1 00:00:03,520 --> 00:00:06,920 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg 2 00:00:06,960 --> 00:00:10,000 Speaker 1: dot com, the radio, plus Globo lact and on your radio. 3 00:00:10,320 --> 00:00:14,240 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business Flight from Bloomberg World Handquarters. 4 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:16,680 Speaker 1: I'm Charlie Pellod. We do have thirteen minutes to go 5 00:00:16,760 --> 00:00:19,520 Speaker 1: ahead of the clothes On a Thursday. Stocks are holding 6 00:00:19,520 --> 00:00:22,000 Speaker 1: onto their gains right now, with the SMP five hundred 7 00:00:22,040 --> 00:00:24,000 Speaker 1: in decks showing in the advance of three points to 8 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:27,639 Speaker 1: eight five, up by one tenth to one percent, and 9 00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:30,040 Speaker 1: as stack up eight points a gain of two tents 10 00:00:30,080 --> 00:00:33,200 Speaker 1: of one percent. Down Industrial is up seven a gain 11 00:00:33,280 --> 00:00:36,360 Speaker 1: of less than point one percent. The ten year up 12 00:00:36,400 --> 00:00:39,000 Speaker 1: four or thirty seconds, the yield on the tenure one 13 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:42,640 Speaker 1: point five three percent. Gold up nine sixty ounce, the 14 00:00:42,680 --> 00:00:45,519 Speaker 1: thirteen fifty four a gain of seven tenths of one percent. 15 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:49,440 Speaker 1: Crude oil West Texas Intermediate now officially in a bowl 16 00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:53,440 Speaker 1: market up a dollar forty one twenty for West Texas 17 00:00:53,479 --> 00:00:56,840 Speaker 1: Intermediate up now by three percent. Brent crude above fifty 18 00:00:56,880 --> 00:01:00,280 Speaker 1: dollars up one point nine percent, fifty dollars seventies seven 19 00:01:00,320 --> 00:01:03,280 Speaker 1: cents on Brent. I'm Charlie Pallett, and that's a bloom 20 00:01:03,280 --> 00:01:07,680 Speaker 1: Bred business Flash. You're listening to Taking Stock with Kathleen 21 00:01:08,080 --> 00:01:13,680 Speaker 1: and Pim Fox on Bloomberg Radio. Walmart good news for shareholders, 22 00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:17,120 Speaker 1: for company managers and all employees. I assume increasing in 23 00:01:17,160 --> 00:01:21,320 Speaker 1: saniel earnings forecast after second quarter results topped analyst estimates. 24 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 1: Is this assigned the world's largest retailer is pulling business 25 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:27,880 Speaker 1: away from rivals like a target where we want to 26 00:01:27,880 --> 00:01:31,240 Speaker 1: talk about this and so much more. Walmart acquiring Jet 27 00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 1: dot Com. It's attempt to compete with Amazon even more 28 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:39,480 Speaker 1: aggressively when it comes to online shopping. Walmart shares up 29 00:01:39,480 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 1: a dollar thirty six cents at seventy four dollars and 30 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:46,399 Speaker 1: twenty nine cents. Bert Flickinger joins this managing director Strategic 31 00:01:46,600 --> 00:01:49,400 Speaker 1: Resource Group. He's back in our New York studio with 32 00:01:49,480 --> 00:01:53,360 Speaker 1: us today. Bert, welcome, Thank you so Walmart. How good 33 00:01:53,440 --> 00:01:56,560 Speaker 1: is the good news? It's good news because Walmart has 34 00:01:56,600 --> 00:01:59,840 Speaker 1: good leadership for the first time in nearly twenty years. Kathleen, So, 35 00:02:00,480 --> 00:02:03,560 Speaker 1: with good leadership, it's taking a long time to turn 36 00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:05,960 Speaker 1: the company around, but with eighth straight quarters of positive 37 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:09,200 Speaker 1: same store sales, as you and Pim references I heard 38 00:02:09,280 --> 00:02:13,800 Speaker 1: driving up from Philadelphia, Walmart's gain is Targets pain the 39 00:02:13,960 --> 00:02:16,760 Speaker 1: offering at Walmart has it changed. I was looking at 40 00:02:16,760 --> 00:02:20,079 Speaker 1: things like organic food groceries. They seem to be doing 41 00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 1: much better in terms of providing those kinds of products 42 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:27,640 Speaker 1: to customers than Target. That's what we're looking at PIM 43 00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:32,680 Speaker 1: is organic local farmers, looking at hydroponic bringing in the 44 00:02:32,760 --> 00:02:37,680 Speaker 1: destination demand daily, particularly for millennials, young adults that are 45 00:02:37,680 --> 00:02:40,760 Speaker 1: focused on fresh. The other thing that the leadership really 46 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:43,520 Speaker 1: deserves a lot of credit for is being the first 47 00:02:43,560 --> 00:02:46,640 Speaker 1: team at Walmart after fifty years of failure in basic 48 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:51,120 Speaker 1: fashion to finally fix basic fashion, especially for young girls, 49 00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:55,000 Speaker 1: young boys. And Targets had some failings in fashion again, 50 00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 1: Walmart's game Walmart. You know, but you've been on the show, 51 00:02:59,120 --> 00:03:01,239 Speaker 1: Uh even on her Big Friend of radio and TV 52 00:03:01,320 --> 00:03:06,160 Speaker 1: here at Bloomberg. Where is Walmart now? He said, for 53 00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:08,640 Speaker 1: the best management they've had in years, So we can 54 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:13,000 Speaker 1: understand better Jet dot Com that acquisition. But you know, 55 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:16,360 Speaker 1: so recently it's it's holiday shopping, it's Christmas Eve, and 56 00:03:16,360 --> 00:03:19,400 Speaker 1: the shocks, the stocks aren't the shelves aren't stocked. We've 57 00:03:19,480 --> 00:03:22,840 Speaker 1: we've seen that as as part of Walmart. We've seen 58 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 1: them built. These new stores are supposed to appeal more 59 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:28,920 Speaker 1: for shoppers and they don't. Necessarily, what else do they 60 00:03:28,960 --> 00:03:31,960 Speaker 1: have to do? Let's let's besides build up Jet dot 61 00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 1: Com and compete with Amazon Kathleen. As you and PIM 62 00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:38,920 Speaker 1: have always said, leadership makes a difference in retail, and 63 00:03:39,200 --> 00:03:42,720 Speaker 1: you and PIM and Bloomberg have been uniquely successful in 64 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:45,400 Speaker 1: making individual and institutional investors a lot of money. And 65 00:03:45,440 --> 00:03:49,760 Speaker 1: when there is a major leadership change Frank Blake replacing 66 00:03:49,760 --> 00:03:54,760 Speaker 1: bobner Delhi at Home Depot for example, um Richard Baker 67 00:03:54,800 --> 00:03:57,200 Speaker 1: and his team coming in at Hudson Bay taking over 68 00:03:57,640 --> 00:04:02,040 Speaker 1: Sex Fifth Avenue, Lord and Taylor's, etcetera expanding out Sex 69 00:04:02,080 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 1: Off five. When when you have better leadership like Doug 70 00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:10,840 Speaker 1: McMillan and Greg farrand at Walmart. Target has good leadership 71 00:04:10,840 --> 00:04:13,440 Speaker 1: in Brian Cornell, but Brian's cleaning up the problems of 72 00:04:13,560 --> 00:04:16,440 Speaker 1: Hien passed along by his two predecessor and bad boards 73 00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:20,960 Speaker 1: for fifteen years. Uh So with so with Walmart, what 74 00:04:20,960 --> 00:04:23,520 Speaker 1: what you have is is what you and Pen reference 75 00:04:23,960 --> 00:04:27,680 Speaker 1: from UH fresh food to fashion. UH they're winning for 76 00:04:27,720 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 1: the first time. And what Walmart does with the new 77 00:04:30,160 --> 00:04:33,240 Speaker 1: team they look at investing in fresh, they look at 78 00:04:33,320 --> 00:04:36,120 Speaker 1: investing in stocking the shelves issue reference, they look at 79 00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:39,360 Speaker 1: investing in fashion. They don't look at that as an expense. 80 00:04:39,440 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 1: Targets still outsourcing. Looking at everything, it's an expense. Walmart's 81 00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:46,640 Speaker 1: investing in people for the first time literally since Sam 82 00:04:46,680 --> 00:04:49,719 Speaker 1: Walton started the company, and that investment is paying off 83 00:04:49,800 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 1: because there's no expense mentality and there isn't as much 84 00:04:53,000 --> 00:04:56,280 Speaker 1: of an expense mentality back in bent Bentville at the 85 00:04:56,320 --> 00:04:59,679 Speaker 1: home office. These days, UM two point seven billion dollars 86 00:04:59,720 --> 00:05:04,120 Speaker 1: spent on training and wages for the Walmart sales force. 87 00:05:04,520 --> 00:05:08,159 Speaker 1: What drives traffic into stores? It doesn't have to be 88 00:05:08,200 --> 00:05:10,159 Speaker 1: just Walmart. But I'm curious, because you're an expert in this, 89 00:05:10,600 --> 00:05:13,760 Speaker 1: what gets people to go into the store, because traffic 90 00:05:13,760 --> 00:05:17,880 Speaker 1: and Walmart much better than traffic and Target. It's it's 91 00:05:17,920 --> 00:05:21,760 Speaker 1: what your referenced in the brake pain it's local. So 92 00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:26,159 Speaker 1: for example, we'll be going through Mississippi and we'll see 93 00:05:26,520 --> 00:05:31,120 Speaker 1: UM Walmart separated, so they'll have the licensed merchandise for 94 00:05:31,320 --> 00:05:35,280 Speaker 1: Mississippi State, Southern Mississippi versus Old miss some l s 95 00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:38,520 Speaker 1: U on one border some Alabama and Auburn on the 96 00:05:38,560 --> 00:05:44,440 Speaker 1: other border across merchandise between apparel, licensed food and Target 97 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:47,760 Speaker 1: had been great at it, but as we talked at 98 00:05:47,760 --> 00:05:50,599 Speaker 1: the turn of the year, uh, Target really forgot to 99 00:05:50,640 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 1: market and merchandise Christmas this year and their stores they 100 00:05:53,560 --> 00:05:58,400 Speaker 1: had more tires than Christmas trees and honekah lights and 101 00:05:58,440 --> 00:06:02,120 Speaker 1: in some of their ads, and Walmart's getting back to 102 00:06:02,160 --> 00:06:05,200 Speaker 1: that rhythm of retail and understanding the detail of retailing. 103 00:06:05,200 --> 00:06:08,279 Speaker 1: At Kathleen's point, they actually have product in the stores 104 00:06:08,360 --> 00:06:11,280 Speaker 1: between Friday and Sunday when they do sixties seventy percent 105 00:06:11,320 --> 00:06:14,880 Speaker 1: of their business. That's the first since really the turn 106 00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:18,480 Speaker 1: the turn of the century, going back to about two thousand. Well, 107 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:23,680 Speaker 1: you know, I just want to ask you about something 108 00:06:23,720 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 1: that Brian Sazzi was writing about yesterday, suggesting that even 109 00:06:29,760 --> 00:06:32,799 Speaker 1: though t J Max just had another sexy quarter, especially 110 00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:35,919 Speaker 1: relative to its struggling department store arrivals like Me Season Coals, 111 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:38,440 Speaker 1: this could be a good time for investors to head 112 00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:42,800 Speaker 1: for the exit doors. Yeah. T J acts a lot 113 00:06:42,839 --> 00:06:46,000 Speaker 1: of respect for Ben Camarado, the founder of Start right 114 00:06:46,040 --> 00:06:49,200 Speaker 1: next to Spags and Worcester Carol Meyer Woods has done 115 00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 1: an exceptional job Brian's correct. It's it's it's building out 116 00:06:52,960 --> 00:06:55,720 Speaker 1: towards scale. The better investment is the ones that are 117 00:06:55,760 --> 00:06:59,560 Speaker 1: still going more from multi regional and national national. Burlington's 118 00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:03,119 Speaker 1: Center had a really good run. Ross is trying to 119 00:07:03,160 --> 00:07:05,760 Speaker 1: trying to run off off Price. Really is where all 120 00:07:05,800 --> 00:07:10,960 Speaker 1: the action is. Luxury and prestige really struggling. Uh, nationally 121 00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:15,760 Speaker 1: and internationally. UH. Brian, to his credit also, UH was 122 00:07:15,800 --> 00:07:17,760 Speaker 1: one of the first, along with the three of us 123 00:07:17,800 --> 00:07:20,600 Speaker 1: to call the turn on J. C. Penny too. So 124 00:07:21,040 --> 00:07:24,640 Speaker 1: H with with what Penny is doing and expanding Sephora, 125 00:07:25,120 --> 00:07:28,400 Speaker 1: with the exclusivity and what Penny is doing with the 126 00:07:28,760 --> 00:07:31,760 Speaker 1: Disney Co exclusives. Uh, that's one of the few bright 127 00:07:31,760 --> 00:07:34,840 Speaker 1: spots in department store retail today too. How about it 128 00:07:34,960 --> 00:07:41,760 Speaker 1: characterize urban outfitters, UH, lover ran outfitters, American Eagle, good leadership, 129 00:07:41,800 --> 00:07:47,880 Speaker 1: good merchants, UH. People people from Great Lakes Great Lakes 130 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:52,480 Speaker 1: region to really get after retail, understand understand the trends. UH. 131 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:56,000 Speaker 1: If they're going at an Ali's bargain basement to see 132 00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:58,920 Speaker 1: what Ali's is selling, they're seeing what Mark Lassman selling 133 00:07:58,920 --> 00:08:01,400 Speaker 1: in the Marks off Price store. Some of the highest 134 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:05,760 Speaker 1: volume stores unique primarily to the greater Cleveland area. They 135 00:08:05,800 --> 00:08:11,840 Speaker 1: follow everything in existence and rarely understand teens. Teens want 136 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:15,080 Speaker 1: want to be forward in unique in terms in terms 137 00:08:15,120 --> 00:08:17,760 Speaker 1: of fashion, and they don't want to have that chiseld 138 00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:22,400 Speaker 1: cultured look of Abercrombie and Abercrombie's sister company, Solistera, etcetera. 139 00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:27,480 Speaker 1: So do you agree with Pim Fox, who I think 140 00:08:27,760 --> 00:08:31,440 Speaker 1: believes that brick and mortar is going to be completely 141 00:08:31,600 --> 00:08:35,120 Speaker 1: giving way to e commerce that no one, you know, 142 00:08:35,240 --> 00:08:37,599 Speaker 1: especially the younger generation. They get their brown boxes and 143 00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:39,800 Speaker 1: they're happy and they don't mind sending stuff back. And 144 00:08:40,240 --> 00:08:44,480 Speaker 1: as as the time passes and the generations you know shift, 145 00:08:44,559 --> 00:08:46,839 Speaker 1: that there won't be brick and mortar left. As as 146 00:08:47,000 --> 00:08:48,800 Speaker 1: as we've talked to in the last year, there's this 147 00:08:49,080 --> 00:08:52,920 Speaker 1: accelerating retail ice age pen identifier with the Shaving Club, 148 00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:57,160 Speaker 1: and there's a real ticking time bomb as uh you 149 00:08:57,240 --> 00:09:00,319 Speaker 1: talked about earlier in your show with a JP Morgan report. 150 00:09:00,360 --> 00:09:03,440 Speaker 1: They're one point two million fewer people working at bricks 151 00:09:03,480 --> 00:09:06,240 Speaker 1: based retail. They're not spending the money in the stores, 152 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:10,520 Speaker 1: Customer counts as Target reported yesterday, really cratering. There's gonna 153 00:09:10,559 --> 00:09:13,280 Speaker 1: be a real crisis in terms of sales tax revenue 154 00:09:13,559 --> 00:09:17,240 Speaker 1: as well as property tax revenue and public sector budgets 155 00:09:17,240 --> 00:09:19,200 Speaker 1: are are going to be going through a lot of pain. 156 00:09:19,280 --> 00:09:23,679 Speaker 1: And pim Pim's correct. The B and C malls Uh, 157 00:09:23,840 --> 00:09:26,800 Speaker 1: The C malls will be ghost towns. Uh. The B 158 00:09:27,000 --> 00:09:31,360 Speaker 1: malls will have high vacancy rates. And retailer is we 159 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 1: knew it in the twentieth century won't really be there 160 00:09:34,679 --> 00:09:37,240 Speaker 1: ten years from now, probably five years from now. Amazon 161 00:09:37,679 --> 00:09:40,200 Speaker 1: growing twenty five billion a year. That's the size of 162 00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:44,720 Speaker 1: Macy's and Bloomingdale's combined in total. L Brands, the parent 163 00:09:44,840 --> 00:09:50,559 Speaker 1: company of Victoria Secrets, streamlining their offerings active where, sleepwear, 164 00:09:50,600 --> 00:09:54,120 Speaker 1: and so on, but also promotional strategy. The shares of 165 00:09:54,280 --> 00:09:56,760 Speaker 1: L Brands up almost five percent today. What do you 166 00:09:56,800 --> 00:10:02,280 Speaker 1: think of Leslie Westerns L Brands? Leslie's always been able 167 00:10:02,280 --> 00:10:06,000 Speaker 1: to rebound. He's one of the last really brilliant merchants 168 00:10:06,320 --> 00:10:11,800 Speaker 1: working today that's been successful every every decade acrosses operating 169 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:18,640 Speaker 1: companies from quote unquote the Limited to VSS or Victoria's Secret. 170 00:10:18,760 --> 00:10:21,160 Speaker 1: So L Brands has a lot of room to run 171 00:10:21,160 --> 00:10:26,120 Speaker 1: as well. Just did a nutshell strong enough consumer? Is 172 00:10:26,160 --> 00:10:28,560 Speaker 1: there enough paycheck growth. Is there enough everything to keep 173 00:10:28,600 --> 00:10:30,640 Speaker 1: consumer growing, because this is certainly one of the biggest 174 00:10:30,640 --> 00:10:32,520 Speaker 1: factors for no matter how smart you as a retailer, 175 00:10:32,520 --> 00:10:35,800 Speaker 1: people gotta be shopping. Not enough paycheck growth. In the 176 00:10:36,000 --> 00:10:40,600 Speaker 1: ten monthly consumers spending categories, consumers are spending more and 177 00:10:40,760 --> 00:10:45,559 Speaker 1: nine and the ten everything from rent to health, healthcare tuitions, 178 00:10:45,640 --> 00:10:49,679 Speaker 1: loan's credit, et cetera. So as otto goes down, retails 179 00:10:49,720 --> 00:10:55,760 Speaker 1: going down, consumers getting crushed, consumers getting crushed. Well, we'll 180 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:57,560 Speaker 1: just have to leave it there for now. There's a 181 00:10:57,559 --> 00:11:01,000 Speaker 1: lot of shopping though, right, I need retail therapy. Is 182 00:11:01,040 --> 00:11:03,200 Speaker 1: this depressing? I'm gonna buy something him? All right, you 183 00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:07,000 Speaker 1: helped the economy. Bert Flickinger, Managing director, Strategic Resource Group, 184 00:11:07,040 --> 00:11:09,080 Speaker 1: thank you very much. He can be followed on Twitter 185 00:11:09,200 --> 00:11:12,440 Speaker 1: at Bert Underscore Flickinger. Take you through to the clothes. 186 00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:13,599 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg