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Speaker 1: Hey, guys, how are you welcome into a Sunday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice podcast with me, Matt Peraltz.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Every single morning we are here Bettingpros dot com YouTube

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Speaker 1: for video with Betting Pros audio wherever you get your

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Speaker 1: audio podcast roll as being brought to you by bet MGM.

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Speaker 1: More on them here in just one second. All right,

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Speaker 1: So a recap quickly on last night is a two

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Speaker 1: and one night, So we end the week with a

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Speaker 1: twelve and thirteen record, But because the props and player

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Speaker 1: props didn't go that well, we ended up racting up

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Speaker 1: a lot of losses on quarter unit bets. So we

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Speaker 1: wound up up for the week up two point three

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Speaker 1: six up two point three six units. Yeah, so it's

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Speaker 1: pretty good. Right, it's a good week. Let's keep it

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Speaker 1: rolling here, Okay, as we start a new week here

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Speaker 1: on a Sunday. No live stream because no football Pro Bowls,

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Speaker 1: not football All Star Game nonsense. But it's here and

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Speaker 1: it's football. If you want to watch it. I don't

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Speaker 1: think I'll watch too much of it, but that is

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Speaker 1: happening today. Livestream next week for the Super Bowl with

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Speaker 1: the Rams and the Bengals. I will leave for Los

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Speaker 1: Angeles on Tuesday, so you'll get the Dally Juice podcast

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Speaker 1: from LA for Wednesday morning, Thursday morning, and Friday morning.

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Speaker 1: And we have a new special sponsor for those podcasts.

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Speaker 1: doing this podcast now for five hundred and eighty something days.

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Speaker 1: I think it's something around the I don't know, maybe

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Speaker 1: take advantage of that if you would like to. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So sorry for the soapbox, but that's an important thing. Okay.

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Speaker 1: We are not the book. We hope that you use

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Speaker 1: our sponsor, but we're not the book. Two in one

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Speaker 1: day last night, Alabama the only loss should have known.

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Speaker 1: Kentucky went off as a dog. I mean, I took

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Speaker 1: Bama at home as a you know, I'm looking for

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Speaker 1: plus money bets right now. Home teams plus money, that's

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Speaker 1: what I'm looking for here. Or plus points. Okay, that's

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Speaker 1: what I'm looking for here for bets in fie February

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Speaker 1: and Bama. At the time of taping, Bama was plus

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Speaker 1: one and a half. And then everyone bet Bama and

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Speaker 1: they went off as a favorite, and I was like,

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Speaker 1: oh man, so that didn't happen. Ku and Nova walk victories, big, big,

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Speaker 1: big performances. Good job there. So I've got two college

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Speaker 1: basketball and one NBA play for us here. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: stick with that two and one mark. We've done pretty

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Speaker 1: well with that where we're going two and one, two

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Speaker 1: and one, you know, giving out three games and look winners.

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Speaker 1: You know, I'll keep it rolling hopefully. I like two

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Speaker 1: and one, so I prefer three and oh, but two

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Speaker 1: and one is winning money, and winning money is better

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Speaker 1: than losing money. So let's keep that rolling here with

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Speaker 1: winning money. And let's start talking a little bit about

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Speaker 1: home dogs. Okay, home dogs. To me, this is huge.

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Speaker 1: Did you know that Cincinnati at home against Houston in

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Speaker 1: its history is seventeen and one. The only time that

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Speaker 1: Houston has won in Cincinnati is in twenty nineteen. Okay,

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Speaker 1: first time these two teams will play this season. The

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Speaker 1: number is six. According to Kempom, Houston should be plus seven,

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Speaker 1: not plus six. But we're getting kind of cut off

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Speaker 1: there a little bit. You might get six and a half,

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Speaker 1: you might get seven. My number right now is plus six.

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Speaker 1: When you break down the game, it's pretty interesting to

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Speaker 1: look at these numbers because defensively, this game screams under. Okay,

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Speaker 1: one thirty one. From a total perspective, this screams under.

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Speaker 1: You've got Cincinnati's defense number one effective field goal percentage

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Speaker 1: defense in the country, Houston number three. Okay, it's hard

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Speaker 1: to score on these guys. Cincinnati's offense not nearly as

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Speaker 1: good as Houston's offense, however, effective field goal percentage for

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati is forty seven point nine. That's two hundred and

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Speaker 1: sixty third versus effective field goal percentage for Houston, which

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Speaker 1: is fifty three point four. That's forty fourth best in

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Speaker 1: the country. Offensive rebounding is where these Houston coups make

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Speaker 1: their noise. Thirty eight point five is number two. The

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Speaker 1: rebound offense rebound percentage thirty eight point five number two

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Speaker 1: in the country. On the other side, not great for

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati rebounding wise twenty nine point five. That's two twenty nine,

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Speaker 1: So this game could very well be decided on the glass.

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati is gonna have to crash Cincinni's gonna have to

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Speaker 1: try to keep track of as many rebounds as they can.

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Speaker 1: Don't let these guys get after it. However, one of

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Speaker 1: the big offensive weapons for UH Houston is two point

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Speaker 1: field goal percentage. They're not a great three point shooting team.

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Speaker 1: They're okay forty first two point percentage for Houston fifty

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Speaker 1: four point two, But this is where you see Cincy shine.

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Speaker 1: Forty point one is number two in the country at

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Speaker 1: stopping two point shots, okay. Big. Also, Houston does not

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Speaker 1: hit free throws sixty six point two percent is three

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Speaker 1: hundred and twenty first in the country. Going on the

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Speaker 1: road to a hostilelandar n. Houston's undefeated in conference. They've

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Speaker 1: been running through people here. They have now won hundred

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Speaker 1: games in a row. They're now up to eleven straight wins. Okay,

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Speaker 1: eleven straight wins here, they're ranked sixth in the country,

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Speaker 1: and they're going on the road to take on a

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Speaker 1: team that's in Cincinnati. Is gonna be I think a

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Speaker 1: pretty tough team here. Okay. The Cougars are top twenty

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Speaker 1: five in scoring defense, scoring margin, winning percentage, offensive rebounds,

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Speaker 1: turnover margin, three point field goal percentage, defense assist a

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Speaker 1: turnover ratio, in block shots. They are really really good. Okay.

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Speaker 1: I don't think since he wins the game. However, I

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Speaker 1: do think Cincinnati at home catching points. This is exactly

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Speaker 1: what I am looking for. People are gonna bet Houston, Okay,

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Speaker 1: going to come in Houston's hot Let's bet Houston, Bet Houston,

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Speaker 1: Bet Houston. Cincinnati. I think I don't know if they

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Speaker 1: win the game, Okay, but getting six points at home.

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Speaker 1: I like it. They're five to five and two against

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Speaker 1: the spread this season at home. Houston is six and

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Speaker 1: three to last two games since he did not cover,

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Speaker 1: but last game against Tulane at home, Houston laying eighteen,

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Speaker 1: they won by eleven. Previous three games they won big

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Speaker 1: and covered. But I think this Cincinnati team is going

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Speaker 1: to be up. I think the Bearcatch fans are going

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Speaker 1: to be loud. I think they cover. I think six

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Speaker 1: points is too many. I'm taking Cincinnati plus six for

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Speaker 1: a half a unit. Second play in college basketball, we've

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Speaker 1: got this bet for Loyola Chicago to win the Missouri

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Speaker 1: Valley Conference. I watched Drake in Northern play yesterday and

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Speaker 1: Northern gets a big win. They're now nine to three here.

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Speaker 1: They have a half a game lead technically in the

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Speaker 1: win column, but Loayola only has two losses, so they're

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Speaker 1: essentially tied at the top of the Missouri Valley Conference standings.

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Speaker 1: Missouri State eight and three, Drake eight and three, Bradley's

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Speaker 1: seven and five at home, Loyola ten and one on

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Speaker 1: the road, they're five and one, Missouri at home nine

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Speaker 1: and three, Missouri State six and three on the road. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so that the first time these two teams played. It

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Speaker 1: was a really big win for Missouri State. I don't

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Speaker 1: say they ran away with it, but it was somewhat

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Speaker 1: of an eye opener. Seventy nine to sixty nine. They

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Speaker 1: snapped a long home game winning streak for Loyola. Kind

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Speaker 1: of stunned some people. To be quite honest, We're like, wait, wait, wait,

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Speaker 1: Isaiah Mosley scored forty in this game. Forty That does

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Speaker 1: not happen. Okay, does not happen to teams like Layo Chicago. Man,

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Speaker 1: I think they're going to be absolutely up for this game.

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Speaker 1: Some interesting stats to look at here in terms of

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Speaker 1: offense adjusted efficiency on Ken Palm, top fifty for Laylo Chicago,

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Speaker 1: Missouri State defense adjusted a fish outside the top one hundred.

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Speaker 1: Effective field goal percentage Falola Chicago, they're eighth, ninety fifth

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Speaker 1: for Missouri State. Yeah, turnover percentage seventy ninth to two

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Speaker 1: ninety two. They don't turn the ball over Leyo Chicago

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Speaker 1: and Missouri State. This is force turnovers either, some big keys.

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Speaker 1: Fifty six point one percent two point field goal percentage

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Speaker 1: for Leo Chicago, fifteenth best in the country. Three point

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Speaker 1: percentage thirty seven point seven, twenty second best in the country,

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Speaker 1: up against the seventy fourth and one hundred and forty

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Speaker 1: third ranked defense on kenpom dot com for three point

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Speaker 1: percentage and two point percentage. Big big deal. Now Missouri

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Speaker 1: State can score. Okay, they absolutely have one of the

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Speaker 1: top twenty five best, top thirty best offenses effective efficiency

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Speaker 1: one thirteen point two that's twenty sixth best in the

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Speaker 1: in the country, three point percentage twenty fourth best, two

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Speaker 1: point percentage thirty six percentage. But defensively, Leaiolo Chicago top

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Speaker 1: fifty in adjustin efficiency and they are top one hundred

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Speaker 1: and three point percentage defense for both and two point

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Speaker 1: eighty eight and eighty six and three point and two

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Speaker 1: point percentage. I think their defense is better. And what's interesting,

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Speaker 1: it's plus one. I have the better basketball team with

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Speaker 1: revenge on their mind. It's a white out game for

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Speaker 1: Missouri State, so you know the energy is gonna be hopping.

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Speaker 1: But Missouri State's favored. They're laying a point here. We

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Speaker 1: need Layola Chicago to win this game, Okay, for them

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Speaker 1: to win the Missouri Valley Conference, to win the regular season,

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Speaker 1: we need them to win this game. I think they're

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Speaker 1: gonna be ready. I think they're gonna be locked in.

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Speaker 1: I think they have revenge on their minds, and I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna take the Ramblers here to have some payback to

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Speaker 1: Missouri State. Loyola Chicago plus one on the road in

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Speaker 1: or at Missouri State. I'm taking Layola Chicago plus one.

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Speaker 1: All right, So Cincinnati plus six against Houston at home,

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Speaker 1: Loyola plus one on the road at Missouri State. The

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Speaker 1: third game is in the NBA, and this comes to

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Speaker 1: one of those bet the streak type of situations. The

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Speaker 1: Denver Nuggets and the Brooklyn Nets are both going in

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Speaker 1: the wrong direction. It's not pretty okay. Brooklyn on the

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Speaker 1: year is nineteen thirty two and one against the spread.

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Speaker 1: They haven't covered in their last three games, and they've

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Speaker 1: lost eight consecutive games on the road. They're fourteen and thirteen,

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Speaker 1: but that's not that impressive. Denver is twenty two and

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Speaker 1: thirty against the number this year. That's not good. They're

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Speaker 1: nine and fourteen against the spread this year. That's not good.

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Speaker 1: They've been playing really poorly. They've lost three games in

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Speaker 1: a row themselves, losing to New Orleans, Utah, and Minnesota.

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Speaker 1: The difference is they lost by four to Utah on

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Speaker 1: the road. Brooklyn lost by twenty three in their last game.

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Speaker 1: James Harden could be shipped out. James Harden, we don't

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Speaker 1: know his status. He may play, he may not. Don't

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Speaker 1: think it really matters playing Denver at Denver's hard. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's not an easy game. It's a hard game. You

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Speaker 1: gotta want to play against Jokic. You got to have

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Speaker 1: a game plan against him. The number is only five here,

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Speaker 1: Denver minus five. I'm just gonna bet against the streak.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I just don't think this team really wants

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Speaker 1: to play together. I think they need to get rid

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Speaker 1: of Harden. They need to get out here because it's

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Speaker 1: been it's been embarrassing to watch James Harden play. Hurt

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Speaker 1: or not, it's been rough to watch him play. And

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Speaker 1: I mean a team has lost seven straight I guess

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Speaker 1: on seven eight straight. Seven straight losses for Brooklyn, three

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Speaker 1: straight losses for Denver overall straight up. Denver's thirteen and

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Speaker 1: ten at home, so they've played better at home than

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Speaker 1: they have on the road. I just think this is

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Speaker 1: a team in Brooklyn doesn't want to be there. Sunday

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Speaker 1: Mattine game, Denver has more weapons. Denver wants to be there.

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Speaker 1: I'll lay the five points with the Nuggets Denver minus

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Speaker 1: five against the reeling Brooklyn Nets. I think Denver is

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Speaker 1: a chance to bounce back here at home, half the

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Speaker 1: unit on that. Okay, three bets going another day where

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Speaker 1: hopefully we go two and one are better here with

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Speaker 1: our plays. Cincinnati plus six, Leola plus one, Denver minus

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Speaker 1: five in the NBA are our three plays here for

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Speaker 1: a Sunday's Daily Juice minus Matt Parolt. Follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning It's

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Speaker 1: a Deal Juice Podcast. I was being brought to you

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Speaker 1: by BEDAMGM