WEBVTT - Inflation, ESG, Video Games, And Streaming (Podcast)

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, alongside

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<v Speaker 1>my co host Matt Miller. Every business day we bring

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<v Speaker 1>you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, along

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<v Speaker 1>with essential market moving news on the Bloomberg Markets Podcast,

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<v Speaker 1>on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts, and

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<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. So let's talk to

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<v Speaker 1>somebody who does this stuff for a living. Chance see

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<v Speaker 1>I own partner, Oxbow Advisers. Chance you know the last

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know four or five weeks have suggested that

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<v Speaker 1>the market might be thinking maybe this FED can go

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<v Speaker 1>slower rather than faster in terms of raising rates. How

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<v Speaker 1>do you think about it? Yeah, Hi, Paul and Matt,

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<v Speaker 1>I think yeah. It's been interesting to see this rally

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<v Speaker 1>here July and into August. It seems like investors are

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<v Speaker 1>getting more excited that the FED may be able to

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<v Speaker 1>pull off this soft landing. We don't think, though, that

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<v Speaker 1>the lower than expected inflation number yesterday really changes the

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<v Speaker 1>Fed's plans. We think they're still going to hike in

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<v Speaker 1>September and November. You wouldn't really see them hit a

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<v Speaker 1>point that you might think they'd be about done hiking

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<v Speaker 1>until you see the federal funds rate above the two

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<v Speaker 1>year rate. That's usually when you'd start to see maybe

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<v Speaker 1>they would start to pivot in terms of their activity.

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<v Speaker 1>But we would expect the inflation rate to still only

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<v Speaker 1>come down slowly, and we're still seeing an economic slowdown.

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<v Speaker 1>So for us, our positions unchanged that we continue to

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<v Speaker 1>be pretty cautious in this environment. We did see the

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<v Speaker 1>two year come down drastically UM after the CPI number.

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<v Speaker 1>Now it's at three spot one seven three per cent,

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<v Speaker 1>so it looks like we need to go another sixty

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<v Speaker 1>seven point three basis points. Do you think they're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>go seventy five chance? I don't know. It seems like

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<v Speaker 1>maybe they just go with fifty um. Although when you

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<v Speaker 1>have the equity market rising like this, they kind of

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<v Speaker 1>given them permission to raise however much they want. Uh. Really,

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<v Speaker 1>only when the equity market starts to go down into

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<v Speaker 1>a significant extent that you think maybe that might really

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<v Speaker 1>pressed whether they want to push through as many hikes

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<v Speaker 1>as they'd intend to, especially with three and a half

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<v Speaker 1>percent unemployment. I know it's a backwards looking data point,

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<v Speaker 1>but still, uh, they seem to be really interested in

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<v Speaker 1>front loading. I think that's the case. And I think

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<v Speaker 1>the other thing to keep in mind is, even though

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<v Speaker 1>the month over month number on inflation was lower than

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<v Speaker 1>expected and you're starting to see, Okay, maybe we peaked

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<v Speaker 1>at nine percent last month and now it's going to

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<v Speaker 1>start trending down, you're still looking at an above eight

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<v Speaker 1>percent annual inflation number and how many months in a

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<v Speaker 1>row of real wages being negative for workers around the country.

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<v Speaker 1>And that's really where their top of mind is. And

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<v Speaker 1>like you said, if the unemployment rate is this low,

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<v Speaker 1>they're gonna want to keep pushing on that to try

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<v Speaker 1>and get back to an inflation number that at least

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<v Speaker 1>allows wage growth to be at least even, I know,

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<v Speaker 1>rather than losing versus inflation. Yeah, but this you look

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<v Speaker 1>at this equity markets chance and he really gets your

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<v Speaker 1>attention here. I mean, we get the SMP up, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>sixt offense low, the NaSTA on offense low. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>you can't it's nothing to sneeze at. But is it

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<v Speaker 1>now suggests that maybe there's some risk greater risk in

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<v Speaker 1>the equity markets right here? Or do you think there's

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<v Speaker 1>more upside to go? We certainly think there's greater risk

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<v Speaker 1>at these prices. Just some numbers that we've been looking at. First,

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<v Speaker 1>the forward price to earnings ratio is back to nearly

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<v Speaker 1>eighteen times, which that's above the historic average, and that's

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<v Speaker 1>with earnings growth decelerating. We just went through a quarter

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<v Speaker 1>of earnings reports where it really was the energy, materials,

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<v Speaker 1>and industrial sectors that carried the earnings growth, and we

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<v Speaker 1>would expect their contribution to fade a bit and the

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<v Speaker 1>quarters that come considering the commodities prices are now starting

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<v Speaker 1>to come down. And then just looking at our own

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<v Speaker 1>portfolio are long term growth strategy that we managed for

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<v Speaker 1>our equity clients. We try to hold positions for the

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<v Speaker 1>long term, but we look at all of the positions

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<v Speaker 1>in there, there isn't a single one in that list

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<v Speaker 1>that we would consider to be undervalued versus their UH

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<v Speaker 1>on their current valuation versus their historic average. So it

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<v Speaker 1>just tells you how much markets have rallied back and

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<v Speaker 1>we don't see much opportunity at these prices. We've had

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<v Speaker 1>actually been reducing our exposure to cyclical sectors that typically

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<v Speaker 1>do well late cycle but then start to underperform in

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<v Speaker 1>a recession, So like financials, energy, and materials. We've been

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<v Speaker 1>cutting back in those areas. How do you assess earning

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<v Speaker 1>season so far? I mean what, um, you know, what

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<v Speaker 1>kind of forward e from the forward price earnings ratio

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<v Speaker 1>can you gauge from what we've seen. Yeah, it seems

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<v Speaker 1>like this current quarter that just we got done reporting, Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>everyone has seemed to already expect there's going to be

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<v Speaker 1>some disappointment. So it was actually the first quarter you

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<v Speaker 1>had in quite a while where companies that reported mrs

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<v Speaker 1>actually were up one percent the day after they reported,

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<v Speaker 1>which that rarely ever happened. So that tells you how

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<v Speaker 1>low expectations were. But it is notable to us that

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<v Speaker 1>companies with very long track records of outperforming expectations reported mrs,

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<v Speaker 1>like Microsoft or Alphabet and uh, and that just tells

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<v Speaker 1>you that it's going to be a more difficult environment

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<v Speaker 1>in the quarters to come. And you're still seeing some

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<v Speaker 1>news coming out like we're seeing with a Nvidia or

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<v Speaker 1>icon that there's some weakness on the horizon. And uh, frankly,

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<v Speaker 1>it's almost a quarter early for some of those semiconductor businesses.

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<v Speaker 1>I think it was gonna be more the third quarter

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<v Speaker 1>that people were expecting to see that weakness and it

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<v Speaker 1>arrived even sooner than that. So monitoring this closely. Alright, Chance,

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<v Speaker 1>question of the morning. Here, You've got your undergraduate degree

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<v Speaker 1>and your NBA Indiana. What the heck is a Hoosier?

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<v Speaker 1>I actually I don't even have a great explanation for that.

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<v Speaker 1>Nobody does. No, I don't know, um and I'm probably

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<v Speaker 1>failing for everybody who who grew up and I went

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<v Speaker 1>to school at that there. But I wouldn't be able

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<v Speaker 1>to agree with you a great definition. I mean, my

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<v Speaker 1>mild definition. It's somebody from Indiana. I think that might be.

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<v Speaker 1>It actually is basically it not based off an animal

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<v Speaker 1>or anything like That's like, it wasn't the state bird?

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<v Speaker 1>Is it a state? I got nothing, and I've asked

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<v Speaker 1>every Indiana grad I know, I got nothing. But anyway, Chance,

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<v Speaker 1>thanks for chipping in there. We appreciate it. Chance Fukan

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<v Speaker 1>c I O partner Oxbow Advisors. Danielle Bragg, a founder

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<v Speaker 1>and CEO of Defined dot AI, joins US fashionating area

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<v Speaker 1>of technology artificial intelligence. Danielle, thank you so much for

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<v Speaker 1>joining us, just for my own sake. How do you

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<v Speaker 1>define artificial intelligence? Hi? Medh and everybody? Well, artificial intelligence

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<v Speaker 1>is the simulation of a of a human brain. And

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<v Speaker 1>just like a name says artisticially, so it is it

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<v Speaker 1>counts with unlight and unlike UH software, it is trained,

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<v Speaker 1>it is not coded. So it's just like a human brain.

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<v Speaker 1>The more we learn, the more we can resolve daily situation.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, I think I heard a lot about

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<v Speaker 1>this a couple of days ago as President Biden signed

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<v Speaker 1>the Chips Act. Is the federal government subsidizing AI research?

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<v Speaker 1>You think enough that we can keep up in the

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<v Speaker 1>kind of race to win technology. Well, the the US

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<v Speaker 1>government has been has been growing AI investment across all

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<v Speaker 1>their uh, all the departments that that has been on

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<v Speaker 1>the rise in the last five years. We have now

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<v Speaker 1>this Unair Task Force for the for the Investment of

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<v Speaker 1>AI in the Nation, which I'm part of alongside with

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<v Speaker 1>my colleagues twelve called well independent people. So yeah, the

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<v Speaker 1>West CONN continues to pour. But the interesting thing is

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<v Speaker 1>that the US on itself, the United States with the

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<v Speaker 1>private sector part as well, has been has invested fifty

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<v Speaker 1>two point nine billion last year, UH, followed by China

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<v Speaker 1>very far out with seventeen point two billions. So we

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<v Speaker 1>are putting in the public and the private sector are

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of investment. So where where where do you

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<v Speaker 1>think the most I guess appealing or attractive applications for

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<v Speaker 1>artificial intelligence are because you know, I listen to conference calls,

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<v Speaker 1>quarterly earnings conference calls, and I've got companies from you know,

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<v Speaker 1>like cookie makers, to technology companies, to entertainment companies, to

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<v Speaker 1>people who make shoes whatever, everybody's carmakers. Everybody talks about

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<v Speaker 1>artificial intelligence in their business. So I'm just wondering, where

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<v Speaker 1>do you think some of the most you know, tragic

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<v Speaker 1>actuations are. Yeah, well, the thing is a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>people talk about it and they're not doing AI. They

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<v Speaker 1>are still doing rule based systems and they just INSERTA

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<v Speaker 1>to where they A because it looks more fancy. But

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<v Speaker 1>where the thing is exciting right now, And you can

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<v Speaker 1>see in the rise, including in our business, which is

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<v Speaker 1>what we see our clients do is conversationally everywhere, which

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<v Speaker 1>is this part of the I where you can talk

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<v Speaker 1>two machine as you are talking to people. And this

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<v Speaker 1>is happening across everywhere. So in fitness steak in of course,

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<v Speaker 1>now we we are I mean in education and healthcare

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<v Speaker 1>with tele medazine, with and the classic ones on virtual

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<v Speaker 1>systems and in the car and in the house. And

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<v Speaker 1>if you combine conversationally I with robots, that will help

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<v Speaker 1>you whether you're in a work setting on or you

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<v Speaker 1>environ in a in a homesteading with daily tasks around

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<v Speaker 1>the house. This is becoming really exciting. How long until

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<v Speaker 1>it actually works? I mean I've been using the newest

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<v Speaker 1>and best car in fontainment systems. You know, I test

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<v Speaker 1>out new cars every every couple of weeks, and it

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<v Speaker 1>never really works. I'll say, you know, like play the

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<v Speaker 1>grateful Dead channel for me and it'll call my mom

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<v Speaker 1>that That is a great point. The investment done so

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<v Speaker 1>far is still not up to the results the we

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<v Speaker 1>should be at already. Uh And and on top of that,

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<v Speaker 1>while language model language models are more capable than ever

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<v Speaker 1>and you probably all know the latest on the the

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<v Speaker 1>suspicion that Google has created as C D N A I,

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<v Speaker 1>which is not We're so far from resolving the basics.

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<v Speaker 1>We can't get into the emotion emotionally I yet. But

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<v Speaker 1>the problem with that is the as you as you

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<v Speaker 1>grow more larger models, the models are more biased too,

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<v Speaker 1>and the rise of the ethical AI is everywhere, which

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<v Speaker 1>also translates into regulations, and we've seen from twenty sixteen

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<v Speaker 1>to twenty twenty one bills in twenty twenty five countries

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<v Speaker 1>going from one to eighteen. And now you see all

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<v Speaker 1>the data privacy all around. So now you're right, we're

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<v Speaker 1>very far. I'm glad you brought up the sentient AI

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<v Speaker 1>at Google because that's one of my favorite stories, really

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<v Speaker 1>non market stories of the here. But are we in

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<v Speaker 1>a race to our own enslavement or death? I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>isn't this AI going to eventually take us over or

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<v Speaker 1>kill us? I mean a movie about that. I think

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<v Speaker 1>Ellen must Bill Gates. All these people are worried about

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<v Speaker 1>that the terminator, Well they yeah, they are really being

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<v Speaker 1>in the space for twenty two years and understanding how

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<v Speaker 1>slow technology moves in these fields. We are still resolving barely,

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<v Speaker 1>like you guys said, the narrow AI problem, which is

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<v Speaker 1>resolving one task at the time. Lets let alone a contextual,

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<v Speaker 1>contextual information interaction between systems. We're very sharp on that.

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<v Speaker 1>We are in towards the world and more and more

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<v Speaker 1>this ethically I is uh an every big company and

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<v Speaker 1>small company has this UH this charter. Now starting data,

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<v Speaker 1>if you starting the data side but everybody is on

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<v Speaker 1>the same path to work along machine and not replace humans.

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<v Speaker 1>Humans activity will continue to be right for generations her

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<v Speaker 1>years from now, I hope so. Daniel Le Bragga, founder

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<v Speaker 1>and CEO of to Find dot Ai. Our next guest

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<v Speaker 1>is from the Great State of Ohio. And remember Mary,

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<v Speaker 1>yesterday we were talking about Cedar Point. They had the Gemini,

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<v Speaker 1>they have the Demon draw but they but they never

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<v Speaker 1>to me. I never thought it was as good as

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<v Speaker 1>King's Island, probably because King's I was a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>further away. I couldn't get there as easily, and King's

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<v Speaker 1>Island had the Beast, which was the largest wooden roller

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<v Speaker 1>coaster in the whole world. Yeah. So the Beck Ramaswamy

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<v Speaker 1>is in the studio with us right now. He has

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<v Speaker 1>started um an asset management company called Strive Asset Management.

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<v Speaker 1>He's written a couple of books as well, um the

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<v Speaker 1>most well, the first one being Woke Incorporated Inside Corporate

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<v Speaker 1>America's Social Justice Scam, and the second book, I'm Gonna

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<v Speaker 1>Guess is not yet published next month, next next month.

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<v Speaker 1>So Beck is here with us in studio. I'm really

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<v Speaker 1>excited because yesterday he launched his first E T F

0:13:05.120 --> 0:13:08.319
<v Speaker 1>strive Asset Management's first e t f UM which is

0:13:08.440 --> 0:13:10.240
<v Speaker 1>d r l L that's the ticker in the New

0:13:10.320 --> 0:13:14.120
<v Speaker 1>York Stock Exchange, and uh, it was extremely successful. Tell

0:13:14.160 --> 0:13:15.760
<v Speaker 1>us about it. Yeah, we're happy to have seen this

0:13:15.800 --> 0:13:18.360
<v Speaker 1>taken off. Hopefully that that, you know, trend continues, because

0:13:18.360 --> 0:13:20.160
<v Speaker 1>I think it's really important what we hope to deliver

0:13:20.200 --> 0:13:22.319
<v Speaker 1>to the U S energy sector the man It actually

0:13:22.320 --> 0:13:25.000
<v Speaker 1>is really simple, dr LLL drill. It's a new what

0:13:25.120 --> 0:13:27.680
<v Speaker 1>I call post E s G mandate to the U

0:13:27.760 --> 0:13:31.079
<v Speaker 1>S energy sector, telling these companies that you should focus

0:13:31.120 --> 0:13:34.280
<v Speaker 1>exclusively on what allows you to be most successful, most

0:13:34.320 --> 0:13:40.200
<v Speaker 1>profitable over the long run, without regard to any other environmental, social,

0:13:40.320 --> 0:13:44.000
<v Speaker 1>or political agenda. As important as those agendas, maybe we

0:13:44.000 --> 0:13:46.520
<v Speaker 1>should sort them out through the political process, but in

0:13:46.520 --> 0:13:49.800
<v Speaker 1>the boardroom, we're focused exclusively on the success of companies

0:13:50.120 --> 0:13:52.560
<v Speaker 1>and that's a really different message then you get from

0:13:52.600 --> 0:13:54.480
<v Speaker 1>other large asset managers, and we think we need to

0:13:54.520 --> 0:13:56.800
<v Speaker 1>have that debate well in the boardrooms. It was described

0:13:56.840 --> 0:13:59.640
<v Speaker 1>to me yesterday when we were talking about your launch,

0:13:59.720 --> 0:14:01.599
<v Speaker 1>because is we're gonna have you on Bloomberg's e t

0:14:01.760 --> 0:14:04.280
<v Speaker 1>f i Q on Monday UM. It was described to

0:14:04.280 --> 0:14:06.160
<v Speaker 1>me as an anti woke e t F. And my

0:14:06.200 --> 0:14:08.400
<v Speaker 1>first thought was, why would you want to do an

0:14:08.440 --> 0:14:11.240
<v Speaker 1>anti woke or awoke e t F because you wanted

0:14:11.320 --> 0:14:13.200
<v Speaker 1>the goal of investing is to make the most money

0:14:13.200 --> 0:14:16.120
<v Speaker 1>you can. And then so it's not, actually it's anti

0:14:16.120 --> 0:14:18.200
<v Speaker 1>woke e t F. It's not. I have I have

0:14:18.280 --> 0:14:22.120
<v Speaker 1>literally no idea why the well, Actually, my best guess

0:14:22.200 --> 0:14:24.840
<v Speaker 1>is in fairness, my book was called woking. I wrote

0:14:24.840 --> 0:14:27.440
<v Speaker 1>that in a personal capacity. So maybe people want to

0:14:27.480 --> 0:14:31.720
<v Speaker 1>push this narrative together for a headline, but for Stripes purposes,

0:14:31.800 --> 0:14:35.040
<v Speaker 1>our goal is to focus companies on excellence. There's nothing

0:14:35.080 --> 0:14:37.600
<v Speaker 1>woke or anti woke about it. And you know what,

0:14:37.800 --> 0:14:39.760
<v Speaker 1>I think that the E s G movement may have

0:14:40.000 --> 0:14:43.800
<v Speaker 1>offered some useful lessons for energy companies in the last decade,

0:14:43.880 --> 0:14:45.920
<v Speaker 1>maybe not the ones that they offered as their headlines,

0:14:46.280 --> 0:14:49.560
<v Speaker 1>but energy companies did overspend and over lever in the

0:14:49.600 --> 0:14:52.640
<v Speaker 1>early twenty teens, saying they're investing for growth. The shale

0:14:52.640 --> 0:14:55.560
<v Speaker 1>revolution was assigned shiny object. Interest rates were low, there

0:14:55.560 --> 0:14:57.960
<v Speaker 1>were some mistakes made for profitability in this sector. So

0:14:58.000 --> 0:15:00.320
<v Speaker 1>I think there are good lessons learned, but I think

0:15:00.360 --> 0:15:02.560
<v Speaker 1>the time has come to move past that e s

0:15:02.600 --> 0:15:05.400
<v Speaker 1>G investment consensus to say, you know what, fossil fuels

0:15:05.400 --> 0:15:08.960
<v Speaker 1>are not going anywhere after and if American energy companies

0:15:09.160 --> 0:15:13.080
<v Speaker 1>can actually invest to fill a massive looming supply, demand

0:15:13.120 --> 0:15:16.080
<v Speaker 1>and balance for global energy, that can lead these companies

0:15:16.080 --> 0:15:18.880
<v Speaker 1>to be more successful to trade at higher multiples. They

0:15:18.880 --> 0:15:21.680
<v Speaker 1>traded a lower multiple than the SMP five hundred, certainly

0:15:21.680 --> 0:15:24.400
<v Speaker 1>than US Tech today. They traded a lower multiple than

0:15:24.400 --> 0:15:26.480
<v Speaker 1>they've traded over their last thirty year average. I think

0:15:26.480 --> 0:15:29.240
<v Speaker 1>a b SG movement is in large part responsible for that.

0:15:29.680 --> 0:15:33.720
<v Speaker 1>We can unlock value by causing these companies to behave

0:15:33.760 --> 0:15:37.320
<v Speaker 1>in a way that actually takes exclusively their own financial

0:15:37.320 --> 0:15:40.040
<v Speaker 1>interests over the long run into account, rather than these

0:15:40.160 --> 0:15:43.400
<v Speaker 1>environmental and social agendas that have been imposed on them

0:15:43.440 --> 0:15:46.680
<v Speaker 1>top down by their shareholders. And it's interesting because when

0:15:46.680 --> 0:15:49.520
<v Speaker 1>I went to business school many moons ago, I learned

0:15:49.640 --> 0:15:53.360
<v Speaker 1>that the responsibility of the corporation was to maximize profits

0:15:53.400 --> 0:15:56.360
<v Speaker 1>for shareholders. Uh that has changed, I guess over the

0:15:56.440 --> 0:15:58.560
<v Speaker 1>last six, seven, eight years. I think the Business Roundtable

0:15:58.640 --> 0:16:01.880
<v Speaker 1>even came out with something saying kind of replacing shareholders

0:16:01.960 --> 0:16:06.040
<v Speaker 1>with stakeholders, introducing this whole against certain elements of the

0:16:06.040 --> 0:16:08.560
<v Speaker 1>E s G concept. Um, that's what I learned, and

0:16:08.560 --> 0:16:11.040
<v Speaker 1>I went to the most leftist college in the entire country,

0:16:11.040 --> 0:16:14.680
<v Speaker 1>exactly in Antioch. So what's the response been to your

0:16:14.800 --> 0:16:17.400
<v Speaker 1>your book, this E T F. Maybe I know you've

0:16:17.400 --> 0:16:21.000
<v Speaker 1>had discussions probably with investors, boards, things like that. What's

0:16:21.040 --> 0:16:24.480
<v Speaker 1>the feedback. So the feedback, certainly behind closed doors, is

0:16:24.520 --> 0:16:27.240
<v Speaker 1>almost universally positive. And then I think even in the

0:16:27.280 --> 0:16:29.960
<v Speaker 1>open what I've been pleased about is we're starting conversations

0:16:30.000 --> 0:16:31.680
<v Speaker 1>that people were not having, and I want to see

0:16:31.680 --> 0:16:34.920
<v Speaker 1>those conversations happen in the boardrooms of U S energy companies.

0:16:34.960 --> 0:16:37.200
<v Speaker 1>I think we're gonna catalyze. It actually spoke to the

0:16:37.280 --> 0:16:39.080
<v Speaker 1>one of the largest that might be the largest energy

0:16:39.080 --> 0:16:41.560
<v Speaker 1>conference in the country. It was the Intercom conference in

0:16:41.600 --> 0:16:44.080
<v Speaker 1>Denver earlier this week. It was a room full of

0:16:44.120 --> 0:16:46.960
<v Speaker 1>oil and gas ceo s. I don't think it's because

0:16:47.000 --> 0:16:48.720
<v Speaker 1>of the quality of my speech, but I got a

0:16:48.720 --> 0:16:51.320
<v Speaker 1>standing ovation at the end of the speech, which actually mystified.

0:16:51.320 --> 0:16:52.960
<v Speaker 1>There was a reporter in the room who tweeted about this,

0:16:52.960 --> 0:16:55.200
<v Speaker 1>who said, wait a minute, why are the same oil

0:16:55.240 --> 0:16:57.000
<v Speaker 1>executives who told me that they believe in their E

0:16:57.120 --> 0:17:00.000
<v Speaker 1>S G principles giving a standing ovation to Vec ramist

0:17:00.000 --> 0:17:02.480
<v Speaker 1>Amy speech because she, I think misunderstood it to be

0:17:02.480 --> 0:17:04.680
<v Speaker 1>anti E s G. I think the things she missed

0:17:04.760 --> 0:17:08.000
<v Speaker 1>is we're talking about moving forward past the E s

0:17:08.040 --> 0:17:11.679
<v Speaker 1>G investment consensus to meet an important human need. We

0:17:11.800 --> 0:17:16.320
<v Speaker 1>have a massive energy shortage, a supply demand imbalance that

0:17:16.440 --> 0:17:20.040
<v Speaker 1>isn't just short term. This isn't going away because systematic

0:17:20.160 --> 0:17:25.000
<v Speaker 1>underinvestment in production is a multi year peycle, not being

0:17:25.000 --> 0:17:27.600
<v Speaker 1>an energy When I see these energy prices going higher

0:17:27.600 --> 0:17:29.399
<v Speaker 1>and higher and higher, that yes, come back a little bit.

0:17:29.400 --> 0:17:31.879
<v Speaker 1>I see what's going on in Ukraine and Germany and

0:17:31.920 --> 0:17:34.560
<v Speaker 1>the and the energy crisis they're having in Europe, which

0:17:34.600 --> 0:17:36.880
<v Speaker 1>is going to get even worse this winter. Mike's dumb

0:17:37.000 --> 0:17:39.560
<v Speaker 1>question is like, just go build some more refineries on

0:17:39.600 --> 0:17:42.120
<v Speaker 1>the Gulf coast and we'll crank all this stuff out.

0:17:42.320 --> 0:17:44.959
<v Speaker 1>It would you really do that? In this regulatory environment

0:17:45.080 --> 0:17:47.920
<v Speaker 1>that my own president goes to Saudi Arabia before he

0:17:47.960 --> 0:17:50.160
<v Speaker 1>goes to Texas, Well, you know what it's it's it's

0:17:50.160 --> 0:17:52.600
<v Speaker 1>really interesting. So I think that there's there's two shackles

0:17:52.640 --> 0:17:55.400
<v Speaker 1>on the U s energy industry. One is imposed by policymakers.

0:17:55.640 --> 0:17:58.440
<v Speaker 1>The second is imposed by lowercase p policymakers through the

0:17:58.440 --> 0:18:01.280
<v Speaker 1>E s G movement in the boardroom. I'm actually optimistic

0:18:01.280 --> 0:18:03.280
<v Speaker 1>on the first of those. So here's something that I

0:18:03.320 --> 0:18:05.880
<v Speaker 1>think most market participants have not caught up to yet.

0:18:05.920 --> 0:18:08.119
<v Speaker 1>But it was a big deal West Virginia versus e

0:18:08.200 --> 0:18:10.000
<v Speaker 1>p A. I personally think it was the most important

0:18:10.040 --> 0:18:13.040
<v Speaker 1>Supreme Court case on this year's docket, which found that

0:18:13.160 --> 0:18:15.399
<v Speaker 1>one of the regulations imposed by the e p A

0:18:15.480 --> 0:18:19.800
<v Speaker 1>on the coal industry was actually unconstitutional because it caused

0:18:20.000 --> 0:18:23.480
<v Speaker 1>the EPA basically exceeded the scope of the statutory authority

0:18:23.520 --> 0:18:26.640
<v Speaker 1>granted to it by Congress. If that was unconstitutional, then

0:18:26.920 --> 0:18:29.520
<v Speaker 1>most of the regulations on the U. S energy industry

0:18:29.520 --> 0:18:32.480
<v Speaker 1>are also unconstitutional. And guess what the one way to

0:18:32.520 --> 0:18:34.440
<v Speaker 1>fix that is for Congress. In the spring Court basically

0:18:34.440 --> 0:18:36.760
<v Speaker 1>implies this Congress could pass the law and make it

0:18:36.800 --> 0:18:38.520
<v Speaker 1>part of the law. That's not gonna happen after what's

0:18:38.520 --> 0:18:41.240
<v Speaker 1>coming this November, after the changing political wins in this country.

0:18:41.280 --> 0:18:44.000
<v Speaker 1>So on the political and regulatory side, I think what

0:18:44.040 --> 0:18:46.560
<v Speaker 1>people see as a headwind amongst investors could actually be

0:18:46.560 --> 0:18:48.880
<v Speaker 1>a tail wind for the sector that leaves the real

0:18:49.320 --> 0:18:52.080
<v Speaker 1>remaining obstacle to be in the boardrooms imposed by e

0:18:52.200 --> 0:18:54.560
<v Speaker 1>SG linked asset managers. That's what we're hoping to fix

0:18:54.600 --> 0:18:56.040
<v Speaker 1>it strip. By the way, a lot of people on

0:18:56.080 --> 0:18:58.639
<v Speaker 1>the left also think that was the most important ruling,

0:18:58.800 --> 0:19:02.920
<v Speaker 1>but they're very much ended it right. Well, Congress is

0:19:02.960 --> 0:19:06.480
<v Speaker 1>going to have to make laws for every single regulation

0:19:06.880 --> 0:19:10.919
<v Speaker 1>rather than uh, you know, giving that power to a

0:19:10.960 --> 0:19:13.200
<v Speaker 1>board like the body like the e p A exactly.

0:19:13.440 --> 0:19:15.440
<v Speaker 1>Let let me ask quickly, how difficult is it to

0:19:15.480 --> 0:19:17.040
<v Speaker 1>go up against the goliath in the E t F

0:19:17.080 --> 0:19:19.359
<v Speaker 1>industry like black Rock, which does have some pretty strong

0:19:19.400 --> 0:19:21.680
<v Speaker 1>E s G and sustainability principle. But we'll find out.

0:19:21.720 --> 0:19:24.800
<v Speaker 1>It's it's it's we announced it yesterday. I will say

0:19:24.840 --> 0:19:26.400
<v Speaker 1>that the folks of the New York Stock Exchange told

0:19:26.440 --> 0:19:28.160
<v Speaker 1>me it was one of the strongest, if not strongest

0:19:28.240 --> 0:19:30.280
<v Speaker 1>launch of its kind in years that they had seen.

0:19:30.640 --> 0:19:32.439
<v Speaker 1>And I think that again, I don't take credit for that.

0:19:32.480 --> 0:19:34.800
<v Speaker 1>I think that this is this is a demand that

0:19:34.840 --> 0:19:38.159
<v Speaker 1>already exists amongst capital owners in this country, amongst everyday

0:19:38.200 --> 0:19:41.800
<v Speaker 1>citizens whose money is today being invested by large asset

0:19:41.800 --> 0:19:45.360
<v Speaker 1>managers who are delivering messages to the energy company's boardrooms

0:19:45.400 --> 0:19:47.960
<v Speaker 1>that most of those everyday citizens disagree with. So that's

0:19:47.960 --> 0:19:49.080
<v Speaker 1>what we have going for us is I think the

0:19:49.119 --> 0:19:51.840
<v Speaker 1>majority of capital owners, the majority of capital does not

0:19:51.920 --> 0:19:54.280
<v Speaker 1>want the black Rock message delivered to the boardrooms. They

0:19:54.320 --> 0:19:56.760
<v Speaker 1>want the Strive message, I believe, delivered to the boardrooms. Now.

0:19:56.840 --> 0:19:58.159
<v Speaker 1>The question is there's a lot of plumbing to do

0:19:58.240 --> 0:20:00.960
<v Speaker 1>to make sure that capital can actually flow through vehicles

0:20:01.000 --> 0:20:03.240
<v Speaker 1>like ours that actually speak on their behalf. It's up

0:20:03.280 --> 0:20:04.479
<v Speaker 1>to us to see if we can do it. All right,

0:20:04.640 --> 0:20:07.399
<v Speaker 1>Thanks so much for joining us here in our studios.

0:20:07.440 --> 0:20:11.359
<v Speaker 1>Here the fact. Ramiswanny, co founder and executive chairman of

0:20:11.480 --> 0:20:18.240
<v Speaker 1>Strive Asset Management. I'm not a gamer, Matt, you probably

0:20:18.280 --> 0:20:21.359
<v Speaker 1>know that. But our next guest is going to give

0:20:21.400 --> 0:20:22.720
<v Speaker 1>us a kind of lay of the land. What's going

0:20:22.720 --> 0:20:24.200
<v Speaker 1>on in the world. I used to be a big

0:20:24.240 --> 0:20:27.240
<v Speaker 1>gamer back in the day. I have. I've bought every

0:20:27.280 --> 0:20:32.680
<v Speaker 1>single Call of Duty release and spent hundreds of dollars

0:20:32.760 --> 0:20:35.439
<v Speaker 1>in the game up until what age, up until I

0:20:35.520 --> 0:20:40.240
<v Speaker 1>had a baby, which was October. That's when I stopped

0:20:40.240 --> 0:20:43.760
<v Speaker 1>putting in three to four hours the world. You're forty

0:20:43.800 --> 0:20:47.000
<v Speaker 1>eight years of age, and but I will play until

0:20:47.040 --> 0:20:50.680
<v Speaker 1>the end of my life. I love playing called. Mark Alfinbain,

0:20:50.800 --> 0:20:54.240
<v Speaker 1>CEO of X one e Sports, joins us. Mark, give

0:20:54.320 --> 0:20:56.439
<v Speaker 1>us a sense of kind of where we are in

0:20:56.480 --> 0:21:00.520
<v Speaker 1>the gaming market trends, you know, kind of prependemic, going

0:21:00.520 --> 0:21:04.000
<v Speaker 1>into the pandemic and now coming out of the pandemic. Yeah,

0:21:04.040 --> 0:21:06.160
<v Speaker 1>thanks for having me here today and just going back,

0:21:06.200 --> 0:21:08.360
<v Speaker 1>if you held onto some of those video games you're

0:21:08.359 --> 0:21:11.800
<v Speaker 1>talking about, they may actually be worth some money right now.

0:21:12.240 --> 0:21:15.480
<v Speaker 1>A lot of these video games self for like thousands

0:21:15.480 --> 0:21:17.120
<v Speaker 1>of dollars on eBay, so you might want to hold

0:21:17.160 --> 0:21:21.639
<v Speaker 1>onto the I've still got Duke Newcomb um for the

0:21:21.760 --> 0:21:24.600
<v Speaker 1>Nintendo sixty four. I've still got Kid Chameleon, which is

0:21:24.600 --> 0:21:27.280
<v Speaker 1>one of my all time favorite games um as well

0:21:27.320 --> 0:21:31.520
<v Speaker 1>as obviously all the Mario titles. YEA, keep from a

0:21:31.600 --> 0:21:34.680
<v Speaker 1>good condition and pass them down. But yeah, the the

0:21:34.800 --> 0:21:38.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, the industry really significantly increased. If we looked

0:21:38.160 --> 0:21:41.680
<v Speaker 1>at the global value of the industry, just before COVID

0:21:42.080 --> 0:21:44.480
<v Speaker 1>in around two thousand nineteen, the industry was around a

0:21:44.520 --> 0:21:48.040
<v Speaker 1>hundred and thirty billion dollar industry, and by about two

0:21:48.600 --> 0:21:50.639
<v Speaker 1>one it had grown to a hundred and eighty billion

0:21:50.680 --> 0:21:54.520
<v Speaker 1>dollar industry. As you could imagine, um generations of people

0:21:54.600 --> 0:21:57.040
<v Speaker 1>were at home and we're you know, spending a lot

0:21:57.080 --> 0:21:59.360
<v Speaker 1>of time doing things like you know, looking at TikTok

0:21:59.480 --> 0:22:03.960
<v Speaker 1>videos and playing video games. So it generated a significant, uh,

0:22:04.000 --> 0:22:08.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, sustainable bump for overall video game usage. I

0:22:08.600 --> 0:22:11.159
<v Speaker 1>have to say, during the pandemic, I got this um

0:22:11.280 --> 0:22:14.280
<v Speaker 1>high school friends chat group and we're all, you know,

0:22:16.680 --> 0:22:18.840
<v Speaker 1>some of my buddies were paying like a grand for

0:22:18.880 --> 0:22:22.439
<v Speaker 1>a Microsoft Xbox or for the PlayStation five because you

0:22:22.440 --> 0:22:25.720
<v Speaker 1>couldn't just you couldn't find them anywhere. Is that demand?

0:22:25.800 --> 0:22:30.479
<v Speaker 1>Has that fallen and has the supply caught up it? Actually,

0:22:30.520 --> 0:22:33.240
<v Speaker 1>interestingly it hasn't. So the you know, if you can

0:22:33.320 --> 0:22:36.480
<v Speaker 1>find a PlayStation five right now, that's something you may

0:22:36.520 --> 0:22:38.400
<v Speaker 1>also want to want to get your hands on. They've

0:22:38.440 --> 0:22:42.480
<v Speaker 1>been very very elusive to find. Probably last year, I

0:22:42.520 --> 0:22:45.600
<v Speaker 1>would say we're one of the largest Christmas gifts out there,

0:22:45.640 --> 0:22:48.320
<v Speaker 1>if you can, if you can get them. But between

0:22:48.400 --> 0:22:52.159
<v Speaker 1>the consoles, the other thing really moving up on popularity

0:22:52.400 --> 0:22:56.840
<v Speaker 1>is the virtual reality gaming we're seeing with the Oculus Quest,

0:22:57.240 --> 0:22:59.800
<v Speaker 1>and that's almost like the next revolution of gaming as

0:22:59.800 --> 0:23:03.320
<v Speaker 1>the aiming industry reinvents itself. Can you play legit games

0:23:03.320 --> 0:23:07.040
<v Speaker 1>with that? I mean can you really, um have a

0:23:07.080 --> 0:23:10.600
<v Speaker 1>first person shooter that works well with the oculus there

0:23:10.600 --> 0:23:13.160
<v Speaker 1>are you know, there's a game up there called Population One,

0:23:13.320 --> 0:23:16.480
<v Speaker 1>which is a multiplayer game. UM and it's really the

0:23:16.520 --> 0:23:20.080
<v Speaker 1>new form of social you know, kind of social communication.

0:23:20.119 --> 0:23:23.119
<v Speaker 1>I would say, jumping on these multiplayer games, especially if

0:23:23.160 --> 0:23:26.560
<v Speaker 1>you could imagine you're in the same virtual reality environment

0:23:27.080 --> 0:23:29.320
<v Speaker 1>and your friends are, you know, people around the world.

0:23:29.359 --> 0:23:32.119
<v Speaker 1>It's it's a really incredible experience. It's it's come a

0:23:32.119 --> 0:23:34.840
<v Speaker 1>little bit since the days of Atari in the early eighties.

0:23:34.840 --> 0:23:37.080
<v Speaker 1>I would say, I gotta say that's how I mean.

0:23:37.119 --> 0:23:40.760
<v Speaker 1>I've I was always into Atari and Nintendo and Sega.

0:23:40.840 --> 0:23:43.560
<v Speaker 1>But when I first got a job and moved to

0:23:43.600 --> 0:23:46.200
<v Speaker 1>Germany out of college, all my friends were scattered around

0:23:46.240 --> 0:23:48.600
<v Speaker 1>the world and we couldn't really afford to call each other.

0:23:49.000 --> 0:23:51.320
<v Speaker 1>So what we did is we all got xboxes, we

0:23:51.359 --> 0:23:53.960
<v Speaker 1>all got Halo, and we would just sit in Halo

0:23:54.359 --> 0:23:57.680
<v Speaker 1>in the chat, you know, and like shooting at each other. Well,

0:23:57.680 --> 0:24:00.480
<v Speaker 1>it's also incredibly if you think about during COVID couldn't

0:24:00.520 --> 0:24:04.240
<v Speaker 1>really see people. People were are restricted, especially in certain

0:24:04.240 --> 0:24:06.760
<v Speaker 1>parts of the world, and it's really was the only

0:24:06.800 --> 0:24:09.639
<v Speaker 1>way to feel like you were with people during this time,

0:24:09.960 --> 0:24:12.719
<v Speaker 1>which probably is the reason why the industry grew so

0:24:12.800 --> 0:24:16.119
<v Speaker 1>tremendously during that cult period. Alright, Mark, I see on

0:24:16.160 --> 0:24:18.240
<v Speaker 1>your CV that you have a bachelor's in business from

0:24:18.240 --> 0:24:21.239
<v Speaker 1>the University of Manitoba. And to be honest to just

0:24:21.280 --> 0:24:24.080
<v Speaker 1>to show my ignorance, I did not know where Manitoba was.

0:24:25.640 --> 0:24:27.280
<v Speaker 1>I know it's in Canada, but wearing Canada. So I

0:24:27.320 --> 0:24:29.040
<v Speaker 1>go to my Google Maps. It's kind of right smack

0:24:29.040 --> 0:24:32.840
<v Speaker 1>in the middle of Canada. It's home to Winnipeg and

0:24:32.880 --> 0:24:36.320
<v Speaker 1>it's also home to Lake Winnipeg. Do people kind of

0:24:36.400 --> 0:24:40.320
<v Speaker 1>is that a busy like summer place to go, like Winnipeg. Yeah, yeah,

0:24:40.320 --> 0:24:42.600
<v Speaker 1>if you're if you're living in Winnipeg right now, chances

0:24:42.680 --> 0:24:45.520
<v Speaker 1>you would not be in your home during the summertime.

0:24:45.560 --> 0:24:47.480
<v Speaker 1>You're going to be at one of the lakes. Lake

0:24:47.480 --> 0:24:50.600
<v Speaker 1>Winnipeg is a nice place called Grand Beach Um also

0:24:50.640 --> 0:24:56.280
<v Speaker 1>a home actually of the NHL's Winnipeg jeff A Story franchise.

0:24:56.680 --> 0:24:58.639
<v Speaker 1>But the one thing I would say about Winnipeg, I

0:24:58.640 --> 0:25:02.600
<v Speaker 1>think it might literally be the coldest place in the world,

0:25:02.600 --> 0:25:08.000
<v Speaker 1>with the population of over five thousand people. I heard Philip, Well,

0:25:08.200 --> 0:25:10.320
<v Speaker 1>so when you guys, have your fifteen minutes of summer.

0:25:10.680 --> 0:25:13.679
<v Speaker 1>You've got to get out to Lake Winnipeg. It is

0:25:13.720 --> 0:25:16.480
<v Speaker 1>so I think it's literally three months and you're really

0:25:16.560 --> 0:25:20.240
<v Speaker 1>maximizing that time. So a lot of out there barbecues. Um,

0:25:20.280 --> 0:25:22.520
<v Speaker 1>you do get de sensipized with the cold a little bit.

0:25:22.600 --> 0:25:25.320
<v Speaker 1>So if you come anywhere south of the border, winter

0:25:25.480 --> 0:25:28.800
<v Speaker 1>is like summer too. All right, we gotta get you

0:25:28.840 --> 0:25:30.400
<v Speaker 1>back on mar because I want to know about the

0:25:30.400 --> 0:25:33.399
<v Speaker 1>the next sort of evolutions that are coming in the

0:25:33.400 --> 0:25:35.000
<v Speaker 1>gaming industry. But we don't have any more time. So

0:25:35.040 --> 0:25:38.440
<v Speaker 1>Mark elfen Bind, their CEO of x one E Sports,

0:25:40.520 --> 0:25:42.760
<v Speaker 1>do a remote in Manitoba. The tick, yeah, we should

0:25:42.760 --> 0:25:44.399
<v Speaker 1>do that. We should go up there. The ticker is

0:25:44.720 --> 0:25:47.840
<v Speaker 1>this is on the Canadian Stock Exchange X one so

0:25:48.160 --> 0:25:51.760
<v Speaker 1>x O n E. That's some cool stuff. So yeah,

0:25:51.800 --> 0:25:53.440
<v Speaker 1>I want to get to the sports next time we

0:25:53.520 --> 0:25:59.160
<v Speaker 1>chat with them, because that's actually big business there. We're

0:25:59.160 --> 0:26:01.000
<v Speaker 1>gonna talk about some this near and dear to my

0:26:01.080 --> 0:26:04.960
<v Speaker 1>hard pol And I'm pretty excited about the story. Um,

0:26:05.000 --> 0:26:07.840
<v Speaker 1>it's probably a big deal for you too, being a

0:26:07.880 --> 0:26:11.080
<v Speaker 1>calms guy. Um, but the reporter we're gonna bring in

0:26:11.160 --> 0:26:15.679
<v Speaker 1>he he dissed me pretty hard twice yesterday. Jerry Smith

0:26:15.720 --> 0:26:17.840
<v Speaker 1>is a media reporter for Bloomberg News. One of them.

0:26:17.840 --> 0:26:24.359
<v Speaker 1>He wrote the story about CBS and NBC vying for

0:26:24.680 --> 0:26:29.080
<v Speaker 1>the Big Ten um getting it from ESPN. And Jerry,

0:26:29.520 --> 0:26:35.000
<v Speaker 1>you referred to the Buckeyes as Ohio State University, but

0:26:35.160 --> 0:26:38.320
<v Speaker 1>you know it's the Ohio State University. Boy, And I

0:26:38.359 --> 0:26:43.160
<v Speaker 1>can only imagine you did this because you're a Northwestern guy. Yeah.

0:26:43.240 --> 0:26:45.960
<v Speaker 1>I just wanted to apologize personally to you for that

0:26:46.119 --> 0:26:49.560
<v Speaker 1>and and I really do hope you forgive me. I

0:26:49.600 --> 0:26:52.920
<v Speaker 1>even messaged you and you didn't message back. Busy guy.

0:26:53.000 --> 0:26:56.399
<v Speaker 1>He's he's got big media moguls. He talks to Jerry

0:26:56.440 --> 0:26:59.439
<v Speaker 1>to me, the news was here the Big ten. You know,

0:27:00.320 --> 0:27:04.160
<v Speaker 1>Big ten has been on ESPN for a very long time,

0:27:04.800 --> 0:27:07.560
<v Speaker 1>and the ESPN kind of walked away. That's what shocked me.

0:27:07.680 --> 0:27:11.840
<v Speaker 1>What's going on there? Yeah, so they walked away from

0:27:11.840 --> 0:27:14.439
<v Speaker 1>the bidding, and it's it's a big deal because this

0:27:14.520 --> 0:27:16.720
<v Speaker 1>is a relationship that ESPN has had with the Big

0:27:16.760 --> 0:27:20.679
<v Speaker 1>Tent for about four decades UM, and the price just

0:27:20.760 --> 0:27:23.960
<v Speaker 1>got too high for them. Um. So what you know,

0:27:24.000 --> 0:27:28.080
<v Speaker 1>what we expect to see now is that Big ten sports,

0:27:28.520 --> 0:27:31.840
<v Speaker 1>with college football being the big draw, are going to

0:27:31.960 --> 0:27:35.480
<v Speaker 1>be on Fox, CBS, and NBC. Fox is going to

0:27:35.560 --> 0:27:38.520
<v Speaker 1>have that noon window, CBS will have a three thirty window,

0:27:38.600 --> 0:27:42.200
<v Speaker 1>and and UM an NBC, which really to this point

0:27:42.320 --> 0:27:45.280
<v Speaker 1>is just mostly broadcast Notre Dame football, they'll have the

0:27:45.400 --> 0:27:49.159
<v Speaker 1>evening window in prime time. So, I mean, I've covered

0:27:49.200 --> 0:27:52.959
<v Speaker 1>the Walt Disney Company for decades from a financial analyst perspective,

0:27:52.760 --> 0:27:56.120
<v Speaker 1>I I can't recall them walking away from too many

0:27:56.640 --> 0:28:00.040
<v Speaker 1>marquee events. Now the Big ten here, we've got a

0:28:00.240 --> 0:28:02.240
<v Speaker 1>cricket league, which I know that's a big fan of

0:28:02.680 --> 0:28:05.600
<v Speaker 1>in India. I'm sorry, the India Cricket League. Um they

0:28:05.640 --> 0:28:09.119
<v Speaker 1>walked away from that? Is? Well? Here is it? Are

0:28:09.160 --> 0:28:13.880
<v Speaker 1>things changing at ESPN where they tightening their belts? Yeah, well,

0:28:13.880 --> 0:28:16.320
<v Speaker 1>I think a couple of things are happening. You. You're right.

0:28:16.440 --> 0:28:20.119
<v Speaker 1>They are under pressure from Wall Street to UM you know,

0:28:20.200 --> 0:28:22.919
<v Speaker 1>show more profits, particularly in streaming, and we saw that

0:28:22.960 --> 0:28:25.679
<v Speaker 1>in UM some of the moves they're making, uh in

0:28:25.720 --> 0:28:30.560
<v Speaker 1>their earnings yesterday where they're raising prices for their streaming services. Uh.

0:28:30.680 --> 0:28:33.680
<v Speaker 1>So they are being a little more selective about what

0:28:33.840 --> 0:28:36.560
<v Speaker 1>type of sports rights. Uh they go after and as

0:28:36.600 --> 0:28:39.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, sports rights to keep getting more expensive. Uh.

0:28:39.320 --> 0:28:42.080
<v Speaker 1>The other thing to think about is ESPN is still

0:28:42.600 --> 0:28:44.960
<v Speaker 1>has a lot of sports rights, and if you think

0:28:45.000 --> 0:28:48.880
<v Speaker 1>about college they still have. They actually going to take

0:28:48.920 --> 0:28:51.840
<v Speaker 1>over the SEC and a couple of years from CS

0:28:52.280 --> 0:28:55.320
<v Speaker 1>and that's that's huge. I mean, that's arguably more popular

0:28:55.360 --> 0:28:57.719
<v Speaker 1>than the Big Ten in terms of college football. And

0:28:57.720 --> 0:28:59.440
<v Speaker 1>then you've got you know, they have the rights to

0:28:59.440 --> 0:29:01.959
<v Speaker 1>the a c S, the Big Twelve, the Pack twelve,

0:29:02.520 --> 0:29:05.520
<v Speaker 1>which are going to be renewing renegotiating their rights soon.

0:29:05.720 --> 0:29:09.280
<v Speaker 1>So I would not say that ESPN is walking away

0:29:09.280 --> 0:29:12.560
<v Speaker 1>from college sports. They're very much uh still a major

0:29:12.640 --> 0:29:16.400
<v Speaker 1>college sports broadcaster. But they did decide that the Big

0:29:16.440 --> 0:29:18.640
<v Speaker 1>Ten is going to be too um, you know, just

0:29:18.680 --> 0:29:21.479
<v Speaker 1>too much too expenses for them. How about just broadly

0:29:21.520 --> 0:29:23.680
<v Speaker 1>speaking about sports rights fees, Jerry, you can you cover

0:29:23.720 --> 0:29:26.160
<v Speaker 1>a lot of these all these big media companies with

0:29:26.240 --> 0:29:30.600
<v Speaker 1>court cutting at all and streaming taking a bigger percentage

0:29:30.600 --> 0:29:35.400
<v Speaker 1>of viewership. How did the big media companies justify spending

0:29:36.000 --> 0:29:39.360
<v Speaker 1>ever increasing amounts on sports rights when their audience is

0:29:39.400 --> 0:29:43.440
<v Speaker 1>really in decline because of court cutting. Yeah, I mean,

0:29:43.560 --> 0:29:45.960
<v Speaker 1>I think we're the media companies are really going to

0:29:46.040 --> 0:29:48.800
<v Speaker 1>start to feel the squeeze here going forward. I mean,

0:29:48.840 --> 0:29:51.560
<v Speaker 1>on one hand, they're trying to protect the cable bundle

0:29:51.840 --> 0:29:55.680
<v Speaker 1>and live sports is really the biggest reason why people

0:29:55.720 --> 0:29:58.760
<v Speaker 1>are still subscribing to cable. But as you point out

0:29:58.840 --> 0:30:03.920
<v Speaker 1>that there's cable subscriptions are really um. Cord cutting is accelerating,

0:30:04.120 --> 0:30:07.480
<v Speaker 1>and the fees that these media companies get from cable

0:30:07.520 --> 0:30:10.400
<v Speaker 1>subscribers is continuing to go down at the same time

0:30:10.440 --> 0:30:13.080
<v Speaker 1>that they're paying more and more for these sports rights.

0:30:13.200 --> 0:30:16.080
<v Speaker 1>Uh So, yeah, it's um. That's part of why you're

0:30:16.080 --> 0:30:18.479
<v Speaker 1>starting to see companies like ESPN be a little more

0:30:18.520 --> 0:30:22.440
<v Speaker 1>selective because the money from the cable bundle UM is

0:30:22.480 --> 0:30:25.840
<v Speaker 1>not supporting it's not going to support these ever escalating

0:30:25.920 --> 0:30:28.080
<v Speaker 1>rights fees the way they used to. It hurts me

0:30:28.160 --> 0:30:32.160
<v Speaker 1>to think of the SEC, well just in general, but

0:30:32.240 --> 0:30:36.360
<v Speaker 1>as a better, more popular football company. It's close. No,

0:30:36.560 --> 0:30:39.880
<v Speaker 1>it's I think it's it's not good what's happening. The

0:30:39.920 --> 0:30:42.440
<v Speaker 1>Big Town was three and three against the SEC last season.

0:30:43.360 --> 0:30:45.280
<v Speaker 1>But I mean, Jerry, one of the things that we've

0:30:45.280 --> 0:30:48.920
<v Speaker 1>seen is you know, these super the expansion Jerry, how

0:30:49.000 --> 0:30:51.480
<v Speaker 1>how how much were the realignment really so you've got

0:30:51.520 --> 0:30:53.360
<v Speaker 1>USC and U c l A going into the big

0:30:53.480 --> 0:30:56.480
<v Speaker 1>tent exactly. And I mean it just kind of says, hey, Jerry,

0:30:56.520 --> 0:31:01.000
<v Speaker 1>you're awake Forest undergrad. Like if you're the SEC for football,

0:31:01.040 --> 0:31:03.400
<v Speaker 1>You're like, well, if I'm not in the SEC and

0:31:03.440 --> 0:31:07.160
<v Speaker 1>I'm not in the Big Ten, where am I. I

0:31:07.200 --> 0:31:12.040
<v Speaker 1>think we're seeing a real consolidation in both UM college

0:31:12.280 --> 0:31:15.280
<v Speaker 1>sports and college sports broadcasting. I think what you're starting

0:31:15.280 --> 0:31:17.960
<v Speaker 1>to see now is that the Big Ten and the

0:31:18.120 --> 0:31:22.920
<v Speaker 1>SEC are the super conferences, and ESPN and Fox are

0:31:23.440 --> 0:31:25.560
<v Speaker 1>the broadcasters that have the rights. I mean, you know,

0:31:25.600 --> 0:31:28.440
<v Speaker 1>Fox has UM, you know, part owner of a Big

0:31:28.440 --> 0:31:31.800
<v Speaker 1>ten network, and they've got UM They've renewed their Big

0:31:31.800 --> 0:31:34.920
<v Speaker 1>Ten rights deal. And then ESPN as as chose in

0:31:34.920 --> 0:31:37.720
<v Speaker 1>the SEC, so um, you know, and we I think

0:31:37.720 --> 0:31:41.000
<v Speaker 1>we're going to start to see more schools that continue

0:31:41.040 --> 0:31:44.480
<v Speaker 1>to go towards these bigger super conferences and UM it's

0:31:44.480 --> 0:31:46.880
<v Speaker 1>really a rivalry that a lot of people feel like

0:31:47.040 --> 0:31:51.360
<v Speaker 1>between ESPN and Fox here alright. So I mean I

0:31:51.440 --> 0:31:54.000
<v Speaker 1>think that the question for a lot of folks is

0:31:54.000 --> 0:31:56.000
<v Speaker 1>is it you know, if I'm a I don't know,

0:31:56.320 --> 0:31:59.040
<v Speaker 1>the University of Colorado, If I'm Awake Force or even

0:31:59.040 --> 0:32:01.640
<v Speaker 1>a Duke. I mean, it just seems like if I'm

0:32:01.640 --> 0:32:05.400
<v Speaker 1>not in one of these big power power conferences, I'm

0:32:05.400 --> 0:32:07.520
<v Speaker 1>going to risk out on some of the losing the

0:32:07.520 --> 0:32:09.880
<v Speaker 1>growth in the TV money which is kind of driving

0:32:09.960 --> 0:32:12.840
<v Speaker 1>all of this. Um. I mean to put USC and

0:32:12.960 --> 0:32:14.920
<v Speaker 1>U c l A to leave that Packed twelve or

0:32:14.920 --> 0:32:18.400
<v Speaker 1>Pack ten, whatever it's called, it just seems sacrilege to me.

0:32:18.560 --> 0:32:20.800
<v Speaker 1>And you're not gonna but it's all about the money, yeah,

0:32:20.920 --> 0:32:23.360
<v Speaker 1>to eat TV money. So Jerry's just a trend that's

0:32:23.360 --> 0:32:26.320
<v Speaker 1>gonna continue. Do you think. I think the big test

0:32:26.360 --> 0:32:30.600
<v Speaker 1>will be the next big college right sports rights deal,

0:32:30.600 --> 0:32:32.280
<v Speaker 1>and that's going to be the Pack twelve. And then

0:32:32.360 --> 0:32:34.360
<v Speaker 1>I think after that will be the Big twelve and

0:32:34.400 --> 0:32:37.680
<v Speaker 1>we'll have to see, um, you know, whether the big

0:32:37.680 --> 0:32:42.560
<v Speaker 1>broadcasters like ESPN are are willing to u spend um

0:32:42.880 --> 0:32:46.360
<v Speaker 1>more and more money for these conferences that have lost

0:32:46.480 --> 0:32:49.480
<v Speaker 1>some really popular teams. And then and then schools like

0:32:49.560 --> 0:32:52.280
<v Speaker 1>Duke or Wake Forest aren't going to be able to

0:32:52.320 --> 0:32:54.440
<v Speaker 1>spend as much money on the program, right. So I mean,

0:32:54.480 --> 0:32:56.600
<v Speaker 1>I mean, at least Duke has the hoops, which really

0:32:56.680 --> 0:33:00.239
<v Speaker 1>drives the athletics. Well, wait for great football team they

0:33:00.280 --> 0:33:02.280
<v Speaker 1>had for such how many people go there? Like a

0:33:02.320 --> 0:33:04.160
<v Speaker 1>fifty people go to week for Erry Head Wait for

0:33:04.280 --> 0:33:06.160
<v Speaker 1>you got thirty seconds Stary to give us breakdown wake

0:33:06.200 --> 0:33:09.840
<v Speaker 1>Forest football? Why are they so good? You know, you'd

0:33:09.840 --> 0:33:12.000
<v Speaker 1>have to have somebody smarter than me. But I feel

0:33:12.040 --> 0:33:15.080
<v Speaker 1>like wake Forest has always um hunched above its weight.

0:33:15.120 --> 0:33:17.000
<v Speaker 1>I mean when I was there, there were four thousand

0:33:17.120 --> 0:33:20.280
<v Speaker 1>undergrads and uh I was there when Chris Paul was there. Yeah,

0:33:20.320 --> 0:33:23.280
<v Speaker 1>we had a nice run in basketball. Um so yeah,

0:33:23.360 --> 0:33:26.720
<v Speaker 1>the conference is still is still strong. But um, you know,

0:33:26.760 --> 0:33:29.200
<v Speaker 1>I think we're seeing with these sports right deals at

0:33:29.200 --> 0:33:32.160
<v Speaker 1>Big ten and SEC really dominate, all right, Jerry good,

0:33:32.160 --> 0:33:35.680
<v Speaker 1>good stuff. Jerry Smith excellent media reporter for Bloomberg News,

0:33:35.800 --> 0:33:40.640
<v Speaker 1>phoning it in. I will note today thanks for listening

0:33:40.680 --> 0:33:44.160
<v Speaker 1>to the Bloomberg Markets podcast. You can subscribe and listen

0:33:44.200 --> 0:33:48.480
<v Speaker 1>to interviews at Apple Podcasts or whatever podcast platform you prefer.

0:33:48.880 --> 0:33:52.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm Matt Miller. I'm on Twitter at Matt Miller three.

0:33:53.200 --> 0:33:55.760
<v Speaker 1>Pet On false Sweeney I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney.

0:33:55.800 --> 0:33:58.479
<v Speaker 1>Before the podcast, you can always catch us worldwide at

0:33:58.480 --> 0:34:00.400
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio four