WEBVTT - Amazon's TikTok Bid; Plus, AWS and the State of AI

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News.

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<v Speaker 1>Now, want to get to what was a red sticky

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<v Speaker 1>here at Bloomberg about two hours ago. This is when

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<v Speaker 1>a big headline crosses the Bloomberg terminal.

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<v Speaker 3>And that's that Amazon has submitted an offer to purchase TikTok.

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<v Speaker 3>The company submitted a bid to the White House to

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<v Speaker 3>purchase the app from its Chinese owner. This according to

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<v Speaker 3>a perfect person familiar with the matter. The company did

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<v Speaker 3>send its proposal to Vice president Jad Evance. He's heading

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<v Speaker 3>up efforts to help facilitate a sale of the video platform.

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<v Speaker 3>Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnik two. This, according to the people,

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<v Speaker 3>so with what we know and why Amazon might want

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<v Speaker 3>TikTok with us. As Bloomberg News Technology and e commerce

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<v Speaker 3>reporter Spencer Sober, he follows Amazon very closely been reporting

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<v Speaker 3>on this company for years, he joins us of course

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<v Speaker 3>from our Seattle bureau. Spencer, why would Amazon want TikTok?

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<v Speaker 3>What would it do with TikTok?

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<v Speaker 4>So if you think about it in the most like

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<v Speaker 4>the simplest terms, right, people spend a lot of time

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<v Speaker 4>on TikTok and people spend a lot of money on Amazon,

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<v Speaker 4>and both of them have been trying to kind of

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<v Speaker 4>become more more of the other. So if Amazon were

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<v Speaker 4>to gain We're to buy TikTok, it would be very

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<v Speaker 4>beneficial just in terms of having people's attention where you know,

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<v Speaker 4>right now they've got a lot of wallets share, but

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<v Speaker 4>it's really a site where people dip in, buy what

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<v Speaker 4>they need, dip out, which you know, which has been

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<v Speaker 4>very good for Amazon. But if it could get people

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<v Speaker 4>to linger around and be entertained there, all the better,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, people spend even more and its advertising business

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<v Speaker 4>will be will be that much more lucrative.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, I think about kind of the merge of

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<v Speaker 1>commerce right with TikTok. To me, it makes a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of sense.

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<v Speaker 2>Is that a big part of it?

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<v Speaker 1>Spencer?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, exactly. You think about like Amazon is a place

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<v Speaker 4>you go when you're ready to buy something right, You

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<v Speaker 4>don't really you don't really go there to kill time.

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<v Speaker 4>You don't really go there to be inspired or discover things.

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<v Speaker 4>But those are things that you do on TikTok. You

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<v Speaker 4>might just kind of scroll through TikTok to kill time

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<v Speaker 4>or follow people you think are funny or entertaining, but

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<v Speaker 4>you also see products on there, you know, And so

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<v Speaker 4>TikTok is really trying to be a destination for discovering products,

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<v Speaker 4>which Amazon never really has been. So that would be

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<v Speaker 4>kind of the you know, the match that Amazon would

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<v Speaker 4>be looking for.

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<v Speaker 3>Not to say though that the company hasn't tried to

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<v Speaker 3>make it a place to discover with the social first

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<v Speaker 3>videos and the option in the app to sort of

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<v Speaker 3>have that content that's generated to try to create this

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<v Speaker 3>social shopping experience and certainly not something that I spent

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of time doing, but Amazon is certainly trying

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<v Speaker 3>to do that. Hey, spencer, before we let you go

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<v Speaker 3>regulatory issues around this, potentially, especially with regard to their

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<v Speaker 3>past contentious relationship that Bezos had with this administration.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, well that's what you think about. You know that

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<v Speaker 4>they're under any trust scrutiny, and they you know, there

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<v Speaker 4>was any trust scrutiny about them buying like eye Robot,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, so this would be like a massive, massive acquisition.

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<v Speaker 4>And does that does is there like a new age

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<v Speaker 4>in the Trump administration that would be more favorable to

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<v Speaker 4>these kind of big deals, And especially since the administration

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<v Speaker 4>is directly involved in making this happen with jd Vance

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<v Speaker 4>kind of running running the show and running these bids,

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<v Speaker 4>that that makes it more possible for Amazon to swing

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<v Speaker 4>big on acquisitions.

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<v Speaker 1>One thing I wonder the bid first reported by the

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<v Speaker 1>New York Times. You guys to hear at Bloomberg reporting

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<v Speaker 1>this at that it's not being considered seriously by the administration.

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<v Speaker 1>According to one person in the know, the company has

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<v Speaker 1>declined to comment. How serious Amazon, you know, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm calling you Amazon because your Amazon spencer. How serious

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<v Speaker 1>spencer should investors be taking this?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, that's the million dollar question. And there's a lot

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<v Speaker 4>of eleventh hour bids coming in, like after the news

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<v Speaker 4>broke about Amazon. Now there's a couple others who have

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<v Speaker 4>been reported, like app love in and maybe some consortium

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<v Speaker 4>that includes like OnlyFans. So there's been a lot of

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<v Speaker 4>eleventh hour bids and there can be reasons for companies

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<v Speaker 4>to do that, even if they think they're a long shot,

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<v Speaker 4>you know one, it might just give them kind of

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<v Speaker 4>a seat at the table to figure out what's happening

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<v Speaker 4>and how this thing might be carved up in case

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<v Speaker 4>they end up interesting, you know, competing with TikTok. And

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<v Speaker 4>then another reason is just to try to up the

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<v Speaker 4>price in the event. Hey, if I'm not going to

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<v Speaker 4>get this thing, maybe at least make the person who

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<v Speaker 4>does pay a little more.

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<v Speaker 3>That's what I was thinking, especially if Oracle is a

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<v Speaker 3>serious bidder here, Spencer, maybe this company Amazon just wants

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<v Speaker 3>to say, hey, we want or Oracle is going to

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<v Speaker 3>bid for this, and we're competitor Oracle, we want them

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<v Speaker 3>to pay more than they're going to pay.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, that's that's definitely part of the play, as well

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<v Speaker 4>as well as some visibility into into what's happening, because

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<v Speaker 4>this is still a very complicated process. You need you

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<v Speaker 4>need uh, you need to approval, not only a blessing

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<v Speaker 4>from the White House, but you're gonna need Bike Dance

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<v Speaker 4>to buy in and the Chinese government to buy in.

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<v Speaker 4>So there's a lot of players here, and some you know,

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<v Speaker 4>I imagine anyone, you know, if they think they're a

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<v Speaker 4>long shot. They just be curious about what the heck's

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<v Speaker 4>going on, and putting in a putting in a bid

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<v Speaker 4>might give them more visibility than sitting it out.

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<v Speaker 1>But we should know something at least by Friday, right

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<v Speaker 1>April fifth, because that's the deadline, is that right, third?

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<v Speaker 5>Fourth?

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<v Speaker 6>Fifth?

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<v Speaker 1>Actually Saturday?

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<v Speaker 5>I think it is, right.

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<v Speaker 3>So sometimes you just got up the calendar, open out.

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<v Speaker 4>And that's the and that's the second that's the second deadline.

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<v Speaker 4>So he knows if we'll have another deadline, you know

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<v Speaker 4>what I mean. It's like these these deadlines can come

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<v Speaker 4>and go. But but yeah, that's the that's the date

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<v Speaker 4>for now, and supposedly there might be some news coming

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<v Speaker 4>today about it.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, we understand that the president is meeting with his

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<v Speaker 1>advisors about it, right. Thank you so appreciate it. Spencer

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<v Speaker 1>soper As to mention, been following Amazon for so many years,

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<v Speaker 1>understands this company's Bloomberg News Technology and e commerce reporter.

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<v Speaker 1>Joining us out there in Seattle.

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<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, so everything we've done for the last couple of

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<v Speaker 3>weeks has certainly been through the lens on the backdrop

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<v Speaker 3>of US tariffs. It's something that touches all of the

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<v Speaker 3>investment in business worlds, including potentially the AI investment world.

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<v Speaker 3>And today at Bloomberg headquarters, our Bloomberg Intelligence team is

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<v Speaker 3>hosting Bloomberg's fourth Generitive AI Conference, and it's an event

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<v Speaker 3>that looks at Jenai posts the Deepseek news earlier this

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<v Speaker 3>year and Carol as a reminder for all of us

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<v Speaker 3>that really shook up the narrative around the AI build out.

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<v Speaker 1>Absolutely, we are featuring a couple of speakers from the event,

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<v Speaker 1>and that includes our next guest, delighted to have with us,

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<v Speaker 1>Dave Brown, vice president AWS Computing and Networking at Amazon Services,

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<v Speaker 1>joining us here in studio. Dave, good to have you here.

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<v Speaker 7>It's great to be here. Thank you for having me.

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<v Speaker 1>There's so much going on there is I do need

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<v Speaker 1>to ask you. We know this isn't your world. Nothing

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<v Speaker 1>happens in a bubble. You were just listening to Spencer.

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<v Speaker 1>I thought I saw you chuckle at one point. The

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<v Speaker 1>report about Amazon putting in a last minute bit. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>I think about AI, it is about content, it is

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<v Speaker 1>about data, and I just wonder how might a social

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<v Speaker 1>media site like TikTok makes sense in an AI world,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, whether it's at Amazon or somewhere else.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, you know, in terms of Amazon's bid, that smells

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<v Speaker 5>something I'm able to comment about. Obviously, no madmoster corporate

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<v Speaker 5>about this, nothing at all.

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<v Speaker 7>I walked into the studio and I saw the news.

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<v Speaker 5>So but you know, Bikedons has been a really good

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<v Speaker 5>customer of AWS and honestly a customer that's actually used

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<v Speaker 5>a lot of compute and he's now using a lot

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<v Speaker 5>of AI. And one of the things very excited about

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<v Speaker 5>what they've been doing, and unrelated to any of the

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<v Speaker 5>news that you might be reporting, is they've used a

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<v Speaker 5>lot of the customer accelerators that we've that we've built

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<v Speaker 5>at AWS. One of the challenges with AI, and you know,

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<v Speaker 5>is how do we get the cost down? How do

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<v Speaker 5>we make sure that it is affordable for every company

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<v Speaker 5>out there that thinks they could use it in some

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<v Speaker 5>way that would change their product. But really we have

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<v Speaker 5>to be able to get the cost down. And one

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<v Speaker 5>of the ways we can do that is through things

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<v Speaker 5>like you saw with deep seek, improving the models, making

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<v Speaker 5>the model simpler than making them easy to train. But

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<v Speaker 5>the other way is to build different silicon, build silicon

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<v Speaker 5>that's able to get the cost down for customers. And

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<v Speaker 5>so Biketones has been a big user of our custom

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<v Speaker 5>silicon in the very early days of Inferential which improved

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<v Speaker 5>inference models. They've also consumed Graviton, which is our customer

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<v Speaker 5>on chip, and they also using our Trainium chips as well,

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<v Speaker 5>So we work very closely with Byketons.

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<v Speaker 3>From that point of view, how do you make sure

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<v Speaker 3>that you keep a company such as bytans as a

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<v Speaker 3>customer when there is so much competition in this space?

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<v Speaker 7>I mean, think about it from the.

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<v Speaker 3>Perspective of the three biggest players you of course Microsoft,

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<v Speaker 3>Azure and then Google Cloud and we've seen a big investment.

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<v Speaker 3>We'll talk about that for Google just in the last

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<v Speaker 3>couple of weeks. How do you make sure that you

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<v Speaker 3>stay ahead in your view of the pack and keep

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<v Speaker 3>these customers from jumping ship.

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<v Speaker 5>I think there are a few things. I think one

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<v Speaker 5>of it is innovation. You know, the cloud has just

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<v Speaker 5>brought an enormous amount of innovation in to the corporate world.

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<v Speaker 3>But some people might look at this and say, is

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<v Speaker 3>this a commodity at this point?

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<v Speaker 5>I don't think so, because my next point would be execution.

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<v Speaker 5>An execution really rarely matters. It's one thing to say

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<v Speaker 5>we have a hard.

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<v Speaker 7>Mean I feel like no.

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<v Speaker 1>For yeah, absolutely executive execution all the time.

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<v Speaker 7>What does it mean in your world?

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<v Speaker 5>Well, what it does mean is, you know, bring running AI.

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<v Speaker 5>For example, so the servers behind AI, whether you're running

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<v Speaker 5>an Invertio GPU or you're running some customs Silicon such

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<v Speaker 5>as our Tranium chip, they're not easy machines to run.

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<v Speaker 5>They're incredibly complicated, they're incredibly hard to make sure that

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<v Speaker 5>they're highly available, and they also need incredibly advanced networking capability.

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<v Speaker 5>So we've had to build network capabilities to be able

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<v Speaker 5>to bring hundreds of thousands of these accelerators together in

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<v Speaker 5>a single cluster. Now at AWS, we spend a lot

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<v Speaker 5>of time making sure that we provide those clusters and

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<v Speaker 5>those those systems to be as highly available as possible

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<v Speaker 5>for our end customer. And so when you choose your technology,

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<v Speaker 5>if you're running on a you know, a solution, whether

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<v Speaker 5>it's something you've built yourself or a provider, and that's

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<v Speaker 5>not working for you. That's what I mean by execution.

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<v Speaker 5>It has to be flawless and it has to work,

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<v Speaker 5>and at AWS we think that's one of the ways

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<v Speaker 5>we're able to differentiate ourselves.

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<v Speaker 1>Are you at all worried about overbuilding? Like obviously with

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<v Speaker 1>Deep Seek, the narrative all of a sudden, like in

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<v Speaker 1>a heartbeat, switched in terms of, well, maybe we can

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<v Speaker 1>do this more cheaply, maybe it doesn't require the buildup

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<v Speaker 1>that we've been talking about for more than two years.

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<v Speaker 1>Are you worried about overbuilding? Are we possibly in a

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<v Speaker 1>bubble when it comes.

0:10:23.000 --> 0:10:26.480
<v Speaker 5>To well, I think from our point of view, Sydney, Well,

0:10:26.480 --> 0:10:28.800
<v Speaker 5>from our point of view, we're not really listening to

0:10:28.880 --> 0:10:30.760
<v Speaker 5>sort of the narrative. I think the narrative is very interesting.

0:10:30.800 --> 0:10:33.120
<v Speaker 5>We've been following it. What we're listening to is customers

0:10:33.400 --> 0:10:36.280
<v Speaker 5>and what a customers want to do with AI. There

0:10:36.360 --> 0:10:38.920
<v Speaker 5>certainly no shortage of customer demand for the chips right,

0:10:38.960 --> 0:10:42.920
<v Speaker 5>whether it's in video chips so uncustomed silicon you've seen partnerships.

0:10:42.520 --> 0:10:45.400
<v Speaker 1>No doubt about that demand. And the demand is smart

0:10:45.440 --> 0:10:47.040
<v Speaker 1>because it's being put to use and it's going to

0:10:47.040 --> 0:10:48.640
<v Speaker 1>be monetized. Yeah, no, worry.

0:10:49.160 --> 0:10:50.280
<v Speaker 5>Well, I mean the other thing is you just have

0:10:50.280 --> 0:10:52.959
<v Speaker 5>to you have to make good investments. And so the

0:10:53.200 --> 0:10:55.040
<v Speaker 5>trick is to say, what are we building in terms

0:10:55.080 --> 0:10:57.160
<v Speaker 5>of customer demand? Not are we building in terms of

0:10:57.160 --> 0:10:59.240
<v Speaker 5>the narrative? And I think from a customer demand point

0:10:59.240 --> 0:11:01.920
<v Speaker 5>of view, it's very very strong. We expect it to

0:11:01.920 --> 0:11:04.760
<v Speaker 5>continue to grow, and we're very comfortable with the investments

0:11:04.800 --> 0:11:05.319
<v Speaker 5>that we're making.

0:11:05.440 --> 0:11:06.960
<v Speaker 3>So it brings us back to the way that we

0:11:07.160 --> 0:11:11.280
<v Speaker 3>started this conversation. We're speaking to you on Wednesday, April second,

0:11:11.400 --> 0:11:14.040
<v Speaker 3>ahead of President Trump's announcement that's set to come at

0:11:14.080 --> 0:11:17.160
<v Speaker 3>four pm Wall Street time from Washington, DC, So we

0:11:17.200 --> 0:11:18.920
<v Speaker 3>don't know what he's going to say at this point.

0:11:19.679 --> 0:11:21.720
<v Speaker 3>How do you watch an event such as that? How

0:11:21.760 --> 0:11:23.880
<v Speaker 3>do you watch tariffs? How does that affect your world?

0:11:23.920 --> 0:11:24.280
<v Speaker 7>Yeah?

0:11:24.320 --> 0:11:25.840
<v Speaker 5>I think one of the things when you're running what

0:11:25.920 --> 0:11:29.079
<v Speaker 5>is probably one of the largest supply chain supply chains

0:11:29.120 --> 0:11:30.679
<v Speaker 5>in the world, right, we have to think about every

0:11:30.720 --> 0:11:33.200
<v Speaker 5>single component, whether it costs a few cents or it's

0:11:33.360 --> 0:11:34.120
<v Speaker 5>millions of dollars.

0:11:34.200 --> 0:11:36.040
<v Speaker 7>Within our You're talking about.

0:11:35.800 --> 0:11:38.880
<v Speaker 3>The aw aws, not the retails, not the retail session

0:11:38.880 --> 0:11:39.840
<v Speaker 3>it's certainly effective.

0:11:39.880 --> 0:11:40.680
<v Speaker 7>The retail side is.

0:11:40.640 --> 0:11:42.440
<v Speaker 5>Certainly helpful to us, and it's taught us a lot

0:11:42.440 --> 0:11:44.720
<v Speaker 5>about how to run an effective supplies right and so

0:11:44.760 --> 0:11:46.840
<v Speaker 5>on the AWS side. Running a supply chain, we've got

0:11:46.880 --> 0:11:49.600
<v Speaker 5>to think about every single possible outcome, you know, the

0:11:49.600 --> 0:11:51.280
<v Speaker 5>sort of things that you're talking about now with regards

0:11:51.320 --> 0:11:54.040
<v Speaker 5>to track tariffs or you know, global uncertainty, whatever it

0:11:54.120 --> 0:11:55.360
<v Speaker 5>might be, we're going to think about how they would

0:11:55.360 --> 0:11:58.640
<v Speaker 5>affect our supply chain. And we've put mitigating steps in place,

0:11:58.760 --> 0:12:01.000
<v Speaker 5>and we're thinking about these as we to make sure

0:12:01.000 --> 0:12:03.760
<v Speaker 5>that any outcome means that we can still serve our customers.

0:12:03.800 --> 0:12:06.200
<v Speaker 5>What are some of those mitigating steps that you've put

0:12:06.240 --> 0:12:07.559
<v Speaker 5>in place. There's als of things you can do from

0:12:07.559 --> 0:12:08.880
<v Speaker 5>a supply chain point of view. A lot of the

0:12:08.920 --> 0:12:12.360
<v Speaker 5>sil can manufacture ourselves. We always think about multiple multiple suppliers,

0:12:12.400 --> 0:12:14.440
<v Speaker 5>like are you stockpiling this stuff right now? I don't

0:12:14.440 --> 0:12:16.680
<v Speaker 5>believe we're stockpiling. But there's many many things that we're

0:12:16.679 --> 0:12:18.400
<v Speaker 5>doing to ensure that we're going to be.

0:12:18.400 --> 0:12:21.559
<v Speaker 7>Okay, such as.

0:12:20.400 --> 0:12:23.160
<v Speaker 5>Such as making sure that we have multiple locations for service,

0:12:23.240 --> 0:12:25.400
<v Speaker 5>such and making sure that we have a cost structure

0:12:25.440 --> 0:12:28.560
<v Speaker 5>that we think is maintainable for our end customer. It's

0:12:28.640 --> 0:12:30.200
<v Speaker 5>just it's supply chain technology based.

0:12:30.320 --> 0:12:33.439
<v Speaker 1>Is most of your supply chain safe in terms of

0:12:33.520 --> 0:12:35.000
<v Speaker 1>let's say it's an all out trade war.

0:12:35.120 --> 0:12:37.280
<v Speaker 5>The reality is I think in the IT space that

0:12:37.320 --> 0:12:40.240
<v Speaker 5>we're where depending on global supply chain, not just a

0:12:40.360 --> 0:12:43.040
<v Speaker 5>WS but the world. But our chips are made most

0:12:43.080 --> 0:12:45.400
<v Speaker 5>of them are manufactured in the Far East, most of

0:12:45.440 --> 0:12:47.920
<v Speaker 5>the you know, the technology and cloud comes from the US,

0:12:48.400 --> 0:12:50.839
<v Speaker 5>and the realities we're living in a global supply chain

0:12:50.840 --> 0:12:52.720
<v Speaker 5>and we're going to have to take whatever the announcement

0:12:52.800 --> 0:12:54.839
<v Speaker 5>might be later today and understand how that affects the

0:12:54.840 --> 0:12:57.400
<v Speaker 5>supply chain that we've built out to be as redundant

0:12:57.440 --> 0:12:58.440
<v Speaker 5>as it possibly can be.

0:12:58.840 --> 0:13:00.000
<v Speaker 7>But we're going to have to see what happens.

0:13:00.480 --> 0:13:03.079
<v Speaker 3>Is there a spectrum in terms of the cost hit

0:13:03.120 --> 0:13:05.760
<v Speaker 3>that you think you could take as a result of

0:13:05.800 --> 0:13:06.400
<v Speaker 3>these tariffs.

0:13:06.720 --> 0:13:09.200
<v Speaker 5>That's not something that I think we've been discussing. I mean,

0:13:09.200 --> 0:13:11.360
<v Speaker 5>I think there will be things we'll have to think through,

0:13:11.400 --> 0:13:13.120
<v Speaker 5>but I don't have any sort of spectrum in mind.

0:13:13.160 --> 0:13:15.520
<v Speaker 3>What about thinking about raising prices for customers as a

0:13:15.520 --> 0:13:16.800
<v Speaker 3>result of higher inputs.

0:13:16.520 --> 0:13:18.920
<v Speaker 5>You know, that's that's something I think a similar situation

0:13:18.960 --> 0:13:21.160
<v Speaker 5>would be the sort of the energy prices increases that

0:13:21.200 --> 0:13:23.360
<v Speaker 5>we saw, you know, during the COVID time there was

0:13:23.559 --> 0:13:26.840
<v Speaker 5>energy shortage and slightly off the COVID in Europe, and

0:13:27.080 --> 0:13:28.640
<v Speaker 5>that was a big question back then, as you know,

0:13:28.760 --> 0:13:31.199
<v Speaker 5>is able is going to raise prices because we've we've

0:13:31.200 --> 0:13:34.600
<v Speaker 5>seen energy prices spike in Europe. Other providers did raise

0:13:34.640 --> 0:13:36.560
<v Speaker 5>prices at that time, and from an als point of view,

0:13:36.559 --> 0:13:38.520
<v Speaker 5>we were able to actually not raise prices on our

0:13:38.520 --> 0:13:41.920
<v Speaker 5>customers and ride out that increasing commodity prices and we

0:13:41.920 --> 0:13:43.600
<v Speaker 5>were able to get back to, you know, a better

0:13:43.640 --> 0:13:46.080
<v Speaker 5>cost structure for ourselves after this, and that's really what

0:13:46.080 --> 0:13:47.800
<v Speaker 5>we're looking to do. We'll have to see what happens

0:13:47.840 --> 0:13:50.880
<v Speaker 5>later today and see how supply, how supply chain holds up.

0:13:51.040 --> 0:13:53.400
<v Speaker 1>I'm also curious about deep Seek in terms of, you know,

0:13:53.520 --> 0:13:56.840
<v Speaker 1>what might be a more efficient AI model, how that

0:13:56.960 --> 0:13:59.599
<v Speaker 1>is affecting the design of your own chips at aws

0:13:59.640 --> 0:14:02.800
<v Speaker 1>and kind of how you think about how AWF offers

0:14:02.880 --> 0:14:04.600
<v Speaker 1>compute and compute services and so on.

0:14:04.760 --> 0:14:08.240
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, deep Seek itself, you know, it was good technology.

0:14:08.240 --> 0:14:10.160
<v Speaker 7>It came out. I think it surprised a lot of folks.

0:14:10.559 --> 0:14:14.440
<v Speaker 5>We're expecting to see these kinds of significant improvements step FUNCTIONINGY,

0:14:14.480 --> 0:14:17.160
<v Speaker 5>you weren't shocked by deep seek, Well, certainly the news

0:14:17.200 --> 0:14:19.120
<v Speaker 5>it wasn't something that everybody knew about. But what I

0:14:19.160 --> 0:14:20.840
<v Speaker 5>wasn't just shocked about is that we're going to see

0:14:20.880 --> 0:14:24.080
<v Speaker 5>these these order the magnitude improvements in models. I'm expecting

0:14:24.120 --> 0:14:26.840
<v Speaker 5>more like the technology is so new still and we

0:14:26.920 --> 0:14:29.400
<v Speaker 5>are going to see massive improvements. And I think you

0:14:29.400 --> 0:14:30.840
<v Speaker 5>know the one thing is when you do see a

0:14:30.880 --> 0:14:33.560
<v Speaker 5>cost reduction in these models, what it does do is

0:14:33.600 --> 0:14:36.880
<v Speaker 5>it unlocks companies to be able to deploy more and

0:14:36.920 --> 0:14:38.680
<v Speaker 5>so why it's cheaper to do it just means that

0:14:38.720 --> 0:14:39.560
<v Speaker 5>you can do more of it.

0:14:39.600 --> 0:14:40.960
<v Speaker 7>And that's one of the reasons why we're not.

0:14:40.920 --> 0:14:42.920
<v Speaker 5>Worried about some of the investments we've made because we

0:14:42.960 --> 0:14:45.200
<v Speaker 5>can see the demand. We know if the price goes down,

0:14:45.400 --> 0:14:46.080
<v Speaker 5>our customers are.

0:14:46.000 --> 0:14:46.440
<v Speaker 7>Going to do more.

0:14:46.480 --> 0:14:48.200
<v Speaker 5>They're going to change the user experience for more of

0:14:48.240 --> 0:14:50.640
<v Speaker 5>their customers, and so you know, that's what really excites us.

0:14:50.560 --> 0:14:52.320
<v Speaker 7>About the opportunity really cool stuff.

0:14:52.360 --> 0:14:54.680
<v Speaker 1>Great to talk with someone like yourself who's kind of

0:14:54.760 --> 0:14:56.800
<v Speaker 1>front row seat to all that's going on in AI.

0:14:57.040 --> 0:14:58.600
<v Speaker 5>Dave, thank you so much ye, thank you for your time.

0:14:58.680 --> 0:14:59.120
<v Speaker 4>Dave Brown.

0:14:59.120 --> 0:15:01.320
<v Speaker 1>He's the vice president of a WS Computing and Networking

0:15:01.360 --> 0:15:02.720
<v Speaker 1>at Amazon Web Services.

0:15:04.800 --> 0:15:08.600
<v Speaker 2>This is the Bloomberg Business Week Podcast. Listen live each

0:15:08.600 --> 0:15:12.360
<v Speaker 2>weekday starting at two pm Eastern on Applecarplay and Android

0:15:12.400 --> 0:15:15.280
<v Speaker 2>Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also listen

0:15:15.360 --> 0:15:18.280
<v Speaker 2>live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station,

0:15:18.800 --> 0:15:21.400
<v Speaker 2>Just Say Alexa played Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:15:23.080 --> 0:15:25.040
<v Speaker 1>All right, now, let's get to some of the news

0:15:25.040 --> 0:15:26.920
<v Speaker 1>that certainly has caught our attention. This has to do

0:15:27.080 --> 0:15:30.400
<v Speaker 1>with New York City Mayor Eric Adams, and that is

0:15:30.400 --> 0:15:34.440
<v Speaker 1>that a federal judge dismissed corruption charges against Eric Adams,

0:15:34.480 --> 0:15:37.040
<v Speaker 1>bringing a permanent end to the case and capping an

0:15:37.080 --> 0:15:43.280
<v Speaker 1>extraordinary series of events that so discord within the Justice Department.

0:15:43.920 --> 0:15:46.040
<v Speaker 3>With more on the judges ruling, we turned to Bloomberg's

0:15:46.120 --> 0:15:49.080
<v Speaker 3>legal reporter ABA Benny Morrison, who joins us from New York.

0:15:49.440 --> 0:15:52.400
<v Speaker 3>What exactly was this ruling? Is that it everything thrown out?

0:15:54.000 --> 0:15:56.480
<v Speaker 8>It certainly looks like it. The judge really took his

0:15:56.720 --> 0:15:59.960
<v Speaker 8>time considering all the arguments that have been flying out

0:16:00.560 --> 0:16:02.800
<v Speaker 8>in the courthouse over the past few months, and he

0:16:02.880 --> 0:16:07.080
<v Speaker 8>reached the decision today that everyone had been anticipating that

0:16:07.160 --> 0:16:10.040
<v Speaker 8>he was going to dismiss the case against Eric Adams

0:16:10.080 --> 0:16:13.400
<v Speaker 8>without prejudice. Now that last bit is important because that

0:16:13.560 --> 0:16:16.640
<v Speaker 8>means this case can't be revived on the track. You

0:16:17.000 --> 0:16:20.240
<v Speaker 8>may remember that the Justice Department in Washington had wanted

0:16:20.280 --> 0:16:23.640
<v Speaker 8>to dismiss the case with prejudice, which would have given

0:16:23.680 --> 0:16:27.080
<v Speaker 8>it the option to bring back the case against Adams

0:16:27.160 --> 0:16:30.400
<v Speaker 8>if they felt the need to, and this led to

0:16:30.440 --> 0:16:35.760
<v Speaker 8>concerns that Washington wanted to maintain leverage over New York's mayor,

0:16:36.120 --> 0:16:38.640
<v Speaker 8>which didn't seem to sit well with the judge.

0:16:39.240 --> 0:16:44.440
<v Speaker 1>It's interesting too, because in that ruling, the judge criticized

0:16:44.440 --> 0:16:46.600
<v Speaker 1>the effort by President Trump's Justice partn't to leave the

0:16:46.680 --> 0:16:48.480
<v Speaker 1>refiling option open.

0:16:48.800 --> 0:16:49.400
<v Speaker 7>What is that?

0:16:51.160 --> 0:16:56.720
<v Speaker 8>Yes, he referred to this situation as unprecedented, and it

0:16:56.800 --> 0:17:00.320
<v Speaker 8>was certainly something that I haven't reported on before. Judge

0:17:00.320 --> 0:17:03.760
<v Speaker 8>said that it was very clear that everything here smacks

0:17:03.800 --> 0:17:07.000
<v Speaker 8>of a bargain dismissal of the indictment in exchange for

0:17:07.160 --> 0:17:11.760
<v Speaker 8>immigration policy concessions. But he warned that dismissing the case

0:17:11.800 --> 0:17:15.800
<v Speaker 8>without prejudice would create that unavoidable perception that the mayor's

0:17:15.880 --> 0:17:19.680
<v Speaker 8>freedoms depended on his ability to carry out the president's wishes,

0:17:20.040 --> 0:17:24.040
<v Speaker 8>so that's why he decided to dismiss the case without prejudice.

0:17:24.320 --> 0:17:28.720
<v Speaker 1>So basically, the mayor can do whatever he wants right

0:17:28.880 --> 0:17:30.919
<v Speaker 1>in terms of even whatever he agreed to maybe with

0:17:31.119 --> 0:17:34.640
<v Speaker 1>President Trump, because he doesn't have to worry about every filing.

0:17:35.640 --> 0:17:36.040
<v Speaker 6>That's right.

0:17:36.080 --> 0:17:38.480
<v Speaker 8>He doesn't have this case hanging over his head anymore.

0:17:39.240 --> 0:17:41.800
<v Speaker 8>So some may argue that he doesn't have the pressure

0:17:41.880 --> 0:17:43.960
<v Speaker 8>of having to do what Washington wants him to do.

0:17:44.960 --> 0:17:48.199
<v Speaker 8>But you know, we saw him today outside Gracie Mansion

0:17:48.760 --> 0:17:51.760
<v Speaker 8>and he was holding out a copy of FBI Director

0:17:51.840 --> 0:17:55.720
<v Speaker 8>Cash Ptel's book Government Gangsters, which is very critical of

0:17:55.800 --> 0:17:59.160
<v Speaker 8>law enforcement. So we've had little indications from him over

0:17:59.160 --> 0:18:02.760
<v Speaker 8>the past few months of him kind of edging closer

0:18:02.800 --> 0:18:07.040
<v Speaker 8>to the current administration. Whether he decides to continue that

0:18:07.160 --> 0:18:08.040
<v Speaker 8>sialance we don't know.

0:18:08.240 --> 0:18:10.040
<v Speaker 3>Is that the book just is that the book with

0:18:10.080 --> 0:18:11.760
<v Speaker 3>the list in it of people.

0:18:13.440 --> 0:18:16.000
<v Speaker 8>I'm not sure I know that the book. In the book,

0:18:16.040 --> 0:18:19.480
<v Speaker 8>he's been quite critical of law enforcement and the way

0:18:19.520 --> 0:18:22.399
<v Speaker 8>they go about things, and Adams made the comment that

0:18:22.440 --> 0:18:24.000
<v Speaker 8>he had to turn to that book to fund the

0:18:24.080 --> 0:18:27.760
<v Speaker 8>rationale for the DOJ bringing the case against him.

0:18:28.160 --> 0:18:29.080
<v Speaker 7>Twenty seconds.

0:18:29.400 --> 0:18:31.359
<v Speaker 3>All of his legal problem we know his political challenges

0:18:31.359 --> 0:18:33.080
<v Speaker 3>are his legal problems. Over twenty seconds.

0:18:34.240 --> 0:18:37.000
<v Speaker 8>It certainly looks like it for the time being. He

0:18:38.520 --> 0:18:40.960
<v Speaker 8>may have avoided a criminal trial, but he's still facing

0:18:40.960 --> 0:18:43.840
<v Speaker 8>an uphill battle when it comes to politics. He's buying,

0:18:43.920 --> 0:18:47.679
<v Speaker 8>He's facing several candidates who want to unseat him, and

0:18:47.720 --> 0:18:52.280
<v Speaker 8>a string of polls have put him losing the primary election.

0:18:53.119 --> 0:18:55.280
<v Speaker 1>Yeah. Quote, A public opinion can be pretty rough, especially

0:18:55.320 --> 0:18:58.920
<v Speaker 1>when your New York voters or New York City voters. Ava,

0:18:58.960 --> 0:19:01.600
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much, and I see with admiration. Ava,

0:19:01.720 --> 0:19:02.480
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much.

0:19:02.520 --> 0:19:02.760
<v Speaker 5>Ava.

0:19:02.760 --> 0:19:07.320
<v Speaker 1>Benny Morrison, legal reporter at Bloomberg joining us romacle.

0:19:07.800 --> 0:19:08.800
<v Speaker 4>How about you let me drive?

0:19:09.040 --> 0:19:12.400
<v Speaker 6>Oh no, no, no, no, this is not a toy job.

0:19:13.480 --> 0:19:16.520
<v Speaker 2>All right, please gravels excuse me.

0:19:16.960 --> 0:19:17.680
<v Speaker 1>I want to drive.

0:19:17.680 --> 0:19:20.840
<v Speaker 3>It's good question.

0:19:24.760 --> 0:19:27.920
<v Speaker 2>This is the drive to the clothes punk's amusing well

0:19:28.000 --> 0:19:30.800
<v Speaker 2>dry run on Bloomberg Radio.

0:19:31.000 --> 0:19:33.800
<v Speaker 1>All right, TikTok everybody you just got have TikTok, TikTok?

0:19:33.920 --> 0:19:35.360
<v Speaker 7>Oh exactly?

0:19:35.400 --> 0:19:37.199
<v Speaker 3>It's like, is it because the Amazon thing is at

0:19:37.200 --> 0:19:39.800
<v Speaker 3>the Financial Times report? Why are you tiktoking right now. Yeah,

0:19:39.800 --> 0:19:42.880
<v Speaker 3>maybe you're just like ttok okay.

0:19:42.920 --> 0:19:45.960
<v Speaker 1>TikTok to the clothes and TikTok TikTok until we get

0:19:46.080 --> 0:19:48.640
<v Speaker 1>from the president right what he's going to lay out

0:19:48.640 --> 0:19:50.520
<v Speaker 1>in terms of terrorists. It is expected at four pm

0:19:50.520 --> 0:19:52.840
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street time, so we are just about eighteen minutes

0:19:52.880 --> 0:19:56.080
<v Speaker 1>away from that as expected if everything goes on schedule,

0:19:56.440 --> 0:19:59.040
<v Speaker 1>and also just about eighteen minutes away from the closing bill.

0:19:59.280 --> 0:20:01.840
<v Speaker 1>As you heard from Bill Maloney and Charlie Pellett. We

0:20:01.880 --> 0:20:03.399
<v Speaker 1>are up about six tens of a percent on the

0:20:03.440 --> 0:20:05.719
<v Speaker 1>S and P five hundred, folks. We're definitely off our

0:20:05.800 --> 0:20:09.200
<v Speaker 1>loads of the session and off our highs, but a

0:20:09.200 --> 0:20:11.040
<v Speaker 1>little bit of a leg up in the last half hour.

0:20:11.119 --> 0:20:13.320
<v Speaker 1>So down John's Industrial average if you care, up two

0:20:13.359 --> 0:20:16.240
<v Speaker 1>hundred and thirty points, up about half a percent. Nasdaq

0:20:16.280 --> 0:20:18.720
<v Speaker 1>one hundred, where you find all those big cap tech

0:20:18.800 --> 0:20:21.360
<v Speaker 1>names up about eight tens of a percent tim again

0:20:21.400 --> 0:20:22.800
<v Speaker 1>of about one hundred and fifty one points.

0:20:22.920 --> 0:20:25.000
<v Speaker 3>I'm curious how Noahman is watching this. He's founder and

0:20:25.080 --> 0:20:28.400
<v Speaker 3>CEO of Advisor Shares. Noah you argue that we got

0:20:28.440 --> 0:20:31.440
<v Speaker 3>to look at Trump's first term to understand equity market implications.

0:20:31.440 --> 0:20:34.720
<v Speaker 3>But as our own end o'current reminded us a little

0:20:34.720 --> 0:20:37.760
<v Speaker 3>earlier in the hour, this could be way way bigger.

0:20:37.800 --> 0:20:40.440
<v Speaker 3>In fact, these measures could mark the biggest protectionist move

0:20:40.920 --> 0:20:44.439
<v Speaker 3>in ninety years. Are there still lessons from the first term?

0:20:45.680 --> 0:20:48.440
<v Speaker 6>I think so. The first big lesson is to remember

0:20:48.520 --> 0:20:51.639
<v Speaker 6>he threatened a lot of tariffs and then pulled back

0:20:51.760 --> 0:20:55.240
<v Speaker 6>on Mexico and Canada. China's harriffs at the time on

0:20:55.320 --> 0:20:58.399
<v Speaker 6>I think aluminum steel continue to remain in place, So

0:20:59.080 --> 0:21:02.360
<v Speaker 6>any minute, any people can change their mind. I think

0:21:02.440 --> 0:21:04.800
<v Speaker 6>I was just seeing something pop up about even Canada

0:21:04.960 --> 0:21:08.199
<v Speaker 6>suggesting they would remove their terrace in return for us

0:21:08.240 --> 0:21:11.120
<v Speaker 6>removing all of our terrasts. So I think the thing

0:21:11.119 --> 0:21:13.159
<v Speaker 6>to remember is anything can change in a minute, and

0:21:13.280 --> 0:21:15.920
<v Speaker 6>when we look back at what happened back then, yet

0:21:15.960 --> 0:21:19.000
<v Speaker 6>a volatile market, but overall the market continued to climb.

0:21:19.400 --> 0:21:21.880
<v Speaker 6>The challenges it saw at that time are far more

0:21:21.880 --> 0:21:23.879
<v Speaker 6>about fed tightening, I think, than anything else.

0:21:24.760 --> 0:21:27.159
<v Speaker 1>So are you on hold though? Do you want the

0:21:27.160 --> 0:21:29.480
<v Speaker 1>details before you figure out kind of what to do next?

0:21:30.600 --> 0:21:33.000
<v Speaker 6>I think so? Or depends on what kind of investor

0:21:33.119 --> 0:21:35.920
<v Speaker 6>you are, right, if you're a long term investor based

0:21:35.960 --> 0:21:38.359
<v Speaker 6>at least on history which may not repeat, of course,

0:21:38.440 --> 0:21:41.640
<v Speaker 6>But I might continue to do what I'm doing right

0:21:41.760 --> 0:21:44.520
<v Speaker 6>my monthly four to one K deposit, I'll allocate it

0:21:44.560 --> 0:21:46.359
<v Speaker 6>to the market. I'll sort of buy this dip that

0:21:46.400 --> 0:21:50.480
<v Speaker 6>we've seen going on in the US markets. I might

0:21:50.640 --> 0:21:52.879
<v Speaker 6>start to look a little bit more at international markets.

0:21:52.960 --> 0:21:54.240
<v Speaker 7>Not as much about.

0:21:54.080 --> 0:21:57.119
<v Speaker 6>Terrace, but they've been strong this year. That's been one

0:21:57.119 --> 0:21:59.040
<v Speaker 6>of the bright spots. Is you know, Epha's up I

0:21:59.040 --> 0:22:01.879
<v Speaker 6>think almost six or seven percent. So is Aqui Xus.

0:22:03.200 --> 0:22:05.680
<v Speaker 6>So if you're a long term investor, I think I'd

0:22:05.720 --> 0:22:08.440
<v Speaker 6>just probably not worry about it too much. Expect volatility.

0:22:08.480 --> 0:22:10.680
<v Speaker 6>If you're a trader, you might be, you know, thriving

0:22:10.720 --> 0:22:12.760
<v Speaker 6>on an increased volatility.

0:22:13.080 --> 0:22:14.919
<v Speaker 3>No, there are some folks out there who are concerned

0:22:14.920 --> 0:22:17.720
<v Speaker 3>about the fundamentals of the US economy. And I'm talking

0:22:17.760 --> 0:22:24.640
<v Speaker 3>like structural here, like something could shift substantially unlike what

0:22:24.760 --> 0:22:27.720
<v Speaker 3>we've seen really in our lifetimes. I've talked to friends

0:22:27.720 --> 0:22:30.119
<v Speaker 3>who are not involved in the markets on a day

0:22:30.160 --> 0:22:32.679
<v Speaker 3>to day basis who said I'm getting out of the US.

0:22:33.040 --> 0:22:35.800
<v Speaker 3>I'm going to cash or other friends who say I'm

0:22:35.800 --> 0:22:38.520
<v Speaker 3>going overseas now with my money. Again, these are not

0:22:38.760 --> 0:22:41.800
<v Speaker 3>what I would call sophisticated investors or traders. They're just

0:22:41.920 --> 0:22:44.960
<v Speaker 3>really thinking differently about asset allocation. What would you say

0:22:44.960 --> 0:22:46.159
<v Speaker 3>to them?

0:22:46.400 --> 0:22:48.960
<v Speaker 6>So, I would say the idea of moving international just again,

0:22:49.040 --> 0:22:51.679
<v Speaker 6>given what we've seen happen earlier this year, and it

0:22:51.760 --> 0:22:54.199
<v Speaker 6>just feels like it's time for international markets. They've been

0:22:54.280 --> 0:22:58.119
<v Speaker 6>underperforming for so long. That's probably not a bad idea.

0:22:58.240 --> 0:23:01.240
<v Speaker 6>But the market's what five, iver six or seven percent

0:23:01.320 --> 0:23:03.359
<v Speaker 6>off of all time highs. And if you're selling your

0:23:03.359 --> 0:23:06.520
<v Speaker 6>portfolio go into cash, don't forget that tax bill that's

0:23:06.560 --> 0:23:09.160
<v Speaker 6>coming as a result of that. So, you know, if

0:23:09.160 --> 0:23:11.560
<v Speaker 6>that makes you feel comfortable, I think that that's fine.

0:23:11.560 --> 0:23:14.640
<v Speaker 6>There's nothing wrong with that. Again, consider those tax implications.

0:23:14.640 --> 0:23:16.240
<v Speaker 6>But if you think it's going to be a lot worse,

0:23:16.920 --> 0:23:19.480
<v Speaker 6>then you don't mind paying the taxes on it. But

0:23:19.560 --> 0:23:22.200
<v Speaker 6>I think otherwise, you know, I'd be a little cautious.

0:23:22.320 --> 0:23:25.680
<v Speaker 6>I just it feels like the news changes every minute,

0:23:25.720 --> 0:23:29.240
<v Speaker 6>every hour, and I would not probably make big abrupt

0:23:29.320 --> 0:23:30.880
<v Speaker 6>changes until I have better clarity.

0:23:31.160 --> 0:23:33.520
<v Speaker 1>You know what's interesting is Noah, I think we're all

0:23:33.600 --> 0:23:36.560
<v Speaker 1>waiting to see if the negative sentiment that we've been

0:23:36.600 --> 0:23:39.880
<v Speaker 1>talking about so much. We've talked about cap x by

0:23:40.240 --> 0:23:44.080
<v Speaker 1>businesses pulling back consumer sentiment. We've already seen the airlines

0:23:44.080 --> 0:23:48.720
<v Speaker 1>talk about cutbacks, but again they've been talking about the

0:23:48.800 --> 0:23:51.640
<v Speaker 1>current quarter and not necessarily for the rest of the year.

0:23:52.080 --> 0:23:54.480
<v Speaker 1>Sentiment becomes a problem when it, though, does turn into

0:23:54.600 --> 0:23:58.640
<v Speaker 1>actions and people stop spending, Companies stop spending, companies stop hiring.

0:24:00.119 --> 0:24:03.360
<v Speaker 1>How much do you think that sentiment will turn into

0:24:03.359 --> 0:24:05.639
<v Speaker 1>negative action and be with us for the rest of

0:24:05.640 --> 0:24:08.199
<v Speaker 1>the year. Are you more upbeat about the rest of

0:24:08.200 --> 0:24:10.440
<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty five or the second half of twenty twenty

0:24:10.440 --> 0:24:12.440
<v Speaker 1>five in general?

0:24:12.600 --> 0:24:15.480
<v Speaker 6>I'm more upbeat, But you're picking your spots, right. I

0:24:15.480 --> 0:24:18.480
<v Speaker 6>think ADP just came out with some surprisingly high numbers, right.

0:24:18.520 --> 0:24:20.080
<v Speaker 6>I think it was one hundred and fifty five thousand

0:24:20.119 --> 0:24:24.960
<v Speaker 6>private sector jobs. There's been plenty of announcements of international

0:24:24.960 --> 0:24:28.879
<v Speaker 6>companies making capital investments in the US for big plants

0:24:28.920 --> 0:24:29.800
<v Speaker 6>and manufacturing.

0:24:29.880 --> 0:24:30.040
<v Speaker 4>Right.

0:24:30.119 --> 0:24:32.160
<v Speaker 6>In part part of this plan tarif.

0:24:32.000 --> 0:24:35.480
<v Speaker 1>Drama plans, right, commitments plans, But it doesn't mean there'll

0:24:35.480 --> 0:24:36.640
<v Speaker 1>be a reality.

0:24:36.240 --> 0:24:40.320
<v Speaker 6>Right, excellent point. But I think if it's not a reality,

0:24:40.359 --> 0:24:42.520
<v Speaker 6>then you know, things can probably go both ways. Right,

0:24:42.520 --> 0:24:44.840
<v Speaker 6>Maybe things won't be quite as bad here, but you

0:24:44.920 --> 0:24:47.600
<v Speaker 6>do see it in pockets. When you mentioned things like airlines,

0:24:48.040 --> 0:24:50.480
<v Speaker 6>I think, yeah, it wouldn't be surprising to see much

0:24:50.520 --> 0:24:53.480
<v Speaker 6>more business travel cutting back with a little bit of uncertainty.

0:24:53.520 --> 0:24:57.640
<v Speaker 6>We've already seen reports, especially along the Canadian.

0:24:57.200 --> 0:24:58.560
<v Speaker 7>Border, where they're.

0:24:58.200 --> 0:25:00.280
<v Speaker 6>Not too happy with US as of lately, and they're

0:25:00.320 --> 0:25:02.520
<v Speaker 6>cutting back. You know, travel plans where they come here

0:25:02.520 --> 0:25:04.520
<v Speaker 6>and they spend and they go to amusement parks or

0:25:04.560 --> 0:25:07.600
<v Speaker 6>they stay at nice hotels, and so you see things

0:25:07.720 --> 0:25:11.200
<v Speaker 6>like that cutting back. But if some of those plans

0:25:11.200 --> 0:25:16.080
<v Speaker 6>turn into real jobs, it could create a production growth

0:25:16.160 --> 0:25:19.280
<v Speaker 6>opportunity within the US that will still be several years out,

0:25:19.840 --> 0:25:23.000
<v Speaker 6>but could really create long term opportunity. But boy, is

0:25:23.000 --> 0:25:24.880
<v Speaker 6>it going to be noisy involved along the way.

0:25:25.480 --> 0:25:28.919
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, And look, I think certainly the cutting back that

0:25:28.920 --> 0:25:33.080
<v Speaker 3>we're seeing from international tourists to the north makes sense.

0:25:34.040 --> 0:25:36.040
<v Speaker 3>Something Carol and I have talked a lot about, especially

0:25:36.080 --> 0:25:38.320
<v Speaker 3>in the context of some of the airline downgrades that

0:25:38.359 --> 0:25:42.000
<v Speaker 3>we saw this week from Jeffreys. And the pullback that

0:25:42.040 --> 0:25:45.280
<v Speaker 3>airlines have talked about is a cutback that American consumers

0:25:45.280 --> 0:25:49.080
<v Speaker 3>are feeling in discretionary spending, are you seeing that pop

0:25:49.160 --> 0:25:49.720
<v Speaker 3>up at all.

0:25:51.000 --> 0:25:53.480
<v Speaker 6>A little bit. You know, you've seen weakness in that

0:25:53.560 --> 0:25:56.320
<v Speaker 6>hotel sector. You've seen weakness, as you mentioned just a

0:25:56.320 --> 0:26:01.080
<v Speaker 6>second ago, in airlines. I think, you know, there's vices,

0:26:01.160 --> 0:26:03.320
<v Speaker 6>right and when I think about things like Corona beer

0:26:03.359 --> 0:26:05.080
<v Speaker 6>and the impact and maybe people are going to spend

0:26:05.160 --> 0:26:06.520
<v Speaker 6>less if the price of that beer is going to

0:26:06.560 --> 0:26:08.919
<v Speaker 6>go up, Well they can still you know, buy some

0:26:08.960 --> 0:26:11.320
<v Speaker 6>sam Adams that's made you know, made in the US,

0:26:11.359 --> 0:26:13.919
<v Speaker 6>and those prices won't go up, or at least they

0:26:13.920 --> 0:26:15.880
<v Speaker 6>won't go up to the extent that they're not affected

0:26:15.920 --> 0:26:18.879
<v Speaker 6>by the supply component, right, the metal that's made in

0:26:18.920 --> 0:26:23.400
<v Speaker 6>their cans to distribute their product. So you know, yes,

0:26:23.440 --> 0:26:26.600
<v Speaker 6>you've seen some consumer spending pulled back, certainly pulled back

0:26:26.640 --> 0:26:29.960
<v Speaker 6>with the market. But same thing. It feels short term,

0:26:30.000 --> 0:26:33.400
<v Speaker 6>it feels temporary, but always subject to change.

0:26:33.800 --> 0:26:37.639
<v Speaker 1>So in terms of dip buying, have you been doing

0:26:37.680 --> 0:26:38.919
<v Speaker 1>that on the pullback?

0:26:39.960 --> 0:26:42.240
<v Speaker 6>I have, Yeah, absolutely so. Right now, I really haven't

0:26:42.320 --> 0:26:45.359
<v Speaker 6>changed my asset allocation that much except for what I

0:26:45.400 --> 0:26:49.159
<v Speaker 6>mentioned earlier, which is I'm leaning into the international markets

0:26:49.200 --> 0:26:53.080
<v Speaker 6>a little bit more. I'm also looking at where maybe

0:26:53.119 --> 0:26:56.640
<v Speaker 6>we might see interest rates maybe going down, which could

0:26:56.640 --> 0:26:59.960
<v Speaker 6>provide a spark and some ignite, you know, some opportunities

0:27:00.080 --> 0:27:02.679
<v Speaker 6>in the US. The best spots, it seems like this

0:27:02.800 --> 0:27:07.440
<v Speaker 6>here has been energy and financials probably, but for the

0:27:07.480 --> 0:27:10.520
<v Speaker 6>most part just I'm continuing to dip by not going

0:27:10.600 --> 0:27:12.520
<v Speaker 6>to worry about it too much. And I think, as

0:27:12.520 --> 0:27:14.679
<v Speaker 6>you guys were saying earlier, I need to see what

0:27:14.760 --> 0:27:17.320
<v Speaker 6>really happens before I take too strong of an action.

0:27:17.480 --> 0:27:18.840
<v Speaker 1>All right, Gonna leave it on that note.

0:27:19.320 --> 0:27:19.639
<v Speaker 5>Noah.

0:27:19.680 --> 0:27:20.000
<v Speaker 7>Thanks.

0:27:20.080 --> 0:27:23.160
<v Speaker 1>Noah Hammond, founder and CEO of Advisor Shares joining us

0:27:23.800 --> 0:27:26.200
<v Speaker 1>on this Wednesday, folks. We've just got about ten minutes

0:27:26.280 --> 0:27:29.119
<v Speaker 1>to go, taking a look at the trade. Definitely off

0:27:29.119 --> 0:27:31.080
<v Speaker 1>our worst levels of the session. Green across the screen,

0:27:31.200 --> 0:27:32.760
<v Speaker 1>s and p up about forty points. Now's de Q

0:27:32.760 --> 0:27:34.320
<v Speaker 1>one hundred, a gain of one hundred and sixty two.

0:27:34.320 --> 0:27:36.320
<v Speaker 1>Stick around. We're counting you down to the clothes on

0:27:36.359 --> 0:27:37.000
<v Speaker 1>this Wednesday.

0:27:38.520 --> 0:27:43.359
<v Speaker 2>This is the Bloomberg Business Week podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

0:27:43.480 --> 0:27:47.200
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0:27:47.240 --> 0:27:51.240
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0:27:51.320 --> 0:27:55.200
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0:27:55.440 --> 0:27:58.400
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0:27:58.440 --> 0:28:00.560
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0:28:08.280 --> 0:28:08.320
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