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Speaker 1: Lots of guys.

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Saturday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perels. You

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Speaker 2: guys can follow me across all of my socials at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt. And we are back after an inconclusive Friday.

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Speaker 2: So here's what happened on Friday. We missed Saint Mary's.

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Speaker 2: They won by three. Now I was in the Discord channel.

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Speaker 2: I had that I took plus five, so we wound

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Speaker 2: up making that up. I was flat on that game

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma Discord channel again, but I didn't make any plays

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Speaker 2: on that game. I let it ride because I thought

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Speaker 2: we were going to be okay, but we were not

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Speaker 2: North Carolina. I took seven, I pushed, I lost, so

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Speaker 2: I ended up losing one point two units. There.

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Speaker 1: Baylor and Oregon both win.

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Speaker 2: That got us a plus one eighty to two parlay hit,

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Speaker 2: which made up for a lot of the losses yesterday.

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Speaker 2: And then Colorado State won. So they go to their

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Speaker 2: game up against Maryland and they are big dogs, big

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Speaker 2: big dogs. So what are we gonna What are we

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Speaker 2: gonna do? Well, I'm gonna wait, Okay, we're gonna wait

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Speaker 2: and see what the numbers do. We're gonna wait and

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Speaker 2: see what we get, because right now it's about three dollars,

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Speaker 2: so we could lay the three dollars and then if

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Speaker 2: they win, you know, we win a dollar and we're flat,

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Speaker 2: or they lose and we win a dollar with Colorado

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Speaker 2: State math wise, you know what I mean, that's possible.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what I'm doing yet. So we're gonna wait,

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Speaker 2: and we're gonna watch the market. We're gonna watch how

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Speaker 2: that game plays out. But we're sitting very pretty and

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Speaker 2: we may just wait to go in game. We may

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Speaker 2: just to see if there's ever a chance to take

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Speaker 2: you know, minus one twenty, minus one thirty one forty

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Speaker 2: somewhere in that range with Maryland on the money line

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Speaker 2: between Colorado State Maryland. So just know that that's we

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Speaker 2: should make money on that, at least a unit, if

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Speaker 2: not more off that CSU win that they came back

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Speaker 2: and then won quite easily against Memphis. So for that reason,

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Speaker 2: we're heading into Sunday in a pretty good position to

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Speaker 2: make some money and then to make up for the

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Speaker 2: down one point five units that we were down today.

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Speaker 2: We won one point eight on Thursday, down one point

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Speaker 2: five on Friday. It's kind of the way the week

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Speaker 2: has been. But if we have a good Saturday and

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Speaker 2: a good Sunday, it's going to be a winning week.

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Speaker 2: So let's just continue with what we're doing. It's been

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Speaker 2: a lot of fun. Live betting has been my friend.

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Speaker 2: Hopefully it's been your friend too. When it comes to

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Speaker 2: the NCAA tournaments, a lot of these games are coming right.

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Speaker 1: I mean, look at the Yukon Oklahoma game.

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Speaker 2: So the number is five and a half or six

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Speaker 2: and a half, right, depending on what number you got,

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Speaker 2: five and a half, six or six and a half.

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Speaker 2: I mean, we're right there with a three point shot.

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Speaker 2: They're up seven. Yukon. They hit a three there, they

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Speaker 2: go up by four. We'll see what the free throw situation.

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Speaker 2: They make one or miss one, potentially they win by five.

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Speaker 2: Instead it's a missed shot, fouls and they win by nine.

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Speaker 2: So that's just sort of how the games are going

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Speaker 2: to go. It's one or two shots that are coming

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Speaker 2: right down to it for us. So that's a little frustrating.

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Speaker 2: Now I have four bets going. I've already given you

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Speaker 2: Creighton plus nine and a half. It's nine in most places,

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Speaker 2: but the Jay's plus nine and a half. Hopefully you

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Speaker 2: guys got ten the other three bets I'm gonna give

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Speaker 2: you right now. I don't think I'm gonna add anything,

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Speaker 2: but I might. Okay, there's a possibility I could add

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Speaker 2: something to the cart. I may do a two leg

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Speaker 2: money line parlay. I've hit that in hockey in college

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Speaker 2: basketball four straight days, I've hit the two leg money

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Speaker 2: line parlay, so I might want to do it again

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Speaker 2: and try to do it for five straight days. I

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Speaker 2: am going to be alongside Terrell Furman, not on Discord.

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Speaker 2: They're moving us to Twitch. Why they want us to

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Speaker 2: go to Twitch. I've never done a Twitch stream before.

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Speaker 2: I'm forty seven years old. I don't know who watches Twitch.

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Speaker 2: I don't watch Twitch, but people clearly do. So we're

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Speaker 2: not gonna use the Betting Pros channel. However, we're gonna

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Speaker 2: borrow our sister station's channel and we're gonna go to

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Speaker 2: twitch dot tv slash Fantasy Pros Twitch dot tv slash

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Speaker 2: Fantasy Pros.

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Speaker 1: If somebody could be a real gem for me in

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Speaker 1: the morning, when.

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Speaker 2: You're listening to the juice, go post that to the

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Speaker 2: Discord channel. Give somebody the direct link so everyone can

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Speaker 2: know where the live chat is going to be, because

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Speaker 2: generally speaking, we have about two hundred or so people

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Speaker 2: that are watching the Saturday morning live stream sorry live

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Speaker 2: chat on Discord, which is the same time, by the way,

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Speaker 2: eleven am Eastern, eight am Pacific, same time as I've

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Speaker 2: normally done it, except we're gonna add Terrell Furman Junior

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Speaker 2: and we're gonna move to Twitch, and Terrell and I

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Speaker 2: both are gonna break down the card for Saturday and

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Speaker 2: Sunday for the second round. I will potentially look at

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Speaker 2: the plays on Sunday. I haven't really done a really

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Speaker 2: deep dive on the games on Sunday yet because I

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Speaker 2: spent a lot of time on Saturday and I really

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Speaker 2: don't like the bets I came up with. I'll explain

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Speaker 2: that here in a second. But I played them. I'm

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Speaker 2: just mad that I played them, because I'll explain here

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Speaker 2: in a second. But Twitch dot tv Slash Fantasy Pros

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Speaker 2: eight o'clock Pacific, eleven am Eastern, Terrell Furman and myself

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Speaker 2: live to break down the card for Saturday and Sunday

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Speaker 2: for the second round of the NCAA tournament. Now, couple

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Speaker 2: things before I give you the picks in the place.

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Speaker 2: If you're looking for a book to get down on,

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Speaker 2: here is a chance to do so with bet three

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Speaker 2: to six five. The offer is still available for Daily

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Speaker 2: Juice listeners bet three six five. You can turn five

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Speaker 2: dollars into one hundred and fifty dollars of bonus bets

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Speaker 2: when you join bet three six y five. To claim

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Speaker 2: the offer, just go to bettingpros dot com slash three

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Speaker 2: six five and deposit at least ten dollars. If you

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Speaker 2: place a bet of at least five dollars, you'll learn

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Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets. Again, that's

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Speaker 2: bettingpros dot Com Slash three six five. Twenty one plus

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Speaker 2: must be present in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana,

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Speaker 2: North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee or Virginia. Gambling problem

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Speaker 2: call one eight hundred gambler or one one hundred bets

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Speaker 2: off if you live in Iowa. Terms and conditions do apply,

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Speaker 2: all right. Why am I not liking my place? Well,

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Speaker 2: they're all dogs. I don't like it when I have

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Speaker 2: either all favorites or all dogs. It concerns me. But

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Speaker 2: I went through the games today, all eight of them,

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Speaker 2: and there's four bets that I like, and so let's

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Speaker 2: go through it.

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Speaker 1: First.

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Speaker 2: The Creighton Blue Jays at plus nine and a half.

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Speaker 2: If you want the full breakdown, go watch Lately Yesterday's

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Speaker 2: podcast and it has the full breakdowns to wil like

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Speaker 2: the Jays at plus nine and a half up against

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Speaker 2: Auburn today. Love the time seven to ten Eastern time

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Speaker 2: for that game.

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Speaker 1: Love that.

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Speaker 2: Let's talk about UCLA in Tennessee. The numbers five and

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Speaker 2: a half. The total for this game is super low,

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Speaker 2: I mean really really low for a college basketball game

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Speaker 2: of this magnitude one thirty three. It's one thirty three

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Speaker 2: at open. It's down to one thirty one at CIRCA.

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Speaker 2: When I see a total this low between two teams

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Speaker 2: that play outstanding defense, Tennessee is third, and defensive efficiency

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Speaker 2: Ucla is fifteenth, Tennessee is third. Ineffective field goal percentage

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Speaker 2: UCLA is a bit worse at one twenty eight, but

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Speaker 2: they turn the ball over a ton. They are seventh

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Speaker 2: in turnover percentage and Tennessee Tens turn the ball.

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Speaker 1: Over a bit more than you would like.

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Speaker 2: They're eighty fourth and turnover percentage seventh for UCLA. Talking

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Speaker 2: about defense, Tennessee defense is fourth in three point shooting,

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Speaker 2: they're twenty fifth and two point shooting. I mean, Ucla

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Speaker 2: is not as good. They're ninety third in three point shooting,

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Speaker 2: in one hundred and eighty seventh in two point but

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Speaker 2: it's not dramatic. It's forty six point six to fifty

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Speaker 2: one point one and just overall pace of play. Ucla

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Speaker 2: is three hundred and twelfth in pace of play and

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Speaker 2: Tennessee is three hundred and forty sixth in pace of play.

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Speaker 2: So what would be the bet. The bet would be

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Speaker 2: under Okay, But here's the thing. If you've been noticing

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Speaker 2: the way that I have bet over the last couple

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Speaker 2: of weeks, I have stopped betting totals. And the reason

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Speaker 2: why I've stopped betting totals is because on a neutral

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Speaker 2: court and with referees, I'm not all that comfortable saying

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Speaker 2: how the game is going to be called that I

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Speaker 2: think we're we're flying blind a little bit here with this.

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Speaker 2: Tennessee is going to have the home court advantage, if

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Speaker 2: you will. Okay, this game is in Lexlton, Kentucky. It

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Speaker 2: is not a far drive for volunteer fans from Knoxville

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Speaker 2: in Nashville to get up to go to go watch

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Speaker 2: this game in Lexingtonso it's going to be a lot

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Speaker 2: of orange in that building. UCLA always travels, it's UCLA,

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Speaker 2: but it's a flight on a drive. I don't know

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Speaker 2: what will happen here in this game, because a part

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Speaker 2: of me says, automatically bet the under, like this.

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Speaker 1: Is a dead undergame.

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Speaker 2: But if it's a dead undergame, we should one hundred

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Speaker 2: percent be looking at the dog, because I think UCLA

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Speaker 2: is going to be able to score enough to keep

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Speaker 2: this game close. Like do we think that the volunteers

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Speaker 2: run away with this game? I don't. It's a five

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Speaker 2: point win according to kempom, sixty seven to sixty two

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Speaker 2: numbers five and a.

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Speaker 1: Half, so we get a little value there with that.

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Speaker 2: The volunteers won their first game seventy seven sixty two

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Speaker 2: over Wafford. Big whoop, right, not going to jump up

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Speaker 2: down about that. Utah State the win for UCLA. They

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Speaker 2: won their game seventy two to forty seven. This is

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Speaker 2: where I might actually subscribe to the idea that Mick

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Speaker 2: Cronin is going to be a better tournament coach on

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Speaker 2: a quick turnaround than Rick Barnes. Mick Cronin's a very

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Speaker 2: good coach in the tournament. Rick Barnes has been a

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Speaker 2: very good coach, but not been a Final four consistent

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Speaker 2: or national champion. It's one thing he has not won.

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Speaker 2: I just tend to when we're talking about a total

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Speaker 2: of one thirty one and I have over a possession,

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Speaker 2: I'm going to take the dog more often than not.

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Speaker 2: And I'm taking the dog here, taking Ucla at plus

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Speaker 2: five and a half to keep this game close.

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Speaker 1: Do I think they win?

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Speaker 2: I don't, but I do think this is going to

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Speaker 2: come down to crunch time and we're going to be

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Speaker 2: able to at some point during the game. Take Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: If you have access to your sportsbooks, take five and

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Speaker 2: a half for Ucla, and then look to middle it. Okay,

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Speaker 2: look to take Tennessee on the other side. So either

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Speaker 2: you win nothing or you win both bets. Okay, That's

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Speaker 2: how I'm going to approach this game. I don't think

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Speaker 2: Tennessee runs away with it. But you know, the only

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Speaker 2: way we get really screwed on that is if the

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Speaker 2: volunteers go up by like fifteen points in the first

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Speaker 2: four minutes something crazy, right, like what Oregon did last

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Speaker 2: night to Liberty. Right, it was sixteen to two to

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Speaker 2: start that game, that game was over. As long as

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Speaker 2: we don't get one of those, I think we're gonna

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Speaker 2: be able to hedge and have a chance at a middle.

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Speaker 2: So I'm taking UCLA at plus five and a half.

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Speaker 2: I do think that that number fall somewhere in that

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Speaker 2: range of zero to five. Think the Balls win, but

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Speaker 2: I think we're gonna have a chance to have a

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Speaker 2: lead for UCLA at some point during this game where

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Speaker 2: we can take Tennessee plus points and be on plus

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Speaker 2: plus on both sides of this game. Okay, second play,

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Speaker 2: let's talk about Drake. Drake is catching seven points here

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Speaker 2: to Texas Tech. This is a seven point win according

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Speaker 2: to Kempom. This is a hard handicap. I'm not gonna lie,

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Speaker 2: but I also think Drake is a difficult team to

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Speaker 2: prep for if you're Texas Tech. Does do the Red

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Speaker 2: Raiders have more firepower? Absolute flipping lutely? I mean JT.

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Speaker 2: Toppin is a tremendous talent and a really difficult player

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Speaker 2: to handle.

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Speaker 1: But this isn't a very big team.

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Speaker 2: Texas Tech is sort of like a more talented version

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Speaker 2: of Drake. In some ways, they're two hundred and sixty

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Speaker 2: eighth in tempo Drake, they are three hundred and sixty

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Speaker 2: fourth in tempo. Both teams are gonna play really slow.

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Speaker 2: I talked about this when we took Drake against Missouri,

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Speaker 2: that the Drake Bulldogs have four players from northwest Missouri state.

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Speaker 2: Three of those players won back to back national championships

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Speaker 2: at the D two level. They understand tournament basketball, They

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Speaker 2: understand tournament tournament pressure. Seven points is heavy in my mind,

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Speaker 2: and Bennett starts played so well, he has to play

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Speaker 2: that well again against Texas Tech, and it might be

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Speaker 2: asking a lot, but I don't think Drake gets blown

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Speaker 2: out by Texas Tech.

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Speaker 1: Again.

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Speaker 2: This is a Drake team that beat Miami, that beat

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Speaker 2: Florida Atlantic, that beat Vanderbilt, that beat Kansas State, that

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Speaker 2: now beat Missouri by ten. Just beat Missouri, they beat

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Speaker 2: him by ten. Texas Tech beat UNC Wilmington, but they

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Speaker 2: had a little trouble with them like that. That game

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Speaker 2: wasn't that easy for Texas Tech. There was some stress

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Speaker 2: on that they won by ten, but there was a

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Speaker 2: little stress there for Texas Tech.

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Speaker 1: With you with U and C.

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Speaker 2: Wilmington look top end. Played thirty one minutes, maybe a

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Speaker 2: little bit more than what they thought he was going

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Speaker 2: to He scored just twelve points. Walton scored twenty seven

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Speaker 2: points in that game. Does he repeat that? Probably not

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Speaker 2: for Texas Tech. Red Raiders most likely win this game.

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Speaker 2: But I'm not going to be stunned if Ben McCollum

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Speaker 2: doesn't take this Drake team to the Sweet sixteen and

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Speaker 2: they win this game. Outright, I mean, people in des

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Speaker 2: Mooin have been saying this for the last couple of

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Speaker 2: weeks to get ready for the fact that Drake is

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Speaker 2: going to be the darling of this tournament and that

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Speaker 2: Bennett Starts is going to become a household name and

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Speaker 2: everyone's going to be talking about Bennett Starts on Monday,

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Speaker 2: about what the six to four kid from Drake was

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Speaker 2: able to do putting his team on his back and

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Speaker 2: going for it. Drake was a six and a half

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Speaker 2: point dog to Missouri. They won the game by ten. Outright,

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Speaker 2: they are a seven point dog to Texas Tech. I'm

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Speaker 2: taking the points. I'm not going to get off this

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Speaker 2: Drake Creighton my two teams. I'm betting on them. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I'm taking them. Let's see what they can do here. Okay,

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Speaker 2: you know, according to Kempom, Creighton's gonna lose by ten.

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Speaker 1: I have nine and a half.

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Speaker 2: According to ken Palm Drakeson and lose by seven, I

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Speaker 2: have plus seven. Fine, I mean I just again, I

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Speaker 2: like dogs here. And finally, let's talk about BYU. You

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Speaker 2: can just bet money line here. I mean, this is

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Speaker 2: like two teams looking in the mirror in a lot

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Speaker 2: of ways in my mind, like this is BYU is

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Speaker 2: ninth inefficiency, Wisconsin is thirteenth in offensive efficiency, BYU is sixth.

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Speaker 2: An effective field goal percentage Wisconsin is sixtieth, but three

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Speaker 2: point shooting thirty first for BYU one hundred and twenty

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Speaker 2: first for Wisconsin fifth and two point shooting for BYU

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Speaker 2: offensively forty third for Wisconsin in two point shooting, number

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Speaker 2: one free throw shooting team in the country is Wisconsin.

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Speaker 2: They are a team that they don't play extremely fast,

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Speaker 2: but they play one hundred and forty ninth in tempo.

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Speaker 2: They're way faster than the other four teams we just

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Speaker 2: talked about. And for BYU there are one hundred and

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Speaker 2: eighty third. Kind of similar to the way that Wisconsin

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Speaker 2: plays they want to go ahead and shoot a lot

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Speaker 2: of threes. They beat VCU one hundred sarty eighty to

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Speaker 2: seventy one. Three point shooting came in for BYU. They

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Speaker 2: shot seven of twenty. That's actually lower than what I

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Speaker 2: thought they were going to shoot. VCU actually shot better

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Speaker 2: from behind the arc then than the BYU did. The

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Speaker 2: difference is that BYU got to the foul line a ton.

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Speaker 2: They shot twenty eight free throws to just six for VCU.

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Speaker 2: Huge discrepancy at the foul line there for BYU. And look,

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Speaker 2: I just I got involved with Wisconsin a little bit here,

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Speaker 2: you know. According to according to Kempom, this is a

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Speaker 2: win for Wisconsin to a three point win for Wisconsin.

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Speaker 2: According to Kempom, the number is one one and a half. Okay,

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Speaker 2: he opened a two been bet down.

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Speaker 1: Why.

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Speaker 2: I think it's altitude. I think it's denver. I think

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Speaker 2: there's gonna be more fans there for BYU. I have

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Speaker 2: BYU going pretty far in the dance, more farther than

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Speaker 2: most people here. I think BYU wins this game outright.

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Speaker 2: And I think as long as they don't go ice

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Speaker 2: cold from the three point line, which I don't expect

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Speaker 2: them to do as long as they don't just completely

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Speaker 2: or ice. This is a team that could be playing

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Speaker 2: for a while here in this tournament. I have them

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Speaker 2: winning this game outright. I then have them going up

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Speaker 2: against I have Saint Mary's. We'll talk about that later,

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Speaker 2: but I'm gonna watch that Saint Mary's line. Hopefully that

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Speaker 2: line climbs. I want as many points as possible. But

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Speaker 2: I have Saint Mary's beating Alabama. But even if Bama

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Speaker 2: wins that game, I think BYU can beat Alabama, and

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Speaker 2: you could very well see BYU in the Elite eight.

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Speaker 2: And I think BYU then will run into Duke and

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Speaker 2: they'll lose to Duke. But I think that that's going

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Speaker 2: to be pretty wild. I mean, I have a couple

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Speaker 2: of brackets I've done very well with In the West.

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Speaker 2: I have the West bracket perfect at the moment, all

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Speaker 2: those teams left Florida, Yukon today take you con, I

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Speaker 2: think it's Oklahoma, So no, that's not the one I have.

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Speaker 1: Right. What bracket do I have?

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Speaker 2: Right?

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Speaker 1: Oh? The East?

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Speaker 2: I have the East right with Duke and Baylor, Oregon, Arizona, BYU, Wisconsin,

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Speaker 2: and Saint Mary's in Alabama. It's gone according to seed,

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Speaker 2: and so what's wild is that all top four seeds

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Speaker 2: are still alive in every bracket. We haven't had a

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Speaker 2: major upset yet in college basketball. So Florida, Saint John's,

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Speaker 2: Texas Tech, and Maryland are all still available in the West. Auburn,

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Speaker 2: Michigan State, Iowa State, and Texas A and M all

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Speaker 2: still alive in the South. Duke Duke, Alabama, Wisconsin, and

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Speaker 2: Arizona are all still alive in the East. And Houston, UCLA,

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Speaker 2: Kentucky and Purdue are alive in the Midwest. It's been

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Speaker 2: a while since that's happened. I think it's twenty seventeen.

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Speaker 2: I think that was the last time that happened for

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Speaker 2: us on to see that. So could we be in

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Speaker 2: for a chaotic Sunday? I'm hoping so, and hoping we

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Speaker 2: see a lot of dogs bark here BYU plus one

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Speaker 2: and a half here four tonight. All right, So here

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Speaker 2: are the four plays that I have. I may add

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Speaker 2: a moneyline parlay to this card as of right now,

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Speaker 2: creating plus nine and a half against Auburn, UCLA plus

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Speaker 2: five and a half against Tennessee BYU plus one and

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Speaker 2: a half against Wisconsin and Drake plus seven against Texas Tech.

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Speaker 2: I do not like the fact that I'm all on

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Speaker 2: all dogs. I'll admit that I don't like that. But

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Speaker 2: each bet in each handy gap is individual, So that's

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Speaker 2: just how the card felt. Hopefully it's inaccurate one maybe

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Speaker 2: more to come. We'll talk to you on the Twitch

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Speaker 2: channel coming up here this morning eleven am Eastern eight

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Speaker 2: am Pacific time with Troyal Firman and myself Twitch dot

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Speaker 2: tv Slash Fantasy Pros for a common conversation about the

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Speaker 2: second round for Saturday and Sunday games. I'll give you

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Speaker 2: an idea of what I'm leaning towards on Sunday. I

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Speaker 2: don't have any bets officially in except for Colorado State,

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Speaker 2: but we're hedging off of that, so it's not really

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Speaker 2: that CSU Maryland game has not yet to be determined.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parol.

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Speaker 2: To follow me across all socials at Sports Doc Matt

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Speaker 2: every single morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice