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Speaker 1: That be Monday. Guys, welcome in to another episode of

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Speaker 1: the Diligence Podcast with me Matt Perrault at Sports Talk.

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Speaker 1: Matt to follow me on Twitter. This podcast being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by bet MGM and the new user offer

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Speaker 1: which is always available with the promo code Juice. At

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Speaker 1: thousand dollars first bet offer from betmgm dot com with

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Speaker 1: the promo code Juice. So yesterday, it's been a frustrating

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Speaker 1: cold streak at the moment, we can call it what

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Speaker 1: it is. It's been a cold streak over the last

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Speaker 1: I mean, March was up and down, but this past

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Speaker 1: week has been cold. I had done some good work

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Speaker 1: in an in game. I had been pretty good and

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Speaker 1: betting some but I got lost in that Iowa game.

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Speaker 1: I took Iowa in Yukon, had a moneyline parlay on

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Speaker 1: that I plug. I took fifteen and a half plus

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Speaker 1: fifteen and a half in game, and that banked three

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Speaker 1: at the end killed me. Everything went right for LSU

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Speaker 1: in that game, brutal on there. So I lost that.

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Speaker 1: So I lost two bets there. I lost two units

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Speaker 1: on those plays and then I lost on I lost

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Speaker 1: a half a unit because I only was able to

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Speaker 1: get down a half a unit because I wasn't really

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Speaker 1: I thought the over might hit for the the NBA game,

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Speaker 1: so I was pretty confident. I was like, all right,

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Speaker 1: I don't want to bet a full unit. I only

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Speaker 1: bet a half a unit. And the game landed like

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Speaker 1: two twenty. We bet over two thirty three and a

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Speaker 1: half the sixers just I mean, this is why the

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Speaker 1: NBA sucks. I hate betting the NBA because they didn't

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Speaker 1: I mean, Philip didinet care. They just didn't care. I

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Speaker 1: mean it was obvious defensively, offensively. I don't know why

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Speaker 1: they even played everybody because they just acted like it

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Speaker 1: was nothing. It was no big deal. And then in

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Speaker 1: the fourth quarter just everything fell apart. So it was

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Speaker 1: pacing early. It was up to two forty seven at

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Speaker 1: one point I said, wait to two point fifty. Never

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Speaker 1: got there, and then on the way back down I

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Speaker 1: got it under two forty one and a half or

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Speaker 1: a half a unit. So I got that, but I

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Speaker 1: lost a half a unit there, so I was chasing

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Speaker 1: a little bit yesterday and not good. The NBA player

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Speaker 1: props goes one in one on that and then I

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Speaker 1: mean campaign, we took over six and a half points

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Speaker 1: for Campaign. He scored five points in the first quarter

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Speaker 1: and didn't shoot or play. I don't know what happened.

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Speaker 1: I haven't seen the full report. Played nine minutes. I

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Speaker 1: don't know if he got hurt or what he may

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Speaker 1: have got hurt because he was only playing nine minutes

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Speaker 1: and he didn't take another shot, and so it was

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Speaker 1: really weird. I was only watching it on my phone,

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Speaker 1: so I didn't see actually what happened there. But that

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Speaker 1: was kind of a little bit of a bad break.

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Speaker 1: Five points in the first quarter and you don't get

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Speaker 1: over six and a half, not one more bucket the

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Speaker 1: horse of the game. That's why prop betting in such

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Speaker 1: a pain in the neck. But the Bruins and we

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Speaker 1: got lucky on the shootout. The Bruins win. Penguins went easily,

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Speaker 1: like I thought, so that was good. The two leg

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Speaker 1: moneyline parlay that we talked about yesterday with taking Calgary

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Speaker 1: and the Penguins on the puck line Calgary, I think

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Speaker 1: one on the puck line right yesterday Calgary, No, they won,

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Speaker 1: I said money line, right, I said money line Calgary.

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Speaker 1: I wrote down moneyline Calgary and puck line Penguins. I

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Speaker 1: didn't bet it, but some of you guys did play it,

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Speaker 1: so hopefully you guys cashed in on that. So it's

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Speaker 1: a new week. Things are cold. Things have been cold

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Speaker 1: for a bit now, so it's time to kind of

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Speaker 1: turn things over here. Oh baseball, I mean the Rangers

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Speaker 1: two to one, played over eight and a half, and

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Speaker 1: I mean, what was that Philly? The Phillies stink? Okay?

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Speaker 1: Can we just call this? Someone's in the discord channel

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Speaker 1: arguing me on opening day when I said I was

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Speaker 1: gonna fade the Phillies, and they were like, the Phillies

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Speaker 1: are going to be this and that Philly stink. All right,

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Speaker 1: they're owing three. Rangers swept them. Phillies are gonna be bad. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's just be frank. Have you been under Phillies for

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Speaker 1: their wins? Thing was eighty eight and a half. You're

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Speaker 1: gonna be all right, Okay, You're gonna be okay. I

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Speaker 1: know it's only one series to that team without Hoskins

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Speaker 1: and without Harper, they're in deep trouble. They're in big,

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Speaker 1: big trouble. And I know Trey Turner is going to

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Speaker 1: be good for them. And whatnot. But uhuh that that

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Speaker 1: team's going to struggle mightily. But one in three for

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Speaker 1: the Marlins, that's not good. They get off the kind

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Speaker 1: of a rocky start. So this is where betting on

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Speaker 1: baseball I want to wait. Okay, it's the first time

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Speaker 1: these teams are playing a new team. This is now travel,

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Speaker 1: This is a lot of I mean, the only thing

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Speaker 1: I'm eyeballing that if I were to bet a baseball game,

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Speaker 1: I think betting the over on the Red Sox game

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Speaker 1: is probably a decent play. The Red Sox are going

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Speaker 1: to be an over team. They're three to ozho to

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Speaker 1: the over so far this year, and they're just going

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Speaker 1: to be an over team for the rest of the season.

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Speaker 1: Baltimore at Texas, that game with Gray versus Bratish, that

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Speaker 1: game could also be potentially an overgame. But the Red

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Speaker 1: Sox are going to score runs against Pittsburgh, and Pittsburgh's

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Speaker 1: gonna they're gonna score runs against the Red Sox. Cutter

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Speaker 1: Crawford starting for the Red Sox, I mean, my goodness, gracious,

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Speaker 1: first five over game over. I don't mind those bets either,

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Speaker 1: but I'm gonna hold off on baseball for today. I've

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Speaker 1: got a play in the National Championship game. But again

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Speaker 1: I'm doing what I've talked about like I do with Miami,

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Speaker 1: very similar bet and then I got two hockey plays

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Speaker 1: coming down. Because we're almost through the regular season, it's

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Speaker 1: almost over go to get these bets in while I can.

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Speaker 1: I do have a parlay lean if you want to

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Speaker 1: jump in onto extra, if you want to play a

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Speaker 1: gift parlay, I got that for you guys coming up

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Speaker 1: here in just one second. But before we give you

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Speaker 1: the picks for today, let's talk about the one year

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Speaker 1: betting smarter, not harder. Okay, let's start with the National

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Speaker 1: championship game here between Yukon and San Diego State. The

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Speaker 1: line is seven and a half. Seven and a half

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Speaker 1: for a national championship game. I mean, this is one

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Speaker 1: of the highest lines ever in a national championship game.

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Speaker 1: I think it's going down back by twenty years. This

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Speaker 1: is a really high line. The public gets all in

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Speaker 1: on the over, and they're all in on Yukon. The

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Speaker 1: books are going to need San Diego State, and they're

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Speaker 1: gonna need the under. I can't stomach the under. I

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Speaker 1: think the over might be a play, but I can't

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Speaker 1: stomach it. Okay, you're just talking about two teams that

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Speaker 1: have the defensive wherewithal to make this into a fifty

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Speaker 1: five to fifty backasketball game, and all of us just

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Speaker 1: like blood coming out of our eyes, going what are

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Speaker 1: we watching? This is horrible. Yukon is the number eighth

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Speaker 1: rated defensive efficient team in the country. Their eighth best

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Speaker 1: ineffective field goal percentage, they're fifteenth. In three point percentage defense,

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Speaker 1: they're eleventh and two point percentage defense. Everyone talks about

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Speaker 1: San Diego State, San Diego State. You know why Yukon

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Speaker 1: is undefeated in the non conference Their defense, not their offense.

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Speaker 1: Their defense. Hurley's got these kids playing incredibly well defensively

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Speaker 1: in terms of pace, average, possession length. It's kind of

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Speaker 1: middle of the pack for San Diego State defensively. I mean,

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Speaker 1: you know, Yukon's defense speeds you up and turns you over,

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Speaker 1: so they're in the top fifty. But San Diego State's defense,

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Speaker 1: they're three hundred and forty six. They make you work,

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Speaker 1: but they're going to have a massive problem with size.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they just do not match up well. Trammel

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Speaker 1: is gonna have to be out outstanding. Bradley is going

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Speaker 1: to have to be the best player on the court

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Speaker 1: for San Diego State. He was at times against Florida Atlantic.

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Speaker 1: But I mean, they just don't have the interior defense

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Speaker 1: to handle Sonogo, to handle the Bigs. And then when

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Speaker 1: the Bigs get going, that's when they get Jordan Hawkins

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Speaker 1: at free That's when they start bombing threes from the outside.

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Speaker 1: Their bench players come in and start killing you. Yukon's

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Speaker 1: offense is third inefficiency in the country. They're thirty second

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Speaker 1: in effective field goal percentage. They're second in the country

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Speaker 1: in offensive rebound percentage. Now look it, San Diego State's

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Speaker 1: fourth an effective efficiency for defense. Okay, they're very good,

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Speaker 1: and they're twentieth for effective field goal percentage and their

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Speaker 1: third and three point defense. Okay, they're gonna make Yukon

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Speaker 1: shoot twos. That's why you might go, hey, the two.

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Speaker 1: You know, the under might be in play, but Yukon's

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Speaker 1: killed everyone. Like sometimes the public's right, sometimes the public

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Speaker 1: is there. I'm gonna take plus seven and a half

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Speaker 1: in try to play off of it because it's too

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Speaker 1: many points to lay. I'm not laying seven and a

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Speaker 1: half points. I don't care. I mean, that's ridiculous. I'm

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Speaker 1: not laying that. But this is gonna be a game

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Speaker 1: of runs. It's gonna be up and down, and you

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Speaker 1: better believe that. If Yukon gets out to like a

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Speaker 1: nine to start, okay, the second this number gets down

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Speaker 1: somewhere around six and a half or five and a half.

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Speaker 1: If it ever gets back down there, I am jumping

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Speaker 1: on Yukon, and I'm getting out of this bet. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I am perfectly comfortable being flat on this game, all right,

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Speaker 1: but I'm gonna take San Diego State just because of

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Speaker 1: the plus seven and a half. All right. San Diego

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Speaker 1: State has one in covered every game except Florida Atlantic,

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Speaker 1: where they're laying two and a half points and they

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Speaker 1: won by one. They beat Creton as two and a

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Speaker 1: half point dogs. They beat Alabama as seven point dogs.

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Speaker 1: They beat Ferman laying four and four and a half.

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Speaker 1: They beat College College to Charleston as five and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorites. It's well documented what Yukon has done.

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Speaker 1: All right, Yukon has gone through. You tell me whose

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Speaker 1: path to the championship game has been easier Iona Saint

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Speaker 1: Mary's Arkansas, Gonzaga, Miami or College of Charleston, Furman, Alabama, Creighton,

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Speaker 1: Florida Atlantic. I give San Diego State a nod, a

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Speaker 1: little nod here, But much like yesterday where I got

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Speaker 1: caught up in the Iowa hype, I got caught up

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Speaker 1: in the Caitlyn Clark hype. And you saw a huge

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Speaker 1: win for the books. Because no one bets college basketball

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Speaker 1: for the women's game, really and people were betting that

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Speaker 1: aggressively around the country, all betting on Iowa. That number

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Speaker 1: steamed and late money came in on LSU, and that

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Speaker 1: was smart. I wonder if late money's gonna come in

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Speaker 1: here on San Diego State, and if the pros are

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Speaker 1: just kind of waiting in the wings and laying down

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Speaker 1: here and saying, okay, the world thinks that Yukon's going

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Speaker 1: to kill everyone. They've won by twenty four, fifteen, twenty three,

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Speaker 1: twenty eight, and thirteen. This is just a contrarian play.

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Speaker 1: Sometimes contrarian plays are stupid. I'm not going to deny it.

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Speaker 1: You want to lay seven and a half points at Yukon,

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Speaker 1: not gonna hate on it at all. Just a contrarian play.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking San Diego State plus seven and a half.

214
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Speaker 1: If I got a punt out of it, I will.

215
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Speaker 1: But I think San Diego State can keep this game close.

216
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Speaker 1: I think Yukon probably wins this game by three or

217
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Speaker 1: four points. I think we could be in for a

218
00:11:24,800 --> 00:11:28,480
Speaker 1: good game, low scoring game. It's correlated in a lot

219
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Speaker 1: of ways. If you like Yukon. One way to play this.

220
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Speaker 1: If you like Yukon, you can take the over and

221
00:11:34,120 --> 00:11:37,319
Speaker 1: Yukon in same game. Parlay it together. It's like a

222
00:11:37,360 --> 00:11:40,719
Speaker 1: plus one forty bet. You can do that. You can

223
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Speaker 1: actually take plus seven and a half San Diego State

224
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Speaker 1: and take Yukon money line in the over. Both can hit.

225
00:11:48,679 --> 00:11:51,920
Speaker 1: Technically all three can hit, saying San Diego State can

226
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Speaker 1: cover seven and a half, Yukon can win, and Yukon

227
00:11:56,120 --> 00:11:58,600
Speaker 1: can go in. The game can go over because if

228
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Speaker 1: the game goes over, Yukon is winning, are they covering?

229
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Speaker 1: Probably the game goes under. San Diego State's right there

230
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Speaker 1: with a chance to win the national championship. If you

231
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Speaker 1: play the under, you will pretty much play the dog.

232
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Speaker 1: It's kind of a correlated bet to start. I don't know,

233
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Speaker 1: because I think this game might go over. I think

234
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Speaker 1: Yukon might speed everybody up. I'm concerned about that. I'm

235
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Speaker 1: concerned about Yukon shooting the lights out like they have again.

236
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Speaker 1: I leaned towards the over, but I'm scared. Okay, Yukon

237
00:12:28,640 --> 00:12:30,959
Speaker 1: has been an under team because the books have juiced

238
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Speaker 1: up their numbers. The game went over by twelve and

239
00:12:33,720 --> 00:12:36,319
Speaker 1: a half points against Florida Atlantic, but the previous twelve

240
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Speaker 1: games went under for San Diego State. Three of the

241
00:12:39,080 --> 00:12:41,720
Speaker 1: last four have gone under for Yukon, but the totals

242
00:12:41,720 --> 00:12:44,680
Speaker 1: have been one forty nine, one fifty three and a half,

243
00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:47,040
Speaker 1: one thirty nine and a half in one twenty six

244
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Speaker 1: and a half. So this total here sitting at one

245
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Speaker 1: thirty two and a half. I don't know, that's my

246
00:12:54,559 --> 00:12:57,120
Speaker 1: answer to that question. I don't know lean towards the

247
00:12:57,160 --> 00:13:01,480
Speaker 1: over lean towards Yukon winning game. I just don't know

248
00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:03,320
Speaker 1: if you if u CON's going to cover this seven

249
00:13:03,360 --> 00:13:06,240
Speaker 1: and a half points one point one units plus seven

250
00:13:06,280 --> 00:13:08,599
Speaker 1: and a half. We're taking San Diego State for a

251
00:13:08,679 --> 00:13:11,200
Speaker 1: contrarian play, and if we've got a punt out of it,

252
00:13:11,200 --> 00:13:13,599
Speaker 1: we'll punt out of it fast. I'll be in the

253
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Speaker 1: Discord channel with you guys watching this game, bettingpros dot com,

254
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Speaker 1: slash Chat or the link is underneath me on YouTube. Now,

255
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Speaker 1: three games in the NHL. If you want a parlay,

256
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Speaker 1: and I know you guys love parlays, so if you

257
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Speaker 1: want a gift parlay, you can play this. All right.

258
00:13:33,000 --> 00:13:36,200
Speaker 1: I'm not saying this is a brilliant play, all right,

259
00:13:36,880 --> 00:13:39,280
Speaker 1: but the Vegas Golden Knights are taking on the Minnesota

260
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Speaker 1: wild who all of a sudden nurse six and four

261
00:13:41,960 --> 00:13:44,000
Speaker 1: to a Yes goal in the first goal in the

262
00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:47,200
Speaker 1: first ten minutes. Wild were the worst. The Wild were

263
00:13:47,200 --> 00:13:49,800
Speaker 1: the worst team all year, and now they're nearly at

264
00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:52,800
Speaker 1: fifty percent for the year. It's incredible. It's crazy. They

265
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Speaker 1: were in the thirties, like thirty nine percent. It's wacko.

266
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Speaker 1: They've seen so much scoring recently. Vegas on the other side,

267
00:14:00,440 --> 00:14:04,160
Speaker 1: eight and two eighty percent over the last ten games

268
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Speaker 1: to a goal in the first ten minutes. It's only

269
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Speaker 1: minus one forty because the game's at Minnesota, so the

270
00:14:09,920 --> 00:14:12,280
Speaker 1: books aren't making you pay a ton of jutes for this.

271
00:14:12,720 --> 00:14:14,240
Speaker 1: You can play this straight up if you want, not

272
00:14:14,240 --> 00:14:16,200
Speaker 1: even parlay if you if you just want to play

273
00:14:16,240 --> 00:14:19,480
Speaker 1: it as a straight Mice won forty bet for a goal, yes,

274
00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:22,280
Speaker 1: in the first ten minutes. But if you couple that

275
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Speaker 1: with the Arizona Coyotes and the Seattle Kraken, that total

276
00:14:26,280 --> 00:14:30,239
Speaker 1: is six and a half. It's juiced to the over Arizona.

277
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Speaker 1: I mean eight and two to a goal in the

278
00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:37,440
Speaker 1: first ten minutes for Arizona. Seattle is six and four.

279
00:14:37,560 --> 00:14:40,760
Speaker 1: But since they're playing Arizona, I feel pretty good about

280
00:14:40,800 --> 00:14:43,360
Speaker 1: a gift a goal being scored. It's mice one sixty.

281
00:14:43,640 --> 00:14:45,600
Speaker 1: You want to parlay those together, that's a plus one

282
00:14:45,680 --> 00:14:48,640
Speaker 1: seventy eight parlay at DraftKings for a gift goal in

283
00:14:48,640 --> 00:14:52,760
Speaker 1: the first ten minutes for Arizona, Seattle, in Vegas and Minnesota.

284
00:14:53,480 --> 00:14:55,880
Speaker 1: I don't want to recommend parlays for a while until

285
00:14:55,880 --> 00:14:58,480
Speaker 1: I heap back up because I got that parlay right

286
00:14:58,560 --> 00:15:02,000
Speaker 1: yesterday and it just it was so a thin margin

287
00:15:02,040 --> 00:15:04,280
Speaker 1: to get that plus one twenty three. It could have

288
00:15:04,280 --> 00:15:06,960
Speaker 1: been a really bad day if I didn't hit that.

289
00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:10,560
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna stop recommending parlays for a while. I'm

290
00:15:10,560 --> 00:15:13,080
Speaker 1: gonna stop playing parlays for a while. I might play

291
00:15:13,080 --> 00:15:15,920
Speaker 1: this one, but I'm gonna I'm getting a little loose.

292
00:15:15,920 --> 00:15:18,160
Speaker 1: I'm getting away from my fundamentals and it's costing me.

293
00:15:18,280 --> 00:15:20,320
Speaker 1: So this is where I have to be careful with

294
00:15:20,320 --> 00:15:22,360
Speaker 1: the bankroll. It's getting bled out. I gotta be careful.

295
00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:23,840
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna stop doing that. But if you want

296
00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:25,200
Speaker 1: to do that, I know you guys like doing it.

297
00:15:25,320 --> 00:15:28,240
Speaker 1: I probably will do this, but I'm not sure. I'm

298
00:15:28,240 --> 00:15:30,440
Speaker 1: not recommending it though as an official play, but if

299
00:15:30,480 --> 00:15:32,400
Speaker 1: you want one, that's a plus one seventy eight plus

300
00:15:32,440 --> 00:15:35,800
Speaker 1: one eighty parlay to jump in. All right, Dalla's take

301
00:15:35,800 --> 00:15:38,880
Speaker 1: it on Nashville. What a big game for Nashville. So

302
00:15:39,160 --> 00:15:43,480
Speaker 1: the standing's coming to play here. Nashville is the next

303
00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:46,600
Speaker 1: team to be eliminated from the playoffs. See with Saint

304
00:15:46,640 --> 00:15:50,080
Speaker 1: Louis's lost to Boston yesterday. In Calgary's victory, they are

305
00:15:50,120 --> 00:15:54,600
Speaker 1: officially eliminated, So Saint Louis is out, They're done. Nashville

306
00:15:54,840 --> 00:15:58,480
Speaker 1: has eighty four points. They are the last team that

307
00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:01,000
Speaker 1: or there's two teams that would make the postseason who

308
00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:06,119
Speaker 1: are not currently occupying playoff spots Seattle, sorry, Nashville, and Calgary.

309
00:16:06,680 --> 00:16:10,160
Speaker 1: Winnipegas eighty nine points. They're five points back. The Preeds

310
00:16:10,200 --> 00:16:12,280
Speaker 1: are Okay, it's a long shot for them to make

311
00:16:12,320 --> 00:16:16,400
Speaker 1: the postseason. Okay, but they're playing Dallas, and Dallas has

312
00:16:16,480 --> 00:16:20,160
Speaker 1: ninety six points, their third in the Central Dallas right

313
00:16:20,160 --> 00:16:22,680
Speaker 1: now would play Colorado in the first round of the

314
00:16:22,720 --> 00:16:25,840
Speaker 1: playoffs if it started today with these where we are

315
00:16:25,880 --> 00:16:29,040
Speaker 1: right now, but we're not. Minnesota's taken on the Vegas

316
00:16:29,040 --> 00:16:31,200
Speaker 1: goal of the Knights, like we talked about, Okay, that's

317
00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:34,600
Speaker 1: a big game for Vegas. It's a big game for Minnesota.

318
00:16:35,640 --> 00:16:37,160
Speaker 1: I don't know what to call that. I mean, I

319
00:16:37,360 --> 00:16:39,960
Speaker 1: think that's a really tough game to decide. Vegas is

320
00:16:39,960 --> 00:16:42,800
Speaker 1: twenty four to seven and six on the road, Minnesota

321
00:16:42,840 --> 00:16:45,680
Speaker 1: is twenty four, eleven and three. I can't figure out

322
00:16:45,680 --> 00:16:48,040
Speaker 1: the wild from a total perspective. So I'm not gonna

323
00:16:48,040 --> 00:16:50,840
Speaker 1: get involved with Vegas and Minnesota. I'm just gonna watch

324
00:16:50,920 --> 00:16:52,640
Speaker 1: that game because that's gonna be a really good game

325
00:16:53,560 --> 00:16:57,880
Speaker 1: Dallas and Nashville. Nashville has to win this game. Dallas

326
00:16:57,920 --> 00:17:01,000
Speaker 1: knows this. We're getting sorrows in Audinger. We're getting the

327
00:17:01,080 --> 00:17:06,600
Speaker 1: best goaltenders in the game here. And the numbers aren't phenomenal. Okay,

328
00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:10,880
Speaker 1: eighteen seventeen to two at home to the under four

329
00:17:11,040 --> 00:17:13,480
Speaker 1: five and one, So five four and one to the

330
00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:16,760
Speaker 1: over over the last ten for the Dallas Stars at home.

331
00:17:17,440 --> 00:17:20,480
Speaker 1: Nashville is seventeen nineteen and two to the under. So

332
00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:22,600
Speaker 1: they're actually an overteam on the road for the season.

333
00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:25,040
Speaker 1: But they're six and four to the under over their

334
00:17:25,119 --> 00:17:28,879
Speaker 1: last ten. That's not overwhelming, except when you start to

335
00:17:28,880 --> 00:17:31,359
Speaker 1: take a look at what's going on right now for

336
00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:34,800
Speaker 1: the games today and how important it is for Nashville

337
00:17:35,160 --> 00:17:39,240
Speaker 1: to play tight for Nashville to play defensive hockey like

338
00:17:39,280 --> 00:17:41,840
Speaker 1: they did against the Bruins when they beat Boston two

339
00:17:41,920 --> 00:17:44,720
Speaker 1: to one. Now, obviously they're playing the shooting was taking

340
00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:47,520
Speaker 1: into account what happened in Nashville. They're playing for something

341
00:17:47,600 --> 00:17:51,560
Speaker 1: beyond themselves. But when these teams have played, and they've

342
00:17:51,600 --> 00:17:55,640
Speaker 1: played three previous times this season, the under has come

343
00:17:55,680 --> 00:17:58,320
Speaker 1: in every single time. The under six has come in

344
00:17:58,320 --> 00:18:00,600
Speaker 1: every single time. Four to one, five, one, three to

345
00:18:00,640 --> 00:18:04,320
Speaker 1: two Stars have won all three games. Stars in the

346
00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:06,720
Speaker 1: puck line may not be a bad bet, Stars in

347
00:18:06,760 --> 00:18:09,560
Speaker 1: the money line may not be a bad bet, But

348
00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:14,920
Speaker 1: I'm gonna play the under here instead. It's it's plus

349
00:18:14,920 --> 00:18:18,320
Speaker 1: one twenty five on the puck line to lay one

350
00:18:18,359 --> 00:18:20,040
Speaker 1: and a half goals. You want to take one and

351
00:18:20,040 --> 00:18:22,600
Speaker 1: a half goals. It's minus one forty five for Nashville.

352
00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:25,280
Speaker 1: They're a two dollars favorite to win this game at home.

353
00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:30,480
Speaker 1: Nashville absolutely needs this. I think they'll play hard defensively

354
00:18:31,680 --> 00:18:35,600
Speaker 1: under six goals minus one ten one point one units

355
00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:38,679
Speaker 1: down on Dallas and their predators. I'm gonna lay this.

356
00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:40,680
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the six push potential could be a

357
00:18:40,720 --> 00:18:43,280
Speaker 1: four to two final, Okay, very possible for to two

358
00:18:43,400 --> 00:18:45,960
Speaker 1: final on this. But I'm gonna jump in here and

359
00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:50,399
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the under Nashville and Dallas. Dallas at home.

360
00:18:51,040 --> 00:18:54,119
Speaker 1: Sorrows needs to stand on his head. Dallas can score.

361
00:18:54,280 --> 00:18:56,159
Speaker 1: Their offense is coming to life. You gonna need a

362
00:18:56,200 --> 00:18:58,480
Speaker 1: great defensive performance to get this thing to go under.

363
00:18:58,720 --> 00:19:00,960
Speaker 1: It's gonna three to two final here one side of

364
00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:03,679
Speaker 1: the other prebs are playing for their playoff lives. This

365
00:19:03,760 --> 00:19:06,000
Speaker 1: is a playoff game for Nashville, so let's hopefully gets

366
00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:08,320
Speaker 1: played like it and hopefully gets called like it too,

367
00:19:08,600 --> 00:19:12,480
Speaker 1: with with not a lot of penalties under six minus

368
00:19:12,520 --> 00:19:16,160
Speaker 1: one ten one point one units down on that. And finally,

369
00:19:16,680 --> 00:19:19,840
Speaker 1: Arizona is at Seattle. Did you know Arizona has not

370
00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:23,760
Speaker 1: played Seattle yet this season? They're playing them three times

371
00:19:24,040 --> 00:19:27,600
Speaker 1: the rest of the way. That as a really strange

372
00:19:27,760 --> 00:19:31,560
Speaker 1: scheduling quirk that in some ways is a major mistake.

373
00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:34,680
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know if because of the arena

374
00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:38,399
Speaker 1: or what the deal is, but if you're a Seattle

375
00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:42,600
Speaker 1: Kraken fan, you're actually really excited about this because you've

376
00:19:42,600 --> 00:19:45,119
Speaker 1: got three games that you think you're going to walk

377
00:19:45,280 --> 00:19:48,720
Speaker 1: to a win. You should walk to a win given

378
00:19:48,800 --> 00:19:51,479
Speaker 1: what Arizona has been playing like at home, they've been

379
00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:54,359
Speaker 1: a little feisty, but on the road, I mean, they're

380
00:19:54,440 --> 00:19:58,320
Speaker 1: just an absolute joke. I mean this should be I

381
00:19:58,359 --> 00:20:01,480
Speaker 1: was stunned at this. Seattle on the puck lines minus

382
00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:03,960
Speaker 1: one twenty at DraftKings right now, this is too good

383
00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:08,080
Speaker 1: to pass up. I mean, Arizona's eliminated. Seattle right now

384
00:20:08,320 --> 00:20:11,359
Speaker 1: has ninety points. They have not clinched a playoff spot

385
00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:14,440
Speaker 1: as of yet. They're playing to make sure they keep

386
00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:17,560
Speaker 1: that number one wild card spot. They're one point up

387
00:20:17,600 --> 00:20:20,160
Speaker 1: on the Jets, They're three points up on the Flames.

388
00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:23,840
Speaker 1: It's possible for Seattle to miss the postseason. They have

389
00:20:24,000 --> 00:20:26,800
Speaker 1: got to go and play their tails off here no

390
00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:30,320
Speaker 1: matter who they're facing. And they're at home against the Coyotes,

391
00:20:30,520 --> 00:20:34,840
Speaker 1: who are done, and I mean done done seven twenty

392
00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:37,320
Speaker 1: three to nine on the year on the road for

393
00:20:37,359 --> 00:20:40,560
Speaker 1: the Coyotes, and what they have done over their last

394
00:20:40,600 --> 00:20:44,000
Speaker 1: six games is pretty much waive the right the white flag.

395
00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:47,600
Speaker 1: Seven to two loss last game, five to two loss

396
00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:49,880
Speaker 1: game before that, five to four loss game before that,

397
00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:52,000
Speaker 1: four to three loss game before that. Those games are

398
00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:53,800
Speaker 1: at home, by the way, on the road three to

399
00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:56,240
Speaker 1: one loss to Colorado, four to three loss to Edmonton,

400
00:20:56,440 --> 00:21:00,000
Speaker 1: two to one loss to Winnipeg. Okay, last two games

401
00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:03,200
Speaker 1: at home seven to two loss, five to two loss,

402
00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:07,399
Speaker 1: and here comes Seattle at home. They play Monday and

403
00:21:07,560 --> 00:21:12,080
Speaker 1: Thursday at Seattle. They stay in Seattle, which is really

404
00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:16,120
Speaker 1: really weird from a scheduling standpoint. They play Seattle. There's

405
00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:18,879
Speaker 1: five games left for the Coyotes. They play Seattle in

406
00:21:19,040 --> 00:21:21,640
Speaker 1: three of them. I mean, get ready to get used

407
00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:24,840
Speaker 1: to those guys. I mean, I mean, expect fights, expect

408
00:21:24,840 --> 00:21:27,679
Speaker 1: all sorts of wonky things to happen in that in

409
00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:29,960
Speaker 1: that matchup. It just doesn't make any sense. But for

410
00:21:30,040 --> 00:21:33,880
Speaker 1: Seattle it's enormous as they're trying to secure this playoff spot.

411
00:21:34,040 --> 00:21:38,320
Speaker 1: They play Arizona, then at Vancouver, then Arizona, then Chicago,

412
00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:41,919
Speaker 1: then at Arizona. I mean they play Arizona three of

413
00:21:41,960 --> 00:21:46,120
Speaker 1: the next five games, so I just have absolutely no idea.

414
00:21:46,160 --> 00:21:48,680
Speaker 1: And then they play Vegas, by the way, at Vegas

415
00:21:48,720 --> 00:21:51,879
Speaker 1: at home for Vegas scheduling. I mean, I'll talk more

416
00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:54,120
Speaker 1: about this later on my other show, but the scheduling

417
00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:57,479
Speaker 1: is really weird. For Seattle. I don't know what's going on,

418
00:21:57,560 --> 00:22:00,919
Speaker 1: but it's really really wonky puck l Tomas one twenty.

419
00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:03,679
Speaker 1: The books are saying this might be a one goal differential.

420
00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:06,119
Speaker 1: I don't think so. I think Seattle's gonna come up

421
00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:08,440
Speaker 1: and sort of they'll of a walk to a win.

422
00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:11,399
Speaker 1: But I think Seattle on the puck line, given that

423
00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:14,760
Speaker 1: they need this, it's a playoff type atmosphere for them,

424
00:22:15,080 --> 00:22:17,560
Speaker 1: and I think we're I think we'll see a really

425
00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:21,920
Speaker 1: motivated and excited team for Seattle at home to come

426
00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:24,320
Speaker 1: and get the puck line here. And I know Arizona

427
00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:26,640
Speaker 1: has been a pretty good team on the puck line.

428
00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:28,679
Speaker 1: I mean that they're the number two team for wins

429
00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:31,400
Speaker 1: on the puck line, forty four and thirty three on

430
00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:33,960
Speaker 1: the year. But there's just nothing left for them. There's

431
00:22:34,040 --> 00:22:36,520
Speaker 1: nothing left. These are where you throw the numbers out

432
00:22:36,560 --> 00:22:39,120
Speaker 1: and you see who's left. What are they playing for?

433
00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:42,639
Speaker 1: Do they care or not? Seattle is forty two and

434
00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:45,639
Speaker 1: thirty three on the puck line, that's three point one

435
00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:50,879
Speaker 1: five units at home. Seattle is nineteen and eighteen on

436
00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:57,520
Speaker 1: the road. Arizona is not great well in twenty one

437
00:22:57,520 --> 00:22:59,560
Speaker 1: and eighteen. They're actually profitable in their own on the

438
00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:01,920
Speaker 1: puck line, I'm gonna lay one point two units down

439
00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:03,960
Speaker 1: take Seattle. Maybe we need open net to get there,

440
00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:06,960
Speaker 1: but I think Seattle wins big here over the Coyotes

441
00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:10,000
Speaker 1: on the road. Seattle puck line one point two units down,

442
00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:13,000
Speaker 1: minus one and a half goals for the Kraken over

443
00:23:13,080 --> 00:23:16,800
Speaker 1: the Coyotes. Okay, so officially we're going plus seven and

444
00:23:16,800 --> 00:23:20,119
Speaker 1: a half San Diego State, we're going under six Dallas

445
00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:22,840
Speaker 1: in Nashville, and we're going puck line minus one twenty

446
00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:26,639
Speaker 1: for Seattle against Arizona today. Yes, I am cold. If

447
00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:28,439
Speaker 1: you want to fade all three of those bets, you

448
00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:32,080
Speaker 1: will not offend me one bit. Hopefully we can snap

449
00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:34,200
Speaker 1: out of this and have a good week and get

450
00:23:34,200 --> 00:23:36,840
Speaker 1: things back on the winning track for us. It's been

451
00:23:36,880 --> 00:23:40,320
Speaker 1: sort of a slow bleedout last week. It's not been fun.

452
00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:41,879
Speaker 1: Let's get back on the winning track here today on

453
00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:44,160
Speaker 1: a Monday minus Matt Parl following me on Twitter at

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00:23:44,160 --> 00:23:47,600
Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt. Every morning, the Diliduce Podcast be brought

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00:23:47,600 --> 00:23:58,320
Speaker 1: to you by Bet. I'm Jim