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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show.

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Speaker 1: In this episode, we'll break down how to make money

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Speaker 1: sports betting on college football. This is a great place

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Speaker 1: to start if you're new to college football gambling or

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Speaker 1: just looking to sharpen your game. I'm yourro Seth Wilcock

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Speaker 1: and to say, we'll be tapping into the big brains

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Speaker 1: of my co host Texas Truther Scott Bogman and the

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Speaker 1: biggest rock O Becks stand in the lands Reel Firman Junior.

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Speaker 2: Bog's great to be back with you today.

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Speaker 1: I want to know, if you ran into a sports

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Speaker 1: better at a bar, how would you pitch to someone

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Speaker 1: giving college football betting a rip this season?

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Speaker 3: Oh?

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Speaker 4: Man, if I met someone at a bar, I would say, listen,

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Speaker 4: there's endless possibilities. The pageantry is amazing. There's always games on.

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Speaker 4: There's games on almost every single night of the week

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Speaker 4: at this point for college football. There's always something to

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Speaker 4: bet on. There's parlays, props. It's just good old fashioned fun.

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Speaker 3: Man.

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Speaker 4: It is so much fun to find the college sports

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Speaker 4: to you know, put a little scratch on the game

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Speaker 4: to have a little more fun watching it. It's it's

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Speaker 4: just a fun process, man, And it also helps you

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Speaker 4: in the NFL draft get to know the prospects before

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Speaker 4: they come up. So if you're a big fantasy football

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Speaker 4: or if you're a big NFL guy, you'll know these

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Speaker 4: guys before they come up as well. And it's just

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Speaker 4: always good to have more information than all of your

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Speaker 4: buddies in your fantasy league. That's what I would say.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it gives you a much more clear picture come

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Speaker 1: rookie draft season. Terrell, always a pleasure, my friend. As

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Speaker 1: someone who bets on a variety of sports, I know

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Speaker 1: you're in the NFL streech streets as well as the

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Speaker 1: basketball ones. Do you see an edge in college football

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Speaker 1: in particular with there being one hundred and thirty six

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Speaker 1: FBS teams to consider weekly as opposed to NFL, which

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Speaker 1: has arguably the sharpest osmakers around.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I do.

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Speaker 5: I think that college football is up there in terms

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Speaker 5: of sharps as well, and maybe not as much for

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Speaker 5: the big games and sometimes even the big games like

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Speaker 5: you know me, I'm mister a fade to public, especially

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Speaker 5: in college football, especially when there's one game on it

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Speaker 5: is the biggest game of the year, like we're going

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Speaker 5: against the public every time and it works out. And

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Speaker 5: also the sharps are died like really really deep into

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Speaker 5: a lot of the lower level college football teams, and

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Speaker 5: if you start seeing sharp movement, sharp line movement there,

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Speaker 5: sometimes it can give you a pretty good edge. Like

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Speaker 5: there's so many things Box was talking about that college

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Speaker 5: football offers. I mean, we got big ten unders that

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Speaker 5: are going all the time, and so a whole conference,

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Speaker 5: we have a whole betting shed for an entire conference,

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Speaker 5: and it's a super oversight. Come on, So it's crazy.

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Speaker 5: I love college football. I love getting into the weeds

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Speaker 5: and betting it. And yeah it's different every year, so

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Speaker 5: I love it.

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Speaker 2: Today's program does look like this.

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Speaker 1: We'll discuss the realities of profitable college football betting. How

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Speaker 1: the pros build a weekly process finding the right bets,

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Speaker 1: building parlays without throwing money away, how to sustain that

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Speaker 1: profit once you find it. In final rapid five tips,

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Speaker 1: and before we jump in, shout out to everyone who's

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Speaker 1: tuning in either on the Bend Pro's YouTube channel or

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Speaker 1: the audio feed a reminder the easiest way to support

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Speaker 1: us give this video a thumbs up.

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Speaker 2: If you usually ustep of content.

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Speaker 1: Also make sure you're subscribing, if you're new, and you're

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Speaker 1: not gonna want to miss a second of everything we

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Speaker 1: have coming your way this college football season. So to

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Speaker 1: make sure you ring that bell and you won't. And gentlemen,

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Speaker 1: let's go ahead and dive into the realities of profitable

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Speaker 1: CFP betting bugs in your mind? Why does college football

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Speaker 1: require even more discipline due to the volume Sometimes, especially

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Speaker 1: in the non con we're looking at a one hundred

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Speaker 1: plus games a week.

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Speaker 4: Well, if you're coming from the NFL and the lines

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Speaker 4: are super tight, right and there's up to sixteen games

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Speaker 4: a week, you're gonna be like a kid in a

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Speaker 4: candy store when you see college football and you see

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Speaker 4: that there are close lines, there are gigantic lines, there

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Speaker 4: are low totals, high totals. You're gonna be a little

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Speaker 4: wide eyed and may be a little intimidated by one

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Speaker 4: hundred games.

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Speaker 6: But you have to have more.

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Speaker 4: Discipline because there's line value in a lot of games,

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Speaker 4: most games, probably right and specifically early in the season.

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Speaker 4: So there are lines that look weird that you want

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Speaker 4: to bet. There are props that you like that you

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Speaker 4: want to bet. You have to narrow it down when

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Speaker 4: you have all this information, So I think that is

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Speaker 4: really the thing, is finding the ones you're most confident about.

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Speaker 6: Yes, not betting everything. And some weeks are gonna be different.

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Speaker 4: Some weeks are going to be twelve games that you like,

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Speaker 4: some games are gonna be some weeks are going to

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Speaker 4: be four that you like.

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Speaker 6: You know what I mean.

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Speaker 4: So just know when to bet, know when you've reached

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Speaker 4: your limited And if there's too many games to bet on,

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Speaker 4: there's too many games to bet on, narrow it down

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Speaker 4: and find the ones that you like.

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Speaker 1: I compare becoming a more mature gambler to a lot

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Speaker 1: like life.

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Speaker 2: When you get older, you.

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Speaker 1: Stop dating just to date and you start dating to marry.

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Speaker 1: So like, I only make bets on ones that I

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Speaker 1: love and not just games and lines that I like.

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Speaker 2: So Tree, with this being said, we.

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Speaker 1: Also have a ton of line movement in college football that,

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Speaker 1: in my opinion, hits harder than over in the NFL water.

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Speaker 2: So do you agree with that and if so why?

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Speaker 5: I think it's a little bit of both. I feel

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Speaker 5: like it's a little bit of both. I see it

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Speaker 5: on both ends. I think that the college football line

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Speaker 5: movement intrigues me because you don't have an injury report,

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Speaker 5: and the injury report for NFL that's gonna determine. Oh,

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Speaker 5: if Jamar Chase isn't playing for the Bengals, guess what

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Speaker 5: that line is dropping all the way.

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Speaker 3: But I mean, have you got you guys. You guys

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Speaker 3: are good at college football, like I'm good at college football.

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Speaker 5: You guys know that we're literally sitting here Saturday morning,

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Speaker 5: all right, who's playing, who's not playing? What's going on here,

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Speaker 5: what's going on there? And so sometimes a lot of

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Speaker 5: that movement can either tell you in age in one

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Speaker 5: game where somebody's questionable, where somebody may have some inside

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Speaker 5: intel that's telling you other things, and then you got

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Speaker 5: another situation where oh no, the roster's completely healthy and

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Speaker 5: you still see some type of line movement. So I

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Speaker 5: think that in both businesses you have line movement. It

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Speaker 5: just determines an NFL and college football, what's the key,

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Speaker 5: what's the reason for that movement if you can kind

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Speaker 5: of determine that or.

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Speaker 3: Figure out if it's obscure.

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Speaker 5: Obscure line movement is always the interesting one to me

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Speaker 5: because it's like, why is this going like this? What

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Speaker 5: are you trying to tell me? You have an answer

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Speaker 5: that I don't have, and I'm trying to get that

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Speaker 5: answer because I'm trying to win some money.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, one hundred percent.

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Speaker 1: And on our Wednesday show or our Picks and Prediction show,

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Speaker 1: Boggs and I are often coming through what we can

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Speaker 1: find from injury reports. A lot of times it's just

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Speaker 1: you know, listening, reading what coaches had to say in

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Speaker 1: some of their interviews, and sometimes there's some gamesmanship that

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Speaker 1: you have to consider as well. And also part of

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Speaker 1: that in season offerings is the Early Line Show, which

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Speaker 1: in my mind is the most important show of the

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Speaker 1: week due to some of this line movement. It's really

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Speaker 1: what sets us up to gain some closing line value

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Speaker 1: or CLV as the week is progressing. I believe that

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Speaker 1: this is because college football lines sometimes are swinging anywhere from.

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Speaker 2: Four to seven points.

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Speaker 1: This is often due to injuries and news, as we said,

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Speaker 1: But at the same time, fan bases often are betting

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Speaker 1: their teams way more in the collegiate streets than in

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Speaker 1: the NFL waters. So what is your thoughts on the

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Speaker 1: college football line movement and how we're kind of trying

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Speaker 1: to game it and get ahead of it each and

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Speaker 1: every week.

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Speaker 4: Here, Yeah, it's kind of we're kind of blending all

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Speaker 4: these together, right, and it's there's going to be a

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Speaker 4: certain point in the week where that number hits its peak.

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Speaker 4: And sometimes it's right when it's announced, and then the

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Speaker 4: public loves this number, they bet the but Jesus out

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Speaker 4: of it, and then the number shrinks or the juice

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Speaker 4: is real bad on it. Right, Like you see numbers

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Speaker 4: move different ways, but there's always a peak at some point.

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Speaker 4: But you just have to figure out why this line

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Speaker 4: is moving. Goes back to what Torell just said, right,

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Speaker 4: Why is this line moving? Is it moving because of

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Speaker 4: a coach? Is it moving because there's an updated weather report,

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Speaker 4: because there's gonna be a change of QB is a

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Speaker 4: major star gimpi and maybe fifty to fifty to play,

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Speaker 4: and he even if he does play, he's not gonna

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Speaker 4: bee hundred percent, you know what I mean. So there's

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Speaker 4: different there's many different factors in many different games, and

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Speaker 4: it can be death by a thousand cuts, but there's

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Speaker 4: somewhere in the week where that number was at its

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Speaker 4: best value every single week. So uh, and the you know,

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Speaker 4: if there's more for you to go over and more

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Speaker 4: information for you to go over and come through.

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Speaker 6: It's the same for Vegas. Right.

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Speaker 4: So the numbers are better in the NFL because there's

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Speaker 4: just less to track, so they're more refined, they're more

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Speaker 4: likely to get that number right. In college football, there's

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Speaker 4: way more to track. They don't have injury reports. Some

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Speaker 4: conferences do, some conferences don't, and I think we all

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Speaker 4: roll our eyes at the validity of a lot of

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Speaker 4: those injury reports as well, you know, because a lot

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Speaker 4: of guys will be fifty to fifty and you're like, well,

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Speaker 4: he's gonna play. They're gonna they're gonna give him the

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Speaker 4: magical juice and he'll he'll go out there and play

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Speaker 4: his best, you know what I mean.

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Speaker 6: So there's just a lot more to sift through.

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Speaker 4: So at some point point in the week, the number

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Speaker 4: is at its peak and you have to try to

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Speaker 4: guess where that is.

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Speaker 1: When speaking of those numbers, Trell often it's about finding

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Speaker 1: those key numbers or even sometimes whether that's taking an

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Speaker 1: alt line or doing a teaser going that way, it's

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Speaker 1: finding those key numbers. So you can can kind of

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Speaker 1: share some of those key numbers that you're looking for,

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Speaker 1: whether that's a total or whether that's a spread. What

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Speaker 1: we should be looking out for. What are those numbers

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Speaker 1: that maybe pop your interest?

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Speaker 5: I mean, the most magical numbers for me are when

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Speaker 5: we start talking about the three and the seven and

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Speaker 5: you're six and a half and you're two and a

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Speaker 5: half or even three and a half, because I think

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Speaker 5: that three and seven are key numbers in football, because

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Speaker 5: that's what normally happens in when how people win football

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Speaker 5: games either buy a field goal or buy a touchdown.

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Speaker 5: And so once you start playing around with those and

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Speaker 5: you're like, Okay, this number is sitting here at two

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Speaker 5: and a half and it's just sitting, sitting, sitting. Is

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Speaker 5: it getting to three? Do I want to wait for

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Speaker 5: a three? Is it going in the back the opposite

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Speaker 5: direction of two? Like, it's just line of manipulation and

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Speaker 5: what Box was talking about of making sure you get

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Speaker 5: that at his peak. If you're sitting there and you

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Speaker 5: see a line is at three and it's at three,

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Speaker 5: let's say it's going trending down minus one twenty, then

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Speaker 5: oh well, this looks like it's about to come off

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Speaker 5: three and it's about to go to two and a half.

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Speaker 5: So let's try to go ahead and get this three

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Speaker 5: now it's probably not getting any better. But I also

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Speaker 5: find it interesting when they make games minus three and

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Speaker 5: a half minus seven and a half, because you're legitly saying, oh,

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Speaker 5: you're better than the key number. This team is better

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Speaker 5: than the key number. This team can get over the

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Speaker 5: key number. And sometimes I want to just go ahead

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Speaker 5: and lay that rather than take that. Some people say, oh,

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Speaker 5: I got the touchdown, all right, let me just go

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Speaker 5: ahead and take the free touchdown. But it's like, oh, no,

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Speaker 5: you might be trying to tell me something. So I

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Speaker 5: like to lay the points in those options. Lay three

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Speaker 5: and a half, take two and a half, take six

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Speaker 5: and a half, lay seven and a half. That's kind

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Speaker 5: of how I like to play it sometimes, but it

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Speaker 5: also depends on the situation, like this is just one

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Speaker 5: aspect of a whole handicapping process.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and keep your eye out for boosts two.

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Speaker 1: Especially during the early part of the season, these sportsbooks

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Speaker 1: are going to be putting out promos for us to

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Speaker 1: get invested, whether that's you you know, midweek games, Friday

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Speaker 1: night games, primetime games. There's often ways you can get

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Speaker 1: to those key numbers and take advantage of that. Let's

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Speaker 1: go ahead, though, let's shift behind the scenes to explain

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Speaker 1: how the pros are building a weekly process. Bogs laying

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Speaker 1: out your normal week in the college football season. What

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Speaker 1: does it look like from a roadmap perspective.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, so obviously, I'm watching the games on Saturday, I'm

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Speaker 4: staying up late doing my numbers and probably recording a

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Speaker 4: show on Saturday night. I'm waking up Sunday morning. I'm

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Speaker 4: answering questions for NFL Fantasy and stuff like that. Then

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Speaker 4: I after our show on Sunday, I typically start looking

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Speaker 4: at these these lines. And you know this from us

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Speaker 4: hosting the show Seth. It's a lot of times I'm

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Speaker 4: changing the numbers that were bet from the night before

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Speaker 4: to the morning on Monday, because the public is not

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Speaker 4: typically checking in on Sunday. On Sunday, the public, most

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Speaker 4: of the public is watching the NFL games, right and

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Speaker 4: then they check Monday morning. So you can see those

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Speaker 4: numbers of the cash bets and the tickets will greatly

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Speaker 4: shift from Sunday evening to Monday morning because people are

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Speaker 4: checking in Monday and starting to make their bets on

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Speaker 4: the numbers that they like, So we look to see

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Speaker 4: what way the number is moving on Monday. Obviously, we

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Speaker 4: do our show, I start digging into some of the

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Speaker 4: games I like, I kind of separate them, and then

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Speaker 4: at that point it's just kind of narrowing it down.

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Speaker 4: And honestly, every day is kind of the same process.

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Speaker 4: It's check the lines, check injury reports and weather reports,

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Speaker 4: you know, get some details on the games that I like,

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Speaker 4: and push me further. Obviously I'm writing articles. Not everybody's

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Speaker 4: writing articles, but I'm just looking through. I'm picking the

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Speaker 4: points that I like. I'm eliminating some games. Sometimes I'm

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Speaker 4: even adding a game or two, right, But most of

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Speaker 4: the because the number moved the way I like. But

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Speaker 4: most of the time, it's just doing the same thing. Ever,

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Speaker 4: you check your props, you check your bets, you check

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Speaker 4: your totals, you see which way they're moving, and listen,

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Speaker 4: if this is the best number I think I'm gonna get,

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Speaker 4: because it's gonna start heading the other way, you know,

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Speaker 4: you bet it. Then if I think this number is

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Speaker 4: going way the wrong way and I think I can

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Speaker 4: just wait, I keep waiting. So I think it's really

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Speaker 4: you know, there's different things that happen throughout the week. Typically,

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Speaker 4: Wednesdays are an interview day with a coach, we get

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Speaker 4: an update on a player, whatever it is, so you know,

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Speaker 4: the key dates are Monday, Wednesday, Friday every week. But

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Speaker 4: I think it's really just checking and making sure you're

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Speaker 4: doing the same process most of the time.

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Speaker 1: I love nothing more than Saturday mornings coming downstairs. I

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Speaker 1: got the cooler loaded up with some bush light outside

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Speaker 1: and I just sit in my office chair Saturday morning.

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Speaker 2: I got College game Day up.

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Speaker 1: I probably have Fox Big noon kickoff up as well,

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Speaker 1: and kind of just hearing anything the authority.

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Speaker 2: Pete Famill has to say.

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Speaker 1: I'm constantly checking Twitter for updates there as well, and

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Speaker 1: kind of looking is there any late line movement? Is

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Speaker 1: there any weather alerts that maybe we weren't sure of

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Speaker 1: earlier in the week. Torell shifting more to the volume

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Speaker 1: of games that.

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Speaker 2: We see each week.

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Speaker 1: How do you deploy your unit allocation? Because I know

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Speaker 1: you've never been afraid to get involved with some of

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Speaker 1: these group of five or we still call them a group

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Speaker 1: of five, group of where are we going here?

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Speaker 3: G five?

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Speaker 2: Like what's going on here?

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Speaker 3: I say, I still say group of five?

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Speaker 2: Okay, Okay, I do too.

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Speaker 1: I just don't want to be, you know, politically uncorrect

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Speaker 1: here with a shift.

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Speaker 6: I don't think the G five or G six will

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Speaker 6: be offended here.

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Speaker 1: Okay, okay, I appreciate that, Soterrell. Are you only focusing

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Speaker 1: on the conferences you know best? Is that a good

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Speaker 1: strategy to maybe start with, start with the Big ten

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Speaker 1: or the SEC and then eventually work your way into some.

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Speaker 2: Of these group of five games? Or how do you?

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Speaker 2: How do you do it?

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Speaker 1: And how do you give listeners the best advice when

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Speaker 1: they're getting into it?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I think that's only natural, and I think that's

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Speaker 5: probably something you should do. You probably feel more comfortable

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Speaker 5: that's what you're watching, Like the best part of it

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Speaker 5: is whatever you're watching, that probably gives you a good

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Speaker 5: indication of where your bets are, or at least how

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Speaker 5: you feel about your handicap. And so you know me,

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Speaker 5: I'm an East Coast guy. I'm very heavy into the

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Speaker 5: ACC we talk about, well, not in football, but a

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Speaker 5: ten like you know, Big East, like a lot of

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Speaker 5: the Eastern Sunbelt, like a lot of these Eastern and

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Speaker 5: Southern teams and.

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Speaker 3: All of that I follow.

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Speaker 5: At this point, I know people that have either played

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Speaker 5: for those teams or played against those teams and I've

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Speaker 5: watched them for years, so of course that's where I

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Speaker 5: feel confident. But like, oh me the degenerate that I am.

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Speaker 5: I mean, I'm just locked into all the leads. If

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Speaker 5: I can get a condensed game tape, and that's what

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Speaker 5: I would offer to people, condensed game tape. I find

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Speaker 5: condensed game tape on YouTube, some streaming services have them.

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Speaker 5: If I could find a condensed game tape, I'm watching

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Speaker 5: the game and so like, it doesn't even matter if

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Speaker 5: it's some random josproh Harvard versus IVY League game or

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Speaker 5: something like that. If I find of it condenced games

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Speaker 5: eight that can show me a game, show me and

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Speaker 5: show me all the good and the bad, and a

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Speaker 5: short amount of time, I'm one hundred percent watching that.

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Speaker 5: And then I take that into the account and going

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Speaker 5: forward and I'm like, oh wait, I know something about

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Speaker 5: this team.

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Speaker 3: I know something about this team.

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Speaker 5: Sometimes, if it's a longer game and they don't have

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Speaker 5: the condensed game, I follow it up with the play

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Speaker 5: by play, and that way, I'm looking at the play

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Speaker 5: by play and I say, oh, this part of the

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Speaker 5: game got really really interesting. It was a turnover here,

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Speaker 5: they score turnover scored.

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Speaker 3: And now they're back in the game.

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Speaker 5: Okay, let me go back and watch this section and

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Speaker 5: see what happened here, and just stay locked in. And

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Speaker 5: so your unit allocation and how you want to bet,

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Speaker 5: all of these I would say go into how much

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Speaker 5: of college football do you intake? You should really only

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Speaker 5: bet as much as you intake instead of taking random

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Speaker 5: shots in the dark.

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Speaker 1: No, I completely agree, and I love that you kind

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Speaker 1: of lean into the regionality of college football. I think

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Speaker 1: that's the one of the more interesting things. I'm very

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Speaker 1: close to the Midwest, so the MAC is one of

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Speaker 1: the conferences that I've been studying a ton this offseason

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Speaker 1: and getting invested from a future standpoint as well. So

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Speaker 1: I think finding what works for you regionality, and you know,

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Speaker 1: you might have some different sources depending where you are,

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Speaker 1: So I think that's that's great there, Bogman. I want

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Speaker 1: to also talk about line origin, because I think we

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Speaker 1: don't really think, you know, and consider it when it

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Speaker 1: comes from an NFL or a more mainstream sport, but

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Speaker 1: it really does matter in college football in my opinion,

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Speaker 1: whether it's coming from CIRCA or these offshore sports books.

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Speaker 1: So do you consider line origin and if so, when

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Speaker 1: and why.

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Speaker 4: I don't, and the reason I don't is because I

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00:17:36,840 --> 00:17:40,479
Speaker 4: can't bet every book, so you know, there are certain

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Speaker 4: To me, it doesn't matter where the line came from

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Speaker 4: because there's only certain places I can bet, so and

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Speaker 4: I think that's a big chunk of the listeners, but

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Speaker 4: not everywhere.

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Speaker 6: I think.

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Speaker 4: Obviously it does matter, and it's always weird when books

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Speaker 4: have different lines for a game and is rare. So

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Speaker 4: it does matter because you could have a different line

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Speaker 4: of different Jews or whatever. But it's not something that

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Speaker 4: I typically really dig into because I can't bet every place,

400
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Speaker 4: so it is it's different for everyone, and really at

401
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Speaker 4: this point in time, it matters where you live.

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Speaker 1: Well and over at bettingpros dot Com too, if you

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Speaker 1: go to the college football page, we also have an

404
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Speaker 1: odds board where you can see where all the sports

405
00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:25,679
Speaker 1: books in our system that we have their API for,

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Speaker 1: we can track where they open, where they're currently. It's

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Speaker 1: so kind of yeah, make sure you're shopping around getting

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00:18:31,440 --> 00:18:33,760
Speaker 1: the best price, and you can also use our Betting

409
00:18:33,800 --> 00:18:37,320
Speaker 1: Pros betting systems that can actually help you identify and

410
00:18:37,480 --> 00:18:41,920
Speaker 1: create profitable betting strategies that already have positive eb EV

411
00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:45,080
Speaker 1: baked in so you don't have to be starting from scratch.

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00:18:45,320 --> 00:18:48,720
Speaker 1: You can customize your betting systems by sport, bet type,

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00:18:48,760 --> 00:18:52,680
Speaker 1: and timeframe to find the best opportunities. Using real time

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00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:56,639
Speaker 1: data and expert analysis, track the performance of different betting

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00:18:56,680 --> 00:19:00,160
Speaker 1: systems over time, and optimize your bets to increase your

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00:19:00,320 --> 00:19:03,680
Speaker 1: chances of success. And go ahead and download the bank

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Speaker 1: Pros app today or go to benkpros dot com slash

418
00:19:06,800 --> 00:19:09,680
Speaker 1: systems to of it your betting strategy and start making

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Speaker 1: smarter bets today.

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Speaker 4: And I think that seth that is a big it's

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Speaker 4: a big part of what we just mentioned. What t

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Speaker 4: religions talking about narrowing down one hundred games, Right, you

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Speaker 4: go to your whatever your favorite betting system is. BP

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Speaker 4: is pretty solid obviously, and you know, find the big differences.

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Speaker 4: That's the first thing that I do is find the

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Speaker 4: big differences from the systems that I like and the

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Speaker 4: lines that are out.

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Speaker 2: Completely agreed with you.

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Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and shift into finding the right bets. Bogman,

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Speaker 1: I know early in the season you're often avoiding taking

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Speaker 1: a side until we learn a little bit more about

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Speaker 1: these current teams, and you're often hammering a total instead.

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Speaker 2: So when are the best times.

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Speaker 1: To target these overs and unders rather than backing a side.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I think I like totals early because maybe we

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Speaker 4: get a sense of what these teams are going to be.

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Speaker 4: Or typically, if you know a team is playing a

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Speaker 4: really bad defense, we know they're gonna be points put up,

439
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Speaker 4: and it's just a question of can that other offense

440
00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:10,280
Speaker 4: score against the other defense, you know what I mean.

441
00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:12,280
Speaker 4: So we have one side, if we just get a

442
00:20:12,280 --> 00:20:14,520
Speaker 4: little from that other side, or too much from one side,

443
00:20:14,760 --> 00:20:17,840
Speaker 4: you know, we can get to that over. Or look,

444
00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:19,560
Speaker 4: this defense is so good, I don't think this team

445
00:20:19,600 --> 00:20:21,000
Speaker 4: is going to score any points, you know. So there

446
00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:24,040
Speaker 4: are a lot of mismatches early, specifically in the schedule,

447
00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:28,240
Speaker 4: So I think totals are better than sides early. But also,

448
00:20:28,520 --> 00:20:33,400
Speaker 4: you know, just if the number is tight, then if

449
00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:35,360
Speaker 4: it's you know, a three and a half, if it's

450
00:20:35,359 --> 00:20:37,040
Speaker 4: a six and a half, if it's a seven, if

451
00:20:37,080 --> 00:20:40,480
Speaker 4: it's right on those lines that Trell was mentioning earlier,

452
00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:44,440
Speaker 4: then I would stay away from the side and pick

453
00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:48,359
Speaker 4: the total instead, right Like, if I'm confident this is

454
00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:50,040
Speaker 4: going to be a back and forth, or if I'm

455
00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:53,520
Speaker 4: confident this is going to be a slow paced game.

456
00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:57,600
Speaker 4: Two teams that just play at a slow pace walk

457
00:20:57,680 --> 00:21:00,359
Speaker 4: up to the line. There's no urgency versus is the

458
00:21:00,400 --> 00:21:04,520
Speaker 4: other way around. So obviously the context weather is a

459
00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:07,320
Speaker 4: big deal too. If there's gonna be some weather games,

460
00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:10,800
Speaker 4: we like sometimes for those to score way less if

461
00:21:10,800 --> 00:21:12,639
Speaker 4: it's windy, way more if it's rainy.

462
00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:13,199
Speaker 6: You know.

463
00:21:14,080 --> 00:21:17,119
Speaker 4: So they're just different ways to go about it. But

464
00:21:18,040 --> 00:21:21,879
Speaker 4: there's almost always a good total every single week to

465
00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:23,199
Speaker 4: find and pick on.

466
00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:24,600
Speaker 2: Well in Terrell.

467
00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:26,719
Speaker 1: Sometimes it just comes back to the conference, right, like

468
00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:30,120
Speaker 1: not to just you know, put everyone into a box here,

469
00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:33,080
Speaker 1: but generally big twelve games are going to be higher scoring.

470
00:21:33,320 --> 00:21:36,960
Speaker 1: You often see big ten games on the opposite side

471
00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:41,000
Speaker 1: of that, right, So are there any like conference allegiances

472
00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:42,840
Speaker 1: you have when it comes to betting totals?

473
00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:45,880
Speaker 5: Yeah, you just said that two right there. I'm nine

474
00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:47,760
Speaker 5: times out of ten I'm looking at a Big twelve game,

475
00:21:47,800 --> 00:21:50,040
Speaker 5: I'm thinking, oh, well, no defense is gonna be played

476
00:21:50,080 --> 00:21:52,480
Speaker 5: in this game, except you know, my guy rock uebec

477
00:21:52,520 --> 00:21:56,280
Speaker 5: and Iowa State always playing defense over there. But the

478
00:21:56,320 --> 00:22:00,280
Speaker 5: big and that's that's really just more of concept and

479
00:22:00,520 --> 00:22:02,080
Speaker 5: when you think about what do.

480
00:22:01,960 --> 00:22:05,120
Speaker 3: They do well do they recruit in the Big twelve.

481
00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:07,840
Speaker 5: Yeah, the tempo is a lot faster, a lot more

482
00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:12,520
Speaker 5: of that air raid type offense, whereas you get to

483
00:22:12,600 --> 00:22:15,720
Speaker 5: the Big ten and you see the ball put down

484
00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:18,000
Speaker 5: on the ground a lot more. They're ground and pound,

485
00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:21,679
Speaker 5: draining clock, a lot of really tough defenses. The recruiting

486
00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:25,320
Speaker 5: recruiting is heavy on the defensive side of ball. I mean,

487
00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:27,880
Speaker 5: Iowa just got a quarterback that could throw the ball

488
00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:29,880
Speaker 5: ten yards and they're thinking that they got the next

489
00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:33,840
Speaker 5: version of Tom Brady. So I think that this is

490
00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:39,040
Speaker 5: really it's really just how these conferences choose to attack football.

491
00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:40,440
Speaker 3: How do they look at football.

492
00:22:40,840 --> 00:22:45,040
Speaker 5: Now, it may shift gears a little bit more as

493
00:22:45,080 --> 00:22:49,720
Speaker 5: we start building into super conferences and you got UCLA

494
00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:52,960
Speaker 5: and you see USC for some reason in the Big Ten,

495
00:22:53,359 --> 00:22:56,760
Speaker 5: but for the most part, for the most part, it's

496
00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:58,960
Speaker 5: still really really solid, and a lot of these play

497
00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:01,040
Speaker 5: styles are the same, and it forces a lot of

498
00:23:01,080 --> 00:23:04,359
Speaker 5: these games to go down into total or up into total.

499
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:06,560
Speaker 5: So yeah, I think those are two conferences for sure

500
00:23:06,600 --> 00:23:09,240
Speaker 5: that I'm just like, all right, totals, I kind of

501
00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:12,120
Speaker 5: know where I'm already going with those two and now

502
00:23:12,160 --> 00:23:13,840
Speaker 5: I just need the handicap to kind of push me

503
00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:15,760
Speaker 5: with the ledge depending on what game and what team

504
00:23:15,800 --> 00:23:16,520
Speaker 5: is playing.

505
00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:17,160
Speaker 2: And troll.

506
00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:18,960
Speaker 1: The thing I love about you is that you keep

507
00:23:19,000 --> 00:23:21,280
Speaker 1: it a buck every single time you call a spade

508
00:23:21,320 --> 00:23:23,399
Speaker 1: a spade. So with that said, what are some of

509
00:23:23,400 --> 00:23:25,879
Speaker 1: these trap lines in college football that we should be

510
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:26,399
Speaker 1: aware of?

511
00:23:27,160 --> 00:23:29,560
Speaker 3: Oh? Yeah, absolutely, when they when they go.

512
00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:32,159
Speaker 5: First of all, there's a lot, there's a lot that

513
00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:34,480
Speaker 5: we could talk about, and so people are gonna people

514
00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:37,280
Speaker 5: are gonna be mad. First of all, when it doesn't

515
00:23:37,320 --> 00:23:39,480
Speaker 5: matter if you're ranked, unranked, whoever you are. Playing on

516
00:23:39,480 --> 00:23:41,960
Speaker 5: the road in college football is hard. It's very very hard,

517
00:23:42,080 --> 00:23:44,680
Speaker 5: especially the bigger school you're at. So when these top

518
00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:47,119
Speaker 5: twenty five teams that haven't been tested at all go

519
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:49,200
Speaker 5: on the road and they think that they're going to

520
00:23:49,280 --> 00:23:53,520
Speaker 5: walk into this unranked place and dominate that team right there,

521
00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:55,480
Speaker 5: and they walk into that game as a dog, and

522
00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:59,000
Speaker 5: you got to unranked home favorite against a ranked dog

523
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:02,760
Speaker 5: on the road. That unranked home favorite wins about sixty

524
00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:06,119
Speaker 5: percent of the time because the ranked team feeling themselves,

525
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:09,600
Speaker 5: they think they're good. They're not expecting the rude environment

526
00:24:09,680 --> 00:24:12,320
Speaker 5: that they're going to get. It's a bunch of different options.

527
00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:16,280
Speaker 5: I love fading teams that forever took to get to

528
00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:17,880
Speaker 5: the mountain top of the top twenty five.

529
00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:19,360
Speaker 3: It's been years.

530
00:24:19,440 --> 00:24:21,440
Speaker 5: There have been so many times that teams have just

531
00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:23,040
Speaker 5: been like, oh, this is our first time in the

532
00:24:23,040 --> 00:24:25,200
Speaker 5: top twenty five and ten to eleven.

533
00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:28,400
Speaker 1: Years, twenty twenty four, Boston College is twenty twenty four, yeah.

534
00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:30,760
Speaker 3: Like, and then what happened that next week?

535
00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:33,240
Speaker 5: Boom you right back out top twenty five because you

536
00:24:33,280 --> 00:24:35,560
Speaker 5: took an l Like sometimes you got those get up spots,

537
00:24:35,560 --> 00:24:38,080
Speaker 5: those letdown spots. So a lot of those lines are

538
00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:42,120
Speaker 5: definitely very trap. But for sure, for sure the ones

539
00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:45,560
Speaker 5: where I see an unranked home favorite going up against

540
00:24:45,560 --> 00:24:48,840
Speaker 5: the ranked dog on the road, that is the biggest one.

541
00:24:48,880 --> 00:24:50,760
Speaker 5: Where a lot of teams are running to take that

542
00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:53,680
Speaker 5: ranked dog with the plus money, and then that unranked

543
00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:56,520
Speaker 5: home favorite goes out there and handles business and protects

544
00:24:56,520 --> 00:24:58,760
Speaker 5: at home field and storms the field nine times out

545
00:24:58,760 --> 00:24:59,000
Speaker 5: of ten.

546
00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:02,000
Speaker 1: Kind Of on that same note too, Bogs is like,

547
00:25:02,040 --> 00:25:06,399
Speaker 1: we often see the books overvaluing these blue blood programs.

548
00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:09,280
Speaker 1: I mean, last year Michigan had a quarterback that I'm

549
00:25:09,280 --> 00:25:12,040
Speaker 1: pretty sure Terrell maybe had a chance to beat out

550
00:25:12,080 --> 00:25:16,280
Speaker 1: in practice, and we are still getting Michigan favored in

551
00:25:16,320 --> 00:25:18,600
Speaker 1: a lot of games. And you know, as a newer

552
00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:21,720
Speaker 1: college football better I was falling trapped to that. So

553
00:25:21,840 --> 00:25:25,399
Speaker 1: it's overvaluing the blue bloods and some of these big

554
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:28,560
Speaker 1: brands a part of it something we should also be

555
00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:29,400
Speaker 1: on the lookout for.

556
00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:32,320
Speaker 6: Absolutely, I mean one hundred percent.

557
00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:36,200
Speaker 4: If you came into twenty twenty four, I mean, Michigan

558
00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:38,560
Speaker 4: is coming off a national title season. They look like

559
00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:42,840
Speaker 4: a very good squad and obviously no JJ McCarthy for

560
00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:47,000
Speaker 4: them meant a gigantic different. So yes, you know, the

561
00:25:47,320 --> 00:25:49,440
Speaker 4: product is on the field. It's not on the sideline,

562
00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:52,160
Speaker 4: it's not on the helmet, and I think a lot

563
00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:55,960
Speaker 4: of people miss that on occasion. And I think coaching

564
00:25:56,080 --> 00:25:59,000
Speaker 4: is more important in football than it is in any

565
00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:03,240
Speaker 4: other sport. But it's still won and lost by the

566
00:26:03,320 --> 00:26:06,560
Speaker 4: guys on the field. So, you know, blue blood programs

567
00:26:06,600 --> 00:26:09,119
Speaker 4: or blue blood for a reason, they're usually good. But

568
00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:14,760
Speaker 4: everything has to have added context. Everything, Every single season

569
00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:19,119
Speaker 4: has to have added context context because every team that

570
00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:22,280
Speaker 4: has ever been good has had a miserable ast season

571
00:26:22,320 --> 00:26:23,960
Speaker 4: at one point in their.

572
00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:27,160
Speaker 6: History, right, and maybe it's this year for one of.

573
00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:31,760
Speaker 4: Those blue bloods. So yes, I mean overrating. You know,

574
00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:35,080
Speaker 4: specifically overrating a team because they have one really good

575
00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:39,399
Speaker 4: player is a big thing. But overrating a logo also

576
00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:42,600
Speaker 4: happens every single week, and that's why they keep building buildings,

577
00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:45,480
Speaker 4: tall buildings in Vegas every single year.

578
00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:48,880
Speaker 1: I feel like in that vein of context is also

579
00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:51,320
Speaker 1: the game context, and that it can be very important

580
00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:55,159
Speaker 1: when becoming a good, profitable college football better that you

581
00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:57,960
Speaker 1: really have to understand the game context because it can

582
00:26:58,040 --> 00:27:01,840
Speaker 1: drastically change motivation compare to the NFL. Obviously, we know

583
00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:04,919
Speaker 1: rivalry games everything goes out the window. But what are

584
00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:07,879
Speaker 1: some of these other angles bogs that can also change

585
00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:09,800
Speaker 1: game motivation for a team?

586
00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:14,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean the crowd, the weather, the record of

587
00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:18,800
Speaker 4: the team right now, the coach being on the hot seat.

588
00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:23,600
Speaker 4: Like these are still very young people on the field, right,

589
00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:27,159
Speaker 4: they are affected more by changes in their life. You

590
00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:32,200
Speaker 4: got these guys traveling, you got coaching changes, you have school.

591
00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:35,879
Speaker 4: So this is why some betters find it frustrating to

592
00:27:35,880 --> 00:27:40,000
Speaker 4: bet on college football because it's not nearly as consistent

593
00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:43,760
Speaker 4: as the NFL. Right, But that's what makes it beautiful

594
00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:46,159
Speaker 4: to us like that, that's what we like it is

595
00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:48,800
Speaker 4: because there could be chaos at any moment and we're

596
00:27:48,800 --> 00:27:53,119
Speaker 4: trying to find it. So yeah, there are so many

597
00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:59,280
Speaker 4: mitigating circumstances from the top down that changes players' effort levels,

598
00:27:59,320 --> 00:28:02,720
Speaker 4: It changes their motivation. Like you were mentioning before seth

599
00:28:03,520 --> 00:28:06,040
Speaker 4: a rivalry game, you could be miserable the whole year.

600
00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:10,000
Speaker 4: You know, Michigan off, Michigan awful all year. Last year

601
00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:13,000
Speaker 4: they bow up and beat Ohio State, and Ohio State

602
00:28:13,040 --> 00:28:15,080
Speaker 4: got in their own head in that game because it

603
00:28:15,119 --> 00:28:17,000
Speaker 4: was such a huge game and they ran a stupid

604
00:28:17,080 --> 00:28:20,359
Speaker 4: game plan. So yeah, this is not just the kids

605
00:28:20,359 --> 00:28:23,280
Speaker 4: on the field. Sometimes it's the coach's pride as well.

606
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:27,840
Speaker 4: So yeah, there are all kinds of differing circumstances, but

607
00:28:28,040 --> 00:28:31,159
Speaker 4: in general, I think you get more information out of

608
00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:34,040
Speaker 4: the P four than you do the G five. And

609
00:28:34,520 --> 00:28:36,840
Speaker 4: the crowds are going to be there in the P four,

610
00:28:37,200 --> 00:28:41,360
Speaker 4: not typically in the G five. Right, Like you'll turn

611
00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:45,400
Speaker 4: on a New Mexico game at any point and that

612
00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:49,440
Speaker 4: stadium is about a quarterfall. You know, you go to

613
00:28:50,120 --> 00:28:53,840
Speaker 4: Kentucky on a random Saturday at Place's pack, So it's

614
00:28:54,560 --> 00:28:57,120
Speaker 4: it's very different playing at a big conference and playing

615
00:28:57,160 --> 00:28:58,000
Speaker 4: in a small conference.

616
00:28:58,600 --> 00:29:00,440
Speaker 3: Shout out to the New Mexico, right.

617
00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:02,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, for real.

618
00:29:03,080 --> 00:29:05,280
Speaker 4: They're one of the first ones every single year to

619
00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:08,560
Speaker 4: have a televised game and there's nobody there, So I.

620
00:29:08,520 --> 00:29:10,640
Speaker 2: Was gonna say, U mass is kind of a.

621
00:29:10,720 --> 00:29:14,240
Speaker 4: Stan Stanford is a huge school with lots of tradition

622
00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:17,640
Speaker 4: and success, and they're not putting any money that counts.

623
00:29:17,960 --> 00:29:18,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's too busy.

624
00:29:18,800 --> 00:29:23,800
Speaker 1: Studying Terrell as someone who is able to bet college

625
00:29:23,840 --> 00:29:27,000
Speaker 1: football props regularly, make sure you guys are checking your

626
00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:29,800
Speaker 1: state loss to figure out if you can winner. CFB

627
00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:33,880
Speaker 1: props actually better to back than sides or totals in

628
00:29:33,920 --> 00:29:34,320
Speaker 1: your mind.

629
00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:36,720
Speaker 5: I think if you're really really deep into the wis

630
00:29:36,760 --> 00:29:40,520
Speaker 5: earlier this season, if you ask me, it's a lot

631
00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:43,480
Speaker 5: they're just throwing numbers out there to start the year

632
00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:46,640
Speaker 5: in some instances, and they have no idea what they're doing.

633
00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:49,640
Speaker 5: And then after you know, it's easy to say the

634
00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:52,720
Speaker 5: guy that is up for the Bolitnikoll could get ninety

635
00:29:52,840 --> 00:29:55,720
Speaker 5: nine and a half receiving yards for that week, but

636
00:29:56,480 --> 00:29:58,840
Speaker 5: in Week one, where you don't know who's really who,

637
00:29:59,040 --> 00:30:01,760
Speaker 5: or who made that in the off season or what. Man,

638
00:30:01,760 --> 00:30:04,160
Speaker 5: if you're really deep down into the weeds, then I

639
00:30:04,200 --> 00:30:05,680
Speaker 5: think that it could be a good thing. It was

640
00:30:05,760 --> 00:30:08,280
Speaker 5: what a year or two ago. I feel like I

641
00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:12,120
Speaker 5: was really heavy into the Georgia Tech rushing game and

642
00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:13,800
Speaker 5: I was like, oh man, this looks like this is

643
00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:14,720
Speaker 5: gonna be a real good.

644
00:30:14,680 --> 00:30:17,000
Speaker 3: Right Yeah, yeah man.

645
00:30:17,120 --> 00:30:19,840
Speaker 5: And they had some really really soft lines early in

646
00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:22,320
Speaker 5: the year and then guess what they exploded and it

647
00:30:22,360 --> 00:30:23,760
Speaker 5: was the rushing game that I thought it was, and

648
00:30:23,800 --> 00:30:25,760
Speaker 5: I was like, see, I got some great value. So,

649
00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:28,240
Speaker 5: like I think, early in the season, as long as

650
00:30:28,240 --> 00:30:30,520
Speaker 5: you're willing to put in the work and start shifting

651
00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:33,560
Speaker 5: through Reddit, start shifting through Phil Steel and understand who

652
00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:35,800
Speaker 5: these teams are, where they feel good, where they don't

653
00:30:35,800 --> 00:30:38,320
Speaker 5: feel good about their teams, and what the other team

654
00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:41,160
Speaker 5: doesn't do well and does well, then you could actually

655
00:30:41,200 --> 00:30:43,880
Speaker 5: find some really good value early on in props. And

656
00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:46,160
Speaker 5: then that can just build momentum for you throughout the

657
00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:50,560
Speaker 5: year and you'll start picking out value spots here there, everything.

658
00:30:50,880 --> 00:30:52,680
Speaker 5: So I say start early. I say, if you're going

659
00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:56,280
Speaker 5: to be a prop better in college football, start looking early.

660
00:30:56,960 --> 00:31:00,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, agreed. I love the Georgia Tech shoutout too.

661
00:31:00,280 --> 00:31:03,080
Speaker 1: I might have a little bit of a championship future

662
00:31:03,120 --> 00:31:05,560
Speaker 1: on there. And I was actually I was ready to

663
00:31:05,600 --> 00:31:07,600
Speaker 1: pull the trigger on a Haines King jersey in order

664
00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:11,120
Speaker 1: to the house and then he got sniped one pick

665
00:31:11,120 --> 00:31:13,440
Speaker 1: before me and my college football fantasy league this year.

666
00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:17,360
Speaker 1: So shout GT. We appreciate you, Boggs. Anything you can add.

667
00:31:17,360 --> 00:31:21,400
Speaker 1: As a guy who is often tracking these prop bet markets,

668
00:31:21,440 --> 00:31:24,160
Speaker 1: I know you usually on Fridays, we're putting out a

669
00:31:24,280 --> 00:31:26,840
Speaker 1: video in a podcast from you with just some of

670
00:31:26,840 --> 00:31:27,640
Speaker 1: your favorite props.

671
00:31:27,840 --> 00:31:31,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think the there's almost always better props. The

672
00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:34,880
Speaker 4: problem is is that very few places offer them, and

673
00:31:34,960 --> 00:31:40,040
Speaker 4: it's uh not it's not exactly you know, okay everywhere either,

674
00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:42,000
Speaker 4: so there are weird laws around it.

675
00:31:42,160 --> 00:31:43,600
Speaker 6: So just like as you.

676
00:31:43,560 --> 00:31:46,959
Speaker 4: Mentioned before said, double check your your state stuff. But uh,

677
00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:49,920
Speaker 4: there's almost always better numbers as Sorell said, you know

678
00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:52,440
Speaker 4: specifically early in the season or early in the week.

679
00:31:52,480 --> 00:31:55,160
Speaker 4: But they also a lot of the times, I mean,

680
00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:57,280
Speaker 4: they started getting crushed with these numbers a couple of

681
00:31:57,360 --> 00:31:59,560
Speaker 4: years ago, so they quit put a lot of places

682
00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:03,040
Speaker 4: quit put out lines until Friday, so you couldn't even

683
00:32:03,080 --> 00:32:05,640
Speaker 4: get the lines, so there were less crazy bets on them,

684
00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:08,080
Speaker 4: or less movement on the lines at least, so but

685
00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:11,480
Speaker 4: if you're deep into it and you know mismatches and

686
00:32:11,720 --> 00:32:14,240
Speaker 4: all that stuff, you can almost always find a very

687
00:32:14,280 --> 00:32:15,360
Speaker 4: good matchup in a prop.

688
00:32:16,680 --> 00:32:19,520
Speaker 1: Props are a huge opportunity, especially if you're trying to

689
00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:22,320
Speaker 1: beat a market that's been bet into heavily for six

690
00:32:22,400 --> 00:32:24,720
Speaker 1: days straight. So make sure you're checking out the Betting

691
00:32:24,720 --> 00:32:27,320
Speaker 1: Pros prop bet cheat sheet, which shows you the strongest

692
00:32:27,320 --> 00:32:30,680
Speaker 1: player props based on our projections, all.

693
00:32:30,400 --> 00:32:32,720
Speaker 2: Ranked by value, all in one place.

694
00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:36,840
Speaker 1: It's updated daily with recommended bets for yards, catches, touchdowns,

695
00:32:36,880 --> 00:32:41,120
Speaker 1: and more. Visit bettingpros dot com, slash NFL props or

696
00:32:41,200 --> 00:32:44,160
Speaker 1: download the beking Pros app to start cashing in today.

697
00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:48,640
Speaker 1: Moving forward, let's tackle how to build parlays without throwing

698
00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:49,440
Speaker 1: our money away?

699
00:32:50,040 --> 00:32:50,440
Speaker 2: Bogs.

700
00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:54,160
Speaker 1: Can you break down how correlation plays a huge factor

701
00:32:54,240 --> 00:32:57,080
Speaker 1: in building multiple leg tickets and college football police?

702
00:32:57,520 --> 00:33:01,520
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, you know it's for parlays.

703
00:33:01,560 --> 00:33:07,320
Speaker 4: To me, it's limiting things. But as you mentioned in correlation,

704
00:33:07,440 --> 00:33:10,239
Speaker 4: it's like if you like an over, well, why are

705
00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:12,400
Speaker 4: they getting to the over right? Is it because they're

706
00:33:12,440 --> 00:33:14,880
Speaker 4: passing a lot? Is because the run defense is bad

707
00:33:14,920 --> 00:33:16,480
Speaker 4: and they're going to score a lot. It's because the

708
00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:18,560
Speaker 4: whole defense is bad is because they sit on the ball, like,

709
00:33:18,600 --> 00:33:20,760
Speaker 4: what is the reason we're getting to the over and

710
00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:24,560
Speaker 4: you know or the under right a slow pace of play.

711
00:33:24,600 --> 00:33:30,560
Speaker 4: As we mentioned before, great defenses backup quarterbacks. Whether so

712
00:33:30,680 --> 00:33:34,600
Speaker 4: many circumstances that have changed things. So it's just if

713
00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:37,200
Speaker 4: it makes sense that this game is going to go over,

714
00:33:37,280 --> 00:33:40,200
Speaker 4: tell me the why, you know, so let's put these

715
00:33:40,480 --> 00:33:44,960
Speaker 4: rush attempts plus this over together things like that. So yeah,

716
00:33:44,960 --> 00:33:47,360
Speaker 4: I mean everything kind of ties together. If you know,

717
00:33:47,880 --> 00:33:50,840
Speaker 4: if you have in your reason the why this team

718
00:33:50,920 --> 00:33:55,280
Speaker 4: wins or the soul goes over or under, then you know,

719
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:57,720
Speaker 4: usually those things correlate together.

720
00:33:57,800 --> 00:34:00,200
Speaker 1: As you mentioned, one of my favorite things to do

721
00:34:00,280 --> 00:34:02,040
Speaker 1: is take a team over of a team that I

722
00:34:02,120 --> 00:34:03,840
Speaker 1: think is going to have a good offensive day, and

723
00:34:03,840 --> 00:34:05,680
Speaker 1: if I think they're gonna win that game, often put

724
00:34:05,760 --> 00:34:08,520
Speaker 1: like the team over with the money line and sometimes

725
00:34:08,520 --> 00:34:09,520
Speaker 1: parlay that together.

726
00:34:09,600 --> 00:34:12,600
Speaker 2: That's another great way to go about it. Trell. Sticking

727
00:34:12,640 --> 00:34:13,520
Speaker 2: on parlays here.

728
00:34:14,040 --> 00:34:17,480
Speaker 1: I often, if I'm not just doing SGP, I try

729
00:34:17,520 --> 00:34:20,000
Speaker 1: to stick interconference here. I try to kind of avoid

730
00:34:20,040 --> 00:34:23,600
Speaker 1: the cross conference lottery tickets, uh and really try to,

731
00:34:23,760 --> 00:34:26,760
Speaker 1: you know, focus on those particular conferences that I find

732
00:34:26,840 --> 00:34:27,440
Speaker 1: an edgen.

733
00:34:28,000 --> 00:34:29,720
Speaker 2: Do you feel similar, especially when.

734
00:34:29,600 --> 00:34:32,200
Speaker 1: We get past the non con schedule where it is

735
00:34:32,239 --> 00:34:35,319
Speaker 1: Mac versus Mac and his sun Belt versus sun Belt,

736
00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:38,160
Speaker 1: you know, a power for team against another power forour

737
00:34:38,160 --> 00:34:39,280
Speaker 1: team from the same conference.

738
00:34:39,280 --> 00:34:40,839
Speaker 2: What are your thoughts on that?

739
00:34:41,480 --> 00:34:41,680
Speaker 3: Oh?

740
00:34:41,719 --> 00:34:43,880
Speaker 5: Well, first of all, I was the wrong person to

741
00:34:43,880 --> 00:34:46,960
Speaker 5: ask for this this segment because I don't care what

742
00:34:47,120 --> 00:34:49,840
Speaker 5: it is. I'll parlay to Mac with the SEC, with

743
00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:52,560
Speaker 5: the ACC, with the sun Belt, with the I do,

744
00:34:53,000 --> 00:34:55,400
Speaker 5: I do everything. I'm not the right person. But I

745
00:34:55,400 --> 00:34:57,719
Speaker 5: guess if you would like to be smart, if you

746
00:34:57,880 --> 00:35:02,279
Speaker 5: like to be more ethical with it, then I would

747
00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:05,720
Speaker 5: say especially when we start getting later in the season,

748
00:35:05,760 --> 00:35:09,080
Speaker 5: in the money time, and we're talking about the conferences

749
00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:12,759
Speaker 5: fighting for positioning, and you have a good feel about, Hey,

750
00:35:12,800 --> 00:35:14,759
Speaker 5: this team is making a run and this team is

751
00:35:14,800 --> 00:35:17,880
Speaker 5: coming down, then that's a really good spot that Hey,

752
00:35:18,080 --> 00:35:20,160
Speaker 5: I expect this team that's in first right now, I

753
00:35:20,200 --> 00:35:21,719
Speaker 5: think that they're going to lose this week. I think

754
00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:23,600
Speaker 5: that they're gonna come down in the rankings this week.

755
00:35:23,640 --> 00:35:25,839
Speaker 5: You're probably gonna get plus money on the dog that's

756
00:35:25,840 --> 00:35:28,239
Speaker 5: playing them. And then you got your other team that

757
00:35:28,320 --> 00:35:30,600
Speaker 5: you think is on the rise and they're about to

758
00:35:30,600 --> 00:35:32,680
Speaker 5: start booming, and you could parlay those together.

759
00:35:32,800 --> 00:35:33,440
Speaker 3: So like, I.

760
00:35:33,520 --> 00:35:36,960
Speaker 5: Definitely tell myself into big Tay and they'll hear it

761
00:35:37,000 --> 00:35:39,760
Speaker 5: as we do the College Football Show over the season.

762
00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:42,839
Speaker 5: Oh yeah, I got the Big ten parlay this week,

763
00:35:43,040 --> 00:35:44,760
Speaker 5: SEC parlay, ACC parlay.

764
00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:46,359
Speaker 3: Yeah. I like doing that as well.

765
00:35:46,840 --> 00:35:49,719
Speaker 1: Okay, okay, but Bogs, do you have any other favorite

766
00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:53,000
Speaker 1: ways to build parlays in the college football betting streets?

767
00:35:53,360 --> 00:35:54,080
Speaker 2: One of mine.

768
00:35:54,520 --> 00:35:57,359
Speaker 1: In addition to going out and targeting some of these

769
00:35:57,400 --> 00:36:00,920
Speaker 1: G five games that I can put together, I also like, uh,

770
00:36:01,080 --> 00:36:03,680
Speaker 1: you know, taking a heavy favorite money line and then

771
00:36:03,719 --> 00:36:06,799
Speaker 1: pairing that with a pretty juice motorsports or even a

772
00:36:06,840 --> 00:36:11,720
Speaker 1: PGA placement prop you know something, here's minus two hundred.

773
00:36:12,120 --> 00:36:13,400
Speaker 2: Uh you can a minus?

774
00:36:13,440 --> 00:36:16,560
Speaker 6: People about conferences. You're gonna pair this with NASCAR? Come on,

775
00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:17,840
Speaker 6: what are we doing?

776
00:36:18,239 --> 00:36:22,880
Speaker 5: I mean, everybody has their own level of degenerates. Everybody

777
00:36:22,880 --> 00:36:23,200
Speaker 5: has their.

778
00:36:24,120 --> 00:36:26,280
Speaker 2: So that that's mine, So what's what's yours?

779
00:36:26,360 --> 00:36:30,360
Speaker 4: Yeah, So listen, this is how I'll say I work parlays.

780
00:36:30,400 --> 00:36:34,520
Speaker 4: And again, you know, Vegas is built on the backs

781
00:36:34,520 --> 00:36:38,839
Speaker 4: of parlays, uh, specifically now these days, So yes, we

782
00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:42,760
Speaker 4: don't want to over invest in them. So if I

783
00:36:42,800 --> 00:36:46,279
Speaker 4: really really like two or three games, like they're my

784
00:36:46,520 --> 00:36:49,960
Speaker 4: big ones, I'll put them together in a parlay. Or

785
00:36:50,440 --> 00:36:53,680
Speaker 4: if it's a week where I like these five games,

786
00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:56,640
Speaker 4: but I have four other small ones, I like it

787
00:36:56,640 --> 00:36:59,280
Speaker 4: as well, but I don't I don't want to invest

788
00:36:59,320 --> 00:37:02,359
Speaker 4: in every single one of these games. All right, give

789
00:37:02,400 --> 00:37:05,759
Speaker 4: me a low budget parlay for these four games, or

790
00:37:05,800 --> 00:37:07,919
Speaker 4: break them up however you want. You know, let's say

791
00:37:08,080 --> 00:37:09,759
Speaker 4: you have one hundred more dollars to put on this

792
00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:13,000
Speaker 4: whatever it is, one hundred units? Are we going twenty

793
00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:15,399
Speaker 4: five twenty five to twenty five? Are going seventy five

794
00:37:15,520 --> 00:37:18,160
Speaker 4: on two twenty five on all of them? Hitting, Like,

795
00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:22,160
Speaker 4: I'll find a way to break it up so that, yes,

796
00:37:22,480 --> 00:37:28,160
Speaker 4: I'm I mean investing the same amount every single week,

797
00:37:28,280 --> 00:37:30,719
Speaker 4: or the same unit or percentage or however you want

798
00:37:30,760 --> 00:37:34,160
Speaker 4: to work, or wherever I am within my gambling budget

799
00:37:34,560 --> 00:37:37,640
Speaker 4: of the season. So, like I said, some weeks, you're

800
00:37:37,640 --> 00:37:39,319
Speaker 4: gonna have a bunch of games that you like. Some

801
00:37:39,360 --> 00:37:42,279
Speaker 4: weeks you're gonna have fewers. So I kind of try

802
00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:44,719
Speaker 4: to do it that way. But if i'm you know,

803
00:37:44,800 --> 00:37:48,120
Speaker 4: I kind of every week, week one and the last

804
00:37:48,120 --> 00:37:50,000
Speaker 4: week of the season are the ones where I have

805
00:37:50,080 --> 00:37:53,000
Speaker 4: the least confidence every time. And the reason I have

806
00:37:53,000 --> 00:37:55,360
Speaker 4: the least confidence is because we haven't seen any of

807
00:37:55,440 --> 00:37:57,279
Speaker 4: these teams in week one, and then we're at when

808
00:37:57,320 --> 00:37:59,000
Speaker 4: we're at the end, and a lot of these teams

809
00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:02,040
Speaker 4: are making ball games effort, it's just not there. So

810
00:38:02,880 --> 00:38:06,040
Speaker 4: you know, those are the hardest weeks to bet, in

811
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:08,680
Speaker 4: my opinion. So I kind of lay off a little

812
00:38:08,719 --> 00:38:10,840
Speaker 4: bit more to start the season and to end the season,

813
00:38:11,080 --> 00:38:14,400
Speaker 4: but in between, every week is going to be massively different.

814
00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:17,400
Speaker 4: So I try to build my parlays on games that

815
00:38:17,440 --> 00:38:19,480
Speaker 4: I like, and if I'm limited on games I like,

816
00:38:19,520 --> 00:38:21,319
Speaker 4: then I'll take the games that I still do like

817
00:38:21,600 --> 00:38:24,359
Speaker 4: and put them in my parlay. But I just I

818
00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:29,239
Speaker 4: like section off as a percentage of my gambling to say,

819
00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:32,880
Speaker 4: these are four parlays for fun. Like, if you hit them,

820
00:38:32,920 --> 00:38:34,839
Speaker 4: they're fun, you get to tell everyone and you win

821
00:38:34,880 --> 00:38:38,200
Speaker 4: a bunch of money. But they can't. They can become

822
00:38:38,960 --> 00:38:41,520
Speaker 4: a crutch and you feel like you want to stack

823
00:38:41,600 --> 00:38:44,279
Speaker 4: these two because the number looks good. It's just so

824
00:38:44,440 --> 00:38:49,040
Speaker 4: hard to hit them, though, and every better eventually realizes that.

825
00:38:49,800 --> 00:38:52,200
Speaker 5: What I like to do is I like to sometimes

826
00:38:52,239 --> 00:38:58,360
Speaker 5: take my three, maybe four, maybe five, maybe seven maybe,

827
00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:00,360
Speaker 5: but I'll take them, and when I put them in

828
00:39:00,400 --> 00:39:03,000
Speaker 5: the parlay, that's where I get my straight betsent as well.

829
00:39:03,040 --> 00:39:05,480
Speaker 3: And so I'll straight bet all my individual legs.

830
00:39:05,560 --> 00:39:07,879
Speaker 5: Especially you'll see me when I get my money line

831
00:39:07,920 --> 00:39:11,759
Speaker 5: dogs going. I'm always straight leg straight betting every individual leg.

832
00:39:11,880 --> 00:39:14,200
Speaker 5: I might have a round robbin going with the money

833
00:39:14,200 --> 00:39:17,000
Speaker 5: line dogs, and I play it like that, but I

834
00:39:17,000 --> 00:39:19,200
Speaker 5: always try to make sure that I'm getting my straight

835
00:39:19,239 --> 00:39:22,840
Speaker 5: betsin and so when the parlay hits, it's like, oh hello,

836
00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:23,840
Speaker 5: how are you?

837
00:39:24,040 --> 00:39:27,080
Speaker 1: Thank you for coming, and you're not derailed if one

838
00:39:27,160 --> 00:39:29,719
Speaker 1: leg doesn't hit right. And I think that's the important

839
00:39:29,719 --> 00:39:32,720
Speaker 1: thing to note here is it's scaling your unit size.

840
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:37,600
Speaker 1: If you're straight betting something I feel more able to

841
00:39:37,719 --> 00:39:39,680
Speaker 1: If I want to put two to four units on

842
00:39:39,719 --> 00:39:41,799
Speaker 1: a bet, I feel able to do that. But with

843
00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:44,719
Speaker 1: a parlay, I'm scaling back to a quarter a half

844
00:39:44,719 --> 00:39:46,960
Speaker 1: a unit a lot of the times and doing it

845
00:39:46,960 --> 00:39:47,319
Speaker 1: that way.

846
00:39:47,400 --> 00:39:48,319
Speaker 2: So love that.

847
00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:51,279
Speaker 1: As we mentioned, if you like parlays, the key is

848
00:39:51,320 --> 00:39:54,880
Speaker 1: going to be correlation. Our same game Parlay Builder actually

849
00:39:54,880 --> 00:39:57,839
Speaker 1: helps you stack legs that make sense together, so if

850
00:39:57,920 --> 00:40:00,560
Speaker 1: one leg hits, the others are more like lead actually

851
00:40:00,640 --> 00:40:04,040
Speaker 1: hit as well. It even suggests connected bets as you go,

852
00:40:04,280 --> 00:40:08,000
Speaker 1: so you're not just guessing stack logical high value combos

853
00:40:08,000 --> 00:40:11,200
Speaker 1: of bets together. Today with our same game parlay builder

854
00:40:11,360 --> 00:40:15,000
Speaker 1: at bettingpros dot com slash Parlay, we're on the Betting

855
00:40:15,000 --> 00:40:19,680
Speaker 1: Pro Sports betting app. So, gentlemen, we've broke down how

856
00:40:19,680 --> 00:40:22,960
Speaker 1: to make profit, but maybe even portant more important is

857
00:40:23,000 --> 00:40:27,120
Speaker 1: how to sustain that profit. So we've already touched on

858
00:40:27,239 --> 00:40:29,640
Speaker 1: limiting yourself on your fit to your favorite plays, but

859
00:40:29,719 --> 00:40:32,239
Speaker 1: quality is also going to be important when it comes

860
00:40:32,320 --> 00:40:35,960
Speaker 1: to tracking units during weekends to stay disciplined. Along those

861
00:40:35,960 --> 00:40:39,439
Speaker 1: same lines, Terrell is avoiding chasing, right, I mean, we've

862
00:40:39,440 --> 00:40:43,640
Speaker 1: all had a terrible three point thirty noonslay and then

863
00:40:44,480 --> 00:40:47,560
Speaker 1: it's ten pm. You know, Mountain West games are starting

864
00:40:47,640 --> 00:40:51,960
Speaker 1: up and chasing. Why do you advise avoiding that, Torell?

865
00:40:52,880 --> 00:40:56,600
Speaker 5: Yeah, because I don't know about anybody else. But when

866
00:40:56,640 --> 00:41:02,240
Speaker 5: i'm cold, Yes, this ice around here, so I try

867
00:41:02,239 --> 00:41:04,000
Speaker 5: to make sure that I put all my stuff in

868
00:41:04,160 --> 00:41:06,799
Speaker 5: on the forefront, and I just roll the day out

869
00:41:06,840 --> 00:41:09,040
Speaker 5: and live with what I get and don't try to

870
00:41:09,040 --> 00:41:11,000
Speaker 5: get back into the wis because a lot of that

871
00:41:11,120 --> 00:41:13,239
Speaker 5: time you're going along.

872
00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:13,879
Speaker 3: With everybody else.

873
00:41:13,960 --> 00:41:17,040
Speaker 5: A lot of everybody else is now diving in, trying

874
00:41:17,080 --> 00:41:19,759
Speaker 5: to go and chase back their wins, and just some

875
00:41:19,800 --> 00:41:21,720
Speaker 5: people are just jumping in on a favor.

876
00:41:21,760 --> 00:41:23,160
Speaker 3: Some people are just jumping in on the dog.

877
00:41:23,200 --> 00:41:24,840
Speaker 5: And it's like if I didn't if I didn't have

878
00:41:24,840 --> 00:41:27,680
Speaker 5: the confidence before the week, I didn't get any more

879
00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:31,760
Speaker 5: confidence after watching the twelve am slate go to complete craps.

880
00:41:31,800 --> 00:41:36,200
Speaker 5: So yeah, nah, I'm very good on chasing. I think

881
00:41:36,480 --> 00:41:38,840
Speaker 5: now I may have a bet that I liked already

882
00:41:38,920 --> 00:41:41,400
Speaker 5: that I said I will wait to put in.

883
00:41:41,719 --> 00:41:43,120
Speaker 3: That is different than chasing.

884
00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:46,120
Speaker 5: But once I lose, just trying to go get a

885
00:41:46,160 --> 00:41:49,160
Speaker 5: winner for the day. Chasing has never done anything good

886
00:41:49,160 --> 00:41:51,680
Speaker 5: for me, so I just try to leave it alone.

887
00:41:51,920 --> 00:41:53,640
Speaker 2: You got to remove the emotion from it. You got

888
00:41:53,680 --> 00:41:55,160
Speaker 2: to separate that from the brain.

889
00:41:55,239 --> 00:41:58,440
Speaker 1: There's always Sunday NFL games, there's always next week for

890
00:41:58,480 --> 00:42:00,600
Speaker 1: college football, and a lot of sports between that we're

891
00:42:01,000 --> 00:42:01,799
Speaker 1: covering right here.

892
00:42:01,920 --> 00:42:03,000
Speaker 6: You should chase when you win.

893
00:42:03,080 --> 00:42:06,120
Speaker 4: If anything, you shouldn't do either, But chase when you're winning,

894
00:42:06,120 --> 00:42:06,920
Speaker 4: not when you're losing.

895
00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:10,960
Speaker 1: If you're serious about getting into betting, everything we mentioned

896
00:42:11,120 --> 00:42:14,440
Speaker 1: from the betting systems, the prop bet cheat sheet, and

897
00:42:14,520 --> 00:42:18,040
Speaker 1: the same game parlay builder can all be found in

898
00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:21,279
Speaker 1: the Betting pros app. The app even syncs with all

899
00:42:21,360 --> 00:42:24,879
Speaker 1: major sportsbooks to help track your bets for you. Right now,

900
00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:28,480
Speaker 1: you can try Premium for free for seven days using

901
00:42:28,520 --> 00:42:31,960
Speaker 1: the promo code Juice and activating your trial on the

902
00:42:32,040 --> 00:42:35,680
Speaker 1: upgrade screen. Download the benk pros app, use the free trial,

903
00:42:35,920 --> 00:42:40,719
Speaker 1: test everything and start building your process today. Boggs, let's

904
00:42:40,719 --> 00:42:43,120
Speaker 1: go ahead round this out. I want to hear from

905
00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:47,320
Speaker 1: both of you with some rapid fire tips for you, Scott,

906
00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:50,399
Speaker 1: what is a college football betting myth that you think

907
00:42:50,480 --> 00:42:51,320
Speaker 1: needs to go away?

908
00:42:51,600 --> 00:42:55,760
Speaker 4: I mean that there's a right and wrong way to bet,

909
00:42:56,120 --> 00:43:00,000
Speaker 4: and this is It just depends on why are you betting.

910
00:43:00,120 --> 00:43:02,919
Speaker 4: If you're betting to make a profit and live off

911
00:43:02,960 --> 00:43:07,120
Speaker 4: the winnings, then there is a wrong way to bet, right.

912
00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:10,400
Speaker 4: But if you're betting for fun and this is your

913
00:43:10,520 --> 00:43:13,160
Speaker 4: enjoyment and your hobby, then that's not really wrong. I'm

914
00:43:13,200 --> 00:43:16,120
Speaker 4: kind of with twel of you know. Look, I'll bet

915
00:43:16,160 --> 00:43:17,360
Speaker 4: this cross conference.

916
00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:17,839
Speaker 6: I don't care.

917
00:43:17,920 --> 00:43:21,239
Speaker 4: There's not there shouldn't be a rule to bet, So

918
00:43:21,280 --> 00:43:23,960
Speaker 4: I think that's kind of the biggest myth, you know.

919
00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:27,120
Speaker 4: And I also think the biggest myth is that you're

920
00:43:27,160 --> 00:43:29,160
Speaker 4: going to find some secret edge. If there was a

921
00:43:29,200 --> 00:43:31,760
Speaker 4: secret edge, somebody would have found it and been selling

922
00:43:31,760 --> 00:43:34,400
Speaker 4: it right now. There's not a secret edge you can find.

923
00:43:34,840 --> 00:43:38,160
Speaker 4: There's it's going to be close every single week. That's

924
00:43:38,200 --> 00:43:39,719
Speaker 4: what makes it fun and that's what makes it hard.

925
00:43:40,120 --> 00:43:42,759
Speaker 4: So I think that that's kind of the biggest myth

926
00:43:42,760 --> 00:43:44,959
Speaker 4: to me, is that there's rules in certain ways to bet,

927
00:43:45,000 --> 00:43:49,440
Speaker 4: because there's different context into why you are betting. Sometimes

928
00:43:49,440 --> 00:43:53,400
Speaker 4: it's for entertainment, sometimes it's to make money and profit,

929
00:43:53,560 --> 00:43:57,799
Speaker 4: and you know, sometimes just a friendly wager. So I

930
00:43:57,840 --> 00:44:00,719
Speaker 4: think the myth is is that the biggest myth is

931
00:44:00,719 --> 00:44:02,840
Speaker 4: that there's a secret formula to find that's going to

932
00:44:02,920 --> 00:44:05,200
Speaker 4: perfect things. But the second biggest is that there's a

933
00:44:05,239 --> 00:44:05,880
Speaker 4: right and wrong with it.

934
00:44:05,920 --> 00:44:09,640
Speaker 1: Bet Trell, same question to you, what is a myth

935
00:44:09,680 --> 00:44:11,880
Speaker 1: that maybe you think should just go away?

936
00:44:12,040 --> 00:44:14,319
Speaker 2: And at that same line, what.

937
00:44:14,280 --> 00:44:16,959
Speaker 1: Is something maybe you wish you knew before you got

938
00:44:17,000 --> 00:44:18,720
Speaker 1: into serious college football betting.

939
00:44:19,760 --> 00:44:23,319
Speaker 5: A myth that I wish would go away? Is that

940
00:44:23,600 --> 00:44:25,799
Speaker 5: there are one hundred plus games. I know for a

941
00:44:25,840 --> 00:44:29,080
Speaker 5: fact I could pick at least five right of a hundred.

942
00:44:29,320 --> 00:44:32,359
Speaker 5: I know I can get at least five. Ah, Man,

943
00:44:32,480 --> 00:44:33,920
Speaker 5: that five be harder.

944
00:44:33,640 --> 00:44:34,280
Speaker 2: Than you think.

945
00:44:34,360 --> 00:44:37,200
Speaker 3: Man, I'll be trying to tell y'all. College football is

946
00:44:37,239 --> 00:44:39,319
Speaker 3: a beast, but I love it.

947
00:44:39,800 --> 00:44:42,840
Speaker 5: And man, I mean, the only thing I wish I

948
00:44:43,000 --> 00:44:46,719
Speaker 5: knew is all of the things that I didn't know. Like,

949
00:44:46,800 --> 00:44:50,560
Speaker 5: there's just so many different spots where it's like you

950
00:44:50,719 --> 00:44:53,120
Speaker 5: just lose lose losing these spots. So then you just

951
00:44:53,120 --> 00:44:54,839
Speaker 5: start to figure it out and be like, oh wait,

952
00:44:54,880 --> 00:44:57,200
Speaker 5: I normally lose when I do that, or I normally

953
00:44:57,360 --> 00:45:01,799
Speaker 5: underestimate this team and I lose those situations. The thought

954
00:45:01,880 --> 00:45:04,920
Speaker 5: that group of five teams cannot compete with power five teams,

955
00:45:04,920 --> 00:45:07,680
Speaker 5: it's just absurd. And you know, there's a lot of

956
00:45:07,680 --> 00:45:10,000
Speaker 5: times that people are just laying the points with these

957
00:45:10,000 --> 00:45:12,880
Speaker 5: big teams and they're not ready for this little school

958
00:45:12,880 --> 00:45:14,640
Speaker 5: to come out there and show that they can compete too,

959
00:45:14,680 --> 00:45:18,040
Speaker 5: especially in this nil era. So yeah, that's probably one

960
00:45:18,080 --> 00:45:19,120
Speaker 5: of the big things for sure.

961
00:45:20,080 --> 00:45:22,080
Speaker 1: I feel like one of my big takeaways from last

962
00:45:22,080 --> 00:45:24,920
Speaker 1: season was I would see a ranked team being the

963
00:45:25,000 --> 00:45:27,480
Speaker 1: underdog to an unranked team, and I would immediately want

964
00:45:27,480 --> 00:45:30,480
Speaker 1: to go ahead and back that ranked team. But oftentimes

965
00:45:30,520 --> 00:45:33,960
Speaker 1: the sportsbooks are listing that unranked team as the favorite.

966
00:45:33,960 --> 00:45:36,319
Speaker 2: They're usually a reason why. So that's something to keep

967
00:45:36,320 --> 00:45:37,160
Speaker 2: in mind, Bogs.

968
00:45:37,200 --> 00:45:39,240
Speaker 1: I also kind of loved the point that you made earlier.

969
00:45:39,400 --> 00:45:41,160
Speaker 1: That was a big learning lesson for me in my

970
00:45:41,200 --> 00:45:44,319
Speaker 1: first few seasons of college football betting that the end

971
00:45:44,400 --> 00:45:46,440
Speaker 1: of the year, with these rivalry games, it can get

972
00:45:46,560 --> 00:45:49,600
Speaker 1: very ticky, tacky, very tricky, And same for the beginning

973
00:45:49,600 --> 00:45:52,120
Speaker 1: of the season. There's just so much unknown throughout the

974
00:45:52,160 --> 00:45:53,239
Speaker 1: collegiate landscape.

975
00:45:53,400 --> 00:45:54,440
Speaker 6: Yeah, and I.

976
00:45:54,520 --> 00:45:58,080
Speaker 4: Thing just to go back to the one thing I knew,

977
00:45:58,280 --> 00:45:59,000
Speaker 4: I wish I knew.

978
00:46:00,000 --> 00:46:01,799
Speaker 6: And it goes to Terrell's point as well.

979
00:46:01,840 --> 00:46:03,520
Speaker 4: You don't have to have an opinion on every game,

980
00:46:03,920 --> 00:46:06,800
Speaker 4: and you won't, right, you will not have an opinion

981
00:46:06,920 --> 00:46:09,880
Speaker 4: on Rice versu Fau, and you shouldn't, you know what

982
00:46:09,960 --> 00:46:13,760
Speaker 4: I mean, Like, they're just you can ignore some games.

983
00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:17,840
Speaker 4: So that is a big thing. And another thing that

984
00:46:18,640 --> 00:46:20,680
Speaker 4: and this is a little bit more granular, but just

985
00:46:20,840 --> 00:46:25,440
Speaker 4: in college football overall, one overmatch unit can make him

986
00:46:25,440 --> 00:46:28,440
Speaker 4: break a game, specifically if it's along the line So

987
00:46:28,560 --> 00:46:31,560
Speaker 4: if there's an offensive line that has been playing particularly bad,

988
00:46:31,800 --> 00:46:35,359
Speaker 4: but they have good quarterbacks, good receivers, all that, but

989
00:46:35,400 --> 00:46:38,120
Speaker 4: their own line is injured or whatever, and the d

990
00:46:38,239 --> 00:46:41,520
Speaker 4: line is going to eat them alive. Those are the

991
00:46:41,520 --> 00:46:44,640
Speaker 4: mismatches that are my favorite, or the line mismatches or

992
00:46:45,000 --> 00:46:48,520
Speaker 4: secondary like a bad, bad secondary can get torched. So

993
00:46:49,640 --> 00:46:51,880
Speaker 4: those are like, if we're looking a little more granular,

994
00:46:51,920 --> 00:46:53,720
Speaker 4: those are the things I wish I knew before betting,

995
00:46:53,760 --> 00:46:56,960
Speaker 4: because it can all look good, but if the defensive

996
00:46:56,960 --> 00:46:59,160
Speaker 4: line is going to overwhelm the offensive line, it doesn't

997
00:46:59,160 --> 00:47:01,360
Speaker 4: really matter. It's kind of like that is my favorite

998
00:47:01,360 --> 00:47:05,160
Speaker 4: scene from Apollout thirteen to reference for betting. Well, let's

999
00:47:05,200 --> 00:47:07,600
Speaker 4: lose the parachutes. Then well, John, if the parachutes don't

1000
00:47:07,640 --> 00:47:10,879
Speaker 4: go off, what's the point, you know. So it's kind

1001
00:47:10,880 --> 00:47:12,560
Speaker 4: of one of those where look, all of this, the

1002
00:47:12,640 --> 00:47:14,520
Speaker 4: rest of this can be good, but if we can't

1003
00:47:14,520 --> 00:47:16,520
Speaker 4: stop them from getting in the quarterback, it's going to

1004
00:47:16,520 --> 00:47:17,040
Speaker 4: be a long day.

1005
00:47:17,840 --> 00:47:21,600
Speaker 1: Great shout out there, great analysis today, gentlemen. That is

1006
00:47:21,640 --> 00:47:23,879
Speaker 1: going to do it for us today right here on

1007
00:47:23,960 --> 00:47:27,040
Speaker 1: the Betting Pros College Football Show. Make sure you smash

1008
00:47:27,120 --> 00:47:29,480
Speaker 1: that like button if you enjoy this video. Make sure

1009
00:47:29,480 --> 00:47:31,719
Speaker 1: you're subscribing to the channel if you're new, so you

1010
00:47:31,719 --> 00:47:34,880
Speaker 1: don't miss a second of CFE betting this season. For

1011
00:47:34,960 --> 00:47:38,279
Speaker 1: Scott Bogman and Troll Firman Junior, I'm Seth Wilcock take

1012
00:47:38,320 --> 00:47:38,840
Speaker 1: care of y'all.

1013
00:47:39,200 --> 00:47:41,800
Speaker 6: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

1014
00:47:41,880 --> 00:47:44,239
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1015
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1016
00:47:44,680 --> 00:47:48,440
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1017
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1018
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1019
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1020
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