1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:03,160 Speaker 1: Okay, Well, joining us now is that Gita Ranganatha Bloomberg 2 00:00:03,160 --> 00:00:06,240 Speaker 1: Intelligence techn Media and is having a look at disney earnings, 3 00:00:06,400 --> 00:00:10,920 Speaker 1: which came out essentially beat. We do have them topping 4 00:00:10,920 --> 00:00:14,000 Speaker 1: those profit views, but it's also raising the price of 5 00:00:14,040 --> 00:00:18,320 Speaker 1: its flagship Disney Plus streaming service. It's ad free version anyway, 6 00:00:18,360 --> 00:00:21,800 Speaker 1: by thirty eight percent, all designed to generate more revenue. 7 00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:24,520 Speaker 1: What did you make of the overall picture that Disney 8 00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:29,160 Speaker 1: actually drew? So the overall picture, in my view, Rashad 9 00:00:29,360 --> 00:00:32,040 Speaker 1: was very very strong. So you know, we saw them 10 00:00:32,080 --> 00:00:35,839 Speaker 1: come ahead of their streaming subscriber guidance or we were 11 00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:39,480 Speaker 1: expecting about ten million subscribe new subscribers. They delivered about 12 00:00:39,479 --> 00:00:42,879 Speaker 1: fourteen point four million. They confirmed that they're seeing an 13 00:00:42,880 --> 00:00:47,280 Speaker 1: acceleration in that course of course subscription product through fiscal 14 00:00:47,400 --> 00:00:52,040 Speaker 1: fourth quarter. So expect all their new content launches as 15 00:00:52,040 --> 00:00:54,200 Speaker 1: well as their new market launches to kind of bear 16 00:00:54,280 --> 00:00:57,560 Speaker 1: fruit as they finish out this fiscal year in September. 17 00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:01,040 Speaker 1: And then what you know, the question that the market 18 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:04,280 Speaker 1: has really been asking, which is do these streaming services 19 00:01:04,440 --> 00:01:07,920 Speaker 1: have pricing power? And you know, Disney seems to think 20 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:10,560 Speaker 1: it does. There obviously, as you just pointed out, they're 21 00:01:10,600 --> 00:01:13,760 Speaker 1: raising their prices, but they're also kind of cushioning that 22 00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:17,120 Speaker 1: blow a little bit because they're offering on December eight, 23 00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:20,240 Speaker 1: they're going to debut an add supported service at the 24 00:01:20,280 --> 00:01:25,039 Speaker 1: same time, which basically means that anybody who wants to maybe, um, 25 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:28,839 Speaker 1: you know, cut back on their expenses has that option. Uh, 26 00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:31,200 Speaker 1: And so they're going to try and control chun in 27 00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 1: that way. So it's a it's a statement of confidence. Um, 28 00:01:34,760 --> 00:01:38,480 Speaker 1: they're adding subscribers and they're raising prices, and and the 29 00:01:38,520 --> 00:01:40,800 Speaker 1: market has picked up on this. It was already up 30 00:01:40,840 --> 00:01:43,240 Speaker 1: four percent in the regular session and as Doug mentioned, 31 00:01:43,560 --> 00:01:46,319 Speaker 1: gaining six point eight percent in in after hours, and 32 00:01:46,440 --> 00:01:50,280 Speaker 1: in fact of late it has outperformed peers and it's 33 00:01:50,320 --> 00:01:54,120 Speaker 1: also outperformed the SMP. That's all well and good, but 34 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:59,160 Speaker 1: the stock was down pretty hard earlier. And one question remains, 35 00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:01,920 Speaker 1: you know, partial looking good and all that, but does 36 00:02:01,960 --> 00:02:06,160 Speaker 1: that continue if you go to recession? Probably not. Yeah, 37 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:09,040 Speaker 1: that that's a very very important question. Brian and I 38 00:02:09,040 --> 00:02:12,160 Speaker 1: think they were asked this question repeatedly on the call 39 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:16,359 Speaker 1: about any signs of softening that they're seeing with consumer spending, 40 00:02:17,040 --> 00:02:20,080 Speaker 1: and their resounding answer and they kept repeating this was 41 00:02:20,080 --> 00:02:23,400 Speaker 1: was no um and that even if there was a 42 00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:27,440 Speaker 1: slight softening, which I think is inevitable, they have multiple 43 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:30,920 Speaker 1: levers to keep that profit machine running. So what they've 44 00:02:30,960 --> 00:02:34,079 Speaker 1: done is they have instituted, they've they've kind of taken 45 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:37,799 Speaker 1: their or they've used the pandemic very They've used that 46 00:02:37,880 --> 00:02:40,600 Speaker 1: time really wisely to kind of implement all of these 47 00:02:40,600 --> 00:02:43,760 Speaker 1: operational efficiencies. They have this new reservation system, they have 48 00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:48,840 Speaker 1: this new virtual assistant called Genie Plus, which basically reduces uh, 49 00:02:48,880 --> 00:02:53,880 Speaker 1: you know, waiting times in lines. So they have all 50 00:02:53,919 --> 00:02:57,000 Speaker 1: these things which kind of improve their real management kind 51 00:02:57,040 --> 00:03:00,960 Speaker 1: of um, you know, spread out attendance, smoothing out any 52 00:03:00,960 --> 00:03:03,080 Speaker 1: peaks and valleys. And what that has done is that 53 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:06,359 Speaker 1: has really kind of boosted profits immensely. And so we're 54 00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:10,120 Speaker 1: seeing operating margins that are way higher than you know, 55 00:03:10,200 --> 00:03:13,200 Speaker 1: pre pandemic levels. And now what they're saying is that 56 00:03:13,520 --> 00:03:16,880 Speaker 1: they're also seeing the benefit of international visitation kind of 57 00:03:17,000 --> 00:03:20,639 Speaker 1: kicking in at the domestic parks and that should keep 58 00:03:20,680 --> 00:03:23,240 Speaker 1: those margins at an elevated level. So is there a 59 00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:26,320 Speaker 1: possibility that we see a slowdown? Yes, how bad is 60 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:28,680 Speaker 1: it going to be? Maybe not too bad, because I 61 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:31,800 Speaker 1: think they have multiple levels that they can kind of 62 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 1: pull well into. T thing is gither they have this 63 00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:40,360 Speaker 1: amazing target for subscriber growth then they I think they 64 00:03:40,400 --> 00:03:42,360 Speaker 1: said this a couple of years ago, and they're looking 65 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:47,400 Speaker 1: at what two sixty million of them by the fiscal 66 00:03:47,480 --> 00:03:52,040 Speaker 1: two thousand and twenty four. Yes, they actually did walk 67 00:03:52,160 --> 00:03:55,120 Speaker 1: that back a little bit. Um So one of the 68 00:03:55,200 --> 00:03:59,640 Speaker 1: main growth drivers for subscribers to the Disney Plus service 69 00:03:59,680 --> 00:04:02,280 Speaker 1: has that been their Indian streaming platform, which is called 70 00:04:02,320 --> 00:04:04,920 Speaker 1: hot Star. And the main reason why hot Star has 71 00:04:04,920 --> 00:04:07,840 Speaker 1: been such a runaway success has been because of the 72 00:04:07,880 --> 00:04:10,280 Speaker 1: cricket streaming rights that it that it boasts of, so 73 00:04:10,480 --> 00:04:13,640 Speaker 1: it's called the Indian Premier League the I p L Cricket. Now, 74 00:04:13,640 --> 00:04:15,800 Speaker 1: what Disney did is they made a very conscious decision 75 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:19,039 Speaker 1: to walk away from the streaming rights for you know, 76 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 1: that that property because it was way too costly and 77 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:24,359 Speaker 1: it was going to kind of mess up their profitability goals. 78 00:04:24,400 --> 00:04:27,440 Speaker 1: So with that in mind, they actually did walk back 79 00:04:27,680 --> 00:04:32,159 Speaker 1: guidance slightly. Uh So, now instead of two hundred instead 80 00:04:32,200 --> 00:04:34,680 Speaker 1: of an upper range of about two hundred and sixty million, 81 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:38,000 Speaker 1: they're guiding to about two d thirty million, But I 82 00:04:38,040 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 1: don't think the market is going to punish them for 83 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:43,520 Speaker 1: this only because this is mainly due to the fact 84 00:04:43,560 --> 00:04:47,760 Speaker 1: that you know that the so so Hot Star subscriber essentially, yes, 85 00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:51,719 Speaker 1: there's a lot of volume on that platform, but but 86 00:04:51,760 --> 00:04:54,600 Speaker 1: the but the subscriber quality itself is pretty low because 87 00:04:54,800 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 1: they basically bring in about just one dollar per month 88 00:04:58,120 --> 00:05:01,000 Speaker 1: versus about seven dollars for you know, a non Hot 89 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:04,719 Speaker 1: Star subscriber. So you know, profitability again is well intact, 90 00:05:05,600 --> 00:05:07,960 Speaker 1: just a quick question. You know, we've had a lot 91 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:10,240 Speaker 1: of trouble in China with the lockdowns. How is China 92 00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:13,600 Speaker 1: looking at the moment with the park there? Yeah, they 93 00:05:13,640 --> 00:05:18,760 Speaker 1: actually just just reopened the park in in Shanghai. They 94 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:21,560 Speaker 1: said it's you know, so far momentum has been good, 95 00:05:21,560 --> 00:05:23,080 Speaker 1: but I think it's going to take a while for 96 00:05:23,120 --> 00:05:25,600 Speaker 1: it to kind of really get back to full capacity. 97 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:27,960 Speaker 1: But so far it says it's pretty much in line 98 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:30,679 Speaker 1: with expectations. It could be good down the road, I suppose, 99 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:33,680 Speaker 1: and also ESPN where it used to be one of 100 00:05:33,720 --> 00:05:36,480 Speaker 1: the reasons you sold Disney now looking a lot better 101 00:05:36,680 --> 00:05:39,440 Speaker 1: anyway out of time geta but always a pleasure love 102 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:42,840 Speaker 1: having you on the show geta Ranganathan Bloomberg Intelligence tech 103 00:05:42,920 --> 00:05:45,680 Speaker 1: and media analyst. Boy, they've got some good people there. 104 00:05:45,960 --> 00:05:47,000 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg