40:03,800 --> 00:40:06,279
Speaker 1: it doesn't quite add up. You think Mark Cuban just

749
00:40:06,320 --> 00:40:09,320
Speaker 1: sold because he needs some extra money in his back pocket.

750
00:40:09,320 --> 00:40:12,320
Speaker 1: Come on, he knows what's coming. The Bucks owner a

751
00:40:12,360 --> 00:40:14,040
Speaker 1: couple of years ago just sold because of that. No,

752
00:40:14,360 --> 00:40:17,239
Speaker 1: these guys, they can see what's on the horizon. If

753
00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:19,840
Speaker 1: I'm the Sadis, if I'm Yasser and I'm the Piff,

754
00:40:20,239 --> 00:40:22,600
Speaker 1: there is no league who's going to be more desperate

755
00:40:22,600 --> 00:40:25,839
Speaker 1: for cash because their fixed costs are so high. In

756
00:40:25,880 --> 00:40:29,000
Speaker 1: the National Basketball Association, you watch, there will be a

757
00:40:29,040 --> 00:40:32,480
Speaker 1: story in the next six months a year. The sadis

758
00:40:32,480 --> 00:40:41,520
Speaker 1: are involved with the NBA. Okay coming down the home

759
00:40:41,520 --> 00:40:44,080
Speaker 1: stretch here, which is awesome because you get the AFC

760
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:48,120
Speaker 1: NFC Championships, but also bittersweet because there's only three games

761
00:40:48,200 --> 00:40:53,440
Speaker 1: left and unless you're a college basketball junkie like my

762
00:40:53,520 --> 00:40:57,680
Speaker 1: Man Stucky, it can leave a hole in our gambling hearts.

763
00:40:57,719 --> 00:40:59,680
Speaker 1: But March Madness isn't that far around the corner of

764
00:40:59,719 --> 00:41:01,400
Speaker 1: the mass, so we got other stuff to gamble on.

765
00:41:01,520 --> 00:41:05,280
Speaker 1: But there's nothing quite like football, and we knew something

766
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:08,879
Speaker 1: weird would happen over the weekend. I was firing off

767
00:41:08,880 --> 00:41:12,080
Speaker 1: tweets like you stuck eat because I had the Ravens

768
00:41:12,120 --> 00:41:14,360
Speaker 1: minus nine and a half and I'm like, this is insane.

769
00:41:14,920 --> 00:41:16,400
Speaker 1: And then of course they kicked the shit out of

770
00:41:16,440 --> 00:41:18,000
Speaker 1: him in the second half. And it turns out the

771
00:41:18,000 --> 00:41:20,520
Speaker 1: weird game was gonna be the next game and the

772
00:41:20,600 --> 00:41:24,839
Speaker 1: Niners who pulled a rabbit out of their ass, but hey,

773
00:41:24,880 --> 00:41:28,480
Speaker 1: it's survive in advance and the two number one seeds

774
00:41:28,480 --> 00:41:30,840
Speaker 1: host they did it a little differently on Saturday, but

775
00:41:31,000 --> 00:41:31,600
Speaker 1: the wins win.

776
00:41:32,480 --> 00:41:34,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, it was. And we'll talk about this when we

777
00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:39,160
Speaker 2: talk about the San Francisco game. Like just with them

778
00:41:39,200 --> 00:41:41,279
Speaker 2: without Deebo Samuel, now you can't you'll see a lot

779
00:41:41,360 --> 00:41:44,040
Speaker 2: of the stats like with them, with like with them

780
00:41:44,080 --> 00:41:46,120
Speaker 2: this year, they're twelve and one, they've averaged like over

781
00:41:46,160 --> 00:41:48,800
Speaker 2: thirty two points per game. They scored at least twenty

782
00:41:48,800 --> 00:41:52,560
Speaker 2: seven in every game with them except Baltimore, and they're

783
00:41:52,600 --> 00:41:54,560
Speaker 2: one and four. Without them, they've only averaged nineteen points

784
00:41:54,560 --> 00:41:58,319
Speaker 2: per game, never eclipsed twenty four, scored seventeen three times,

785
00:41:58,320 --> 00:42:00,919
Speaker 2: and then your argualy should have lost last week. Now,

786
00:42:01,000 --> 00:42:04,080
Speaker 2: granted there's some noise in those numbers because Trent Williams

787
00:42:04,160 --> 00:42:08,120
Speaker 2: is also out, who's obviously extremely important for some of

788
00:42:08,160 --> 00:42:10,880
Speaker 2: those games. And then you know the forty nine Ers

789
00:42:10,920 --> 00:42:15,920
Speaker 2: offensive line really relies on him. But he's super important.

790
00:42:16,920 --> 00:42:19,680
Speaker 2: So once they lost him, you saw just they become

791
00:42:19,719 --> 00:42:21,600
Speaker 2: easier to cover. You know, they use him in the

792
00:42:21,680 --> 00:42:25,120
Speaker 2: run game. He's just such a dynamic player after the catch,

793
00:42:25,600 --> 00:42:29,520
Speaker 2: before the catch, so his status, you know, it was

794
00:42:29,560 --> 00:42:31,760
Speaker 2: obviously losing him last week was big, but it looms

795
00:42:31,880 --> 00:42:34,960
Speaker 2: large in this game because you know the forty nine

796
00:42:35,000 --> 00:42:37,160
Speaker 2: Ers in the past, they obviously haven't been the same

797
00:42:37,200 --> 00:42:41,120
Speaker 2: explosive offense without him, but they've been able to overcome

798
00:42:41,160 --> 00:42:42,960
Speaker 2: it with just a really good running game. You know,

799
00:42:43,000 --> 00:42:45,960
Speaker 2: you have McCaffrey, but the Lion's runde is the strength

800
00:42:46,000 --> 00:42:49,480
Speaker 2: of their team. You have your full complement of weapons

801
00:42:49,480 --> 00:42:53,680
Speaker 2: out there. They can't cover everyone. We saw that last week.

802
00:42:54,200 --> 00:42:56,279
Speaker 2: I unfortunately had Godwin props. They decided to put a

803
00:42:56,280 --> 00:42:58,040
Speaker 2: state to over top Godwin and they just were just

804
00:42:58,080 --> 00:43:00,720
Speaker 2: throwing it to Evans every play and they couldn't cover him.

805
00:43:00,760 --> 00:43:02,360
Speaker 2: But if you don't have Devo out there, it's like,

806
00:43:02,360 --> 00:43:06,759
Speaker 2: all right, let's take away Ayuk and then you know

807
00:43:06,880 --> 00:43:09,200
Speaker 2: it's a lot easier to cover the forty nine ers receivers.

808
00:43:09,200 --> 00:43:12,920
Speaker 2: So yeah, his status and how healthy will be if

809
00:43:12,960 --> 00:43:18,239
Speaker 2: he plays is uber important to this game, as is

810
00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:21,360
Speaker 2: an injury on the Lions offensive line.

811
00:43:22,160 --> 00:43:24,040
Speaker 1: Well let's just start, I guess with the NFC champions

812
00:43:24,040 --> 00:43:26,680
Speaker 1: of the game. Then one reason, like one prop I

813
00:43:26,760 --> 00:43:29,320
Speaker 1: hammer and I'm a big prop guy. Now one weekend

814
00:43:29,400 --> 00:43:32,080
Speaker 1: he's like, oh, that's kind of fun. I took debos

815
00:43:32,320 --> 00:43:35,799
Speaker 1: over rushing yards. It was like almost five to one

816
00:43:35,840 --> 00:43:38,239
Speaker 1: at forty yards. I'm like, I don't think people quite

817
00:43:38,320 --> 00:43:42,759
Speaker 1: realize once the playoffs start, he'll become their number two

818
00:43:42,840 --> 00:43:44,920
Speaker 1: running back. Yeah, and it was clear some of the

819
00:43:44,960 --> 00:43:47,600
Speaker 1: plays they were running in that game were runs to

820
00:43:47,719 --> 00:43:51,680
Speaker 1: Debo and it really threw Kyle off. And you know,

821
00:43:52,600 --> 00:43:54,880
Speaker 1: he had a weird game. There's no way around him.

822
00:43:54,920 --> 00:43:56,600
Speaker 1: His quarterback could barely grip the ball and he kept

823
00:43:56,600 --> 00:44:00,000
Speaker 1: throwing the ball instead of just hammering McCaffrey. But regards

824
00:44:00,000 --> 00:44:02,960
Speaker 1: careless this game. You know you've been saying this forever,

825
00:44:03,040 --> 00:44:05,760
Speaker 1: how terrible the DBS are. The record, You're the numbers

826
00:44:05,760 --> 00:44:10,040
Speaker 1: speak for themselves sudden like before we dive into the

827
00:44:10,040 --> 00:44:13,560
Speaker 1: the uh spread and just the overall picture like brand

828
00:44:13,600 --> 00:44:16,040
Speaker 1: and Ayuk in this game, even if Debo, let's say,

829
00:44:16,080 --> 00:44:19,000
Speaker 1: can't go, how do they cover that guy?

830
00:44:19,160 --> 00:44:22,000
Speaker 2: Yeah? The only thing I'd worry about is, like last week,

831
00:44:22,280 --> 00:44:25,160
Speaker 2: I had some Godwin props that I lost. So they

832
00:44:25,239 --> 00:44:28,520
Speaker 2: just the lines just decided, all right, we're gonna take

833
00:44:28,560 --> 00:44:31,600
Speaker 2: a corner and then the safety and we have the

834
00:44:31,640 --> 00:44:36,400
Speaker 2: safety over top every play and and then they just

835
00:44:36,480 --> 00:44:39,200
Speaker 2: sat one on one with Sutton and Evans, which obviously

836
00:44:39,920 --> 00:44:44,279
Speaker 2: was a disaster. But that becomes a lot easier to do, so.

837
00:44:44,800 --> 00:44:46,520
Speaker 1: I think you've got to pick the right guy.

838
00:44:46,800 --> 00:44:50,080
Speaker 2: Yeah. I think though even if if if Samuel plays,

839
00:44:50,160 --> 00:44:54,560
Speaker 2: it actually might help Ayuk because you can't keep you

840
00:44:54,600 --> 00:44:56,640
Speaker 2: can't you really can't keep the safety over top, and

841
00:44:56,680 --> 00:44:59,319
Speaker 2: they have no one who can cover him, so in

842
00:44:59,360 --> 00:45:02,600
Speaker 2: an odd way, even though he you know, Samuel being

843
00:45:02,600 --> 00:45:05,800
Speaker 2: in there might actually help him. But yeah, Detroit doesn't

844
00:45:05,800 --> 00:45:08,640
Speaker 2: have anyone who can cover him. Yeah, I mean, regardless

845
00:45:08,680 --> 00:45:12,000
Speaker 2: of who's in, ye party should still be able to

846
00:45:12,520 --> 00:45:15,959
Speaker 2: throw all over the secondary. No rain right now, yeah,

847
00:45:16,000 --> 00:45:19,040
Speaker 2: no rain. Get two quarterbacks who just don't don't want

848
00:45:19,040 --> 00:45:23,960
Speaker 2: any weather, and the forecast looks clear. So you know,

849
00:45:24,040 --> 00:45:26,080
Speaker 2: I'm a I make the forty nine ers a little

850
00:45:26,120 --> 00:45:31,360
Speaker 2: over seven point favorites, but I with you know, Diebo's

851
00:45:31,440 --> 00:45:33,800
Speaker 2: not you know, he's he's still a wide receiver, but

852
00:45:33,880 --> 00:45:35,279
Speaker 2: running back, like you said, he'll get like ten to

853
00:45:35,280 --> 00:45:38,560
Speaker 2: fifteen percent of carries. And without him, like it's just McCaffrey.

854
00:45:38,880 --> 00:45:42,239
Speaker 2: So he he's important in many different ways. He's he's

855
00:45:42,280 --> 00:45:45,640
Speaker 2: worth non non zero amount to the spread. Not many

856
00:45:45,719 --> 00:45:48,319
Speaker 2: non quarterbacks are, you know, maybe like between a half

857
00:45:48,360 --> 00:45:51,000
Speaker 2: at a point. So without knowing if he's going to

858
00:45:51,040 --> 00:45:53,560
Speaker 2: be out there. I don't have any bet on the side.

859
00:45:55,320 --> 00:45:58,200
Speaker 2: I will say that what where. I think that this

860
00:45:58,600 --> 00:46:00,360
Speaker 2: the key. I think the key to this. So I

861
00:46:00,360 --> 00:46:02,120
Speaker 2: think the forty nine ers regardless will move the ball,

862
00:46:02,400 --> 00:46:04,560
Speaker 2: be able to do it a lot easier with Debo

863
00:46:04,640 --> 00:46:06,920
Speaker 2: in there, but they're gonna be able to move the

864
00:46:06,920 --> 00:46:09,560
Speaker 2: ball in this Detroit defense. I think the key to

865
00:46:09,600 --> 00:46:15,319
Speaker 2: the game is Ken so Ken Gibbs get going. In

866
00:46:15,360 --> 00:46:17,840
Speaker 2: the run games, specifically, you have to really run outside

867
00:46:17,840 --> 00:46:21,200
Speaker 2: against San Francisco outside zone. You can't really run up

868
00:46:21,200 --> 00:46:25,160
Speaker 2: the middle against them. Ken he get going because if

869
00:46:25,200 --> 00:46:28,200
Speaker 2: he can't. So, if he can, you obviously you know,

870
00:46:29,160 --> 00:46:31,879
Speaker 2: make it more manageable third downs. But if he can't

871
00:46:31,920 --> 00:46:34,759
Speaker 2: get going, because he's the kind of back that you

872
00:46:34,760 --> 00:46:37,359
Speaker 2: know you kind of need to have some success running

873
00:46:37,400 --> 00:46:40,040
Speaker 2: against San Francisco. If he can't, and you have GoF

874
00:46:40,080 --> 00:46:43,680
Speaker 2: in known passing situations and you know you're not gonna

875
00:46:43,680 --> 00:46:46,520
Speaker 2: have weather here, but Goth when you can get him

876
00:46:46,560 --> 00:46:50,480
Speaker 2: under pressure, can just turn into a complete especially up

877
00:46:50,520 --> 00:46:53,680
Speaker 2: the middle, can turn into a complete pumpkin for long

878
00:46:53,719 --> 00:46:55,560
Speaker 2: stretches and never come out of it, and may take

879
00:46:55,600 --> 00:46:57,759
Speaker 2: him two quarters to come out of it, and the

880
00:46:57,800 --> 00:47:01,120
Speaker 2: forty nine ers now have. Therefore, Arsenal on the defensive

881
00:47:01,160 --> 00:47:03,719
Speaker 2: line didn't get sacks last week. They were playing a

882
00:47:03,760 --> 00:47:06,360
Speaker 2: mobile Jordan Love, but they got pressure without blitzing on

883
00:47:06,600 --> 00:47:10,800
Speaker 2: forty I think forty two percent of Love's dropbacks. You

884
00:47:10,880 --> 00:47:13,319
Speaker 2: did a good job of evading pressure at times. But

885
00:47:13,320 --> 00:47:16,200
Speaker 2: if you look at the numbers with everyone with Armstead,

886
00:47:16,280 --> 00:47:18,520
Speaker 2: with Young and they're on the field, sample sizesn't huge,

887
00:47:18,520 --> 00:47:21,360
Speaker 2: but they're pressure right almost doubles, yeah hard grave pressure

888
00:47:21,360 --> 00:47:23,759
Speaker 2: almost doubles. So and with all them in you can't

889
00:47:23,760 --> 00:47:27,680
Speaker 2: really double anybody, so and the lines will have a

890
00:47:27,719 --> 00:47:30,319
Speaker 2: blocking tight end. Now, So like I did, rock Right

891
00:47:30,360 --> 00:47:32,040
Speaker 2: got hurt. You have a porter who you'd want out there,

892
00:47:32,080 --> 00:47:34,799
Speaker 2: but you'd also want someone to chip on Bosa. So

893
00:47:34,960 --> 00:47:36,760
Speaker 2: like you know, you have zach Ertz.

894
00:47:36,560 --> 00:47:38,319
Speaker 1: You know, like you know, like ERT's one on one

895
00:47:38,400 --> 00:47:39,000
Speaker 1: Versusnick buzz.

896
00:47:39,239 --> 00:47:41,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, So, like I don't know what that's gonna be

897
00:47:41,040 --> 00:47:42,680
Speaker 2: interesting to see what they do with the porter. But

898
00:47:43,320 --> 00:47:45,640
Speaker 2: the one of the biggest injuries of this weekend is

899
00:47:45,719 --> 00:47:49,840
Speaker 2: Jonah Jackson, who's h an unreal guard for the lines.

900
00:47:50,160 --> 00:47:54,640
Speaker 2: He's hurt and last week, you know, and Ragnow they're center,

901
00:47:54,680 --> 00:47:57,399
Speaker 2: who's one of the toughest dudes in the NFL whole play,

902
00:47:57,440 --> 00:47:59,799
Speaker 2: but he has a hurt ankle, hurt knee, so he's

903
00:47:59,840 --> 00:48:04,760
Speaker 2: not fully healthy. But last week their backup guard was horrendous.

904
00:48:05,040 --> 00:48:09,400
Speaker 2: I was Sikka came in. Heout seven pressures on twenty

905
00:48:09,480 --> 00:48:15,040
Speaker 2: eight pass blocking snaps. That is horrendous for in comparison,

906
00:48:15,120 --> 00:48:18,080
Speaker 2: Jackson had eighteen pass block and STAPs in any So,

907
00:48:19,200 --> 00:48:21,960
Speaker 2: if they're able to generate pressure up the middle, specifically

908
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:26,040
Speaker 2: against GoF who's a statue and not mobile, then the

909
00:48:26,120 --> 00:48:29,200
Speaker 2: Lions offense will fall apart. So and that'll that would

910
00:48:29,200 --> 00:48:31,279
Speaker 2: happen on any known passing down. So if Gibbs can't

911
00:48:31,320 --> 00:48:34,760
Speaker 2: get going, I think it could be tough sledding for

912
00:48:35,320 --> 00:48:37,840
Speaker 2: the Lions offensive be ken. You know, with play action

913
00:48:38,560 --> 00:48:41,399
Speaker 2: with the defensive lineman now more focused on stopping the run,

914
00:48:41,880 --> 00:48:43,680
Speaker 2: there will be some opportunities lines of a lot of

915
00:48:43,719 --> 00:48:45,200
Speaker 2: talent on the outside for them to move the ball.

916
00:48:45,200 --> 00:48:48,200
Speaker 2: But I think that's the key. I did play the

917
00:48:48,239 --> 00:48:50,080
Speaker 2: only thing I played in this game from a prop respective.

918
00:48:50,080 --> 00:48:52,360
Speaker 2: I played more props in the Ravens Chiefs game. I

919
00:48:52,440 --> 00:48:55,160
Speaker 2: played it. You can find this at DraftKings Armstead over

920
00:48:55,880 --> 00:48:59,919
Speaker 2: zero point two five sacks at plus one point forty five.

921
00:49:00,360 --> 00:49:02,560
Speaker 2: I just bet it's probably come down a little bit,

922
00:49:02,560 --> 00:49:03,080
Speaker 2: but it's sill probably.

923
00:49:03,080 --> 00:49:04,640
Speaker 1: Plus he looked good. He looked good last week.

924
00:49:04,719 --> 00:49:07,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's had it like three months off, but yeah,

925
00:49:08,080 --> 00:49:09,759
Speaker 2: he would have hit this in five to ten games

926
00:49:09,800 --> 00:49:11,560
Speaker 2: this year, and you only need a half sack to

927
00:49:11,600 --> 00:49:14,720
Speaker 2: go over point twenty five. Six of ten postseason games

928
00:49:14,719 --> 00:49:17,520
Speaker 2: he would have hit this. He has seven total sacks

929
00:49:17,520 --> 00:49:21,200
Speaker 2: and and uh seven total sacks and ten playoff games,

930
00:49:21,840 --> 00:49:25,160
Speaker 2: and it's most likely the lines will be playing from behind,

931
00:49:25,320 --> 00:49:27,640
Speaker 2: so it's a passing game script they're gonna be throwing more,

932
00:49:28,239 --> 00:49:31,359
Speaker 2: and he just has a favorable matchup here with the

933
00:49:31,400 --> 00:49:35,719
Speaker 2: backup guard a hurt center. And I think what's gonna

934
00:49:35,719 --> 00:49:37,640
Speaker 2: happen is if you don't have a blocking tight end,

935
00:49:38,200 --> 00:49:40,400
Speaker 2: is you know your defensive ends are going to be

936
00:49:40,400 --> 00:49:42,400
Speaker 2: able to get around four scoff up in the pocket.

937
00:49:42,400 --> 00:49:44,040
Speaker 2: And that's what he just will look just like fall

938
00:49:44,080 --> 00:49:49,000
Speaker 2: into defenders into your defensive lineman's hands. So I like

939
00:49:49,080 --> 00:49:52,520
Speaker 2: Armstead to get over point twenty five sacks. I think

940
00:49:52,560 --> 00:49:54,120
Speaker 2: he can have you know, one or two here. I

941
00:49:54,120 --> 00:49:55,600
Speaker 2: think he had a game with two or three in

942
00:49:55,640 --> 00:49:57,600
Speaker 2: the playoffs a couple of years ago. So yeah, he

943
00:49:57,640 --> 00:49:59,520
Speaker 2: looked good. He's fresh, and he's a good match up.

944
00:49:59,440 --> 00:50:01,120
Speaker 1: Here and Golf can't get away.

945
00:50:01,200 --> 00:50:02,839
Speaker 2: He's like that.

946
00:50:04,080 --> 00:50:07,560
Speaker 1: The one thing, you know, the forty nine ers run defense,

947
00:50:08,160 --> 00:50:11,160
Speaker 1: relative to what it's been in the past years, clearly

948
00:50:11,360 --> 00:50:13,520
Speaker 1: has been a little off lately. Now part of that

949
00:50:13,680 --> 00:50:16,319
Speaker 1: was Armstead had missed a lot of time. Hardgrave is

950
00:50:16,360 --> 00:50:20,280
Speaker 1: not a run stuffer, and they're two linebackers, especially Fred

951
00:50:20,640 --> 00:50:23,520
Speaker 1: will have elite speed and great open field tacklers can't

952
00:50:23,560 --> 00:50:26,600
Speaker 1: get caught up on you know, blockers. But if the

953
00:50:26,640 --> 00:50:29,440
Speaker 1: center can't move as well and they're playing backup guards,

954
00:50:29,800 --> 00:50:32,799
Speaker 1: it's not like Pine Sewell and Decker can block everyone, right,

955
00:50:32,880 --> 00:50:35,680
Speaker 1: So it's that that's an area that because in my

956
00:50:35,760 --> 00:50:37,719
Speaker 1: mind I was like, well, I think they'd be able

957
00:50:37,760 --> 00:50:40,360
Speaker 1: to run on them a little bit, but that's a

958
00:50:40,400 --> 00:50:43,440
Speaker 1: big swing if you got backup offensive lineman. Now, the

959
00:50:43,480 --> 00:50:46,560
Speaker 1: one thing is usually the way, I mean, you know,

960
00:50:46,600 --> 00:50:48,600
Speaker 1: the way the game's gonna start. The Lions to me

961
00:50:48,640 --> 00:50:51,120
Speaker 1: are taking the ball first if they get the coin toss,

962
00:50:51,160 --> 00:50:53,160
Speaker 1: and the forty nine ers always differ, and you saw

963
00:50:53,200 --> 00:50:54,920
Speaker 1: it last week with the Packers. Now, they kicked a

964
00:50:54,920 --> 00:50:57,600
Speaker 1: field goal, but they drove right down the field, So

965
00:50:57,840 --> 00:50:59,680
Speaker 1: it's a little deflating if you drive right down the

966
00:50:59,680 --> 00:51:02,600
Speaker 1: field and get a field goal Like that was a

967
00:51:02,719 --> 00:51:04,320
Speaker 1: huge reason why the forty nine ers won, right, I

968
00:51:04,320 --> 00:51:05,959
Speaker 1: mean a couple of drives they just it was four

969
00:51:05,960 --> 00:51:08,960
Speaker 1: point swings in the red zone. So to me, it's

970
00:51:09,000 --> 00:51:13,080
Speaker 1: like if their run defense is better. Their pass rush though,

971
00:51:13,120 --> 00:51:15,080
Speaker 1: has not been as dominant as it has been in

972
00:51:15,200 --> 00:51:17,319
Speaker 1: years past, and part of that is like Chase Young

973
00:51:17,480 --> 00:51:20,360
Speaker 1: is just kind of a guy. Yeah, but like you said,

974
00:51:20,440 --> 00:51:23,399
Speaker 1: the interior if he's healthy, armsteads a really good player

975
00:51:23,440 --> 00:51:25,239
Speaker 1: if he's going up against a backup and Hardgrave is

976
00:51:25,280 --> 00:51:27,920
Speaker 1: just really good. And Bosta just caught. Even when he

977
00:51:27,920 --> 00:51:30,640
Speaker 1: doesn't get sacks, he does cause pressure. So they have

978
00:51:30,800 --> 00:51:31,760
Speaker 1: eaten golf alive.

979
00:51:31,880 --> 00:51:34,800
Speaker 2: Now golf and GoF can't handle a tier pressure because

980
00:51:34,920 --> 00:51:36,880
Speaker 2: if you can't move, you can't you're not You're not

981
00:51:36,880 --> 00:51:39,360
Speaker 2: gonna be able to handle into your pressure. And that's

982
00:51:39,960 --> 00:51:42,600
Speaker 2: most of the year he's had. You know, the line's

983
00:51:42,640 --> 00:51:45,319
Speaker 2: offensive line has been an overwhelming strength and they're you know,

984
00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:47,840
Speaker 2: their interior with the rag now and Jackson specifically have

985
00:51:47,880 --> 00:51:50,520
Speaker 2: been so good. But you know, now you have Rag

986
00:51:50,560 --> 00:51:52,640
Speaker 2: now hurt, who's gonna apply it? But and then Jackson

987
00:51:52,920 --> 00:51:53,360
Speaker 2: in fact.

988
00:51:53,160 --> 00:51:54,920
Speaker 1: You're an outdoor because I know you've been down on

989
00:51:55,000 --> 00:51:57,239
Speaker 1: him outdoor like everybody all season long. But this is

990
00:51:57,239 --> 00:52:00,000
Speaker 1: like he would him and Party would have to neutralize

991
00:52:00,120 --> 00:52:01,200
Speaker 1: each other in Yeah, there's.

992
00:52:01,080 --> 00:52:04,160
Speaker 2: And there's no win here. Yeah, you know, if there

993
00:52:04,200 --> 00:52:06,680
Speaker 2: was rain actually might help the Lions more because Party

994
00:52:06,760 --> 00:52:09,240
Speaker 2: seems to just struggle with gripping.

995
00:52:08,880 --> 00:52:12,040
Speaker 1: So Gof's not a great rain quarterback either.

996
00:52:12,280 --> 00:52:14,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't if the lines are playing like a

997
00:52:15,360 --> 00:52:17,399
Speaker 2: because the lines have an explosive offense and a bad

998
00:52:17,480 --> 00:52:21,359
Speaker 2: D so you know, if they were playing a team

999
00:52:22,280 --> 00:52:26,360
Speaker 2: that was just like yeah, you know, we're Kenno, but

1000
00:52:26,400 --> 00:52:28,279
Speaker 2: this tak game turns into a grinder. But the forty

1001
00:52:28,320 --> 00:52:31,239
Speaker 2: nine ers have a explosive offense too, Like I don't.

1002
00:52:31,280 --> 00:52:33,160
Speaker 2: I think it's nothing here because the only thing that

1003
00:52:33,160 --> 00:52:36,000
Speaker 2: would matter is if there was there was wind. You know,

1004
00:52:36,040 --> 00:52:38,319
Speaker 2: if you got up to like fifteen to twenty mile

1005
00:52:38,320 --> 00:52:40,719
Speaker 2: an hour, wins. Golf just can't deal it. But it

1006
00:52:40,719 --> 00:52:43,000
Speaker 2: looks like it's gonna be like five seven meanings anything

1007
00:52:43,040 --> 00:52:45,279
Speaker 2: under tennis meaningless. So now I don't I don't put

1008
00:52:45,280 --> 00:52:48,160
Speaker 2: any stock into them playing outdoors here.

1009
00:52:48,680 --> 00:52:51,280
Speaker 1: There's just a natural overreaction, right, I mean, the Lions

1010
00:52:51,320 --> 00:52:54,200
Speaker 1: have won two games, which I mean the first round

1011
00:52:54,239 --> 00:52:56,200
Speaker 1: they easily could have lost against the Rams. Now, granted

1012
00:52:56,239 --> 00:52:58,400
Speaker 1: the Rams are good, they probably could be playing in

1013
00:52:58,440 --> 00:52:59,799
Speaker 1: this week and no one would have beat it. An

1014
00:52:59,800 --> 00:53:02,440
Speaker 1: I and last week against Tampa was a lot harder.

1015
00:53:03,239 --> 00:53:05,440
Speaker 1: I saw you tweeted about mid game like this is

1016
00:53:05,960 --> 00:53:08,040
Speaker 1: kind of a slugfest here, kind of boring. I mean,

1017
00:53:08,040 --> 00:53:10,480
Speaker 1: it felt much more like a Sunday ten am kickoff

1018
00:53:10,480 --> 00:53:13,000
Speaker 1: that not everyone's paying attention to. But it was the

1019
00:53:13,000 --> 00:53:15,560
Speaker 1: second round of the playoffs where thirty five million people

1020
00:53:15,560 --> 00:53:18,719
Speaker 1: were watching, and they just were constantly getting shredded. So

1021
00:53:18,760 --> 00:53:21,520
Speaker 1: it's not like they're while they're winning. I think people

1022
00:53:21,560 --> 00:53:24,880
Speaker 1: overvalue because they've won two games. The Niners look like shit,

1023
00:53:25,520 --> 00:53:28,640
Speaker 1: and everyone thinks, and I kind of guilty of this too, like, oh,

1024
00:53:28,680 --> 00:53:31,040
Speaker 1: this is gonna be a close game, but is this

1025
00:53:31,120 --> 00:53:34,120
Speaker 1: a situation every time you short the Niners, they come

1026
00:53:34,160 --> 00:53:36,239
Speaker 1: back just fucking guns blazing. All of a sudden, you

1027
00:53:36,280 --> 00:53:38,600
Speaker 1: look up and it's seventeen to three in the second quarter.

1028
00:53:38,800 --> 00:53:41,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean that's the NFL, like the spot here

1029
00:53:41,560 --> 00:53:44,719
Speaker 2: by like from a Spiders back, especially this open at

1030
00:53:44,719 --> 00:53:46,359
Speaker 2: six and a half. But you know, you're talking about

1031
00:53:46,360 --> 00:53:49,759
Speaker 2: buying low on the forty nine ers who closed ten

1032
00:53:49,800 --> 00:53:51,279
Speaker 2: and a half, Like I bet the minus signed they

1033
00:53:51,280 --> 00:53:54,120
Speaker 2: closed minus ten and a half against the uh yeah

1034
00:53:54,239 --> 00:53:56,360
Speaker 2: against the Packers. Now you're getting them at seven, so

1035
00:53:56,400 --> 00:53:58,680
Speaker 2: you're getting you're getting the forty nine is cheap here

1036
00:53:59,080 --> 00:54:02,840
Speaker 2: I would normally item if I just knew more about debo.

1037
00:54:03,280 --> 00:54:06,920
Speaker 2: The thing that does make it tough though, is and

1038
00:54:06,960 --> 00:54:11,200
Speaker 2: this can work both ways, but is Campbell's the variants

1039
00:54:11,200 --> 00:54:13,520
Speaker 2: that Campbell's going to introduce into the game. So and

1040
00:54:13,560 --> 00:54:17,120
Speaker 2: you would assume that as touchdown underdogs, that he's going

1041
00:54:17,200 --> 00:54:19,680
Speaker 2: to be even more aggressive, if that's even possible. So

1042
00:54:19,719 --> 00:54:22,239
Speaker 2: he's going to go for you know, a bunch of

1043
00:54:22,280 --> 00:54:26,839
Speaker 2: fourth downs, and you know you get them. Then all

1044
00:54:26,840 --> 00:54:28,759
Speaker 2: of a sudden that you know that just swings at

1045
00:54:28,800 --> 00:54:32,040
Speaker 2: the swings that could be experience in this game or

1046
00:54:32,080 --> 00:54:33,280
Speaker 2: massive like you you're.

1047
00:54:33,200 --> 00:54:34,640
Speaker 1: He there would be the difference of a punt and

1048
00:54:34,680 --> 00:54:35,280
Speaker 1: a touchdown.

1049
00:54:35,360 --> 00:54:37,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, and then the forty you know, the line's defense

1050
00:54:37,760 --> 00:54:39,680
Speaker 2: isn't any good so the forty nine ers, like then

1051
00:54:39,800 --> 00:54:42,520
Speaker 2: you know, the takeover at midfield, they're probably going to score.

1052
00:54:43,160 --> 00:54:45,960
Speaker 2: You're talking like, you know, ten fourteen point swings in

1053
00:54:46,000 --> 00:54:49,480
Speaker 2: the game, So I might look to bet it live.

1054
00:54:49,520 --> 00:54:51,759
Speaker 2: I'm looked at the forty nine ers live, or they

1055
00:54:51,800 --> 00:54:56,680
Speaker 2: get behind, and you know, if the Lions like come

1056
00:54:56,680 --> 00:54:59,400
Speaker 2: out first drive, it's like fourth and sixth at the fifty, like,

1057
00:54:59,400 --> 00:55:01,080
Speaker 2: they're probably they're going to go for it, where a

1058
00:55:01,120 --> 00:55:02,920
Speaker 2: lot of coaches would plunt it, especially in the conference

1059
00:55:02,960 --> 00:55:04,960
Speaker 2: championship game. So we'll see. I'm curious to see if

1060
00:55:05,000 --> 00:55:09,800
Speaker 2: Campbell maintains his aggressiveness. That's who he is. He's always

1061
00:55:09,800 --> 00:55:12,680
Speaker 2: done it, but light to the brightest. Now this is

1062
00:55:12,719 --> 00:55:15,200
Speaker 2: the big stage, so some coaches will just turtle a

1063
00:55:15,239 --> 00:55:19,160
Speaker 2: little more. But based on everything that I've seen, there's

1064
00:55:19,200 --> 00:55:23,839
Speaker 2: going to be some enormous variants that Campbell introduces into

1065
00:55:23,880 --> 00:55:26,839
Speaker 2: the game with his fourth down decisions, fourth and goal

1066
00:55:26,840 --> 00:55:29,880
Speaker 2: at the four, He's probably going to go for it,

1067
00:55:29,920 --> 00:55:35,080
Speaker 2: whereas Shanahan might kick the field goal. So and again,

1068
00:55:35,280 --> 00:55:37,160
Speaker 2: enormous swings in this game. So I would if I

1069
00:55:37,239 --> 00:55:38,600
Speaker 2: had a bet it, I would bet the Niners at

1070
00:55:38,600 --> 00:55:42,240
Speaker 2: minus seven. But I'm probably gonna look for something live.

1071
00:55:42,600 --> 00:55:45,400
Speaker 2: And the reason I'm not betting it is just because

1072
00:55:45,600 --> 00:55:48,359
Speaker 2: you know, Samuel's worth like a half point to a point.

1073
00:55:48,400 --> 00:55:51,640
Speaker 2: Lines are pretty tight this time of the year. But yeah,

1074
00:55:51,640 --> 00:55:55,040
Speaker 2: his injury definitely looms large in many different areas well.

1075
00:55:55,080 --> 00:55:58,160
Speaker 1: The other thing is, you know both quarterback I mean,

1076
00:55:58,200 --> 00:56:00,719
Speaker 1: Party only played one game, he's played two. They haven't

1077
00:56:00,719 --> 00:56:03,439
Speaker 1: thrown a pick yet. Obviously pretty easily could have thrown

1078
00:56:03,480 --> 00:56:06,040
Speaker 1: a pick six to open up the game last week.

1079
00:56:06,320 --> 00:56:09,040
Speaker 1: You know, Goff definitely is liable to make a mistake.

1080
00:56:10,239 --> 00:56:13,759
Speaker 1: That that's something that like, I don't feel great. You know,

1081
00:56:13,800 --> 00:56:16,200
Speaker 1: Perty's had some moments this year where if you can

1082
00:56:16,280 --> 00:56:18,560
Speaker 1: kind of rattle him early, he gets kind of thrown off,

1083
00:56:18,840 --> 00:56:21,040
Speaker 1: and it's the opposite. When he gets momentum early he

1084
00:56:21,080 --> 00:56:23,640
Speaker 1: can he looks like fucking Drew Brees or something, you know,

1085
00:56:23,680 --> 00:56:25,960
Speaker 1: So it's it kind of how he starts kind of

1086
00:56:26,040 --> 00:56:28,680
Speaker 1: carries over throughout the game. Now, as we saw last week,

1087
00:56:28,680 --> 00:56:31,279
Speaker 1: pretty doesn't fold. You know, that was something I think

1088
00:56:31,840 --> 00:56:35,040
Speaker 1: I saw Richard Truman talked about, Kyle talked about. I

1089
00:56:35,080 --> 00:56:38,080
Speaker 1: think Jared Goff has definitely become more mentally tough now.

1090
00:56:38,120 --> 00:56:41,480
Speaker 1: In his older age, right, he used to just quiver

1091
00:56:41,560 --> 00:56:44,279
Speaker 1: and fall apart. Now he still doesn't play well, but

1092
00:56:44,320 --> 00:56:46,440
Speaker 1: I do think he's a little mentally tougher where Purty

1093
00:56:46,520 --> 00:56:48,279
Speaker 1: definitely has the edge there, Like he can make a

1094
00:56:48,280 --> 00:56:50,360
Speaker 1: mistake and then come back and just look normal again.

1095
00:56:50,920 --> 00:56:54,319
Speaker 1: Right if the weather's not rolling, yep, so they can

1096
00:56:54,360 --> 00:56:57,960
Speaker 1: overcome an interception. If you tell me Goff's throwing just

1097
00:56:58,120 --> 00:57:00,440
Speaker 1: off early, I think the Lions would be in major,

1098
00:57:00,480 --> 00:57:01,160
Speaker 1: major trouble.

1099
00:57:01,400 --> 00:57:03,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, especially if he's forced to throw, They're gonna be

1100
00:57:03,520 --> 00:57:05,840
Speaker 2: able to get pressure. And the forty nine ers have better,

1101
00:57:06,640 --> 00:57:13,120
Speaker 2: much better ballhawks, guys in a linebacker that are capable

1102
00:57:13,200 --> 00:57:16,680
Speaker 2: of making a play where you know, GoF doesn't see

1103
00:57:16,720 --> 00:57:21,120
Speaker 2: a linebacker, a linebacker jumps a route, a safety jumps

1104
00:57:21,120 --> 00:57:23,880
Speaker 2: a route. The Lions just don't have many dudes in

1105
00:57:24,160 --> 00:57:27,480
Speaker 2: the secondary or as many at linebackers. So yeah, I

1106
00:57:27,480 --> 00:57:31,960
Speaker 2: would think GoF, especially if he's under pressure, is much

1107
00:57:32,000 --> 00:57:35,280
Speaker 2: more likely because to throw a pick. Party is much

1108
00:57:35,320 --> 00:57:36,920
Speaker 2: more mobile than them too. You got to remember that.

1109
00:57:36,960 --> 00:57:39,880
Speaker 2: So you know, one of the keys is for the

1110
00:57:39,920 --> 00:57:43,680
Speaker 2: Lions is their secondary is bad and one of the

1111
00:57:43,680 --> 00:57:48,920
Speaker 2: only weaknesses of this San Francisco offense is just parts

1112
00:57:48,960 --> 00:57:52,600
Speaker 2: of their offensive line. So like, can you know Hutchinson

1113
00:57:53,600 --> 00:57:56,280
Speaker 2: generate you know a strip a strip sack and he

1114
00:57:56,400 --> 00:57:58,680
Speaker 2: forced party, you know, get his get his arm on

1115
00:57:58,720 --> 00:58:02,080
Speaker 2: a throw. They're gonna have to generate pressure here because

1116
00:58:02,600 --> 00:58:04,680
Speaker 2: there's just not many ways that they're gonna get stops.

1117
00:58:04,720 --> 00:58:06,920
Speaker 2: Their run d He's been really good by some metrics,

1118
00:58:06,920 --> 00:58:10,040
Speaker 2: it's been adjusted for opponent's been number one in the league,

1119
00:58:10,800 --> 00:58:12,160
Speaker 2: a lot of nooids. Now I don't think they're the

1120
00:58:12,200 --> 00:58:14,320
Speaker 2: best run defense, but that's definitely their strength.

1121
00:58:14,640 --> 00:58:15,080
Speaker 1: They're good.

1122
00:58:15,880 --> 00:58:18,160
Speaker 2: So but the Fortys are still be able to run it,

1123
00:58:18,240 --> 00:58:20,240
Speaker 2: but not They're not gonna be able to just run

1124
00:58:20,280 --> 00:58:22,320
Speaker 2: it up and down the field like they can against

1125
00:58:22,360 --> 00:58:25,200
Speaker 2: some teams. So the Lions will have how much pressure

1126
00:58:25,200 --> 00:58:29,000
Speaker 2: can they get on the non Trent Williams is uh

1127
00:58:29,280 --> 00:58:31,520
Speaker 2: will be the key, but I think to your point,

1128
00:58:31,920 --> 00:58:34,920
Speaker 2: Golf is much more likely to make a key mistake

1129
00:58:35,000 --> 00:58:35,680
Speaker 2: or two in this game.

1130
00:58:36,280 --> 00:58:38,440
Speaker 1: Well, we focus on the dB, the you know, the

1131
00:58:38,480 --> 00:58:42,560
Speaker 1: corners with them. Obviously, Kittle has had some big playoff moments.

1132
00:58:43,120 --> 00:58:45,680
Speaker 1: You know, CJ. Gardner, Johnson much more of a hitter

1133
00:58:45,720 --> 00:58:47,800
Speaker 1: than a cover guy. Branch, more of a hitter than

1134
00:58:47,800 --> 00:58:50,840
Speaker 1: a cover guy. Do you like you know Kittle? I

1135
00:58:50,840 --> 00:58:52,880
Speaker 1: saw a two touchdown prop and like your four or

1136
00:58:52,920 --> 00:58:55,360
Speaker 1: five to one. He's a guy that, definitely from a

1137
00:58:55,440 --> 00:58:57,800
Speaker 1: yardage standpoint, would shock you if he had a bigger game.

1138
00:58:57,920 --> 00:58:59,600
Speaker 1: Is that Is that a matchup you like? Yeah? I

1139
00:58:59,640 --> 00:58:59,880
Speaker 1: like it.

1140
00:59:00,000 --> 00:59:01,959
Speaker 2: I mean Kittle at home too. For whatever reason, Kittle

1141
00:59:01,960 --> 00:59:05,200
Speaker 2: at home just goes bananas. If you look at his

1142
00:59:05,440 --> 00:59:07,600
Speaker 2: performances at home, he seems to always go over his

1143
00:59:07,720 --> 00:59:10,480
Speaker 2: yardage problem. Uh so, yeah, I don't think that there's

1144
00:59:10,520 --> 00:59:12,640
Speaker 2: anyone on the lines that can cover him.

1145
00:59:12,600 --> 00:59:16,160
Speaker 1: And then if you don't DeVos out, that's.

1146
00:59:16,000 --> 00:59:17,680
Speaker 2: Who's going to get, you know, even more worker in

1147
00:59:17,720 --> 00:59:19,280
Speaker 2: the middle of the field. The only thing I would

1148
00:59:19,280 --> 00:59:22,960
Speaker 2: be concerned about is if they are if they are

1149
00:59:23,000 --> 00:59:26,040
Speaker 2: able to generate pressure early and then you got to

1150
00:59:26,120 --> 00:59:30,080
Speaker 2: use them more as a blocker. That would be my

1151
00:59:30,600 --> 00:59:32,360
Speaker 2: you know, because I mean people forget when they compare

1152
00:59:32,400 --> 00:59:34,440
Speaker 2: all the tight ends and you nfl how good of

1153
00:59:34,440 --> 00:59:38,160
Speaker 2: a blocker Kittle is. So that would be my only concern.

1154
00:59:38,280 --> 00:59:41,360
Speaker 2: But yeah, if Debo is out, I think it actually

1155
00:59:41,360 --> 00:59:46,080
Speaker 2: could hurt you, even though that's counterintuitive to you know,

1156
00:59:46,520 --> 00:59:48,400
Speaker 2: when you're just thinking about it on the surface, but

1157
00:59:48,480 --> 00:59:50,720
Speaker 2: because they can just they'll rotate a safety over to

1158
00:59:50,800 --> 00:59:52,560
Speaker 2: him and then they'll take their chances, you know, guarding

1159
00:59:53,120 --> 00:59:57,240
Speaker 2: Juwan Johnson's with single coverage. But Kittle would be the

1160
00:59:57,280 --> 01:00:00,520
Speaker 2: one I think that would benefit the most from if

1161
01:00:00,560 --> 01:00:03,720
Speaker 2: Debo's out. So, uh, yeah, if Debo's out, I would

1162
01:00:03,920 --> 01:00:06,840
Speaker 2: certainly look to target Kittle in the prop market.

1163
01:00:07,520 --> 01:00:09,360
Speaker 1: Obviously, if the Lions were to win this game, they

1164
01:00:09,360 --> 01:00:11,760
Speaker 1: would be an underdog to either AFC team. Is that

1165
01:00:11,800 --> 01:00:12,400
Speaker 1: a fair statement?

1166
01:00:12,640 --> 01:00:14,640
Speaker 2: Yeah? They so they would get a bump for sure

1167
01:00:14,720 --> 01:00:18,120
Speaker 2: for beating the Niners on the road at the lot

1168
01:00:18,240 --> 01:00:20,680
Speaker 2: And we'll talk about this game next. Obviously the Ravens win,

1169
01:00:21,440 --> 01:00:23,160
Speaker 2: I mean, depending if they they'll off the Chiefs, they'll

1170
01:00:23,160 --> 01:00:25,480
Speaker 2: get bumped again. The Chiefs win, they'll get bumped. So

1171
01:00:26,320 --> 01:00:28,840
Speaker 2: but I think the Lions would get the biggest bump,

1172
01:00:28,960 --> 01:00:32,040
Speaker 2: so the biggest underdog. But they would be you know,

1173
01:00:32,200 --> 01:00:37,800
Speaker 2: probably four and a half five point underdogs to Baltimore

1174
01:00:38,040 --> 01:00:45,280
Speaker 2: and like a field goal underdog to the Chiefs. And

1175
01:00:45,320 --> 01:00:47,920
Speaker 2: then if the Niners win.

1176
01:00:47,960 --> 01:00:50,040
Speaker 1: For the Ford, do we just forget about the Packer

1177
01:00:50,120 --> 01:00:52,080
Speaker 1: game If they win this game in controlling.

1178
01:00:51,640 --> 01:00:54,439
Speaker 2: Fashion, yeah, especially if.

1179
01:00:54,640 --> 01:00:56,600
Speaker 1: Especially because it's in a dome. You know, it's not

1180
01:00:56,680 --> 01:00:57,640
Speaker 1: a weather game coming.

1181
01:00:57,800 --> 01:01:00,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, especially I there's no concerns about Samuel either. And

1182
01:01:00,840 --> 01:01:02,480
Speaker 2: for the Super Bowl. I mean there's two more weeks,

1183
01:01:03,000 --> 01:01:06,560
Speaker 2: especially a few plays. But yeah, if the Ravens look

1184
01:01:06,560 --> 01:01:11,000
Speaker 2: dominant again, though, I you know, I have to be Yeah,

1185
01:01:11,000 --> 01:01:12,840
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna be like a one point favorite. Now,

1186
01:01:14,320 --> 01:01:17,760
Speaker 2: if the Chiefs win and beat the Ravens, they're gonna

1187
01:01:17,760 --> 01:01:19,800
Speaker 2: get a ton of credit for that. They'll get more

1188
01:01:19,800 --> 01:01:22,000
Speaker 2: credit than the Niners winning. But people will forget about

1189
01:01:22,000 --> 01:01:25,200
Speaker 2: the Packers game. I think the Niners would be three

1190
01:01:25,240 --> 01:01:28,560
Speaker 2: point favorites over the Chiefs. You might get just a

1191
01:01:28,600 --> 01:01:31,240
Speaker 2: ton of people being like, mahomes a dog again and

1192
01:01:31,360 --> 01:01:32,800
Speaker 2: we just went through this, and then it might go

1193
01:01:32,840 --> 01:01:35,720
Speaker 2: to like two and a half. But Niners would be

1194
01:01:35,760 --> 01:01:37,080
Speaker 2: like two and a half to three point favorites. So

1195
01:01:37,240 --> 01:01:39,560
Speaker 2: maybe one point dog against the Ravens.

1196
01:01:39,800 --> 01:01:42,160
Speaker 1: KAYA think I'm with you. I Mean, I got burned

1197
01:01:42,200 --> 01:01:45,320
Speaker 1: by the Niners last week. But so my gut says,

1198
01:01:45,360 --> 01:01:47,840
Speaker 1: that's crazy to do it. But I'm gonna I'm gonna

1199
01:01:47,840 --> 01:01:50,720
Speaker 1: short the overreaction and just go with the way that

1200
01:01:50,760 --> 01:01:54,200
Speaker 1: you talk about the NFL which constantly works and take

1201
01:01:54,200 --> 01:01:55,800
Speaker 1: the Niners in this spot. A lot of respect for

1202
01:01:55,840 --> 01:01:58,280
Speaker 1: the Lions, though, you know if they lose, they can

1203
01:01:58,560 --> 01:02:00,680
Speaker 1: lose by twenty incredible season. I mean, they haven't been

1204
01:02:00,680 --> 01:02:05,040
Speaker 1: here in thirty plus years, and you know they got

1205
01:02:05,040 --> 01:02:08,960
Speaker 1: a bright, young squad. The second I guess it's technically

1206
01:02:08,960 --> 01:02:11,880
Speaker 1: the first game which I know you had a Bill's

1207
01:02:11,920 --> 01:02:15,000
Speaker 1: future the Bills at multiple times in that game you're like, God,

1208
01:02:15,000 --> 01:02:17,480
Speaker 1: They're finally going to do it, and then obviously they

1209
01:02:17,480 --> 01:02:20,080
Speaker 1: don't do it.

1210
01:02:18,840 --> 01:02:18,960
Speaker 2: Uh?

1211
01:02:20,120 --> 01:02:22,320
Speaker 1: Is it? What was your takeaway from that game? More

1212
01:02:22,480 --> 01:02:25,080
Speaker 1: devastating lost by the Bills or more just we're watching

1213
01:02:25,120 --> 01:02:27,520
Speaker 1: fucking one of the great quarterback coach combos in the

1214
01:02:27,560 --> 01:02:28,240
Speaker 1: history of the league.

1215
01:02:28,440 --> 01:02:33,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, the there's mames out of an amazing game.

1216
01:02:33,200 --> 01:02:34,919
Speaker 2: It was probably their best offensive game of the year.

1217
01:02:35,000 --> 01:02:36,720
Speaker 2: But I think a lot of it was The reason

1218
01:02:36,760 --> 01:02:40,000
Speaker 2: I didn't bet the Bills was I was concerned about

1219
01:02:40,040 --> 01:02:43,560
Speaker 2: their their injuries, and that ended up being the difference

1220
01:02:43,640 --> 01:02:46,400
Speaker 2: because they had I mean, they signed A J. Klein

1221
01:02:46,480 --> 01:02:48,400
Speaker 2: off the street. This guy was getting ready to go

1222
01:02:48,440 --> 01:02:52,880
Speaker 2: on vacation and they signed him and he played fifty

1223
01:02:53,000 --> 01:02:56,440
Speaker 2: snaps at linebacker. You know, they're missing Bernard. Two other

1224
01:02:56,480 --> 01:02:58,720
Speaker 2: linebackers got hurt. They only a three linebacker. If I

1225
01:02:58,720 --> 01:03:00,880
Speaker 2: think four linebackers dressed for the game, two of them

1226
01:03:00,880 --> 01:03:03,240
Speaker 2: got hurt. One of them was aj Klein, who played

1227
01:03:03,240 --> 01:03:08,160
Speaker 2: the entire game. So the Chiefs had, I mean, the

1228
01:03:08,160 --> 01:03:10,760
Speaker 2: best quarterback on the planet and they have a brilliant coach.

1229
01:03:10,960 --> 01:03:14,360
Speaker 2: They just said we're gonna go twelve, a lot of

1230
01:03:14,400 --> 01:03:18,320
Speaker 2: twelve thirteen personnel heavy and then just a shoot and

1231
01:03:18,400 --> 01:03:22,000
Speaker 2: abusure linebackers, and you know, Kelsey looked like his old self.

1232
01:03:22,040 --> 01:03:26,840
Speaker 2: They just took advantage of Climb and their linebackers, and

1233
01:03:27,480 --> 01:03:30,920
Speaker 2: they just really just took advantage of that matchup throughout.

1234
01:03:31,520 --> 01:03:35,200
Speaker 2: And then you know the Bills just didn't make the

1235
01:03:35,320 --> 01:03:38,560
Speaker 2: next play. You know, they had that almost touchdown on

1236
01:03:38,560 --> 01:03:41,200
Speaker 2: the end zone. Credit that Chris Jones, who got bumped

1237
01:03:41,240 --> 01:03:44,080
Speaker 2: down made the play there. They you know, Digs dropped

1238
01:03:44,080 --> 01:03:47,480
Speaker 2: that long pass and they missed a field goal. So yeah,

1239
01:03:47,480 --> 01:03:51,040
Speaker 2: I really thought game could have went either way. Mahomes

1240
01:03:51,040 --> 01:03:54,480
Speaker 2: was great, the game plan was great, and the injuries

1241
01:03:54,520 --> 01:03:56,720
Speaker 2: and being on a short week just really hurt the Bills.

1242
01:03:56,760 --> 01:03:59,600
Speaker 2: They didn't have enough guys ready at linebacker and the

1243
01:03:59,680 --> 01:04:04,720
Speaker 2: Chiefs took full advantage. So I still think that the

1244
01:04:04,760 --> 01:04:08,680
Speaker 2: people talking like short term memory and you know, people

1245
01:04:08,720 --> 01:04:11,240
Speaker 2: overreact what they see in the NFL. Is we have

1246
01:04:11,280 --> 01:04:14,040
Speaker 2: to remember that this Chiefs team, I don't their offense

1247
01:04:14,120 --> 01:04:18,920
Speaker 2: just isn't magically fixed. They played a they played a

1248
01:04:19,080 --> 01:04:22,760
Speaker 2: Dolphins team that had I mean no one left on

1249
01:04:22,800 --> 01:04:26,440
Speaker 2: that defensive line or a linebacker, you know, and there

1250
01:04:26,480 --> 01:04:30,760
Speaker 2: was Miami playing outdoors in like negative ten degrees. And

1251
01:04:30,800 --> 01:04:32,560
Speaker 2: then they play a Bills team on a short week

1252
01:04:32,640 --> 01:04:35,400
Speaker 2: that was missing linebackers, They had injuries in the secondary,

1253
01:04:36,040 --> 01:04:38,160
Speaker 2: and they I mean they were down to two linebackers

1254
01:04:38,200 --> 01:04:41,080
Speaker 2: at one point in the game. So this chief offense,

1255
01:04:41,080 --> 01:04:42,240
Speaker 2: do you remember how.

1256
01:04:42,080 --> 01:04:44,080
Speaker 1: Many weapons did they lose throughout the game? I mean

1257
01:04:44,120 --> 01:04:47,360
Speaker 1: guys getting ko jogging off the field.

1258
01:04:49,120 --> 01:04:51,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, And that that's what happens on a on a

1259
01:04:51,560 --> 01:04:54,240
Speaker 2: short week too. But it also you get to remember

1260
01:04:54,240 --> 01:04:58,440
Speaker 2: Gave Davis was out and the Chiefs defense, which so

1261
01:04:58,600 --> 01:05:01,080
Speaker 2: I like the under especially. I think it's gonna you

1262
01:05:01,080 --> 01:05:02,480
Speaker 2: can get. You can get. I think you can get

1263
01:05:02,520 --> 01:05:04,240
Speaker 2: forty five somewhere. But I think it'll eventually go to

1264
01:05:04,280 --> 01:05:05,960
Speaker 2: forty five. But I'd still like it a forty four

1265
01:05:05,960 --> 01:05:07,400
Speaker 2: and a half. I actually like the under in this game.

1266
01:05:07,440 --> 01:05:09,320
Speaker 2: I know it's scary as shit, you're like Lamar Jackson

1267
01:05:09,360 --> 01:05:13,960
Speaker 2: and Patrick Mames, but this Chiefs defense, they have you know,

1268
01:05:14,640 --> 01:05:17,960
Speaker 2: snead at one corner who's been an absolute lockdown corner

1269
01:05:18,000 --> 01:05:21,200
Speaker 2: all year and number one receivers have done nothing against him.

1270
01:05:21,480 --> 01:05:23,080
Speaker 2: I mean it's the Chiefs are number one in the

1271
01:05:23,160 --> 01:05:25,800
Speaker 2: NFL against number one receivers. They have a really good

1272
01:05:25,880 --> 01:05:30,760
Speaker 2: slot corner in McDuffie. Their second corner is their weak spot,

1273
01:05:31,280 --> 01:05:34,120
Speaker 2: and that's where you really miss Gave Davis. Now Gay

1274
01:05:34,200 --> 01:05:37,080
Speaker 2: Davis is just like hit or miss, but they in

1275
01:05:37,200 --> 01:05:38,880
Speaker 2: Gata is a good runbocker. But they didn't have that

1276
01:05:38,920 --> 01:05:41,000
Speaker 2: guy who's going off against Kansas City in the past

1277
01:05:41,520 --> 01:05:42,400
Speaker 2: to take advantage.

1278
01:05:42,440 --> 01:05:45,240
Speaker 1: So did he have four touchdowns or yeah in the game.

1279
01:05:45,080 --> 01:05:47,400
Speaker 2: Yeah in that uh that that divisional round throw. So

1280
01:05:47,480 --> 01:05:50,520
Speaker 2: not having him ended up being huge because Sneed took

1281
01:05:50,560 --> 01:05:53,280
Speaker 2: away digs. A prop that I like in this Ravens

1282
01:05:53,280 --> 01:05:57,680
Speaker 2: game is Flowers under four and a half catches. He

1283
01:05:58,360 --> 01:06:00,600
Speaker 2: so you know you have and Mark is going to

1284
01:06:00,640 --> 01:06:03,520
Speaker 2: be back, target chair is gonna go down, You're gonna

1285
01:06:03,520 --> 01:06:06,040
Speaker 2: have Snead on Flowers. He can he's very aggressive in body,

1286
01:06:06,080 --> 01:06:07,680
Speaker 2: and he also gets a ton of penalties, which would

1287
01:06:07,720 --> 01:06:09,480
Speaker 2: like he could have a big PI which would take

1288
01:06:09,520 --> 01:06:11,880
Speaker 2: away a catch but give you yards. But Snead is

1289
01:06:11,920 --> 01:06:15,680
Speaker 2: really good, one of those underrated corners in the league.

1290
01:06:16,160 --> 01:06:18,240
Speaker 2: So and then you're gonna have a slot on probably

1291
01:06:18,280 --> 01:06:22,360
Speaker 2: algo Aglar, So you're gonna need Bateman or Odell Beckham

1292
01:06:22,640 --> 01:06:24,960
Speaker 2: a big game. But the Ravens can run on the Chiefs,

1293
01:06:25,920 --> 01:06:30,040
Speaker 2: and that's the Chief's weakness. Gets number two receivers and

1294
01:06:30,920 --> 01:06:32,640
Speaker 2: they can't defend the run, and they can't defend the

1295
01:06:32,680 --> 01:06:35,520
Speaker 2: power run specifically, I think big Gus Edwards game like

1296
01:06:35,560 --> 01:06:39,800
Speaker 2: Gus Edwards over yards Gus Edwards, uh, you know if

1297
01:06:39,800 --> 01:06:42,360
Speaker 2: you're doing like a making a parlay or something anytime

1298
01:06:42,400 --> 01:06:45,720
Speaker 2: touchdown shotgun runs. Chiefs one of the worst defenses in

1299
01:06:45,760 --> 01:06:48,200
Speaker 2: the NFL. Power runs one of the worst defense the NFL,

1300
01:06:48,200 --> 01:06:51,280
Speaker 2: and that's where Edwards thrives. But I you know, and

1301
01:06:51,760 --> 01:06:53,440
Speaker 2: so I think that if you just look at this

1302
01:06:53,440 --> 01:06:55,280
Speaker 2: this Chief's whole body of work. I mean, this is

1303
01:06:55,280 --> 01:06:58,360
Speaker 2: a team that lost to I think would go weeks

1304
01:06:58,400 --> 01:07:02,280
Speaker 2: without scoring in the second half. Offenses is extremely flawed.

1305
01:07:02,680 --> 01:07:05,240
Speaker 2: You still have Mahomes. That's a trump card. You have

1306
01:07:05,320 --> 01:07:11,160
Speaker 2: Mahomes and but and you have Andy Reid, and like.

1307
01:07:11,040 --> 01:07:13,400
Speaker 1: This is the It's like it's like that ninety eight

1308
01:07:13,480 --> 01:07:16,760
Speaker 1: Bulls team with Scottie Pippen his backs fucked up, Dennis

1309
01:07:16,840 --> 01:07:19,400
Speaker 1: Rodman's wasted, you know, but it's like, well they got

1310
01:07:19,400 --> 01:07:20,600
Speaker 1: Phil Jackson, Michael Jordan.

1311
01:07:21,160 --> 01:07:23,760
Speaker 2: And one of the my favorite things about these the

1312
01:07:23,840 --> 01:07:28,760
Speaker 2: last three games is usually have good coaches, and you

1313
01:07:28,800 --> 01:07:31,400
Speaker 2: can win a game on scheme you and it would

1314
01:07:31,440 --> 01:07:34,400
Speaker 2: be a wrinkle. You might see someone a coach that

1315
01:07:34,440 --> 01:07:36,960
Speaker 2: plays their their cards that they've been holding or they

1316
01:07:37,000 --> 01:07:40,280
Speaker 2: come up with they identify a weakness and they exploit

1317
01:07:40,320 --> 01:07:41,600
Speaker 2: it and you can change a game.

1318
01:07:41,680 --> 01:07:44,320
Speaker 1: Belichick did it against you guys for years, right inoff

1319
01:07:44,360 --> 01:07:45,360
Speaker 1: games against the Ravens.

1320
01:07:45,960 --> 01:07:51,000
Speaker 2: You saw the double pass. Also the how they go

1321
01:07:51,080 --> 01:07:55,439
Speaker 2: looked at the Rams, the Rams Patriots super Bowl when

1322
01:07:56,440 --> 01:07:59,200
Speaker 2: the Patriots came up with that, the defensive game plan

1323
01:07:59,280 --> 01:08:01,520
Speaker 2: that just the Rams and no answer for with all

1324
01:08:01,560 --> 01:08:05,080
Speaker 2: the defensive linemen. So there's always that. And then you

1325
01:08:05,160 --> 01:08:05,960
Speaker 2: still have my home.

1326
01:08:06,320 --> 01:08:09,120
Speaker 1: Kelsey can pass right, Yeah, got recruited to get you

1327
01:08:09,160 --> 01:08:11,680
Speaker 1: know something a wrinkle that like a quick screen to

1328
01:08:11,760 --> 01:08:13,760
Speaker 1: Kelsey where he throws back the other side. You know,

1329
01:08:13,960 --> 01:08:15,040
Speaker 1: you get they're gonna need that.

1330
01:08:15,280 --> 01:08:18,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, you're gonna need You're gonna need something. You're homes

1331
01:08:18,080 --> 01:08:19,320
Speaker 2: not to make a mistake. And he's gone for an

1332
01:08:19,400 --> 01:08:23,759
Speaker 2: NFL record six straight playoff games without an interception minimum

1333
01:08:23,840 --> 01:08:28,040
Speaker 2: twenty pass attempts. Never been done before. But this this offense,

1334
01:08:28,439 --> 01:08:31,439
Speaker 2: your tackles have been bad all year, Your wide receivers

1335
01:08:31,479 --> 01:08:34,400
Speaker 2: are limited, Kelsey isn't the same explosive receiver, and now

1336
01:08:34,400 --> 01:08:37,320
Speaker 2: you're gonna be about your all pro guard and that's

1337
01:08:37,320 --> 01:08:40,240
Speaker 2: a nightmare against the Stravens defense. I shouldn't say you're

1338
01:08:40,240 --> 01:08:42,000
Speaker 2: going to be it's almost presumed that they will be

1339
01:08:42,040 --> 01:08:44,679
Speaker 2: without him, or he's gonna be comedy Terris Peck, Yeah,

1340
01:08:44,760 --> 01:08:46,840
Speaker 2: Joe Toney dad so like.

1341
01:08:47,680 --> 01:08:48,640
Speaker 1: Who never plays with that.

1342
01:08:48,920 --> 01:08:51,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's gonna take some kind of special

1343
01:08:52,520 --> 01:08:54,439
Speaker 2: shoot him up. But he still wouldn't be as strong.

1344
01:08:54,479 --> 01:08:57,200
Speaker 2: But that not only is your offensive line now weaker,

1345
01:08:57,280 --> 01:08:59,680
Speaker 2: especially because your tackle has been bad and they get penalized.

1346
01:09:00,000 --> 01:09:03,200
Speaker 2: You're playing in the hostile environment. It's gonna be loud,

1347
01:09:03,600 --> 01:09:06,600
Speaker 2: and you had the offensive line continuity all year, and

1348
01:09:06,640 --> 01:09:08,880
Speaker 2: now you've got to play without that continuity against the

1349
01:09:08,920 --> 01:09:13,000
Speaker 2: defense that will stunt and bring. They will block, So

1350
01:09:13,280 --> 01:09:16,040
Speaker 2: the Ravens get pressure in amazing ways. They will like

1351
01:09:16,720 --> 01:09:19,960
Speaker 2: hve it like not a bouquet is gonna get paid.

1352
01:09:20,040 --> 01:09:24,519
Speaker 2: He'll he'll like blitz a offensive lineman. Uh, he'll bull

1353
01:09:24,560 --> 01:09:26,839
Speaker 2: rush them, and they'll have a They'll have another defensive

1354
01:09:26,880 --> 01:09:32,519
Speaker 2: lineman come and just take out the offensive lineman and

1355
01:09:32,960 --> 01:09:36,160
Speaker 2: free up the rusher and confuse the whole offensive line.

1356
01:09:36,360 --> 01:09:38,880
Speaker 2: It's pretty wild what they do. But this Ravens defense

1357
01:09:38,960 --> 01:09:42,080
Speaker 2: has They're almost perfectly built to stop the Chiefs. They

1358
01:09:42,080 --> 01:09:44,479
Speaker 2: can get pressure, they don't have the blitz. They can

1359
01:09:44,720 --> 01:09:49,000
Speaker 2: get pressure without blitzing. They'll symp don't. They confuse every

1360
01:09:49,080 --> 01:09:51,759
Speaker 2: quarterback they play McDonald's game plans every week are amazing.

1361
01:09:51,800 --> 01:09:54,080
Speaker 2: So can't I can't wait to watch that chess match.

1362
01:09:54,120 --> 01:09:56,080
Speaker 2: But they're so strong of the middle of the field

1363
01:09:56,880 --> 01:10:00,200
Speaker 2: and they can cover tight ends. They don't have the

1364
01:10:00,320 --> 01:10:03,919
Speaker 2: corners to do much. But the Chiefs receivers aren't anything special.

1365
01:10:04,240 --> 01:10:06,840
Speaker 2: You're gonna get Marlin Humphrey back, just another physical guy

1366
01:10:06,840 --> 01:10:08,840
Speaker 2: in the run game. You have Kyle Hamilton, who you

1367
01:10:08,880 --> 01:10:10,479
Speaker 2: can do a million different things with. You you've got

1368
01:10:10,600 --> 01:10:14,360
Speaker 2: Humphrey or Hamilton cover Kelsey. You also have elite linebackers

1369
01:10:14,960 --> 01:10:17,680
Speaker 2: safeties for days. The Raives were built to stop the

1370
01:10:17,720 --> 01:10:19,160
Speaker 2: middle of the field. That's where the Chiefs have to

1371
01:10:19,160 --> 01:10:21,360
Speaker 2: attack now. So they don't have elite wide receivers and

1372
01:10:21,400 --> 01:10:22,920
Speaker 2: they don't have the blitz to get pressure, and they

1373
01:10:22,920 --> 01:10:24,360
Speaker 2: should be able to get pressure up the middle, which

1374
01:10:24,360 --> 01:10:27,679
Speaker 2: is kind of Mahomes kryptonized. Any quarterbacks kryptonite. So Mahomes

1375
01:10:27,760 --> 01:10:30,120
Speaker 2: is gonna have to make which he can do. But

1376
01:10:30,400 --> 01:10:32,920
Speaker 2: we saw a limited It's it's still Mahomes all year.

1377
01:10:33,000 --> 01:10:34,640
Speaker 2: We saw them, you know, lose a game to the

1378
01:10:34,720 --> 01:10:37,120
Speaker 2: Raiders at home when O'Connor went oer of ten over

1379
01:10:37,120 --> 01:10:38,640
Speaker 2: the final three quarters. Is they couldn't move the ball

1380
01:10:38,640 --> 01:10:41,880
Speaker 2: against the Raiders. So this all and you know they

1381
01:10:41,880 --> 01:10:45,200
Speaker 2: benefited the last weeks from extremely injured defenses. It's good.

1382
01:10:45,240 --> 01:10:46,960
Speaker 2: It's hard for me to see this Chiefs offense having

1383
01:10:47,040 --> 01:10:49,080
Speaker 2: much success. It's also hard. I don't think the Ravens

1384
01:10:49,080 --> 01:10:51,280
Speaker 2: are gonna roll up and down the field. The Chiefs

1385
01:10:51,320 --> 01:10:52,640
Speaker 2: don't play a lot of his own, which can't do

1386
01:10:52,680 --> 01:10:55,600
Speaker 2: against the Ravens. They can spack. Knowle is gonna have

1387
01:10:55,640 --> 01:10:58,719
Speaker 2: some crazy blitz scheme here to bring pressure. You gotta

1388
01:10:58,720 --> 01:11:01,960
Speaker 2: bring pressure and blitz Lamar. I'm curious to see how

1389
01:11:02,000 --> 01:11:04,599
Speaker 2: he's gonna handle the spy part of it. Can't spy

1390
01:11:04,720 --> 01:11:07,040
Speaker 2: Lamar fully. You got to spy then blitz. But and

1391
01:11:07,080 --> 01:11:09,760
Speaker 2: they have good corners on the outside. Now the Raves

1392
01:11:09,800 --> 01:11:11,800
Speaker 2: arenna come out here run and they can run on

1393
01:11:11,800 --> 01:11:13,080
Speaker 2: the Chiefs. But I don't think they're gonna move the

1394
01:11:13,080 --> 01:11:15,519
Speaker 2: ball up and down the field. I just think though,

1395
01:11:15,520 --> 01:11:17,519
Speaker 2: if we look back at the body of work, so

1396
01:11:17,560 --> 01:11:18,840
Speaker 2: I think it'll be like a lower scoring game. And

1397
01:11:18,880 --> 01:11:21,600
Speaker 2: these are the two top scoring defenses in the league.

1398
01:11:22,160 --> 01:11:25,080
Speaker 2: Ravens lot sixteen and a half points per game, Chiefs

1399
01:11:25,720 --> 01:11:28,280
Speaker 2: right over seventeen. But I just don't think that we

1400
01:11:28,320 --> 01:11:32,240
Speaker 2: can discount what the Ravens have done this year. And

1401
01:11:33,040 --> 01:11:37,920
Speaker 2: I mean they've played They played ten playoff teams. They

1402
01:11:38,000 --> 01:11:41,639
Speaker 2: beat them by a combined one hundred and seventy points.

1403
01:11:41,680 --> 01:11:44,599
Speaker 2: They went eight to two in those games. All ten

1404
01:11:44,640 --> 01:11:46,719
Speaker 2: teams they played at home finished with a winning record.

1405
01:11:47,360 --> 01:11:50,559
Speaker 2: The last seven teams that they've played at home, including

1406
01:11:50,600 --> 01:11:53,519
Speaker 2: the playoffs, they beat by an average score of thirty

1407
01:11:53,520 --> 01:11:57,800
Speaker 2: eight to seventeen. This team has just dominated every good

1408
01:11:57,840 --> 01:12:01,040
Speaker 2: team all year. You talk about this team didn't cross

1409
01:12:01,040 --> 01:12:04,320
Speaker 2: the twenty seven yard line. They just destroyed one of

1410
01:12:04,360 --> 01:12:06,479
Speaker 2: the other top defenses in the league the week before

1411
01:12:06,880 --> 01:12:09,160
Speaker 2: the Niners. I just I mentioned that earlier they scored

1412
01:12:09,200 --> 01:12:12,120
Speaker 2: thirty on everyone with a healthy debo. They had ten

1413
01:12:12,600 --> 01:12:15,400
Speaker 2: before Sam Darnold came in at the end. So this

1414
01:12:15,479 --> 01:12:18,360
Speaker 2: defense has shut down everyone, everyone, every type offense. And

1415
01:12:18,400 --> 01:12:21,599
Speaker 2: this Chiefs offense wasn't an elite offense this year. Still good,

1416
01:12:21,640 --> 01:12:24,720
Speaker 2: so top ten offense, still a Mahomes, but it's it's

1417
01:12:24,760 --> 01:12:26,759
Speaker 2: flawed and now the Ravens are going to be healthier,

1418
01:12:27,080 --> 01:12:29,479
Speaker 2: Chiefs dealing with an injury at guard. So it's hard

1419
01:12:29,479 --> 01:12:33,479
Speaker 2: for me to see that this Chiefs team, you know,

1420
01:12:33,600 --> 01:12:35,240
Speaker 2: doing much. They got to keep it close and then

1421
01:12:35,320 --> 01:12:38,439
Speaker 2: let Mahomes have magic at the end because the Chiefs

1422
01:12:38,439 --> 01:12:41,439
Speaker 2: starts to playoff teams. Even if you include the last

1423
01:12:41,439 --> 01:12:43,360
Speaker 2: two against the Bills of Dolphins, they went three and

1424
01:12:43,439 --> 01:12:46,080
Speaker 2: four this year by a and they won by a

1425
01:12:46,080 --> 01:12:49,280
Speaker 2: combined thirteen points. So you know, Ravens have better.

1426
01:12:49,560 --> 01:12:52,599
Speaker 1: Aren't their defensive stats a little skewed too? Because they

1427
01:12:52,640 --> 01:12:55,040
Speaker 1: get two games against Adan O'Connell. They get two games.

1428
01:12:55,080 --> 01:12:57,439
Speaker 1: Their last game against the Chargers Cooper Rush was in

1429
01:12:57,800 --> 01:13:01,960
Speaker 1: they played the Broncos and Russell Wilson. So it's I

1430
01:13:01,960 --> 01:13:04,880
Speaker 1: would bet if we dove in they're solid, like I

1431
01:13:04,920 --> 01:13:07,680
Speaker 1: guess bags like they're a big primetime defense, but they

1432
01:13:07,720 --> 01:13:10,479
Speaker 1: are relative to the Ravens. I think there's a gap

1433
01:13:10,520 --> 01:13:12,880
Speaker 1: between the two for sure. Kind of what you're saying.

1434
01:13:12,720 --> 01:13:15,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, I mean that the Chiefs defense is very good.

1435
01:13:15,320 --> 01:13:17,519
Speaker 2: It's much improved. That they benefit from the easy schedule.

1436
01:13:17,520 --> 01:13:19,439
Speaker 2: I mean they had a bottom ten scheduled. Ravens defense

1437
01:13:19,560 --> 01:13:22,000
Speaker 2: number one across the board, had a top five schedule.

1438
01:13:22,000 --> 01:13:25,800
Speaker 2: They played ten playoff teams, played in a division the

1439
01:13:25,840 --> 01:13:28,519
Speaker 2: best division in the NFL that every team finished about

1440
01:13:28,560 --> 01:13:30,920
Speaker 2: five hundred for the first time in sixty years. But

1441
01:13:31,000 --> 01:13:33,839
Speaker 2: they actually match up pretty well just schematically with the Ravens,

1442
01:13:34,439 --> 01:13:35,800
Speaker 2: and they have a couple of good coins.

1443
01:13:35,800 --> 01:13:38,479
Speaker 1: The tight end things big because they got a safety

1444
01:13:38,479 --> 01:13:40,160
Speaker 1: that's sixty three that can cover a tight end. The

1445
01:13:40,200 --> 01:13:41,320
Speaker 1: two linebackers, yep.

1446
01:13:42,439 --> 01:13:44,439
Speaker 2: But yeah, the Raves are also gonna get Mark Andrews back

1447
01:13:44,439 --> 01:13:49,360
Speaker 2: here presumably, which just another weapon. But the biggest mismatch

1448
01:13:49,400 --> 01:13:52,760
Speaker 2: in this game is Ravens again much harder schedule. They

1449
01:13:52,760 --> 01:13:55,840
Speaker 2: averaged twenty eight points per game. Chiefs only averaged a

1450
01:13:55,840 --> 01:13:58,559
Speaker 2: little over twenty. I mean the Chiefs didn't get the

1451
01:13:58,560 --> 01:14:01,960
Speaker 2: twenty one ten times times this year. So and the

1452
01:14:02,000 --> 01:14:04,960
Speaker 2: Ravens average over a touchdown more against a much tougher schedule,

1453
01:14:05,439 --> 01:14:07,280
Speaker 2: and they should be able to move the ball just

1454
01:14:07,360 --> 01:14:10,920
Speaker 2: more consistently, mainly on the ground, like that's the Chief's

1455
01:14:10,960 --> 01:14:13,640
Speaker 2: biggest weakness. There's no reason why the Ravens aren't be

1456
01:14:13,680 --> 01:14:17,680
Speaker 2: able to run the ball on Kansas City. And this

1457
01:14:17,760 --> 01:14:20,800
Speaker 2: Ravens team has just answered the call all year now

1458
01:14:20,800 --> 01:14:26,120
Speaker 2: again it's and if you go by dboa metric that

1459
01:14:26,160 --> 01:14:30,320
Speaker 2: adjust for opponent to measure how strong teams are waited.

1460
01:14:30,400 --> 01:14:32,639
Speaker 2: DBOI looks at more recent game puts more weight into

1461
01:14:32,680 --> 01:14:37,360
Speaker 2: recent games. Ravens are the hottest team headed into this

1462
01:14:37,479 --> 01:14:43,120
Speaker 2: round since the metrics started in nineteen eighty. The eleven

1463
01:14:43,160 --> 01:14:45,280
Speaker 2: of the other top thirteen teams all made to Super Bowl.

1464
01:14:45,360 --> 01:14:50,080
Speaker 2: The two that didn't were the Bills against the Chiefs

1465
01:14:50,120 --> 01:14:53,160
Speaker 2: a couple of years ago in that thriller So Mahomes

1466
01:14:53,280 --> 01:14:56,040
Speaker 2: killed one of them, and Harball and the Ravens killed

1467
01:14:56,040 --> 01:14:59,200
Speaker 2: the other. In twenty twelve against the Patriots in New

1468
01:14:59,240 --> 01:15:01,680
Speaker 2: England against breat when they went on to beat the

1469
01:15:01,760 --> 01:15:04,760
Speaker 2: Niners in the Super Bowl. But this is, I mean,

1470
01:15:04,960 --> 01:15:09,679
Speaker 2: historically speaking, one of the most dominant seasons in NFL history.

1471
01:15:09,800 --> 01:15:13,000
Speaker 2: You're talking they played ten playoff teams. Every you know,

1472
01:15:13,360 --> 01:15:15,800
Speaker 2: all ten teams they played at home. Look at all

1473
01:15:15,800 --> 01:15:17,720
Speaker 2: the playoff teams they played, they would they blew them

1474
01:15:17,720 --> 01:15:21,559
Speaker 2: all out. So I don't think we can discount that. Now.

1475
01:15:21,600 --> 01:15:24,479
Speaker 2: If you wanted to take Mahomes is a dog over three,

1476
01:15:24,880 --> 01:15:29,519
Speaker 2: I can't argue with you. Mahomes and Lamar Jackson as

1477
01:15:29,680 --> 01:15:34,400
Speaker 2: underdogs have been remarkable bets. But so I'm not laying

1478
01:15:34,400 --> 01:15:35,640
Speaker 2: three and a half with the Ravens. I played some

1479
01:15:35,640 --> 01:15:37,880
Speaker 2: money line when the line first, when the line first open.

1480
01:15:37,880 --> 01:15:39,519
Speaker 2: If it got down to three, I would like the Ravens.

1481
01:15:39,800 --> 01:15:41,639
Speaker 2: But I played some under I played some ed Gus

1482
01:15:41,720 --> 01:15:49,040
Speaker 2: Edwards props, I played flowers under catches. But I just think,

1483
01:15:49,400 --> 01:15:51,160
Speaker 2: and by the way, the Ravens plays slow too, which

1484
01:15:51,200 --> 01:15:54,719
Speaker 2: helps the under But I just think Ravens are healthier.

1485
01:15:55,040 --> 01:15:57,719
Speaker 2: They've been way more dominant all year. They're at home,

1486
01:15:58,000 --> 01:15:59,840
Speaker 2: they have an extra day and a half to prepare

1487
01:15:59,880 --> 01:16:02,240
Speaker 2: for this they have at the end of the day,

1488
01:16:02,240 --> 01:16:05,120
Speaker 2: they have a better offense, a better defense, better special teams,

1489
01:16:05,880 --> 01:16:09,439
Speaker 2: and great coaches, just like the Chiefs who have schemed

1490
01:16:09,520 --> 01:16:12,880
Speaker 2: up brilliant game plans all year. And the Ravens rested

1491
01:16:12,880 --> 01:16:17,120
Speaker 2: Week eighteen. They were they probably spent about three weeks

1492
01:16:17,439 --> 01:16:20,479
Speaker 2: preparing for the Chiefs and door Bills for this game

1493
01:16:21,640 --> 01:16:24,160
Speaker 2: part of the part of that time, and they had

1494
01:16:24,160 --> 01:16:26,599
Speaker 2: a week they had to buy. So they've had and look,

1495
01:16:26,640 --> 01:16:28,960
Speaker 2: they played Saturday, the Chiefs played late in a Sunday night.

1496
01:16:29,000 --> 01:16:30,679
Speaker 2: That stuff matters too. Now they're going to the second

1497
01:16:30,680 --> 01:16:33,719
Speaker 2: straight road game. Chiefs aren't as healthy, Ravens getting Andrews

1498
01:16:33,720 --> 01:16:36,400
Speaker 2: and Humphrey back. So I think all signs point to

1499
01:16:36,400 --> 01:16:39,479
Speaker 2: the Ravens here. But you're you just pull out why

1500
01:16:39,600 --> 01:16:43,280
Speaker 2: Mahomes and I'll say, yeah, that's yeah, fine. So but

1501
01:16:43,360 --> 01:16:46,800
Speaker 2: I think the Chief's best path keep this low scoring, uh,

1502
01:16:47,360 --> 01:16:50,680
Speaker 2: try to run the ball, and then you just at

1503
01:16:50,720 --> 01:16:52,120
Speaker 2: the end of you have the fourth quarter, you have

1504
01:16:52,160 --> 01:16:53,080
Speaker 2: Mahomes in a close game.

1505
01:16:54,280 --> 01:16:58,439
Speaker 1: And last week we loved the Bills or I mean

1506
01:16:58,520 --> 01:17:02,280
Speaker 1: Josh Allen all his props, the rushing props against the Chiefs.

1507
01:17:02,680 --> 01:17:05,479
Speaker 1: A little different, you know, with the Ravens. But obviously

1508
01:17:05,560 --> 01:17:09,400
Speaker 1: Lamar is a dynamic runner. I mean, I seventy yards

1509
01:17:09,439 --> 01:17:11,479
Speaker 1: over that you get a plus one thirty? What about

1510
01:17:11,479 --> 01:17:14,280
Speaker 1: two touchdowns from Lamar? Now, like you said, if they

1511
01:17:14,320 --> 01:17:17,120
Speaker 1: hammer the physical run game as Gus Edwards more likely

1512
01:17:17,160 --> 01:17:19,559
Speaker 1: to get a red zone carry than him. Right, But

1513
01:17:19,600 --> 01:17:22,519
Speaker 1: a lot Josh Allen does or did against the Chiefs

1514
01:17:22,560 --> 01:17:24,920
Speaker 1: a lot. What Lamar does those edge rushes and had

1515
01:17:24,960 --> 01:17:25,759
Speaker 1: a lot of success.

1516
01:17:26,320 --> 01:17:31,479
Speaker 2: Yep, And Lamar is It's just like most of the

1517
01:17:31,520 --> 01:17:35,439
Speaker 2: elite quarterbacks. It's the playoffs. Scramble rate goes up, the

1518
01:17:35,600 --> 01:17:39,280
Speaker 2: design run rate goes up. So yeah, I don't hate.

1519
01:17:39,120 --> 01:17:41,759
Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna take him to TDS plus six fifty.

1520
01:17:42,000 --> 01:17:44,240
Speaker 2: Don't hate it. Yeah, I mean the Ravens are gonna

1521
01:17:44,680 --> 01:17:48,120
Speaker 2: I think that they're saying here, like what their game

1522
01:17:48,160 --> 01:17:49,840
Speaker 2: plan is gonna be. They know they can run the ball,

1523
01:17:51,439 --> 01:17:55,519
Speaker 2: and I think that they're extremely confident in their defense,

1524
01:17:55,560 --> 01:17:57,120
Speaker 2: with their defensive game plan is going to be, and

1525
01:17:57,160 --> 01:18:00,759
Speaker 2: then just in their defensive personnel against this Chiefs offense.

1526
01:18:01,280 --> 01:18:04,200
Speaker 2: So I think they're just going to hammer away, you know,

1527
01:18:04,240 --> 01:18:07,800
Speaker 2: take your periodic shots, get a lead, and then just

1528
01:18:07,880 --> 01:18:11,200
Speaker 2: keep running and then that's when like all the running

1529
01:18:11,720 --> 01:18:13,720
Speaker 2: running props would hit if they had a lead, and

1530
01:18:13,800 --> 01:18:15,640
Speaker 2: they you can they can just keep running on the

1531
01:18:15,680 --> 01:18:19,120
Speaker 2: Chiefs and controlling the ball. But yeah, I just think

1532
01:18:19,120 --> 01:18:21,240
Speaker 2: that they'll be able to run it. And I don't

1533
01:18:21,280 --> 01:18:23,960
Speaker 2: think that the Chiefs can consistently move the ball on

1534
01:18:23,960 --> 01:18:25,880
Speaker 2: this defense. No one has been able to do so

1535
01:18:26,320 --> 01:18:30,439
Speaker 2: one or two games this year. The only the only week.

1536
01:18:30,320 --> 01:18:32,800
Speaker 1: Is that I the Niners had yards, they just turned

1537
01:18:32,840 --> 01:18:33,200
Speaker 1: it over.

1538
01:18:33,439 --> 01:18:34,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, that's true. I mean, but the Niners have

1539
01:18:34,880 --> 01:18:36,120
Speaker 2: a much better offense than the Chiefs too.

1540
01:18:36,160 --> 01:18:37,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, but the Niners reviewed as the team that they're

1541
01:18:37,920 --> 01:18:38,880
Speaker 1: going to play in the Super Bowls.

1542
01:18:38,920 --> 01:18:42,080
Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah. The only thing you could what the Niners

1543
01:18:42,120 --> 01:18:44,439
Speaker 2: can do is that One of the reasons the Niners

1544
01:18:44,479 --> 01:18:47,280
Speaker 2: can have success against the Ravens is that the only

1545
01:18:47,280 --> 01:18:49,320
Speaker 2: thing that I've seen that you can get to this

1546
01:18:49,400 --> 01:18:53,559
Speaker 2: Ravens defense is they when they're in Nickel, they're so

1547
01:18:53,680 --> 01:18:56,160
Speaker 2: good because Hamilton is just I mean, he's just a

1548
01:18:56,200 --> 01:18:58,040
Speaker 2: god out there. You can do so many things with him.

1549
01:18:58,439 --> 01:19:00,920
Speaker 2: He could just erect every screen and you can pick

1550
01:19:00,920 --> 01:19:03,080
Speaker 2: off passes, you and can cover anyone defends the run.

1551
01:19:04,280 --> 01:19:06,439
Speaker 2: But if you can so, and then you have him

1552
01:19:06,439 --> 01:19:09,000
Speaker 2: in the slot. Now you're gonna Humphrey back. You have

1553
01:19:09,040 --> 01:19:11,439
Speaker 2: corners and safeties for days. And obviously your linebackers are good,

1554
01:19:11,560 --> 01:19:13,559
Speaker 2: your defensive line is good. But if so, if they

1555
01:19:13,560 --> 01:19:17,120
Speaker 2: can stay in nickel with Hamilton in the slot, and like,

1556
01:19:17,360 --> 01:19:19,599
Speaker 2: they are so hard to beat, and their numbers say

1557
01:19:19,600 --> 01:19:22,040
Speaker 2: that the EPA per play their number one historically dominant

1558
01:19:22,120 --> 01:19:24,960
Speaker 2: defense in nickel. But if you can get them out

1559
01:19:25,000 --> 01:19:28,000
Speaker 2: of nickel, and the way that you do that is

1560
01:19:28,040 --> 01:19:29,439
Speaker 2: you have to be able to run on them a

1561
01:19:29,479 --> 01:19:33,639
Speaker 2: lot and successfully and then throw on them because their

1562
01:19:33,640 --> 01:19:35,559
Speaker 2: corners aren't great, and they asked their They don't ask

1563
01:19:35,560 --> 01:19:37,080
Speaker 2: their corners to do much on the defense because they

1564
01:19:37,080 --> 01:19:39,120
Speaker 2: can get pressured. They don't ask them the garden the flats.

1565
01:19:39,560 --> 01:19:42,200
Speaker 2: So if you can get them out of nickel by

1566
01:19:42,280 --> 01:19:44,080
Speaker 2: running on them, and they got to have.

1567
01:19:44,040 --> 01:19:46,280
Speaker 1: Two running backs on the field and Niners have use.

1568
01:19:46,200 --> 01:19:48,160
Speaker 2: Check, yeah, but then yeah, because then you have to

1569
01:19:48,160 --> 01:19:49,920
Speaker 2: bring in another linebacker and then you don't have Hamilton

1570
01:19:49,960 --> 01:19:53,160
Speaker 2: out there, and then you throw on them. That's what

1571
01:19:53,200 --> 01:19:55,719
Speaker 2: the Rams did. For example, the Rams with Karen Williams,

1572
01:19:55,760 --> 01:19:58,280
Speaker 2: they were running on them, got them out of Nickel

1573
01:19:58,280 --> 01:20:01,280
Speaker 2: a lot, and then you have Nakua Cup and staff

1574
01:20:01,360 --> 01:20:04,599
Speaker 2: or you're able to throw on them. The Chiefs don't

1575
01:20:04,600 --> 01:20:06,280
Speaker 2: have an elite Checko runs really hard. They don't at

1576
01:20:06,280 --> 01:20:09,560
Speaker 2: a leade rushing attack. It's good, it's like league average statistically.

1577
01:20:10,360 --> 01:20:12,040
Speaker 2: But even if they do do that, I still think

1578
01:20:12,040 --> 01:20:16,680
Speaker 2: the Ravens can stay and Nickel because like they're not

1579
01:20:16,760 --> 01:20:19,320
Speaker 2: worried about and even if the Chiefs are having success

1580
01:20:19,400 --> 01:20:23,920
Speaker 2: running and then Ravens that are bringing another linebacker, it's

1581
01:20:23,920 --> 01:20:25,840
Speaker 2: not like the Chiefs have these elite receivers that you

1582
01:20:25,880 --> 01:20:28,120
Speaker 2: can throw to and take advantage. So like that's what

1583
01:20:28,160 --> 01:20:31,400
Speaker 2: the Niners can do to the Ravens. You know, obviously

1584
01:20:31,520 --> 01:20:34,360
Speaker 2: Courdy can't turn it over, but like with McCaffrey in

1585
01:20:34,400 --> 01:20:37,160
Speaker 2: their run game, you kind of make the Ravens go

1586
01:20:37,240 --> 01:20:39,760
Speaker 2: heavier and then you start throwing on them. I just

1587
01:20:39,800 --> 01:20:43,360
Speaker 2: don't think the Chiefs can do that. So but yeah,

1588
01:20:43,400 --> 01:20:46,280
Speaker 2: I think that's the difference. Like this Chiefs offense all year.

1589
01:20:46,720 --> 01:20:49,479
Speaker 2: I'm not going to be swayed by just them taking

1590
01:20:49,479 --> 01:20:51,320
Speaker 2: advantage of the Bills linebacker Injeries and then playing a

1591
01:20:51,320 --> 01:20:56,000
Speaker 2: beat up Dolphins team. The Chiefs offense has struggled for

1592
01:20:56,120 --> 01:21:00,600
Speaker 2: long stretches all year, and the Ravens defense has been dominant.

1593
01:21:00,760 --> 01:21:04,880
Speaker 2: And I think at home off throwing an offensive line injury,

1594
01:21:04,920 --> 01:21:09,800
Speaker 2: you're struggling tackles. I think the Ravens will win this game.

1595
01:21:10,960 --> 01:21:15,160
Speaker 1: Niners Ravens super Bowl. Yep, it would be a big

1596
01:21:15,200 --> 01:21:15,799
Speaker 1: time one.

1597
01:21:16,160 --> 01:21:18,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, right around a pick and then you and I

1598
01:21:18,760 --> 01:21:21,559
Speaker 2: can two weeks.

1599
01:21:21,600 --> 01:21:23,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's keep it rolling. One of these games bound

1600
01:21:23,960 --> 01:21:26,200
Speaker 1: to get weird. It feels like the Chiefs, you know,

1601
01:21:26,280 --> 01:21:28,360
Speaker 1: could be a little just because, like you said, Patrick Mahomes.

1602
01:21:28,400 --> 01:21:32,720
Speaker 1: But I wouldn't discount the Niners, who gave everyone a

1603
01:21:32,800 --> 01:21:35,360
Speaker 1: scare last week. But maybe they just come back firing

1604
01:21:35,439 --> 01:21:38,400
Speaker 1: and maybe fucking Kyle h has a good game plan

1605
01:21:38,479 --> 01:21:38,840
Speaker 1: this week.

1606
01:21:39,080 --> 01:21:40,600
Speaker 2: Yeah right, I went there was a chance that the

1607
01:21:40,640 --> 01:21:44,000
Speaker 2: Ravens blow out the Chiefs, and like, I mean, they've

1608
01:21:44,000 --> 01:21:48,080
Speaker 2: done it. Telmas. I don't know eight nine playoff teams

1609
01:21:48,120 --> 01:21:52,639
Speaker 2: this year, but I'll be if they're only up six

1610
01:21:52,800 --> 01:21:56,000
Speaker 2: in the fourth quarter, I'll be shipping my pants on Sunday.

1611
01:21:56,280 --> 01:21:57,160
Speaker 2: I'll tell you that.

1612
01:21:58,040 --> 01:22:00,640
Speaker 1: Got in the early college basketball few a team that

1613
01:22:00,680 --> 01:22:02,160
Speaker 1: maybe a little flying off the radar to win the

1614
01:22:02,200 --> 01:22:03,360
Speaker 1: national championship.

1615
01:22:03,280 --> 01:22:08,760
Speaker 2: Uh a team. Let's see there was a chalk this year. No,

1616
01:22:08,880 --> 01:22:10,639
Speaker 2: I mean it's pretty wide open. There's there's like four

1617
01:22:10,680 --> 01:22:15,639
Speaker 2: or five pretty dominant teams, but a couple to make

1618
01:22:15,680 --> 01:22:20,800
Speaker 2: the final four Flyers, Texas A and M. They have

1619
01:22:20,920 --> 01:22:22,720
Speaker 2: a garden waye tailor who can drag them to the

1620
01:22:22,760 --> 01:22:24,080
Speaker 2: final four. They can get them like I don't know,

1621
01:22:24,160 --> 01:22:28,439
Speaker 2: fifteen sixteen to one, and yeah, buzz is great. And

1622
01:22:28,479 --> 01:22:33,639
Speaker 2: then Saint John's they they host up next week. But yeah, there.

1623
01:22:34,040 --> 01:22:36,920
Speaker 2: Patinos changed their defense. They just got over a COVID bout.

1624
01:22:36,920 --> 01:22:39,240
Speaker 2: They lost. They lost Marquete by one, Creighton by one.

1625
01:22:39,720 --> 01:22:42,080
Speaker 2: They played Yukon at home. They win that game. They're

1626
01:22:42,080 --> 01:22:44,280
Speaker 2: gonna go through their schedule to close years really easy.

1627
01:22:44,720 --> 01:22:47,840
Speaker 2: But they have very senior laden team. It was all

1628
01:22:47,880 --> 01:22:50,439
Speaker 2: a bunch of new pieces put together and they're starting

1629
01:22:50,439 --> 01:22:54,320
Speaker 2: to get better. Patino changed their defense. They run like

1630
01:22:54,360 --> 01:22:57,720
Speaker 2: this complex matchup zone and they changed to man mid

1631
01:22:57,760 --> 01:23:00,280
Speaker 2: possession and they just they started doing the it's like

1632
01:23:01,120 --> 01:23:02,800
Speaker 2: a month ago. Then they had to double COVID. THEYD

1633
01:23:02,800 --> 01:23:05,000
Speaker 2: no coaches, but he will be you know, you have

1634
01:23:05,080 --> 01:23:07,200
Speaker 2: senior you have senior guards, senior laden team. It's only

1635
01:23:07,200 --> 01:23:09,599
Speaker 2: gonna get better, and you have Patino, who's a great

1636
01:23:09,640 --> 01:23:13,240
Speaker 2: tournament coach, and they play this defense. It's going to

1637
01:23:13,280 --> 01:23:15,959
Speaker 2: be just super hard to prepare for in the tournaments

1638
01:23:15,960 --> 01:23:18,720
Speaker 2: you're not in, like conference play. So I don't know

1639
01:23:18,720 --> 01:23:20,840
Speaker 2: if they can win at all, but uh, you know,

1640
01:23:20,920 --> 01:23:24,760
Speaker 2: final four like eighteen yeah, eighteen to one, twenty to one.

1641
01:23:25,080 --> 01:23:27,960
Speaker 2: So Texas A and M and Saint John's are are teams.

1642
01:23:27,960 --> 01:23:29,760
Speaker 2: I think that can worth a flyer to get to

1643
01:23:29,760 --> 01:23:30,360
Speaker 2: the final four.

1644
01:23:31,560 --> 01:23:35,160
Speaker 1: Like it, okay stuff, you talk to you not next

1645
01:23:35,200 --> 01:23:37,679
Speaker 1: week and in the next ten days and we'll hash

1646
01:23:37,720 --> 01:23:39,920
Speaker 1: out the super Bowl and go prop heavy as well.

1647
01:23:40,120 --> 01:23:42,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, go go Niners, Go ridds.

1648
01:23:45,680 --> 01:23:46,320
Speaker 1: The volume