1 00:00:01,360 --> 00:00:03,920 Speaker 1: Hello, everybody, Welcome into the cycle. 2 00:00:04,080 --> 00:00:07,040 Speaker 2: I am Ryan Warmley, joined us always by Mike Mayer. 3 00:00:07,560 --> 00:00:10,879 Speaker 2: It is Thursday, April eighteenth. We are a few weeks 4 00:00:10,880 --> 00:00:14,360 Speaker 2: into this season and this is our weekly fantasy baseball 5 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:18,040 Speaker 2: podcast here a Fantasy Pros. Of course, everybody can still 6 00:00:18,040 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 2: listen to Leading Off every single day of the week, 7 00:00:20,920 --> 00:00:22,799 Speaker 2: and we are here to kind of give you a 8 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:25,400 Speaker 2: more macro level view and kind of step back and 9 00:00:25,840 --> 00:00:28,320 Speaker 2: look at some fantasy baseball trending topics. 10 00:00:28,400 --> 00:00:29,880 Speaker 1: Talk to some interesting guests. 11 00:00:29,920 --> 00:00:33,760 Speaker 2: We've got Brandon tune Up Tuma on later today on 12 00:00:33,800 --> 00:00:36,720 Speaker 2: this show. He was great talking some prospects and some 13 00:00:36,800 --> 00:00:40,120 Speaker 2: waiver pickups and some preseason predictions that he'd like to 14 00:00:40,159 --> 00:00:42,280 Speaker 2: take back and also ones that he'd like to double 15 00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 2: down on, so be sure to stick around to later 16 00:00:45,120 --> 00:00:46,640 Speaker 2: in the show for that one. I want to mention 17 00:00:46,760 --> 00:00:49,400 Speaker 2: everybody before Mayor and I dive in that if you 18 00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:52,360 Speaker 2: like this content, the best freeway to show your support 19 00:00:52,440 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 2: and encourage more content like this is to leave a 20 00:00:55,440 --> 00:01:00,200 Speaker 2: positive review at Fantasypros dot com slash MLB. Review the 21 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:02,480 Speaker 2: question in your review, may Or and I will be 22 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:04,600 Speaker 2: sure to answer it in next week's episode. That is 23 00:01:04,640 --> 00:01:07,080 Speaker 2: The best way to get a question answered on the 24 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:08,880 Speaker 2: show is to leave it in a review, So be 25 00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:11,200 Speaker 2: sure to go ahead and do that if you're enjoying 26 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:15,680 Speaker 2: the content, mayor what do you think of get we? 27 00:01:15,800 --> 00:01:18,200 Speaker 2: You know, we already recorded our segment with Tuma. How 28 00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:20,040 Speaker 2: is it to reunite with an old friend? 29 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:23,639 Speaker 3: It was incredible. It's always good to talk with Tuma, 30 00:01:23,720 --> 00:01:25,800 Speaker 3: you know, I have you know, we mentioned that like 31 00:01:26,080 --> 00:01:29,880 Speaker 3: daily like text chain with with me Tuma and Dan Harris, 32 00:01:29,920 --> 00:01:32,240 Speaker 3: which I actually think started in the leading off days 33 00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:35,440 Speaker 3: because we started talking like planning it, because like leading 34 00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:39,720 Speaker 3: Off kicked off with just Tuma and Dan Harris recording 35 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 3: episodes like overnight at like two in the morning where 36 00:01:43,080 --> 00:01:45,080 Speaker 3: Tuma would produce him and Dan would just stay up 37 00:01:45,080 --> 00:01:47,279 Speaker 3: all night and do like a fifteen minute like solo episode. 38 00:01:47,280 --> 00:01:50,440 Speaker 3: And then it became like a daily morning show, and 39 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 3: I did a couple solo episodes with him, and then 40 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:56,200 Speaker 3: I think really planning out the segments was how that 41 00:01:56,240 --> 00:01:58,800 Speaker 3: like text chain like started and it's just like it's 42 00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:01,480 Speaker 3: still going today, even though now Tuma's an underdog and 43 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 3: Dan Harris has vanished into the ether and I'm still 44 00:02:04,960 --> 00:02:08,280 Speaker 3: here chugging away at Fantasy Pros doing shows with you, 45 00:02:09,480 --> 00:02:11,200 Speaker 3: but always great. You know. I got to see Tuma 46 00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:13,600 Speaker 3: in person a few months ago during draft season in 47 00:02:13,600 --> 00:02:16,200 Speaker 3: New York. But always good to hang out and talk 48 00:02:16,280 --> 00:02:18,600 Speaker 3: baseball with Tuma. One of my favorite people in the industry, 49 00:02:18,639 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 3: someone I came up with in the industry, so he's 50 00:02:21,320 --> 00:02:23,440 Speaker 3: one of my favorite people. Always happy to talk with Tuma. 51 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:26,520 Speaker 2: Really smart guy, really fun conversation with him later in 52 00:02:26,560 --> 00:02:29,040 Speaker 2: the show. So again, I encourage everybody to stick around 53 00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:30,880 Speaker 2: for that. You make it sound like it's like a 54 00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 2: slog to talk with me every day and work with 55 00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:35,680 Speaker 2: me on this show and whatnot. 56 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:38,960 Speaker 3: That was that was implied. I was gonna like dig deeper. 57 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 1: Into that, we say, did you I infer it? 58 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:44,880 Speaker 3: You know, whatever it was, I I'm glad you picked 59 00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:46,800 Speaker 3: up and I was putting down though, Yeah. 60 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:47,360 Speaker 1: I appreciate it. 61 00:02:47,600 --> 00:02:50,440 Speaker 2: Let's let's dive into this slog of a show. We'll 62 00:02:50,480 --> 00:02:53,520 Speaker 2: start off with riding the bases. As always, you have 63 00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:57,000 Speaker 2: our kind of first trending topic here, and the question 64 00:02:57,080 --> 00:02:59,200 Speaker 2: that you pose that I will allow you to answer 65 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:03,800 Speaker 2: is what do Ranger Suarez, Tanner Houck, and Ronel Blanco 66 00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:04,680 Speaker 2: have in common? 67 00:03:05,520 --> 00:03:07,680 Speaker 3: So those three pictures. What they have in common is 68 00:03:07,680 --> 00:03:10,040 Speaker 3: they are the only three pitchers this season to throw 69 00:03:10,120 --> 00:03:13,320 Speaker 3: complete game shoutouts, which is just what everyone predicted at 70 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:16,840 Speaker 3: the beginning of the season. Yes, everyone thought these three 71 00:03:17,360 --> 00:03:20,679 Speaker 3: Ranger Suarez, Tanner Hawk Ronel Blanco, those are going to 72 00:03:20,720 --> 00:03:22,919 Speaker 3: be the first three pitchers to throw a complete game shutout. 73 00:03:24,720 --> 00:03:28,480 Speaker 2: I can't say that I held that opinion going into 74 00:03:28,480 --> 00:03:32,600 Speaker 2: the season, but it's certainly been interesting to see Suarez 75 00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:35,720 Speaker 2: in particular, like Blanco, we talked a bit about after 76 00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:37,640 Speaker 2: his no hitter, and you know, we kind of highlighted 77 00:03:37,640 --> 00:03:40,200 Speaker 2: the addition of the change up, and you know, teams 78 00:03:40,240 --> 00:03:42,560 Speaker 2: kind of maybe adjusting to that. Also, the Astros do 79 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:46,360 Speaker 2: have a pretty strong history of developing pitchers, especially in 80 00:03:46,440 --> 00:03:51,280 Speaker 2: the recent years. Suarez, I did not see this coming 81 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:51,920 Speaker 2: at all. 82 00:03:52,000 --> 00:03:54,240 Speaker 1: He's three, and no era is one seven to three. 83 00:03:54,760 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 2: He's been four starts, twenty six innings, pitch twenty seven strikeouts. 84 00:03:58,960 --> 00:04:02,160 Speaker 2: It's with point seven to seven and the stackast data 85 00:04:02,200 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 2: looks pretty good in terms of expected eras two oh five, 86 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:09,840 Speaker 2: average exit velocity loud as ninety eighth percentile. I mean 87 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 2: it doesn't it's it's probably fluky to a degree because 88 00:04:13,720 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 2: he's not like a you know, a cy young level picture. 89 00:04:16,600 --> 00:04:19,799 Speaker 2: We don't think, but the bad of all data says 90 00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:21,039 Speaker 2: it's not actually that fluky. 91 00:04:22,240 --> 00:04:26,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, And I feel like he's always been quietly solid 92 00:04:26,240 --> 00:04:28,200 Speaker 3: for the Phillies. Like the last few years, he's you know, 93 00:04:28,279 --> 00:04:30,680 Speaker 3: he's he's missed some time due to injury like here 94 00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:34,280 Speaker 3: and there, but overall he's been just a quietly like 95 00:04:34,279 --> 00:04:36,800 Speaker 3: I said, quietly solid, not a ton of like strikeouts, 96 00:04:37,200 --> 00:04:41,279 Speaker 3: but not you know, a deficit of strikeouts to where 97 00:04:41,279 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 3: it's like, you know, overly noticed. And I was trying 98 00:04:45,240 --> 00:04:47,320 Speaker 3: to look into because you know, when we've been talking 99 00:04:47,360 --> 00:04:48,920 Speaker 3: the last few weeks and we've been looking at you know, 100 00:04:48,920 --> 00:04:50,840 Speaker 3: we're talking about small sample sizes, but like what can 101 00:04:50,880 --> 00:04:53,560 Speaker 3: we look to that has changed that we can look 102 00:04:53,640 --> 00:04:54,919 Speaker 3: you know, that we can kind of point to some 103 00:04:54,960 --> 00:04:57,640 Speaker 3: of these things. And the one really the only thing 104 00:04:57,640 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 3: I'm seeing with him is that he's throwing his sinker 105 00:04:59,480 --> 00:05:02,679 Speaker 3: a ton more, which I feel like every pitcher I 106 00:05:02,680 --> 00:05:05,200 Speaker 3: have studied, like the last year or so, it's almost 107 00:05:05,240 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 3: the opposite. They're just kind of like moving away from 108 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:10,000 Speaker 3: the sinker. But he's really leaning into it, and so far, 109 00:05:10,080 --> 00:05:12,159 Speaker 3: so good. He's probably throwing it a little bit like 110 00:05:12,440 --> 00:05:14,839 Speaker 3: too much. I would think he's a close to forty 111 00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:18,480 Speaker 3: percent sinker, which is probably not what I would want 112 00:05:18,480 --> 00:05:20,480 Speaker 3: to do. But you know, he is a lefty and 113 00:05:20,680 --> 00:05:22,320 Speaker 3: he's got to go against a upsite against some like 114 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 3: righty heavy lineup, so he's got to you know, take 115 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:27,919 Speaker 3: a different approach. And his expected numbers, he's got an 116 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:29,240 Speaker 3: e RA one point seven to three. All of his 117 00:05:29,360 --> 00:05:31,880 Speaker 3: expected numbers are between like two and two point seven, 118 00:05:31,920 --> 00:05:35,400 Speaker 3: so they're all right there, really good, and swinging strike 119 00:05:35,480 --> 00:05:40,239 Speaker 3: numbers are slightly up, and it's that cast page. Everything 120 00:05:40,320 --> 00:05:42,880 Speaker 3: looks really good except for you know, the only really 121 00:05:42,960 --> 00:05:47,120 Speaker 3: blue bar there is his fastball velocity. But that's that's 122 00:05:47,120 --> 00:05:49,200 Speaker 3: not an unknown, that's just who he is. He's not 123 00:05:49,240 --> 00:05:51,480 Speaker 3: going to throw that ninety five ninety six miner fastball. 124 00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:56,520 Speaker 3: And yeah, he's just really been you know, I don't 125 00:05:56,520 --> 00:05:58,880 Speaker 3: think he's this good, but I also think he's been 126 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 3: undervalued in recent years. 127 00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 2: So in looking at the game log, it's worth bringing 128 00:06:04,360 --> 00:06:05,160 Speaker 2: up the opponents. 129 00:06:05,279 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 3: Right. 130 00:06:05,520 --> 00:06:07,800 Speaker 2: The first two starts of the season were the only 131 00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:09,560 Speaker 2: two stars where he's giving up any runs. It was 132 00:06:10,120 --> 00:06:13,680 Speaker 2: five innings, three earned runs, three hits, one walk, seven strikeouts. 133 00:06:13,720 --> 00:06:15,600 Speaker 2: Not like a terrible start, but three earn runs and 134 00:06:15,680 --> 00:06:18,919 Speaker 2: five innings. That was against the Braves, obviously very good offense. 135 00:06:19,480 --> 00:06:22,160 Speaker 2: Against the Phillies and start number two, six innings, two 136 00:06:22,240 --> 00:06:26,240 Speaker 2: earned runs, four hits, just four strikeouts. Phillies, you know, 137 00:06:26,360 --> 00:06:28,360 Speaker 2: quality lineup in general. 138 00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 3: He pitches for the Phillies. 139 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:34,800 Speaker 2: I'm I was looking at the Nationals and I just 140 00:06:34,880 --> 00:06:36,440 Speaker 2: kept reading Phillies that you forgot. 141 00:06:36,600 --> 00:06:37,080 Speaker 1: I followed it. 142 00:06:37,360 --> 00:06:39,800 Speaker 2: Yes, that was you know why I did this because 143 00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:41,880 Speaker 2: I was looking the column of the away team and 144 00:06:41,960 --> 00:06:42,600 Speaker 2: I just was. 145 00:06:42,720 --> 00:06:43,000 Speaker 1: I was. 146 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:46,159 Speaker 2: I was like, wow, four starts all against the Phillies 147 00:06:46,200 --> 00:06:46,480 Speaker 2: this year. 148 00:06:47,800 --> 00:06:48,080 Speaker 3: That was. 149 00:06:48,320 --> 00:06:50,720 Speaker 2: That was a full on Anchorman, just like reading what 150 00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:52,560 Speaker 2: was in front of me, and I was like, yes, 151 00:06:52,680 --> 00:06:54,719 Speaker 2: I'm aware that he pitches for the Phillies. Yes, against 152 00:06:54,720 --> 00:06:58,400 Speaker 2: the Nationals six innings, two ear and runs, four hits, 153 00:06:58,680 --> 00:07:01,440 Speaker 2: four strikeouts, when the Pirates and the Rockies are the 154 00:07:01,480 --> 00:07:06,080 Speaker 2: last two starts combined fifteen innings, sixteen strikeouts, nine hits, 155 00:07:06,279 --> 00:07:09,720 Speaker 2: three walks, no runs. So I bring that up to 156 00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:12,080 Speaker 2: say the worst start of those was the one against 157 00:07:12,080 --> 00:07:16,240 Speaker 2: the elite offense. Is that a consideration for you at all? 158 00:07:16,680 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 4: Yeah? 159 00:07:17,000 --> 00:07:20,880 Speaker 3: I mean you're saying the Pirates are not an elite offense. 160 00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:23,440 Speaker 2: We've already I know, I know I almost wanted to 161 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:26,400 Speaker 2: include them in that, but I'm not sure. You know, 162 00:07:26,600 --> 00:07:28,960 Speaker 2: obviously that's been a bit tugging. Yeah, but at least 163 00:07:29,080 --> 00:07:31,000 Speaker 2: one of the Braves. Clearly the Braves are the best 164 00:07:31,000 --> 00:07:32,520 Speaker 2: offense of that group. When that was the worst start, 165 00:07:32,600 --> 00:07:33,720 Speaker 2: it's my ultimate point. 166 00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:35,559 Speaker 3: Right, And it wasn't a terrible start, it was fine, 167 00:07:35,640 --> 00:07:37,640 Speaker 3: and it was the first start of the season. Also, 168 00:07:37,840 --> 00:07:39,840 Speaker 3: someone to be expected, and like that's that's kind of 169 00:07:39,880 --> 00:07:41,920 Speaker 3: the point. He's not going to be. And you can 170 00:07:41,960 --> 00:07:43,760 Speaker 3: even look at like his projected numbers for the rest 171 00:07:43,760 --> 00:07:45,400 Speaker 3: of the season his era right now, it's one point 172 00:07:45,440 --> 00:07:49,960 Speaker 3: seventy three. Pretty much every projection system out there has 173 00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:52,559 Speaker 3: him between like three point eight and somewhere in the fours. 174 00:07:52,680 --> 00:07:55,280 Speaker 3: And so I think it's probably going to be, you know, 175 00:07:55,480 --> 00:07:58,520 Speaker 3: mid to high threes. And that's you know, what you're 176 00:07:58,520 --> 00:08:02,240 Speaker 3: hoping for if you roster, But you can do worse. 177 00:08:03,720 --> 00:08:07,840 Speaker 2: Are you, like, look, what action are you taking with him? 178 00:08:07,880 --> 00:08:10,679 Speaker 2: Are you trying to pick him up at any cost 179 00:08:10,720 --> 00:08:12,560 Speaker 2: if he's available, are you trying to trade for him 180 00:08:12,560 --> 00:08:14,560 Speaker 2: if somebody else has him, Are you trying to sell him? 181 00:08:15,040 --> 00:08:17,400 Speaker 2: If you have him, give him the hot star if 182 00:08:17,400 --> 00:08:19,760 Speaker 2: you whether you have him or not, Like, what is 183 00:08:19,760 --> 00:08:22,760 Speaker 2: your main like actionable advice on Suarez? 184 00:08:23,880 --> 00:08:25,560 Speaker 3: I think if you had to put him in the 185 00:08:25,600 --> 00:08:27,960 Speaker 3: category of like buy, sell, hold, he would be a hold. 186 00:08:28,000 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 3: I don't know that I'm aggressively targeting him. I don't 187 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:33,320 Speaker 3: know that I'm really selling him if I have him, 188 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:36,240 Speaker 3: just because he is what he is, and you know, 189 00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 3: maybe if pitching is overvalued to a point and you 190 00:08:38,960 --> 00:08:42,400 Speaker 3: have pitching depth and you know, people come looking for pitching, 191 00:08:42,520 --> 00:08:44,600 Speaker 3: I'd be I'd be fine selling him because I'm not, 192 00:08:45,480 --> 00:08:49,280 Speaker 3: you know, married to ranger Suarez. But I'm also not 193 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:51,280 Speaker 3: looking to buy him. I just think he is what 194 00:08:51,320 --> 00:08:53,200 Speaker 3: he is. And I but I think what he is 195 00:08:53,200 --> 00:08:55,760 Speaker 3: is like good. He's like a replacement level average to 196 00:08:55,800 --> 00:08:58,000 Speaker 3: above average starter on a good team. 197 00:08:58,120 --> 00:09:00,840 Speaker 2: So of the three starters that you kind of included 198 00:09:00,880 --> 00:09:03,760 Speaker 2: in this group that has thrown you know, the how 199 00:09:03,800 --> 00:09:06,839 Speaker 2: the complete game is this? 200 00:09:07,800 --> 00:09:08,679 Speaker 1: Like, how would you rank the three? 201 00:09:08,679 --> 00:09:10,160 Speaker 2: I guess will be my question because we've already talked 202 00:09:10,160 --> 00:09:12,360 Speaker 2: a bit about Blanco, We've talked a bit about how 203 00:09:12,520 --> 00:09:15,079 Speaker 2: so like now that We've talked to me about Suarez too. 204 00:09:15,720 --> 00:09:16,960 Speaker 2: If you had to kind of rank the three in 205 00:09:17,040 --> 00:09:20,320 Speaker 2: terms of like your belief level in them moving forward, 206 00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:22,719 Speaker 2: are they fairly close to each other or do you 207 00:09:22,800 --> 00:09:24,160 Speaker 2: kind of have a clear one, two, three. 208 00:09:24,800 --> 00:09:27,400 Speaker 3: So I was actually looking up my rankings to see 209 00:09:27,440 --> 00:09:29,600 Speaker 3: where I had them and if I needed to kind 210 00:09:29,640 --> 00:09:34,559 Speaker 3: of move them. I have, how the highest, just because, 211 00:09:35,000 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 3: as we've talked before, I've kind of bought into that 212 00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:41,240 Speaker 3: Red Sox pitching program and we've seen like they still, 213 00:09:41,240 --> 00:09:44,360 Speaker 3: despite their terrible bullpen and despite their terrible offense, they 214 00:09:44,400 --> 00:09:49,520 Speaker 3: still have one of the better starting pitching numbers of 215 00:09:49,559 --> 00:09:52,600 Speaker 3: like the last hundred years, which is not going to last, 216 00:09:52,760 --> 00:09:54,640 Speaker 3: especially because two of those pitchers are already on the 217 00:09:54,679 --> 00:09:58,040 Speaker 3: injured list. But we're seeing that different approach. We're seeing, 218 00:09:58,840 --> 00:10:02,320 Speaker 3: you know, I talked more about Landre Suarez leaning on 219 00:10:02,360 --> 00:10:05,720 Speaker 3: his sinker, and Tanner Hawk has kind of lean you know, 220 00:10:05,760 --> 00:10:08,880 Speaker 3: he's gone away from his you know, his fastball sinker 221 00:10:08,920 --> 00:10:11,439 Speaker 3: type stuff. He's leaning into his sweeper and now throwing 222 00:10:11,440 --> 00:10:13,880 Speaker 3: the splitter more often, and those are the kind of 223 00:10:13,960 --> 00:10:16,800 Speaker 3: changes I like to see. So I have haw He's 224 00:10:16,840 --> 00:10:18,600 Speaker 3: the only one I have as a top fifty starter. 225 00:10:18,760 --> 00:10:21,400 Speaker 3: The other two I have around that like seventy five range, 226 00:10:21,440 --> 00:10:25,680 Speaker 3: but also still solid and probably like seventy five looking 227 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:29,080 Speaker 3: up as opposed to like seventy five and falling. We've 228 00:10:29,080 --> 00:10:31,319 Speaker 3: talked a little bit before about run now Blanco, but 229 00:10:31,360 --> 00:10:32,800 Speaker 3: we don't have to go into too much more there. 230 00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:36,200 Speaker 3: That's that's really a continuous like wait and see. You know, 231 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:38,959 Speaker 3: we saw the no hitter, but also we're now looking 232 00:10:39,000 --> 00:10:43,880 Speaker 3: at three quality starts with solid strikeout numbers, and he's 233 00:10:43,920 --> 00:10:47,200 Speaker 3: allowed six total hits over three starts combined, because you know, 234 00:10:47,480 --> 00:10:50,880 Speaker 3: obviously the no hitter helps the ratio there, but still 235 00:10:50,920 --> 00:10:53,959 Speaker 3: three straight quality starts, two of them against the I'm 236 00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:55,240 Speaker 3: going to look at the right column here and not 237 00:10:55,280 --> 00:10:58,480 Speaker 3: the left. Two of them against the Texas Rangers back 238 00:10:58,520 --> 00:11:01,320 Speaker 3: to back, which is always to do having to face 239 00:11:01,360 --> 00:11:03,439 Speaker 3: the same team back to back, especially when you're a 240 00:11:03,480 --> 00:11:05,320 Speaker 3: pitcher like him who's kind of leading into a new 241 00:11:05,360 --> 00:11:06,400 Speaker 3: approach with a new change up. 242 00:11:06,480 --> 00:11:09,200 Speaker 2: So, yeah, it was his worst start of the season 243 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:11,320 Speaker 2: in that second start against the Rangers. 244 00:11:11,520 --> 00:11:13,760 Speaker 1: Not that it was bad, but it was the only start. 245 00:11:14,240 --> 00:11:16,720 Speaker 3: Run six innings and two runs. 246 00:11:16,880 --> 00:11:20,320 Speaker 2: But I'm just hard noted that, you know, with the again, 247 00:11:20,440 --> 00:11:22,760 Speaker 2: the kind of the new change up added and that 248 00:11:22,840 --> 00:11:25,800 Speaker 2: being a part of his success. We think that the 249 00:11:25,840 --> 00:11:27,959 Speaker 2: first time he faced a team, not only for the 250 00:11:28,000 --> 00:11:31,040 Speaker 2: second time, but for the second time right away he 251 00:11:31,160 --> 00:11:33,080 Speaker 2: finally allowed a run. 252 00:11:33,280 --> 00:11:35,920 Speaker 1: Again, not a bad start, but I think it's worth. 253 00:11:36,040 --> 00:11:38,160 Speaker 3: Allowed a run and finally allowed more than one hit. 254 00:11:38,640 --> 00:11:40,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, your. 255 00:11:40,280 --> 00:11:43,679 Speaker 3: Head gone to what fifteen innings and one hit until then? 256 00:11:44,240 --> 00:11:46,280 Speaker 2: Just to give those guys stats as kind of a 257 00:11:46,320 --> 00:11:48,760 Speaker 2: wrap up, Blanco's two and oh with a zero point 258 00:11:48,760 --> 00:11:53,000 Speaker 2: eighty six ERA, twenty one innings pitched, just sixteen strikeouts, 259 00:11:53,280 --> 00:11:55,560 Speaker 2: zero point seven to one whip I already gave Suarez 260 00:11:55,679 --> 00:11:58,080 Speaker 2: is then, how it is three and one with an 261 00:11:58,280 --> 00:12:01,000 Speaker 2: RA of one point three five. He has made four 262 00:12:01,000 --> 00:12:03,480 Speaker 2: starts this season, twenty six and two thirds innings, twenty 263 00:12:03,559 --> 00:12:06,480 Speaker 2: eight strikeouts and zero point nine whip. 264 00:12:07,000 --> 00:12:08,560 Speaker 1: So yeah, really interesting from all of them. 265 00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:12,280 Speaker 2: I'm telling you, Like that gaff of reading and not 266 00:12:12,480 --> 00:12:14,240 Speaker 2: like thinking about what I was reading, just reading the 267 00:12:14,240 --> 00:12:19,040 Speaker 2: column again, like full on anchorman reading the prompter is. 268 00:12:19,000 --> 00:12:20,520 Speaker 1: Going to stick with me for the rest. 269 00:12:20,320 --> 00:12:20,719 Speaker 3: Of the day. 270 00:12:20,840 --> 00:12:21,400 Speaker 1: That was brutial. 271 00:12:21,559 --> 00:12:22,480 Speaker 3: I'll make sure it does. 272 00:12:23,559 --> 00:12:26,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, let's get to our next topic here 273 00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:29,720 Speaker 2: and I really just wrote it as a question should 274 00:12:29,760 --> 00:12:35,240 Speaker 2: we be talking more about Marcelo Zuna his stackcast page. 275 00:12:35,480 --> 00:12:37,640 Speaker 2: We talked about Ryan O'Hearn later in the segment with 276 00:12:37,679 --> 00:12:40,720 Speaker 2: Tuma and how read his batt of ball you know 277 00:12:40,800 --> 00:12:44,040 Speaker 2: pages on stack cast, Azuna is right up there. His 278 00:12:44,160 --> 00:12:47,679 Speaker 2: expected wOBA is one hundred percentile, expects a slug percentage, 279 00:12:47,760 --> 00:12:50,640 Speaker 2: hundred percentile expected batting average all the way down at 280 00:12:50,760 --> 00:12:52,200 Speaker 2: ninety nine percentile. 281 00:12:52,440 --> 00:12:54,360 Speaker 1: You know, average eggs have lost the eighty eight. 282 00:12:54,440 --> 00:12:58,040 Speaker 2: Barrel percentage, ninety six percentile, hard hit percentage, ninety fifth percentile, 283 00:12:58,120 --> 00:13:00,000 Speaker 2: sweet spot percent of ninety four. It's just read after 284 00:13:00,160 --> 00:13:03,840 Speaker 2: red after red. He has been excellent, just to give 285 00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:07,560 Speaker 2: you know, the more standard numbers. Eight home runs, three 286 00:13:07,640 --> 00:13:11,280 Speaker 2: fifty two average four or three OBP seven thirty two slugging. 287 00:13:11,280 --> 00:13:16,880 Speaker 2: That's good for a eleven thirty five ops just like 288 00:13:16,880 --> 00:13:21,880 Speaker 2: like been superb And obviously the position eligibility is a 289 00:13:21,880 --> 00:13:26,080 Speaker 2: factor when evaluating for fantasy being DH only it you know, 290 00:13:26,160 --> 00:13:27,800 Speaker 2: limits the flexibility you you. 291 00:13:27,800 --> 00:13:29,360 Speaker 1: Have with him. 292 00:13:29,960 --> 00:13:32,800 Speaker 2: But he was going like I think it was like 293 00:13:32,880 --> 00:13:36,360 Speaker 2: one twenty something on draft day, at least on coccording 294 00:13:36,360 --> 00:13:39,600 Speaker 2: to our ADP on the site, he was not said 295 00:13:39,640 --> 00:13:41,960 Speaker 2: that was being aggressively targeted despite having been a pretty 296 00:13:42,000 --> 00:13:44,560 Speaker 2: good hitter in recently. I made forty home runs a 297 00:13:44,640 --> 00:13:48,000 Speaker 2: year ago. Again, I get to position an eligibility thing. 298 00:13:48,080 --> 00:13:50,760 Speaker 2: But are we just not giving enough credence to what 299 00:13:50,920 --> 00:13:53,520 Speaker 2: he has done A, you know, like last year and 300 00:13:53,640 --> 00:13:54,640 Speaker 2: B to start this year? 301 00:13:55,720 --> 00:13:59,240 Speaker 3: Yeah? Probably I need even that. ABP sounds like it 302 00:13:59,400 --> 00:14:02,920 Speaker 3: sounds like higher than than I remember. You know, I 303 00:14:02,960 --> 00:14:04,559 Speaker 3: would I would have guessed it was like it was 304 00:14:04,600 --> 00:14:05,640 Speaker 3: in the thirties or something. 305 00:14:06,120 --> 00:14:08,160 Speaker 2: Actually, actually i'm seeing here it was I was missing 306 00:14:08,280 --> 00:14:09,200 Speaker 2: it was one thirty two. 307 00:14:09,800 --> 00:14:11,400 Speaker 3: Uh, are you looking at the wrong column again? 308 00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:14,640 Speaker 2: No, No, the one twenties was what I had noticed 309 00:14:14,720 --> 00:14:17,600 Speaker 2: yesterday when I was looking at his rest of season 310 00:14:17,679 --> 00:14:20,760 Speaker 2: ranking and our updated stuff. But ADP won thirty two. 311 00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:22,280 Speaker 2: So I mean it's I mean, it's still all the 312 00:14:22,320 --> 00:14:25,200 Speaker 2: same range obviously, right, But yeah, it's it was down there. 313 00:14:25,280 --> 00:14:29,520 Speaker 2: I mean it was behind guys like Jackson, Curio is 314 00:14:29,640 --> 00:14:33,239 Speaker 2: Suri Luise, Jordan Walker, just in terms of the outfielders 315 00:14:33,240 --> 00:14:37,280 Speaker 2: I'm looking at, you know, and just ahead of uh, 316 00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:40,920 Speaker 2: you know, Mullins and Langford and guys like that. Riley 317 00:14:40,960 --> 00:14:44,920 Speaker 2: Green he was a little ahead of So I mean 318 00:14:45,000 --> 00:14:47,680 Speaker 2: not and that's like even for if he's outfield eligible. 319 00:14:48,880 --> 00:14:53,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, And I wonder and in that league, well, there's 320 00:14:53,280 --> 00:14:54,520 Speaker 3: a league we're going to talk about a little bit 321 00:14:54,600 --> 00:14:57,320 Speaker 3: later where for me where you know, I talk about, 322 00:14:57,880 --> 00:14:59,640 Speaker 3: you know, a deficit of power on some of my 323 00:14:59,680 --> 00:15:02,440 Speaker 3: teams in fantasy leagues this year. And the one league 324 00:15:02,480 --> 00:15:05,240 Speaker 3: I'm in, the fantasy manager who has marcel A Zuna 325 00:15:05,320 --> 00:15:09,960 Speaker 3: is running away with power, and he has Azuna, Ketel 326 00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:12,680 Speaker 3: Marte and C. J. Abrams and basically those three have 327 00:15:12,800 --> 00:15:15,240 Speaker 3: just carried him in the power department. And I wonder 328 00:15:15,400 --> 00:15:18,520 Speaker 3: if Ozuna, you know, you wonder why he kind of 329 00:15:18,520 --> 00:15:21,400 Speaker 3: fell to like that one twenty one thirty range. Obviously, 330 00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:24,320 Speaker 3: he hit forty home runs last year, but before that 331 00:15:24,480 --> 00:15:27,000 Speaker 3: twenty three home runs and one hundred and twenty four games, 332 00:15:27,080 --> 00:15:29,720 Speaker 3: seven home runs in forty eight games. Before that was 333 00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:32,960 Speaker 3: the twenty twenty shortened season eighteen home runs sixty games, 334 00:15:34,000 --> 00:15:36,880 Speaker 3: twenty nine, one hundred and thirty twenty three, one forty eight, 335 00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:42,080 Speaker 3: and back in twenty seventeen, the Juice Paul Era was 336 00:15:42,080 --> 00:15:44,160 Speaker 3: the last time he even hit more than hit thirty 337 00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:46,760 Speaker 3: or more, and there were also some some kind of 338 00:15:46,760 --> 00:15:49,840 Speaker 3: like playing time concerns. Last year with the Braves, he 339 00:15:50,000 --> 00:15:53,920 Speaker 3: was kind of relegated to DH. Maybe that was baked 340 00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:56,840 Speaker 3: into some of the concern, you know, is he gonna 341 00:15:57,440 --> 00:15:59,760 Speaker 3: come back, stay healthy, play every day because you look 342 00:15:59,760 --> 00:16:02,400 Speaker 3: at the those those numbers I talked about, but none 343 00:16:02,400 --> 00:16:04,080 Speaker 3: of them were one fifty or one sixty. They were 344 00:16:04,080 --> 00:16:07,920 Speaker 3: all one forty one, twenty four, forty eight, one thirty. 345 00:16:08,320 --> 00:16:09,920 Speaker 3: Not a full season a lot of those numbers. So 346 00:16:09,920 --> 00:16:12,480 Speaker 3: I'm sure there was some injury concern there. And then 347 00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:15,240 Speaker 3: you know, he's thirty three. He just had a breakout year, 348 00:16:16,080 --> 00:16:17,960 Speaker 3: not a breakout year, but like you know, a mom 349 00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:20,680 Speaker 3: monster like career year at age thirty two. I guess 350 00:16:20,720 --> 00:16:22,680 Speaker 3: a lot of people wondered, is he going to do 351 00:16:22,680 --> 00:16:24,080 Speaker 3: it again? And am I willing to pay for that 352 00:16:24,160 --> 00:16:28,040 Speaker 3: price in come draft season? And so far, if you did, 353 00:16:28,160 --> 00:16:29,640 Speaker 3: you are still looking pretty good. 354 00:16:30,720 --> 00:16:34,040 Speaker 2: Strikeout rate is down from last year, ironically, the launch 355 00:16:34,040 --> 00:16:37,960 Speaker 2: angles down even though he's hitting home runs still. But yeah, 356 00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:41,360 Speaker 2: it's it's it's been a really impressive start, you know, 357 00:16:41,640 --> 00:16:45,160 Speaker 2: just looking at the bat of ball data in I 358 00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:47,360 Speaker 2: believe it's Yahoo where he's outfield eligible. 359 00:16:47,400 --> 00:16:49,160 Speaker 1: And then the others. He's DH only. 360 00:16:49,640 --> 00:16:51,920 Speaker 2: So if you're in a Yahoo league and you can 361 00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:55,280 Speaker 2: start him at outfield, how how highly should we be 362 00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:58,960 Speaker 2: ranking him given that he was really good last year 363 00:16:59,040 --> 00:17:02,560 Speaker 2: and appears to maybe even be even better this year 364 00:17:02,560 --> 00:17:03,280 Speaker 2: at least so far. 365 00:17:04,320 --> 00:17:06,480 Speaker 3: Well, I don't want to get ahead of our conversation 366 00:17:06,560 --> 00:17:09,439 Speaker 3: again later, but considering there might be a deficit of 367 00:17:09,520 --> 00:17:14,320 Speaker 3: power in leagues, I mean that power is really viable. 368 00:17:14,520 --> 00:17:18,080 Speaker 3: So I don't know the exact answer where we want 369 00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:20,960 Speaker 3: to rank him. I wonder where I have him my overall. Look, 370 00:17:21,080 --> 00:17:23,400 Speaker 3: I'll look right now and see where I have Azuna 371 00:17:23,440 --> 00:17:26,959 Speaker 3: because I probably need to move him up. So I 372 00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:31,399 Speaker 3: have him still not far from his draft ADP. I 373 00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:35,280 Speaker 3: have him right around one twenty, and he probably needs 374 00:17:35,280 --> 00:17:37,439 Speaker 3: to be a top one hundred, maybe even higher than that. 375 00:17:37,680 --> 00:17:39,480 Speaker 2: I was going to say, I like, like, what's the 376 00:17:39,520 --> 00:17:43,600 Speaker 2: case unless unless the position eligibility is really that big 377 00:17:43,640 --> 00:17:46,400 Speaker 2: of an issue for your your roster, what's the case 378 00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:48,800 Speaker 2: for him outside of the top one hundred given last 379 00:17:48,880 --> 00:17:51,200 Speaker 2: year and the start of this year, Uh. 380 00:17:51,119 --> 00:17:53,119 Speaker 3: There probably isn't one. I probably need to move him up. 381 00:17:53,160 --> 00:17:56,160 Speaker 3: And you know there's injury concern, but everyone has insured 382 00:17:56,160 --> 00:18:00,119 Speaker 3: concerned to a certain extent. So given the start and 383 00:18:00,200 --> 00:18:04,680 Speaker 3: you know, the power and his place in that lineup, yeah, 384 00:18:04,800 --> 00:18:06,920 Speaker 3: I think I need to move him up. And there 385 00:18:07,000 --> 00:18:09,600 Speaker 3: is probably some just in terms of like the process 386 00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:13,560 Speaker 3: of updating my rankings, there probably is some you know, 387 00:18:13,680 --> 00:18:17,880 Speaker 3: positional elendibility things I have to you know, work around. 388 00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:22,080 Speaker 3: But yeah, so even in like the outfield, I have 389 00:18:22,160 --> 00:18:24,600 Speaker 3: him at like twenty nine and even and he's behind 390 00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:26,320 Speaker 3: someone like Wyat Langford, who I think he needs to 391 00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:28,760 Speaker 3: be above, even though there was a lot of preseason 392 00:18:28,840 --> 00:18:31,040 Speaker 3: buzz for whyitet, Langford has not gotten off to a 393 00:18:31,080 --> 00:18:33,080 Speaker 3: hot start, and I don't think you can just assume 394 00:18:33,080 --> 00:18:34,639 Speaker 3: he's going to be better than Mark Marcelison. 395 00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:38,560 Speaker 2: If I had asked you this before looking at his 396 00:18:39,040 --> 00:18:42,720 Speaker 2: you know, stats page in prepping for this, how many 397 00:18:42,760 --> 00:18:44,040 Speaker 2: years would you have guessed. 398 00:18:43,760 --> 00:18:46,200 Speaker 1: That Azuna has been in Major League Baseball? 399 00:18:46,560 --> 00:18:49,600 Speaker 3: Twenty five? No, I would have guessed like at least ten. 400 00:18:50,160 --> 00:18:51,399 Speaker 3: He feel like he's been around forever. 401 00:18:51,520 --> 00:18:55,360 Speaker 2: I was gonna say, like, it's hard, like it's twelve seasons, 402 00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:57,440 Speaker 2: is the answer. He made his debut in twenty thirteen. 403 00:18:58,480 --> 00:18:59,639 Speaker 2: What really stood out to me is that I was 404 00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:01,960 Speaker 2: just looking back, and I'm like, when was that really 405 00:19:01,960 --> 00:19:05,400 Speaker 2: good year with the Marlins. It was that was twenty seventeen. 406 00:19:05,560 --> 00:19:10,680 Speaker 2: That was seven years, twenty seven years ago years that year, 407 00:19:10,680 --> 00:19:12,680 Speaker 2: we're at thirty seven homers, one hundred and twenty four 408 00:19:12,720 --> 00:19:14,920 Speaker 2: RBI three twelve average. He was a monster that year 409 00:19:14,920 --> 00:19:17,800 Speaker 2: and it's just been a while since then. But yeah, 410 00:19:17,840 --> 00:19:19,520 Speaker 2: looking really really good this year, so I wanted to 411 00:19:19,520 --> 00:19:20,800 Speaker 2: at least give him a mention. 412 00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:21,679 Speaker 1: Let's move on. 413 00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:24,480 Speaker 3: Last week's time team is also I kind of briefly 414 00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:26,320 Speaker 3: mentioned when I was talking. I think that was kind 415 00:19:26,320 --> 00:19:29,040 Speaker 3: of the one of the very first kind of juice 416 00:19:29,080 --> 00:19:32,960 Speaker 3: ball eras with the new bounty balls. 417 00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:36,600 Speaker 1: Let's go to our next topic here. 418 00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:39,480 Speaker 2: Last week we talked about kind of some of the 419 00:19:39,520 --> 00:19:43,359 Speaker 2: best hitters in baseball who were struggling early on some 420 00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:45,439 Speaker 2: of those you know, I even picked it up in 421 00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:47,640 Speaker 2: the last week. Gunner Henderson comes to mind. He's been 422 00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:50,440 Speaker 2: absolutely obliterating the ball. 423 00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:51,680 Speaker 1: In the last week. 424 00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:53,520 Speaker 2: So he was somebody that we highlighted that we're not 425 00:19:53,560 --> 00:19:57,080 Speaker 2: really concerned about. This week, we're going to talk about 426 00:19:57,080 --> 00:19:59,520 Speaker 2: the pictures are kind of picture concerned levels for five 427 00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:03,520 Speaker 2: guys who I've had varying degrees of you know, not failure, 428 00:20:03,560 --> 00:20:06,120 Speaker 2: but not exactly succeeding so far to start the year. 429 00:20:06,800 --> 00:20:10,040 Speaker 2: Let's start with Kevin Gossman. He's owing to eight sixteen 430 00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:13,919 Speaker 2: ere He's gone just fourteen and a third innings in 431 00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:18,120 Speaker 2: his four starts, sixteen strikeouts, one seven four whip. Obviously 432 00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:21,000 Speaker 2: somebody who has had some like injury question marks in 433 00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:26,120 Speaker 2: the spring. He is thirty three years old at this point, 434 00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:29,120 Speaker 2: has really really struggled so far this year. Again, it's 435 00:20:29,160 --> 00:20:31,560 Speaker 2: only four starts, but given the injury stuff early on, 436 00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:34,720 Speaker 2: and he's getting a little older, what would you put 437 00:20:34,760 --> 00:20:36,679 Speaker 2: your concerning level at maybe on a scale of one 438 00:20:36,680 --> 00:20:37,240 Speaker 2: to ten. 439 00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:39,720 Speaker 3: It's got to be at least five, and then I 440 00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:41,600 Speaker 3: got to work between five and ten to figure out 441 00:20:41,600 --> 00:20:43,639 Speaker 3: where it is from there. So I think you probably 442 00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:46,199 Speaker 3: started the season out of five or six, and he 443 00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:48,040 Speaker 3: hasn't done anything to make you feel better. So that 444 00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:51,920 Speaker 3: means we're probably pushing closer to a seven just looking 445 00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:53,840 Speaker 3: at his numbers. The one good thing is, if I 446 00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:56,240 Speaker 3: remember correctly, I was looking at his stats last night 447 00:20:56,600 --> 00:20:58,560 Speaker 3: at his most recent start. The one thing is that 448 00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:01,560 Speaker 3: his velocity has been kind of down to start the season. 449 00:21:01,600 --> 00:21:04,920 Speaker 3: It was back up higher in his most recent start, 450 00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:06,159 Speaker 3: which is a good sign. You want to see that 451 00:21:06,320 --> 00:21:12,960 Speaker 3: back up his You know, He's another fun one which 452 00:21:12,960 --> 00:21:15,640 Speaker 3: we we you look at like the actual numbers versus 453 00:21:15,720 --> 00:21:18,240 Speaker 3: the expected numbers, and sometimes because of the small sample 454 00:21:18,280 --> 00:21:20,080 Speaker 3: size this early in the season, they're just all over 455 00:21:20,119 --> 00:21:21,480 Speaker 3: the place. And that's one of my favorite things. I 456 00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:23,359 Speaker 3: look at this. So as Era is eight point one six, 457 00:21:24,240 --> 00:21:26,680 Speaker 3: his FIP is a four point nine to four. Still 458 00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:29,480 Speaker 3: not great, but you know not eight x FIP is 459 00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:33,480 Speaker 3: four exactly four. Sierra is three point a five. Okay, 460 00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:36,440 Speaker 3: we're getting better. And then oops, x cra is back 461 00:21:36,520 --> 00:21:37,920 Speaker 3: up to seven point seventy nine. 462 00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:40,640 Speaker 1: So I was just looking at that. 463 00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:45,800 Speaker 3: Oh my god, so a real roller coaster swing. Strike 464 00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:50,919 Speaker 3: numbers are okay. The concern is this, you know, we 465 00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:54,920 Speaker 3: already came into the season with concerns about the shoulder. 466 00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:58,359 Speaker 3: He hasn't done anything other than recently the velocity ticking 467 00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:02,320 Speaker 3: back up to kind of alleviate that. The odd thing is, 468 00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:07,120 Speaker 3: despite the early velocity being down, he's throwing his fastball more. 469 00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:09,720 Speaker 3: He still throws his slider a ton, but he's throwing 470 00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:15,040 Speaker 3: his fastball more. And yeah, there are concerns. I still 471 00:22:15,080 --> 00:22:17,040 Speaker 3: feel like maybe he's gonna be Okay. I don't have 472 00:22:17,080 --> 00:22:19,679 Speaker 3: a lot to like base that on. 473 00:22:19,040 --> 00:22:21,080 Speaker 1: His last start was his best start. 474 00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:24,120 Speaker 2: It was against the Yankees, and you know, five innings, 475 00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:29,680 Speaker 2: four hits, one earned run, three walks, six strikeouts, So again, 476 00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:34,480 Speaker 2: not like a cy Young level start, but possibly. 477 00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:34,800 Speaker 1: Moving in the right to action. 478 00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:36,560 Speaker 2: I mean the two starts before that were the two 479 00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:38,440 Speaker 2: ones that are dragging everything down. 480 00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:42,320 Speaker 3: So yeah, and against the good lineup, you know, and 481 00:22:42,359 --> 00:22:44,280 Speaker 3: his second time facing the Yankees, and this time not 482 00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:46,080 Speaker 3: in the little league ballpark that they play in. 483 00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:50,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, gosmen facing the Blue Jays just really incredible, right. 484 00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:51,879 Speaker 3: Yeah, four times already. 485 00:22:51,840 --> 00:22:56,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I'm kind of with you. 486 00:22:56,960 --> 00:22:57,800 Speaker 1: I am concerned. 487 00:22:57,840 --> 00:23:00,280 Speaker 2: It's not a ten out of ten, like you know, 488 00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:04,959 Speaker 2: ejected Jack Dejack like terrible situation, but like I am concerned, 489 00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:08,640 Speaker 2: And he's probably not somebody unless I'm getting him absolutely 490 00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:10,600 Speaker 2: for free that i'd be like trying to buy low 491 00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:13,520 Speaker 2: in a trade on or anything. I'd probably be staying 492 00:23:13,560 --> 00:23:17,159 Speaker 2: away and I wouldn't be selling for peanuts if I 493 00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:19,800 Speaker 2: had him, just because I probably invested a lot in him. 494 00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:25,000 Speaker 2: But if I got a reasonably decent piece back I'd 495 00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:28,160 Speaker 2: probably be willing to move him that I would say 496 00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:31,720 Speaker 2: my concern level reaches that point is that the yeah. 497 00:23:31,840 --> 00:23:34,359 Speaker 3: And one last thing, one last thing on him just 498 00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:36,280 Speaker 3: kind of like scrolling through it. I remember I saw 499 00:23:36,280 --> 00:23:37,600 Speaker 3: this last night while I was prepping, and I forgot 500 00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:39,880 Speaker 3: to write down the other because I wanted to see 501 00:23:39,960 --> 00:23:42,399 Speaker 3: kind of how the numbers landed once once the new 502 00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:46,400 Speaker 3: star was in there. The one other concerning thing about 503 00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:49,160 Speaker 3: him is that he's kind of a three pitch pitcher. 504 00:23:49,200 --> 00:23:52,639 Speaker 3: He's a fast bus slider split guy. And if you 505 00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:57,480 Speaker 3: look at his slider movement numbers, it's down, like significantly down. 506 00:23:58,080 --> 00:24:01,360 Speaker 3: And when you really lonely lean like two slash three 507 00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:04,560 Speaker 3: pitches and one of those pitches is not what it's 508 00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:08,280 Speaker 3: usually doing, not doing what it is usually supposed to, 509 00:24:08,320 --> 00:24:11,679 Speaker 3: you know what you're accustomed to it doing. That is 510 00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:12,040 Speaker 3: not good. 511 00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:14,240 Speaker 1: That's good point. 512 00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:17,160 Speaker 3: Horizontal and vertical movement both significantly down. 513 00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:22,119 Speaker 2: Let's go to Luis Castillo. He is oh and four 514 00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:24,119 Speaker 2: this season. You know when lost record is what it is, 515 00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:27,119 Speaker 2: but oh and four five eight two e ra twenty 516 00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:30,560 Speaker 2: one and two thirds innings, twenty seven strikeouts, one six' six. 517 00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:36,600 Speaker 2: Whip he is one of multiple mariners on this list 518 00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:41,840 Speaker 2: of pictures that have been underwhelming to varying, degrees. 519 00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:42,520 Speaker 1: What's your cornstling level on? 520 00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:45,919 Speaker 3: Him so he is actually Someone i'm buying right. Now 521 00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:48,800 Speaker 3: AND i actually wrote him up in this week's version 522 00:24:48,960 --> 00:24:51,720 Speaker 3: of THE I guess on the. Site we're calling it 523 00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:54,040 Speaker 3: Ten players To Trade now On Fantasy, pros but it's 524 00:24:54,080 --> 00:24:56,720 Speaker 3: really a Bi les Cell high, column AND i actually 525 00:24:56,800 --> 00:25:00,760 Speaker 3: wrote Up Luis castillo as my bio low AND i 526 00:25:00,760 --> 00:25:02,240 Speaker 3: wrote way too, much So i'm not going to read 527 00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:03,400 Speaker 3: all of, it but you can go on the site 528 00:25:03,440 --> 00:25:06,199 Speaker 3: and you'll see it pinned on Our baseball. Page BUT 529 00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:09,680 Speaker 3: i basically, said if you're panicking and Selling Louis, Castillo 530 00:25:10,280 --> 00:25:13,440 Speaker 3: i'm your. Guy i'm. Buying and there's a number of 531 00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:15,280 Speaker 3: reasons for. It one is that we've seen him do this. 532 00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:18,720 Speaker 3: Before you, Know i've come close to rage Dropping Louis 533 00:25:18,720 --> 00:25:20,440 Speaker 3: castillo early in the season in the, past SO i 534 00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:25,280 Speaker 3: know this feeling all too. Well his expected numbers are 535 00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:27,200 Speaker 3: not all over the. Place his ACTUAL era is five 536 00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:29,560 Speaker 3: point eight, two but all of his expected numbers are 537 00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:32,040 Speaker 3: between three and three point, six and one of, them 538 00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:35,280 Speaker 3: his EX fib was actually two point eight three swinging 539 00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:37,120 Speaker 3: strike numbers are. Down you don't want to see, That 540 00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:41,320 Speaker 3: BUT i don't have a ton of. CONCERN i just 541 00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:43,479 Speaker 3: feel and like he has a really high babbup. Too 542 00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:47,000 Speaker 3: his his babbub is four four. Six so if basically 543 00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:48,800 Speaker 3: half of the balls you're allowing to go and play 544 00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:50,760 Speaker 3: are going for, hits of course you're gonna have some bad. 545 00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:53,040 Speaker 3: Luck and so BECAUSE i think a lot of these 546 00:25:53,040 --> 00:25:55,480 Speaker 3: expected numbers are pointed him being, better and we've also 547 00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:57,800 Speaker 3: seen him do this multiple times in the, Past like 548 00:25:57,840 --> 00:26:02,280 Speaker 3: this is not a relatively new pitcher to the landscape 549 00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:04,119 Speaker 3: who we don't have a long track. Record we have 550 00:26:04,119 --> 00:26:06,520 Speaker 3: a really long track record of him being very. Good 551 00:26:07,080 --> 00:26:09,280 Speaker 3: and we also have seen this multiple times where he's 552 00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:10,679 Speaker 3: kind of got off to a rough start or hit 553 00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:12,840 Speaker 3: a rough patch and then he's turned it around because 554 00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:16,360 Speaker 3: he's very, good and so he's someone that you could 555 00:26:16,400 --> 00:26:18,080 Speaker 3: just leave in your. Lineup you're gonna take your lumps 556 00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:19,600 Speaker 3: every now and, then but like when the dust, settles 557 00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:22,240 Speaker 3: you're probably gonna two hundred strikeouts and a good ra 558 00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:26,000 Speaker 3: and double digit, wins you, know despite starting zero to. 559 00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:30,560 Speaker 3: Four So i'm not panicking About Luis. Castillo my panic 560 00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:33,000 Speaker 3: level is not, zero but it's not anywhere near what 561 00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:35,560 Speaker 3: it is For Kevin. Gosman And i'm much more in 562 00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:38,480 Speaker 3: the by camp THAN i am for A. 563 00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:41,439 Speaker 2: Gossman, yeah it's boring to disagree with, you But i'm 564 00:26:41,520 --> 00:26:42,800 Speaker 2: in total agreement. 565 00:26:42,840 --> 00:26:44,360 Speaker 1: Here, Like i'm. 566 00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:47,960 Speaker 2: So much more confident in him than like A gossman TYPE, 567 00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:51,840 Speaker 2: i especially given the state of. Pitching Like castillo is 568 00:26:51,840 --> 00:26:53,680 Speaker 2: a guy that IF i can get any kind of discount, 569 00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:57,400 Speaker 2: On i'm thrilled to do. So one thing that stuck 570 00:26:57,440 --> 00:26:59,879 Speaker 2: out to me you're looking at some of the pitch tracking, 571 00:27:00,000 --> 00:27:03,440 Speaker 2: stuff is he's getting a much more of a percentage 572 00:27:03,720 --> 00:27:07,040 Speaker 2: of strikeouts on his slider this. Season again it's only four, 573 00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:09,960 Speaker 2: starts but you know he's throwing His his pitch mix 574 00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:13,040 Speaker 2: is roughly the same as it was last. Year but 575 00:27:13,160 --> 00:27:15,199 Speaker 2: last year he had twice as many strikeouts on the 576 00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:16,480 Speaker 2: four seamer as he did on the. 577 00:27:16,520 --> 00:27:18,280 Speaker 1: Slider this year they're almost. 578 00:27:18,359 --> 00:27:21,879 Speaker 2: Identically it's just it's twelve and eleven last year is 579 00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:25,159 Speaker 2: one oh five and fifty. One so and again the 580 00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:27,919 Speaker 2: percentage usage for those two pitches is the. Same SO 581 00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:30,159 Speaker 2: i find that to be somewhat interesting that you know 582 00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:32,080 Speaker 2: he's using that more as an outpitch or at least 583 00:27:32,119 --> 00:27:35,080 Speaker 2: more successfully get getting you, know punch outs with that. 584 00:27:35,119 --> 00:27:36,760 Speaker 1: One i'll be curious to see if that. 585 00:27:37,280 --> 00:27:40,560 Speaker 2: Continues the batting average allowed on the sliders one forty 586 00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:43,280 Speaker 2: three last year is two thirty. Four the batting average 587 00:27:43,320 --> 00:27:45,840 Speaker 2: out on the four seamers slipped last year it was 588 00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:47,840 Speaker 2: one sixty. Five this year it's two eighty. Nine So 589 00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:52,359 Speaker 2: i'll be curious to see kind of what kind of 590 00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:54,879 Speaker 2: have thatch pitch usage plays out through the rest of the. 591 00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:56,880 Speaker 2: Season if we see those numbers, continue if he does 592 00:27:57,000 --> 00:27:59,400 Speaker 2: up the slider usage a bit or kind of continues 593 00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:01,440 Speaker 2: to save it as you, know put away, Pitch i'll 594 00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:02,320 Speaker 2: be curious to see. 595 00:28:02,760 --> 00:28:03,439 Speaker 1: See what happens. 596 00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:07,080 Speaker 2: There let's go To George, kirby obviously his teammates In 597 00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:11,720 Speaker 2: seattle six six FOUR. Era he's two and two twenty 598 00:28:11,800 --> 00:28:15,120 Speaker 2: and a third innings, pitched, nineteen strikeouts one three three 599 00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:18,600 Speaker 2: with the walk rate is, low as it is always With. 600 00:28:18,760 --> 00:28:20,440 Speaker 1: Kirby that's you know what he does. 601 00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:23,640 Speaker 2: Best strike rate a little or strikeout rate a little 602 00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:26,000 Speaker 2: down compared to last, year but, roughly you, know along 603 00:28:26,040 --> 00:28:27,800 Speaker 2: the same, lines you, know LIKE i, said the era 604 00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:30,240 Speaker 2: six six, four the expected era is three four to, 605 00:28:30,280 --> 00:28:32,280 Speaker 2: two which is much more in line with what the 606 00:28:32,320 --> 00:28:33,880 Speaker 2: expected ra has been the last two. 607 00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:35,960 Speaker 1: Seasons what's your concern level On? 608 00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:42,240 Speaker 3: Kirby, So i'm it's hard to answer because AND i 609 00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:43,680 Speaker 3: KNOW i have to. Answer you, know that's kind of 610 00:28:43,720 --> 00:28:44,840 Speaker 3: the point. HERE i have to answer the. 611 00:28:44,920 --> 00:28:47,600 Speaker 2: Question i'll let everybody. Know you're the one who included 612 00:28:47,680 --> 00:28:48,680 Speaker 2: him in this segment. 613 00:28:48,520 --> 00:28:53,320 Speaker 3: Too that's, Right AND i you, KNOW i picked kind 614 00:28:53,360 --> 00:28:56,280 Speaker 3: of pitchers with really bad actual numbers and then varying 615 00:28:56,360 --> 00:28:59,960 Speaker 3: kind of expected numbers for that. Reason we've talked before 616 00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:01,800 Speaker 3: about what the problem. Is he just pounds his own 617 00:29:02,280 --> 00:29:05,040 Speaker 3: and like you, said walks have not been. Issued he's 618 00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:06,640 Speaker 3: only walk two batters in Twenty INA's that's not the. 619 00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:08,520 Speaker 3: Problem he has almost the opposite, problem where he hits 620 00:29:08,520 --> 00:29:11,640 Speaker 3: the zone too much and he needs to start missing some. 621 00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:13,880 Speaker 3: Bats and, actually you, know if you if you get 622 00:29:14,560 --> 00:29:16,680 Speaker 3: batters to ze, two one and, two don't throw them, 623 00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:18,840 Speaker 3: strike throw them. Something they have to, swing swing out 624 00:29:18,840 --> 00:29:20,680 Speaker 3: of the side of the. Zone At in his most recent, 625 00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:24,840 Speaker 3: start it wasn't a huge, uptick but he was doing, 626 00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:29,000 Speaker 3: that you, know noticeably more with better. Results so you 627 00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:32,200 Speaker 3: do want to see that that kind of. IMPROVEMENT i 628 00:29:32,360 --> 00:29:34,920 Speaker 3: was at the highest On kirby coming into the season 629 00:29:35,080 --> 00:29:36,959 Speaker 3: just BECAUSE i felt like he was going way too 630 00:29:37,040 --> 00:29:39,640 Speaker 3: high in draft for what he. IS i and what 631 00:29:39,760 --> 00:29:42,760 Speaker 3: he is is very. Good i'm not saying. THAT i 632 00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:46,160 Speaker 3: just think when you look at the numbers and the 633 00:29:46,320 --> 00:29:49,440 Speaker 3: value and in terms of, fantasy sometimes you get confused 634 00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:53,680 Speaker 3: between like real life value and the fantasy. Value and 635 00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:57,280 Speaker 3: he's SOMEONE i feel like is a lot more valuable 636 00:29:57,320 --> 00:29:59,040 Speaker 3: in real. Life not to say he's not valuable in. 637 00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:01,760 Speaker 3: FANTASY i just think he's overvalued in fantasy to an. 638 00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:04,440 Speaker 3: Extent and we, were you, know we were kind of 639 00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:09,280 Speaker 3: pricing him in draft season as last year was a step, 640 00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:12,280 Speaker 3: in you, know for him to, take you, know in 641 00:30:12,400 --> 00:30:14,840 Speaker 3: his assent as opposed to what is probably his, ceiling 642 00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:17,800 Speaker 3: which is what would be my. Guess and SO i 643 00:30:17,840 --> 00:30:19,640 Speaker 3: think you're going to see these numbers level. Out BUT 644 00:30:19,680 --> 00:30:21,320 Speaker 3: i also think you're going to see those occasonal blow 645 00:30:21,360 --> 00:30:22,840 Speaker 3: ve starts where he just hits the own too. 646 00:30:22,960 --> 00:30:28,600 Speaker 2: Much when you Describe George, kirby the PICTURE i imagine 647 00:30:28,600 --> 00:30:32,400 Speaker 2: in my mind is somebody who's like very consistently giving 648 00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:35,760 Speaker 2: you like good, numbers like a good fantasy point outing 649 00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:39,880 Speaker 2: without a lot of highs and. Lows it actually is 650 00:30:39,920 --> 00:30:42,280 Speaker 2: a lot of highs and lows in terms of how 651 00:30:42,320 --> 00:30:44,920 Speaker 2: it actually plays. Out it's LIKE i roster him in 652 00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:50,040 Speaker 2: a head dead points, league and it's a lot of 653 00:30:50,240 --> 00:30:53,200 Speaker 2: like he either goes gets you over twenty points or 654 00:30:53,280 --> 00:30:55,800 Speaker 2: he gets you like. Negatives there's not a lot of 655 00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:59,080 Speaker 2: like just eleven twelve point, outings and that's what his 656 00:30:59,160 --> 00:31:02,200 Speaker 2: average ends. Up it's lower right now because it's the slow, 657 00:31:02,240 --> 00:31:06,600 Speaker 2: start but it's not as consistent as you might imagine 658 00:31:06,760 --> 00:31:10,800 Speaker 2: for a guy with his. PROFILE i mean even this 659 00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:14,040 Speaker 2: season he said one great, start one good start that 660 00:31:14,200 --> 00:31:17,000 Speaker 2: a couple of fluke you, know you, know softly hip 661 00:31:17,040 --> 00:31:19,400 Speaker 2: balls that just happened to find holes could have become 662 00:31:19,440 --> 00:31:21,840 Speaker 2: a great, start and two terrible. STARTS i, mean it's 663 00:31:22,280 --> 00:31:26,400 Speaker 2: it is continuing kind of the roller, coaster which is 664 00:31:26,560 --> 00:31:28,640 Speaker 2: NOT i don't think of a guy who is really 665 00:31:28,920 --> 00:31:33,120 Speaker 2: accurate and has decent, stuff you, know a youngest sending, 666 00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:34,720 Speaker 2: player as being that much of a roller, coaster but 667 00:31:34,760 --> 00:31:35,040 Speaker 2: he really. 668 00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:38,240 Speaker 3: Is, yeah and EVEN i was just scrolling through his 669 00:31:38,400 --> 00:31:40,080 Speaker 3: kind of game loge from last year as you were, 670 00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:42,160 Speaker 3: talking and even you, know thirty one Starts in eight 671 00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:44,080 Speaker 3: of those starts he allowed four more. Runs so that's 672 00:31:44,120 --> 00:31:46,239 Speaker 3: a third of his. Starts you, know he allowed four 673 00:31:46,320 --> 00:31:47,600 Speaker 3: more runs and a few of those were like, five 674 00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:48,200 Speaker 3: six or seven. 675 00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:53,200 Speaker 2: Runs, yeah, yeah really really interesting. GUY i am STILL 676 00:31:53,720 --> 00:31:56,120 Speaker 2: i have some faith in him moving. FORWARD i think 677 00:31:56,160 --> 00:32:00,600 Speaker 2: you're probably right to highlight that maybe last year wasn't 678 00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:03,920 Speaker 2: a step towards something. Bigger, again it's only four, starts 679 00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:07,080 Speaker 2: But i'll be really curious to kind of follow along 680 00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:10,720 Speaker 2: and see see kind of how it plays out going. 681 00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:14,640 Speaker 2: Forward we TALKED i think it was last week's show 682 00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:18,880 Speaker 2: about our sites rest of season rankings for, pitchers like 683 00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:21,040 Speaker 2: who are the aces that are left in? Baseball AND 684 00:32:21,040 --> 00:32:23,160 Speaker 2: i think at the Time kirby was LIKE sp seven 685 00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:25,800 Speaker 2: rest of season and it's that was even after like 686 00:32:26,080 --> 00:32:30,760 Speaker 2: prior to his good start most, recently and it's just 687 00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:33,280 Speaker 2: like who are you gonna pick? There so, again this 688 00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:35,080 Speaker 2: he's somebody That i'd be happy to have in my 689 00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:39,800 Speaker 2: roster again just given the state of, pitching BUT i 690 00:32:39,840 --> 00:32:41,520 Speaker 2: think it's fair to have some degree of concern, there 691 00:32:41,560 --> 00:32:43,520 Speaker 2: at least as far as like what the ceiling might look. 692 00:32:43,640 --> 00:32:48,640 Speaker 2: Like the next picture pitcher Is Jesus lozardo oh in 693 00:32:48,680 --> 00:32:51,400 Speaker 2: two seven six five e R, a twenty innings, pitch 694 00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:53,960 Speaker 2: twenty one, strikeouts one fifty five. 695 00:32:54,480 --> 00:32:56,280 Speaker 1: Whip he's made four starts this. 696 00:32:56,480 --> 00:33:03,840 Speaker 2: Season, man just a talented guy THAT i have been 697 00:33:03,960 --> 00:33:07,480 Speaker 2: interested in like almost every year at least to some. 698 00:33:07,680 --> 00:33:11,520 Speaker 2: Degree and you, know obviously like was good like last 699 00:33:11,560 --> 00:33:13,520 Speaker 2: year at two ordered strikeouts two hundred and eight to be, 700 00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:18,480 Speaker 2: exact made thirty two starts three five EIGHT. Era BUT 701 00:33:18,600 --> 00:33:21,280 Speaker 2: i do kind of feel like there's been another level 702 00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:24,640 Speaker 2: to his game that he's Just i'm surprised hasn't reached. 703 00:33:24,720 --> 00:33:31,240 Speaker 3: Yet, Yeah and going back to kind of the The 704 00:33:31,320 --> 00:33:35,080 Speaker 3: Marcel A zuna conversation we were just having of how 705 00:33:35,120 --> 00:33:37,200 Speaker 3: long he's been in the, year been in the. League 706 00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:39,840 Speaker 3: he's still only twenty six years. Old SOMEHOW i would 707 00:33:39,880 --> 00:33:41,480 Speaker 3: have guess he had been in the league for like eight. 708 00:33:41,600 --> 00:33:43,280 Speaker 3: Years AND i also can't believe he's been with The 709 00:33:43,280 --> 00:33:45,960 Speaker 3: marlins for three years, already BECAUSE i would have guessed 710 00:33:46,040 --> 00:33:48,360 Speaker 3: like he got traded from The a's like last year 711 00:33:48,560 --> 00:33:52,560 Speaker 3: or you, know and so last year was kind of 712 00:33:52,640 --> 00:33:54,880 Speaker 3: his breakout year that, like you, know you you were 713 00:33:55,000 --> 00:33:58,200 Speaker 3: finally seeing like this is this is the potential that everyone, 714 00:33:58,280 --> 00:34:00,560 Speaker 3: saw but there were still some morets along the. Way 715 00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:04,320 Speaker 3: he still walked fifty five, batters and you, know despite 716 00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:06,440 Speaker 3: striking out two, hundred you, know you would prefer to 717 00:34:06,480 --> 00:34:09,200 Speaker 3: see fewer walks than. That and that's just kind of 718 00:34:09,680 --> 00:34:11,480 Speaker 3: who he's, been you, know he has he's one of, 719 00:34:11,560 --> 00:34:16,480 Speaker 3: those like one of those fireball lefties who you, know 720 00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:20,279 Speaker 3: sometimes has trouble controlling his stuff because it is so, 721 00:34:20,440 --> 00:34:21,919 Speaker 3: good which is kind of the you, know the catch 722 00:34:21,960 --> 00:34:27,040 Speaker 3: twenty two of of you, know his. Arsenal but early 723 00:34:27,120 --> 00:34:30,320 Speaker 3: numbers not great seven point six FIVE era expected numbers 724 00:34:30,320 --> 00:34:32,279 Speaker 3: are all, lower but they're all still between you, know 725 00:34:32,400 --> 00:34:34,080 Speaker 3: right around like five or four and a. Half so 726 00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:37,440 Speaker 3: that's still not. Great The marlins are. Terrible they're going 727 00:34:37,520 --> 00:34:39,960 Speaker 3: to be one of the worst teams in baseball this. 728 00:34:40,080 --> 00:34:42,560 Speaker 1: YEAR i, MEAN i, mean is is he going to 729 00:34:42,600 --> 00:34:44,279 Speaker 1: get seven wins this? 730 00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:45,160 Speaker 2: Season like? 731 00:34:45,600 --> 00:34:46,400 Speaker 1: This this seems so? 732 00:34:46,560 --> 00:34:49,600 Speaker 3: BAD i, mean he got ten wins last year, Somehow 733 00:34:49,640 --> 00:34:51,560 Speaker 3: but The marlins were even were better last year than 734 00:34:51,600 --> 00:34:52,000 Speaker 3: they are this. 735 00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:54,640 Speaker 1: YEAR i. 736 00:34:54,680 --> 00:34:56,640 Speaker 2: THINK i think it's also AND i keep doing, this 737 00:34:56,760 --> 00:34:59,520 Speaker 2: but particularly with pitchers early in the, season the sample 738 00:34:59,560 --> 00:35:04,680 Speaker 2: size is four games he, said you, know two okay, 739 00:35:04,920 --> 00:35:07,160 Speaker 2: starts you, know two runs at five innings three runs 740 00:35:07,200 --> 00:35:09,320 Speaker 2: and five and the third he had eight strikeouts and 741 00:35:09,400 --> 00:35:11,400 Speaker 2: one of those five in the other you, know two 742 00:35:11,480 --> 00:35:15,000 Speaker 2: walks in each of, those so they're. Fine and last 743 00:35:15,040 --> 00:35:18,000 Speaker 2: two starts are really where the era his balloon came 744 00:35:18,040 --> 00:35:21,759 Speaker 2: against The yankees and The, braves so worth pointing that, 745 00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:23,440 Speaker 2: OUT i, think, Yeah and. 746 00:35:23,520 --> 00:35:26,520 Speaker 3: That's, fair and he's he's going to be. Someone you, 747 00:35:26,600 --> 00:35:29,080 Speaker 3: Know i'm not scrolling through his game life from last, 748 00:35:29,160 --> 00:35:30,359 Speaker 3: year BUT i would bet if you did the same 749 00:35:30,440 --> 00:35:32,000 Speaker 3: thing that you did With George, kirby you're gonna see 750 00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:34,279 Speaker 3: the same roller coaster of a really good starts and 751 00:35:34,320 --> 00:35:37,080 Speaker 3: then some not so good. Starts he has the. Stuff 752 00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:39,000 Speaker 3: he's still pretty. 753 00:35:38,800 --> 00:35:42,719 Speaker 2: Young but VERY i would, say have the guys we've 754 00:35:42,760 --> 00:35:45,880 Speaker 2: talked about so. Far my concern level on him is 755 00:35:46,280 --> 00:35:48,320 Speaker 2: higher than anybody except for Maybe. 756 00:35:48,400 --> 00:35:48,920 Speaker 1: Gossman. 757 00:35:50,160 --> 00:35:54,040 Speaker 3: YEAH i think that's. Fair, yeah despite how NEGATIVE i 758 00:35:54,120 --> 00:35:56,319 Speaker 3: sound On George, KIRBY i do still think he's very. 759 00:35:56,400 --> 00:36:00,439 Speaker 3: GOOD i just probably think he's less good than other people. 760 00:36:00,520 --> 00:36:04,920 Speaker 1: Think let's go to the last picture we wanted to 761 00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:05,719 Speaker 1: talk about. Here Joe. 762 00:36:05,800 --> 00:36:08,080 Speaker 2: Musgrove we talk a, Lot we have a lot of 763 00:36:08,120 --> 00:36:10,200 Speaker 2: fun looking at stack cast pages that are very very. 764 00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:16,960 Speaker 2: Red this is very very very blue is EXPECTED era second. 765 00:36:17,200 --> 00:36:20,680 Speaker 2: Percentile it's eight oh eight expected batting average three forty. 766 00:36:20,719 --> 00:36:24,359 Speaker 2: Eight that's first, percentile, which as a, reminder is quite. 767 00:36:24,400 --> 00:36:27,480 Speaker 2: Bad it is there's not a single red on. Here 768 00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:30,480 Speaker 2: it is like dark, deep like bottom of the ocean. 769 00:36:30,560 --> 00:36:34,480 Speaker 2: Blue he's two into six two NINE. Era it's gonna 770 00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:36,919 Speaker 2: be five stars this. Year twenty four and a third, 771 00:36:37,040 --> 00:36:43,640 Speaker 2: innings twenty, strikeouts one seven seven whip and really like 772 00:36:44,760 --> 00:36:47,520 Speaker 2: it's all been, Bad like There's i'm not sure maybe 773 00:36:47,600 --> 00:36:51,280 Speaker 2: you have one that in your prep you stumbled. ACROSS 774 00:36:51,440 --> 00:36:53,799 Speaker 2: i don't see any numbers that make me, say, oh 775 00:36:53,880 --> 00:36:56,640 Speaker 2: here's the one thing to point to that it's actually 776 00:36:56,719 --> 00:36:57,920 Speaker 2: been good or it could get. 777 00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:01,320 Speaker 1: Better it's been. FLUKE i, mean it's it's been pretty 778 00:37:01,320 --> 00:37:02,200 Speaker 1: abysmal across the. 779 00:37:02,280 --> 00:37:06,440 Speaker 3: Board, no quite the OPPOSITE i was looking. At i've 780 00:37:06,560 --> 00:37:09,120 Speaker 3: spent a lot of time on like the expected statistics 781 00:37:09,239 --> 00:37:12,960 Speaker 3: leaderboard on, stackcast just to play around see WHAT i can. 782 00:37:13,080 --> 00:37:17,040 Speaker 3: Find you, know someone really out out, overperforming, underperforming and 783 00:37:17,120 --> 00:37:20,360 Speaker 3: his his numbers were all just just. Terrible he's he 784 00:37:20,400 --> 00:37:25,400 Speaker 3: has despite his you, know he's pretty ROUGH ra his 785 00:37:25,560 --> 00:37:27,400 Speaker 3: EXPECTED ras even whereas he has one of the he 786 00:37:27,440 --> 00:37:31,680 Speaker 3: has a top ten worst expected ras in. Baseball even 787 00:37:31,960 --> 00:37:34,359 Speaker 3: you know you described his stackcast, page it's all a little. 788 00:37:34,440 --> 00:37:37,160 Speaker 3: Blue even his like fifth percentage in the, middle that's 789 00:37:37,320 --> 00:37:39,960 Speaker 3: sixty first. PERCENTILE i feel like that should be kind of, 790 00:37:40,040 --> 00:37:43,040 Speaker 3: red but it's so it's surrounded by so much blue 791 00:37:43,080 --> 00:37:44,680 Speaker 3: THAT i almost feel like they just faded. It they're, 792 00:37:44,760 --> 00:37:47,320 Speaker 3: like we don't really care that this should probably be. 793 00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:50,000 Speaker 2: Red it's like an optical illusion where you look at 794 00:37:50,040 --> 00:37:51,919 Speaker 2: a color and it like tricks you into thinking there's 795 00:37:51,960 --> 00:37:55,959 Speaker 2: other colors, Around like you're not allowed to have red 796 00:37:56,000 --> 00:37:56,799 Speaker 2: on his stackcast. 797 00:37:56,960 --> 00:37:59,440 Speaker 3: PAGE i almost feel like someone At baseball went in 798 00:37:59,560 --> 00:38:01,320 Speaker 3: and was, like let's fade this a little bit so 799 00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:03,640 Speaker 3: that no one really pays attention to this fifth percentage 800 00:38:03,680 --> 00:38:07,080 Speaker 3: because we'll look at all this. Blue, yeah, yeah there's 801 00:38:07,160 --> 00:38:11,480 Speaker 3: not a WHOLE i, mean, LIKE i want to be 802 00:38:11,840 --> 00:38:15,719 Speaker 3: optimistic BECAUSE i do Like Joe, musgrove But i've liked 803 00:38:15,800 --> 00:38:19,040 Speaker 3: him in the. Past, yeah last, season only ninety seven, 804 00:38:19,080 --> 00:38:22,680 Speaker 3: innings ninety seven, strikeers ninety seven. Innings you, know good, 805 00:38:22,840 --> 00:38:24,799 Speaker 3: era but you still you only got ninety seven innings 806 00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:27,919 Speaker 3: out of him the year before the two years before 807 00:38:27,960 --> 00:38:32,320 Speaker 3: that very. Good AND i don't really know what happened. 808 00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:34,360 Speaker 3: HERE i don't know what's going on or why it's so. 809 00:38:34,480 --> 00:38:38,160 Speaker 3: Bad BUT i, don't like you, SAID I i like 810 00:38:38,320 --> 00:38:41,360 Speaker 3: to look for reasons that it should get, better AND 811 00:38:41,480 --> 00:38:45,359 Speaker 3: i don't really see. Why the one big change he's, 812 00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:49,319 Speaker 3: made he's throwing his slider a ton, more and it's. 813 00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:51,440 Speaker 3: Not AND i was expecting to, see, like, oh like 814 00:38:51,600 --> 00:38:55,840 Speaker 3: his his slider has jumped from fourteen percent usage to 815 00:38:56,160 --> 00:38:58,520 Speaker 3: up over twenty three, percent so almost like an eight 816 00:38:58,680 --> 00:39:01,600 Speaker 3: to ten percent, Jump AND i was expecting to see 817 00:39:02,280 --> 00:39:05,000 Speaker 3: like really bad numbers when when looking at the, Results 818 00:39:05,480 --> 00:39:08,160 Speaker 3: but not the. Case his sliders made his best. Pitch 819 00:39:08,360 --> 00:39:10,400 Speaker 3: he's got a two hundred batting average and expect the 820 00:39:10,440 --> 00:39:13,320 Speaker 3: batting average a one ninety. Nine so that's maybe throw it, 821 00:39:13,440 --> 00:39:17,320 Speaker 3: more keep throwing more, sliders and stop throwing all of 822 00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:19,880 Speaker 3: your other pitches that are not doing as. Well because his, 823 00:39:19,960 --> 00:39:23,759 Speaker 3: slider his slider batting average is two. Hundred his other 824 00:39:23,840 --> 00:39:25,960 Speaker 3: pitch is curveball three, thirty and this is a batting 825 00:39:26,000 --> 00:39:29,600 Speaker 3: average his curveball three thirty, three, four seamer three eighty, 826 00:39:29,640 --> 00:39:33,560 Speaker 3: five cutter four, hundred change up three sixty four sinker five. 827 00:39:33,680 --> 00:39:36,600 Speaker 3: Hundred definitely stop throwing the. Sinker let's start by cutting 828 00:39:36,640 --> 00:39:40,160 Speaker 3: out the sinker it, is and maybe maybe get rid 829 00:39:40,200 --> 00:39:42,759 Speaker 3: of the cutter. Too just throw that slider more and 830 00:39:43,080 --> 00:39:43,759 Speaker 3: cut down on the other. 831 00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:49,120 Speaker 2: Ones the, cutter as stack cast, identifies it is actually 832 00:39:49,400 --> 00:39:52,880 Speaker 2: doubled its whiff, rate so maybe that's why he's throwing it, 833 00:39:53,000 --> 00:39:56,520 Speaker 2: more even though when when they're making contact it's going. 834 00:39:56,600 --> 00:39:59,680 Speaker 2: Well the whiff rate went from thirteen percent to twenty seven, 835 00:39:59,719 --> 00:40:04,200 Speaker 2: percent so that's something on the. CUTTER i, mean it 836 00:40:04,520 --> 00:40:06,720 Speaker 2: really kind of scrape in the bottom of the barrel 837 00:40:06,800 --> 00:40:09,000 Speaker 2: here With Joe. Musk so let me ask you this 838 00:40:09,360 --> 00:40:13,480 Speaker 2: make it? Actionable are you dropping him because he been this? Bad, 839 00:40:14,160 --> 00:40:17,799 Speaker 2: No if you're in a shallow, league like think about 840 00:40:17,840 --> 00:40:19,759 Speaker 2: our work, league it's very shall you only have three 841 00:40:19,800 --> 00:40:22,600 Speaker 2: bench spots and it's daily lineups league like, that are 842 00:40:22,640 --> 00:40:23,239 Speaker 2: you still holding on? 843 00:40:23,400 --> 00:40:27,000 Speaker 3: Him that's probably the threshold where we only have three bench? 844 00:40:27,040 --> 00:40:31,040 Speaker 3: Spots not at what do we have like five pitching 845 00:40:31,120 --> 00:40:33,680 Speaker 3: spots like we and two of them are leavers. 846 00:40:33,560 --> 00:40:36,840 Speaker 2: Or it's five starting pitching spots and two relief spots or, 847 00:40:36,880 --> 00:40:38,400 Speaker 2: no it's like three two and two or. 848 00:40:38,440 --> 00:40:40,399 Speaker 1: Something but you can start with five starting. 849 00:40:40,440 --> 00:40:44,120 Speaker 3: Pitchers, yeah, YEAH i mean that's probably where you get 850 00:40:44,160 --> 00:40:47,600 Speaker 3: to threshold Where i'm, close just because BUT i don't. 851 00:40:47,600 --> 00:40:49,800 Speaker 3: Know he still has he's he can still be so. 852 00:40:49,920 --> 00:40:52,560 Speaker 3: GOOD i feel LIKE i need to see one to 853 00:40:52,600 --> 00:40:54,560 Speaker 3: two more starts BEFORE i pull the trigger on dropping. 854 00:40:54,640 --> 00:40:56,120 Speaker 3: Him but if if we get one to two more 855 00:40:56,160 --> 00:40:59,239 Speaker 3: starts and he doesn't look at least like he's trending 856 00:40:59,280 --> 00:41:01,000 Speaker 3: in the right, direction AND i can start to see 857 00:41:01,040 --> 00:41:04,560 Speaker 3: something more actionable, here then then you probably have to to. 858 00:41:04,680 --> 00:41:08,719 Speaker 2: Drop i'm gonna go, first and THEN i want you to. 859 00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:11,440 Speaker 2: Go But i'm gonna rank these five guys in order 860 00:41:11,480 --> 00:41:14,440 Speaker 2: of most concerned the. Least musgrove is, one because he's 861 00:41:14,480 --> 00:41:16,759 Speaker 2: the Guy i'm most willing to consider dropping in the right. 862 00:41:16,840 --> 00:41:20,920 Speaker 2: FORMAT i would Say cosmin's probably, two just because they 863 00:41:21,040 --> 00:41:24,239 Speaker 2: had the injury, stuff you, know kind of element to 864 00:41:24,280 --> 00:41:26,480 Speaker 2: it mixed. In but it's really close Between gosman And. 865 00:41:26,560 --> 00:41:28,719 Speaker 2: Lozardo that's kind of tier two for. Me if Mus 866 00:41:28,760 --> 00:41:33,640 Speaker 2: Grove's tier, one and Then kirby, four and Then castillo 867 00:41:33,880 --> 00:41:35,040 Speaker 2: least concern what do you. 868 00:41:35,040 --> 00:41:38,280 Speaker 3: THINK i Think i'm. Closer i'm gonna go in the opposite. 869 00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:44,360 Speaker 3: Direction least. Concerned i'll Go castilla and then Probably George 870 00:41:44,440 --> 00:41:46,920 Speaker 3: kirby just BECAUSE, i you, KNOW i think he's going 871 00:41:47,000 --> 00:41:53,359 Speaker 3: to be what he. Is Then i'd probably Go, musgrove Then, 872 00:41:53,440 --> 00:41:57,520 Speaker 3: lizardo Then. Gosman so it's the same except except For. 873 00:41:57,600 --> 00:42:00,160 Speaker 3: MUSGROVE i have Must, grows you have him. Third the 874 00:42:00,280 --> 00:42:01,920 Speaker 3: others are roughly the. 875 00:42:01,960 --> 00:42:05,120 Speaker 1: Same, yeah, YEAH i think that's. 876 00:42:05,160 --> 00:42:07,560 Speaker 2: Fair we're definitely an agreement on those bottom two because 877 00:42:07,640 --> 00:42:10,120 Speaker 2: you And, Kirby i'm not very. Concerned let's go to 878 00:42:10,160 --> 00:42:12,680 Speaker 2: the last storyline here before getting to our chat With. 879 00:42:12,800 --> 00:42:19,040 Speaker 2: Tuma which second Tier orioles prospect off to a scorching 880 00:42:19,120 --> 00:42:21,160 Speaker 2: start is more Legitimate Colton. 881 00:42:20,960 --> 00:42:23,719 Speaker 1: Kowser Or Jordan, Westburg AND i wanted to ask about. 882 00:42:23,520 --> 00:42:26,720 Speaker 2: Them because obviously a ton of hype from us included 883 00:42:26,920 --> 00:42:30,600 Speaker 2: On Jackson. Holiday clearly we See Gunnar henderson is maybe 884 00:42:30,640 --> 00:42:33,640 Speaker 2: elevating to AN mvp type of player at The rutchman 885 00:42:33,719 --> 00:42:35,880 Speaker 2: one of the best catchers in, baseball the elite or you, 886 00:42:35,920 --> 00:42:38,759 Speaker 2: Know Grayson rodriguez kind of turning into an ace before our. 887 00:42:38,800 --> 00:42:42,640 Speaker 2: Eyes the Elite orioles prospects are playing like elite guys 888 00:42:42,840 --> 00:42:45,000 Speaker 2: or our holiday and still very early on in their, 889 00:42:45,080 --> 00:42:49,879 Speaker 2: Career kowser And westburg have been a step below those other, 890 00:42:49,960 --> 00:42:53,520 Speaker 2: guys both first round. Picks, Formerly kowser fifth. OVERALL i 891 00:42:53,560 --> 00:42:55,720 Speaker 2: Think westburg was thirtieth. OVERALL i want to, say. 892 00:42:57,160 --> 00:43:00,520 Speaker 3: Pretend like you don't KNOW i do the. 893 00:43:00,680 --> 00:43:03,080 Speaker 2: RANGE i didn't remember the exact, number one hundred percent, 894 00:43:03,160 --> 00:43:09,439 Speaker 2: sure BUT i did. Know, apparently dy'ved, awesome you said 895 00:43:09,480 --> 00:43:11,840 Speaker 2: before we started, recording because we. Talked we've talked a 896 00:43:11,840 --> 00:43:13,520 Speaker 2: lot about kind of how much red has been some 897 00:43:13,600 --> 00:43:15,880 Speaker 2: of these players stat cast, pages and you pulled it 898 00:43:16,000 --> 00:43:18,080 Speaker 2: up before we started. Recording you, go, oh my, gosh 899 00:43:18,160 --> 00:43:20,960 Speaker 2: look how Red westburg stad cast. Pages AND i was, 900 00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:23,480 Speaker 2: like we'll try looking At kowsers and you're, like oh my, 901 00:43:23,640 --> 00:43:25,640 Speaker 2: gosh look how red this. IS i, mean it's like 902 00:43:25,920 --> 00:43:27,600 Speaker 2: they look like me When i'm out in the sun 903 00:43:27,680 --> 00:43:29,600 Speaker 2: too long Because I'm norwegian AND i burned very. 904 00:43:29,600 --> 00:43:30,800 Speaker 1: Easily it's, LIKE i don't. 905 00:43:30,640 --> 00:43:32,840 Speaker 3: Thought you were going to say you out on the softball, FIELD. 906 00:43:34,480 --> 00:43:36,800 Speaker 2: I WISH i hit as well as they did against 907 00:43:36,840 --> 00:43:39,960 Speaker 2: major league pitching WHEN i was facing slow pitch softball 908 00:43:40,040 --> 00:43:40,800 Speaker 2: with metal. 909 00:43:40,880 --> 00:43:43,080 Speaker 1: Bats david. 910 00:43:43,120 --> 00:43:45,600 Speaker 2: AWESOME i, mean just to start With, WESTBURG i believe 911 00:43:45,640 --> 00:43:48,640 Speaker 2: he Leads Major League baseball and win probability. Added currently 912 00:43:49,560 --> 00:43:53,239 Speaker 2: he is in three seventeen three seventy NINE obp six, 913 00:43:53,400 --> 00:43:58,280 Speaker 2: hundred slugging ops is nine to seventy. Nine his expected 914 00:43:58,360 --> 00:44:02,760 Speaker 2: numbers X wOBA you know ninety third, percentile expected batting 915 00:44:02,760 --> 00:44:05,600 Speaker 2: average ninety, third expected slugging ninety fourth, average eggs of 916 00:44:05,640 --> 00:44:09,080 Speaker 2: VLocity ninety. Six hard hit rate is ninety ninth, percentile 917 00:44:09,120 --> 00:44:13,200 Speaker 2: it's sixty two and a half. Percent both With kowser And, 918 00:44:13,360 --> 00:44:16,880 Speaker 2: westburg there's a little chase in their, profile some swing and, 919 00:44:16,960 --> 00:44:20,520 Speaker 2: miss but it doesn't matter because when they're hitting the, 920 00:44:20,560 --> 00:44:23,640 Speaker 2: ball they are impacting. It they are hitting the cover 921 00:44:23,760 --> 00:44:26,440 Speaker 2: off the ball when they're actually making. Contact been really 922 00:44:26,440 --> 00:44:29,040 Speaker 2: fun to watch just Three kowser's stats real quick before 923 00:44:29,160 --> 00:44:33,200 Speaker 2: tossing it to. You you. Know his slash line triple 924 00:44:33,200 --> 00:44:36,279 Speaker 2: slashes four hundred and fourty, nine eight, hundred slugging so 925 00:44:36,320 --> 00:44:39,239 Speaker 2: ops is over twelve. Hundred he's got four homers and 926 00:44:39,400 --> 00:44:42,279 Speaker 2: three stolen. Bases, again just a whole lot of you, 927 00:44:42,360 --> 00:44:45,320 Speaker 2: know eighty eight, percentile, ninetieth ninety, third ninety fifth on 928 00:44:45,400 --> 00:44:48,719 Speaker 2: all those the same numbers of expected you know data 929 00:44:48,760 --> 00:44:51,520 Speaker 2: based on on the balls in, Play SO i, mean 930 00:44:51,560 --> 00:44:55,080 Speaker 2: they've both looked really. Good westbrook's twenty, Five cowsers twenty. 931 00:44:55,160 --> 00:45:00,200 Speaker 2: Four AND i said before the, SEASON I i was 932 00:45:00,200 --> 00:45:03,440 Speaker 2: sung all My orioles fan Friends westburg is my Surprise 933 00:45:03,480 --> 00:45:06,400 Speaker 2: All star this, year and he's lived up to that. 934 00:45:06,520 --> 00:45:09,680 Speaker 2: Billing Yet kowser maybe has been even better and had 935 00:45:09,719 --> 00:45:12,840 Speaker 2: slightly better. Pedigree So i'm curious which one do you 936 00:45:12,880 --> 00:45:14,640 Speaker 2: think is more legit in terms of what they're doing this? 937 00:45:14,760 --> 00:45:17,520 Speaker 2: Season AND i think both have have pretty significantly moved 938 00:45:17,600 --> 00:45:20,360 Speaker 2: up a lot of the consensus rankings in the industry 939 00:45:20,440 --> 00:45:23,480 Speaker 2: already given what we've, seen but also long, term like 940 00:45:24,080 --> 00:45:26,920 Speaker 2: is there there are so many talented players still to 941 00:45:27,040 --> 00:45:29,719 Speaker 2: come in this farm. System so when thinking about it 942 00:45:29,760 --> 00:45:32,080 Speaker 2: from a dynasty, perspective in addition to just what they've 943 00:45:32,120 --> 00:45:35,759 Speaker 2: done this, year you know how locked in are, they you, 944 00:45:35,840 --> 00:45:38,160 Speaker 2: know to these roles because they're because they're hitting like 945 00:45:38,239 --> 00:45:40,640 Speaker 2: sixth and seventh in the, lineup sometimes even like seventh 946 00:45:40,719 --> 00:45:43,360 Speaker 2: and eighth depending on the, matchup because there's just so 947 00:45:43,440 --> 00:45:45,759 Speaker 2: many good bats in this. Lineup that's typically not the 948 00:45:45,840 --> 00:45:48,719 Speaker 2: best recipe for fantasy, success but it doesn't matter because 949 00:45:48,719 --> 00:45:49,560 Speaker 2: of just how well they're. 950 00:45:49,600 --> 00:45:52,759 Speaker 3: Hitting the. Ball, yeah it must be so hard to 951 00:45:52,800 --> 00:45:55,879 Speaker 3: be you and just have The orioles be so good 952 00:45:56,040 --> 00:45:58,520 Speaker 3: and their farm sism is just so. DEEP i JUST 953 00:45:58,640 --> 00:46:01,360 Speaker 3: i don't know how you make it through everything it. 954 00:46:01,560 --> 00:46:08,480 Speaker 3: Is i've been looking at these two players SINCE i 955 00:46:08,520 --> 00:46:10,200 Speaker 3: mean obviously been looking at them all, season But i've 956 00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:11,440 Speaker 3: been looking at them since you put them in the, 957 00:46:11,520 --> 00:46:15,160 Speaker 3: sheet And i've been really struggling to pick one to pick, one, 958 00:46:15,280 --> 00:46:17,680 Speaker 3: LIKE i think they both look pretty. LEGIT i think 959 00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:22,160 Speaker 3: they both have some, concerns but relatively minor. Concerns with, 960 00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:24,319 Speaker 3: cow'ser the one concern is that he hasn't been playing 961 00:46:24,360 --> 00:46:26,640 Speaker 3: a lot against, lefties but he has been playing against 962 00:46:26,680 --> 00:46:29,759 Speaker 3: them more. Recently they're kind, of you, know saying he's 963 00:46:29,760 --> 00:46:33,520 Speaker 3: earned that, right WHICH i think is. Fair and With, 964 00:46:33,640 --> 00:46:37,400 Speaker 3: westburg the main drawback is that The, orioles for some unknown, 965 00:46:37,440 --> 00:46:40,080 Speaker 3: reason decided to move their left field fence back five 966 00:46:40,160 --> 00:46:44,279 Speaker 3: hundred feet and build a, wall ruining the career Of 967 00:46:44,440 --> 00:46:48,480 Speaker 3: Ryan mountcastle in the. Process and SO i think that's 968 00:46:48,480 --> 00:46:51,439 Speaker 3: always going to be in the back of your mind 969 00:46:51,520 --> 00:46:55,640 Speaker 3: a concern for any right handed Hitting orioles prospect or. 970 00:46:55,680 --> 00:46:58,960 Speaker 3: Player so that's a ding Against. Westbrook he already has 971 00:46:59,000 --> 00:47:00,560 Speaker 3: full home. RUNS i don't know how many of them 972 00:47:00,600 --> 00:47:02,120 Speaker 3: came on the. ROAD i know one came In, fenway 973 00:47:02,120 --> 00:47:03,480 Speaker 3: at least one one THAT i saw. 974 00:47:03,600 --> 00:47:07,920 Speaker 2: There the most recent one came by toppling The Great 975 00:47:08,560 --> 00:47:10,879 Speaker 2: wall Of, Baltimore baltimore over. 976 00:47:10,920 --> 00:47:15,359 Speaker 3: There, yeah, YEAH i think they both look pretty. Legit 977 00:47:15,600 --> 00:47:19,239 Speaker 3: stat cast numbers are just. Incredible you mentioned they both 978 00:47:19,320 --> 00:47:21,120 Speaker 3: have a little bit of. Chase cowser actually does not 979 00:47:21,360 --> 00:47:22,959 Speaker 3: have a little bit of. Chase he's got a ninety 980 00:47:23,040 --> 00:47:24,839 Speaker 3: five percent chase. 981 00:47:24,920 --> 00:47:28,160 Speaker 1: Percentage he had the, chase but he's striking out a lot. 982 00:47:28,239 --> 00:47:31,120 Speaker 2: More his strike out rates over thirty, percent Whereas westburg's 983 00:47:31,120 --> 00:47:34,120 Speaker 2: the reverse where he's chasing but strike out rates actually under. 984 00:47:34,160 --> 00:47:38,239 Speaker 3: Twenty, yeah maybe they can just combine and be one 985 00:47:39,840 --> 00:47:40,440 Speaker 3: like elite. 986 00:47:40,480 --> 00:47:45,880 Speaker 2: Player i'll take two stud players over one mega. Stud 987 00:47:46,040 --> 00:47:48,600 Speaker 2: and that's what they've been is both two. Studs the 988 00:47:48,680 --> 00:47:50,680 Speaker 2: other thing to think about with, them and this is 989 00:47:50,760 --> 00:47:54,399 Speaker 2: more thinking the long, term is The orioles do kind 990 00:47:54,400 --> 00:47:57,399 Speaker 2: of have more of a need and outfield long term than. 991 00:47:58,000 --> 00:48:00,520 Speaker 2: Infield you, know, infield you Have, gunner you Have Jackson, 992 00:48:00,560 --> 00:48:03,799 Speaker 2: Holiday Kobe mayo is coming. Soon Connor norby can kind 993 00:48:03,800 --> 00:48:06,280 Speaker 2: of do. BOTH i, mean there's a role For, westburg 994 00:48:06,680 --> 00:48:08,400 Speaker 2: but it will probably be a lot of and this 995 00:48:08,520 --> 00:48:11,960 Speaker 2: might be to his benefit moving around playing, third playing, 996 00:48:12,120 --> 00:48:15,520 Speaker 2: second he can play, short although with Both gunner And, 997 00:48:16,080 --> 00:48:18,800 Speaker 2: HOLIDAY i assume he won't play there. Anymore but you, 998 00:48:18,880 --> 00:48:21,520 Speaker 2: know he'll have multiposition. Eligibility but they on need to 999 00:48:21,640 --> 00:48:23,160 Speaker 2: find room for him in the. 1000 00:48:23,239 --> 00:48:27,799 Speaker 3: Lineup, cowser, like maybe they'll Trade Ryan mancastle to The Red. 1001 00:48:27,880 --> 00:48:31,560 Speaker 2: Sox AND i, MEAN i think a trade is coming 1002 00:48:31,560 --> 00:48:34,640 Speaker 2: at some, point a trade might Be santander and then 1003 00:48:34,680 --> 00:48:37,000 Speaker 2: that opens. Up it just further solidifies a corner aftfield 1004 00:48:37,040 --> 00:48:41,960 Speaker 2: spot For kowser alongside Cure. Stad you know the other thing, 1005 00:48:42,000 --> 00:48:44,600 Speaker 2: too just with the handedness that you touched, on you, 1006 00:48:44,680 --> 00:48:47,640 Speaker 2: know it Hurts westburg playing. There but this lineup also 1007 00:48:47,680 --> 00:48:51,920 Speaker 2: has so many lefties that when they face a lefty 1008 00:48:52,480 --> 00:48:54,399 Speaker 2: like he will never ever sit because they just don't 1009 00:48:54,480 --> 00:48:54,879 Speaker 2: have enough. 1010 00:48:55,440 --> 00:48:56,600 Speaker 1: Righties and the and The. 1011 00:48:56,600 --> 00:48:59,759 Speaker 2: Orioles love a, platoon or at least they love to 1012 00:48:59,800 --> 00:49:03,040 Speaker 2: play the you, know the left handed right handed splits 1013 00:49:03,200 --> 00:49:06,239 Speaker 2: so and and in, fact for a lot of their 1014 00:49:06,280 --> 00:49:08,520 Speaker 2: players it doesn't actually even play out that. WAY i 1015 00:49:08,520 --> 00:49:10,440 Speaker 2: Think westbrook might be one of. Them who's better against 1016 00:49:10,520 --> 00:49:12,439 Speaker 2: righties and. Lefties but the point is he will play 1017 00:49:12,520 --> 00:49:16,480 Speaker 2: in those, scenarios whereas a guy Like kowser like will 1018 00:49:17,160 --> 00:49:19,400 Speaker 2: probably sit a, lot you, know maybe not all the, 1019 00:49:19,440 --> 00:49:22,680 Speaker 2: time but he will sit against lefties on, occasion especially 1020 00:49:22,680 --> 00:49:25,680 Speaker 2: If austin has ever starts. Hitting and but, REALLY i 1021 00:49:25,800 --> 00:49:28,759 Speaker 2: just wanted to highlight that these two are like absolutely 1022 00:49:28,920 --> 00:49:32,840 Speaker 2: like crushing the, baseball and they're. Young they they do have, 1023 00:49:32,960 --> 00:49:36,080 Speaker 2: pedigree even if they've been overshadowed in their own farm. System, 1024 00:49:36,239 --> 00:49:39,719 Speaker 2: like don't don't let that allow you to sleep on 1025 00:49:39,800 --> 00:49:42,200 Speaker 2: them in your fantasy leagues if you if they are 1026 00:49:42,280 --> 00:49:45,480 Speaker 2: acquire able or, like whether it's not you, know whether 1027 00:49:45,520 --> 00:49:47,560 Speaker 2: maybe you're in a shallow league and they're somehow some 1028 00:49:47,760 --> 00:49:49,560 Speaker 2: waivers or more likely if you can like try and 1029 00:49:49,600 --> 00:49:50,160 Speaker 2: include them in. 1030 00:49:50,160 --> 00:49:50,640 Speaker 1: A trade or. 1031 00:49:50,680 --> 00:49:52,960 Speaker 2: SOMETHING i think IT'S i think both are. Legit it's 1032 00:49:53,040 --> 00:49:55,120 Speaker 2: kind of the it's hard to pick between the. Two 1033 00:49:55,520 --> 00:49:58,160 Speaker 2: the ultimate answer IS i think both of them are 1034 00:49:58,239 --> 00:50:02,560 Speaker 2: going to be average to above average fantasy starters the 1035 00:50:02,680 --> 00:50:04,320 Speaker 2: rest of this year and for the next several. 1036 00:50:04,400 --> 00:50:06,040 Speaker 1: YEARS i, mean is that is that? Fair AM i 1037 00:50:06,120 --> 00:50:08,880 Speaker 1: being a? Homer you think OR i think it's reasonable 1038 00:50:08,880 --> 00:50:09,600 Speaker 1: based on everything we've. 1039 00:50:09,600 --> 00:50:12,080 Speaker 3: Seen, well you're always being a, homer So i'm always 1040 00:50:12,120 --> 00:50:12,800 Speaker 3: gonna say. 1041 00:50:13,080 --> 00:50:16,439 Speaker 2: That this show isn't on video so that people can't 1042 00:50:16,520 --> 00:50:19,200 Speaker 2: actually see all my orioles triffinalia behind. 1043 00:50:19,280 --> 00:50:22,319 Speaker 1: Me SO i have to remind them verbally THAT i. 1044 00:50:22,440 --> 00:50:25,960 Speaker 3: Like To, yeah that's, yeah and you, do so we 1045 00:50:26,040 --> 00:50:26,600 Speaker 3: all appreciate. 1046 00:50:26,680 --> 00:50:26,719 Speaker 1: That. 1047 00:50:28,480 --> 00:50:31,240 Speaker 3: YEAH i think they're. BOTH i mean they both looked like. Studs. 1048 00:50:33,000 --> 00:50:35,439 Speaker 3: Uh the lefty thing is going to be what could 1049 00:50:35,440 --> 00:50:38,640 Speaker 3: Hold coowser, back and The Great wall Of baltimore can 1050 00:50:38,680 --> 00:50:43,360 Speaker 3: certainly Hold Jordan westburgh. Back it is it is helpful, 1051 00:50:43,520 --> 00:50:47,560 Speaker 3: that hopefully from a fantasy, Perspective westburgh does still continue 1052 00:50:47,560 --> 00:50:50,000 Speaker 3: to move, around because that's great for fantasy, eligibility especially right. 1053 00:50:50,000 --> 00:50:54,680 Speaker 3: Now he's eligible second and, third which are two relatively thin. 1054 00:50:54,840 --> 00:50:57,960 Speaker 3: Positions third bases very. Thin second base is not as, 1055 00:50:58,080 --> 00:51:01,920 Speaker 3: thin but not very. Deep so and he's still AS 1056 00:51:02,000 --> 00:51:04,279 Speaker 3: i looked last, night he was still available in more 1057 00:51:04,360 --> 00:51:07,880 Speaker 3: than twenty percent Of yahoo, Leagues so there's still a 1058 00:51:07,960 --> 00:51:10,000 Speaker 3: chance that he's out there on waivers or in your 1059 00:51:10,040 --> 00:51:12,839 Speaker 3: free agent, pile and someone with that kind of bat 1060 00:51:12,880 --> 00:51:14,400 Speaker 3: that you can move around hopefully want to see move 1061 00:51:14,480 --> 00:51:16,719 Speaker 3: up the. Line up a little, bit but we'll see 1062 00:51:16,760 --> 00:51:18,240 Speaker 3: how that. Goes AND i did look at his splits 1063 00:51:18,239 --> 00:51:19,600 Speaker 3: your ideas better against the right's. 1064 00:51:19,440 --> 00:51:20,680 Speaker 1: Right, Now, YEAH i thought he was one of. 1065 00:51:20,719 --> 00:51:24,000 Speaker 2: Those let, alone they're like batting averages and the, slugging 1066 00:51:24,120 --> 00:51:27,040 Speaker 2: like they both have four home runs and multiple, steals 1067 00:51:27,239 --> 00:51:32,400 Speaker 2: like they can contribute in multiple, categories and if they 1068 00:51:32,480 --> 00:51:35,080 Speaker 2: keep hitting the ball like, this they'll also be helpful 1069 00:51:35,120 --> 00:51:38,120 Speaker 2: in average and you, know scoring a lot of runs 1070 00:51:38,120 --> 00:51:39,919 Speaker 2: in this lineup even where they're, HITTING i, mean there's 1071 00:51:39,960 --> 00:51:40,440 Speaker 2: just a lot to. 1072 00:51:40,640 --> 00:51:44,800 Speaker 3: Like and they will seem almost like twenty ten kind of, 1073 00:51:44,840 --> 00:51:47,280 Speaker 3: guys like twenty home run ten steel kind of, guys 1074 00:51:47,360 --> 00:51:48,640 Speaker 3: which AND. 1075 00:51:48,680 --> 00:51:51,960 Speaker 2: I think THAT'S i think that's a reasonable, expectation BUT 1076 00:51:52,000 --> 00:51:54,560 Speaker 2: i think the ceiling is even more. SO i THINK 1077 00:51:54,719 --> 00:51:58,120 Speaker 2: i think twenty five fifteen is like maybe you're shooting 1078 00:51:58,120 --> 00:51:59,800 Speaker 2: for the moon a bit with that. Prediction BUT i 1079 00:51:59,800 --> 00:52:01,799 Speaker 2: don't think it's off the. TABLE i, MEAN i, REALLY 1080 00:52:02,640 --> 00:52:05,680 Speaker 2: I i the only the only here's here's the Way 1081 00:52:05,680 --> 00:52:08,200 Speaker 2: i'll wrap it. Up the only the only knocks against 1082 00:52:08,239 --> 00:52:11,840 Speaker 2: them are the theoretical, like, oh, well we don't Expect 1083 00:52:11,920 --> 00:52:14,279 Speaker 2: kowser to play against lefties as, much or oh we 1084 00:52:14,440 --> 00:52:17,440 Speaker 2: Expect westbrook to struggle with the left field. Wall what 1085 00:52:17,560 --> 00:52:20,520 Speaker 2: they're actually, doing and again small sample, Size we've said 1086 00:52:20,520 --> 00:52:23,759 Speaker 2: it a thousand. Times what they're actually doing right now is, 1087 00:52:24,320 --> 00:52:26,400 Speaker 2: like there's no knock against it as far AS i can. 1088 00:52:26,440 --> 00:52:29,719 Speaker 2: Tell it's it's it has, been you, know looking, backwards 1089 00:52:30,640 --> 00:52:34,520 Speaker 2: like very legitimate and excellent and. Elite looking, forward you 1090 00:52:34,560 --> 00:52:37,640 Speaker 2: can make cases against, it but we'll see how it plays. 1091 00:52:37,680 --> 00:52:40,040 Speaker 2: Out i'm really excited about both of. Them let's toss 1092 00:52:40,080 --> 00:52:43,840 Speaker 2: it to our conversation With Brendan tuma Of Underdog fantasy 1093 00:52:44,080 --> 00:52:45,200 Speaker 2: and we'll be back on. 1094 00:52:45,200 --> 00:52:47,600 Speaker 1: The other, side back into the. 1095 00:52:47,880 --> 00:52:50,960 Speaker 2: Cycle I'm Ryan warmley Alongside Mike, mayer and for our 1096 00:52:51,040 --> 00:52:53,840 Speaker 2: guest segment this, week we are joined by a former 1097 00:52:54,000 --> 00:52:58,720 Speaker 2: co worker of, Ours Brendan, tuma formerly With Fantasy. PROS 1098 00:52:58,800 --> 00:53:01,440 Speaker 2: i did we ever host of leading off together like 1099 00:53:01,600 --> 00:53:02,560 Speaker 2: two and a half years. 1100 00:53:02,360 --> 00:53:03,279 Speaker 3: Ago we might have. 1101 00:53:03,320 --> 00:53:05,720 Speaker 4: Did there might have been one or two we were mixing, 1102 00:53:05,800 --> 00:53:08,120 Speaker 4: in you, know the three of, Us, dan you know 1103 00:53:08,160 --> 00:53:10,279 Speaker 4: we're still around at that. Time you, Know joe was 1104 00:53:10,320 --> 00:53:13,839 Speaker 4: hopping in and. Out so, yeah kind of a little 1105 00:53:13,840 --> 00:53:16,600 Speaker 4: bit of a reunion episode this. Week, yeah this is 1106 00:53:16,719 --> 00:53:19,440 Speaker 4: this is a fun crossover. Episode he is at Too 1107 00:53:19,560 --> 00:53:20,520 Speaker 4: Much tuma On. 1108 00:53:20,760 --> 00:53:23,720 Speaker 2: Twitter he is the owner of my Favorite twitter profile 1109 00:53:23,800 --> 00:53:26,719 Speaker 2: pick slash cover Photo combo as an avid player of 1110 00:53:26,760 --> 00:53:29,080 Speaker 2: a backyard baseball back in the. DAY i love what 1111 00:53:29,120 --> 00:53:31,520 Speaker 2: he's got going on over there is over At underdog 1112 00:53:31,680 --> 00:53:34,080 Speaker 2: Now and LIKE i, SAID i appreciate you coming on. 1113 00:53:34,280 --> 00:53:36,200 Speaker 1: Here we wanted to to talk to you about a 1114 00:53:36,200 --> 00:53:36,800 Speaker 1: couple of different. 1115 00:53:36,840 --> 00:53:39,200 Speaker 2: Things off the, top, THOUGH i did want to get 1116 00:53:39,239 --> 00:53:41,719 Speaker 2: your opinion On Jack lighter and just hear kind of 1117 00:53:41,760 --> 00:53:44,360 Speaker 2: what you think about. Him obviously making his debut today 1118 00:53:44,719 --> 00:53:47,879 Speaker 2: with The, rangers former top, pick he was a number 1119 00:53:47,920 --> 00:53:49,759 Speaker 2: two overall, pick you know a couple of years. Ago 1120 00:53:50,480 --> 00:53:53,560 Speaker 2: obviously you know has got THE mlb bloodlines to out 1121 00:53:53,600 --> 00:53:55,560 Speaker 2: to picture out Of. Vanderbilt what are you kind of 1122 00:53:55,600 --> 00:53:57,880 Speaker 2: expecting out of, him both in his debut but just 1123 00:53:57,960 --> 00:53:58,720 Speaker 2: kind of in this rookie. 1124 00:53:58,760 --> 00:54:01,879 Speaker 4: Season it's really interesting because if you knew about later 1125 00:54:01,880 --> 00:54:04,000 Speaker 4: when he first got drafted and really haven't thought about him, 1126 00:54:04,040 --> 00:54:05,440 Speaker 4: since you'd be, like oh my, god this is an 1127 00:54:05,480 --> 00:54:08,279 Speaker 4: amazing pitching prospect about to make his. Debut if you 1128 00:54:08,320 --> 00:54:10,520 Speaker 4: followed him closely in the minors the past couple of, 1129 00:54:10,600 --> 00:54:13,160 Speaker 4: years you'd be, LIKE i don't want anything to do with. 1130 00:54:13,280 --> 00:54:15,279 Speaker 4: Him you, know he's not the guy he was promised to. 1131 00:54:15,320 --> 00:54:18,279 Speaker 4: Be but then if you look at just his starts this, 1132 00:54:18,440 --> 00:54:21,680 Speaker 4: season and you, know there's a lot of people out, 1133 00:54:21,760 --> 00:54:24,960 Speaker 4: there And Olance brasdowski has had some good nuggets on 1134 00:54:25,000 --> 00:54:29,600 Speaker 4: this about how is his pitch shapes have, improved specifically 1135 00:54:30,360 --> 00:54:33,000 Speaker 4: his few starts in twenty twenty. Four so it's a 1136 00:54:33,040 --> 00:54:36,279 Speaker 4: little bit all over the. PLACE i am one, where you, 1137 00:54:36,360 --> 00:54:38,520 Speaker 4: know IF i had drafted him in a dynasty. League 1138 00:54:38,560 --> 00:54:40,440 Speaker 4: mike knows this because we playing some leaves. TOGETHER i 1139 00:54:40,480 --> 00:54:43,680 Speaker 4: am not patient with prospects once they start going downhill 1140 00:54:43,719 --> 00:54:46,800 Speaker 4: and losing, value LIKE i move on. Quickly BUT i 1141 00:54:46,920 --> 00:54:50,320 Speaker 4: had reached such a bottoming out point personally With lighter 1142 00:54:50,880 --> 00:54:55,239 Speaker 4: that when he, started you, know making waves and just you, 1143 00:54:55,320 --> 00:54:57,480 Speaker 4: know his stat lines really started to popping again In 1144 00:54:57,520 --> 00:55:00,680 Speaker 4: TRIPLE a this. Season took notice of, that paid attention 1145 00:55:00,760 --> 00:55:03,399 Speaker 4: to the pitch shape. Stuff it's a soft landing. Spot 1146 00:55:03,440 --> 00:55:06,520 Speaker 4: today we're recording this before he does actually, debut and 1147 00:55:06,640 --> 00:55:09,960 Speaker 4: it is against The, Tigers so, YEAH i think we'll 1148 00:55:10,000 --> 00:55:14,120 Speaker 4: learn a lot about him in today's. Start but, AGAIN 1149 00:55:14,200 --> 00:55:16,080 Speaker 4: i would just definitely keep that in mind that it's The, 1150 00:55:16,160 --> 00:55:19,239 Speaker 4: tigers AND i wouldn't go too overboard if if that 1151 00:55:19,400 --> 00:55:20,800 Speaker 4: final line is really. 1152 00:55:20,840 --> 00:55:23,520 Speaker 2: Good i'm glad you mentioned like the dynasty angle, too 1153 00:55:23,520 --> 00:55:26,239 Speaker 2: because obviously that's a key part of you, know evaluating 1154 00:55:26,239 --> 00:55:29,000 Speaker 2: a top prospect and a former top. Pick what range 1155 00:55:29,000 --> 00:55:31,000 Speaker 2: would you have him ranked in in dynasty as of 1156 00:55:31,120 --> 00:55:34,719 Speaker 2: right now given the pedigree and then the tough start 1157 00:55:34,800 --> 00:55:37,120 Speaker 2: to The miners career and then maybe kind of bouncing 1158 00:55:37,160 --> 00:55:38,520 Speaker 2: back here and now making his. 1159 00:55:38,640 --> 00:55:42,440 Speaker 4: Debut, yeah it's so hard with pictures, too because their talent, 1160 00:55:42,560 --> 00:55:44,560 Speaker 4: level especially in The, miners can just, change you, know 1161 00:55:44,719 --> 00:55:46,840 Speaker 4: like within a single. Start, again Like, light it was 1162 00:55:46,920 --> 00:55:49,240 Speaker 4: not so ONE i thought would be making his debut 1163 00:55:49,360 --> 00:55:52,600 Speaker 4: Before Paul, schiens Before Jackson, joe Before Kate, horton before 1164 00:55:52,719 --> 00:55:55,680 Speaker 4: some of these other guys this. Year so, yeah BUT 1165 00:55:55,800 --> 00:55:58,200 Speaker 4: i guess you, know he's got the proximity, factor like 1166 00:55:58,239 --> 00:56:00,479 Speaker 4: he's literally about to be up right. Now but, again 1167 00:56:00,560 --> 00:56:02,760 Speaker 4: if if this start doesn't go well and it's Against, 1168 00:56:02,800 --> 00:56:06,160 Speaker 4: detroit then that'll change. QUICKLY i was pay you try 1169 00:56:06,200 --> 00:56:08,440 Speaker 4: to pay a lot of attention to which you, know 1170 00:56:08,560 --> 00:56:11,239 Speaker 4: top pitching prospects are getting run In TRIPLE a and doing, 1171 00:56:11,320 --> 00:56:13,560 Speaker 4: well because those are typically typically the guys that are 1172 00:56:13,560 --> 00:56:16,400 Speaker 4: about to come up. Next Obviously skiings is you, know 1173 00:56:16,560 --> 00:56:19,880 Speaker 4: number one on any you, know redraft stash right. Now 1174 00:56:20,040 --> 00:56:23,920 Speaker 4: but for, ME i would still Have Christian scott ahead Of. 1175 00:56:24,200 --> 00:56:27,680 Speaker 4: Lighter uh just the. Control he has such a track 1176 00:56:27,760 --> 00:56:31,800 Speaker 4: record of control and improving. Stuff so just to you, 1177 00:56:31,880 --> 00:56:34,040 Speaker 4: Know i'm not someone WHO i don't plan, to you, 1178 00:56:34,120 --> 00:56:37,600 Speaker 4: know go overboard this weekend With lighter and fab or 1179 00:56:37,640 --> 00:56:38,120 Speaker 4: anything like. 1180 00:56:38,160 --> 00:56:41,080 Speaker 2: That i'd rather hold out For Christian scott. Personally what 1181 00:56:41,160 --> 00:56:43,160 Speaker 2: do you think about, that mayor what kind of you, 1182 00:56:43,280 --> 00:56:45,640 Speaker 2: know claims are you putting in On? Lighter what are 1183 00:56:45,640 --> 00:56:49,160 Speaker 2: your expectations, here you, know in his first, season you, 1184 00:56:49,200 --> 00:56:50,080 Speaker 2: know let alone the long. 1185 00:56:50,200 --> 00:56:51,920 Speaker 3: Term, yeah WELL i. Agree you, Know i'm happy to 1186 00:56:52,400 --> 00:56:55,279 Speaker 3: defer To tuma on most of the, stuff, which by the, 1187 00:56:55,280 --> 00:56:57,480 Speaker 3: way you didn't even team me up for any kind 1188 00:56:57,480 --> 00:56:59,719 Speaker 3: of Like tuma intro or anything. LIKE i go way 1189 00:56:59,800 --> 00:57:02,040 Speaker 3: back With. TUMA i still talk To tuma almost every, 1190 00:57:02,080 --> 00:57:04,279 Speaker 3: day and nothing you didn't you didn't even talk To 1191 00:57:04,719 --> 00:57:04,920 Speaker 3: it was. 1192 00:57:04,960 --> 00:57:07,640 Speaker 2: My understanding that we were a little bit up against 1193 00:57:07,680 --> 00:57:09,960 Speaker 2: it in terms of, time SO i was trying to move, 1194 00:57:10,080 --> 00:57:12,840 Speaker 2: quickly trying to help us out, there but if you 1195 00:57:12,880 --> 00:57:14,680 Speaker 2: would like to have a delayed intro now as your. 1196 00:57:14,760 --> 00:57:15,560 Speaker 1: Chant, no it's all. 1197 00:57:15,640 --> 00:57:17,840 Speaker 3: Right i'll just shout out to, uh you, know all 1198 00:57:17,880 --> 00:57:20,120 Speaker 3: of The Leading off listeners who are listening to the. 1199 00:57:20,200 --> 00:57:22,680 Speaker 3: Show maybe you know They i'm sure they Remember tuma 1200 00:57:22,800 --> 00:57:25,840 Speaker 3: who actually Launched Leading off back With Dan harris back 1201 00:57:25,880 --> 00:57:28,960 Speaker 3: in the. Day so he's actually Like Leading off as 1202 00:57:29,000 --> 00:57:31,560 Speaker 3: like his, baby it's like his you, know his, Child 1203 00:57:31,720 --> 00:57:34,560 Speaker 3: so we have to give credit. There mayo. 1204 00:57:34,640 --> 00:57:36,600 Speaker 4: Says we still talk every, day but it's a group 1205 00:57:36,720 --> 00:57:39,080 Speaker 4: chat With, dan and it's usually Just dan making fun 1206 00:57:39,120 --> 00:57:42,080 Speaker 4: of mostly, me but but also both, US i, believe. 1207 00:57:41,920 --> 00:57:45,800 Speaker 3: And us also just complaining about The Red, sox about 1208 00:57:45,880 --> 00:57:50,200 Speaker 3: Light On. Lighter you, Know tuma is similar To welsh 1209 00:57:50,240 --> 00:57:52,080 Speaker 3: and then you know he's he's the prospect. Guy he's 1210 00:57:52,240 --> 00:57:55,080 Speaker 3: he does all the deep dives on THESE i have 1211 00:57:55,200 --> 00:57:56,840 Speaker 3: said him, BEFORE i look a lot of the. Numbers 1212 00:57:56,840 --> 00:57:58,800 Speaker 3: but Obviously Jack lighter is such a big. Prospect i've 1213 00:57:58,800 --> 00:58:00,680 Speaker 3: watched him kind of come up and and Like tuma, 1214 00:58:00,720 --> 00:58:03,960 Speaker 3: said watched it not go great in the early. Going 1215 00:58:04,000 --> 00:58:06,280 Speaker 3: although the strikeouts have always been, there even when his, 1216 00:58:06,400 --> 00:58:09,240 Speaker 3: era you, know In DOUBLE a was like up above, 1217 00:58:09,320 --> 00:58:11,120 Speaker 3: five he was still striking out a ton of, guys 1218 00:58:11,160 --> 00:58:13,240 Speaker 3: so you still could kind of see the stuff. There 1219 00:58:13,240 --> 00:58:14,720 Speaker 3: it's just that like his stuff was just all over the, 1220 00:58:14,760 --> 00:58:18,560 Speaker 3: place you, know his control was an. Issue so interested 1221 00:58:18,680 --> 00:58:21,000 Speaker 3: to see if he can put it all. Together he's still, 1222 00:58:21,040 --> 00:58:24,400 Speaker 3: young he's still only twenty four years. Old i'm not 1223 00:58:24,920 --> 00:58:27,640 Speaker 3: convinced he's. Ready and you, know we'll see today how it. 1224 00:58:27,720 --> 00:58:29,360 Speaker 3: Goes you, know it, is like you, said a good 1225 00:58:29,760 --> 00:58:31,760 Speaker 3: kind of like soft landing spot against The. Tigers BUT 1226 00:58:31,920 --> 00:58:36,760 Speaker 3: i don't anticipate going, crazy especially in leagues Where i'm you, 1227 00:58:36,800 --> 00:58:39,880 Speaker 3: know kind of like limited in fab on, lighter BECAUSE 1228 00:58:40,080 --> 00:58:41,560 Speaker 3: i don't know how long he's going to be, up 1229 00:58:42,240 --> 00:58:43,840 Speaker 3: AND i don't know how this is going to go 1230 00:58:44,000 --> 00:58:44,440 Speaker 3: the first time. 1231 00:58:44,480 --> 00:58:48,120 Speaker 2: Around let's move into our waiver, suggestions and we usually 1232 00:58:48,160 --> 00:58:49,840 Speaker 2: start with the, hitters BUT i actually want to start 1233 00:58:49,920 --> 00:58:53,200 Speaker 2: With tuma's pitcher because he you, know briefly mentioned him 1234 00:58:53,480 --> 00:58:55,560 Speaker 2: when talking about some of these minors, guys and It's Christian, 1235 00:58:55,600 --> 00:58:58,400 Speaker 2: Scott So, tuma this is maybe a name that you, 1236 00:58:58,480 --> 00:59:01,240 Speaker 2: know the the you, KNOW i hard players would certainly 1237 00:59:01,320 --> 00:59:03,600 Speaker 2: be aware, of but you, know for a more casual, 1238 00:59:04,040 --> 00:59:07,280 Speaker 2: audience who might be considering him as a stash for 1239 00:59:07,440 --> 00:59:09,720 Speaker 2: redraft or if there's an opportunity to pick him up 1240 00:59:09,720 --> 00:59:11,040 Speaker 2: as a kind of keeper or dynasty. 1241 00:59:11,160 --> 00:59:13,080 Speaker 1: Format can you give us a quick breakdown On. 1242 00:59:13,160 --> 00:59:16,919 Speaker 4: Scott, Yeah So scott's a pitching prospect for The. Mets 1243 00:59:16,960 --> 00:59:18,760 Speaker 4: he's a little bit. Older he was a reliever in, 1244 00:59:18,880 --> 00:59:21,040 Speaker 4: college so he doesn't, have you, know a ton of 1245 00:59:21,120 --> 00:59:23,040 Speaker 4: miles on his. Arm that that might be one good 1246 00:59:23,080 --> 00:59:25,000 Speaker 4: thing and also might mean he's not built up as 1247 00:59:25,080 --> 00:59:27,800 Speaker 4: much as you'd. Prefer but he he's a little bit 1248 00:59:27,840 --> 00:59:30,919 Speaker 4: of a late bloomer and he's like the reason people, say, 1249 00:59:31,040 --> 00:59:33,880 Speaker 4: like you, know don't invest in pitching prospects in dynasty 1250 00:59:33,920 --> 00:59:36,520 Speaker 4: because you might, have you, know taken someone Like Forrest 1251 00:59:36,560 --> 00:59:38,840 Speaker 4: whitley or back in the day and you, know used 1252 00:59:38,880 --> 00:59:41,160 Speaker 4: a really high pick on. Them and Here Christian scott, 1253 00:59:41,240 --> 00:59:44,800 Speaker 4: comes you, know out of the, blue this pass offseason 1254 00:59:44,840 --> 00:59:47,360 Speaker 4: and it's the spring. Training he's he's always had good, 1255 00:59:47,440 --> 00:59:50,600 Speaker 4: control and his stuff is ticking. Up there's a little 1256 00:59:50,640 --> 00:59:52,520 Speaker 4: bit of some buzz going on with The mets pitching 1257 00:59:52,640 --> 00:59:55,080 Speaker 4: lab and what they've been able to do with a few, 1258 00:59:55,120 --> 00:59:58,680 Speaker 4: guys other guys and the miners as. Well, AGAIN i 1259 00:59:58,880 --> 01:00:01,840 Speaker 4: just look at you, Know TRIPLE a. Leaderboards you know 1260 01:00:02,000 --> 01:00:05,720 Speaker 4: NAMES i recognize from prospect, list who's actually you, know 1261 01:00:06,160 --> 01:00:08,600 Speaker 4: being trusted to go at least four or five innings 1262 01:00:08,640 --> 01:00:13,400 Speaker 4: and who's getting? Results And scott uh is just, popping you, 1263 01:00:13,480 --> 01:00:15,840 Speaker 4: know especially in the strike up minus walk, apartment which 1264 01:00:15,920 --> 01:00:18,840 Speaker 4: is my favorite stat to look at for pitching prospects The. 1265 01:00:18,960 --> 01:00:23,720 Speaker 4: Mets you, Know senga's still. HURT i, Know Jose uto 1266 01:00:24,160 --> 01:00:28,120 Speaker 4: might be pronouncing that. Wrong has looked good in limited, 1267 01:00:28,200 --> 01:00:30,160 Speaker 4: action but you, Know Adrian houser was still in that. 1268 01:00:30,320 --> 01:00:34,600 Speaker 4: Rotation there's gonna be opportunity for this guy, eventually and 1269 01:00:34,680 --> 01:00:37,560 Speaker 4: he is just The remember last year when you, Know 1270 01:00:37,720 --> 01:00:40,640 Speaker 4: Bryce miller And Tanner biby And Gavin williams and all 1271 01:00:40,680 --> 01:00:42,920 Speaker 4: these guys were coming up and people were spending twenty 1272 01:00:42,960 --> 01:00:46,360 Speaker 4: percent of their fab on them after one good. Start 1273 01:00:46,840 --> 01:00:49,720 Speaker 4: scott just to me seems like this year's version of. 1274 01:00:49,800 --> 01:00:52,320 Speaker 4: That so he's someone that if you do have space to, 1275 01:00:52,400 --> 01:00:54,800 Speaker 4: STASH i like getting out in front of and the 1276 01:00:54,880 --> 01:00:59,520 Speaker 4: pitching landscape is just so rough That i'm okay taking you, 1277 01:00:59,600 --> 01:01:02,800 Speaker 4: know use a bench spot on a high you, know 1278 01:01:02,920 --> 01:01:06,400 Speaker 4: a highly talented arm if it means uh you, KNOW 1279 01:01:06,480 --> 01:01:08,520 Speaker 4: i get that, payoff and it shouldn't be too much. 1280 01:01:08,600 --> 01:01:11,240 Speaker 4: Longer is the Reason i'd be willing to. STASH i 1281 01:01:11,360 --> 01:01:12,520 Speaker 4: was gonna ask you about the time. 1282 01:01:12,560 --> 01:01:15,240 Speaker 2: FRAME i ACTUALLY i saw you tweet About scott a 1283 01:01:15,280 --> 01:01:17,120 Speaker 2: couple of days, ago AND i went and picked him 1284 01:01:17,200 --> 01:01:20,480 Speaker 2: up in two different, leagues one one, redraft one like 1285 01:01:20,600 --> 01:01:22,080 Speaker 2: not true dynasty but kind of a deep. 1286 01:01:22,160 --> 01:01:23,840 Speaker 1: Keeper and SO i kind of got out ahead of. 1287 01:01:23,880 --> 01:01:25,800 Speaker 2: It like you're, saying, SO i think that's really, smart 1288 01:01:25,880 --> 01:01:28,160 Speaker 2: like assuming that he is, up you, know relatively. Soon 1289 01:01:28,440 --> 01:01:30,160 Speaker 2: do you if you had to put a time frame on, 1290 01:01:30,240 --> 01:01:32,560 Speaker 2: it would you, say, like you, know the next, month 1291 01:01:32,640 --> 01:01:34,280 Speaker 2: the next couple of, weeks like sooner or? 1292 01:01:34,360 --> 01:01:34,840 Speaker 1: Later what do you? 1293 01:01:34,880 --> 01:01:37,640 Speaker 4: Think you can get burned sometimes with you, know trying 1294 01:01:37,640 --> 01:01:39,560 Speaker 4: to stash a little you, know too, early and then 1295 01:01:39,600 --> 01:01:41,240 Speaker 4: it ends up being a couple of, months and, it you, 1296 01:01:41,280 --> 01:01:43,840 Speaker 4: know wasn't the most efficient use of that roster. Space 1297 01:01:44,440 --> 01:01:48,240 Speaker 4: If butto had not done what he ended up doing 1298 01:01:48,720 --> 01:01:51,000 Speaker 4: these past couple, STARTS i, think you, know this would 1299 01:01:51,040 --> 01:01:55,520 Speaker 4: Be scott's, spots, Uh scott's spot right. Now but but 1300 01:01:55,600 --> 01:01:57,720 Speaker 4: that being, SAID i still think he's next in line 1301 01:01:57,760 --> 01:02:00,200 Speaker 4: whenever an injury. Happened so you, know if the that's 1302 01:02:00,280 --> 01:02:02,760 Speaker 4: pitching staff just keeps rolling and there's no, INJURIES i 1303 01:02:02,760 --> 01:02:05,400 Speaker 4: don't think they're going to force. Anything but the second 1304 01:02:05,560 --> 01:02:10,040 Speaker 4: you Know Adrian hauser has an il stint Or Cantana minaya, 1305 01:02:10,120 --> 01:02:12,560 Speaker 4: does and something goes, WRONG i. THINK i don't think 1306 01:02:12,600 --> 01:02:16,120 Speaker 4: there's any. Reason there's nothing else Preventing scott from from 1307 01:02:16,160 --> 01:02:18,320 Speaker 4: being next in line for, them particularly In. 1308 01:02:18,400 --> 01:02:20,360 Speaker 2: Redraft this is the guy that should be pretty available 1309 01:02:20,360 --> 01:02:23,320 Speaker 2: if if anybody has that roster spot to h maybe 1310 01:02:23,320 --> 01:02:25,200 Speaker 2: they had somebody else get, hurt so now there's an, 1311 01:02:25,240 --> 01:02:28,120 Speaker 2: opening or for whatever, reason if you have an opening 1312 01:02:28,640 --> 01:02:31,280 Speaker 2: a guy to stash there mayor we'll start with your you, 1313 01:02:31,360 --> 01:02:33,840 Speaker 2: know storry With olgodi or pitcher here instead of your 1314 01:02:33,880 --> 01:02:34,600 Speaker 2: hat or you got. 1315 01:02:34,680 --> 01:02:37,440 Speaker 3: Well i'm still recovering from all The Adrian hauser disrespect 1316 01:02:37,520 --> 01:02:40,040 Speaker 3: That tuma just through out. There that man has a Family. Tuma, 1317 01:02:40,440 --> 01:02:42,919 Speaker 3: sorry did you say we're going with my? Pitcher? FIRST 1318 01:02:42,960 --> 01:02:45,280 Speaker 3: i Was, YES i was preparing for my, comment not 1319 01:02:45,400 --> 01:02:46,120 Speaker 3: listening to what you're. 1320 01:02:46,120 --> 01:02:49,480 Speaker 1: Saying, yeah that's that's all too. Common, yes let's go 1321 01:02:49,640 --> 01:02:49,880 Speaker 1: with your. 1322 01:02:49,920 --> 01:02:54,520 Speaker 3: Pitcher So i'm going with the probably the complete opposite 1323 01:02:54,600 --> 01:02:58,360 Speaker 3: Of Christian scott And Ronaldo. Lopez and he's not a 1324 01:02:58,440 --> 01:03:00,920 Speaker 3: young up and coming. Prospect he's not a very exciting. 1325 01:03:01,040 --> 01:03:04,120 Speaker 3: Name he is off to a very good. Start you, 1326 01:03:04,200 --> 01:03:06,360 Speaker 3: know he has a zero point five e. Er he's 1327 01:03:06,440 --> 01:03:09,200 Speaker 3: as eighteen strike as in eighteen. Innings they're. Braves you. 1328 01:03:09,280 --> 01:03:12,080 Speaker 3: Know he hasn't really been a starter for a, while 1329 01:03:12,160 --> 01:03:15,439 Speaker 3: so you know this he did, start you, know several years, 1330 01:03:15,440 --> 01:03:17,040 Speaker 3: ago but for the most, part he's kind of been 1331 01:03:17,160 --> 01:03:20,520 Speaker 3: like a relievers swing, swingman kind of a kind of a. 1332 01:03:20,560 --> 01:03:22,040 Speaker 3: Pitcher so he doesn't have a ton of, innings so 1333 01:03:22,520 --> 01:03:25,160 Speaker 3: we'll see how long he's you, know one how long this, 1334 01:03:25,320 --> 01:03:27,600 Speaker 3: lasts and two kind of how many innings he's able to. 1335 01:03:27,640 --> 01:03:31,000 Speaker 3: Go so this is more of a short term pick, 1336 01:03:31,080 --> 01:03:33,600 Speaker 3: up especially because he does have two starts this. Week 1337 01:03:33,640 --> 01:03:36,880 Speaker 3: he has two starts against The marlins and The, guardians 1338 01:03:36,880 --> 01:03:39,040 Speaker 3: so two not terrible, matchups one really good, matchup and 1339 01:03:39,080 --> 01:03:39,760 Speaker 3: one matchup that's. 1340 01:03:39,800 --> 01:03:41,880 Speaker 1: Fine, no why did you Pick why didn't you pick 1341 01:03:41,920 --> 01:03:42,720 Speaker 1: him for our two start. 1342 01:03:42,800 --> 01:03:45,840 Speaker 3: Competition well we'll get into that later later in the, 1343 01:03:45,880 --> 01:03:51,040 Speaker 3: show don't spoil. It, yeah but, no he's he's not 1344 01:03:51,160 --> 01:03:53,160 Speaker 3: like an exciting, name but you, Know we've talked a 1345 01:03:53,240 --> 01:03:55,520 Speaker 3: bunch on this show already about the state of pitching 1346 01:03:55,560 --> 01:03:57,160 Speaker 3: and just how awful it is out. There and right, 1347 01:03:57,200 --> 01:03:59,400 Speaker 3: now he's someone who's pitching well and he seems. Reliable 1348 01:03:59,440 --> 01:04:02,120 Speaker 3: he's on a good, team and he's you, know he's 1349 01:04:02,120 --> 01:04:04,080 Speaker 3: striking out a batter per, inning which is something he 1350 01:04:04,200 --> 01:04:07,560 Speaker 3: has done in his. Career and SO i don't expect 1351 01:04:07,640 --> 01:04:09,800 Speaker 3: him to be a league, winner but if you need, 1352 01:04:09,880 --> 01:04:12,040 Speaker 3: pitching LIKE i, do in a lot of, leagues he's 1353 01:04:12,160 --> 01:04:14,000 Speaker 3: a fine pickup and he's available in a lot of 1354 01:04:14,080 --> 01:04:14,520 Speaker 3: leagues right. 1355 01:04:14,520 --> 01:04:16,680 Speaker 1: Now, tima what are your quick thoughts On Rnado. 1356 01:04:16,720 --> 01:04:20,840 Speaker 4: LOPEZ i think one fallout of the Terrible Spencer strider 1357 01:04:20,920 --> 01:04:23,160 Speaker 4: injury news is that it does make The braves a 1358 01:04:23,200 --> 01:04:26,280 Speaker 4: little more reliant on Keeping lopez in the rotation for 1359 01:04:26,600 --> 01:04:29,280 Speaker 4: a little while, longer so you, know any concern like 1360 01:04:29,400 --> 01:04:32,400 Speaker 4: he might not last all season, long but he's definitely 1361 01:04:32,400 --> 01:04:35,040 Speaker 4: a little more insulated now than he was before The strider. 1362 01:04:35,120 --> 01:04:37,479 Speaker 4: Injury and, yeah the wins thing is a great. Point 1363 01:04:37,600 --> 01:04:39,960 Speaker 4: like you, know sometimes we don't talk if you play 1364 01:04:39,960 --> 01:04:42,160 Speaker 4: in a wins. League sometimes we don't talk enough about 1365 01:04:42,520 --> 01:04:44,760 Speaker 4: wins and we just focus on pitcher, skills but you, 1366 01:04:44,800 --> 01:04:46,400 Speaker 4: know pitching for The braves is a good place to. 1367 01:04:46,480 --> 01:04:48,800 Speaker 1: Start let's stay with you, too for your favorite hitter 1368 01:04:48,880 --> 01:04:50,919 Speaker 1: to pick up on waivers this. Week, yeah SO i had. 1369 01:04:50,840 --> 01:04:53,440 Speaker 4: To show some love to the to The orioles phantom 1370 01:04:53,480 --> 01:04:54,560 Speaker 4: on this, podcast and. 1371 01:04:55,600 --> 01:04:57,440 Speaker 3: Don't show too much because we get enough of it 1372 01:04:57,520 --> 01:04:58,040 Speaker 3: every single. 1373 01:04:58,080 --> 01:04:59,080 Speaker 4: Week it. 1374 01:04:59,240 --> 01:04:59,440 Speaker 1: IS i. 1375 01:04:59,560 --> 01:05:02,280 Speaker 4: Am i'm A Red sox, fan BUT i got The 1376 01:05:02,360 --> 01:05:04,120 Speaker 4: orioles have a place in my heart right. Now they 1377 01:05:04,120 --> 01:05:07,120 Speaker 4: are so fun to. Watch, yeah And i'm not going 1378 01:05:07,200 --> 01:05:09,960 Speaker 4: with one of their young hitting young. Hitters i'm going 1379 01:05:10,040 --> 01:05:12,600 Speaker 4: with one of their older hitters In ryan, O'Hearn and 1380 01:05:12,680 --> 01:05:15,560 Speaker 4: he's becoming a little bit, popular you, know on Baseball 1381 01:05:15,600 --> 01:05:18,280 Speaker 4: twitter and, whatnot because if you just type, in you, 1382 01:05:18,360 --> 01:05:21,120 Speaker 4: Know ryan O'Hearn baseball, savant do yourself a favor and 1383 01:05:21,360 --> 01:05:25,439 Speaker 4: just brace yourself for the sea of red that's gonna 1384 01:05:25,840 --> 01:05:28,920 Speaker 4: explode onto your computer screen because he, is you, know 1385 01:05:29,040 --> 01:05:33,360 Speaker 4: absolutely scolding the. Ball so far this, year The orioles 1386 01:05:33,880 --> 01:05:38,000 Speaker 4: are They They they've had some success with not just 1387 01:05:38,200 --> 01:05:41,200 Speaker 4: with drafting and developing you, know top, prospects but with 1388 01:05:42,040 --> 01:05:46,840 Speaker 4: having helping with some you, know mid career turnarounds and you, 1389 01:05:46,880 --> 01:05:49,160 Speaker 4: Know Mike, elias the general. Manager it comes from The. 1390 01:05:49,160 --> 01:05:51,200 Speaker 4: Astros they had a lot of success in a similar. 1391 01:05:51,600 --> 01:05:54,360 Speaker 4: Thing So i'm, not you, know writing this off as 1392 01:05:55,120 --> 01:05:58,440 Speaker 4: something that's you, know just Gonna Ryan oharn's gonna revert back, 1393 01:05:58,520 --> 01:06:01,320 Speaker 4: to you, know twenty twenty One Royals ryan O'Hearn and 1394 01:06:01,400 --> 01:06:04,480 Speaker 4: we'll never hear from him. Again at the same, TIME 1395 01:06:04,600 --> 01:06:06,320 Speaker 4: i don't want to get too carried away because, yeah 1396 01:06:06,320 --> 01:06:10,000 Speaker 4: he's leading baseball and EXPECTED, wOBA but he's not playing 1397 01:06:10,000 --> 01:06:12,640 Speaker 4: against left. Handers he's yet to start against a lefty 1398 01:06:12,800 --> 01:06:15,000 Speaker 4: AND i think he only has one total plate appearance 1399 01:06:15,280 --> 01:06:17,120 Speaker 4: against a. Lefty and you, know if you play in 1400 01:06:17,160 --> 01:06:19,880 Speaker 4: a weekly league and The orioles face three lefties in a, 1401 01:06:19,920 --> 01:06:23,439 Speaker 4: week that just makes it really really. Hard but, yeah, 1402 01:06:23,480 --> 01:06:26,920 Speaker 4: OTHERWISE i do find hitters are tough to find on the, 1403 01:06:27,000 --> 01:06:30,360 Speaker 4: wire you, know especially you, know potential rest of season. 1404 01:06:30,440 --> 01:06:33,360 Speaker 4: Options it's it's easy to, stream you, know a single 1405 01:06:33,440 --> 01:06:36,120 Speaker 4: outfield spot for someone who gets a corps matchup or. 1406 01:06:36,160 --> 01:06:39,320 Speaker 4: Something but, yeah, yeah but to, find you, know consistent 1407 01:06:40,880 --> 01:06:42,640 Speaker 4: hitters on the waiver wire that are going to stick 1408 01:06:42,640 --> 01:06:45,240 Speaker 4: in your lineup all season, long that's a little. Tricky 1409 01:06:45,320 --> 01:06:47,600 Speaker 4: but o'hearan looks like he has the, upside and you, 1410 01:06:47,680 --> 01:06:50,080 Speaker 4: know at worst he's going to be on a strong 1411 01:06:50,160 --> 01:06:52,080 Speaker 4: side platoon in the middle of one of the best 1412 01:06:52,120 --> 01:06:53,400 Speaker 4: lineups in, baseball. 1413 01:06:53,880 --> 01:06:56,760 Speaker 2: And against all, logic they do occasionally put him out 1414 01:06:56,760 --> 01:07:00,200 Speaker 2: in right fields In. Baltimore and so for whatever that's, 1415 01:07:00,240 --> 01:07:02,280 Speaker 2: worth if that helps you in your league setting or 1416 01:07:02,400 --> 01:07:05,560 Speaker 2: given the state of your, roster that's eligibility that he might, 1417 01:07:05,640 --> 01:07:08,080 Speaker 2: add you, know during the. Season you, know going into this, 1418 01:07:08,240 --> 01:07:10,480 Speaker 2: YEAR i spoke a lot with my Fellow orioles fan 1419 01:07:10,640 --> 01:07:14,000 Speaker 2: friends about how LIKE i was ready to just kind 1420 01:07:14,000 --> 01:07:14,360 Speaker 2: of trade. 1421 01:07:14,400 --> 01:07:16,040 Speaker 1: Him, hey he had a pretty nice year last. 1422 01:07:16,080 --> 01:07:18,480 Speaker 2: Year there's so many guys in the miners like Here 1423 01:07:18,600 --> 01:07:20,920 Speaker 2: stad and you, Know Kobe, mayo just all these like 1424 01:07:20,960 --> 01:07:22,880 Speaker 2: power hitting options THAT i want to see In. Baltimore 1425 01:07:23,360 --> 01:07:25,760 Speaker 2: SO i was like fully on board to trade him 1426 01:07:25,760 --> 01:07:28,720 Speaker 2: Trained and you, know THE bada ball profile last year wasn't, 1427 01:07:28,840 --> 01:07:31,360 Speaker 2: awful but it WASN'T i mean last year there's like 1428 01:07:31,440 --> 01:07:33,640 Speaker 2: a couple of rows of red and that stat cast 1429 01:07:33,680 --> 01:07:36,480 Speaker 2: page this year to your point one hundred percentile and 1430 01:07:36,560 --> 01:07:40,560 Speaker 2: next one hundred percentile expected batting, average hundred percentile expected. 1431 01:07:40,600 --> 01:07:44,160 Speaker 2: SLUGGING i, mean it's in ninety fourth percentile average exit 1432 01:07:44,240 --> 01:07:45,360 Speaker 2: velocity going down the. 1433 01:07:45,400 --> 01:07:49,840 Speaker 1: List it's. Ridiculous so he has looked, really really good this. 1434 01:07:50,000 --> 01:07:53,040 Speaker 2: Season mayor everybody knows that you're a fan of the 1435 01:07:53,160 --> 01:07:55,960 Speaker 2: Other orioles first, Baseman but can you say anything nice 1436 01:07:55,960 --> 01:07:56,680 Speaker 2: about O'Hearn as? 1437 01:07:56,720 --> 01:08:00,880 Speaker 3: WELL i can say, that you, KNOW i did exactly 1438 01:08:00,920 --> 01:08:04,560 Speaker 3: What tuma said and Googled ryan O'Hearn baseball savant and 1439 01:08:04,600 --> 01:08:06,320 Speaker 3: pulled it up while he was, talking and it's exactly 1440 01:08:06,360 --> 01:08:07,800 Speaker 3: what you. Said it's not just, right it's just a 1441 01:08:07,960 --> 01:08:12,880 Speaker 3: sea of dark. RED i actually almost wrote him up 1442 01:08:12,920 --> 01:08:15,520 Speaker 3: as my cell high this, week not not to throw you, 1443 01:08:15,600 --> 01:08:19,160 Speaker 3: know water on, it just because of What tuma said 1444 01:08:19,160 --> 01:08:20,880 Speaker 3: that he isn't playing against lefties and that you, know 1445 01:08:21,000 --> 01:08:24,840 Speaker 3: everything looks, great but there are going to be those 1446 01:08:24,880 --> 01:08:27,240 Speaker 3: weeks where he's playing against three lefties and and you 1447 01:08:27,320 --> 01:08:30,519 Speaker 3: know that is going to cap his his overall value 1448 01:08:31,080 --> 01:08:33,439 Speaker 3: and so and like what like we've, said you, know 1449 01:08:33,479 --> 01:08:35,120 Speaker 3: the last couple of, weeks like cell high doesn't mean, 1450 01:08:35,160 --> 01:08:37,680 Speaker 3: Bad it just means maybe you can get more for 1451 01:08:37,840 --> 01:08:40,080 Speaker 3: him than he's potentially. Worth and that's WHAT i think he. 1452 01:08:40,240 --> 01:08:42,040 Speaker 3: IS i think he's really, good AND i think he's 1453 01:08:42,040 --> 01:08:43,720 Speaker 3: a good. Story he's also hitting in the middle of that, 1454 01:08:43,840 --> 01:08:46,560 Speaker 3: lineup which is incredible given how deep that lineup. Is 1455 01:08:48,080 --> 01:08:50,320 Speaker 3: so he's a cell high for me from that. Perspective but, 1456 01:08:50,400 --> 01:08:52,960 Speaker 3: also like Like tuma, said if you're in a daily 1457 01:08:53,040 --> 01:08:54,760 Speaker 3: league and you can pick your spots with, him like he's, 1458 01:08:54,800 --> 01:08:57,519 Speaker 3: perfect and you, Know i'd like to have more of 1459 01:08:57,640 --> 01:09:00,439 Speaker 3: him in those dynasty leagues that too much talked, about 1460 01:09:00,479 --> 01:09:02,080 Speaker 3: SO i, could, like you, know mix him in where 1461 01:09:02,160 --> 01:09:04,840 Speaker 3: that outfield eligibility would be really beneficial to me BECAUSE 1462 01:09:04,840 --> 01:09:06,519 Speaker 3: i need ut filters in a lot of my dynasty. 1463 01:09:06,600 --> 01:09:10,320 Speaker 4: Leagues he's dual eligible as, well and you know it's 1464 01:09:10,439 --> 01:09:12,479 Speaker 4: when his first place. Outfield you can also put him 1465 01:09:12,479 --> 01:09:14,720 Speaker 4: at corner infield if you play in a play in 1466 01:09:14,760 --> 01:09:16,800 Speaker 4: a league with that position and. Everything so there's a 1467 01:09:16,840 --> 01:09:19,080 Speaker 4: lot AND i think what you said is like the 1468 01:09:19,160 --> 01:09:21,280 Speaker 4: fact that it's like one hundred percent time we're talking 1469 01:09:21,280 --> 01:09:23,720 Speaker 4: about is huge because that means if he, does if 1470 01:09:23,760 --> 01:09:25,559 Speaker 4: and when you, know he does come back to earth 1471 01:09:25,600 --> 01:09:27,840 Speaker 4: a little bit like it might not be you know 1472 01:09:27,960 --> 01:09:31,040 Speaker 4: to the point where he's, Unusable and, yeah that's what 1473 01:09:31,160 --> 01:09:33,479 Speaker 4: makes it really you, know stand out for him because 1474 01:09:33,840 --> 01:09:35,519 Speaker 4: when you reach that point you just can't ignore it. 1475 01:09:35,600 --> 01:09:39,400 Speaker 2: Eventually, YEAH i was gonna, SAY i haven't looked At 1476 01:09:40,040 --> 01:09:43,840 Speaker 2: ronald McCune's twenty twenty three stat cast data, recently BUT 1477 01:09:44,240 --> 01:09:46,320 Speaker 2: i can't imagine it's redder than. THIS i, mean this 1478 01:09:46,520 --> 01:09:49,080 Speaker 2: is this is insane from or the other. Thing i'll 1479 01:09:49,120 --> 01:09:51,000 Speaker 2: shout out to him before we move on the k. 1480 01:09:51,240 --> 01:09:54,120 Speaker 2: Rate you, know he struck out over twenty two percent 1481 01:09:54,160 --> 01:09:56,439 Speaker 2: of the time last, year which was his previous career. 1482 01:09:56,600 --> 01:09:58,920 Speaker 1: Low this year it's under ten. Percent it's a nine 1483 01:09:58,960 --> 01:10:00,280 Speaker 1: point six right, now so it's. 1484 01:10:00,320 --> 01:10:03,640 Speaker 2: Early but you, know in addition to really impacting the 1485 01:10:03,680 --> 01:10:06,519 Speaker 2: ball when he's, swinging he's he's not striking out as much, 1486 01:10:06,640 --> 01:10:09,640 Speaker 2: either mayor wrap us up in the waivers section with 1487 01:10:09,720 --> 01:10:10,360 Speaker 2: your favorite. 1488 01:10:10,439 --> 01:10:12,479 Speaker 3: Hitter so my favorite, hitter and this is this is 1489 01:10:12,520 --> 01:10:14,600 Speaker 3: a dart throw and it's someone you, know again That 1490 01:10:14,680 --> 01:10:16,760 Speaker 3: tuma might know more, about because you know he's he's 1491 01:10:16,800 --> 01:10:19,920 Speaker 3: the prospect. Guy but It's andy Pah hez and it's 1492 01:10:20,200 --> 01:10:23,760 Speaker 3: spelled pages but it's apparently pronounced Pa. Hez SO i 1493 01:10:23,840 --> 01:10:26,400 Speaker 3: hope we're not like headed down like A Jordan Jordan 1494 01:10:26,479 --> 01:10:28,680 Speaker 3: alvarez situation where it just goes back and forth every. 1495 01:10:28,720 --> 01:10:32,040 Speaker 3: Year but that would mean that he sticks around if 1496 01:10:32,040 --> 01:10:34,280 Speaker 3: we're still talking about. It so hopefully that's the. Case 1497 01:10:34,720 --> 01:10:36,880 Speaker 3: but this is someone The dodgers just called him up 1498 01:10:37,439 --> 01:10:39,920 Speaker 3: because you, know they need help in the. Outfield he 1499 01:10:40,120 --> 01:10:42,160 Speaker 3: was off to a really good start In TRIPLE. A 1500 01:10:42,600 --> 01:10:45,920 Speaker 3: five home runs in fifteen, games batting three seventy. One 1501 01:10:46,400 --> 01:10:49,160 Speaker 3: he's always been kind of an on base power guy 1502 01:10:49,280 --> 01:10:51,200 Speaker 3: throughout his throughout his minor league, career which is really, 1503 01:10:51,240 --> 01:10:53,559 Speaker 3: intriguing especially in those dynasty. Leagues we've talked about where 1504 01:10:53,840 --> 01:10:56,000 Speaker 3: a lot of those dynasty leagues are on base percentage or. 1505 01:10:56,040 --> 01:10:59,719 Speaker 3: Ops we'll see how it. Goes you, know he didn't 1506 01:10:59,720 --> 01:11:01,400 Speaker 3: get Off it's only been two, games but he didn't 1507 01:11:01,400 --> 01:11:03,719 Speaker 3: get off to a scorching hot start with The, dodgers 1508 01:11:03,760 --> 01:11:05,160 Speaker 3: and he's going to batt low in the lineup for 1509 01:11:05,200 --> 01:11:07,600 Speaker 3: a little. While BUT i do think he has the 1510 01:11:07,680 --> 01:11:10,719 Speaker 3: kind of approach where he can have some staying power 1511 01:11:10,800 --> 01:11:14,760 Speaker 3: and if he staying power and actual, power and so 1512 01:11:14,840 --> 01:11:16,680 Speaker 3: if he can kind of stick around in that really good, 1513 01:11:16,720 --> 01:11:19,080 Speaker 3: lineup maybe he gets you, know gets off to a 1514 01:11:19,200 --> 01:11:21,120 Speaker 3: bit of a hot, start moves up in that lineup 1515 01:11:21,120 --> 01:11:22,800 Speaker 3: to like fifth or. Six now you're batting fifth or 1516 01:11:22,840 --> 01:11:25,760 Speaker 3: six in one of the better lineups in, baseball and 1517 01:11:25,880 --> 01:11:28,120 Speaker 3: you have. Power LIKE i, said it's kind of a dart. 1518 01:11:28,200 --> 01:11:31,360 Speaker 3: Throw i'm definitely you, know picking him up in a 1519 01:11:31,400 --> 01:11:33,840 Speaker 3: bunch of leagues WHERE i can and just seeing how 1520 01:11:33,880 --> 01:11:35,320 Speaker 3: it goes for a couple of, weeks because he is 1521 01:11:35,520 --> 01:11:37,559 Speaker 3: he does have the kind of ceiling where he can 1522 01:11:38,160 --> 01:11:41,120 Speaker 3: really really help your team down the road and if 1523 01:11:41,120 --> 01:11:42,479 Speaker 3: it doesn't work, out you just drop him in two. 1524 01:11:42,479 --> 01:11:44,240 Speaker 1: Weeks, tuma what do you think about? Him both for 1525 01:11:44,600 --> 01:11:45,400 Speaker 1: read draft and For. 1526 01:11:45,520 --> 01:11:48,320 Speaker 4: Dynasty, YEAH i was just actually before we started, recording 1527 01:11:48,400 --> 01:11:51,640 Speaker 4: reading A fangrafts article about The dodgers outfield and just 1528 01:11:51,720 --> 01:11:53,679 Speaker 4: how like how rough it's been to start the. Season 1529 01:11:53,760 --> 01:11:55,920 Speaker 4: so like you, said that there's opportunity there for, him 1530 01:11:56,439 --> 01:11:58,719 Speaker 4: and he did, have you, know a really bad shoulder 1531 01:11:58,800 --> 01:12:01,479 Speaker 4: injury last. Season the miners that that ended his year 1532 01:12:01,520 --> 01:12:04,559 Speaker 4: early and your shoulders with hitters always scares me a little. 1533 01:12:04,600 --> 01:12:07,040 Speaker 4: Bit but later but it's not you, know it doesn't 1534 01:12:07,040 --> 01:12:10,200 Speaker 4: mean it's a death sentence for guys and and, yeah, 1535 01:12:10,280 --> 01:12:12,680 Speaker 4: so but because The dodgers outfield has been you, know, 1536 01:12:12,840 --> 01:12:15,960 Speaker 4: underperforming you know as as a, whole you, know outside 1537 01:12:15,960 --> 01:12:18,800 Speaker 4: Of Ti Oscar, UH i think there's gonna be. OPPORTUNITY 1538 01:12:18,840 --> 01:12:21,800 Speaker 4: i would pay really close attention to the playing time 1539 01:12:21,880 --> 01:12:24,680 Speaker 4: the next few, days you, know if you're whatever day 1540 01:12:24,760 --> 01:12:27,960 Speaker 4: your waivers run or the time you would need to 1541 01:12:27,960 --> 01:12:30,240 Speaker 4: put him in your. Lineup if he's played every day 1542 01:12:30,320 --> 01:12:32,320 Speaker 4: up until that, POINT i think that makes a huge. 1543 01:12:32,400 --> 01:12:36,400 Speaker 4: Difference BUT i just mentioned that because sometimes you know The, Dodgers, 1544 01:12:36,800 --> 01:12:38,479 Speaker 4: uh we'll mix a match a little bit. More and 1545 01:12:38,479 --> 01:12:40,680 Speaker 4: if he only, starts you, know three out of six, 1546 01:12:40,800 --> 01:12:43,080 Speaker 4: games and then it's probably not you, know a weekly 1547 01:12:43,160 --> 01:12:46,000 Speaker 4: play just. Yet But i'm interested because you, know last 1548 01:12:46,080 --> 01:12:50,280 Speaker 4: YEAR i was not in on the non elite prospects 1549 01:12:50,439 --> 01:12:53,000 Speaker 4: who came up Like matt, McClain Zach. GELOFF i just 1550 01:12:53,120 --> 01:12:55,000 Speaker 4: like you, know wasn't paying attention to those. Guys i'm 1551 01:12:55,000 --> 01:12:57,160 Speaker 4: trying to do a better job of, that even for redraft. 1552 01:12:57,280 --> 01:12:59,559 Speaker 4: Leagues so so, yeah for, me it's a monitor right. 1553 01:12:59,600 --> 01:13:03,240 Speaker 4: Now it could it could go a good way in 1554 01:13:03,280 --> 01:13:06,120 Speaker 4: A harvey with uh with that. Lineup let's get into 1555 01:13:06,920 --> 01:13:07,960 Speaker 4: kind of the meat of this. 1556 01:13:08,200 --> 01:13:11,840 Speaker 2: Segment AND i wanted to talk about this angle too 1557 01:13:11,920 --> 01:13:14,320 Speaker 2: much BECAUSE i always really enjoy kind of seeing your 1558 01:13:14,760 --> 01:13:16,920 Speaker 2: like who you really plant your flag on when you're 1559 01:13:16,960 --> 01:13:19,080 Speaker 2: making your, predictions you, know by the end of spring 1560 01:13:19,160 --> 01:13:21,200 Speaker 2: training and the guys that you Know i'm Gonna i'm 1561 01:13:21,200 --> 01:13:23,960 Speaker 2: gonna have this guy, everywhere, right Like shane mcclanand no matter. 1562 01:13:24,080 --> 01:13:26,080 Speaker 2: What a couple of years, AGO i really enjoy following. 1563 01:13:26,160 --> 01:13:27,880 Speaker 2: That so WHAT i wanted to do is talk about 1564 01:13:28,040 --> 01:13:28,280 Speaker 2: that's a. 1565 01:13:28,280 --> 01:13:31,160 Speaker 3: Sore subject For tuma actually in our leagues. Together and SO. 1566 01:13:32,920 --> 01:13:35,519 Speaker 4: I posted the Like seane mcclan hand no matter what 1567 01:13:35,720 --> 01:13:38,920 Speaker 4: before an auction draft That mayo was in and he 1568 01:13:39,120 --> 01:13:42,120 Speaker 4: just did me up a dollar every single like to 1569 01:13:42,200 --> 01:13:45,840 Speaker 4: the point where it was like just gross, overpaying AND 1570 01:13:46,120 --> 01:13:49,479 Speaker 4: i stopped myself and Then mayor won him and and 1571 01:13:49,560 --> 01:13:51,360 Speaker 4: then it ended up being an underpaid because he was 1572 01:13:51,400 --> 01:13:54,439 Speaker 4: that good that. Year but so NOW i posted after 1573 01:13:54,600 --> 01:13:55,679 Speaker 4: the draft with, mother. 1574 01:13:57,280 --> 01:13:57,439 Speaker 1: That's. 1575 01:13:57,520 --> 01:14:01,519 Speaker 2: Great we uh in my long run deep keeper, league 1576 01:14:02,080 --> 01:14:05,120 Speaker 2: we you, know we Had Wyatt langford up available at 1577 01:14:05,120 --> 01:14:07,920 Speaker 2: the salary cap you know draft this, year and there 1578 01:14:08,080 --> 01:14:09,559 Speaker 2: was two guys in the, league one of them who 1579 01:14:09,680 --> 01:14:12,160 Speaker 2: is A Florida gators alum and the other who is 1580 01:14:12,240 --> 01:14:15,519 Speaker 2: A rangers. Fan and those two were basically both Wya 1581 01:14:15,520 --> 01:14:17,559 Speaker 2: At langford no matter. What and he ended up going 1582 01:14:17,640 --> 01:14:20,080 Speaker 2: for more than any other player in the, league which 1583 01:14:20,200 --> 01:14:22,400 Speaker 2: was a which is a fun. One but, YEAH i 1584 01:14:22,439 --> 01:14:24,840 Speaker 2: wanted to talk about these preseason. Predictions and WHAT i 1585 01:14:24,880 --> 01:14:27,040 Speaker 2: wanted you guys to do is each pick a prediction 1586 01:14:27,200 --> 01:14:29,280 Speaker 2: that you wish you could take, back if you could 1587 01:14:29,320 --> 01:14:30,760 Speaker 2: kind of look back in your crystal ball and, SAY 1588 01:14:30,800 --> 01:14:33,200 Speaker 2: i already regret that a couple weeks into the, season 1589 01:14:33,320 --> 01:14:35,160 Speaker 2: and then also give us a prediction that you would 1590 01:14:35,160 --> 01:14:37,320 Speaker 2: double down on having seen the first two weeks of the. 1591 01:14:37,360 --> 01:14:38,920 Speaker 2: Season let's start with the ones that we wish we 1592 01:14:38,960 --> 01:14:40,519 Speaker 2: would take back in two Mile i'll start with. 1593 01:14:40,600 --> 01:14:43,920 Speaker 4: You, yeah so was this two weeks? Ago now it 1594 01:14:44,000 --> 01:14:45,880 Speaker 4: might have. BEEN i posted a tweet AND i was, 1595 01:14:46,000 --> 01:14:49,240 Speaker 4: like two GUYS i WISH i had more of right, 1596 01:14:49,320 --> 01:14:53,439 Speaker 4: away like and it Was Shane bieber And Saya. Suzuki 1597 01:14:54,040 --> 01:14:56,320 Speaker 4: AND i stand by that treat because they both just 1598 01:14:56,439 --> 01:15:00,840 Speaker 4: LIKE i didn't, like they just looked the. Part even 1599 01:15:00,880 --> 01:15:02,800 Speaker 4: two weeks into the, season you could tell there was you, 1600 01:15:02,840 --> 01:15:05,679 Speaker 4: Know suzuki was carrying over his second half of last 1601 01:15:05,760 --> 01:15:07,880 Speaker 4: year And bieber he had reached a new. Level and 1602 01:15:07,960 --> 01:15:10,240 Speaker 4: then The bieber news, happened like the very next, day 1603 01:15:10,360 --> 01:15:13,560 Speaker 4: So i'm like a little. BIT i don't want to 1604 01:15:13,600 --> 01:15:16,720 Speaker 4: jinx anyone with say here with, that but for those 1605 01:15:16,720 --> 01:15:19,479 Speaker 4: are two guys that pot for. Me and then the 1606 01:15:19,560 --> 01:15:22,519 Speaker 4: OTHER i wanted to mention Is trout and it's not you, 1607 01:15:22,600 --> 01:15:25,960 Speaker 4: KNOW i wasn't crazy of you, know Fading trout, necessarily 1608 01:15:26,120 --> 01:15:28,639 Speaker 4: BUT i remember at the beginning of the off season 1609 01:15:28,760 --> 01:15:31,080 Speaker 4: just seeing like some very EARLY adp AND i know 1610 01:15:31,360 --> 01:15:32,960 Speaker 4: there was a lot of talk he doesn't run, anymore 1611 01:15:33,000 --> 01:15:34,760 Speaker 4: he's gonna get. Hurt AND i just remember, thinking, like, 1612 01:15:34,840 --> 01:15:36,760 Speaker 4: man this Is Mike, trout and he's going to be 1613 01:15:36,800 --> 01:15:40,400 Speaker 4: available outside the top three rounds of fantasy. Leagues and 1614 01:15:41,280 --> 01:15:44,320 Speaker 4: BECAUSE i play so many different forms of, fantasy including you, 1615 01:15:44,400 --> 01:15:46,160 Speaker 4: know best, ball early in the off, SEASON i WAS 1616 01:15:46,439 --> 01:15:49,160 Speaker 4: i was getting a lot of him in that. Format 1617 01:15:49,280 --> 01:15:52,160 Speaker 4: but then as the off season went, ON i just 1618 01:15:52,240 --> 01:15:55,519 Speaker 4: started staring more and more at. Projections and you, know for, 1619 01:15:55,680 --> 01:15:58,840 Speaker 4: me LIKE i have rose colored glasses early in the off, 1620 01:15:58,920 --> 01:16:00,920 Speaker 4: season then if you get close to you, know your 1621 01:16:00,960 --> 01:16:02,920 Speaker 4: big money drafts and all, that LIKE i get a 1622 01:16:02,960 --> 01:16:06,120 Speaker 4: little more, conservative AND i just feel silly for, it 1623 01:16:06,240 --> 01:16:09,280 Speaker 4: because because again it is it Is Mike, trout AND 1624 01:16:10,000 --> 01:16:11,680 Speaker 4: i think there's a lot of people saying, like, oh, yeah, 1625 01:16:11,720 --> 01:16:13,760 Speaker 4: well you, know if you Drafted Mike, trout this is 1626 01:16:13,800 --> 01:16:15,640 Speaker 4: what you. Expected but he still might get. Hurt BUT 1627 01:16:16,040 --> 01:16:18,400 Speaker 4: i don't think that's. Accurate like he is a different he, 1628 01:16:18,600 --> 01:16:21,280 Speaker 4: is you, know back to being he, HAD i don't 1629 01:16:21,280 --> 01:16:23,400 Speaker 4: want to say fallen, off but like he had regressed 1630 01:16:23,400 --> 01:16:25,120 Speaker 4: a little the past couple of, years and now he's 1631 01:16:25,240 --> 01:16:28,040 Speaker 4: made that jump level. Back if you look at the 1632 01:16:28,120 --> 01:16:32,519 Speaker 4: bad Acts Rex ress of season, Projections Derek carty system 1633 01:16:32,560 --> 01:16:34,360 Speaker 4: has just you know fully bought, in and then you 1634 01:16:34,439 --> 01:16:38,920 Speaker 4: start digging Around trout swing decisions and it's he's just 1635 01:16:39,000 --> 01:16:41,479 Speaker 4: as good as he's ever. Been and it's, Again, YEAH 1636 01:16:41,600 --> 01:16:43,559 Speaker 4: i just think we're gonna look back at HIS adp 1637 01:16:45,120 --> 01:16:47,200 Speaker 4: from this offseason and we're all just gonna be kicking 1638 01:16:47,240 --> 01:16:49,640 Speaker 4: ourselves and we'll be paying the tax next year because of. 1639 01:16:49,720 --> 01:16:52,559 Speaker 2: It, Yeah mayor you and WE i think we talked 1640 01:16:52,600 --> 01:16:54,200 Speaker 2: about this a couple of weeks ago on this, show 1641 01:16:54,320 --> 01:16:57,759 Speaker 2: how we had been surprised by HIS adp at one, point, 1642 01:16:58,320 --> 01:17:00,679 Speaker 2: uh you, know in the off, season and it certainly 1643 01:17:00,760 --> 01:17:02,560 Speaker 2: looks like it was too low right, now like not 1644 01:17:02,760 --> 01:17:06,200 Speaker 2: only the running more, often but clearly the power already 1645 01:17:06,240 --> 01:17:08,920 Speaker 2: eight home. Runs i'm really like kind of, intrigued And 1646 01:17:08,920 --> 01:17:11,720 Speaker 2: i'm curious your, Opinion mayor on some of the like 1647 01:17:11,960 --> 01:17:14,880 Speaker 2: stat cast, Data like it's a lot of career highs 1648 01:17:14,920 --> 01:17:17,559 Speaker 2: and career. Lows it's a career low walk, rate it's 1649 01:17:17,600 --> 01:17:21,120 Speaker 2: a career low hard hit. Rate obviously the expected numbers 1650 01:17:21,120 --> 01:17:24,000 Speaker 2: are really strong in terms of slugging AND wOBA and all. 1651 01:17:24,080 --> 01:17:27,000 Speaker 2: That you, know the launch angle is a career. High 1652 01:17:28,960 --> 01:17:30,800 Speaker 2: Was oh, yeah the exit velocity is also a career. 1653 01:17:30,880 --> 01:17:32,479 Speaker 2: Low so there's like a lot of ones kind of 1654 01:17:32,520 --> 01:17:34,479 Speaker 2: on the extremes of what we've seen out Of. Trout 1655 01:17:34,520 --> 01:17:36,840 Speaker 2: but obviously the performance to data has been really. 1656 01:17:36,880 --> 01:17:40,439 Speaker 3: Strong, yeah and, yeah we talked about this exact thing 1657 01:17:40,479 --> 01:17:41,880 Speaker 3: That tuma was bringing up a couple of weeks, ago 1658 01:17:41,880 --> 01:17:44,200 Speaker 3: BECAUSE i messaged you like during the, draft AND i 1659 01:17:44,240 --> 01:17:45,880 Speaker 3: THINK i said something, LIKE i can't believe Where Mike 1660 01:17:45,880 --> 01:17:47,960 Speaker 3: traut just went in this. Draft like he's Still Mike. 1661 01:17:48,040 --> 01:17:51,439 Speaker 3: Trout he's still he might not be the first round pick, 1662 01:17:51,439 --> 01:17:53,920 Speaker 3: anymore but he still has That Mike trout. Ceiling and 1663 01:17:54,160 --> 01:17:56,160 Speaker 3: To tuma's, point you, know we're just you, know we're 1664 01:17:56,200 --> 01:17:59,479 Speaker 3: seeing you, know he already has eight home runs and you, 1665 01:17:59,520 --> 01:18:01,280 Speaker 3: Know i'm looking at the bad ex. Projections now he's 1666 01:18:01,320 --> 01:18:04,160 Speaker 3: projecting him for thirty seven more so almost fifty home 1667 01:18:04,240 --> 01:18:06,920 Speaker 3: runs For Mike jot again assuming he stays. Healthy but 1668 01:18:06,960 --> 01:18:09,720 Speaker 3: he's already he's also already stolen more bases than you 1669 01:18:09,800 --> 01:18:11,880 Speaker 3: were expecting when you drafted, him because hes stole three 1670 01:18:12,360 --> 01:18:14,800 Speaker 3: after stealing like six over the last four or five, 1671 01:18:14,880 --> 01:18:20,320 Speaker 3: years so, Combined so the, yeah the hard hit data is. 1672 01:18:20,400 --> 01:18:22,360 Speaker 3: INTERESTING i was looking at it While tuma was, talking 1673 01:18:22,400 --> 01:18:24,920 Speaker 3: and you, know if you look at like all of 1674 01:18:24,960 --> 01:18:26,920 Speaker 3: his you, know just like the hard hit percentage on, 1675 01:18:27,200 --> 01:18:30,920 Speaker 3: fangrafts like you, know from previous, years it's like forty, 1676 01:18:31,000 --> 01:18:33,080 Speaker 3: three forty, one thirty, eight thirty, eight thirty, nine and 1677 01:18:33,120 --> 01:18:36,280 Speaker 3: this year is only. Thirty SO i wouldn't say that's. 1678 01:18:36,280 --> 01:18:38,280 Speaker 3: Concerning but he has also cut down on his, strikeouts 1679 01:18:38,520 --> 01:18:40,679 Speaker 3: so he could just be making more contact and making 1680 01:18:40,800 --> 01:18:44,160 Speaker 3: different swing, decisions which is fine in the long run 1681 01:18:44,240 --> 01:18:46,760 Speaker 3: because also his launch angle is up and he's hitting you, 1682 01:18:46,800 --> 01:18:48,519 Speaker 3: know more home, runs hitting more balls in the. Air 1683 01:18:48,640 --> 01:18:51,680 Speaker 3: so To toomba's, POINT i do think a lot of 1684 01:18:51,760 --> 01:18:53,679 Speaker 3: it is just kind of like a different mic. TROT 1685 01:18:53,720 --> 01:18:55,479 Speaker 3: i think he just kind of recalibratd this offseed and 1686 01:18:55,680 --> 01:18:58,040 Speaker 3: came in with a different approach because he didn't want 1687 01:18:58,080 --> 01:18:59,960 Speaker 3: to JUST i, mean obviously he doesn't want to get, 1688 01:19:00,120 --> 01:19:01,640 Speaker 3: hurt and you know that has nothing to do with. 1689 01:19:01,720 --> 01:19:05,840 Speaker 3: It BUT i think he he kind of looked at you, 1690 01:19:05,920 --> 01:19:07,800 Speaker 3: know Maybe i'm NOT i can't be WHAT i was 1691 01:19:07,840 --> 01:19:09,760 Speaker 3: WHEN i was twenty five years old. Anymore now you, 1692 01:19:09,840 --> 01:19:12,000 Speaker 3: Know i'm Gonna i'm thirty. Two MAYBE i have to 1693 01:19:12,040 --> 01:19:13,640 Speaker 3: have a little bit of a different. Approach MAYBE i have, 1694 01:19:13,760 --> 01:19:17,680 Speaker 3: to you, Know i've just approached things differently to to 1695 01:19:17,800 --> 01:19:19,479 Speaker 3: have a different kind of, Success and so for so, 1696 01:19:19,640 --> 01:19:20,519 Speaker 3: far it's working for. 1697 01:19:20,640 --> 01:19:25,400 Speaker 2: Him if we were drafting today just, totally you, know 1698 01:19:25,680 --> 01:19:27,880 Speaker 2: your rosters are, gone we're now sitting, down we have 1699 01:19:28,200 --> 01:19:28,680 Speaker 2: draft day. 1700 01:19:28,680 --> 01:19:32,280 Speaker 1: Again where would you be planning to take trout mayor? 1701 01:19:33,240 --> 01:19:41,320 Speaker 3: First? Overall, NO i mean it's hard to, answer just 1702 01:19:41,400 --> 01:19:44,479 Speaker 3: because that like that injury concern is still. There it's still. 1703 01:19:44,600 --> 01:19:47,120 Speaker 3: REAL i forget exactly where he was, going but it 1704 01:19:47,200 --> 01:19:51,320 Speaker 3: was way too, late AND i felt like during even 1705 01:19:51,360 --> 01:19:54,000 Speaker 3: like during draft season we got into like the second, 1706 01:19:54,120 --> 01:19:57,719 Speaker 3: round AND i kept, thinking, like SHOULD i Take Mike draut? 1707 01:19:57,800 --> 01:19:59,560 Speaker 3: Here like is it too early For Mike draud is 1708 01:19:59,560 --> 01:20:02,439 Speaker 3: the second one Earlier Mike Trot and, like obviously if 1709 01:20:02,479 --> 01:20:04,599 Speaker 3: you know you're in the first eighteen games or getting 1710 01:20:04,600 --> 01:20:08,320 Speaker 3: eight home runs and three stolen, BASES i, MEAN i 1711 01:20:08,439 --> 01:20:10,439 Speaker 3: think the second round is still viable even with the 1712 01:20:10,520 --> 01:20:11,160 Speaker 3: injury concerns. 1713 01:20:11,200 --> 01:20:16,320 Speaker 2: There our FINAL adp data On Fantasy pros was fifty sixth. 1714 01:20:16,520 --> 01:20:17,800 Speaker 1: Overall, YEAH i was. 1715 01:20:17,760 --> 01:20:20,960 Speaker 4: Gonna, SAY i remember seeing like forties fifties type, stuff 1716 01:20:21,000 --> 01:20:23,360 Speaker 4: AND i agree With. MAYOR i would say middle round 1717 01:20:23,400 --> 01:20:27,040 Speaker 4: two Where i'd be looking at him right. 1718 01:20:27,080 --> 01:20:29,559 Speaker 2: NOW i think that makes a lot of. Sense, mayor 1719 01:20:29,600 --> 01:20:32,200 Speaker 2: give me your preseason. Prediction you wish you could take. 1720 01:20:32,080 --> 01:20:35,960 Speaker 3: Back my preseason. PREDICTION i WISH i could take back 1721 01:20:36,400 --> 01:20:40,280 Speaker 3: was THINKING i had enough power on my, rosters because 1722 01:20:40,360 --> 01:20:44,679 Speaker 3: through three WEEKS i do. Not and it goes kind 1723 01:20:44,720 --> 01:20:48,600 Speaker 3: of back to just kind of HOW i build my 1724 01:20:48,680 --> 01:20:51,760 Speaker 3: rosters depend you, know regardless of how the you, know 1725 01:20:51,840 --> 01:20:53,479 Speaker 3: what kind of draft it, is whether it's like auction 1726 01:20:53,880 --> 01:20:57,400 Speaker 3: or snake or you know, ANYTHING i kind of have 1727 01:20:57,560 --> 01:21:02,679 Speaker 3: the same process of building my rosters and And i'm 1728 01:21:02,720 --> 01:21:05,840 Speaker 3: a process truth The, tanner The Tanner Bell Jeffson woman 1729 01:21:06,240 --> 01:21:08,720 Speaker 3: process book they put out that's kind of like the 1730 01:21:08,800 --> 01:21:10,679 Speaker 3: bible THAT i THAT i adhere to for like roster, 1731 01:21:10,760 --> 01:21:13,439 Speaker 3: construction and SO i basically look at projections and it 1732 01:21:13,479 --> 01:21:15,960 Speaker 3: build my roster out, Saying, OKAY i HAVE i need 1733 01:21:16,040 --> 01:21:17,960 Speaker 3: this many, RUNS i need this much, POWER i need 1734 01:21:18,000 --> 01:21:21,840 Speaker 3: this these you, know, uh, these this many. STEALS i 1735 01:21:21,920 --> 01:21:23,880 Speaker 3: need my average to kind of average out somewhere in this. 1736 01:21:24,040 --> 01:21:26,240 Speaker 3: Range and that's HOW i tried, it you. Know and you, 1737 01:21:26,320 --> 01:21:29,400 Speaker 3: know it's hard to predict like injuries or progression and 1738 01:21:29,520 --> 01:21:32,120 Speaker 3: that kind of, stuff so it's hard to just strictly 1739 01:21:32,200 --> 01:21:37,840 Speaker 3: base it on. Projections BUT i across the, BOARD i 1740 01:21:38,320 --> 01:21:41,360 Speaker 3: feel LIKE i leaned too heavily into like stolen bases 1741 01:21:41,520 --> 01:21:43,439 Speaker 3: just by building my roster, out, like, Oh i'll get 1742 01:21:43,439 --> 01:21:45,120 Speaker 3: a few stolen basin from. Him i'll sprinkle in some. 1743 01:21:45,240 --> 01:21:47,000 Speaker 3: HERE i could do some more steels, here you, Know 1744 01:21:47,080 --> 01:21:49,679 Speaker 3: i'll get ten fifteen home runs out of this guy 1745 01:21:50,400 --> 01:21:53,960 Speaker 3: and Caveat, again it's still very, early you, know it 1746 01:21:54,000 --> 01:21:56,880 Speaker 3: could it could still bounce it in different, ways but so, 1747 01:21:57,040 --> 01:21:59,160 Speaker 3: far almost across the board in all my, Leagues i'm 1748 01:21:59,160 --> 01:22:01,280 Speaker 3: still doing really well in all of my. Leagues But 1749 01:22:01,400 --> 01:22:03,559 Speaker 3: i'm looking at the home run totals and THE rbi 1750 01:22:03,720 --> 01:22:06,120 Speaker 3: totals and they're not WHERE i need them to, be 1751 01:22:06,360 --> 01:22:08,360 Speaker 3: AND i feel like that could come back to bite 1752 01:22:08,400 --> 01:22:09,760 Speaker 3: me IF i don't fix that. 1753 01:22:09,920 --> 01:22:13,360 Speaker 1: Soon has there been kind of like a main culprit 1754 01:22:13,600 --> 01:22:15,120 Speaker 1: that has let you, down Or. 1755 01:22:17,439 --> 01:22:19,760 Speaker 3: Austin reiley could could provide a little bit more power 1756 01:22:19,800 --> 01:22:21,120 Speaker 3: that would help me out a little. Bit but for 1757 01:22:21,200 --> 01:22:22,960 Speaker 3: the most, part it's more of LIKE i was just 1758 01:22:23,040 --> 01:22:25,040 Speaker 3: kind of like penciling in like this guy for fifteen 1759 01:22:25,080 --> 01:22:27,479 Speaker 3: home runs and a lot of those guys have one 1760 01:22:27,560 --> 01:22:28,280 Speaker 3: or two home runs so. 1761 01:22:28,360 --> 01:22:31,519 Speaker 1: Far, yeah but what do you think what's the state 1762 01:22:31,560 --> 01:22:34,320 Speaker 1: of power on a lot of your. ROSTERS i think 1763 01:22:34,360 --> 01:22:34,680 Speaker 1: this is. 1764 01:22:35,120 --> 01:22:38,400 Speaker 4: A really interesting conversation that we'll start talking about more 1765 01:22:38,479 --> 01:22:42,680 Speaker 4: every off season in the coming, years, because you, know 1766 01:22:42,880 --> 01:22:45,080 Speaker 4: for a bunch of, years stolen bases with the most 1767 01:22:45,120 --> 01:22:47,920 Speaker 4: scarce resource In fantasy, baseball AND i kind of think 1768 01:22:47,960 --> 01:22:50,800 Speaker 4: that's shifting a little bit towards. Power one thing THAT 1769 01:22:50,880 --> 01:22:53,000 Speaker 4: i was banking on in a lot of my leagues 1770 01:22:53,040 --> 01:22:55,760 Speaker 4: this year is kind of being able to you, know 1771 01:22:55,840 --> 01:22:59,519 Speaker 4: a lot of the minor leaguers that are coming up nowadays, 1772 01:22:59,720 --> 01:23:02,200 Speaker 4: early especially last, year AND i expect that. Continue they've 1773 01:23:02,200 --> 01:23:04,720 Speaker 4: been playing with the new stolen base rules for a few. 1774 01:23:04,840 --> 01:23:07,960 Speaker 4: Years and these guys are young and, athletic and they're 1775 01:23:08,000 --> 01:23:11,160 Speaker 4: willing to. Run whereas you know that that true you 1776 01:23:11,200 --> 01:23:13,679 Speaker 4: know power, bad especially one that's not going to sink 1777 01:23:13,720 --> 01:23:15,799 Speaker 4: your batting average the way you know A Kyle Schwarber 1778 01:23:15,920 --> 01:23:18,519 Speaker 4: Max munsey, Will, like those guys are becoming a. 1779 01:23:18,560 --> 01:23:19,200 Speaker 2: Little bit more. 1780 01:23:19,400 --> 01:23:23,320 Speaker 4: Rare i've seen some very early stats about, uh you, 1781 01:23:23,360 --> 01:23:25,920 Speaker 4: know league, wide hitters aren't pulling the ball as, much 1782 01:23:26,000 --> 01:23:29,040 Speaker 4: and there's this belief without the shift or sections that 1783 01:23:29,800 --> 01:23:33,200 Speaker 4: players can go to the all sorts of other parts 1784 01:23:33,240 --> 01:23:35,760 Speaker 4: of the field. More AND i just think the game 1785 01:23:35,840 --> 01:23:38,280 Speaker 4: is trending in a way that does reward athleticism and, 1786 01:23:38,400 --> 01:23:41,000 Speaker 4: speed and that's going to make you, know the the you, 1787 01:23:41,080 --> 01:23:44,000 Speaker 4: know set it and forget it forty homer power hitter 1788 01:23:45,439 --> 01:23:46,840 Speaker 4: a little bit more of a. 1789 01:23:46,880 --> 01:23:51,160 Speaker 2: Scarce resource in the futures. Too let's get to your preseason. 1790 01:23:51,200 --> 01:23:53,280 Speaker 2: Prediction if you could go, back you would double down On. 1791 01:23:54,080 --> 01:23:56,040 Speaker 4: Yeah so this is like again LIKE i love looking 1792 01:23:56,080 --> 01:23:59,240 Speaker 4: at the macro for, baseball especially it's the, past you, 1793 01:23:59,280 --> 01:24:01,280 Speaker 4: know a bunch of, years whether it was the juice 1794 01:24:01,320 --> 01:24:04,160 Speaker 4: ball or you, know the shortened season or sticky stuff 1795 01:24:04,280 --> 01:24:06,719 Speaker 4: or the new, Rules, like we we've experienced a lot 1796 01:24:07,000 --> 01:24:10,000 Speaker 4: in a short amount of, time AND I i for 1797 01:24:10,160 --> 01:24:12,160 Speaker 4: a few, YEARS i felt LIKE i was playing. Ketchup 1798 01:24:12,200 --> 01:24:14,000 Speaker 4: LIKE i would look at the macro state of the 1799 01:24:14,080 --> 01:24:16,280 Speaker 4: league from the previous, YEAR i would, Say, okay here's the, 1800 01:24:16,479 --> 01:24:20,080 Speaker 4: blueprint and then things would. CHANGE i do think we're 1801 01:24:20,120 --> 01:24:22,840 Speaker 4: starting to see things kind of normalize a little bit. 1802 01:24:22,960 --> 01:24:23,960 Speaker 2: Now and. 1803 01:24:25,680 --> 01:24:28,479 Speaker 4: You, know one thing from all the rule changes last 1804 01:24:28,520 --> 01:24:30,479 Speaker 4: year is like everyone was talking about stolen, bases but 1805 01:24:30,600 --> 01:24:32,640 Speaker 4: it but it made pitching really. Tough by the end 1806 01:24:32,680 --> 01:24:35,200 Speaker 4: of last, season there was so much talk about the 1807 01:24:35,280 --> 01:24:38,920 Speaker 4: glob within the starting pitcher, ranks And I'M i believe 1808 01:24:39,000 --> 01:24:41,000 Speaker 4: in the, glob you, KNOW i think that's you, Know 1809 01:24:41,720 --> 01:24:44,200 Speaker 4: i'm blanking on who exactly was the first. MENTION i 1810 01:24:44,240 --> 01:24:48,960 Speaker 4: Know Scott white OF, CBS i Think Paul sporer talk about. 1811 01:24:49,000 --> 01:24:52,400 Speaker 4: It but, Uh i'm going a long way about getting 1812 01:24:52,520 --> 01:24:55,280 Speaker 4: to how it came to this conclusion with pitching entering 1813 01:24:55,320 --> 01:24:58,200 Speaker 4: the season and then all these injuries happened this. Offseason 1814 01:24:58,280 --> 01:25:01,759 Speaker 4: we got to spring, Training Cole goes, Down Kyle, Bradish 1815 01:25:01,840 --> 01:25:04,640 Speaker 4: CODE I, Sanga justin Erland, er all these guys are 1816 01:25:04,640 --> 01:25:08,160 Speaker 4: are kind of dropping the season, starts obviously things get way. 1817 01:25:08,200 --> 01:25:13,160 Speaker 4: Worse Spencer, Stryder Shane, bieber Franbervalbez, nick Thea. Vetta you, 1818 01:25:13,200 --> 01:25:15,360 Speaker 4: know these are all varying degrees Of elbour. Injuries but 1819 01:25:15,439 --> 01:25:18,519 Speaker 4: there it became this. BELIEF i do think we're gonna 1820 01:25:18,560 --> 01:25:22,760 Speaker 4: hear a lot of people this offseason talk, about you, 1821 01:25:22,840 --> 01:25:24,479 Speaker 4: know you gotta wait on starting pitching because they're just 1822 01:25:24,520 --> 01:25:27,040 Speaker 4: gonna get hurt. Anyway AND i kind of think it's 1823 01:25:27,040 --> 01:25:31,320 Speaker 4: an interesting time to zag and say, no like starting, 1824 01:25:31,360 --> 01:25:33,439 Speaker 4: pitcher you have to brace that some of your pitchers 1825 01:25:33,439 --> 01:25:35,360 Speaker 4: are gonna get, hurt so you need more of, them 1826 01:25:36,080 --> 01:25:39,640 Speaker 4: and then you need to find the next. Glob you 1827 01:25:39,720 --> 01:25:41,840 Speaker 4: can't just wait for the glob because what comes after 1828 01:25:41,920 --> 01:25:44,240 Speaker 4: the glob is really. Scary and we're seeing guys Like Renew, 1829 01:25:44,320 --> 01:25:47,880 Speaker 4: Blanco Cody bradford before he got. Hurt these are the 1830 01:25:47,960 --> 01:25:51,719 Speaker 4: Guy Tanner, Houck Jared, jones guys who you, know weren't 1831 01:25:51,960 --> 01:25:55,960 Speaker 4: considered sure. Things you know at over the off season 1832 01:25:56,040 --> 01:26:00,360 Speaker 4: that now you need there's really strong starting pitch base 1833 01:26:00,400 --> 01:26:02,880 Speaker 4: and then you need to add to that relentlessly throughout the. 1834 01:26:02,960 --> 01:26:06,120 Speaker 4: Season so that was my, mantra AND i feel really 1835 01:26:06,160 --> 01:26:08,479 Speaker 4: good about that the way things have shaken. Out and, 1836 01:26:08,560 --> 01:26:10,240 Speaker 4: AGAIN i know that some people might see it a 1837 01:26:10,280 --> 01:26:13,440 Speaker 4: different way with all the, injuries but to, me that's 1838 01:26:13,479 --> 01:26:13,880 Speaker 4: the way. 1839 01:26:13,760 --> 01:26:14,240 Speaker 3: To go about. 1840 01:26:14,280 --> 01:26:16,160 Speaker 2: It but what do you think about that mayor as a, 1841 01:26:16,240 --> 01:26:18,479 Speaker 2: strategy BECAUSE, i you, KNOW i sort of see it 1842 01:26:18,520 --> 01:26:21,320 Speaker 2: both ways in terms of What tuma's describing in terms of, like, 1843 01:26:21,439 --> 01:26:23,439 Speaker 2: YEAH i mean you're you're you're kind of playing with 1844 01:26:23,520 --> 01:26:25,160 Speaker 2: fire in terms of the. Injuries but on the other, 1845 01:26:25,240 --> 01:26:29,000 Speaker 2: hand it's almost, like you, know, redundancy you're taking too 1846 01:26:29,080 --> 01:26:30,920 Speaker 2: much knowing you're going to lose some of these guys 1847 01:26:31,320 --> 01:26:31,720 Speaker 2: along the. 1848 01:26:31,760 --> 01:26:33,760 Speaker 1: Way how do you think you will be wanting to 1849 01:26:33,800 --> 01:26:34,519 Speaker 1: approach this going? 1850 01:26:34,600 --> 01:26:37,880 Speaker 3: FORWARD i THINK i think it's. TERRIFYING i think the 1851 01:26:38,000 --> 01:26:39,599 Speaker 3: jury is still out for How i'm going to figure 1852 01:26:39,640 --> 01:26:41,280 Speaker 3: this out going. FORWARD i think it's another THING i 1853 01:26:41,320 --> 01:26:45,240 Speaker 3: think we talked about recently where all these pitcher injuries 1854 01:26:45,280 --> 01:26:48,559 Speaker 3: are definitely going to adjust strategies going, forward But i'm 1855 01:26:48,600 --> 01:26:50,720 Speaker 3: just not sure for me personally how it's going to 1856 01:26:50,760 --> 01:26:53,679 Speaker 3: adjust my. Strategy DO i do What tuma is suggesting 1857 01:26:53,760 --> 01:26:57,000 Speaker 3: and continue to do aggressively target starting, pitching or DO 1858 01:26:57,120 --> 01:26:59,160 Speaker 3: i back off and just target as much of the 1859 01:26:59,200 --> 01:27:01,880 Speaker 3: glob AS I i can later in drafts and just 1860 01:27:01,960 --> 01:27:04,000 Speaker 3: hope THAT i hit on enough of them that it works. 1861 01:27:04,040 --> 01:27:07,040 Speaker 4: OUT i, think, sorry IF i just add one more 1862 01:27:07,080 --> 01:27:09,600 Speaker 4: thing on, THAT i, think you, know the my my 1863 01:27:09,720 --> 01:27:11,680 Speaker 4: case for it is like you might, say, like, oh you, 1864 01:27:11,760 --> 01:27:14,599 Speaker 4: KNOW i don't want to risk getting My Sponsher strider 1865 01:27:14,680 --> 01:27:16,840 Speaker 4: Or Garrett cole. Hurt So i'm just gonna. Wait and 1866 01:27:17,000 --> 01:27:19,479 Speaker 4: the two Pitchers i'm gonna take, are you, Know Shane 1867 01:27:19,520 --> 01:27:23,160 Speaker 4: bieber and Fran. Ravaldez and Then i'm. Set i'm decreasing 1868 01:27:23,200 --> 01:27:25,200 Speaker 4: an injury. Risk and Then i'm gonna wait on pitching. 1869 01:27:25,240 --> 01:27:26,439 Speaker 4: Again and then all of a sudden you're in a 1870 01:27:26,479 --> 01:27:28,960 Speaker 4: situation where you don't have any and so, yeah you 1871 01:27:29,040 --> 01:27:31,200 Speaker 4: gotta you don't have to take the first starting. Pitcher 1872 01:27:31,600 --> 01:27:33,680 Speaker 4: BUT i think the WAY i phrase it, IS i 1873 01:27:33,880 --> 01:27:37,080 Speaker 4: want to have like MY sp six seven when others 1874 01:27:37,120 --> 01:27:39,600 Speaker 4: are still getting like THEIR sp three, Four LIKE i 1875 01:27:39,680 --> 01:27:39,960 Speaker 4: want that. 1876 01:27:40,200 --> 01:27:43,080 Speaker 2: Depth What What i've found That i've done a lot 1877 01:27:43,160 --> 01:27:45,800 Speaker 2: this year is less so on draft, day BUT i 1878 01:27:45,840 --> 01:27:49,479 Speaker 2: have been particularly aggressive on waivers with, pictures much more 1879 01:27:49,520 --> 01:27:51,760 Speaker 2: so than. Hitters some of that is just the guys 1880 01:27:51,760 --> 01:27:54,160 Speaker 2: who are, available BUT i have been, really you, know 1881 01:27:54,240 --> 01:27:57,120 Speaker 2: even in leagues with limited transactions for the, season if 1882 01:27:57,160 --> 01:27:59,240 Speaker 2: they you, know we talked About Renel blanco And week 1883 01:27:59,320 --> 01:28:02,120 Speaker 2: one and just a ton of guys where if there's 1884 01:28:02,200 --> 01:28:05,519 Speaker 2: like any justification to say this could be somebody who's, 1885 01:28:05,520 --> 01:28:09,160 Speaker 2: Elevating i'm taking that swing on waivers early. 1886 01:28:09,240 --> 01:28:10,479 Speaker 1: On so that's really Where i've been more. 1887 01:28:10,520 --> 01:28:12,920 Speaker 2: Aggressive may we got to get too mad out of, 1888 01:28:12,920 --> 01:28:15,920 Speaker 2: here but very quickly your preseason, prediction you would double down. 1889 01:28:15,840 --> 01:28:19,000 Speaker 3: On, yeah real, quick BECAUSE i know too mastic of that. 1890 01:28:19,120 --> 01:28:20,960 Speaker 3: Heres he's got a lot of stuff to. DO i 1891 01:28:21,040 --> 01:28:24,040 Speaker 3: would double down on The Spencer steer. Breakout AND i 1892 01:28:24,120 --> 01:28:25,519 Speaker 3: know it's a little bit hard to call it a 1893 01:28:25,600 --> 01:28:27,519 Speaker 3: true breakout because he did have a good twenty twenty, 1894 01:28:27,560 --> 01:28:29,840 Speaker 3: three but it did seem like a lot of people 1895 01:28:29,880 --> 01:28:31,920 Speaker 3: were down On Spencer steer and they didn't buy into 1896 01:28:31,960 --> 01:28:36,160 Speaker 3: the twenty twenty three, numbers probably because the hard you, 1897 01:28:36,240 --> 01:28:38,560 Speaker 3: know the bad at ball data wasn't, great but so, 1898 01:28:38,720 --> 01:28:41,320 Speaker 3: far so. Good in twenty twenty, four the hard hit 1899 01:28:41,479 --> 01:28:44,599 Speaker 3: data is a lot. Better it's not Like ryan O'Hearn, 1900 01:28:44,680 --> 01:28:47,280 Speaker 3: good but it's still very. Good who could Be ryan 1901 01:28:47,360 --> 01:28:47,679 Speaker 3: No herd? 1902 01:28:47,800 --> 01:28:48,559 Speaker 1: Good that's. 1903 01:28:48,640 --> 01:28:51,640 Speaker 3: True it is actually it is actually impossible to be 1904 01:28:51,760 --> 01:28:55,200 Speaker 3: better Than ryan O'Hearn added bald, data but people are 1905 01:28:55,240 --> 01:28:57,040 Speaker 3: down on, him and HIS adp was around one hundred 1906 01:28:57,080 --> 01:28:58,640 Speaker 3: and even passed one hundred and some, drafts and SO 1907 01:28:58,720 --> 01:29:01,439 Speaker 3: i got him, everywhere including that draft With, tuma where you, 1908 01:29:01,520 --> 01:29:04,960 Speaker 3: KNOW i famously drafted him for his versatility and was 1909 01:29:04,960 --> 01:29:07,120 Speaker 3: stuck with him at first. Base although NOW i Have Michael, 1910 01:29:07,120 --> 01:29:09,720 Speaker 3: bush So i'm hoping he can solve two problems for. 1911 01:29:09,840 --> 01:29:12,479 Speaker 3: ME i get some power THAT i need and Move 1912 01:29:12,560 --> 01:29:15,559 Speaker 3: Spencer steeer. Around so doubling down on The Spencer steer. 1913 01:29:15,720 --> 01:29:17,920 Speaker 3: Breakout didn't have as grade of a week this week 1914 01:29:17,960 --> 01:29:19,160 Speaker 3: as he had the first two, weeks. 1915 01:29:19,160 --> 01:29:20,160 Speaker 4: But so, far so. 1916 01:29:20,280 --> 01:29:23,080 Speaker 2: Good, yeah the bad of all data looks really really good. 1917 01:29:23,160 --> 01:29:25,200 Speaker 2: Too my any quick thoughts On steer before we let you. 1918 01:29:25,280 --> 01:29:28,920 Speaker 4: Go, yeah it was a hilarious moment in That Salary 1919 01:29:28,960 --> 01:29:31,200 Speaker 4: cup draft Because mayer went like way OVER i think 1920 01:29:31,240 --> 01:29:33,040 Speaker 4: even what he wanted to, do but but he got that. 1921 01:29:33,200 --> 01:29:36,600 Speaker 4: Versatility now he's you, know replaced the first base you 1922 01:29:36,680 --> 01:29:40,519 Speaker 4: know position with With Michael, bush and, YEAH i Think, 1923 01:29:40,600 --> 01:29:42,720 Speaker 4: steer you, know there was a chance if all The 1924 01:29:42,800 --> 01:29:45,799 Speaker 4: reds guys Even. Noelvie and you, know If matt McLain 1925 01:29:45,840 --> 01:29:48,479 Speaker 4: didn't get hurt And noelvie didn't get to spended like 1926 01:29:48,520 --> 01:29:50,240 Speaker 4: he gotta got pushed out and it's gone the other 1927 01:29:50,320 --> 01:29:53,439 Speaker 4: way for, him and you know he's insulated himself even further, 1928 01:29:53,560 --> 01:29:56,240 Speaker 4: now so an amazing run out for. 1929 01:29:56,360 --> 01:29:58,280 Speaker 2: Him all right, Too but thank you so much for coming. 1930 01:29:58,320 --> 01:30:00,920 Speaker 2: On i'm sure we'll have you again in the. Season May, 1931 01:30:00,960 --> 01:30:02,639 Speaker 2: or are you gonna yell at me IF i don't 1932 01:30:02,680 --> 01:30:03,280 Speaker 2: let you say? 1933 01:30:03,320 --> 01:30:06,080 Speaker 1: Goodbye or what is going on? Here? 1934 01:30:07,000 --> 01:30:09,280 Speaker 3: YES i, Will, tuma great to have. You thanks for coming. 1935 01:30:09,320 --> 01:30:11,680 Speaker 3: On we hope to have you back on. Soon it's 1936 01:30:11,720 --> 01:30:13,559 Speaker 3: great to, just you, know see you again and hear 1937 01:30:13,600 --> 01:30:14,080 Speaker 3: your voice. 1938 01:30:15,200 --> 01:30:17,240 Speaker 4: NOW i appreciate it coming, on and, YEAH i would 1939 01:30:17,240 --> 01:30:18,280 Speaker 4: love that again later in the. 1940 01:30:18,360 --> 01:30:20,920 Speaker 2: Season All, right we'll Let tuma go And mayor AND 1941 01:30:21,000 --> 01:30:22,360 Speaker 2: i will be back to wrap up the show in 1942 01:30:22,479 --> 01:30:26,160 Speaker 2: just a. Second thank you again To Brandon tuma for 1943 01:30:26,280 --> 01:30:28,760 Speaker 2: making the time to join us. TODAY i really appreciated 1944 01:30:28,800 --> 01:30:32,280 Speaker 2: his insights on some of his preseason predictions and of 1945 01:30:32,360 --> 01:30:36,360 Speaker 2: course waivers, suggestions and Also Jack Lighter, Mayor let's wrap 1946 01:30:36,439 --> 01:30:38,879 Speaker 2: things up as we always do with our weekend. 1947 01:30:39,080 --> 01:30:41,120 Speaker 1: Excitement what are we most looking forward? 1948 01:30:41,160 --> 01:30:46,280 Speaker 2: TO i put myself first in the, notes AS i often, 1949 01:30:46,360 --> 01:30:50,439 Speaker 2: do and last week you didn't appreciate THAT i put 1950 01:30:50,479 --> 01:30:52,960 Speaker 2: my notes in, first but then had you read yours? 1951 01:30:53,080 --> 01:30:56,240 Speaker 2: First SO i will go first here SINCE i went 1952 01:30:56,320 --> 01:30:59,000 Speaker 2: first in the, OUTLIED i did just want to mention 1953 01:30:59,040 --> 01:31:01,240 Speaker 2: That i'm really excited for Just braves as a fun. 1954 01:31:01,360 --> 01:31:02,280 Speaker 1: Series talented. 1955 01:31:02,360 --> 01:31:05,439 Speaker 2: Lineups could be a lot of fireworks this, weekend just 1956 01:31:06,200 --> 01:31:09,360 Speaker 2: with you, Know texas Facing. Atlanta but the, big you, 1957 01:31:09,439 --> 01:31:11,680 Speaker 2: know kind of one moment That i'm really excited for 1958 01:31:12,479 --> 01:31:16,280 Speaker 2: Is Corbyn burns Versus Cole reagan's On. Saturday and we 1959 01:31:17,360 --> 01:31:20,840 Speaker 2: kind of got this in the second series of the 1960 01:31:20,960 --> 01:31:25,560 Speaker 2: season when The orioles hosted The. Royals but this game was, 1961 01:31:25,760 --> 01:31:28,120 Speaker 2: scheduled if you, remember it was A, wednesday like early 1962 01:31:28,160 --> 01:31:30,800 Speaker 2: afternoon getaway, day and then there ended up being like 1963 01:31:30,880 --> 01:31:34,120 Speaker 2: a four and a half hour rain, delay so you, 1964 01:31:34,200 --> 01:31:36,479 Speaker 2: know it's still we still kind of. Got it's not the, 1965 01:31:36,560 --> 01:31:39,759 Speaker 2: same right it was. Delayed kind of throws off the pitcher's. 1966 01:31:39,840 --> 01:31:43,800 Speaker 2: Rhythms This i'm really excited to see two like true, 1967 01:31:44,000 --> 01:31:46,000 Speaker 2: aces at least in terms of what they've looked. 1968 01:31:46,040 --> 01:31:49,519 Speaker 1: Like kind of to start the year going head to. 1969 01:31:49,600 --> 01:31:51,880 Speaker 2: Head I'M i just think it's be a really really 1970 01:31:51,920 --> 01:31:54,479 Speaker 2: fun pitching matchup And i'm really excited to watch. 1971 01:31:54,560 --> 01:31:55,519 Speaker 1: It SO i really kind of wanted to. 1972 01:31:55,560 --> 01:31:58,000 Speaker 2: Highlight LIKE i, SAID i Mentioned Rangers braves as a 1973 01:31:58,080 --> 01:31:59,760 Speaker 2: fun series look forward, to BUT i really wanted to 1974 01:31:59,800 --> 01:32:00,639 Speaker 2: high like this pitching. 1975 01:32:00,680 --> 01:32:02,200 Speaker 1: Matchup what do you got for your weekend? 1976 01:32:02,240 --> 01:32:05,599 Speaker 3: Excitement so my first one up Is Jordan montgomery's, debut 1977 01:32:05,760 --> 01:32:11,000 Speaker 3: the long Awaited Jordan montgomery. Debut we finally get to see. 1978 01:32:11,080 --> 01:32:15,240 Speaker 3: HIM i would Say Jack, lder but he's you, know 1979 01:32:15,479 --> 01:32:18,200 Speaker 3: by the time you have listened to, this he will already. 1980 01:32:18,240 --> 01:32:21,680 Speaker 3: Pitched and he actually has already pitched as of this 1981 01:32:22,040 --> 01:32:24,400 Speaker 3: as of What i'm saying right, now and it didn't go. 1982 01:32:24,479 --> 01:32:28,479 Speaker 3: Well so not looking forward to. THAT i have not 1983 01:32:28,640 --> 01:32:30,960 Speaker 3: seen him, pitch BUT i see the numbers And i'm 1984 01:32:31,040 --> 01:32:34,080 Speaker 3: not looking forward to seeing what him what it looked. 1985 01:32:34,160 --> 01:32:38,680 Speaker 3: Like But Jordan montgomery's debut versus Versus blake snow who 1986 01:32:38,720 --> 01:32:39,640 Speaker 3: would prefer to see it? 1987 01:32:39,720 --> 01:32:39,880 Speaker 2: Better? 1988 01:32:39,960 --> 01:32:43,320 Speaker 3: Outing and then the red Hot mets versus the ice Cold. 1989 01:32:43,360 --> 01:32:45,040 Speaker 1: DODGERS i almost mentioned that. 1990 01:32:45,120 --> 01:32:47,600 Speaker 2: ONE i went with the other series, instead BUT i 1991 01:32:47,640 --> 01:32:48,519 Speaker 2: almost Mentioned Mets. 1992 01:32:48,560 --> 01:32:51,479 Speaker 3: Dodgers, yeah and the pitching matchups for that series Is 1993 01:32:51,600 --> 01:32:57,160 Speaker 3: mania Versus. Yamamoto. Jose you say Name, buthto, BUTTOO i 1994 01:32:57,200 --> 01:32:57,680 Speaker 3: feel like It's. 1995 01:32:57,720 --> 01:33:00,960 Speaker 2: BOUTO i can never answer that when it's one of 1996 01:33:01,000 --> 01:33:03,160 Speaker 2: these names That i've mostly just read instead of listened. 1997 01:33:03,200 --> 01:33:05,640 Speaker 3: To so, Yeah i've actually heard it multiple times and 1998 01:33:05,800 --> 01:33:11,320 Speaker 3: just don't. Remember so it's, Him he Who must not 1999 01:33:11,400 --> 01:33:14,280 Speaker 3: Be named Versus Gavin, stone and then the much maligned 2000 01:33:14,400 --> 01:33:16,759 Speaker 3: At Adrian hauser Versus James. 2001 01:33:16,840 --> 01:33:19,559 Speaker 2: Baxton you just included him because you wanted to Give 2002 01:33:19,600 --> 01:33:20,479 Speaker 2: hawsers a shout. 2003 01:33:20,520 --> 01:33:23,599 Speaker 3: Out, WELL i actually wrote it in the shape before 2004 01:33:23,800 --> 01:33:26,679 Speaker 3: our two most, segments so it just worked. 2005 01:33:26,680 --> 01:33:30,040 Speaker 2: Beautifully let's go to our season long to start pitcher. 2006 01:33:30,080 --> 01:33:33,760 Speaker 2: Competition we actually can finally talk about results because of 2007 01:33:33,840 --> 01:33:35,519 Speaker 2: the nature when we record the, show we kind of 2008 01:33:35,520 --> 01:33:37,120 Speaker 2: have to wait an extra week to see the second. 2009 01:33:37,160 --> 01:33:40,200 Speaker 1: Start our first week's, matchup we Had Zach wheeler for, 2010 01:33:40,320 --> 01:33:41,400 Speaker 1: Me Charlie morton for. 2011 01:33:41,479 --> 01:33:45,560 Speaker 2: You neither guy did very. Well Zach wheeler owed. To 2012 01:33:46,160 --> 01:33:49,040 Speaker 2: he gave up seven earned runs in twelve, innings four, 2013 01:33:49,160 --> 01:33:53,559 Speaker 2: walks fifteen, strikeouts and kind of using my league's fantasy 2014 01:33:53,600 --> 01:33:56,599 Speaker 2: point scoring as a catch all ten point Eight fantasy, 2015 01:33:56,640 --> 01:33:59,839 Speaker 2: Points Charlie morton even worse eleven and a third, innings 2016 01:34:00,400 --> 01:34:04,519 Speaker 2: ten earned, run six, walks twelve strikeouts of five point 2017 01:34:04,720 --> 01:34:08,240 Speaker 2: Six fantasy. Points so are you willing to conceive THAT 2018 01:34:08,320 --> 01:34:09,160 Speaker 2: i Won week? One? 2019 01:34:10,320 --> 01:34:13,120 Speaker 3: YEAH i think. SO i remember, watching like looking At 2020 01:34:13,160 --> 01:34:15,320 Speaker 3: wheeler's numbers and his second. START i was, like, oh 2021 01:34:15,439 --> 01:34:17,320 Speaker 3: like that was it was a real like dud of a, 2022 01:34:17,360 --> 01:34:19,200 Speaker 3: Start LIKE i wonder IF i can pull this off and. 2023 01:34:19,240 --> 01:34:21,040 Speaker 3: Win and THEN i Saw Charlie morton start AND i was, 2024 01:34:21,040 --> 01:34:23,200 Speaker 3: like never, MIND i am going to need to see 2025 01:34:23,240 --> 01:34:25,960 Speaker 3: your league's scoring just SO i know how to manipulate 2026 01:34:26,000 --> 01:34:27,200 Speaker 3: the system going forward to see. 2027 01:34:27,240 --> 01:34:28,800 Speaker 1: We don't have to use. THAT i this one it 2028 01:34:28,920 --> 01:34:29,559 Speaker 1: was kind of clear. 2029 01:34:29,680 --> 01:34:32,240 Speaker 2: Regardless it just made it kind of an easier, like, 2030 01:34:32,520 --> 01:34:34,280 Speaker 2: no that's find of number to, it but we can 2031 01:34:35,040 --> 01:34:38,040 Speaker 2: we can determine the best way to score these in the. 2032 01:34:38,120 --> 01:34:40,240 Speaker 2: FUTURE i just, THOUGHT i, mean this one was was 2033 01:34:40,320 --> 01:34:43,240 Speaker 2: a clear. Winner not That wheeler was, great but a clear. 2034 01:34:43,280 --> 01:34:47,960 Speaker 3: Winner your own two seven earned run clear. WINNERS i 2035 01:34:48,120 --> 01:34:49,920 Speaker 3: know it's, wild so, Sorry. 2036 01:34:50,560 --> 01:34:53,760 Speaker 2: Actually it's it's it's almost impressive THAT i still outscored 2037 01:34:53,760 --> 01:34:56,400 Speaker 2: you in the league's scoring settings BECAUSE i got minus 2038 01:34:56,520 --> 01:34:59,759 Speaker 2: ten points from those two losses that you That Charlie 2039 01:34:59,800 --> 01:35:03,160 Speaker 2: moore and did not get. Going oh and, oh obviously 2040 01:35:03,360 --> 01:35:05,679 Speaker 2: our one from last week Is Aaron nola Versus Cutter. 2041 01:35:05,760 --> 01:35:07,840 Speaker 2: Crawford we'll wait to see how that one wraps up 2042 01:35:08,200 --> 01:35:12,560 Speaker 2: over the. Weekend this upcoming, WEEK i Picked Grayson. Rodriguez 2043 01:35:12,640 --> 01:35:16,120 Speaker 2: he's at The angels and home versus The, athletics AND 2044 01:35:16,200 --> 01:35:17,800 Speaker 2: i have a general rule where if you're a good 2045 01:35:17,840 --> 01:35:20,000 Speaker 2: pitcher and one of your two is against The, ATHLETICS 2046 01:35:20,280 --> 01:35:22,200 Speaker 2: i will probably pick you in this. Contest and he's 2047 01:35:22,240 --> 01:35:24,080 Speaker 2: already had a really good start against The angels as 2048 01:35:24,120 --> 01:35:26,640 Speaker 2: well in the other one of, Those So i'm really 2049 01:35:26,680 --> 01:35:29,360 Speaker 2: excited About grayson this. Week he's looked really really good 2050 01:35:29,600 --> 01:35:33,080 Speaker 2: to start the, season great, matchups including a team he's 2051 01:35:33,080 --> 01:35:34,320 Speaker 2: already kind of dominated this. 2052 01:35:34,439 --> 01:35:37,440 Speaker 1: Year so that is my, Pick Grayson rodriguezho's. 2053 01:35:37,439 --> 01:35:40,599 Speaker 3: Yours my pick Is Pablo. LOPEZ i have a similar 2054 01:35:40,680 --> 01:35:43,160 Speaker 3: rule with The White, sox and he has two, starts 2055 01:35:43,280 --> 01:35:45,400 Speaker 3: one of them against The White sox and one of 2056 01:35:45,400 --> 01:35:47,960 Speaker 3: them against The, angels who The angels have looked better 2057 01:35:48,080 --> 01:35:51,400 Speaker 3: than expected so, far largely because Of Mike trout doing 2058 01:35:51,439 --> 01:35:54,120 Speaker 3: a lot of it. Himself Taylor word also looking very, 2059 01:35:54,160 --> 01:35:58,360 Speaker 3: good but, yeah and The White sox were already bad 2060 01:35:58,400 --> 01:35:59,960 Speaker 3: coming into the, year then they lost through their bad. 2061 01:36:00,080 --> 01:36:04,000 Speaker 3: Sitters they are Getting eloimnez, back BUT i still don't really, 2062 01:36:04,040 --> 01:36:08,640 Speaker 3: care and So i'm leaning hard On Pablo lopez to 2063 01:36:08,920 --> 01:36:12,320 Speaker 3: give me what should be my second win of the. 2064 01:36:12,520 --> 01:36:15,400 Speaker 3: Season once matchup two is done With Aaron, Nola. 2065 01:36:15,720 --> 01:36:17,759 Speaker 2: We'll see what happens with the rest of the matchup. 2066 01:36:17,800 --> 01:36:19,599 Speaker 2: Too The angels are going to play a big role 2067 01:36:19,640 --> 01:36:22,400 Speaker 2: and who wins this. Week, yeah because we both both 2068 01:36:22,439 --> 01:36:26,160 Speaker 2: of our guys have games IN la against The. Angels 2069 01:36:26,920 --> 01:36:27,519 Speaker 2: we were apt In. 2070 01:36:27,760 --> 01:36:32,400 Speaker 1: La, yeah, yeah quotes. There we will wrapp things up with. 2071 01:36:32,560 --> 01:36:33,160 Speaker 4: THAT i. 2072 01:36:33,280 --> 01:36:35,920 Speaker 2: Know it is another supersized, Episodes so thanks everybody for 2073 01:36:36,000 --> 01:36:37,080 Speaker 2: tuning in For. 2074 01:36:37,280 --> 01:36:40,000 Speaker 1: Mayor and For tuma for joining. Us I'm Ryan warmley 2075 01:36:40,080 --> 01:36:41,519 Speaker 1: and we'll see you guys again next. 2076 01:36:41,640 --> 01:36:44,799 Speaker 2: Week thanks for listening to The Fantasy Pros Fantasy baseball. 2077 01:36:44,880 --> 01:36:49,280 Speaker 2: Podcast follow us on, X, instagram and TikTok At Fantasy PROS, 2078 01:36:49,400 --> 01:36:51,880 Speaker 2: A subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot. Com 2079 01:36:52,120 --> 01:37:02,960 Speaker 2: Slash Fantasy, PROS mlb ne