1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:20,280 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:13,760 --> 00:00:17,800 Speaker 2: A single best idea out on YouTube, podcast, Apple podcasts, 3 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:20,600 Speaker 2: the rest. Thank you so much for your interest. We're 4 00:00:20,640 --> 00:00:23,400 Speaker 2: really we're just sort of putting this podcast out there. 5 00:00:23,400 --> 00:00:24,960 Speaker 2: We'll figure out what to do with it. Fourth of 6 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:28,640 Speaker 2: July weekend, but we're just really thrilled with the day 7 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:31,960 Speaker 2: to day progress of the show. Yesterday, just to give 8 00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 2: you vignette into this, I literally sit down with an 9 00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:39,160 Speaker 2: iPhone in my chair and I'm usually in the seat 10 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:43,760 Speaker 2: about six thirty five, and that varies plus or minus 11 00:00:43,800 --> 00:00:46,760 Speaker 2: five minutes. Paul comes in a little bit later, and 12 00:00:46,960 --> 00:00:50,760 Speaker 2: I get on YouTube, you know, the actual app where 13 00:00:50,800 --> 00:00:55,480 Speaker 2: we do YouTube live chat, maybe about seven ten, seven fifteen. 14 00:00:55,840 --> 00:00:59,160 Speaker 2: Yesterday I never got on it. It was so busy, so 15 00:00:59,400 --> 00:01:03,160 Speaker 2: nuts with all going on with Washington and the tariffs 16 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 2: with Mexico and Canada, that one day I just didn't 17 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:09,400 Speaker 2: even use YouTube. And we really thank you for your 18 00:01:09,440 --> 00:01:12,080 Speaker 2: commitment to YouTube. The statistics which we see a lot 19 00:01:12,080 --> 00:01:15,119 Speaker 2: of from Google, Thank you Google for your support are 20 00:01:15,200 --> 00:01:18,679 Speaker 2: just mind blowing and we're just grinding it out every day. 21 00:01:18,720 --> 00:01:22,759 Speaker 2: Today we had great conversation. Major shout out to James 22 00:01:22,920 --> 00:01:29,280 Speaker 2: Steele legendary at HSBC. He was mesmerizing on gold, absolutely 23 00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:34,160 Speaker 2: mesmerizing and does suggest there's a scarcity out there. He 24 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:37,240 Speaker 2: doesn't really pick a price, but he really walked through 25 00:01:37,240 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 2: the demand and the uniqueness of what we see of 26 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:48,280 Speaker 2: demand in China and India given diminished global supply. Jordan 27 00:01:48,400 --> 00:01:53,280 Speaker 2: Rochester stopped by saxophone player with Mazuo. He's in foreign exchange. 28 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:56,080 Speaker 2: He has a great ability to work with Stever Shudou 29 00:01:56,680 --> 00:02:00,440 Speaker 2: on us GDP. Here's Jordan Rochester melding foreign exch change 30 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:02,720 Speaker 2: into the work of Steve He's shootout. 31 00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:05,480 Speaker 3: I think Steve's framework is the right one. Take a 32 00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:08,400 Speaker 3: seat back and just think yourself. Let's imagine these tariffs 33 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:12,519 Speaker 3: aren't happening, what's the trade, and the trade remains in 34 00:02:12,600 --> 00:02:15,680 Speaker 3: the Q one of this year to expect US data 35 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:19,799 Speaker 3: to outperform Europeans for less FED cuts through priced in 36 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 3: for the US is about two cuts or just a 37 00:02:21,919 --> 00:02:24,440 Speaker 3: bit shy of that. Now by year end we think 38 00:02:24,480 --> 00:02:27,080 Speaker 3: it's just want and done. The window for the FED 39 00:02:27,080 --> 00:02:29,239 Speaker 3: to cut rates this year is closing. If they don't 40 00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:31,440 Speaker 3: cut in March, they won't cut at all. It's the 41 00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:33,600 Speaker 3: sort of you for Steve and that's got nothing to 42 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:36,160 Speaker 3: do with tariff's that's just because he believes the neutral 43 00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:39,040 Speaker 3: rate is closer to four percent. So I think just 44 00:02:39,600 --> 00:02:42,160 Speaker 3: to de stress from will he or won't he think 45 00:02:42,240 --> 00:02:45,519 Speaker 3: what macro trades makes sense with or without tariffs? 46 00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:52,000 Speaker 2: Jordan Rochester, Missoul Christian MOMIONI stopped by Oppenheimer and led you, 47 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:54,519 Speaker 2: thank you Oppenheimer for your support of the show and 48 00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:58,680 Speaker 2: Oppenheimer for years, then Investco and then off the Lafayette 49 00:02:58,760 --> 00:03:04,120 Speaker 2: College of Pennsylvania. Is there endowment officers the fascinating shift 50 00:03:04,160 --> 00:03:06,600 Speaker 2: of career. He said, he's got a lot of private 51 00:03:06,600 --> 00:03:10,600 Speaker 2: equity within their endowment. Believes in the future and the 52 00:03:10,639 --> 00:03:13,679 Speaker 2: present of private equity. But we had to speak to 53 00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:17,120 Speaker 2: him with a good return this year of the future 54 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:21,640 Speaker 2: of the MAG seven. Here's Christian MoManI on Apple and Alphabet. 55 00:03:21,919 --> 00:03:23,760 Speaker 4: Those are the facts. That is, if you look at 56 00:03:23,800 --> 00:03:26,320 Speaker 4: the performance of the US equity market over the last 57 00:03:26,360 --> 00:03:30,760 Speaker 4: ten to fifteen years, it has been driven by It 58 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:33,560 Speaker 4: has been driven by technology. In fact, US markets have 59 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:38,080 Speaker 4: done spectacularly better than international markets, primarily on the back 60 00:03:38,200 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 4: of performance of Max seven or some version of MAG 61 00:03:41,720 --> 00:03:49,280 Speaker 4: seven at various points. So their profitability is extraordinarily good. 62 00:03:49,440 --> 00:03:52,840 Speaker 4: Their cash flows are extraordinarily good. They are on a 63 00:03:52,840 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 4: cash flow bench, and the evaluations are high. So I 64 00:03:55,400 --> 00:03:57,720 Speaker 4: think the last two factors is what you have to 65 00:03:57,800 --> 00:04:00,760 Speaker 4: kind of consider more from a tactical standpoint. From a 66 00:04:00,840 --> 00:04:03,360 Speaker 4: long term perspective, the tech sector is still a very 67 00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:06,080 Speaker 4: good sector and if you are going to participate in 68 00:04:06,120 --> 00:04:09,800 Speaker 4: the market, especially in the US, participating in tech sector 69 00:04:09,800 --> 00:04:12,560 Speaker 4: which can generate outside of returns is something that you 70 00:04:12,600 --> 00:04:13,560 Speaker 4: absolutely have to want. 71 00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:19,600 Speaker 2: Christa Mammoni of Lafayette College in Pennsylvania. We need to 72 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:23,000 Speaker 2: say thank you again to a great set of conversations today. 73 00:04:23,040 --> 00:04:25,280 Speaker 2: We barely brought it up, but it was a good 74 00:04:25,279 --> 00:04:29,400 Speaker 2: conversation with Stephanie Roth about Jobs Day coming up here 75 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:33,440 Speaker 2: on Friday. It's interesting. She said, there'll be some interesting nuances, 76 00:04:33,480 --> 00:04:36,000 Speaker 2: some revisions that we should look out for, and that's 77 00:04:36,000 --> 00:04:39,520 Speaker 2: what we'll focus on in the coming days. We're out 78 00:04:39,560 --> 00:04:50,719 Speaker 2: on YouTube podcasts. This is single best idea