1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,080 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio News. 2 00:00:07,400 --> 00:00:10,680 Speaker 2: A really good morning for big tech following big results 3 00:00:10,680 --> 00:00:13,920 Speaker 2: and the latest earnings reports. Both Microsoft and Meta platforms 4 00:00:13,960 --> 00:00:17,440 Speaker 2: are surging pre market after results suggesting the arms race 5 00:00:17,480 --> 00:00:21,439 Speaker 2: and artificial intelligence spending maybe starting to pay off. Joining 6 00:00:21,520 --> 00:00:24,040 Speaker 2: us now as someone who's been sounding the drumbeat on 7 00:00:24,079 --> 00:00:26,640 Speaker 2: the promise of AI, Dan Ives, Global head of Tech 8 00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:30,520 Speaker 2: Research at Webbush Securities, you must be feeling really good 9 00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:33,000 Speaker 2: this morning, Dan, and I want to start right off 10 00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:36,160 Speaker 2: with your latest note on Microsoft. You're raising your price 11 00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:40,800 Speaker 2: target on the stock to six twenty five. Microsoft's already 12 00:00:40,840 --> 00:00:44,400 Speaker 2: poised to become another four trillion dollar company this morning. 13 00:00:44,760 --> 00:00:48,560 Speaker 2: What gets Microsoft to five trillion in your view? Good morning? 14 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:51,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, good morning. Look Neat, I mean me and you 15 00:00:51,320 --> 00:00:54,000 Speaker 1: have pub us for years. I think this is a 16 00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:58,680 Speaker 1: watershed moment, not just from Microsoft, from Meta and what 17 00:00:58,760 --> 00:01:01,360 Speaker 1: it means for big when it comes to the AI 18 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:05,959 Speaker 1: revolution hitting its next stage or growth. Look Microsoft, I 19 00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:10,160 Speaker 1: believe Microsoft and Nvidia will be five trillion dollars mark 20 00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:14,000 Speaker 1: caps in twenty twenty six. We are just starting this 21 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:16,280 Speaker 1: next stage of the AI revolution. 22 00:01:18,200 --> 00:01:21,560 Speaker 2: We saw thirty nine percent sales jump in particular for 23 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 2: Azure Cloud. A big piece of this as well is 24 00:01:25,760 --> 00:01:29,959 Speaker 2: that kind of growth sustainable, those kinds of solid double 25 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:31,240 Speaker 2: digit sales returns. 26 00:01:31,959 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 1: Look, these are jaw dropping numbers. I mean when you 27 00:01:35,160 --> 00:01:37,520 Speaker 1: think about cloud and even some of the strength that 28 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:42,600 Speaker 1: we are expecting coming in, it's one where enterprises are 29 00:01:42,720 --> 00:01:47,280 Speaker 1: lining up with Microsoft given what we're seeing in AI. Now, 30 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:51,400 Speaker 1: Look will that eventually moderate? Of course, what this essentially 31 00:01:51,480 --> 00:01:58,160 Speaker 1: means is Microsoft is almost creating another company within Microsoft 32 00:01:58,200 --> 00:02:02,120 Speaker 1: in terms of AI that I believe right now, you know, 33 00:02:02,160 --> 00:02:05,240 Speaker 1: they're kind of leading the race when it comes to cloud, 34 00:02:05,440 --> 00:02:08,960 Speaker 1: ahead of Amazon of course, you know Google. 35 00:02:09,200 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 2: In terms of what enterprise customers are getting out of 36 00:02:13,240 --> 00:02:17,320 Speaker 2: that race. Of course, we've seen the strides they've made 37 00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:20,760 Speaker 2: with Microsoft Copilot. What other use cases do you see 38 00:02:20,800 --> 00:02:23,880 Speaker 2: Microsoft putting out there for a broader market? 39 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:26,400 Speaker 1: Look, I think it's across verticals. I mean, that's why 40 00:02:26,440 --> 00:02:30,040 Speaker 1: you're seeing customers lining up. And look at Microsoft there 41 00:02:30,120 --> 00:02:32,919 Speaker 1: now for cap backs. Originally you're an eighty billion, now 42 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:36,680 Speaker 1: you're one hundred and twenty million. So as they're expanding, 43 00:02:36,720 --> 00:02:39,720 Speaker 1: as you saw Alphabet do the same thing, this arms 44 00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:42,200 Speaker 1: race is just starting. But I said, like, look, this 45 00:02:42,280 --> 00:02:45,799 Speaker 1: is a scottis shop for a quarter from Microsoft. But 46 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:50,640 Speaker 1: it's not the end. It's actually the beginning of the second, third, 47 00:02:50,720 --> 00:02:55,000 Speaker 1: fourth derivatives playing out for AI. And that's bullish for tech. 48 00:02:55,680 --> 00:02:58,200 Speaker 2: So do you see Microsoft sort of building a moat 49 00:02:58,280 --> 00:03:01,080 Speaker 2: around what it's doing with A or could some of 50 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:03,320 Speaker 2: its competitors chip away at what they're doing? 51 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:06,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, we don't muse as a zero some game, and 52 00:03:06,440 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 1: that's why we're bullish on Amazon and Google, and of 53 00:03:09,639 --> 00:03:13,440 Speaker 1: course you do akud Oracle as well, But on the 54 00:03:13,600 --> 00:03:18,360 Speaker 1: enterprise that's their backyard. That's where they dominate. And I 55 00:03:18,360 --> 00:03:22,240 Speaker 1: think the Della and Microsoft they're playing almost another game 56 00:03:22,320 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 1: now than everyone else, and that's what you're seeing in 57 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:29,799 Speaker 1: these numbers execution flawless. They obviously will get wet in 58 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 1: the velvet ropes to the fortrinion dollar markp Cloud with 59 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:36,000 Speaker 1: the media, but it's just the beginning in terms of 60 00:03:36,040 --> 00:03:39,040 Speaker 1: the next stage of cloud and AI growth. 61 00:03:39,920 --> 00:03:42,720 Speaker 2: In terms of what we're seeing out of meta platforms 62 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:44,920 Speaker 2: as well, Dan, I wonder what you make of this 63 00:03:45,680 --> 00:03:51,200 Speaker 2: personal intelligence or personal super intelligence strategy that Mark Zuckerberg's 64 00:03:51,240 --> 00:03:52,960 Speaker 2: putting out there with his AI vision. 65 00:03:53,400 --> 00:03:55,080 Speaker 1: I mean, that's how you're going to get to a 66 00:03:55,080 --> 00:04:00,360 Speaker 1: four digit stock because I think Zuckerberg right now wartimes, see, yeah, 67 00:04:00,920 --> 00:04:05,680 Speaker 1: focused on really going to full sort of end to 68 00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:10,600 Speaker 1: end when it comes to the consumer AI revolution. What's 69 00:04:10,640 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 1: amazing about these numbers is just the advertising growth, even 70 00:04:14,840 --> 00:04:18,479 Speaker 1: the lack of spend there. I mean, this is a 71 00:04:18,600 --> 00:04:21,920 Speaker 1: company that's transforming right in front of us, and they 72 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:24,560 Speaker 1: are going to be front and center asm modernization when 73 00:04:24,560 --> 00:04:27,559 Speaker 1: it comes to the consumer piece of AI. 74 00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:29,720 Speaker 2: I love that you call it a lack of spend. 75 00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:32,120 Speaker 2: I mean, we've seen him putting out, you know, one 76 00:04:32,200 --> 00:04:37,400 Speaker 2: hundred plus million dollars pay packages for some of these 77 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:40,320 Speaker 2: people that he's poached from other companies to join a 78 00:04:40,360 --> 00:04:43,440 Speaker 2: super intelligence team. He's talking about sixty six to seventy 79 00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:46,400 Speaker 2: two billion dollars in AI spend. Is that the kind 80 00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:48,159 Speaker 2: of level that investors can stomach? 81 00:04:48,839 --> 00:04:51,520 Speaker 1: Look, eventually it will moderate, okay, But but if you 82 00:04:51,560 --> 00:04:55,320 Speaker 1: look at even just from an investment perspective, in advertising, 83 00:04:55,360 --> 00:04:58,080 Speaker 1: you just forget about some of those pay packages. I mean, 84 00:04:58,120 --> 00:05:00,560 Speaker 1: what they're what you're seeing on the advertising and growth 85 00:05:00,680 --> 00:05:04,800 Speaker 1: is really impressed and in terms of like what they're 86 00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:07,400 Speaker 1: spending there in capax and they're different we're seeing in 87 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:11,080 Speaker 1: big tech. Look, this is an arms race, and no 88 00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:13,839 Speaker 1: tech company wants to be on the outside looking in. 89 00:05:14,520 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 1: And that's what's so impressive about what met is doing, 90 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:21,479 Speaker 1: what Microsoft's doing solid Alphabet and I think you'll see 91 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:24,840 Speaker 1: what Amazon as well. I mean that this is but 92 00:05:24,880 --> 00:05:28,000 Speaker 1: it's not just about Max seven. It will spread to 93 00:05:28,040 --> 00:05:29,920 Speaker 1: the rest of tech. Well. 94 00:05:30,400 --> 00:05:32,880 Speaker 2: In our last minute or so, let's get to the 95 00:05:32,920 --> 00:05:35,200 Speaker 2: companies that we are going to be hearing from after 96 00:05:35,240 --> 00:05:37,440 Speaker 2: the bell today. You mentioned Amazon, We're going to hear 97 00:05:37,440 --> 00:05:40,720 Speaker 2: from Apple as well. It seems like Apple has been 98 00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:43,800 Speaker 2: kind of falling behind in terms of where they're going 99 00:05:43,800 --> 00:05:44,239 Speaker 2: with AI. 100 00:05:44,960 --> 00:05:47,159 Speaker 1: Yeah. Man, I think that's been the frustration. Right, you 101 00:05:47,200 --> 00:05:50,280 Speaker 1: have the biggest install based in the world. They need 102 00:05:50,800 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 1: you know, I continue to bleed perplexity is the acquisition 103 00:05:53,600 --> 00:05:55,720 Speaker 1: they need to make. It's not going to happen internally, 104 00:05:56,200 --> 00:05:57,839 Speaker 1: but but I think when it choose is to look 105 00:05:57,880 --> 00:06:00,560 Speaker 1: at Amazon, you can say Amazon a year ago nowhere 106 00:06:01,120 --> 00:06:04,240 Speaker 1: now aggressively focus on the AWS and mod tide and 107 00:06:04,240 --> 00:06:06,800 Speaker 1: when it comes to a top burn cloud. Because we're 108 00:06:06,839 --> 00:06:09,520 Speaker 1: talking about what's going to be a tech bullmarker for 109 00:06:09,560 --> 00:06:12,920 Speaker 1: the next few years, biggest tech theme we've seen the 110 00:06:13,000 --> 00:06:16,760 Speaker 1: last forty to fifty years to fourth indust Revolution. Apple 111 00:06:16,800 --> 00:06:18,279 Speaker 1: can't be on the outside looking in. 112 00:06:18,839 --> 00:06:21,479 Speaker 2: Just quickly you've called for Apple to buy Perplexity and 113 00:06:21,560 --> 00:06:24,279 Speaker 2: take its AI out from in house. Do you see 114 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 2: Tim Cook leaning that way toward an acquis inquisitive stance. 115 00:06:28,920 --> 00:06:32,440 Speaker 1: Look, they've never done acquisitions really before outside beets, but 116 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 1: times are changing. You can't be on a park bench 117 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:38,760 Speaker 1: drinking lemonade while the AI revolution passes you. 118 00:06:38,839 --> 00:06:42,760 Speaker 2: Bai, appreciate the thoughts as always, Dan, thanks for coming 119 00:06:42,800 --> 00:06:46,080 Speaker 2: on early. That's Dan Ives, Global head of Tech Research 120 00:06:46,200 --> 00:06:47,840 Speaker 2: at Webbush Securities.