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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into the Sunday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of The Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Peraltic. Can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: We're here on Bettingpros dot com and I was being

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Speaker 1: brought to you by bet MGM. So as this podcast

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Speaker 1: goes every morning, we get up and we make plays,

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Speaker 1: and we celebrate when we are great, and we acknowledge

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Speaker 1: it when we suck. That is the Daily Juice. That

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Speaker 1: is the honesty that you get. And in the seven

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Speaker 1: and a half month history of the Daily Juice, that

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Speaker 1: was the worst football day of the year. It actually

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Speaker 1: was the worst day overall of our seven and a

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Speaker 1: half month history. So prop bets we go oh and five.

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Speaker 1: Dan went oh and three. I went o and two

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Speaker 1: oh and five, So that's down one point twenty five units.

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Speaker 1: We go one, one and four. On the day of

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Speaker 1: the Jews plays, all of our totals don't hit. And

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Speaker 1: I knew I might be in for a rough day

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Speaker 1: when we have over fifty one and a half and

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Speaker 1: the total lands for the buck for the Bills and

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Speaker 1: the Colts at fifty one. And that was just like

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Speaker 1: you got to be kidding me. Now, I know a

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Speaker 1: lot of you bet it in the morning, and you

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Speaker 1: got it at fifty and a half, so a lot

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Speaker 1: of you cashed. I mean, this was one of those

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Speaker 1: days where it was like a razor thin margin because

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Speaker 1: I mean one of our props, one of my props,

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Speaker 1: DK Metcalf under four and a half receptions. He had five,

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Speaker 1: and some of you guys bet it late. It was

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Speaker 1: up to five and a half. I got bet up aggressively,

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Speaker 1: and some books had it at five and a half,

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Speaker 1: and he dropped a pass late in the game, so

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Speaker 1: he only had five. And you guys cast that. That's phenomenal, right,

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Speaker 1: So that's great for you, horrible for me. You know,

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Speaker 1: our Tampa Bay same game teaser doesn't come in because, well,

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Speaker 1: the Bucks got no pressure on Brady and they scored

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Speaker 1: twenty three points because Hezinky Haziki hen sink Hasiki. However,

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Speaker 1: say the kid's name. He can play. He was good,

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Speaker 1: really good, but they don't pull out. I would have

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Speaker 1: rather Alex Smith be the quarterback of that team, and

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Speaker 1: I really thought he was gonna play. Not that the

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Speaker 1: bet would have been probably any different, but I really

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Speaker 1: thought Alex Smith was gonna play and then he was

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Speaker 1: ruled out, so that stunk. We got the par two

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Speaker 1: team teaser right because the Bills wind up winning, and

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Speaker 1: well they don't cover. The Bills didn't cover. But we

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Speaker 1: saw the Rams winning outright, the Rams covering that three

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Speaker 1: and a half point line on the road and they

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Speaker 1: knock out the Seattle Seahawks. So you know, it was

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Speaker 1: just one of those days. I saw the day fairly right.

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Speaker 1: I said, take the Colts plus the points. I did

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Speaker 1: it the teaser instead. I shouldn't have bet the over.

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Speaker 1: I shouldn't have taken the Colts plus plus seven. And

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Speaker 1: as I said on the podcast, I said on my

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Speaker 1: radio show, if that number hit seven, take the Colts.

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Speaker 1: The number went off at seven, should have taken the Colts.

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Speaker 1: And know a bunch of you guys did do that.

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Speaker 1: So I'm helping you, is what I'm trying to say.

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Speaker 1: I'm helping you even though I'm losing, and so hopefully

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Speaker 1: you are gaining some benefit from the podcast and benefit

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Speaker 1: what we're talking about here every morning and again. I'm

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Speaker 1: here to take my medicine. I will take as many

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Speaker 1: shots as you want to give me. If you want

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Speaker 1: to go ahead and tweet at me. You want to

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Speaker 1: rip me, go ahead, that's that's bad. Sometimes I will

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Speaker 1: take offense when you know I have a bad day,

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Speaker 1: or like a two in three day, or like you know,

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Speaker 1: a flat day, I'll take offence to that. I won't

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Speaker 1: take offense to hammering me for a one in four

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Speaker 1: day and an zero to five prop day. I won't.

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Speaker 1: That's a one in nine mark, Okay, it doesn't get

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Speaker 1: much worse than that. It's not a it's not a

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Speaker 1: you know, an eight nine unit lost day, but it's

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Speaker 1: still a five unit lost day about so not not good.

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Speaker 1: So you guys know what happens when these things go

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Speaker 1: down for me like this, I do tend to turtle

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Speaker 1: a little bit and I do play less. So I

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Speaker 1: have two plays going today in the games. On Sunday

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Speaker 1: we will have the line live stream again with player props.

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Speaker 1: I won't do five. I'll probably pick you know, four,

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Speaker 1: maybe that we'll get into prop bets are so finicky.

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Speaker 1: Maybe we can bounce back and we can go four

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Speaker 1: and oh maybe we're owed, you know, like a four

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Speaker 1: and oh day on Sunday. And so you know that

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Speaker 1: wouldn't be bad if we have a really rough Saturday

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Speaker 1: and a really good Sunday. Then you know, we'll recover

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Speaker 1: and we may come out of the day, make them

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Speaker 1: out of the weekend flat heading into Monday. So I've

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Speaker 1: got two plays for the games on Sunday, and I

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Speaker 1: will give you the official play for Alabama and Ohio

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Speaker 1: State on Monday. I've already told you about that during

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Speaker 1: the discord chat. I'm not I don't think. I don't

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Speaker 1: think I've officially given that pickout yet for Alabama Ohio State,

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Speaker 1: but I will do that coming up here today on

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Speaker 1: the Sunday morning edition, the Sunday morning edition of the

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Speaker 1: Deal With This podcast. Remember the live stream again eleven am.

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Speaker 1: We're back at it on our YouTube channel for player

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Speaker 1: props and movements and money and whatnot. That was fun.

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Speaker 1: It makes for a very long weekend for me, very

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Speaker 1: long day. But you know, at least I had really

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Speaker 1: good food today because I smoked through three racks of

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Speaker 1: ribs and I drank some really good whiskey, and I

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Speaker 1: was really fired up and really excited. And it was

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Speaker 1: funny because I was going to bed last night and

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Speaker 1: I wrote a note. I sit here at this desk

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Speaker 1: and I do this podcast every night and last night

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Speaker 1: during the podcast, right afterwards, I was kind of going

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Speaker 1: over some stuff and I said, keep notification. I wrote this.

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Speaker 1: I said, you feel too good about your picks, and

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Speaker 1: I need to recognize that when I feel really good

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Speaker 1: about my picks, most likely that should be like one

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Speaker 1: of those sailor things like red Sky in the morning

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Speaker 1: sailors take warning, red Sky at night Sailor's dlight like

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Speaker 1: I should have had. Like when I'm feeling very good

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Speaker 1: about my picks, it probably should be a warning sign

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Speaker 1: after what just happened yesterday. So two plays for Sunday,

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Speaker 1: one play for Monday coming up here on the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice podcast. But if you guys want to get a

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Speaker 1: bed MGM account, if you have a done so, maybe

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Speaker 1: Please gamble responsibly. Gambling problem called one hundred and five

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Speaker 1: in West Virginia or one hundred and nine with it

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Speaker 1: in Indiana. Okay, So let's start with one pick, one

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Speaker 1: teaser and then the pick for what's gonna happen in

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Speaker 1: my opinion on Monday for the National Championship Game, because

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Speaker 1: I don't think the number is gonna move significantly. It's

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Speaker 1: already moved from where I bet it. But I'm just

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Speaker 1: gonna tell you where I bet it, and you know

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Speaker 1: where you go. But Okay, So here's where I am.

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Speaker 1: I have I have no idea how the Browns stay

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Speaker 1: in this game. And I fully understand that the stat

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Speaker 1: is fourteen and one. Now for underdogs to move who

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Speaker 1: are going to be fourteen to one against the spread

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Speaker 1: in the wild card round since twenty seventeen. Okay, Colts

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Speaker 1: covered the I mean technically Washington covered the closing number. Okay,

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Speaker 1: technically because it opened up it was down at seven.

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Speaker 1: That's why the numbers a little funky. It's down at seven.

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Speaker 1: It's moved around a little bit. So like you know,

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Speaker 1: did they the Rams did? The Rams covered? They won outright,

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Speaker 1: So Rams covered, Colts covered, technically Washington, So technically all

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Speaker 1: three dogs covered. So I'm seeing people's taking the Browns

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Speaker 1: here against the Steelers. I have no idea how in

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Speaker 1: the house of horrors that the Pittsburgh Steelers have been

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Speaker 1: in the fact that they don't have their starting left guard,

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Speaker 1: they don't have their play caller, they don't have they

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Speaker 1: haven't had any practice time together. You're telling me they're

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Speaker 1: going into Hines Field and they're gonna keep that game

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Speaker 1: close under a touchdown. Look, fade me all you want

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Speaker 1: on this, because I am not seeing the board well

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Speaker 1: at all, but I'm laying I'm laying five and a

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Speaker 1: half here at six. Now, I got it at five

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Speaker 1: and a half. Go ahead and lay it, you know,

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Speaker 1: I am. I got it at five and a half.

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Speaker 1: I told you guys that before Pittsburgh minus five and

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Speaker 1: a half, it's up to six. I'm still comfortable with that.

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Speaker 1: Up to seven. Pittsburgh minus five and a half. How

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Speaker 1: in the world are the Browns gonna do this? Baker

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Speaker 1: Mayfield's gonna do this. They're gonna run the football, They're

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Speaker 1: gonna be able to protect Baker Mayfield when they blitz

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Speaker 1: like crazy. I just don't see this again. I'm not

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Speaker 1: seeing the board all that well, so I am shrinking

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Speaker 1: right now. But I'm just gonna take the most logical

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Speaker 1: and the most likely scenario. You have a team that

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Speaker 1: hasn't practiced, hasn't worked on a lot, you know, under

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Speaker 1: a touchdown on the road in their house of whoors

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Speaker 1: against the team in Pittsburgh that will not let up

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Speaker 1: against the Cleveland Browns. Give me Pittsburgh minus five and

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Speaker 1: a half for the Pittsburgh Steelers. We're taking that under

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Speaker 1: a touchdown up to up to six and a half.

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Speaker 1: I would take the Pittsburgh Steelers here and the paral

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Speaker 1: two team teaser that is now fourteen and seven on

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Speaker 1: the year, we have another one of these. I'm taking

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Speaker 1: the Titans, and I'm gonna tease the Titans up to

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Speaker 1: nine and a half. The Titans might win the game

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Speaker 1: outright in this field is a little bit like the

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Speaker 1: Rams game to me, where you should probably just bet

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Speaker 1: and I probably will have some sprinkle on Titans money

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Speaker 1: line for the Titans to win the game outright. I

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Speaker 1: think it's very possible that the Titans, who have had

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Speaker 1: the numbers for the Ravens over the years. The Titans

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Speaker 1: run the football. Comes down to whether or not we're

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Speaker 1: going to see the It all comes down to my minute.

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Speaker 1: It comes down to the game where the way the

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Speaker 1: game goes all right, does Tennessee get a lead. If

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Speaker 1: they have a lead, they can play and beat anybody

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Speaker 1: because they run the football really well and they put

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Speaker 1: you in uncomfortable situations. Their defense is trash. Okay, there's

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Speaker 1: gonna be prop bet opportunities like crazy tomorrow during a

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Speaker 1: live stream on the Ravens Lamar Jackson rushing props. Lamar

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Speaker 1: Jackson passing props, receiving props, rushing props. I mean that

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Speaker 1: secondary is so bad it's going to be I think

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Speaker 1: a huge offensive game. I think the overs in play

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Speaker 1: fifty four and a half. But I just missed three

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Speaker 1: my last three bets yesterday on totals by half a point.

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Speaker 1: Way wrong on the two unders. Okay, unders are dead,

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Speaker 1: but watch this, just like the game that just happened

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Speaker 1: between the Colts and the Bills, the over, I just

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Speaker 1: can't do it. I think the over is the right side.

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Speaker 1: I don't. But you said two running teams, Matt, I

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Speaker 1: don't care. They don't stop anybody. Both defenses aren't that good.

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Speaker 1: I think the over fifty four and a half is

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Speaker 1: the side to be on, but I don't have the butt,

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Speaker 1: the guts to bet it right now, given how poorly

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Speaker 1: I'm seeing what just happened over the last seven days

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Speaker 1: and what happened yesterday. So I'm due to hit rock bottom.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully that was rock bottom yesterday, and we're gonna rebound.

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Speaker 1: But look, I mean, underdogs went three and oh yesterday,

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Speaker 1: the public went oh and three. Technically again, whatever you

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Speaker 1: bet Washington, if you got Washington at the end at

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Speaker 1: plus ten, you're fine, eight, pushed eight and a half,

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Speaker 1: cashed nine, cashed that dude that dropped the big bag

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Speaker 1: of money. Remember I was telling you about the guy

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Speaker 1: that came in at plus nine. That was the number

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Speaker 1: for the professionals that got them to fire monster money

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Speaker 1: came in at plus nine. What did the number end at? Eight? Okay?

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Speaker 1: So that guy cashed a huge amount of money at

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Speaker 1: the South Point because nine was the number that was

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Speaker 1: firing on that the professionals wanted. So like, technically you

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Speaker 1: could say the public went oh in three, but nah,

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Speaker 1: I don't know about that. I don't think I necessarily

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Speaker 1: agree with that. But you know, there was a lot

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Speaker 1: of chalk that came in, a lot of public money

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Speaker 1: that came in, and you could say, well, the public

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Speaker 1: was laying it with the bucks at minus seven and

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Speaker 1: a half, so I guess so. But there was a

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Speaker 1: lot of public money on Washington as well. So that's

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Speaker 1: where it gets a little bit complicated. It's like, where's

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Speaker 1: public money, where's pro money? You know, some books had

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Speaker 1: a lot of pro money on Tampa, okay, and some

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Speaker 1: books a lot of pro money on Washington. So it

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Speaker 1: just sort of, you know, difficult to predict. It difficult

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Speaker 1: to say what isn't what is not going on. So

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Speaker 1: that's the teaser. We're taking Tennessee up to nine and

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Speaker 1: a half, Pittsburgh down to a pick for one unit

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Speaker 1: one unit on the Steelers minus five and a half

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Speaker 1: up against the Cleveland Browns. So here's the thing, Alabama

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Speaker 1: and Ohio State, this game the number has moved, and

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Speaker 1: this game in this number is moving. I told you

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Speaker 1: about this four days ago where I was gonna take Alabama,

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Speaker 1: but I hadn't fired it exactly. I got Alabama minus seven.

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Speaker 1: Now I should have bought it to six and a half.

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Speaker 1: I give you that that was a mistake on my part,

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Speaker 1: but I think Bama wins by double digits. So I

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Speaker 1: talked myself out of spending the mis one thirty to

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Speaker 1: buy the half a point and just take it at

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Speaker 1: seven and then say, if I'm wrong, maybe I get

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Speaker 1: a push. But I don't know if I'm gonna be wrong.

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Speaker 1: I think Ohio excuse me, I think Ohio State played

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Speaker 1: their Super Bowl against Clemson. I think everything was wrapped

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Speaker 1: up in that game. The Dabbles Sweeney conversations, all of

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Speaker 1: the things that went into the game from you know,

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Speaker 1: Justin Fields wanted to go up against the guy that

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Speaker 1: will go number one. Now number he's he's going number two.

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Speaker 1: So he wanted to put some question marks out there

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Speaker 1: they couldn't guard. Chris Olave was eating alive the secondary

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Speaker 1: for Clemson. He's not gonna do that to Patrick certain

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Speaker 1: in Alabama. Okay, Alabama kind of coasted their way through

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame. They didn't they didn't get pushed all that much.

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Speaker 1: And Jalen Waddle, even if he doesn't play or is

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Speaker 1: effective him, just practice him, him warming up, him being

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Speaker 1: out there is enough to make people kind of take

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Speaker 1: a second glance and go, well, wait, if that guy plays.

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Speaker 1: I think Bama's gonna run the ball. I think Najia

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Speaker 1: Harris is gonna have a big game run in the football.

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Speaker 1: I think Mac Jones is a big game throwing the football.

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Speaker 1: I think the under is a play that I will

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Speaker 1: look at a lot. I'm gonna wait for the public

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Speaker 1: to bet this thing up as high as possible. It's

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Speaker 1: as high as seventy six right now, you know, get

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Speaker 1: me as many points as possible, and then I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: bet the under. I'm hoping that we see some extra

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Speaker 1: public money come in on the over here leading up

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Speaker 1: to kickoff before Monday, and we're gonna be on the

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Speaker 1: under for the title game. But I am right now

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Speaker 1: just we're gonna officially say Alabama minus seven is the play.

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Speaker 1: It is eight at Caesars. It's as high. I guess

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Speaker 1: nine and a half at BETMGM. Right now, shop around,

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Speaker 1: get the best number you can get. But like I

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Speaker 1: told you, guys, I put it in the Discord chat

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Speaker 1: four days ago, but I just didn't. I needed Bama

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Speaker 1: to get on a plane. I needed Ohio State to

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Speaker 1: get on a plane. And once the game officially was

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Speaker 1: going to be played on Monday, that's when I was

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Speaker 1: gonna fire on Bama in the National Championship game officially

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Speaker 1: on the podcast so Official play Alabama minus seven against

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Speaker 1: Ohio State for the National Championship. I know you guys

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Speaker 1: have your own opinions about that, and I get it

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Speaker 1: a lot of people like Ohio State. I'm just not

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Speaker 1: one of them. I will talk to you during the

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Speaker 1: live stream for player props, in line movements and give

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Speaker 1: you more advice as to what to play, where to bet,

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Speaker 1: what to go. Hopefully a much better day for us

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Speaker 1: on Sunday, Let's stop the bleeding. Pittsburgh minus five and

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Speaker 1: a half, two team teaser Pittsburgh, who was six, now

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Speaker 1: down to a pick and we're taking Tennessee and we're

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Speaker 1: gonna go ahead and tease them up to nine and

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Speaker 1: a half at home against the Baltimore ravens parat You

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Speaker 1: can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Every

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Speaker 1: morning is the Deal Just podcast right here on Betting

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Speaker 1: pros dot com, brought you by BETMGM