1 00:00:00,920 --> 00:00:05,600 Speaker 1: Waenos Dias. Welcome everybody to betting Pros. It's me Joey 2 00:00:05,680 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: p Jo pi'z if be a happy Halloween everybody. This 3 00:00:08,920 --> 00:00:11,920 Speaker 1: is BP NFL and it's the Halloween edition and I 4 00:00:11,960 --> 00:00:15,760 Speaker 1: am your luchador in control coming off the top rope 5 00:00:15,840 --> 00:00:19,800 Speaker 1: with me tagging in my tag team partners Andrew Erickson 6 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:23,439 Speaker 1: today and of course we also call hi Jimmy Neutron 7 00:00:23,520 --> 00:00:26,640 Speaker 1: and I assume the Tiger King or just that guy 8 00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:28,840 Speaker 1: at the tractor supply store that kind of gives you 9 00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:32,960 Speaker 1: the heb gbs. It's the Welsh Excellent Costumes today. Boys, 10 00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:34,760 Speaker 1: we're having a little fun here on Halloween. For the 11 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 1: prop show. We're gonna take you through Week nine in 12 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:41,000 Speaker 1: the NFL. Just to recap last week, Welsh had a 13 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:44,839 Speaker 1: tremendous Week four and one. Talk to me baby, how 14 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:47,440 Speaker 1: does it feel to almost be this close to perfect? 15 00:00:47,520 --> 00:00:48,000 Speaker 1: Last week? 16 00:00:48,240 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 2: We were one pass away. Yes, by the way, this 17 00:00:50,760 --> 00:00:53,920 Speaker 2: is going real quick. This mustache so we're not we're 18 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:57,040 Speaker 2: gonna become a different character soon, but yeah, we were 19 00:00:57,120 --> 00:00:59,160 Speaker 2: one catch away from a five to zero week. We 20 00:00:59,240 --> 00:01:01,160 Speaker 2: hit one of the touch down prop so I got 21 00:01:01,200 --> 00:01:02,279 Speaker 2: to be up a little bit on that. 22 00:01:02,480 --> 00:01:03,320 Speaker 1: It was busy. 23 00:01:03,400 --> 00:01:04,360 Speaker 2: There it goes bye bye. 24 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:07,440 Speaker 1: There it is, it goes there. It lasted one minute 25 00:01:07,480 --> 00:01:08,160 Speaker 1: and thirty seconds. 26 00:01:08,240 --> 00:01:11,400 Speaker 2: Now my new costume is just like an eighties wrestler 27 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:14,880 Speaker 2: doing house shows and like in little high school gyms. 28 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:18,759 Speaker 1: I'm like, I'll wrestle for WWE at nineteen eighty seven. 29 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:20,959 Speaker 2: You want a picture, give me a medello, Like That's 30 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:22,840 Speaker 2: what I'm gonna be doing here. But yeah, we were 31 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:25,520 Speaker 2: one catch away from like a perfect week and maybe 32 00:01:25,560 --> 00:01:28,160 Speaker 2: the greatest bet of all time. I think Jimmy Erickson 33 00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:31,160 Speaker 2: will confirm here that my Jerry Judy bet was maybe 34 00:01:31,160 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 2: the best bet we've ever put on this show because 35 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 2: he didn't do anything. 36 00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 1: He had zero catches. 37 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 2: So feeling good. But my card has already been messed 38 00:01:38,160 --> 00:01:41,240 Speaker 2: with this morning, like threefold. I have had to make 39 00:01:41,280 --> 00:01:43,800 Speaker 2: a change because a guy got put on the IR 40 00:01:44,120 --> 00:01:47,120 Speaker 2: one line went crazy. So outside of the costumes, this 41 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:49,320 Speaker 2: show's gonna already be a little bit wild. 42 00:01:49,680 --> 00:01:51,600 Speaker 1: All right. So last week, Andrew Rickson, you were not 43 00:01:51,640 --> 00:01:54,280 Speaker 1: a boy genius. You were two and three. But the 44 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:56,559 Speaker 1: good news is you surpassed me in the touchdown calls. 45 00:01:56,560 --> 00:01:59,520 Speaker 1: You're up to ten, so congratulations. That must be like a. 46 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:04,000 Speaker 3: Last baby, my touchdowns. I'm absolutely on fire. I think 47 00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 3: it just might as well with just bet touchdowns at 48 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:08,360 Speaker 3: this point, and just forget these other player props and 49 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:10,239 Speaker 3: just put all these plus money touchdowns. 50 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 1: It's what I do every week. That's one of my 51 00:02:12,480 --> 00:02:14,720 Speaker 1: favorite things. I wish we could lock them easier. But 52 00:02:15,080 --> 00:02:17,120 Speaker 1: here's the thing this was all about. Make sure you 53 00:02:17,120 --> 00:02:19,640 Speaker 1: follow us on Betting Pros app. Download the app, follow 54 00:02:19,680 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 1: what we're in on this week, and of course don't 55 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:23,919 Speaker 1: forget to use all the tools and the Betting Pros 56 00:02:24,360 --> 00:02:26,920 Speaker 1: app today and we've got all sorts of free trials 57 00:02:26,919 --> 00:02:29,239 Speaker 1: going on too. For the premium tools and subscribe to 58 00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:31,000 Speaker 1: the channel here. We like to have fun, we like 59 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:34,560 Speaker 1: to talk sports betting, so whether it's NBA, NFL or 60 00:02:34,639 --> 00:02:36,640 Speaker 1: anything in between, we have it here a Betting Pros 61 00:02:36,680 --> 00:02:39,080 Speaker 1: for you. So let's kick things off here with the 62 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:42,240 Speaker 1: first pick for week nine, and of course mister forty 63 00:02:42,280 --> 00:02:46,240 Speaker 1: nine er himself, starting with Christian McCaffrey and he's going over, folks. 64 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:47,840 Speaker 1: So let's talk about that seventy four and a half 65 00:02:47,919 --> 00:02:49,000 Speaker 1: rushing yards and the why. 66 00:02:49,520 --> 00:02:52,040 Speaker 2: Well, I don't know if I will ever financially recover 67 00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:55,720 Speaker 2: from this line movement because boys, we're going with the 68 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:59,760 Speaker 2: Russian yards, but I got it at a much lower number. 69 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:03,480 Speaker 2: Bye mustache, back to the wrestler. I gotta tell you, guys, 70 00:03:03,600 --> 00:03:05,799 Speaker 2: I like this bet a lot on the rushing yards prop, 71 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:08,560 Speaker 2: but it has a moved. I was able to lock 72 00:03:08,600 --> 00:03:11,160 Speaker 2: it in at sixty eight point five, which I love, 73 00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:15,320 Speaker 2: love that sucker has shot up. But our dear friends 74 00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:18,480 Speaker 2: at hard Rock Bed currently have the best line available 75 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:21,520 Speaker 2: out in the streets at seventy four point five, and 76 00:03:21,560 --> 00:03:23,000 Speaker 2: we're still going to lock it in. This is a 77 00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:26,680 Speaker 2: top ten matchup rating according to PFF for running backs. 78 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:30,720 Speaker 2: Giants ranked thirty two of thirty two in run grade 79 00:03:30,880 --> 00:03:34,680 Speaker 2: against running backs, with their defensive front ranking thirty of 80 00:03:34,760 --> 00:03:38,120 Speaker 2: thirty two and giving up the most yards after contact. 81 00:03:38,400 --> 00:03:41,760 Speaker 2: That's beautiful. Giants are also giving up an average of 82 00:03:41,840 --> 00:03:44,320 Speaker 2: over six yards per carry to running backs and they 83 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:47,480 Speaker 2: just gave up to fifty. By the way the projections 84 00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:50,040 Speaker 2: is maybe why there was such a big jump, Like 85 00:03:50,040 --> 00:03:53,320 Speaker 2: if you look at PFF projections, this is around seventy six. 86 00:03:53,600 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 2: But I gotta tell you one of the things that 87 00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:57,440 Speaker 2: jumped this out to me, which was such a crazy bet. 88 00:03:58,040 --> 00:04:01,000 Speaker 2: If you go and look at rush attempts. RUSSI attempts 89 00:04:01,040 --> 00:04:03,840 Speaker 2: are at eighteen point five, so the rush attempts and 90 00:04:03,960 --> 00:04:06,200 Speaker 2: yards did not match up on this, so I'm not 91 00:04:06,240 --> 00:04:09,240 Speaker 2: surprised this took a big shot up. I'm still fine 92 00:04:09,280 --> 00:04:12,520 Speaker 2: in the like under eighty range, but the rush attempts 93 00:04:12,520 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 2: are telling us it's kind of a Christian McCaffrey game. 94 00:04:14,800 --> 00:04:19,400 Speaker 2: The matchup is phenomenal. Hopefully you can financially recover from 95 00:04:19,400 --> 00:04:21,120 Speaker 2: this big line movement as long as you get it 96 00:04:21,200 --> 00:04:24,640 Speaker 2: still under seventy five. So Christian McCaffrey seventy four point 97 00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:26,280 Speaker 2: five is the official bet, but if you go on 98 00:04:26,320 --> 00:04:27,840 Speaker 2: betting pros you will see I have it at sixty 99 00:04:27,880 --> 00:04:28,479 Speaker 2: eight point five. 100 00:04:29,040 --> 00:04:31,080 Speaker 1: All right, Matthew Stafford and the Rams are coming off 101 00:04:31,080 --> 00:04:32,240 Speaker 1: a bye, and it's kind of like they have a 102 00:04:32,240 --> 00:04:34,520 Speaker 1: second by this week because they're taking on the New 103 00:04:34,600 --> 00:04:37,279 Speaker 1: Orleans Saints and they are at home here, not that 104 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:39,200 Speaker 1: you know, the Rams building is a huge home field 105 00:04:39,200 --> 00:04:41,360 Speaker 1: to manage, but you've got a rookie QB making a 106 00:04:41,400 --> 00:04:43,599 Speaker 1: start on the road, So it could mean that the 107 00:04:43,640 --> 00:04:46,440 Speaker 1: game script goes early Rams and then coasting through the 108 00:04:46,440 --> 00:04:48,599 Speaker 1: second half. So what does that mean? Andrew for the 109 00:04:48,600 --> 00:04:50,960 Speaker 1: passing attempts number for Matthew Stafford. 110 00:04:51,279 --> 00:04:53,479 Speaker 3: It means that Matthew Stafford is going to go under 111 00:04:53,800 --> 00:04:56,320 Speaker 3: thirty three and a half passing attempts. I've been in 112 00:04:56,400 --> 00:04:59,239 Speaker 3: the lab cooking up the best player props for this weekend. 113 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:02,000 Speaker 3: Basically by the I mean inside the betting pros prop 114 00:05:02,000 --> 00:05:04,159 Speaker 3: bet cheat sheet, because one of the bets I actually 115 00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:06,840 Speaker 3: got right last week was the only five star bet 116 00:05:06,880 --> 00:05:09,000 Speaker 3: I had on the card, So shout out to the 117 00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:11,760 Speaker 3: prop bet cheat sheet. This is another five star bets. 118 00:05:11,760 --> 00:05:14,280 Speaker 3: So I'm not overthinking. I'm a boy genius, and the 119 00:05:14,279 --> 00:05:17,159 Speaker 3: genius move is to follow the five star bets. So 120 00:05:17,279 --> 00:05:19,839 Speaker 3: Matthew Stafford has attempted under thirty three and a half 121 00:05:19,880 --> 00:05:23,159 Speaker 3: passes in five of seven games this season. And that's 122 00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:26,200 Speaker 3: despite the Los Angeles Rams ranking third in pass rate 123 00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:28,719 Speaker 3: over expectation, so they are a pass first offense and 124 00:05:28,760 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 3: he is still going under this number more often than not. 125 00:05:32,400 --> 00:05:35,800 Speaker 3: The Saints aren't a matchup that you look at and say, oh, well, 126 00:05:36,000 --> 00:05:37,640 Speaker 3: the Rams are going have to be super aggressive in 127 00:05:37,680 --> 00:05:40,039 Speaker 3: this spot to beat Tyler Schuck making his first NFL 128 00:05:40,160 --> 00:05:42,680 Speaker 3: start on the road. Not the case. I think they 129 00:05:42,680 --> 00:05:44,760 Speaker 3: can feed the beast with Kyen Williams as much as 130 00:05:44,760 --> 00:05:47,200 Speaker 3: they want. Only two quarterbacks the Saints have faced this 131 00:05:47,200 --> 00:05:50,120 Speaker 3: season have gone over their passing attempts prop and gone 132 00:05:50,160 --> 00:05:52,920 Speaker 3: over thirty three and a half passing attempts. New Orleans 133 00:05:53,240 --> 00:05:56,320 Speaker 3: facing the second highest run rate this season, with teams 134 00:05:56,360 --> 00:05:58,640 Speaker 3: are running the ball against them on over fifty percent 135 00:05:58,880 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 3: of their offensive plays. Five star bet Trust the process, 136 00:06:02,880 --> 00:06:04,080 Speaker 3: trust the prop at chee chet. 137 00:06:04,160 --> 00:06:06,920 Speaker 2: I've been thinking about getting into rams. I got a Tigers, 138 00:06:06,920 --> 00:06:09,080 Speaker 2: but I like these rams. I'm gonna get into. 139 00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:11,560 Speaker 1: Busy exotic that you could possibly find there, buddy. It 140 00:06:11,920 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 1: is funny. Then those mustaches when we were merry on 141 00:06:13,960 --> 00:06:16,200 Speaker 1: the wager on the Baseball channel, they just don't stick 142 00:06:16,240 --> 00:06:18,000 Speaker 1: on very long. You get one use out of it, 143 00:06:18,040 --> 00:06:18,719 Speaker 1: that's it. 144 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:20,440 Speaker 2: I didn't even get a use out of it. This 145 00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:22,760 Speaker 2: was brand fresh new. It came with two so like, 146 00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:23,760 Speaker 2: I'm getting nothing out of it. 147 00:06:23,800 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 3: Well maybe if you guys weren't putting them over actual 148 00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:27,360 Speaker 3: facial hair that you already have. 149 00:06:27,760 --> 00:06:31,200 Speaker 1: Well, like, yeah, just because you're such a young in there. 150 00:06:31,320 --> 00:06:34,240 Speaker 1: You know, I grow a beard in an afternoon if 151 00:06:34,240 --> 00:06:35,360 Speaker 1: I want. I'm Italian. 152 00:06:35,600 --> 00:06:36,839 Speaker 3: I've been working on this for weeks. 153 00:06:36,880 --> 00:06:39,720 Speaker 1: What do you mean this takes weeks? All right? Let's 154 00:06:39,720 --> 00:06:42,200 Speaker 1: talk about CJ. Stroud here the next pick for the Welsh. 155 00:06:42,320 --> 00:06:44,960 Speaker 1: The number is two twenty two and a half here 156 00:06:45,040 --> 00:06:48,839 Speaker 1: for him. A lot of low scoring games for the 157 00:06:48,880 --> 00:06:51,720 Speaker 1: Texans this year, So how does that potentially impact this 158 00:06:51,839 --> 00:06:54,680 Speaker 1: number here when you're looking at week nine numbers? 159 00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:57,320 Speaker 2: Well, I mean that absolutely can. I mean you're talking 160 00:06:57,320 --> 00:07:00,440 Speaker 2: about efficiency and the Denver Broncos defense can be tough, 161 00:07:00,480 --> 00:07:02,359 Speaker 2: but they are going to be without Patrick Surtan and 162 00:07:02,400 --> 00:07:03,640 Speaker 2: that I gotta be honest with you. One of the 163 00:07:03,720 --> 00:07:05,839 Speaker 2: bets I was looking at was a plus money bet 164 00:07:05,880 --> 00:07:08,440 Speaker 2: on CJ. Stroud for two touchdowns, kind of like that 165 00:07:08,760 --> 00:07:10,800 Speaker 2: Jordan Love one we had from a few weeks ago. 166 00:07:10,840 --> 00:07:13,360 Speaker 2: It's at plus one forty, but I locked in on 167 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:16,080 Speaker 2: the passing yards at two twenty two point five. Broncos 168 00:07:16,200 --> 00:07:18,480 Speaker 2: they've actually given this up with Cirtan three of the 169 00:07:18,560 --> 00:07:21,720 Speaker 2: last four weeks. They'll be without him. Their run defense 170 00:07:21,720 --> 00:07:25,760 Speaker 2: should be strong, and guess what Texans can't run. They 171 00:07:25,760 --> 00:07:27,680 Speaker 2: can't run, so they've got to pass the ball. Stroud 172 00:07:27,720 --> 00:07:30,880 Speaker 2: has hit this number in four straight games and has 173 00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:35,680 Speaker 2: a mind boggling eighty eight pass attempts over the last 174 00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:38,880 Speaker 2: two games. Nico should be good out of pro to. 175 00:07:40,080 --> 00:07:41,720 Speaker 2: You're not gonna be able to run the ball efficient. 176 00:07:41,960 --> 00:07:43,920 Speaker 2: Broncos are probably gonna be able to move the ball 177 00:07:43,920 --> 00:07:45,480 Speaker 2: a decent amount. This is going to have to be 178 00:07:45,520 --> 00:07:47,920 Speaker 2: a passing game from Stroud. They're coming off of a 179 00:07:47,960 --> 00:07:49,760 Speaker 2: big level of confidence and what they were able to 180 00:07:49,800 --> 00:07:51,640 Speaker 2: do in the air against the forty nine ers. So 181 00:07:51,840 --> 00:07:55,520 Speaker 2: two twenty two point five over projections have him over 182 00:07:55,560 --> 00:07:58,120 Speaker 2: this number. PFF likes it over to twenty two. I 183 00:07:58,160 --> 00:08:00,440 Speaker 2: believe Fantasy pros is over two thirty. So we're going 184 00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:02,840 Speaker 2: to go with the easy passing yard total against a 185 00:08:02,920 --> 00:08:05,320 Speaker 2: Patrick stanlest Denver Broncos team. 186 00:08:05,880 --> 00:08:08,400 Speaker 1: Okay, so tannless. That's a terrible way to go about 187 00:08:08,400 --> 00:08:10,400 Speaker 1: Week nine. All right, let's stay in the same game 188 00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:14,120 Speaker 1: here with RJ Harvey Erickson five and a half rushing attempts. 189 00:08:14,200 --> 00:08:15,480 Speaker 1: Where's the undertaker going. 190 00:08:16,040 --> 00:08:18,680 Speaker 3: I'm going to the Broncos running back r J. Harvey 191 00:08:18,680 --> 00:08:21,040 Speaker 3: going under five and a half carries. So I am 192 00:08:21,040 --> 00:08:24,240 Speaker 3: a perfect one to zero betting unders on rushing attempts 193 00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:26,480 Speaker 3: for Denver Broncos running backs this year. That was actually 194 00:08:26,480 --> 00:08:28,120 Speaker 3: one of the bets I made last week was JK. 195 00:08:28,200 --> 00:08:31,000 Speaker 3: Dobbins going under his carries, which I still can't believe 196 00:08:31,080 --> 00:08:33,319 Speaker 3: hit because they were running the score up against the 197 00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:35,880 Speaker 3: Dallas Cowboys, and I thought that bet was dead on arrival, 198 00:08:36,160 --> 00:08:38,880 Speaker 3: but it came in trusted the prop betcheat sheet, and 199 00:08:38,880 --> 00:08:39,959 Speaker 3: I'm doing it again here with r J. 200 00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:40,400 Speaker 1: Harvey. 201 00:08:40,480 --> 00:08:42,480 Speaker 3: So when you look at Harvey, he only has six 202 00:08:42,559 --> 00:08:45,199 Speaker 3: carries in three of his eight games played this season, 203 00:08:45,559 --> 00:08:48,000 Speaker 3: and they've all been in the same type of game scripts, 204 00:08:48,040 --> 00:08:51,760 Speaker 3: positive game scripts at home against the Titans, against the Bengals, 205 00:08:51,800 --> 00:08:54,400 Speaker 3: and last week against the Dallas Cowboys. So on the 206 00:08:54,480 --> 00:08:58,000 Speaker 3: road against a really fierce Houston Texans defense, very different 207 00:08:58,040 --> 00:09:00,679 Speaker 3: situation where I don't think they'll Broncos will have the 208 00:09:00,760 --> 00:09:03,400 Speaker 3: luxury to feed RJ. Harvey extra care when we know 209 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:05,920 Speaker 3: that JK. Dobbins is really the lead back in terms 210 00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:09,680 Speaker 3: of the carry workload for the Broncos offense, and even 211 00:09:09,800 --> 00:09:12,840 Speaker 3: last week, it took two carries on the final drive 212 00:09:12,880 --> 00:09:15,400 Speaker 3: for the Broncos that already blew out the Dallas Cowboys 213 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 3: for RJ. Harvey to get over this number. So this 214 00:09:17,600 --> 00:09:19,439 Speaker 3: is another one that the prop bet cheat you really likes. 215 00:09:19,480 --> 00:09:21,240 Speaker 3: It's a five star bet and I like it too, 216 00:09:21,280 --> 00:09:24,760 Speaker 3: So under an RJ. Harvey five and a half carries you. 217 00:09:24,760 --> 00:09:27,199 Speaker 1: Know what else gets five stars, I'll tell you it's 218 00:09:27,200 --> 00:09:29,680 Speaker 1: the hard Rock Bet app. That's what does. This is 219 00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:31,960 Speaker 1: our last show before Sunday Hits and if you want 220 00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:33,959 Speaker 1: to hang out with our sponsor, and I recommend you do, 221 00:09:34,200 --> 00:09:37,360 Speaker 1: go download the hard Rock Bet sportsbook app today because 222 00:09:37,400 --> 00:09:39,240 Speaker 1: Week nine is kicking off and they got the stats 223 00:09:39,280 --> 00:09:41,000 Speaker 1: hub too, where you can bet some of these streaks 224 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:43,360 Speaker 1: that are going on, like Dallas that's won fourteen in 225 00:09:43,360 --> 00:09:46,000 Speaker 1: a row as favorites following a loss, and the Indianapolis Colts, 226 00:09:46,000 --> 00:09:48,160 Speaker 1: who are on a roll twelve game winning streak, has 227 00:09:48,200 --> 00:09:51,120 Speaker 1: favorites against the AFC. All these are out there and 228 00:09:51,200 --> 00:09:53,560 Speaker 1: many more that you can bet on this week on 229 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:56,520 Speaker 1: the hard Rock Bet app. So if you haven't already downloaded, 230 00:09:56,600 --> 00:09:58,640 Speaker 1: bet five bucks. If you win, you get one hundred 231 00:09:58,679 --> 00:10:01,959 Speaker 1: and fifteen bonus bets in that payout, plus there's rewards, 232 00:10:01,960 --> 00:10:03,920 Speaker 1: there's boost there's all kinds of fun things going on. 233 00:10:04,120 --> 00:10:07,080 Speaker 1: So download the app today and start betting at hard 234 00:10:07,160 --> 00:10:09,560 Speaker 1: Rock pet payble and bonus bets. Not a cash offer 235 00:10:09,600 --> 00:10:11,760 Speaker 1: offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida. In Florida offered 236 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:13,920 Speaker 1: by the Seminal Hard Rock Digital LLC. In other states, 237 00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:17,679 Speaker 1: must be twenty one and physically president Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, 238 00:10:17,720 --> 00:10:20,079 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia to play. Terms and 239 00:10:20,080 --> 00:10:22,840 Speaker 1: conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eighty 240 00:10:22,840 --> 00:10:25,320 Speaker 1: eight eight admit it in Indiana. If you are somebody 241 00:10:25,280 --> 00:10:27,120 Speaker 1: you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 242 00:10:27,200 --> 00:10:29,559 Speaker 1: one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called 243 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:33,560 Speaker 1: one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 244 00:10:34,679 --> 00:10:37,320 Speaker 1: All right, let's get up next for our third pick. 245 00:10:37,600 --> 00:10:38,880 Speaker 1: I was gonna say fourth. It's not that show. We 246 00:10:38,880 --> 00:10:40,360 Speaker 1: are third. We have so much more show to go. 247 00:10:40,400 --> 00:10:43,079 Speaker 1: I'm so excited. Plus touchdown calls, all these fun things. 248 00:10:43,480 --> 00:10:46,920 Speaker 1: So Wandale Robinson, both these guys have feelings about him. 249 00:10:46,920 --> 00:10:48,040 Speaker 1: I don't know if it's the same, I don't know 250 00:10:48,040 --> 00:10:51,600 Speaker 1: if it's different. Welsh, the flora is yours first. For Wandale? 251 00:10:51,679 --> 00:10:53,560 Speaker 1: Where is he going? Is he going up? Or is 252 00:10:53,559 --> 00:10:56,040 Speaker 1: he going down? This week? This game against the forty 253 00:10:56,080 --> 00:10:57,040 Speaker 1: nine ers. 254 00:10:57,000 --> 00:10:58,760 Speaker 2: He's the only thing left. He is going to be 255 00:10:58,800 --> 00:11:02,360 Speaker 2: going up forty nine point five receiving yards we are going. 256 00:11:02,520 --> 00:11:06,480 Speaker 2: Over last three weeks, Wandell has averaged seventy five yards 257 00:11:06,480 --> 00:11:09,800 Speaker 2: per game, receiving seven targets per game, and ten. 258 00:11:09,720 --> 00:11:10,640 Speaker 1: Yards per target. 259 00:11:10,679 --> 00:11:13,040 Speaker 2: I can't even try anymore with that. The forty nine 260 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:17,640 Speaker 2: ers secondary stinks. They rank thirtieth of thirty two in 261 00:11:17,720 --> 00:11:20,440 Speaker 2: coverage grade. Now here's an important thing. You look at 262 00:11:20,440 --> 00:11:24,080 Speaker 2: the three corners. The top corner, Lenoir ranks fifty four 263 00:11:24,080 --> 00:11:26,800 Speaker 2: out of like what is it, one fifteen, one eighteen, 264 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:29,680 Speaker 2: whatever it is. The other two corners ninety nine and 265 00:11:29,800 --> 00:11:33,439 Speaker 2: one thirteen. Here's another important thing. Wandell Robinson works out 266 00:11:33,440 --> 00:11:35,480 Speaker 2: of the slot. So if we're gonna talk about the 267 00:11:35,559 --> 00:11:38,840 Speaker 2: Niners being able to lock anyone down, Lenore is gonna 268 00:11:38,880 --> 00:11:41,440 Speaker 2: go lock up on Slayton on the outside. Wandale is 269 00:11:41,480 --> 00:11:45,680 Speaker 2: gonna get horrific bad bottom ten percent of the league 270 00:11:45,679 --> 00:11:48,800 Speaker 2: corners inside the slot, and Dart loves him, and slot 271 00:11:48,800 --> 00:11:51,280 Speaker 2: guys have also kind of killed the forty nine ers, 272 00:11:51,360 --> 00:11:52,680 Speaker 2: So I think they're gonna be able to move the 273 00:11:52,720 --> 00:11:55,319 Speaker 2: ball some. The projected numbers pretty tight on this. It's 274 00:11:55,360 --> 00:11:58,040 Speaker 2: around like anywhere from fifty one to fifty four. It 275 00:11:58,120 --> 00:12:00,720 Speaker 2: is still over the total. But but I think they're 276 00:12:00,720 --> 00:12:03,319 Speaker 2: going to target him often. I think he's gonna be 277 00:12:03,320 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 2: able to find soft spots in the defense because they 278 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:08,120 Speaker 2: don't have a pass rush and uped In Stout is 279 00:12:08,200 --> 00:12:10,280 Speaker 2: literally one of the worst corners in the league and 280 00:12:10,320 --> 00:12:13,679 Speaker 2: playing out of the slot. I love Wandale in this situation. 281 00:12:13,800 --> 00:12:17,720 Speaker 2: So under fifty yards, yes, please Wandell over receiving yards. 282 00:12:18,400 --> 00:12:20,760 Speaker 1: I don't know how you want to approach Wandale ericson, 283 00:12:20,840 --> 00:12:23,440 Speaker 1: but I can only assume the undertaker is going to 284 00:12:23,679 --> 00:12:25,800 Speaker 1: arise from the grave here again and go with an 285 00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:27,600 Speaker 1: under on the receptions five and a half. 286 00:12:28,000 --> 00:12:30,360 Speaker 3: Yes, I'm going to go under on the receptions. And 287 00:12:30,400 --> 00:12:32,160 Speaker 3: this is a constant battle we always have when we 288 00:12:32,200 --> 00:12:33,800 Speaker 3: talk about receivers on the show. Whether you like the 289 00:12:33,880 --> 00:12:36,040 Speaker 3: yardage with you like the receptions, and so I'm approach 290 00:12:36,080 --> 00:12:38,520 Speaker 3: it from a different angle. And I don't disagree with 291 00:12:38,559 --> 00:12:40,959 Speaker 3: anything Welsh had to say about Wandell in the matchup. 292 00:12:40,960 --> 00:12:43,480 Speaker 3: For him, he should be efficient with the targets he gets. 293 00:12:43,840 --> 00:12:46,200 Speaker 3: I'm just concerned about the sheer amount of volume that 294 00:12:46,240 --> 00:12:49,440 Speaker 3: he will see because it hasn't been nearly as much 295 00:12:49,520 --> 00:12:51,840 Speaker 3: volume for Wandale the last couple of weeks when Darius 296 00:12:51,840 --> 00:12:54,400 Speaker 3: Slayton has been back in the lineup. You look at 297 00:12:54,480 --> 00:12:56,520 Speaker 3: last week, he was quiet. He zero catched in the 298 00:12:56,520 --> 00:12:58,600 Speaker 3: first half. He finished with three catches of forty eight 299 00:12:58,679 --> 00:13:01,480 Speaker 3: yards on just four targets, and his target share has 300 00:13:01,520 --> 00:13:03,839 Speaker 3: taken a massive nose dive with Darius Slayton back the 301 00:13:03,920 --> 00:13:06,880 Speaker 3: last two weeks twenty nine percent target share without Slayton 302 00:13:06,920 --> 00:13:09,440 Speaker 3: in the lineup, nineteen percent with him. In the last 303 00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:12,040 Speaker 3: two games, he's under five and a half catches. He's 304 00:13:12,040 --> 00:13:14,000 Speaker 3: not gone over five and a half catches any game 305 00:13:14,040 --> 00:13:16,959 Speaker 3: that Jackson Dart started this year where Darius Slayton was 306 00:13:17,000 --> 00:13:19,280 Speaker 3: also active, So the target shair is a little bit 307 00:13:19,320 --> 00:13:21,600 Speaker 3: more flat. But it's not to say that Walsh's bet 308 00:13:21,640 --> 00:13:23,840 Speaker 3: and my bet can't both hit right. That's still in 309 00:13:23,840 --> 00:13:26,959 Speaker 3: the range of outcomes. And if you actually parlay these together, 310 00:13:27,360 --> 00:13:30,640 Speaker 3: because they are deemed as non correlated picks, it's actually 311 00:13:30,679 --> 00:13:32,959 Speaker 3: plus five hundred that you can get if you kind 312 00:13:32,960 --> 00:13:34,679 Speaker 3: of thread the needle with this type of bet. So 313 00:13:34,920 --> 00:13:36,600 Speaker 3: if you think that me and Walsh are really really sharp, 314 00:13:36,640 --> 00:13:39,760 Speaker 3: I am a boy genius and he is the Tiger King. 315 00:13:40,280 --> 00:13:43,400 Speaker 1: This is a fun bet to make, all right. And 316 00:13:43,440 --> 00:13:45,280 Speaker 1: of course whenever your betting props, use the prop bet 317 00:13:45,320 --> 00:13:47,439 Speaker 1: cheat sheet over a betting pros. That's the tool right there. 318 00:13:47,440 --> 00:13:51,040 Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com slash props is where you find it. Passing, rushing, receiving. 319 00:13:51,080 --> 00:13:53,600 Speaker 1: All the stack categories are there. It takes the value 320 00:13:53,920 --> 00:13:55,960 Speaker 1: and all the ranks against the projections and then shows 321 00:13:55,960 --> 00:13:57,920 Speaker 1: you the best place to bet them all. So use 322 00:13:57,960 --> 00:13:59,880 Speaker 1: the prop bet cheat sheet along with all the other tools. 323 00:14:00,200 --> 00:14:02,480 Speaker 1: Don't be a tool, use the tools at BP. Next 324 00:14:02,559 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 1: up here Rock Bowers returning healthy Welsh. What does that 325 00:14:05,960 --> 00:14:08,559 Speaker 1: mean for his forty nine and a half receiving yard 326 00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:09,360 Speaker 1: total this week? 327 00:14:09,640 --> 00:14:11,360 Speaker 2: We only had to bring this back one more time 328 00:14:11,400 --> 00:14:15,560 Speaker 2: because we got to go that which Travis Hunter ruined 329 00:14:15,559 --> 00:14:18,160 Speaker 2: my day. He ruined my day because I had a 330 00:14:18,200 --> 00:14:18,800 Speaker 2: Travis I. 331 00:14:18,760 --> 00:14:20,720 Speaker 1: Just traded for him two days ago, two days ago, 332 00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:22,080 Speaker 1: having to trade in the league formal, I was like, oh, 333 00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:23,520 Speaker 1: look at this, I did a good job here getting 334 00:14:23,520 --> 00:14:25,440 Speaker 1: Travis Hunter. Rest of season is gonna be great. And 335 00:14:25,480 --> 00:14:28,040 Speaker 1: then not only easy hurt and it's like mysterious and 336 00:14:28,080 --> 00:14:30,040 Speaker 1: next thing you know, he's on the IR for God's sakes, 337 00:14:30,040 --> 00:14:31,200 Speaker 1: and I still don't even know why. 338 00:14:31,480 --> 00:14:33,240 Speaker 2: We can't give them credit. At least they didn't hide 339 00:14:33,280 --> 00:14:34,920 Speaker 2: this and then just like he didn't show up. But 340 00:14:35,280 --> 00:14:37,600 Speaker 2: one of the very first bets that I had locked 341 00:14:37,640 --> 00:14:40,240 Speaker 2: in was Travis Hunter. I had also put him in 342 00:14:40,280 --> 00:14:42,680 Speaker 2: the touchdown. So I woke up this morning having to 343 00:14:43,280 --> 00:14:46,880 Speaker 2: pavet I had to move off of him. Luckily I 344 00:14:46,920 --> 00:14:48,720 Speaker 2: was able to stay in the same game once I 345 00:14:48,840 --> 00:14:51,320 Speaker 2: went through it all. Because we are going to go 346 00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:54,920 Speaker 2: from injured to returned Rock Bowers. 347 00:14:54,920 --> 00:14:55,920 Speaker 1: We're gonna go brock. 348 00:14:55,720 --> 00:14:59,320 Speaker 2: Bowers over receiving yards at forty nine point five, very 349 00:14:59,320 --> 00:15:02,600 Speaker 2: close actually to the number of Travis Hunter. Why we'll 350 00:15:02,760 --> 00:15:06,560 Speaker 2: glad you asked. Number one tight end matchup rating according 351 00:15:06,560 --> 00:15:08,880 Speaker 2: to PFF for any tight end is brock Bowers. On 352 00:15:08,960 --> 00:15:12,680 Speaker 2: this return, the Jaggawars are averaging five and a half 353 00:15:12,720 --> 00:15:15,360 Speaker 2: catches in over sixty yards receiving to tight end. So 354 00:15:15,400 --> 00:15:18,080 Speaker 2: far this year, they have given this up to opposing 355 00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:20,080 Speaker 2: tight ends four straight weeks. 356 00:15:20,440 --> 00:15:21,520 Speaker 1: Through the first four. 357 00:15:21,320 --> 00:15:24,200 Speaker 2: Weeks since Bowers missed in time, Bowers had a twenty 358 00:15:24,240 --> 00:15:27,520 Speaker 2: four percent first read percentage and average over fifty yards 359 00:15:27,560 --> 00:15:30,160 Speaker 2: fifty six yards per game was his average. By the way, 360 00:15:30,160 --> 00:15:33,000 Speaker 2: that first read percentage was fourth among all tight ends. 361 00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:36,320 Speaker 2: So he's back they slaying the ball. They're probably going 362 00:15:36,400 --> 00:15:38,280 Speaker 2: to have the ball more than the Jags. That offense 363 00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:39,200 Speaker 2: is going to be the law. 364 00:15:39,880 --> 00:15:41,000 Speaker 1: But he's going to get back to it. 365 00:15:41,160 --> 00:15:43,720 Speaker 2: So brock Bowers is our pivot off of Travis Hunter. 366 00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:46,520 Speaker 2: So if we don't hit this one, it's Travis Hunter's fault. 367 00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:48,000 Speaker 2: We will try to recover. 368 00:15:48,560 --> 00:15:50,400 Speaker 1: We will do our best. We will do our best 369 00:15:50,400 --> 00:15:52,720 Speaker 1: to recover. All right, let's talk about I can't believe 370 00:15:52,720 --> 00:15:54,400 Speaker 1: that I'm more of this in this show, but the 371 00:15:54,400 --> 00:15:58,320 Speaker 1: Bill's Chiefs Game annually one of the biggest rated games here. 372 00:15:58,400 --> 00:16:00,440 Speaker 1: Everybody's going to be involved with it. So I know 373 00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:03,160 Speaker 1: I've got a little touchdown call later in the show 374 00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:06,120 Speaker 1: regarding this game. But Andrew, what's your favorite bet in 375 00:16:06,160 --> 00:16:09,040 Speaker 1: this big time matchup with these AFC powerhouses. 376 00:16:09,640 --> 00:16:12,520 Speaker 3: I'm taking the over on Rashie Rice six and a 377 00:16:12,560 --> 00:16:15,080 Speaker 3: half receptions. I actually almost had a card of all unders, 378 00:16:15,080 --> 00:16:17,640 Speaker 3: but then I realized, as Jimmy Neutron and I'm synonymously 379 00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:20,440 Speaker 3: with rocket and rocket emojis, I couldn't just have all 380 00:16:20,520 --> 00:16:22,600 Speaker 3: unders on the card. So Rashie Rice is my over 381 00:16:22,720 --> 00:16:25,520 Speaker 3: for the week here, and it's because Rushi Rice is 382 00:16:25,520 --> 00:16:27,600 Speaker 3: going to catch at least five balls in every single 383 00:16:27,600 --> 00:16:29,760 Speaker 3: game that he plays this year. I'm just totally convinced 384 00:16:29,760 --> 00:16:31,720 Speaker 3: the way that he has used in this Chiefs offense 385 00:16:32,000 --> 00:16:35,120 Speaker 3: as that number one underneath option, he just gets peppered 386 00:16:35,200 --> 00:16:37,720 Speaker 3: with targets that's always seen. Since he's come back from 387 00:16:37,720 --> 00:16:40,880 Speaker 3: his suspension, seven plus catches in back to back games 388 00:16:40,880 --> 00:16:44,480 Speaker 3: with the league leading forty percent target rate per ut run. 389 00:16:44,640 --> 00:16:46,720 Speaker 3: He's being targeted on nearly half the routes that he 390 00:16:46,800 --> 00:16:49,680 Speaker 3: is running this season against the Buffalo Bills and a 391 00:16:49,720 --> 00:16:51,880 Speaker 3: matchup where the Chiefs actually might have to play a 392 00:16:51,880 --> 00:16:54,520 Speaker 3: full four quarters as opposed to blowing out every other 393 00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:56,520 Speaker 3: team that they've done the last two weeks. So you're 394 00:16:56,520 --> 00:16:59,400 Speaker 3: getting Rice in a potential shootout game environment, which has 395 00:16:59,400 --> 00:17:01,440 Speaker 3: not been the case the last two weeks against the 396 00:17:01,520 --> 00:17:04,359 Speaker 3: Raiders and the Washington Commanders. I mean, he could catch 397 00:17:04,359 --> 00:17:06,760 Speaker 3: ten balls in this matchup. So I think this is 398 00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:08,520 Speaker 3: just going to be a staple on my betting card 399 00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:11,359 Speaker 3: every single week until Rice gives me another reason or 400 00:17:11,359 --> 00:17:13,720 Speaker 3: the line moves to nine and a half receptions because 401 00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:15,520 Speaker 3: I just think that he's going to catch so many 402 00:17:15,560 --> 00:17:18,000 Speaker 3: balls every single week. The Bills have allowed seven plus 403 00:17:18,000 --> 00:17:21,800 Speaker 3: catches to opposing number ones over their last three games. 404 00:17:21,960 --> 00:17:24,200 Speaker 3: And if you look back to last season when Race 405 00:17:24,560 --> 00:17:26,879 Speaker 3: was the number one receiver for the Chiefs, it was 406 00:17:26,880 --> 00:17:28,920 Speaker 3: only one game where he failed to have at least 407 00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:31,359 Speaker 3: seven catches. So I think this one's a layout. 408 00:17:31,560 --> 00:17:33,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, you certainly come back with the vengeance, that's for sure. 409 00:17:33,520 --> 00:17:36,880 Speaker 2: Before we go to the next one, Joe, you look 410 00:17:37,200 --> 00:17:40,040 Speaker 2: ridiculously like Ray Masterio Junior. I just want to point 411 00:17:40,080 --> 00:17:41,040 Speaker 2: that out if we haven't said that. 412 00:17:41,080 --> 00:17:41,639 Speaker 1: I was looking. 413 00:17:41,800 --> 00:17:44,600 Speaker 2: First off, I'm dying because you almost you have like 414 00:17:44,640 --> 00:17:46,960 Speaker 2: a cross eyed look with the mask. That is killing 415 00:17:47,040 --> 00:17:48,280 Speaker 2: me as I got a few. 416 00:17:48,160 --> 00:17:50,920 Speaker 1: Contacts like old school like WCW one like. 417 00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:53,040 Speaker 2: But we just need to acknowledge, right, let me go 418 00:17:53,080 --> 00:17:54,880 Speaker 2: down here with my mustache because I moved it onto 419 00:17:54,920 --> 00:17:58,120 Speaker 2: the microphone. Joe, we just need to acknowledge you look 420 00:17:58,320 --> 00:18:01,120 Speaker 2: so much like Ray Mysterio ju. I want to bring 421 00:18:01,160 --> 00:18:03,560 Speaker 2: you and I want to I'm wanna show you to people. 422 00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:06,720 Speaker 1: Well, I appreciate that I'm a big fan of Ray. 423 00:18:07,200 --> 00:18:08,720 Speaker 1: I cap we're still out there doing it too. I 424 00:18:08,800 --> 00:18:10,359 Speaker 1: know he's been hurt last couple of years, a little 425 00:18:10,359 --> 00:18:12,680 Speaker 1: bit off and on, but guy's fifty years old. He's 426 00:18:12,720 --> 00:18:14,679 Speaker 1: still out there rocking and rolling. Gotta love that. 427 00:18:15,280 --> 00:18:16,520 Speaker 2: Do the six one nine real quick? 428 00:18:16,680 --> 00:18:18,879 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, sure, I'll be right back. No, yeah, that 429 00:18:19,000 --> 00:18:20,679 Speaker 1: is a really hard move to do, by the way. 430 00:18:20,720 --> 00:18:25,080 Speaker 1: People don't understand that. Look all day. That's and I've 431 00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:28,199 Speaker 1: hurt myself numerous times trying to do it. All right, Welsh, 432 00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:31,040 Speaker 1: You've got one more selection here, Darnaul Mooney coming up here. 433 00:18:31,080 --> 00:18:33,840 Speaker 1: Receptions under three and a half is where you're gonna 434 00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:37,000 Speaker 1: live on this one. That Patriots defense has been really good, 435 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:40,480 Speaker 1: and the quarterback play last week certainly wasn't great. Kirk 436 00:18:40,520 --> 00:18:44,040 Speaker 1: Cousins was there. Michael Pennock's under center now this week, 437 00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:46,440 Speaker 1: so hopefully things improve, But it doesn't look like you 438 00:18:46,440 --> 00:18:48,280 Speaker 1: think they're going to prove enough for Darnault Moody in 439 00:18:48,359 --> 00:18:49,120 Speaker 1: terms of volume. 440 00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:51,880 Speaker 2: We're gonna keep an under in here. We're gonna makes 441 00:18:51,920 --> 00:18:54,439 Speaker 2: me crazy, makes me Joe Exotic crazy when I have 442 00:18:54,480 --> 00:18:57,119 Speaker 2: to find unders. But sometimes they just fall into my 443 00:18:57,200 --> 00:18:59,159 Speaker 2: lap and then I cage them and I show them 444 00:18:59,160 --> 00:19:01,240 Speaker 2: to people illegally and That's what I'm gonna do with 445 00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:05,119 Speaker 2: Darnell Mooney and his under receptions prop this week. It 446 00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:07,800 Speaker 2: feels illegal to be able to do it, but I'm 447 00:19:07,840 --> 00:19:10,120 Speaker 2: going to bet the under three and a half receptions 448 00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:13,359 Speaker 2: New England. How about top two corners with a top 449 00:19:13,480 --> 00:19:15,200 Speaker 2: twenty overall coverage grade. 450 00:19:15,320 --> 00:19:15,840 Speaker 1: How about this. 451 00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:20,280 Speaker 2: Mooney has had four receptions once this entire season, and 452 00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:22,480 Speaker 2: if we get Drake Lennon back, that's a beautiful thing. 453 00:19:22,800 --> 00:19:25,280 Speaker 2: I also think the team is going to revert back 454 00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:27,840 Speaker 2: to getting as much of Bijon as they possibly can, 455 00:19:28,320 --> 00:19:30,879 Speaker 2: So I am going to go with one of my 456 00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:34,880 Speaker 2: patented unders. It's kind of stinky, it's kind of gross projections. 457 00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:37,879 Speaker 2: Have the yards over on this one, but four receptions 458 00:19:37,880 --> 00:19:40,119 Speaker 2: seems like a tall task against his very good New 459 00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:40,920 Speaker 2: England defense. 460 00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:41,160 Speaker 1: Win. 461 00:19:41,600 --> 00:19:44,679 Speaker 2: Darnell Mooney just doesn't do it in general. So under 462 00:19:44,840 --> 00:19:47,640 Speaker 2: three and a half receptions for the Mooney. 463 00:19:47,840 --> 00:19:50,720 Speaker 1: All right, Monday Night, We've got the Arizona Cardinals, We've 464 00:19:50,760 --> 00:19:54,120 Speaker 1: got the Dallas Cowboys, and typically when we have the Cowboys, 465 00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:56,480 Speaker 1: we got a lot of overs. But of course the 466 00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:58,600 Speaker 1: undertaker doesn't care about that. He's the only guy that 467 00:19:58,640 --> 00:20:00,800 Speaker 1: can find an under in a game with Cowboys in it. 468 00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:02,840 Speaker 1: So let's talk about Bam Knight on the other side 469 00:20:02,960 --> 00:20:06,000 Speaker 1: of this contest with the Arizona Cardinals. You're targeting their 470 00:20:06,040 --> 00:20:07,639 Speaker 1: receptions here at the two and a half. 471 00:20:07,760 --> 00:20:10,920 Speaker 3: Why it's five star bet on the betting Pros prop 472 00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:13,560 Speaker 3: bet sheet sheet and I'm backing it because when you 473 00:20:13,560 --> 00:20:15,600 Speaker 3: look at Bam Knight and what his role is with 474 00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:18,240 Speaker 3: the Arizona Cardinals, he is the early down hammer, like 475 00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:20,960 Speaker 3: that is his role for this offense. What we've seen 476 00:20:21,080 --> 00:20:25,199 Speaker 3: when Imi Demarcado and Michael Carter are playing and active, 477 00:20:25,600 --> 00:20:27,680 Speaker 3: they're usually the players that see more of the pass 478 00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:30,480 Speaker 3: down usage and it's not really Bam Knight. So last 479 00:20:30,480 --> 00:20:33,080 Speaker 3: three games, Knight has never actually led the Arizona Cardinals 480 00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:35,400 Speaker 3: backfield in terms of routes run out of the backfield. 481 00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:37,160 Speaker 3: He's gone under two and a half catches in both 482 00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:40,439 Speaker 3: games that Am de Mercado has played this season. So 483 00:20:40,520 --> 00:20:42,399 Speaker 3: I expect de Mercado after the bye week to be 484 00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:44,560 Speaker 3: back and healthy in the lineup. I expect him to 485 00:20:44,560 --> 00:20:46,720 Speaker 3: play on the majority of third downs. And we look 486 00:20:46,760 --> 00:20:49,879 Speaker 3: at when Knight actually went over this number, which was 487 00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:52,000 Speaker 3: against Green Bay. He had two catches on the two 488 00:20:52,040 --> 00:20:54,480 Speaker 3: minute drill, So there's not even a guarantee that they 489 00:20:54,480 --> 00:20:56,960 Speaker 3: have a two minute drill situation where Jacoby Brissett or 490 00:20:57,000 --> 00:20:59,200 Speaker 3: Kyler Murray can dump the ball off to a guy 491 00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:00,800 Speaker 3: like Knight out of the back field. And it's just 492 00:21:00,800 --> 00:21:02,439 Speaker 3: not a role that he usually has when the other 493 00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:04,919 Speaker 3: running backs are healthy. So I think this was a layup. 494 00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:06,600 Speaker 3: He's going to see a lot of carries against a 495 00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:09,400 Speaker 3: really bad Dallas Cowboys run defense. I don't think he's 496 00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:11,080 Speaker 3: gonna catch that many passes, so under two and a 497 00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:13,640 Speaker 3: half receptions as my final bet and my final five 498 00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:17,000 Speaker 3: star bet. Courtesy of the Betting Pros prop bet Cheat Cheat. 499 00:21:17,359 --> 00:21:21,000 Speaker 1: All Right, touchdown time, everybody, and the Touchdown Score Report 500 00:21:21,040 --> 00:21:23,760 Speaker 1: is available right now at bettingpros dot com. Slash touchdown 501 00:21:23,880 --> 00:21:26,840 Speaker 1: for the latest prop analysis on TDS. If you want 502 00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:28,560 Speaker 1: to know who's going to find paydirt, who's going to 503 00:21:28,600 --> 00:21:31,399 Speaker 1: cross that goal line, well this is the way to 504 00:21:31,400 --> 00:21:33,560 Speaker 1: do it. Use the Touchdown Score Report helps identify the 505 00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:36,639 Speaker 1: very best in any time touchdown bets. And I'm gonna 506 00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:39,800 Speaker 1: start with a two to one Jonathan Taylor one. You 507 00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:41,800 Speaker 1: got to go to two touchdowns to do this, but 508 00:21:42,040 --> 00:21:43,920 Speaker 1: that's kind of what Jonathan Taylor does, and I think 509 00:21:43,960 --> 00:21:45,359 Speaker 1: when the Colts go on the road, they're going to 510 00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:48,520 Speaker 1: once again rely quite heavily on Jonathan Taylor. And watching 511 00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:52,840 Speaker 1: that Pittsburgh Steeler defense keep cashing checks and not tackling anybody, 512 00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:55,000 Speaker 1: I gotta say, man, I don't see how Jonathan Taylor 513 00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:57,320 Speaker 1: doesn't find the end zone again twice. So I'll go 514 00:21:57,320 --> 00:21:58,840 Speaker 1: two to one on this one. I know it's risky, 515 00:21:59,080 --> 00:22:01,720 Speaker 1: but Jonathan Taylor is just continuing to just shove the 516 00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:03,920 Speaker 1: ball down people's throats. And I think the Colts are 517 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:06,200 Speaker 1: just doing a hell of a job there. And I'll 518 00:22:06,240 --> 00:22:07,679 Speaker 1: tell you what, They're gonna win a playoff game at 519 00:22:07,760 --> 00:22:09,760 Speaker 1: least one. I'm telling you right now, someone's gonna be like, well, 520 00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:11,639 Speaker 1: maybe the Colts aren't that good, and they're gonna be 521 00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:13,479 Speaker 1: pinned against somebody else and they're gonna come out victorious. 522 00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:15,200 Speaker 1: I'm telling you right now. And then the other one's 523 00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:16,919 Speaker 1: just slamm dunk. I know Welsh is in with this 524 00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:19,399 Speaker 1: one too, and I can't afford to be wrong because 525 00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:22,000 Speaker 1: now I'm trailing Andrew Rickson. So Kareem Hunt is going 526 00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:24,199 Speaker 1: to get in the end zone. Plus one fifteen. I 527 00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:26,560 Speaker 1: don't see a way he's not this week, but Checko 528 00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:28,520 Speaker 1: is not playing in this game. I know Brichhard Smith 529 00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:30,359 Speaker 1: is gonna work a little bit more, but when they 530 00:22:30,359 --> 00:22:32,080 Speaker 1: get down that goal line, it seems to be Kareem 531 00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:33,800 Speaker 1: Hunt all the time. I think you can even little 532 00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:37,440 Speaker 1: Kareem Hunt first half touchdown or maybe even two touchdowns, 533 00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:39,439 Speaker 1: that could be one to bet, but just getting the 534 00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:41,360 Speaker 1: one that's still in plus money. Let's take it while 535 00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:43,560 Speaker 1: it's still plus before it goes to minus. And Welsh 536 00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:46,000 Speaker 1: you tend to agree with me here on Kareem Hunt. 537 00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:49,119 Speaker 2: I'm let it be known I was there first with it. 538 00:22:49,280 --> 00:22:51,919 Speaker 2: I actually bet this one on Tuesday. I bet this 539 00:22:51,960 --> 00:22:54,399 Speaker 2: one immediately. Maybe it was Wednesday, but I bet this 540 00:22:54,560 --> 00:22:56,720 Speaker 2: days ago because I didn't want this to move. And 541 00:22:56,760 --> 00:22:57,760 Speaker 2: it is still plus money. 542 00:22:57,800 --> 00:22:59,800 Speaker 1: So I was one five and some other markets on 543 00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:01,080 Speaker 1: ready I could tell. 544 00:23:00,920 --> 00:23:03,280 Speaker 2: You yeah, and you can also tell like it's going 545 00:23:03,359 --> 00:23:05,919 Speaker 2: to probably get to like even or minus money as 546 00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:09,280 Speaker 2: went once Pacheco is listed as out. My second one 547 00:23:09,320 --> 00:23:12,639 Speaker 2: was Travis Hunter. I definitely gave some thought to wanting 548 00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:15,200 Speaker 2: to get a bangle or a lion, but I'm trying 549 00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:18,960 Speaker 2: to move away from capturing all these cats, so I'm 550 00:23:19,000 --> 00:23:21,200 Speaker 2: going to stay in that same game, and I am 551 00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:23,600 Speaker 2: not going with the cat that I had originally picked 552 00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:26,119 Speaker 2: in Travis Hunter and a Jaguar. I'm going with a Raider, 553 00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:27,680 Speaker 2: Rock Bowers. 554 00:23:27,720 --> 00:23:29,240 Speaker 1: I had the receiving yards. 555 00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:31,680 Speaker 2: Jacks have given up touchdowns to tight ends in three 556 00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:34,280 Speaker 2: of the last four games, and when brock Bauers is active, 557 00:23:34,320 --> 00:23:36,359 Speaker 2: he was getting the most in zone targets. So plus 558 00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:38,000 Speaker 2: one sixty five for brock Bowers. 559 00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:42,040 Speaker 1: No kiddies, No kiddies, no, I'm really excited to see 560 00:23:42,080 --> 00:23:44,199 Speaker 1: a healthy brock Bowers again because we haven't seen it 561 00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:46,840 Speaker 1: all year, and hopefully that's a positive effect on geno. 562 00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:49,159 Speaker 1: God knows we could use it there. I think I 563 00:23:49,200 --> 00:23:52,160 Speaker 1: already said this. My upset special is actually looking pretty good. 564 00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:52,320 Speaker 4: Now. 565 00:23:52,320 --> 00:23:54,600 Speaker 1: There was before the Travis Hunter news that broke this 566 00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:57,680 Speaker 1: morning yesterday, Ericson, I'll tell you it was the Las 567 00:23:57,760 --> 00:23:59,359 Speaker 1: Vegas Raider, So if he locked that in early, it 568 00:23:59,440 --> 00:24:02,359 Speaker 1: might be even bet Right now, Andrew Erickson, since you're 569 00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:03,639 Speaker 1: at the top of the board, you get to go 570 00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:05,879 Speaker 1: last here on the show for your touchdown calls. So 571 00:24:06,280 --> 00:24:08,600 Speaker 1: no pressure here, no pressure. I don't want you to 572 00:24:08,600 --> 00:24:10,359 Speaker 1: give up your lead where you're going for your touchdown 573 00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:11,560 Speaker 1: calls for Week nine. 574 00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:13,439 Speaker 3: I mean, I don't know if I can go another 575 00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:15,440 Speaker 3: two and oh week where I just sweep the board 576 00:24:15,480 --> 00:24:17,280 Speaker 3: with a touchdown. So I'm hedging a little bit by 577 00:24:17,320 --> 00:24:20,960 Speaker 3: betting on two different Bears rookies to score touchdown this 578 00:24:21,040 --> 00:24:23,560 Speaker 3: week because chances are they're probably not both not going 579 00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:25,399 Speaker 3: to score, but I bet of both of them, I 580 00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:26,840 Speaker 3: think one of the least will find the end zone 581 00:24:26,840 --> 00:24:29,560 Speaker 3: because the Bengals, again, they're the worst defense that's playing 582 00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:33,040 Speaker 3: on Sunday because Cowboys play on Monday. So Kyle manung 583 00:24:33,040 --> 00:24:37,080 Speaker 3: guy plus one forty anytime touchdown. He has a standalone roll, 584 00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:39,439 Speaker 3: even alongside Downdrey Swift, and Swift has been on the 585 00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:41,960 Speaker 3: injury report all week, so we could see Kyle Munguy 586 00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:44,679 Speaker 3: in expanded role against a terrible Bengals run defense that 587 00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:47,320 Speaker 3: continues to get truck sticked by posing running backs. I 588 00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:48,880 Speaker 3: know the Bears would like to lean on the run 589 00:24:48,880 --> 00:24:50,640 Speaker 3: game if they are able to, I think they will 590 00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:52,159 Speaker 3: hear in the spot and the other thing that the 591 00:24:52,160 --> 00:24:55,439 Speaker 3: Bengals are terrible against guarding tight ends. They've allowed the 592 00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:58,360 Speaker 3: most touchdowns to tight ends. They're still Pittsburgh Steelers tight 593 00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:02,320 Speaker 3: ends scoring against this Bengals defense. So Colston Lovelin the 594 00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:05,480 Speaker 3: rookie from Michigan. A lot of the receivers for the 595 00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:07,639 Speaker 3: Bears and Cocmett are a little bit banged up. I 596 00:25:07,640 --> 00:25:10,240 Speaker 3: think Loven is in for a breakout game here. The 597 00:25:10,359 --> 00:25:12,280 Speaker 3: usage is pretty solid last week, didn't pop in the 598 00:25:12,280 --> 00:25:14,080 Speaker 3: box score. He did have a red zone target, did 599 00:25:14,080 --> 00:25:16,320 Speaker 3: not score. I think this is a breakout game for him. 600 00:25:16,320 --> 00:25:18,320 Speaker 3: I think he finds the Enzo plus three hundred for 601 00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:20,800 Speaker 3: Coles to loving to score against Cincinnati Bengals. 602 00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:24,359 Speaker 1: I'll tell you this, if Caleb Williams looks bad against 603 00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:27,640 Speaker 1: the Cincinnati Bengals hot take, they should give a shot 604 00:25:27,680 --> 00:25:30,120 Speaker 1: out there to Tyson Page and just let's see, let's 605 00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:32,800 Speaker 1: see what it is. Can't be worse. Maybe, I don't know, 606 00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:36,080 Speaker 1: we'll see. So those are what the prop bets are 607 00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:38,040 Speaker 1: and the touchdown calls for week nine. Who's finding the 608 00:25:38,119 --> 00:25:40,840 Speaker 1: end zone in your opinion? Drop your comments below the 609 00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:43,240 Speaker 1: YouTube channel comments. We'd love to hear from all of you. 610 00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:45,439 Speaker 1: And of course don't forget to subscribe to the channel. 611 00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:47,040 Speaker 1: Make sure you ring the belt of that goes thing 612 00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:49,320 Speaker 1: for notifications so you never miss a piece of content 613 00:25:49,560 --> 00:25:53,440 Speaker 1: on this championship channel that is Betting Pros. I want 614 00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:56,680 Speaker 1: to thank my two wonderful co hosts here on the channel. 615 00:25:56,720 --> 00:25:59,359 Speaker 1: Let's get that mustache back on for the Welsh So 616 00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:03,399 Speaker 1: the Tiger King and for Jimmy Neutron, I am the 617 00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:07,240 Speaker 1: Lucha d'Or Joey p. We'll see you next time. Kids. 618 00:26:07,359 --> 00:26:09,080 Speaker 1: Enjoy Week nine. Gotta blast. 619 00:26:09,160 --> 00:26:10,640 Speaker 2: This was my one call for the day. 620 00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:14,199 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 621 00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:16,600 Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 622 00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:20,040 Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 623 00:26:20,320 --> 00:26:22,960 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 624 00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:26,679 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 625 00:26:26,760 --> 00:26:29,240 Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros