1 00:00:01,720 --> 00:00:04,480 Speaker 1: This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. Discover the 2 00:00:04,519 --> 00:00:07,880 Speaker 1: inspiring true story about Anthony Roebliss, who defined every expectation 3 00:00:07,960 --> 00:00:10,840 Speaker 1: to become a national wrestling champion, and Unstoppable, a new 4 00:00:10,880 --> 00:00:14,480 Speaker 1: original movie from Amazon MGM Studios and director William Goldenberg, 5 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:17,720 Speaker 1: evoking the excitement and camaraderie of classic sports dramas and 6 00:00:17,760 --> 00:00:21,160 Speaker 1: thrilling wrestling matches. Unstoppable features an all star ensemble cast 7 00:00:21,239 --> 00:00:24,759 Speaker 1: including Jerrel Jerome, Jennifer Lopez, Don Cheatle, Michael Pania, and 8 00:00:24,760 --> 00:00:40,720 Speaker 1: Bobby Canavali. Watch Unstoppable now exclusively on Amazon Prime Video. 9 00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:45,720 Speaker 2: Welcome Back, Episode two fifty seven, What's Right with Nick 10 00:00:45,720 --> 00:00:48,880 Speaker 2: Wright and my absolute single favorite episode of the year. 11 00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:54,080 Speaker 2: Our NFL season preview gambling show, all thirty two teams, 12 00:00:54,440 --> 00:00:58,960 Speaker 2: all thirty two over unders pared down to six to 13 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:02,160 Speaker 2: ten that we love that we will bet that we 14 00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:05,319 Speaker 2: will put our actual money on monitor throughout the season, 15 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:09,160 Speaker 2: and for the ones we don't bet, we still give 16 00:01:09,200 --> 00:01:11,600 Speaker 2: you a lean and a direction we would bet so 17 00:01:11,840 --> 00:01:14,399 Speaker 2: over the course of the year we can see how 18 00:01:14,440 --> 00:01:17,320 Speaker 2: we're doing on them. We will give you division winners, 19 00:01:17,360 --> 00:01:20,320 Speaker 2: at least some. We'll give you make miss playoff bets. 20 00:01:20,360 --> 00:01:23,880 Speaker 2: We will give you our Super Bowl EXACTA, which, for 21 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:26,839 Speaker 2: the record, the two years I've given out the Super 22 00:01:26,880 --> 00:01:31,440 Speaker 2: Bowl exactly two years ago Chiefs Niners, the Chiefs made it, 23 00:01:32,000 --> 00:01:35,520 Speaker 2: and the Niners were in the NFC Championship Game. Last 24 00:01:35,560 --> 00:01:39,560 Speaker 2: year Chiefs Cowboys, where the Chiefs made it and the 25 00:01:39,600 --> 00:01:42,600 Speaker 2: Cowboys were the two seed in the NFC. They obviously 26 00:01:42,680 --> 00:01:46,800 Speaker 2: ended up falling apart, but those were what my buddy 27 00:01:46,880 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 2: Danny Parkins and now amazingly my co worker Danny Parkins 28 00:01:50,200 --> 00:01:54,560 Speaker 2: would say, good value losers. They weren't winning bets, but 29 00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:57,680 Speaker 2: they were good value smart bets at where we got them. 30 00:01:57,760 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 2: So we're gonna do all of that. I also am 31 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:04,720 Speaker 2: going to give you a bit of a premise on 32 00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:08,560 Speaker 2: how I do some of this work throughout the show. 33 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:11,800 Speaker 2: But first, what missed the cut? Ceedee Lamb signs the 34 00:02:11,800 --> 00:02:15,560 Speaker 2: most inevitable contract extension ever four years, won thirty six, 35 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:18,760 Speaker 2: Nick Chubb missing the first at least the first four games, 36 00:02:18,800 --> 00:02:22,040 Speaker 2: and the Chargers sadly and scarily get stuck in the 37 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:25,320 Speaker 2: elevator demonse, Are you as excited for this show as 38 00:02:25,360 --> 00:02:25,680 Speaker 2: I am? 39 00:02:26,320 --> 00:02:30,080 Speaker 3: I'm super excited. Surprised that CD getting his contract missed 40 00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:31,720 Speaker 3: the It was in the what miss you know with 41 00:02:31,760 --> 00:02:35,160 Speaker 3: it being such a huge thing, But listen. 42 00:02:35,440 --> 00:02:39,600 Speaker 2: The yeah we had the producers had the picks being 43 00:02:39,639 --> 00:02:42,160 Speaker 2: the A block and then a regular show in the 44 00:02:42,160 --> 00:02:44,359 Speaker 2: B block, and I was like, well, that's gonna be 45 00:02:44,400 --> 00:02:46,480 Speaker 2: a three and a half hour show. I don't know 46 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:48,080 Speaker 2: how long they think it's going to take me to 47 00:02:48,120 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 2: go through all thirty two over unders and then another 48 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:53,720 Speaker 2: twenty bets we're making, but it wouldn't be a nice 49 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:58,639 Speaker 2: tight twenty by the way, on that note, I did 50 00:02:58,680 --> 00:03:00,480 Speaker 2: want to well, actually I don't even remember what I 51 00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:02,600 Speaker 2: wanted to say, so we'll just get to it. 52 00:03:02,639 --> 00:03:03,400 Speaker 3: Oh I do. 53 00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:07,359 Speaker 2: I will give one other thing. No, two years ago 54 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:09,360 Speaker 2: when we did this, we made a lot of money 55 00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:14,639 Speaker 2: and we won. Last year, we did very poorly on 56 00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:18,280 Speaker 2: our exotic bets, as you will see later in the show. 57 00:03:18,320 --> 00:03:20,800 Speaker 2: Because we're accountable, we're going to show you all of 58 00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:24,280 Speaker 2: our picks from last year, where we went right, where 59 00:03:24,320 --> 00:03:26,600 Speaker 2: we went wrong, and how we're going to try to 60 00:03:26,720 --> 00:03:31,200 Speaker 2: learn from that experience this season. So there's the premise, 61 00:03:31,360 --> 00:03:32,480 Speaker 2: Demons get us going. 62 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:36,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, so last year our gambling preview was Diora's last show, 63 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:39,480 Speaker 3: so I feel like that probably gave us some bad vibes, 64 00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:40,760 Speaker 3: put us off to a bad start. 65 00:03:41,040 --> 00:03:42,840 Speaker 2: But this year, that's nice, sister. 66 00:03:43,520 --> 00:03:45,720 Speaker 3: I'm starting off and I'll be here all throughout to 67 00:03:45,760 --> 00:03:51,360 Speaker 3: help you. So okay, well that's good, go ahead, amazing, amazing, 68 00:03:51,360 --> 00:03:54,200 Speaker 3: I'll be here throughout. But yeah, So first off, we've 69 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:56,760 Speaker 3: got the teams that were betting, that were not betting 70 00:03:57,040 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 3: or in other words, stay away. 71 00:03:58,320 --> 00:04:02,160 Speaker 2: Our stay aways. Okay, so there are gonna be about 72 00:04:02,200 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 2: twenty of these that I don't have a super I 73 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:10,040 Speaker 2: don't have a strong enough feel on to put money on, 74 00:04:10,560 --> 00:04:14,760 Speaker 2: but I still like a side. Meaning none of these 75 00:04:14,800 --> 00:04:17,720 Speaker 2: teams am I gonna say, Ah, the numbers perfect, you know, 76 00:04:17,800 --> 00:04:20,000 Speaker 2: I'm not giving you a thought on it. So these 77 00:04:20,080 --> 00:04:23,600 Speaker 2: we're gonna roll through and we have them ordered from 78 00:04:23,600 --> 00:04:27,400 Speaker 2: the highest projected win total to the lowest win total 79 00:04:27,760 --> 00:04:30,599 Speaker 2: of the teams we're not betting on, if that makes sense. 80 00:04:30,880 --> 00:04:34,360 Speaker 2: So we will start with the Niners, whose projected win 81 00:04:34,480 --> 00:04:37,200 Speaker 2: total is eleven and a half. Oh one other thing. Sorry, 82 00:04:37,200 --> 00:04:41,600 Speaker 2: I'm just so excited we are because we're adults and 83 00:04:41,640 --> 00:04:45,800 Speaker 2: we're actual gamblers. We are going to do this show 84 00:04:46,320 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 2: with the real juice attached to it. So the Niners 85 00:04:50,600 --> 00:04:55,200 Speaker 2: total is eleven and a half, but that does not 86 00:04:55,360 --> 00:04:57,640 Speaker 2: mean well if you bet over under, it's you know, 87 00:04:57,800 --> 00:05:01,880 Speaker 2: minus one and ten on both Like on almost all 88 00:05:01,920 --> 00:05:05,480 Speaker 2: of these, there is significant juice on one side or 89 00:05:05,560 --> 00:05:08,240 Speaker 2: the other. By the way, if you're listening right now 90 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:10,720 Speaker 2: and you're like, what do you mean by juice, this 91 00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:14,080 Speaker 2: show might not exactly be for you, or you just 92 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:17,240 Speaker 2: need to not worry about the minute of the gambling talk. 93 00:05:17,640 --> 00:05:22,200 Speaker 2: Just giving shit as always, thank you, as always demands 94 00:05:22,760 --> 00:05:28,760 Speaker 2: with everything football gambling related. If I say a minus number, 95 00:05:29,560 --> 00:05:32,360 Speaker 2: we're not talking point spreads here, that is how much 96 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:36,159 Speaker 2: you have to wager to win one hundred dollars. If 97 00:05:36,160 --> 00:05:39,280 Speaker 2: I say a plus number, that is how much you 98 00:05:39,400 --> 00:05:43,160 Speaker 2: win if you wager one hundred dollars. Okay, So that 99 00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:46,080 Speaker 2: is the very simple way to look at it. The 100 00:05:46,200 --> 00:05:49,559 Speaker 2: Niners total is eleven and a half. I don't feel 101 00:05:49,600 --> 00:05:52,760 Speaker 2: strongly enough about it to bet it, But if I 102 00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:56,040 Speaker 2: were to bet it, I would be betting under eleven 103 00:05:56,120 --> 00:05:59,440 Speaker 2: and a half getting plus one twenty six. And the 104 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:03,839 Speaker 2: rationale of that is very simple. They've had an brutal offseason. 105 00:06:04,440 --> 00:06:08,320 Speaker 2: They are you still not there? Trent Williams still isn't there. 106 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:13,760 Speaker 2: Brock Purdy has been eh not great this preseason and offseason, 107 00:06:14,120 --> 00:06:16,559 Speaker 2: so I think winning twelve games is hard. I also 108 00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:20,720 Speaker 2: think that division is better than people necessarily think it, 109 00:06:20,800 --> 00:06:24,400 Speaker 2: or then maybe some people think it is so Nick, 110 00:06:24,440 --> 00:06:27,160 Speaker 2: why are you not betting it? Then because they're the Niners. 111 00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:29,680 Speaker 2: They might have one of the best rosters in football. 112 00:06:30,080 --> 00:06:33,440 Speaker 2: I'd rather I think there are better spots, and I 113 00:06:33,760 --> 00:06:36,160 Speaker 2: just think there are better spots to go out there 114 00:06:36,200 --> 00:06:38,839 Speaker 2: and put your money on it. By the way, speaking 115 00:06:38,880 --> 00:06:42,080 Speaker 2: of the division, what demands And I'm curious how you 116 00:06:42,120 --> 00:06:44,120 Speaker 2: feel about this because you haven't seen this from me, 117 00:06:44,480 --> 00:06:47,479 Speaker 2: but this will inform the audience for the about the 118 00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:50,599 Speaker 2: rest of the show. One of the things I do 119 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:54,080 Speaker 2: is I power rank the divisions on my own when 120 00:06:54,120 --> 00:06:59,200 Speaker 2: I'm thinking about projected win totals. Okay, so here is 121 00:06:59,279 --> 00:07:02,040 Speaker 2: how I have ranked the divisions. I've done it one 122 00:07:02,120 --> 00:07:05,760 Speaker 2: through eight, but I've also put them in three buckets 123 00:07:06,120 --> 00:07:09,880 Speaker 2: of the best, as you would say, mid and then 124 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:16,000 Speaker 2: the bottom bucket. Best division in football, I believe is 125 00:07:16,040 --> 00:07:21,280 Speaker 2: the NFC North. I think you have the Lions, the Bears, 126 00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:25,640 Speaker 2: the Packers who are all good, the Vikings, who I 127 00:07:25,680 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 2: think have a really good coach, the quarterback situation is 128 00:07:28,520 --> 00:07:30,360 Speaker 2: going to be tough for them. I think that's the 129 00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:34,000 Speaker 2: best division in football. The second best division in football, 130 00:07:34,040 --> 00:07:36,960 Speaker 2: I believe to be the NFC West, where you have 131 00:07:37,400 --> 00:07:41,520 Speaker 2: the Rams, the Niners, and the Seahawks, all legitimate teams, 132 00:07:41,760 --> 00:07:45,160 Speaker 2: and a potentially frisky Cardinals team. And then the third 133 00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:48,800 Speaker 2: best division in football is the AFC North. The Ravens 134 00:07:48,840 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 2: Bengals are excellent, the Steelers, Browns are well coached with 135 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:56,200 Speaker 2: good defenses. Those three divisions, to me, Demansea are head 136 00:07:56,200 --> 00:07:59,040 Speaker 2: and shoulders above the rest. How does that land you 137 00:07:59,400 --> 00:08:00,480 Speaker 2: on your step? 138 00:08:01,080 --> 00:08:04,680 Speaker 3: I thought the North maybe be ahead of the West 139 00:08:04,760 --> 00:08:08,240 Speaker 3: in my opinion, either in that too or AFC. You 140 00:08:08,360 --> 00:08:11,160 Speaker 3: think the AAC nor North would be higher than the 141 00:08:11,240 --> 00:08:15,920 Speaker 3: NFC West. Yeah, that's just my opinion. I can honestly, 142 00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:18,920 Speaker 3: I honestly put AFC North at number one. But that's 143 00:08:19,000 --> 00:08:19,360 Speaker 3: just so. 144 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:22,000 Speaker 2: I think most people would. No, I don't think it's 145 00:08:22,040 --> 00:08:24,560 Speaker 2: just you. I think most people would. But it informed 146 00:08:24,640 --> 00:08:28,320 Speaker 2: my picks this year. Here's why I didn't. I don't 147 00:08:28,360 --> 00:08:31,120 Speaker 2: think the Steelers are going to be good, and I 148 00:08:31,160 --> 00:08:33,640 Speaker 2: think the Browns have a disaster on their hands. At 149 00:08:33,640 --> 00:08:36,760 Speaker 2: the quarterback spot. So I think people look at it as, oh, 150 00:08:36,840 --> 00:08:40,160 Speaker 2: those are four legitimate teams. I don't. I think that 151 00:08:40,240 --> 00:08:44,960 Speaker 2: there's two excellent teams and two okay teams. Meanwhile, the 152 00:08:45,080 --> 00:08:48,000 Speaker 2: NFC North and the NFC West, I think it's each 153 00:08:48,160 --> 00:08:53,280 Speaker 2: division has three good teams Seahawks, Rams, Niners, Bears, Packers, Lions. 154 00:08:53,320 --> 00:08:53,440 Speaker 3: All. 155 00:08:53,520 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 2: Right. Now to the two mid divisions, Okay, that I 156 00:08:58,200 --> 00:09:01,319 Speaker 2: have at number four the AFC South and at number 157 00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:05,959 Speaker 2: five the AFC East. And that is because the AFC 158 00:09:06,160 --> 00:09:11,840 Speaker 2: South I don't think has any outstanding team, but has 159 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:18,240 Speaker 2: two maybe three good teams in the Texans, the Jags, 160 00:09:18,600 --> 00:09:21,560 Speaker 2: the Colts, and then the Titans are there. The AFC 161 00:09:21,679 --> 00:09:24,760 Speaker 2: East I feel similarly, I don't think there's a juggernaut, 162 00:09:25,120 --> 00:09:28,520 Speaker 2: but I think there are three good ish teams in 163 00:09:28,600 --> 00:09:32,559 Speaker 2: the Bills, the Jets, and the Dolphins. And then the 164 00:09:32,640 --> 00:09:35,880 Speaker 2: reason that that the AFCs could be higher, but the 165 00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:40,400 Speaker 2: Patriots are so bad that they drag the like they're 166 00:09:40,480 --> 00:09:42,280 Speaker 2: just I mean, they might be a three win team 167 00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:45,880 Speaker 2: and so they drag it down. And then so does 168 00:09:45,920 --> 00:09:47,640 Speaker 2: that sound about right to you? 169 00:09:48,080 --> 00:09:50,480 Speaker 3: Yeah? I like that one. Yeah. 170 00:09:50,520 --> 00:09:53,360 Speaker 2: And then the bottom three divisions, here's how I've got 171 00:09:53,400 --> 00:09:59,560 Speaker 2: it number six. The NFC East, where I am not, 172 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:01,640 Speaker 2: as you will see, as high on Philly as a 173 00:10:01,720 --> 00:10:05,600 Speaker 2: lot of people. Dallas has not had a great offseason. 174 00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:10,600 Speaker 2: The Commanders could be interesting, and the Giants will be terrible. 175 00:10:11,480 --> 00:10:15,439 Speaker 2: The AFC West I have at seven because the Chiefs 176 00:10:15,440 --> 00:10:20,200 Speaker 2: are awesome. The Chargers are I think going to be 177 00:10:20,240 --> 00:10:25,000 Speaker 2: better because of Harball, but they have no weapons, and 178 00:10:25,080 --> 00:10:27,400 Speaker 2: I think this is kind of a build year. The 179 00:10:27,440 --> 00:10:33,600 Speaker 2: Broncos are one of the least on paper talented teams 180 00:10:33,640 --> 00:10:36,040 Speaker 2: in the league, even though I actually think they'll be 181 00:10:36,080 --> 00:10:38,840 Speaker 2: sneaky better than people think this year. And the Raiders 182 00:10:38,880 --> 00:10:42,040 Speaker 2: are brutal. And then, obviously, and last is the NFC 183 00:10:42,120 --> 00:10:44,720 Speaker 2: South as it has been regularly over the last few years. 184 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:48,440 Speaker 2: So that's how I ranked the divisions. NFC North, NFC West, 185 00:10:48,520 --> 00:10:52,800 Speaker 2: AFC North, followed by AFC South, AFC East, followed by 186 00:10:52,960 --> 00:10:57,280 Speaker 2: NFC East, AFC West, NFC South. All right, now back 187 00:10:57,320 --> 00:11:00,199 Speaker 2: to our actual gambling show. We're ten minutes in. We've 188 00:11:00,200 --> 00:11:02,480 Speaker 2: given out one over under. This is why we couldn't 189 00:11:02,480 --> 00:11:07,120 Speaker 2: do the cd LAMB topic Detroit. The total is ten 190 00:11:07,200 --> 00:11:09,560 Speaker 2: and a half. You know what, I want to do 191 00:11:09,640 --> 00:11:13,120 Speaker 2: this for these ones we're not picking, don't look at 192 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:15,800 Speaker 2: the Rundown demons, all right, Okay, I want to do 193 00:11:15,840 --> 00:11:18,320 Speaker 2: it like this for the ones we're not picking, and 194 00:11:18,360 --> 00:11:21,800 Speaker 2: you don't have to worry about the juice because I 195 00:11:21,800 --> 00:11:24,120 Speaker 2: I'm gonna tell you the team and the number, and 196 00:11:24,160 --> 00:11:26,320 Speaker 2: you just tell me if you which way you would 197 00:11:26,400 --> 00:11:31,080 Speaker 2: lean over under and if it's one, and you can 198 00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:33,800 Speaker 2: also say if you love it. Obviously, none of these 199 00:11:33,840 --> 00:11:37,040 Speaker 2: are ones I love because they're in the teams. We're 200 00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:40,720 Speaker 2: not betting. Detroit's ten numbers ten and a half. The 201 00:11:40,880 --> 00:11:43,680 Speaker 2: juice is on the over at minus one thirty. 202 00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:47,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, that that's that's honestly a tough one i'd have. 203 00:11:48,240 --> 00:11:51,160 Speaker 3: I'd have to go under just because I've been saying 204 00:11:51,160 --> 00:11:52,720 Speaker 3: that I think the Lions are gonna take a step 205 00:11:52,720 --> 00:11:53,320 Speaker 3: back this year. 206 00:11:54,520 --> 00:11:56,800 Speaker 2: Okay, so that was one I don't know. 207 00:11:56,920 --> 00:11:58,840 Speaker 3: But I'll also let me say that I don't love 208 00:11:59,080 --> 00:11:59,760 Speaker 3: going under. 209 00:12:00,120 --> 00:12:03,079 Speaker 2: But that's just yeah, right, So that's why to stay away. 210 00:12:03,160 --> 00:12:05,600 Speaker 2: So that's why to stay away, because I'm going over 211 00:12:06,120 --> 00:12:07,959 Speaker 2: and I don't and I have a team in their 212 00:12:08,000 --> 00:12:10,880 Speaker 2: division making the super Bowl in Chicago, so I I 213 00:12:10,920 --> 00:12:13,480 Speaker 2: you know, it's obviously a conflicted but if I had 214 00:12:13,480 --> 00:12:15,800 Speaker 2: to go one way, I'd go over. All right, Baltimore's 215 00:12:16,360 --> 00:12:19,720 Speaker 2: total is ten and a half, it's juiced to the 216 00:12:20,080 --> 00:12:23,439 Speaker 2: it's juice to the under at minus one twenty two. 217 00:12:23,880 --> 00:12:25,800 Speaker 3: I'd bet over. I love it. I think the I 218 00:12:25,840 --> 00:12:28,000 Speaker 3: think Lamar Jackson is going to have his best season ever, 219 00:12:28,440 --> 00:12:31,800 Speaker 3: which is crazy because he's had some really good regular seasons. 220 00:12:31,800 --> 00:12:33,560 Speaker 3: But I just think all the cards are on the 221 00:12:33,559 --> 00:12:36,320 Speaker 3: table for for Lamar Jackson. At this point. You can 222 00:12:36,360 --> 00:12:38,120 Speaker 3: just play football, and I think it's I think it's 223 00:12:38,120 --> 00:12:40,320 Speaker 3: going to go very well. They got everybody they had 224 00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:42,480 Speaker 3: last year with the respect. 225 00:12:42,440 --> 00:12:45,840 Speaker 2: Except here's no well, so they have they have all 226 00:12:45,880 --> 00:12:50,160 Speaker 2: their weapons, but lost a couple offensive linemen, lost a 227 00:12:50,160 --> 00:12:53,240 Speaker 2: couple of defensive pieces, and lost their defensive coordinator. So 228 00:12:53,360 --> 00:12:55,840 Speaker 2: I again, these are not ones I feel strongly about, 229 00:12:56,040 --> 00:13:00,400 Speaker 2: but I lean I would lean under Buffalo's number ten 230 00:13:00,440 --> 00:13:04,560 Speaker 2: and a half, juiced heavily to the under. It's like 231 00:13:04,640 --> 00:13:08,679 Speaker 2: minus one fifty five for the under on that Buffalo's 232 00:13:10,240 --> 00:13:12,200 Speaker 2: total is ten and a half. Which way do you lean? 233 00:13:13,160 --> 00:13:15,440 Speaker 3: I'll go under on it. Yeah, that's wow. 234 00:13:16,160 --> 00:13:19,480 Speaker 2: On the I'm glad that these are stay aways because 235 00:13:19,520 --> 00:13:21,600 Speaker 2: you and I have disagreed on all of them so far. 236 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:25,960 Speaker 2: To me, I like the over, and this is where 237 00:13:25,960 --> 00:13:28,880 Speaker 2: the juice on this matters to me, Buffalo, this is 238 00:13:28,920 --> 00:13:32,080 Speaker 2: a perfect number. Buffalo is going to win ten or 239 00:13:32,160 --> 00:13:36,440 Speaker 2: eleven games. So if I can get plus one thirty 240 00:13:36,480 --> 00:13:39,600 Speaker 2: five on the over and minus one fifty five on 241 00:13:39,640 --> 00:13:41,960 Speaker 2: the under, I would go over for Buffalo. But again, 242 00:13:42,000 --> 00:13:45,360 Speaker 2: these are stayaways. All right, we'll do this faster in 243 00:13:45,400 --> 00:13:48,559 Speaker 2: this regard. Here are the teams at nine and a 244 00:13:48,640 --> 00:13:52,880 Speaker 2: half that were staying away from Houston and Atlanta. They 245 00:13:52,920 --> 00:13:55,079 Speaker 2: are both at nine and a half. They are both 246 00:13:55,160 --> 00:13:58,880 Speaker 2: minus won forty juice to the over. How do you 247 00:13:58,920 --> 00:14:00,000 Speaker 2: feel about each of those teams? 248 00:14:00,840 --> 00:14:04,800 Speaker 3: Houston at nine and a half, Yeah, I'd say I 249 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:06,400 Speaker 3: like that one. I like the over on it. I'd 250 00:14:06,440 --> 00:14:07,079 Speaker 3: go over on it. 251 00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:09,760 Speaker 2: Okay, that's where I would be leaning as well. 252 00:14:09,800 --> 00:14:19,440 Speaker 3: Go ahead. Next it was the second one was Atlanta over, Yeah, 253 00:14:16,240 --> 00:14:22,320 Speaker 3: I call it over. I'd be cool with going around 254 00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:24,080 Speaker 3: nine and a half when Atlant me too. 255 00:14:24,800 --> 00:14:28,040 Speaker 2: Again, these are stayways, but that's how I feel. Houston. 256 00:14:28,640 --> 00:14:31,720 Speaker 2: I think there's a little too much like Super Bowl buzz. 257 00:14:32,200 --> 00:14:34,280 Speaker 2: But they're gonna I don't think they're gonna be bad, 258 00:14:34,600 --> 00:14:36,800 Speaker 2: so they're gonna be, you know, at least five hundred. 259 00:14:36,880 --> 00:14:39,160 Speaker 2: So five hundred puts you at nine and eight essentially, 260 00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:41,880 Speaker 2: So I would tend to lean to the over there 261 00:14:42,160 --> 00:14:45,200 Speaker 2: and Atlanta. I really like the addition of Jude, on 262 00:14:45,520 --> 00:14:47,640 Speaker 2: the addition of the safety. All of a sudden, the 263 00:14:47,680 --> 00:14:50,760 Speaker 2: defense isn't such a disaster of perks healthy all right. 264 00:14:50,800 --> 00:14:53,440 Speaker 2: Here are the eight and a half teams, The Chargers, 265 00:14:53,520 --> 00:14:57,720 Speaker 2: the Browns, the Colts, and the Steelers are all eight 266 00:14:57,760 --> 00:15:01,040 Speaker 2: and a half. Obviously the juice where you don't have 267 00:15:01,080 --> 00:15:02,520 Speaker 2: to get into it on these that were staying away 268 00:15:02,560 --> 00:15:04,840 Speaker 2: from these, The juice varies. How do you where would 269 00:15:04,880 --> 00:15:08,280 Speaker 2: you lean on? Chargers, Browns, called Steelers all eight and 270 00:15:08,320 --> 00:15:08,640 Speaker 2: a half? 271 00:15:08,840 --> 00:15:13,280 Speaker 3: Chargers at eight and a half, I'd go, man, the 272 00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:15,480 Speaker 3: Chargers go win nine games, So I guess it depends 273 00:15:15,520 --> 00:15:19,120 Speaker 3: all of the schedule. Was yeah, over, I'm cool with 274 00:15:19,240 --> 00:15:20,960 Speaker 3: going over for the Chargers. 275 00:15:21,080 --> 00:15:23,920 Speaker 2: Yes, keep in mind yes, and keep in mind last 276 00:15:23,960 --> 00:15:27,840 Speaker 2: place schedule for them because they were so bad last year. Yes, 277 00:15:27,920 --> 00:15:32,000 Speaker 2: last year the Raiders and Broncos and the hardball bump. 278 00:15:32,160 --> 00:15:35,280 Speaker 2: So I'm with you. I'd be an over for the Chargers, 279 00:15:35,560 --> 00:15:38,880 Speaker 2: and this some full disclosure here. This would have been 280 00:15:38,920 --> 00:15:41,920 Speaker 2: a bet. I would have bet the over for the 281 00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:47,040 Speaker 2: Chargers if Herbert didn't get the planner fascia or planner 282 00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:50,400 Speaker 2: for shyness. That one worries me. The walking boot worries me. 283 00:15:50,920 --> 00:15:52,960 Speaker 2: And I know they're saying it's gonna be healthy week one, 284 00:15:53,040 --> 00:15:55,520 Speaker 2: but all the internet doctors say it could flare up, 285 00:15:55,880 --> 00:15:58,480 Speaker 2: and so that made it a stay away. Otherwise I 286 00:15:58,520 --> 00:16:01,880 Speaker 2: would have done it all right. The other three are Cleveland, Indy, 287 00:16:01,960 --> 00:16:04,920 Speaker 2: and Pittsburgh. Are that they're all eight and a half. 288 00:16:06,200 --> 00:16:09,000 Speaker 3: Indy, I'm gonna go under eight and a half. I'm 289 00:16:09,040 --> 00:16:10,720 Speaker 3: sorry Richardson. 290 00:16:11,240 --> 00:16:13,440 Speaker 2: I know I want to Rooper Anthony Richardson, and I 291 00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:16,520 Speaker 2: know they won nine games with Gardner, but I'm also 292 00:16:16,560 --> 00:16:17,120 Speaker 2: going under. 293 00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:24,600 Speaker 3: Next Cleveland, Cleveland eight and a half. Uh, i'd say Cleveland, 294 00:16:24,760 --> 00:16:26,920 Speaker 3: I'd go over on Cleveland. I'm not gonna go under 295 00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:35,480 Speaker 3: on it. I mean that Cleveland. I'm sorry. Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Cleveland. Yeah, 296 00:16:35,520 --> 00:16:41,200 Speaker 3: I guess yeah that I'd go under, not just because 297 00:16:41,200 --> 00:16:42,000 Speaker 3: you said I. 298 00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:48,440 Speaker 2: I think I think Deshaun's going to potentially get benched. 299 00:16:48,800 --> 00:16:51,760 Speaker 2: I mean it's weird that they brought in Jamis I 300 00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:55,320 Speaker 2: and so I. That's just something to watch Pittsburgh. I 301 00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:57,640 Speaker 2: think their quarterback situation is going to be a disaster. 302 00:16:58,240 --> 00:16:59,960 Speaker 2: I think that you're figured. 303 00:16:59,680 --> 00:17:02,760 Speaker 3: It out pretty fast. I don't think they'll think they'll 304 00:17:02,760 --> 00:17:04,720 Speaker 3: cut the core quick, but. 305 00:17:04,680 --> 00:17:06,920 Speaker 2: I don't think that they I think it's I think 306 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:09,840 Speaker 2: the options are this car is a flat tire and 307 00:17:09,880 --> 00:17:12,400 Speaker 2: this car is a blown transmission. It's not like figuring 308 00:17:12,440 --> 00:17:15,119 Speaker 2: it out. It's like, nope, we're just not gonna actually 309 00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:15,720 Speaker 2: get too far. 310 00:17:16,600 --> 00:17:16,760 Speaker 3: Ok. 311 00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:19,000 Speaker 2: I think this is the year Tomlin streak breaks. 312 00:17:19,640 --> 00:17:19,959 Speaker 3: All right? 313 00:17:20,280 --> 00:17:23,720 Speaker 2: Uh, here are there's a bunch of seven and a Half's. Okay, 314 00:17:24,920 --> 00:17:27,040 Speaker 2: and again if people are just joining us, which pretty 315 00:17:27,080 --> 00:17:29,040 Speaker 2: weird because it's a podcast, but maybe you are. Maybe 316 00:17:29,080 --> 00:17:32,040 Speaker 2: you're joining late Live on YouTube. Uh, these are the 317 00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:35,040 Speaker 2: bets we're actually not making. These are stay aways. But 318 00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:36,879 Speaker 2: I still want to be on the record for all 319 00:17:36,920 --> 00:17:39,320 Speaker 2: thirty two teams. Here are the seven and a half's 320 00:17:40,359 --> 00:17:47,280 Speaker 2: pardon me, Minnesota, Tampa, Seattle, New Orleans, Arizona. Those are 321 00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:51,320 Speaker 2: all the seven and a halfs, So Minnesota. I want 322 00:17:51,320 --> 00:17:52,840 Speaker 2: to go first on Minnesota. Then we can go to 323 00:17:52,840 --> 00:17:56,720 Speaker 2: the others. Minnesota to me was going to be a 324 00:17:56,840 --> 00:18:02,040 Speaker 2: bet at under seven and a half because Donald Donald's 325 00:18:02,119 --> 00:18:05,919 Speaker 2: not good, this is not good. Hockinson is on the 326 00:18:05,960 --> 00:18:10,359 Speaker 2: pup list, They've had defensive injuries. But the juice they 327 00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:13,320 Speaker 2: should just move the number to six and a half. 328 00:18:13,720 --> 00:18:19,240 Speaker 2: The juice on the under is minus one seventy. I 329 00:18:19,359 --> 00:18:25,360 Speaker 2: can't lay minus one seventy on a on a season 330 00:18:25,440 --> 00:18:29,120 Speaker 2: win bet of involving one team. I'm just not doing 331 00:18:29,160 --> 00:18:33,200 Speaker 2: that over. So the over is like plus one fifty. 332 00:18:33,600 --> 00:18:36,399 Speaker 2: But they're also not winning eight games, so you're kind 333 00:18:36,440 --> 00:18:39,560 Speaker 2: of stuck there, like and so I mean maybe they could, 334 00:18:39,600 --> 00:18:42,040 Speaker 2: I guess because they have a great coach in Justin Jefferson. Yeah, 335 00:18:42,080 --> 00:18:46,840 Speaker 2: so Minnesoter So all right, So Tampa, Seattle, New Orleans, 336 00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:50,639 Speaker 2: Arizona are the other seven and a half's. It's interesting 337 00:18:50,920 --> 00:18:54,679 Speaker 2: because those four teams are all probably fighting. You know, 338 00:18:54,800 --> 00:18:57,800 Speaker 2: Vegas thinks they're fighting for the final wild card spot 339 00:18:57,880 --> 00:19:00,879 Speaker 2: in the NFC. They're you know, they're out. How do 340 00:19:00,960 --> 00:19:02,439 Speaker 2: you lean on those new teams? 341 00:19:02,520 --> 00:19:05,400 Speaker 3: New Orleans I'd go under, I know that. And then 342 00:19:07,280 --> 00:19:09,040 Speaker 3: yeah in Seattle. 343 00:19:09,320 --> 00:19:13,000 Speaker 2: And also Derek, I'd lean over for Seattle as well. 344 00:19:13,359 --> 00:19:15,040 Speaker 2: I say, one hundred percent, but I have it as 345 00:19:15,040 --> 00:19:17,359 Speaker 2: a stay away, so that's kind of weird. Maybe I 346 00:19:17,440 --> 00:19:19,960 Speaker 2: feel more strongly about New Orleans I thought, but that 347 00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:22,480 Speaker 2: that division makes it feel like they could win eight 348 00:19:22,600 --> 00:19:25,439 Speaker 2: games and miss. And then there's you didn't give us, 349 00:19:25,520 --> 00:19:27,119 Speaker 2: And I agree with you on Seattle as well. I 350 00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:29,440 Speaker 2: like Gino, I like Mike McDonald, but I think that 351 00:19:29,560 --> 00:19:32,960 Speaker 2: division's really tough. Then Arizona and Tampa or the other 352 00:19:33,040 --> 00:19:34,120 Speaker 2: seven and a half's. 353 00:19:35,600 --> 00:19:41,120 Speaker 3: Tampa seven and a half, yeah, i'd give I'd give 354 00:19:41,280 --> 00:19:50,480 Speaker 3: Tampa eight wins. Yeah, And I agree Arizona and Arizona's yeah, 355 00:19:50,560 --> 00:19:52,639 Speaker 3: I'm not I don't know, I'm not comfortable. I'd go 356 00:19:52,760 --> 00:19:53,560 Speaker 3: under on Arizona. 357 00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:58,119 Speaker 2: I just mean, so after those first five, you and 358 00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:01,720 Speaker 2: I actually are in somewhat of agreement on most of 359 00:20:01,760 --> 00:20:05,160 Speaker 2: these all. Right now to the worst, the lowest totals 360 00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:08,680 Speaker 2: or three of the lowest totals in the league as 361 00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:12,359 Speaker 2: we finish our stay aways, Tennessee is six and a half. 362 00:20:13,280 --> 00:20:17,240 Speaker 2: I'm just gonna I'm leaning under. Maybe Will Levis will 363 00:20:17,280 --> 00:20:20,959 Speaker 2: be good, but I don't think so. Carolina and New 364 00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:24,680 Speaker 2: England are both five and a half. I'm leaning under 365 00:20:24,840 --> 00:20:30,960 Speaker 2: for Carolina. Over for New England just because no, I 366 00:20:31,359 --> 00:20:34,040 Speaker 2: like Drake May, I like I mean, I think, I think, 367 00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:36,359 Speaker 2: I mean Bryce Young might be able to fit in 368 00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:38,840 Speaker 2: Drake May's pocket. And so I'm gonna have to pick 369 00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:41,080 Speaker 2: one of these guys with a bad offensive line and 370 00:20:41,160 --> 00:20:43,800 Speaker 2: a young quarterback. I'll take the big one. And then 371 00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:46,440 Speaker 2: we have an announcement to make, because you might be 372 00:20:46,560 --> 00:20:51,359 Speaker 2: hearing the stayaways and being like, oh, you know who 373 00:20:51,520 --> 00:20:56,119 Speaker 2: wasn't on the stay away list? The Jacksonville Jaguars, whose 374 00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:59,920 Speaker 2: number is just eight and a half, and it's the Jews. 375 00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:03,560 Speaker 2: This is only minus one fifteen on the over. So 376 00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:07,480 Speaker 2: I have an important announcement to make. I believe in 377 00:21:07,560 --> 00:21:12,040 Speaker 2: the Jags. I believe in the Prince. However, in reviewing 378 00:21:12,240 --> 00:21:19,159 Speaker 2: last season's gambling show, we had a lot tied up 379 00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:26,800 Speaker 2: in Jacksonville. If the Jacksonville Jaguars had won one more game, 380 00:21:27,920 --> 00:21:33,840 Speaker 2: we would have had a profitable season. Instead, we ended 381 00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:37,920 Speaker 2: up being down seven point two units on the year, 382 00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:41,560 Speaker 2: based purely off the Jags collapse. Because I had them, 383 00:21:41,840 --> 00:21:44,760 Speaker 2: I had the season over, I had them winning the division. 384 00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:46,879 Speaker 2: I had them in a division winner parlay. The other 385 00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:49,480 Speaker 2: thing one, I had a playoff team Parlay. It was 386 00:21:49,600 --> 00:21:52,560 Speaker 2: just so unfathomable to me they wouldn't come through. So 387 00:21:52,760 --> 00:21:59,600 Speaker 2: because of that, Demanse, here's my announcement. I am not 388 00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:05,119 Speaker 2: only not betting the Jags in the preseason win total. Okay, 389 00:22:06,560 --> 00:22:10,119 Speaker 2: they're just they're just a self imposed Jags band, is 390 00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:15,240 Speaker 2: what's happening right here. I am also I am also 391 00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:23,159 Speaker 2: not betting the Jags this season until they go to England. 392 00:22:24,040 --> 00:22:26,080 Speaker 2: I want to have the first kind of the the 393 00:22:26,359 --> 00:22:29,480 Speaker 2: the American part of their schedule is kind of their 394 00:22:29,560 --> 00:22:33,639 Speaker 2: own preseason. Let me see how it's looking, how how 395 00:22:33,720 --> 00:22:37,320 Speaker 2: healthy Trevor is, what this press Taylor offense is, how 396 00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:41,920 Speaker 2: Brian Thomas Jr. And then we'll reconvene on the Jags 397 00:22:42,280 --> 00:22:45,000 Speaker 2: when they when they head to jolly old England Town. 398 00:22:47,560 --> 00:22:50,639 Speaker 2: I believe it's week six, let me check real quick, 399 00:22:52,800 --> 00:22:55,560 Speaker 2: but I can tell you so that means we will 400 00:22:55,640 --> 00:23:00,960 Speaker 2: not be betting the Jags at Miami home against Cleveland, 401 00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:06,920 Speaker 2: at Buffalo, at Houston home against Indy. Oh my gosh, demand. 402 00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:08,880 Speaker 3: Your games that you want to bet them on. Huh. 403 00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:10,000 Speaker 3: I imagine I. 404 00:23:10,040 --> 00:23:11,879 Speaker 2: Don't know who knows. We don't know what the number is, 405 00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:13,840 Speaker 2: so we don't know if I do, but I didn't. 406 00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:16,040 Speaker 2: I had forgotten this. I'm sure I knew it, but 407 00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:19,240 Speaker 2: I had forgotten it. Demon's a week six for the 408 00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:30,240 Speaker 2: Jags on NFL Network in England playing Caleb Willis playing 409 00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:31,800 Speaker 2: Caleb Williams, and. 410 00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:35,879 Speaker 3: The I mean so that the producer, mister Matt, that 411 00:23:36,440 --> 00:23:39,320 Speaker 3: Caleb Williams is probably you know, the guy that you 412 00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:40,680 Speaker 3: expected Trevor and Lawrence to be. 413 00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:45,000 Speaker 2: And well we'll see, probably the guy expect Trevor to be, 414 00:23:45,320 --> 00:23:47,880 Speaker 2: by the way, not that it's that interesting to the audience, 415 00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:51,760 Speaker 2: but do you call Matt mister Matt? Is that like 416 00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:52,880 Speaker 2: a sign of respect? 417 00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:55,399 Speaker 3: Yeah, in the like, I didn't want to be like, 418 00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:57,080 Speaker 3: I don't know, I feel kind of weird of being 419 00:23:57,119 --> 00:24:00,520 Speaker 3: like producer and it's like I know him, you know, No. 420 00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:06,320 Speaker 2: I'm asking when you're off the air, you're like, high Matt. 421 00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:08,920 Speaker 3: Okay, that's what I meant. 422 00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:12,080 Speaker 2: Okay, all right, No, I all right. I understand the 423 00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:17,000 Speaker 2: respect as far as on reference on the air, but 424 00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:19,080 Speaker 2: I thought it was like, hey, mister Matt. I was like, 425 00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:21,440 Speaker 2: oh wow about Matt. Matt becomes a father all of 426 00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:23,680 Speaker 2: a sudden, people are giving him honorrifics. I would have 427 00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:28,040 Speaker 2: never thought it. Okay, all right, Now now to the 428 00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:33,720 Speaker 2: actual bets we will make kind of okay, So there 429 00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:39,440 Speaker 2: are five team totals. I like, all right, They're not 430 00:24:39,560 --> 00:24:42,119 Speaker 2: all over, they're not all you know, the they're mixtures. 431 00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:46,760 Speaker 2: But there are better ways to make the bet that 432 00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:55,920 Speaker 2: I like. Okay, So Dallas is over nine and a 433 00:24:55,960 --> 00:25:01,520 Speaker 2: half is minus one four. I like Dallas to win 434 00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:05,560 Speaker 2: ten games, but there is a better way to bet 435 00:25:05,680 --> 00:25:08,720 Speaker 2: them to win ten games. We'll get to that later 436 00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:12,880 Speaker 2: in the show, Green Bay. This one's gonna be painful 437 00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:14,280 Speaker 2: for Demansey. 438 00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:15,400 Speaker 3: The Strange one. 439 00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:19,720 Speaker 2: Their total. Their total is eight and a half if 440 00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:23,399 Speaker 2: I had to bet, and the juice is minus one 441 00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:26,600 Speaker 2: thirty eight on the under. Hold on, I don't think 442 00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:28,720 Speaker 2: the juice is minus one thirty eight on the under. 443 00:25:28,760 --> 00:25:28,879 Speaker 3: There. 444 00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:30,359 Speaker 2: I have to check that I might have written that 445 00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:33,520 Speaker 2: down wrong real quick. I'm just gonna look. I have 446 00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:38,800 Speaker 2: it open right here, Green Bay. I'm sorry. It is 447 00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:41,840 Speaker 2: minus no, no, no, it is minus one thirty eight. 448 00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:44,400 Speaker 2: But I did write it down wrong. It's under nine 449 00:25:44,440 --> 00:25:45,960 Speaker 2: and a half. I knew that had to be wrong. 450 00:25:46,040 --> 00:25:48,240 Speaker 2: I was like, They're total is not it's you and 451 00:25:48,400 --> 00:25:50,800 Speaker 2: it's juice to the under under nine. I like the 452 00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:53,639 Speaker 2: Green Bay under nine and a half, not under eight 453 00:25:53,680 --> 00:25:57,240 Speaker 2: and a half, pardon me, and it's juice to the under. However, 454 00:25:57,960 --> 00:26:01,920 Speaker 2: there is a better way to bet that, which we 455 00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:07,040 Speaker 2: will discuss later. Miami their total for the season is 456 00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:14,080 Speaker 2: also nine and a half, and it is I like 457 00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:16,120 Speaker 2: the under on that. I jotted some of these wrong 458 00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:19,080 Speaker 2: down wrong, so I'm fixing it. It's plus one ten 459 00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:22,040 Speaker 2: on the under, but there is a better way to 460 00:26:22,240 --> 00:26:27,000 Speaker 2: do that one as well. Cincinnati their total is ten 461 00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:30,639 Speaker 2: and a half. I like the over, there's a better 462 00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:35,440 Speaker 2: way to bet that. And Washington their total is six 463 00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:39,040 Speaker 2: and a half. I like the over. There's a better 464 00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:43,640 Speaker 2: way to bet that. So to be clear, Dallas at 465 00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:46,240 Speaker 2: nine and a half, Cincinnati at ten and a half, 466 00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:51,200 Speaker 2: Washington at six and a half. I like all theoretically, 467 00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:54,640 Speaker 2: I like all those overs, but there's a smarter way 468 00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:58,240 Speaker 2: to make those bets. And Green Bay and Miami I 469 00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:00,920 Speaker 2: like the under nine and a half, but there's a 470 00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:04,639 Speaker 2: smarter way to make those bets. Okay, So that is 471 00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:10,440 Speaker 2: the preamble to our actual wagers. We've been on for 472 00:27:10,560 --> 00:27:13,920 Speaker 2: a half hour. We haven't given out a single bet 473 00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:18,760 Speaker 2: that we're actually making. But now everything else you hear 474 00:27:19,359 --> 00:27:23,119 Speaker 2: are going to be actual bets that we are making. 475 00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:29,200 Speaker 2: So demons, now you have the ignominious task of recapping 476 00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:33,120 Speaker 2: how we did last season. So go ahead and start there. 477 00:27:34,080 --> 00:27:38,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, so last year you bet? I think you're overshonographic, Yes, 478 00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:42,439 Speaker 3: Chicago under seven and a half, that was a hit. Win, Dallas, 479 00:27:43,400 --> 00:27:46,200 Speaker 3: Dallas over ten and a half, that was a winner. Winner, 480 00:27:46,359 --> 00:27:52,679 Speaker 3: Seattle over eight and a half. Winner, Philly, what they 481 00:27:52,720 --> 00:27:55,000 Speaker 3: were ten and one, but skin of my teeth, but 482 00:27:55,080 --> 00:27:57,080 Speaker 3: that was a winner. Thank you Jalen and the Philly 483 00:27:57,160 --> 00:28:00,560 Speaker 3: and the defense. Go ahead, Philly and you have under 484 00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:03,840 Speaker 3: eleven and a half. That was a winner. And so 485 00:28:04,040 --> 00:28:07,119 Speaker 3: your your losers? Who got Kansas City over eleven and 486 00:28:07,160 --> 00:28:09,320 Speaker 3: a half? Jack I mean that was. 487 00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:11,560 Speaker 2: Can I just say something about that real quick? The 488 00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:14,720 Speaker 2: Chiefs had the worst season possibly imaginable, and they still 489 00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:16,720 Speaker 2: won eleven games and then won the Super Bowl. So 490 00:28:16,760 --> 00:28:19,440 Speaker 2: I don't feel badly about that. Now. The Jags won. 491 00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:22,000 Speaker 2: That one hurts because I because I could have gotten them. 492 00:28:22,040 --> 00:28:24,000 Speaker 2: I would have lost anyway. I guess it was smart 493 00:28:24,040 --> 00:28:24,520 Speaker 2: that I did this. 494 00:28:25,280 --> 00:28:27,399 Speaker 3: Yeah, Jackson swel was nine and a half. 495 00:28:28,080 --> 00:28:31,200 Speaker 2: Their total was nine and a half, and I instead, 496 00:28:31,280 --> 00:28:33,160 Speaker 2: I bet an alternate line to ten and a half 497 00:28:33,200 --> 00:28:35,520 Speaker 2: to get plus money. I would have lost both of them. 498 00:28:35,600 --> 00:28:41,360 Speaker 3: Go ahead, Jacksonville half. New England over seven and a 499 00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:43,160 Speaker 3: half was a loss, Sam. 500 00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:45,760 Speaker 2: Francis, I mean that was New England over seven and 501 00:28:45,840 --> 00:28:48,000 Speaker 2: a half was a travesty. I don't know what came 502 00:28:48,080 --> 00:28:50,000 Speaker 2: over me. I don't know why I thought it was 503 00:28:50,080 --> 00:28:53,800 Speaker 2: a good bet. I hate. I mean, I was obviously 504 00:28:53,880 --> 00:28:58,240 Speaker 2: wrong about yeah, and so listen. I don't feel badly 505 00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:02,160 Speaker 2: about the Chiefs. And with the Chiefs bet winning, I 506 00:29:02,200 --> 00:29:03,960 Speaker 2: would have been five and three, said I was four 507 00:29:04,040 --> 00:29:10,960 Speaker 2: and four. Okay, So here we go. Here we go, demons. 508 00:29:12,160 --> 00:29:16,880 Speaker 2: We have four overs, we have four unders. We are 509 00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:21,080 Speaker 2: starting with the overs. The first one is an auto 510 00:29:21,400 --> 00:29:25,880 Speaker 2: must fire. I do not care that they actually didn't 511 00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:27,680 Speaker 2: for the first time in the Andy Reid or it 512 00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:32,000 Speaker 2: didn't hit their over last year, the Chiefs over eleven 513 00:29:32,040 --> 00:29:35,800 Speaker 2: and a half. The juice is only minus one twelve. 514 00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:39,760 Speaker 2: They had the worst season imaginable last year, and they 515 00:29:39,800 --> 00:29:45,200 Speaker 2: won eleven games. They're going to win thirteen or fourteen 516 00:29:45,320 --> 00:29:48,600 Speaker 2: games this year. We are listen, twenty to zero. I'm 517 00:29:48,640 --> 00:29:50,680 Speaker 2: not gonna put out there because that was you know 518 00:29:51,080 --> 00:29:54,160 Speaker 2: that one bit me a bit. So the Chiefs are 519 00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:57,480 Speaker 2: over eleven and a half. The next over, I have 520 00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:03,360 Speaker 2: the Bears over eight and a half. The juice on 521 00:30:03,480 --> 00:30:09,120 Speaker 2: this is strong. It's minus one sixty. Now the producers 522 00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:13,360 Speaker 2: remind me that Nick, you were so anti betting on 523 00:30:13,880 --> 00:30:17,880 Speaker 2: the the Vikings at minus won seventy, but you're okay 524 00:30:17,960 --> 00:30:20,360 Speaker 2: with the Bears at minus won sixty. Well, first of all, 525 00:30:20,680 --> 00:30:25,240 Speaker 2: that ten cents matters. Second of all, I think that 526 00:30:25,720 --> 00:30:29,920 Speaker 2: the Vikings they have more paths. The Vikings do to 527 00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:33,680 Speaker 2: finding eight wins than the Bears due to not winning 528 00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:36,920 Speaker 2: nine games. The Bears are gonna win eleven games and 529 00:30:37,160 --> 00:30:40,840 Speaker 2: so maybe twelve games. So I like the Bears over 530 00:30:40,920 --> 00:30:43,960 Speaker 2: eight and a half. More on the Bears later the 531 00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:50,640 Speaker 2: Rams over eight and a half at minus one fifty two. Now, again, 532 00:30:51,160 --> 00:30:54,200 Speaker 2: these last two were laying bit heavy juice. Man, I 533 00:30:54,400 --> 00:30:57,400 Speaker 2: understand that I aining the Rams are gonna be awesome. 534 00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:01,480 Speaker 2: I aining the Rams are I think this could be 535 00:31:01,600 --> 00:31:06,880 Speaker 2: his final excellent year. Whatever Cooper Cup has left before, 536 00:31:07,080 --> 00:31:09,320 Speaker 2: you know, his body kind of gives out on him. Sadly, 537 00:31:09,680 --> 00:31:13,680 Speaker 2: we're gonna see Pookah's only moving up. I love McVeigh 538 00:31:14,320 --> 00:31:18,200 Speaker 2: I love the Rams. And then lastly, this one will 539 00:31:18,280 --> 00:31:23,160 Speaker 2: surprise people all. Take Denver over five and a half 540 00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:28,160 Speaker 2: at minus one thirty. Denver last year won nine games, 541 00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:33,120 Speaker 2: within my opinion bad quarterback play. I think that bow 542 00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:39,560 Speaker 2: Knicks is my number one pick of young quarterback who 543 00:31:39,640 --> 00:31:42,280 Speaker 2: will trick or I'm sorry, Denver won eight games last year. 544 00:31:42,320 --> 00:31:46,800 Speaker 2: Pardon me, young quarterback who will trick box score watchers 545 00:31:47,720 --> 00:31:51,480 Speaker 2: meaning people are like, oh, bow Knicks further ahead of 546 00:31:51,560 --> 00:31:54,080 Speaker 2: schedule than we thought, when in reality, what we're gonna 547 00:31:54,080 --> 00:31:57,720 Speaker 2: see is Sean Payton's gonna give him a training wheels offense, 548 00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:02,600 Speaker 2: and because he's you're a demonse, he's going to come in. 549 00:32:03,000 --> 00:32:06,760 Speaker 2: It's gonna be very mac Jones rookie year ish. It's like, hey, 550 00:32:07,440 --> 00:32:09,800 Speaker 2: look at his numbers, look at the winds, but it's 551 00:32:09,840 --> 00:32:13,120 Speaker 2: like that's actually his ceiling as a player. But I 552 00:32:13,200 --> 00:32:15,680 Speaker 2: think Denver's I just don't think Sean Payton's going to 553 00:32:15,720 --> 00:32:19,680 Speaker 2: go five and twelve. And so the four overs that 554 00:32:19,840 --> 00:32:23,240 Speaker 2: I have the Chiefs over eleven and a half minus 555 00:32:23,320 --> 00:32:26,120 Speaker 2: one twelve, the Bears over eight and a half minus 556 00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:29,880 Speaker 2: one sixty, the Rams over eight and a half minus 557 00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:33,120 Speaker 2: one fifty two, the Broncos over five and a half 558 00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:38,280 Speaker 2: minus one twenty eight demonse your thoughts on those four overs? 559 00:32:39,320 --> 00:32:42,120 Speaker 3: Love the Chiefs. I hope that the Chicago thing doesn't 560 00:32:42,160 --> 00:32:44,760 Speaker 3: become a you know, bring you into the wilderness like 561 00:32:44,880 --> 00:32:48,560 Speaker 3: Jacksonville did. But obviously this is a different situation, but 562 00:32:48,840 --> 00:32:51,360 Speaker 3: at the same time it's a little similar. But so 563 00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:53,720 Speaker 3: that one eight and a half I trust, but I 564 00:32:53,800 --> 00:32:55,800 Speaker 3: feel like it might lead you into some other things. 565 00:32:57,240 --> 00:33:00,800 Speaker 3: The Rams I like, Denver, I like a lot. I 566 00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:03,680 Speaker 3: like all those except for Chicago. I'm just like, you know, 567 00:33:03,840 --> 00:33:04,560 Speaker 3: worried about. 568 00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:08,200 Speaker 2: You're worried about. All right, Well, I'm glad you like those, 569 00:33:08,400 --> 00:33:13,560 Speaker 2: because I don't think you're gonna love my unders four unders. 570 00:33:15,320 --> 00:33:18,040 Speaker 2: The first one I'm giving you is what a lot 571 00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:23,640 Speaker 2: of you're gonna see. My analysis and picks is based 572 00:33:23,680 --> 00:33:30,800 Speaker 2: on which is I think Philadelphia is cartoonishly overvalued by 573 00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:35,280 Speaker 2: Vegas right now. Last year they had a bottom five 574 00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:42,160 Speaker 2: defense all season, They had a historically bad end of 575 00:33:42,280 --> 00:33:48,760 Speaker 2: season collapse. They lost the single best player on their 576 00:33:49,280 --> 00:33:52,960 Speaker 2: entire team to retirement, and the guy who calls out 577 00:33:53,080 --> 00:33:58,200 Speaker 2: coverages or protections pardon me in Jason Kelsey, the head 578 00:33:58,280 --> 00:34:01,960 Speaker 2: coach in the quarterback don't get along. And the head 579 00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:05,360 Speaker 2: coach now has come out evidently and said, hey, you 580 00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:09,000 Speaker 2: know all that taunting and history onic bulls I was 581 00:34:09,080 --> 00:34:12,399 Speaker 2: doing on the sidelines that smart people like Nick Wright 582 00:34:12,480 --> 00:34:15,680 Speaker 2: were saying for years, That's not how I head coach acts. 583 00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:17,960 Speaker 2: He didn't say that part, but he should have. Well, 584 00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:20,840 Speaker 2: my owner came to me and told me to stop it. 585 00:34:21,680 --> 00:34:25,719 Speaker 2: That's what happened. That thing came out yesterday. Alway, He's like, yeah, 586 00:34:25,760 --> 00:34:27,960 Speaker 2: I'm gonna chill out. He's gonna chill out because the 587 00:34:28,120 --> 00:34:31,440 Speaker 2: owner was like, hey, man, quit acting like a clown 588 00:34:31,560 --> 00:34:35,839 Speaker 2: on the sideline. That team is not gonna win eleven games. 589 00:34:36,120 --> 00:34:38,760 Speaker 3: Did he have to? Sorry? 590 00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:44,120 Speaker 2: No, So I want to make sure that I so 591 00:34:44,280 --> 00:34:46,759 Speaker 2: I'll take Philly under the ten and a half. And 592 00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:49,600 Speaker 2: since we spent a moment on it, I do want 593 00:34:49,640 --> 00:34:52,360 Speaker 2: to make sure I'm telling you that Nick Sirianni story. 594 00:34:53,000 --> 00:34:57,040 Speaker 3: Uh uh almost its like he didn't have to. 595 00:34:58,920 --> 00:35:03,520 Speaker 2: I'm gonna read you. Uh let me see where where 596 00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:05,080 Speaker 2: God dogged. It's a lot. 597 00:35:05,160 --> 00:35:05,840 Speaker 3: I think vote. 598 00:35:07,200 --> 00:35:08,080 Speaker 2: Go ahead to Mamsey. 599 00:35:08,200 --> 00:35:10,000 Speaker 3: I think Philly's got a better chance of winning the 600 00:35:10,040 --> 00:35:12,239 Speaker 3: division than the Cowboys, though I don't know I just 601 00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:14,160 Speaker 3: I don't feel like the Cowboys are gonna do it 602 00:35:14,200 --> 00:35:14,520 Speaker 3: this year. 603 00:35:15,800 --> 00:35:19,960 Speaker 2: Well, so I understand that. I'm just telling you. So 604 00:35:20,160 --> 00:35:26,480 Speaker 2: if you want to Nick sirianni uh he discussed, you 605 00:35:26,520 --> 00:35:28,400 Speaker 2: can go to Pro Football Talk for the full story. 606 00:35:28,760 --> 00:35:31,040 Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, he has long quotes about how 607 00:35:31,120 --> 00:35:32,920 Speaker 2: he needed to be better in all of this stuff. 608 00:35:33,280 --> 00:35:36,040 Speaker 2: But regardless, I just don't think that. I just think 609 00:35:36,040 --> 00:35:41,200 Speaker 2: they're wildly overvalued. Another team that I think is wildly overvalued, 610 00:35:41,760 --> 00:35:45,239 Speaker 2: and I'm getting plus money on the under here the 611 00:35:45,400 --> 00:35:49,000 Speaker 2: New York Jets under nine and a half plus one 612 00:35:49,160 --> 00:35:55,799 Speaker 2: thirty two. They have a bad coach, an awful offensive coordinator, 613 00:35:56,320 --> 00:36:04,239 Speaker 2: and given their conference, a below average quarterback. That's just 614 00:36:04,320 --> 00:36:06,800 Speaker 2: what they have. And so you can be like below 615 00:36:06,840 --> 00:36:16,080 Speaker 2: average quarterback, Yeah, Mahomes, Burrow, Allen Lamar, CJ Herbert Trevor. 616 00:36:16,560 --> 00:36:20,960 Speaker 2: That's seven. It's only sixteen teams. Some people throw two 617 00:36:21,080 --> 00:36:24,880 Speaker 2: in there, and so I do not believe that the 618 00:36:24,960 --> 00:36:27,880 Speaker 2: New York Jets are going to win double digit games. 619 00:36:28,239 --> 00:36:31,120 Speaker 2: So I will take the under and I will continue 620 00:36:31,280 --> 00:36:34,440 Speaker 2: fading the Jets as I have for most of my life, 621 00:36:34,840 --> 00:36:38,239 Speaker 2: and it's been one of my more profitable decisions I 622 00:36:38,600 --> 00:36:42,719 Speaker 2: also do not think the Las Vegas Raiders are winning 623 00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:47,520 Speaker 2: seven games Raiders under six and a half plus one sixteen. 624 00:36:47,719 --> 00:36:50,120 Speaker 3: Did you say that was gonna be a sneaky, feisty. 625 00:36:49,840 --> 00:36:55,320 Speaker 2: Team, she said, I know, I said the Broncos. No. 626 00:36:55,680 --> 00:36:58,680 Speaker 3: No, I said, no, I'm thinking of a whole not 627 00:36:59,000 --> 00:37:00,920 Speaker 3: even today. I thought this is like another pod you 628 00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:04,200 Speaker 3: said like the Raiders were like a sneaky Okay. 629 00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:07,640 Speaker 2: No, that wouldn't have been me. I I'm trying to 630 00:37:07,640 --> 00:37:09,560 Speaker 2: think of what team I might have said that about 631 00:37:09,600 --> 00:37:12,560 Speaker 2: that that would fit the description. Not the Raiders. I 632 00:37:13,239 --> 00:37:15,359 Speaker 2: maybe the I'm not sure who it would have been, 633 00:37:15,680 --> 00:37:17,920 Speaker 2: but not the rattle of them. 634 00:37:18,640 --> 00:37:21,480 Speaker 3: And then you added like, yeah, yeadle, I thought about but. 635 00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:26,280 Speaker 2: But regardless, not the Raiders, either O'Connell or Gardner minshew. 636 00:37:26,719 --> 00:37:29,879 Speaker 2: And as a general rule of thumb, listen, maybe he'll 637 00:37:29,920 --> 00:37:34,000 Speaker 2: be good, but just because the players love D'Antonio Pierce 638 00:37:34,080 --> 00:37:38,799 Speaker 2: doesn't mean he was your best option at UH at 639 00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:42,000 Speaker 2: head coach. And if I if I need a little 640 00:37:42,080 --> 00:37:45,400 Speaker 2: extra push to one side or another, your quarterback and 641 00:37:45,480 --> 00:37:48,520 Speaker 2: the only and your star defensive player doing the old 642 00:37:48,600 --> 00:37:51,759 Speaker 2: double thumbs up with old forty five get out of 643 00:37:51,760 --> 00:37:55,440 Speaker 2: here man, the the I don't think demons gets the 644 00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:58,400 Speaker 2: reference that it doesn't matter. The forty five is the 645 00:37:58,520 --> 00:38:02,400 Speaker 2: number President Trump was. That picture was annoying. The team stinks. 646 00:38:02,640 --> 00:38:06,520 Speaker 2: They've been embarrassing forever, the the and so I just 647 00:38:07,400 --> 00:38:10,480 Speaker 2: the that's actually not my analysis of the Raiders, but 648 00:38:10,600 --> 00:38:13,759 Speaker 2: that also reconfirmed this is an unseerious team. 649 00:38:14,239 --> 00:38:15,960 Speaker 3: Uh. And the. 650 00:38:18,440 --> 00:38:21,799 Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes thing they have, No, I don't think they're 651 00:38:21,800 --> 00:38:24,160 Speaker 2: gonna have a I think they the home field is 652 00:38:24,200 --> 00:38:26,600 Speaker 2: gonna be tough because so many people are gonna travel 653 00:38:26,640 --> 00:38:31,040 Speaker 2: to Vegas. Uh for gonna travel to Vegas, pardon me 654 00:38:31,560 --> 00:38:36,399 Speaker 2: for bachelor parties and vacation and gambling. And they're gonna 655 00:38:36,480 --> 00:38:40,400 Speaker 2: do it. Win their teams in town. Also sneaky. They 656 00:38:40,480 --> 00:38:44,160 Speaker 2: have a second place schedule because they ended up winning 657 00:38:44,239 --> 00:38:48,040 Speaker 2: eight games last year. Yeah, because the Chargers won five. 658 00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:51,759 Speaker 2: They both won eight. Yeah, so that's a tough one. 659 00:38:52,160 --> 00:38:54,520 Speaker 2: So I'll take under six and a half for the Raiders, 660 00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:58,520 Speaker 2: and then the juice is minus one forty So I 661 00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:01,600 Speaker 2: don't love it. But the Giants might be the worst 662 00:39:01,640 --> 00:39:04,600 Speaker 2: team in the league. The Giants is gonna under six 663 00:39:04,680 --> 00:39:07,279 Speaker 2: and a half. It's just an under. Daniel Jones is 664 00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:10,839 Speaker 2: gonna get Ben Strulock's gonna play. He's a Kansas City kid. 665 00:39:10,920 --> 00:39:14,399 Speaker 2: I'd like him to do well. He won't, And it's 666 00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:17,680 Speaker 2: just it's just an under. So my four unders are 667 00:39:17,800 --> 00:39:20,000 Speaker 2: Philly ten and a half, the Giants nine and a half, 668 00:39:20,280 --> 00:39:23,080 Speaker 2: the Raiders six and a half. I'm sorry, the Jets 669 00:39:23,200 --> 00:39:25,239 Speaker 2: nine and a half, the Giants six and a half, 670 00:39:25,440 --> 00:39:28,560 Speaker 2: and the Raiders six and a half. I just realized, gosh, 671 00:39:28,640 --> 00:39:31,160 Speaker 2: darn it, this is not a great strategy for me. 672 00:39:31,760 --> 00:39:35,760 Speaker 3: From a uh geographically standpoint. 673 00:39:36,680 --> 00:39:42,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, alfe popularity thing, and that the three teams closest 674 00:39:42,680 --> 00:39:45,160 Speaker 2: to where I live, Philly, the Jets and the Giants, 675 00:39:45,280 --> 00:39:50,840 Speaker 2: I'm just under across the board. Meanwhile, far off lands 676 00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:55,040 Speaker 2: of Los Angeles, Denver, Kansas City, and Chicago, I'm high 677 00:39:55,120 --> 00:39:58,040 Speaker 2: on their teams. And I mean, that's unbelievable. And now 678 00:39:58,120 --> 00:40:03,759 Speaker 2: I look at me teams, well, right, And that's what 679 00:40:03,840 --> 00:40:06,800 Speaker 2: I was gonna say. The three teams in the city 680 00:40:06,920 --> 00:40:09,520 Speaker 2: closest to me, in the city's closest to me, I'm 681 00:40:09,560 --> 00:40:12,160 Speaker 2: on the under and the one team in the city 682 00:40:12,280 --> 00:40:15,719 Speaker 2: I most enjoy visiting in Vegas and we'll definitely visit 683 00:40:15,880 --> 00:40:18,560 Speaker 2: during the season. I'm on the under, all right. So 684 00:40:18,680 --> 00:40:23,600 Speaker 2: there's our eight picks for the team totals Chiefs, Bears, Rams, 685 00:40:23,680 --> 00:40:28,880 Speaker 2: Broncos over, Philly Jets, Giants, Raiders. Under. We give you 686 00:40:29,560 --> 00:40:33,200 Speaker 2: some division winners, which last year was the death of 687 00:40:33,280 --> 00:40:36,279 Speaker 2: our bank role, some make miss playoffs, and of course 688 00:40:36,320 --> 00:40:46,200 Speaker 2: our Super Bowl exacta. That's all next What's Right? Welcome 689 00:40:46,280 --> 00:40:48,400 Speaker 2: back in What's Right with Nick Wright and our annual 690 00:40:48,960 --> 00:40:51,399 Speaker 2: football gambling show. But first, let me tell you guys 691 00:40:51,440 --> 00:40:54,560 Speaker 2: looking for your next favorite tequila. 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For more information, visit Teremana 700 00:41:31,239 --> 00:41:35,359 Speaker 2: dot com and follow on social media at Teamanna must 701 00:41:35,400 --> 00:41:39,200 Speaker 2: be twenty one years or older. Please enjoy responsibly Tearamana 702 00:41:39,280 --> 00:41:42,880 Speaker 2: small batch tequila forty percent alcohol by volume imported by 703 00:41:43,040 --> 00:41:47,920 Speaker 2: Siete Buck Spirits, White Planes, New York. All right, demand, 704 00:41:48,600 --> 00:41:52,120 Speaker 2: So we just did our team win totals. Now we 705 00:41:52,239 --> 00:41:54,840 Speaker 2: have to do our division winners, which is where really 706 00:41:55,000 --> 00:41:59,080 Speaker 2: last year went to die. We were because of the 707 00:41:59,480 --> 00:42:03,080 Speaker 2: because of the Viig and the juice plus minus in 708 00:42:03,200 --> 00:42:05,800 Speaker 2: win totals. Even though we were four and four. We 709 00:42:06,000 --> 00:42:09,400 Speaker 2: actually made a little money on our team win total 710 00:42:09,440 --> 00:42:13,680 Speaker 2: bets last year because of the way the Viig fell. 711 00:42:14,920 --> 00:42:16,960 Speaker 2: As you're about to see on the division winner bets, 712 00:42:17,080 --> 00:42:21,800 Speaker 2: we definitively obviously clearly did not win money because we 713 00:42:22,440 --> 00:42:28,080 Speaker 2: missed them all. So let me say something here that 714 00:42:28,200 --> 00:42:33,880 Speaker 2: I think is frustrating. If I may, okay, Miami, So 715 00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:37,160 Speaker 2: I had Miami, Pittsburgh, Green Bay, Atlanta, Seattle all to 716 00:42:37,200 --> 00:42:41,000 Speaker 2: win their divisions. None were favorites. With the logic being 717 00:42:41,520 --> 00:42:45,120 Speaker 2: hit one of them and you're basically good, Hit two 718 00:42:45,239 --> 00:42:46,520 Speaker 2: of them and you win a lot of money. 719 00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:48,120 Speaker 3: It is. 720 00:42:50,480 --> 00:42:54,759 Speaker 2: Maddening, absolutely maddening. Put that back on the screen, if 721 00:42:54,800 --> 00:43:05,160 Speaker 2: we can please that Miami, Pittsburgh and Green Bay all 722 00:43:06,920 --> 00:43:13,120 Speaker 2: made the playoffs when not expected to, and I so 723 00:43:13,239 --> 00:43:17,279 Speaker 2: I clearly believed in them more than that Vegas did. 724 00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:20,759 Speaker 2: Initially they were underdogs to make the playoffs, all of them. 725 00:43:21,080 --> 00:43:23,959 Speaker 2: Green Bay a huge underdog to make the playoffs, people 726 00:43:24,000 --> 00:43:27,360 Speaker 2: though it was a rebuilding year. Pittsburgh big underdog to 727 00:43:27,400 --> 00:43:30,440 Speaker 2: make the playoffs, Miami tiny underdog me the playoffs last year. 728 00:43:30,880 --> 00:43:33,000 Speaker 2: I believed in all of them. They all made the 729 00:43:33,040 --> 00:43:37,480 Speaker 2: playoffs and none won the division. Miami had to full 730 00:43:37,640 --> 00:43:42,400 Speaker 2: blown collapse not to win the division, just a total 731 00:43:42,760 --> 00:43:49,399 Speaker 2: absolute collapse. And then my other bets were a Jacksonville 732 00:43:49,520 --> 00:43:53,840 Speaker 2: Kansas City parlay, which Jacksonville killed me on and that 733 00:43:54,000 --> 00:43:56,400 Speaker 2: was a two unit bet. And then, like I said, 734 00:43:56,760 --> 00:44:00,680 Speaker 2: the Pittsburgh Miami Green Bay parlay which was ninety to one, 735 00:44:01,280 --> 00:44:04,439 Speaker 2: and that was a quarter unit bet. So you might say, Nick, 736 00:44:04,920 --> 00:44:06,799 Speaker 2: so did you learn your lesson or you're not gonna 737 00:44:06,800 --> 00:44:09,840 Speaker 2: bet divisions this year? And the answer to that is no. 738 00:44:11,080 --> 00:44:14,759 Speaker 2: The lesson was be sharper, It's not oh, I can't 739 00:44:14,840 --> 00:44:18,120 Speaker 2: bet that category of bets. And here is where you 740 00:44:18,200 --> 00:44:21,640 Speaker 2: will see your first version of Remember earlier when I 741 00:44:21,800 --> 00:44:25,399 Speaker 2: said there's a better way to make that bet you're 742 00:44:25,480 --> 00:44:30,560 Speaker 2: gonna see that in a few places here. So let's demands. 743 00:44:31,239 --> 00:44:35,560 Speaker 2: Let's get going. Here is the first one division winner 744 00:44:35,640 --> 00:44:40,960 Speaker 2: that I'm betting the Bears plus three forty the Bears 745 00:44:41,000 --> 00:44:44,040 Speaker 2: plus three forty to win the NFC North. Now I 746 00:44:44,239 --> 00:44:47,640 Speaker 2: also am on them. That's so the Bears they could 747 00:44:47,680 --> 00:44:50,520 Speaker 2: bite me because I'm on them on their over and 748 00:44:50,640 --> 00:44:53,319 Speaker 2: I'm on them to win the NFC North. Don't care. 749 00:44:55,239 --> 00:45:01,000 Speaker 2: It's plus three forty the Rams at plus three thirty 750 00:45:02,040 --> 00:45:05,040 Speaker 2: to win the NFC West. This is one of my 751 00:45:05,239 --> 00:45:09,560 Speaker 2: more one of my favorite bets, because I think that 752 00:45:10,040 --> 00:45:14,799 Speaker 2: Niners are not going to be quite as dominants people think. 753 00:45:14,840 --> 00:45:17,120 Speaker 2: I think the Rams can be excellent again. So this 754 00:45:17,320 --> 00:45:20,120 Speaker 2: is kind of doubling down to a degree on having 755 00:45:20,200 --> 00:45:23,360 Speaker 2: the over on those two teams, but with great odds 756 00:45:23,400 --> 00:45:28,440 Speaker 2: attached to it, right, And then Cincinnati at plus one 757 00:45:28,640 --> 00:45:31,759 Speaker 2: sixty five to win their division. You hate this one, 758 00:45:32,280 --> 00:45:36,640 Speaker 2: I'm certain of it. But that's ridiculous. 759 00:45:37,800 --> 00:45:40,760 Speaker 3: I mean, the Bengals winning the division over the Ravens. 760 00:45:40,880 --> 00:45:43,680 Speaker 3: Over the Ravens after the Ravens just easily won the 761 00:45:43,760 --> 00:45:46,920 Speaker 3: division last year. I just don't think was injured all 762 00:45:47,080 --> 00:45:51,560 Speaker 3: jo Joe Burrows injured all year. The year before, he's 763 00:45:51,600 --> 00:45:54,000 Speaker 3: still coming off of an injury. Jamar Chase still got 764 00:45:54,040 --> 00:45:56,239 Speaker 3: his contract woes. I think there's some stuff going on 765 00:45:56,280 --> 00:45:58,480 Speaker 3: in the locker room the front office. I don't think 766 00:45:58,520 --> 00:45:59,400 Speaker 3: they're going the division. 767 00:45:59,480 --> 00:46:02,840 Speaker 2: That's fair, listen, that's fair. What I so this is 768 00:46:03,360 --> 00:46:07,200 Speaker 2: if you remember when I said the Bengals I liked 769 00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:09,960 Speaker 2: there over, but there was a better way to bet 770 00:46:10,040 --> 00:46:14,080 Speaker 2: it at Instead of taking the Bengals over ten and 771 00:46:14,160 --> 00:46:17,600 Speaker 2: a half at minus one twenty, why don't I take 772 00:46:17,640 --> 00:46:21,280 Speaker 2: the Bengals to win the division at plus one sixty 773 00:46:21,360 --> 00:46:25,400 Speaker 2: five if I believe that it's not gonna take twelve 774 00:46:25,560 --> 00:46:27,960 Speaker 2: thirteen wins to win the division, because I don't think 775 00:46:27,960 --> 00:46:29,520 Speaker 2: Baltimore is gonna be quite as good as de Monte 776 00:46:29,560 --> 00:46:31,960 Speaker 2: do as. We just disagree there, and if Lamar were 777 00:46:32,040 --> 00:46:35,239 Speaker 2: to get dinged, the Bengals could win the division with 778 00:46:35,400 --> 00:46:39,200 Speaker 2: ten wins. And that's a scenario where you win the 779 00:46:39,280 --> 00:46:42,720 Speaker 2: division winner bet but would have lost the team total 780 00:46:42,800 --> 00:46:45,880 Speaker 2: bet of ten and a half. It's a similar situation 781 00:46:46,080 --> 00:46:49,160 Speaker 2: for me with the next one, which is Dubas. So 782 00:46:49,520 --> 00:46:53,640 Speaker 2: Dallas to win the division is plus one seventy five. 783 00:46:55,000 --> 00:46:59,960 Speaker 2: Dallas to win ten games is minus one forty five 784 00:47:00,360 --> 00:47:02,520 Speaker 2: ten or more games because their totals nine and a half. 785 00:47:03,640 --> 00:47:08,120 Speaker 2: I think that you could win the NFC East with 786 00:47:08,320 --> 00:47:11,680 Speaker 2: ten wins. I think you would win it with eleven wins. 787 00:47:12,360 --> 00:47:15,160 Speaker 2: So if I think Dallas is gonna hit double digit 788 00:47:15,239 --> 00:47:18,920 Speaker 2: wins and no one else in that division is, instead 789 00:47:18,920 --> 00:47:22,839 Speaker 2: of laying minus one forty four, I'll get plus one 790 00:47:23,000 --> 00:47:26,480 Speaker 2: seventy five on them to win the division, and then 791 00:47:28,480 --> 00:47:36,160 Speaker 2: a flyers the one flyer Washington to win that same 792 00:47:36,280 --> 00:47:42,000 Speaker 2: division at eleven to one. Okay, So here's the logic 793 00:47:42,120 --> 00:47:47,200 Speaker 2: on this. It's simply saying Philly's not gonna be good. 794 00:47:48,040 --> 00:47:51,160 Speaker 2: I'm basically putting a half unit at plus one seventy 795 00:47:51,200 --> 00:47:54,719 Speaker 2: five and a half unit at eleven to one, and 796 00:47:55,280 --> 00:47:58,440 Speaker 2: basically pretending the Giants don't exist because they might as 797 00:47:58,480 --> 00:48:01,840 Speaker 2: well not, and saying somebody's got to win that division. 798 00:48:02,160 --> 00:48:04,279 Speaker 2: It's not gonna be the Giants and Philly's not gonna 799 00:48:04,280 --> 00:48:08,320 Speaker 2: be good, and the Wash every year, I don't know 800 00:48:08,400 --> 00:48:12,080 Speaker 2: who it's going to be, but every year, Demons, there's 801 00:48:12,160 --> 00:48:16,640 Speaker 2: a shocker, and I don't have it pegged. Last year 802 00:48:16,800 --> 00:48:22,359 Speaker 2: was Houston shocker? Legit, like what? And so I don't 803 00:48:22,360 --> 00:48:26,120 Speaker 2: know who it's going to be. But when we say shocker, 804 00:48:26,760 --> 00:48:30,720 Speaker 2: shocker is not the Bengals go from worse to first. 805 00:48:31,200 --> 00:48:36,280 Speaker 2: Shocker is one of the following teams New England, Tennessee, 806 00:48:37,719 --> 00:48:44,920 Speaker 2: the Broncos, the Commanders, the Panthers. That might be the 807 00:48:45,080 --> 00:48:49,600 Speaker 2: full list, Like one of those level teams is in 808 00:48:49,800 --> 00:48:54,600 Speaker 2: the mix for the postseason. And I'll just take you know, 809 00:48:54,719 --> 00:48:58,560 Speaker 2: I'll take a small flyer on Washington for that reason. 810 00:48:59,120 --> 00:49:03,480 Speaker 2: And then this is maybe demands. You don't like it, 811 00:49:03,800 --> 00:49:08,200 Speaker 2: that's fine. This is my second favorite bet on the 812 00:49:08,280 --> 00:49:12,520 Speaker 2: sheet because it's almost ten to one. It is a 813 00:49:12,760 --> 00:49:20,719 Speaker 2: Chiefs Bills Bengals division winner parlay at plus nine seventy five. 814 00:49:22,200 --> 00:49:25,920 Speaker 2: I the So I don't I think the Chiefs obvious. 815 00:49:26,360 --> 00:49:27,960 Speaker 2: I think the Bills are still the best team in 816 00:49:27,960 --> 00:49:32,680 Speaker 2: the AFC East, and Cincinnati I think is gonna be excellent, 817 00:49:33,040 --> 00:49:35,399 Speaker 2: and I think Baltimore Steven's gonna take a step back. 818 00:49:35,680 --> 00:49:38,160 Speaker 2: So again, you don't love these, that's fine. 819 00:49:38,400 --> 00:49:42,320 Speaker 3: It's half units, half units. 820 00:49:42,520 --> 00:49:44,560 Speaker 2: That is the other thing I learned from last year. 821 00:49:44,840 --> 00:49:48,600 Speaker 2: We'll go half unit on these divisional wagers. They're plus money, big, 822 00:49:48,719 --> 00:49:51,480 Speaker 2: you know, big plus money odds so instead of it. 823 00:49:51,719 --> 00:49:56,040 Speaker 2: Last year we had five one unit bets, a two 824 00:49:56,280 --> 00:49:59,200 Speaker 2: unit bet, and a quarter unit bet, so we had 825 00:49:59,280 --> 00:50:02,640 Speaker 2: seven and a units on our division winner bets. This 826 00:50:02,840 --> 00:50:06,560 Speaker 2: year one, two, three, four, five, six, we have six 827 00:50:06,960 --> 00:50:11,200 Speaker 2: half unit bets, so we've taken sixty percent of our 828 00:50:11,239 --> 00:50:14,600 Speaker 2: exposure away. Okay, what's our next category. 829 00:50:15,920 --> 00:50:19,680 Speaker 3: Our next category is making making or missing the playoffs. 830 00:50:21,000 --> 00:50:24,239 Speaker 3: So last year you bet New York Jets to miss 831 00:50:24,280 --> 00:50:28,680 Speaker 3: the playoffs that obviously cashed, and then you put you 832 00:50:28,800 --> 00:50:32,560 Speaker 3: had Kansas City, had Dallas. Oh yeah, yeah, you had 833 00:50:32,640 --> 00:50:36,040 Speaker 3: Kansas City, Dallas and Jacksonville parlayed to make the playoffs 834 00:50:36,120 --> 00:50:40,319 Speaker 3: that didn't hit Cleveland, the Jets in Detroit to miss 835 00:50:40,680 --> 00:50:41,560 Speaker 3: that one didn't hit. 836 00:50:43,200 --> 00:50:45,759 Speaker 2: Here's so this is the other spot. This is the 837 00:50:45,840 --> 00:50:50,920 Speaker 2: other spot where the Jags ruined me. So last year, 838 00:50:51,000 --> 00:50:53,320 Speaker 2: like you said, I put two units on the Jets 839 00:50:53,400 --> 00:50:56,719 Speaker 2: to miss it was one of the best bets we 840 00:50:56,800 --> 00:50:59,759 Speaker 2: made all year. I had, and I don't know if 841 00:50:59,800 --> 00:51:01,440 Speaker 2: we have the graphic to show it. I had at 842 00:51:01,520 --> 00:51:06,080 Speaker 2: good odds the Chiefs, Dallas and Jacksonville to make. The 843 00:51:06,239 --> 00:51:10,160 Speaker 2: Chiefs clinched eurly, the Cowboys clinched eurly. The Jags started 844 00:51:10,200 --> 00:51:12,719 Speaker 2: eight and three and then fell apart, so that was 845 00:51:12,960 --> 00:51:16,920 Speaker 2: plus one sixty. That was a two unit bet. So 846 00:51:17,160 --> 00:51:20,839 Speaker 2: that was that was a painful one. That's where I'm saying, 847 00:51:20,960 --> 00:51:25,120 Speaker 2: he's again the Jags, jackson We had them divisions. Jacksonville 848 00:51:25,200 --> 00:51:29,000 Speaker 2: really killed me. And then Cleveland, New York and Detroit 849 00:51:29,120 --> 00:51:31,440 Speaker 2: to miss. That was a quarter unit bet at plus one. 850 00:51:31,600 --> 00:51:34,280 Speaker 2: At plus seven fifty five, that's a bad bet because 851 00:51:34,360 --> 00:51:37,719 Speaker 2: Cleveland and Detroit made it, so that was just a 852 00:51:37,760 --> 00:51:40,960 Speaker 2: bad bet. But the Jacksonville one killed me. Uh all right, 853 00:51:41,080 --> 00:51:46,799 Speaker 2: So I have demons, three teams that I'm straight up 854 00:51:46,880 --> 00:51:51,640 Speaker 2: betting to miss, and then I have some parlays. Okay, 855 00:51:53,040 --> 00:51:58,440 Speaker 2: so straight up to miss the Jets for reasons previously 856 00:51:58,560 --> 00:52:05,239 Speaker 2: discussed their plus one thirty eight the Philadelphia if you 857 00:52:05,400 --> 00:52:09,719 Speaker 2: remember earlier, let me find it. Oh no, Philadelphia, as 858 00:52:09,840 --> 00:52:14,680 Speaker 2: previously discussed, I'm fading them all year plus two thirty 859 00:52:14,800 --> 00:52:18,760 Speaker 2: five to miss. And if you remember earlier, I said 860 00:52:19,239 --> 00:52:23,319 Speaker 2: for Miami there was a better way to bet them 861 00:52:24,800 --> 00:52:28,200 Speaker 2: instead of betting under nine and a half. I'm going 862 00:52:28,280 --> 00:52:31,840 Speaker 2: to bet them to miss the playoffs, and that's you know, 863 00:52:32,040 --> 00:52:35,200 Speaker 2: that's where I'm gonna get my value from them. So 864 00:52:35,480 --> 00:52:40,160 Speaker 2: I'm going to go under, uh my, or I'm gonna 865 00:52:40,200 --> 00:52:44,319 Speaker 2: go Miami at plus one twenty eight to miss the playoffs. 866 00:52:44,600 --> 00:52:46,560 Speaker 2: That's where I'm gonna get thee. 867 00:52:46,600 --> 00:52:49,640 Speaker 3: Here is just it's a cheat code. It's awesome, like 868 00:52:49,719 --> 00:52:52,880 Speaker 3: they both exist and here's the problem. 869 00:52:53,040 --> 00:52:58,200 Speaker 2: So, but here's the reason why. It's because sometimes you 870 00:52:58,680 --> 00:53:04,359 Speaker 2: value cut yourself. So sometimes the under would have hit, 871 00:53:05,360 --> 00:53:10,040 Speaker 2: but they make the playoffs. Like it's the opposite of 872 00:53:10,120 --> 00:53:11,600 Speaker 2: what you would think you under. Say what I mean, 873 00:53:11,960 --> 00:53:14,600 Speaker 2: So a team whose total is under nine and a 874 00:53:14,680 --> 00:53:19,640 Speaker 2: half at minus one point fifteen, you bet them to 875 00:53:19,719 --> 00:53:24,520 Speaker 2: miss the playoffs at plus one twenty they go nine 876 00:53:24,560 --> 00:53:28,160 Speaker 2: to eight and make the playoffs, you know what I mean. 877 00:53:28,320 --> 00:53:32,759 Speaker 2: So that's the so the it it. You have to 878 00:53:32,840 --> 00:53:35,040 Speaker 2: have kind of a good idea of what it's gonna 879 00:53:35,080 --> 00:53:38,000 Speaker 2: take to make the postseason all of that. But I 880 00:53:38,160 --> 00:53:40,960 Speaker 2: do think sometimes you can find some value in those spots. 881 00:53:41,320 --> 00:53:45,480 Speaker 2: So those are the only three, uh those are the 882 00:53:45,560 --> 00:53:49,440 Speaker 2: only three individual make miss playoff bets. I'm making the 883 00:53:49,600 --> 00:53:52,479 Speaker 2: jets of plus one thirty eight to miss Philliot plus 884 00:53:52,560 --> 00:53:55,840 Speaker 2: two thirty five to miss Miami at plus one twenty 885 00:53:55,880 --> 00:53:59,879 Speaker 2: eight to miss. By the way, you parlay. All, I'm sorry, 886 00:54:00,360 --> 00:54:02,600 Speaker 2: that's a different one, so I'll wait on that one 887 00:54:02,680 --> 00:54:07,279 Speaker 2: for a moment. The yeah, that's right, so I'll get 888 00:54:07,320 --> 00:54:11,920 Speaker 2: to that in a moment. Now, this right here, Demanse, 889 00:54:13,280 --> 00:54:17,440 Speaker 2: this parlay I'm about to give out is my favorite 890 00:54:17,560 --> 00:54:22,680 Speaker 2: bet on the sheet. I know it says this is 891 00:54:22,760 --> 00:54:25,879 Speaker 2: a two unit bet. I'm adjusting that in real time. 892 00:54:26,080 --> 00:54:30,200 Speaker 2: This is going to be a three unit bet. Okay, 893 00:54:31,360 --> 00:54:38,000 Speaker 2: the following four teams to miss the postseason, the Giants, 894 00:54:39,560 --> 00:54:47,040 Speaker 2: the Raiders, the Steelers, the Saints. Those four teams to 895 00:54:47,120 --> 00:54:53,280 Speaker 2: miss the playoffs, you get plus two hundred. Those four teams, 896 00:54:53,800 --> 00:54:57,200 Speaker 2: not a single one of them is gonna get to 897 00:54:57,360 --> 00:55:02,919 Speaker 2: nine wins. The only one that could is Pittsburgh because 898 00:55:02,960 --> 00:55:05,960 Speaker 2: of the Tomlin voodoo, and nine won't get you to 899 00:55:06,040 --> 00:55:10,200 Speaker 2: the playoffs. In the AFC, in that division, it's plus 900 00:55:10,320 --> 00:55:14,919 Speaker 2: two hundred. It's three units. We're locking it in now, 901 00:55:16,239 --> 00:55:18,040 Speaker 2: go ahead, demant s go No, that that. 902 00:55:18,160 --> 00:55:20,360 Speaker 3: Was very fair with the With the Pittsburgh I was, 903 00:55:21,480 --> 00:55:23,560 Speaker 3: I was, I was a little worried, But yeah, they 904 00:55:23,600 --> 00:55:26,480 Speaker 3: are in a division where that amount of yeah, one 905 00:55:26,520 --> 00:55:27,960 Speaker 3: hundred percent. No, I like that a lot. I see 906 00:55:28,000 --> 00:55:30,400 Speaker 3: why you put three units on it all. 907 00:55:30,320 --> 00:55:34,920 Speaker 2: Right, So now a different parlay to make the playoffs. 908 00:55:35,600 --> 00:55:40,400 Speaker 2: This is much harder because it's longer odds. The Chiefs 909 00:55:41,239 --> 00:55:45,279 Speaker 2: free money, the Bills should do it. And then the 910 00:55:45,400 --> 00:55:48,480 Speaker 2: two teams I'm riding in the NFC, the Rams and 911 00:55:48,560 --> 00:55:53,439 Speaker 2: the Bears. That's seven to one. That's a half unit bet. 912 00:55:54,480 --> 00:55:57,480 Speaker 2: Two AFC teams, two NFC teams seven to one, a 913 00:55:57,560 --> 00:56:01,360 Speaker 2: half unit bet. And then a flyer of three teams 914 00:56:01,440 --> 00:56:05,760 Speaker 2: everyone's high on but me that Demons is just gonna 915 00:56:05,800 --> 00:56:09,640 Speaker 2: hate this bet. But that's okay. Green Bay, the Jets, 916 00:56:09,880 --> 00:56:15,040 Speaker 2: and the Eagles all to miss. It's plus seventeen twenty 917 00:56:15,760 --> 00:56:20,640 Speaker 2: and that is a quarter unit bet. So let's just 918 00:56:20,880 --> 00:56:24,640 Speaker 2: look at this. I'm going to very quickly. I should 919 00:56:24,680 --> 00:56:28,120 Speaker 2: have done this before. I'm gonna do this in real time. 920 00:56:28,160 --> 00:56:31,000 Speaker 2: I apologize for doing math on the air. And we're 921 00:56:31,040 --> 00:56:34,600 Speaker 2: gonna figure out how many units that I have laid 922 00:56:34,640 --> 00:56:38,160 Speaker 2: out before we get to our Super Bowl EXACTA on 923 00:56:38,360 --> 00:56:41,520 Speaker 2: my overs, I'm just doing the juice in my head. 924 00:56:41,640 --> 00:56:44,080 Speaker 2: One point one plus one point six, we're at two 925 00:56:44,160 --> 00:56:47,120 Speaker 2: point seven plus one point five, we're at four point 926 00:56:47,200 --> 00:56:50,120 Speaker 2: two plus one point three wor at five point five 927 00:56:50,280 --> 00:56:53,040 Speaker 2: plus one plus one plus one word eight point five 928 00:56:53,400 --> 00:56:55,880 Speaker 2: plus Oh, that's perfect plus one point five. All right. 929 00:56:56,239 --> 00:57:02,439 Speaker 2: We risked ten units on our team totals on our 930 00:57:03,600 --> 00:57:07,000 Speaker 2: division winners. We already told you six half unit bets, 931 00:57:07,440 --> 00:57:12,400 Speaker 2: so we're at thirteen. On our miss the playoff bets. 932 00:57:13,480 --> 00:57:18,600 Speaker 2: Those Jets, Eagles, Dolphins or three were at sixteen. We 933 00:57:18,720 --> 00:57:22,360 Speaker 2: have a three unit bet on a parlay. So now 934 00:57:22,400 --> 00:57:25,919 Speaker 2: we're at nineteen. We have a make the playoffs bet 935 00:57:26,040 --> 00:57:27,800 Speaker 2: for a half unit. We're at nineteen and a half. 936 00:57:28,480 --> 00:57:31,280 Speaker 2: We have a quarter unit bet there. We're at nineteen 937 00:57:31,400 --> 00:57:35,960 Speaker 2: point seventy five. That's perfect. So we have basically twenty 938 00:57:36,080 --> 00:57:40,400 Speaker 2: units out in the ether leading into our favorite bet 939 00:57:40,480 --> 00:57:44,120 Speaker 2: of the year, our Super Bowl EXACTA. These are, on 940 00:57:44,280 --> 00:57:48,120 Speaker 2: general principle, one unit bets every year. We're not going 941 00:57:48,280 --> 00:57:51,160 Speaker 2: small on these because if we can't go small, because 942 00:57:51,200 --> 00:57:53,400 Speaker 2: then when you finally do hit it, you're gonna be sick. 943 00:57:53,880 --> 00:57:56,280 Speaker 2: Demand's a last year. What was it? We can show 944 00:57:56,320 --> 00:57:58,440 Speaker 2: the audience, even though they already know, I'm sure. 945 00:58:00,440 --> 00:58:04,160 Speaker 3: You bet Kansas City to versus Dallas and Kansas City 946 00:58:04,320 --> 00:58:07,280 Speaker 3: to defeat Dallas. That was that. Kansasity Versusdallas is that 947 00:58:07,440 --> 00:58:10,400 Speaker 3: was plus three thousand and fifty and see defeating Dallas 948 00:58:10,440 --> 00:58:13,360 Speaker 3: is at plus five thousand, and that did not cash. 949 00:58:13,440 --> 00:58:18,680 Speaker 2: But famously, the year before we had Kansas City versus 950 00:58:18,800 --> 00:58:21,360 Speaker 2: the Niners at fifty to one. In Kansas City beat 951 00:58:21,440 --> 00:58:24,720 Speaker 2: the Niners at eighty five to one. And then brock Party. 952 00:58:24,920 --> 00:58:26,520 Speaker 2: You know what I mean, the Curse of brock Party. 953 00:58:26,600 --> 00:58:28,680 Speaker 2: He gets his elbow blown up, the Eagles run away 954 00:58:28,720 --> 00:58:30,520 Speaker 2: with it. We don't get to see it this year. 955 00:58:30,600 --> 00:58:34,280 Speaker 2: Everybody knows what it is. It's the Chiefs Bears and 956 00:58:34,360 --> 00:58:38,200 Speaker 2: the Chiefs beating the Bears. Those are a nice tidy 957 00:58:39,560 --> 00:58:44,920 Speaker 2: plus six thousand, six hundred and fifty and plus ninety 958 00:58:45,040 --> 00:58:49,160 Speaker 2: five hundred, those two things. So I'm just worded. I'm 959 00:58:49,240 --> 00:58:49,760 Speaker 2: just telling you. 960 00:58:51,360 --> 00:58:52,280 Speaker 3: Just what the math is. 961 00:58:53,520 --> 00:58:57,600 Speaker 2: You know, we're getting plus sixty six hundred and plus 962 00:58:57,720 --> 00:58:59,000 Speaker 2: ninety five hundred. What's up to one? 963 00:58:59,080 --> 00:59:01,760 Speaker 3: Say? Yeah, I feel like this almost like negated all 964 00:59:01,840 --> 00:59:05,560 Speaker 3: the good picks you just gave out, like for this, Oh, 965 00:59:05,600 --> 00:59:08,600 Speaker 3: you don't believe in Cale Williams. I don't believe that 966 00:59:08,760 --> 00:59:10,760 Speaker 3: the Chicago Bears are going to make the Super Bowl. 967 00:59:11,000 --> 00:59:13,480 Speaker 3: And Cale Williams first year, I get this as one 968 00:59:13,520 --> 00:59:15,320 Speaker 3: of the more whimsical picks, and you can be a 969 00:59:15,360 --> 00:59:19,000 Speaker 3: little bit more, you know, hyperbolic, but uh yeah, I 970 00:59:19,080 --> 00:59:23,800 Speaker 3: mean it's hey man, so plus plus. 971 00:59:25,440 --> 00:59:31,840 Speaker 2: So Daniel just wrote in, isn't putting the Chiefs versus 972 00:59:32,000 --> 00:59:37,520 Speaker 2: the Bears as a bet itself a hedge that the 973 00:59:37,640 --> 00:59:41,240 Speaker 2: Chiefs could lose in the actual Super Bowl. He's saying, 974 00:59:41,320 --> 00:59:45,000 Speaker 2: why would I not just put two units on the 975 00:59:45,080 --> 00:59:48,520 Speaker 2: plus ninety five hundred as opposed to one unit on 976 00:59:48,600 --> 00:59:51,880 Speaker 2: the matchup and one unit on that? And I understand that. 977 00:59:52,160 --> 00:59:54,560 Speaker 2: I think this is one of the many times Daniel 978 00:59:54,760 --> 00:59:59,080 Speaker 2: thinks he is he's like got him. Here's why, Daniel, 979 01:00:00,400 --> 01:00:02,880 Speaker 2: my dear friend. Let me let me put it to 980 01:00:02,960 --> 01:00:09,320 Speaker 2: you in Denver Nuggets terms. Okay, let's say you think 981 01:00:09,480 --> 01:00:15,000 Speaker 2: that the Nuggets are gonna win the championship this year 982 01:00:15,640 --> 01:00:20,680 Speaker 2: and that the Nuggets are gonna play Boston in the finals. Okay, 983 01:00:21,200 --> 01:00:24,160 Speaker 2: you think that that's what it's gonna be. You could 984 01:00:24,360 --> 01:00:28,280 Speaker 2: just bet Denver over Boston for however much you want, 985 01:00:29,160 --> 01:00:33,160 Speaker 2: or you could put a unit on each right now 986 01:00:33,440 --> 01:00:37,000 Speaker 2: at these odds, and then what you can do is 987 01:00:38,040 --> 01:00:41,320 Speaker 2: when the first one comes in, you can make a 988 01:00:42,160 --> 01:00:45,800 Speaker 2: six hundred unit bet or whatever you want on the 989 01:00:45,960 --> 01:00:51,520 Speaker 2: actual game, on the series. So I think the opportunity 990 01:00:52,000 --> 01:00:56,400 Speaker 2: to have an extra sixty six, five hundred dollars in 991 01:00:56,520 --> 01:00:59,920 Speaker 2: my pocket headed into the Super Bowl to then fires 992 01:01:00,120 --> 01:01:03,880 Speaker 2: some of that on the actual game, it has a 993 01:01:04,000 --> 01:01:08,360 Speaker 2: real value to me. So don't listen here. Daniel's my 994 01:01:08,440 --> 01:01:10,560 Speaker 2: guy and I love But there aren't many things that 995 01:01:10,880 --> 01:01:13,680 Speaker 2: There aren't many things that will offend me. Accusing me 996 01:01:13,840 --> 01:01:16,800 Speaker 2: of trying to hedge a bet will offend me. Listen 997 01:01:17,080 --> 01:01:20,080 Speaker 2: as we months as we once upon a time almost 998 01:01:20,080 --> 01:01:22,320 Speaker 2: made the T shirt that said it. I don't even 999 01:01:22,360 --> 01:01:24,320 Speaker 2: remember exactly what the T shirt said, but it was 1000 01:01:24,360 --> 01:01:28,040 Speaker 2: something along lines of I'm not hedging any bets. I'm 1001 01:01:28,040 --> 01:01:31,320 Speaker 2: a goddamn gambler. We're not hedging bets here. That came 1002 01:01:31,400 --> 01:01:33,680 Speaker 2: up the first time when the Chiefs Niners thing was happening. 1003 01:01:33,880 --> 01:01:36,400 Speaker 2: This is not a hedge. This is an opportunity to 1004 01:01:36,520 --> 01:01:39,880 Speaker 2: have more liquid economy. Oh, we have the T shirt 1005 01:01:39,960 --> 01:01:42,000 Speaker 2: right there. I'm seeing it. Hold on, let me see it. 1006 01:01:42,160 --> 01:01:44,640 Speaker 2: Can you guys put that screen full? I have it small, 1007 01:01:45,040 --> 01:01:48,000 Speaker 2: let me see it. Hold on. Hedging is for cowards 1008 01:01:48,080 --> 01:01:51,080 Speaker 2: and stock traders. I'm a gambler. We still need you 1009 01:01:51,120 --> 01:01:53,280 Speaker 2: know one day we'll print those up. I mean, you 1010 01:01:53,360 --> 01:01:55,080 Speaker 2: guys did print them up, but I haven't figured out 1011 01:01:55,080 --> 01:01:57,480 Speaker 2: how to do a merch store, which is very ironic 1012 01:01:57,600 --> 01:02:00,360 Speaker 2: considering the fact that I literally do this show from 1013 01:02:00,560 --> 01:02:03,439 Speaker 2: a clothing store. I'm looking around. I'm like, I guess 1014 01:02:03,520 --> 01:02:06,440 Speaker 2: I literally am in a merch store. I'm just thinking 1015 01:02:06,480 --> 01:02:09,760 Speaker 2: about it online. All right, We answered some listener questions 1016 01:02:09,840 --> 01:02:12,160 Speaker 2: and potentially do an F one minute next What's Right? 1017 01:02:18,080 --> 01:02:20,320 Speaker 2: All right, welcome back in What's Right with Nick Wright 1018 01:02:20,360 --> 01:02:24,600 Speaker 2: episode two fifty seven or Gambling Show? Uh Demanse's now 1019 01:02:24,720 --> 01:02:28,120 Speaker 2: had you know he's time or he hasn't yet a time. 1020 01:02:28,200 --> 01:02:32,400 Speaker 2: But to absorb all this wisdom of my thoughts, picks 1021 01:02:32,440 --> 01:02:40,760 Speaker 2: and whatever. On Thursday show, demonse, you will do your 1022 01:02:41,000 --> 01:02:44,920 Speaker 2: five favorite season long bets. They can be division winners, 1023 01:02:44,960 --> 01:02:47,320 Speaker 2: they can be make miss playoffs, they can be team 1024 01:02:47,440 --> 01:02:51,360 Speaker 2: win anything. Any the world is your oysters. They would 1025 01:02:51,360 --> 01:02:53,440 Speaker 2: say on that they could be a super Bowl anything 1026 01:02:53,520 --> 01:02:56,280 Speaker 2: you want, but it will We'll keep it to five 1027 01:02:56,520 --> 01:03:00,440 Speaker 2: for simplicity's sake, So that'll be Thursday. On Thursday, I bet. 1028 01:03:00,360 --> 01:03:05,080 Speaker 3: On individual players like season like this person. 1029 01:03:07,240 --> 01:03:12,400 Speaker 2: They do those Those are very typically square markets and 1030 01:03:12,520 --> 01:03:16,400 Speaker 2: if you're going to bet on that, the only chance 1031 01:03:16,480 --> 01:03:19,720 Speaker 2: you really have is to have like seven or eight 1032 01:03:20,000 --> 01:03:25,320 Speaker 2: gambling apps and shop the lines, like because those individual 1033 01:03:25,360 --> 01:03:29,080 Speaker 2: player markets will vary wildly, you know what I mean. 1034 01:03:29,200 --> 01:03:33,439 Speaker 2: So it's like you will, Garrett Wilson, keep it yeah 1035 01:03:33,680 --> 01:03:37,880 Speaker 2: at one on some but just just so the audience knows. 1036 01:03:38,400 --> 01:03:43,440 Speaker 2: In some places, like if you're gonna do are we 1037 01:03:43,520 --> 01:03:46,160 Speaker 2: still there? We've been rolling so good then I started 1038 01:03:46,240 --> 01:03:50,800 Speaker 2: moving around the In some places, if you're gonna do that, 1039 01:03:50,960 --> 01:03:53,960 Speaker 2: you really gotta shop it because it could be the 1040 01:03:54,320 --> 01:03:57,400 Speaker 2: like I'll try to think of an example, but it 1041 01:03:57,520 --> 01:04:01,400 Speaker 2: can some places will have Again, I'm just creating one 1042 01:04:01,440 --> 01:04:03,480 Speaker 2: out of thin air, Garrett Wilson. Have a thousand yards 1043 01:04:04,520 --> 01:04:09,920 Speaker 2: that might be minus one twenty on one website and 1044 01:04:10,280 --> 01:04:14,800 Speaker 2: plus two hundred on another. Like there's just so much variance. 1045 01:04:15,760 --> 01:04:18,400 Speaker 2: But all right, before we get to the listener questions, 1046 01:04:19,480 --> 01:04:21,760 Speaker 2: Before we get to the listener questions, though it has 1047 01:04:21,800 --> 01:04:25,320 Speaker 2: been a while, I'll be totally honest to Monsey. I 1048 01:04:25,520 --> 01:04:30,680 Speaker 2: sent your cousin Sierra. Not passive aggressive, but a little 1049 01:04:30,720 --> 01:04:34,720 Speaker 2: bit of a Hey, spend like two weeks and I 1050 01:04:34,800 --> 01:04:37,080 Speaker 2: haven't got enough one minute. I don't know, like, hey, 1051 01:04:37,240 --> 01:04:40,240 Speaker 2: everything good, Like basically like, why are you not sent 1052 01:04:40,320 --> 01:04:42,520 Speaker 2: me one? And she wrote me back, She's like, they're 1053 01:04:42,560 --> 01:04:45,720 Speaker 2: in their off season, Like, oh damn, I guess she 1054 01:04:48,280 --> 01:04:51,280 Speaker 2: was like she was like, they've been on the their 1055 01:04:51,440 --> 01:04:53,840 Speaker 2: summer break is what she called it. I was like, 1056 01:04:53,880 --> 01:04:58,120 Speaker 2: they get a summer break, and so uh and. 1057 01:05:01,240 --> 01:05:01,360 Speaker 3: And and. 1058 01:05:03,400 --> 01:05:06,600 Speaker 2: The F one minute with Sierra is back. So here's 1059 01:05:06,640 --> 01:05:08,400 Speaker 2: what we missed, and here's what's going on for the 1060 01:05:08,440 --> 01:05:09,360 Speaker 2: second half of the season. 1061 01:05:11,040 --> 01:05:13,720 Speaker 4: F one is back in town. It's officially the second 1062 01:05:13,800 --> 01:05:16,560 Speaker 4: half of the season. You know, summer break was cool 1063 01:05:17,120 --> 01:05:20,360 Speaker 4: that the teams got to visit their families, go on 1064 01:05:20,440 --> 01:05:23,680 Speaker 4: a yacht, swim, rock climb read. I don't know, but 1065 01:05:23,760 --> 01:05:26,000 Speaker 4: you know, the more important things in their life. The 1066 01:05:26,160 --> 01:05:31,600 Speaker 4: most important thing I should say is the racing career, obviously, 1067 01:05:31,760 --> 01:05:34,360 Speaker 4: right obviously, And before I mentioned the results of the 1068 01:05:34,480 --> 01:05:37,080 Speaker 4: Dutch Grand Prix that just happened last weekend, I want 1069 01:05:37,080 --> 01:05:39,880 Speaker 4: to cover two things that have been released since the 1070 01:05:39,960 --> 01:05:43,400 Speaker 4: last time we've spoken. So number one, Carlos Science has 1071 01:05:43,480 --> 01:05:48,000 Speaker 4: officially signed with Williams for five and beyond. Now, this 1072 01:05:48,240 --> 01:05:53,240 Speaker 4: is important and I'm mentioning this because Lewis Hamilton has 1073 01:05:53,320 --> 01:05:56,040 Speaker 4: ultimately replaced him in Ferrari. So he's with Ferrari now. 1074 01:05:56,160 --> 01:06:00,400 Speaker 4: But next year they've chose Lewis Hamilton over him, and 1075 01:06:00,480 --> 01:06:02,800 Speaker 4: they kicked him to the side and said find a 1076 01:06:02,880 --> 01:06:06,240 Speaker 4: home basically. But he has found a home. His new 1077 01:06:06,320 --> 01:06:09,920 Speaker 4: home is with Williams for twenty two five and beyond, 1078 01:06:10,000 --> 01:06:12,840 Speaker 4: and his new partner is going to be Alex Alban. 1079 01:06:12,920 --> 01:06:14,560 Speaker 4: But I do want to mention as a side note 1080 01:06:15,200 --> 01:06:19,160 Speaker 4: very quickly. I just mentioned the fact that Carlos was 1081 01:06:19,200 --> 01:06:21,919 Speaker 4: basically kicked to the curb and was forced to find 1082 01:06:21,960 --> 01:06:25,280 Speaker 4: a new seat. But in this situation, he is also 1083 01:06:25,360 --> 01:06:28,160 Speaker 4: kicking somebody else out and this person is Locan sergeant, 1084 01:06:28,200 --> 01:06:31,560 Speaker 4: and he's the only American on the grid. Now, this 1085 01:06:31,760 --> 01:06:35,360 Speaker 4: is a European sport, so think of this kind of 1086 01:06:35,440 --> 01:06:38,080 Speaker 4: like the Olympics, Right, I'm cheering for the American because 1087 01:06:38,120 --> 01:06:41,600 Speaker 4: I'm American. I want to see the American excel you know, USA, 1088 01:06:41,840 --> 01:06:45,760 Speaker 4: you know, show him, you know America whatever. But the 1089 01:06:45,880 --> 01:06:49,440 Speaker 4: thing is, he kind of sucks. He has zero points, 1090 01:06:50,040 --> 01:06:52,440 Speaker 4: so it's kind of I mean, I'm sad to see 1091 01:06:52,520 --> 01:06:54,960 Speaker 4: him go because he's the out of twenty, he's the 1092 01:06:55,160 --> 01:06:56,120 Speaker 4: only American one. 1093 01:06:56,160 --> 01:06:59,040 Speaker 2: But like ah, he's no good. 1094 01:07:01,160 --> 01:07:05,040 Speaker 4: But anyways, that's beside the point. Second thing. Jack Dewan 1095 01:07:05,280 --> 01:07:07,959 Speaker 4: is also going to be on the grid for twenty 1096 01:07:08,000 --> 01:07:11,000 Speaker 4: twenty five. He was a reserve driver for the Alping team, 1097 01:07:11,280 --> 01:07:13,760 Speaker 4: but I guess he kind of got promoted. He got 1098 01:07:13,800 --> 01:07:17,680 Speaker 4: promoted to the big top dog seat, the real F 1099 01:07:17,760 --> 01:07:21,080 Speaker 4: one seat. Anyways, the Dutch Grand Prix F one is back, 1100 01:07:21,240 --> 01:07:24,280 Speaker 4: like I said, and we're back in style. Dare I say? 1101 01:07:24,400 --> 01:07:28,560 Speaker 4: Because the leader of this race led second place by 1102 01:07:29,160 --> 01:07:33,120 Speaker 4: over twenty seconds. His lap time was a minute and 1103 01:07:33,240 --> 01:07:37,040 Speaker 4: thirteen seconds, So with that information you can kind of 1104 01:07:37,080 --> 01:07:40,920 Speaker 4: paint a picture of how sizeable this gap actually is. 1105 01:07:41,040 --> 01:07:44,000 Speaker 4: And leader of this race was not Max. You know, 1106 01:07:44,160 --> 01:07:46,520 Speaker 4: I know you thought it was him, but it's not him. 1107 01:07:47,080 --> 01:07:50,360 Speaker 4: Orlando Norris. Lando Norris won the Dutch Grand Prix with 1108 01:07:50,560 --> 01:07:54,600 Speaker 4: Max Verstappen coming in second and Charles l Kirk came 1109 01:07:54,640 --> 01:07:57,120 Speaker 4: in third. At Ferrari, I was very happy to see Charles, 1110 01:07:58,680 --> 01:08:00,840 Speaker 4: not even Charles just a for on the podium. It's 1111 01:08:00,880 --> 01:08:03,160 Speaker 4: been so long they've been in a very dark, dark place. 1112 01:08:03,360 --> 01:08:06,800 Speaker 4: And now the discussion is whether we have a title 1113 01:08:07,240 --> 01:08:11,240 Speaker 4: match rivalry on our hands here, like does Lando Norris 1114 01:08:11,760 --> 01:08:15,400 Speaker 4: seriously have a shot of beating Max in the Ultimate Championship. 1115 01:08:15,680 --> 01:08:19,639 Speaker 4: Lando himself has actually said that this whole proposition is stupid, 1116 01:08:20,400 --> 01:08:23,560 Speaker 4: and you know, I have to agree only because in 1117 01:08:23,720 --> 01:08:26,960 Speaker 4: order for him to beat Max in the Dravas Championship, 1118 01:08:27,600 --> 01:08:30,640 Speaker 4: he would have to win every single race from this 1119 01:08:30,760 --> 01:08:33,840 Speaker 4: point on, and honestly, I don't see that happening. But 1120 01:08:33,880 --> 01:08:36,280 Speaker 4: it is a good storyline. You know. It's fun to 1121 01:08:36,320 --> 01:08:38,560 Speaker 4: talk about, it's fun to speculate, it's fun to have 1122 01:08:38,680 --> 01:08:41,560 Speaker 4: the idea. But it it's not gonna happen. It's not 1123 01:08:41,600 --> 01:08:44,040 Speaker 4: gonna happen. But that's all I have time for. That's 1124 01:08:44,360 --> 01:08:45,680 Speaker 4: been here for a minute. I will talk to you 1125 01:08:45,800 --> 01:08:46,679 Speaker 4: guys on Thursday. 1126 01:08:48,120 --> 01:08:50,559 Speaker 2: Great one Sierra. Get us caught up on everything. By 1127 01:08:50,600 --> 01:08:53,000 Speaker 2: the way, part of my trip I was in Monte Carlo, 1128 01:08:53,400 --> 01:08:56,000 Speaker 2: which is kind of like the race car capital of 1129 01:08:56,080 --> 01:08:58,680 Speaker 2: the world, and there were we went to an F 1130 01:08:58,800 --> 01:09:02,120 Speaker 2: one museum. It's not even an F one museum, so 1131 01:09:02,160 --> 01:09:06,200 Speaker 2: it's just quick Monaco. Monte Carlo is a city in Monaco, 1132 01:09:06,320 --> 01:09:09,160 Speaker 2: but Monico is the tiniest, like the second smallest country 1133 01:09:09,160 --> 01:09:11,479 Speaker 2: in the world. It's like twenty kilometers and it just 1134 01:09:11,640 --> 01:09:14,400 Speaker 2: exists I think is I don't even Actually, I'll be honest. 1135 01:09:14,720 --> 01:09:16,519 Speaker 2: People can google why it exists has to do with 1136 01:09:16,600 --> 01:09:19,120 Speaker 2: taxes and finances. The reason I want to say it 1137 01:09:19,200 --> 01:09:20,560 Speaker 2: is because I think one day I might want to 1138 01:09:20,600 --> 01:09:22,320 Speaker 2: live there, and I don't want them to be like 1139 01:09:22,400 --> 01:09:24,200 Speaker 2: you said it was. It was a beautiful it was. 1140 01:09:24,479 --> 01:09:26,080 Speaker 2: It was the most beautiful place I've ever been to 1141 01:09:26,160 --> 01:09:27,880 Speaker 2: in my life. And I have nothing bad to say 1142 01:09:27,880 --> 01:09:29,560 Speaker 2: about it. But when I said I went to a 1143 01:09:29,920 --> 01:09:34,640 Speaker 2: car racing museum, it's just the Prince's car collection, the 1144 01:09:34,760 --> 01:09:36,920 Speaker 2: Prince of Monico. It's just like, hey, here's my car 1145 01:09:37,000 --> 01:09:40,400 Speaker 2: collection and people can come see it. Ah, but there 1146 01:09:40,439 --> 01:09:44,680 Speaker 2: are You can also rent old F one cars or 1147 01:09:44,680 --> 01:09:47,400 Speaker 2: at old timey looking F one cars to just drive 1148 01:09:47,479 --> 01:09:50,840 Speaker 2: on the road. Demanse at Casino Monte Carlo, where I 1149 01:09:51,000 --> 01:09:55,760 Speaker 2: was gambling. It was I'm not exaggerating. I'll send you 1150 01:09:55,840 --> 01:09:58,040 Speaker 2: some pictures or your mom probably posted them on Instagram. 1151 01:09:58,680 --> 01:10:01,760 Speaker 2: It was in a row one night. When I say 1152 01:10:01,760 --> 01:10:04,720 Speaker 2: it was the nicest cars in the world, this is 1153 01:10:05,000 --> 01:10:07,679 Speaker 2: I'm looking at it. This is the first four cars 1154 01:10:07,960 --> 01:10:12,719 Speaker 2: in the parking area of Casino Monte Carlo. Lamborghini SUV, 1155 01:10:13,280 --> 01:10:20,280 Speaker 2: Lamborghini Suv, Bugatti, Lamborghini, Coop Bugotti, five cars, bang bang 1156 01:10:20,320 --> 01:10:23,200 Speaker 2: bang bang bang, and people just come to the casino 1157 01:10:24,160 --> 01:10:28,040 Speaker 2: in the Valet area just to take pictures. It was 1158 01:10:28,960 --> 01:10:33,160 Speaker 2: there was not a single car in the casino Valet. 1159 01:10:33,640 --> 01:10:34,920 Speaker 2: So I'll put it like this. 1160 01:10:36,600 --> 01:10:38,040 Speaker 3: You know the car I have, we have. 1161 01:10:40,800 --> 01:10:45,880 Speaker 2: There were two of those there, and they were clearly 1162 01:10:46,960 --> 01:10:50,920 Speaker 2: like the JV cars. It's like, oh, that's cute, like 1163 01:10:51,880 --> 01:10:55,080 Speaker 2: like oh, like you put time and thought and money 1164 01:10:55,120 --> 01:11:00,720 Speaker 2: into this, but like be serious, like the adult. Yeah, 1165 01:11:01,200 --> 01:11:04,439 Speaker 2: like I mean, that's what it was, and I've never 1166 01:11:04,479 --> 01:11:08,000 Speaker 2: seen anything like it. Uh Okay, Now to the listener questions, 1167 01:11:09,200 --> 01:11:11,880 Speaker 2: what is Nick? What's the best way to fade Deshaun Watson? 1168 01:11:11,920 --> 01:11:14,480 Speaker 2: If you believe in the Browns but not their quarterback, 1169 01:11:15,320 --> 01:11:18,719 Speaker 2: I would say those bets de mondot Deshaun Watson unders 1170 01:11:19,439 --> 01:11:21,640 Speaker 2: you know what I mean? Those that would be the 1171 01:11:21,680 --> 01:11:24,640 Speaker 2: best way to do it. Why is everyone so low 1172 01:11:24,680 --> 01:11:27,200 Speaker 2: in Seattle? Nationally? Got the best defensive mine, the best 1173 01:11:27,240 --> 01:11:29,960 Speaker 2: defensive player in the draft, US row, a lot of talent, 1174 01:11:30,800 --> 01:11:33,960 Speaker 2: upgraded every coaching spot. I don't think everyone's down on Seattle, 1175 01:11:34,600 --> 01:11:36,760 Speaker 2: and I think that people don't like them as much 1176 01:11:36,760 --> 01:11:38,760 Speaker 2: as the Rams and the Niners, and it's tough. Is 1177 01:11:38,800 --> 01:11:41,559 Speaker 2: it gonna be a three division, three playoff team division? 1178 01:11:41,760 --> 01:11:44,120 Speaker 2: I think people are worried about the offensive line. I 1179 01:11:44,200 --> 01:11:46,240 Speaker 2: think that's the biggest question, and I think a lot 1180 01:11:46,320 --> 01:11:49,519 Speaker 2: of people do I believe in Gino? Mostly? I think 1181 01:11:49,560 --> 01:11:53,519 Speaker 2: a lot of people just don't believe in Gino. Curtis Matthews, 1182 01:11:53,560 --> 01:11:55,439 Speaker 2: do you see this year's quarterback class going down as 1183 01:11:55,439 --> 01:11:57,439 Speaker 2: one of the best in history? Let's see him play 1184 01:11:57,560 --> 01:12:00,840 Speaker 2: a single game first, I get it four and two. 1185 01:12:00,960 --> 01:12:02,280 Speaker 2: What do you think? Who do you think will have 1186 01:12:02,360 --> 01:12:05,080 Speaker 2: the best season? Tony Pollard and Tennessee, Stefon Diggs in 1187 01:12:05,120 --> 01:12:08,360 Speaker 2: Houston or Field Russ in Pittsburgh. I would take the 1188 01:12:08,479 --> 01:12:11,320 Speaker 2: unders across the board on that group of players, but 1189 01:12:11,439 --> 01:12:14,120 Speaker 2: I guess Diggs in Houston. I just don't know how 1190 01:12:14,200 --> 01:12:17,120 Speaker 2: much he's gonna be targeted. If you were to do 1191 01:12:17,280 --> 01:12:21,880 Speaker 2: head coaching tiers, where WARDI refluce sit. That's too long 1192 01:12:21,960 --> 01:12:24,640 Speaker 2: of a question to get into right now. Nick no 1193 01:12:24,760 --> 01:12:26,679 Speaker 2: Baker love the odds are the Bucks win? The NFC 1194 01:12:26,840 --> 01:12:29,160 Speaker 2: has to be up there. I just think Atlanta has 1195 01:12:29,240 --> 01:12:32,200 Speaker 2: built perfectly to win a division and lose their first 1196 01:12:32,240 --> 01:12:35,160 Speaker 2: home playoff game. I just like, I kind of just 1197 01:12:35,280 --> 01:12:38,479 Speaker 2: want to bet on that exacta right now. Atlanta wins 1198 01:12:38,520 --> 01:12:44,479 Speaker 2: the NFC South plays the best wild card team, so 1199 01:12:44,720 --> 01:12:48,640 Speaker 2: probably the Niners, and gets rocked on the turf in 1200 01:12:48,760 --> 01:12:51,560 Speaker 2: their building. Like, I just think that's gonna happen. The 1201 01:12:51,680 --> 01:12:54,600 Speaker 2: producers are wondering if the Bills to lose in the 1202 01:12:54,640 --> 01:12:58,280 Speaker 2: division round plus four fifty as the exact stage elimination 1203 01:12:58,439 --> 01:13:02,960 Speaker 2: is a good bet. It's hit three years straight. I 1204 01:13:03,040 --> 01:13:05,120 Speaker 2: think I don't think it's. 1205 01:13:04,960 --> 01:13:05,400 Speaker 3: A good bet. 1206 01:13:06,320 --> 01:13:08,760 Speaker 2: I think the smart I think you would get better. 1207 01:13:09,439 --> 01:13:11,840 Speaker 2: I just think you would get better odds. 1208 01:13:12,960 --> 01:13:13,839 Speaker 3: On the Bills. 1209 01:13:15,400 --> 01:13:18,920 Speaker 2: Bet them to make the playoffs, take the money you 1210 01:13:19,080 --> 01:13:22,720 Speaker 2: make on that on them on the money line in 1211 01:13:22,880 --> 01:13:26,120 Speaker 2: their first playoff game, and then bet that on the 1212 01:13:26,240 --> 01:13:29,680 Speaker 2: money line in their second round. So you and sar 1213 01:13:29,760 --> 01:13:31,960 Speaker 2: what I mean? So like, I think that you would 1214 01:13:32,040 --> 01:13:37,840 Speaker 2: get accumulative better than four point fifty on that sequence 1215 01:13:38,400 --> 01:13:47,080 Speaker 2: rather than just betting it. Right now. Nathaniel says, Mahomes 1216 01:13:47,160 --> 01:13:49,960 Speaker 2: over under forty passing touchdowns. I love the over there. 1217 01:13:50,920 --> 01:13:54,120 Speaker 2: Scott Fraser says, Pat's under kamand they go one and 1218 01:13:54,200 --> 01:13:56,800 Speaker 2: seven to start. Whoever starts and finished two games against 1219 01:13:56,840 --> 01:14:02,759 Speaker 2: the Bills. Man, it just as a general rule, betting 1220 01:14:02,880 --> 01:14:05,960 Speaker 2: the under on the worst team in the league is 1221 01:14:06,160 --> 01:14:08,519 Speaker 2: just a little square, like betting the under on the 1222 01:14:08,600 --> 01:14:12,639 Speaker 2: smallest number out there. I just don't love it. Timo 1223 01:14:12,760 --> 01:14:15,960 Speaker 2: Cruz says he's invested heavily in Nico Collins over nine 1224 01:14:16,040 --> 01:14:19,120 Speaker 2: hundred and seventy five yards. Just be careful investing heavily 1225 01:14:19,720 --> 01:14:23,559 Speaker 2: on any individual player prop because you're just one tweaked 1226 01:14:23,560 --> 01:14:26,599 Speaker 2: hamstring of like, oh well, that BET's dead. That's also why, 1227 01:14:26,640 --> 01:14:32,400 Speaker 2: if you're actually betting player props, unders are smarter because 1228 01:14:34,560 --> 01:14:36,519 Speaker 2: you can hit it just because they don't you know, 1229 01:14:36,640 --> 01:14:39,559 Speaker 2: they were overvalued. You can also hit it like justin 1230 01:14:39,640 --> 01:14:42,400 Speaker 2: Jefferson last year averaged one hundred yards a game and 1231 01:14:42,560 --> 01:14:45,240 Speaker 2: hit under in everything because he missed six games. So 1232 01:14:45,400 --> 01:14:47,360 Speaker 2: like I listen, I'm not a player prop guy. I'm 1233 01:14:47,360 --> 01:14:50,080 Speaker 2: not a fancy guy. That's it, all right, demons, this 1234 01:14:50,360 --> 01:14:53,760 Speaker 2: great show. This is awesome. I love this show every year. 1235 01:14:54,760 --> 01:14:57,120 Speaker 2: No Colin today because he's off. But go ahead, what 1236 01:14:57,200 --> 01:14:58,120 Speaker 2: were you about to say, pal. 1237 01:14:58,520 --> 01:14:59,280 Speaker 3: Let's win some money. 1238 01:15:00,640 --> 01:15:03,320 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, let's win some money. Do it also, But 1239 01:15:04,640 --> 01:15:08,080 Speaker 2: what I will tell you is in nine minutes, you 1240 01:15:08,120 --> 01:15:12,200 Speaker 2: can check out episode two of breakfast Ball with Craig 1241 01:15:12,320 --> 01:15:15,000 Speaker 2: cart and Mark Schlereth and my guy Danny Parkins. Episode 1242 01:15:15,040 --> 01:15:17,040 Speaker 2: one was super fun. Check it out if you haven't 1243 01:15:17,040 --> 01:15:19,479 Speaker 2: seen it yet, I'll be on the air in three hours. 1244 01:15:19,520 --> 01:15:23,479 Speaker 2: What's right? Hey, thanks for watching. If you're still here, 1245 01:15:23,600 --> 01:15:26,439 Speaker 2: do me a favor. Hit the subscribe button, then hit 1246 01:15:26,520 --> 01:15:28,560 Speaker 2: the bell so you can be notified when we have 1247 01:15:28,760 --> 01:15:32,200 Speaker 2: new episodes. After you've done that, one more favor, go 1248 01:15:32,320 --> 01:15:35,880 Speaker 2: to your favorite audio platform of choice and subscribe there 1249 01:15:35,920 --> 01:15:39,879 Speaker 2: as well. Don't forget we're live every Tuesday and Thursday 1250 01:15:40,000 --> 01:15:43,880 Speaker 2: ten thirty am Eastern Ish ten thirty five, ten forty. 1251 01:15:43,960 --> 01:15:46,439 Speaker 2: It sometimes changes, but that's why you hit the bell. 1252 01:15:46,800 --> 01:15:49,920 Speaker 2: You hit the bell so you're notified. You subscribe so 1253 01:15:50,040 --> 01:15:52,840 Speaker 2: we can get to two hundred thousand followers. We're right 1254 01:15:52,880 --> 01:15:55,080 Speaker 2: around one hundred and fifty thousand. We'd love to get 1255 01:15:55,080 --> 01:15:59,519 Speaker 2: to two hundred thousand. Get demanday another plaque, so like, subscribe, rate, 1256 01:15:59,640 --> 01:16:02,200 Speaker 2: send a rating too, do all that cool stuff. Thanks guys,