WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2020 NFL MegaPod Week 12 Preview 0:00:03.440 --> 0:00:12.440 Check it on Man No Down Man Tuesday Morning, November 0:00:13.800 --> 0:00:18.120 The Meeting the Book podcast special Early Week Bega pod 0:00:18.880 --> 0:00:21.759 Skill Alexander, thanks for listening in live from the day, 0:00:21.800 --> 0:00:24.080 our beautiful home with the d in front of how 0:00:24.079 --> 0:00:26.040 many people would you say? We're in front of the day, Mikey, 0:00:26.239 --> 0:00:29.240 what do you think the crowd is? Um? What are you? 0:00:29.320 --> 0:00:31.520 What are you gonna go with a little shy of thirty, 0:00:31.640 --> 0:00:34.920 little shy, little shy of thirty air on a strange 0:00:34.920 --> 0:00:38.559 Tuesday morning for Thanksgiving. That's Mike Palm, Derek Stephen's conciliary 0:00:38.680 --> 0:00:41.919 vice president of Ops Circus Sports. Mikey is here, Mike 0:00:41.920 --> 0:00:45.120 Palm and Todd Wishnev from his cork attic, his mom's 0:00:45.120 --> 0:00:48.240 cork attic somewhere in Pittsburgh, p A. What's the background there, Todd? 0:00:48.440 --> 0:00:50.400 What's the blue and white? That's a Greek restaurant. I 0:00:50.440 --> 0:00:55.160 think we've got snowflakes because it's becoming wintertime. You see that? 0:00:55.200 --> 0:00:59.880 What's It's a Sarah Silverman reference. And our guest at 0:01:00.040 --> 0:01:01.960 a kind enough to join us first time ever on 0:01:02.000 --> 0:01:04.640 the megapod. This is Jason Conn's idea producing number seven, 0:01:04.800 --> 0:01:06.720 who who said to me he goes, why don't you 0:01:06.720 --> 0:01:09.760 have felik on? And I'm like, oh, how come my 0:01:09.840 --> 0:01:14.560 brain never shifted from Chris's you know, his his sports 0:01:14.600 --> 0:01:16.959 that we always talked, talked to Chris about seven different 0:01:16.959 --> 0:01:19.520 sports on a numbers game, but never rarely I should 0:01:19.560 --> 0:01:21.480 say about the NFL. It's Chris Flik of the Bear 0:01:21.480 --> 0:01:24.119 from ESPNS College Game Day, Daily Wager in the Stanford 0:01:24.120 --> 0:01:26.360 Steve in the Bear podcast. How you doing, Chris? So, 0:01:26.360 --> 0:01:28.400 so we we can blame this on Jason when this 0:01:28.440 --> 0:01:31.080 goes very very portly, and then we can just depend 0:01:31.120 --> 0:01:33.520 on him. No. I love, I love that you're here 0:01:33.560 --> 0:01:36.640 because this is like a meeting amongst friends. So we're 0:01:36.720 --> 0:01:40.960 excited to uh exactly to talk football. All right, So let's, uh, Todd, 0:01:41.440 --> 0:01:43.160 how do we do this? Let's start first of all 0:01:43.200 --> 0:01:46.319 with CIRCA a lot of eliminations and Circus Survivor. We're 0:01:46.360 --> 0:01:50.600 down at two oh nine. Four entries didn't get in 0:01:50.680 --> 0:01:54.640 before the deadline. Three from one person who emailed you 0:01:54.680 --> 0:01:56.440 at three oh eight and said give me two charges 0:01:56.480 --> 0:01:59.880 in one Vikings and Supersize and police and you said, sorry, buddy, 0:02:00.080 --> 0:02:03.720 Jeff Jeff Benson called him, UM's a little older than me. 0:02:03.800 --> 0:02:06.720 This person, a male person little older than me, works 0:02:06.720 --> 0:02:09.040 at one of the casinos in town. Yeah. I don't 0:02:09.040 --> 0:02:11.680 know what happened. I don't know if he worked graveyard. 0:02:11.960 --> 0:02:15.160 I don't know why he was asleep at five on 0:02:15.240 --> 0:02:18.760 Saturday eight. But yeah, Jeff called him back and just 0:02:18.800 --> 0:02:21.720 explain it. Not only shouldn't we do it, we can't. 0:02:22.280 --> 0:02:24.799 The system locks out at three, there's no way to in. 0:02:25.240 --> 0:02:27.799 It's over Las Vegas. Chris, who's in Circle Millions, not 0:02:27.919 --> 0:02:29.800 in Survivor, who was on the numbers game this morning. 0:02:30.120 --> 0:02:33.120 He is doing very well in Circumillions. He's like top 0:02:33.160 --> 0:02:37.680 twenty ish said he got in one week at three pm. Exactly. 0:02:38.600 --> 0:02:41.679 It can sneak up on you. Two o nine left 0:02:41.680 --> 0:02:43.600 in the Survivor. I have no idea who to pick 0:02:43.639 --> 0:02:46.360 on Thursday. None. See if you guys can convince me 0:02:46.360 --> 0:02:50.000 of a team here? Um, okay, and then Todd, what's 0:02:50.040 --> 0:02:54.160 the your court stenographer? What are the updated picks? Well 0:02:54.320 --> 0:02:58.040 court stenographies for you? Here we go into week twelve. 0:02:58.240 --> 0:03:01.080 All of us had a poor week last week, going 0:03:01.160 --> 0:03:04.800 one and two. Gil moves to sixteen fifteen and two. 0:03:05.080 --> 0:03:08.960 Mikey is tied with Gil exactly at sixteen fifteen and two, 0:03:09.400 --> 0:03:12.440 and I also wanted to to go to fifteen seventeen 0:03:12.480 --> 0:03:15.840 and one. Amazingly, we Mikey one is teaser, Me and 0:03:15.919 --> 0:03:18.560 you Gil lost our teasers, so we all are seven 0:03:18.560 --> 0:03:22.160 and four on teasers. So it's a tight race coming 0:03:22.200 --> 0:03:25.240 down the stretch. I had Cincinnati in Green Bay. I 0:03:25.320 --> 0:03:27.919 lost because of the Borough injury. By the way, that 0:03:28.080 --> 0:03:31.359 Cincinnati game was such an interesting in game bet, and 0:03:31.440 --> 0:03:34.600 I was on Cincinnati. As soon as Burrow got injured, 0:03:34.639 --> 0:03:38.080 I quickly switched and took the other side. They moved 0:03:38.080 --> 0:03:41.000 a line like seven points immediately, but I said, I 0:03:41.000 --> 0:03:43.640 don't even care whatever. They moved the line because the 0:03:43.680 --> 0:03:45.720 guy who came in I don't even remember his name 0:03:46.480 --> 0:03:49.920 was horrendous. After like two plays, I was like, forget this. 0:03:50.280 --> 0:03:53.200 I just dumped on the other side. Brian Finley and 0:03:54.000 --> 0:03:58.920 genius North Carolina State. North Carolina State, wasn't he Chris 0:03:59.000 --> 0:04:01.640 Bryan Finley is all right, here you go, Yeah, all right, 0:04:01.720 --> 0:04:04.280 let me tell you he wasn't in North Carolina State anymore. 0:04:04.360 --> 0:04:07.360 I believe Cincinnati had like a thousand yards before he 0:04:07.440 --> 0:04:11.080 came in, and seventeen when after he came in, So 0:04:11.200 --> 0:04:13.840 it was number I think too right, I think he 0:04:13.880 --> 0:04:17.080 has never seventeen might be number five the number think 0:04:17.120 --> 0:04:19.800 he was seventeen. I think was seventeen in college. I'm 0:04:19.839 --> 0:04:22.280 picking up, all right, Chris, I well, I will tell 0:04:22.320 --> 0:04:25.360 you this. He wasn't playing the A c C And 0:04:25.400 --> 0:04:29.760 the Washington football team after that. All right, Chris has 0:04:29.760 --> 0:04:32.280 a hard out Todd. So let's let's keep on format here. 0:04:32.640 --> 0:04:37.960 But it's sorry, alight and dominuld. I'll start. I'll stay 0:04:37.960 --> 0:04:39.440 as long as I can. You know when you get 0:04:39.760 --> 0:04:41.599 when you when you get all these days, you've got 0:04:41.680 --> 0:04:46.080 doctor's appointments like nick cracking and kind of prompted treatments 0:04:46.120 --> 0:04:48.160 to at this point in the year, like after being 0:04:48.200 --> 0:04:50.279 on the road for for thirteen straight weeks and the 0:04:50.279 --> 0:04:52.760 body completely breaks down. So they've got a nice little 0:04:52.839 --> 0:04:55.480 nick cracking session going up. So but I told him 0:04:55.480 --> 0:04:57.599 I'd better be a little late. So well, well, well 0:04:57.760 --> 0:04:59.320 we'll structure as long as we can. All right, Then, 0:04:59.360 --> 0:05:02.080 I apologize Todd riff as much as you want. All right, 0:05:02.160 --> 0:05:04.160 let's start with the best. Bet. I don't want to. 0:05:04.320 --> 0:05:06.240 I don't want Todd met at He's already mad at 0:05:06.279 --> 0:05:07.800 you and Mike, so I don't want I don't want 0:05:07.839 --> 0:05:10.960 him getting med at mate. He's permamat though. Chris, Chris, 0:05:11.000 --> 0:05:14.080 here's the deal. You are an upstanding gentleman, a good 0:05:14.160 --> 0:05:17.560 person and and everything. I can only say good things 0:05:17.640 --> 0:05:20.760 about you and you you associate with good people like 0:05:20.839 --> 0:05:24.920 Kirk curb Street, and I associate with the dregs of humanity. 0:05:25.000 --> 0:05:27.280 I'm not going to mention any names, but they're in 0:05:27.320 --> 0:05:31.320 the other two boxes than the other two boxes. Stuck 0:05:31.320 --> 0:05:35.400 in a box. Alright, best bets, Chris. As always, the 0:05:35.480 --> 0:05:43.760 guest has honors, your honor. I I really want to 0:05:43.800 --> 0:05:47.719 take Detroit on Thanksgiving. I just I have a heart. 0:05:47.440 --> 0:05:50.200 I know you were listening to you and Chris every 0:05:50.240 --> 0:05:52.839 week like Houston. You really want to late points with 0:05:52.880 --> 0:05:57.320 them on the road. I'm not. I'm not there, but 0:05:57.600 --> 0:05:59.760 it's God are They're gonna play, Swift gonna play? They 0:05:59.760 --> 0:06:03.840 lost so many guys last week, So it's hard for 0:06:03.880 --> 0:06:06.440 me to write now to to really want to lock 0:06:06.520 --> 0:06:12.240 in on the lock luck lock on an EMU is 0:06:12.360 --> 0:06:17.120 as amazing as it might be. I might put my 0:06:17.200 --> 0:06:20.000 faith in Anthony Lynn and and the Chargers getting nea. 0:06:21.200 --> 0:06:22.680 What what are we calling it here? Five and a 0:06:22.720 --> 0:06:26.280 half six, five and a half. Yeah, I mean they 0:06:26.360 --> 0:06:30.000 they perform every week that the Bills have. I think 0:06:30.040 --> 0:06:33.560 some issues there in that secondary, and we as long 0:06:33.600 --> 0:06:37.920 as weather's okay, we've seen justin Herbert light a light light, 0:06:37.960 --> 0:06:39.839 a lot of defense is up and he's clearly going 0:06:39.880 --> 0:06:42.320 to be the rookie of the year. So I would 0:06:42.320 --> 0:06:44.520 send my best, but I'm gonna go with the with 0:06:44.600 --> 0:06:49.080 the Anthony Lynn laed Wow Los Angeles Chargers catching five 0:06:49.120 --> 0:06:51.960 and a half at Buffalo on Sunday. As Aaron Shots 0:06:51.960 --> 0:06:54.600 from Football Outsiders mentioned two weeks ago in a numbers game, 0:06:54.880 --> 0:06:57.400 the most consistent team in the NFL from week to 0:06:57.480 --> 0:07:00.440 week is the l A Chargers, despite the fact they 0:07:00.480 --> 0:07:02.840 find a way to By the way, Chris, you're New 0:07:02.880 --> 0:07:06.800 York Jets, Braxton Barrios. We do this segment on Primetime 0:07:06.839 --> 0:07:09.920 Action where we give fruit baskets to people who help 0:07:10.000 --> 0:07:12.600 us win bets. My fruit basket went to Braxton Barrios 0:07:12.640 --> 0:07:15.680 of the Jets for refusing the lateral all that last, 0:07:15.720 --> 0:07:22.280 but it's tremendous. Alright, Mikey number one, Todd, what line 0:07:22.280 --> 0:07:24.880 do you have on the game in Dallas? I like 0:07:24.920 --> 0:07:27.200 how he doesn't he asked the line first? What line 0:07:27.200 --> 0:07:29.760 do you have on the sides in the game in 0:07:29.880 --> 0:07:34.280 Dallas on Thanks Dallas Cowboys. I have three even three 0:07:34.280 --> 0:07:37.679 even yes, sir, and I late and two and a half. 0:07:39.320 --> 0:07:42.240 I believe you cannot do that. That only certain people 0:07:42.320 --> 0:07:44.480 have rights to do that. I get. I'm gonna late 0:07:44.520 --> 0:07:48.480 to three here. I you know people have have asked 0:07:48.520 --> 0:07:53.960 me about Thanksgiving survivor. I agree. If you have multiple entries, 0:07:54.000 --> 0:07:58.320 you should do the double option in advance. Take the Lions, 0:07:59.120 --> 0:08:03.360 take since in advance right, because I would still save 0:08:03.720 --> 0:08:06.200 I would save Dallas. I I don't see used in 0:08:06.240 --> 0:08:09.840 the Texans or the Lions later in the year. UM. 0:08:09.880 --> 0:08:14.760 But look, we talked about this game with Cincinnati in Washington, UM, 0:08:14.800 --> 0:08:16.920 a little bit earlier here with the bad beat with 0:08:17.000 --> 0:08:21.960 your with your teaser last week. Gilt Washington is terrible. 0:08:22.240 --> 0:08:24.600 They're terrible on the road. They're owing four this year 0:08:24.640 --> 0:08:26.920 on the road. They were gonna lose that game. This 0:08:27.000 --> 0:08:28.960 is the last two games where they've given up two 0:08:29.360 --> 0:08:31.000 fifty yards in the first half of the game, and 0:08:31.040 --> 0:08:32.920 Burrow was moving the ball up and down. I mean, 0:08:32.960 --> 0:08:35.280 we had a miss field, Goo missed extra point. Cincinnati 0:08:35.280 --> 0:08:37.600 should have had a comfortable lead in that game. So 0:08:37.640 --> 0:08:40.079 I'm a little bit concerned about the Washington defense. I've 0:08:40.120 --> 0:08:44.200 talked to Michael Lombardi of visan uh fame of the 0:08:44.240 --> 0:08:46.480 g M Shuffle, fame of the New York Giants fame, 0:08:47.080 --> 0:08:49.400 and he really believes Alex Smith is going to struggle 0:08:49.400 --> 0:08:53.600 in Dallas on Thanksgiving. This is a tough week. I 0:08:53.600 --> 0:08:55.960 don't see a lot of plays at all Thursday or 0:08:56.040 --> 0:08:59.160 Sunday or Monday. My best bet is gonna be Dallas. 0:08:59.440 --> 0:09:02.600 Remember they haven't forgotten that nasty laid hit on Andy 0:09:02.679 --> 0:09:06.240 Dalton in Washington as well, that knocked him out. Uh. 0:09:06.240 --> 0:09:07.880 It's a revenge spot for them, and all of a 0:09:07.920 --> 0:09:09.600 sudden they're right back in the thick of it. I 0:09:09.600 --> 0:09:11.760 think the only team that can't win the NFC East 0:09:11.800 --> 0:09:14.720 is the Eagles. I think that they are the worst 0:09:14.720 --> 0:09:17.000 team in division. Any of the other three could win it, 0:09:17.040 --> 0:09:19.200 not the Eagles, who lead by a half game. Dallas 0:09:19.280 --> 0:09:21.679 minus three. Best bet team that you've been fading all 0:09:21.720 --> 0:09:23.520 year the Dallas all year. This is the first time 0:09:23.559 --> 0:09:26.640 I've picked them all year. Philadelphia I said this earlier 0:09:26.640 --> 0:09:28.480 this week. Philadelphia is a team were on paper, they 0:09:28.480 --> 0:09:30.560 look like they're the play and then within one drive 0:09:30.600 --> 0:09:33.000 you're like, I cannot believe I picked this team. They 0:09:33.040 --> 0:09:36.160 are horrific. By the way, the borrow thing. Do you 0:09:36.160 --> 0:09:39.280 think we're not making enough of the malpractice of the 0:09:39.320 --> 0:09:41.720 Bengals in this I'm not saying they cause the injury, 0:09:42.160 --> 0:09:44.600 but the Bengals, how do you how do you throw 0:09:44.600 --> 0:09:46.960 that offensive line on the field. That's how is that 0:09:47.000 --> 0:09:51.000 you start? It's embarrassing. It's embarrassing. And and they haven't. 0:09:51.080 --> 0:09:53.760 They're not going anywhere this year, right, and they keep 0:09:53.880 --> 0:09:56.880 they kept dropping him back to pass over and over 0:09:56.880 --> 0:09:58.520 and over, even in this game where he got hurt, 0:09:58.600 --> 0:10:00.440 he had like a full game's worth of stats by 0:10:00.440 --> 0:10:03.680 the time he got hurt. At some point, your only 0:10:03.679 --> 0:10:06.560 mission should be to preserve this guy. He has more. 0:10:06.559 --> 0:10:08.160 What do you want them to do? What are they 0:10:08.200 --> 0:10:12.240 supposed to do? They don't have offensive line? Yeah, but 0:10:12.280 --> 0:10:13.760 what are you gonna do? You know you're gonna have 0:10:13.840 --> 0:10:17.240 him drop back sixty times seventy times a game? Like, 0:10:17.320 --> 0:10:19.360 I mean, they're trying to win the game, yil. They 0:10:19.440 --> 0:10:22.600 played to win the game, yes, but if you have 0:10:22.720 --> 0:10:24.880 a shoddy offensive line like they do. This is not 0:10:24.920 --> 0:10:27.280 like justin Herbert and the Chargers, where he's not under 0:10:27.320 --> 0:10:30.480 where he's under you know, he's not under dress. Burrow 0:10:30.559 --> 0:10:33.240 was taking so much punishment all year long. Again, I'm 0:10:33.240 --> 0:10:35.440 not saying you could predict that that he would blow 0:10:35.440 --> 0:10:38.520 out his knee, but you certainly didn't minimize the chances 0:10:38.600 --> 0:10:41.280 of it. The only time they did was in the 0:10:41.320 --> 0:10:43.760 fourth quarter in Baltimore, where they ran Nixon into the 0:10:43.760 --> 0:10:45.800 line like seven times because they just didn't want to 0:10:45.840 --> 0:10:48.360 drop him back anymore, because they knew they couldn't protect him. 0:10:48.559 --> 0:10:51.320 He's got more past attempts by like twenty than anybody 0:10:51.360 --> 0:10:55.120 else in the league. Tough Man Todd first pick from 0:10:55.200 --> 0:11:01.000 that God wish them, you know, to get the number. 0:11:02.080 --> 0:11:04.000 I'm gonna go with my first pick. I'm gonna go 0:11:04.040 --> 0:11:07.719 with a tried and true method of betting, and that 0:11:07.920 --> 0:11:12.679 is that the Sea a Hattle Seahawks ober the total. 0:11:13.160 --> 0:11:15.960 And I'll tell you why I'd like to do that today. 0:11:16.720 --> 0:11:19.920 Seahawks sometimes once in a while ago Under when they 0:11:19.920 --> 0:11:23.400 play you know, an outstanding defense like the Rams or somebody, 0:11:23.520 --> 0:11:25.320 and the Rams were able to hold them down. But 0:11:25.360 --> 0:11:28.480 the average run of the mill defense, you know with 0:11:28.760 --> 0:11:32.360 average people from say an average state like Iowa. You know, 0:11:32.520 --> 0:11:35.840 average kind of teams are not gonna hold down. I'm 0:11:35.840 --> 0:11:41.960 sorry the hair has been what is that hair? Hair? 0:11:42.000 --> 0:11:46.720 I can't get the hairs? Sorry about okay? God, you 0:11:46.760 --> 0:11:49.079 know for a guy who gets fun of my appearance, 0:11:49.120 --> 0:11:51.640 I'll tell you man and people in glass houses shouldn't 0:11:51.640 --> 0:11:56.000 throw stones. But anyways, um my point is the Seattle Seahawks, 0:11:56.040 --> 0:11:59.760 against average defensive football teams, are gonna be able to 0:11:59.760 --> 0:12:01.920 move up and down the field. I believe the Philadelphia 0:12:01.920 --> 0:12:05.240 Eagles are an average of NFL defensive football team. They 0:12:05.240 --> 0:12:08.160 may even be below average. So I could see Seattle 0:12:08.240 --> 0:12:10.880 moving the football up and down. I can see Carson 0:12:10.920 --> 0:12:14.719 Wentz down seventeen points late getting you two touchdowns. He's 0:12:14.800 --> 0:12:16.880 the king of the late backdoor touchdown. He did it 0:12:16.920 --> 0:12:19.400 again this week to to knock it over my in 0:12:19.559 --> 0:12:22.360 game total. Late in the game. He is fantastic late 0:12:22.400 --> 0:12:24.520 in the game. Now, he's not Hall of Fame level 0:12:24.600 --> 0:12:28.160 J Cutler level that was the greatest backdoor touchdown guy 0:12:28.200 --> 0:12:31.240 of all time. But I will say that Carson Wentz 0:12:31.280 --> 0:12:33.920 is quite good with backdoor touchdown. So give me the 0:12:34.160 --> 0:12:38.160 over fifty one. It's not some obscenely high like fifty 0:12:38.200 --> 0:12:40.120 seven or something. I think we can get over fifty 0:12:40.120 --> 0:12:42.800 one with Seattle and Philadelphia. Now, I haven't checked the weather, 0:12:42.840 --> 0:12:45.280 and probably since it's gone down, there's probably bad weather. 0:12:45.679 --> 0:12:48.280 But I still think it's gonna go over. So I'll 0:12:48.280 --> 0:12:52.800 take over fifty one. Todd wishnip Seattle, Philadelphia. My number 0:12:52.840 --> 0:12:58.520 one pick, best bet is the Tennessee Titans. Give me 0:12:58.559 --> 0:13:00.160 the three and a half. Is that what it is? Up? 0:13:00.160 --> 0:13:02.920 Todd and three and a half? Three and a half 0:13:03.280 --> 0:13:06.480 plus three and a half for Tennessee at Indianapolis. Indianapolis 0:13:06.520 --> 0:13:09.120 even in victory the last two weeks, the doubling up 0:13:09.120 --> 0:13:11.760 of Tennessee two weeks ago where Tennessee just kind of 0:13:11.800 --> 0:13:13.880 stopped playing in the second half. That was the game 0:13:13.920 --> 0:13:16.559 where they had eight different third or fourth and ones 0:13:16.960 --> 0:13:20.360 and Philip Rivers came out of the closet about not sneaking, 0:13:20.440 --> 0:13:23.640 and they actually had the first pinch sneak. But Jacoby Brissette, Uh, 0:13:23.679 --> 0:13:25.640 that's gonna come back and harm them in a high 0:13:25.720 --> 0:13:28.880 level situation at some point. And plus when Jacoby Brissette 0:13:28.880 --> 0:13:30.760 comes in, now doesn't the defense and know that it's 0:13:30.760 --> 0:13:32.800 a sneak for good? The way, that's why I said 0:13:32.840 --> 0:13:35.320 what they should do now is they should fake the 0:13:35.400 --> 0:13:38.640 sneak with Brissette and throw a deep No one's gonna 0:13:38.640 --> 0:13:40.480 be looking for that, because every time Prissette comes in, 0:13:40.480 --> 0:13:42.400 they're gonna be looking for the sneak. This. Uh, this 0:13:42.400 --> 0:13:45.160 game last week where they erased a fourteen point deficit 0:13:45.200 --> 0:13:47.840 against the Packers and did so because the Packers kept 0:13:47.840 --> 0:13:50.880 turning the ball over. The Colts managed not to put 0:13:50.920 --> 0:13:54.160 it away in regulation. From the two seventeen mark to 0:13:54.200 --> 0:13:58.000 the one mark in regulation in a fifty two second span, 0:13:58.000 --> 0:14:02.040 they committed five offensive holding penalties and allowed the Packers 0:14:02.080 --> 0:14:04.240 to maintain time mounts. Packers were eventually were able to 0:14:04.240 --> 0:14:06.200 tie the game up a regulation. I guess what I'm 0:14:06.240 --> 0:14:09.880 saying with the Colts is they make this difficult on themselves, 0:14:09.920 --> 0:14:12.280 and I don't think they're a buttoned up football team. 0:14:12.360 --> 0:14:15.400 I think the Titans obviously get better as the game 0:14:15.400 --> 0:14:18.240 goes on. Derrick Henry quintessential game for the Titans last 0:14:18.240 --> 0:14:21.400 week against the Ravens. They just kind of wear you down. Uh. 0:14:21.480 --> 0:14:23.600 Henry didn't have good stats after three quarters. By the 0:14:23.720 --> 0:14:26.960 end of the game as phenomenal um. Tannehill was great 0:14:27.000 --> 0:14:30.600 in the clutch. I think fourteen of sixteen when they 0:14:30.600 --> 0:14:32.560 were down ten on to the end of the game. 0:14:32.680 --> 0:14:34.640 I just think the Titans are a better football team 0:14:34.640 --> 0:14:36.120 and I think they're the one team in the a 0:14:36.240 --> 0:14:39.040 f C come playoff time that can actually beat one 0:14:39.080 --> 0:14:41.200 of the big boys. Uh, you're give me three and 0:14:41.280 --> 0:14:43.680 a hook here. I will take the Tennessee Titans as 0:14:43.680 --> 0:14:50.240 my number one pick, Christopher number two. I'm gonna give 0:14:50.280 --> 0:14:53.480 you you guys know the way I operate here, especially 0:14:53.600 --> 0:14:56.760 in college, I am going to I'm gonna hold my 0:14:56.920 --> 0:14:59.080 nose with pick number two, and I'm going to take 0:14:59.080 --> 0:15:03.000 the Jacksonvill ag Wires plus the six and a half there. 0:15:03.120 --> 0:15:05.360 But I know they have issues on the defensive side 0:15:05.400 --> 0:15:08.160 of the ball. But but the brown the Browns offense 0:15:08.280 --> 0:15:12.280 just is not not good. Every game they seem to 0:15:12.320 --> 0:15:15.960 win is a close game. Uh. Jacksonville has had a 0:15:15.960 --> 0:15:19.000 tendency to play hard at least didn't compete every week. Now, 0:15:19.080 --> 0:15:21.560 last week they the Steelers are obviously one of the 0:15:21.560 --> 0:15:23.760 best teams in the league. But you look game in 0:15:23.840 --> 0:15:26.160 Green Bay. They very easily could have won a game 0:15:26.200 --> 0:15:28.240 against the Texas that they very easily could have won 0:15:28.560 --> 0:15:31.040 like the there there's Titans. Earlier in the year, they 0:15:31.040 --> 0:15:35.000 beat the like at least they're trying, and they're they're 0:15:35.040 --> 0:15:39.080 competent in spots, and I just don't trust Cleveland's offense 0:15:39.120 --> 0:15:41.080 to go in there and put up a big number. 0:15:41.120 --> 0:15:43.280 And if I can get the six and a half points, 0:15:43.320 --> 0:15:45.880 I'll take up. Or maybe what do we got? What 0:15:45.920 --> 0:15:47.240 do we got at six and a half? Or seven? 0:15:47.240 --> 0:15:50.000 Are we go? I see six and a half and 0:15:50.960 --> 0:15:55.640 pretty yeah, I see pretty much six six and a half. Yeah, 0:15:55.640 --> 0:15:59.200 I'll take I'll take another. Uh and an ugly dog 0:15:59.280 --> 0:16:02.040 there with jab Worth, I'm with you would be Jacksonville 0:16:02.080 --> 0:16:04.080 or nothing for me. That's too many points for Cleveland. 0:16:04.480 --> 0:16:07.120 Who are the paper tiger? Now that the Bears Bears 0:16:07.160 --> 0:16:08.560 used to be the paper tiger this year when they 0:16:08.560 --> 0:16:10.480 were five and one, I think the Browns are the 0:16:10.480 --> 0:16:13.520 seven and three paper tiger. My gay number two Todd? 0:16:14.440 --> 0:16:16.560 What do you have for a number on the Sunday 0:16:16.680 --> 0:16:19.080 Night game? Ask your question? How did Todd become the 0:16:19.160 --> 0:16:21.560 arbiter of lines all of a sudden? There's no point 0:16:21.600 --> 0:16:23.800 of asking you? And then he argues about it. You 0:16:24.440 --> 0:16:27.120 won't argue with him, you know. We send it to 0:16:27.120 --> 0:16:30.320 the junior associate me first, and then I give a number. 0:16:30.360 --> 0:16:32.880 And then if there's any issues, we kick it upstairs 0:16:32.880 --> 0:16:35.280 to the management, which is you, and you give the 0:16:35.320 --> 0:16:39.000 final arbitration. I'm just the junior associate. You're the senior associate. 0:16:40.120 --> 0:16:43.200 If he's the managing partner. That's that's why. What's the 0:16:43.280 --> 0:16:46.480 number Bears Packers? Todd get to it Sunday Night football. 0:16:46.640 --> 0:16:50.440 I have some interesting numbers here. I think it's somewhere 0:16:50.440 --> 0:16:52.760 in the neighborhood. There's numbers all over the blathers. I 0:16:52.840 --> 0:16:55.320 see eight and a half. Ish, I would say that's 0:16:55.360 --> 0:16:58.560 the most normal. What do you think, senior management? A half? 0:16:58.560 --> 0:17:01.200 We're gonna lay it with the Packers. This this Bears 0:17:01.240 --> 0:17:05.280 offense is all time bad folds. Isn't the answer to Biskie? 0:17:05.320 --> 0:17:09.400 Isn't the answer? They don't try to run the ball effectively. Um, 0:17:09.440 --> 0:17:11.359 Green Bay much better at home than they are on 0:17:11.400 --> 0:17:14.000 the road. Big rivalry spot is not going to be 0:17:14.040 --> 0:17:17.120 a letdown, especially the Packers off a loss. I'll lay 0:17:17.119 --> 0:17:19.240 it eight and a half. By the way, you're your boss. 0:17:19.280 --> 0:17:22.880 Derik Stevens very vocal against those of us who took 0:17:22.880 --> 0:17:25.399 the Packers in that game against the Jaguars and survivors, saying, oh, 0:17:25.440 --> 0:17:27.320 you should have saved him for the Bears. That's what 0:17:27.400 --> 0:17:29.000 he said. I don't know if I agree with him. 0:17:31.080 --> 0:17:34.840 You had to avoid go ahead, go ahead. I agree 0:17:34.880 --> 0:17:37.160 with Derek. I I agree with Derek, and that's why 0:17:37.160 --> 0:17:39.480 I looked ahead as well. That's why I I went 0:17:39.480 --> 0:17:41.719 to New Orleans two weeks ago and was sitting there 0:17:41.760 --> 0:17:44.320 rooting for the Jaguars to try and knock off green Bits. 0:17:44.960 --> 0:17:46.960 I'm not playing. I'm using green Bay this week myself. 0:17:47.000 --> 0:17:49.439 So I agree with Well, the green Bay lost Indianapolis 0:17:49.480 --> 0:17:52.400 certainly didn't hurt that cause. I'll say that they're gonna 0:17:52.400 --> 0:17:57.960 be angry. Todd number two dot I would like to 0:17:57.960 --> 0:18:01.399 take as my number two picks. I would like to 0:18:01.440 --> 0:18:05.240 do another over. And this isn't over in the l 0:18:05.480 --> 0:18:11.360 A Charger Buffalo Bill football game. I have a number 0:18:11.640 --> 0:18:15.320 of let's see I checked it before. Let's just make 0:18:15.320 --> 0:18:17.760 sure it's I have fifty three or fifty three and 0:18:17.800 --> 0:18:19.320 a half. Gill, I'm gonna kick it to you for 0:18:19.359 --> 0:18:22.359 a fair arbitration sale. No, it's fifty four. If not 0:18:22.520 --> 0:18:25.240 fifty four and a half, I'll give you fifty three 0:18:25.280 --> 0:18:29.120 and a half. I don't see four three and a half. 0:18:29.880 --> 0:18:33.320 I am currently looking at Nevada lines today as opposed 0:18:33.320 --> 0:18:37.160 to my usual off shore over fifty four. Yeah, pot 0:18:37.240 --> 0:18:40.600 here at circa the worldwide leader, we're at fifty three. 0:18:41.000 --> 0:18:43.800 Oh oh see, so I was I was somewhat right. 0:18:43.920 --> 0:18:45.879 I'll take the fifty four. That's okay. I don't have 0:18:45.920 --> 0:18:49.240 to be like Mike and Tredit. Wait a minute, how 0:18:49.240 --> 0:18:51.000 come about we're talking about we're talking about the Chargers 0:18:51.000 --> 0:18:53.880 and the Bills? Right yet? Oh I said, well this 0:18:53.960 --> 0:18:58.679 is not updated. Then it's the senior management has the 0:18:58.760 --> 0:19:02.280 wrong numbers. As in most organizations, the people that actually 0:19:02.320 --> 0:19:04.720 do the work know a lot more than senior management. 0:19:04.720 --> 0:19:07.080 In this case. Again, yes you know what, Todd, you 0:19:07.119 --> 0:19:11.800 are fifty three and a half. There you go. I 0:19:11.840 --> 0:19:15.040 always fight. I always fight for my friend Todd. Yes, 0:19:15.160 --> 0:19:17.679 I know you care about the little guy. Um. The 0:19:17.800 --> 0:19:20.560 l A Chargers against the Buffalo Bills. The Buffalo Bills 0:19:20.640 --> 0:19:23.320 are a good offensive football team. They are not a 0:19:23.359 --> 0:19:26.359 great defensive football team. And you know what, with this 0:19:26.480 --> 0:19:29.400 Herbert guy, the Chargers are pretty much the same thing. 0:19:29.800 --> 0:19:33.920 They move the football weekend week out. This guy moves 0:19:33.960 --> 0:19:36.399 the football up the field for you. And we have 0:19:36.560 --> 0:19:39.640 seen that the Chargers like to blow the game late, 0:19:40.000 --> 0:19:42.600 even against the Jets. Had they blown that one, that 0:19:42.640 --> 0:19:46.159 would have been the all time Anthony Lynn Anthony Lynn situation. 0:19:46.480 --> 0:19:49.960 I mean unbelievable that even the Jets were able to cover, 0:19:50.000 --> 0:19:51.960 and then even the Jets had an opportunity to tie 0:19:52.000 --> 0:19:54.639 the game. It is beyond belief. I didn't think it 0:19:54.680 --> 0:19:57.960 could happen. Last week it almost happened. So you gotta 0:19:58.040 --> 0:20:00.720 think in this game, where the Chargers have been moving 0:20:00.720 --> 0:20:03.320 the football, I see them be getting in the twenties easily, 0:20:03.680 --> 0:20:06.480 the Bills easily. I love this game over. I just 0:20:06.520 --> 0:20:08.520 think that, you know, the Bills are not a defensive 0:20:08.520 --> 0:20:11.159 football team, guys. And now is the weather going to 0:20:11.240 --> 0:20:13.800 be bad in Buffalo? I didn't check the weather yet, 0:20:13.840 --> 0:20:17.040 but the fact that the numbers, the fact that the 0:20:17.119 --> 0:20:22.760 number has gone up making me the question. So it's 0:20:22.800 --> 0:20:27.000 only Tuesday, Chris. The problem is doing accu weather, you know, 0:20:27.080 --> 0:20:29.280 instead of on a Thursday, been on the Tuesday can 0:20:29.320 --> 0:20:32.080 be fraught with peril. So I'm not gonna do my 0:20:32.160 --> 0:20:38.040 weather this far out. If there's weather a big issue there. Yeah, Well, 0:20:38.119 --> 0:20:40.160 now the fact that the number has gone up from 0:20:40.200 --> 0:20:42.480 the open makes me think that probably they have checked 0:20:42.480 --> 0:20:45.520