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Speaker 1: Hey, guys, thanks for listening to Breaking Points with Crystal

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Speaker 1: and Sager. We're going to be totally upfront with you.

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Speaker 1: We took a big risk going independent to make this work.

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Speaker 1: We need your support to beat the corporate media CNN, Fox, MSNBC.

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Speaker 1: They are ripping this country apart. They are making millions

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Speaker 1: of dollars doing it to help support our mission of

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Speaker 1: hour early before everyone else. You get to hear our

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Speaker 1: reactions to each other's monologues. You get to participate and

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Speaker 1: weekly ask me any things, and you don't need to

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Speaker 1: hear our annoying voices pitching you like I am right now?

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Speaker 1: the show notes. Enjoy the show, guys, Good morning, everybody,

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Speaker 1: Happy Monday. We have an amazing show for everybody today.

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Speaker 1: When do we have gristal? Indeed, we do lots of

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Speaker 1: great stories to get to you this morning. Actually a

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Speaker 1: lot of really important stories. So first of all, we

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Speaker 1: had a court issuing a ruling at least temporarily blocking

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Speaker 1: that Biden vaccine or test mandates. So we'll give you

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Speaker 1: the details there. Bunch of stuff happening with the strikes.

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Speaker 1: Updates on John Deere. Also updates on thirty thousand plus

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Speaker 1: workers for Kaiser Permanente who have given them a ten

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Speaker 1: day notice that they are preparing to go out on

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Speaker 1: strike on November fifteenth. So we've got all the details there.

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Speaker 1: Rather interesting clip on CNN. Actually give them a little

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Speaker 1: bit of credit for having an interesting guest on and

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Speaker 1: having a conversation that normally doesn't happen there. We'll break

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Speaker 1: all of that down for you. All the latest on

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Speaker 1: that horrific tragedy in Houston at Astra world. What are

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Speaker 1: the authorities saying at this point? What is the very

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Speaker 1: latest there? Also, as you guys now, I was out

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Speaker 1: on Thursday last week. It's to not get to talk

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Speaker 1: about Virginia Shire right by the way, thank you for

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Speaker 1: all the well wishes. My dad was in the hospital,

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Speaker 1: he's out, he's recovering, he's doing phenomenal, so thank you

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Speaker 1: for that. Sorry to miss last week, but I have

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Speaker 1: some thoughts on Virginia. I'm going to talk about it

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Speaker 1: my monologue. We'll also have Kyle Condick on to talk

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Speaker 1: about what it means both in the state of Virginia,

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Speaker 1: but nationally and for the midterm. So we'll get to

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Speaker 1: all of that, but we wanted to start with some

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Speaker 1: very significant and in my opinion, extremely disheartening developments with

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Speaker 1: regard to the Infrastructure package and the Build Back Better

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Speaker 1: Reconciliation package. So long story short, and then we'll get

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Speaker 1: into all of the details. The situation has unfolded to

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Speaker 1: be exactly what progressives were allegedly trying to avoid all

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Speaker 1: the way along, which is that the infrastructure, the bipartisan

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Speaker 1: sort of corporatist infrastructure package, has passed the Senate, it

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Speaker 1: has passed the House, it has gone to the presence

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Speaker 1: desk for signature. That is over with. That is done,

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Speaker 1: And the idea was always that that was going to

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Speaker 1: be matched together with the Build Back Better agenda, because

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Speaker 1: progressives want of the build Back Better thing corporatus one

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Speaker 1: of the infrastructure thing. Keep them tied together and then

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Speaker 1: everybody has some piece of leverage over the other one. Well, progressives,

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Speaker 1: if you can even call them that completely folded, with

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Speaker 1: a few limited exceptions that I will get to at

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Speaker 1: a moment. Let's save this New York Times tear sheet

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Speaker 1: up on the screen. Let me just read you the

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Speaker 1: intro here. The House passed a one trillion dollars bill

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Speaker 1: on Friday night to rebuild the country's aging public work system,

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Speaker 1: fund new climate resilience initiatives, and expand access to high

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Speaker 1: speed internet service, giving final approval to a central plank

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Speaker 1: of President Biden's economic agenda after a day long drama

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Speaker 1: that pitted moderate Democrats against progressives, but an even larger

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Speaker 1: Social Safety Net and climate change bill was back on hold,

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Speaker 1: with a half dozen moderate to conservative Democrats withholding their

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Speaker 1: votes until a non partisan analysis could analysis could tell

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Speaker 1: its price tag. They go on. In the end, enough

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Speaker 1: progressives accepted a written commitment released after ten pm from

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Speaker 1: five they say centrist i'd say corportus colleagues that they

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Speaker 1: would back the Social Safety Net and climate package in

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Speaker 1: mid November as long as the numbers add up. So

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Speaker 1: here's how this went down. These blue dog type corporatist

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Speaker 1: Democrats said, we're not voting on this thing until we

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Speaker 1: get a CBO score. But enough of them signed this

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Speaker 1: meaningless letter of commitment that, oh, we promise we'll vote

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Speaker 1: for it as long as the CBO numbers add up.

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Speaker 1: Progressives were pressured by Biden. He called into the Congressional

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Speaker 1: Progressive Caucus, meaning he called from Villa Jaiapaol multiple times,

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Speaker 1: put the squeeze on, and ultimately they folded. Even Lloyd Blankfine,

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Speaker 1: who apparently hadn't tweeted in months, decided a way in

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Speaker 1: and say Progressives blinked, And that's exactly what happened here.

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Speaker 1: Any sort of potential leverage that they had over this

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Speaker 1: thing to even make sure anything passes, let alone trying

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Speaker 1: to improve it from the pathetic and sorry state that

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Speaker 1: that Build Back Better Bill is in. At this point,

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Speaker 1: that is all completely gone, Scott everything they wanted with

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Speaker 1: the infrastructure bill, and Progressives are stuck in an untenable,

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Speaker 1: unwinnable position. Yeah, and just for people who don't know,

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Speaker 1: the CBO is the Congressional Budget Office, and there's actually

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Speaker 1: no guarantee that they're going to score the way that

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Speaker 1: the Biden administration wants. People might remember this, but during

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Speaker 1: the Trump tax cuts and Job Zach, the CBO rightfully

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Speaker 1: said it was going to expand the deficit, and they're like, no,

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Speaker 1: we're going to go with our own like fake accounting

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Speaker 1: as to why this is okay. This is going to

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Speaker 1: be the reverse situation of that. So if the CBO,

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Speaker 1: the Congressional Budget Office does score this as you know,

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Speaker 1: non deficit neutral or saying it won't, necessarily it may

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Speaker 1: cost more than they're saying in terms of the price tag.

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Speaker 1: Mansion Cinema and many of these other people have the

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Speaker 1: out in order to vote against it. So there's no

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Speaker 1: guarantee whatsoever in terms of the actual number of votes.

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Speaker 1: It was an interesting little shakeout. Let's put this up

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Speaker 1: on the screen in terms of the actual votes for

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Speaker 1: no and for yeah, both from the GOP and the Dems.

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Speaker 1: So amongst the Democrats who voted against the infrastructure bill,

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Speaker 1: it was aoc rasheated to lib ilhan Omar Corey bush

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Speaker 1: Aana Presley, and Jamal Bowman, several members of the squad.

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Speaker 1: There we should note, though, Crystal, which is that there

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Speaker 1: seemed to be a little bit of coordination here. I

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Speaker 1: mean Presley herself apparently had voted did not vote no

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Speaker 1: on the bill until it hit two eighteen, until it

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Speaker 1: had enough votes and the only reason it really seems

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Speaker 1: to have gone across the finish line is that thirteen

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Speaker 1: Republicans there voted for it. A lot of them either

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Speaker 1: people who had voted for impeachment they're on their way out,

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Speaker 1: or people in the state of New Jersey. So I

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Speaker 1: didn't know this, but New Jersey Republicans are obsessed with

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Speaker 1: this bill because of the Amtrak New Jersey to New

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Speaker 1: York tunnel. It has a seventy percent approval rating amongst

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Speaker 1: Republicans in the state of New Jersey, hence why many

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Speaker 1: of their reps actually voted for it. Like Jeff Bandry,

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Speaker 1: some politics are listen as somebody's you know, we all

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Speaker 1: hate the goddamn a Man track, So you know, I

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Speaker 1: sympathize for those on the West coast. Come try it sometime.

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Speaker 1: It's awful. I dissent from that view. Oh really, it's

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Speaker 1: not their faults. There's complicated reasons. It is often late anyway.

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Speaker 1: So all of that being said, there are some very

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Speaker 1: interesting politics here happening in terms of what's happening with

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Speaker 1: the actual vote itself on build back Better, because they're

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Speaker 1: not going to be able to have the same number

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Speaker 1: of Republicans obviously cross for build back Better maybe maybe

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Speaker 1: one vote, maybe two. Even then they would be extraordinarily unlikely.

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Speaker 1: So what happened here is that the Squad was able

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Speaker 1: to vote against the bill because they knew they were

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Speaker 1: going to have a decent number of crossover amongst the GOP.

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Speaker 1: Let me pause you there, because the other part of

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Speaker 1: that tweet is really important. If the Squad had actually

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Speaker 1: wanted to flex their muscle and kill this thing, they

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Speaker 1: had the numbers to do it, even with those thirteen

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Speaker 1: Republicans crossing over. If all of the squad members or

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Speaker 1: some chunk of the Progressive the Squad plus Progressive costs, okay,

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Speaker 1: if some sizeable number of the Progressive Caucus, they didn't

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Speaker 1: even need ten votes from the Congressional Progressive Caucus in

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Speaker 1: order to kill this thing. So if they actually wanted

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Speaker 1: to use power and leverage, they could have instead. As

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Speaker 1: you said, it appears more likely that at least some

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Speaker 1: of the individuals who voted no did more so as

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Speaker 1: a protest vote, knowing that it ultimately wasn't going to matter.

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Speaker 1: So it was a complete and utter fold on their part.

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Speaker 1: And by the way, at this point, I'm using the

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Speaker 1: term progressive extraordinarily loosely, because I think only the people

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Speaker 1: there who were the six no votes you could even

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Speaker 1: argue are progressive at this point. Let's put up their

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Speaker 1: statement here. This is from Primilagaiopol, who is the chair

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Speaker 1: of the Progressive Caucus. They say about this commitment that

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Speaker 1: the corporatists gave them, that our colleagues have committed to

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Speaker 1: voting tonight for the Transformative Build Back Better Act as

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Speaker 1: currently written, no later than the week of November fifteenth.

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Speaker 1: They go on to say, the President has affirmed these

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Speaker 1: members gave him the same commitment. So they're relying on

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Speaker 1: the word of these five corporatists. By the way, in

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Speaker 1: their statement, we don't mention that it's contingent on the

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Speaker 1: Congressional Budget Office giving them the score that they want

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Speaker 1: no guarantees on that, no guarantees whatsoever, and so the

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Speaker 1: corporatis have provided themselves within out here of Oh the

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Speaker 1: numbers are not up. Sorry, guys, we would love to

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Speaker 1: do it, but we just can't. Let's go back to

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Speaker 1: the drawing board. Let's endlessly draw this out so that

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Speaker 1: it never ever ever happens, and anyone who wanted something

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Speaker 1: better than what is on offer here, and we've covered

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Speaker 1: relentlessly how this bill has been stripped back and some

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Speaker 1: of its most popular, most important provisions have been killed.

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Speaker 1: Anyone who wanted anything better out of this, that leverage

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Speaker 1: has been utterly lost. Right, And as Jake Sherman put

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Speaker 1: in that tweet, you know, I am struck by the

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Speaker 1: vote by November fifteenth stuff. Considering these deadlines have been

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Speaker 1: an absolute joke this year, So they're clinging to false deadlines.

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Speaker 1: They people who said that they would vote for it

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Speaker 1: already gave themselves an out in terms of the conditionality.

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Speaker 1: The bill has already become law. So the thing that

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Speaker 1: Josh Gotheimer and all those other people had banked on

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Speaker 1: has basically passed. Now from what I am hear in Crystal,

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Speaker 1: there is one thing that may still induce these people

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Speaker 1: to vote for the bill. Well, it's called the salt tax,

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Speaker 1: the multi millionaire tax cut that they are purposefully taken

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Speaker 1: out of the bipartisan infrastructure package put into the build

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Speaker 1: back better to try and induce these people to go

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Speaker 1: for it. So there's a lot of jockeying behind the

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Speaker 1: scenes here in Washington. Bernie Sanders said that he would

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Speaker 1: oppose an outright removal of the salt cap up to

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Speaker 1: like seventy two thousand dollars something like that is what's

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Speaker 1: being floated right now. And once again it's a reminder

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Speaker 1: that the overwhelming ninety something percent of salt benefits go

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Speaker 1: to people who make over one million dollars a year.

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Speaker 1: Ninety percent of the benefits. Well, that does not mean

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Speaker 1: that there aren't people out there and make you know,

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Speaker 1: two three hundred, four hundred thousand or whatever in the

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Speaker 1: state of New Jersey and all that who won't get

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Speaker 1: a tax cut. But I'm saying that the people who

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Speaker 1: have the most invested within this are millionaires, and in

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Speaker 1: many cases they're actually billionaires who dig it on the

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Speaker 1: income and more. Given that that's how they actually make

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Speaker 1: their money, they have been able to write that off

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Speaker 1: in the past and now aren't able to. So that

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Speaker 1: is the one thing crystal that may keep these people

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Speaker 1: in line. That actually brings up a good political point,

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Speaker 1: which is that if they had tied, had actually had

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Speaker 1: these things be one bill from the beginning, then everyone

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Speaker 1: would have had a stake in the whole thing ultimately

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Speaker 1: getting passed. And so the fact that they pulled these

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Speaker 1: two pieces apart in the hopes of getting some level

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Speaker 1: of Republican support, so Biden could have the you know,

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Speaker 1: could could go out and say and have the talking

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Speaker 1: point that he did a bipartisan deal. That's the reason

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Speaker 1: why these two pieces were pulled apart, and it's also

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Speaker 1: the reason why it has made it so incredibly politically

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Speaker 1: difficult to get anything across the finish line, let alone

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Speaker 1: something that was actually good. If the corporate infrastructure piece

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Speaker 1: had been included in the Build Back Better piece, then

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Speaker 1: people who were really interested in that would have had

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Speaker 1: more of a reason to hurry up and get this

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Speaker 1: thing done. So that decision to split them apart from

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Speaker 1: the beginning has turned into total catastrophe if you actually

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Speaker 1: care about people benefiting from these bills. There have been

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Speaker 1: a couple developments. The House is going a little bit

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Speaker 1: of its own way on the Build Back Better thing.

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Speaker 1: They've implemented a few of a few reforms to some

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Speaker 1: of the more popular provisions. So originally the paid leave

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Speaker 1: was supposed to be twelve weeks, then they said maybe

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Speaker 1: it'll be four weeks. Then they pulled it out entirely.

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Speaker 1: While that might be put back in at four weeks

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Speaker 1: in the House, the prescription drug negotiations. Originally, the idea

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Speaker 1: very simple that Demgrat's been campaigning on since two thousand

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Speaker 1: and six. We're going to have medicare and negotiate prescription

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Speaker 1: drug prices, something that is patently obvious and it's absurd,

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Speaker 1: it's not already done well. That got pulled out altogether

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Speaker 1: because of these Dems who take a lot of money

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Speaker 1: from big pharma. Now there's a sort of industry proved

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Speaker 1: middle ground that's going to let them negotiate prices only

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Speaker 1: on the drugs that basically farm is okay with them negotiating.

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Speaker 1: That may be put back in. So there are some

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Speaker 1: movements there in terms of the House versus the Senate.

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Speaker 1: So I can provide some clarity on that. I asked

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Speaker 1: around what happened is is that the House, because this

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Speaker 1: is not actually going to be the final bill. I

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Speaker 1: wanted to put that in there to show, you know, like, hey, nowhere, Pailee,

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Speaker 1: So here's what's actually going to happen, which is that

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Speaker 1: because it still has to go through the Senate and

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Speaker 1: the vote rama amendment process, all of these things can

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Speaker 1: be stripped out easily. And so Joe Manchin, what they're

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Speaker 1: essentially doing is they're daring Joe Manchin in order to

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Speaker 1: put forward an amendment which would have GOP support, in

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Speaker 1: order to strip out paid family leave and the same

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Speaker 1: thing whatever it comes to prescription drug that actually could

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Speaker 1: have more than fifty one votes there in the Senate.

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Speaker 1: And then what they're betting on is that the Senate

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Speaker 1: will then pass this House bill minus a certain parts,

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Speaker 1: and the House is just going to vote for it anyway.

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Speaker 1: So like that is as far as I understand it

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Speaker 1: from what I've asked Senate insiders here, that's the strategy

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Speaker 1: around why the House willing to put that in because

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Speaker 1: they know it's not actually going to get in there

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Speaker 1: in the final thing. They want the headline and the

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Speaker 1: credit without actually as a party having unified guarantees that

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Speaker 1: these things would make it, you know. I mean, the

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Speaker 1: subscription drug thing may ultimately go through because it's so

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Speaker 1: watered down and industry approved at this point that they

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Speaker 1: may even like the talking point of like, look see

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Speaker 1: you we support this and this is great so that

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Speaker 1: they can get a little bit of pr halo, but

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Speaker 1: it's basically meaningless. The last week we wanted to show

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Speaker 1: you of this is just how pathetic the quote unquote

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Speaker 1: progressive position ultimately ended up being Congress and Rocanna, who

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Speaker 1: you know we've interviewed multiple times. Always appreciate the time

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Speaker 1: that he gives us. I also credit him. Yeah, very

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Speaker 1: nice guy. Interviewed him at length on podcast Crystal Kyle

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Speaker 1: and Friends. He was very Oh, we're gonna be tough.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna hold the line. We're going to make sure

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Speaker 1: that you know that we get something good for the

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Speaker 1: American people, and we're gonna we're gonna make sure we

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Speaker 1: keep these bills tied together. Well, he ends up being

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Speaker 1: the one that goes along with this. Yeah, we promise

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Speaker 1: we're going to vote for the bill just as long

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Speaker 1: as the CBO score comes through. Jank On Tyt pressed

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Speaker 1: him on exactly what his position is. Let's take a

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Speaker 1: look at a little bit of that. But but well

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Speaker 1: you didn't but you got it. Look, you just let's

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Speaker 1: just do one thing at a time. You guys said

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Speaker 1: that you would not vote in the House until the

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Speaker 1: Senate passed Build Back Better. You're now saying, no, we

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Speaker 1: withdraw our position. You have to say that's true, because

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Speaker 1: it is true. Right, Well, there was a disagreement. They

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Speaker 1: were different. It is that's certainly our chair for Religion,

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Speaker 1: pol said initially, I don't know how she framed it,

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Speaker 1: that we want some iron cloud. I can I can

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Speaker 1: read a New York Times score for your progressive dere

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Speaker 1: Grants warned the House leadership that a majority of their members,

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Speaker 1: the majority of their members, will withhold her support for

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Speaker 1: one trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill until the Senate passes a second,

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Speaker 1: far larger package containing their spending priorities. That's a fact.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, but if yeah, the challenge is, if we

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Speaker 1: really were to hold to that, then we done nothing.

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Speaker 1: I mean you really, but then the President's agenda, that

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Speaker 1: would not happen, and we'd move on to the no no

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Speaker 1: but hold on representative kinda. That's of course not true, right,

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Speaker 1: So you wouldn't have a hold on. You wouldn't have

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Speaker 1: it yet. And then what would happen next is pressure

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Speaker 1: would then go back to Mansion in cinema and they

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Speaker 1: would say, well, the progressors are holding the line and

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Speaker 1: they're doing the same exact thing that mantioned a cinema

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Speaker 1: are doing. Mangin a cinema are drawing red lines all

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Speaker 1: over you guys. I think making some very salient points

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Speaker 1: there Harms and Kanna not really having any response whatsoever.

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Speaker 1: And ultimately what jenk is getting at there is this

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Speaker 1: is why y'all aren't taken seriously in Washington, and you

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Speaker 1: never will be because think of what the position was

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Speaker 1: originally in the position of six trillion. Then Burning negotiats

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Speaker 1: all right, three and a half trillion, and the line

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Speaker 1: from them was always, this is the compromised position, three

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Speaker 1: and not trillion. That is the compromise position. We will

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Speaker 1: settle for nothing less. Then they kind of came off

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Speaker 1: then and said, well, you know, we're willing to work

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Speaker 1: with them, but no climate, no deal. They a couple

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Speaker 1: times drew a hard line and forced to delay that

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Speaker 1: these two things have to be tied together. And then

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Speaker 1: as it gets chipped away and chipped away and chipped away,

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Speaker 1: and they draw no red lines whatsoever about what programs

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Speaker 1: have to be included or what their top line number is,

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Speaker 1: the thing dribbles all the way down to almost what

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Speaker 1: Joe Manchin's position is, and then on the very last

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Speaker 1: line that they were holding that they have to be

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Speaker 1: tied together, ultimately they collapsed there too. I think it

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Speaker 1: comes down to this, which is you got to be

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Speaker 1: willing to walk. You know, at the end of the day.

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Speaker 1: Joe Manchin famously looked Bernie in the eyes, he goes,

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Speaker 1: I can live with zero, Well can you live with Bernie?

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Speaker 1: And the truth is is that Bernie could not live

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Speaker 1: with zero. And that's the same thing with these people,

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Speaker 1: which is that they weren't willing to walk whenever it

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Speaker 1: came to their priorities. So you're going to get rolled

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Speaker 1: and you look like a joke as you point to

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Speaker 1: can you imagine what the headline we've have been in

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Speaker 1: twenty eleven if the Freedom Cocus had the numbers to

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Speaker 1: kill a bill and they didn't kill it. I mean,

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Speaker 1: they would have been like, this is a total joke.

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Speaker 1: And they always showed up and were always killed the bill.

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Speaker 1: So they actually said they would, and leadership came to

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Speaker 1: them because they were serious in their willingness to vote

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Speaker 1: against something. And what you're seeing here is fake posturing.

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Speaker 1: There's a couple of years left in the Biden administration,

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Speaker 1: but they will not be taken seriously for the remainder

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Speaker 1: of it. That's pretty much the case. No, nor should

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Speaker 1: they be, yeah, I mean, ultimately, nor should they be

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Speaker 1: because already their position was pathetic that they hadn't fought

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Speaker 1: to keep what they said were their priorities in this bill.

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Speaker 1: They'd already moved off of that, and then the very

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Speaker 1: last thing that they were holding on to that they

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Speaker 1: would keep them tied together. Ultimately, all it took, this

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Speaker 1: is all. It took. Three calls from Joe Biden, maybe

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Speaker 1: some nice tweets from ron Klayn or something like that.

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Speaker 1: And I think what really freaked them out was the

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Speaker 1: media saying, oh, it's their fault that Democrats lost in Virginia.

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Speaker 1: A little bit of negative media coverage and they just

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Speaker 1: instantly collapse. It's pretty sad to see, very sad. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's go ahead and move on. We're going to talk

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Speaker 1: about this vaccine mandate court decision, a very big ruling

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Speaker 1: out of the State of New Orleans in the Fifth

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Speaker 1: Circuit Court of Appeals. So let's put this up there

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Speaker 1: on the screen, which is that the judges in the

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Speaker 1: Fifth Circuit have frozen the Biden vaccine or testing requirement

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Speaker 1: after a federal lawsuit. So the Court of Appeals suspended

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Speaker 1: the requirement for private companies. Now this is important because

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Speaker 1: it was issued by a panel of three judges Now,

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Speaker 1: all the judges were GOP appointed. However, within that what

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Speaker 1: they rule is not necessarily a total strike against a

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Speaker 1: mandate itself, but they are giving the Biden administration a

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Speaker 1: few days in order to come forward and respond to

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Speaker 1: what they say could be a grave assault on liberty

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Speaker 1: and grave statutory and constitutional issues with the mandate itself.

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Speaker 1: So what essentially what needs to happen now is that

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Speaker 1: the Biden administration has until five pm Monday today to

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Speaker 1: go ahead and respond to the request for a more

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Speaker 1: permanent halt to the mandate itself. Now, in terms of

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Speaker 1: the court watchers that I have asked around, they do

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Speaker 1: think that it's possible that this may get stayed until

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Speaker 1: there is a Supreme Court decision itself on the matter.

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Speaker 1: So what that would mean, you guys can think back

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Speaker 1: to the DACA decision, where we saw like a Hawaii

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Speaker 1: or a California judge posit all the way up into

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Speaker 1: Hill hit hit the Supreme Court. There were others under

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Speaker 1: the Trump administration as well. The travel ban was another

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Speaker 1: one where until the Supreme Court ruled on it, it

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Speaker 1: didn't actually go into effect. This could kick it into

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Speaker 1: the same territory, and of course we know that the

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Speaker 1: Supreme Court can take a very long time. Now. What's

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Speaker 1: happening here is the Department of Labor, who issued that

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Speaker 1: ruling through the Occupational Safety and Health Administration, is arguing

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Speaker 1: that under the OSHA Act itself, that it already gives

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Speaker 1: the government the authority quote to act quickly in an

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Speaker 1: emergency where the agency finds that workers are subjected to

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Speaker 1: a grave danger and a new standard is necessary to

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Speaker 1: protect them. Now, under that standard, they're arguing that COVID

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Speaker 1: go ahead and applies to this. The real question is

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Speaker 1: around where Scotus would fall, Crystal, because people and Scotus

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Speaker 1: have kind of been. When I say scotis sorry for

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Speaker 1: those who are an insider Supreme Court of the United States.

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Speaker 1: Where the Supreme Court is going to stand on this

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Speaker 1: is they have been all over the map. So we'll

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Speaker 1: remember Justice Kavanagh, the Trump appointed judge, had already acquiesced

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Speaker 1: on the eviction moratorium back and then the several months

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Speaker 1: ago whenever he said that because coronavirus is this extraordinary crisis,

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Speaker 1: we are allowing the eviction mandate to go forward even

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Speaker 1: though in my judgment it's probably not legal. Now that

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Speaker 1: actually could give an opening as to why they may

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Speaker 1: justify then and seeing coronavirus as an extraordinary crisis, grave danger,

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Speaker 1: all of that possible avenues through justice is Gorsic and

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Speaker 1: Barrett a little bit more libertarian in their leanings. Very

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Speaker 1: difficult to see them going ahead. So it could see

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Speaker 1: a five to four split right there, even though it

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Speaker 1: is a six to three court. Justice Roberts again, whenever

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Speaker 1: it came to the Trump administration, he would always object

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Speaker 1: based on process arguments. So it's like, oh, well, you

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Speaker 1: didn't file the right paperwork, so that's not the right thing.

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Speaker 1: Biden administration has at least gone through all of the

432
00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:12,280
Speaker 1: administrative loopholes. Big question as to how they decide there.

433
00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:15,439
Speaker 1: And then the main one is this. Remember the Supreme

434
00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:19,800
Speaker 1: Court did not find that the main vaccine mandate which

435
00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:24,280
Speaker 1: recently came to them violated constitutional rights, but that was

436
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:27,760
Speaker 1: based on religious exemptions themselves. So this would be as

437
00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:32,560
Speaker 1: a mandate for all workers, and critically in private companies.

438
00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:35,639
Speaker 1: So the vaccine requirements plus the testing requirement, whether it

439
00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:39,159
Speaker 1: infringes upon the constitutional rights of both businesses and the

440
00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:42,680
Speaker 1: individuals who work there who don't work for federal contractors.

441
00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:45,639
Speaker 1: That's really why the case law here is very different.

442
00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:47,359
Speaker 1: But there's a lot of questions right now as to

443
00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:49,040
Speaker 1: how the Supreme Court is going to find this crystal.

444
00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:55,040
Speaker 1: So there are overall, courts have been both Republican and

445
00:22:55,080 --> 00:23:00,080
Speaker 1: Democratic appointed judges have been ruling in favor of a

446
00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:05,720
Speaker 1: variety of mandates, both those implemented by universities for example,

447
00:23:05,880 --> 00:23:09,920
Speaker 1: also those like the one in Maine have been upheld.

448
00:23:10,760 --> 00:23:14,440
Speaker 1: Wall Street Journal said at least seventeen different lawsuits judges

449
00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:19,560
Speaker 1: have refused to block those vaccine mandates. They upheld Maine,

450
00:23:19,720 --> 00:23:24,919
Speaker 1: they upheld universities, They've upheld some that have come from corporations.

451
00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:30,240
Speaker 1: That all dates mostly dates back to this nineteen oh

452
00:23:30,320 --> 00:23:36,520
Speaker 1: five US Supreme Court decision Jacobson versus Massachusetts. There was

453
00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:40,760
Speaker 1: a Lutheran pastor who had an objection to the smallpox

454
00:23:41,040 --> 00:23:46,200
Speaker 1: vaccination requirement. And that was actually even more stringent because

455
00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:48,480
Speaker 1: there wasn't at that point, there wasn't an option of

456
00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:52,000
Speaker 1: vaccine or tests number one number two. They actually would

457
00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:54,760
Speaker 1: find you if you didn't go forward and get the

458
00:23:54,760 --> 00:24:00,720
Speaker 1: small pox vaccine. This particular gentleman had had a rare

459
00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:06,080
Speaker 1: but very you know, damaging reaction to a vaccination. He

460
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:09,200
Speaker 1: had received previously, so he had, you know, a major

461
00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:13,639
Speaker 1: health consequence. It was a more onerous burden in terms

462
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:16,960
Speaker 1: of you know, it was a stricter vaccine mandate, and

463
00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:19,760
Speaker 1: the court upheld it. Let me just read you a

464
00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:21,760
Speaker 1: little bit of the decision because I think it's it's

465
00:24:21,840 --> 00:24:25,560
Speaker 1: interesting the way that they worded it. It was written

466
00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:28,760
Speaker 1: by Justice John Marshall Harlan. The Court held that quote

467
00:24:28,760 --> 00:24:31,520
Speaker 1: in every well ordered society, charged with the duty of

468
00:24:31,560 --> 00:24:34,560
Speaker 1: conserving the safety of its members, the rights of the

469
00:24:34,600 --> 00:24:38,000
Speaker 1: individual in respect of his liberty may, at times, under

470
00:24:38,000 --> 00:24:41,600
Speaker 1: the pressure of great dangers, be subjected to such restraint

471
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:45,159
Speaker 1: to be enforced by reasonable regulations as the safety of

472
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:49,280
Speaker 1: the general public may demand. So that is the case

473
00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:52,200
Speaker 1: law that this goes back to that nineteen oh five

474
00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:55,840
Speaker 1: ruling that gives the state a lot of power in

475
00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:59,160
Speaker 1: terms of these types of vaccine mandates. So that's why

476
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:01,440
Speaker 1: a lot of people have felt that when this does

477
00:25:01,560 --> 00:25:04,040
Speaker 1: ultimately go up to the Supreme Court, it is very

478
00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:06,480
Speaker 1: likely to stand. Yeah, and you know, the other question,

479
00:25:06,520 --> 00:25:09,359
Speaker 1: because I raised that as well, was that there gonna

480
00:25:09,440 --> 00:25:13,040
Speaker 1: be a lot of arguments over whether coronavirus now faces

481
00:25:13,119 --> 00:25:15,760
Speaker 1: a grave danger standard. So that's going to be You're

482
00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:17,800
Speaker 1: gonna hear a lot of stuff like what we heard

483
00:25:18,080 --> 00:25:20,520
Speaker 1: in the public square, actually presented within the courts, around

484
00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:24,680
Speaker 1: survival rates, around you know, when you have vaccination, herd, immunity, death,

485
00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:27,920
Speaker 1: all of that as compared to smallpox. It's going to

486
00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:30,199
Speaker 1: be pretty fascinating because it's basically going to be a

487
00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:33,440
Speaker 1: distillation of the public argument, but in a legal framework

488
00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:37,360
Speaker 1: which then can apply to everybody. So you know, it's

489
00:25:37,359 --> 00:25:39,080
Speaker 1: interesting too. In order to think about it in the

490
00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:41,800
Speaker 1: public context, we have to remember the Supreme Court is

491
00:25:41,800 --> 00:25:44,159
Speaker 1: a political machine just like any other. I mean, the

492
00:25:44,280 --> 00:25:47,679
Speaker 1: Justice Roberts is desperate to avoid court avoid court packing,

493
00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:49,760
Speaker 1: and he doesn't want to fall on the wrong side

494
00:25:49,760 --> 00:25:52,520
Speaker 1: of public opinion, and public opinion is shifting around on this.

495
00:25:52,800 --> 00:25:55,320
Speaker 1: The vaccine mandate was actually quite popular whenever it was

496
00:25:55,359 --> 00:25:58,240
Speaker 1: implemented or announced. At the time a couple of months ago,

497
00:25:58,440 --> 00:26:01,400
Speaker 1: it was in eighty twenty level of support. But as

498
00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:03,320
Speaker 1: I pointed out in a recent MONOLOGU, let's put this

499
00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:05,520
Speaker 1: tweet up there on the screen. This is from NBC

500
00:26:05,640 --> 00:26:09,639
Speaker 1: News's own polling. They find forty seven percent favor the mandate,

501
00:26:09,680 --> 00:26:14,399
Speaker 1: while fifty percent actually oppose, and the strong agreement or disagreement.

502
00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:17,560
Speaker 1: There is a thirty four strongly favor with a forty

503
00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:22,040
Speaker 1: one percent strongly disapproved. So question though, does ask do

504
00:26:22,119 --> 00:26:27,880
Speaker 1: you support everyone getting a COVID nineteen vaccine. It doesn't

505
00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:31,399
Speaker 1: give the vaccine or test alternative, and it doesn't have

506
00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:34,080
Speaker 1: the language in there about just businesses with one hundred

507
00:26:34,080 --> 00:26:36,439
Speaker 1: people or more. That's right, and I believe also that

508
00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:39,840
Speaker 1: the one hundred or more requirement, this is another thing

509
00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:42,119
Speaker 1: that OSHA is looking at in order to try and

510
00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:45,320
Speaker 1: push it even further down the chain in terms of

511
00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:47,479
Speaker 1: a number of people who are employed or not, but

512
00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:50,639
Speaker 1: they haven't yet found the same legal ground. One hundred

513
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:52,520
Speaker 1: or more seems to be the standard that they feel

514
00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:55,760
Speaker 1: the most comfortable on. And you actually found this one

515
00:26:55,800 --> 00:27:00,240
Speaker 1: where the vaccine mandate collides with business interests. So let's

516
00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:03,120
Speaker 1: put this on the screen from Politico, which is that

517
00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:07,880
Speaker 1: the mandate from Biden is very specifically tailored in order

518
00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:11,200
Speaker 1: to hit on January four. Now you may think that's

519
00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:14,800
Speaker 1: because of the new year, but actually it's because the

520
00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:19,000
Speaker 1: people who are involved in the holiday shopping season are like, okay,

521
00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:22,119
Speaker 1: hold on a second, you cannot make us enforce this

522
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:25,720
Speaker 1: thing whenever we have to send out all of these

523
00:27:25,920 --> 00:27:29,520
Speaker 1: Christmas gifts and more, even though we're already in the

524
00:27:29,560 --> 00:27:32,280
Speaker 1: middle of a supply chain crisis. And so I do

525
00:27:32,400 --> 00:27:35,439
Speaker 1: find this a little ridiculous in that. Look, if it's

526
00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:39,000
Speaker 1: a total oppressing danger crisis that the Biden administration says

527
00:27:39,000 --> 00:27:43,320
Speaker 1: it is, then the holiday season shopping market probably shouldn't

528
00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:46,840
Speaker 1: be the consideration. So instead they're actually shifting it to

529
00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:50,200
Speaker 1: January four in order to make sure Amazon and Walmart

530
00:27:50,280 --> 00:27:52,760
Speaker 1: and all these other people can send out their gifts

531
00:27:52,800 --> 00:27:55,679
Speaker 1: on time. It just goes to show that even in

532
00:27:55,720 --> 00:27:58,880
Speaker 1: this one, the business lobby was very very effective at saying, well,

533
00:27:58,880 --> 00:28:00,840
Speaker 1: hold on a second. You know, we got to wait

534
00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:03,440
Speaker 1: until that part where we end up firing like five

535
00:28:03,520 --> 00:28:06,639
Speaker 1: hundred thousand people who are seasonal workers before we actually

536
00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:10,440
Speaker 1: kick this thing into effect. Yeah, governments have competing priorities.

537
00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:13,800
Speaker 1: One of those priorities making sure Sanna is going to

538
00:28:13,880 --> 00:28:17,720
Speaker 1: arrive on time. Okay, it takes a little bit long.

539
00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:21,240
Speaker 1: That's find to weigh that against you health and safety

540
00:28:21,320 --> 00:28:24,760
Speaker 1: of the American people. There is one other piece here,

541
00:28:24,920 --> 00:28:27,320
Speaker 1: which is just kind of funny for those of you. Look,

542
00:28:27,400 --> 00:28:31,400
Speaker 1: I think personally, as I've said before, that the alternative

543
00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:34,199
Speaker 1: of you can either get vaccinated or you can get tested,

544
00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:37,400
Speaker 1: to me, strikes the right balance between individual liberty and

545
00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:40,120
Speaker 1: caring for the community and making sure that people are

546
00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:42,840
Speaker 1: ultimately safe when they're at work. However, for those of

547
00:28:42,840 --> 00:28:44,800
Speaker 1: you who do not hold that position and you are

548
00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:48,200
Speaker 1: completely opposed to it, let me offer one potential reason

549
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:50,560
Speaker 1: to maybe get behind it. Let's throw this last hair

550
00:28:50,600 --> 00:28:56,000
Speaker 1: sheet up on the screen. Apparently thousands of CIA ghules

551
00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:59,440
Speaker 1: might get fired because they're not getting vaccinated. And I

552
00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:01,800
Speaker 1: think that personally, I view that as a win all

553
00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:03,520
Speaker 1: the way around. Pert. You know, this is the one

554
00:29:03,520 --> 00:29:05,960
Speaker 1: thing that could make me flip on the issue, which

555
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:08,040
Speaker 1: is that there's a lot of people apparently in the

556
00:29:08,160 --> 00:29:11,520
Speaker 1: Intel community who don't want to and you know, I

557
00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:14,120
Speaker 1: got to strike the balance between everybody has rights and

558
00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:16,120
Speaker 1: you know, I probably shouldn't judge people, you know, and

559
00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:18,760
Speaker 1: make sure everybody's taking advantage of it. But then also,

560
00:29:19,040 --> 00:29:21,360
Speaker 1: I'm sorry taken care of and then there's the the

561
00:29:21,400 --> 00:29:23,880
Speaker 1: Intel people. I'm like, wow, God, I just don't know

562
00:29:24,160 --> 00:29:27,400
Speaker 1: who decides. So we thought that's a funny little addendum

563
00:29:27,440 --> 00:29:29,720
Speaker 1: for those who hate the deep state. It could be

564
00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:32,760
Speaker 1: that the vax mandate is the most effective thing in

565
00:29:32,880 --> 00:29:34,720
Speaker 1: order to clean the deep state out in a very

566
00:29:34,720 --> 00:29:36,880
Speaker 1: long time. Although maybe these are the people who were

567
00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:39,400
Speaker 1: sympathetic to the deep state argument in the first place,

568
00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:41,400
Speaker 1: and they would be getting out and would turn you

569
00:29:41,480 --> 00:29:44,320
Speaker 1: into more of a neoliberal shill place. So who knows.

570
00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:46,520
Speaker 1: Maybe it's a maybe it's even worse of a situation.

571
00:29:47,320 --> 00:29:48,960
Speaker 1: I'm wondering when they're going to come up with a

572
00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:53,920
Speaker 1: vaccine for Havana Central. Well, you know that these people

573
00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:56,320
Speaker 1: had their way, that they certainly would be plowing hundreds

574
00:29:56,360 --> 00:29:58,520
Speaker 1: of billions of dollars toward that goal. Well, they already

575
00:29:58,720 --> 00:30:01,320
Speaker 1: they already passed the mode. Let's got relief. Now they

576
00:30:01,320 --> 00:30:05,840
Speaker 1: have research, they need even more, they need benefits, you know, yeah, yeah,

577
00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:10,640
Speaker 1: let's uh, we'll get right on top of that. Okay,

578
00:30:10,840 --> 00:30:13,200
Speaker 1: another important story we wanted to bring to you this morning.

579
00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:16,960
Speaker 1: So lots of developments. The John Deere strike continues. As

580
00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:21,520
Speaker 1: you guys likely know, John Deere offered a contract that

581
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:25,880
Speaker 1: was an improvement over the previous position it gave. It

582
00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:29,760
Speaker 1: offered raises, but it maintained, and this is a critical piece,

583
00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:35,520
Speaker 1: maintained that two tier structure where workers who have been

584
00:30:35,520 --> 00:30:37,800
Speaker 1: there for a long time get one level of pay,

585
00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:41,560
Speaker 1: one set of benefits, one level of pension, and workers

586
00:30:41,600 --> 00:30:44,840
Speaker 1: who came in more recently they're sort of kicked down

587
00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:49,240
Speaker 1: to that lower tier and their benefits, their pay, everything

588
00:30:49,520 --> 00:30:53,320
Speaker 1: is less than those workers who had been there for

589
00:30:53,360 --> 00:30:56,920
Speaker 1: a longer time. So in a narrow vote, that contract

590
00:30:56,960 --> 00:31:01,320
Speaker 1: offer was voted down, and so the continues. Here's the

591
00:31:01,400 --> 00:31:04,720
Speaker 1: very latest, let's throw this up on the screen. John

592
00:31:04,760 --> 00:31:09,040
Speaker 1: Dere customers are now facing weeks long delays for parts

593
00:31:09,240 --> 00:31:12,320
Speaker 1: orders due to the ongoing worker strike. This is the

594
00:31:12,360 --> 00:31:15,840
Speaker 1: first evidence of an impact taking hold during the farm

595
00:31:16,000 --> 00:31:20,120
Speaker 1: harvest season. Of course, these problems being compounded by the

596
00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:22,160
Speaker 1: fact that John Deere is dealing with their own issues

597
00:31:22,160 --> 00:31:24,920
Speaker 1: with the supply chain crisis. But here's why this is

598
00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:29,400
Speaker 1: really important. This is why these workers have leverage. So

599
00:31:29,560 --> 00:31:32,560
Speaker 1: if John Deere wasn't suffering, if they weren't having trouble

600
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:36,400
Speaker 1: getting their parts and their tractors out the door and

601
00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:39,239
Speaker 1: delivered on time, then they wouldn't have a lot of

602
00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:42,040
Speaker 1: incentive to come back with a better deal. They'd be

603
00:31:42,040 --> 00:31:44,240
Speaker 1: doing Okay, you know, they have this ridiculous plan in

604
00:31:44,280 --> 00:31:46,400
Speaker 1: place where they've got a bunch of their like office workers,

605
00:31:46,560 --> 00:31:50,680
Speaker 1: white collar workers trying to fill in mostly I think,

606
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:54,280
Speaker 1: dealing with inventory and trying to get parts out the door.

607
00:31:54,880 --> 00:31:59,000
Speaker 1: That plan is clearly not adequate and not working to

608
00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:02,560
Speaker 1: deliver on time time for their customers and for these

609
00:32:02,600 --> 00:32:06,200
Speaker 1: farmers this is really a make or break time of year.

610
00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:09,040
Speaker 1: In this story, they say, parts and components that US

611
00:32:09,120 --> 00:32:12,400
Speaker 1: farmers need to keep combines running in the busiest farming

612
00:32:12,440 --> 00:32:15,040
Speaker 1: season the year are taking as many as three weeks

613
00:32:15,040 --> 00:32:17,920
Speaker 1: to reach customer hands. That is in eternity when fields

614
00:32:17,960 --> 00:32:21,440
Speaker 1: need to be quickly harvested to stay ahead of wintry weather.

615
00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:24,960
Speaker 1: According to dealers and customers in the industry, so the

616
00:32:25,040 --> 00:32:29,000
Speaker 1: fact that the workers are causing John Deere to feel

617
00:32:29,120 --> 00:32:33,040
Speaker 1: pain here is highly significant in terms of ultimately their

618
00:32:33,080 --> 00:32:36,760
Speaker 1: negotiating position. Right, And so John Deere themselves saying, look,

619
00:32:36,760 --> 00:32:40,160
Speaker 1: we're done, We're not negotiating anymore. We'll see right. They've

620
00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:42,800
Speaker 1: said this is our final offer after it was rejected

621
00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:46,000
Speaker 1: there by the UAW. It was an immediate ten percent raise.

622
00:32:46,280 --> 00:32:48,200
Speaker 1: I mean, they are pointing out that John Deere has

623
00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:51,520
Speaker 1: just had its best year ever and looking into it

624
00:32:51,560 --> 00:32:53,719
Speaker 1: a bit more, what John Deere is trying to do

625
00:32:53,800 --> 00:32:57,200
Speaker 1: and they're going to increasingly face difficulty. Is they're going

626
00:32:57,280 --> 00:33:01,160
Speaker 1: to try and use overseas manufacturers and US strike breakers

627
00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:03,320
Speaker 1: in order to continue this. You're going to basically try

628
00:33:03,560 --> 00:33:07,040
Speaker 1: to import. Well, I guess our scabs and import ain't

629
00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:09,400
Speaker 1: gonna work in a supply chain crisis. You might have

630
00:33:09,480 --> 00:33:11,320
Speaker 1: heard of a backup over at the Port of LA

631
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:13,479
Speaker 1: So they're doubly screwed. And when it comes to that,

632
00:33:13,720 --> 00:33:15,680
Speaker 1: and same with the strike breakers, it's very clear these

633
00:33:15,720 --> 00:33:18,400
Speaker 1: people have no ability because there are a lot of

634
00:33:18,440 --> 00:33:21,600
Speaker 1: skilled employees that are out on strike, and they found that,

635
00:33:21,680 --> 00:33:23,920
Speaker 1: you know, they tried to bring their office workers in.

636
00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:27,400
Speaker 1: More so, John Deere also posturing here, the real question is, look,

637
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:29,720
Speaker 1: who's gonna hold out longer? And I think that the

638
00:33:29,760 --> 00:33:33,240
Speaker 1: workers having rejected two separate offers now, you know, and

639
00:33:33,320 --> 00:33:36,480
Speaker 1: saying no, absolutely not worth sticking to our guns, puts

640
00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:38,480
Speaker 1: the company in a real bad position. So two three

641
00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:40,160
Speaker 1: weeks from now, I think they're going to we'll see

642
00:33:40,160 --> 00:33:42,000
Speaker 1: if they come back to the table. It also it

643
00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:45,080
Speaker 1: was kind of, you know, it was a little duplicitous

644
00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:48,040
Speaker 1: the way that the company handled this latest contract offer

645
00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:51,600
Speaker 1: because they put it out there, and the vote for

646
00:33:51,680 --> 00:33:55,280
Speaker 1: the ratification happened before they made that statement that this

647
00:33:55,480 --> 00:33:57,880
Speaker 1: was their last best offer, which you know is a

648
00:33:57,960 --> 00:34:01,200
Speaker 1: useful piece of information when people are ultimately voting on

649
00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:04,120
Speaker 1: whether they're going to accept this deal or not. But

650
00:34:04,360 --> 00:34:06,840
Speaker 1: it seems like, you know, one of the key things

651
00:34:06,880 --> 00:34:10,040
Speaker 1: that workers have been complaining about and why they ultimately

652
00:34:10,040 --> 00:34:13,080
Speaker 1: decided to go out on strike was because of this

653
00:34:13,200 --> 00:34:16,680
Speaker 1: two tier system, and that was left in place in

654
00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:20,000
Speaker 1: the offer that was put on the table. As you referenced,

655
00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:24,640
Speaker 1: always important to note John Deere enjoying record breaking profits

656
00:34:25,000 --> 00:34:30,560
Speaker 1: nearly six billion dollars less projection for their full year earnings,

657
00:34:30,920 --> 00:34:34,040
Speaker 1: so they could make life better for these workers, they

658
00:34:34,120 --> 00:34:36,799
Speaker 1: could get rid of the two tier system if they

659
00:34:36,880 --> 00:34:41,120
Speaker 1: so chose. Clearly workers having an impact putting the squeeze

660
00:34:41,160 --> 00:34:44,399
Speaker 1: on them here. But as you guys know, John Deer

661
00:34:44,400 --> 00:34:47,680
Speaker 1: workers not the only workers who are on strike or

662
00:34:47,760 --> 00:34:52,120
Speaker 1: considering going on strike authorizing strike. We've been tracking over

663
00:34:52,440 --> 00:34:58,759
Speaker 1: thirty thousand healthcare workers for Kaiser who had previously authorized

664
00:34:58,800 --> 00:35:03,120
Speaker 1: a strike. They've taken another step that inches them right

665
00:35:03,239 --> 00:35:07,720
Speaker 1: up to the door of walking out, giving that company

666
00:35:07,920 --> 00:35:10,920
Speaker 1: ten day notice that they intend to go out on

667
00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:14,200
Speaker 1: strike on November fifteenth. This is from more Perfect Union.

668
00:35:14,640 --> 00:35:17,520
Speaker 1: They say thirty two thousand Kaiser workers have given ten

669
00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:20,359
Speaker 1: day notice they'll go out on strike. Workers in California

670
00:35:20,400 --> 00:35:24,800
Speaker 1: and Oregon are fighting against what two tier pay structure

671
00:35:25,440 --> 00:35:28,600
Speaker 1: that will slash new worker wages. They are also demanding

672
00:35:28,640 --> 00:35:32,840
Speaker 1: at least four percent raises. And part of why the

673
00:35:32,920 --> 00:35:37,600
Speaker 1: two tier system for Kaiser is so significant to these workers,

674
00:35:37,640 --> 00:35:39,560
Speaker 1: even the ones who you know are benefiting from the

675
00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:44,760
Speaker 1: higher level tier, is that these hospitals are dramatically understaffed,

676
00:35:45,120 --> 00:35:47,759
Speaker 1: so the workers that are there are being you know,

677
00:35:47,920 --> 00:35:52,719
Speaker 1: horrifically burdened and of course having you know, still being

678
00:35:52,760 --> 00:35:54,680
Speaker 1: in a pandemic and having come through the worst of

679
00:35:54,680 --> 00:35:57,680
Speaker 1: a pandemic. These people on the ground, I mean the

680
00:35:58,120 --> 00:36:00,880
Speaker 1: hours they've been going through, in the emotional toll, in

681
00:36:00,920 --> 00:36:03,520
Speaker 1: the burden, all of that. Well, if you have low

682
00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:07,640
Speaker 1: wages that you're offering to workers, you're going to stay understaffed.

683
00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:10,080
Speaker 1: Because we know that workers have a little bit of

684
00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:13,279
Speaker 1: power right now. And also a lot of workers are

685
00:36:13,360 --> 00:36:16,000
Speaker 1: leaving the healthcare industry because of what they went the

686
00:36:16,040 --> 00:36:19,480
Speaker 1: hell they went through through COVID, so they also feel

687
00:36:19,520 --> 00:36:23,240
Speaker 1: like this two tier structure means that they're staffing crisis

688
00:36:23,239 --> 00:36:27,359
Speaker 1: and their agony around that is just going to continue.

689
00:36:27,600 --> 00:36:33,480
Speaker 1: So again, Kaiser, huge profits ten billion dollars that they

690
00:36:33,600 --> 00:36:36,839
Speaker 1: made during the pandemic. If they wanted to get rid

691
00:36:36,880 --> 00:36:38,839
Speaker 1: of the two tier structure, if they wanted to give

692
00:36:38,960 --> 00:36:41,280
Speaker 1: their workers that, I'm sure they were happy to praise

693
00:36:41,320 --> 00:36:45,439
Speaker 1: as essential. You know, there are heroes, yes, etc. Etc.

694
00:36:45,920 --> 00:36:48,640
Speaker 1: If they wanted to give them four percent raise, little

695
00:36:48,640 --> 00:36:50,480
Speaker 1: bit of a bump and pay, they have more than

696
00:36:50,600 --> 00:36:52,440
Speaker 1: enough to be able to do that. Yeah, And look,

697
00:36:52,520 --> 00:36:55,560
Speaker 1: I'm always stunned whenever we look at the actual demands.

698
00:36:55,600 --> 00:36:58,440
Speaker 1: Here's what they're asking for, a four percent increase for

699
00:36:58,560 --> 00:37:02,280
Speaker 1: nurses and healthcare workers annually for the next three years.

700
00:37:02,480 --> 00:37:05,720
Speaker 1: Kaiser said, it's offering two percent. How are you supposed

701
00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:07,920
Speaker 1: to do with two percent? I mean, what are we

702
00:37:07,960 --> 00:37:12,799
Speaker 1: already covering inflation, food gas? I mean two percent is

703
00:37:12,840 --> 00:37:15,480
Speaker 1: not even going to cut it in the best of times.

704
00:37:15,719 --> 00:37:19,279
Speaker 1: And you're offering only four. How is that possible in

705
00:37:19,320 --> 00:37:23,160
Speaker 1: one of the most major economic disruptions in modern history.

706
00:37:23,200 --> 00:37:25,200
Speaker 1: And that's the thing they're willing to go to bat

707
00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:27,520
Speaker 1: just for four They should get ten. If they're what

708
00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:30,640
Speaker 1: they're really looking for. Especially they made ten billion in

709
00:37:30,719 --> 00:37:33,680
Speaker 1: terms of all of the healthcare subsidies that we've thrown

710
00:37:33,680 --> 00:37:36,560
Speaker 1: at these companies during coronavirus. I mean, they're doing better

711
00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:38,799
Speaker 1: than ever. And these people have to go out and

712
00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:43,440
Speaker 1: risk their livelihood just for a four percent annual raise

713
00:37:43,560 --> 00:37:46,120
Speaker 1: at a time where the cost of goods in terms

714
00:37:46,160 --> 00:37:48,799
Speaker 1: of what it actually costs, is going up much more

715
00:37:48,840 --> 00:37:51,319
Speaker 1: than that. You know, that pisses me off the most

716
00:37:51,320 --> 00:37:55,000
Speaker 1: about this. They're asking for less of a decrease in

717
00:37:55,000 --> 00:37:58,120
Speaker 1: their wages. Yes's actively when you factor in inflation. I mean,

718
00:37:58,120 --> 00:38:00,800
Speaker 1: that's what they're really asking for here. To get closer

719
00:38:00,880 --> 00:38:03,759
Speaker 1: to keeping up with the pace of inflation is what

720
00:38:03,800 --> 00:38:06,719
Speaker 1: they're asking for. And an end to the tier two

721
00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:10,239
Speaker 1: tier structure, which has made their lives miserable and also

722
00:38:10,239 --> 00:38:14,160
Speaker 1: of course breaks solidarity between the workforce and which is

723
00:38:14,160 --> 00:38:16,719
Speaker 1: the which is the whole intention of all of this.

724
00:38:17,000 --> 00:38:19,040
Speaker 1: You know, it's really interesting. I don't know if you

725
00:38:19,040 --> 00:38:21,080
Speaker 1: guys covered it last week when I was out, but

726
00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:25,400
Speaker 1: Joe Wisenthal tweeted Bloomberg article about how you have to

727
00:38:25,440 --> 00:38:27,080
Speaker 1: Oh no, I say that one for you. Two major

728
00:38:27,160 --> 00:38:31,320
Speaker 1: carriage FedEx and UPS. Okay, FedEx is non union. UPS

729
00:38:31,400 --> 00:38:34,239
Speaker 1: is organized by the teamsters. They're union workers. They're much

730
00:38:34,280 --> 00:38:36,120
Speaker 1: higher paid. These are good, you know, these are good

731
00:38:36,120 --> 00:38:38,560
Speaker 1: middle class jobs where if you're driving, you work your

732
00:38:38,560 --> 00:38:40,480
Speaker 1: way up, you can be making one hundred grand a year,

733
00:38:40,840 --> 00:38:43,799
Speaker 1: good benefits, pens and all those sorts of that sort

734
00:38:43,840 --> 00:38:47,960
Speaker 1: of middle class stability. By the way, very very difficult jobs,

735
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:50,920
Speaker 1: but you're able to earn enough to achieve that middle

736
00:38:50,920 --> 00:38:54,319
Speaker 1: class lifestyle. Not the case for FedEx. And now in

737
00:38:54,360 --> 00:38:59,279
Speaker 1: this crisis, FedEx is basically screwed because their workforce is

738
00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:03,399
Speaker 1: quitting mass. They have a massive labor shortage. They're having

739
00:39:03,440 --> 00:39:07,799
Speaker 1: to reroute hundreds of thousands of packages to deal with

740
00:39:07,840 --> 00:39:11,439
Speaker 1: the fact that they don't have enough drivers and other

741
00:39:11,520 --> 00:39:14,960
Speaker 1: workers to be able to handle the package load that

742
00:39:15,000 --> 00:39:18,839
Speaker 1: they've been inundated with. So, even though they pay their

743
00:39:18,880 --> 00:39:23,479
Speaker 1: workers much much less, UPS is not only making more,

744
00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:26,799
Speaker 1: but they have lower costs exactly because they actually have

745
00:39:26,920 --> 00:39:30,440
Speaker 1: the workforce that they needed. They have less turnover, people

746
00:39:30,520 --> 00:39:34,000
Speaker 1: are trained, their system is able to work efficiently, and

747
00:39:34,080 --> 00:39:37,320
Speaker 1: so they are destroying FedEx in the competition right now,

748
00:39:37,680 --> 00:39:40,480
Speaker 1: Just showing how the whole point that I wanted to

749
00:39:40,480 --> 00:39:43,000
Speaker 1: make with this is basically these companies can be pennywise

750
00:39:43,000 --> 00:39:45,680
Speaker 1: and pound foolish, whereby trying to nickel and dime their

751
00:39:45,719 --> 00:39:48,480
Speaker 1: workers and not paying them enough to actually make it

752
00:39:48,560 --> 00:39:50,959
Speaker 1: worth it to take the job or to do the job,

753
00:39:51,120 --> 00:39:53,840
Speaker 1: they're actually shooting themselves in the foot here. Ultimately, So

754
00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:55,799
Speaker 1: even if you don't care about the fairness of the

755
00:39:55,800 --> 00:39:58,040
Speaker 1: people who got us through this pandemic and have been

756
00:39:58,080 --> 00:40:00,080
Speaker 1: doing the lord's work, I had my own interactions with

757
00:40:00,120 --> 00:40:04,040
Speaker 1: the healthcare system last week, and God bless those nurses

758
00:40:04,480 --> 00:40:07,680
Speaker 1: and the work that they have taken on every single day.

759
00:40:08,080 --> 00:40:10,400
Speaker 1: Even if you don't care about this, this can be

760
00:40:10,640 --> 00:40:15,719
Speaker 1: incredibly idiotic just from a business perspective in order to

761
00:40:15,800 --> 00:40:18,800
Speaker 1: continue to have an efficient operation and be able to

762
00:40:19,400 --> 00:40:21,319
Speaker 1: profit and expand and move forward. It's very true, you know,

763
00:40:21,440 --> 00:40:26,120
Speaker 1: even anecdotally seeing stuff on next door or whatever. By

764
00:40:26,120 --> 00:40:28,480
Speaker 1: the way, if anybody's not on nextdoor, I recommend it

765
00:40:28,560 --> 00:40:30,520
Speaker 1: just to see what the Karens are up to. But

766
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:34,319
Speaker 1: everybody is saying stuff like, oh my gosh, can't send

767
00:40:34,320 --> 00:40:36,640
Speaker 1: anything by FedEx. And I had to send something to somebody,

768
00:40:36,640 --> 00:40:38,120
Speaker 1: and I read that article and I was like, here

769
00:40:38,160 --> 00:40:40,520
Speaker 1: we go, Yes, this is why it's a little bit further,

770
00:40:40,800 --> 00:40:42,880
Speaker 1: but I'm going to the ups store to actually make

771
00:40:42,880 --> 00:40:45,240
Speaker 1: sure my thing gets there on time. It's the difference

772
00:40:45,280 --> 00:40:50,640
Speaker 1: between a high profit margin but fragile business exactly and

773
00:40:50,840 --> 00:40:55,279
Speaker 1: a sustainable business supply chain all of those things, and

774
00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:59,920
Speaker 1: having workers who actually can live and are happy relatively

775
00:41:00,200 --> 00:41:03,840
Speaker 1: in their job makes your business much less fragile, ultimately

776
00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:06,120
Speaker 1: makes your entire economy allow us. Unions in many way

777
00:41:06,160 --> 00:41:08,920
Speaker 1: are a very tool for anti fragility. So there we go.

778
00:41:09,080 --> 00:41:12,280
Speaker 1: Absolutely all right, let's move on to this one media segment.

779
00:41:12,320 --> 00:41:15,480
Speaker 1: You know, we covered when You're Out Crystal, the Meltdown

780
00:41:15,600 --> 00:41:19,920
Speaker 1: MSNBC Meltdown, I don't know it's Johnny Mautsire was some

781
00:41:20,000 --> 00:41:23,680
Speaker 1: of the most beautiful television that we received quite a

782
00:41:23,680 --> 00:41:27,320
Speaker 1: long time. Joy Read and Nicole Wallace there talking about

783
00:41:27,320 --> 00:41:30,760
Speaker 1: critical race theory. Brian Selter I guess to his credit

784
00:41:30,800 --> 00:41:34,480
Speaker 1: over there over at CNN, he invited Batya, who we've

785
00:41:34,480 --> 00:41:36,480
Speaker 1: had here on the show, who talked about woke news,

786
00:41:36,520 --> 00:41:39,800
Speaker 1: bad news, and why wokeness is bad for the media generally,

787
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:42,600
Speaker 1: in order to discuss both her book in the context

788
00:41:42,680 --> 00:41:45,359
Speaker 1: of the Virginia election, and she basically called him out

789
00:41:45,440 --> 00:41:48,799
Speaker 1: right to his face, eliciting a pretty hilarious reaction. Let's

790
00:41:48,840 --> 00:41:51,120
Speaker 1: take a listen. But a lot of this conversation around

791
00:41:51,120 --> 00:41:55,080
Speaker 1: Wolkness is actually about class. We are hiding a class

792
00:41:55,080 --> 00:41:58,320
Speaker 1: divide in America. We are hiding the just disgusting levels

793
00:41:58,320 --> 00:42:01,320
Speaker 1: of income inequality in America. We are hiding the total

794
00:42:01,360 --> 00:42:04,480
Speaker 1: dispossession of the working class of all races by focusing

795
00:42:04,520 --> 00:42:08,719
Speaker 1: on a very highly specialized academic language around race. And

796
00:42:09,000 --> 00:42:11,680
Speaker 1: I think what happened, you know, Glenn Youngkin's victory was

797
00:42:11,680 --> 00:42:15,719
Speaker 1: a perfect example of this. The media's response to Youngkin's

798
00:42:15,800 --> 00:42:19,000
Speaker 1: victory is literally the reason that he won, right, How

799
00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:20,839
Speaker 1: did they respond? There was one hundred media as one

800
00:42:20,880 --> 00:42:24,399
Speaker 1: hundred reactions. You're being pretty overly generalized, and I think

801
00:42:24,640 --> 00:42:26,880
Speaker 1: let me get more specific for you, Okay, because I

802
00:42:26,920 --> 00:42:29,120
Speaker 1: have to say, I have to admit, having watched sann

803
00:42:29,160 --> 00:42:31,239
Speaker 1: all week, there's been a lot of very very very

804
00:42:31,239 --> 00:42:35,120
Speaker 1: good genuflection on this front. But what happened right after

805
00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:38,080
Speaker 1: the election was you saw host after host after host

806
00:42:38,160 --> 00:42:41,920
Speaker 1: on MSNBC saying, oh, this is a victory for white supremacy. Right,

807
00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:45,480
Speaker 1: white supremacy wins again. Racism wins again. When you know

808
00:42:45,680 --> 00:42:48,600
Speaker 1: the lieutenant governor that Youngkin one with will be the

809
00:42:48,600 --> 00:42:51,600
Speaker 1: first black woman to hold that job. When Glenn Youngkin

810
00:42:51,680 --> 00:42:55,239
Speaker 1: managed to flip majority black districts, when he managed to

811
00:42:55,280 --> 00:42:57,880
Speaker 1: get between forty and fifty percent of Latino voters, are

812
00:42:57,880 --> 00:43:00,239
Speaker 1: all of those people white supremacists? Of course, of course

813
00:43:00,239 --> 00:43:02,120
Speaker 1: they're not. They're people who are worried about number one,

814
00:43:02,160 --> 00:43:06,040
Speaker 1: the economy, right, and number two schooling. And it seems

815
00:43:06,080 --> 00:43:08,439
Speaker 1: to me it is such a self owned to tell

816
00:43:08,480 --> 00:43:11,040
Speaker 1: people who are worried about the economy that that is

817
00:43:11,080 --> 00:43:15,400
Speaker 1: white supremacy, right. You are essentially criminalizing the views of

818
00:43:15,480 --> 00:43:20,840
Speaker 1: working class Americans. Hmmm, Oh, interesting point. And for Brian

819
00:43:21,040 --> 00:43:24,080
Speaker 1: to say he doesn't know what she's talking about, Grabian

820
00:43:24,160 --> 00:43:26,759
Speaker 1: actually put together a nice little super cut including much

821
00:43:26,800 --> 00:43:30,640
Speaker 1: of CNN's coverage. This is what their actual response to

822
00:43:30,680 --> 00:43:34,040
Speaker 1: the election was. Batcha is not lying whenever she says

823
00:43:34,040 --> 00:43:36,440
Speaker 1: that this is pretty much the uniform take. Let's take

824
00:43:36,440 --> 00:43:40,279
Speaker 1: a lesson Glenn Younkein played the race card for a

825
00:43:40,320 --> 00:43:45,280
Speaker 1: reason because he knows it works on certain white voters.

826
00:43:45,320 --> 00:43:48,600
Speaker 1: He did stoke white grievance politics to mobilize the Republican base.

827
00:43:48,680 --> 00:43:54,400
Speaker 1: He's laundered Trump's really sort of disgusting, flagrant out racism.

828
00:43:54,560 --> 00:43:58,760
Speaker 1: He's wrapped it in education. Education, which is code for

829
00:43:59,239 --> 00:44:02,120
Speaker 1: white parents. Don't like the idea of teaching about race.

830
00:44:02,160 --> 00:44:05,400
Speaker 1: That's the fundamental problem for these parents and this anti

831
00:44:05,480 --> 00:44:08,960
Speaker 1: CRT movement. They don't like the way whiteness is being

832
00:44:09,000 --> 00:44:12,640
Speaker 1: portrayed in these new, more inclusive lessons. This wasn't about

833
00:44:12,680 --> 00:44:16,080
Speaker 1: those pocketbook issues. This was about how white kids feel

834
00:44:16,160 --> 00:44:18,560
Speaker 1: talking about what black kids go through. The subtext of

835
00:44:18,560 --> 00:44:20,759
Speaker 1: all this was we can't let these black and brown

836
00:44:20,800 --> 00:44:25,080
Speaker 1: people run the country. Glenn Youngkin running on critical race

837
00:44:25,120 --> 00:44:28,440
Speaker 1: theory that he knew hit a chord around race. I

838
00:44:28,440 --> 00:44:30,960
Speaker 1: think all the CRT stuff is trumped up dog whistling.

839
00:44:31,080 --> 00:44:35,520
Speaker 1: Some of it was dog whistle racism. The dog whistle

840
00:44:35,640 --> 00:44:39,520
Speaker 1: messaging that you saw Young Cain engage in during the

841
00:44:39,520 --> 00:44:43,440
Speaker 1: course of the campaign. CRT is the latest line of

842
00:44:43,640 --> 00:44:49,440
Speaker 1: school bussing, crosshound bussing, the welfare queens. You have it same,

843
00:44:49,520 --> 00:44:51,160
Speaker 1: It's in that same line, and you saw it in

844
00:44:51,200 --> 00:44:55,840
Speaker 1: the results in Virginia. It's more palatable. Republican who still

845
00:44:55,920 --> 00:44:58,680
Speaker 1: uses the same racist themes that Trump did, he just

846
00:44:58,760 --> 00:45:01,680
Speaker 1: packaged them in a sock. Her dead sweater best model.

847
00:45:01,800 --> 00:45:05,480
Speaker 1: He's found a way to launder a pretty racist trope,

848
00:45:05,520 --> 00:45:08,000
Speaker 1: this idea that we cannot talk about America's history because

849
00:45:08,040 --> 00:45:11,000
Speaker 1: it hurts my feelings. He's turned that into a campaign.

850
00:45:11,040 --> 00:45:16,440
Speaker 1: White voters do have anxiety about a changing America right

851
00:45:16,520 --> 00:45:18,799
Speaker 1: that it is blacker, it is browner. You've got the

852
00:45:18,800 --> 00:45:21,840
Speaker 1: Republicans yelling like, hey, look, the black and brown folks

853
00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:25,920
Speaker 1: are coming for us. Some Republican candidates are perfectly willing

854
00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:30,440
Speaker 1: to use race as a motivating factor for their base.

855
00:45:30,480 --> 00:45:33,200
Speaker 1: That has gone on for decades, and it happened this year.

856
00:45:33,360 --> 00:45:36,640
Speaker 1: Race is just the most palpable tool in the toolkit

857
00:45:37,080 --> 00:45:38,680
Speaker 1: used to be of the Democratic Party back in the

858
00:45:38,719 --> 00:45:41,240
Speaker 1: day when they were Distocrats, and now of the Republican Party.

859
00:45:41,280 --> 00:45:43,400
Speaker 1: This is about the fact that a good chunk of

860
00:45:43,480 --> 00:45:47,279
Speaker 1: voters out there are okay with white supremacy. Let's call

861
00:45:47,320 --> 00:45:50,080
Speaker 1: a thing a thing. Actually scratch that, they are more

862
00:45:50,120 --> 00:45:56,319
Speaker 1: than okay. There's a lot. So, first of all, I

863
00:45:56,360 --> 00:46:00,839
Speaker 1: think both the that analysis and people on the right

864
00:46:01,160 --> 00:46:03,680
Speaker 1: who are like CRD we found our thing, like this

865
00:46:03,719 --> 00:46:06,200
Speaker 1: is what we're going to run with. I think both

866
00:46:06,320 --> 00:46:10,359
Speaker 1: are way overestimating how much of a factor this was

867
00:46:10,600 --> 00:46:14,640
Speaker 1: in Virginia or these other races, because we saw the

868
00:46:14,680 --> 00:46:19,520
Speaker 1: same shift to Republicans among independent voters and suburbans, et

869
00:46:19,560 --> 00:46:22,279
Speaker 1: cetera across So not just in Virginia, but in New

870
00:46:22,360 --> 00:46:25,799
Speaker 1: Jersey too, and Nassau County in Long Island, right so

871
00:46:25,960 --> 00:46:28,600
Speaker 1: where you know, here in Virginia there were these couple

872
00:46:28,640 --> 00:46:31,200
Speaker 1: little flare ups around what was being taught in the schools,

873
00:46:31,200 --> 00:46:33,640
Speaker 1: et cetera, But that was not the case in those

874
00:46:33,680 --> 00:46:36,439
Speaker 1: states exactly. So I think the analysis is a lot

875
00:46:36,600 --> 00:46:40,359
Speaker 1: more simple. You have seventy percent of Americans who say

876
00:46:40,400 --> 00:46:43,319
Speaker 1: the country is on the wrong track and Democrats are

877
00:46:43,400 --> 00:46:47,120
Speaker 1: in charge, so there's a huge swing. I don't want

878
00:46:47,120 --> 00:46:48,640
Speaker 1: to say that it had nothing to do with it.

879
00:46:48,680 --> 00:46:53,440
Speaker 1: And yes, racial politics are incredibly potent and continue to

880
00:46:53,440 --> 00:46:56,799
Speaker 1: be incredibly potent in American politics, but also just on

881
00:46:56,840 --> 00:46:59,560
Speaker 1: the school issue, you know, I actually saw a pretty

882
00:46:59,560 --> 00:47:03,840
Speaker 1: good segment on CNN where they interviewed four white suburban

883
00:47:03,920 --> 00:47:06,880
Speaker 1: moms who had flipped from voting for Biden to voting

884
00:47:06,920 --> 00:47:10,279
Speaker 1: for young kid, and their concerns were schools. It had

885
00:47:10,320 --> 00:47:13,399
Speaker 1: nothing to do with CRT. Every single one of them

886
00:47:13,440 --> 00:47:15,480
Speaker 1: was totally clear, like no, I was pissed off that

887
00:47:15,520 --> 00:47:18,000
Speaker 1: the schools were shut down. I was pissed off that

888
00:47:18,040 --> 00:47:20,879
Speaker 1: my kids are behind and I don't feel like these

889
00:47:20,880 --> 00:47:24,319
Speaker 1: schools are doing enough to get them ahead. Now, look,

890
00:47:24,400 --> 00:47:27,680
Speaker 1: you can say governors don't have all that much too,

891
00:47:27,760 --> 00:47:30,040
Speaker 1: that's probably more of a local school board issue, et cetera,

892
00:47:30,080 --> 00:47:32,880
Speaker 1: et cetera. But I think a lot of the energy

893
00:47:32,960 --> 00:47:39,000
Speaker 1: around education that was represented as about CRT was actually

894
00:47:39,120 --> 00:47:42,200
Speaker 1: about questions around school closures and learning laws and those

895
00:47:42,239 --> 00:47:43,799
Speaker 1: sorts of things. I couldn't agree with you more. And

896
00:47:43,800 --> 00:47:45,960
Speaker 1: actually what happened is that CRT. And once again, I'm

897
00:47:45,960 --> 00:47:47,480
Speaker 1: not going to diminish it. I do think it was

898
00:47:47,520 --> 00:47:50,719
Speaker 1: potent in some respects, perhaps with some voters, But I

899
00:47:50,719 --> 00:47:55,480
Speaker 1: did not know this Virginia behind Maryland, was the locality

900
00:47:56,160 --> 00:47:59,280
Speaker 1: or the state which kept its schools closed for longer

901
00:47:59,320 --> 00:48:02,680
Speaker 1: than second anybody else in the entire country. That seems

902
00:48:02,719 --> 00:48:05,560
Speaker 1: pretty you know, potent. Yeah, And look, it's exactly right.

903
00:48:05,600 --> 00:48:07,680
Speaker 1: And that's what we pointed to here over and over again,

904
00:48:07,719 --> 00:48:10,400
Speaker 1: which is, look, is critical race theory part of it. Yes,

905
00:48:10,560 --> 00:48:13,280
Speaker 1: but the number one issue in this election was the economy.

906
00:48:13,400 --> 00:48:16,320
Speaker 1: Number one, thirty three percent of all voters as opposed

907
00:48:16,320 --> 00:48:19,000
Speaker 1: to twenty something percent on education, said that it was

908
00:48:19,040 --> 00:48:22,160
Speaker 1: the economy, inflation being one of the major concerns. Glenn

909
00:48:22,200 --> 00:48:24,560
Speaker 1: Youngkin famously ran that ad, which we played here on

910
00:48:24,560 --> 00:48:26,680
Speaker 1: the show, and I have not yet heard a single

911
00:48:26,920 --> 00:48:30,360
Speaker 1: media personality point to it about lowering grocery prices. That

912
00:48:30,520 --> 00:48:34,400
Speaker 1: is actually pretty goddamn effective in an election where whenever

913
00:48:34,440 --> 00:48:36,520
Speaker 1: you go, when you talk to working people, and I'm

914
00:48:36,560 --> 00:48:39,000
Speaker 1: actually going to get to in my monologue around gas

915
00:48:39,000 --> 00:48:42,360
Speaker 1: prices and conversations even I've overheard organically that is the

916
00:48:42,400 --> 00:48:45,760
Speaker 1: main thing that's affecting. And same whenever it comes to education.

917
00:48:45,920 --> 00:48:48,880
Speaker 1: There's a Matt Glassman. He's a political analyst. He tweeted

918
00:48:48,880 --> 00:48:50,759
Speaker 1: something like this. He's like, look in my interaction with

919
00:48:50,840 --> 00:48:55,280
Speaker 1: Fairfax voters who switched from from Biden to Glenn Youngkin,

920
00:48:55,600 --> 00:48:58,040
Speaker 1: it had nothing to do with critical race theory. Fairfax

921
00:48:58,080 --> 00:49:01,160
Speaker 1: County just had its schools closed longer than almost any

922
00:49:01,160 --> 00:49:05,840
Speaker 1: school district in the nation. So I am a white

923
00:49:05,920 --> 00:49:10,160
Speaker 1: Virginia soccer mom. I live in a rural county. I

924
00:49:10,200 --> 00:49:12,840
Speaker 1: don't think you could even call it exurbin But I

925
00:49:12,920 --> 00:49:15,439
Speaker 1: talked to the other moms. Okay, not one of them.

926
00:49:15,560 --> 00:49:18,760
Speaker 1: I have yet to ever hear anyone in King George

927
00:49:18,760 --> 00:49:22,080
Speaker 1: County used the words critical race theory. What I have

928
00:49:22,200 --> 00:49:25,799
Speaker 1: heard a lot of talk about is inflation, cost at

929
00:49:25,800 --> 00:49:30,799
Speaker 1: the grocery store, cost to stay, an ability to get fit,

930
00:49:30,960 --> 00:49:33,279
Speaker 1: you know, anew whatever it is that they wanted to

931
00:49:33,280 --> 00:49:36,000
Speaker 1: get into their house for Christmas. And I've heard a

932
00:49:36,239 --> 00:49:40,920
Speaker 1: lot of talk about school policies with regarding even now

933
00:49:40,960 --> 00:49:43,680
Speaker 1: to ongoing quarantine. So if your kid is exposed, they

934
00:49:43,680 --> 00:49:45,120
Speaker 1: have to go on for two weeks and you have

935
00:49:45,160 --> 00:49:47,560
Speaker 1: to get them tests, and the tests you're expensive, the

936
00:49:48,520 --> 00:49:51,759
Speaker 1: misery of virtual schooling. I heard a lot about how

937
00:49:51,840 --> 00:49:54,560
Speaker 1: kids got behind. However's trying to meddle through. Those are

938
00:49:54,560 --> 00:49:57,399
Speaker 1: the conversations that at least I'm hearing among the other

939
00:49:57,440 --> 00:50:00,759
Speaker 1: soccer moms in my town. Now, again that's not to

940
00:50:00,760 --> 00:50:03,279
Speaker 1: say that this had nothing to do with it, but

941
00:50:03,360 --> 00:50:06,319
Speaker 1: I think a lot of the analysis really oversold it.

942
00:50:06,360 --> 00:50:09,640
Speaker 1: And to go back to Butch's point, part of why

943
00:50:09,800 --> 00:50:14,040
Speaker 1: it's very convenient for the sort of media liberals to

944
00:50:14,160 --> 00:50:17,480
Speaker 1: lean into this analysis of just like, well everybody's a racism.

945
00:50:17,560 --> 00:50:21,239
Speaker 1: What can you do is it lets the Democrats completely

946
00:50:21,280 --> 00:50:24,839
Speaker 1: off the hook if everyone is just irretrievable, you know,

947
00:50:24,920 --> 00:50:27,719
Speaker 1: irrevocably racist, and there's nothing you can do about it,

948
00:50:27,960 --> 00:50:31,120
Speaker 1: then their failure is justified. Terry mccaulliff, you know, he

949
00:50:31,239 --> 00:50:33,840
Speaker 1: run a brilliant campaign, it's just people are racist. What

950
00:50:33,840 --> 00:50:36,360
Speaker 1: can you do? And of course they never talk about

951
00:50:36,600 --> 00:50:39,959
Speaker 1: the fact that there's some conflicting data about how Glen

952
00:50:40,000 --> 00:50:42,920
Speaker 1: Youngkin did with Latinos, but looks like he did pretty

953
00:50:42,920 --> 00:50:45,560
Speaker 1: well with Latino either want a majority or near majority,

954
00:50:45,719 --> 00:50:49,359
Speaker 1: or with Asian and also with Asian Americans. So those

955
00:50:49,400 --> 00:50:52,480
Speaker 1: pieces of the conversation are totally left out, I think

956
00:50:52,520 --> 00:50:55,640
Speaker 1: on the analysis all the way around. And I also

957
00:50:55,680 --> 00:50:57,879
Speaker 1: think Botch's point though, is a good one that part

958
00:50:57,960 --> 00:51:01,320
Speaker 1: of why Democrats are seeing such an erosion with working

959
00:51:01,320 --> 00:51:06,640
Speaker 1: class voters is because, rather than focusing on what they

960
00:51:06,640 --> 00:51:09,560
Speaker 1: could deliver for people to build back better Bill in

961
00:51:09,560 --> 00:51:12,520
Speaker 1: its total collapse being case in point, they lean into

962
00:51:12,560 --> 00:51:17,120
Speaker 1: this very off putting language where if your whole politics

963
00:51:17,239 --> 00:51:20,120
Speaker 1: is around culture war signaling, and what you've decided to

964
00:51:20,160 --> 00:51:24,320
Speaker 1: signal to is just this like group of educated, suburban

965
00:51:24,360 --> 00:51:27,000
Speaker 1: white people, then that's who you're gonna win. And by

966
00:51:27,040 --> 00:51:30,440
Speaker 1: the way, Terry McCalls actually did better yes, than Biden

967
00:51:30,480 --> 00:51:35,680
Speaker 1: did with white suburban women's college graduate women. The people

968
00:51:35,760 --> 00:51:38,439
Speaker 1: you were going after they showed up for you, Maybe

969
00:51:38,520 --> 00:51:40,279
Speaker 1: run a campaign that's going to appeal to a broader

970
00:51:40,320 --> 00:51:42,640
Speaker 1: group of people. Very, very excellent point. All right, let's

971
00:51:42,640 --> 00:51:45,799
Speaker 1: get to this next story, which is really harrowing. The

972
00:51:45,840 --> 00:51:50,200
Speaker 1: worst concert disaster since nineteen seventy nine in the United States.

973
00:51:50,200 --> 00:51:53,439
Speaker 1: We're talking about Astro World and Travis Scott's concert over

974
00:51:53,440 --> 00:51:55,839
Speaker 1: this weekend in the city of Houston. So let's put

975
00:51:55,840 --> 00:51:58,280
Speaker 1: this New York Times tear sheet up there on the screen,

976
00:51:58,320 --> 00:52:01,720
Speaker 1: which actually does a decent enough job of summarizing exactly

977
00:52:01,800 --> 00:52:04,520
Speaker 1: what happened here. So the Astra World concert, there's been

978
00:52:04,520 --> 00:52:07,399
Speaker 1: a lot of discussion here online. Now. The number one

979
00:52:07,440 --> 00:52:10,080
Speaker 1: thing is that there were a couple of different things

980
00:52:10,080 --> 00:52:13,680
Speaker 1: that were happening. Number one is that the crowds themselves

981
00:52:13,719 --> 00:52:16,360
Speaker 1: were just simply out of control. And what they point

982
00:52:16,400 --> 00:52:19,000
Speaker 1: to within this Times article is that the signs of

983
00:52:19,040 --> 00:52:23,000
Speaker 1: trouble were not immediately apparent, but that concert goers at

984
00:52:23,040 --> 00:52:26,200
Speaker 1: the very beginning were beginning to see that there was

985
00:52:26,360 --> 00:52:29,720
Speaker 1: a major crush of people that were entering the venue

986
00:52:30,040 --> 00:52:33,920
Speaker 1: and that increasingly they felt claustrophobic, very much in the

987
00:52:33,960 --> 00:52:36,640
Speaker 1: hours to the lead up before Travis Scott even took

988
00:52:36,760 --> 00:52:39,520
Speaker 1: the stage, So that was number one. Number two was

989
00:52:39,520 --> 00:52:42,239
Speaker 1: that there is a lot of discussion about both security,

990
00:52:42,480 --> 00:52:44,880
Speaker 1: the fact that security was not able to secure the venue,

991
00:52:44,920 --> 00:52:47,319
Speaker 1: and we will get to a video showing very much

992
00:52:47,320 --> 00:52:51,160
Speaker 1: of that, but also healthcare workers themselves embedded within the crowd,

993
00:52:51,360 --> 00:52:54,399
Speaker 1: whether they had enough the ability to EMTs and more

994
00:52:54,440 --> 00:52:57,280
Speaker 1: in order to respond to the disaster once it occurred.

995
00:52:57,600 --> 00:53:01,520
Speaker 1: Three is that the authorities and travel Scott himself are

996
00:53:01,600 --> 00:53:03,759
Speaker 1: under major question here as to why they did not

997
00:53:04,080 --> 00:53:06,880
Speaker 1: shut the concert down whenever it was then apparent that

998
00:53:06,960 --> 00:53:10,239
Speaker 1: things were totally out of control. Four and Crystal, You've

999
00:53:10,239 --> 00:53:12,799
Speaker 1: gone very down the loophole here is that there was

1000
00:53:13,000 --> 00:53:16,640
Speaker 1: some possible incident in terms of there was a rumor

1001
00:53:16,719 --> 00:53:19,799
Speaker 1: going around that somebody was injecting somebody else with something

1002
00:53:19,840 --> 00:53:22,440
Speaker 1: within the crowd, which might have spawned some of the

1003
00:53:22,480 --> 00:53:26,440
Speaker 1: initial freak out disaster. Houston authorities confirmed that that was

1004
00:53:26,560 --> 00:53:31,480
Speaker 1: under investigation. Again under investigation, not necessarily that it was true.

1005
00:53:31,640 --> 00:53:34,200
Speaker 1: So there was a confluence of kind of just crazy

1006
00:53:34,239 --> 00:53:37,160
Speaker 1: stuff that was happening, and just to give people an

1007
00:53:37,200 --> 00:53:40,320
Speaker 1: idea of what the crush looked like. Let's go ahead

1008
00:53:40,320 --> 00:53:42,960
Speaker 1: and put this video there. You can see here the

1009
00:53:43,040 --> 00:53:46,480
Speaker 1: vip entrance where people were blasting through the barricade. I'm

1010
00:53:46,480 --> 00:53:48,960
Speaker 1: talking about hundreds and hundreds of people that are just

1011
00:53:49,000 --> 00:53:53,640
Speaker 1: streaming through, knocking over the metal detectors, overwhelming the security guards.

1012
00:53:53,840 --> 00:53:55,840
Speaker 1: You can see that security at the venue was just

1013
00:53:55,880 --> 00:53:58,880
Speaker 1: clearly not adequate. And you know, I think it's important

1014
00:53:58,920 --> 00:54:01,560
Speaker 1: to note that Travis Scott himself has encouraged this type

1015
00:54:01,560 --> 00:54:04,760
Speaker 1: of behavior in terms of rushing into the venue telling

1016
00:54:04,760 --> 00:54:07,719
Speaker 1: people to get in there, you know, kind of regardless

1017
00:54:07,719 --> 00:54:10,560
Speaker 1: of whatever the consequences might be. I'm not saying directly

1018
00:54:10,640 --> 00:54:13,920
Speaker 1: he's like responsible or whatever, but it is something that

1019
00:54:13,960 --> 00:54:17,160
Speaker 1: he has said in the past, and it's important in

1020
00:54:17,280 --> 00:54:20,200
Speaker 1: order to note with that security video, from what we

1021
00:54:20,239 --> 00:54:24,440
Speaker 1: can see about what was happening, that Scott himself appeared

1022
00:54:24,480 --> 00:54:27,920
Speaker 1: to be slightly aware of that there was some chaos

1023
00:54:28,239 --> 00:54:32,799
Speaker 1: within the crowd while their actual rescue attempts were being made.

1024
00:54:32,840 --> 00:54:35,239
Speaker 1: So this is another video. Put this up there on

1025
00:54:35,280 --> 00:54:39,200
Speaker 1: the screen please, where you can see that Scott himself

1026
00:54:39,600 --> 00:54:45,520
Speaker 1: is playing and singing while somebody is unconscious directly below him.

1027
00:54:45,560 --> 00:54:48,160
Speaker 1: And so the camera pans there to somebody who is

1028
00:54:48,160 --> 00:54:52,600
Speaker 1: completely unconscious being grabbed there by EMT texts. So there's

1029
00:54:52,600 --> 00:54:56,360
Speaker 1: a lot happening. Crystal Travis Scott apparently had not stopped

1030
00:54:56,400 --> 00:54:59,040
Speaker 1: the concert. Brat posited a couple of times somebody okay,

1031
00:54:59,200 --> 00:55:01,000
Speaker 1: so he was an aware that something was going on

1032
00:55:01,360 --> 00:55:04,080
Speaker 1: while this disaster unfolded. Eight people are dead, okay, and

1033
00:55:04,120 --> 00:55:07,120
Speaker 1: we're talking about little teenagers, fourteen, sixteen year old boys,

1034
00:55:07,280 --> 00:55:09,640
Speaker 1: some twenty one year old college students. These are very

1035
00:55:09,719 --> 00:55:11,640
Speaker 1: very young victims. And there are hundreds of people were

1036
00:55:11,640 --> 00:55:14,080
Speaker 1: injured as well. So it's a terrible situation, really sad.

1037
00:55:14,160 --> 00:55:17,759
Speaker 1: Eight people killed, hundreds injured at this point, one of

1038
00:55:17,840 --> 00:55:22,320
Speaker 1: the worst concert tragedies in history. And to your point,

1039
00:55:22,480 --> 00:55:26,440
Speaker 1: and this is the big question, honestly, why didn't they

1040
00:55:26,520 --> 00:55:28,960
Speaker 1: stop it sooner? Yeah? I mean there are other videos

1041
00:55:29,000 --> 00:55:33,120
Speaker 1: going around of people climbing up to where the camera

1042
00:55:33,200 --> 00:55:35,640
Speaker 1: operators are trying to get them, trying to get them

1043
00:55:35,680 --> 00:55:38,560
Speaker 1: screening app people are dying, like I'm trying to save

1044
00:55:38,560 --> 00:55:42,000
Speaker 1: the life here stop and trying to get them turn

1045
00:55:42,080 --> 00:55:45,160
Speaker 1: the cameras on to do something to stop the concert.

1046
00:55:45,760 --> 00:55:51,440
Speaker 1: The show went on for forty minutes after authorities say

1047
00:55:51,480 --> 00:55:56,560
Speaker 1: this became a mass casualty event forty more minutes. And

1048
00:55:56,640 --> 00:55:59,840
Speaker 1: so in some ways, the fact that the live streams

1049
00:56:00,640 --> 00:56:05,600
Speaker 1: Travis Scott sometimes pausing, stopping the songs and then continuing,

1050
00:56:06,200 --> 00:56:08,880
Speaker 1: it's almost more damning because after the fact he said, oh,

1051
00:56:08,880 --> 00:56:11,640
Speaker 1: we had no idea what was going on. And look,

1052
00:56:12,360 --> 00:56:15,040
Speaker 1: I believe that he didn't know the extent of how

1053
00:56:15,080 --> 00:56:18,120
Speaker 1: bad things were, but clearly there were indications that he

1054
00:56:18,200 --> 00:56:21,719
Speaker 1: knew this was going poorly and no one steps in

1055
00:56:22,200 --> 00:56:25,400
Speaker 1: to stop. So I did go really deep on this.

1056
00:56:25,520 --> 00:56:27,200
Speaker 1: I read a lot about it. I watch a lot

1057
00:56:27,280 --> 00:56:29,680
Speaker 1: of the videos because you just ask yourself, like, how

1058
00:56:29,719 --> 00:56:32,040
Speaker 1: the hell did this happen? And I do think it

1059
00:56:32,080 --> 00:56:36,760
Speaker 1: was just this confluence of horrific factors. You had way

1060
00:56:36,800 --> 00:56:39,600
Speaker 1: too many people packed in to this place, and when

1061
00:56:39,600 --> 00:56:41,160
Speaker 1: you look at some of the videos, I mean, you

1062
00:56:41,160 --> 00:56:44,920
Speaker 1: can't even distinguish the people one from another. It's just

1063
00:56:45,040 --> 00:56:48,799
Speaker 1: this mass of humanity, almost like a wave of peding

1064
00:56:48,800 --> 00:56:52,680
Speaker 1: there just being buffeted around, totally out of control, like

1065
00:56:52,960 --> 00:56:55,640
Speaker 1: these individuals had no control over where they were going

1066
00:56:55,719 --> 00:56:58,680
Speaker 1: or what was happening to them. Then you had, you know,

1067
00:56:58,719 --> 00:57:01,239
Speaker 1: the factor that people in black Down their first in

1068
00:57:01,320 --> 00:57:05,279
Speaker 1: many instances, live concert experience in a long time. So yeah,

1069
00:57:05,320 --> 00:57:09,120
Speaker 1: the atmosphere was very chaotic, as evidenced by the video

1070
00:57:09,480 --> 00:57:13,880
Speaker 1: that you just showed. He apparently put a countdown clock

1071
00:57:14,320 --> 00:57:18,760
Speaker 1: up on the screen leading up to his appearance, so

1072
00:57:18,880 --> 00:57:21,800
Speaker 1: starting at thirty minutes, and on the ground reports from

1073
00:57:21,800 --> 00:57:25,480
Speaker 1: people who were there and survived say that every minute

1074
00:57:25,640 --> 00:57:28,400
Speaker 1: it was getting packed in more and more and more

1075
00:57:28,480 --> 00:57:32,600
Speaker 1: tightly leading up to his appearance, and then people started

1076
00:57:32,640 --> 00:57:36,800
Speaker 1: having trouble breathing, and then people start of course they're screaming.

1077
00:57:37,000 --> 00:57:39,200
Speaker 1: There are other people are screaming as loud as they

1078
00:57:39,200 --> 00:57:42,840
Speaker 1: can for help. The crowd in Unison is chanting stop

1079
00:57:42,960 --> 00:57:47,840
Speaker 1: the show, and people are passing out unconscious, getting stepped on,

1080
00:57:48,200 --> 00:57:52,640
Speaker 1: getting trampled. We still don't know exactly the cause of

1081
00:57:52,720 --> 00:57:57,320
Speaker 1: death for the eight individuals who were dead. I read

1082
00:57:57,960 --> 00:58:00,880
Speaker 1: from there are people who are experts on crowd control

1083
00:58:00,880 --> 00:58:03,480
Speaker 1: and on these kind of crowd surges and what happens.

1084
00:58:03,920 --> 00:58:08,480
Speaker 1: Apparently the most common cause of death from a surge

1085
00:58:08,520 --> 00:58:11,560
Speaker 1: like this isn't actually from getting trampled, it's from asphyxiation.

1086
00:58:11,880 --> 00:58:15,040
Speaker 1: So you literally can't You're compressed so much that you

1087
00:58:15,160 --> 00:58:20,320
Speaker 1: literally can't breathe. There have been documented instances where the

1088
00:58:19,880 --> 00:58:23,760
Speaker 1: the energy from the crowd is so intense that it

1089
00:58:23,960 --> 00:58:27,640
Speaker 1: bends metal barricades that are meant to withstand one thousand

1090
00:58:27,680 --> 00:58:30,960
Speaker 1: pounds of pressure. So that's what people who were in

1091
00:58:31,000 --> 00:58:34,360
Speaker 1: the middle of this, that's what they were ultimately up against.

1092
00:58:35,080 --> 00:58:37,080
Speaker 1: Then you add on top of that, as you were saying,

1093
00:58:37,120 --> 00:58:41,160
Speaker 1: these reports that somebody or multiple somebodies were going around

1094
00:58:41,200 --> 00:58:45,400
Speaker 1: injecting people with what appears to be some kind of drug.

1095
00:58:45,720 --> 00:58:49,080
Speaker 1: And the reason that this had some credibility to it

1096
00:58:49,120 --> 00:58:53,040
Speaker 1: is because the police chief of Houston, in a press conference,

1097
00:58:53,440 --> 00:58:57,080
Speaker 1: said that there was a security guard who reported who

1098
00:58:57,160 --> 00:59:00,680
Speaker 1: was actually administering CPR on someone or tending to someone

1099
00:59:00,680 --> 00:59:04,520
Speaker 1: who had passed down, and who reported feeling a prick

1100
00:59:05,040 --> 00:59:09,240
Speaker 1: in their neck. Then they were went unconscious, had to

1101
00:59:09,280 --> 00:59:13,560
Speaker 1: be revived with nolozone, and there was a you know,

1102
00:59:13,600 --> 00:59:17,200
Speaker 1: a pinprick on the neck consistent with having been injected

1103
00:59:17,520 --> 00:59:20,920
Speaker 1: with something. And then there were other bystander reports. So

1104
00:59:21,040 --> 00:59:24,360
Speaker 1: that's where that piece comes in. And you know, I

1105
00:59:24,360 --> 00:59:27,880
Speaker 1: also write reports that said even before Travis Scott took

1106
00:59:27,920 --> 00:59:33,440
Speaker 1: the stage, the paramedics who were there at the festival,

1107
00:59:33,480 --> 00:59:36,320
Speaker 1: because look, festivals, you're always gonna have people who are

1108
00:59:36,640 --> 00:59:39,360
Speaker 1: you know, drink too much passing an hour, it's too

1109
00:59:39,400 --> 00:59:41,640
Speaker 1: hot or whatever, so you're gonna have some health issues.

1110
00:59:41,680 --> 00:59:44,920
Speaker 1: That's you know, almost a given at these festival environments.

1111
00:59:45,120 --> 00:59:49,360
Speaker 1: But that they were already overwhelmed with hundreds of people

1112
00:59:50,040 --> 00:59:52,760
Speaker 1: who were having significant injuries, to the point that they

1113
00:59:52,760 --> 00:59:55,280
Speaker 1: could no longer even keep track of all the people

1114
00:59:55,320 --> 00:59:59,520
Speaker 1: that they were having to treat even before Travis Scott

1115
00:59:59,640 --> 01:00:03,720
Speaker 1: took the stage. So just a horrific tragedy here, and

1116
01:00:03,800 --> 01:00:07,680
Speaker 1: a lot of questions about what the hell happened, why

1117
01:00:07,720 --> 01:00:11,120
Speaker 1: the show wasn't stopped, why there wasn't more security in place,

1118
01:00:11,400 --> 01:00:14,840
Speaker 1: why people were so incredibly tightly packed in to start with. Yeah,

1119
01:00:14,880 --> 01:00:17,440
Speaker 1: I think the real one to me is on my

1120
01:00:17,520 --> 01:00:20,520
Speaker 1: own outrage that there are people who were there who

1121
01:00:20,560 --> 01:00:23,320
Speaker 1: were in full knowledge that there was something very terrible

1122
01:00:23,360 --> 01:00:25,400
Speaker 1: that was happening. And this, just to give you an example,

1123
01:00:25,440 --> 01:00:27,800
Speaker 1: put this on the screen. I mean, Kylie Jenner, who

1124
01:00:27,880 --> 01:00:30,560
Speaker 1: you know, I guess is somewhat engaged with Travis Scott.

1125
01:00:30,600 --> 01:00:32,680
Speaker 1: I don't know exactly what the situation is. Put this

1126
01:00:33,240 --> 01:00:36,480
Speaker 1: video on the screen, please, and you can see from

1127
01:00:36,600 --> 01:00:40,320
Speaker 1: her now deleted Instagram story that you know, you can

1128
01:00:40,720 --> 01:00:45,080
Speaker 1: see an ambulance trying to make its way through this crowd,

1129
01:00:45,200 --> 01:00:48,880
Speaker 1: an EMT card making its way to an unconscious victim,

1130
01:00:48,920 --> 01:00:51,400
Speaker 1: and so over and over again, we see a situation

1131
01:00:51,440 --> 01:00:54,120
Speaker 1: where people there seemed to know something was going on.

1132
01:00:54,720 --> 01:00:57,200
Speaker 1: They weren't stopping the concert, as you said, people were

1133
01:00:57,240 --> 01:01:02,200
Speaker 1: climbing up to the cameras please stop. Wasn't happening. And

1134
01:01:02,680 --> 01:01:04,480
Speaker 1: there are eight people who are dead, some of whom

1135
01:01:04,480 --> 01:01:08,080
Speaker 1: are fourteen sixteen teenage boys, college students who are not

1136
01:01:08,480 --> 01:01:11,040
Speaker 1: going home, and so all of this amounts to the

1137
01:01:11,080 --> 01:01:13,840
Speaker 1: worst concert disaster since nineteen seventy nine. A lot of

1138
01:01:13,840 --> 01:01:16,320
Speaker 1: people were pointing to an old clip from Lincoln Park,

1139
01:01:16,440 --> 01:01:18,200
Speaker 1: I think was in the mid two thousands where they

1140
01:01:18,200 --> 01:01:21,040
Speaker 1: stopped their concert in the middle being like, hey stop, stop.

1141
01:01:21,200 --> 01:01:23,520
Speaker 1: They're like, is this person safe? Are we good? Got

1142
01:01:23,560 --> 01:01:25,800
Speaker 1: to make sure everybody's safe, and then they continue the show.

1143
01:01:25,960 --> 01:01:28,400
Speaker 1: That's what it should be all about. And so there's

1144
01:01:28,400 --> 01:01:30,480
Speaker 1: still a lot of questions. There are a lot of

1145
01:01:30,520 --> 01:01:31,920
Speaker 1: people that are going to have to provide a lot

1146
01:01:31,960 --> 01:01:34,600
Speaker 1: of answers as to what we're wrong here, because you know,

1147
01:01:34,800 --> 01:01:37,520
Speaker 1: people died and it's not a joke. Yeah, indeed, this

1148
01:01:37,560 --> 01:01:41,560
Speaker 1: isn't a joke. It wasn't a game, and it's heartbreaking

1149
01:01:41,600 --> 01:01:44,440
Speaker 1: for these families who lost their loved ones in a

1150
01:01:44,480 --> 01:01:50,600
Speaker 1: horrific tragedy. Okay, Chrystal, what are you taking a look at? Well? Guys,

1151
01:01:51,240 --> 01:01:54,320
Speaker 1: As Glenn Youngkin jumped into the political fray, his old

1152
01:01:54,320 --> 01:01:57,280
Speaker 1: colleagues at private equity giant Carlisle Group, they kind of

1153
01:01:57,280 --> 01:01:59,680
Speaker 1: prepared for the worst. They were waiting for the moment

1154
01:01:59,720 --> 01:02:03,400
Speaker 1: when the companies ghoulish maneuvers and sociopathic ethos would ultimately

1155
01:02:03,440 --> 01:02:06,920
Speaker 1: break into the open. Here's a Bloomberg piece citing that

1156
01:02:07,080 --> 01:02:10,480
Speaker 1: from August. They say former colleagues have been bracing for

1157
01:02:10,560 --> 01:02:14,160
Speaker 1: Youngkin's run to not only spot like Carlile's past controversies

1158
01:02:14,320 --> 01:02:17,240
Speaker 1: akin to what Mitt Romney's presidential runted to being capital,

1159
01:02:17,680 --> 01:02:20,520
Speaker 1: but for it to also dredge up missteps by Youngkin

1160
01:02:20,720 --> 01:02:23,560
Speaker 1: and managers he oversaw, and there was plenty to be

1161
01:02:23,600 --> 01:02:26,760
Speaker 1: concerned about. Carlile Group first gain notoriety thanks to Michael

1162
01:02:26,800 --> 01:02:30,720
Speaker 1: Moore's documentary Fahrenheit nine to eleven. In that documentary, he

1163
01:02:30,880 --> 01:02:34,240
Speaker 1: tracked how they profited off the attack through their extensive

1164
01:02:34,320 --> 01:02:37,600
Speaker 1: ties to Saudi Arabia and their investments in the defense industry.

1165
01:02:37,920 --> 01:02:41,320
Speaker 1: Former President George Bush Senior happened to be an advisor

1166
01:02:41,360 --> 01:02:43,600
Speaker 1: at the time, putting the Bush family in position to

1167
01:02:43,720 --> 01:02:46,680
Speaker 1: personally profit from our for and for wars. And then

1168
01:02:46,680 --> 01:02:50,640
Speaker 1: there's just the generally ghoulish behavior that is the business

1169
01:02:50,640 --> 01:02:54,200
Speaker 1: model of private equity. You may recall John Oliver exposed

1170
01:02:54,240 --> 01:02:56,720
Speaker 1: one aspect of this, Carlile Group has gotten into the

1171
01:02:57,040 --> 01:03:01,320
Speaker 1: trailer park business, buying up mobile home parks, jacking up rents,

1172
01:03:01,320 --> 01:03:04,920
Speaker 1: and evicting tenants on mass exploiting the most vulnerable among

1173
01:03:05,000 --> 01:03:07,680
Speaker 1: us for fun and profit. But for some reason, the

1174
01:03:07,760 --> 01:03:10,200
Speaker 1: Virginia governor's race did not include much discussion of the

1175
01:03:10,200 --> 01:03:13,400
Speaker 1: way rapacious vultures like Lynn Youngkin and Carlisle Group looked

1176
01:03:13,400 --> 01:03:16,959
Speaker 1: to profit off of war and poverty. Why was that, Well,

1177
01:03:17,000 --> 01:03:19,240
Speaker 1: there was one me and Ceeween see a little problem.

1178
01:03:19,640 --> 01:03:25,080
Speaker 1: Democratic candidate Terry mccauliffe had himself profited off of Carlisle Group.

1179
01:03:25,400 --> 01:03:27,760
Speaker 1: As friend of the show, Matt Stellar put it, quote,

1180
01:03:28,080 --> 01:03:31,320
Speaker 1: I love that Terry McAuliffe couldn't attack Youngkin's Carlisle Group

1181
01:03:31,360 --> 01:03:34,840
Speaker 1: record because mccauliffe was an investor in a Carlisle fund.

1182
01:03:35,280 --> 01:03:39,800
Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen, the Democrats, indeed, But the corruption and

1183
01:03:39,840 --> 01:03:42,280
Speaker 1: co opting of the Democratic Party by Wall Street and

1184
01:03:42,320 --> 01:03:44,800
Speaker 1: business interests is not just a problem for the Virginia

1185
01:03:44,840 --> 01:03:48,960
Speaker 1: governor's race. In fact, their capture by business interests has

1186
01:03:49,040 --> 01:03:52,160
Speaker 1: destroyed their ability to deliver for regular people, and I

1187
01:03:52,200 --> 01:03:54,480
Speaker 1: would go so far as to say that it poses

1188
01:03:54,520 --> 01:03:57,720
Speaker 1: an existential threat to the country. Now, let me first

1189
01:03:57,760 --> 01:04:00,320
Speaker 1: say that the GOP is at least as capture as

1190
01:04:00,320 --> 01:04:02,800
Speaker 1: the Democratic Party. They have long been the party of

1191
01:04:02,800 --> 01:04:05,440
Speaker 1: big business, and deciding to occasionally talk about the working

1192
01:04:05,440 --> 01:04:09,440
Speaker 1: class has changed absolutely nothing in that regard. But when

1193
01:04:09,440 --> 01:04:11,760
Speaker 1: the working class really went off a cliff is when

1194
01:04:11,800 --> 01:04:15,800
Speaker 1: the Democratic Party also became captured by big money. Terry

1195
01:04:15,840 --> 01:04:18,560
Speaker 1: mccuff was part of this shift with his bestie Bill Clinton.

1196
01:04:18,800 --> 01:04:22,200
Speaker 1: Clinton used populous language to win the presidency, and then

1197
01:04:22,240 --> 01:04:25,240
Speaker 1: he quickly shifted to reorient the party away from labor

1198
01:04:25,440 --> 01:04:29,080
Speaker 1: and towards business. Clinton and his DLC pals they decided

1199
01:04:29,120 --> 01:04:30,960
Speaker 1: they didn't want to leave all the big money fundraising

1200
01:04:31,000 --> 01:04:33,320
Speaker 1: to the Republicans. And that's, of course, to say nothing

1201
01:04:33,480 --> 01:04:37,080
Speaker 1: of the post public service corporate gigs Supreme Court decisions

1202
01:04:37,080 --> 01:04:40,160
Speaker 1: that opened the floodgates of corporate cash continually just made

1203
01:04:40,200 --> 01:04:44,800
Speaker 1: this situation worse, and so now Democrats unsurprisingly find themselves

1204
01:04:44,840 --> 01:04:47,960
Speaker 1: unable to deliver on even the most modest of campaign

1205
01:04:48,080 --> 01:04:52,680
Speaker 1: promises thanks to their complete industry capture. Joe Biden he

1206
01:04:52,760 --> 01:04:55,440
Speaker 1: promised to be the most pro union president in history.

1207
01:04:55,720 --> 01:04:58,160
Speaker 1: He championed the pro Act, which would help tilt the

1208
01:04:58,240 --> 01:05:00,960
Speaker 1: balance of power a little bit back towards w Oh

1209
01:05:01,280 --> 01:05:04,560
Speaker 1: who would you look at that multi level marketing companies

1210
01:05:05,360 --> 01:05:07,919
Speaker 1: also known as pyramid schemes, which should by all rights

1211
01:05:07,960 --> 01:05:11,040
Speaker 1: be illegal. They have been funneling money to Kirston Cinema

1212
01:05:11,080 --> 01:05:13,280
Speaker 1: to buy her opposition to the pro Act and make

1213
01:05:13,320 --> 01:05:16,920
Speaker 1: sure it can't pass through reconciliation or through any other method.

1214
01:05:17,160 --> 01:05:19,240
Speaker 1: But of course the problems are way bigger than just

1215
01:05:19,360 --> 01:05:22,240
Speaker 1: Karson Cinema or Joe Manchip. Joe Biden promised he would

1216
01:05:22,240 --> 01:05:24,760
Speaker 1: lift the minimum wage to fifteen dollars an hour. It

1217
01:05:24,840 --> 01:05:27,360
Speaker 1: was really the only thing that he promised Bernie in

1218
01:05:27,440 --> 01:05:32,400
Speaker 1: exchange for Bernie's endorsement. But unfortunately New Hampshire's two Democratic senators,

1219
01:05:32,400 --> 01:05:34,480
Speaker 1: along with a number of other Democrats, have been bought

1220
01:05:34,480 --> 01:05:37,520
Speaker 1: off by the National Restaurant Association, causing them to oppose

1221
01:05:37,720 --> 01:05:41,280
Speaker 1: an extremely popular and badly needed lift to the minimum wage.

1222
01:05:41,600 --> 01:05:45,160
Speaker 1: This steadfast industry opposition has allowed the minimum wage to

1223
01:05:45,280 --> 01:05:48,480
Speaker 1: languish at seven dollars and twenty five cents, going the

1224
01:05:48,640 --> 01:05:52,880
Speaker 1: longest time in history without a race. Joe Biden also

1225
01:05:52,960 --> 01:05:57,160
Speaker 1: was reportedly extremely committed to the idea of free community college.

1226
01:05:57,280 --> 01:06:00,920
Speaker 1: He emphasized it even after his election, guaranteeing that it

1227
01:06:00,960 --> 01:06:03,960
Speaker 1: would be included in his Build Back Better agenda. Was

1228
01:06:04,000 --> 01:06:07,040
Speaker 1: a lynchpin of his plan to give working class Americans

1229
01:06:07,080 --> 01:06:10,760
Speaker 1: a shot at the American dream. But the four year

1230
01:06:10,800 --> 01:06:14,320
Speaker 1: college industry couldn't have community college getting all the glory

1231
01:06:14,360 --> 01:06:16,800
Speaker 1: and more importantly, having a competitive edge in the market

1232
01:06:16,920 --> 01:06:20,160
Speaker 1: for paying student customers, so they sent out their lobbyists

1233
01:06:20,200 --> 01:06:23,240
Speaker 1: and low and behold, Biden's top priority for Build Back

1234
01:06:23,280 --> 01:06:27,040
Speaker 1: Better was no match for their organized money. And finally,

1235
01:06:27,240 --> 01:06:31,320
Speaker 1: there's prescription drug prices. Now. Democrats have literally been promising

1236
01:06:31,440 --> 01:06:34,720
Speaker 1: to have Medicare negotiate prescription drug prices since two thousand

1237
01:06:34,720 --> 01:06:39,320
Speaker 1: and six. Virtually every Democrat, including the worst ones like

1238
01:06:39,400 --> 01:06:43,720
Speaker 1: Kirston Cinema, they all campaigned on it. Why because it's obvious,

1239
01:06:43,920 --> 01:06:47,480
Speaker 1: it's non controversial, and it's extremely popular. It's also a

1240
01:06:47,600 --> 01:06:51,840
Speaker 1: very high priority of American people. But of course Big

1241
01:06:51,840 --> 01:06:55,240
Speaker 1: Pharma opposed it, and they have won, as they always do.

1242
01:06:55,640 --> 01:06:59,240
Speaker 1: The original reform is out. It's been replaced, possibly with

1243
01:06:59,320 --> 01:07:02,280
Speaker 1: a stripped down industry approved version, which will do little

1244
01:07:02,320 --> 01:07:04,800
Speaker 1: to actually save costs or reduce the ability a big

1245
01:07:04,800 --> 01:07:08,480
Speaker 1: pharma to steal from the nation's seniors. Now, these failures

1246
01:07:08,520 --> 01:07:12,840
Speaker 1: and obvious corruption, they are an electoral disaster for Democrats,

1247
01:07:12,840 --> 01:07:15,720
Speaker 1: as evidenced by the mccauff Young Cain race. More broadly,

1248
01:07:16,080 --> 01:07:18,640
Speaker 1: when both parties serve a similar set of elite interests

1249
01:07:18,680 --> 01:07:22,760
Speaker 1: on economics, politics just collapses down to culture war, and

1250
01:07:22,840 --> 01:07:25,080
Speaker 1: Republicans have a way better hand to play in culture

1251
01:07:25,120 --> 01:07:28,200
Speaker 1: war issues than Democrats do. There are simply way more

1252
01:07:28,400 --> 01:07:32,080
Speaker 1: non college educated Americans than there are college educated Americans,

1253
01:07:32,160 --> 01:07:35,840
Speaker 1: and Republicans have staked out more favorable ground, signaling more

1254
01:07:35,880 --> 01:07:39,680
Speaker 1: effectively to these non college educated voters. But more importantly,

1255
01:07:39,960 --> 01:07:42,920
Speaker 1: these failures and obvious corruption pose a clear and present

1256
01:07:43,000 --> 01:07:46,280
Speaker 1: danger to the society writ large, most obviously by blocking

1257
01:07:46,320 --> 01:07:49,440
Speaker 1: even the most basic and needed reforms, let alone the

1258
01:07:49,480 --> 01:07:53,520
Speaker 1: more transformational policies that our rig system desperately calls out for,

1259
01:07:54,000 --> 01:07:57,160
Speaker 1: but by destroying any and all faith in electoral politics

1260
01:07:57,200 --> 01:08:00,120
Speaker 1: as an effective means for change at all. This is

1261
01:08:00,160 --> 01:08:04,440
Speaker 1: an extraordinarily dangerous situation, because when people lose faith in

1262
01:08:04,520 --> 01:08:08,280
Speaker 1: democratic processes, well, they turn in more desperate measures. What

1263
01:08:08,320 --> 01:08:10,560
Speaker 1: does that look like, Well, we know, looks like reaching

1264
01:08:10,560 --> 01:08:13,320
Speaker 1: for pseudo strong men like Trump or worse, looks like

1265
01:08:13,400 --> 01:08:16,080
Speaker 1: susceptibility to the type of conspiracy theories that gave us

1266
01:08:16,120 --> 01:08:20,360
Speaker 1: January six in significant anti vac sentiment. After all, when

1267
01:08:20,400 --> 01:08:23,320
Speaker 1: so many parts of the system are actually rigged, becomes

1268
01:08:23,360 --> 01:08:26,360
Speaker 1: pretty easy to believe in nefarious forces doing nefarious things

1269
01:08:26,360 --> 01:08:29,920
Speaker 1: for power and for money. Looks like nationwide riots sparked

1270
01:08:29,960 --> 01:08:33,000
Speaker 1: by justifiable rage that the casual snuffing out of human

1271
01:08:33,040 --> 01:08:36,000
Speaker 1: life all in order to attempt to maintain police state

1272
01:08:36,120 --> 01:08:40,040
Speaker 1: order on the American underclass. It looks like nihilism punctuated

1273
01:08:40,080 --> 01:08:42,919
Speaker 1: by rage. A nation bearing witness to our own dysfunction

1274
01:08:43,040 --> 01:08:46,960
Speaker 1: and decline, a country led by greedy plutocrats who will

1275
01:08:47,000 --> 01:08:49,519
Speaker 1: never stop ringing the system to get a little bit richer,

1276
01:08:49,880 --> 01:08:52,639
Speaker 1: even if it destroys the very nation that made them rich.

1277
01:08:52,800 --> 01:08:55,320
Speaker 1: In the first place in Sager. It has never been

1278
01:08:55,360 --> 01:08:57,720
Speaker 1: more clear the way that money they don't have to

1279
01:08:57,720 --> 01:09:00,840
Speaker 1: buy everybody. But if you just buy a few key

1280
01:09:04,080 --> 01:09:06,400
Speaker 1: All right, Tacher, what are you looking at? Well? Where

1281
01:09:06,479 --> 01:09:09,679
Speaker 1: is Joe Biden? Increasingly I am having the difficulty coming

1282
01:09:09,720 --> 01:09:11,559
Speaker 1: to terms with just how bad of a president that

1283
01:09:11,640 --> 01:09:15,120
Speaker 1: Biden actually is. This isn't some boomer monologue about empty

1284
01:09:15,160 --> 01:09:18,200
Speaker 1: shelves Joe or some bad faith critique. Really, what it

1285
01:09:18,280 --> 01:09:21,360
Speaker 1: is is a total disbelief on my part that Biden

1286
01:09:21,439 --> 01:09:24,160
Speaker 1: would be so inept at even pretending to care about

1287
01:09:24,160 --> 01:09:27,200
Speaker 1: some of the most basic determinants of why people vote

1288
01:09:27,280 --> 01:09:29,920
Speaker 1: and some of the outward factors that most govern the

1289
01:09:30,000 --> 01:09:33,440
Speaker 1: day to day lives of American citizens. My previous monologue

1290
01:09:33,479 --> 01:09:36,960
Speaker 1: on food prices delved deeply into the food supply chain

1291
01:09:37,040 --> 01:09:40,240
Speaker 1: and the various supply shocks around the world increasing the

1292
01:09:40,240 --> 01:09:43,679
Speaker 1: price of food. But as promised, today's monologue is about

1293
01:09:43,680 --> 01:09:46,240
Speaker 1: the other expenditure, which is gas. Now, I was driving

1294
01:09:46,280 --> 01:09:48,599
Speaker 1: around in my Jeep Wrangler this weekend, the most superior

1295
01:09:48,680 --> 01:09:50,840
Speaker 1: vehicle ever made on the face of this earth, when,

1296
01:09:50,960 --> 01:09:52,800
Speaker 1: of course I had to stop and fill up my

1297
01:09:52,840 --> 01:09:55,320
Speaker 1: gas tank. Now I knew I was going to write this,

1298
01:09:55,439 --> 01:09:58,160
Speaker 1: and I swear right after I heard out got out,

1299
01:09:58,320 --> 01:10:01,720
Speaker 1: I heard two people organically having a conversation about how

1300
01:10:01,760 --> 01:10:04,080
Speaker 1: the increase in the price of gas and food was

1301
01:10:04,160 --> 01:10:07,599
Speaker 1: killing them and why won't anyone do anything about it? Now. Look,

1302
01:10:07,640 --> 01:10:10,960
Speaker 1: I have explained many times that the president generally has

1303
01:10:11,000 --> 01:10:13,120
Speaker 1: pretty little to do with the price of gas. But

1304
01:10:13,240 --> 01:10:15,639
Speaker 1: the problem is most people don't know that. And when

1305
01:10:15,640 --> 01:10:18,160
Speaker 1: most people don't know that, it means as a politician,

1306
01:10:18,520 --> 01:10:20,680
Speaker 1: all you should be doing every day is signaling to

1307
01:10:20,720 --> 01:10:23,760
Speaker 1: everyday Americans that you at least feel their pain, that

1308
01:10:23,880 --> 01:10:27,000
Speaker 1: you are at least doing everything humanly possible in order

1309
01:10:27,080 --> 01:10:31,080
Speaker 1: to fix it. Instead, this is how Energy Secretary Jennifer

1310
01:10:31,080 --> 01:10:34,880
Speaker 1: Granholm reacted on Bloomberg News when she was confronted with

1311
01:10:34,920 --> 01:10:37,600
Speaker 1: what she and the Biden administration are doing about the

1312
01:10:37,600 --> 01:10:42,120
Speaker 1: price of gas in Sturgis, Michigan. It is two dollars

1313
01:10:42,200 --> 01:10:45,519
Speaker 1: eighty nine cents a gallon. I guess that's better than

1314
01:10:45,520 --> 01:10:50,200
Speaker 1: in California. What is the grand home plan to increase

1315
01:10:50,360 --> 01:10:57,000
Speaker 1: oil production in America? Oh? My, that is hilarious. Would

1316
01:10:57,000 --> 01:10:59,640
Speaker 1: that I had the magic wand on this. As you know,

1317
01:11:00,200 --> 01:11:04,040
Speaker 1: of course, oil is a global market. It is controlled

1318
01:11:04,080 --> 01:11:07,800
Speaker 1: by a cartel. That cartel is called OPEK, and they

1319
01:11:07,960 --> 01:11:10,479
Speaker 1: made a decision yesterday that they were not going to

1320
01:11:10,600 --> 01:11:14,320
Speaker 1: increase beyond what they were already planning. You could not

1321
01:11:14,400 --> 01:11:17,120
Speaker 1: script more. Let them eat cake. Moment you're the energy

1322
01:11:17,160 --> 01:11:19,760
Speaker 1: secretary of Missus, grant hoolme at least pretend that you

1323
01:11:19,760 --> 01:11:22,080
Speaker 1: can do something. Many of you might have heard me

1324
01:11:22,120 --> 01:11:24,240
Speaker 1: reference one of the books behind me lately. It's called

1325
01:11:24,280 --> 01:11:27,120
Speaker 1: Freedom from Fear. It's an Oxford history of the FDR

1326
01:11:27,160 --> 01:11:30,240
Speaker 1: presidency from the Depression through World War Two. One of

1327
01:11:30,280 --> 01:11:32,800
Speaker 1: the most important parts of that book is this, The

1328
01:11:32,880 --> 01:11:35,120
Speaker 1: New Deal really didn't work for the first couple of

1329
01:11:35,240 --> 01:11:39,280
Speaker 1: years of the FDR presidency, and yet FDR was overwhelmingly

1330
01:11:39,320 --> 01:11:43,320
Speaker 1: popular and reelected. The economy was actually worse and unemployment

1331
01:11:43,400 --> 01:11:46,360
Speaker 1: was going up, but he remained a living god in

1332
01:11:46,400 --> 01:11:49,639
Speaker 1: the United States. How the answer is that people, though

1333
01:11:49,640 --> 01:11:52,559
Speaker 1: they were suffering, felt that at least Roosevelt, unlike the

1334
01:11:52,600 --> 01:11:56,559
Speaker 1: rest of corrupt Washington, understood what they were going through.

1335
01:11:56,800 --> 01:11:59,400
Speaker 1: And every day they picked up the newspaper they saw

1336
01:11:59,439 --> 01:12:02,080
Speaker 1: that he was at least trying his damnedest with the

1337
01:12:02,120 --> 01:12:05,639
Speaker 1: program for this or that, with this act or that act,

1338
01:12:05,800 --> 01:12:08,679
Speaker 1: by throwing the federal government into a posture of action,

1339
01:12:09,080 --> 01:12:11,679
Speaker 1: he at the very least had their trust before things

1340
01:12:11,680 --> 01:12:14,880
Speaker 1: got better. That's the dirty secret of politics. You really

1341
01:12:14,880 --> 01:12:17,200
Speaker 1: don't even have to be good on paper. If you

1342
01:12:17,400 --> 01:12:20,320
Speaker 1: just appear in charge, you are in charge. And Biden

1343
01:12:20,479 --> 01:12:23,840
Speaker 1: is nowhere to be seen. His literally designated official is

1344
01:12:23,920 --> 01:12:26,800
Speaker 1: laughing her head off on national TV about the plight

1345
01:12:26,880 --> 01:12:29,240
Speaker 1: of millions of people, and I just want to scream,

1346
01:12:29,680 --> 01:12:33,559
Speaker 1: do something. Those who watch this show know that I'm

1347
01:12:33,600 --> 01:12:35,920
Speaker 1: not some maga warrior, but I at least have to

1348
01:12:35,920 --> 01:12:39,240
Speaker 1: say that Trump understood this pretty well when he was president.

1349
01:12:39,600 --> 01:12:41,760
Speaker 1: Back in the days when I was a White House correspondent,

1350
01:12:42,000 --> 01:12:45,320
Speaker 1: I remember well how Trump fixated on the price of gas.

1351
01:12:45,520 --> 01:12:47,960
Speaker 1: When there was an attack on a Saudi oil tanker,

1352
01:12:48,120 --> 01:12:51,719
Speaker 1: the administration immediately said that they would tap the Strategic

1353
01:12:51,760 --> 01:12:56,280
Speaker 1: Petroleum Reserve if necessary. Consistently, Trump used the bully pulpit

1354
01:12:56,360 --> 01:12:59,240
Speaker 1: of his Twitter account to pressure and warn Opek that

1355
01:12:59,320 --> 01:13:01,880
Speaker 1: he would take drastic measures to keep the price of

1356
01:13:01,920 --> 01:13:05,280
Speaker 1: gas as low as humanly possible. Why is Joe Biden

1357
01:13:05,520 --> 01:13:08,760
Speaker 1: not doing any of that? You know, I think coronavirus

1358
01:13:08,840 --> 01:13:11,479
Speaker 1: qualifies as a national crisis. Can you think of another

1359
01:13:11,520 --> 01:13:13,680
Speaker 1: instance that might make the most sense in order to

1360
01:13:13,720 --> 01:13:17,160
Speaker 1: tap the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, both as assigned to OPEK

1361
01:13:17,360 --> 01:13:19,360
Speaker 1: that we are willing to take drastic action if they

1362
01:13:19,360 --> 01:13:22,200
Speaker 1: won't step up, and as a signal to all Americans

1363
01:13:22,200 --> 01:13:25,639
Speaker 1: that the government understands what they're going through. Obama tapped

1364
01:13:25,680 --> 01:13:29,679
Speaker 1: the SPR in twenty eleven after we took down Goadafi. Okay,

1365
01:13:29,800 --> 01:13:33,000
Speaker 1: this is way worse than that. Or extrapolate this to

1366
01:13:33,040 --> 01:13:35,439
Speaker 1: the supply chain crisis that we have right now. The

1367
01:13:35,520 --> 01:13:39,960
Speaker 1: administration is fully within its authority to mobilize the National

1368
01:13:39,960 --> 01:13:43,000
Speaker 1: Guard and get back to work in clearing up backlogs

1369
01:13:43,040 --> 01:13:46,200
Speaker 1: at ports, adding to the supply of truckers, and expediting

1370
01:13:46,200 --> 01:13:48,400
Speaker 1: the most screwed up parts of the supply chain. Or

1371
01:13:48,439 --> 01:13:50,599
Speaker 1: how about this, last time I checked, we have a

1372
01:13:50,600 --> 01:13:53,680
Speaker 1: trillion dollar blue water Navy. The entire purpose of a

1373
01:13:53,760 --> 01:13:56,960
Speaker 1: navy is to guarantee the supremacy of American commerce on

1374
01:13:57,040 --> 01:13:59,760
Speaker 1: the high seas, and right now it seems like a

1375
01:13:59,800 --> 01:14:02,479
Speaker 1: time to answer the call of duty, Department of the Navy,

1376
01:14:02,840 --> 01:14:05,679
Speaker 1: throwing the National Guard, the Navy at the supply chain crisis,

1377
01:14:05,800 --> 01:14:08,960
Speaker 1: tapping the SPR, giving a speech daily or even weekly

1378
01:14:09,000 --> 01:14:11,160
Speaker 1: about the price of gas would help Joe Biden and

1379
01:14:11,200 --> 01:14:14,360
Speaker 1: the American people probably more than what's in this infrastructure bill.

1380
01:14:14,640 --> 01:14:17,840
Speaker 1: And yet we barely hear from the President himself. When

1381
01:14:17,880 --> 01:14:20,360
Speaker 1: we do, it's less than inspiring, to say the least.

1382
01:14:20,640 --> 01:14:23,200
Speaker 1: Maybe that would even be okay if he had good deputies.

1383
01:14:23,400 --> 01:14:25,920
Speaker 1: If what we saw, though, was that main deputy in

1384
01:14:25,920 --> 01:14:29,240
Speaker 1: that interview. Nobody in the higher echelons of the government

1385
01:14:29,479 --> 01:14:32,200
Speaker 1: seems to care or even want to do anything at

1386
01:14:32,200 --> 01:14:35,200
Speaker 1: all to fix the most pressing problems of Americans' lives.

1387
01:14:35,479 --> 01:14:38,400
Speaker 1: They are going to pay big time for it. Americans

1388
01:14:38,439 --> 01:14:40,400
Speaker 1: right now have a lot of cash on hand, they

1389
01:14:40,439 --> 01:14:43,280
Speaker 1: have a lot of savings. But they hate the economy

1390
01:14:43,360 --> 01:14:46,639
Speaker 1: right now. A reason is simple. Things are not working

1391
01:14:46,760 --> 01:14:49,800
Speaker 1: the way they're supposed to. Sixty nine percent of people

1392
01:14:49,800 --> 01:14:52,240
Speaker 1: in the latest Gallup poll said the economy is getting

1393
01:14:52,320 --> 01:14:55,120
Speaker 1: worse and they are not crazy. Look at the price

1394
01:14:55,160 --> 01:14:57,479
Speaker 1: of gas or the price of food, and they want

1395
01:14:57,479 --> 01:14:59,960
Speaker 1: the government to do something about it. And while practice,

1396
01:15:00,400 --> 01:15:03,200
Speaker 1: there is certainly a limit to how much you can do,

1397
01:15:03,640 --> 01:15:07,320
Speaker 1: how about the Biden administration approach that limit first before

1398
01:15:07,320 --> 01:15:10,800
Speaker 1: they start plowing us with excuses. Until then, they are

1399
01:15:10,840 --> 01:15:13,320
Speaker 1: going to continue to lose bigger than they probably ever

1400
01:15:13,360 --> 01:15:17,280
Speaker 1: have before, and honestly, they completely deserve it. It really

1401
01:15:17,320 --> 01:15:19,960
Speaker 1: is just, you know, an alternative universe in my head, Crystal,

1402
01:15:20,040 --> 01:15:21,840
Speaker 1: but I can't get over it. I mean, you were

1403
01:15:21,840 --> 01:15:25,720
Speaker 1: talking about whenever you're talking to your joining us. Now

1404
01:15:25,720 --> 01:15:28,800
Speaker 1: we have Kyle con Dick. He is managing editor at

1405
01:15:28,840 --> 01:15:32,040
Speaker 1: Sabatoe's Crystal Ball at EVA Center for Politics, and also

1406
01:15:32,160 --> 01:15:36,960
Speaker 1: author of a highly relevant book titled The Long Red Thread,

1407
01:15:37,120 --> 01:15:41,360
Speaker 1: How Democratic dominance gave way to Republican advantage in US

1408
01:15:41,439 --> 01:15:43,840
Speaker 1: House elections. Great to see again, Kyle. Good to see Kayle.

1409
01:15:44,200 --> 01:15:47,400
Speaker 1: Thanks for having me. All right, so you were pretty

1410
01:15:47,400 --> 01:15:50,880
Speaker 1: pruscient in terms of the Virginia election. You and your

1411
01:15:50,880 --> 01:15:55,840
Speaker 1: colleagues moved the race to lean Republican shortly before Republican

1412
01:15:55,880 --> 01:15:58,439
Speaker 1: Glen Young can actually prove the polls right for once

1413
01:15:58,760 --> 01:16:01,280
Speaker 1: and won by a narrow margin. And what is your

1414
01:16:01,400 --> 01:16:04,800
Speaker 1: view overall of what happened here in the state of

1415
01:16:04,920 --> 01:16:08,280
Speaker 1: Virginia and Franklin State, New Jersey and other places as well.

1416
01:16:08,200 --> 01:16:10,240
Speaker 1: And I think if you take Virginia and New Jersey together,

1417
01:16:10,280 --> 01:16:13,559
Speaker 1: it's interesting that when it's all said and done. Phil

1418
01:16:13,640 --> 01:16:16,680
Speaker 1: Murphy's margin of victory is moving up. It's about two

1419
01:16:16,720 --> 01:16:18,840
Speaker 1: and a half three points. It looks like lenn Yunkin

1420
01:16:18,920 --> 01:16:20,920
Speaker 1: won by about two points. And if you go back

1421
01:16:20,960 --> 01:16:24,920
Speaker 1: to twenty seventeen, you saw basically a roughly eleven point

1422
01:16:25,040 --> 01:16:27,840
Speaker 1: shift from twenty seventeen in both Virginia and New Jersey

1423
01:16:27,840 --> 01:16:30,960
Speaker 1: towards the Republicans. And it's interesting that it was almost

1424
01:16:31,040 --> 01:16:32,800
Speaker 1: exactly the same when it was all said and done

1425
01:16:32,840 --> 01:16:36,240
Speaker 1: in both states, which I think was reflective of just

1426
01:16:36,320 --> 01:16:38,320
Speaker 1: what kind of environment we're in, which is that it's

1427
01:16:38,320 --> 01:16:41,800
Speaker 1: a Republican leaning environment. And I think we saw really

1428
01:16:41,840 --> 01:16:47,200
Speaker 1: great Republican turnout in both states, not necessarily bad Democratic

1429
01:16:47,240 --> 01:16:50,200
Speaker 1: turnout at least in Virginia. I mean, overall turnout was

1430
01:16:50,240 --> 01:16:53,320
Speaker 1: very high in Virginia, but I think the combination of

1431
01:16:53,520 --> 01:16:58,000
Speaker 1: Republicans being aggrieved and showing up in big numbers, and also,

1432
01:16:58,640 --> 01:17:01,519
Speaker 1: you know, the Republican candidates like making some gains amongst

1433
01:17:01,720 --> 01:17:03,479
Speaker 1: swing voters. You know, that's how you see such a

1434
01:17:03,479 --> 01:17:06,200
Speaker 1: big change from you know, from four years ago and

1435
01:17:06,240 --> 01:17:09,280
Speaker 1: even from a year ago. Obviously, both these states voted

1436
01:17:09,360 --> 01:17:12,160
Speaker 1: you know, voted Democratic for president very comfortably last year,

1437
01:17:12,640 --> 01:17:14,360
Speaker 1: and you know, I think we were sort of waiting

1438
01:17:14,360 --> 01:17:16,559
Speaker 1: to see, like what, you know, what the environment actually is.

1439
01:17:16,600 --> 01:17:19,840
Speaker 1: You know, is Biden's approval rating actually that bad for Democrats?

1440
01:17:20,640 --> 01:17:23,600
Speaker 1: Are Republican's still enthusiastic about voting even after you know,

1441
01:17:23,680 --> 01:17:25,479
Speaker 1: Donald Trump sort of you know, made up all this

1442
01:17:25,520 --> 01:17:28,559
Speaker 1: stuff about the twenty twenty elections integrity and whatnot. And

1443
01:17:28,600 --> 01:17:31,200
Speaker 1: I mean, again, the answers we get to these questions,

1444
01:17:31,240 --> 01:17:34,040
Speaker 1: they're they're they're they're good ones for Republicans. Yeah, you know,

1445
01:17:34,080 --> 01:17:36,000
Speaker 1: it's fascinating. There's been a lot of takes kind of

1446
01:17:36,040 --> 01:17:40,000
Speaker 1: on both sides here, Kyle blaming critical race theory, wokeness

1447
01:17:40,000 --> 01:17:42,040
Speaker 1: and more. I think James Carville, we have something on that.

1448
01:17:42,120 --> 01:17:43,559
Speaker 1: Let's take a listen. I want to get your reaction

1449
01:17:43,640 --> 01:17:46,519
Speaker 1: to this national discussion. Let's take a listen looking at

1450
01:17:46,560 --> 01:17:52,880
Speaker 1: these results your party? What went wrong? But moving wrong

1451
01:17:53,040 --> 01:17:56,160
Speaker 1: was just stupid wokeness, all right? You don't just look

1452
01:17:56,160 --> 01:17:58,880
Speaker 1: at Virginia and New Jersey, look at Long Island, look

1453
01:17:58,880 --> 01:18:02,320
Speaker 1: at Buffalo, look at Apples, even look at saut of Washington.

1454
01:18:02,760 --> 01:18:06,599
Speaker 1: I mean, just defund the police, Luna shy to take

1455
01:18:06,640 --> 01:18:10,719
Speaker 1: Abraham Lincoln's name off of schools. I mean that people

1456
01:18:10,840 --> 01:18:13,360
Speaker 1: see that it's interesting, Kyle, that's not just a take

1457
01:18:13,400 --> 01:18:15,640
Speaker 1: away from the center left establishment and the media. That

1458
01:18:15,760 --> 01:18:18,080
Speaker 1: is also the Republican takeaway. So what do you make

1459
01:18:18,120 --> 01:18:21,000
Speaker 1: of that in the context of these elections. Well, look,

1460
01:18:21,000 --> 01:18:24,639
Speaker 1: I think Republicans like to wage their elections on sort

1461
01:18:24,680 --> 01:18:28,400
Speaker 1: of cultural grounds, and they particularly like it when Democrats

1462
01:18:28,439 --> 01:18:30,840
Speaker 1: are easy to tie to. I don't know, I guess

1463
01:18:31,000 --> 01:18:33,000
Speaker 1: the best way to put it is maybe the academic left.

1464
01:18:34,000 --> 01:18:36,639
Speaker 1: And I think that with some with some of these

1465
01:18:36,640 --> 01:18:39,040
Speaker 1: things that you know, the attacks of Republicans have made

1466
01:18:39,040 --> 01:18:43,480
Speaker 1: against Democrats, and you know, again it's kind of murky territory.

1467
01:18:43,640 --> 01:18:47,120
Speaker 1: But but I think Republicans arevery comfortable with this, and

1468
01:18:47,280 --> 01:18:49,559
Speaker 1: I think that that you could argue that that those

1469
01:18:49,600 --> 01:18:51,880
Speaker 1: attacks are effective, and in fact, you know, after the

1470
01:18:51,920 --> 01:18:54,960
Speaker 1: twenty twenty election, you know, the Democrats obviously they won

1471
01:18:55,000 --> 01:18:58,000
Speaker 1: the presidency, they won control of both chambers eventually after

1472
01:18:58,000 --> 01:19:01,000
Speaker 1: the Georgia Senate runoffs, but even Biden was you know,

1473
01:19:01,080 --> 01:19:04,599
Speaker 1: reportedly complaining about you know, his party getting pigeonholed on

1474
01:19:04,960 --> 01:19:07,000
Speaker 1: this defund the police rhetoric, which I think you could

1475
01:19:07,040 --> 01:19:09,000
Speaker 1: sort of put in the same bucket as some of

1476
01:19:09,000 --> 01:19:12,200
Speaker 1: these other uh uh you know, kind of cultural uh

1477
01:19:13,000 --> 01:19:15,720
Speaker 1: attacks that Republicans make against Democrats. And there are a

1478
01:19:15,720 --> 01:19:18,160
Speaker 1: lot of Democrats, I think, who feel like the Republicans

1479
01:19:18,160 --> 01:19:20,400
Speaker 1: have drawn blood on some of these things. And you

1480
01:19:20,400 --> 01:19:23,120
Speaker 1: know it's not for you know, it's easy for Democrats

1481
01:19:23,160 --> 01:19:24,559
Speaker 1: to sort of complain and say, oh, well, we'll being

1482
01:19:24,560 --> 01:19:27,679
Speaker 1: mischaracterized and this and that. But you know, as a party,

1483
01:19:27,720 --> 01:19:29,639
Speaker 1: you have to figure out ways to fight back against

1484
01:19:29,640 --> 01:19:34,320
Speaker 1: it and to disassociate yourself from from positions and rhetoric

1485
01:19:34,400 --> 01:19:37,960
Speaker 1: that maybe you feel is politically damaging and the other

1486
01:19:38,000 --> 01:19:41,439
Speaker 1: side fields is politically damaging and is a good attack

1487
01:19:41,520 --> 01:19:44,120
Speaker 1: to make, And I don't think Democrats have quite figured

1488
01:19:44,160 --> 01:19:48,080
Speaker 1: it out on these particular topics. Yeah. So, Kyle, given

1489
01:19:48,200 --> 01:19:50,639
Speaker 1: that we now have some answers about just how bad

1490
01:19:50,880 --> 01:19:55,679
Speaker 1: the national environment is for Democrats, what does that mean

1491
01:19:55,800 --> 01:19:59,320
Speaker 1: looking forward to the midterm elections? Because when we had

1492
01:19:59,320 --> 01:20:02,479
Speaker 1: you on for the Virginia election, you laid on the

1493
01:20:02,479 --> 01:20:06,200
Speaker 1: case that Virginia can be a pretty effective bell weather

1494
01:20:06,600 --> 01:20:08,840
Speaker 1: of where the nation is ultimately headed. So what is

1495
01:20:08,880 --> 01:20:11,519
Speaker 1: your assessment there? Well, look, I mean I think that

1496
01:20:11,520 --> 01:20:14,760
Speaker 1: if the environment is you know, looks in next year

1497
01:20:14,800 --> 01:20:17,400
Speaker 1: the way it did last Tuesday. You know, I think

1498
01:20:17,439 --> 01:20:19,920
Speaker 1: Democrats are probably going to lose the House and the Senate.

1499
01:20:20,400 --> 01:20:22,320
Speaker 1: You know, one thing we did at our Crystal bal

1500
01:20:22,400 --> 01:20:24,639
Speaker 1: news letter was right after the Virginia election that sort

1501
01:20:24,680 --> 01:20:27,000
Speaker 1: of again to us, sort of confirmed that indeed, the

1502
01:20:27,040 --> 01:20:30,160
Speaker 1: environment is pretty bad for Democrats. We moved some of

1503
01:20:30,160 --> 01:20:33,840
Speaker 1: the US Senate races towards the Republicans. We had to

1504
01:20:33,880 --> 01:20:37,720
Speaker 1: raid as Leans, Democratic, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada. We moved all

1505
01:20:37,720 --> 01:20:40,280
Speaker 1: those races to toss up. You know, it's the House

1506
01:20:40,320 --> 01:20:43,360
Speaker 1: situation I think is murky, just because we're in the

1507
01:20:43,360 --> 01:20:45,400
Speaker 1: midst of the redistricting process and so we don't know

1508
01:20:45,439 --> 01:20:46,640
Speaker 1: what the lines are going to look like. In a

1509
01:20:46,640 --> 01:20:48,680
Speaker 1: lot of places. We're getting a sense of it. Some

1510
01:20:48,720 --> 01:20:53,040
Speaker 1: big states have finalized their lines in Illinois, Texas, North Carolina,

1511
01:20:53,080 --> 01:20:55,840
Speaker 1: though of course there very well could be litigation in

1512
01:20:55,880 --> 01:20:59,320
Speaker 1: some of these places. But you know, redistricting is important.

1513
01:20:59,320 --> 01:21:01,840
Speaker 1: But if we're in an environment where you know, Republicans

1514
01:21:01,840 --> 01:21:05,040
Speaker 1: are leading the House generic ballot polling by several points,

1515
01:21:05,720 --> 01:21:07,720
Speaker 1: that's the sort of environment where Republicans are going to

1516
01:21:07,760 --> 01:21:09,519
Speaker 1: pick up a lot of House seats, no matter necessarily

1517
01:21:09,600 --> 01:21:14,320
Speaker 1: how the districts are redrawn, and you know, the there

1518
01:21:14,320 --> 01:21:16,280
Speaker 1: are a lot of governorships on the ballot next year too.

1519
01:21:16,320 --> 01:21:19,320
Speaker 1: The Democrats made big games four years ago, but you

1520
01:21:19,320 --> 01:21:22,400
Speaker 1: could see a lot of the Democratic governorships being in

1521
01:21:22,479 --> 01:21:27,640
Speaker 1: jeopardy to places like Michigan, Wisconsin, Kansas, et cetera. So,

1522
01:21:28,360 --> 01:21:30,639
Speaker 1: you know, this was a this was kind of a

1523
01:21:30,720 --> 01:21:32,840
Speaker 1: you know, the check engine light came on for the

1524
01:21:32,920 --> 01:21:35,960
Speaker 1: for the Democrats on their road to twenty twenty two.

1525
01:21:36,720 --> 01:21:39,000
Speaker 1: I guess there's time for things to change. But you know,

1526
01:21:39,200 --> 01:21:42,679
Speaker 1: also the history generally suggests that the president's party struggles

1527
01:21:42,680 --> 01:21:45,880
Speaker 1: in the midterm, and that's that's exacerbated if the president

1528
01:21:45,920 --> 01:21:49,120
Speaker 1: is unpopular, as this president is. And so, Kyle, what

1529
01:21:49,120 --> 01:21:51,599
Speaker 1: do we also think in terms of the Senate? So

1530
01:21:51,840 --> 01:21:54,640
Speaker 1: where the particular Senate seats that might be you know,

1531
01:21:54,720 --> 01:21:57,920
Speaker 1: most vulnerable specifically in this type of election. Are we

1532
01:21:57,920 --> 01:22:00,880
Speaker 1: looking at Arizona? Where else are we looking? Yeah? So

1533
01:22:00,920 --> 01:22:03,120
Speaker 1: there's kind of like a kind of a universally agreed

1534
01:22:03,200 --> 01:22:06,600
Speaker 1: upon kind of big seven of Senate races. The Republicans

1535
01:22:06,600 --> 01:22:09,680
Speaker 1: are defending three. They have an open seat in Pennsylvania

1536
01:22:09,680 --> 01:22:12,479
Speaker 1: and open seat in North Carolina. And Ron Johnson may

1537
01:22:12,520 --> 01:22:15,120
Speaker 1: or may not run in Wisconsin, and then the Democrats

1538
01:22:15,120 --> 01:22:19,920
Speaker 1: are defending Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and then also New Hampshire.

1539
01:22:20,160 --> 01:22:22,799
Speaker 1: You know, all of those states are really competitive for president,

1540
01:22:22,840 --> 01:22:25,240
Speaker 1: with the exception of New Hampshire where I was really

1541
01:22:25,280 --> 01:22:27,759
Speaker 1: close in twenty sixteen, but Joe Biden won a bigger

1542
01:22:27,840 --> 01:22:31,920
Speaker 1: victory in twenty twenty. But Republicans also may have basically

1543
01:22:31,960 --> 01:22:35,280
Speaker 1: their best Senate recruit in that state. Got Republican Governor

1544
01:22:35,360 --> 01:22:39,240
Speaker 1: Chris Nunu appears likely to launch his challenge to Democratic

1545
01:22:39,280 --> 01:22:41,880
Speaker 1: Senator Maggie Hassen. It really could be any day now,

1546
01:22:42,360 --> 01:22:44,680
Speaker 1: which but we're waiting on that to sort of, you know,

1547
01:22:44,840 --> 01:22:47,400
Speaker 1: officially make that race toss up in our own ratings.

1548
01:22:48,080 --> 01:22:49,880
Speaker 1: So those are the ones to watch. But in a

1549
01:22:50,040 --> 01:22:54,080
Speaker 1: bad environment for Democrats, you know, all four of those

1550
01:22:54,080 --> 01:22:56,840
Speaker 1: seats that they're defending are very much at risk. And

1551
01:22:57,160 --> 01:23:01,000
Speaker 1: you know, let's say hypothetically the the Republicans were to

1552
01:23:01,040 --> 01:23:02,960
Speaker 1: net for Senate seats this time and go to fifty

1553
01:23:03,000 --> 01:23:05,400
Speaker 1: four to forty six, well that could set them up

1554
01:23:05,439 --> 01:23:07,639
Speaker 1: for the Senate for a little while. Because next next

1555
01:23:07,680 --> 01:23:12,200
Speaker 1: cycle twenty twenty four, the Democrats, their most vulnerable members

1556
01:23:12,200 --> 01:23:15,360
Speaker 1: are on the ballot, Shared Brown and Ohio, John Tester

1557
01:23:15,439 --> 01:23:19,360
Speaker 1: in West Virginia, in Montana, and Joe Mansion in West Virginia.

1558
01:23:19,400 --> 01:23:21,599
Speaker 1: And so it's a bad map for Democrats at twenty

1559
01:23:21,600 --> 01:23:24,240
Speaker 1: twenty four too. So it's really important for Democrats to

1560
01:23:24,240 --> 01:23:25,920
Speaker 1: figure out a way to hold the line here in

1561
01:23:25,960 --> 01:23:29,360
Speaker 1: twenty twenty two. And again, the environment is just not good.

1562
01:23:29,479 --> 01:23:31,360
Speaker 1: And we could talk all you can talk all day

1563
01:23:31,360 --> 01:23:33,880
Speaker 1: about the problems that the Republicans are having with some

1564
01:23:33,920 --> 01:23:35,920
Speaker 1: of their candidate recruitment and some of these some of

1565
01:23:35,960 --> 01:23:40,640
Speaker 1: these states unproven candidates, candidates with domestic violence history or accusations,

1566
01:23:40,640 --> 01:23:42,160
Speaker 1: et cetera. But at the end of the day, if

1567
01:23:42,160 --> 01:23:44,479
Speaker 1: the environment's bad, a lot of those things don't mean

1568
01:23:44,479 --> 01:23:46,559
Speaker 1: as much as they otherwise might. I mean, when you

1569
01:23:46,600 --> 01:23:49,320
Speaker 1: add the results from Virginia and New Jersey together, there's

1570
01:23:49,320 --> 01:23:51,719
Speaker 1: a lot of discussion at certain local issues in Virginia

1571
01:23:51,760 --> 01:23:55,320
Speaker 1: with course schools and CRT. But this really looks like

1572
01:23:55,360 --> 01:23:58,320
Speaker 1: a national wave, and I think to your point, it

1573
01:23:58,360 --> 01:24:03,280
Speaker 1: was also incredibly predictable, you know, just even taking away

1574
01:24:03,360 --> 01:24:05,720
Speaker 1: the pandemic and how Americans feel about the country and

1575
01:24:05,760 --> 01:24:09,160
Speaker 1: Bind's approval rating. Just looking at the history you know

1576
01:24:09,240 --> 01:24:13,040
Speaker 1: that you're very likely to have this backlash effect. You

1577
01:24:13,120 --> 01:24:16,000
Speaker 1: know what the map looks like for Democrats, and so

1578
01:24:16,479 --> 01:24:19,439
Speaker 1: they should have understood if they didn't, what a tough

1579
01:24:19,520 --> 01:24:23,080
Speaker 1: landscape they were ultimately facing. Kyle, Luckily, you to tell

1580
01:24:23,160 --> 01:24:25,240
Speaker 1: us a little bit about your book here the long

1581
01:24:25,280 --> 01:24:28,560
Speaker 1: red thread. What is the thesis of the book and

1582
01:24:28,600 --> 01:24:31,320
Speaker 1: why did you want to write it? Yeah, so the

1583
01:24:31,880 --> 01:24:35,559
Speaker 1: book came out of a master's thesis I wrote at

1584
01:24:35,640 --> 01:24:37,559
Speaker 1: Johns Hopkins a few years ago. I finished up my

1585
01:24:37,600 --> 01:24:41,640
Speaker 1: degree there and I wanted to explore I've analyzed and

1586
01:24:41,680 --> 01:24:43,920
Speaker 1: I've written about House elections for more than a decade,

1587
01:24:43,960 --> 01:24:47,360
Speaker 1: and I wanted to, you know, use my getting my

1588
01:24:47,400 --> 01:24:50,320
Speaker 1: masters in order to you know, explore this topic more.

1589
01:24:50,360 --> 01:24:53,600
Speaker 1: And so the book is essentially it's a history of

1590
01:24:53,680 --> 01:24:56,200
Speaker 1: US House elections since the early sixties. And I started

1591
01:24:56,200 --> 01:24:59,040
Speaker 1: in the early sixties because that was the time of

1592
01:24:59,080 --> 01:25:03,439
Speaker 1: some landmark Supreme Court decisions that enshrine the concept of

1593
01:25:03,479 --> 01:25:06,400
Speaker 1: one person, one vote into law. And so prior to

1594
01:25:06,439 --> 01:25:09,320
Speaker 1: those decisions, you know, house districts within states, some of

1595
01:25:09,360 --> 01:25:12,720
Speaker 1: them had four times more people than Some districts had

1596
01:25:12,720 --> 01:25:15,160
Speaker 1: four times more people than another district in the state.

1597
01:25:15,280 --> 01:25:16,880
Speaker 1: So that's I thought that was sort of a good

1598
01:25:16,920 --> 01:25:20,120
Speaker 1: starting point for kind of modern redistricting. And it also

1599
01:25:20,160 --> 01:25:22,400
Speaker 1: starts in nineteen sixty four with the Democrats at the

1600
01:25:22,439 --> 01:25:24,599
Speaker 1: height of their power. They also have almost three hundred

1601
01:25:24,680 --> 01:25:27,240
Speaker 1: US House seats. Linda Johnson has been reelected, and so

1602
01:25:27,280 --> 01:25:30,439
Speaker 1: it sort of charts how the Democrats went from you know,

1603
01:25:30,520 --> 01:25:33,240
Speaker 1: holding the being essentially a permanent majority in the House

1604
01:25:33,280 --> 01:25:35,840
Speaker 1: for much of the back half of the twentieth century

1605
01:25:36,320 --> 01:25:38,960
Speaker 1: to nineteen ninety four when Republicans took control, and then

1606
01:25:39,000 --> 01:25:41,640
Speaker 1: Republicans have more often held the House since then. So

1607
01:25:41,640 --> 01:25:43,680
Speaker 1: it gets into all these kind of big concepts like

1608
01:25:43,720 --> 01:25:48,639
Speaker 1: redistricting and political realignment and the nationalization of elections that

1609
01:25:48,760 --> 01:25:51,080
Speaker 1: I think have all combined together to give Republicans more

1610
01:25:51,120 --> 01:25:55,519
Speaker 1: advantages in the race for US House majorities than Democrats have. Well,

1611
01:25:55,920 --> 01:25:57,640
Speaker 1: very relevant, I think to a lot of what we

1612
01:25:57,640 --> 01:26:00,360
Speaker 1: discussed here on the show. Topics we explore here lot,

1613
01:26:00,400 --> 01:26:02,599
Speaker 1: and guys, I really recommend you go on and get

1614
01:26:02,640 --> 01:26:04,599
Speaker 1: Kyle's book. We've been talking to you for a long

1615
01:26:04,680 --> 01:26:09,520
Speaker 1: time now. You are almost always right on with your analysis,

1616
01:26:09,560 --> 01:26:12,479
Speaker 1: that's right and your predictions. So certainly one of the

1617
01:26:12,560 --> 01:26:15,000
Speaker 1: voices we turned to the most when it comes to

1618
01:26:15,040 --> 01:26:17,840
Speaker 1: election analysis, we rely on your lot, Kyle. Thank you, Kyle,

1619
01:26:17,920 --> 01:26:20,439
Speaker 1: really appreciate it. Man. Thanks for having me our pleasure.

1620
01:26:21,280 --> 01:26:23,200
Speaker 1: Thank you guys so much for watching Crystal. We're so

1621
01:26:23,280 --> 01:26:27,240
Speaker 1: happy that you're back. Really appreciate me. You guys. Yeah,

1622
01:26:27,280 --> 01:26:29,680
Speaker 1: I know it's not one of those good situations, but

1623
01:26:29,840 --> 01:26:32,639
Speaker 1: everything has worked out. We really appreciate your guys' support.

1624
01:26:32,680 --> 01:26:34,639
Speaker 1: As we mentioned, we've got big plans, as you guys

1625
01:26:34,680 --> 01:26:37,480
Speaker 1: can see here with the cameras and more other expansions

1626
01:26:37,479 --> 01:26:39,360
Speaker 1: and cool things that you're going to be hearing about soon.

1627
01:26:39,600 --> 01:26:41,600
Speaker 1: But to do that, we need your support. There's a

1628
01:26:41,600 --> 01:26:43,960
Speaker 1: premium subscription down there in the link. You get the

1629
01:26:44,000 --> 01:26:46,080
Speaker 1: show an hour early, all the benefits, but really what

1630
01:26:46,120 --> 01:26:47,920
Speaker 1: you do is you support our work here and the

1631
01:26:47,920 --> 01:26:50,160
Speaker 1: big plans that we have. So we thank you all

1632
01:26:50,280 --> 01:26:52,400
Speaker 1: very very much. We're cooking have some good stuff guys

1633
01:26:52,439 --> 01:26:53,800
Speaker 1: that I think you're going to be excited about. That

1634
01:26:53,800 --> 01:26:56,360
Speaker 1: we're certainly excited about, so stay tuned for all of that.

1635
01:26:56,560 --> 01:26:58,040
Speaker 1: Is great to be back, and I will be back

1636
01:26:58,080 --> 01:27:00,200
Speaker 1: tomorrow as well as Will Sager for a full shime show.

1637
01:27:00,240 --> 01:27:00,880
Speaker 1: We will see you then.