WEBVTT - Trump Kidnaps Venezuelan President Maduro

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<v Speaker 1>Al Zone Media, Welcome back to it could happen here,

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<v Speaker 1>a podcast about it happening well in various places, and

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<v Speaker 1>given the nature of our digital, interconnected society, it is

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<v Speaker 1>happening here all the time.

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<v Speaker 2>But if you're even casually aware of what's going on

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<v Speaker 2>in the world right now, it is particularly happening in

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<v Speaker 2>Venezuela right now. And joining me to talk about the

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<v Speaker 2>US led and executed kidnapping of a world leader is

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<v Speaker 2>my two favorite kidnappers, Mia Wong and James Stout.

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<v Speaker 3>Glad to be Hererobit, joining you to discuss kidnapping, one

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<v Speaker 3>of my favorite topics.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, my lawyers have advised me not to respond to

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<v Speaker 4>the statement.

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<v Speaker 2>Now, given all the people you both kidnapped, how are

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<v Speaker 2>you just rating this on a technical level as kidnappings go,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, on a level from let's say the while,

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<v Speaker 2>if I remember the name of that guy with the plane,

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<v Speaker 2>would have been a funnier joke. I forgot his name though, No, no, no,

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<v Speaker 2>he was on a plane, didn't have a plane.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, that's a reverse kidnapper. He kidnapped, He did on

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<v Speaker 4>kidnap himself, everyone on the plane.

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<v Speaker 2>I was talking about Lindberg. Charles Lindberg. But the jokes,

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<v Speaker 2>the joke's over. So let's talk about the international crimes

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<v Speaker 2>our government's doing. Ye did, did and doing.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm drinking a white claw, so I've got about the

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<v Speaker 3>same legal jurisdiction as they have because there is no

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<v Speaker 3>lawyeh when you're drinking white wall yeah, which I think

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<v Speaker 3>is the legal argument.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, yeah. So what happened is, while most of

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<v Speaker 2>us were asleep last Saturday night, the United States, using

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<v Speaker 2>a mix of special forces like Tier one operators this

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<v Speaker 2>was like adulta force operation, primarily a whole bunch of

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<v Speaker 2>helicopters that looked like a mix of Blackhawks and Chinooks,

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<v Speaker 2>carried out a series of airstrikes on Caracas and kidnapped

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<v Speaker 2>the president of Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, and his wife, killing

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<v Speaker 2>a significant chunk of their security detail, including thirty two

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<v Speaker 2>Cubans who are acting as essentially like military advisors slash

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<v Speaker 2>security for Maduro. Yeah, he has been taken back to

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<v Speaker 2>the United States. He's been arraigned in New York. They're

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<v Speaker 2>charging him with a variety of drug and gun related crimes,

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<v Speaker 2>including some weird shit like possession of a machine gun

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<v Speaker 2>under US law, which is really weird. I guess they're

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<v Speaker 2>arguing that his control of the Venezuelan military counted as

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<v Speaker 2>a legal possession of an automatic weapon. Yeah, it's weird.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, And guessing it involves using the machine gun in

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<v Speaker 3>the furtherance of another crime, because there are specific charges

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<v Speaker 3>for like NFA violations related to drug things. Sure, but

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<v Speaker 3>it still seems very weird to tag that on there.

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<v Speaker 3>Like when what you're doing is kidnapping a world leader,

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<v Speaker 3>you can't just also be like, oh, and he's got

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<v Speaker 3>a gun, like when he come on the forces of

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<v Speaker 3>a country. It's very strange, right.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>This also, I think pins into what's really really weird

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<v Speaker 4>about this. There's two aspects of this that are just

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<v Speaker 4>what the fuck. One of them is that the legal justification,

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<v Speaker 4>this is given to Mike Lee from Secretary of State

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<v Speaker 4>Marco Rubio, was that the reason that there were air

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<v Speaker 4>strikes in the legal justification was protecting US soldiers carrying.

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<v Speaker 2>Out the US law enforcement. The military was needed to

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<v Speaker 2>protect the DEA agents who are actually conducting the arrest, right,

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<v Speaker 2>is the legal justification.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, the chances of some kind of due process violation

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<v Speaker 3>are hot. This all hinges on you thinking that the

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<v Speaker 3>law is a fixed thing, right, not an instrument of

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<v Speaker 3>the state and an instrument of power. And I think

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<v Speaker 3>that a more plausible analysis here is that the law

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<v Speaker 3>is not a fixed thing. But like in this instance, right,

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<v Speaker 3>if we go with that line, like the DA people

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<v Speaker 3>were there to ensure you process and to make the

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<v Speaker 3>arrest right and in theory I've read that they literally

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<v Speaker 3>had someone mirandize him, right.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, which, okay, I want to I do want to

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<v Speaker 4>put seth the thing curetaux. And this is something that CNN,

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<v Speaker 4>like when they were reporting on this point. So this

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<v Speaker 4>is insane because this implies that US law applies in Venezuela.

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<v Speaker 2>Right, which it doesn't.

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<v Speaker 3>Absolutely does.

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<v Speaker 4>That's literally the point. The point of a state is

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<v Speaker 4>that your law applies inside of your board.

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<v Speaker 2>The argument that they are making because Trump directly and

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<v Speaker 2>and prior to this had called into relevance the Monroe doctrine, right,

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<v Speaker 2>which is basically stating that everything happening in the Americas

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<v Speaker 2>is the purview of the United States. So this was

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<v Speaker 2>initially uh and they're still arguing that it is kind

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<v Speaker 2>of a a what President Monroe was using as an

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<v Speaker 2>excuse for intervening in situations where foreign colonizers were attempting

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<v Speaker 2>to exert power and colonies they own owned in the

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<v Speaker 2>Americas or had owned in the Americas, right, And the

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<v Speaker 2>US is basically saying, fuck you, this is our backyard. Right.

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<v Speaker 2>And I think the the argument that they're making now

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<v Speaker 2>is that that's relevant because Iran and Russia and Cuba

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<v Speaker 2>all have political and business interests in Venezuela, particularly Cuba.

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<v Speaker 2>But in a more broad sense, they're making the argument,

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<v Speaker 2>and Stephen Miller has made this very directly, that the

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<v Speaker 2>Americas are all kind of our property and we're perfectly

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<v Speaker 2>justified in intervening to take resources that we want because

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<v Speaker 2>we shouldn't have to just accept that a foreign country

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<v Speaker 2>has different opinions on how those resources should be used

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<v Speaker 2>in the United States, and that we have no moral

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<v Speaker 2>responsibility to listen to what other people want in our hemisphere.

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<v Speaker 2>It's our hemisphere, and we, meaning the Trump administration, should

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<v Speaker 2>do whatever we want.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, And I think there's two kinds of legal effective

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<v Speaker 4>here things that are important.

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<v Speaker 2>One.

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<v Speaker 4>I think there's that one, which is, yeah, the American

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<v Speaker 4>Empire is just saying we are an empire and we

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<v Speaker 4>could do whatever we want. But then there's also the

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<v Speaker 4>does the president have the power to do this unilaterally

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<v Speaker 4>piece of it, which no, he no, like just does

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<v Speaker 4>not like this. This is objectively an act of war,

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<v Speaker 4>right and previously right, A lot of administrations have done

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<v Speaker 4>things kind of like this, yeah, right, but like everything

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<v Speaker 4>has been under the fig leaf of the AUMF, right,

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<v Speaker 4>the two thousand and one Authorization of Use a Military Force,

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<v Speaker 4>which if you go back and read the document, the

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<v Speaker 4>actual like AUMF, it's very clear that it's anyone who's

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<v Speaker 4>related to nine to eleven. Yeah, yeah, and so this

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<v Speaker 4>has been used to do interventions in like places. There

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<v Speaker 4>are things that have nothing to do with this, right,

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<v Speaker 4>But this is not even that. This is just the

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<v Speaker 4>president claiming that he can do acts of war.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, And I guess the justification that they gave was

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<v Speaker 3>the example they cited was Nat Diego right in eighty

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<v Speaker 3>nine Panama, Right, But that was that was a war

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<v Speaker 3>that was operation, like American soldiers died, right. No, Diego

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<v Speaker 3>went to the Vatican embassy and eventually, I believe you

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<v Speaker 3>surrounded him. They've like blasted you two him, which is

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<v Speaker 3>obviously a war crime. And he eventually left the embassy

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<v Speaker 3>around negotiated his exit, I guess, but that's a completely

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<v Speaker 3>different thing to just bouncing into the residence of the

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<v Speaker 3>president of another country at night black backg.

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<v Speaker 2>Like that's also debatably legal, But yes, it was a

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<v Speaker 2>different Yeah.

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<v Speaker 3>Very very much. Yeah, it's also wrong, like.

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<v Speaker 2>We're not defending what was done there. I know, this

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<v Speaker 2>is even more blatant, right, It's like, it's not defending

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<v Speaker 2>what George W. Bush did in Iraq to be like,

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<v Speaker 2>at least they bothered to pretend there was a justificate,

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<v Speaker 2>Like they spent some time really cooking up a justification

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<v Speaker 2>and some effort, and there's none of that here. They

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<v Speaker 2>just don't give a shit anymore. Right. That's that you're

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<v Speaker 2>not being like an means it was okay with Bush. It,

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<v Speaker 2>you're just pointing out it's even more mask off now, right.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, and I think it is different in that, like

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<v Speaker 4>the invasion of a rock involved Congress, this is just

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<v Speaker 4>Trump going I can do this, right, And that's really

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<v Speaker 4>fucking alarming. Yeah that he just is like, yeah, fuck it,

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<v Speaker 4>I can just do a war now completely by myself.

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<v Speaker 4>None of you have any fucking power war for me.

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<v Speaker 4>I can just declare war a thing that is explicitly

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<v Speaker 4>in the Constitution, like supposed to be Congress's job. And

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<v Speaker 4>I think that's really that's another very allowering part of this,

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<v Speaker 4>because this is I think, by far the most just Trump,

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<v Speaker 4>pure dictatorshit that we've seen so far, and it's not

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<v Speaker 4>being treated like that. Yeah, because a lot of sort

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<v Speaker 4>of like I don't know that there's a lot of

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<v Speaker 4>people who wanted this something like this to happen, and

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<v Speaker 4>so they're kind of just not looking at the fact

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<v Speaker 4>that this is just this is just pure dictatorship shit.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah. I think a lot of people, because they didn't

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<v Speaker 3>like Maduro, they're waiting to look aside from the means

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<v Speaker 3>as long as they get the ends they want. But

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<v Speaker 3>the means are extremely serious here.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and I think we should acknowledge, like stop for

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<v Speaker 2>a second to talk about the Maduro of it all,

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<v Speaker 2>because my stance is that his legitimacy as president, his

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<v Speaker 2>personal legitimacy, whether or not he's committed crimes are all

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<v Speaker 2>completely irrelevant. Right. I have not, in any of my

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<v Speaker 2>public facing statements I've been in the past years ago,

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<v Speaker 2>talked about how I wish the protests had worked to

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<v Speaker 2>remove him from office within sort of like the context

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<v Speaker 2>of Venezuelan's actually having their way, kicking him out and

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<v Speaker 2>replacing him with something better. But I have not brought

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<v Speaker 2>up any of that in the context of what's happened

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<v Speaker 2>recently because it doesn't matter, right, Like, fundamentally, it doesn't

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<v Speaker 2>matter if Maduro is like completely legitimately elected and the

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<v Speaker 2>people's hero or a complete fraud and an authoritarian. That

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<v Speaker 2>has nothing to do with whether or not the US

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<v Speaker 2>has any illegal or moral justification for coming in arresting

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<v Speaker 2>this guy and then saying we own the country and

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<v Speaker 2>we don't. It's dictator shit, it's fascist, it's deeply wrong,

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<v Speaker 2>it's bad. Like, there's nothing else to say if you

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<v Speaker 2>find anyone getting caught in starting to be like, well,

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<v Speaker 2>but you know, Maduro did this, Maduro did that. That

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<v Speaker 2>is either a person who is acting in bad faith

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<v Speaker 2>or a person who has themselves been tricked, right, because

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<v Speaker 2>you don't need to discuss any of that. None of

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<v Speaker 2>that is relevant to what we're talking about here, which

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<v Speaker 2>is that the US, like this is a violation of

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<v Speaker 2>international law and all of the kinds of norms that

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<v Speaker 2>we attempted to put in place after World War two

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<v Speaker 2>to stop another catastrophe like that from happening, and it

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<v Speaker 2>is only going to embolden the worst instincts of both

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<v Speaker 2>the people running the United States right now. They will

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<v Speaker 2>continue to try to do shit like this, and it's

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<v Speaker 2>going to embolden the worst instincts of other leaders around

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<v Speaker 2>the world. It is comprehensively bad for everyone.

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<v Speaker 4>The comprehensive result of this is again the US has

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<v Speaker 4>annexed I guess Venezuela that Trump is claiming that he

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<v Speaker 4>personally and his Secretary of State and his Council of

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<v Speaker 4>advisors are not like now, control and run a country.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>This is so evil.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and it's very unclear who's going to be doing

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<v Speaker 2>Because Trump made those that statement, Rubio walked it back

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<v Speaker 2>a little bit and said that, like, well, we'll be

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<v Speaker 2>working with the administration in place, which is, by the way,

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<v Speaker 2>just the same administration that existed before, merely with the

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<v Speaker 2>vice president taking on the role of president.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, we should talk about it a little bit.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah. After that backtracked a little bit too, to try

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<v Speaker 2>and be more in line with the Boss. But it's

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<v Speaker 2>very unclear what they actually intend and what they mean

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<v Speaker 2>by saying we're running it, because from what I've read,

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<v Speaker 2>it doesn't look like Rubio is actually going to be

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<v Speaker 2>mannered like while he's been the guy taking point on

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<v Speaker 2>justifying this, I don't think he's going to actually be

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<v Speaker 2>managed any of this on a day to day basis.

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<v Speaker 2>He's got a lot on his plate already. Stephen Miller

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<v Speaker 2>seems to be the guy who is trying to position

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<v Speaker 2>himself to actually be the Paul Brimmer in this situation.

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<v Speaker 2>Who was the guy that the Bush administration put in

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<v Speaker 2>charge of dealing with of like running a rack after

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<v Speaker 2>it was taken over.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, the viceroy.

0:12:20.000 --> 0:12:25.640
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And it's unclear what is Miller going to get

0:12:25.640 --> 0:12:29.640
<v Speaker 2>that job? Will Rubio wind up doing it. It's looking

0:12:29.679 --> 0:12:32.120
<v Speaker 2>more like Miller right now, But also to what extent

0:12:32.160 --> 0:12:36.080
<v Speaker 2>will that job actually be running things? And you know,

0:12:36.120 --> 0:12:38.080
<v Speaker 2>we'll talk about that in a little bit, I'm sure.

0:12:38.240 --> 0:12:42.280
<v Speaker 2>But the kind of cliffs notes of the situation is

0:12:42.320 --> 0:12:45.480
<v Speaker 2>that there is evidence that came out right after the

0:12:45.679 --> 0:12:50.360
<v Speaker 2>kidnapping that Baduro's vice president had reached out to the

0:12:50.520 --> 0:12:55.840
<v Speaker 2>United States previously, like before the kidnapping, to talk about

0:12:55.840 --> 0:12:59.959
<v Speaker 2>the possibility of taking over the country after giving madear

0:13:00.320 --> 0:13:03.559
<v Speaker 2>up or him having a managed exile all of that

0:13:03.640 --> 0:13:06.920
<v Speaker 2>was discussed, and at least per the reporting on it,

0:13:07.160 --> 0:13:10.559
<v Speaker 2>she was turned down by the United States because they

0:13:10.600 --> 0:13:14.600
<v Speaker 2>thought they had a better option, and that option seems

0:13:14.640 --> 0:13:18.959
<v Speaker 2>to have fallen through largely because the quote unquote democratically

0:13:18.960 --> 0:13:23.120
<v Speaker 2>elected opposition leader who won a Nobel prize pissed off Trump.

0:13:23.240 --> 0:13:25.800
<v Speaker 2>It's unclear how accurate that is that by you know,

0:13:25.960 --> 0:13:29.640
<v Speaker 2>by winning the prompt by accepting the Nobel prize, did

0:13:29.679 --> 0:13:32.480
<v Speaker 2>she get Eric kick herself out of the job. That's

0:13:32.480 --> 0:13:35.400
<v Speaker 2>what some reporting has suggested. It's unclear to me how

0:13:35.400 --> 0:13:39.560
<v Speaker 2>true that actually is. It seems possible, surely, But at

0:13:39.600 --> 0:13:41.560
<v Speaker 2>the end of the day, there was this offer made

0:13:41.640 --> 0:13:44.280
<v Speaker 2>by Maduro's VP that was turned down by the US.

0:13:44.440 --> 0:13:47.040
<v Speaker 2>And now it seems like, although we don't actually know

0:13:47.040 --> 0:13:50.400
<v Speaker 2>what's happened to the background, it seems like she's who

0:13:50.400 --> 0:13:53.040
<v Speaker 2>were working with. So either they came back and said,

0:13:53.080 --> 0:13:56.480
<v Speaker 2>you know, it will take the deal, or something else

0:13:56.559 --> 0:14:00.520
<v Speaker 2>is going on. But she has both made this statements

0:14:00.520 --> 0:14:03.840
<v Speaker 2>publicly that like, this is illegal, the United States is

0:14:03.920 --> 0:14:08.360
<v Speaker 2>run by a group of criminals and extremists, and also

0:14:08.440 --> 0:14:10.880
<v Speaker 2>but we'll work with them. So it does kind of

0:14:10.920 --> 0:14:13.080
<v Speaker 2>seem to me like she made in fact, be very

0:14:13.160 --> 0:14:15.760
<v Speaker 2>much in bed with the Trump administration and just trying

0:14:15.800 --> 0:14:20.200
<v Speaker 2>to like massage this for her public, you know, because

0:14:20.240 --> 0:14:23.000
<v Speaker 2>there's only so much you can get away with. I

0:14:23.000 --> 0:14:23.360
<v Speaker 2>don't know.

0:14:23.560 --> 0:14:26.520
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, just to be clear on the timeline, Robert, Yeah,

0:14:26.640 --> 0:14:30.520
<v Speaker 3>the first reporting of that, like Rodriguez option, we want

0:14:30.560 --> 0:14:33.320
<v Speaker 3>to call it that. Yeah, they call it as well,

0:14:33.760 --> 0:14:39.280
<v Speaker 3>was in October. That was out before the strike happened, right,

0:14:39.400 --> 0:14:42.960
<v Speaker 3>and at least in the Miami Herald story they suggested

0:14:43.000 --> 0:14:45.920
<v Speaker 3>that he had been part of that, so this could

0:14:45.960 --> 0:14:47.880
<v Speaker 3>be a different thing, but that he had offered to

0:14:47.880 --> 0:14:50.000
<v Speaker 3>step down over years, right.

0:14:50.560 --> 0:14:52.040
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so I say it looked like there was a

0:14:52.080 --> 0:14:54.160
<v Speaker 2>period of time where he was talking about like a

0:14:54.240 --> 0:14:56.240
<v Speaker 2>managed exit, Yeah.

0:14:56.360 --> 0:14:59.320
<v Speaker 3>Going to Kato or Turkey or something like that. Yeah,

0:14:59.520 --> 0:15:04.119
<v Speaker 3>now Rodriguez to Nina, But what would you expect Dlsea.

0:15:03.960 --> 0:15:07.240
<v Speaker 2>Rodriguez And yeah, it's unclear. Again, we don't really know.

0:15:07.920 --> 0:15:10.920
<v Speaker 2>Did they just remove Maduro without having a plan and

0:15:11.320 --> 0:15:13.840
<v Speaker 2>hadn't really finished talking with her or worked something out.

0:15:13.960 --> 0:15:15.960
<v Speaker 2>It was the last thing she heard from them, them

0:15:16.000 --> 0:15:18.360
<v Speaker 2>saying nah, we won't take this option, right, and then

0:15:18.400 --> 0:15:21.440
<v Speaker 2>Maduro gets kidnapped. Did they work out a separate deal?

0:15:21.480 --> 0:15:23.640
<v Speaker 2>That just hasn't been reported on. We actually don't know,

0:15:23.800 --> 0:15:27.520
<v Speaker 2>And I could totally see her being a stooge for

0:15:27.640 --> 0:15:31.280
<v Speaker 2>US action here because it keeps her in power and

0:15:31.320 --> 0:15:35.120
<v Speaker 2>it keeps her safe because Trump very recently threatened her,

0:15:35.600 --> 0:15:37.760
<v Speaker 2>like after she made statements calling his team a bunch

0:15:37.800 --> 0:15:40.440
<v Speaker 2>of extremists, she backpedaled and said, actually, if we're where,

0:15:40.560 --> 0:15:42.720
<v Speaker 2>we'll go in to work with the US, because Trump said,

0:15:42.760 --> 0:15:44.520
<v Speaker 2>I'll do something worse to you than I did to him. Like,

0:15:44.560 --> 0:15:49.000
<v Speaker 2>we don't know if they actually ironed out a set

0:15:49.000 --> 0:15:53.240
<v Speaker 2>of responsibilities and obligations in back channels, or if we

0:15:53.400 --> 0:15:55.640
<v Speaker 2>just removed Maduro and are like, all right, well, if

0:15:55.640 --> 0:15:57.280
<v Speaker 2>we have to kill her, we'll kill her too, Like

0:15:57.320 --> 0:15:59.240
<v Speaker 2>it's unclear what actually happened there.

0:15:59.680 --> 0:16:02.520
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, yeah, So we should also mention so this is

0:16:02.560 --> 0:16:06.080
<v Speaker 4>being recorded on the night of Monday, January fifth. You're right,

0:16:06.280 --> 0:16:10.200
<v Speaker 4>every kind of six or eight hours, new conflicting information

0:16:10.240 --> 0:16:12.920
<v Speaker 4>from the Truck Administration about what their plan is comes

0:16:12.920 --> 0:16:16.880
<v Speaker 4>out right, which which leads me to suspect they don't

0:16:16.920 --> 0:16:20.880
<v Speaker 4>have a plan at all, because it keeps changing every

0:16:20.920 --> 0:16:25.200
<v Speaker 4>couple of hours. So I don't know. But but in case,

0:16:25.240 --> 0:16:27.640
<v Speaker 4>by the time this comes out. There is some kind

0:16:27.680 --> 0:16:31.440
<v Speaker 4>of public deal that's been worked out. That's what's going on.

0:16:31.480 --> 0:16:33.360
<v Speaker 4>This is all changing extremely rapidly.

0:16:33.880 --> 0:16:37.920
<v Speaker 2>Yeah right, and you know what else changes rapidly, the

0:16:38.000 --> 0:16:41.640
<v Speaker 2>economics of podcasting. Yeah, here's some of that.

0:16:51.840 --> 0:16:53.960
<v Speaker 3>These white coats working fowl.

0:16:54.120 --> 0:16:57.440
<v Speaker 2>And we're back. James is drinking a bad white claw,

0:16:57.480 --> 0:17:00.680
<v Speaker 2>which is really I think the information our audience is

0:17:00.720 --> 0:17:04.440
<v Speaker 2>most interested in. You know, invasions of Venezuela come and go.

0:17:04.840 --> 0:17:08.000
<v Speaker 2>The US kidnaps people all the time. But James drinking

0:17:08.000 --> 0:17:11.280
<v Speaker 2>a bad white claw. Let's let's let's actually really check it. James,

0:17:11.560 --> 0:17:14.199
<v Speaker 2>what's the flavor you're you're experiencing right now?

0:17:14.240 --> 0:17:15.800
<v Speaker 3>Let me getting updated to that, bro. But that is

0:17:15.960 --> 0:17:16.920
<v Speaker 3>green apple?

0:17:17.240 --> 0:17:18.160
<v Speaker 2>Green apple?

0:17:18.520 --> 0:17:22.600
<v Speaker 3>M oh boy, Yeah, yeah, it's it's foul. I wouldn't

0:17:22.600 --> 0:17:24.400
<v Speaker 3>recommend it. You're in the.

0:17:24.320 --> 0:17:26.280
<v Speaker 2>Market, Yeah that sounds awful.

0:17:26.440 --> 0:17:27.480
<v Speaker 3>Don't do it to yourself.

0:17:28.400 --> 0:17:32.320
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's really the having Delta force kidnap you from

0:17:32.320 --> 0:17:33.520
<v Speaker 2>your house of beverage.

0:17:34.080 --> 0:17:37.320
<v Speaker 3>Yeah absolutely, Uh, that's how they market Actually sweet, that's

0:17:37.400 --> 0:17:40.280
<v Speaker 3>that's on the can right right. They must have got

0:17:40.440 --> 0:17:42.080
<v Speaker 3>advance warning, like the time.

0:17:42.640 --> 0:17:44.719
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, what did they know and when did they know it?

0:17:45.000 --> 0:17:51.080
<v Speaker 2>We'll never know, so let's keep talking about Venezuela. Yeah,

0:17:51.119 --> 0:17:52.800
<v Speaker 2>we should talk about who Rodriguezz.

0:17:52.920 --> 0:17:58.080
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, Soguez was vice president and now she is president

0:17:58.200 --> 0:18:00.240
<v Speaker 3>or will be sworny in its president. I believe she

0:18:00.280 --> 0:18:01.720
<v Speaker 3>may have already been sworn him by the time you

0:18:01.720 --> 0:18:02.000
<v Speaker 3>hear this.

0:18:02.440 --> 0:18:05.280
<v Speaker 2>She was sworn in I think like a couple hours ago.

0:18:05.359 --> 0:18:06.400
<v Speaker 2>For the last article I.

0:18:06.359 --> 0:18:09.680
<v Speaker 3>Read, So her father was a Marxist gorilla. Her father

0:18:09.760 --> 0:18:13.520
<v Speaker 3>kidnapped an American businessman, was arrested and then murdered, like

0:18:13.600 --> 0:18:16.240
<v Speaker 3>torture to death. Yeah, as part of the quote unquie

0:18:16.240 --> 0:18:19.120
<v Speaker 3>investigation into that. Right, her and her brother are kind

0:18:19.119 --> 0:18:23.600
<v Speaker 3>of like a power block in Venezuelan politic. She has

0:18:23.680 --> 0:18:27.119
<v Speaker 3>really become more relevant, I guess nationally since MyD Like,

0:18:27.240 --> 0:18:30.520
<v Speaker 3>she did do some stuff with Chaves early on, but

0:18:30.600 --> 0:18:34.320
<v Speaker 3>like clashed with him personally and I guess allegedly, I

0:18:34.400 --> 0:18:37.879
<v Speaker 3>mean I wasn't there, but Chaves didn't like that she

0:18:37.960 --> 0:18:40.680
<v Speaker 3>wasn't deferential to him, and at one point send her

0:18:40.680 --> 0:18:42.359
<v Speaker 3>home from I think they were in Russia and he

0:18:42.400 --> 0:18:44.879
<v Speaker 3>sent her home from a a sort of mission that

0:18:44.920 --> 0:18:48.560
<v Speaker 3>they were doing their diplomatic mission. Since then, she is

0:18:48.600 --> 0:18:52.040
<v Speaker 3>assuming a number of roles in Venezuelan government from since

0:18:52.080 --> 0:18:55.560
<v Speaker 3>twenty thirteen right when Mondora came to power, to include

0:18:55.640 --> 0:18:59.240
<v Speaker 3>overseeing intelligence at some time, and she has now become

0:18:59.480 --> 0:19:03.000
<v Speaker 3>obviously president. Right, she has previously worked with like the

0:19:03.080 --> 0:19:07.040
<v Speaker 3>Venezuelan I guess the analogy would be like Chamber of Commerce,

0:19:07.640 --> 0:19:10.439
<v Speaker 3>which had previously been seen by like Chubby small as

0:19:10.440 --> 0:19:12.800
<v Speaker 3>like a bourgeois enter di I either enemy. Right, she

0:19:12.840 --> 0:19:16.080
<v Speaker 3>has shown willingness to work with business, So I do

0:19:16.240 --> 0:19:20.080
<v Speaker 3>wonder if that factors into the US analysis that, like,

0:19:20.600 --> 0:19:22.800
<v Speaker 3>if she's willing to work with what it looks like

0:19:22.800 --> 0:19:24.840
<v Speaker 3>the oil companies that they want her to work with,

0:19:24.920 --> 0:19:27.560
<v Speaker 3>then then they can overlook a whole lot of other stuff, right,

0:19:27.640 --> 0:19:31.119
<v Speaker 3>which has historically been how the US has approached places

0:19:31.160 --> 0:19:33.960
<v Speaker 3>with oil. But Yeah, in terms of this, I think

0:19:33.960 --> 0:19:38.359
<v Speaker 3>that's probably the sort of TLDR on her career. And

0:19:38.400 --> 0:19:41.920
<v Speaker 3>I think it is possible that she's willing to do

0:19:42.040 --> 0:19:44.880
<v Speaker 3>some kind of chuvis more like you know whatever we're

0:19:44.920 --> 0:19:49.600
<v Speaker 3>going to call this and have us extractive capitalism exists

0:19:49.600 --> 0:19:53.320
<v Speaker 3>so long as the regime continues to exist. But the

0:19:53.440 --> 0:19:55.480
<v Speaker 3>way that would work is still something that like I

0:19:55.520 --> 0:19:59.320
<v Speaker 3>can't really get my head around for a regime which

0:19:59.320 --> 0:20:02.720
<v Speaker 3>has made so much of its rhetorical legitimacy for so

0:20:02.960 --> 0:20:05.520
<v Speaker 3>long attacking the United States.

0:20:05.680 --> 0:20:09.600
<v Speaker 2>Right right, Yeah, And that's kind of I mean, that

0:20:09.720 --> 0:20:13.359
<v Speaker 2>seems to be the quandary Delsea finds herself in is

0:20:14.119 --> 0:20:18.360
<v Speaker 2>she both has to refer to what's happened accurately as

0:20:18.480 --> 0:20:23.640
<v Speaker 2>kidnapping and the actions of an illegitimate and deeply corrupt regime.

0:20:24.280 --> 0:20:27.919
<v Speaker 2>And also she can't act that way if what we

0:20:28.000 --> 0:20:31.280
<v Speaker 2>all think is accurate and she's basically acting as a

0:20:31.440 --> 0:20:34.959
<v Speaker 2>negotiated buppet of the United States. She can only go

0:20:35.080 --> 0:20:38.840
<v Speaker 2>so far. And I feel like she's trapped in kind

0:20:38.840 --> 0:20:42.280
<v Speaker 2>of a doomed situation, which may be part of what

0:20:42.359 --> 0:20:47.240
<v Speaker 2>our administration intends is for her to be fundamentally doomed

0:20:47.400 --> 0:20:52.800
<v Speaker 2>and fail and get coued herself, or you know, we

0:20:52.960 --> 0:20:56.840
<v Speaker 2>can replace her when there's protests against legitimacy. Like, I

0:20:56.880 --> 0:20:59.800
<v Speaker 2>don't know what exactly the game is here, but I

0:20:59.800 --> 0:21:03.120
<v Speaker 2>think that maybe something that was baked into the equation

0:21:03.359 --> 0:21:07.440
<v Speaker 2>that like, this is not a functional situation for her,

0:21:08.000 --> 0:21:12.479
<v Speaker 2>and when she gets forced out, that's something we can

0:21:12.520 --> 0:21:13.320
<v Speaker 2>take advantage of.

0:21:14.280 --> 0:21:16.359
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's the reason of analysis, I think. I mean,

0:21:16.400 --> 0:21:19.720
<v Speaker 3>we yeah, we should talk about the oil, right because

0:21:19.760 --> 0:21:23.160
<v Speaker 3>Trump has been talking about the oil, right yeah, yeah, yeah,

0:21:23.200 --> 0:21:25.520
<v Speaker 3>oh yeah, yeah, I know you said you wanted to

0:21:25.520 --> 0:21:28.720
<v Speaker 3>mention stuff about like it's not what it might seem

0:21:28.760 --> 0:21:30.560
<v Speaker 3>on the face of it, right, There aren't giant lakes

0:21:30.600 --> 0:21:33.000
<v Speaker 3>of oil in Venezuela you can just slurp up and sell.

0:21:33.840 --> 0:21:34.439
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:21:34.480 --> 0:21:38.120
<v Speaker 4>So okay, it's sort of difficult to explain this all

0:21:38.160 --> 0:21:41.200
<v Speaker 4>without really getting into the weeds of like how oil

0:21:41.240 --> 0:21:45.760
<v Speaker 4>production works. But there's different like qualities of crude oil.

0:21:46.040 --> 0:21:50.560
<v Speaker 4>And most of the Venezuelan stuff is extremely sour. It's

0:21:50.960 --> 0:21:55.199
<v Speaker 4>really really shit. It's extremely low quality. And when you

0:21:55.240 --> 0:22:00.080
<v Speaker 4>have oil that's this shit, you can't like refine it

0:22:00.240 --> 0:22:03.159
<v Speaker 4>into being good, right like that that's just like not

0:22:03.200 --> 0:22:05.800
<v Speaker 4>how the process works. It just sucks and so it

0:22:05.840 --> 0:22:09.359
<v Speaker 4>burns badly. But there is a lot of it. And

0:22:10.240 --> 0:22:12.879
<v Speaker 4>this also gets back to Okay, so the way that

0:22:12.920 --> 0:22:15.040
<v Speaker 4>Trump thinks this is going to work is that a

0:22:15.040 --> 0:22:16.720
<v Speaker 4>bunch of oil companies are going to come in, They're

0:22:16.720 --> 0:22:19.120
<v Speaker 4>going to do a bunch of like infrastructure development or whatever.

0:22:19.160 --> 0:22:20.520
<v Speaker 4>They're going to sell the oil and they're going to

0:22:20.600 --> 0:22:23.840
<v Speaker 4>make one hundred billion dollars that's not really how this works,

0:22:24.440 --> 0:22:26.520
<v Speaker 4>as it is something that James has pointed out too.

0:22:26.600 --> 0:22:30.720
<v Speaker 4>But like, the actual value here is less from actually

0:22:30.800 --> 0:22:35.240
<v Speaker 4>extracting the oil and more from a having all of

0:22:35.240 --> 0:22:39.680
<v Speaker 4>these oil deposits on your balance sheet and B there's

0:22:39.760 --> 0:22:43.399
<v Speaker 4>a lot of value in just having.

0:22:43.240 --> 0:22:44.240
<v Speaker 3>Power over it.

0:22:44.520 --> 0:22:48.960
<v Speaker 4>Yeah so okay, So oil prices are kind of they're

0:22:48.960 --> 0:22:51.639
<v Speaker 4>set by a few things, like the price of oil

0:22:51.720 --> 0:22:53.159
<v Speaker 4>is set by the bottom of the market.

0:22:53.240 --> 0:22:53.400
<v Speaker 3>Right.

0:22:53.800 --> 0:22:56.160
<v Speaker 4>Part of your profit comes from how how much more

0:22:56.240 --> 0:22:59.399
<v Speaker 4>cheaply can you refine and extract your oil relative to

0:23:00.040 --> 0:23:02.639
<v Speaker 4>whoever's doing it the most expensively, like whoever's doing the

0:23:02.680 --> 0:23:04.720
<v Speaker 4>shittiest job of it. But that a lot of it

0:23:04.760 --> 0:23:07.280
<v Speaker 4>also is just power. That's what OPEC is, right, And

0:23:07.400 --> 0:23:10.159
<v Speaker 4>OPEC's ability to raise oil prices has to do with

0:23:10.200 --> 0:23:13.840
<v Speaker 4>its ability to have all of their member states controlling

0:23:13.880 --> 0:23:16.240
<v Speaker 4>their oil and controlling the sort of flow and distribution

0:23:16.320 --> 0:23:21.359
<v Speaker 4>of it. Redistributing who is in power into OPEC is

0:23:21.359 --> 0:23:25.280
<v Speaker 4>actually a massive deal. Even if the actual oil here

0:23:25.359 --> 0:23:30.320
<v Speaker 4>isn't very good, the power over the oil is extremely important.

0:23:30.800 --> 0:23:31.000
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:23:31.880 --> 0:23:35.320
<v Speaker 4>So this doesn't work in the way that Trump wants

0:23:35.359 --> 0:23:38.400
<v Speaker 4>it to work, which is like you know, you take

0:23:38.440 --> 0:23:40.399
<v Speaker 4>the oil wells and you pump the oil out of

0:23:40.440 --> 0:23:44.679
<v Speaker 4>the ground and suddenly you have money. But it is

0:23:45.400 --> 0:23:48.080
<v Speaker 4>good for the oil companies that would take over the oil.

0:23:48.359 --> 0:23:48.719
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:23:48.880 --> 0:23:53.080
<v Speaker 3>He consistently confuses stock price for like the economy slash

0:23:53.119 --> 0:23:55.800
<v Speaker 3>it business success slash I'm saying, right.

0:23:55.760 --> 0:23:57.760
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I guess one way to think about it is

0:23:57.840 --> 0:23:59.760
<v Speaker 4>that like taking control of this oil, you're not really

0:23:59.800 --> 0:24:01.720
<v Speaker 4>make the money off of this oil. You're making the

0:24:01.720 --> 0:24:04.040
<v Speaker 4>money off of the impact controlling this oil has on

0:24:04.080 --> 0:24:05.399
<v Speaker 4>the rest of the oil you produce.

0:24:05.960 --> 0:24:09.840
<v Speaker 3>Yeah. Maybe if you're someone who sees international relations in

0:24:09.960 --> 0:24:12.600
<v Speaker 3>terms of great power competition, you're trying to put things

0:24:12.640 --> 0:24:15.399
<v Speaker 3>in the Russia China bucket or the America bucket.

0:24:15.560 --> 0:24:18.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And someone who sees trade, is this like zero

0:24:18.920 --> 0:24:22.680
<v Speaker 2>sum game where one person wins and another person loses. Yeah, yeah,

0:24:22.800 --> 0:24:24.439
<v Speaker 2>you know, like as Trump does.

0:24:24.720 --> 0:24:25.000
<v Speaker 3>Yes.

0:24:25.400 --> 0:24:28.120
<v Speaker 4>And also it is worth mentioning that like a lot

0:24:28.160 --> 0:24:31.040
<v Speaker 4>of this oil goes to Cuba, yeah, which is really

0:24:31.080 --> 0:24:33.840
<v Speaker 4>really important for the Cuban economy, which sort of can't

0:24:33.880 --> 0:24:38.680
<v Speaker 4>function without the stock of Venezuelan oil. Like getting access

0:24:38.680 --> 0:24:41.400
<v Speaker 4>to Venezuelan oil is one of the things that originally

0:24:41.440 --> 0:24:44.400
<v Speaker 4>pulled Cuba out of the just hideous economic crisis they

0:24:44.480 --> 0:24:46.600
<v Speaker 4>were in in the nineties after so eation collapsed.

0:24:46.760 --> 0:24:50.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so it's why thirty two, it seems like a

0:24:50.880 --> 0:24:54.640
<v Speaker 2>majority or at least half of the security forces who

0:24:54.720 --> 0:24:58.600
<v Speaker 2>died fighting the US and this kidnapping attempt were Cuban

0:24:58.760 --> 0:25:02.119
<v Speaker 2>because ac to Venezuela oil is an existential issue for

0:25:02.160 --> 0:25:04.919
<v Speaker 2>the Cuban government. And it's also why Trump stated, unfortunately,

0:25:04.960 --> 0:25:09.000
<v Speaker 2>probably accurately, that they're not looking at regime change in

0:25:09.040 --> 0:25:11.000
<v Speaker 2>Cuba because they think that the regime is going to

0:25:11.040 --> 0:25:15.080
<v Speaker 2>collapse on its own, which it might like, this is

0:25:15.119 --> 0:25:17.640
<v Speaker 2>an existential problem for the Cuban regime.

0:25:17.960 --> 0:25:19.880
<v Speaker 3>But people who aren't aware. I spent a good amount

0:25:19.920 --> 0:25:22.679
<v Speaker 3>of time in Caracas when I was much younger in

0:25:22.800 --> 0:25:26.520
<v Speaker 3>Jerrem my undergraduate years at university, and I remember the

0:25:26.560 --> 0:25:29.199
<v Speaker 3>only medical professionals I ever saw being because people have

0:25:29.320 --> 0:25:32.439
<v Speaker 3>left right after Chinese mol the only medical professionals I

0:25:32.440 --> 0:25:35.479
<v Speaker 3>ever saw were Cuban and clear, Cuban doctors are all

0:25:35.520 --> 0:25:38.080
<v Speaker 3>over the world. One a Cuba's biggest sex words is doctors.

0:25:38.600 --> 0:25:41.480
<v Speaker 3>But like it was very clear at that time that

0:25:41.560 --> 0:25:44.040
<v Speaker 3>like the two states were intermessed. You know that the

0:25:44.119 --> 0:25:46.960
<v Speaker 3>Venezuela needs things that Cuba has, like those special military

0:25:47.000 --> 0:25:50.119
<v Speaker 3>advisors and those doctors, and Cuba needs things to Menezuela have,

0:25:50.200 --> 0:25:50.680
<v Speaker 3>like that oil.

0:25:51.119 --> 0:25:54.000
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, and breaking that the way people do norbally see

0:25:54.000 --> 0:25:56.960
<v Speaker 4>oil as oil is just like liquid cash, and that's

0:25:57.160 --> 0:26:00.400
<v Speaker 4>not true. It matters the actual materiality of the oil

0:26:00.440 --> 0:26:02.280
<v Speaker 4>and how it works in the extraction process, and what

0:26:02.359 --> 0:26:04.439
<v Speaker 4>kind of oil is matters a lot. And this is

0:26:04.440 --> 0:26:09.440
<v Speaker 4>a scenario where where the oil is going and who

0:26:09.560 --> 0:26:12.960
<v Speaker 4>has control over it matters more than who's able to

0:26:13.080 --> 0:26:17.200
<v Speaker 4>sell it, which is very weird, but is how this works.

0:26:17.240 --> 0:26:20.159
<v Speaker 4>And Trump doesn't understand any of this. Maybe some of

0:26:20.200 --> 0:26:23.840
<v Speaker 4>the people around him understand this, but Trump really just

0:26:24.040 --> 0:26:27.280
<v Speaker 4>is in pure empire brain. They stole our stuff, which

0:26:27.320 --> 0:26:30.400
<v Speaker 4>I assume someone who wanted this told him, Oh yeah,

0:26:30.400 --> 0:26:33.359
<v Speaker 4>they stole a bunch of American oil and land. And

0:26:33.400 --> 0:26:35.639
<v Speaker 4>now he's in just full empire mode.

0:26:36.080 --> 0:26:38.320
<v Speaker 3>Yeah. I think that seemings someone has told him at

0:26:38.359 --> 0:26:39.480
<v Speaker 3>some point they stold us toff.

0:26:40.280 --> 0:26:43.560
<v Speaker 2>Well, yeah, and this is after the revolution. A bunch

0:26:43.640 --> 0:26:47.080
<v Speaker 2>of what was like the property of US and foreign

0:26:47.080 --> 0:26:51.520
<v Speaker 2>oil companies was nationalized, right, Yeah, because these companies had

0:26:51.560 --> 0:26:56.320
<v Speaker 2>made deals with the corrupt previous regime and it was

0:26:56.359 --> 0:27:00.560
<v Speaker 2>not really benefiting Venezuelan's Obviously that oil money has gone

0:27:00.600 --> 0:27:03.520
<v Speaker 2>on to fit the current corrupt regime and still not

0:27:03.560 --> 0:27:06.960
<v Speaker 2>benefited Venezuelan's much. But there was a period of time

0:27:07.680 --> 0:27:11.680
<v Speaker 2>under Schabz in which, like there were actual social benefits

0:27:11.720 --> 0:27:15.119
<v Speaker 2>and a powerful state I was providing people with things,

0:27:15.200 --> 0:27:17.640
<v Speaker 2>which is not to say it didn't have its flaws,

0:27:17.680 --> 0:27:19.880
<v Speaker 2>but like there was a period of time in which

0:27:19.920 --> 0:27:22.480
<v Speaker 2>there was a benefit to the average Venezuelan from the

0:27:22.520 --> 0:27:25.919
<v Speaker 2>fact that their country was so oil rich. And nothing

0:27:26.280 --> 0:27:28.760
<v Speaker 2>about the current situation is going to change positively for

0:27:28.800 --> 0:27:31.280
<v Speaker 2>the average Venezuelan. The profits are going to go from

0:27:31.280 --> 0:27:34.760
<v Speaker 2>being siphoned from one group to another, but neither of

0:27:34.760 --> 0:27:36.720
<v Speaker 2>those groups are regular Venezuelans.

0:27:37.000 --> 0:27:41.000
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I think sometimes I will hear this. I have

0:27:41.440 --> 0:27:45.000
<v Speaker 3>conservatively interviewed hundreds in not thousands of Venezuelan people in

0:27:45.000 --> 0:27:47.480
<v Speaker 3>the last three or four years, right at the border

0:27:47.480 --> 0:27:51.160
<v Speaker 3>in the Darien Gap in the US remotely by telephony,

0:27:51.160 --> 0:27:54.360
<v Speaker 3>et cetera. And like, sometimes you'll hear that like Chabas

0:27:54.440 --> 0:27:56.879
<v Speaker 3>was trying to do something good and it went bad,

0:27:57.119 --> 0:28:00.159
<v Speaker 3>or that like it was okay forbid under chavas and

0:28:00.200 --> 0:28:03.919
<v Speaker 3>then the corruption got out of control. Or even if

0:28:03.920 --> 0:28:05.639
<v Speaker 3>it was okay until my daughter took parent out, it

0:28:05.680 --> 0:28:08.399
<v Speaker 3>was bad. That it doesn't matter, right, it's bad now.

0:28:09.040 --> 0:28:12.400
<v Speaker 3>But like the things that the poverty I hear about

0:28:12.440 --> 0:28:16.639
<v Speaker 3>from Venezuelan people is grinding and it is so upsetting.

0:28:16.720 --> 0:28:19.160
<v Speaker 3>Like I have a great one noess for Venezuelan people.

0:28:19.160 --> 0:28:22.399
<v Speaker 3>I've made a whole podcast thing about this. But the

0:28:23.400 --> 0:28:27.720
<v Speaker 3>difficulty they encounter in every aspect of their lives because

0:28:27.880 --> 0:28:30.879
<v Speaker 3>of sanctions, because of corruption, because of hyperinflation, because of

0:28:30.920 --> 0:28:33.840
<v Speaker 3>the glow oil price, like a lot of things. Right,

0:28:34.000 --> 0:28:38.800
<v Speaker 3>their lives are miserable and this isn't going to change that.

0:28:39.360 --> 0:28:41.400
<v Speaker 3>They're scared. Right when I speak to people in Venezuela

0:28:41.400 --> 0:28:44.040
<v Speaker 3>and people with family in Venezuela this week, since this happened,

0:28:44.480 --> 0:28:46.920
<v Speaker 3>what are they doing. They are not contrary to what

0:28:46.960 --> 0:28:49.040
<v Speaker 3>an AI video might have made you believe out in

0:28:49.040 --> 0:28:52.680
<v Speaker 3>the streets celebrating. Now, they're trying to get enough food

0:28:52.760 --> 0:28:54.479
<v Speaker 3>to make it through the next couple of weeks in

0:28:54.480 --> 0:28:56.360
<v Speaker 3>case they have to hunker down in their home right,

0:28:56.360 --> 0:28:57.960
<v Speaker 3>and it is hard to get any food at the

0:28:57.960 --> 0:28:59.280
<v Speaker 3>best of times for these people.

0:28:59.360 --> 0:29:02.760
<v Speaker 2>In case they're bombed in place, the roads are bombed

0:29:02.880 --> 0:29:07.640
<v Speaker 2>in case, they're occupied, like they're they're making preparations for

0:29:07.720 --> 0:29:09.760
<v Speaker 2>being in a situation like Gazans have been in for

0:29:09.840 --> 0:29:12.120
<v Speaker 2>much of the last several years. Right, yeah, and that's

0:29:12.160 --> 0:29:14.920
<v Speaker 2>not an unreasonable like who knows what will happen. I

0:29:14.960 --> 0:29:17.400
<v Speaker 2>hope it's not that, but it's not an unreasonable thing

0:29:17.520 --> 0:29:18.400
<v Speaker 2>to prepare for.

0:29:18.960 --> 0:29:21.120
<v Speaker 3>No, it's not. Our friends when Memo and Robert and

0:29:21.160 --> 0:29:22.640
<v Speaker 3>I have been a few people in Memo, that's what

0:29:22.680 --> 0:29:24.480
<v Speaker 3>they said they did after the coup as well, because

0:29:24.480 --> 0:29:25.760
<v Speaker 3>they didn't know what was going to happen, and they

0:29:25.760 --> 0:29:28.600
<v Speaker 3>figured they need to be able to sit somewhere safe

0:29:28.640 --> 0:29:32.239
<v Speaker 3>and stay there. And so yeah, this is not a

0:29:32.320 --> 0:29:35.040
<v Speaker 3>liberation like I sor Jared Polis of all people being like,

0:29:35.040 --> 0:29:40.480
<v Speaker 3>oh yeah, liberation. Also using the word liberation generally, Simon Bolivard,

0:29:40.520 --> 0:29:44.200
<v Speaker 3>who is like the sort of bounding hero of Venezuela,

0:29:44.240 --> 0:29:46.440
<v Speaker 3>is referred to as the liberator. So using that phrase

0:29:46.560 --> 0:29:50.240
<v Speaker 3>about the extra judicial kidnapping the head of state, Right,

0:29:51.040 --> 0:29:52.920
<v Speaker 3>you don't understand the revenant of that word in Spanish,

0:29:52.960 --> 0:29:55.600
<v Speaker 3>that's fine, you don't speak Spanish, don't use it. Yeah,

0:29:55.640 --> 0:29:58.160
<v Speaker 3>but if you're going to use it, especially in this context,

0:29:58.560 --> 0:30:01.960
<v Speaker 3>like it is crap in the extreme right to see

0:30:01.960 --> 0:30:03.400
<v Speaker 3>that's the American politician.

0:30:04.280 --> 0:30:06.720
<v Speaker 4>So the other I think aspect of this is that, like,

0:30:07.080 --> 0:30:08.800
<v Speaker 4>you know, if you look at this in a historical tale,

0:30:08.840 --> 0:30:12.520
<v Speaker 4>the reason Boulevard succeeded was that, like the Haitian Republic

0:30:13.160 --> 0:30:16.040
<v Speaker 4>gave a whole bunch of people a whole bunch of

0:30:16.040 --> 0:30:19.280
<v Speaker 4>weapons the go liberate Latin America from the Spanish Empire.

0:30:19.840 --> 0:30:21.640
<v Speaker 4>And then you know, if you look at what, like

0:30:21.680 --> 0:30:26.320
<v Speaker 4>what is the US's relation to the closest thing I've

0:30:26.320 --> 0:30:28.760
<v Speaker 4>been able to So I've been like racking my brain

0:30:28.840 --> 0:30:32.920
<v Speaker 4>trying to find anything in history that looks like this

0:30:33.760 --> 0:30:35.760
<v Speaker 4>that the US has done. And we've done a lot

0:30:35.760 --> 0:30:38.280
<v Speaker 4>of bad things, but the closest thing I can find

0:30:38.400 --> 0:30:41.000
<v Speaker 4>to just we sent the army into kidnap a guy

0:30:41.040 --> 0:30:45.120
<v Speaker 4>and deposed him was what we did to Aristide, who

0:30:45.160 --> 0:30:50.240
<v Speaker 4>was the former leftist president now former leftist president of Haiti,

0:30:50.240 --> 0:30:53.200
<v Speaker 4>who we did in fact send in special forces with

0:30:53.240 --> 0:30:56.600
<v Speaker 4>Canada to just like sort of force onto a plane

0:30:56.640 --> 0:31:02.080
<v Speaker 4>at gunpoints and remove from power. So that situation was

0:31:02.120 --> 0:31:05.800
<v Speaker 4>a little different in that at that point most of

0:31:05.840 --> 0:31:08.040
<v Speaker 4>the country of Haiti was under the control of a

0:31:08.040 --> 0:31:10.680
<v Speaker 4>bunch of like dust squad rubble groups. Yeah, which was

0:31:10.720 --> 0:31:14.480
<v Speaker 4>the US justification. And this is just we just ran

0:31:14.560 --> 0:31:16.720
<v Speaker 4>into a country and cook them. But I don't know

0:31:16.720 --> 0:31:23.040
<v Speaker 4>the historical resonances of that are bleak. Yeah, and Jesus Christ,

0:31:23.120 --> 0:31:28.840
<v Speaker 4>don't call it the liberation, good Lord of liberations.

0:31:29.200 --> 0:31:33.600
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, let's liberate our audience from having money that they

0:31:33.600 --> 0:31:47.640
<v Speaker 2>can spend on these products. All right, we're back. I

0:31:47.680 --> 0:31:50.560
<v Speaker 2>guess there's a couple of things I wanted to talk about.

0:31:50.800 --> 0:31:53.240
<v Speaker 2>One of them is I'm seeing a lot of people

0:31:53.240 --> 0:31:56.920
<v Speaker 2>respond to this by pointing out folks like Matt Walsh

0:31:57.040 --> 0:31:59.760
<v Speaker 2>or other guys on the right who made statements about

0:32:00.240 --> 0:32:04.280
<v Speaker 2>Trump being a candidate for peace and all these military interventions.

0:32:04.320 --> 0:32:07.120
<v Speaker 2>We're getting into being bad and are now celebrating what

0:32:07.120 --> 0:32:10.280
<v Speaker 2>we're doing and openly celebrating like colonialism as a good thing.

0:32:10.720 --> 0:32:14.560
<v Speaker 2>And I'm seeing a lot of folks trying to dunk

0:32:14.680 --> 0:32:18.400
<v Speaker 2>on these people for being inconsistent. And I can't imagine

0:32:18.400 --> 0:32:21.520
<v Speaker 2>a bigger waste of your time, none of these people.

0:32:21.640 --> 0:32:24.760
<v Speaker 2>You have to get it out from the habit of

0:32:24.760 --> 0:32:29.240
<v Speaker 2>thinking that truth matters. All that matters to these people

0:32:29.400 --> 0:32:32.040
<v Speaker 2>is power, and they have it, and they have the guns.

0:32:32.720 --> 0:32:35.960
<v Speaker 2>And you pointing out that they lied to get there,

0:32:36.080 --> 0:32:38.880
<v Speaker 2>and that they're not honest, they don't care. They're rich

0:32:39.080 --> 0:32:41.520
<v Speaker 2>and they're getting richer, and they're powerful and they're getting

0:32:41.520 --> 0:32:46.920
<v Speaker 2>more power. None of this is about principles. It's about winning,

0:32:47.440 --> 0:32:50.040
<v Speaker 2>and you just have to understand that if you want

0:32:50.040 --> 0:32:52.800
<v Speaker 2>to have any hope of beating them, because pretending that

0:32:52.800 --> 0:32:54.480
<v Speaker 2>they're playing any other game than the one that they're

0:32:54.480 --> 0:33:00.800
<v Speaker 2>playing is really dangerous. I don't think there's any profit

0:33:01.360 --> 0:33:05.600
<v Speaker 2>in debating these people directly or confronting them directly about

0:33:05.640 --> 0:33:10.040
<v Speaker 2>the inconsistencies of their belief system. I do think it's

0:33:10.080 --> 0:33:14.400
<v Speaker 2>deeply profitable to talk about the fact that they lied

0:33:14.560 --> 0:33:16.800
<v Speaker 2>in our liars and are dragging us into another war

0:33:17.280 --> 0:33:20.680
<v Speaker 2>two regular Americans. And the evidence suggests that this is

0:33:20.720 --> 0:33:23.440
<v Speaker 2>incredibly unpopular in a way that the Iraq War was it.

0:33:23.600 --> 0:33:27.000
<v Speaker 2>People talk a lot about how massive the anti war

0:33:27.040 --> 0:33:30.080
<v Speaker 2>protests were and how much anti war sentiment there was,

0:33:30.160 --> 0:33:34.640
<v Speaker 2>but a majority of Americans were broadly supportive of what

0:33:34.720 --> 0:33:37.880
<v Speaker 2>the Bush administration did in Afghanistan and Iraq at the

0:33:37.920 --> 0:33:41.640
<v Speaker 2>time that they started doing it. Right, that doesn't mean

0:33:41.680 --> 0:33:44.360
<v Speaker 2>that the protests weren't real. It doesn't mean that it's

0:33:44.400 --> 0:33:48.600
<v Speaker 2>not significant that those massive protests happened. But most Americans

0:33:48.640 --> 0:33:52.400
<v Speaker 2>were broadly supportive of what the government was doing. That's

0:33:52.560 --> 0:33:55.480
<v Speaker 2>not the case with what we're seeing in regards to

0:33:55.480 --> 0:33:58.360
<v Speaker 2>public opinion over what's happening in Venezuela. There was a

0:33:58.440 --> 0:34:02.719
<v Speaker 2>two day Reuters IPSO survey that concluded Monday, basically immediately

0:34:02.760 --> 0:34:06.520
<v Speaker 2>after was announced what you know we did in Venezuela,

0:34:06.760 --> 0:34:09.360
<v Speaker 2>and seventy two percent of Americans who responded said they

0:34:09.400 --> 0:34:11.960
<v Speaker 2>are concerned that the US might get too involved in Venezuela.

0:34:12.080 --> 0:34:14.800
<v Speaker 2>Only twenty five percent said that they don't share that concern.

0:34:15.400 --> 0:34:18.120
<v Speaker 2>Ninety percent of Democrats shared that concern as well, seventy

0:34:18.160 --> 0:34:21.319
<v Speaker 2>four percent of Independence even fifty four percent of Republicans.

0:34:21.480 --> 0:34:24.080
<v Speaker 2>Only forty five percent of Republicans said that they were

0:34:24.120 --> 0:34:26.040
<v Speaker 2>not worried about the US getting overly involved in only

0:34:26.080 --> 0:34:31.160
<v Speaker 2>nineteen percent of other voters. So this is really unpopular,

0:34:31.480 --> 0:34:34.919
<v Speaker 2>historically unpopular for a military intervention. And the entire bet

0:34:34.960 --> 0:34:38.279
<v Speaker 2>that the Trump administration is making is that because they're

0:34:38.280 --> 0:34:41.440
<v Speaker 2>not doing what Bush did in Iraq, they're not knocking

0:34:41.520 --> 0:34:44.400
<v Speaker 2>out the whole government in debathifying it. They're just kicking

0:34:44.400 --> 0:34:48.640
<v Speaker 2>out one guy and basically keeping his regime intact. They're

0:34:48.680 --> 0:34:51.840
<v Speaker 2>just making that regime swear feeldy to the United States.

0:34:52.200 --> 0:34:55.799
<v Speaker 2>And their bet is that this will work, right, that

0:34:56.719 --> 0:35:00.600
<v Speaker 2>the Venezuelan regime will continue to keep the country functioning

0:35:00.719 --> 0:35:03.000
<v Speaker 2>as well as it was functioning before, which is not

0:35:03.200 --> 0:35:07.800
<v Speaker 2>great but was not total collapse, and they can start

0:35:07.840 --> 0:35:11.959
<v Speaker 2>extracting value. And honestly, I feel like that is that's

0:35:12.000 --> 0:35:15.040
<v Speaker 2>a major motivation for a lot of people supporting Trump,

0:35:15.080 --> 0:35:17.040
<v Speaker 2>for a lot of people in his administration who have

0:35:17.120 --> 0:35:21.239
<v Speaker 2>financial interests. For obviously the oil and gas companies he's

0:35:21.239 --> 0:35:24.280
<v Speaker 2>trying to get on board. But I don't think money

0:35:24.400 --> 0:35:27.760
<v Speaker 2>is even Trump's pry, And this is maybe an unpopular opinion.

0:35:27.840 --> 0:35:30.360
<v Speaker 2>I think the primarys in Trump is doing this is

0:35:30.400 --> 0:35:33.840
<v Speaker 2>that he wants number one, to show everybody, look, I

0:35:33.840 --> 0:35:36.120
<v Speaker 2>did what Bush did, but it worked. I did it better.

0:35:36.600 --> 0:35:38.719
<v Speaker 2>And number two, he wants to show everybody, look, I

0:35:38.760 --> 0:35:41.520
<v Speaker 2>did what Obama did and took out a big bad guy. Right.

0:35:41.560 --> 0:35:43.800
<v Speaker 2>That's where they're trying to craft Madeiro is this major

0:35:43.960 --> 0:35:47.880
<v Speaker 2>enemy of the United States, this architect of the opiate crisis,

0:35:47.920 --> 0:35:49.799
<v Speaker 2>this guy who's worse than beIN Laden in a lot

0:35:50.160 --> 0:35:52.200
<v Speaker 2>of ways, because Trump is still jealous of the fact

0:35:52.239 --> 0:35:55.600
<v Speaker 2>that Obama got to take out bin Laden right as

0:35:55.640 --> 0:35:57.759
<v Speaker 2>he sees it, and he wants his own version of that.

0:35:58.440 --> 0:36:02.719
<v Speaker 2>Trump is doing this, I think primarily for vanity purposes, right.

0:36:02.760 --> 0:36:04.919
<v Speaker 2>I know that seems shallow and silly, but I really

0:36:04.920 --> 0:36:07.160
<v Speaker 2>think that's most of what's going on for him. And

0:36:07.200 --> 0:36:09.880
<v Speaker 2>I think if the end result of this is that

0:36:09.920 --> 0:36:11.960
<v Speaker 2>things in Venezuela more or less continue the way they

0:36:12.000 --> 0:36:14.520
<v Speaker 2>were before, he will call it a win and a

0:36:14.560 --> 0:36:16.799
<v Speaker 2>lot of people might believe him. And I don't know,

0:36:16.840 --> 0:36:19.319
<v Speaker 2>it doesn't even necessarily matter if any money actually comes

0:36:19.360 --> 0:36:22.319
<v Speaker 2>into the United States over this. They'll just lie about it.

0:36:22.400 --> 0:36:26.160
<v Speaker 2>You know, some individual Americans will make money, and I

0:36:26.160 --> 0:36:29.279
<v Speaker 2>think that'll probably be enough for Trump to feel like

0:36:29.360 --> 0:36:32.000
<v Speaker 2>he got a win and for his pr apparatus to

0:36:32.800 --> 0:36:34.560
<v Speaker 2>notch this up as a win. And I think that's

0:36:34.560 --> 0:36:37.520
<v Speaker 2>all he really cares about. And so I do think

0:36:37.560 --> 0:36:41.200
<v Speaker 2>it's worth really hitting how criminal this is and how

0:36:41.239 --> 0:36:44.520
<v Speaker 2>harmful this is. But ultimately, what's going to determine whether

0:36:44.600 --> 0:36:47.200
<v Speaker 2>or not Americans see this as a calamity or not

0:36:48.239 --> 0:36:51.880
<v Speaker 2>is how well this all works out in the long run.

0:36:52.000 --> 0:36:55.600
<v Speaker 2>And that's a really tough thing to even think about

0:36:55.640 --> 0:36:59.200
<v Speaker 2>because you don't want it to work well because it

0:36:59.239 --> 0:37:02.880
<v Speaker 2>will embolden Trump to keep doing this and the global

0:37:02.880 --> 0:37:05.399
<v Speaker 2>harm will be greater. On the other hand, I don't

0:37:05.440 --> 0:37:10.319
<v Speaker 2>want civil life in Venezuela to collapse, right, So it's

0:37:10.440 --> 0:37:11.400
<v Speaker 2>it's tough.

0:37:11.280 --> 0:37:14.960
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, right, yeah, I don't people to suffer any I

0:37:15.000 --> 0:37:17.200
<v Speaker 3>mean just around the world too, when like I heard

0:37:17.280 --> 0:37:20.480
<v Speaker 3>Min online called a meeting in Mihandma when he heard

0:37:20.520 --> 0:37:24.120
<v Speaker 3>about this because he was worried, right, Like, the paranoia

0:37:24.480 --> 0:37:27.200
<v Speaker 3>of dictators is about to go through the ceiling, and

0:37:27.239 --> 0:37:29.680
<v Speaker 3>that's going to result in people being tortured and killed.

0:37:29.760 --> 0:37:31.520
<v Speaker 2>It's going to result in people torture, and it's going

0:37:31.520 --> 0:37:35.160
<v Speaker 2>to result in more countries seeking to get nuclear weapons

0:37:35.200 --> 0:37:38.839
<v Speaker 2>because they will accurately recognize that that is the only

0:37:38.960 --> 0:37:45.360
<v Speaker 2>security anyone has. It is understated how much more dangerous

0:37:45.400 --> 0:37:47.759
<v Speaker 2>what Bush did in Iraq made the world because of

0:37:47.840 --> 0:37:50.200
<v Speaker 2>how it's made different leaders around the world think about

0:37:50.200 --> 0:37:54.319
<v Speaker 2>the possession of nuclear weapons. Right, Iran is fundamentally right

0:37:54.440 --> 0:37:57.239
<v Speaker 2>in its calculus that getting a nuke will make the

0:37:57.280 --> 0:37:59.880
<v Speaker 2>regime safer because it might be the only thing that

0:38:00.120 --> 0:38:02.439
<v Speaker 2>can protect them now. Things in Iran are not looking

0:38:02.520 --> 0:38:05.320
<v Speaker 2>very stable right now either. Again, this is another situation

0:38:05.400 --> 0:38:09.160
<v Speaker 2>where just decades of protest and the weakness of the

0:38:09.200 --> 0:38:12.319
<v Speaker 2>regime might wind up working in Trump's favor because things

0:38:12.360 --> 0:38:15.759
<v Speaker 2>are looking pretty gnarly for the Iranian regime right now,

0:38:16.120 --> 0:38:20.480
<v Speaker 2>and maybe Trump Trump has made some statements since kidnapping

0:38:20.520 --> 0:38:23.719
<v Speaker 2>Maduro about going into Iran. They very well may do that,

0:38:23.800 --> 0:38:25.120
<v Speaker 2>but they also may not need to.

0:38:25.840 --> 0:38:28.239
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, there's some most sense suggesting that they at least

0:38:28.239 --> 0:38:32.480
<v Speaker 3>have preparations in place for doing something in Iran, right,

0:38:32.600 --> 0:38:34.560
<v Speaker 3>which may or they need to do right to obviously

0:38:34.640 --> 0:38:38.160
<v Speaker 3>move things to point towards Iran, right, But that is

0:38:38.200 --> 0:38:39.520
<v Speaker 3>an action in itself.

0:38:39.800 --> 0:38:42.360
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that really. I mean, there's a lot that worries

0:38:42.400 --> 0:38:46.200
<v Speaker 2>me there. But I think they're going to keep fucking

0:38:46.239 --> 0:38:48.920
<v Speaker 2>around like this as long as they feel like it

0:38:48.960 --> 0:38:51.799
<v Speaker 2>will benefit them, And right now this feels like a

0:38:51.840 --> 0:38:54.760
<v Speaker 2>win to them. Yeah, So this is going to function

0:38:54.920 --> 0:38:57.080
<v Speaker 2>like a drug. They're going to start looking for another

0:38:57.200 --> 0:39:00.000
<v Speaker 2>hit as soon as the high from this fase.

0:39:00.920 --> 0:39:03.680
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and as soon as they need a domestic distraction.

0:39:03.360 --> 0:39:05.880
<v Speaker 2>Right right. A lot of this stuff and the evidence

0:39:05.920 --> 0:39:08.560
<v Speaker 2>we have so far suggests that people fucking hate this,

0:39:09.600 --> 0:39:13.319
<v Speaker 2>and we'll probably keep hating this. But it depends on

0:39:13.320 --> 0:39:15.279
<v Speaker 2>whether or not this all fades out, and if the

0:39:15.320 --> 0:39:17.959
<v Speaker 2>news is covered is actually maybe it worked right, which

0:39:17.960 --> 0:39:21.080
<v Speaker 2>will probably be based on really dogshit journalism.

0:39:21.360 --> 0:39:24.400
<v Speaker 3>The Washington Post did a preferential offed already.

0:39:24.440 --> 0:39:27.960
<v Speaker 2>I think, oh good, Yeah, I'm glad they're helping out

0:39:28.440 --> 0:39:33.040
<v Speaker 2>our democracy die in darkness. They're going to keep chasing

0:39:33.080 --> 0:39:38.160
<v Speaker 2>this high and it will wind up collapsing on them eventually.

0:39:38.200 --> 0:39:40.480
<v Speaker 2>The question is how many countries will have to pay

0:39:40.480 --> 0:39:42.879
<v Speaker 2>the price beforehand and how much worse will things get?

0:39:42.880 --> 0:39:43.640
<v Speaker 2>In the United States?

0:39:43.680 --> 0:39:47.279
<v Speaker 3>Obviously, yeah, will the price be right when they lose

0:39:47.360 --> 0:39:48.960
<v Speaker 3>a higher SF team.

0:39:49.000 --> 0:39:52.440
<v Speaker 2>Or cash right when Delta Force gets wiped out? When

0:39:52.480 --> 0:39:54.719
<v Speaker 2>we have a bunch of helicopters down a bunch of Americans?

0:39:54.719 --> 0:39:57.680
<v Speaker 2>Caption what does Trump do? Then? Do we get a panic?

0:39:58.280 --> 0:39:59.960
<v Speaker 2>This is kind of where I see like the potential,

0:40:00.360 --> 0:40:03.040
<v Speaker 2>the scary potential for something like a nuclear January sixth,

0:40:03.040 --> 0:40:06.720
<v Speaker 2>where like, do we get a panic response that leads

0:40:06.719 --> 0:40:12.200
<v Speaker 2>to a horrific loss of life? Because Trump sees himself

0:40:12.239 --> 0:40:14.399
<v Speaker 2>as being embarrassed? Oh my God, they killed a whole team,

0:40:14.480 --> 0:40:16.360
<v Speaker 2>Like I have no option but to kill a shitload

0:40:16.360 --> 0:40:18.759
<v Speaker 2>of people to distract from the fact that I failed here, right,

0:40:19.719 --> 0:40:21.560
<v Speaker 2>that that does really concern me too.

0:40:21.960 --> 0:40:23.960
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, if that happens, you know, there was even if

0:40:23.960 --> 0:40:27.400
<v Speaker 3>it's not nuclear, right, even it's just conventional weapons on cities.

0:40:27.320 --> 0:40:30.000
<v Speaker 2>Right right, right, And yeah, new guy, I shouldn't even

0:40:30.040 --> 0:40:33.040
<v Speaker 2>bring up the nuclear thing, but like it does concern me.

0:40:34.200 --> 0:40:37.080
<v Speaker 3>Nuclear football, right, He's the one who gets right choice right.

0:40:37.239 --> 0:40:39.680
<v Speaker 2>This is going to just get more. This is going

0:40:39.680 --> 0:40:42.560
<v Speaker 2>to become integral to his sense of like self worth

0:40:42.800 --> 0:40:45.400
<v Speaker 2>that like, no, I did this and it worked in there,

0:40:46.000 --> 0:40:49.400
<v Speaker 2>and if all his guys get wiped out failing at

0:40:49.400 --> 0:40:51.680
<v Speaker 2>one of these things, that's not going to go well

0:40:51.719 --> 0:40:52.480
<v Speaker 2>for anybody.

0:40:52.680 --> 0:40:53.200
<v Speaker 3>No, it's not.

0:40:53.360 --> 0:40:55.440
<v Speaker 2>We'll have a fun couple hours on Twitter, but it's

0:40:55.440 --> 0:40:57.080
<v Speaker 2>going to be really bad, really fast.

0:40:57.239 --> 0:41:01.239
<v Speaker 3>Yeah. I told very briefly about a couple of implications domestically.

0:41:01.480 --> 0:41:01.719
<v Speaker 2>Sure.

0:41:02.000 --> 0:41:05.399
<v Speaker 3>The main one is that the DOJ has already fared

0:41:05.440 --> 0:41:09.000
<v Speaker 3>fro an extension in the case which Judge Bosberg is

0:41:09.040 --> 0:41:13.560
<v Speaker 3>overseeing regarding the Alien Enemies Act. Right, Yeah, what this

0:41:13.640 --> 0:41:18.279
<v Speaker 3>will mean for Venezuelan nationals in the United States. It

0:41:18.360 --> 0:41:20.279
<v Speaker 3>is unlikely that this will mean something good.

0:41:20.520 --> 0:41:20.680
<v Speaker 2>Right.

0:41:20.920 --> 0:41:22.640
<v Speaker 3>It is unlikely that they will have a country that

0:41:22.640 --> 0:41:25.040
<v Speaker 3>they would want to return to, and it's possible that

0:41:25.080 --> 0:41:27.360
<v Speaker 3>it's going to be used to force them to return

0:41:27.400 --> 0:41:31.400
<v Speaker 3>to it anyway, to a country which is extremely paranoid

0:41:31.440 --> 0:41:35.760
<v Speaker 3>about US buys. Because someone in Maduro's very close entourage

0:41:35.840 --> 0:41:39.440
<v Speaker 3>leaked the entire plan that Trump. Many presidents would not

0:41:39.440 --> 0:41:41.040
<v Speaker 3>have set this to the press, but Trump did right

0:41:41.080 --> 0:41:43.560
<v Speaker 3>that they had the entire plans for his house and

0:41:43.600 --> 0:41:45.759
<v Speaker 3>that they built a replica of it to include They

0:41:45.840 --> 0:41:47.479
<v Speaker 3>knew he had a safe room, they knew it was steel,

0:41:47.480 --> 0:41:49.680
<v Speaker 3>and they knew they could cut into it with cutting torches.

0:41:50.000 --> 0:41:53.919
<v Speaker 3>Someone leaked that information. That means that people coming back

0:41:53.960 --> 0:41:56.960
<v Speaker 3>from the United States are going to be under scrutiny, right,

0:41:57.800 --> 0:42:00.520
<v Speaker 3>and that is not good for them. I don't see

0:42:00.560 --> 0:42:04.040
<v Speaker 3>this regime stopping sending people back because they're not an

0:42:04.080 --> 0:42:07.040
<v Speaker 3>alien element anymore. I don't see that, and I can

0:42:07.200 --> 0:42:09.640
<v Speaker 3>I can see the regime if it does manage when

0:42:09.719 --> 0:42:12.759
<v Speaker 3>saw Rodriguez at something of a puppet leaning on Rodriguez

0:42:12.800 --> 0:42:16.799
<v Speaker 3>to accept people removed from the United States, Right, that

0:42:17.040 --> 0:42:21.080
<v Speaker 3>is extremely concerning and it's not being reported on right

0:42:21.120 --> 0:42:24.520
<v Speaker 3>because migrants are not front and center where a lot

0:42:24.560 --> 0:42:27.400
<v Speaker 3>of American newspapers think about things. But I think for

0:42:27.480 --> 0:42:31.440
<v Speaker 3>those people, this is petrifying, right the country that you

0:42:31.480 --> 0:42:33.280
<v Speaker 3>came to to be safe is they're bombing the country

0:42:33.280 --> 0:42:36.239
<v Speaker 3>that you came from. It's also trying to kick you out,

0:42:36.280 --> 0:42:38.520
<v Speaker 3>like you are stuck in the middle of this game,

0:42:39.280 --> 0:42:41.440
<v Speaker 3>and all you wanted was a place to raise your

0:42:41.520 --> 0:42:44.000
<v Speaker 3>kids where you know they might have a fair crack

0:42:44.040 --> 0:42:47.160
<v Speaker 3>at a decent life. It's it's heartbreaking for those people.

0:42:47.680 --> 0:42:50.200
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and I think that's probably all we've got to

0:42:50.320 --> 0:42:53.320
<v Speaker 2>say for now. I mean, I guess I'll address briefly

0:42:53.320 --> 0:42:56.400
<v Speaker 2>because people have asked, do you see this as like

0:42:56.520 --> 0:43:00.440
<v Speaker 2>an annexa an Angelus, you know, the annexation of or

0:43:00.480 --> 0:43:02.839
<v Speaker 2>of Czechoslovakia of that kind of moment, or is this

0:43:02.920 --> 0:43:06.640
<v Speaker 2>more like the invasion of Poland? And I guess my

0:43:06.719 --> 0:43:10.360
<v Speaker 2>answer is is its own thing. It doesn't directly graph

0:43:10.360 --> 0:43:12.120
<v Speaker 2>on any of those other than that where it does

0:43:12.440 --> 0:43:15.520
<v Speaker 2>very directly graph. And what is relevant in comparing it

0:43:15.560 --> 0:43:20.280
<v Speaker 2>to is what happened to the Nazis and to Hitler

0:43:20.320 --> 0:43:26.000
<v Speaker 2>personally as they started seeing success taking things militarily, they

0:43:26.080 --> 0:43:28.880
<v Speaker 2>made some big gambles that were not known. One thing

0:43:28.920 --> 0:43:32.239
<v Speaker 2>that gets underdiscussed when talking about what Germany was doing

0:43:32.280 --> 0:43:35.560
<v Speaker 2>in that period of time is how many military leaders

0:43:35.600 --> 0:43:39.759
<v Speaker 2>within Germany thought that the annexation of particularly Czechoslovakia was

0:43:39.800 --> 0:43:42.279
<v Speaker 2>a horrible idea because in a head to head fight,

0:43:42.360 --> 0:43:45.960
<v Speaker 2>it was not clear whatsoever that the Wehrmacht could defeat

0:43:46.000 --> 0:43:49.000
<v Speaker 2>the Czech military and their defenses. That was very much

0:43:49.200 --> 0:43:53.000
<v Speaker 2>in debate, and a lot of Hitler's advisors thought it

0:43:53.040 --> 0:43:55.120
<v Speaker 2>was a terrible idea because they didn't think they could win,

0:43:55.520 --> 0:43:58.040
<v Speaker 2>and it wound up not really being a factor because

0:43:58.120 --> 0:44:00.800
<v Speaker 2>everyone caved and nobody wanted to fight. Which is the

0:44:00.840 --> 0:44:02.800
<v Speaker 2>problem that we're having right now, right is that nobody

0:44:02.800 --> 0:44:06.360
<v Speaker 2>actually wants to confront these people. The Democrats are himming

0:44:06.360 --> 0:44:08.840
<v Speaker 2>and ahio whether or not the try for impeachment again

0:44:09.040 --> 0:44:13.640
<v Speaker 2>or you know, there's this this fear of actually directly

0:44:13.680 --> 0:44:16.920
<v Speaker 2>confronting these people. That is part of what's emboldening them

0:44:16.920 --> 0:44:19.640
<v Speaker 2>to keep trying shit like this. And what's very relevant

0:44:19.640 --> 0:44:23.239
<v Speaker 2>to the Nazis is that if this works, and we're

0:44:23.280 --> 0:44:26.000
<v Speaker 2>talking if this works not in the long run, because

0:44:26.000 --> 0:44:27.560
<v Speaker 2>they're not going to wait twenty years to see if

0:44:27.560 --> 0:44:29.239
<v Speaker 2>this was a good idea. They're going to wait a

0:44:29.239 --> 0:44:32.160
<v Speaker 2>couple of weeks, you know, maybe a few months, and

0:44:32.200 --> 0:44:35.319
<v Speaker 2>if it seems like, hey, it worked, the Venezuela's not

0:44:35.520 --> 0:44:38.400
<v Speaker 2>falling apart, you know, we've got we actually got what

0:44:38.440 --> 0:44:39.959
<v Speaker 2>we think is a good pr out of it. They'll

0:44:39.960 --> 0:44:43.520
<v Speaker 2>try again, and they'll try again. And the Nazis tried

0:44:43.600 --> 0:44:46.640
<v Speaker 2>again and again until they started making checks that their

0:44:46.640 --> 0:44:50.240
<v Speaker 2>asses couldn't cash, right, And that is the thing that's relevant,

0:44:50.280 --> 0:44:53.560
<v Speaker 2>because that is something all fascists have in common, is

0:44:54.400 --> 0:44:57.879
<v Speaker 2>this confidence that gets them very far in a lot

0:44:57.880 --> 0:45:01.279
<v Speaker 2>of ways, because if they're willing to gamble and the

0:45:01.320 --> 0:45:04.880
<v Speaker 2>other people aren't willing to confront them or fight or

0:45:04.960 --> 0:45:09.000
<v Speaker 2>gamble themselves, then they'll win by default. But when that

0:45:09.160 --> 0:45:13.400
<v Speaker 2>stops and people start confronting them, the shortcomings of the

0:45:13.440 --> 0:45:16.239
<v Speaker 2>state that they've built and of the militaries that they

0:45:16.360 --> 0:45:20.840
<v Speaker 2>built become increasingly evident. And I do think that's the

0:45:20.960 --> 0:45:23.440
<v Speaker 2>road that we're on. I don't know where it'll end.

0:45:23.840 --> 0:45:25.759
<v Speaker 2>I don't know, if you know, Trump could die of

0:45:25.800 --> 0:45:28.080
<v Speaker 2>a heart attack tomorrow, and maybe whoever takes over will

0:45:28.120 --> 0:45:30.800
<v Speaker 2>be more cautious. I don't know what's going to happen,

0:45:31.000 --> 0:45:33.479
<v Speaker 2>but I know that we've started down that road.

0:45:34.120 --> 0:45:35.919
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and that's not a good thing.

0:45:36.280 --> 0:45:36.680
<v Speaker 2>Nope.

0:45:37.160 --> 0:45:39.080
<v Speaker 3>I guess we should just say because people will be

0:45:39.120 --> 0:45:42.040
<v Speaker 3>incredibly annoying on the internet. Like saying that it is

0:45:42.080 --> 0:45:44.480
<v Speaker 3>illegal and wrong to kidnap Madua does not mean that

0:45:44.520 --> 0:45:46.839
<v Speaker 3>we think Maduro is great, just in the same way

0:45:46.880 --> 0:45:48.600
<v Speaker 3>as saying the Iraq war is wrong doesn't mean we

0:45:48.640 --> 0:45:52.000
<v Speaker 3>love Sadam Passayin like no, two things can be bad.

0:45:52.480 --> 0:45:54.239
<v Speaker 3>People tell you abough, I should grow up.

0:45:54.640 --> 0:45:56.319
<v Speaker 2>Like I said at the start, I don't think you

0:45:56.560 --> 0:45:58.359
<v Speaker 2>have to. I don't think anyone owes you. And if

0:45:58.360 --> 0:46:00.799
<v Speaker 2>someone is saying, like, hey, you have to answer for

0:46:00.920 --> 0:46:03.759
<v Speaker 2>these bad things Maduro did when critiquing the US for this,

0:46:03.840 --> 0:46:05.359
<v Speaker 2>I think that's bullshit and I think you should tell

0:46:05.400 --> 0:46:06.120
<v Speaker 2>them to fuck off.

0:46:06.200 --> 0:46:07.719
<v Speaker 3>Right, it's not the issue AT's take care.

0:46:08.120 --> 0:46:13.680
<v Speaker 2>Maduro's personal qualities are irrelevant, as is always the case

0:46:13.719 --> 0:46:17.040
<v Speaker 2>with this. What we're doing is illegal and bad.

0:46:19.800 --> 0:46:20.400
<v Speaker 3>It could happen.

0:46:20.440 --> 0:46:22.799
<v Speaker 5>Here is a production of cool Zone Media. For more

0:46:22.840 --> 0:46:26.320
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0:46:26.360 --> 0:46:29.160
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0:46:29.239 --> 0:46:31.239
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0:46:30.960 --> 0:46:33.759
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0:46:33.800 --> 0:46:36.960
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0:46:36.960 --> 0:46:37.520
<v Speaker 5>for listening.