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Speaker 1: And welcome in Lake Kick is Live. It is Tuesday night,

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Speaker 1: September twenty year of our Low twenty twenty two, brought

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Speaker 1: to you, as always by Academy Sports and Outdoors. Some

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Speaker 1: teams cannot, Other teams simply have not yet. Could this

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Speaker 1: week be the week for those teams? We are jam

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Speaker 1: packed high atop a sprightly downtown Nashville, Tennessee Full Week

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Speaker 1: four predictions. Tonight we got a new JP pole. Tonight

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Speaker 1: we got some hot seats to talk about. You know,

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Speaker 1: it's not my favorite subject in the world, but we

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Speaker 1: have some coaches who have already been shown the exit door,

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Speaker 1: which begs the question why were they even given an

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Speaker 1: opportunity into this year? I digress. We've got other coaches

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Speaker 1: who are feeling considerable amounts of heat. In fact, I

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Speaker 1: think action is imminent on one or several of these

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Speaker 1: coaches that we'll talk about tonight, and in't of a

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Speaker 1: take no prisoner's move. I have already come up with

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Speaker 1: a new design that we will implement for the RAM

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Speaker 1: and Noudle Express. Not if, but when it catches fire

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Speaker 1: this week. That's how good I feel. You might ask,

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Speaker 1: how with a record so cold can you feel so good.

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Speaker 1: Like I said about teams, some cannot, others simply have not.

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Speaker 1: We can get hot, we just haven't yet. They're watching

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Speaker 1: us in Paris, Tennessee. All been in New York, Arkadelphia, Arkansas,

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Speaker 1: and drakedon Georgia. Thank you so so much for being

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Speaker 1: tuned in. We've had record viewership all season, so I

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Speaker 1: appreciate it. Let's dive in tonight. Tuesday night is prediction

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Speaker 1: night on this show, and so we're gonna start with

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Speaker 1: the game that we're gonna be at this Saturday. We

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Speaker 1: are headed to beautiful Knoxville, Tennessee. I'm told a cold

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Speaker 1: front will come through between now and kickoff that will

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Speaker 1: make it feel very seasonal, if not a tinge on

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Speaker 1: the cool crisp side in Knoxville this Saturday. Legendary rivalry, kids,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna jum just talk to our high school of

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Speaker 1: college audience for just a second. Legendary. I'm not misspeaking

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Speaker 1: when I talk about that Gator log go in that

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Speaker 1: big T logo and talk about legendary. You just need

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Speaker 1: to crack open a history book. It has been a

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Speaker 1: little while since this one resonated and reverberated outside of

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Speaker 1: the Southeastern Conference. But it matters, and I think that

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Speaker 1: we may have an atmosphere this Saturday in Niland Stadium

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Speaker 1: that harkens back to some of those more legendary matchups

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Speaker 1: between these two brands. Now we need to talk about something.

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Speaker 1: It's called a point spread, and Tennessee is favored by

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Speaker 1: ten and a half as we speak here on this

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Speaker 1: Tuesday night. Those of you who have not watched either

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Speaker 1: of these teams this year, but you just have access

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Speaker 1: to trends, may listen to me say Florida has won

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Speaker 1: sixteen of the past seventeen in this matchup, and then

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Speaker 1: find out Florida is a ten and a half point dog,

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Speaker 1: and blindly bet the dog. Now listen, I'm not saying

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Speaker 1: that may not be a there's like a triple negative

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Speaker 1: in this sentence, but I'm gonna continue. I'm not saying

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Speaker 1: that that may not be a profitable strategy. Generically. I

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Speaker 1: do think this game requires a little bit deeper dive.

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Speaker 1: Do it here. This is going to be a theme

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Speaker 1: throughout the night. What are you capable of that you

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Speaker 1: have not shown me yet. It's week four, it's not November,

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Speaker 1: it's not week eleven. By week eleven, we know everything

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Speaker 1: pretty much about every team. That doesn't mean upsets don't happen,

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Speaker 1: but rarely does a team show you the capability to

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Speaker 1: do something for the first time in November. Teams show

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Speaker 1: you the capability of doing something for the first time

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Speaker 1: in Week four. Every year it will happen multiple times

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Speaker 1: this weekend. So with the Florida Gators the ten and

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Speaker 1: a half point dog here, Florida has ten plays so

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Speaker 1: far this year of twenty yards or more that is

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Speaker 1: tied for last in the SEC in that category. Anthony

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Speaker 1: Richardson zero pass touchdowns, four plus interceptions, and that makes

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Speaker 1: him one of only four quarterbacks in America with that

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Speaker 1: regrettable stat line through the air. My point is is

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Speaker 1: that him or is he capable of more and it's

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Speaker 1: just something that we haven't seen him deliver on yet.

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Speaker 1: Now I have mixed feelings about that. There are rumors

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Speaker 1: that have floated around that program that he may be

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Speaker 1: a little bit more banged up than they're leading on

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Speaker 1: to believe, because no one's leading you on to believe

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Speaker 1: that he's hurt at all. If you listen to the

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Speaker 1: official talking points from Florida, it would explain some of

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Speaker 1: the ways they've handled him. Also, they have no depth

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Speaker 1: behind him, so that would also explain why they have

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Speaker 1: maybe hesitated to use his legs as the weapon that

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Speaker 1: they can be. Regardless, you need more on the board

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Speaker 1: this Saturday if you want to give yourselves a fighting

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Speaker 1: chance here. How close is this in the fourth quarter?

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Speaker 1: Is this a fourth quarter game? Is it the kind

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Speaker 1: of game where all of a sudden you're texting your buddies, Hey,

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Speaker 1: it's not a blowout after all. Well, the way that

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Speaker 1: happens is a couple of things have to go down.

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Speaker 1: I'm kind of trying to look at this from the

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Speaker 1: angle of how could that upset happen? Because I think

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Speaker 1: we're in that territory in the way that we typically

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Speaker 1: break games down, Florida's defense has to be able to

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Speaker 1: force a couple of dry spells, a couple of those

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Speaker 1: prolonged three and out, three and out, three and out,

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Speaker 1: those type of dry spells. They can't let Tennessee just

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Speaker 1: consecutively be going up and down the field and scoring

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Speaker 1: cause they can't keep up. That could depend on sort

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Speaker 1: of how Tennessee starts, but it's not always like that,

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Speaker 1: So I don't just want to put an emphasis on

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Speaker 1: the first ten minutes of the game. But when they

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Speaker 1: played Utah, when Florida played Utah, when Florida played Kentucky,

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Speaker 1: when Florida played USF last week, they could depend on

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Speaker 1: some of those drive spells. They knew those teams, and

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Speaker 1: we found out those teams weren't going to get into

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Speaker 1: the thirties and forties against them. They were going to

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Speaker 1: be hard pressed to Tennessee can do that. Tennessee could

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Speaker 1: be at halftime what those teams were in totality against you.

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Speaker 1: If you don't force some of those drive spells, you're

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Speaker 1: probably absent Ventro Miller, who's your most important defensive player

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Speaker 1: in this game. That's the word out of Gainesville at least,

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Speaker 1: so early stops critical force mistakes, which Tennessee's been prone to.

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Speaker 1: All you got to do is go back and watch

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Speaker 1: the pit game. They gave every reason to believe they

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Speaker 1: were ready to give that game away. Then they happened

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Speaker 1: to win it. But if you could force critical mistakes

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Speaker 1: like Pitt forced them to do, then yet you got

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Speaker 1: a chance early stops like I said, and then just

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Speaker 1: grind on them with your run game. So no guarantee

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Speaker 1: it's gonna work. But that's the formula if it does work.

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Speaker 1: So if you can get this game to be played

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Speaker 1: in the twenties, you can get Tennessee pacing towards that

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Speaker 1: it is your game at that point. To win, you

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Speaker 1: still got to grab it, but you have sort of

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Speaker 1: decided the terms. If Tennessee's at twenty or twenty four

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Speaker 1: and a half, they're gonna run away from you in

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Speaker 1: all likelihood, Tennessee. I think if you're looking at a

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Speaker 1: game to compare this one too, should go back to

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Speaker 1: last year. Ironically, it's a game we were at and

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Speaker 1: it's Ohio State versus Michigan State. Now, let me stop.

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Speaker 1: I'm not comparing the Florida team apples to apples to

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Speaker 1: the Michigan State team last year. Nor am I comparing

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Speaker 1: Tennessee to Ohio State. What I'm saying is the game

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Speaker 1: could end up starting a lot like that Ohio State

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Speaker 1: Michigan State game did last year. We were there, total mismatch,

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Speaker 1: total body bag special from the outset and Ohio State

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Speaker 1: they didn't feel anything out, they knew they they had

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Speaker 1: a mismatch. They exploited it and they completely sliced Michigan State.

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Speaker 1: Now Florida's got an infinitely better secondary than Michigan State

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Speaker 1: ever thought about having last year, or apparently is going

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Speaker 1: to think about having this year, judging by last week.

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Speaker 1: So I'm not saying that it's Tennessee twenty eight nothing

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Speaker 1: right out the gate, But i am saying there are

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Speaker 1: some pretty glaring mismatches positionally here that Tennessee, if they

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Speaker 1: so choose to, could aggressively go after and never even

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Speaker 1: allow you time to breathe. I'm very interested to see

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Speaker 1: whether they do that, because you could also sit here

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Speaker 1: in the other chair if we had one on set,

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Speaker 1: and you can make the argument. But Josh, don't you

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Speaker 1: remember the pit game. Don't you remember the way pitt

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Speaker 1: State in that game was Tennessee mistakes. Doesn't Tennessee have

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Speaker 1: a good enough ground game? Can't they tempo their way

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Speaker 1: to making Florida wilt on the ground to where they

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Speaker 1: don't just have to throw the ball forty or forty

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Speaker 1: five times. Yeah, I'm not suggesting they need to throw

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Speaker 1: it forty five times like Ohio State did against Michigan

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Speaker 1: State early on. I'm saying utilizing that tempo, utilizing the

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Speaker 1: ground game, and taking advance of Florida's lack of depth

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Speaker 1: and lack of players like Ventro Miller. That's all part

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Speaker 1: of what I'm talking about. I'm just saying, I hope

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Speaker 1: from Tennessee's perspective, if I'm backing them, they don't feel

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Speaker 1: their way out in this game. They know who they are,

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Speaker 1: they know where the mismatches are. I think they'll like

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Speaker 1: every bit, like Ohio State did against Michigan State last year.

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Speaker 1: Let's take a look at what the Vegas number is.

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Speaker 1: Let's take a look at what our model thinks on

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Speaker 1: this thing. The Vegas number, as you can see on

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Speaker 1: the bottom of the screen, is Tennessee minus ten and

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Speaker 1: a half. We're still north of that. We don't think

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Speaker 1: the number is big enough. The model has Tennessee minus

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Speaker 1: two touchdowns. Just think it's a mismatch. And this is

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Speaker 1: exclamated by the lack of a guy like Ventro Miller.

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Speaker 1: For the record, we have baked that into that number.

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Speaker 1: So that's part of Tennessee being minus fourteen. And also,

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Speaker 1: I have very little confidence that what we have not

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Speaker 1: gotten from Anthony Richardson at home is all of a

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Speaker 1: sudden magically going to show up on the road. So

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Speaker 1: I can't depend on that Florida offense. And because I can't,

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Speaker 1: I've got a fact during the possibility that this thing

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Speaker 1: gets out of whack certainly could pant you a picture

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Speaker 1: where it's a one possession game in the fourth quarter

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Speaker 1: in Florida's got a shot to win it. There's just

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Speaker 1: more on the other side. There are several more scenarios

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Speaker 1: where it's not so I'm taking Tennessee to whim, even

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Speaker 1: at that loftier number. I'm taking Tennessee to cover. That's

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Speaker 1: a game that will be at Saturday. And I'll tell

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Speaker 1: you what we have with us every week, and that's

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Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors. Obviously, if you've ever run into

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Speaker 1: me on the road, you know there's a little added benefit,

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Speaker 1: and that is we have Academy gift cards with us. Now,

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Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors your one stop shop for everything

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Speaker 1: you could ever need to tailgate or participate in any

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Speaker 1: kind of recreational outdoor activity from grilling to golfing to

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Speaker 1: anything in between. But also, I go to my mailbox

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Speaker 1: last night. It's like a weekly tradition for me. Now

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Speaker 1: I go down to my mailbox, turn the key, and

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Speaker 1: I see a big fat envelope. It's a traditional envelope,

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Speaker 1: no different than you would pass off to your bookie

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Speaker 1: behind a McDonald somewhere, and it's got a big one

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Speaker 1: ump in it because much like you passing off a

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Speaker 1: big envelope full of cash to your bookie, it doesn't

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Speaker 1: just fold neatly because you probably owe him so much

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Speaker 1: that it has to fold well. When I get an

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Speaker 1: envelope from Academy, it has this senate. These Academy gift

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Speaker 1: cars like I got thick. That is how much money

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Speaker 1: I got in my hand right now. These Academy gift

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Speaker 1: cards I take with me to every town that we

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Speaker 1: go to on the every given Saturday tour. I was

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Speaker 1: thinking about this earlier Oprah. She's done a lot. Oprah's great.

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Speaker 1: Got no problem with Oprah. Oprah is famous for just

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Speaker 1: occasionally on her show giving away cars. And I love cars.

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Speaker 1: But pretty much everyone I know has got a car.

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Speaker 1: Even Jesse's got a car. Okay, so pretty much everyone

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Speaker 1: has a car. You know what, everyone doesn't have Academy

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Speaker 1: gift cards. Okay, So when I roll into town in

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Speaker 1: Knoxville Saturday, you come up to me and say, Hey, Josh,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna say hey, and then if you ask me

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Speaker 1: you got Academy gift cars, I'm gonna say, there you go,

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Speaker 1: and there you go, and there you go. There's one.

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Speaker 1: It was like around Auburn on the other day, is

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Speaker 1: what's going to be like in Neil on Saturday. Here

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Speaker 1: you go. I can't get cards for everyone. Have you

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Speaker 1: ever seen Oprah do that? No you have not, because,

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Speaker 1: like I said, not just everyone. I need to get

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Speaker 1: this off the desk. Not just everyone gets Academy Sports

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Speaker 1: and Outdoors for their exclusive partner, not even Oprah. We

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Speaker 1: got them, and we thank them. They always make things

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Speaker 1: possible that otherwise would not be possible. And boy, what

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Speaker 1: they should provide me now is a cleanup Croup. We

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Speaker 1: have got more games to preview, so we're moving on here.

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Speaker 1: I'm watching the replay on YouTube, which is about thirty

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Speaker 1: seconds to late, and I just now see how foolish

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Speaker 1: that look. I'm not taking it back though, JP Pole time.

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Speaker 1: I'm moving the JP Pole up a little bit earlier

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Speaker 1: in the show because I wanted to space out some

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Speaker 1: of the predictions. There is movement in this thing this

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Speaker 1: week that even I did not expect. Okay, the JP

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Speaker 1: Pole is our own internal power rating that gets pumped

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Speaker 1: out from the model. It is not a ranking system.

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Speaker 1: It's nothing like the AP pole obviously, based on what

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Speaker 1: you're about to see, and we go twenty five to one,

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Speaker 1: I go through it pretty quickly, so who let's pull

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Speaker 1: it up, because man, I've got some explaining to do,

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Speaker 1: and I try and explain the model as best I can.

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Speaker 1: Twenty five through twenty one Wisconsin, NC State, Iowa State, Miami,

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Speaker 1: and Florida State. Wisconsin has this loss to Washington State

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Speaker 1: on their resume, and everyone's frowning about it because it's

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Speaker 1: Washington State. I happen to think, and our model happens

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Speaker 1: to think Washington State's just a much better team than

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Speaker 1: you do. And it keeps it keeps rating Wisconsin a

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Speaker 1: little bit higher than some of the other power rating

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Speaker 1: systems I've seen out there. Iowa State and Baylor is

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Speaker 1: going to be interesting. This week. We got Iowa State

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Speaker 1: at twenty three. I think we have Baylor like nineteen

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Speaker 1: or twenty or something like that. I'm about to see,

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Speaker 1: but that's going to be a really good comparative test

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Speaker 1: and analysis for us FSU continues to climb at number

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Speaker 1: twenty one, all right. Let's take a look at number

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Speaker 1: twenty through number sixteen. Like I said, Baylor right there

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Speaker 1: at number twenty they lost to Brigham Young. Not a

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Speaker 1: big deal BYU, some of you know them mass Kentucky's nineteen,

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Speaker 1: LSU's eighteen, SINCEUS seventeen. A and M is at sixteen.

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Speaker 1: Now Kentucky, as you can clearly see, we don't have

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Speaker 1: as high as the ap Kentucky's at number eight in

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Speaker 1: the ap Okay, It's not disrespectful for me to say

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Speaker 1: what I'm about to say. Kentucky's not one of the

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Speaker 1: ten best teams in the country on a power rating scale.

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Speaker 1: There are four more than ten teams that would be

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Speaker 1: favored against Kentucky on a neutral field tomorrow. That doesn't

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Speaker 1: mean anything. Kentucky routinely beats teams as an underdog. But

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Speaker 1: all this is based on is who would be favored

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Speaker 1: against who tomorrow. So with that in mind, that's why

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Speaker 1: Kentucky's done at nineteen, and why a team like A

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Speaker 1: and M, even though they've already gotten a loss, is

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Speaker 1: up at sixteen and A and M hasn't looked good.

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Speaker 1: Only point is if they played Kentucky tomorrow, they'd be

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Speaker 1: favored and from there would play the game in kentucky'd

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Speaker 1: probably pull the upset. Okay, let's go fifteen through eleven.

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Speaker 1: This is where it starts to get a little interesting.

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Speaker 1: So Mississippi State fell a few spots. They lost last

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Speaker 1: week to LSU. They didn't fall because they lost. They

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Speaker 1: fell because their expected passing game output was woefully inept

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Speaker 1: relative to what the model for though we would see

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Speaker 1: from them, and so as a result, that's why they

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Speaker 1: got deemed a little bit. I think Jesse, I think

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Speaker 1: this is the first time we've had ole Miss Power

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Speaker 1: rated above Mississippi State this year. Ole Miss is they're

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Speaker 1: in ascension mode. They're playing bad teams, but they're beating

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Speaker 1: bad teams soundly, so we're not gonna certainly not gonna

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Speaker 1: punish them for that. In fact, the model's rewarding them.

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma State is one of the sneakiest, quietest, potentially really

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Speaker 1: good teams in America. They're at number thirteen. Texas is

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Speaker 1: at twelve. It is what it is. With the quarterback

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Speaker 1: situation right now, they continue to buy themselves time. They've

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Speaker 1: got Texas Tech this week. That line I think is

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Speaker 1: up to six right now in favor of the Longhorns.

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Speaker 1: That's in Lubbock, though, USC still to me a pretty

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Speaker 1: tough team to figure out. They're at eleven. You know,

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Speaker 1: USC goes to Oregon State, one of our favorite teams,

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Speaker 1: this Saturday, and the line on that game's seven, six

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Speaker 1: or seven. Let's just keep an eye on it. Model.

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Speaker 1: I haven't moved on it yet. The model this is

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Speaker 1: kind of what Friday Night Lines is like. Model has

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Speaker 1: Oregon stated about a sixty percent cover probability in that game.

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Speaker 1: So check out Friday Night Lines at Lake kick Josh

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Speaker 1: on Instagram. All right, top ten times? Oh what happened

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Speaker 1: to Clemson? Okay, so let me straighten my mic out

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Speaker 1: for this one. Clemson, Well, let me first tell you

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Speaker 1: Arkansas's number ten for those on podcasts, and Clemson's number nine,

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Speaker 1: and Clemson beat Louisiana Tech last week? They were what

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Speaker 1: were they? They were number five the week before? So

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Speaker 1: how did they fall four times or four spots when

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Speaker 1: they won last week? The explanation here is pretty simple. Actually,

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Speaker 1: by the time we get to week four, each week

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Speaker 1: further we get into the season, we are lessening the

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Speaker 1: weight of preseason ratings and we are increasing the weight

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Speaker 1: of ratings that account for data ingested during the season.

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Speaker 1: So basically what you're seeing is the last real week

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Speaker 1: where we layer in preseason default ratings that we put

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Speaker 1: in for Clemson, and now you're seeing more what a

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Speaker 1: true power rating would be for them if you just

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Speaker 1: took their performance this year so far, it's like eighty

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Speaker 1: twenty at this point. I think. So that's why Clemson fell,

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Speaker 1: because they haven't been all that particularly impressive and powerful

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Speaker 1: this year. They've won, they've done what they need to do,

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Speaker 1: but they haven't done it thoroughly enough to warrant anything

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Speaker 1: above a number nine. Utah's number eight, pretty much unchanged,

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Speaker 1: Tennessee is number seven, and Penn State is number six,

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Speaker 1: both of those teams up three spots from last week. Now, obviously,

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Speaker 1: when you look at Penn State at six and Tennessee

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Speaker 1: at seven, I'm gonna look in the comment section, I'm

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Speaker 1: going to get some pushback on that, and here's what

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Speaker 1: it will sound like. Penn State's not a top seven team,

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Speaker 1: Tennessee's not a top seven team. Well, that's very relative

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Speaker 1: to the particular situation we're in. The value of being

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Speaker 1: number six doesn't just carry year to year to year.

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Speaker 1: So my simple follow up is going to be, if

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Speaker 1: not them, who is Utah definitely better than them? Is

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Speaker 1: Clemson as Arkeets? Are they definitely better than them? Usc

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Speaker 1: Some would argue, are they definitely better than them? There's

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Speaker 1: no one definitely better than them. I mean, there's no

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Speaker 1: definitive argument you're gonna make. So there's a big drop off.

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Speaker 1: I'm about to show you exactly how big the drop

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Speaker 1: off is. In the second there's a big drop off

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Speaker 1: between the top two or three, and then this kind

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Speaker 1: of hodgepodge of teams in the five, six, seven, eight range.

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Speaker 1: There is no one definitively better in that group of

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Speaker 1: teams you see there than Penn State and Tennessee. There

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Speaker 1: just isn't all right, Let's go top five. Check out Michigan.

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Speaker 1: They fell one spot. Oklahoma got bumped up two spots.

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Speaker 1: And that again is the models starting to ingest a

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Speaker 1: lot more current and a lot less preseason default. So

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma for the first time is as high as number four.

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Speaker 1: The top three are unchanged. It's Georgia, Alabama, Ohio State one, two,

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Speaker 1: and three. Let me give you an idea of how

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Speaker 1: wide these gaps are. This is according to the model,

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Speaker 1: the Georgia Bulldogs would be favored by two points against

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Speaker 1: Alabama neutral field tomorrow, three and a half points against

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Speaker 1: Ohio State, thirteen points against Oklahoma. There is a ten

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Speaker 1: point drop off essentially between or a nine and a

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Speaker 1: half point drop off between Ohio State and Oklahoma. So

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Speaker 1: there's your first tier. Here's another idea of how wide

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Speaker 1: that tier is. If you took the gap between Georgia

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Speaker 1: and Oklahoma, the gap between number one and number four,

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Speaker 1: it's as wide as the gap between number four and

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Speaker 1: number twenty four. So the next twenty teams, the gap

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Speaker 1: between those twenty teams is the same size as the

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Speaker 1: gap between number one and number four. So yes, there

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Speaker 1: is still, at least according to the model, a pretty

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Speaker 1: pronounced teer. There. We're gonna get. We're gonna get some

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Speaker 1: movement coming up. You know. Georgia is still I'm not

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Speaker 1: gonna say they haven't been tested. They've just passed every

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Speaker 1: test with flying colors. Bama's got Vandy this week and

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Speaker 1: then it really starts again for Bama. They're going to

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Speaker 1: go to Arkansas next week. That's the CBS game of

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Speaker 1: the week, certainly in contention for the every given Saturday tour.

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Speaker 1: Ohio State is in a peculiar situation. They're playing a

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Speaker 1: game this week against Wisconsin that in the preseason you

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Speaker 1: may have circled. But then when Wisconsin didn't look any

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Speaker 1: different so far this year than they normally do, it

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Speaker 1: kind of let the air out of the balloon. And

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Speaker 1: I don't hear anyone talking about the game. We're not

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Speaker 1: gonna break it down tonight because I don't see a

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Speaker 1: path for Wisconsin to win the game. So we only

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Speaker 1: break down games where I think there is a path.

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Speaker 1: But yet the lines in the mid to upper teens,

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Speaker 1: we've seen bigger underdogs than that pull out right upsets

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Speaker 1: already this year. Just interesting. Just let's keep an eye

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Speaker 1: on it. Just interesting. Someone asked them to chat, Am

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Speaker 1: I gonna break down the SEC schedule release tonight? No?

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Speaker 1: Josh should not have callers like the Fine Bomb Show.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely he should not. Do you want that go to

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Speaker 1: the Fine Bomb Show anyway? Someone asked, are we gonna

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Speaker 1: break down the SEC schedule release? No, I'll I'll tell

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Speaker 1: you why those One of the dumbest concepts in the

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Speaker 1: world is to release your schedule during the season the

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Speaker 1: end next up and by the way. When I am

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Speaker 1: college football commissioner, we will announce schedules in February. We'll

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Speaker 1: build a huge week of events around it. We'll do

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Speaker 1: like the NFL does, because that's one area where they

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Speaker 1: get it right and college football does not. College football

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Speaker 1: has no clue how to release it schedule, no clue.

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Speaker 1: It's like watching children around a hose pipe or a sprinkler.

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Speaker 1: They're just running into each other. No one has an

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Speaker 1: idea what they're doing. Well, this is not how you

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Speaker 1: do it. Did you even know? Half of you don't

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Speaker 1: even know? The schedule got released tonight. It did. Congrats

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Speaker 1: guys fumbled the bag fantastically on that one. Congrats. Yes,

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Speaker 1: also like and subscribe if you're already watching, Thank you, Jesse.

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Speaker 1: I'll announce that at least once more. Okay, let's get

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Speaker 1: back into the show. Arkansas versus Texas A and M

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Speaker 1: this Saturday in Arlington, Texas. Hopefully not for too much longer,

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Speaker 1: but at least for this Saturday in Arlington, Texas. Nothing

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Speaker 1: against Arlington, nothing against Texas. I just would much rather

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Speaker 1: see this thing in Kyle Field or in Reynolds Razorback Stadium.

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Speaker 1: That's me talking a college football fan. This was a

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Speaker 1: springboard game for Arkansas last year. You remember they won

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Speaker 1: I think twenty to ten. We were at that game.

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Speaker 1: It could be the same thing for Texas A and

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Speaker 1: M this year. Let's remember the theme of tonight's show,

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Speaker 1: what have you not shown yet that you are technically

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Speaker 1: capable of? Well? A and M hasn't shown much more

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Speaker 1: than a faint pulse offensively. Are they capable of more? Yeah?

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Speaker 1: I think they're capable of more. I'm gonna go ahead

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Speaker 1: and give you a little teaser towards the end of this.

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Speaker 1: Not only are we going to have a best bet

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Speaker 1: on the side in this game, we're gonna have a

427
00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:47,320
Speaker 1: best bet on the total. Both of those will be

428
00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:49,080
Speaker 1: on the Rama Noodle Express this week. This is a

429
00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:52,600
Speaker 1: really really important game for us. All right, let's talk

430
00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:54,600
Speaker 1: about A and M. What are they capable of that

431
00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:57,360
Speaker 1: we haven't seen yet? They're dead last in the SEC

432
00:21:57,359 --> 00:21:59,920
Speaker 1: and total yards. They're dead last in points per game.

433
00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:04,000
Speaker 1: They're thirteenth or second to last in passing yards. Now,

434
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:06,359
Speaker 1: some of that's due to offensive ineptitude. Also, they just

435
00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:08,280
Speaker 1: haven't run aled out a lot of plays, which is

436
00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:11,719
Speaker 1: kind of redundant because that's due to offensive ineptitude. Arkansas

437
00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:15,480
Speaker 1: is bad in defending the pass this year, you would

438
00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:18,159
Speaker 1: call that pass defense. They're bad. They're in like the

439
00:22:18,280 --> 00:22:23,520
Speaker 1: one twenties nationally, and it ultimately may cap the potential

440
00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:26,240
Speaker 1: of this team. Is this A and M team built

441
00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:27,800
Speaker 1: to expose that? Well, you can look at that one

442
00:22:27,800 --> 00:22:29,960
Speaker 1: of two ways. You can either look at it and say, oh,

443
00:22:30,040 --> 00:22:32,080
Speaker 1: Arkansas's got a weakness on the back end. Don't worry

444
00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:33,560
Speaker 1: A and M can't throw the ball, they won't take

445
00:22:33,560 --> 00:22:36,920
Speaker 1: advantage of it. Or you could say, maybe that's exactly

446
00:22:36,960 --> 00:22:39,600
Speaker 1: the secondary A ANDM needs to go against to end

447
00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:42,480
Speaker 1: up getting their passing game going. That's why they play

448
00:22:42,520 --> 00:22:44,840
Speaker 1: the game. So we'll wait until Saturday to find that out.

449
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:47,919
Speaker 1: All I know is I think Evan Stewart's back sounds

450
00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:51,560
Speaker 1: like he's going to be back Saturday. The skill is there,

451
00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:54,440
Speaker 1: Texas A and M's not hurting for skill. They don't

452
00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:56,760
Speaker 1: have Ohio State's receiving corps out there. They don't have

453
00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:59,600
Speaker 1: a poverty receiving corps either. They're plenty good enough, including

454
00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:03,120
Speaker 1: guys in the They're plenty good enough. If they're aggressive

455
00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:05,080
Speaker 1: enough and if the scheme is sound, and that's its

456
00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:08,920
Speaker 1: whole other conversation. Okay, Arkansas, let me ask you a question.

457
00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:11,760
Speaker 1: Then I'm gonna try and give you my answer. Are

458
00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:15,320
Speaker 1: they a better running team than Miami? I think the

459
00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:19,080
Speaker 1: answer is yes. Fact, I'm pretty sure the answer is yes. Now.

460
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:22,240
Speaker 1: The reason I bring up Miami, it's because Miami, even

461
00:23:22,280 --> 00:23:24,800
Speaker 1: though they did not find the end zone last week,

462
00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:26,960
Speaker 1: they were able to run the ball four point nine

463
00:23:27,040 --> 00:23:30,359
Speaker 1: yards per carry against Texas A and M. They couldn't capitalize,

464
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:32,919
Speaker 1: couldn't take advantage of it, but there were some yards

465
00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:34,920
Speaker 1: to be had on the ground against Texas A and

466
00:23:35,080 --> 00:23:37,440
Speaker 1: M Arkansas I think is a better ground game, a

467
00:23:37,560 --> 00:23:39,359
Speaker 1: better rushing attack. Now, does that mean they're going to

468
00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:42,639
Speaker 1: go five yards per carrier better? Not necessarily. I'm fairly

469
00:23:42,680 --> 00:23:44,840
Speaker 1: certain that A and M will key on the run.

470
00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:46,840
Speaker 1: They'll also have some guys back this week that weren't

471
00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:49,000
Speaker 1: on the field last week. Had a bunch of guys

472
00:23:49,280 --> 00:23:51,240
Speaker 1: in fact, both sides of the ball that weren't on

473
00:23:51,280 --> 00:23:53,399
Speaker 1: the field last week by the end that will be

474
00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:56,560
Speaker 1: on the field this week. So that'll matter. Game plan

475
00:23:56,680 --> 00:23:59,720
Speaker 1: will matter to a certain extent. I think Arkansas's ground

476
00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:01,399
Speaker 1: game is good enough to where they can run on

477
00:24:01,440 --> 00:24:03,960
Speaker 1: you even if you expect it. But that's the first thing.

478
00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:06,480
Speaker 1: What kind of success rate does Arkansas have on the ground.

479
00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:11,119
Speaker 1: The second thing is I've got a feel on the total.

480
00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:13,240
Speaker 1: I'll give it to you right now. Actually, the totals

481
00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:15,959
Speaker 1: at forty eight and a half. Right now. We're slamming

482
00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:19,000
Speaker 1: the over on this. This is a low scoring game

483
00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:21,600
Speaker 1: last year. I think is going well into the fifties

484
00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:23,520
Speaker 1: this year. So one of our best bets of the week,

485
00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:25,919
Speaker 1: actually i'm giving you right now is over forty eight

486
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:30,240
Speaker 1: and a half this game on third down. Last year

487
00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:34,400
Speaker 1: featured teams going to combined seven for twenty seven, which

488
00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:37,760
Speaker 1: I think will be greatly improved upon this year. Arkansas,

489
00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:40,920
Speaker 1: I think is improved in both facets of their offense.

490
00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:44,640
Speaker 1: I think Texas A and M has shown enough inability

491
00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:47,480
Speaker 1: to stop the run to where Arkansas will have success there.

492
00:24:47,600 --> 00:24:49,199
Speaker 1: But I've told you and I'm going to continue to

493
00:24:49,240 --> 00:24:52,320
Speaker 1: tell you, I think they were like nineteen to forty

494
00:24:52,440 --> 00:24:55,639
Speaker 1: nine pass to run last year. In terms of ratio.

495
00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:57,440
Speaker 1: I think it'll be a little more balanced this year

496
00:24:57,720 --> 00:24:59,679
Speaker 1: because I think they have the weapons with which to

497
00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:02,399
Speaker 1: do it. On the other side, Texas A and M

498
00:25:02,480 --> 00:25:05,080
Speaker 1: four point two yards per play last year. I expect

499
00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:07,920
Speaker 1: that to be way better. I think Texas A and

500
00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:10,760
Speaker 1: M's gonna have far more success through the air. Number

501
00:25:10,760 --> 00:25:13,280
Speaker 1: one because of a commitment to it, and number two

502
00:25:13,760 --> 00:25:17,119
Speaker 1: because it's there to be had against this Arkansas secondary

503
00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:20,040
Speaker 1: and they need to. You're not going to play like

504
00:25:20,080 --> 00:25:22,440
Speaker 1: A and M's been playing and stand much of a

505
00:25:22,520 --> 00:25:24,800
Speaker 1: chance against the rest of your schedule, and that starts Saturday.

506
00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:27,400
Speaker 1: By the way, there is no way that the offensive

507
00:25:27,400 --> 00:25:31,520
Speaker 1: game plans and the offensive output, shall I say, against

508
00:25:31,560 --> 00:25:34,440
Speaker 1: app State and against Miami, is gonna get it done here.

509
00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:37,000
Speaker 1: They know that. I think A and M fans know that,

510
00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:38,679
Speaker 1: and there's no reason to have to settle for that.

511
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:41,640
Speaker 1: So here's the rest of A and M schedule. It's

512
00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:46,439
Speaker 1: that run is ridiculous. They've got four straight games on

513
00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:48,679
Speaker 1: the road. There's a buy in between. They play in

514
00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:51,679
Speaker 1: Dallas Saturday, they play in Startville the next week, they

515
00:25:51,760 --> 00:25:53,439
Speaker 1: play in Tuscal, loose to the next week they got

516
00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:55,919
Speaker 1: to buy. Then they play in Columbia. There's not another

517
00:25:56,080 --> 00:26:02,120
Speaker 1: game at Kyle Field until right around Hallowe. How this happens,

518
00:26:02,200 --> 00:26:04,920
Speaker 1: I will never know. Once I'm commissioner, I'll fix all

519
00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:07,480
Speaker 1: this scheduling nonsense. But as for now, it's going to

520
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:09,480
Speaker 1: be quite a while before they find the comfort of

521
00:26:09,520 --> 00:26:12,040
Speaker 1: home again. Let's take a look at what the Vegas

522
00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:14,720
Speaker 1: number is. Let's take a look at what the model says,

523
00:26:14,760 --> 00:26:16,240
Speaker 1: and I'll tell you what I think is gonna happen.

524
00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:20,120
Speaker 1: The Vegas number is A and M minus two. As

525
00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:23,240
Speaker 1: we sit here tonight, kind of fluctuated two two and

526
00:26:23,240 --> 00:26:27,280
Speaker 1: a half, we think the wrong team's favored. In fact,

527
00:26:27,320 --> 00:26:30,600
Speaker 1: the model has Arkansas minus two. We're four points off

528
00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:33,520
Speaker 1: the Vegas total and we cross zero. This is pretty rare,

529
00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:37,520
Speaker 1: but it is the case here. There are no massive edges.

530
00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:40,879
Speaker 1: There are no massive team edges. Maybe position by position

531
00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:43,320
Speaker 1: you find stuff, but there are no massive team edges here.

532
00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:47,280
Speaker 1: I expect an extremely competitive game. I'm going to side

533
00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:49,480
Speaker 1: with the model there because I think Arkansas is the

534
00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:51,840
Speaker 1: better team. We've got empower rated more high. It would

535
00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:53,760
Speaker 1: make no sense for me to show you the JP

536
00:26:53,920 --> 00:26:56,760
Speaker 1: pole and then a neutral field game picked the lower

537
00:26:56,840 --> 00:26:59,399
Speaker 1: rated team. So I'm taking Arkansas to win the game,

538
00:26:59,800 --> 00:27:02,080
Speaker 1: and I'm taking Arkansas plus the points. It is a

539
00:27:02,119 --> 00:27:05,200
Speaker 1: best bet for us. So not only is Arkansas plus

540
00:27:05,240 --> 00:27:08,359
Speaker 1: two on the Romanudele Express over forty eight and a

541
00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:11,240
Speaker 1: half is on the Roman Noudle Express. Now, if it

542
00:27:11,320 --> 00:27:16,080
Speaker 1: goes down this way, it will create a pretty interesting

543
00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:18,720
Speaker 1: dynamic because, like I said, I don't think there's some

544
00:27:18,800 --> 00:27:22,160
Speaker 1: blowout either way. I expect a very very close game.

545
00:27:22,760 --> 00:27:24,680
Speaker 1: But it doesn't matter because a win will be a win,

546
00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:26,800
Speaker 1: a loss will be a loss, and you will have

547
00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:29,080
Speaker 1: If A and M were to fall, you would have

548
00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:32,879
Speaker 1: A and M with two losses already upon entering conference play.

549
00:27:33,000 --> 00:27:34,760
Speaker 1: This will be their first conference game of the year.

550
00:27:35,800 --> 00:27:38,080
Speaker 1: It's hard to know what the conversation would be like.

551
00:27:38,119 --> 00:27:40,359
Speaker 1: I can pretty well guess what the conversation would be like.

552
00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:43,680
Speaker 1: But around Arkansas, if they win the game, you know

553
00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:45,560
Speaker 1: they're in the same position they were in last year.

554
00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:49,040
Speaker 1: The difference is, instead of having a road trip to

555
00:27:49,080 --> 00:27:52,000
Speaker 1: Georgia coming up in the near future, they'll have Bama

556
00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:55,480
Speaker 1: at home. And you know what I mean, that place

557
00:27:55,520 --> 00:27:56,760
Speaker 1: is going to be able to fire either way. If

558
00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:59,200
Speaker 1: they win against A and M, then they got Bama

559
00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:00,719
Speaker 1: coming in there and it'll be one of the biggest

560
00:28:00,760 --> 00:28:04,600
Speaker 1: games in Reynolds Razorback Stadium history. If they lose against

561
00:28:04,680 --> 00:28:08,080
Speaker 1: AMM Saturday, they'll be in wounded animal mode and BAM

562
00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:09,760
Speaker 1: will be coming in there. Either way, place will be

563
00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:11,600
Speaker 1: on fire. But that's for two weeks from now. As

564
00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:15,240
Speaker 1: for this game, taking Arkansas close and taking the over

565
00:28:15,960 --> 00:28:18,680
Speaker 1: and feel pretty good about it. Hey, we're undefeated for

566
00:28:19,040 --> 00:28:20,760
Speaker 1: as cold as the ram Noodle Express has been so

567
00:28:20,800 --> 00:28:24,400
Speaker 1: far as your cold noodles terrible for you, the totals

568
00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:27,920
Speaker 1: have been spectacular, were undefeated betting totals and that would

569
00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:31,359
Speaker 1: be one to Oh. By the way, this week is

570
00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 1: the week when you turn on games that you'll see

571
00:28:33,520 --> 00:28:35,920
Speaker 1: that patch on the side of a lot of coaches

572
00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:40,320
Speaker 1: shirts and polos and it'll say coach to cure MD.

573
00:28:41,160 --> 00:28:42,800
Speaker 1: I don't know if a lot of you know what

574
00:28:42,840 --> 00:28:48,920
Speaker 1: that's about. So douchin muscular dystrophy is what that is representing,

575
00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:52,800
Speaker 1: and it affects one in every five thousand boys. Did

576
00:28:52,840 --> 00:28:54,800
Speaker 1: a lot of reading on this today because I was

577
00:28:54,840 --> 00:28:57,080
Speaker 1: sort of unfamiliar with it too. I've heard of it,

578
00:28:57,560 --> 00:29:00,880
Speaker 1: and I know Ernie Johnson Junior, for example, his son

579
00:29:00,920 --> 00:29:04,120
Speaker 1: I think suffers from this. And there's a really concerted

580
00:29:04,160 --> 00:29:07,480
Speaker 1: effort places like Ohio State, Cincinnati, Utah, UCLA, they do

581
00:29:07,520 --> 00:29:11,320
Speaker 1: a lot of research on this. The AFCA a lot

582
00:29:11,360 --> 00:29:14,080
Speaker 1: of their coaches kind of band together one week out

583
00:29:14,080 --> 00:29:16,880
Speaker 1: of the year it's this weekend and try and push

584
00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:20,000
Speaker 1: for donations, and ultimately you just try and push for

585
00:29:20,040 --> 00:29:22,720
Speaker 1: a cure. It's lethal though it's in one out of

586
00:29:22,720 --> 00:29:25,760
Speaker 1: every five thousand boys. It lowers your life expectancy to

587
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:28,600
Speaker 1: thirty years. Most of those years will be spent in

588
00:29:28,640 --> 00:29:32,160
Speaker 1: a wheelchair. So we're gonna hop on board along with

589
00:29:32,200 --> 00:29:35,400
Speaker 1: the AFCA. If you're interested in helping out in any

590
00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:36,960
Speaker 1: way with this, it's pretty simple. You don't even have

591
00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:40,440
Speaker 1: to get up. You can text cure see ure to

592
00:29:40,600 --> 00:29:45,520
Speaker 1: five zero one, five zero one. Cure five zero one,

593
00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:48,280
Speaker 1: five zero one, and that is a one time twenty

594
00:29:48,360 --> 00:29:51,840
Speaker 1: five dollars donation. We're taking part in it, and I

595
00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:53,920
Speaker 1: would encourage and ask you guys if you want to

596
00:29:53,920 --> 00:29:55,840
Speaker 1: to take part in that. Five oh one five oh

597
00:29:55,960 --> 00:29:59,000
Speaker 1: one is the number. Text cure and look for the

598
00:29:59,040 --> 00:30:03,520
Speaker 1: patches this Saturday. No easy way to do this, but

599
00:30:03,560 --> 00:30:05,880
Speaker 1: we have to transition and we have to talk about

600
00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:11,680
Speaker 1: hot seats. Colin, here's your endpoint. Some seats have already overheated.

601
00:30:11,720 --> 00:30:15,120
Speaker 1: We've seen coaches fired already. Scott Frost is out firm

602
00:30:15,280 --> 00:30:19,640
Speaker 1: Edwards is out, it's not over. There are several more coming,

603
00:30:19,800 --> 00:30:21,880
Speaker 1: and I'm going to talk about the latest i've heard.

604
00:30:22,320 --> 00:30:26,200
Speaker 1: There's a lot of rumor out there that probably is unsubstantiated.

605
00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:29,960
Speaker 1: I'll give you what i've heard so far and the timetables.

606
00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:33,120
Speaker 1: I think on some of these. Now, there's a lot

607
00:30:33,120 --> 00:30:35,360
Speaker 1: of arguing this time of year when a coach has

608
00:30:35,360 --> 00:30:37,640
Speaker 1: already been fired, and I think it's valid. If a

609
00:30:37,680 --> 00:30:40,200
Speaker 1: coach has already been fired, it's not even October yet,

610
00:30:40,600 --> 00:30:43,720
Speaker 1: why was he given the opportunity to even start the season.

611
00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:48,200
Speaker 1: Each circumstance is unique, but on the whole I get

612
00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:50,480
Speaker 1: that argument, but that's in the past. Now for the

613
00:30:50,480 --> 00:30:52,520
Speaker 1: guys who have already been shown the door, I think

614
00:30:52,520 --> 00:30:55,680
Speaker 1: there's some more coming. So, for instance, this first situation

615
00:30:56,080 --> 00:30:59,480
Speaker 1: obviously pretty unique. Brian Harson and Auburn. I don't need

616
00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:02,800
Speaker 1: to go back into the whole off the field drama

617
00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:06,040
Speaker 1: in February and March, but there was a concerted effort

618
00:31:06,120 --> 00:31:09,400
Speaker 1: behind the scenes to oust him, it failed, and he

619
00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:11,960
Speaker 1: started the season as the head coach at Auburn. It

620
00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:14,600
Speaker 1: has not gone well. It will not continue to go

621
00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:17,360
Speaker 1: well because they don't have a quarterback. So you know,

622
00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:20,160
Speaker 1: they're going to get pushed around. They're gonna lose several

623
00:31:20,200 --> 00:31:24,720
Speaker 1: more games. It's a virtual certainty. Protocols were in place

624
00:31:25,240 --> 00:31:27,840
Speaker 1: this past spring and summer for them to go seven

625
00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:31,000
Speaker 1: and five or eight and four if the losses were competitive,

626
00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:33,640
Speaker 1: and I've spoken to you about that. I thought he

627
00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:36,240
Speaker 1: made a brilliant tactical move to get himself out on

628
00:31:36,280 --> 00:31:38,720
Speaker 1: the get out in front of people more because he

629
00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:41,120
Speaker 1: didn't do it enough and endeared himself to people. And

630
00:31:41,160 --> 00:31:43,440
Speaker 1: what I thought that was doing was in the aggregate,

631
00:31:43,440 --> 00:31:45,880
Speaker 1: it was building up some equity to where if they

632
00:31:46,080 --> 00:31:48,600
Speaker 1: lost some games like they lost against Bama last year,

633
00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:50,960
Speaker 1: really competitive, I think he was going to be able

634
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:53,520
Speaker 1: to survive seven and five or eight and four. There

635
00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:57,240
Speaker 1: is no protocol for the disaster they just suffered last week.

636
00:31:57,320 --> 00:32:00,600
Speaker 1: And I kid you not, it was so clear that

637
00:32:00,720 --> 00:32:04,480
Speaker 1: things shifted pretty radically during the game. And I talked

638
00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:06,600
Speaker 1: to a couple of people who said that I didn't

639
00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:08,960
Speaker 1: need to talk to anyone. You didn't need to talk

640
00:32:08,960 --> 00:32:10,880
Speaker 1: to anyone for that matter. You were watching it at home,

641
00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:13,000
Speaker 1: or if you were in the stadium, God bless you

642
00:32:13,040 --> 00:32:15,080
Speaker 1: if you stuck it out until the end. But most

643
00:32:15,120 --> 00:32:17,520
Speaker 1: of you did not, so most of you were already

644
00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:20,200
Speaker 1: on your way home by the time the final gun sounded.

645
00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:23,720
Speaker 1: There is something happening behind the scenes at Auburn right now,

646
00:32:24,240 --> 00:32:27,520
Speaker 1: and it's the usual. It's not unique to Auburn. But

647
00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:31,000
Speaker 1: behind the scenes at Auburn, as you would probably suspect,

648
00:32:31,600 --> 00:32:34,520
Speaker 1: there are some in the booster class who are saying,

649
00:32:34,520 --> 00:32:36,920
Speaker 1: I told you so because they didn't want Harson. They

650
00:32:36,960 --> 00:32:41,120
Speaker 1: never did. They reiterated that hardcore back in the winter

651
00:32:41,400 --> 00:32:43,080
Speaker 1: and tried to get him out of there. It didn't work,

652
00:32:44,120 --> 00:32:48,160
Speaker 1: and so obviously, since things haven't panned out, there's the

653
00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:51,920
Speaker 1: attitude amongst some Auburn boosters of told you so, and

654
00:32:52,120 --> 00:32:55,640
Speaker 1: that told you so is pretty insulting because it insinuates

655
00:32:55,720 --> 00:32:59,360
Speaker 1: that there were only two options. Either you bring Harson

656
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:01,080
Speaker 1: in or you let let us do it our way.

657
00:33:01,400 --> 00:33:02,920
Speaker 1: And if you let us do it our way, it

658
00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:05,000
Speaker 1: just would have worked out. I need to remind you

659
00:33:05,120 --> 00:33:08,880
Speaker 1: their way was hiring Kevin Steele. I'm not a prophet.

660
00:33:08,920 --> 00:33:10,239
Speaker 1: I can't tell you if it would have worked out

661
00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:13,560
Speaker 1: or not. I have my suspicions, but let's leave those

662
00:33:13,600 --> 00:33:15,720
Speaker 1: to the side for just a second. Might I suggest

663
00:33:15,760 --> 00:33:18,720
Speaker 1: to you that just because Brian Harson has not worked

664
00:33:18,720 --> 00:33:21,480
Speaker 1: out as head coach at Auburn. Doesn't mean your way

665
00:33:21,720 --> 00:33:25,360
Speaker 1: was right to begin with. The Auburn way, according to some,

666
00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:29,640
Speaker 1: is to basically do things in the most backward manner

667
00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:32,719
Speaker 1: possible and make the people who should be the decision

668
00:33:32,760 --> 00:33:35,719
Speaker 1: makers the last to know, and we'll take care of it,

669
00:33:35,920 --> 00:33:37,720
Speaker 1: and we'll pass it off to you so you can

670
00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:39,840
Speaker 1: put your stamp of approval on it. Who's the AD

671
00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:42,080
Speaker 1: there right now? Don't even have one. They don't think

672
00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:44,800
Speaker 1: they need one, because that AD should not really be

673
00:33:44,800 --> 00:33:47,720
Speaker 1: the decision maker. It should be us over here. No, No,

674
00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:50,240
Speaker 1: there's this third way of doing it. I know this

675
00:33:50,280 --> 00:33:52,680
Speaker 1: is a pretty radical concept to present to some of

676
00:33:52,680 --> 00:33:54,440
Speaker 1: the powers that be at Auburn. There's a third way

677
00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:57,040
Speaker 1: of doing things, and it's the same way that every

678
00:33:57,080 --> 00:33:59,720
Speaker 1: other successful program does it. There's no unique way you

679
00:33:59,720 --> 00:34:02,080
Speaker 1: have to do it at Auburn. It's a myth for

680
00:34:02,120 --> 00:34:06,480
Speaker 1: people to think that way. The third way is go

681
00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:10,280
Speaker 1: in this order. Get yourself a really good athletic director.

682
00:34:10,680 --> 00:34:13,439
Speaker 1: Hire him, let him acclimate, let him do his own

683
00:34:13,600 --> 00:34:16,759
Speaker 1: assessment of the program. He'll arrive at the right conclusion,

684
00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:19,160
Speaker 1: which is it's time to move on from Brian Harson.

685
00:34:19,440 --> 00:34:21,520
Speaker 1: He's not my guy. I didn't hire him. The results

686
00:34:21,520 --> 00:34:26,399
Speaker 1: aren't good enough, that'll be clear. Then you let him

687
00:34:26,440 --> 00:34:28,879
Speaker 1: do what he was hired to do and you stay

688
00:34:28,880 --> 00:34:30,760
Speaker 1: out of the way. You go run your lumber company,

689
00:34:30,760 --> 00:34:32,279
Speaker 1: you go run your bank, you go do what you're

690
00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:34,320
Speaker 1: supposed to do, because that's how you made your fortune.

691
00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:36,440
Speaker 1: You didn't make your fortune run in a football program.

692
00:34:36,680 --> 00:34:38,920
Speaker 1: You get access to the program because you have a fortune,

693
00:34:39,160 --> 00:34:42,120
Speaker 1: but that's not how you amassed your fortune. That's how

694
00:34:42,160 --> 00:34:45,320
Speaker 1: I would suggest Auburn go about it. My opinion is irrelevant,

695
00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:48,200
Speaker 1: and most opinions that sound like that have been irrelevant

696
00:34:48,239 --> 00:34:52,400
Speaker 1: there for a little while. But the fact remains. The

697
00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:55,560
Speaker 1: days are numbered. For Brian Harson. They got Missouri Saturday. Hey,

698
00:34:55,600 --> 00:34:57,960
Speaker 1: here's what I don't know. They got Missouri Saturday. I

699
00:34:57,960 --> 00:35:00,640
Speaker 1: don't know if if him losing se Saturday would all

700
00:35:00,640 --> 00:35:03,080
Speaker 1: of a sudden pull the lever. Truthfully, I don't even

701
00:35:03,120 --> 00:35:05,719
Speaker 1: know who would pull the lever because they have an

702
00:35:05,760 --> 00:35:08,160
Speaker 1: interim situation at AD right now, so I don't even

703
00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:10,719
Speaker 1: know how that would happen. I just know that it

704
00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:14,759
Speaker 1: doesn't get easier. Missouri is followed by LSU Georgia, Ole,

705
00:35:14,800 --> 00:35:17,760
Speaker 1: miss Arkansas and Mississippi State, A and M Western, Kentucky

706
00:35:17,800 --> 00:35:20,600
Speaker 1: and Alabama. That sounds like a joke, it's not. That's

707
00:35:20,680 --> 00:35:23,600
Speaker 1: really Auburn schedule. So yeah, it's not a matter of if.

708
00:35:23,719 --> 00:35:27,120
Speaker 1: Probably a matter of when. They're speaking of when and

709
00:35:27,200 --> 00:35:30,600
Speaker 1: not if. Jeff Collins has probably done. Jeff Collins has

710
00:35:30,600 --> 00:35:33,440
Speaker 1: done at Georgia Tech. They've been outscored eighty three to

711
00:35:33,480 --> 00:35:37,880
Speaker 1: ten versus FBS opponent so far this year. The program

712
00:35:38,080 --> 00:35:41,680
Speaker 1: was on life support when they entered this season. He

713
00:35:41,719 --> 00:35:44,880
Speaker 1: made some moves on the coaching staff, some by choice,

714
00:35:44,880 --> 00:35:50,480
Speaker 1: some by necessity. Nothing's work. So there've been whispers of

715
00:35:50,520 --> 00:35:53,719
Speaker 1: some action behind the scenes in Atlanta this week. A

716
00:35:53,760 --> 00:35:57,359
Speaker 1: lot of that's true, and that can mean many different things.

717
00:35:57,480 --> 00:36:00,200
Speaker 1: Sometimes that means that the administration is trying to get

718
00:36:00,200 --> 00:36:02,959
Speaker 1: their ducks in a row. Sometimes it means they're negotiating

719
00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:06,359
Speaker 1: a reduced buyout. Would not surprise me, but I can't

720
00:36:06,360 --> 00:36:08,960
Speaker 1: confirm that it would not surprise me if that's happening.

721
00:36:09,640 --> 00:36:12,440
Speaker 1: I still believe in my heart of hearts, this is

722
00:36:12,480 --> 00:36:15,280
Speaker 1: one of the most underrated jobs in major college football.

723
00:36:16,160 --> 00:36:18,319
Speaker 1: I thought Jeff Collins would work out there. It has

724
00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:20,839
Speaker 1: not worked out. You see the records there three six

725
00:36:21,400 --> 00:36:25,120
Speaker 1: He's got ten wins total since twenty nineteen, So in

726
00:36:25,120 --> 00:36:27,120
Speaker 1: his entire time there in nineteen twenty twenty one, in

727
00:36:27,160 --> 00:36:30,800
Speaker 1: the beginning of twenty two he is won ten combined games.

728
00:36:31,040 --> 00:36:34,040
Speaker 1: So it didn't work. I believe it can work. You

729
00:36:34,080 --> 00:36:36,719
Speaker 1: are going to hear the name Dion Sanders. There are

730
00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:41,239
Speaker 1: people associated with that program who fully believe in that concept.

731
00:36:41,520 --> 00:36:44,520
Speaker 1: They believe in bringing Dion in and letting him do

732
00:36:44,800 --> 00:36:47,799
Speaker 1: at Georgia Tech what Pittman's done at Arkansas. And to

733
00:36:47,880 --> 00:36:52,120
Speaker 1: be clear, what that means is hiring incredible staff. That's

734
00:36:52,120 --> 00:36:54,520
Speaker 1: why it's working out for Sam Pittman at Arkansas. And

735
00:36:54,680 --> 00:36:57,399
Speaker 1: if you don't believe me, listen to him last time

736
00:36:57,400 --> 00:36:58,839
Speaker 1: we had him on the show. That's what he sat

737
00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:01,520
Speaker 1: there and said, best staff in the country, that's why

738
00:37:01,560 --> 00:37:03,400
Speaker 1: we win. I mean, it's not me. I've got the

739
00:37:03,400 --> 00:37:05,520
Speaker 1: best staff in the country. Now he's a little humble

740
00:37:05,520 --> 00:37:07,920
Speaker 1: there because it is doing large part to him. But

741
00:37:08,480 --> 00:37:11,160
Speaker 1: there's going to be some talk of Deon Sanders being

742
00:37:11,560 --> 00:37:14,520
Speaker 1: a head coaching option at Georgia Tech. And I know

743
00:37:14,600 --> 00:37:17,840
Speaker 1: a lot of you because it just sounds so briskly

744
00:37:17,920 --> 00:37:20,000
Speaker 1: on the surface, it just comes so far out of

745
00:37:20,080 --> 00:37:24,000
Speaker 1: left field. Your default is to say, no, way, there

746
00:37:24,080 --> 00:37:27,160
Speaker 1: is a way, There is a way. I'm not telling

747
00:37:27,160 --> 00:37:28,560
Speaker 1: you I know it would work. I haven't even done

748
00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:30,680
Speaker 1: research on it or anything like that, And that doesn't

749
00:37:30,680 --> 00:37:33,360
Speaker 1: matter anyway. I'm just there are going to be people

750
00:37:34,160 --> 00:37:38,480
Speaker 1: who want the antithesis of what they just experienced under Collins,

751
00:37:38,840 --> 00:37:42,440
Speaker 1: and so Deon Sanders is pretty much the antithesis on

752
00:37:42,560 --> 00:37:46,240
Speaker 1: the surface of every other situation in major college football

753
00:37:46,280 --> 00:37:48,680
Speaker 1: right now. That doesn't mean it won't work, though that.

754
00:37:48,680 --> 00:37:51,200
Speaker 1: There's been a lot of hires over the past few

755
00:37:51,280 --> 00:37:54,240
Speaker 1: years they got laughed at. I go back to Pittman

756
00:37:54,239 --> 00:37:57,040
Speaker 1: at Arkansas for just a second. Did any of you

757
00:37:57,120 --> 00:37:59,360
Speaker 1: in your right mind expect them to be where they

758
00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:03,480
Speaker 1: are right now? No. He blended seamlessly with the culture

759
00:38:03,640 --> 00:38:06,239
Speaker 1: and he hired a great staff. If you can do that,

760
00:38:06,680 --> 00:38:09,560
Speaker 1: there's that third component, which is recruiting. That's the last

761
00:38:09,600 --> 00:38:12,000
Speaker 1: thing I would ever worry about with Dion Sanders. So

762
00:38:13,200 --> 00:38:15,319
Speaker 1: we'll see where things go at Georgia Tech. I do

763
00:38:15,400 --> 00:38:17,800
Speaker 1: not know a timetable there. I think it's going to

764
00:38:17,840 --> 00:38:20,280
Speaker 1: be pretty soon. They go to Central Florida this week.

765
00:38:20,640 --> 00:38:24,680
Speaker 1: They're probably gonna lose that game. I think actions coming

766
00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:27,960
Speaker 1: pretty soon there. Neil Brown at West Virginia is one

767
00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:31,840
Speaker 1: that I don't think is as far down the road

768
00:38:32,120 --> 00:38:35,480
Speaker 1: as some others think. I talk to someone today who

769
00:38:35,520 --> 00:38:38,920
Speaker 1: I trust, who was pretty adamant that hey, than ice

770
00:38:39,000 --> 00:38:42,240
Speaker 1: with hot blades, that's what That's what Neil Brown's skating

771
00:38:42,280 --> 00:38:45,240
Speaker 1: with right now. They are very split opinions here because

772
00:38:45,239 --> 00:38:47,200
Speaker 1: my opinion is not that. My opinion still they can

773
00:38:47,239 --> 00:38:50,000
Speaker 1: have a decent season this year. It's just they got

774
00:38:50,040 --> 00:38:53,040
Speaker 1: bit by Kansas at the worst time. And what's rubbed

775
00:38:53,080 --> 00:38:56,200
Speaker 1: a lot of them very raw at West Virginia is

776
00:38:56,200 --> 00:38:59,040
Speaker 1: they've seen Lance Leepold come into Kansas and just turn

777
00:38:59,040 --> 00:39:02,440
Speaker 1: it around immediately, and he's been there far less time

778
00:39:02,520 --> 00:39:05,799
Speaker 1: than their guy has. And that guy came into our

779
00:39:05,840 --> 00:39:08,160
Speaker 1: building here in Morgantown and embarrassed this fifty five to

780
00:39:08,239 --> 00:39:11,359
Speaker 1: forty two. So it's tough to swallow. I get that.

781
00:39:12,800 --> 00:39:17,759
Speaker 1: They they've got Virginia Tech this Thursday. They're favored by

782
00:39:17,800 --> 00:39:19,239
Speaker 1: one and a half or what that's worth. They got

783
00:39:19,320 --> 00:39:21,800
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech Thursday. To me, it's as simple as beating

784
00:39:21,880 --> 00:39:24,000
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech. And as hard as beating Virginia Tech. So

785
00:39:24,200 --> 00:39:27,040
Speaker 1: if they lose this Thursday, I'm not telling you this

786
00:39:27,080 --> 00:39:29,080
Speaker 1: is in a very touch and go situation. It is,

787
00:39:29,120 --> 00:39:31,520
Speaker 1: but I'm saying if they were to beat Virginia Tech Thursday,

788
00:39:31,760 --> 00:39:34,839
Speaker 1: they'd be two and two, but they I think would

789
00:39:34,840 --> 00:39:38,160
Speaker 1: have the noise turned down considerably, and then they'd go

790
00:39:38,200 --> 00:39:41,080
Speaker 1: get into conference play or back into conference play, and

791
00:39:41,160 --> 00:39:44,879
Speaker 1: they would have Texas Baylor, Texas Tech TCU. There's gonna

792
00:39:44,880 --> 00:39:46,440
Speaker 1: be a lot of games. They'll be a dog in.

793
00:39:47,200 --> 00:39:49,040
Speaker 1: None of these games. They'll be a three or four

794
00:39:49,080 --> 00:39:51,840
Speaker 1: touchdown dog in, and they should be able to compete.

795
00:39:52,400 --> 00:39:54,520
Speaker 1: I still think they've got ingredients to have a pretty

796
00:39:54,520 --> 00:39:57,040
Speaker 1: good team. I just don't think it's happened yet. What's

797
00:39:57,080 --> 00:40:00,160
Speaker 1: the theme of tonight's show, What are you capable of

798
00:40:00,200 --> 00:40:03,120
Speaker 1: that you just haven't shown yet? West Virginia's capable of

799
00:40:03,160 --> 00:40:05,840
Speaker 1: being a good team this year. It just hasn't become

800
00:40:05,920 --> 00:40:09,800
Speaker 1: that team yet. Teams clicking Week four all the time

801
00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:12,960
Speaker 1: now getting Week seven, Week eight, week nine, Maybe not necessarily,

802
00:40:13,040 --> 00:40:14,719
Speaker 1: but I still think there's a lot of life there.

803
00:40:14,880 --> 00:40:16,759
Speaker 1: I also owe it to you because a lot of

804
00:40:16,800 --> 00:40:18,719
Speaker 1: you have asked about this I owe it to you

805
00:40:18,760 --> 00:40:23,240
Speaker 1: to address the urban Meyer rumors. The urban Meyer rumors

806
00:40:23,280 --> 00:40:27,279
Speaker 1: around Nebraska were foolish to me. I don't think and

807
00:40:27,320 --> 00:40:29,600
Speaker 1: have never thought, there's a chance that he's going to

808
00:40:29,640 --> 00:40:32,319
Speaker 1: be the head coach of Nebraska for two reasons. I

809
00:40:32,360 --> 00:40:34,320
Speaker 1: don't think he wants it, and I don't think Nebraska

810
00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:36,879
Speaker 1: wants it. So usually that's a formula for a guy

811
00:40:36,960 --> 00:40:39,640
Speaker 1: not being your head coach. I was listening to Ta

812
00:40:39,680 --> 00:40:42,520
Speaker 1: Bob Aber talk today and I think he was probably

813
00:40:42,560 --> 00:40:46,400
Speaker 1: talking about Nebraska. So if he was talking about Nebraska

814
00:40:46,760 --> 00:40:50,160
Speaker 1: and how urban Meyer's not the right guy for Nebraska, okay,

815
00:40:50,360 --> 00:40:54,960
Speaker 1: I'll grant you that. But in general, I think he's

816
00:40:54,960 --> 00:40:57,759
Speaker 1: gonna coach again. This flies in the face of what

817
00:40:57,800 --> 00:41:00,160
Speaker 1: people close to him have told me. It flies in

818
00:41:00,200 --> 00:41:02,480
Speaker 1: the face of what Pete Fammil reported today. I am

819
00:41:02,520 --> 00:41:05,120
Speaker 1: telling you I disagree with them and have not spoken

820
00:41:05,120 --> 00:41:07,480
Speaker 1: to urban Meyer once about it. I am just putting

821
00:41:07,480 --> 00:41:09,960
Speaker 1: two and two together. I don't think he's done coaching,

822
00:41:10,320 --> 00:41:12,520
Speaker 1: but I don't think he's coaching next year. I don't

823
00:41:12,520 --> 00:41:14,600
Speaker 1: think he needs to coach next year. I don't think

824
00:41:14,600 --> 00:41:16,480
Speaker 1: he wants to coach next year. I think a couple

825
00:41:16,520 --> 00:41:19,080
Speaker 1: of things are true right now. When he tells people

826
00:41:19,320 --> 00:41:21,080
Speaker 1: I'm not getting back into coaching, I think he fully

827
00:41:21,080 --> 00:41:23,799
Speaker 1: believes it. I also think I'm right and that his

828
00:41:23,840 --> 00:41:27,720
Speaker 1: attitude will change one day. Because he's fifty eight years old, mainly,

829
00:41:28,040 --> 00:41:31,120
Speaker 1: and it ended very, very poorly in Jacksonville. I don't

830
00:41:31,120 --> 00:41:33,160
Speaker 1: think we need to recap that. So, yeah, I think

831
00:41:33,160 --> 00:41:34,920
Speaker 1: he's got another run at him, but I don't think

832
00:41:34,920 --> 00:41:37,120
Speaker 1: it's at a place like Nebraska. I mean, his last

833
00:41:37,120 --> 00:41:41,320
Speaker 1: two stops Florida, Ohio State, those were not Nebraska stops.

834
00:41:41,360 --> 00:41:43,479
Speaker 1: Those were not build it from the ground up. Those

835
00:41:43,520 --> 00:41:46,920
Speaker 1: were let's take the keys, the things already put together.

836
00:41:47,160 --> 00:41:49,400
Speaker 1: We need to make a few changes here in New Hubcap.

837
00:41:49,520 --> 00:41:50,839
Speaker 1: You know, there's a dent in the door over here,

838
00:41:50,840 --> 00:41:54,279
Speaker 1: but this thing will run already. That's not what Nebraska is,

839
00:41:54,320 --> 00:41:56,920
Speaker 1: and that's what it's not where urban mar belongs. But

840
00:41:57,200 --> 00:42:00,479
Speaker 1: there's going to be a program down the road that's

841
00:42:00,520 --> 00:42:04,200
Speaker 1: already a proven powerhouse and it just needs a little repair,

842
00:42:04,680 --> 00:42:07,200
Speaker 1: and that's the seat he'll hop into one day. But

843
00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:10,480
Speaker 1: in the meantime, as for Nebraska, there're gonna be some

844
00:42:10,480 --> 00:42:13,560
Speaker 1: good candidates out here, and they're gonna be some available

845
00:42:13,840 --> 00:42:16,560
Speaker 1: candidates like, it's just it's the right time. I know,

846
00:42:16,600 --> 00:42:18,320
Speaker 1: it's never the right time to be in the situation

847
00:42:18,400 --> 00:42:20,680
Speaker 1: they're in. I think it's the right time if you're

848
00:42:20,719 --> 00:42:23,480
Speaker 1: gonna have a coaching opening, because you've got these guys

849
00:42:23,480 --> 00:42:25,640
Speaker 1: in the Sun Belt doing what they're doing. You've got

850
00:42:25,680 --> 00:42:29,000
Speaker 1: guys like Leopolda Kansas doing what he's doing, Elko's doing

851
00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:30,359
Speaker 1: what he's doing. It do. There are a lot of

852
00:42:30,400 --> 00:42:35,319
Speaker 1: places that are Tier four type programs with guys doing

853
00:42:35,400 --> 00:42:37,880
Speaker 1: really big things and proving that they know how to

854
00:42:37,880 --> 00:42:40,439
Speaker 1: do what you need done. At Nebraska, you're not having

855
00:42:40,440 --> 00:42:43,040
Speaker 1: to go poach from the same level or a level

856
00:42:43,120 --> 00:42:46,120
Speaker 1: up and hoping to outspend someone. You may take that track,

857
00:42:46,600 --> 00:42:49,919
Speaker 1: but Trev Alberts has talked about character, he's talked about

858
00:42:49,920 --> 00:42:52,960
Speaker 1: a builder, he's right and talking about those things. I

859
00:42:53,000 --> 00:42:56,640
Speaker 1: think there's gonna be multiple right candidates to choose from

860
00:42:56,680 --> 00:43:00,239
Speaker 1: for Nebraska. They just got to get it right, take

861
00:43:00,280 --> 00:43:02,800
Speaker 1: your time, get it right. I think he's out there.

862
00:43:03,120 --> 00:43:05,680
Speaker 1: I think in reality, you know, there's that adage that

863
00:43:05,680 --> 00:43:08,680
Speaker 1: there's one person out there in the world that's meant

864
00:43:08,680 --> 00:43:11,560
Speaker 1: for you. I've always thought that was laughable. I think statistically,

865
00:43:11,560 --> 00:43:15,279
Speaker 1: there are probably like three hundred thousand people out there

866
00:43:15,320 --> 00:43:17,960
Speaker 1: that you're compatible with. Don't check me on that number.

867
00:43:18,280 --> 00:43:21,640
Speaker 1: I think there are multiple compatible candidates that are going

868
00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:24,440
Speaker 1: to be in the hiring pool for Nebraska. They just

869
00:43:24,480 --> 00:43:27,160
Speaker 1: got to go not find the right one, find a

870
00:43:27,320 --> 00:43:30,200
Speaker 1: right one. Does it. It'll work out. Nebraska can still

871
00:43:30,200 --> 00:43:32,400
Speaker 1: be a winner. You know my feelings on that. Nebraska

872
00:43:32,480 --> 00:43:34,399
Speaker 1: can still be a winner. All right, let's dive back

873
00:43:34,440 --> 00:43:37,120
Speaker 1: into I know you guys disagree. I see some of

874
00:43:37,120 --> 00:43:39,600
Speaker 1: your comments in the chat. I know some of you disagree.

875
00:43:39,719 --> 00:43:43,320
Speaker 1: They're watching us in Walnut Creek, California, Wilmington, North Carolina,

876
00:43:43,400 --> 00:43:46,040
Speaker 1: and Graysonville, Maryland. We appreciate you guys being tuned in.

877
00:43:46,239 --> 00:43:49,360
Speaker 1: Remember if you have not already, especially if you're watching

878
00:43:49,440 --> 00:43:52,960
Speaker 1: live right now, like the video the little thumbs up button,

879
00:43:53,480 --> 00:43:55,600
Speaker 1: help us get over a thousand. We're almost there already.

880
00:43:56,239 --> 00:43:59,520
Speaker 1: Did you know Clemson plays wake Forest Saturday. If you don't,

881
00:43:59,719 --> 00:44:02,360
Speaker 1: you do you now? It's a noon Eastern time kickoff.

882
00:44:02,400 --> 00:44:05,520
Speaker 1: It's on ABC. This is where we're going to start

883
00:44:05,520 --> 00:44:08,239
Speaker 1: to find out about Clemson, or are we Because there's

884
00:44:08,280 --> 00:44:10,839
Speaker 1: a chance that Clemson could be totally fraudulent and still

885
00:44:10,840 --> 00:44:15,759
Speaker 1: blow wake Forest out. This game was horrific last year,

886
00:44:16,239 --> 00:44:18,560
Speaker 1: really bad. This was supposed to be last year, a

887
00:44:18,560 --> 00:44:20,840
Speaker 1: game where Clemson may have gotten upset. It was not.

888
00:44:22,200 --> 00:44:24,120
Speaker 1: Let me give you a little historical trend. I'm not

889
00:44:24,160 --> 00:44:26,560
Speaker 1: always the biggest on trends around here, but Jesse brought

890
00:44:26,560 --> 00:44:30,359
Speaker 1: me one today. It's too glaring to ignore. Since two

891
00:44:30,400 --> 00:44:33,960
Speaker 1: thousand the long time now it's Ober two decades. Since

892
00:44:33,960 --> 00:44:38,520
Speaker 1: two thousand, wake Forest has had twenty four opportunities against

893
00:44:38,600 --> 00:44:42,000
Speaker 1: top ten teams and they've lost all twenty four of them.

894
00:44:42,400 --> 00:44:44,600
Speaker 1: So they have not pulled off something like they're trying

895
00:44:44,600 --> 00:44:48,239
Speaker 1: to pull off this Saturday, quite literally this millennium. This

896
00:44:48,320 --> 00:44:50,440
Speaker 1: game last year was a blowout. It was thirty eight

897
00:44:50,480 --> 00:44:55,239
Speaker 1: to thirteen entering the fourth quarter. Wake Forest season a

898
00:44:55,239 --> 00:44:59,319
Speaker 1: low end points last year thirty six rush yards for

899
00:44:59,400 --> 00:45:02,000
Speaker 1: the record and had over three hundred and thirty of

900
00:45:02,000 --> 00:45:05,239
Speaker 1: those rushing yards. There is a plus side, though you

901
00:45:05,280 --> 00:45:07,200
Speaker 1: can go back and look at last year. Last year

902
00:45:07,520 --> 00:45:10,319
Speaker 1: does not always foretell of the year to come. Just

903
00:45:10,360 --> 00:45:11,719
Speaker 1: trying to give you an idea of how this went

904
00:45:11,760 --> 00:45:14,759
Speaker 1: down last year. There is a positive and that is

905
00:45:14,800 --> 00:45:17,760
Speaker 1: that producer Jesse Jesse did a really good job today.

906
00:45:17,960 --> 00:45:20,439
Speaker 1: Stat's an info AKA Jesse did a really good job.

907
00:45:20,600 --> 00:45:23,840
Speaker 1: He brought me another interesting tidbit, and that is that

908
00:45:23,880 --> 00:45:27,759
Speaker 1: Wake Forest has thirty nine guys on their roster that

909
00:45:27,800 --> 00:45:31,759
Speaker 1: are either fifth, sixth, or seventh year players. Got a

910
00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:34,279
Speaker 1: bunch of Sean Clifford's on the team, thirty nine of them.

911
00:45:34,719 --> 00:45:39,239
Speaker 1: So they've had to chew on that the entire A

912
00:45:39,320 --> 00:45:42,120
Speaker 1: casual would call it the offseason. They've chewed on it.

913
00:45:42,120 --> 00:45:44,680
Speaker 1: Does it matter if you're not equipped? Does it matter?

914
00:45:44,920 --> 00:45:46,919
Speaker 1: Or we're gonna find out the line on this game seven,

915
00:45:46,920 --> 00:45:50,000
Speaker 1: We're gonna find out. Wake is seventh in the nation

916
00:45:50,160 --> 00:45:55,520
Speaker 1: right now in third down conversions, so defensively, so they hadn't.

917
00:45:55,600 --> 00:45:57,440
Speaker 1: They have not let you convert third down a lot.

918
00:45:57,480 --> 00:45:59,880
Speaker 1: That's the plus side. The downside is that is against

919
00:46:00,200 --> 00:46:06,239
Speaker 1: vm I, Vanderbilt, and Liberty. Obviously, the competition ramps up

920
00:46:06,320 --> 00:46:08,239
Speaker 1: dramatically this week. I think it's a big week for

921
00:46:08,280 --> 00:46:11,319
Speaker 1: Will Shipley, the running back at Clemson, because they are

922
00:46:11,440 --> 00:46:14,600
Speaker 1: such a step up athletically. I think it kind of

923
00:46:14,640 --> 00:46:17,600
Speaker 1: renders a lot if these stats moot. I mean, honestly,

924
00:46:18,360 --> 00:46:22,239
Speaker 1: I don't know how much Wake's success defensively on third

925
00:46:22,239 --> 00:46:24,759
Speaker 1: down against VMI Vandy and liberty is going to matter

926
00:46:24,800 --> 00:46:27,400
Speaker 1: When it's third and three and I've got two shots

927
00:46:27,760 --> 00:46:30,160
Speaker 1: with will Shipley, I don't know how much is gonna matter.

928
00:46:30,160 --> 00:46:32,080
Speaker 1: Maybe I'm wrong about that. I just don't take a

929
00:46:32,080 --> 00:46:35,480
Speaker 1: whole lot of comfort in that stat and that stat alone.

930
00:46:35,600 --> 00:46:38,719
Speaker 1: Now here's what I do know. I know there's some

931
00:46:38,800 --> 00:46:41,840
Speaker 1: guys that are questionable in Wake's secondary. I don't know

932
00:46:41,880 --> 00:46:45,560
Speaker 1: what the status say is there. But if they just

933
00:46:45,680 --> 00:46:48,200
Speaker 1: have a version of the secondary they've had so far

934
00:46:48,239 --> 00:46:51,600
Speaker 1: this year, their pass defense is probably a lot more

935
00:46:51,680 --> 00:46:54,280
Speaker 1: sound than their run defense. And with that in mind,

936
00:46:54,800 --> 00:46:57,120
Speaker 1: I think about the game plan for Clemson, and I

937
00:46:57,120 --> 00:46:59,760
Speaker 1: think about the potential vulnerability in the passing game for Clemson.

938
00:47:00,160 --> 00:47:02,080
Speaker 1: There's not really a whole lot of reason for them

939
00:47:02,080 --> 00:47:03,799
Speaker 1: to put it in the air Saturday when they don't

940
00:47:03,840 --> 00:47:07,160
Speaker 1: need to. And here's the issue on the other side

941
00:47:07,160 --> 00:47:10,839
Speaker 1: of the ball for Wake. They will not be able

942
00:47:10,840 --> 00:47:14,080
Speaker 1: to run. No one's under an illusion otherwise. Clemson knows

943
00:47:14,120 --> 00:47:17,200
Speaker 1: weight can't run. Wake knows weight can't run. My mom

944
00:47:17,280 --> 00:47:20,080
Speaker 1: knows weight can't run. Everyone knows they can't run, which

945
00:47:20,200 --> 00:47:22,920
Speaker 1: just puts the entire thing on Sam Hartman's shoulders the

946
00:47:23,000 --> 00:47:26,840
Speaker 1: quarterback there, and there are a couple of names you

947
00:47:26,880 --> 00:47:28,799
Speaker 1: need to be aware of that could be back this

948
00:47:28,840 --> 00:47:32,440
Speaker 1: Saturday for Clemson. Tyler Davis, Brian Brazi, and Xavier Thomas.

949
00:47:33,200 --> 00:47:36,839
Speaker 1: They think they may play Saturday. If they do, they

950
00:47:36,840 --> 00:47:39,160
Speaker 1: haven't gotten that combination on the field a whole lot,

951
00:47:39,239 --> 00:47:42,400
Speaker 1: but when they have been, they've been pretty lethal. And

952
00:47:42,480 --> 00:47:45,080
Speaker 1: so you just start to picture in your head Sam

953
00:47:45,120 --> 00:47:48,760
Speaker 1: Hartman having to throw the ball thirty five times, forty

954
00:47:48,760 --> 00:47:51,560
Speaker 1: five times, fifty five times who knows in order to

955
00:47:51,560 --> 00:47:54,919
Speaker 1: win this game. It just it doesn't paint a really

956
00:47:55,040 --> 00:47:57,720
Speaker 1: rosy picture. I don't see how you make it unscathed

957
00:47:58,320 --> 00:48:02,759
Speaker 1: or turnover free through an afternoon like that. So they

958
00:48:02,800 --> 00:48:06,239
Speaker 1: can't run the ball? Can you get thirty plus? That's

959
00:48:06,239 --> 00:48:08,960
Speaker 1: the starting point to me, because even with the struggles

960
00:48:08,960 --> 00:48:11,400
Speaker 1: offensively for Clemson so far this year, I think I

961
00:48:11,400 --> 00:48:14,120
Speaker 1: can count on them to get thirty plus. So thirty

962
00:48:14,160 --> 00:48:16,640
Speaker 1: is the starting point for this game. To me, I

963
00:48:16,760 --> 00:48:18,839
Speaker 1: don't know that I can count on weight to get there.

964
00:48:19,200 --> 00:48:20,719
Speaker 1: And so let's take a look at what Vegas thinks.

965
00:48:20,800 --> 00:48:22,120
Speaker 1: Let's take a look up with the model thinks the

966
00:48:22,200 --> 00:48:26,320
Speaker 1: Vegas number of seven clumbs and minus seven. The model

967
00:48:26,520 --> 00:48:30,280
Speaker 1: is still a little tepid, shall I say tepid on Clemson.

968
00:48:30,320 --> 00:48:33,080
Speaker 1: So the model only has Clemson minus eight. I thought

969
00:48:33,120 --> 00:48:36,200
Speaker 1: it'd be double digits. I think Clemson is gonna win

970
00:48:36,239 --> 00:48:39,640
Speaker 1: the game. I think they're gonna cover. There's so many

971
00:48:40,040 --> 00:48:43,640
Speaker 1: pads here where not only does the Clemson ground game

972
00:48:43,800 --> 00:48:47,120
Speaker 1: just chew the game up, but also in an effort

973
00:48:47,160 --> 00:48:49,719
Speaker 1: to keep up, Wake ends up turning the ball over

974
00:48:49,880 --> 00:48:52,439
Speaker 1: and Clemson ends up scoring in pretty much all three

975
00:48:52,440 --> 00:48:54,200
Speaker 1: phases of the game. So I just think there's an

976
00:48:54,239 --> 00:48:58,279
Speaker 1: opportunity here, much like last year, for Clemson to overwhelm

977
00:48:58,320 --> 00:49:01,359
Speaker 1: Wake athletically. I think that numbers too low. I think

978
00:49:01,400 --> 00:49:02,920
Speaker 1: are numbers too low. I think they're gonna win the

979
00:49:02,960 --> 00:49:04,960
Speaker 1: game by double digits. So give me Clemson to win,

980
00:49:05,239 --> 00:49:08,319
Speaker 1: gim me Clemson to cover. Win that in mind, I

981
00:49:08,360 --> 00:49:12,480
Speaker 1: have got in my hand four best bets for this Saturday.

982
00:49:12,920 --> 00:49:15,680
Speaker 1: We will I can confidently tell you we'll be adding

983
00:49:15,719 --> 00:49:18,680
Speaker 1: on to this. It is no secret, Paper Pop, I

984
00:49:18,680 --> 00:49:21,200
Speaker 1: gotta be very serious here. It is no secret that

985
00:49:21,239 --> 00:49:23,919
Speaker 1: the Raminudle Express has gotten off to a bad start,

986
00:49:24,000 --> 00:49:25,960
Speaker 1: probably the worst start we've gotten off to. I haven't

987
00:49:26,040 --> 00:49:28,440
Speaker 1: checked that. I would assume it's the worst start we've

988
00:49:28,440 --> 00:49:31,360
Speaker 1: gotten off to let me shoot this rubber band off stage.

989
00:49:31,400 --> 00:49:35,040
Speaker 1: It doesn't it does matter, but it won't matter because

990
00:49:35,040 --> 00:49:38,200
Speaker 1: I know we're gonna get hotel. I will tell you this,

991
00:49:38,239 --> 00:49:40,040
Speaker 1: I feel as good about these weeks games as any

992
00:49:40,040 --> 00:49:43,279
Speaker 1: week so far this year, and because of that, I'm

993
00:49:43,360 --> 00:49:45,799
Speaker 1: not holding back with just these four. There are three

994
00:49:45,840 --> 00:49:47,799
Speaker 1: games right now, they're just sitting on a number that

995
00:49:47,840 --> 00:49:50,200
Speaker 1: I'm waiting to move another half point and we're not

996
00:49:50,239 --> 00:49:53,560
Speaker 1: gonna get sucked into just moving on them. Because it's Tuesday,

997
00:49:53,719 --> 00:49:57,239
Speaker 1: we'll be moving. Make sure you are following on Instagram

998
00:49:57,280 --> 00:49:59,440
Speaker 1: at late kick Josh, because some of these I may

999
00:49:59,440 --> 00:50:02,160
Speaker 1: wait until Friday Night Lines to talk about. And for

1000
00:50:02,239 --> 00:50:05,240
Speaker 1: those who are new, that is an Instagram live only

1001
00:50:05,360 --> 00:50:08,120
Speaker 1: that I do on Friday nights. Friday Night Line is

1002
00:50:08,160 --> 00:50:10,399
Speaker 1: really cool name, and I normally give you at least

1003
00:50:10,400 --> 00:50:11,880
Speaker 1: one or two of our final best bets on that.

1004
00:50:11,920 --> 00:50:14,200
Speaker 1: So here's what we have right now. We've already moved

1005
00:50:14,239 --> 00:50:18,400
Speaker 1: on Washington State plus six. They're hosting Oregon. You can

1006
00:50:18,440 --> 00:50:20,120
Speaker 1: get six or six and a half out there right now.

1007
00:50:20,719 --> 00:50:22,920
Speaker 1: Here are the new games we just added. Two of them.

1008
00:50:22,920 --> 00:50:26,120
Speaker 1: I already told you Arkansas plus two and a half

1009
00:50:26,200 --> 00:50:28,960
Speaker 1: is available out there at Caesar's right now. It's two,

1010
00:50:29,000 --> 00:50:31,000
Speaker 1: But there are plenty of available two and a halfs.

1011
00:50:31,600 --> 00:50:34,520
Speaker 1: And we took Arkansas A and m Over forty eight

1012
00:50:34,560 --> 00:50:37,440
Speaker 1: and a half. That's a pretty consensus number in the market.

1013
00:50:38,160 --> 00:50:41,759
Speaker 1: Anything fifty or under. I like the over on there.

1014
00:50:42,000 --> 00:50:44,120
Speaker 1: I think the game is going to get into the fifties.

1015
00:50:44,560 --> 00:50:47,560
Speaker 1: And you know who else we're taking. We're gonna take Stanford.

1016
00:50:47,840 --> 00:50:50,800
Speaker 1: Washington looked great last week, didn't they. I think Washington

1017
00:50:50,840 --> 00:50:52,760
Speaker 1: will end up winning the game against Stanford this week.

1018
00:50:52,920 --> 00:50:55,680
Speaker 1: I don't think it'll be by fourteen. I think it'll

1019
00:50:55,680 --> 00:50:59,200
Speaker 1: be by single digits. So we're gonna take Stanford plus fourteenth.

1020
00:50:59,320 --> 00:51:03,960
Speaker 1: Much different match up stylistically than Washington saw against Michigan

1021
00:51:03,960 --> 00:51:05,600
Speaker 1: State last week. Not only that, you have the let

1022
00:51:05,640 --> 00:51:08,279
Speaker 1: down potential. Stanford's already been forgotten about because they had

1023
00:51:08,360 --> 00:51:10,840
Speaker 1: early season loss. So we're gonna take Stanford plus fourteen,

1024
00:51:11,680 --> 00:51:13,920
Speaker 1: Arkansas plus two and a half, Arkansas A and m

1025
00:51:13,960 --> 00:51:16,479
Speaker 1: Over forty eight and a half, Washington State plus six.

1026
00:51:16,880 --> 00:51:20,440
Speaker 1: I implore you, and I use that word rarely but forcefully.

1027
00:51:20,880 --> 00:51:23,600
Speaker 1: We are not done on those best bets. In fact,

1028
00:51:23,640 --> 00:51:26,320
Speaker 1: I would venture to guess we may double that number

1029
00:51:26,880 --> 00:51:29,839
Speaker 1: because we feel very good about the numbers this week.

1030
00:51:29,920 --> 00:51:31,520
Speaker 1: So we're just trying to get value at this point.

1031
00:51:31,560 --> 00:51:34,080
Speaker 1: We're waiting on some games to move. Appreciate you guys

1032
00:51:34,120 --> 00:51:37,120
Speaker 1: so much for being tuned in. Looking very forward, very

1033
00:51:37,120 --> 00:51:39,440
Speaker 1: forward to get into Knoxville this weekend. I'm gonna have

1034
00:51:39,760 --> 00:51:42,680
Speaker 1: a special guest, little Angel of Ours, on the road

1035
00:51:42,680 --> 00:51:45,000
Speaker 1: with us this week, So looking forward to seeing you

1036
00:51:45,000 --> 00:51:48,120
Speaker 1: guys there. Make sure if you haven't already, I tell

1037
00:51:48,160 --> 00:51:50,120
Speaker 1: you to like the video all the time. I ask

1038
00:51:50,200 --> 00:51:52,000
Speaker 1: you to sub all the time. Let me tell you

1039
00:51:52,080 --> 00:51:57,120
Speaker 1: what that's doing, just functionally, what that's doing is when

1040
00:51:57,160 --> 00:52:00,640
Speaker 1: you do that, it really really juice is a lot

1041
00:52:00,640 --> 00:52:02,879
Speaker 1: of the charts that our management and our high level

1042
00:52:02,920 --> 00:52:06,120
Speaker 1: mustache executives follow, and it puts us on their radar.

1043
00:52:06,160 --> 00:52:09,680
Speaker 1: It just keeps us on their radar. So you're watching already.

1044
00:52:10,280 --> 00:52:13,160
Speaker 1: Fifty eight percent of the people who watch on YouTube

1045
00:52:13,239 --> 00:52:16,240
Speaker 1: are not subscribed to the channel. It costs you nothing,

1046
00:52:16,560 --> 00:52:18,480
Speaker 1: it does nothing to you. All you have to do

1047
00:52:18,560 --> 00:52:21,960
Speaker 1: is click subscribe. Nothing else happens, but you help us.

1048
00:52:22,239 --> 00:52:25,120
Speaker 1: If you're listening on pod Something like forty percent of

1049
00:52:25,160 --> 00:52:29,200
Speaker 1: our podcast drafting is unsubscribed, so keep listening. I appreciate

1050
00:52:29,239 --> 00:52:32,319
Speaker 1: you listening. Just do us the added favorite of subscribing,

1051
00:52:32,800 --> 00:52:34,840
Speaker 1: and we'll get an extra muffin or two from management

1052
00:52:35,040 --> 00:52:37,000
Speaker 1: at the end of the two week paper, so thank

1053
00:52:37,000 --> 00:52:39,000
Speaker 1: you so much for that. We'll be back your same

1054
00:52:39,080 --> 00:52:42,080
Speaker 1: time Thursday night. Until then, take care for producer Jesse

1055
00:52:42,400 --> 00:52:44,600
Speaker 1: or director Colin. I'm Josh paper coup less