1 00:00:02,120 --> 00:00:04,280 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:04,320 --> 00:00:06,680 Speaker 1: your bet, says B Joey P Joe Pi Zapia, and 3 00:00:06,760 --> 00:00:10,000 Speaker 1: this is BP NFL. It's time to look ahead to 4 00:00:10,080 --> 00:00:12,760 Speaker 1: the Wildcard round of the NFL Playoffs. Lots of great 5 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:14,800 Speaker 1: matchups are in front of us. We're gonna give some 6 00:00:14,880 --> 00:00:18,440 Speaker 1: hot takes here on a Monday, looking ahead given all 7 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:20,560 Speaker 1: the fields we possibly can as we head into the 8 00:00:20,680 --> 00:00:23,840 Speaker 1: NFL playoffs. Don't forget to subscribe to Betting Pros wherever, 9 00:00:23,880 --> 00:00:26,000 Speaker 1: get your podcasts, and of course our YouTube channel as well. 10 00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:29,800 Speaker 1: We're gonna have a wild Card weekend live stream going 11 00:00:29,840 --> 00:00:32,519 Speaker 1: on during the game's little in game live betting happening. 12 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 1: Stay tuned for more information on that, and that's why 13 00:00:34,920 --> 00:00:37,479 Speaker 1: you ring the bell for notifications. Of course, make sure 14 00:00:37,520 --> 00:00:39,360 Speaker 1: you stay on top of everything and you don't miss 15 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:40,960 Speaker 1: any of the content here. All week we got some 16 00:00:41,000 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 1: live streams with myself with Matt Bropp and my co 17 00:00:43,680 --> 00:00:47,000 Speaker 1: host today Andrew ericson the Undertaker. Ericson, I know you 18 00:00:47,040 --> 00:00:49,239 Speaker 1: were freezing your butt off yesterday. I hope you got 19 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:51,720 Speaker 1: warm after being out there in the cold the Patriots, 20 00:00:51,760 --> 00:00:54,320 Speaker 1: but I assumed Rod Mayo had a worse day than 21 00:00:54,320 --> 00:00:54,680 Speaker 1: you did. 22 00:00:54,800 --> 00:00:58,360 Speaker 2: Yes, he probably did, obviously, as the news broke. Basically, 23 00:00:58,440 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 2: it was like less than ninety minutes after the final 24 00:01:01,280 --> 00:01:03,360 Speaker 2: snap game, which ended at four o'clock. He got fired 25 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:05,759 Speaker 2: before five point thirty. We had actually gone to dinner 26 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:08,880 Speaker 2: right after at Davio's, which is steakhouse in Jilette Stadium, 27 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:10,880 Speaker 2: and I pull up my phone like we just finished eating. 28 00:01:11,120 --> 00:01:14,120 Speaker 3: I'm like, yep, he just got fired. Were like we 29 00:01:14,160 --> 00:01:14,960 Speaker 3: finished eating, right. 30 00:01:15,319 --> 00:01:17,479 Speaker 1: I was also a dinner. I was stuffing tacos down 31 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:20,080 Speaker 1: my face at our local favorite Mexican place after a 32 00:01:20,120 --> 00:01:25,560 Speaker 1: triumphant twenty seven to nothing flag football game. We were 33 00:01:25,680 --> 00:01:28,360 Speaker 1: terrific in week one, and there I see it was like, well, 34 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 1: we lost the number one pick, but we got rid 35 00:01:30,280 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 1: of drud mail, so I guess, you know things are 36 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:33,480 Speaker 1: working out. So why I wear my Patriots stuff today? 37 00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:36,039 Speaker 2: And I think to the silver lining when it comes 38 00:01:36,040 --> 00:01:37,600 Speaker 2: to I know that a lot of Patriots fans and 39 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:39,360 Speaker 2: I was very torn at the game because you know, 40 00:01:39,600 --> 00:01:40,880 Speaker 2: you're at the game, you don't want to root for 41 00:01:40,880 --> 00:01:42,759 Speaker 2: the other team. And I saw like these little kids, 42 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:45,039 Speaker 2: like they're cheering for Joe Milton and like man like, 43 00:01:45,520 --> 00:01:47,360 Speaker 2: how great was it when we weren't so toxic When 44 00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 2: it comes to no, you need to have the highest 45 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 2: draft pick. 46 00:01:49,880 --> 00:01:51,640 Speaker 1: Well yeah, booing at the end of the game. 47 00:01:51,880 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, not a great look for fans. Just instilling losing cultures. 48 00:01:56,000 --> 00:01:58,160 Speaker 2: Not usually something that works out. Just asked the Cleveland Browns. 49 00:01:58,200 --> 00:01:59,760 Speaker 2: Yeah they tanked. How to work out for them? 50 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:00,960 Speaker 3: Not great? 51 00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:04,280 Speaker 2: So I will say they're still gonna have the number 52 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:07,560 Speaker 2: four overall pick if anything. Look, yes, they won't get 53 00:02:07,600 --> 00:02:10,000 Speaker 2: the opportunity to necessarily trade that pick for a boat 54 00:02:10,040 --> 00:02:12,080 Speaker 2: load or King's ransom, But what do they do when 55 00:02:12,080 --> 00:02:15,240 Speaker 2: they trade? What do they do when they traded down 56 00:02:15,320 --> 00:02:17,760 Speaker 2: this pass draft they draft to gimpol instead of I 57 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:20,560 Speaker 2: McConkie if they just stuck in pick. So maybe it's just, hey, 58 00:02:20,600 --> 00:02:22,400 Speaker 2: they have to pick the guy, whether it's the best 59 00:02:22,400 --> 00:02:24,840 Speaker 2: tackle or receiver that falls. They're gonna get a top 60 00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:27,480 Speaker 2: three overall player no matter what with the fourth overall pick. 61 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:28,720 Speaker 2: So as long as that guy's a hit, and then 62 00:02:28,760 --> 00:02:30,679 Speaker 2: I don't really care, and it's like, hey, let's move forward. 63 00:02:30,680 --> 00:02:33,480 Speaker 2: We got Drake may So future's bright, especially when they 64 00:02:33,720 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 2: end up bringing in Bike Brable, which seems like a 65 00:02:35,360 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 2: foregone conclusion at this point it certainly does. 66 00:02:37,840 --> 00:02:40,560 Speaker 1: Five coaching openings. Go to Own of Bounds for more 67 00:02:40,600 --> 00:02:42,720 Speaker 1: on that. Over on the FP side, we're gonna break 68 00:02:42,720 --> 00:02:47,200 Speaker 1: on the all the fantasy perspective, on the head coaching firings, 69 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:48,920 Speaker 1: and a lot more. But before we get to the 70 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:51,280 Speaker 1: wildcard weekend games and our takes on them to sign 71 00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:54,320 Speaker 1: Lawrence Taylor Jersey, it's gone. The winner of the sign 72 00:02:54,480 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 1: lt Jersey giveaway is Keith. One word Keith, just like 73 00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:02,079 Speaker 1: Madonna or Share. We'll be contacting you to get that prize, 74 00:03:02,080 --> 00:03:04,640 Speaker 1: So stay on the lookout. Keith. Congratulations, you're the big winner. 75 00:03:04,639 --> 00:03:07,960 Speaker 1: And when one giveaway goes away, another one takes its place. 76 00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:11,920 Speaker 1: Next giveaway up sign Dak Prescott Cowboys Helmet. We're giving 77 00:03:11,919 --> 00:03:13,960 Speaker 1: this away again courtesy of our friends at Pristine Auction 78 00:03:14,040 --> 00:03:15,799 Speaker 1: dot com. All you need to do to win the 79 00:03:15,880 --> 00:03:18,400 Speaker 1: Dak Prescott helmet is to head over to Bettingpros dot 80 00:03:18,400 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 1: com slash contest, complete the form and either download the 81 00:03:21,200 --> 00:03:23,560 Speaker 1: Betting Pros app, leave review of the Betting Pros podcast, 82 00:03:23,680 --> 00:03:26,280 Speaker 1: or subscribe to our social media channels at Betting Pros 83 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:29,720 Speaker 1: on x, on TikTok and Betting Pros NFL on the Instagram. 84 00:03:29,720 --> 00:03:32,120 Speaker 1: The more actions you complete, the more entries you receive, 85 00:03:32,160 --> 00:03:34,359 Speaker 1: and we'll be announcing the winner right here on the channel. 86 00:03:34,400 --> 00:03:37,160 Speaker 1: So make sure you turn on those notifications so you 87 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:40,280 Speaker 1: can be alerted when new episodes are up. All right, 88 00:03:41,160 --> 00:03:44,839 Speaker 1: let's begin at the beginning. Los Angeles Chargers eleven and six, 89 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:48,240 Speaker 1: Houston Texans ten and seven. The Chargers travel to Houston 90 00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:50,360 Speaker 1: to take on the Texans. The Chargers are three point 91 00:03:50,360 --> 00:03:52,920 Speaker 1: favorites in this game. That feels right to me. Forty 92 00:03:52,920 --> 00:03:54,920 Speaker 1: three and a half is the total again, feels kind 93 00:03:54,920 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 1: of spot on. Plus one thirty on the money line 94 00:03:57,120 --> 00:03:59,640 Speaker 1: for the Texans. No, thank you, you can have that. 95 00:04:00,280 --> 00:04:03,240 Speaker 1: I am on the Los Angeles Charger side of this game. 96 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:06,640 Speaker 1: Damian Pierce put on a fun show yesterday, one hundred 97 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:09,080 Speaker 1: and seventy yards. That was a good time for anybody. 98 00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:11,480 Speaker 1: I guess who was investing in him. But the Houston 99 00:04:11,520 --> 00:04:14,920 Speaker 1: Texans have been a team that has benefited from their division, 100 00:04:15,440 --> 00:04:19,000 Speaker 1: a team that, whenever challenged by better teams this season 101 00:04:19,240 --> 00:04:22,560 Speaker 1: has failed. Let's be honest, that's what they've done time 102 00:04:22,600 --> 00:04:26,560 Speaker 1: in and time again. And the Los Angeles Chargers, I 103 00:04:26,600 --> 00:04:28,720 Speaker 1: think you know with Jim Harbaugh are ready to go. 104 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:33,000 Speaker 1: They have the better coach, the better quarterback at this stage, 105 00:04:33,480 --> 00:04:36,080 Speaker 1: and I always lean that way. So it's three points, 106 00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:38,440 Speaker 1: it's about right. I think they can win by even 107 00:04:38,480 --> 00:04:40,720 Speaker 1: more than this. So give me the Chargers on the road. 108 00:04:40,800 --> 00:04:42,720 Speaker 1: The total I'm staying away from because that does feel 109 00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:44,600 Speaker 1: very much in the neighborhood of what this game could be. 110 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:47,520 Speaker 1: Andrew rickson your thoughts on the first Wildcard game at 111 00:04:47,520 --> 00:04:49,440 Speaker 1: four thirty Eastern time on Saturday. 112 00:04:49,480 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's going to take a lot more three points 113 00:04:51,240 --> 00:04:52,560 Speaker 2: to get me on the Texans side. 114 00:04:53,680 --> 00:04:55,159 Speaker 3: That's kind of the way I look at I mean'd 115 00:04:55,240 --> 00:04:55,800 Speaker 3: have to be lee. 116 00:04:55,920 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 2: I mean four and a half points maybe, But when 117 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:00,000 Speaker 2: you're looking at, okay, what team could get to sh 118 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:01,840 Speaker 2: destroyed this week? I know that there's a couple of 119 00:05:01,839 --> 00:05:05,760 Speaker 2: bigger spreads north of a touchdown. Why isn't it this matchup? Like, 120 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:08,120 Speaker 2: why can't we just expect the Chargers to just steamroll 121 00:05:08,440 --> 00:05:10,640 Speaker 2: the Houston Texans, who have been one of the most 122 00:05:10,640 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 2: overrated teams all year long. Yes, they locked up the division, 123 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:17,400 Speaker 2: but they won the AFC South, not the best division 124 00:05:17,400 --> 00:05:20,440 Speaker 2: in football by any means. So I think that back 125 00:05:20,440 --> 00:05:22,560 Speaker 2: in the Charge here is the sharp play at three. 126 00:05:22,800 --> 00:05:26,440 Speaker 2: I like that, and you know what point, what part 127 00:05:26,440 --> 00:05:28,560 Speaker 2: of the Texans is there an advantage? You kind of 128 00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:31,280 Speaker 2: pointed it out. The coaching staff is better, the quarterback 129 00:05:31,320 --> 00:05:34,240 Speaker 2: is better, and yeah they're on the road, but okay, 130 00:05:34,320 --> 00:05:36,320 Speaker 2: the Chargers play all their games on the road anyway. 131 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:37,279 Speaker 3: Because I don't know, I won't fail. 132 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:37,640 Speaker 4: Well. 133 00:05:37,680 --> 00:05:41,479 Speaker 1: Their strength is the edge rushing right well, Anderson, But 134 00:05:41,760 --> 00:05:44,880 Speaker 1: at the same time, that's also the strength of what 135 00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:46,960 Speaker 1: you've got here with Alton Slater. On the other side 136 00:05:46,960 --> 00:05:49,400 Speaker 1: here with the Chargers is you have some good tackles here, 137 00:05:49,440 --> 00:05:51,680 Speaker 1: So you know, when your strength match is one of 138 00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:55,640 Speaker 1: their strengths, it becomes a neutralizer and you're putting your 139 00:05:55,640 --> 00:05:58,680 Speaker 1: faith in on you know, CJ. Stroud to play better 140 00:05:58,720 --> 00:06:00,720 Speaker 1: than he's played and maybe this is just that's classic 141 00:06:00,800 --> 00:06:03,080 Speaker 1: sophomore slump again. I said at the beginning of the year, 142 00:06:03,120 --> 00:06:05,279 Speaker 1: I'm a little fraid of the Texans this year because 143 00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:07,800 Speaker 1: expectations are tough to play under. And you know, they 144 00:06:07,800 --> 00:06:09,960 Speaker 1: did make the playoffs, they won double digit games, all 145 00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:11,800 Speaker 1: that's still very respectable. But there's a lot of work 146 00:06:11,800 --> 00:06:13,880 Speaker 1: to be done on the offensive line, I think is 147 00:06:13,880 --> 00:06:16,000 Speaker 1: my concern. Too. When the comes of Houston, Texas. They 148 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:17,040 Speaker 1: have not played well this year. 149 00:06:17,200 --> 00:06:17,720 Speaker 3: No, they have not. 150 00:06:17,920 --> 00:06:20,560 Speaker 2: And it really comes down to to me, it wasn't 151 00:06:20,560 --> 00:06:23,280 Speaker 2: really the personnel as much as just the scheme. I 152 00:06:23,320 --> 00:06:25,360 Speaker 2: really think they took the They tried to play it safe. 153 00:06:25,360 --> 00:06:27,680 Speaker 2: They brought back slowic from last year, thinking that okay, 154 00:06:27,720 --> 00:06:29,440 Speaker 2: like this worked rookie year, like let's just do all 155 00:06:29,440 --> 00:06:31,120 Speaker 2: the same things again, and they did not evolve. I 156 00:06:31,160 --> 00:06:32,640 Speaker 2: think they just ran back to the exact same thing 157 00:06:32,640 --> 00:06:34,599 Speaker 2: they ran last year, hoping it would work again. But 158 00:06:34,640 --> 00:06:36,680 Speaker 2: then all the other teams adjusted and they didn't adjust. 159 00:06:36,720 --> 00:06:39,480 Speaker 2: They have failed to evolve so well. I'm interested to 160 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:41,240 Speaker 2: see what kind of moves they make in the offseason. 161 00:06:41,279 --> 00:06:43,880 Speaker 2: Do they get in the Tyreek Hill sweepstakes? Do they 162 00:06:43,880 --> 00:06:45,600 Speaker 2: bring that type of burner play again. They went and 163 00:06:45,640 --> 00:06:47,880 Speaker 2: got Stefon Diggs. They showed it interesting. Keenan Allen last 164 00:06:47,920 --> 00:06:49,960 Speaker 2: year tanked out. We don't know what his ability is 165 00:06:50,000 --> 00:06:52,039 Speaker 2: going to be, so I don't know. Maybe that's some 166 00:06:52,200 --> 00:06:54,200 Speaker 2: player that they look at as another addition to pair 167 00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:56,520 Speaker 2: with Nico Collins, because we don't know. Giggs was on 168 00:06:56,520 --> 00:06:58,400 Speaker 2: a one year deal and Tankdal's coming off An injury, 169 00:06:58,400 --> 00:06:59,800 Speaker 2: so again another player in this game. I do like 170 00:06:59,880 --> 00:07:02,520 Speaker 2: like under C. J. Stroud, Like this offense has not 171 00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:05,159 Speaker 2: been explosive, and if you do see the Texans defense 172 00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:07,479 Speaker 2: rising to the occasion, I mean forty three and a half, 173 00:07:07,520 --> 00:07:09,320 Speaker 2: Like that's still a good number. I feel pretty good 174 00:07:09,360 --> 00:07:12,720 Speaker 2: value on the underwear Texans games, especially at home. If 175 00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:14,480 Speaker 2: you're kind of trying to kind of play into that 176 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:16,680 Speaker 2: home field advantage. Maybe this game is a little bit 177 00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:19,760 Speaker 2: more lower scoring than we would anticipate, all. 178 00:07:19,720 --> 00:07:24,240 Speaker 1: Right, Battle of the North. Yet again, you have the 179 00:07:24,280 --> 00:07:26,680 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers going to Baltimore again, just like they did 180 00:07:26,720 --> 00:07:29,200 Speaker 1: a few weeks back. The number for this time here 181 00:07:29,240 --> 00:07:32,320 Speaker 1: Baltimore at home favored by nine and a half. Forty 182 00:07:32,320 --> 00:07:33,600 Speaker 1: five and a half is the total for this game 183 00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:35,840 Speaker 1: plus four hundred on the money line. The Pittsburgh Steelers 184 00:07:35,880 --> 00:07:38,320 Speaker 1: are limping into the playoffs. You're losing four straight. They 185 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:40,120 Speaker 1: lost to Philly, they lost to Baltimore and they got 186 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:42,480 Speaker 1: crushed in that game. They lost to Case, they lost 187 00:07:42,480 --> 00:07:46,040 Speaker 1: to the Bengals. They just keep losing football games everywhere. 188 00:07:46,360 --> 00:07:48,640 Speaker 1: And I gotta tell you, I think Lamar and I 189 00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 1: said it. You know, we got into a big you know, 190 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:54,640 Speaker 1: Huff there myself Interrell a couple weeks ago. I think 191 00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:56,040 Speaker 1: you were kind of on the Tourell side of that 192 00:07:56,040 --> 00:07:57,840 Speaker 1: one too. I was like, look, it's time for Lamar 193 00:07:57,920 --> 00:08:00,400 Speaker 1: Jackson to exercise the demons. It's time for him to 194 00:08:00,440 --> 00:08:02,560 Speaker 1: go out there and beat the Pittsburgh Steelers. Enough is enough, 195 00:08:02,800 --> 00:08:04,760 Speaker 1: And they did. They put an ass kicking on them, 196 00:08:05,120 --> 00:08:07,720 Speaker 1: and I feel like there's a big cyber relief. There's 197 00:08:07,720 --> 00:08:09,320 Speaker 1: a lot of conference here for the Baltimore Ravens. I 198 00:08:09,360 --> 00:08:12,160 Speaker 1: think Baltimore is a superior football team. The problems on 199 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:15,240 Speaker 1: offense have been exposed with the Pittsburgh Steelers. I don't 200 00:08:15,240 --> 00:08:18,600 Speaker 1: think they can write this ship. It's a big number, nonetheless, 201 00:08:18,720 --> 00:08:21,240 Speaker 1: and indivision opponents who are very familiar with each other. 202 00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:25,280 Speaker 1: But I'm still leaning towards the sign of the Ravens here, 203 00:08:25,360 --> 00:08:27,360 Speaker 1: even though it's nine and a half. Your thoughts on 204 00:08:27,440 --> 00:08:30,040 Speaker 1: this one as we get the third matchup this year 205 00:08:30,040 --> 00:08:30,720 Speaker 1: between these two. 206 00:08:30,640 --> 00:08:33,040 Speaker 2: Teams, Well, Joe, your classic guys, you didn't victory lap 207 00:08:33,040 --> 00:08:36,240 Speaker 2: over the Steelers loss to the Bengals, so good for you. 208 00:08:36,120 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 3: You were right about that. 209 00:08:37,360 --> 00:08:40,040 Speaker 1: Well, they did cover them, which is a little Well, 210 00:08:40,240 --> 00:08:41,240 Speaker 1: that was. 211 00:08:41,240 --> 00:08:44,960 Speaker 2: Very complicated because the line was kind of bop all around. 212 00:08:44,960 --> 00:08:47,120 Speaker 2: But I mean most people that said, well, why just 213 00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:49,440 Speaker 2: take Steelers money line, I mean that's the one. I mean, 214 00:08:49,480 --> 00:08:50,040 Speaker 2: that's why I was. 215 00:08:50,040 --> 00:08:52,120 Speaker 1: On And I'll tell you what, the Steeler should have 216 00:08:52,160 --> 00:08:54,440 Speaker 1: won that football game, not to like forget the end 217 00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:57,439 Speaker 1: of the game where that whatever, that two minute droliend 218 00:08:57,520 --> 00:09:01,040 Speaker 1: was embarrassing. My I guess all of you football teams 219 00:09:01,040 --> 00:09:02,800 Speaker 1: and tournament teams could do a better job of running 220 00:09:02,920 --> 00:09:06,480 Speaker 1: like two minute drills down the field. However, I was screaming. 221 00:09:06,559 --> 00:09:08,440 Speaker 1: I was like, how at fourth and one with forty 222 00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:11,560 Speaker 1: three seconds left in the first half in your own territory, 223 00:09:11,640 --> 00:09:14,040 Speaker 1: do you not I they came out to the line. 224 00:09:14,040 --> 00:09:15,440 Speaker 1: I thought they were trying to get him a jump. 225 00:09:15,640 --> 00:09:18,040 Speaker 1: They ran a play, Andrew, you don't have the kind 226 00:09:18,040 --> 00:09:20,480 Speaker 1: of offense that's gonna go in forty three seconds sixty 227 00:09:20,559 --> 00:09:23,480 Speaker 1: yards down the field with one time out. That's not 228 00:09:23,559 --> 00:09:25,640 Speaker 1: the kind offense you're running here, your defense playing well, 229 00:09:25,640 --> 00:09:27,400 Speaker 1: it's cool, don't give them an extra three points. And 230 00:09:27,440 --> 00:09:29,680 Speaker 1: guess what that extra three points was the difference in 231 00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:32,280 Speaker 1: that game. A terrible job by Mike Tomlin. And you 232 00:09:32,280 --> 00:09:33,959 Speaker 1: know what, and if they lose again here and get 233 00:09:33,960 --> 00:09:36,559 Speaker 1: their doors blowing off. I think the rumors begin a 234 00:09:36,600 --> 00:09:38,640 Speaker 1: little bit where people start to get a little frustrated 235 00:09:38,640 --> 00:09:41,559 Speaker 1: with the Mike Tomlin Pittsburgh's dealer decision making that's gone 236 00:09:41,559 --> 00:09:45,000 Speaker 1: on all season and the disappointing playoff performances that they've had. 237 00:09:45,040 --> 00:09:47,480 Speaker 1: I can't wait talk to Scott Bogmin about this later today. 238 00:09:47,600 --> 00:09:50,200 Speaker 2: I can tell you that, yeah, well to this game, specifically, 239 00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:53,040 Speaker 2: nine halves, too many points. I'm sorry this game again. 240 00:09:53,160 --> 00:09:56,000 Speaker 2: A couple weeks ago, this was at Baltimore. I think 241 00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:58,040 Speaker 2: it was Mike minus six at home, and now it's 242 00:09:58,040 --> 00:09:59,680 Speaker 2: just a next three and a half points. Even though 243 00:10:00,040 --> 00:10:02,800 Speaker 2: they have George Dickens back in the lineup right like, 244 00:10:02,880 --> 00:10:04,280 Speaker 2: he didn't even play. He didn't even play in the 245 00:10:04,360 --> 00:10:07,160 Speaker 2: last time. 246 00:10:05,880 --> 00:10:08,600 Speaker 3: I mean he basically didn't play. 247 00:10:08,880 --> 00:10:10,440 Speaker 2: Like you wouldn't have if you looked the box score 248 00:10:10,480 --> 00:10:12,920 Speaker 2: here said oh yeah, George mckens didn't play. He but 249 00:10:13,200 --> 00:10:16,440 Speaker 2: absolutely horrible. Could not catch a single pass thrown his way, 250 00:10:16,679 --> 00:10:18,320 Speaker 2: and those were catching. Those are balls that they have. 251 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:20,600 Speaker 2: He has to come down with for the Steelers to 252 00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:23,880 Speaker 2: win in staking contention. So for me, again, I'm still 253 00:10:23,880 --> 00:10:26,120 Speaker 2: taking the underdog and still taking Mike tom at nine 254 00:10:26,160 --> 00:10:28,640 Speaker 2: and a half points like this seems like it's pretty 255 00:10:28,679 --> 00:10:30,400 Speaker 2: I mean, yes, Ravens are probably gonna win, but I'm 256 00:10:30,400 --> 00:10:33,160 Speaker 2: gonna take the underdog here in this matchup that's historically 257 00:10:33,200 --> 00:10:35,400 Speaker 2: worked out in the past, obviously didn't work out the 258 00:10:35,440 --> 00:10:38,040 Speaker 2: last time. But also you have to consider Zay Flowers 259 00:10:38,080 --> 00:10:40,440 Speaker 2: isn't gonna play, so he's been a big factor. Again 260 00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:42,800 Speaker 2: talking about exercising the demons. You know who had the 261 00:10:42,800 --> 00:10:45,440 Speaker 2: biggest game receiving wise for the Ravens in that match 262 00:10:45,480 --> 00:10:47,559 Speaker 2: up against Steelers, It was a Flowers and he's not 263 00:10:47,559 --> 00:10:49,200 Speaker 2: gonna play in this game. Or Sean Bateman has done 264 00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:52,199 Speaker 2: nothing historically against the Pittsburgh Steelers, So you take out 265 00:10:52,200 --> 00:10:55,040 Speaker 2: one of those weapons, you do whatever you can just 266 00:10:55,080 --> 00:10:57,840 Speaker 2: to try to slow down Dereck Henry. Again easier said 267 00:10:57,880 --> 00:11:00,200 Speaker 2: than done, but taking Zay Flowers as the number one 268 00:11:00,200 --> 00:11:02,559 Speaker 2: wide receiver out of this offense, now they's cover nine 269 00:11:02,559 --> 00:11:04,040 Speaker 2: and a half points without their best receiver. 270 00:11:04,160 --> 00:11:05,080 Speaker 3: I think that's kind of tough. 271 00:11:05,080 --> 00:11:08,559 Speaker 2: So I like the Steelers getting catching nine and a 272 00:11:08,600 --> 00:11:10,559 Speaker 2: half and then easy playing the under forty six and 273 00:11:10,600 --> 00:11:13,520 Speaker 2: a half points for a Ravens Steelers game, No, thank you. 274 00:11:13,559 --> 00:11:14,400 Speaker 3: I'm taking the under. 275 00:11:15,200 --> 00:11:17,679 Speaker 1: Now. It's not official say Flowers is out yet. 276 00:11:17,760 --> 00:11:19,800 Speaker 3: He's labeled day to day. I don't think he's gonna. 277 00:11:19,559 --> 00:11:23,080 Speaker 1: Play, probably unlikely, but it is the playoffs and it 278 00:11:23,160 --> 00:11:26,280 Speaker 1: is Pittsburgh. So just saying, folks, all right, let's move 279 00:11:26,280 --> 00:11:28,800 Speaker 1: on to Sunday here Denver and Buffalo. This one's gonna 280 00:11:28,800 --> 00:11:31,320 Speaker 1: be in Buffalo. Thirteen wins for the Bills. They are 281 00:11:31,400 --> 00:11:33,480 Speaker 1: minus eight and a half. They are at home against 282 00:11:33,480 --> 00:11:35,560 Speaker 1: the Broncos. Forty seven and a half is the number, 283 00:11:35,600 --> 00:11:37,880 Speaker 1: and plus three sixty on the money line for the 284 00:11:37,920 --> 00:11:40,679 Speaker 1: Denver Broncos. Now here's what I'll say about this one. 285 00:11:40,920 --> 00:11:45,240 Speaker 1: Denver Broncos play defense, defense, travels. That's a good thing. 286 00:11:46,240 --> 00:11:49,280 Speaker 1: Chickan's a great player, all that, right, So I think 287 00:11:49,320 --> 00:11:53,800 Speaker 1: what we're trying to understand here is what we're going 288 00:11:53,840 --> 00:11:59,520 Speaker 1: to get. After a huge beatdown of the Chiefs right 289 00:11:59,600 --> 00:12:03,280 Speaker 1: where they weren't playing anybody, and I know Denver came 290 00:12:03,320 --> 00:12:05,160 Speaker 1: out there and was like, Hey, we're gonna come out there, 291 00:12:05,160 --> 00:12:07,120 Speaker 1: we're gonna crush life and we're gonna be awesome. And 292 00:12:07,160 --> 00:12:09,920 Speaker 1: they were wearing the cool orange crush uniforms and it 293 00:12:09,920 --> 00:12:11,960 Speaker 1: was a big throwback. It was a good time and 294 00:12:12,000 --> 00:12:14,720 Speaker 1: they did. They dominated that game. But I think that's 295 00:12:14,720 --> 00:12:17,679 Speaker 1: going to give people maybe a false equivalency. I think 296 00:12:17,679 --> 00:12:19,640 Speaker 1: the Bills are a different class of football team still 297 00:12:19,679 --> 00:12:21,800 Speaker 1: than the Denver Broncos. And I'm giving the Denver Broncos 298 00:12:21,840 --> 00:12:23,319 Speaker 1: a lot of credit. They had a great season, a 299 00:12:23,400 --> 00:12:27,440 Speaker 1: terrific season, but again, big number. Can they cover the 300 00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:29,760 Speaker 1: eight and a half? I think that they can. But 301 00:12:29,840 --> 00:12:31,480 Speaker 1: I think a lot of people are going to be 302 00:12:31,559 --> 00:12:34,960 Speaker 1: really itching on this Denver Bronco line, and I think 303 00:12:34,960 --> 00:12:37,439 Speaker 1: it might actually shrink as the week goes on. This 304 00:12:37,480 --> 00:12:38,800 Speaker 1: is one of the lines I actually want to bet. 305 00:12:38,800 --> 00:12:40,520 Speaker 1: If you want the Broncos, I want to take them 306 00:12:40,520 --> 00:12:42,640 Speaker 1: now when it's eight and a half, because I think 307 00:12:42,679 --> 00:12:44,520 Speaker 1: this one could get down to eight or even seven 308 00:12:44,520 --> 00:12:47,640 Speaker 1: and a half as people start talking themselves into everything 309 00:12:47,640 --> 00:12:50,840 Speaker 1: the Denver Broncos have done and the Buffalo Bills historically 310 00:12:50,960 --> 00:12:51,959 Speaker 1: choking in big moments. 311 00:12:52,120 --> 00:12:53,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, I would try to erase anything you saw from 312 00:12:53,960 --> 00:12:56,600 Speaker 2: the Broncos last week from your memory because it doesn't 313 00:12:56,640 --> 00:12:59,320 Speaker 2: and the Bills too, Yes, because it does not matter whatsoever. 314 00:12:59,360 --> 00:13:01,880 Speaker 2: Like there were two where Bills were not trying to play. 315 00:13:02,480 --> 00:13:04,400 Speaker 2: They were out there basically trying to run the ball 316 00:13:04,480 --> 00:13:06,600 Speaker 2: and run down every second of the play clock on 317 00:13:06,640 --> 00:13:09,880 Speaker 2: every single play of that game against the Patriots. And yeah, 318 00:13:09,880 --> 00:13:11,960 Speaker 2: the Broncos. I mean, how many plays did the Chiefs run? 319 00:13:12,120 --> 00:13:14,800 Speaker 2: It was like something absolutely ridiculous. And so the Chiefs, 320 00:13:14,840 --> 00:13:17,079 Speaker 2: we're starting all their B teams. So yes, of course 321 00:13:17,320 --> 00:13:19,839 Speaker 2: it's not a super super surprised that the Broncos went 322 00:13:19,840 --> 00:13:22,160 Speaker 2: out and was able to steamroll a team that wasn't 323 00:13:22,200 --> 00:13:24,280 Speaker 2: really trying to do anything. So I would try not 324 00:13:24,320 --> 00:13:27,240 Speaker 2: to over evaluate that. So I also like the bill 325 00:13:27,360 --> 00:13:29,600 Speaker 2: side here, and when you just look at what has 326 00:13:29,640 --> 00:13:32,720 Speaker 2: worked betting wise with the Denver Broncos when they've been favorites, 327 00:13:33,000 --> 00:13:35,600 Speaker 2: they've always covered the spread every single game they've been favorites, 328 00:13:35,640 --> 00:13:37,319 Speaker 2: So the market has been on with them. Hey, when 329 00:13:37,320 --> 00:13:40,240 Speaker 2: this team is facing an inferior opponent, they cover. But 330 00:13:40,400 --> 00:13:41,840 Speaker 2: the games that they have failed to cover and have 331 00:13:41,920 --> 00:13:44,840 Speaker 2: lost have been when they've been underdogs. So even though 332 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:46,760 Speaker 2: overall in the year they have been good against the spread, 333 00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:50,320 Speaker 2: potential for a letdown here going on the road to 334 00:13:50,320 --> 00:13:53,400 Speaker 2: play against a rested Buffalo Gay never didn't rest their guys, 335 00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:55,600 Speaker 2: right like Buffalo did rest their guys, so they're going 336 00:13:55,640 --> 00:13:57,920 Speaker 2: to be rocking and rolling ready to go as they 337 00:13:57,960 --> 00:14:00,480 Speaker 2: try to make this playoff run. So the Bills here, 338 00:14:00,480 --> 00:14:02,480 Speaker 2: but like your analysis kind of like, hey, like, let's 339 00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:03,079 Speaker 2: wait a little bit. 340 00:14:03,080 --> 00:14:04,840 Speaker 1: If you like Denver, this is the time, because I 341 00:14:04,920 --> 00:14:06,920 Speaker 1: just I think people are gonna start talking themselves into 342 00:14:06,960 --> 00:14:09,640 Speaker 1: Denver all week. So we just keep an eye on 343 00:14:09,640 --> 00:14:11,480 Speaker 1: this one. Set your line alerts on the betting Pros app. 344 00:14:11,480 --> 00:14:13,559 Speaker 1: Download the app plud use the line alerts. This is 345 00:14:13,600 --> 00:14:17,120 Speaker 1: one to watch, you know, and if you like on conversely, 346 00:14:17,120 --> 00:14:20,360 Speaker 1: if you like Buffalo, wait, I think that's my opinion 347 00:14:20,400 --> 00:14:22,280 Speaker 1: on this one. Right now. Let's go to the next 348 00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:26,400 Speaker 1: one here, four thirty Eastern on Sunday afternoon, green Bay 349 00:14:26,480 --> 00:14:28,920 Speaker 1: heads to Philadelphia. Five and a half is the number here. 350 00:14:28,960 --> 00:14:30,960 Speaker 1: The Philadelphia Eagles are the favorite. Forty five and a 351 00:14:31,000 --> 00:14:32,880 Speaker 1: half is the total plus two a five in the 352 00:14:32,920 --> 00:14:36,000 Speaker 1: money line for the green Bay Packers. I think the 353 00:14:36,040 --> 00:14:38,840 Speaker 1: Eagles put an ass kicking on the green Bay Packers. 354 00:14:38,880 --> 00:14:41,320 Speaker 1: And it's not just because of what I saw this 355 00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:44,240 Speaker 1: past weekend out of the Packers. It's because, once again, 356 00:14:44,240 --> 00:14:46,840 Speaker 1: I think we're talking about different classes of team. I 357 00:14:46,880 --> 00:14:49,400 Speaker 1: think the Eagles are in a different universe here. Defensively, 358 00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:53,000 Speaker 1: I think that you know, you had Dobbs out last week. 359 00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:57,480 Speaker 1: Christian Watson's never healthy. I just I don't know. I 360 00:14:57,560 --> 00:14:59,120 Speaker 1: look at this right now, and Jordan Love's had a 361 00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:02,000 Speaker 1: good season, the Packers had a good season, tough division, 362 00:15:02,120 --> 00:15:04,400 Speaker 1: all that stuff. I don't think this is a team 363 00:15:04,400 --> 00:15:06,160 Speaker 1: that go on the road and beat the Eagles. I 364 00:15:06,240 --> 00:15:07,600 Speaker 1: just don't see it. And the Eagles are going to 365 00:15:07,640 --> 00:15:09,360 Speaker 1: be rested, ready to go Jay when Hurtz will be 366 00:15:09,400 --> 00:15:11,920 Speaker 1: back and five and a half. Honestly, I don't think 367 00:15:11,920 --> 00:15:13,680 Speaker 1: it's enough. So I want to jump on this one 368 00:15:13,720 --> 00:15:14,000 Speaker 1: right now. 369 00:15:14,040 --> 00:15:15,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, this one has moved a lot. 370 00:15:15,200 --> 00:15:17,920 Speaker 2: Actually, I think this like started at like Eagles three 371 00:15:17,920 --> 00:15:20,360 Speaker 2: and a half, and you're seeing money pouring on Philadelphia, 372 00:15:20,440 --> 00:15:22,640 Speaker 2: which I don't think is wrong. Because Jordan Love his 373 00:15:23,080 --> 00:15:24,760 Speaker 2: hand is banged up, Chris, Christian Watson is not going 374 00:15:24,800 --> 00:15:26,520 Speaker 2: to play because he's hurt again, Like you said, so 375 00:15:26,560 --> 00:15:29,119 Speaker 2: even though they say Jordan Love's gonna play, the Handager's 376 00:15:29,160 --> 00:15:32,040 Speaker 2: not like overly concerning. They've lost every good team they 377 00:15:32,080 --> 00:15:35,040 Speaker 2: played this year. Again, those have been the Vikings, the Lions, 378 00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:37,080 Speaker 2: the Eagles that they lost to in Week one. Now, 379 00:15:37,200 --> 00:15:38,720 Speaker 2: you can't really take a lot away from that specific 380 00:15:38,760 --> 00:15:40,680 Speaker 2: game because it was in Brazil in a very weird game. 381 00:15:41,200 --> 00:15:46,080 Speaker 2: But the fact of the matter is, right, the Packers 382 00:15:46,120 --> 00:15:49,080 Speaker 2: are one blockfield goal or one field goal away from 383 00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:52,440 Speaker 2: being zero to six in their division, right, they should 384 00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:54,120 Speaker 2: have lost to the Bears, and it did lose to 385 00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:56,080 Speaker 2: the Bears on the field goal to end the season. Now, 386 00:15:56,200 --> 00:15:58,080 Speaker 2: Love didn't play in the second half because he was hurt. 387 00:15:58,080 --> 00:16:01,160 Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, there's just when when something is 388 00:16:01,200 --> 00:16:04,440 Speaker 2: glaring as owen six in your division pops up, that's 389 00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:07,640 Speaker 2: a red flag that, man, maybe this team isn't really 390 00:16:08,000 --> 00:16:09,080 Speaker 2: ready for prime time. 391 00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:11,720 Speaker 3: So I'm right there with you this year with the 392 00:16:11,880 --> 00:16:14,000 Speaker 3: with the Eagles. 393 00:16:13,400 --> 00:16:16,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, not this year. All right, let's get to Sunday night, 394 00:16:16,480 --> 00:16:19,040 Speaker 1: which should be a really entertaining game. If you love football, 395 00:16:19,480 --> 00:16:22,480 Speaker 1: this should be your game. We had Tampa at home 396 00:16:22,680 --> 00:16:26,720 Speaker 1: minus three against the Washington Commanders. Jayden Daniels rookie. I mean, 397 00:16:26,760 --> 00:16:29,160 Speaker 1: it's great we have two rookie quarterbacks taking teams to 398 00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:31,000 Speaker 1: the playoffs. That's tremendous And of course it's going to 399 00:16:31,040 --> 00:16:33,600 Speaker 1: set the bar way too high for the incoming rookies 400 00:16:33,800 --> 00:16:36,080 Speaker 1: twenty thirty five who I do not think are going 401 00:16:36,120 --> 00:16:38,840 Speaker 1: to take the Browns with the Titans to the playoffs. 402 00:16:39,240 --> 00:16:42,040 Speaker 1: Just putting that out there into the ether. But I 403 00:16:42,080 --> 00:16:44,360 Speaker 1: really like Baker Mayfield in this game, and I think 404 00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:47,480 Speaker 1: a lot of people are going to once again just 405 00:16:47,520 --> 00:16:49,520 Speaker 1: fall in love with the Jade Daniels story. And it's 406 00:16:49,560 --> 00:16:52,680 Speaker 1: a great story. I love it. I want to tell 407 00:16:52,720 --> 00:16:55,240 Speaker 1: it to my kids before bed. I remember and you 408 00:16:55,320 --> 00:16:57,520 Speaker 1: tell your grandkids that Jayden Daniels is a rookie taking 409 00:16:57,560 --> 00:17:00,680 Speaker 1: the Washington Commanders to the playoffs. Kids, it was great times. 410 00:17:01,320 --> 00:17:05,560 Speaker 1: But Tampa at home. Baker Mayfield has been playing such 411 00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:08,679 Speaker 1: good football this year. You know, you see them as 412 00:17:08,720 --> 00:17:11,320 Speaker 1: a team that Mike ell in celebration when he gets 413 00:17:11,520 --> 00:17:14,080 Speaker 1: that record yesterday, right when he gets the thousand yards, 414 00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:17,120 Speaker 1: and that team celebration like they are a unit and 415 00:17:17,359 --> 00:17:19,520 Speaker 1: they nobody believed in him. Last year they were at home, 416 00:17:19,560 --> 00:17:21,640 Speaker 1: they beat the Eagles at home. This is a team 417 00:17:21,680 --> 00:17:24,720 Speaker 1: that is very dangerous. I think the Buccaneers will handle Washington. 418 00:17:25,560 --> 00:17:28,320 Speaker 1: Three is you know, looking at what you're getting, that's 419 00:17:28,400 --> 00:17:30,760 Speaker 1: that's your standard. Where Vegas is saying, hey, you know, 420 00:17:30,800 --> 00:17:32,280 Speaker 1: this could go either way. But I don't think again, 421 00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:35,439 Speaker 1: I think it's Tampa. I don't think Washington covers the 422 00:17:35,480 --> 00:17:37,240 Speaker 1: three fifteen and a half is the total, which is 423 00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:40,359 Speaker 1: the highest total we've got this weekend. So again, I 424 00:17:40,359 --> 00:17:42,040 Speaker 1: don't know where you stand on that plus one fifty 425 00:17:42,080 --> 00:17:43,439 Speaker 1: on the money line for Washington. I think a lot 426 00:17:43,440 --> 00:17:45,240 Speaker 1: of people are gonna like that. I don't. I like 427 00:17:45,280 --> 00:17:47,760 Speaker 1: Tampa in this one. I just think they are the 428 00:17:48,760 --> 00:17:51,399 Speaker 1: I think it's great Washington got in the playoffs. A 429 00:17:51,440 --> 00:17:54,560 Speaker 1: couple fixes with the defense, a couple you know, adding 430 00:17:54,560 --> 00:17:57,280 Speaker 1: a secondary wide receiver, possession guy. There are a couple 431 00:17:57,480 --> 00:18:00,840 Speaker 1: pieces away from being ready for the playoffs. They're in 432 00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:03,080 Speaker 1: the playoffs. There's a difference, and I think Tampa's ready 433 00:18:03,080 --> 00:18:05,240 Speaker 1: for them. That's my take on this game. What's yours? 434 00:18:05,480 --> 00:18:08,120 Speaker 2: So this is another rematch of Week one. If you remember, 435 00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:11,000 Speaker 2: so Joe, do you remember what the spread was in 436 00:18:11,040 --> 00:18:13,560 Speaker 2: that game? It was Tampa Bay against the Commander, So 437 00:18:13,560 --> 00:18:16,680 Speaker 2: again like rookie quarterback on the road, but also was 438 00:18:16,760 --> 00:18:18,480 Speaker 2: kind of like question marks about him. 439 00:18:18,560 --> 00:18:19,400 Speaker 3: So what was the spread? 440 00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:21,120 Speaker 1: Do you think five and a half five and a half? 441 00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:23,280 Speaker 3: It was three and a half Tampa Bay three. 442 00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:27,160 Speaker 1: And a half. That's ludicris. So ludicris. No, no credit 443 00:18:27,520 --> 00:18:30,000 Speaker 1: to a team that won their division last year at 444 00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:32,520 Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield, No credit at all, damnit. Very upsetting. 445 00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:34,640 Speaker 2: So I agree with you. I like Tampa Bay here 446 00:18:35,080 --> 00:18:37,719 Speaker 2: minus three. I think the line is sharp in the total. 447 00:18:37,960 --> 00:18:40,600 Speaker 2: I mean it's it's a big number. But I like 448 00:18:40,640 --> 00:18:42,560 Speaker 2: both of these offenses. And the thing with Tampa Bay 449 00:18:42,800 --> 00:18:46,280 Speaker 2: is I am concerned about their defense when it comes 450 00:18:46,320 --> 00:18:48,200 Speaker 2: to I mean, they just got shredded by the Panthers 451 00:18:48,359 --> 00:18:52,680 Speaker 2: and Bryce hung like like that, like. 452 00:18:52,600 --> 00:18:53,280 Speaker 3: That's not good. 453 00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:55,119 Speaker 2: And I mean the Saint excuse me, that was two 454 00:18:55,160 --> 00:18:56,800 Speaker 2: weeks ago, and then the Saints this week. I mean 455 00:18:56,800 --> 00:18:58,560 Speaker 2: the Saints offense was like moving the ball. I mean 456 00:18:58,760 --> 00:19:00,720 Speaker 2: there was they were getting scared, Like I'm looking up 457 00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:02,960 Speaker 2: at the scoreboard at Gily and like, why have the 458 00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:04,480 Speaker 2: Saints like winning by two touchdowns? 459 00:19:04,480 --> 00:19:08,119 Speaker 1: Like, well, that's a dangerous thing because Je Daniels has 460 00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:10,880 Speaker 1: twelve touchdowns in the fourth quarter or in overtime this year, 461 00:19:11,119 --> 00:19:13,040 Speaker 1: so in big spots, this guy has shown up time 462 00:19:13,080 --> 00:19:13,560 Speaker 1: and time again. 463 00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:13,880 Speaker 3: Yeah. 464 00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:17,080 Speaker 2: And the other thing, like the Buccaneers are playing in 465 00:19:17,520 --> 00:19:19,760 Speaker 2: their weight class and competitions going way up because last 466 00:19:19,760 --> 00:19:21,560 Speaker 2: two weeks they played the Panthers in the Saints like 467 00:19:21,640 --> 00:19:24,720 Speaker 2: two really bad teams. Baker Mayfields numbers have been bonkers. 468 00:19:24,880 --> 00:19:27,240 Speaker 2: They're playing the Commanders now. The thing with the Commanders 469 00:19:27,359 --> 00:19:29,320 Speaker 2: kind of similar to the Packers. They also haven't been 470 00:19:29,320 --> 00:19:31,560 Speaker 2: a team that's kind of shown up when you've had 471 00:19:31,560 --> 00:19:34,679 Speaker 2: to to face a heavier weight in weight class. So 472 00:19:35,040 --> 00:19:37,359 Speaker 2: I think maybe for me, the under actually might be 473 00:19:37,359 --> 00:19:39,000 Speaker 2: the play here at fifteen and a half points. It 474 00:19:39,080 --> 00:19:41,679 Speaker 2: is just because maybe this is a little again. These 475 00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:43,760 Speaker 2: are two teams have already played each other again Week 476 00:19:43,800 --> 00:19:46,320 Speaker 2: one a little bit different, but still it was Washington 477 00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:47,760 Speaker 2: on the road. I don't think the Commander's gonna be 478 00:19:47,800 --> 00:19:49,600 Speaker 2: faith You know, It's funny because Jaan Daniels is gonna 479 00:19:49,600 --> 00:19:51,280 Speaker 2: be going through the same exact motions. I've been in 480 00:19:51,320 --> 00:19:53,280 Speaker 2: this locker room before, but I was a rookie making 481 00:19:53,280 --> 00:19:56,200 Speaker 2: my first start, and now I'm reigning offensive Rookie of 482 00:19:56,280 --> 00:19:58,280 Speaker 2: the Year, going into the same place where I started 483 00:19:58,320 --> 00:19:59,800 Speaker 2: it all, and now I'm gonna go out and win 484 00:19:59,840 --> 00:20:01,480 Speaker 2: my I don't know, I kind of. 485 00:20:01,440 --> 00:20:03,280 Speaker 1: I think it's a full circle loss though. That's what 486 00:20:03,320 --> 00:20:06,440 Speaker 1: I do. I do. I just think, look, at the 487 00:20:06,520 --> 00:20:09,520 Speaker 1: end of the day, could this be the upset? Sure, 488 00:20:09,640 --> 00:20:12,000 Speaker 1: And I'm looking I'm looking hard. I'm looking hard for 489 00:20:12,040 --> 00:20:15,960 Speaker 1: the one and and I gotta be honest with. 490 00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:17,040 Speaker 3: You, it could be the next one. 491 00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:19,960 Speaker 1: I just don't don't if it's anyone. It's the next 492 00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:23,200 Speaker 1: game based on what we saw last night from Zamba 493 00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:27,280 Speaker 1: like and I don't. Well, it's getting I think, Look, 494 00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:30,480 Speaker 1: it's Chargers, it's Baltimore. I don't think Denver can really 495 00:20:30,480 --> 00:20:32,440 Speaker 1: be Buffalo. At the end of the day. I think 496 00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:34,359 Speaker 1: Philly's gonna stomp a mudd hole in every Really, I 497 00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:36,000 Speaker 1: think that's the one that's gonna get out of control. 498 00:20:37,520 --> 00:20:42,680 Speaker 1: Washington tight Tampa. Washington has the possibility the four outcomes there, 499 00:20:42,760 --> 00:20:45,040 Speaker 1: you know, Baker Mayfield struggles or the you know, the 500 00:20:45,040 --> 00:20:46,840 Speaker 1: defense of the sam Ba Buccaneers gives up too many 501 00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:49,040 Speaker 1: big plays. You can see it going that direction. If 502 00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:50,680 Speaker 1: this game was in Washington, I might feel a little 503 00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:52,960 Speaker 1: differently about it, to be honest with you. But the 504 00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:54,760 Speaker 1: fact that it's on the road and you gotta travel 505 00:20:54,800 --> 00:20:56,080 Speaker 1: and stuff like that, I think that's a little much. 506 00:20:56,119 --> 00:20:58,960 Speaker 1: But let's get into this next one here, because here 507 00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:03,160 Speaker 1: we go Mines, Los Angeles, Rams. Now I think people 508 00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:06,359 Speaker 1: are going to maybe put too much knock into last night, 509 00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:08,640 Speaker 1: but I want to put some I was right about 510 00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:10,280 Speaker 1: a lot of things this past week, but I was 511 00:21:10,280 --> 00:21:12,159 Speaker 1: dead wrong about the Vikings. I thought the Vikings were 512 00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:14,560 Speaker 1: going to show up. And the frustrating part is they 513 00:21:14,560 --> 00:21:17,240 Speaker 1: had their opportunities in the first half of that game 514 00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:22,399 Speaker 1: last night to really answer the bell, and Sam Donald 515 00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:24,480 Speaker 1: fell short. Sam Donald looked like the guy that we 516 00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:27,280 Speaker 1: had seen play for the Jets. He just was missing 517 00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:29,040 Speaker 1: guys left and right. I don't know if it was 518 00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:31,400 Speaker 1: just a bad night. Maybe I mean that happened sometimes. 519 00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:33,399 Speaker 1: I don't know if it was, you know, the stage 520 00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:35,040 Speaker 1: was getting too big and he got jumpy. I don't 521 00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:38,240 Speaker 1: know what that is. But I think the very in 522 00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:40,600 Speaker 1: vogue thing now is going to be everybody jumping on 523 00:21:40,640 --> 00:21:43,640 Speaker 1: the Rams this week. The ramsar rested everybody. They are 524 00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:46,720 Speaker 1: one and a half point underdogs at home. There is 525 00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:49,119 Speaker 1: no home field advantage there to make no mistake about that. 526 00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:51,159 Speaker 1: Forty seven and a half is the total plus one 527 00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:53,320 Speaker 1: oh five on the Rams on the money line, and 528 00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:54,600 Speaker 1: I think a lot of people are going to go 529 00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:57,040 Speaker 1: this route. You can get minus two on Minnesota. That's 530 00:21:57,040 --> 00:22:00,080 Speaker 1: the best number out there. Currently as recording this. So 531 00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:02,320 Speaker 1: what's your take on this game? I know you want 532 00:22:02,320 --> 00:22:04,760 Speaker 1: to pay attention to last night. I don't know if 533 00:22:04,800 --> 00:22:06,280 Speaker 1: you want to put all your eggs in that basket 534 00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:06,920 Speaker 1: at the same time. 535 00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:08,600 Speaker 2: I mean, if you're gonna pay attention to last night, 536 00:22:08,640 --> 00:22:10,479 Speaker 2: you should probably pay attention with the RAMS offices. Look 537 00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:12,919 Speaker 2: like like the last couple of times that they've played 538 00:22:13,119 --> 00:22:16,919 Speaker 2: all their guys and spoiler has looked good Joe, it 539 00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:17,879 Speaker 2: has not looked good. 540 00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:18,320 Speaker 3: For the Rams. 541 00:22:18,320 --> 00:22:20,120 Speaker 1: Copper Cup is dust yet? 542 00:22:20,200 --> 00:22:21,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, so I and. 543 00:22:21,560 --> 00:22:23,800 Speaker 1: I have not seen him show up in quite some time. 544 00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:25,959 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think one of the biggest edges you can 545 00:22:26,000 --> 00:22:28,639 Speaker 2: still get when it comes to trying to find value 546 00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:31,120 Speaker 2: with some of these lines is just fading recency bias. Right, 547 00:22:31,320 --> 00:22:33,080 Speaker 2: you know, if Sam Donald converts one or two of 548 00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:35,080 Speaker 2: those red zone possessions, it seems like they were always 549 00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:35,520 Speaker 2: in the red zone. 550 00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:37,200 Speaker 3: They just couldn't score. They couldn't scoreny touchdowns. 551 00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:38,920 Speaker 2: So again, it's that gonna happen two weeks in a 552 00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:41,159 Speaker 2: row where they're driving down the field and they're just 553 00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:43,160 Speaker 2: gonna get stalled out in the red zone every single time. 554 00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:45,439 Speaker 2: Like I don't think so. So I agree with you. 555 00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:46,840 Speaker 2: I think this is again a bad game for Sam 556 00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:49,040 Speaker 2: Donald again all the hype. Of course, the game does 557 00:22:49,160 --> 00:22:51,560 Speaker 2: live up to the total that was Bomkers at fifty 558 00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:53,040 Speaker 2: six and a half, which the under did cash. One 559 00:22:53,080 --> 00:22:54,480 Speaker 2: of my best bets. One of the few things I 560 00:22:54,520 --> 00:22:57,240 Speaker 2: did get right was the under on the lines and Vikings. 561 00:22:57,560 --> 00:23:00,679 Speaker 2: So I like the Vikings here again going back to 562 00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:03,679 Speaker 2: this is a rematch from earlier this season, the spread 563 00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:05,880 Speaker 2: was Vikings minus three on the road in the Rams. 564 00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:07,640 Speaker 2: So why is it minus wanting to have like, what's 565 00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:10,800 Speaker 2: what's changed? Because Sandno played bad last night? That that's 566 00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:13,240 Speaker 2: what's changed here. The Vikings are still the better team 567 00:23:13,560 --> 00:23:15,240 Speaker 2: up and down. The Rams still don't have home. 568 00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:19,600 Speaker 1: Game and the superior defensive team to out there like that. 569 00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:21,560 Speaker 1: That's the thing. And and I know things got out 570 00:23:21,560 --> 00:23:24,639 Speaker 1: of hand that second half. That game was you know, 571 00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:27,439 Speaker 1: it's funny. I had my feelings about the Vikings and 572 00:23:27,480 --> 00:23:30,200 Speaker 1: it felt right in that first half, like first quarter 573 00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:31,960 Speaker 1: especially because it was like, yeah, they are right there 574 00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:33,399 Speaker 1: with them. This is exactly what I thought it was 575 00:23:33,400 --> 00:23:34,680 Speaker 1: gonna be. I thought it was gonna be an under. 576 00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:36,480 Speaker 1: I thought it was going to be much you know, 577 00:23:36,600 --> 00:23:40,880 Speaker 1: chippier and they just there's momentums and games and moments 578 00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:43,119 Speaker 1: where when you're failing in the red zone, or you know, 579 00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:44,840 Speaker 1: they kept trying to go to Justin Jefferson and he 580 00:23:44,920 --> 00:23:47,000 Speaker 1: was open at times and he would overthrow them, or 581 00:23:47,040 --> 00:23:51,240 Speaker 1: you know, just you could sense like they they couldn't 582 00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:53,399 Speaker 1: recover for that. The mojo was going in the other direction. 583 00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:55,920 Speaker 1: And then Detroit, to their credit, took it and ran 584 00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:59,239 Speaker 1: with it. Literally, eremieer Gibbs just random long. But if 585 00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:02,159 Speaker 1: you're in game line and you're betting that game, you 586 00:24:02,280 --> 00:24:04,920 Speaker 1: had the sense that, even if you were on Minnesota 587 00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:07,080 Speaker 1: like I was, that there was not going to work 588 00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:09,520 Speaker 1: out for them. There's just nothing. You only get a 589 00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:13,320 Speaker 1: finite number of opportunities to cash in and they were 590 00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:15,679 Speaker 1: missing them. And when you miss those opportunities in the 591 00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:17,480 Speaker 1: red zone, they come back to haunt you. And just 592 00:24:17,480 --> 00:24:19,679 Speaker 1: ask the Pittsburgh Steelers, at these things go you give 593 00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:20,560 Speaker 1: up the ball. 594 00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:23,200 Speaker 2: I do think too that it's an interesting way to 595 00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:25,959 Speaker 2: the game. Last night was definitely a playoff atmosphere, right 596 00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:27,480 Speaker 2: The two teams kind of came out kind of tight. 597 00:24:27,520 --> 00:24:29,520 Speaker 2: It's like, man, we're really kind of trying to feel 598 00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:31,600 Speaker 2: things out, you know, Sam Donald's never played in a 599 00:24:31,600 --> 00:24:33,920 Speaker 2: playoff game before, right, Jared Goff has like for all 600 00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:36,400 Speaker 2: of like the criticism for Jared go played the suit 601 00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:39,960 Speaker 2: exactly so he know he but played it. He definitely 602 00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:42,840 Speaker 2: has that experience playing in the playoffs. So again, maybe 603 00:24:42,840 --> 00:24:45,199 Speaker 2: that's something I also overlooked with you know, looking at 604 00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:48,160 Speaker 2: the Vikings versus the Lions last night in a playoff atmosphere, Well, 605 00:24:48,520 --> 00:24:50,920 Speaker 2: you know, it's kind of lucky before the Vikings essentially 606 00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:53,200 Speaker 2: you know, quote unquote lost the playoff game against the Lines, 607 00:24:53,240 --> 00:24:55,560 Speaker 2: but now they get another chance in the actual playoffs. 608 00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:58,080 Speaker 2: So Darnald got the exposure to the playoff atmosphere, got 609 00:24:58,119 --> 00:25:01,639 Speaker 2: his toes wet all right, Now now it's winning go home, right, Like, 610 00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:03,719 Speaker 2: now we have to win these games and then go 611 00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:05,640 Speaker 2: face Detroit in two weeks, which would be. 612 00:25:05,640 --> 00:25:08,159 Speaker 3: A killer rematch. And I didn't know that. 613 00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:11,080 Speaker 2: What the the Vikings head coach said to Campbell's like 614 00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:15,080 Speaker 2: I seen two weeks, So see how shakes out. 615 00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:17,480 Speaker 1: And that's and that's what makes Kevin O'Connell a great coach, 616 00:25:17,520 --> 00:25:19,520 Speaker 1: because you can't live in this again, dwell on this 617 00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:22,640 Speaker 1: you go to La it's you're going on the road. 618 00:25:22,640 --> 00:25:24,280 Speaker 1: But you're not going in Look, you're not going into 619 00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:27,240 Speaker 1: weather not hostile and you're not not a hostile environment. 620 00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:30,119 Speaker 1: It's like you're going into Philadelphia. Philadelphia. Look, it's a 621 00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:31,840 Speaker 1: four thirty game. Those people are going to start drinking 622 00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:33,520 Speaker 1: at ten. A Ye, okay, I just I know what. 623 00:25:33,560 --> 00:25:36,480 Speaker 1: I lived in Philly for six years, love Philadelphia close 624 00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:40,960 Speaker 1: to my heart, my second city. But let me tell you, bro, 625 00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:44,800 Speaker 1: those people are gonna be ready. Los Angeles Rams, No, 626 00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:47,480 Speaker 1: this is not happening there. So we're going to continue 627 00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:49,920 Speaker 1: to break down these games, the props, everything all week long. 628 00:25:50,040 --> 00:25:52,960 Speaker 1: We've got live stream tomorrow with Perett Prault and myself. 629 00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:55,399 Speaker 1: We've got live stream with me and Erickson coming up 630 00:25:55,400 --> 00:25:57,919 Speaker 1: this week. So again ring the bell for notifications here 631 00:25:58,119 --> 00:26:00,119 Speaker 1: so you don't miss any of the live streams in 632 00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:02,160 Speaker 1: the afternoon. The next couple days, we're gonna break down 633 00:26:02,200 --> 00:26:04,600 Speaker 1: these games even further. I know Ericson's gonna be doing 634 00:26:04,600 --> 00:26:06,160 Speaker 1: work on the props there. We're gonna do the prop 635 00:26:06,240 --> 00:26:08,800 Speaker 1: show with wellsh on Friday. We're gonna get Terrell's take 636 00:26:08,840 --> 00:26:11,720 Speaker 1: on these games, final landing spots in some of these lines. 637 00:26:11,720 --> 00:26:13,760 Speaker 1: When we get to Thursday too, it's a great week 638 00:26:13,760 --> 00:26:15,840 Speaker 1: of football too. We got college content here, a betting 639 00:26:15,840 --> 00:26:18,639 Speaker 1: pros got everything going on. Don't forget to download the app, 640 00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:22,880 Speaker 1: use the tools, be smart about your betting. And I'm excited, 641 00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:25,560 Speaker 1: and you know, I keep looking for the upsets. I 642 00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:28,560 Speaker 1: don't know, man, it just feels like there's a bunch 643 00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:31,040 Speaker 1: of fun contenders out there, but none of them are ready. 644 00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:34,080 Speaker 1: Chalk week. I think it's a chalk week, I really do. 645 00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:36,679 Speaker 1: And I hate that. I hate it. I hate it. 646 00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:40,000 Speaker 1: I hate it, but it feels very chalky to me. 647 00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:42,199 Speaker 1: It just feels like the ones that are in the 648 00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:45,240 Speaker 1: teams that got in are either too green or just 649 00:26:45,440 --> 00:26:47,840 Speaker 1: not ready for prime time here with some of the 650 00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:50,240 Speaker 1: opponents that they have. And I just think we're talking 651 00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:54,240 Speaker 1: about different weight Classifighters Eagles are a different weight class, 652 00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:57,359 Speaker 1: the Ravens are a different weight class. That being said, 653 00:26:57,800 --> 00:26:59,439 Speaker 1: get ready, because I'm sure there'll be at least one 654 00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:01,600 Speaker 1: that go side, because that's just the nature of the beast. 655 00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:04,399 Speaker 1: But we'll see. I mean, it was a chalky baseball season. 656 00:27:04,440 --> 00:27:06,400 Speaker 1: We got Yankees Dodgers at the end of it, so 657 00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:10,520 Speaker 1: that made nobody happy, including me. But some years you 658 00:27:10,600 --> 00:27:12,640 Speaker 1: just get some chalky stuff. Going on the world to sports. 659 00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:15,720 Speaker 1: But either way, we're still gonna be breaking it down 660 00:27:15,760 --> 00:27:17,520 Speaker 1: for you here on Betting Pros. So stay with us 661 00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:20,040 Speaker 1: all week long and all month long as the NFL 662 00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:24,359 Speaker 1: playoffs continue to roll through January into February and the 663 00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:26,439 Speaker 1: Super Bowl. That'll do it for us, but the story 664 00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:28,879 Speaker 1: of the game goes on. For Andrew Erickson, I'm Joey p. 665 00:27:29,440 --> 00:27:30,760 Speaker 1: We'll see you next time. Kids. 666 00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:34,760 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 667 00:27:34,840 --> 00:27:37,199 Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 668 00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:40,600 Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 669 00:27:40,920 --> 00:27:43,520 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros, and 670 00:27:43,640 --> 00:27:47,280 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 671 00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:55,440 Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.