1 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:20,560 Speaker 1: Hello, Welcome to the Credit Edge, a Wiki markets podcast. 2 00:00:20,640 --> 00:00:22,320 Speaker 1: My name is James Crumbye, I'm a seen It at 3 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:23,480 Speaker 1: Its to a Bloomberg and. 4 00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:27,600 Speaker 2: I'm Arnold Kakuda, senior credit analyst covering banks at Bloomberg Intelligence. 5 00:00:27,840 --> 00:00:31,680 Speaker 2: So this week we're very pleased to welcome Aaron Kless, 6 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:34,720 Speaker 2: CEO and CIO at Evolution and Credit Partners. 7 00:00:34,760 --> 00:00:37,080 Speaker 3: How are you doing, Aaron, great? Great, Thank you for 8 00:00:37,120 --> 00:00:38,880 Speaker 3: having me on. I'm excited great. 9 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:42,920 Speaker 2: So prior to joining Andolution, Aaron held management roles in 10 00:00:42,960 --> 00:00:48,200 Speaker 2: private lending and equity at industry stalwarts like Apollo, Blackrock, 11 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:52,040 Speaker 2: Merril Lynch. And what I found really interesting about Andolution 12 00:00:52,360 --> 00:00:55,880 Speaker 2: is its unique industry expertise in areas such as sports 13 00:00:56,320 --> 00:01:00,160 Speaker 2: and financial services and for the bank people out there, 14 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:04,160 Speaker 2: their senior leadership includes the former head of the OCC 15 00:01:04,640 --> 00:01:08,160 Speaker 2: and current Flagstar CEO, Joe Adding. So there's a lot 16 00:01:08,200 --> 00:01:09,520 Speaker 2: of talk about James. 17 00:01:09,440 --> 00:01:11,120 Speaker 1: There is, indeed, and we'll get to the sports in 18 00:01:11,160 --> 00:01:14,040 Speaker 1: a bit, but before we do, credit markets are looking 19 00:01:14,240 --> 00:01:17,200 Speaker 1: ever more complacent, with junk bonds trading very tight as 20 00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:19,760 Speaker 1: demand for yield rises and net new supply of corporate 21 00:01:19,800 --> 00:01:23,520 Speaker 1: debt remains thin. Under the surface, there are signs of stress, 22 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:26,920 Speaker 1: with investors moving to higher quality debt, structured finance, and 23 00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:29,200 Speaker 1: sectors that would appear to be less exposed to the 24 00:01:29,280 --> 00:01:34,040 Speaker 1: chaos caused by trade wars and volatile US policymaking. Investors 25 00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 1: are also chasing higher returns in private markets, but there's 26 00:01:37,120 --> 00:01:39,959 Speaker 1: concern that lack of transparency and liquidity could lead to 27 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:42,600 Speaker 1: problems there. So as we look ahead, Aaron, to the 28 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:46,160 Speaker 1: second half, what are things in credit markets that we 29 00:01:46,160 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 1: should focus on? How are you positioning for the I mean, 30 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:51,840 Speaker 1: I'm presuming there's going to be turbulence, but what are 31 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:52,400 Speaker 1: you expecting? 32 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:56,160 Speaker 3: No, no turbulence, I think is right. That's what everyone's expecting. 33 00:01:56,200 --> 00:01:58,400 Speaker 3: And certainly we are, in our end At and Illusion 34 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:02,120 Speaker 3: Credit partners, we really are approaching the second half, and 35 00:02:02,440 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 3: really the foreseeable future for our funds, for our investors 36 00:02:08,440 --> 00:02:10,440 Speaker 3: is really that we focus on what we call the 37 00:02:10,440 --> 00:02:13,400 Speaker 3: core middle market, So we're really focused on borrowards with 38 00:02:13,600 --> 00:02:17,080 Speaker 3: say ten million of EBITDA up to fifty or sixty 39 00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:20,320 Speaker 3: million of EBITDA. We like to say that we focus 40 00:02:20,360 --> 00:02:25,440 Speaker 3: on main Street, not Wall Street. So while macroeconomic trends 41 00:02:25,480 --> 00:02:28,760 Speaker 3: are always front of mind, and as Arnold mentioned, you know, 42 00:02:28,880 --> 00:02:31,960 Speaker 3: Joseph Adding, former Comptrol of the Currency, head of the OCC, 43 00:02:32,160 --> 00:02:36,200 Speaker 3: is on our investment committee. Roger Ferguson, former Vice Chairman 44 00:02:36,240 --> 00:02:39,240 Speaker 3: of the Federal Reserve, former CEO of TIA, also on 45 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:42,799 Speaker 3: our investment committee. You know, we get fantastic insights from 46 00:02:42,800 --> 00:02:46,239 Speaker 3: a macro perspective, certainly for a fund of our size 47 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:48,520 Speaker 3: and our focus. So that focus on the core middle 48 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:51,040 Speaker 3: market for us, that main Street, not Wall Street, keeping 49 00:02:51,040 --> 00:02:54,040 Speaker 3: in mind the macro, but focusing on the fundamentals is 50 00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:55,600 Speaker 3: really critical and core for us. 51 00:02:56,200 --> 00:02:59,080 Speaker 2: And then but what about like these high industries, right, 52 00:02:59,160 --> 00:03:01,320 Speaker 2: I guess maybe we'll get low interest rates soon, but 53 00:03:01,680 --> 00:03:03,920 Speaker 2: you know, the high interust rates pressure on you know, 54 00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:06,840 Speaker 2: cashloads and stuff like that. So how's that affecting kind 55 00:03:06,840 --> 00:03:09,040 Speaker 2: of these main street, you know, middle market firms versus 56 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:11,440 Speaker 2: maybe some some other larger global players. 57 00:03:11,639 --> 00:03:15,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, for us, the interest burden or the fixed charge 58 00:03:15,480 --> 00:03:19,840 Speaker 3: burden on businesses, absolute leverage cost of debt, that for 59 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:22,360 Speaker 3: us is a is a due diligence issue. Where we 60 00:03:22,440 --> 00:03:25,040 Speaker 3: have the fortune, I would say, in this particular environment 61 00:03:25,080 --> 00:03:28,720 Speaker 3: of being a relatively new manager, we're only about two 62 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:31,160 Speaker 3: years old, just under two years old, so we've been 63 00:03:31,200 --> 00:03:34,639 Speaker 3: able to underwrite our portfolio to the current interest rate environment, 64 00:03:34,920 --> 00:03:37,600 Speaker 3: which has been a real blessing for us. You know, 65 00:03:37,640 --> 00:03:40,000 Speaker 3: they say, better to be lucky than good, although I 66 00:03:40,000 --> 00:03:42,280 Speaker 3: think we're pretty good too, But it's really nice to 67 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:45,480 Speaker 3: be able to underwrite every deal that we do to 68 00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:47,960 Speaker 3: the cash flows of the business and their current state. 69 00:03:48,000 --> 00:03:50,080 Speaker 3: Of course, we're always we're credit investors, we're always looking 70 00:03:50,080 --> 00:03:53,160 Speaker 3: at downsides as well, but in the current interest rate environment, 71 00:03:53,160 --> 00:03:54,760 Speaker 3: I think where it's a lot of those challenges have 72 00:03:54,840 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 3: presented themselves are deals that we're done and underwritten perhaps 73 00:03:58,520 --> 00:04:01,840 Speaker 3: in a lower interest rate environment, or maybe those were 74 00:04:01,960 --> 00:04:05,280 Speaker 3: M and A transactions that were done in a frothier 75 00:04:05,440 --> 00:04:07,880 Speaker 3: M and A driven by potentially driven by interest rate 76 00:04:08,000 --> 00:04:10,680 Speaker 3: environment that now has to sort of live with the 77 00:04:10,720 --> 00:04:14,120 Speaker 3: interest burden of this higher rate environment. So for us, 78 00:04:14,160 --> 00:04:17,080 Speaker 3: it's really an opportunity really to be honest for our 79 00:04:17,120 --> 00:04:19,280 Speaker 3: investors as well, more than it is a challenge. 80 00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:21,760 Speaker 2: And then do you need we hear about some of 81 00:04:21,800 --> 00:04:24,840 Speaker 2: the you know, liquidity, I guess the potential for you know, 82 00:04:25,200 --> 00:04:28,200 Speaker 2: private credit to be greenlit for retail for one case, 83 00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:30,320 Speaker 2: I mean that that's a positive, I guess, But then 84 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:32,480 Speaker 2: some of the liquidity issues of me more on the 85 00:04:32,480 --> 00:04:35,000 Speaker 2: private equity side of right, what about what about you know, 86 00:04:35,120 --> 00:04:36,720 Speaker 2: how can how can I get in and out right 87 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:38,919 Speaker 2: for for some So can you talk about some of 88 00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:41,080 Speaker 2: these dynamics and how they might come into play. 89 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that's a very very hot topic. So 90 00:04:44,080 --> 00:04:49,400 Speaker 3: really two I think separate topics there. One is the 91 00:04:49,480 --> 00:04:53,440 Speaker 3: new and growing growth of private credit as a retail 92 00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:56,839 Speaker 3: investor asset class, you know, bringing for private credit to 93 00:04:56,839 --> 00:04:58,839 Speaker 3: four one case. I mean that's sort of you know, 94 00:04:58,880 --> 00:05:03,799 Speaker 3: the new horizon of really talk about main street. That's 95 00:05:03,839 --> 00:05:07,600 Speaker 3: you know, mom and pop investors, people's in their retirement savings. 96 00:05:08,040 --> 00:05:11,480 Speaker 3: So that's there's a real liquidity issue there for us, 97 00:05:11,520 --> 00:05:13,480 Speaker 3: at least at Andalusion. That's not really a market that 98 00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:17,360 Speaker 3: we're focused on in terms of retail investors. We really 99 00:05:17,360 --> 00:05:20,200 Speaker 3: do focus more on high net worth, ultra high networth 100 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:22,960 Speaker 3: and institutional investors, where I think we can be a 101 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:26,039 Speaker 3: little bit more transparent about the illiquid nature of the 102 00:05:26,120 --> 00:05:29,760 Speaker 3: asset class. The loans that we make are typically five 103 00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:35,080 Speaker 3: to six year contractual maturities. I think the lived experience, 104 00:05:35,160 --> 00:05:37,960 Speaker 3: certainly for us and the entire market is typically kind 105 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:40,719 Speaker 3: of three and a half years, those loans are turning 106 00:05:40,760 --> 00:05:43,320 Speaker 3: over driven by refinancings, m and A things like that. 107 00:05:43,600 --> 00:05:46,880 Speaker 3: So from an ill liquidity perspective, you know, we try 108 00:05:46,880 --> 00:05:49,640 Speaker 3: to be really upfront and really transparent with our investors 109 00:05:49,960 --> 00:05:53,479 Speaker 3: about the illiquid nature of the underlying assets and therefore 110 00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:56,920 Speaker 3: the ill liquid nature of the fund investment that they're making. 111 00:05:57,880 --> 00:06:00,719 Speaker 3: But you are right, as the business as private credit 112 00:06:00,760 --> 00:06:02,520 Speaker 3: grows and expands, and a lot of that growth and 113 00:06:02,560 --> 00:06:05,720 Speaker 3: expansion as an industry is going to come through the 114 00:06:05,720 --> 00:06:11,160 Speaker 3: individual investor, the retail investor. Liquidity and mechanisms and mechanics 115 00:06:11,160 --> 00:06:13,839 Speaker 3: to create liquidity are going to become really critical and 116 00:06:13,920 --> 00:06:15,240 Speaker 3: really important developments. 117 00:06:15,800 --> 00:06:17,560 Speaker 1: As we've discussed a lot on this show, and the 118 00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:22,320 Speaker 1: private credits just ballooned very quickly, and it's on everyone's radar. 119 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:25,159 Speaker 1: It's the hot new thing. Everyone's talking about it. But 120 00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 1: the risks people just assume, because they can't see it, 121 00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:31,200 Speaker 1: that it's going to be a problem, and they point 122 00:06:31,240 --> 00:06:34,039 Speaker 1: to the smaller deals, They point to the new managers, 123 00:06:34,080 --> 00:06:37,479 Speaker 1: they point to all the stuff that you can't really 124 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:39,839 Speaker 1: get a good handle on. So how do you overcome 125 00:06:39,880 --> 00:06:42,640 Speaker 1: that fear? You know, a new manager doing smaller deals 126 00:06:43,160 --> 00:06:44,719 Speaker 1: presume you get a lot of questions about how you 127 00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:46,520 Speaker 1: mark the risks, So how do you kind of overcome 128 00:06:46,560 --> 00:06:47,120 Speaker 1: those concerns. 129 00:06:47,200 --> 00:06:49,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely, we talk about that a lot. We have 130 00:06:49,400 --> 00:06:52,039 Speaker 3: that conversation a lot. You know, been in the private 131 00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:54,560 Speaker 3: credit industry a long time. As you mentioned in the intro, 132 00:06:54,760 --> 00:06:57,280 Speaker 3: the kind intro, you know, it's some pretty large firms 133 00:06:57,600 --> 00:07:01,640 Speaker 3: who were not new managers and not doing smalls. So 134 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:04,720 Speaker 3: I've had the ability to and by the way, earlier 135 00:07:04,760 --> 00:07:07,880 Speaker 3: in my career, even at some of those larger managers, 136 00:07:07,920 --> 00:07:10,320 Speaker 3: private credit was still small and it was still really 137 00:07:10,360 --> 00:07:12,840 Speaker 3: a middle market business. I mean often I say to people, 138 00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:15,080 Speaker 3: you know, what's old is new again. Private credit was 139 00:07:15,120 --> 00:07:18,800 Speaker 3: born in the middle market. And as the industry has 140 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 3: grown so big, as you point out, so many of 141 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:23,880 Speaker 3: those managers who started in the middle market have just 142 00:07:23,960 --> 00:07:27,000 Speaker 3: grown so large that they can't do those deals anymore. 143 00:07:27,000 --> 00:07:28,679 Speaker 3: And it's become a little bit of a self fulfilling 144 00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:31,360 Speaker 3: prophecy to say, oh, we can't do little deals anymore 145 00:07:31,400 --> 00:07:33,360 Speaker 3: because it's not a good return on time, we can't 146 00:07:33,360 --> 00:07:36,120 Speaker 3: deploy the money fast enough, so therefore we'll do bigger deals, 147 00:07:36,120 --> 00:07:38,320 Speaker 3: which is a better return on time. And then it's 148 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:41,040 Speaker 3: kind of convenient to also just believe that those are 149 00:07:41,120 --> 00:07:44,840 Speaker 3: safer deals. I'm not sure that that's true. We focus 150 00:07:44,880 --> 00:07:48,120 Speaker 3: a lot on structure, We focus a lot on downside protection, 151 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:52,040 Speaker 3: We focus a lot on you know, kind of primary 152 00:07:52,160 --> 00:07:55,160 Speaker 3: due diligence. Who are these borrowers, whether they're owned by 153 00:07:55,200 --> 00:07:58,360 Speaker 3: a private equity firm, a sponsor back borrower, or they're 154 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:01,040 Speaker 3: an independent company, you know, family owned, founder, own a 155 00:08:01,080 --> 00:08:05,240 Speaker 3: non sponsored barer, which we also focus on. So so 156 00:08:05,280 --> 00:08:08,320 Speaker 3: I do do agree that private credit as an asset 157 00:08:08,360 --> 00:08:12,440 Speaker 3: class is hot, probably overheated, But I really do think 158 00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:15,520 Speaker 3: it comes down to, you know, really the structures that 159 00:08:15,520 --> 00:08:18,559 Speaker 3: you're investing in and the fundamental work that you're doing 160 00:08:18,680 --> 00:08:21,920 Speaker 3: right both through origination but most importantly through underwriting and 161 00:08:21,960 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 3: then critically through deal documentation execution. And by the way, 162 00:08:26,760 --> 00:08:28,800 Speaker 3: when that's done and your deals have covenants, you know 163 00:08:28,800 --> 00:08:30,840 Speaker 3: your job's not done. Now you need to monitor and 164 00:08:30,920 --> 00:08:34,160 Speaker 3: manage those deals, and you can't just wait for, you know, 165 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:36,760 Speaker 3: a covenant report to come to you once a quarter. 166 00:08:36,960 --> 00:08:39,600 Speaker 3: You have to very proactive and stay on top of 167 00:08:39,679 --> 00:08:43,080 Speaker 3: the business or the sponsor depending on the structure, and 168 00:08:43,480 --> 00:08:45,960 Speaker 3: making sure you're really aware of what's going on inside 169 00:08:45,960 --> 00:08:47,440 Speaker 3: of those credits. And I think that's true for a 170 00:08:47,480 --> 00:08:50,400 Speaker 3: business with fifteen million of vibit DA, and it's true 171 00:08:50,400 --> 00:08:52,520 Speaker 3: for a business with one hundred and fifty million of EBITDA. 172 00:08:53,440 --> 00:08:55,920 Speaker 2: And you talk about you know, I think you mentioned 173 00:08:55,960 --> 00:08:57,640 Speaker 2: the word hot. You know this the sector is maybe 174 00:08:57,640 --> 00:09:00,160 Speaker 2: too hot. So what does that mean? Is it? Is 175 00:09:00,200 --> 00:09:01,920 Speaker 2: it kind of a step down? You know, you can't 176 00:09:01,920 --> 00:09:04,200 Speaker 2: continue to grow at whatever thirty forty percent a year. 177 00:09:04,520 --> 00:09:05,880 Speaker 2: Is it a step down in that? Or are you're 178 00:09:05,880 --> 00:09:07,880 Speaker 2: talking more about like kind of the stresses showing up, 179 00:09:07,920 --> 00:09:09,040 Speaker 2: Like what's what's you know? 180 00:09:09,400 --> 00:09:11,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, you're talking about there? Yeah, I like that. I 181 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:15,320 Speaker 3: think it's actually both. But depending on where you operate 182 00:09:15,440 --> 00:09:18,400 Speaker 3: in function. So I think the stresses are real. And 183 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:21,560 Speaker 3: if you're an investor and you're not invested with a 184 00:09:21,600 --> 00:09:24,200 Speaker 3: manager that's hyper focused on, as we like to say, 185 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:26,920 Speaker 3: looking over the horizon, right, That's why we like having 186 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:29,720 Speaker 3: covenants in our loans. It allows us to get a 187 00:09:29,720 --> 00:09:32,120 Speaker 3: peak as to what's coming, and if we don't like 188 00:09:32,160 --> 00:09:33,880 Speaker 3: what's coming, it gives us a chance to get our 189 00:09:33,920 --> 00:09:37,760 Speaker 3: hands dirty and get involved, versus cove light loans, which 190 00:09:37,800 --> 00:09:40,040 Speaker 3: is typically what you see in that larger part of 191 00:09:40,080 --> 00:09:42,760 Speaker 3: that upper part of the market where you might not 192 00:09:42,880 --> 00:09:44,440 Speaker 3: know what's coming, and when it comes there might not 193 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:47,120 Speaker 3: be much you can do about it anyway. So I 194 00:09:47,160 --> 00:09:49,440 Speaker 3: do think it is the stress is And to your 195 00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:52,480 Speaker 3: point on growth, I do think that the market, at 196 00:09:52,520 --> 00:09:55,440 Speaker 3: certain parts of the private credit market, it is growth constrained. 197 00:09:55,480 --> 00:09:57,680 Speaker 3: And I think in the first half of the year 198 00:09:58,360 --> 00:10:01,840 Speaker 3: some managers have actually live that they've seen it, they've 199 00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:04,040 Speaker 3: proved it, and maybe they didn't want to, but they have. 200 00:10:04,400 --> 00:10:07,800 Speaker 3: As we've seen sponsor activity M and A activity, LBO 201 00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:11,120 Speaker 3: activity come way down. You know, we see it in 202 00:10:11,440 --> 00:10:15,040 Speaker 3: other credit managers, larger credit managers. You know, they're struggling 203 00:10:15,120 --> 00:10:17,880 Speaker 3: to find deals. They're struggling to find deals to deploy into. 204 00:10:18,400 --> 00:10:22,199 Speaker 3: So volumes are down. But because it goes hand in hand, 205 00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:25,839 Speaker 3: spreads are compressing, terms are loosening because everyone is chasing 206 00:10:25,880 --> 00:10:28,640 Speaker 3: those fewer and fewer deals. At certain parts of the market, 207 00:10:28,800 --> 00:10:30,880 Speaker 3: you know, where we're focused again, we call that core 208 00:10:30,960 --> 00:10:34,840 Speaker 3: middle market. They're fewer competitors in terms of other lenders 209 00:10:34,840 --> 00:10:36,480 Speaker 3: because so many of them have left the market to 210 00:10:36,480 --> 00:10:39,440 Speaker 3: go up market, and many of the new entrants have 211 00:10:39,760 --> 00:10:41,760 Speaker 3: not chosen to come into the core middle market, but 212 00:10:41,880 --> 00:10:44,480 Speaker 3: rather to try to chase the golden dream of being, 213 00:10:44,720 --> 00:10:47,880 Speaker 3: you know, the next biggest kid on the block. You know. 214 00:10:47,960 --> 00:10:51,319 Speaker 3: So I think some of those larger funds are growth constrained. 215 00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:54,239 Speaker 3: But what we see, and we see it in our pipeline, 216 00:10:54,280 --> 00:10:56,440 Speaker 3: we see it in our portfolio, we see it in 217 00:10:56,480 --> 00:11:02,160 Speaker 3: our origination relationships, is really a supply demand imbalance. Right, 218 00:11:02,160 --> 00:11:04,360 Speaker 3: there's more demand for loans in the middle market than 219 00:11:04,360 --> 00:11:06,360 Speaker 3: there are firms looking to provide them. 220 00:11:06,920 --> 00:11:09,839 Speaker 2: And then so I cover the banks, and then I 221 00:11:09,840 --> 00:11:12,640 Speaker 2: guess with with Trump two point zero, it's all about deregulation, 222 00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:14,880 Speaker 2: and I guess more for the bigger guys. But then, 223 00:11:15,559 --> 00:11:18,360 Speaker 2: you know, I think private credit the opportunity. A lot 224 00:11:18,400 --> 00:11:20,640 Speaker 2: of that I think has come from the increased regulation 225 00:11:20,800 --> 00:11:25,080 Speaker 2: right post financial crisis, you know, of these banks. But 226 00:11:25,480 --> 00:11:27,400 Speaker 2: now that we're seeing kind of a pullback of some 227 00:11:27,440 --> 00:11:30,440 Speaker 2: of this stuff, is it are you seeing more competition 228 00:11:30,520 --> 00:11:32,480 Speaker 2: from some of the bigger banks or maybe the regionals 229 00:11:32,480 --> 00:11:35,000 Speaker 2: and stuff. Is that a threat potentially or is this 230 00:11:35,120 --> 00:11:36,360 Speaker 2: still a safe space for you guys? 231 00:11:36,400 --> 00:11:38,040 Speaker 3: So you know, again, in the queer we are down 232 00:11:38,080 --> 00:11:41,040 Speaker 3: in the core middle market, we feel pretty safe. I 233 00:11:41,080 --> 00:11:44,080 Speaker 3: think again, bifurcating the big banks from the regional banks. 234 00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:47,000 Speaker 3: I think the big banks, including I think it was 235 00:11:47,000 --> 00:11:50,199 Speaker 3: an article today about one of the very big banks, 236 00:11:50,720 --> 00:11:52,839 Speaker 3: you know, kind of trying to find ways to push 237 00:11:52,880 --> 00:11:55,800 Speaker 3: hard into private credit. Again. I think that's a story 238 00:11:55,840 --> 00:11:58,360 Speaker 3: that belongs in that upper part of the market. You know, 239 00:11:58,400 --> 00:12:00,760 Speaker 3: we used to call it the BSL report placement market. 240 00:12:00,960 --> 00:12:03,199 Speaker 3: Maybe the bsls have already been replaced by that market, 241 00:12:03,320 --> 00:12:05,000 Speaker 3: but you know, that's I think where that battle is 242 00:12:05,040 --> 00:12:08,040 Speaker 3: going to play out, and that loosening of regulation is 243 00:12:08,040 --> 00:12:09,920 Speaker 3: going to allow those big banks to kind of fight 244 00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:12,880 Speaker 3: their way back into those deals and into those fee streams. 245 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:15,360 Speaker 3: I think for us, what we're focused on in the 246 00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:17,080 Speaker 3: core middle market, it's a little bit more about the 247 00:12:17,120 --> 00:12:20,599 Speaker 3: regional banks and the commercial banks, and you know, I 248 00:12:20,600 --> 00:12:23,200 Speaker 3: think at the end of the day, there's room for both. 249 00:12:23,400 --> 00:12:25,839 Speaker 3: Market's quite large in the middle market. There's something like 250 00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:28,640 Speaker 3: two hundred and fifty thousand middle market companies in the 251 00:12:28,720 --> 00:12:32,080 Speaker 3: United States, something like twenty five or thirty thousand believe 252 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:34,360 Speaker 3: it or not are owned by private equity firms. So 253 00:12:34,640 --> 00:12:37,480 Speaker 3: it's a big market, and you know, banks are still 254 00:12:37,640 --> 00:12:40,880 Speaker 3: need to do what you know, where the regulations stand today, 255 00:12:41,240 --> 00:12:43,760 Speaker 3: private credit is still able to do things that banks 256 00:12:43,800 --> 00:12:47,520 Speaker 3: aren't able to do, things around structure, amorganization, but also 257 00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:50,200 Speaker 3: pricing right, we get we get paid for it. So 258 00:12:50,360 --> 00:12:52,319 Speaker 3: even as commercial banks might get a little bit where 259 00:12:52,400 --> 00:12:54,040 Speaker 3: regional banks might get a little more active in the 260 00:12:54,080 --> 00:12:57,200 Speaker 3: middle market, I think the private credit is still offering 261 00:12:57,240 --> 00:13:00,760 Speaker 3: a product that middle market companies need that won't offer. 262 00:13:01,320 --> 00:13:03,600 Speaker 1: You are getting paid, as you say. Some of our 263 00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:06,839 Speaker 1: guests on this show talked about middle market returns in 264 00:13:06,880 --> 00:13:09,439 Speaker 1: the sort of what they're calling equity like returns, which 265 00:13:09,480 --> 00:13:11,520 Speaker 1: depends on your view of the actually marketing. But then 266 00:13:11,720 --> 00:13:14,080 Speaker 1: when pressed they say, mid teens. What's your view of 267 00:13:14,200 --> 00:13:15,240 Speaker 1: returns in this space? 268 00:13:15,800 --> 00:13:19,079 Speaker 3: Yeah, So you know, look, our strategy is really kind 269 00:13:19,080 --> 00:13:22,400 Speaker 3: of I call it low teens. And our goal and 270 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:27,480 Speaker 3: our business model is to make good risk adjusted credit 271 00:13:27,520 --> 00:13:31,079 Speaker 3: decisions for our investors. So we're focused on senior lending 272 00:13:32,400 --> 00:13:35,360 Speaker 3: and we're not really trying to push the envelope to 273 00:13:35,400 --> 00:13:39,400 Speaker 3: bring those those returns up, either through excess leverage or 274 00:13:39,440 --> 00:13:42,320 Speaker 3: excess risk. So again we look at that market that 275 00:13:42,440 --> 00:13:45,280 Speaker 3: core middle market sponsor back deals, non sponsored deals, where 276 00:13:45,320 --> 00:13:48,760 Speaker 3: there's more spread and more alpha to be had. In 277 00:13:48,920 --> 00:13:52,240 Speaker 3: certain core end markets that we focus on, you know, 278 00:13:52,280 --> 00:13:56,400 Speaker 3: for for us, the Andalusion firm, the Andalusion brand, you know, 279 00:13:56,440 --> 00:13:58,320 Speaker 3: the core markets that we focus on. We talked about 280 00:13:58,320 --> 00:14:03,280 Speaker 3: financial services with with with Joseph and Roger, but sports 281 00:14:03,320 --> 00:14:06,080 Speaker 3: and media and entertainment are another important one for us, 282 00:14:06,120 --> 00:14:09,880 Speaker 3: and Illusion has a long and successful history around sports 283 00:14:09,880 --> 00:14:12,440 Speaker 3: as an asset class. We can get into that in 284 00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:16,800 Speaker 3: further detail. Media entertainment, certainly it's in its adjacencies to 285 00:14:16,840 --> 00:14:19,840 Speaker 3: sports are really important for us as well, you know, 286 00:14:19,880 --> 00:14:24,120 Speaker 3: but really it's it's an opportunity for us to focus 287 00:14:24,160 --> 00:14:28,360 Speaker 3: on risk adjusted returns. So we could stretch and produce 288 00:14:28,440 --> 00:14:31,000 Speaker 3: higher returns, but we think what's more appropriate for our 289 00:14:31,040 --> 00:14:33,040 Speaker 3: investors and the types of investors that we're looking to 290 00:14:33,080 --> 00:14:36,840 Speaker 3: attract to our business is performing credit you know, some 291 00:14:36,960 --> 00:14:42,280 Speaker 3: excess spread or excess return to other maybe more mid 292 00:14:42,360 --> 00:14:47,680 Speaker 3: or upper market strategies, but providing significant diversification in their portfolios. 293 00:14:48,120 --> 00:14:49,720 Speaker 1: So walk us through a deal though, and just so 294 00:14:49,880 --> 00:14:52,000 Speaker 1: our listeners can get it. I mean, you're talking about 295 00:14:52,040 --> 00:14:55,120 Speaker 1: companies with ten to fifty million dollars in ebitdow, which 296 00:14:55,160 --> 00:14:56,960 Speaker 1: really helps us kind of define but how big does 297 00:14:57,000 --> 00:14:59,640 Speaker 1: that make the actual loan. Sure, are you doing the 298 00:14:59,640 --> 00:15:02,320 Speaker 1: whole thing directly? What kind of margins are you seeing? 299 00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:04,560 Speaker 1: How does that compare to syndicated. 300 00:15:04,040 --> 00:15:05,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, so it's sort of all of the above. But 301 00:15:05,960 --> 00:15:08,440 Speaker 3: to be more specific, you know, if you think about 302 00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:12,480 Speaker 3: ten to fifty million of EBITDA senior lending sponsored and 303 00:15:12,520 --> 00:15:14,920 Speaker 3: non sponsored, that's kind of a matrix as we think 304 00:15:14,920 --> 00:15:18,480 Speaker 3: about it, you know, So a non sponsored deal that's 305 00:15:18,720 --> 00:15:21,560 Speaker 3: you know, a first lean senior secured loan. I mean, 306 00:15:21,720 --> 00:15:24,480 Speaker 3: most of what we're doing in that space is we're 307 00:15:24,480 --> 00:15:26,720 Speaker 3: talking about two to two and a half turns of leverage, 308 00:15:26,720 --> 00:15:29,960 Speaker 3: so pretty conservative from a leverage perspective, So those loans 309 00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:32,520 Speaker 3: can be quite small. Twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five 310 00:15:32,520 --> 00:15:35,320 Speaker 3: million dollars, okay. You know. The other end of the 311 00:15:35,360 --> 00:15:37,640 Speaker 3: spectrum is what we would call a unitronch loan, so 312 00:15:37,720 --> 00:15:40,360 Speaker 3: a deeper loan, still first lean, starting at the top, 313 00:15:40,400 --> 00:15:43,560 Speaker 3: but coming deeper to a sponsor back business, you know, 314 00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:45,920 Speaker 3: and that's going to be maybe double the amount of leverage. 315 00:15:45,920 --> 00:15:48,280 Speaker 3: Five turns of leverage. So at the at the outer 316 00:15:48,440 --> 00:15:51,800 Speaker 3: end of that range, fifty million dollar company five turns 317 00:15:51,840 --> 00:15:54,440 Speaker 3: of leverage, two hundred and fifty million dollars loan size, 318 00:15:55,160 --> 00:15:58,680 Speaker 3: and then we're really in those loans in every shape 319 00:15:58,720 --> 00:16:01,120 Speaker 3: and form. Some of the loans that we're the sole lender. 320 00:16:01,880 --> 00:16:03,960 Speaker 3: Some we're just you know, we're the agent with with 321 00:16:04,200 --> 00:16:06,640 Speaker 3: with a club. Some we're just one of the club 322 00:16:06,800 --> 00:16:09,040 Speaker 3: in the club. Some of the clubs are two or 323 00:16:09,040 --> 00:16:11,960 Speaker 3: three lenders. They don't get much larger than four, I 324 00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:14,480 Speaker 3: would say in our market. But it's very much a 325 00:16:14,520 --> 00:16:16,880 Speaker 3: club market, except for at that small end where people 326 00:16:16,880 --> 00:16:17,760 Speaker 3: will hold the whole thing. 327 00:16:17,840 --> 00:16:19,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, and you're buying to hold for what sort of 328 00:16:19,800 --> 00:16:20,840 Speaker 1: ten Yeah. 329 00:16:20,840 --> 00:16:23,000 Speaker 3: So again, most of our loans, which are all sort 330 00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:27,080 Speaker 3: of bilaterally negotiated, are typically five to six year maturities, 331 00:16:28,000 --> 00:16:30,120 Speaker 3: but our expectation is that there's going to be some 332 00:16:30,200 --> 00:16:33,720 Speaker 3: kind of refinancing event, generally within three to four years. 333 00:16:33,720 --> 00:16:35,600 Speaker 1: Okay, what kind of mudgins you say right now? 334 00:16:35,800 --> 00:16:39,160 Speaker 3: So again, splitting it out between sponsored and non sponsored, 335 00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:41,120 Speaker 3: you know, just you know, sort of easy, keep it 336 00:16:41,160 --> 00:16:44,560 Speaker 3: easiest or simplest, you know, for the not for sponsored 337 00:16:44,600 --> 00:16:47,440 Speaker 3: loans new LBOs, which there aren't a ton of these days. 338 00:16:47,520 --> 00:16:49,640 Speaker 3: But in our part of the market, you know, i'd 339 00:16:49,640 --> 00:16:52,920 Speaker 3: say the pricing sort of starts at so for five hundred, okay, 340 00:16:53,160 --> 00:16:56,600 Speaker 3: but generally between five hundred and five seventy five. And 341 00:16:56,640 --> 00:16:59,280 Speaker 3: then on the non sponsored side, you know, typically we 342 00:16:59,280 --> 00:17:01,480 Speaker 3: see about a hundred maybe one hundred and twenty five 343 00:17:01,520 --> 00:17:04,560 Speaker 3: basis points premium to that, So think, you know, six 344 00:17:04,640 --> 00:17:07,560 Speaker 3: hundred to six seventy five for a similar non sponsored business. 345 00:17:07,600 --> 00:17:10,040 Speaker 1: How are those margins changing given that there is such competition. 346 00:17:10,040 --> 00:17:12,359 Speaker 1: Are you seeing more like you know, bigger middle market 347 00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:15,080 Speaker 1: coming down into the smaller deals and that compresses the margin. 348 00:17:15,160 --> 00:17:17,240 Speaker 1: Is there a lot of pressure now on price? 349 00:17:17,720 --> 00:17:20,080 Speaker 3: So we are seeing some compression on the margin, not 350 00:17:20,119 --> 00:17:22,600 Speaker 3: as much, I think as being experienced in the upper 351 00:17:22,600 --> 00:17:26,120 Speaker 3: part of the market. Anecdotally, maybe once or twice, we've 352 00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:29,080 Speaker 3: seen some of the traditional kind of upper middle market 353 00:17:29,160 --> 00:17:31,520 Speaker 3: lenders coming down into the market in our market, but 354 00:17:31,520 --> 00:17:34,719 Speaker 3: I'd say that's been more on a specialized basis, not 355 00:17:34,760 --> 00:17:37,399 Speaker 3: on a broad basis. It might be an industry that 356 00:17:37,440 --> 00:17:39,320 Speaker 3: they know really well, it might be a sponsor that 357 00:17:39,359 --> 00:17:42,360 Speaker 3: they have a strong relationship with. I think really where 358 00:17:42,359 --> 00:17:45,240 Speaker 3: we're seeing more pressure on price are the are sort 359 00:17:45,280 --> 00:17:48,399 Speaker 3: of those long term players in our market. They have 360 00:17:48,480 --> 00:17:51,400 Speaker 3: the same pressures to deploy as everybody else, and they're 361 00:17:51,440 --> 00:17:54,240 Speaker 3: willing to you know, bring pricing in twenty five or 362 00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:55,880 Speaker 3: fifty basis points to win the deal. 363 00:17:56,040 --> 00:17:58,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, you did mention the top that you were talking, 364 00:17:58,800 --> 00:18:01,119 Speaker 1: you know about mainstream rather than Wall Street, so you 365 00:18:01,160 --> 00:18:04,000 Speaker 1: have a good view into the firms and how they're operating. 366 00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:07,520 Speaker 1: You know, we've had these big trade war shocks, We've 367 00:18:07,520 --> 00:18:10,560 Speaker 1: got a lot of policy changes, and we still don't 368 00:18:10,600 --> 00:18:13,719 Speaker 1: know how that's affecting companies, particularly smaller companies that are 369 00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:16,240 Speaker 1: also exposed things like immigration reform. They're going to lose 370 00:18:16,400 --> 00:18:18,520 Speaker 1: some of their workers potentially. So there's all of these 371 00:18:18,560 --> 00:18:21,119 Speaker 1: stresses coming down. But you know, you wouldn't see it 372 00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:22,520 Speaker 1: by the looks of you know, if you're looking at 373 00:18:22,560 --> 00:18:24,919 Speaker 1: just the high yield spread, everything just looks great. You know, 374 00:18:25,280 --> 00:18:28,160 Speaker 1: good times are ahead. What are you saying on the ground, Aaron, 375 00:18:28,200 --> 00:18:31,199 Speaker 1: What what? What? What can you tell us about you know, 376 00:18:31,320 --> 00:18:33,080 Speaker 1: ground level main street America? 377 00:18:33,400 --> 00:18:35,679 Speaker 3: Yeah, No, I think it's it's a really important question 378 00:18:35,920 --> 00:18:38,320 Speaker 3: when we focus on again that concept of looking over 379 00:18:38,359 --> 00:18:42,960 Speaker 3: the horizon, what are those leading edge indicators. You know, interestingly, 380 00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:47,040 Speaker 3: we're not seeing a lot of employment pressure yet, in 381 00:18:47,080 --> 00:18:49,840 Speaker 3: other words, we're not seeing wage pressure. But what I 382 00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:51,920 Speaker 3: thought we would be seeing now because of your point 383 00:18:51,920 --> 00:18:56,600 Speaker 3: about immigration, businesses having a hard time finding workers, but 384 00:18:56,640 --> 00:18:59,000 Speaker 3: we haven't seen that yet. I'm still keeping a very 385 00:18:59,080 --> 00:19:01,679 Speaker 3: very closer eye on that at our portfolio, and our 386 00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:05,800 Speaker 3: strategy is very services centric, so we don't really have 387 00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:10,199 Speaker 3: a lot of exposure to businesses with long international supply chains. 388 00:19:10,760 --> 00:19:15,360 Speaker 3: So the tariff story, while critically important because it's driving 389 00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:19,280 Speaker 3: not just the news cycle, but importantly the decision making 390 00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:23,920 Speaker 3: kind of cycle and process amongst CEOs and CFOs, Main 391 00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:27,679 Speaker 3: Street and Wall Street, capex expenditures, new contracts, et cetera. 392 00:19:29,040 --> 00:19:32,000 Speaker 3: Hasn't really had a direct impact on our portfolio, but 393 00:19:32,040 --> 00:19:38,200 Speaker 3: we are certainly seeing that CEOs and sponsors are very 394 00:19:38,880 --> 00:19:46,840 Speaker 3: cautious around growth expectations, cautious around capital expenditures. We've heard anecdotally, 395 00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:49,359 Speaker 3: not in our portfolio, but from some partners that we 396 00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:54,080 Speaker 3: have are lenders to other businesses, that in certain industries, 397 00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:58,000 Speaker 3: people are starting to see contracts being canceled. So I 398 00:19:58,000 --> 00:20:01,640 Speaker 3: think that the overall theme is uncertainty. The overall theme 399 00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:05,440 Speaker 3: is expectation of volatility, even though we're not seeing it yet, 400 00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:09,320 Speaker 3: and caution. So caution means slow down your hiring, slow 401 00:20:09,359 --> 00:20:11,920 Speaker 3: down your cap X and if you're thinking of entering 402 00:20:11,960 --> 00:20:14,520 Speaker 3: into a big, chunky contract, you might not want to 403 00:20:14,560 --> 00:20:17,919 Speaker 3: do that today. So today in our portfolio, we haven't 404 00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:21,200 Speaker 3: really seen any of those shocks yet, but we're keeping 405 00:20:21,200 --> 00:20:22,320 Speaker 3: a very close eye on it. 406 00:20:22,359 --> 00:20:24,919 Speaker 1: Does that ultimately lead to mold defaults and pick in 407 00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:26,720 Speaker 1: terms of the portfolio. 408 00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:30,119 Speaker 3: So again i'd separate out those two, you know, and 409 00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:33,280 Speaker 3: again in our market where there are covenants in our loans, 410 00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:37,359 Speaker 3: you know, we have a chance to really be ahead 411 00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:42,320 Speaker 3: of those defaults and work with the borrowers appropriately. You know, 412 00:20:42,359 --> 00:20:46,000 Speaker 3: some of these things as they impact these businesses might 413 00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:49,760 Speaker 3: be temporary in nature, and we can all laugh because 414 00:20:49,800 --> 00:20:52,040 Speaker 3: that means there could be a tweet or an X 415 00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:55,239 Speaker 3: or whatever tomorrow that undoes, you know, whatever burden they 416 00:20:55,240 --> 00:20:57,719 Speaker 3: were feeling. So I do think that now more than 417 00:20:57,760 --> 00:21:02,920 Speaker 3: ever as a lender, being an objective steward of capital 418 00:21:03,000 --> 00:21:06,480 Speaker 3: but also partnerly capital, I think is really really important, 419 00:21:07,760 --> 00:21:10,880 Speaker 3: rather than in some of these larger deals that are 420 00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:13,919 Speaker 3: more broadly held, where it's harder to sort of manage 421 00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:16,520 Speaker 3: the lender group and just saying hey, that's going to 422 00:21:16,560 --> 00:21:18,560 Speaker 3: be a default, like let's just tip this thing over 423 00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:20,960 Speaker 3: and you know, see where the cards fall. I think 424 00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:23,760 Speaker 3: in this particular environment that we're in, that's not going 425 00:21:23,840 --> 00:21:26,840 Speaker 3: to be a great strategy probably seven times out of ten, right, 426 00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:30,840 Speaker 3: So I think that's that's a really important thing in 427 00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:33,399 Speaker 3: terms of just thinking about where you know, where the 428 00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:34,160 Speaker 3: risk could lie. 429 00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:37,679 Speaker 2: We've had a few guests talk about kind of the 430 00:21:37,720 --> 00:21:40,600 Speaker 2: opportunity shifting. You know, US has always been great where 431 00:21:40,600 --> 00:21:43,520 Speaker 2: the most money is, capital is, but then maybe Europe 432 00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:46,359 Speaker 2: becoming more attractive. So but which which kind of view 433 00:21:46,400 --> 00:21:48,640 Speaker 2: are you? Do you think the US is still kind 434 00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:51,600 Speaker 2: of you know, the place to be or or you know, 435 00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:53,640 Speaker 2: are you studers starting to look more and more internationally? 436 00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:56,560 Speaker 3: So I guess our I mean, like our business is 437 00:21:56,600 --> 00:21:59,720 Speaker 3: very US centric, both our borrower base and our investor base, 438 00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:04,639 Speaker 3: so I'm biased. You know. Look, I think that again 439 00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:07,520 Speaker 3: in the middle market and the upper market. Frankly, I 440 00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:09,040 Speaker 3: think the US is still the place to be as 441 00:22:09,040 --> 00:22:13,000 Speaker 3: a lender. You have the most built out, sophisticated, tested 442 00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:15,800 Speaker 3: legal system in terms of making sure you know as 443 00:22:15,800 --> 00:22:17,879 Speaker 3: a lender what your rights are, whether you're a majority 444 00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:21,560 Speaker 3: lender or a minority lender. I think that the market 445 00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:24,880 Speaker 3: is the efficiencies in the market will take us will 446 00:22:24,920 --> 00:22:27,280 Speaker 3: carry us a long way despite a lot of the 447 00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:30,840 Speaker 3: volatility and noise that we're experiencing. I think for for 448 00:22:31,080 --> 00:22:33,280 Speaker 3: but then that's on the you know, my view on 449 00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:35,919 Speaker 3: the borrower or the lending market. I think as an 450 00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:39,080 Speaker 3: investor or an allocator, I think we are hearing what 451 00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:42,679 Speaker 3: you're saying. Also, right, a lot of institutional investors that 452 00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:46,320 Speaker 3: we speak to are really trying to think about, if 453 00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:49,320 Speaker 3: they're US investors, how can they get more exposure non US? 454 00:22:49,520 --> 00:22:52,080 Speaker 3: And if they're non US investors, asking the question of 455 00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:55,399 Speaker 3: do we really want to you know, be increasing our 456 00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:58,840 Speaker 3: allocations to US managers? And that's you know, that's that's 457 00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:02,159 Speaker 3: that's a whole other challenge and again for us, you know, 458 00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:04,439 Speaker 3: I bring it back to we focus on Main Street, 459 00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:09,960 Speaker 3: not Wall Street. These are fundamentally performing, strong, important businesses 460 00:23:10,040 --> 00:23:13,840 Speaker 3: that produce cash flow, important very importantly, you know, employ 461 00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:16,440 Speaker 3: real people and deliver real goods and services. 462 00:23:16,640 --> 00:23:19,639 Speaker 1: But we have seen Andalusian in European soccer. 463 00:23:20,720 --> 00:23:23,879 Speaker 3: That's true, that's true, absolutely. 464 00:23:23,280 --> 00:23:26,960 Speaker 1: Everton, Everton, Right, it's in you know, yet another big 465 00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:30,960 Speaker 1: football deal in Europe led by a US billionaire. Yeap, 466 00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:32,879 Speaker 1: When will the US invasion peak? 467 00:23:34,200 --> 00:23:38,000 Speaker 3: So you know Andalusian. You know, we're the credit business, 468 00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:40,560 Speaker 3: and we have an affiliated business, Assister business, that's a 469 00:23:40,600 --> 00:23:44,520 Speaker 3: sports advisory business. So the Everton deal is one of theirs. 470 00:23:44,560 --> 00:23:46,399 Speaker 3: Although we get we share an office, so we get 471 00:23:46,440 --> 00:23:48,560 Speaker 3: to have all the great little deal toys and trophies 472 00:23:48,760 --> 00:23:50,680 Speaker 3: lined up in our conference room, which is exciting. 473 00:23:50,760 --> 00:23:52,560 Speaker 1: Tickets to the games, tickets to the game. 474 00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:54,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, but yeah, if I want to fly over, they'll 475 00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:58,640 Speaker 3: they'll definitely host me, which is nice. And look, they've 476 00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:02,280 Speaker 3: been also incredibly busy in the US as well. So 477 00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:05,159 Speaker 3: the the in the US, you know, the story of 478 00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:08,640 Speaker 3: sports investing on the equity side has really really been 479 00:24:08,960 --> 00:24:14,040 Speaker 3: these minority stake investments, primarily into NFL teams really just 480 00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:16,000 Speaker 3: because the NFL is the one that you know recently 481 00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:18,480 Speaker 3: opened up to private equity. So that's been an area 482 00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:20,440 Speaker 3: where they've been very busy, and we see a lot 483 00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:23,560 Speaker 3: of that traction and activity. You know, the the US 484 00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:26,040 Speaker 3: invasion into other markets, I think, you know is just 485 00:24:26,080 --> 00:24:30,240 Speaker 3: getting started. You know, those as as we'll just call 486 00:24:30,280 --> 00:24:32,920 Speaker 3: them billionaires, right, can't are getting priced out? It is 487 00:24:32,920 --> 00:24:35,440 Speaker 3: crazy to say priced out of buying an NFL team 488 00:24:35,560 --> 00:24:37,720 Speaker 3: or an NBA team, you know, you got to start 489 00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:40,000 Speaker 3: looking at other markets for more affordable assets. 490 00:24:40,040 --> 00:24:41,960 Speaker 1: Is it just soccer? Are they moving into things that 491 00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:44,399 Speaker 1: I like, like rugby, cricket, all those other games that 492 00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:45,160 Speaker 1: we play over there. 493 00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:49,359 Speaker 3: Yeah, so cricket is a really hot one, right. Everyone 494 00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:51,560 Speaker 3: wants to talk about the I p L and how 495 00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:55,720 Speaker 3: that's remaking the cricket I think without I mean, we're 496 00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:58,280 Speaker 3: not I'm not giving anyway any confidences because we're not 497 00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:00,680 Speaker 3: making an investment. But I've had some time opportunity to 498 00:25:00,680 --> 00:25:05,280 Speaker 3: spend some time with Premiership Rugby over in the UK, 499 00:25:05,400 --> 00:25:07,639 Speaker 3: and I think they're gonna do some interesting things. I 500 00:25:07,640 --> 00:25:10,040 Speaker 3: think they've got a real roadmap ahead of them. And 501 00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:13,160 Speaker 3: I think you're going to I'm guessing peer speculation. You're 502 00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:15,359 Speaker 3: going to see some US people with money trying to 503 00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:17,280 Speaker 3: buy those teams becase it's gonna be some teams for sale. 504 00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:20,240 Speaker 3: You know, there's other interesting and we call them e 505 00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:23,639 Speaker 3: merging sports. You know, whether it's sale GP, which is 506 00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:28,160 Speaker 3: a professional sailing league that's quite international. There's a horse 507 00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:31,320 Speaker 3: racing league believe it or not, that's being launched or 508 00:25:31,359 --> 00:25:33,040 Speaker 3: is in the process of being launched. There was just 509 00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:35,080 Speaker 3: something in the press there I forgot who it was, 510 00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:38,000 Speaker 3: but someone a performer. I think a musician might have 511 00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:41,840 Speaker 3: bought a team or something, you know. So we have 512 00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:44,960 Speaker 3: the luxury, if you will, of seeing a lot of 513 00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:49,359 Speaker 3: that deal flow really through our affiliated business, and we 514 00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:51,639 Speaker 3: have the luxury of being able to pick and choose 515 00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:54,600 Speaker 3: where we think credit opportunities are presenting themselves. Most of 516 00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:58,000 Speaker 3: the time those emerging leagues are really equity opportunities and 517 00:25:58,040 --> 00:26:01,200 Speaker 3: not appropriate for our credit business. But every once in 518 00:26:01,240 --> 00:26:03,399 Speaker 3: a while, there there's a really interesting credit story to 519 00:26:03,440 --> 00:26:03,800 Speaker 3: tell too. 520 00:26:04,080 --> 00:26:06,000 Speaker 1: Where is it now, though, where's the next big credit 521 00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:08,440 Speaker 1: story for sports and globally? 522 00:26:08,720 --> 00:26:11,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, So, I mean our focus from a sports perspective, 523 00:26:12,440 --> 00:26:15,240 Speaker 3: and it's sort of you know, by being a credit investor, 524 00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:18,359 Speaker 3: it sort of makes sense, right is we're focused on 525 00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:22,080 Speaker 3: what we call sports adjacent businesses, So again sort think 526 00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:27,080 Speaker 3: services businesses whose end markets are professional sports, amateur sports, 527 00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:31,440 Speaker 3: and youth sports all have different dynamics and drivers behind them. 528 00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:34,800 Speaker 3: But at the end of the day, generally speaking, sports 529 00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:37,960 Speaker 3: have been quite recession resilient and when they have taken 530 00:26:38,200 --> 00:26:41,440 Speaker 3: you know, dips, they've come back fast. Obviously, professional sports 531 00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:45,600 Speaker 3: is primarily about media rights and media contracts and that 532 00:26:45,800 --> 00:26:49,520 Speaker 3: generating the cash flow. Amateur and youth sports is more 533 00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:56,160 Speaker 3: about engagement, fan engagement and participation. So those are separate dynamics, 534 00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:58,840 Speaker 3: but they sort of feed off of the same spirit, 535 00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:02,040 Speaker 3: if you will. Really we think that's where the opportunity is. 536 00:27:03,080 --> 00:27:05,520 Speaker 3: And it's not just you know, the things that are obvious. 537 00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:09,280 Speaker 3: There's a lot of technology being introduced into all three 538 00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:13,880 Speaker 3: of those verticals, you know, actual tech, but there's also 539 00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:16,680 Speaker 3: a lot of financial technology being introduced to all three 540 00:27:16,720 --> 00:27:20,560 Speaker 3: of those verticals, everything from ticket ticket financing right which 541 00:27:20,600 --> 00:27:24,399 Speaker 3: is becoming almost like an asset based asset class. You know, 542 00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:26,919 Speaker 3: really unique things are popping up that are really interesting 543 00:27:26,920 --> 00:27:27,640 Speaker 3: credit stories. 544 00:27:27,840 --> 00:27:30,439 Speaker 1: But other things adjacent what are they? Are they concessions? 545 00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:30,760 Speaker 1: Are they? 546 00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:33,879 Speaker 3: Like? Absolutely, so it would be all that. So, you know, 547 00:27:34,000 --> 00:27:37,639 Speaker 3: from the sort of esoteric to the less esoteric. It 548 00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:40,200 Speaker 3: can be things like ticketing finance, it can be certain 549 00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:43,280 Speaker 3: technologies that have to do with player health and safety. 550 00:27:44,320 --> 00:27:47,280 Speaker 3: But then the less esoteric stuff is concession and catering, 551 00:27:48,119 --> 00:27:54,680 Speaker 3: parking and security, you know, live event, live event production, equipment, apparel, 552 00:27:55,119 --> 00:27:56,960 Speaker 3: and then also all the things that are taking place 553 00:27:56,960 --> 00:27:59,960 Speaker 3: around i P and IP rights management, not just at 554 00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:02,240 Speaker 3: the professional amateur and youth level, but now at the 555 00:28:02,240 --> 00:28:05,679 Speaker 3: collegiate level. So a lot of really interesting businesses that 556 00:28:05,760 --> 00:28:10,439 Speaker 3: are either developing or have already developed around that that trend. 557 00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:14,080 Speaker 1: The biggest, seemingly multiply might playing costs. I mean, I'm 558 00:28:14,080 --> 00:28:16,080 Speaker 1: not a huge sports fan, but I see the massive 559 00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:19,520 Speaker 1: salaries that are being paid to the sports players, particularly 560 00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:22,200 Speaker 1: in European soccer. So is that becoming an area where 561 00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:24,919 Speaker 1: finance is becoming, you know, getting involved? You are you 562 00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:25,880 Speaker 1: figuring out how to. 563 00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:30,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's different in every league, so a lot of 564 00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:32,320 Speaker 3: not ivery, but most of the US leagues have you know, 565 00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:36,920 Speaker 3: salary caps or or mechanisms that function like a salary cap, 566 00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:40,400 Speaker 3: so while those numbers are quite large, the overall aggregate 567 00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:43,080 Speaker 3: number is capped and knowable, so it's less of an issue. 568 00:28:43,400 --> 00:28:46,239 Speaker 3: In European football, you see a lot more of that, 569 00:28:46,320 --> 00:28:49,800 Speaker 3: and there's a pretty pretty developed market in Europe for 570 00:28:50,080 --> 00:28:52,240 Speaker 3: It's like I guess I would call it an ancillary topic, 571 00:28:52,320 --> 00:28:55,320 Speaker 3: which is player transfer finance. So the teams sort of 572 00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:57,960 Speaker 3: own the players and they can buy and sell them 573 00:28:58,000 --> 00:29:00,880 Speaker 3: or rent them or lease them, and that's an active 574 00:29:01,200 --> 00:29:02,040 Speaker 3: financing market. 575 00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:04,120 Speaker 1: Credit financing, Is that something you're involved in. 576 00:29:04,560 --> 00:29:06,520 Speaker 3: We've looked at it a few times, you know, in 577 00:29:06,520 --> 00:29:10,719 Speaker 3: different contexts. You know, I'm a big believer that if 578 00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:13,200 Speaker 3: you know you're you're in a different geography than the 579 00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:14,840 Speaker 3: sort of core of the market, you're sort of by 580 00:29:14,880 --> 00:29:19,560 Speaker 3: definition being adversely selected. So for us, we've looked at 581 00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:22,120 Speaker 3: it from a platform perspective. Is there a team who 582 00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:25,120 Speaker 3: does this well that sits in London, you know, that 583 00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:27,600 Speaker 3: could manage this for us? That's how we've sort of 584 00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:29,000 Speaker 3: thought about approaching it. 585 00:29:29,120 --> 00:29:31,360 Speaker 1: And as of now that's yeah, not yet. 586 00:29:31,480 --> 00:29:33,520 Speaker 3: I mean, I think the opportunity is real. I think 587 00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:36,920 Speaker 3: it's attractive. It's just you know, finding the right match, right. 588 00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:39,680 Speaker 1: What's the next big sports deal and what's what's coming up? 589 00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:41,560 Speaker 1: Can you do anything anything about the New York Giants? 590 00:29:42,640 --> 00:29:45,240 Speaker 3: Nothing that I can nothing that I can disclose. But 591 00:29:45,320 --> 00:29:46,640 Speaker 3: you know, I think there'll be you'll see in the 592 00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:48,720 Speaker 3: press there are going to be more announcements around these 593 00:29:48,840 --> 00:29:53,560 Speaker 3: NFL minority deals. I think you'll see other major league 594 00:29:53,600 --> 00:29:57,160 Speaker 3: teams in the US trade and I think really the 595 00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:59,320 Speaker 3: big one, which which to be honest, we're not involved 596 00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:02,680 Speaker 3: in at all, at least that I'm aware of, because 597 00:30:02,760 --> 00:30:05,760 Speaker 3: you know, what what our affiliated businesses do aren't doesn't 598 00:30:05,760 --> 00:30:10,040 Speaker 3: always translate across the platform. Is going to be something 599 00:30:10,040 --> 00:30:13,440 Speaker 3: around collegiate sports, right, You've heard a lot of investors 600 00:30:13,480 --> 00:30:16,880 Speaker 3: and managers talking about, you know, some big deal getting done. 601 00:30:17,200 --> 00:30:20,560 Speaker 3: You know, one of the big collegiate leagues conference league 602 00:30:20,600 --> 00:30:23,560 Speaker 3: conferences did hire you know, an investment bank to go 603 00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:26,640 Speaker 3: out and run a full process. So that's going to happen. 604 00:30:26,800 --> 00:30:28,320 Speaker 3: I don't know when, and I don't know who, but 605 00:30:28,400 --> 00:30:29,160 Speaker 3: it's going to happen. 606 00:30:29,600 --> 00:30:31,720 Speaker 1: How lucrative though, is all of this stuff, you know, 607 00:30:31,800 --> 00:30:34,480 Speaker 1: sports media, all that stuff. I mean, it's fun, and 608 00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:37,160 Speaker 1: you know, the billionaires love to be involved. But I 609 00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:39,800 Speaker 1: mean presumably they're not that worried about the costs because 610 00:30:39,840 --> 00:30:43,200 Speaker 1: you know, it's fun. So yeah, you're getting less return 611 00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:43,880 Speaker 1: because of the fun. 612 00:30:44,040 --> 00:30:46,200 Speaker 3: So that's really like the vanity play, right, And that's 613 00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:48,760 Speaker 3: always a danger when I think you're doing sports media 614 00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:52,640 Speaker 3: and entertainment investing. But it's a bigger danger for the 615 00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:54,720 Speaker 3: equity investors. Right at the end of the day, we're 616 00:30:54,760 --> 00:30:57,800 Speaker 3: credit investors. That's why we're focused on what we call 617 00:30:57,840 --> 00:31:01,080 Speaker 3: those sports adjacent businesses. And if those sports, if those 618 00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:06,360 Speaker 3: adjacent businesses had end markets, that were you know, widget manufacturing, 619 00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:08,320 Speaker 3: you know, there'd be no vanity play to it. So 620 00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:11,640 Speaker 3: we stick to our knitting. We focus on fundamentals, which 621 00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:16,520 Speaker 3: is for us, cash flow, structure, downside protection, and you know, 622 00:31:16,560 --> 00:31:18,840 Speaker 3: we're not getting kind of caught up in the vanity 623 00:31:18,880 --> 00:31:20,840 Speaker 3: play of it. The free tickets we get those from 624 00:31:20,880 --> 00:31:23,800 Speaker 3: our our affiliates. You know, I'm sorry our our colleagues. 625 00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:26,360 Speaker 3: We get to do some pretty cool things because then 626 00:31:26,360 --> 00:31:28,120 Speaker 3: with them, but it really has nothing to do with 627 00:31:28,160 --> 00:31:29,280 Speaker 3: the investment that we're doing. 628 00:31:29,360 --> 00:31:31,840 Speaker 2: How much of this you know? So I think in 629 00:31:31,840 --> 00:31:34,080 Speaker 2: a global world, right, I think that kind of makes 630 00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:36,680 Speaker 2: more sense where you're looking outside of your kind of 631 00:31:36,720 --> 00:31:39,440 Speaker 2: home country to kind of increase the sporting presence. But 632 00:31:39,960 --> 00:31:41,239 Speaker 2: I guess, you know, we'll bring it back to these 633 00:31:41,280 --> 00:31:43,800 Speaker 2: tariffs and stuff like that what we've heard about. All right, 634 00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:46,080 Speaker 2: let's let's you know, maybe maybe it's more of a 635 00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:48,880 Speaker 2: domestic focus from now on. So do you see that 636 00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:50,320 Speaker 2: at all in the sporting world or do you think 637 00:31:50,320 --> 00:31:53,240 Speaker 2: it's continued kind of global You know, everybody's going to 638 00:31:53,560 --> 00:31:57,160 Speaker 2: be more interested in something else. You got the internet online, right, 639 00:31:57,360 --> 00:32:00,440 Speaker 2: people can track things very rapidly, So yeah, yeah, I. 640 00:32:00,480 --> 00:32:03,080 Speaker 3: Mean I think our view has been that, you know, 641 00:32:03,800 --> 00:32:07,760 Speaker 3: tariffs are not really a sports issue for the most part. 642 00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:11,960 Speaker 3: You know, there's some second and third effects, like we 643 00:32:12,000 --> 00:32:15,760 Speaker 3: talked about earlier in international investors being reticent or at 644 00:32:15,840 --> 00:32:19,360 Speaker 3: least thinking about the question of additional exposure to the US. 645 00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:22,920 Speaker 3: So I think that does have an impact. Other second 646 00:32:22,920 --> 00:32:25,600 Speaker 3: and third order effects. We talked about immigration policy and 647 00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:29,240 Speaker 3: that impact on labor that could lead to rising costs, 648 00:32:29,320 --> 00:32:32,520 Speaker 3: inflation that could lead to a recession or at least 649 00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:34,880 Speaker 3: slowing of growth. And then are are you really going 650 00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:36,920 Speaker 3: to go and spend you know, a couple hundred dollars 651 00:32:36,960 --> 00:32:40,040 Speaker 3: on that NFL ticket? Are you going to spend you know, 652 00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:43,920 Speaker 3: seventy five dollars on that new you know, soccer uniform 653 00:32:44,040 --> 00:32:46,680 Speaker 3: for your seven year old? You know, So there's real 654 00:32:46,840 --> 00:32:49,040 Speaker 3: kind of risk. I do think that come from the 655 00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:52,960 Speaker 3: general volatility, you know, period of volatility that we're in. 656 00:32:53,320 --> 00:32:56,360 Speaker 3: But I think the fundamental asset class that is sports 657 00:32:56,840 --> 00:33:00,000 Speaker 3: is pretty immune from a lot of this today. 658 00:33:00,040 --> 00:33:03,160 Speaker 2: And it's not a lot of well, it seems like, 659 00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:04,840 Speaker 2: at least for the NBA, a lot of the kind 660 00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:07,080 Speaker 2: of growth was or let's go to China, right like 661 00:33:07,120 --> 00:33:10,160 Speaker 2: that that was it and then obviously relationships aren't really 662 00:33:10,160 --> 00:33:13,120 Speaker 2: getting better there, So how much is that, you know, 663 00:33:13,400 --> 00:33:15,320 Speaker 2: is the rest of the kind of global kind of 664 00:33:15,600 --> 00:33:18,760 Speaker 2: growth in sports kind of relying on on that relationship. 665 00:33:18,840 --> 00:33:20,720 Speaker 3: But it's a it's a good it's a it's a 666 00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:22,720 Speaker 3: good when the NBA is a good topic too, because 667 00:33:22,760 --> 00:33:25,479 Speaker 3: they they are of the big four leagues, and as 668 00:33:25,520 --> 00:33:28,000 Speaker 3: we call it in the US, they're the one that's 669 00:33:28,080 --> 00:33:31,680 Speaker 3: probably the most international, and I think that that's certainly 670 00:33:31,720 --> 00:33:34,320 Speaker 3: been true from an IP perspective. Right you can walk 671 00:33:34,360 --> 00:33:36,880 Speaker 3: in almost any country and see a Lakers jersey or 672 00:33:37,080 --> 00:33:39,640 Speaker 3: something like that. So I think that it is really 673 00:33:39,640 --> 00:33:42,360 Speaker 3: become an international brand, which has opened up an opportunity 674 00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:45,880 Speaker 3: for them to not just grow their presence as a 675 00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:48,720 Speaker 3: playing league in China, but also Europe. There that's another 676 00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:53,360 Speaker 3: real big initiative of THEIRS, and I think to some extent, 677 00:33:53,720 --> 00:33:57,360 Speaker 3: while it's you obviously it's a US league, it's probably 678 00:33:57,520 --> 00:34:00,640 Speaker 3: beginning to transcend just being a US league and really 679 00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:05,120 Speaker 3: becoming an international brand. So I think that they're pretty 680 00:34:05,120 --> 00:34:08,960 Speaker 3: well positioned. You know, the NFL is increasingly playing regular 681 00:34:09,040 --> 00:34:13,440 Speaker 3: season games overseas. They played a game last year in Brazil, 682 00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:17,479 Speaker 3: They're playing another game in Brazil this coming season. They've 683 00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:20,160 Speaker 3: been playing in London, you know, pretty regularly for quite 684 00:34:20,160 --> 00:34:22,880 Speaker 3: a while now. They played last year in Germany, So 685 00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:25,799 Speaker 3: the NFL is also pushing into that market, but more 686 00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:28,400 Speaker 3: of an extension of the US brand. 687 00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:31,600 Speaker 2: Then you talked about college sports, and I think I 688 00:34:31,640 --> 00:34:34,759 Speaker 2: heard you talk about maybe the even more reshuffling of 689 00:34:34,760 --> 00:34:38,160 Speaker 2: these conferences or so we're not done with if the conference. 690 00:34:38,400 --> 00:34:39,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, no, I don't think. I don't know if the 691 00:34:39,640 --> 00:34:42,759 Speaker 3: conference is going to reshuffle, but but I do know 692 00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:47,480 Speaker 3: that there are individual, you know, large programs universities that 693 00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:50,560 Speaker 3: are engaged in conversations with you know, what we would 694 00:34:50,560 --> 00:34:53,000 Speaker 3: call private equity, right, or some or some form of 695 00:34:53,040 --> 00:34:58,040 Speaker 3: private capital to help them create liquidity to be able 696 00:34:58,080 --> 00:35:00,200 Speaker 3: to afford to keep their players. Right. I mean, it 697 00:35:00,320 --> 00:35:03,080 Speaker 3: used to be you gave them a scholarship and they 698 00:35:03,120 --> 00:35:06,759 Speaker 3: played for four years or five years and created a 699 00:35:06,800 --> 00:35:09,799 Speaker 3: lot of value for the school and didn't really get 700 00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:11,760 Speaker 3: much in turn for it. In fact, if they got anything, 701 00:35:11,800 --> 00:35:14,080 Speaker 3: they could get punished pretty hard for it. So I 702 00:35:14,120 --> 00:35:16,279 Speaker 3: think the pendulum was you know, way over there, and 703 00:35:16,320 --> 00:35:18,360 Speaker 3: now it's sort of swung away in the other direction, 704 00:35:18,840 --> 00:35:21,560 Speaker 3: where some of these collegiate athletes are being paid, you know, 705 00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:25,040 Speaker 3: sometimes millions of dollars, and they have an opportunity to 706 00:35:25,239 --> 00:35:29,480 Speaker 3: leave that program, you know, twice a year, and that's expensive, 707 00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:33,080 Speaker 3: and that's a big burden on these conferences and universities. 708 00:35:33,080 --> 00:35:36,880 Speaker 3: So they're looking to private capital markets to find ways 709 00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:41,080 Speaker 3: to help them create liquidity and financing tools to tract 710 00:35:41,280 --> 00:35:45,040 Speaker 3: and then retain the best athletic talent to keep their 711 00:35:45,040 --> 00:35:46,040 Speaker 3: programs at the top. 712 00:35:46,400 --> 00:35:48,960 Speaker 1: How much do you worry about the sustainability of the 713 00:35:48,960 --> 00:35:51,200 Speaker 1: fundamentals of it in terms of, you know, the demand 714 00:35:51,320 --> 00:35:55,440 Speaker 1: side in that you know, it's very expensive, as you mentioned, 715 00:35:55,560 --> 00:35:58,719 Speaker 1: to get a ticket, it's very expensive to buy concessions 716 00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:01,520 Speaker 1: or whatever else. For a lot of people, it's just 717 00:36:01,600 --> 00:36:05,200 Speaker 1: unaffordable and you kind of need to I think, have 718 00:36:05,280 --> 00:36:07,239 Speaker 1: a have a mass fan base that you know, go 719 00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:10,480 Speaker 1: through generations and we'll live with with the team and 720 00:36:10,480 --> 00:36:12,520 Speaker 1: support the team. But if you're if you're ultimately making 721 00:36:12,560 --> 00:36:15,359 Speaker 1: it too expensive for them, then it can't be sustained, right, 722 00:36:15,360 --> 00:36:17,400 Speaker 1: I mean, do you worry at all that that's a 723 00:36:17,480 --> 00:36:19,480 Speaker 1: long term problem for the industry. 724 00:36:19,600 --> 00:36:22,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't. I don't. I don't, be honest. I 725 00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:24,160 Speaker 3: think that's one of the attractive things on the professional 726 00:36:24,160 --> 00:36:26,000 Speaker 3: sports side. I think that's one of the really attractive 727 00:36:26,000 --> 00:36:29,839 Speaker 3: things about it is the passion of the fan base. Right, 728 00:36:29,840 --> 00:36:33,239 Speaker 3: there aren't a lot of products, uh that that that 729 00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:35,440 Speaker 3: as an investor you can invest in, as a lender 730 00:36:35,480 --> 00:36:38,480 Speaker 3: you can lead to that are really built around sometimes 731 00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:42,680 Speaker 3: to your point, multi generational passion. And my you know, 732 00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:46,560 Speaker 3: my son who's a teenager. Yesterday he went over to 733 00:36:46,560 --> 00:36:48,520 Speaker 3: the MetLife State and MetLife Stadium in New Jersey to 734 00:36:48,520 --> 00:36:52,759 Speaker 3: watch the Chelsea PSG game. Right, So it's international, it's 735 00:36:52,840 --> 00:36:58,080 Speaker 3: multi generational, it's multi lingual, and that and that passion 736 00:36:58,480 --> 00:37:01,040 Speaker 3: is a pretty unique thing to be able to invest behind. 737 00:37:01,719 --> 00:37:05,279 Speaker 3: And so far, I think it's proven, particularly with what 738 00:37:05,320 --> 00:37:08,239 Speaker 3: we saw in COVID and how fast the attraction to 739 00:37:08,320 --> 00:37:12,160 Speaker 3: attending live events, particularly live sporting events, came back, that 740 00:37:13,160 --> 00:37:16,000 Speaker 3: consumers are are really that passion will will take them 741 00:37:16,000 --> 00:37:18,960 Speaker 3: a long way. You know, there are different ways to 742 00:37:19,080 --> 00:37:22,719 Speaker 3: access different price points. A ticket to an MLS game 743 00:37:22,880 --> 00:37:25,000 Speaker 3: is very different than a ticket to an NBA game 744 00:37:25,080 --> 00:37:27,360 Speaker 3: or an NFL game. But you know, but but but 745 00:37:27,440 --> 00:37:30,239 Speaker 3: at some point, you know, the there will be a 746 00:37:30,280 --> 00:37:33,000 Speaker 3: breaking point where the tickets will be too expensive, you know, 747 00:37:33,040 --> 00:37:35,600 Speaker 3: the hot dog or the popcorn will be too expensive. 748 00:37:36,160 --> 00:37:38,040 Speaker 3: But I think we're a far It seems like we're 749 00:37:38,040 --> 00:37:38,920 Speaker 3: a far away from that. 750 00:37:39,080 --> 00:37:42,040 Speaker 1: Okay, So there are some pretty high yeelds out there, 751 00:37:42,160 --> 00:37:44,200 Speaker 1: given base rates that's so high, and maybe we'll stay 752 00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:47,040 Speaker 1: high for for a while, and the margins, as you've 753 00:37:47,040 --> 00:37:49,360 Speaker 1: talked about, pretty wide. But you get to see a 754 00:37:49,360 --> 00:37:50,920 Speaker 1: lot of stuff out and I'm wondering, you know, when 755 00:37:51,000 --> 00:37:53,520 Speaker 1: you look around you and you kind of differentiate yourself 756 00:37:53,960 --> 00:37:56,120 Speaker 1: and there's a lot of competition, what's your edge? How 757 00:37:56,120 --> 00:37:57,439 Speaker 1: do you kind of you know, where do you see 758 00:37:57,520 --> 00:37:59,080 Speaker 1: value that maybe others aren't seeing it? 759 00:37:59,440 --> 00:38:01,640 Speaker 3: Yeah? I think for us, you know, in addition to 760 00:38:01,719 --> 00:38:04,120 Speaker 3: that bed and Illusion credit partners, in addition to that 761 00:38:04,239 --> 00:38:06,480 Speaker 3: focus our focus on that, we call it the core 762 00:38:06,520 --> 00:38:12,080 Speaker 3: middle market, which is less competitive. Like I said, competitors 763 00:38:12,120 --> 00:38:14,920 Speaker 3: are really more like partners. In addition to that, the 764 00:38:14,960 --> 00:38:18,680 Speaker 3: fact that we're actively doing both non sponsored and sponsor 765 00:38:18,719 --> 00:38:21,799 Speaker 3: back lending, I think is a real differentiator. You have 766 00:38:21,880 --> 00:38:26,440 Speaker 3: obviously most direct lenders who are primarily focused on sponsor finance, 767 00:38:27,360 --> 00:38:30,719 Speaker 3: and then a handful, very very small handful of lenders 768 00:38:31,040 --> 00:38:33,920 Speaker 3: who really just want to be focused on non sponsored 769 00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:38,200 Speaker 3: and I think that's a tough business to scale. It's 770 00:38:38,200 --> 00:38:40,359 Speaker 3: a tough business to scale in the way that we 771 00:38:40,440 --> 00:38:43,160 Speaker 3: want to and are scaling it, which is more you know, 772 00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:46,879 Speaker 3: performing credit. I like to call it sponsorabule. In other words, 773 00:38:46,920 --> 00:38:49,319 Speaker 3: these are the types of businesses that happen to be 774 00:38:49,360 --> 00:38:53,360 Speaker 3: owned by founders, families, entrepreneurs, et cetera, that private equity 775 00:38:53,400 --> 00:38:55,360 Speaker 3: would love to own. And that's a nice kind of 776 00:38:55,360 --> 00:38:59,440 Speaker 3: downside protection for us. But doing both really gives us 777 00:38:59,480 --> 00:39:04,680 Speaker 3: the flexibility in managing our pipeline and managing our risk, 778 00:39:05,040 --> 00:39:08,439 Speaker 3: but also managing our return. Right, so if we see 779 00:39:08,480 --> 00:39:12,120 Speaker 3: sponsor spreads tightening, we have the ability to still do 780 00:39:12,200 --> 00:39:14,720 Speaker 3: those non sponsor deals that are priced well into the sixes. 781 00:39:14,760 --> 00:39:17,239 Speaker 3: And that's a really nice way to create a portfolio 782 00:39:17,280 --> 00:39:20,759 Speaker 3: level return that is differentiated. And then the next one, 783 00:39:20,840 --> 00:39:24,440 Speaker 3: or the last piece of differentiation to your point, is 784 00:39:24,480 --> 00:39:26,600 Speaker 3: really those end markets that we do focus on. So 785 00:39:26,680 --> 00:39:29,120 Speaker 3: everyone you know, sports and media entertainment, and they have 786 00:39:29,160 --> 00:39:32,719 Speaker 3: that vanity effect, but they're also a really popular topic. Right. 787 00:39:32,760 --> 00:39:36,200 Speaker 3: A lot of the largest sovereign wealth funds are interested 788 00:39:36,239 --> 00:39:40,840 Speaker 3: in getting deeper into sports investing. And following them have 789 00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:43,239 Speaker 3: been you know, some of the larger pension systems and 790 00:39:43,280 --> 00:39:46,680 Speaker 3: state level pension systems, So a lot of investor interest 791 00:39:46,760 --> 00:39:49,080 Speaker 3: in the asset class and the fact that, you know, 792 00:39:49,200 --> 00:39:51,520 Speaker 3: it's one thing to be a relatively small, relatively new 793 00:39:51,560 --> 00:39:54,480 Speaker 3: manager who says I'm going to do sports lending. Great, 794 00:39:54,920 --> 00:39:57,080 Speaker 3: but to be able to say no, we're actually more 795 00:39:57,200 --> 00:39:59,480 Speaker 3: than just a you know, sort of new sort of 796 00:39:59,480 --> 00:40:03,239 Speaker 3: small man. We have this affiliated business and sort of 797 00:40:03,239 --> 00:40:06,120 Speaker 3: what we call the halo of the Andalusian brand I 798 00:40:06,120 --> 00:40:08,640 Speaker 3: think has been really powerful. And it's the same thing 799 00:40:08,680 --> 00:40:11,840 Speaker 3: with having you know, Roger and Joseph on our investment 800 00:40:11,840 --> 00:40:15,239 Speaker 3: committee around financial services. It's more than just a halo. 801 00:40:15,360 --> 00:40:18,200 Speaker 3: It really gives us what we call access. Yes, it's 802 00:40:18,200 --> 00:40:21,360 Speaker 3: access to deals and sponsors, but most importantly it's access 803 00:40:21,400 --> 00:40:26,160 Speaker 3: to information. Ultimately, you know, these are illiquid loans. You know, 804 00:40:26,320 --> 00:40:28,000 Speaker 3: I once had a boss say to me, you know, 805 00:40:28,080 --> 00:40:31,120 Speaker 3: many years ago, you know, the most important investment decision 806 00:40:31,160 --> 00:40:33,440 Speaker 3: you make in private credit is the first investment decision 807 00:40:33,440 --> 00:40:35,280 Speaker 3: you make, should you make the loan or not, because 808 00:40:35,320 --> 00:40:37,279 Speaker 3: after that there isn't really that much you can do. 809 00:40:37,360 --> 00:40:40,280 Speaker 3: It's i liquid, So really that access gives us that 810 00:40:40,280 --> 00:40:42,400 Speaker 3: that edge when it comes to decision making. 811 00:40:42,600 --> 00:40:45,680 Speaker 1: And you think that solvering wealth investment interest in sports 812 00:40:45,760 --> 00:40:47,080 Speaker 1: will grow from him. 813 00:40:47,320 --> 00:40:49,520 Speaker 3: I think it will. I do. I think, you know, 814 00:40:50,400 --> 00:40:53,280 Speaker 3: both a push and a pull. You know. The pull, 815 00:40:53,320 --> 00:40:56,080 Speaker 3: I guess is there aren't that many other people who 816 00:40:56,120 --> 00:40:59,040 Speaker 3: can afford to buy, you know, an eight billion dollar team. 817 00:40:59,320 --> 00:41:01,759 Speaker 3: So I think that there's a there's they're going to 818 00:41:01,840 --> 00:41:04,719 Speaker 3: become some of the you know, last buyer standing, if 819 00:41:04,719 --> 00:41:05,839 Speaker 3: you will. I don't know if that's a good thing 820 00:41:05,880 --> 00:41:09,279 Speaker 3: or a bad thing. I guess that's the pull, you know. 821 00:41:09,320 --> 00:41:12,680 Speaker 3: And and the push is that internationalization of the brands 822 00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:16,960 Speaker 3: and the internationalization of the of the activities, you know, 823 00:41:17,200 --> 00:41:20,280 Speaker 3: bringing the NBA to China, bringing the NBA to Europe, 824 00:41:20,680 --> 00:41:25,719 Speaker 3: bringing you know, a higher level of soccer or football 825 00:41:25,880 --> 00:41:30,840 Speaker 3: to the Middle East. Right, huge underserved markets, underserved populations 826 00:41:30,840 --> 00:41:34,040 Speaker 3: that are are really clamoring for access to the product. 827 00:41:34,560 --> 00:41:37,040 Speaker 3: And then again look at I p L in the 828 00:41:37,200 --> 00:41:40,400 Speaker 3: India Premier League cricket. You know, you can really create 829 00:41:40,520 --> 00:41:45,160 Speaker 3: some very significant media contracts where maybe they didn't wasn't 830 00:41:45,160 --> 00:41:47,640 Speaker 3: obvious that they they would have existed previously. So I 831 00:41:47,680 --> 00:41:50,000 Speaker 3: think that they're gonna. They're here to stay. The somomnwall 832 00:41:50,040 --> 00:41:51,160 Speaker 3: funds are here to stay. 833 00:41:51,160 --> 00:41:53,719 Speaker 1: In sports, does your platform need to grow to accommodate 834 00:41:53,719 --> 00:41:54,160 Speaker 1: the demand? 835 00:41:54,640 --> 00:41:56,000 Speaker 3: The answer is yes for sure. 836 00:41:56,760 --> 00:42:00,319 Speaker 1: Consolidation Is it organic? How do How do I think. 837 00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:02,680 Speaker 3: On the sports side, I think it's a lot a 838 00:42:02,719 --> 00:42:06,600 Speaker 3: lot of organic. And the reason I'm sort of thinking 839 00:42:06,640 --> 00:42:08,600 Speaker 3: as I say it, you know, we see a lot 840 00:42:08,600 --> 00:42:12,560 Speaker 3: of opportunities around things like stadium financing and adjacent real 841 00:42:12,680 --> 00:42:16,200 Speaker 3: estate financing. Again that's not what we do. We're not 842 00:42:16,280 --> 00:42:18,840 Speaker 3: real estate investors, but it could make a lot of 843 00:42:18,880 --> 00:42:21,719 Speaker 3: sense at some point when we're ready for it to 844 00:42:22,160 --> 00:42:24,719 Speaker 3: bring on a you know, not just a team and 845 00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:26,640 Speaker 3: capital that knows how to do that because the deal 846 00:42:26,680 --> 00:42:30,760 Speaker 3: flow is there. Similarly, just while we're on the sports 847 00:42:30,800 --> 00:42:33,320 Speaker 3: theme of you know, what I would call solution capital, 848 00:42:33,360 --> 00:42:36,479 Speaker 3: I mentioned we're senior lenders, but we see a huge 849 00:42:36,480 --> 00:42:39,080 Speaker 3: amount of opportunities in sports and what I would call 850 00:42:39,120 --> 00:42:43,120 Speaker 3: solution capital, so lower in the capital structure, more junior 851 00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:50,520 Speaker 3: opportunities across again adjacent businesses, emerging leagues, and international as well. 852 00:42:50,880 --> 00:42:52,759 Speaker 3: So I think that there's a huge amount of room 853 00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:55,920 Speaker 3: for growth. And I think on the more traditional part 854 00:42:55,960 --> 00:42:58,360 Speaker 3: of what we do. Again, that's senior lending side of things. 855 00:42:59,360 --> 00:43:01,239 Speaker 3: You know, I mentioned two hundred and fifty thousand middle 856 00:43:01,280 --> 00:43:05,399 Speaker 3: market companies, you know, the middle market or the core 857 00:43:05,480 --> 00:43:08,000 Speaker 3: middle market where we focus. There's really just you know, 858 00:43:08,040 --> 00:43:10,279 Speaker 3: a couple of handful of lenders who focus on this 859 00:43:10,320 --> 00:43:13,160 Speaker 3: part of the market. I don't think at this point 860 00:43:13,200 --> 00:43:16,399 Speaker 3: any of them have kind of growth aspirations to get 861 00:43:16,640 --> 00:43:19,319 Speaker 3: huge and leave the market, but a few of them 862 00:43:19,640 --> 00:43:23,160 Speaker 3: are probably looking at some point to sell themselves, right, 863 00:43:23,200 --> 00:43:26,759 Speaker 3: I mean, you can't deny, you know, if you're if 864 00:43:26,760 --> 00:43:29,279 Speaker 3: you're a fund owner and you look at what black 865 00:43:29,360 --> 00:43:31,800 Speaker 3: Rock paid for HPS or some of these other transactions, 866 00:43:31,840 --> 00:43:36,120 Speaker 3: it's a pretty attractive opportunity to scale and get really 867 00:43:36,160 --> 00:43:38,520 Speaker 3: really big. So I think there's a couple of other 868 00:43:38,520 --> 00:43:41,000 Speaker 3: middle market players that are much further along in their 869 00:43:41,040 --> 00:43:43,239 Speaker 3: development than we are who might go that route. And 870 00:43:43,320 --> 00:43:45,359 Speaker 3: you know, some of the founders are a little bit 871 00:43:45,360 --> 00:43:48,200 Speaker 3: older than than perhaps we are, so they're thinking about 872 00:43:48,239 --> 00:43:50,080 Speaker 3: things that way. So I think there's a lot of 873 00:43:50,120 --> 00:43:53,759 Speaker 3: growth opportunity for us, both organ organically and potentially inorganically. 874 00:43:53,800 --> 00:43:56,239 Speaker 1: You know, not looking to sell, not no, not not. 875 00:43:56,520 --> 00:43:58,040 Speaker 3: It's going to be a while before look at. 876 00:43:57,960 --> 00:44:00,399 Speaker 1: All to become a school much bank. 877 00:44:02,200 --> 00:44:05,560 Speaker 3: I'll leave that to uh people who have more authority 878 00:44:05,600 --> 00:44:09,520 Speaker 3: than I do within and illusion. But you know, I 879 00:44:09,520 --> 00:44:11,759 Speaker 3: think there are that the sports advisory busins. They're really 880 00:44:11,760 --> 00:44:14,040 Speaker 3: happy with that business, the success that that business has 881 00:44:14,080 --> 00:44:17,040 Speaker 3: had in a relatively short amount of time. I mean 882 00:44:17,239 --> 00:44:20,960 Speaker 3: business I think is four years old or so. And 883 00:44:21,040 --> 00:44:23,759 Speaker 3: I think, you know, moving into merchant banking is a 884 00:44:23,760 --> 00:44:26,319 Speaker 3: real opportunity, but it comes with risks, right, and you're 885 00:44:26,360 --> 00:44:29,319 Speaker 3: a if you're just a pure advisor, you're objective. You 886 00:44:29,400 --> 00:44:31,400 Speaker 3: have you know, one horse in the race, and that's it. 887 00:44:31,640 --> 00:44:34,040 Speaker 3: When you start investing your own capital, your client's capital, 888 00:44:34,080 --> 00:44:35,400 Speaker 3: it gets a little bit more complicated. 889 00:44:35,960 --> 00:44:39,760 Speaker 1: Great stuff. Aaron Kless, CEO and CIO of Andalusian Credit Partners, 890 00:44:39,760 --> 00:44:41,240 Speaker 1: Many thanks for coming on the credit edge. 891 00:44:41,320 --> 00:44:43,040 Speaker 3: Thank you so much, had fun, and. 892 00:44:43,040 --> 00:44:46,440 Speaker 1: Of course we're very grateful to Ernold Kakuda with Bloomberg Intelligence. Cheers. 893 00:44:46,960 --> 00:44:49,840 Speaker 1: Thanks for having me for more credit market analysis and insight. 894 00:44:49,880 --> 00:44:51,920 Speaker 1: Read all of Ernold's great work on the Bloomberg terminal. 895 00:44:51,920 --> 00:44:54,399 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence is part of our research department, with five 896 00:44:54,480 --> 00:44:58,400 Speaker 1: hundred analysts and strategists working across all markets. Coverage includes 897 00:44:58,440 --> 00:45:00,799 Speaker 1: over two thousand equities and credits, plus outlooks on more 898 00:45:00,840 --> 00:45:05,280 Speaker 1: than ninety industries and one hundred market industries, currencies, and commodities. 899 00:45:05,680 --> 00:45:07,879 Speaker 1: Please do subscribe to the Credit Edge wherever you get 900 00:45:07,880 --> 00:45:10,759 Speaker 1: your podcasts. We're on Apple, Spotify, and all other good 901 00:45:10,760 --> 00:45:15,080 Speaker 1: podcast providers, including the Bloomberg Terminal at bpod Go. Give 902 00:45:15,160 --> 00:45:17,840 Speaker 1: us a review, tell your friends, or email me directly 903 00:45:17,880 --> 00:45:22,040 Speaker 1: at jcrombieight at Bloomberg dot net. I'm James Crombie. It's 904 00:45:22,040 --> 00:45:24,439 Speaker 1: been a pleasure having you join us again next week 905 00:45:24,480 --> 00:45:38,520 Speaker 1: on the Credit Edge