1 00:00:10,320 --> 00:00:11,000 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:11,000 --> 00:00:13,239 Speaker 2: How are you welcome to a Friday morning edition the 3 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:15,440 Speaker 2: Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Parot. You can 4 00:00:15,480 --> 00:00:17,960 Speaker 2: follow me on Twitter at sports Doc Matt. We are 5 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:21,959 Speaker 2: here every single morning Bettingpros dot Com, always being brought 6 00:00:21,960 --> 00:00:24,640 Speaker 2: to you by bet MGM, and we have added a 7 00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:26,800 Speaker 2: new feature to the Daily Juice. If I sound a 8 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:30,040 Speaker 2: little different this morning. So we're taping me do this today. 9 00:00:30,080 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 2: We've never done this before where we've had me actually 10 00:00:32,720 --> 00:00:34,760 Speaker 2: on camera on This is a new thing we're doing 11 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:37,200 Speaker 2: on the YouTube channel for Betting Pros, so go check 12 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:37,960 Speaker 2: it out YouTube. 13 00:00:37,960 --> 00:00:39,320 Speaker 1: It's where we do the live streams. 14 00:00:39,320 --> 00:00:40,919 Speaker 2: So if you guys have seen the live stream, you're 15 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:43,599 Speaker 2: going to recognize the background, recognize the videos. It's very 16 00:00:43,600 --> 00:00:46,400 Speaker 2: similar to what we've done every Sunday morning, except now 17 00:00:46,400 --> 00:00:48,120 Speaker 2: we're doing it here for the Daily Juice. 18 00:00:48,159 --> 00:00:50,320 Speaker 1: So this is unique. This is different. 19 00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:52,960 Speaker 2: I'm not normally on camera doing this, you know, at 20 00:00:53,040 --> 00:00:55,160 Speaker 2: nine o'clock Pacific time every night like we do it. 21 00:00:55,200 --> 00:00:57,640 Speaker 2: But this is unique, and so let's see how it goes. 22 00:00:57,880 --> 00:00:59,640 Speaker 2: If you guys like it, we'll keep doing it. If 23 00:00:59,680 --> 00:01:02,120 Speaker 2: you don't, well we'll stop. But my guess is it's 24 00:01:02,120 --> 00:01:04,040 Speaker 2: going to open up to some more people who may 25 00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:06,720 Speaker 2: be only watch on YouTube or looking for picks every day. 26 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:10,240 Speaker 2: So every morning, the plan is to drop this alongside 27 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:13,160 Speaker 2: with the podcast. So you like audio, nothing's changing, get 28 00:01:13,200 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 2: it where you get your podcasts every single morning. If 29 00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:17,360 Speaker 2: you want to watch it, you can watch it. And 30 00:01:17,440 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 2: maybe we'll do some unique, kind of crazy cool things 31 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:22,160 Speaker 2: with the video, and maybe we'll have graphics and stats 32 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:22,960 Speaker 2: and things as we go. 33 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:23,479 Speaker 1: Who knows. 34 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:26,640 Speaker 2: I'm not a video guy. This might come out horribly. 35 00:01:26,680 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 2: I don't know, but we're going to start it this 36 00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:30,839 Speaker 2: morning today here on a Friday before the Super Bowl, 37 00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:34,520 Speaker 2: for the Daily Juice live stream for video. I guess 38 00:01:34,520 --> 00:01:37,840 Speaker 2: not livestream the Daily Juice podcast for video here with 39 00:01:37,920 --> 00:01:41,120 Speaker 2: us on a Friday. So it's Friday. It's the Friday 40 00:01:41,120 --> 00:01:43,720 Speaker 2: before the super Bowl. Here's what I'm doing today. Okay, 41 00:01:44,400 --> 00:01:47,920 Speaker 2: I'm giving you four plays on the super Bowl. I'm 42 00:01:47,960 --> 00:01:51,000 Speaker 2: giving you one college basketball play, I'm giving you one 43 00:01:51,160 --> 00:01:54,720 Speaker 2: NBA play. And it's Friday. That means it's time for 44 00:01:54,840 --> 00:01:58,120 Speaker 2: the don't play a parlay parlay which is now two 45 00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:01,000 Speaker 2: and four officially. I don't bet it counts. You guys 46 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:03,920 Speaker 2: like doing parlays, so I throw one out that's always 47 00:02:04,240 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 2: three legs or more at least six tous sorry, at 48 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:10,280 Speaker 2: least five to one return on investment if you want 49 00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 2: to play it. So it's only for a little fun. 50 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:15,360 Speaker 2: It's a little sprinkle, a little added to a Friday. 51 00:02:15,400 --> 00:02:16,720 Speaker 2: You want to hop in and be a part of 52 00:02:16,760 --> 00:02:18,839 Speaker 2: its nice, fun and easy things to get a hold 53 00:02:18,919 --> 00:02:21,320 Speaker 2: of and to be a part of it. So looking 54 00:02:21,360 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 2: forward to the live stream coming up on Sunday for 55 00:02:24,800 --> 00:02:27,240 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice, Looking forward to what's going to happen 56 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 2: for everybody who is involved with the Daily Juice live 57 00:02:30,000 --> 00:02:32,239 Speaker 2: stream and the Betting Pros live stream. Dan Harris and 58 00:02:32,240 --> 00:02:33,680 Speaker 2: I are going to be rocking it here on this 59 00:02:33,840 --> 00:02:35,960 Speaker 2: very YouTube channel. We're going to be getting you guys 60 00:02:36,160 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 2: excited for the super Bowl at four to thirty Eastern Time. 61 00:02:38,760 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 2: From four point thirty until five point thirty, for one hour, 62 00:02:42,639 --> 00:02:45,160 Speaker 2: we're making picks, plays and all sorts of fun things happening. 63 00:02:45,200 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 2: We're so excited to get after this and so excited 64 00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:50,160 Speaker 2: to bring you guys all the prizes that we're giving away. 65 00:02:50,200 --> 00:02:53,000 Speaker 2: I've got some really cool things to give away. Looking 66 00:02:53,040 --> 00:02:56,800 Speaker 2: forward to all you guys potentially winning something very special 67 00:02:57,000 --> 00:03:00,639 Speaker 2: like a autographed helmet. The Gyiannis onto the Coup jersey 68 00:03:00,840 --> 00:03:03,799 Speaker 2: is rocking right now. You guys love this. I hit 69 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:06,760 Speaker 2: the Utah Jazz NBA play last night. So Dan Harrison 70 00:03:06,840 --> 00:03:09,000 Speaker 2: Matt play a play more NBA games? 71 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:12,160 Speaker 1: All right? We bet Utah ninus seven. They win easily. 72 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 2: Hockey wasn't good last night, so I'm taking hockey off. 73 00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:17,320 Speaker 2: We played, we got both legs of the parlay wrong. 74 00:03:17,480 --> 00:03:20,640 Speaker 2: Yesterday Ottawa somehow won a hockey game, so maybe they 75 00:03:20,680 --> 00:03:24,280 Speaker 2: heard me talking trash about them. But Montreal heavy favorite, 76 00:03:24,320 --> 00:03:27,000 Speaker 2: say lose that game at home and then Columbus wins 77 00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:28,040 Speaker 2: the game by one over Dallas. 78 00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:30,239 Speaker 1: So bad night in hockey. Let's take a little break 79 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:30,720 Speaker 1: from hockey. 80 00:03:30,880 --> 00:03:34,280 Speaker 2: One NBA play today, one college basketball play today, and 81 00:03:34,320 --> 00:03:35,200 Speaker 2: then the Super Bowl. 82 00:03:35,200 --> 00:03:36,280 Speaker 1: Bets in the Super Bowl fun. 83 00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:38,400 Speaker 2: So before we get to all the picks, let me 84 00:03:38,440 --> 00:03:40,920 Speaker 2: tell you about our bet MGM offer which is going 85 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:41,920 Speaker 2: on for the Super Bowl. 86 00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 1: It's really cool. 87 00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:46,920 Speaker 2: This is for everybody outside of Pennsylvania. It's good until Sunday. 88 00:03:47,280 --> 00:03:50,640 Speaker 2: It's a risk free first bet up to six hundred 89 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 2: dollars and a fifty dollars parlay insurance. 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But if you're in PA, the offer for 103 00:04:31,400 --> 00:04:33,240 Speaker 2: you is this, it's still Juice one hundred. That promo 104 00:04:33,279 --> 00:04:35,360 Speaker 2: code is very important to use. But it's a risk 105 00:04:35,400 --> 00:04:37,599 Speaker 2: free bet of up to six hundred dollars. Just in 106 00:04:37,640 --> 00:04:40,680 Speaker 2: Pennsylvania's no parlay insurance for you guys in Pennsylvania, but 107 00:04:40,880 --> 00:04:43,080 Speaker 2: it's a risk free bet of up to six hundred 108 00:04:43,080 --> 00:04:46,560 Speaker 2: dollars for the Super Bowl. New users promo code juice 109 00:04:46,640 --> 00:04:50,040 Speaker 2: one hundred. Very important you guys go use that. You 110 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:52,600 Speaker 2: must be twenty one years or older to take advantage 111 00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 2: of this. Go to betting pros dot com for terms 112 00:04:54,360 --> 00:04:57,560 Speaker 2: and conditions. You must be physically located in the states 113 00:04:57,560 --> 00:05:01,920 Speaker 2: of New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, Tennessee, the Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, 114 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:04,120 Speaker 2: West Virginia, or Pennsylvania. 115 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:05,279 Speaker 1: Please getting to be able to. 116 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:07,680 Speaker 2: Responsibly got a gambling problem called one hundred and five 117 00:05:07,720 --> 00:05:09,880 Speaker 2: to two two forty seven hundred in Colorado and Nevada, 118 00:05:09,960 --> 00:05:12,480 Speaker 2: one hundred gambler in New Jersey, in West Virginia, or 119 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:15,400 Speaker 2: one hundred and nine with it in Indiana. All right, 120 00:05:15,960 --> 00:05:19,440 Speaker 2: So here's where we are going into the super Bowl. 121 00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:22,680 Speaker 2: Lots of picks, lots of place right at the top, 122 00:05:23,320 --> 00:05:27,000 Speaker 2: telling you right now I am betting a quarter unit 123 00:05:27,120 --> 00:05:29,360 Speaker 2: on almost every bet on the Super Bowl. 124 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:30,000 Speaker 1: All right. 125 00:05:31,080 --> 00:05:33,640 Speaker 2: I just this is going to be I'm gonna have 126 00:05:33,760 --> 00:05:35,960 Speaker 2: like eight nine ten bets going. So I'm giving you 127 00:05:36,040 --> 00:05:38,320 Speaker 2: four today, four of my favorites off you role. I 128 00:05:38,320 --> 00:05:40,320 Speaker 2: guess two I'm gonna bet the side and the total 129 00:05:40,360 --> 00:05:42,640 Speaker 2: today and then two of my favorite prop bets. 130 00:05:42,960 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 1: So it's going to be a. 131 00:05:46,760 --> 00:05:50,560 Speaker 2: I'll be committed pretty pretty heavily monetarily, but I'm not 132 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:53,679 Speaker 2: gonna come in heavy because i don't feel great about 133 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:56,240 Speaker 2: the side or the total. I'm betting a quarter unit 134 00:05:56,279 --> 00:05:58,599 Speaker 2: on either side. I very well could be dead wrong 135 00:05:58,640 --> 00:06:00,640 Speaker 2: about this, and I'm just doing it for I'll tell 136 00:06:00,640 --> 00:06:01,919 Speaker 2: you why here in a second one, I'm doing it. 137 00:06:01,920 --> 00:06:03,960 Speaker 2: But then two of the prop bets. I always bet 138 00:06:03,960 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 2: a quarter unit on props. My favorite one. AM going 139 00:06:06,560 --> 00:06:08,360 Speaker 2: to bet a half a unit on it because I've 140 00:06:08,360 --> 00:06:10,120 Speaker 2: gotten some people who really tell me, look, it's a 141 00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:11,600 Speaker 2: little heavy on the juice, so go ahead and pay 142 00:06:11,600 --> 00:06:14,000 Speaker 2: a little more because it's really likely to hit. So 143 00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:16,719 Speaker 2: we're gonna go up to a court to a half. 144 00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:17,840 Speaker 1: Of unit's on one of these. 145 00:06:17,839 --> 00:06:20,680 Speaker 2: All right, So let's start with the side the Buccaneers 146 00:06:21,120 --> 00:06:23,000 Speaker 2: catching three three and a half. 147 00:06:23,360 --> 00:06:24,080 Speaker 1: Here's the thing. 148 00:06:24,760 --> 00:06:28,360 Speaker 2: Wait, bet MGM's been at three and a half forever, Okay, 149 00:06:28,880 --> 00:06:30,680 Speaker 2: but you're gonna get three and a half most likely 150 00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:33,719 Speaker 2: at your book I got three and a half, all right, 151 00:06:34,400 --> 00:06:37,520 Speaker 2: every one I'm talking to every book maker I'm talking to, 152 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:41,479 Speaker 2: from Johnny Velo at DraftKings to John Cheering a fan 153 00:06:41,600 --> 00:06:44,599 Speaker 2: duel to the folks at points bets. I mean, I'm 154 00:06:44,640 --> 00:06:48,240 Speaker 2: just everyone. I'm saying they are comfortable at three. Everyone, 155 00:06:48,400 --> 00:06:52,880 Speaker 2: regardless of their liability on Tampa three. They think the 156 00:06:52,920 --> 00:06:56,400 Speaker 2: game's gonna fall three. So I'm gonna listen to them, 157 00:06:56,520 --> 00:07:00,160 Speaker 2: and I'm gonna say Casey wins by three, and I'm 158 00:07:00,160 --> 00:07:03,599 Speaker 2: gonna take the hook, and I'm gonna take Tampa plus 159 00:07:03,640 --> 00:07:04,360 Speaker 2: three and a half. 160 00:07:05,000 --> 00:07:07,919 Speaker 1: I know it. It's turning to be more public. 161 00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:10,920 Speaker 2: We've got the Mattress Mac three point four million dollar bet. 162 00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:12,560 Speaker 1: That's a hedge on his business, so it was not 163 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:13,240 Speaker 1: really a bet. 164 00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:15,800 Speaker 2: We've got the two point three million though at bet MGM, 165 00:07:16,280 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 2: and they didn't go to three. Even with a two 166 00:07:18,360 --> 00:07:20,720 Speaker 2: point three million dollar bet, they didn't go to three. 167 00:07:21,200 --> 00:07:23,920 Speaker 2: They're staying at three and a half. The thought is 168 00:07:24,160 --> 00:07:28,480 Speaker 2: Casey wins, Maybe Brady backdoors it, Maybe the same thing 169 00:07:28,520 --> 00:07:31,600 Speaker 2: plays out like we thought before. But I think Tampa 170 00:07:31,640 --> 00:07:34,640 Speaker 2: can keep the game close enough. Last second field goal, 171 00:07:34,840 --> 00:07:38,000 Speaker 2: Mahomes makes a play. Maybe it's a ten point game 172 00:07:38,040 --> 00:07:40,120 Speaker 2: and Brady goes down and scores a touchdown, they lose 173 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:43,600 Speaker 2: by three, something along those lines. Okay, the book makers 174 00:07:43,880 --> 00:07:46,360 Speaker 2: they smell something to me, and I think it's a 175 00:07:46,480 --> 00:07:50,400 Speaker 2: little fishy that they are refusing to come off of three, 176 00:07:50,880 --> 00:07:53,880 Speaker 2: even with eighty eighty five percent of the money coming 177 00:07:53,880 --> 00:07:58,400 Speaker 2: on Kansas City. Everyone's picking Kansas City. Everyone's betting Kansas City. 178 00:07:58,880 --> 00:08:02,280 Speaker 2: I get it running against the masses. But here's my thing. 179 00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:06,920 Speaker 2: I am owing three betting against Brady in the playoffs 180 00:08:07,040 --> 00:08:09,880 Speaker 2: this year. I'm not going oh and four, all right, 181 00:08:10,600 --> 00:08:13,440 Speaker 2: betting against Brady, just not doing it. I'll go oh 182 00:08:13,520 --> 00:08:16,240 Speaker 2: and four on games involving Tom Brady, but I'll go 183 00:08:16,320 --> 00:08:19,120 Speaker 2: down with my guy. I'll go down with Brady. I'll 184 00:08:19,160 --> 00:08:21,400 Speaker 2: lose a quarter unit. Okay, I'm comfortable with that. It's 185 00:08:21,400 --> 00:08:23,320 Speaker 2: not a big deal. Okay, I lose a quarter unit, 186 00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:26,160 Speaker 2: so be it. I'm not going against them. I'm gonna 187 00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:28,760 Speaker 2: give him the hook plus three and a half. It's 188 00:08:28,760 --> 00:08:31,120 Speaker 2: gonna hit. Your book's gonna go to three and a half, Okay. 189 00:08:31,440 --> 00:08:34,080 Speaker 2: All indications DraftKings going gonna go three and a half. 190 00:08:34,400 --> 00:08:36,960 Speaker 2: FanDuel says they're not going to, but I think they might. 191 00:08:37,520 --> 00:08:39,199 Speaker 2: I think three and a half on kick. If you 192 00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:41,320 Speaker 2: don't have three right now, you can wait. You're gonna 193 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:43,320 Speaker 2: get three and a half's across the country. It's gonna 194 00:08:43,320 --> 00:08:46,080 Speaker 2: pop there's just too much liability. The public's gonna come 195 00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:48,760 Speaker 2: in on the Chiefs. You're gonna see it. I'm taking 196 00:08:48,760 --> 00:08:51,960 Speaker 2: the Buccaneers plus three and a half in the super Bowl, 197 00:08:52,080 --> 00:08:54,920 Speaker 2: and on this on the total, I'm doing the same 198 00:08:54,960 --> 00:08:58,120 Speaker 2: thing with the logic fifty six and a half. 199 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:01,520 Speaker 1: I got this yesterday. I f and half. It's fifty six. 200 00:09:01,600 --> 00:09:04,680 Speaker 2: Pretty much everywhere, you're gonna be able to get back 201 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:06,800 Speaker 2: up to fifty six and a half. Draft Kings Johnny 202 00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:08,360 Speaker 2: and Vello told me today they will be at bit 203 00:09:08,440 --> 00:09:12,120 Speaker 2: six and a half at kickoff. Everyone is coming in 204 00:09:12,160 --> 00:09:16,400 Speaker 2: here and they're all betting the under. Now, it's kind 205 00:09:16,400 --> 00:09:18,960 Speaker 2: of weird, right. We saw a ton of public coming 206 00:09:19,000 --> 00:09:21,320 Speaker 2: in on the over early it drove it down. 207 00:09:21,200 --> 00:09:23,200 Speaker 1: Fifty seven to fifty six. 208 00:09:23,520 --> 00:09:25,600 Speaker 2: But he said, look, by the time kickoffs, he thought, 209 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:28,000 Speaker 2: maybe I'm gonna have to go back up because I'm 210 00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:29,840 Speaker 2: gonna need some under money. So I'm gonna raise it 211 00:09:29,840 --> 00:09:31,600 Speaker 2: back up, trying to keep people to betting the under 212 00:09:31,600 --> 00:09:35,120 Speaker 2: because everyone's betting over, and so I need some over money. 213 00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:36,880 Speaker 2: So we're gonna rise our some under money. So I'm 214 00:09:36,880 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 2: gona rise it up. See if I can get some 215 00:09:38,160 --> 00:09:40,600 Speaker 2: people to take the under. Professionals are on the under 216 00:09:40,840 --> 00:09:43,360 Speaker 2: and the number opening up at fifty seven and a 217 00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:46,240 Speaker 2: half being bet down to fifty six. I got it 218 00:09:46,280 --> 00:09:49,000 Speaker 2: at fifty six and a half. Maybe you get it better, 219 00:09:49,040 --> 00:09:52,200 Speaker 2: maybe you get under fifty seven. But I just think 220 00:09:52,200 --> 00:09:54,880 Speaker 2: this is gonna be a slower starting game. I think 221 00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:57,640 Speaker 2: this game is going to be a bit more on 222 00:09:57,679 --> 00:09:59,920 Speaker 2: the running side. And I don't care about the wa 223 00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:02,200 Speaker 2: I'm not betting this because of the weather. I'm betting 224 00:10:02,200 --> 00:10:05,480 Speaker 2: this for Brady and slow starts. I'm betting this on 225 00:10:05,720 --> 00:10:08,200 Speaker 2: the Super Bowl and this is not a regular season game. 226 00:10:08,480 --> 00:10:11,160 Speaker 2: I'm betting on the Buccaneers defense to play really well. 227 00:10:11,200 --> 00:10:13,679 Speaker 2: And I'm begging on field goals. Okay, not touchdowns in 228 00:10:13,720 --> 00:10:15,840 Speaker 2: the first quarter or the first half. I'm making on 229 00:10:15,880 --> 00:10:20,280 Speaker 2: field goals, So not touchdowns, field goals. So quarter unit 230 00:10:20,640 --> 00:10:25,120 Speaker 2: bucks plus three and a half quarter unit under fifty 231 00:10:25,120 --> 00:10:28,040 Speaker 2: six and a half for the Super Bowl. Two prop 232 00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:31,880 Speaker 2: bets that I like. The first this is in the 233 00:10:31,880 --> 00:10:35,199 Speaker 2: first quarter. If you look at Tom Brady's previous nine 234 00:10:35,520 --> 00:10:37,800 Speaker 2: Super bowls, did you know Tom Brady has never scored 235 00:10:37,840 --> 00:10:40,840 Speaker 2: a touchdown in the first quarter in nine Super Bowls? 236 00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:43,320 Speaker 2: Did you know that Tom Brady has scored a grand 237 00:10:43,360 --> 00:10:48,920 Speaker 2: total of three points three points in these games. That's ridiculous. 238 00:10:49,040 --> 00:10:51,480 Speaker 2: I mean, it's absolutely insanity when you stop and think 239 00:10:51,480 --> 00:10:53,640 Speaker 2: about this, Like the Brady does not score in the 240 00:10:53,679 --> 00:10:57,719 Speaker 2: first half of these Super Bowls, it is remarkable. And 241 00:10:57,800 --> 00:11:01,600 Speaker 2: it's been nine games. So let's just say, Casey does 242 00:11:01,640 --> 00:11:04,679 Speaker 2: score a touchdown early, how many possessions do you think 243 00:11:04,679 --> 00:11:05,200 Speaker 2: they're gonna have. 244 00:11:05,400 --> 00:11:06,440 Speaker 1: I'm gonna bank on two. 245 00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:09,680 Speaker 2: I'm gonna bank on one ending in a punt, which 246 00:11:09,760 --> 00:11:11,840 Speaker 2: might be difficult, but I'm gonna bank on at least 247 00:11:11,840 --> 00:11:14,400 Speaker 2: one of those two possessions to end on a punt. 248 00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:17,880 Speaker 2: Then on the other side, I'm gonna bank on Tom 249 00:11:17,920 --> 00:11:19,880 Speaker 2: Brady in this offense starting like. 250 00:11:19,880 --> 00:11:21,720 Speaker 1: It did with the Patriots, which is slow. 251 00:11:22,240 --> 00:11:26,000 Speaker 2: I think a seven to three first half score is 252 00:11:26,320 --> 00:11:29,559 Speaker 2: very very likely. It could be six to three, it 253 00:11:29,679 --> 00:11:34,080 Speaker 2: could be three nothing, it could be something really shocking. Right, 254 00:11:34,160 --> 00:11:36,280 Speaker 2: everyone's gonna bet the over. And I'm not saying the 255 00:11:36,280 --> 00:11:38,960 Speaker 2: over is dead after that because we've seen second halfs. 256 00:11:39,320 --> 00:11:42,440 Speaker 1: But in Brady's history, I think. 257 00:11:42,360 --> 00:11:44,240 Speaker 2: We're gonna go ten for ten here with Brady not 258 00:11:44,280 --> 00:11:47,640 Speaker 2: scoring a touchdown, and I know this is minus one 259 00:11:47,720 --> 00:11:50,640 Speaker 2: fifty here, but I got under ten and a half 260 00:11:50,679 --> 00:11:54,440 Speaker 2: points in the first quarter at minus one fifty, we're 261 00:11:54,440 --> 00:11:58,319 Speaker 2: going to quarter unit minus sorry, under ten and a 262 00:11:58,320 --> 00:12:01,640 Speaker 2: half points in the first quarter. I'm not buying that. 263 00:12:01,679 --> 00:12:03,480 Speaker 2: This is going to be like the first matchup and 264 00:12:03,520 --> 00:12:06,120 Speaker 2: it's seventeen to nothing in an offensive explosion the Chiefs 265 00:12:06,160 --> 00:12:08,679 Speaker 2: score at will not buying it. Okay, this is the 266 00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:11,000 Speaker 2: Super Bowl, this is Todd Bowlds's defense are playing much 267 00:12:11,080 --> 00:12:13,120 Speaker 2: much better in the postseason. I don't think they're gonna 268 00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:17,559 Speaker 2: get annihilated. They might get annihilated later, not early. First quarter, 269 00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:20,240 Speaker 2: under ten and a half and then my favorite prop 270 00:12:20,280 --> 00:12:24,560 Speaker 2: of the entire Super Bowl, all right, under one and 271 00:12:24,600 --> 00:12:28,480 Speaker 2: a half yards for the shortest touchdown. How many times 272 00:12:28,520 --> 00:12:31,000 Speaker 2: do you see pass interference calls in the end zone? 273 00:12:31,440 --> 00:12:33,360 Speaker 2: How many times do you see a wide out or 274 00:12:33,400 --> 00:12:35,960 Speaker 2: a running back get pushed out at the one yard line? 275 00:12:36,080 --> 00:12:38,880 Speaker 2: How many times do you see just qb sneaks right 276 00:12:38,920 --> 00:12:42,080 Speaker 2: into the end zone. Maybe you go with Brady touchdown, 277 00:12:42,160 --> 00:12:45,560 Speaker 2: rushing touchdown or Patrick Mahomes rushing touchdown, regardless, those are 278 00:12:45,559 --> 00:12:47,600 Speaker 2: great bets to make, and we'll talk about those later. 279 00:12:48,200 --> 00:12:51,840 Speaker 2: But under one and a half yards for the shortest 280 00:12:51,840 --> 00:12:54,640 Speaker 2: touchdown in the Super Bowl is minus one seventy seven 281 00:12:54,679 --> 00:12:57,680 Speaker 2: at DraftKings. Okay, that's a in abstiny in Vegas at 282 00:12:57,720 --> 00:13:01,880 Speaker 2: mis Onet eighty. Okay, I got it in my one eighty. 283 00:13:01,960 --> 00:13:03,360 Speaker 2: I'm putting a half a unit on it. 284 00:13:03,480 --> 00:13:07,560 Speaker 1: Okay, it's juiced up. Okay, that's a juiced up prop. Okay. 285 00:13:07,600 --> 00:13:09,800 Speaker 2: I understand maybe you don't want to lay the one eighty, 286 00:13:09,880 --> 00:13:13,199 Speaker 2: but I feel comfortable with that. I'm going under one 287 00:13:13,240 --> 00:13:15,840 Speaker 2: and a half yards for the shortest touchdown for a 288 00:13:15,920 --> 00:13:16,640 Speaker 2: half a unit. 289 00:13:16,840 --> 00:13:17,880 Speaker 1: All right, So for. 290 00:13:17,840 --> 00:13:21,080 Speaker 2: The Super Bowl, four plays here on a Friday. I'll 291 00:13:21,080 --> 00:13:23,400 Speaker 2: give you more tomorrow and more on Sunday. We've got 292 00:13:23,440 --> 00:13:25,640 Speaker 2: a ton of things to talk about in bed on. 293 00:13:25,720 --> 00:13:28,760 Speaker 2: But we're going bucks plus three and a half, under 294 00:13:28,920 --> 00:13:32,439 Speaker 2: fifty six and a half for the Super Bowl, under 295 00:13:32,480 --> 00:13:34,559 Speaker 2: ten and a half points in the first quarter, and 296 00:13:34,720 --> 00:13:37,240 Speaker 2: under one and a half yards as the shortest touchdown 297 00:13:37,520 --> 00:13:41,439 Speaker 2: for either team in the Super Bowl. Okay, So that's Sunday. 298 00:13:42,240 --> 00:13:45,559 Speaker 2: Let's talk about tonight, and let's talk about Boise State 299 00:13:45,600 --> 00:13:47,720 Speaker 2: in Nevada in college basketball, this. 300 00:13:47,720 --> 00:13:49,240 Speaker 1: Is going to be an interesting game. 301 00:13:49,320 --> 00:13:51,840 Speaker 2: Line opened up at four and a half, the first 302 00:13:51,880 --> 00:13:56,760 Speaker 2: move has been towards well. Nevada plus four and a 303 00:13:56,760 --> 00:14:00,360 Speaker 2: half at home. Nevada is coming off of back beck 304 00:14:00,400 --> 00:14:04,600 Speaker 2: wins over their arch rival. Nevada has played pretty well 305 00:14:04,640 --> 00:14:08,040 Speaker 2: this season against the number and one thing at home. 306 00:14:08,520 --> 00:14:11,040 Speaker 2: They've played pretty well at home as well. Nevada is 307 00:14:11,080 --> 00:14:13,280 Speaker 2: thirteen and five to the number this year. 308 00:14:13,320 --> 00:14:14,040 Speaker 1: It's very good. 309 00:14:14,400 --> 00:14:17,520 Speaker 2: Boise State is ten and five to the number, equally 310 00:14:17,679 --> 00:14:21,000 Speaker 2: very good. The thing about this game that I think 311 00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:23,600 Speaker 2: separates the two is I think boise is a bit 312 00:14:23,680 --> 00:14:26,160 Speaker 2: more athletic. This is going to be a really good game, 313 00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:28,400 Speaker 2: and four points might be too heavy. Opened up a 314 00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:30,320 Speaker 2: four and a half is down to four four points 315 00:14:30,400 --> 00:14:33,520 Speaker 2: might be too heavy. But I'm gonna take Boise State 316 00:14:34,000 --> 00:14:37,520 Speaker 2: on the road in the first game of these of 317 00:14:37,560 --> 00:14:41,280 Speaker 2: these Mountain West two game sets. They've played very well 318 00:14:41,520 --> 00:14:44,920 Speaker 2: in these. Okay, they've won. I think they've won every 319 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:47,880 Speaker 2: single one of them. In the first game of these sets, 320 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:50,000 Speaker 2: the second game coming back, they haven't played very well 321 00:14:50,040 --> 00:14:51,800 Speaker 2: and they haven't covered, and certainly they didn't cover against 322 00:14:51,800 --> 00:14:54,040 Speaker 2: air Force in the second game. The first game against 323 00:14:54,040 --> 00:14:56,520 Speaker 2: Coklalo State, ectually, they lost that first game against CSU, 324 00:14:56,600 --> 00:14:58,320 Speaker 2: so that was the one difference. They lost that game 325 00:14:58,360 --> 00:15:00,840 Speaker 2: by twenty two points. They got killed. So this is 326 00:15:00,880 --> 00:15:03,120 Speaker 2: a road favorite. I know it's a little bit dicey, 327 00:15:03,120 --> 00:15:05,760 Speaker 2: but I watched the game against against UNLV for Nevada. 328 00:15:05,760 --> 00:15:08,200 Speaker 2: I watched both games, and I'm not really all that 329 00:15:08,240 --> 00:15:10,280 Speaker 2: impressed you. And v is not a good basketball team. Okay, 330 00:15:10,280 --> 00:15:13,080 Speaker 2: they're just they're just not good. But I'm not sure 331 00:15:13,200 --> 00:15:15,000 Speaker 2: so good. How good Nevada is. They're kind of a 332 00:15:15,040 --> 00:15:17,200 Speaker 2: middle of the pack team. They've been very good against 333 00:15:17,240 --> 00:15:19,920 Speaker 2: the number, but Boise equally has been very good against 334 00:15:19,920 --> 00:15:22,960 Speaker 2: the number. This is February, now, this is go time. 335 00:15:23,400 --> 00:15:25,760 Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay the four with the Boisse date Broncos 336 00:15:25,800 --> 00:15:28,720 Speaker 2: because I think they have a better defense against Nevada, 337 00:15:29,000 --> 00:15:31,600 Speaker 2: and I think they can score more than what Nevada 338 00:15:31,600 --> 00:15:33,560 Speaker 2: can stop them when it comes to scoring. 339 00:15:33,880 --> 00:15:36,200 Speaker 1: So I think I think we could see an uptempo 340 00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:36,560 Speaker 1: game there. 341 00:15:36,560 --> 00:15:38,200 Speaker 2: I thought about taking the over in this game, but 342 00:15:38,560 --> 00:15:41,640 Speaker 2: just because Boise defensively, Boise has been put up some 343 00:15:41,680 --> 00:15:44,880 Speaker 2: pretty nice numbers, I'm a little bit concerned about going 344 00:15:44,960 --> 00:15:47,120 Speaker 2: with the with the under or sorre with the over 345 00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:50,320 Speaker 2: in this game because Boise is you know, they are 346 00:15:50,880 --> 00:15:53,880 Speaker 2: the second best effective field goal percentage defense in the 347 00:15:54,040 --> 00:15:56,640 Speaker 2: in the Mountain West Conference forty seven point four percent. 348 00:15:56,640 --> 00:15:58,080 Speaker 2: It's a big stat for me. I talk about it 349 00:15:58,080 --> 00:16:00,520 Speaker 2: a lot in the podcast. It's a big stat Defensively. 350 00:16:00,560 --> 00:16:02,280 Speaker 2: I think they're gonna be a hold down Nevada. I 351 00:16:02,280 --> 00:16:04,560 Speaker 2: think they score more. I'm gonna lay the four points 352 00:16:04,680 --> 00:16:09,720 Speaker 2: Boise State minus four. One play in the NBA, and 353 00:16:09,760 --> 00:16:12,280 Speaker 2: we're gonna go to the Lake game. We're going to 354 00:16:12,320 --> 00:16:16,200 Speaker 2: talk about Boston here. Boston on the road at the 355 00:16:16,360 --> 00:16:19,800 Speaker 2: LA Clippers. Another road game for Boston, and I think 356 00:16:19,880 --> 00:16:22,560 Speaker 2: some tired legs might factor in here. The line is 357 00:16:22,720 --> 00:16:26,840 Speaker 2: six for this one, all right. Boston is a team 358 00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:30,040 Speaker 2: that without Marcus Smart, I think they're gonna have some 359 00:16:30,120 --> 00:16:33,720 Speaker 2: tough times. Defensively, he's coming back. Okay, he's coming back, 360 00:16:33,760 --> 00:16:36,800 Speaker 2: which is big. But until he does, Boston is ten 361 00:16:36,840 --> 00:16:39,480 Speaker 2: and ten to the over. The Clippers are fourteen to 362 00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:43,320 Speaker 2: nine to the over. I found some interesting stats Boston 363 00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:47,320 Speaker 2: on the road in their last ten games on the 364 00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:50,640 Speaker 2: road as a dog, the over is seven too and 365 00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:54,320 Speaker 2: one in those games, including the last two games on 366 00:16:54,360 --> 00:16:57,000 Speaker 2: the road as dogs, including their last game where they 367 00:16:57,000 --> 00:16:59,400 Speaker 2: were one point underdogs to Sacramento. They lost the game 368 00:16:59,400 --> 00:17:03,040 Speaker 2: by five, but the game went over to twenty excuse me, two, 369 00:17:03,040 --> 00:17:05,239 Speaker 2: twenty four to twenty one somewhere in that rang. 370 00:17:05,320 --> 00:17:06,280 Speaker 1: You know, the last two games. 371 00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:09,000 Speaker 2: Over has hit three straight games for Boston on the 372 00:17:09,080 --> 00:17:14,000 Speaker 2: road as road dogs. They're catching six points tonight. Brad Stevens. 373 00:17:14,520 --> 00:17:16,840 Speaker 2: I thought he'd be better than this on the road 374 00:17:16,880 --> 00:17:19,399 Speaker 2: as an underdog. In the last ten games, Brad Stevens 375 00:17:19,440 --> 00:17:22,600 Speaker 2: is six to four against the spread. It's okay, right, 376 00:17:22,800 --> 00:17:25,000 Speaker 2: this is the Clippers, so I'm a little concerned. But 377 00:17:25,080 --> 00:17:26,960 Speaker 2: I think offense is going to get scored here. I 378 00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:29,760 Speaker 2: think this game goes up tempo. So I like the 379 00:17:29,800 --> 00:17:32,120 Speaker 2: over to twenty one in this game is the same 380 00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:35,639 Speaker 2: the same number that they had on the road at 381 00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:37,600 Speaker 2: Philadelphia where they gave up one hundred and twenty two 382 00:17:37,600 --> 00:17:39,800 Speaker 2: points to Philly. They've scored one hundred and ten. They 383 00:17:39,800 --> 00:17:41,720 Speaker 2: give up one hundred and sixteen points. Last game out 384 00:17:41,720 --> 00:17:44,520 Speaker 2: to Sacramento and they scored one hundred and eleven. I 385 00:17:44,560 --> 00:17:47,679 Speaker 2: think offense, offense, offense. Without Marcus Smart, I think Boston 386 00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:50,360 Speaker 2: knows they got a score. I think the Clippers defensively 387 00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:54,000 Speaker 2: they're good. Boston's got weapons are going over to twenty 388 00:17:54,040 --> 00:17:56,879 Speaker 2: one and a half here for Boston and the Clippers 389 00:17:57,000 --> 00:17:59,440 Speaker 2: here for a half a unit. So Boise State minus 390 00:17:59,440 --> 00:18:03,120 Speaker 2: four half unit over Boston and the Clippers at two 391 00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:06,480 Speaker 2: twenty one for a half a unit. Finally, before we 392 00:18:06,560 --> 00:18:09,720 Speaker 2: wrap here, it is the don't bet a parley parlay day. 393 00:18:10,720 --> 00:18:16,679 Speaker 2: I'm going with an overplay three bets, three overs, all 394 00:18:17,440 --> 00:18:20,320 Speaker 2: four well, all three together equals a six to one 395 00:18:20,320 --> 00:18:23,240 Speaker 2: return on investment. So three legs six to one. We're 396 00:18:23,240 --> 00:18:25,520 Speaker 2: going back to the well here. Okay, I can't bet 397 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:28,480 Speaker 2: the Nets over just because it's ridiculous. Okay, it's just 398 00:18:28,560 --> 00:18:30,879 Speaker 2: absolutely disgusting to keep on betting these Nets overs. But 399 00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:33,520 Speaker 2: fourteen to fifteen games have hit, Let's just go back to. 400 00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:33,960 Speaker 1: The well here. 401 00:18:34,080 --> 00:18:36,560 Speaker 2: Let's just go back to the well and it's two 402 00:18:36,840 --> 00:18:39,840 Speaker 2: forty two and a half. We're going over to forty 403 00:18:39,840 --> 00:18:42,560 Speaker 2: two and a half for Nets and the Raptors. The 404 00:18:42,680 --> 00:18:46,320 Speaker 2: Wizards do not play any defense whatsoever in any of 405 00:18:46,359 --> 00:18:49,000 Speaker 2: their games, like we know, and they score a whole lot. 406 00:18:49,240 --> 00:18:51,359 Speaker 2: I know Miami plays defense, I get it. But they 407 00:18:51,359 --> 00:18:53,440 Speaker 2: can go up tempo when they need to. We're going 408 00:18:53,560 --> 00:18:55,840 Speaker 2: over to twenty eight and a half for the Wizards 409 00:18:55,840 --> 00:18:59,040 Speaker 2: in the heat, and we're gonna talk about Akron in 410 00:18:59,080 --> 00:19:02,640 Speaker 2: their game against in State in the MAC. These games 411 00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:05,399 Speaker 2: always go over six and six to the over for Acron, 412 00:19:05,440 --> 00:19:07,520 Speaker 2: eight and five to the over Ken State. The last 413 00:19:07,560 --> 00:19:10,280 Speaker 2: game against Toledo for Akron went way over by seventeen 414 00:19:10,320 --> 00:19:14,720 Speaker 2: points at one fifty total flew over. Two of the 415 00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:17,760 Speaker 2: last three games for Kent State have gone over. They 416 00:19:17,800 --> 00:19:19,760 Speaker 2: didn't cover. The over in the last game was one 417 00:19:19,840 --> 00:19:22,280 Speaker 2: forty eight. It went under by three points. But previously 418 00:19:22,520 --> 00:19:25,639 Speaker 2: one fifty eight went over, one fifty five went over. 419 00:19:25,920 --> 00:19:29,040 Speaker 2: It's one fifty one. We're going over for Acron in 420 00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:32,199 Speaker 2: Ken State, all right, So three plays six to one 421 00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:35,199 Speaker 2: return on investments that don't play a parlay parlay for Friday. 422 00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:36,080 Speaker 1: Every Friday we do it. 423 00:19:36,680 --> 00:19:39,920 Speaker 2: Nets over two forty two and a half, Wizards over 424 00:19:39,960 --> 00:19:43,680 Speaker 2: two twenty eight and a half an Akron and ken 425 00:19:43,720 --> 00:19:48,560 Speaker 2: State over one fifty one for our parlay. All right, 426 00:19:49,080 --> 00:19:50,000 Speaker 2: those are the plays. 427 00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:54,040 Speaker 1: Check out the video. Follow me on Twitter at sports. 428 00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:56,280 Speaker 2: Talk Matt just again once again to recap the plays 429 00:19:56,280 --> 00:19:58,679 Speaker 2: for the Super Bowl Bucks plus three and a half, 430 00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:01,480 Speaker 2: under fifty six and a half under ten and a 431 00:20:01,520 --> 00:20:03,920 Speaker 2: half points in the first quarter under one and a 432 00:20:03,960 --> 00:20:06,560 Speaker 2: half yards for the shortest touchdown of the Super Bowl. 433 00:20:06,840 --> 00:20:10,919 Speaker 2: Bois minus four, Boston La over and the parlay Is 434 00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:14,480 Speaker 2: Nets over two forty two and a half, Wizards over 435 00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:16,879 Speaker 2: two twenty eight and a half and Akron over one 436 00:20:17,040 --> 00:20:20,400 Speaker 2: fifty one. My name is Matt Perrault. Every morning it's 437 00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:23,560 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast, brought to you by BETMGM right 438 00:20:23,600 --> 00:20:33,520 Speaker 2: here on bettingpros dot com.