1 00:00:01,360 --> 00:00:05,680 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Business Wait inside from the reporters and 2 00:00:05,880 --> 00:00:09,440 Speaker 1: editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus 3 00:00:09,520 --> 00:00:13,680 Speaker 1: global business finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week 4 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:19,040 Speaker 1: Podcast with Carol Messer and Tim Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio. 5 00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:22,639 Speaker 2: All right, I knew when Netflix reported last night and 6 00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:25,560 Speaker 2: we were breaking down the numbers, I knew that. Ultimately 7 00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 2: I wanted to get to Keeta Ringanathon, who follows this 8 00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:30,200 Speaker 2: name so closely and picks it apart, goes through the 9 00:00:30,240 --> 00:00:34,080 Speaker 2: details and really explains the story. She has Bloomberg Intelligence, 10 00:00:34,120 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 2: Technology and media analyst. As I said, Geeta Ringanathon, she 11 00:00:37,479 --> 00:00:40,559 Speaker 2: is with us on zoom from our Princeton, New Jersey bureau. Hey, 12 00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:43,400 Speaker 2: geta stock's a little bit lower today, but if you 13 00:00:43,479 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 2: looked at the aftermarket last night, it was getting killed 14 00:00:45,840 --> 00:00:48,720 Speaker 2: Netflix like down ten to eleven percent, now down about 15 00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:53,120 Speaker 2: four percenters. So initial stock reaction, what were they reacting to? 16 00:00:53,200 --> 00:00:55,320 Speaker 2: And then maybe why did investors maybe rethink it a 17 00:00:55,360 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 2: little bit? 18 00:00:56,920 --> 00:00:59,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, thank you so much Carolyn Madison for having me so. Obviously, 19 00:00:59,800 --> 00:01:02,680 Speaker 3: the nee jerk reaction, as always has been to the 20 00:01:02,680 --> 00:01:05,160 Speaker 3: subscriber numbers, right, and so the one Q subscriber numbers 21 00:01:05,160 --> 00:01:07,680 Speaker 3: came in a little bit lighter. The two Q revenue 22 00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:11,160 Speaker 3: guidance wasn't looking too great either, and you know, that 23 00:01:11,360 --> 00:01:13,760 Speaker 3: was kind of what prompted that initial sell off in 24 00:01:13,840 --> 00:01:17,039 Speaker 3: the stock. I think as investors kind of had time to, 25 00:01:17,280 --> 00:01:18,960 Speaker 3: you know, go back a little bit into the report 26 00:01:18,959 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 3: and digest some of the other details. Remember, Netflix itself 27 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:25,839 Speaker 3: is pivoting away from, you know, just being a subscriber 28 00:01:25,920 --> 00:01:28,680 Speaker 3: story to becoming more of a profitability story, becoming more 29 00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:30,800 Speaker 3: of a free cash flow story, and I think they 30 00:01:30,800 --> 00:01:33,760 Speaker 3: did absolutely spectacularly on that front. You know, if you 31 00:01:33,800 --> 00:01:36,640 Speaker 3: look at the operating margins, they came in well above 32 00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:39,120 Speaker 3: what they had projected. If you look at operating profits again, 33 00:01:39,120 --> 00:01:40,920 Speaker 3: they came in very well. And where they really kind 34 00:01:40,959 --> 00:01:44,119 Speaker 3: of stunned, you know, the street was with their free 35 00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:47,000 Speaker 3: cash flow numbers. So over two billion dollars just in 36 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:50,400 Speaker 3: first quarter free cash flow. They upped their guidance for 37 00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:51,800 Speaker 3: the full year to three and a half billion, and 38 00:01:51,880 --> 00:01:54,120 Speaker 3: we think that that still is pretty conservative. It it 39 00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 3: could well go to maybe about four billion dollars just 40 00:01:57,120 --> 00:01:57,920 Speaker 3: a free cash flow. 41 00:01:58,200 --> 00:01:59,760 Speaker 2: I heard Jens surveillance this marrity, so I got to 42 00:01:59,840 --> 00:02:01,400 Speaker 2: chee a little bit in terms of your thinking. But 43 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:04,680 Speaker 2: that's amazing, right for media company essentially. 44 00:02:05,480 --> 00:02:09,280 Speaker 3: That is absolutely amazing for media, for streaming, and especially 45 00:02:09,320 --> 00:02:11,520 Speaker 3: for Netflix. Remember, this was a company that was getting 46 00:02:11,560 --> 00:02:15,080 Speaker 3: criticized left, right and center for not you know, not 47 00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:18,280 Speaker 3: generating cash, for losing, for burning three and a half 48 00:02:18,320 --> 00:02:20,679 Speaker 3: billion dollars in cash maybe just about four years ago. 49 00:02:20,919 --> 00:02:23,040 Speaker 3: And how they've turned the story around has just been, 50 00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:26,119 Speaker 3: you know, miraculous, And of course it gives I think 51 00:02:26,160 --> 00:02:28,919 Speaker 3: the whole of the media landscape now a playbook. Right, 52 00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:30,880 Speaker 3: this is what everybody wants to do. This is what 53 00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:34,639 Speaker 3: everybody's aspiring to do. Get to those twenty percent operating margins, 54 00:02:35,080 --> 00:02:37,600 Speaker 3: not only break even on their streaming business, but then 55 00:02:37,760 --> 00:02:40,800 Speaker 3: really get out to churning profits and charning free cash. Remember, 56 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:43,760 Speaker 3: everybody right now is losing money in the streaming business. 57 00:02:43,760 --> 00:02:46,040 Speaker 3: Whether it's Disney they're going to lose about three billion 58 00:02:46,080 --> 00:02:48,520 Speaker 3: dollars this year, whether it's Paramount again two billion dollars 59 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:51,040 Speaker 3: in losses, Peacock three billion dollars in losses. So the 60 00:02:51,040 --> 00:02:53,480 Speaker 3: fact that Netflix is going to throw out seven billion 61 00:02:53,480 --> 00:02:55,840 Speaker 3: dollars in EBITDA and three and a half billion in 62 00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:58,359 Speaker 3: free cash flow is is just marvelous. 63 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:00,400 Speaker 2: You know, media companies have always been fun. If you 64 00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:03,440 Speaker 2: go back to kind of the likes of traditional cable companies, 65 00:03:03,480 --> 00:03:07,320 Speaker 2: and we always talked about them not being necessarily huge 66 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:09,800 Speaker 2: money maker, Like how do we think about streaming. Should 67 00:03:09,840 --> 00:03:12,560 Speaker 2: they be making money KITA in this environment or should 68 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:14,600 Speaker 2: they be as a class be making money? 69 00:03:15,520 --> 00:03:18,040 Speaker 3: I mean, that is such an excellent question, right. I 70 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:21,840 Speaker 3: think after that initial dust settled from that streaming land 71 00:03:21,880 --> 00:03:23,800 Speaker 3: grab phase and everybody was just kind of in that 72 00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:26,800 Speaker 3: rush to get streaming subscribers, I think then this question 73 00:03:26,919 --> 00:03:29,440 Speaker 3: kind of really started to evolve being you know, what 74 00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:32,880 Speaker 3: is what is the endgame? What are the unit economics 75 00:03:32,880 --> 00:03:35,320 Speaker 3: in this business? Is it ever going to be as 76 00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:38,720 Speaker 3: good as the old TV model where we saw networks 77 00:03:38,760 --> 00:03:42,040 Speaker 3: linear TV networks like a USA or a CNBC generate 78 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:45,640 Speaker 3: you know, thirty thirty five percent margins quarter after quarter, 79 00:03:46,320 --> 00:03:49,160 Speaker 3: and so what we've kind of now, you know, obviously, 80 00:03:49,400 --> 00:03:52,680 Speaker 3: with you know, companies spending handover fist when it came 81 00:03:52,720 --> 00:03:55,680 Speaker 3: to content, you know, there was this question about whether 82 00:03:55,680 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 3: they're ever going to be able to break even. I 83 00:03:57,120 --> 00:04:01,080 Speaker 3: think Netflix finally has provided the intry with some sort 84 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:03,440 Speaker 3: of a template of how to go about it. I mean, 85 00:04:03,440 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 3: obviously they did have a lot of bumps down the road, 86 00:04:06,160 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 3: especially in their early innings. But I think now now 87 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:12,680 Speaker 3: that you know they're in a slightly more mature face, 88 00:04:13,000 --> 00:04:15,280 Speaker 3: I think we do have this finally, this this kind 89 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:15,920 Speaker 3: of playbook. 90 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:19,080 Speaker 4: So that's my exact question for you. In terms of 91 00:04:19,160 --> 00:04:23,120 Speaker 4: the cash flow, what do you anticipate Netflix pouring that 92 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:26,600 Speaker 4: cash into to increase profits even more? Are they going 93 00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:29,720 Speaker 4: to lean into more content creation for those programs that 94 00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:31,599 Speaker 4: are really cheap to produce. 95 00:04:32,360 --> 00:04:34,640 Speaker 3: That's a fabulous question. I think what they said last 96 00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:36,880 Speaker 3: night is yes, they're holding content. So they are curbing 97 00:04:36,920 --> 00:04:39,800 Speaker 3: their content spending a little bit this year especially and 98 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:42,039 Speaker 3: also for twenty twenty four. They kind of gave some 99 00:04:42,080 --> 00:04:44,720 Speaker 3: guidance there. But I think after that, you know, kind 100 00:04:44,760 --> 00:04:48,680 Speaker 3: of everything becomes you know, fair game. So they talk 101 00:04:48,880 --> 00:04:52,040 Speaker 3: not just about you know, necessarily TV shows or film content. 102 00:04:52,520 --> 00:04:54,760 Speaker 3: They're going to expand into different categories. They're going to 103 00:04:54,760 --> 00:04:57,240 Speaker 3: expand into gaming. They already are. In fact, they might 104 00:04:57,279 --> 00:05:00,279 Speaker 3: look at different genres, you know, whether it's sports, pro gramming, 105 00:05:00,279 --> 00:05:01,240 Speaker 3: and all of that is going to take a lot 106 00:05:01,279 --> 00:05:03,240 Speaker 3: of money. So yes, they're definitely going to invest in 107 00:05:03,320 --> 00:05:06,640 Speaker 3: more content, in more programming. But they also talked about 108 00:05:06,880 --> 00:05:10,280 Speaker 3: return of capital. So they already bought back about four 109 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:13,680 Speaker 3: hundred million shares in the first quarter, and they're going 110 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:16,440 Speaker 3: to accelerate their whole share repurchase program. So this is 111 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:20,760 Speaker 3: becoming very much like a traditional, you know, low growths 112 00:05:20,800 --> 00:05:21,360 Speaker 3: tech company. 113 00:05:21,360 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 4: Really well, real quick on that, because you mentioned sports 114 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:26,440 Speaker 4: and I feel like the live stream of the Love 115 00:05:26,480 --> 00:05:29,120 Speaker 4: Is Blind reunion was a good test run for them 116 00:05:29,160 --> 00:05:31,839 Speaker 4: when it comes to live programming. Is it a big 117 00:05:31,880 --> 00:05:33,160 Speaker 4: deal that that didn't go well? 118 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:36,600 Speaker 3: You know, and they addressed that yesterday a little bit, 119 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:38,680 Speaker 3: so they did talk about, you know, some technical bugs. 120 00:05:38,680 --> 00:05:40,560 Speaker 3: It obviously is important for them to have all the 121 00:05:40,560 --> 00:05:43,599 Speaker 3: infrastructure in places before they embark on something as ambitious 122 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:46,800 Speaker 3: as sports programming. I think they'll get there. I mean, 123 00:05:46,839 --> 00:05:48,839 Speaker 3: obviously they are. There are going to be some kings, 124 00:05:48,839 --> 00:05:51,600 Speaker 3: some hiccups on the way. I don't think it's as 125 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:54,960 Speaker 3: big of a deal. They did finally get the show 126 00:05:55,040 --> 00:05:57,520 Speaker 3: up and running, and they're going to learn along the way, 127 00:05:57,600 --> 00:05:59,880 Speaker 3: so you know, eventually they will have all the infrastructure. 128 00:06:00,400 --> 00:06:02,240 Speaker 2: Isn't it funny though, Geita that you feel like the 129 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:06,200 Speaker 2: streaming services all this highly produced content you know, you know, 130 00:06:06,240 --> 00:06:08,159 Speaker 2: you can watch it at any time, doesn't matter when 131 00:06:08,160 --> 00:06:10,120 Speaker 2: you watch it. Is now kind of going back to 132 00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:13,840 Speaker 2: the linear model of destination viewing or specific times, whether 133 00:06:13,839 --> 00:06:16,240 Speaker 2: it's through sports or something like a live feed. 134 00:06:17,160 --> 00:06:18,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean that's kind of interesting, and I think 135 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:20,480 Speaker 3: what Netflix is really trying to do here, I think 136 00:06:20,560 --> 00:06:22,560 Speaker 3: is just kind of build anticipation, create bus. I mean, 137 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:25,279 Speaker 3: if you look at reality series and something like you know, 138 00:06:25,400 --> 00:06:27,440 Speaker 3: Love is Blind or I don't know, Nailed It or 139 00:06:27,480 --> 00:06:29,240 Speaker 3: all those making competitions. I mean that's something that you 140 00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 3: typically have on in the background as you're folding laundry 141 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:35,000 Speaker 3: or kind of you know, unloading your dishwasher. But I 142 00:06:35,000 --> 00:06:37,839 Speaker 3: think they want to just create the bus, create anticipation, 143 00:06:37,880 --> 00:06:40,120 Speaker 3: so that you have this audience kind of coming in 144 00:06:40,160 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 3: to watch it, almost like appointment television. So it's really 145 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:45,479 Speaker 3: just more ways for them to you know, have a 146 00:06:45,480 --> 00:06:49,560 Speaker 3: captive audience, which eventually, hopefully they can sell to advertisers. 147 00:06:49,600 --> 00:06:53,080 Speaker 4: At some point on that exact note, advertisers, they were 148 00:06:53,120 --> 00:06:56,080 Speaker 4: going to roll out this ad supported model, What is 149 00:06:56,120 --> 00:06:58,800 Speaker 4: the plan for that? Because I have not seen that yet. 150 00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:02,600 Speaker 3: So the ad supported model is up and running. They 151 00:07:02,640 --> 00:07:06,360 Speaker 3: did not give us necessarily any subscriber numbers around that, 152 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:08,760 Speaker 3: but they did give us some directional data points. So 153 00:07:08,800 --> 00:07:10,960 Speaker 3: what they did say is that it is going according 154 00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:13,520 Speaker 3: to plan. They probably I mean, by our estimates, they 155 00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:16,200 Speaker 3: probably have about two twenty half million subscribers on that 156 00:07:16,240 --> 00:07:19,440 Speaker 3: AD plan. There's still a lot more market to capture. 157 00:07:19,760 --> 00:07:21,680 Speaker 3: But I think the really interesting point that they gave 158 00:07:21,760 --> 00:07:25,640 Speaker 3: us is even though the plan is priced at seven dollars, 159 00:07:26,040 --> 00:07:30,560 Speaker 3: they are actually making sixteen dollars per subscriber because they're 160 00:07:30,600 --> 00:07:34,160 Speaker 3: able to attract all those advertising dollars. So essentially they're 161 00:07:34,240 --> 00:07:38,800 Speaker 3: agnostic between an AD supported consumer or an AD free consumer. 162 00:07:38,800 --> 00:07:41,880 Speaker 3: Because you remember the standard plan, the standard Netflix add 163 00:07:41,920 --> 00:07:44,040 Speaker 3: free plan costs about fifteen and a half dollars. 164 00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:46,640 Speaker 2: So the AD supported tier and the cracking down on 165 00:07:46,720 --> 00:07:50,600 Speaker 2: password sharing, that's catalysts for the stock to move to 166 00:07:50,600 --> 00:07:52,640 Speaker 2: the upside ultimately when they get it all in place. 167 00:07:52,840 --> 00:07:55,040 Speaker 2: And I'm just worry coutely and should we be concerned 168 00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:57,680 Speaker 2: about the delays here and kind of rolling this out 169 00:07:57,720 --> 00:07:59,240 Speaker 2: or nah, not. 170 00:07:59,360 --> 00:08:02,560 Speaker 3: Really, I picket it in the scheme of things. I mean, 171 00:08:02,560 --> 00:08:04,720 Speaker 3: it's probably a few months out and they needed to 172 00:08:04,800 --> 00:08:07,200 Speaker 3: kind of they need to execute well, and it was 173 00:08:07,360 --> 00:08:08,920 Speaker 3: essential for them to kind of roll it out in 174 00:08:08,960 --> 00:08:11,920 Speaker 3: a few test markets, get those learnings, and then kind 175 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:13,960 Speaker 3: of implement it. Was it was really interesting that they 176 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:16,320 Speaker 3: first rolled it out in Canada, and they pretty much 177 00:08:16,360 --> 00:08:19,160 Speaker 3: look at Canada as kind of this proxy for the US. 178 00:08:19,200 --> 00:08:21,800 Speaker 3: So they've got all their learnings from Canada. They know 179 00:08:21,840 --> 00:08:26,200 Speaker 3: how exactly the audience reacted, the users reacted. They kind 180 00:08:26,200 --> 00:08:27,680 Speaker 3: of know what to expect now when they do a 181 00:08:27,720 --> 00:08:30,080 Speaker 3: much broader rollout in the US, which is by far 182 00:08:30,160 --> 00:08:34,439 Speaker 3: their biggest market and where they need to execute really flawlessly. 183 00:08:34,600 --> 00:08:37,679 Speaker 2: Hey, one last question. You know Netflix has been telling 184 00:08:37,720 --> 00:08:41,400 Speaker 2: investors stop fixating on my subscriber model, take a look 185 00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:43,480 Speaker 2: at like sales and profit. Are they right to do 186 00:08:43,559 --> 00:08:44,280 Speaker 2: so in your view? 187 00:08:45,080 --> 00:08:47,760 Speaker 3: I think so? I think investors and Wall Street has 188 00:08:47,760 --> 00:08:50,280 Speaker 3: to pick a lane, right if you wanted. I mean, 189 00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:53,319 Speaker 3: all along it was the subscriber story. Then last year 190 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:55,920 Speaker 3: you had the great Netflix meltdown, the great Netflix correction, 191 00:08:56,000 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 3: and you know they said, okay, subscriber growth has hit 192 00:08:58,200 --> 00:09:01,360 Speaker 3: a wall. Start focusing on our aftability metrics. And you know, 193 00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:05,560 Speaker 3: investors rightly started focusing on profitability metrics. Nobody is chasing 194 00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:08,680 Speaker 3: subscribers anymore, and so now when they are reporting plug 195 00:09:08,760 --> 00:09:11,200 Speaker 3: you know, good profits and good free cash flow, we 196 00:09:11,280 --> 00:09:12,120 Speaker 3: got to give them credit. 197 00:09:12,840 --> 00:09:14,280 Speaker 2: This is why we want to talk to you. Gita 198 00:09:14,320 --> 00:09:17,400 Speaker 2: ring Anathon. She's technology and media analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, 199 00:09:17,840 --> 00:09:20,800 Speaker 2: knowing all when it comes to Netflix. Joining us from 200 00:09:20,800 --> 00:09:23,200 Speaker 2: our Princeton, New Jersey bureau. Gita, thank you. 201 00:09:23,920 --> 00:09:27,480 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Podcast. Catch us 202 00:09:27,520 --> 00:09:30,880 Speaker 1: live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern Listen on 203 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:34,959 Speaker 1: Bloomberg dot com, the iHeartRadio app, and the Bloomberg Business App, 204 00:09:35,240 --> 00:09:37,520 Speaker 1: or watch us live on YouTube. 205 00:09:38,160 --> 00:09:40,280 Speaker 2: All right, let's get back to Tesla because that is 206 00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:45,160 Speaker 2: certainly a big focus for investors. Dot down just about 207 00:09:45,200 --> 00:09:49,080 Speaker 2: one percent. Here in the aftermarket, we talked about the valuation, 208 00:09:49,200 --> 00:09:52,040 Speaker 2: especially as the company continues to cut prices. We talked 209 00:09:52,040 --> 00:09:54,080 Speaker 2: a little bit about margins, a little bit light based 210 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:56,200 Speaker 2: on what the street was expecting. So let's get to 211 00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:59,319 Speaker 2: the valuation side of the story and the fundamental Esha 212 00:09:59,360 --> 00:10:01,840 Speaker 2: Day is Bloomberg News Equity Markets reporter here in our 213 00:10:01,840 --> 00:10:05,560 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Interactive Broker's studio along with gay couple Lot. She 214 00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:08,560 Speaker 2: is Bloomberg News Auto reporter. She's on the phone in 215 00:10:08,600 --> 00:10:11,319 Speaker 2: our Detroit bureau, and I do believe you know, Gabby, 216 00:10:11,360 --> 00:10:14,199 Speaker 2: We've got to start with the fundamental story. What are 217 00:10:14,200 --> 00:10:16,400 Speaker 2: some of the key takeaways that you see? We just 218 00:10:16,440 --> 00:10:19,240 Speaker 2: were kind of running through the numbers with our TV colleagues, 219 00:10:19,280 --> 00:10:21,600 Speaker 2: But what jumps out for you, hey, Carol? 220 00:10:21,760 --> 00:10:24,440 Speaker 5: So yeah, I think going into this, we all knew 221 00:10:24,480 --> 00:10:27,440 Speaker 5: that margins were going to suffer because Tesla has been 222 00:10:27,480 --> 00:10:30,679 Speaker 5: implementing price cuts around the world. But I think a 223 00:10:30,720 --> 00:10:34,480 Speaker 5: floor that the street had was twenty percent gross margin, 224 00:10:34,520 --> 00:10:37,920 Speaker 5: and they came in with nineteen point three percent gross margin. 225 00:10:38,160 --> 00:10:40,560 Speaker 5: So it's not a lot of difference, but that's sort 226 00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:42,559 Speaker 5: of the floor that we thought they would try to 227 00:10:42,600 --> 00:10:45,840 Speaker 5: stay above, and they did in this quarter. And if 228 00:10:45,840 --> 00:10:48,480 Speaker 5: you look at I'm just going through the letter, Tesla's 229 00:10:48,559 --> 00:10:52,280 Speaker 5: letter to investors, and the opening line talks about in 230 00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:56,560 Speaker 5: this current macro economic environment, this is a unique opportunity 231 00:10:56,559 --> 00:11:01,040 Speaker 5: for Tesla. It talks about how basically they are going 232 00:11:01,080 --> 00:11:02,520 Speaker 5: to underprice their competitors. 233 00:11:02,840 --> 00:11:05,960 Speaker 2: We see this right with I mean, China has done 234 00:11:05,960 --> 00:11:08,480 Speaker 2: it right on steel and close and you know, so, 235 00:11:08,559 --> 00:11:12,560 Speaker 2: I mean, we understand the strategy to be fair, yes. 236 00:11:12,360 --> 00:11:15,240 Speaker 5: But I mean, I mean Tesla does. China is a 237 00:11:15,320 --> 00:11:17,679 Speaker 5: huge market for Tesla, and I do have an assembly 238 00:11:18,240 --> 00:11:21,400 Speaker 5: factory in Shanghai, but that I don't think, you know, 239 00:11:21,400 --> 00:11:23,400 Speaker 5: it's not totally the same thing as like the China. 240 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:26,040 Speaker 5: I mean, Tesla still builds vehicles in America, I think, 241 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:29,320 Speaker 5: and employees people in the United States, and you know, 242 00:11:29,559 --> 00:11:31,800 Speaker 5: DOES is doing this in the United States, a lot 243 00:11:31,800 --> 00:11:34,880 Speaker 5: of it, so, including the cyber truck, which they just 244 00:11:34,880 --> 00:11:37,120 Speaker 5: said also that it's on track to come lader this year, 245 00:11:37,200 --> 00:11:39,720 Speaker 5: start production later this year, I should say. So it's 246 00:11:39,720 --> 00:11:43,040 Speaker 5: really about thinking about you know, Elon Musk from the beginning, 247 00:11:43,040 --> 00:11:45,439 Speaker 5: even when he was talking about going through production. Hell, 248 00:11:45,520 --> 00:11:46,920 Speaker 5: we didn't think he was going to make it. He's 249 00:11:46,960 --> 00:11:49,600 Speaker 5: always always always stressed that he was going to drive 250 00:11:49,679 --> 00:11:53,560 Speaker 5: down cost, and now we're going to see him leverage that. 251 00:11:53,640 --> 00:11:56,000 Speaker 5: And it's just a matter of if you've been doing this, 252 00:11:56,200 --> 00:11:59,600 Speaker 5: you know, for a decade versus you know, GM or 253 00:11:59,640 --> 00:12:03,679 Speaker 5: four or Stilantis or Volkswagen or whoever, who are kind 254 00:12:03,720 --> 00:12:06,120 Speaker 5: of just now coming into this. Even though they're you know, 255 00:12:06,240 --> 00:12:09,360 Speaker 5: legacy automakers with a lot of manufacturing experience, they don't 256 00:12:09,440 --> 00:12:12,400 Speaker 5: Tesla has more experience than they do at building evs 257 00:12:12,480 --> 00:12:15,480 Speaker 5: and that gives them the advantage to do that. I mean, 258 00:12:15,520 --> 00:12:16,120 Speaker 5: that's part of it. 259 00:12:16,280 --> 00:12:18,160 Speaker 2: So, and this is what's key. We're talking about, not 260 00:12:18,320 --> 00:12:21,400 Speaker 2: just the cost when you say driving down cost, the 261 00:12:21,440 --> 00:12:23,320 Speaker 2: cost of producing it as well as the cost of 262 00:12:23,320 --> 00:12:24,520 Speaker 2: the actual vehicle both. 263 00:12:25,240 --> 00:12:27,440 Speaker 5: Yes, I think yes, yes, I mean the way he 264 00:12:27,480 --> 00:12:30,400 Speaker 5: can cut he's betting that. I mean, you see other 265 00:12:30,960 --> 00:12:33,520 Speaker 5: I mean I cover Stalantis, right, So the CEO Stalantis 266 00:12:33,520 --> 00:12:36,040 Speaker 5: will always brag about how he has a that you know, 267 00:12:36,160 --> 00:12:38,559 Speaker 5: car sales around the world could drop forty percent, he 268 00:12:38,600 --> 00:12:41,120 Speaker 5: would still make money. And that's because you have you 269 00:12:41,160 --> 00:12:43,160 Speaker 5: take a lot of cost out of your manufacturing. And 270 00:12:43,200 --> 00:12:47,280 Speaker 5: that's I mean, Tesla has sought to start producing batteries 271 00:12:47,320 --> 00:12:51,360 Speaker 5: in house. They're talking about processing their own lithium to 272 00:12:51,400 --> 00:12:55,160 Speaker 5: make batteries in Texas. They have you know, they make 273 00:12:55,200 --> 00:12:57,760 Speaker 5: a lot of parts in house. You know, they're not 274 00:12:57,960 --> 00:13:01,959 Speaker 5: like other car companies that buy all this stuff from suppliers, 275 00:13:02,200 --> 00:13:03,760 Speaker 5: you know, down the supply chain. That's what we saw 276 00:13:03,840 --> 00:13:07,439 Speaker 5: during the chip crisis, Tesla did. You know, everybody suffered 277 00:13:07,440 --> 00:13:09,680 Speaker 5: in the auto industry, but Tesla did fair better because 278 00:13:09,720 --> 00:13:11,400 Speaker 5: they did so much of this stuff in the house 279 00:13:11,440 --> 00:13:14,240 Speaker 5: that they could be nimble. They could take a semi 280 00:13:14,280 --> 00:13:17,400 Speaker 5: conductor chip and rewrite the code and make it function 281 00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 5: for another purpose or another thing inside the vehicle. 282 00:13:20,559 --> 00:13:20,760 Speaker 6: Yeah. 283 00:13:20,920 --> 00:13:24,040 Speaker 4: So yeah, well, Asha, I want to bring you in here. 284 00:13:24,120 --> 00:13:27,080 Speaker 4: Tell me what you're thinking about the market reaction. Is 285 00:13:27,120 --> 00:13:30,320 Speaker 4: there more disappointment than you anticipated. 286 00:13:30,960 --> 00:13:33,760 Speaker 6: That's a great question. So, as Gaby mentioned, you know, 287 00:13:33,880 --> 00:13:37,080 Speaker 6: the twenty percent cross margin was sort of the hard 288 00:13:37,120 --> 00:13:42,720 Speaker 6: line that everybody was looking at. Investors are trying to understand, 289 00:13:43,000 --> 00:13:45,600 Speaker 6: you know, this land craft that Tesla is kind of 290 00:13:46,120 --> 00:13:48,960 Speaker 6: getting into, at what price is it coming for? 291 00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:51,920 Speaker 2: So let's talk valuation, right because if you pull it up, 292 00:13:52,040 --> 00:13:55,520 Speaker 2: I mean we've got Tesla at a current pe of 293 00:13:55,520 --> 00:13:58,520 Speaker 2: about fifty two, a forward looking pe of almost forty six, 294 00:13:58,880 --> 00:14:01,360 Speaker 2: and we know investors were and be focused on, especially 295 00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:04,120 Speaker 2: with a company that's been cutting prices absolutely. 296 00:14:04,400 --> 00:14:06,760 Speaker 6: So that margin is the like one of the big 297 00:14:06,800 --> 00:14:10,080 Speaker 6: corner stores of the valuation that Tesla has. And the 298 00:14:10,160 --> 00:14:13,600 Speaker 6: Tesla is valued at like, you know, forty seven fifty 299 00:14:13,640 --> 00:14:18,560 Speaker 6: times earnings forward earnings when you talk about GM or four, 300 00:14:18,679 --> 00:14:23,160 Speaker 6: that's about six seven times, So you know, the disappointment 301 00:14:23,240 --> 00:14:25,840 Speaker 6: on margin is a big disappointment when it comes to 302 00:14:25,880 --> 00:14:29,000 Speaker 6: Tesla compared to like any other automaker, because that that 303 00:14:29,200 --> 00:14:32,040 Speaker 6: is sort of the corner store that's holding up the valuation. 304 00:14:35,560 --> 00:14:39,400 Speaker 6: So if GM has to cut prices or four has 305 00:14:39,440 --> 00:14:43,080 Speaker 6: to cut prices, that's still understandable. But Tesla, even though 306 00:14:43,080 --> 00:14:46,000 Speaker 6: it has scale, doesn't have scale at that point where 307 00:14:46,040 --> 00:14:47,960 Speaker 6: it can hold up the valuation. Can it bring in 308 00:14:48,040 --> 00:14:51,720 Speaker 6: as much revenue, even more scale and really cut down 309 00:14:51,760 --> 00:14:56,080 Speaker 6: the cost of making those cars to at some point, 310 00:14:56,280 --> 00:14:58,200 Speaker 6: you know, drive these margins back up. 311 00:14:58,560 --> 00:15:01,920 Speaker 4: Yeah, So, Gabby, should we be valuing Tesla differently than 312 00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:03,240 Speaker 4: a GM or a Ford. 313 00:15:04,760 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 5: Ooh, that's a very controversial question. Obviously, for years we 314 00:15:09,760 --> 00:15:11,920 Speaker 5: heard Wall Street say that this was a tech company, 315 00:15:11,960 --> 00:15:14,520 Speaker 5: not a car company. I kind of feel like both 316 00:15:14,560 --> 00:15:14,960 Speaker 5: are true. 317 00:15:15,560 --> 00:15:17,120 Speaker 7: How do you report on it? 318 00:15:17,160 --> 00:15:18,320 Speaker 2: Like, how do you think about it? 319 00:15:19,880 --> 00:15:22,840 Speaker 5: I take the technology company stuff with a grain of salt, 320 00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:24,640 Speaker 5: because at the end of the day, they are making 321 00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:27,360 Speaker 5: their still metal bashers. However much they don't make you 322 00:15:27,400 --> 00:15:29,240 Speaker 5: want to escape. I mean yes, And you know, when 323 00:15:29,280 --> 00:15:31,800 Speaker 5: you see Elon and I look at this investor letter 324 00:15:31,880 --> 00:15:35,840 Speaker 5: and they talk about their strategy going forward, they're talking 325 00:15:35,880 --> 00:15:39,560 Speaker 5: about we're still making investments in autonomy and vehicle software, 326 00:15:39,960 --> 00:15:42,080 Speaker 5: so that speaks to the tech question you're talking about. 327 00:15:42,120 --> 00:15:47,040 Speaker 5: Tesla believes that they you know, obviously they're quote unquote 328 00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:49,520 Speaker 5: full self driving, which is not full self driving, but 329 00:15:49,560 --> 00:15:52,240 Speaker 5: they're you know, autonomous features in the car that have 330 00:15:52,320 --> 00:15:55,240 Speaker 5: gotten them into hot water with regulators. Nonetheless, they believe 331 00:15:55,360 --> 00:15:57,760 Speaker 5: Elon still seems to firmly believe that that is a 332 00:15:58,840 --> 00:16:02,040 Speaker 5: growing revenue source in future, along with other software services 333 00:16:02,040 --> 00:16:04,480 Speaker 5: in the car, and that's something that all the carmakers 334 00:16:04,560 --> 00:16:06,880 Speaker 5: are looking at now. They're trying to not just be 335 00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:09,600 Speaker 5: metal bashers, but they also want to sell services to 336 00:16:09,720 --> 00:16:12,760 Speaker 5: consumers through the car, which obviously pits them against Apple 337 00:16:12,800 --> 00:16:15,560 Speaker 5: and things like that. There's one other point I wanted 338 00:16:15,560 --> 00:16:18,360 Speaker 5: to make Carol. As we think about this, don't forget 339 00:16:18,400 --> 00:16:21,720 Speaker 5: about China. I'm just looking at you know, there's been 340 00:16:21,720 --> 00:16:23,600 Speaker 5: a lot of headlines about what's going on the auto 341 00:16:23,640 --> 00:16:28,080 Speaker 5: market in China. Elon had a very interesting relationship with China. 342 00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:30,680 Speaker 5: All the other automakers were forced to do joint ventures 343 00:16:30,680 --> 00:16:34,560 Speaker 5: where there would be tech transfer with their Chinese competitors, 344 00:16:34,680 --> 00:16:38,520 Speaker 5: not Tesla Tesla. Elon held out right he never did that. 345 00:16:38,640 --> 00:16:41,040 Speaker 5: He came in and built a plant, you know, once 346 00:16:41,080 --> 00:16:45,760 Speaker 5: he owned it himself quickly. Nonetheless, nonetheless, you see by 347 00:16:45,880 --> 00:16:49,040 Speaker 5: d you see these other domestic Chinese car companies gaining 348 00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:52,760 Speaker 5: share in the Chinese market, not just Tesla, but everybody 349 00:16:53,240 --> 00:16:55,360 Speaker 5: is kind of feeling the pressure there from some of 350 00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:57,720 Speaker 5: the you know, the Chinese car companies have matured and 351 00:16:57,760 --> 00:17:00,120 Speaker 5: they're making some good product now, which is another say. 352 00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:03,520 Speaker 2: To think about when we think about the valuation. And Maddie, 353 00:17:03,520 --> 00:17:05,399 Speaker 2: I knew you wanted to ask that one thing when. 354 00:17:05,280 --> 00:17:09,480 Speaker 4: Its Tesla Gabby Real Quick Inflation Reduction Act, they reported 355 00:17:09,520 --> 00:17:13,359 Speaker 4: an increase in regulatory credits this quarter. How big of 356 00:17:13,359 --> 00:17:15,280 Speaker 4: a deal is that for Tesla moving forward? 357 00:17:15,760 --> 00:17:18,480 Speaker 5: Okay, well, I think it is going to be significant. 358 00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:22,680 Speaker 5: And the CFO, Zaka Kirkhorn, talked about that last quarter 359 00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:24,639 Speaker 5: and I'm definitely going to be watching for his comments 360 00:17:24,720 --> 00:17:26,959 Speaker 5: this quarter. But just let's just make it clear in 361 00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:30,520 Speaker 5: folks minds. Like one thing is the regulatory credits that 362 00:17:30,600 --> 00:17:33,200 Speaker 5: is that's been around for years and that's basically when 363 00:17:33,200 --> 00:17:36,640 Speaker 5: another car company can't meet the EPA's fuel economy rules, 364 00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:40,960 Speaker 5: they can actually buy credit from Tesla, which has nothing 365 00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:43,680 Speaker 5: Tesla does not make combustion engines, right, there's no they're 366 00:17:43,680 --> 00:17:46,840 Speaker 5: all zero emission vehicles, right, So that has been another 367 00:17:47,000 --> 00:17:50,639 Speaker 5: kind of revenue cushion. Margin cushion for Tesla is his credits. 368 00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:53,040 Speaker 5: But as more car companies get electric vehicles, they don't 369 00:17:53,080 --> 00:17:55,520 Speaker 5: need to buy from Tesla. I mean, you know, for example, 370 00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:59,919 Speaker 5: Chrysler and now Stiland has had a huge deal with Tesla, 371 00:18:00,280 --> 00:18:03,159 Speaker 5: and they weren't the only one. So I'm trying to 372 00:18:03,200 --> 00:18:05,600 Speaker 5: look at it there the let's see regular and trying 373 00:18:05,600 --> 00:18:07,960 Speaker 5: to look for regulatory credit. But basically, let me just say, yeah, 374 00:18:08,000 --> 00:18:11,840 Speaker 5: IRA is a different deal. The IRA is about Biden administration. 375 00:18:11,920 --> 00:18:15,280 Speaker 5: The federal government is paying companies to make batteries on 376 00:18:15,440 --> 00:18:16,000 Speaker 5: US soil. 377 00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:16,400 Speaker 8: Right. 378 00:18:16,480 --> 00:18:19,760 Speaker 5: Tesla already has a completely scaled and they're going to 379 00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:23,040 Speaker 5: expand it giga factory in Nevada, and they have one 380 00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:24,879 Speaker 5: in Texa. They're building it. They have it in Texas. 381 00:18:24,880 --> 00:18:28,199 Speaker 5: They're building batteries in Texas. So that's another source of 382 00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:31,080 Speaker 5: government revenue. And it's all about how many batteries, how 383 00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:33,240 Speaker 5: many kill a lot hours of batteries you made? Guess what? 384 00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:35,960 Speaker 5: Like I said, they have first moved for advantage. Tesla 385 00:18:36,000 --> 00:18:38,119 Speaker 5: has been doing this longer, and they're further along. 386 00:18:38,280 --> 00:18:40,280 Speaker 2: This is what is like when it goes back to 387 00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:42,240 Speaker 2: Esha's story that's on the Bloomberg and you should check 388 00:18:42,240 --> 00:18:43,600 Speaker 2: it out. This is why you know, it's like, yeah, 389 00:18:43,640 --> 00:18:45,400 Speaker 2: my valuation, I got it, I'm worth it. 390 00:18:45,840 --> 00:18:46,119 Speaker 9: All right. 391 00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:48,240 Speaker 2: Well, let's see what Ross Gerber has to make out 392 00:18:48,280 --> 00:18:50,760 Speaker 2: of all of this. He's president. You have Gerber Kawasaki 393 00:18:50,800 --> 00:18:54,480 Speaker 2: Wealth and Investment Management, a Tesla shareholder, a Tesla car 394 00:18:54,560 --> 00:18:57,840 Speaker 2: owner once wanted a board seat and then did not. 395 00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:01,560 Speaker 2: He's with us, back with us on Zoom from Santa Monica, California. Hey, Ross, 396 00:19:01,560 --> 00:19:03,919 Speaker 2: good to have you here. I know you're looking at 397 00:19:03,960 --> 00:19:06,000 Speaker 2: all the news coming out of Tesla's stock is still 398 00:19:06,080 --> 00:19:08,119 Speaker 2: down I think about three or four percent here in 399 00:19:08,200 --> 00:19:10,000 Speaker 2: the aftermarket. What jumps out for you. 400 00:19:10,520 --> 00:19:12,320 Speaker 9: Well, what jumps out for me is what I've been 401 00:19:12,320 --> 00:19:16,040 Speaker 9: saying forever, which is Elon needs to spend some money 402 00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:19,119 Speaker 9: on advertising instead of just sacrifice some gross margins and 403 00:19:19,160 --> 00:19:22,000 Speaker 9: cash flow to lower prices. And he's treating the car 404 00:19:22,119 --> 00:19:25,399 Speaker 9: like a commodity, and so you know, if there's less sales, 405 00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:27,480 Speaker 9: they just lower the price, and if there's more sales, 406 00:19:27,520 --> 00:19:29,439 Speaker 9: they raise the price, but that's actually not how you 407 00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:32,800 Speaker 9: sell cars. So I think that this quarter was in 408 00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:36,080 Speaker 9: line with our expectations, so that's the positive. It wasn't worse. 409 00:19:36,800 --> 00:19:40,159 Speaker 9: But you know, when sales are up forty percent but 410 00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:43,320 Speaker 9: revenue and profits are down, there's an issue you got 411 00:19:43,359 --> 00:19:46,040 Speaker 9: to deal with. And blaming the macro environment, like a 412 00:19:46,040 --> 00:19:48,479 Speaker 9: lot of people want to do, isn't isn't accurate, you know, 413 00:19:48,600 --> 00:19:52,000 Speaker 9: So Tesla needs to address the demand side of their business, 414 00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:53,000 Speaker 9: whether they like it or not. 415 00:19:53,320 --> 00:19:55,880 Speaker 4: Well, to be fair, they also blame the weather in California. 416 00:19:56,200 --> 00:19:57,560 Speaker 7: Ross do you suy that. 417 00:19:57,440 --> 00:20:00,560 Speaker 9: That was for solar deployment though, but yeah, yeahyeah, yeah. 418 00:20:00,440 --> 00:20:01,120 Speaker 7: Yeah, fair enough. 419 00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:04,720 Speaker 4: Do you do you think on the valuation side, has 420 00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:07,240 Speaker 4: your perspective changed at all? Do you think the valuation 421 00:20:07,359 --> 00:20:07,720 Speaker 4: is fair? 422 00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:08,800 Speaker 8: Yeah? 423 00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:11,280 Speaker 9: I think the valuation is fair, and I think we've 424 00:20:11,320 --> 00:20:14,880 Speaker 9: been running at fifty times earnings and originally about six 425 00:20:14,920 --> 00:20:17,080 Speaker 9: eight months ago, our earnings expectations for this year we're 426 00:20:17,119 --> 00:20:19,880 Speaker 9: six dollars, So we were at around three hundred dollars 427 00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:22,640 Speaker 9: for Tesla and now they've been lowered to under four dollars. 428 00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:25,199 Speaker 9: So if you do do fifty times four dollars, you're 429 00:20:25,240 --> 00:20:27,800 Speaker 9: at two hundred dollars right now we're seeing earnings that 430 00:20:27,920 --> 00:20:30,840 Speaker 9: might not even make four dollars. So I don't think 431 00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:33,560 Speaker 9: the stock's acting irrationally. And I think for investors who 432 00:20:33,600 --> 00:20:36,280 Speaker 9: have a long term focus, you know, Tesla's trading for 433 00:20:36,320 --> 00:20:38,720 Speaker 9: what it's worth, and so if you're a long term investor, 434 00:20:38,800 --> 00:20:40,959 Speaker 9: it's a good value. But if you're a long term 435 00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:44,800 Speaker 9: Tesla shareholder like myself, it's very disappointing. You see earnings 436 00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:45,960 Speaker 9: going down, right. 437 00:20:46,119 --> 00:20:48,679 Speaker 2: You buy, you sell shares of Tesla. We know that 438 00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:50,640 Speaker 2: we've talked with you a lot. Would you buy at 439 00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:52,960 Speaker 2: this valuation? And as a stock is going down about 440 00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:55,040 Speaker 2: three or four percent here, at least in the aftermarket. 441 00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:56,960 Speaker 9: Well, I think you have to look at it from 442 00:20:57,000 --> 00:20:59,399 Speaker 9: the perspective of if I'm an investor with cash and 443 00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:02,000 Speaker 9: I'm looking to make investments with Tesla still be one 444 00:21:02,040 --> 00:21:05,040 Speaker 9: of our top investments, and absolutely it would be. But 445 00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:07,560 Speaker 9: the question is is if you're heavily invested in Tesla 446 00:21:07,600 --> 00:21:10,159 Speaker 9: today and that's all you own is Tesla, is this 447 00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:12,760 Speaker 9: a smart investment strategy? And I would say no, there's 448 00:21:12,760 --> 00:21:15,440 Speaker 9: a considerable amount of risk that wasn't in Tesla a 449 00:21:15,520 --> 00:21:15,920 Speaker 9: year ago. 450 00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:20,560 Speaker 2: So are you upbeat though that they're saying they are 451 00:21:20,600 --> 00:21:23,040 Speaker 2: seeing an ongoing cost reduction of its vehicles. You know 452 00:21:23,080 --> 00:21:25,239 Speaker 2: what they're doing, right, They're cutting prices to grab more 453 00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:27,080 Speaker 2: of the market. But they're also saying, we're gonna be 454 00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:29,520 Speaker 2: able to cut the cost of production. Do you believe it? 455 00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:30,360 Speaker 2: Can they do it? 456 00:21:31,000 --> 00:21:31,160 Speaker 7: Well? 457 00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:33,840 Speaker 9: I was just there. Absolutely they can do it because 458 00:21:33,840 --> 00:21:36,560 Speaker 9: they got a massive factory that's only producing a couple 459 00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:39,040 Speaker 9: hundred thousand cars that can produce over a million cars. 460 00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:41,280 Speaker 9: So when you think about the point of scale that 461 00:21:41,320 --> 00:21:44,040 Speaker 9: they're in, there's no doubt that they can cut the 462 00:21:44,080 --> 00:21:46,000 Speaker 9: cost of the car. But the problems is as they 463 00:21:46,040 --> 00:21:49,680 Speaker 9: increase production, can they sell all these cars? And if 464 00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:53,119 Speaker 9: they continue to lower prices faster than costs are going down, 465 00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:56,560 Speaker 9: then we've got a real bad situation for Tesla. And 466 00:21:57,119 --> 00:21:59,560 Speaker 9: that's what my concern is when you haven't tried all 467 00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:02,080 Speaker 9: the leave to sell cars. But one thing I think 468 00:22:02,080 --> 00:22:04,879 Speaker 9: we can safely say that Elon's new job at Twitter 469 00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:07,199 Speaker 9: is not helping Tesla sell cars. 470 00:22:08,440 --> 00:22:10,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, and if they're going to do some advertising cuts 471 00:22:10,240 --> 00:22:12,159 Speaker 2: into margins, do you hate that he's cutting prices? Just 472 00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:14,280 Speaker 2: got thirty seconds twenty five? Absolutely? 473 00:22:14,520 --> 00:22:17,439 Speaker 9: I think Tesla's a premium product, and I think it 474 00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:21,280 Speaker 9: serves what we call the mass affluent marketplace, which is massive. 475 00:22:21,680 --> 00:22:25,560 Speaker 9: And I think the continuing and cutting prices actually hurts 476 00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:28,640 Speaker 9: the brand, and so I'd love to see Tesla try 477 00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:31,160 Speaker 9: to hold prices here and try to sell cars any 478 00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:31,560 Speaker 9: other way. 479 00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:33,600 Speaker 2: All Right, Gonna leave it on that note. We know 480 00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:36,040 Speaker 2: a busy afternoon, so so appreciate you weigh Have you 481 00:22:36,040 --> 00:22:39,560 Speaker 2: been buying prices any Tesla's on the price cuts ten seconds? 482 00:22:39,560 --> 00:22:42,399 Speaker 9: Well, no, I already have to Tesla's and they've lost value, 483 00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:43,200 Speaker 9: so I'm not happy. 484 00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:46,760 Speaker 2: All right, Well said, Well said Ross Gerber. Thank you 485 00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:49,760 Speaker 2: so much, President and Chief executive Officer Kerber Kawasaki Wealth 486 00:22:49,800 --> 00:22:50,800 Speaker 2: and Investment Management. 487 00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:55,080 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us 488 00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:59,119 Speaker 1: live weekday afternoons from three to six Easter on Bloomberg Radio, 489 00:22:59,280 --> 00:23:02,600 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Business App, and YouTube. You can also listen 490 00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:05,800 Speaker 1: live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station, 491 00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:09,040 Speaker 1: Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 492 00:23:09,800 --> 00:23:13,280 Speaker 2: Continue to track developments daily when it comes to AI, 493 00:23:13,320 --> 00:23:18,199 Speaker 2: in particular, generative artificial intelligence, increasingly creeping into the conversation 494 00:23:19,000 --> 00:23:20,760 Speaker 2: is also the creepy thought that AI is like a 495 00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 2: person sentient. There's a great story on the Bloomberg about 496 00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:27,040 Speaker 2: that and reminding us that machines are not conscious. So 497 00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:29,360 Speaker 2: let's get to our next guest. See what he has 498 00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:31,640 Speaker 2: to say about what's going on when it comes to AI. 499 00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:36,280 Speaker 2: He is head of and co founder of a company 500 00:23:36,280 --> 00:23:38,840 Speaker 2: that has been named to Fast Companies prestigious annual list 501 00:23:38,840 --> 00:23:41,800 Speaker 2: of the world's most innovative companies for twenty twenty three 502 00:23:41,840 --> 00:23:44,879 Speaker 2: when it comes to the AI category. With more on that, 503 00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:48,320 Speaker 2: and let's get into the company. It's an AI powered 504 00:23:48,520 --> 00:23:52,160 Speaker 2: app development platform builder dot Ai. I think I need 505 00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:55,240 Speaker 2: AI right now to help me read. We welcome co 506 00:23:55,320 --> 00:24:00,280 Speaker 2: founder Satan Doogal. He's Dev Doogal, co founder and chief 507 00:24:00,320 --> 00:24:03,080 Speaker 2: wizard a builder dot Ai. He's here in our interactive 508 00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:05,600 Speaker 2: broker studio. Sorry my introduction was too long. I should 509 00:24:05,600 --> 00:24:06,480 Speaker 2: have just said hello, come in. 510 00:24:06,680 --> 00:24:07,760 Speaker 8: Thank you so much for having me. 511 00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:10,480 Speaker 2: Good to have you here with us. Tell us, first 512 00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:12,879 Speaker 2: of all, what your company does specifically. 513 00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:15,199 Speaker 8: So we allow people who don't understand technology to be 514 00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:15,439 Speaker 8: able to. 515 00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:17,360 Speaker 2: Build software, so anybody can build. 516 00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:18,439 Speaker 8: Anyone And why is that important? 517 00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:18,600 Speaker 1: Right? 518 00:24:18,600 --> 00:24:21,119 Speaker 8: If we think about every small business every department in 519 00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:23,920 Speaker 8: a large company, every entrepreneur with an idea they need 520 00:24:23,960 --> 00:24:25,920 Speaker 8: to be digitally native, but they have no idea how 521 00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:28,679 Speaker 8: to be digital native. Like the average person when you 522 00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:31,879 Speaker 8: say Java, thinks coffee being at Starbucks. And when you 523 00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:33,679 Speaker 8: ask them how do they use Excel? They use a 524 00:24:33,720 --> 00:24:36,400 Speaker 8: calculator with it. And that's the average audience. And how 525 00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:39,040 Speaker 8: suddenly do they become relevant in a world that's so digital? 526 00:24:39,240 --> 00:24:41,359 Speaker 2: Can they just hire somebody to be digitally native? 527 00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:44,280 Speaker 8: Yeah, and you have five hundred million developers worth a 528 00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:47,960 Speaker 8: demand and fifteen million developers with a supply. But the 529 00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:49,440 Speaker 8: issue is much bigger than that. I give you a 530 00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:51,760 Speaker 8: really funny an average. So I have two little children, 531 00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:54,159 Speaker 8: and if you say to them, paint me Picasso and 532 00:24:54,280 --> 00:24:58,040 Speaker 8: art class, it's pretty bad. Then you put five pictures 533 00:24:58,040 --> 00:25:00,760 Speaker 8: of Picasso around it and say, paint me pickass So 534 00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:02,800 Speaker 8: it's much better. And then you say to them you 535 00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:05,679 Speaker 8: can cut up these five paintings and make Piassa. And 536 00:25:05,680 --> 00:25:08,000 Speaker 8: now it's something you'll put on the wall. And I think, 537 00:25:08,040 --> 00:25:09,919 Speaker 8: you know how we build software to people that are 538 00:25:09,960 --> 00:25:11,520 Speaker 8: not technically it is the same thing. They need people 539 00:25:11,560 --> 00:25:14,879 Speaker 8: to pick and choose things from things they recognize just 540 00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:17,240 Speaker 8: like they order food at lunch or they order a 541 00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:19,560 Speaker 8: kitchen and that's how software should be. 542 00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:23,240 Speaker 4: So what are you seeing in the trends of the 543 00:25:23,480 --> 00:25:27,080 Speaker 4: entrepreneurs that are coming to you to use your platform. 544 00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:30,560 Speaker 4: What's changed? What's been the single biggest change you've seen 545 00:25:30,560 --> 00:25:31,760 Speaker 4: over the past couple of years. 546 00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:37,680 Speaker 8: So I think firstly the speed at which people are 547 00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:42,360 Speaker 8: coming and the sheer of velocity COVID it was interesting. 548 00:25:42,400 --> 00:25:46,320 Speaker 8: It was like a massive tailwind, but it was a 549 00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:48,199 Speaker 8: gating function. It's like, we're not going back to the 550 00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:50,879 Speaker 8: old way. I think the second thing we've seen is 551 00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:52,920 Speaker 8: it went from a nice to have where I might 552 00:25:52,920 --> 00:25:55,520 Speaker 8: speak to my cousin or the person down the road 553 00:25:55,520 --> 00:25:57,240 Speaker 8: to help me build a website or help me build 554 00:25:57,240 --> 00:25:59,160 Speaker 8: an up to my business is not going to work 555 00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:01,359 Speaker 8: unless I have this working or this problem solved. Right, 556 00:26:01,359 --> 00:26:02,720 Speaker 8: I'm not going to succeed in my job in the 557 00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:04,040 Speaker 8: finance department in a company. 558 00:26:04,119 --> 00:26:06,119 Speaker 2: Yeah. That two year plan to be really all in 559 00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:07,000 Speaker 2: on digital. 560 00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:08,879 Speaker 8: Yes, got to do it now. Yeah, it's accelerated. And 561 00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:12,000 Speaker 8: I think that the third has been for us is 562 00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:16,159 Speaker 8: people have basically let go of the idea that I 563 00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:17,960 Speaker 8: need to be a developer or I need to be 564 00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:21,199 Speaker 8: a programmer, and they are all in and saying I 565 00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:23,199 Speaker 8: just need to get on with this now. So to 566 00:26:23,240 --> 00:26:25,400 Speaker 8: the extent that someone can help me, I will take it. 567 00:26:25,760 --> 00:26:28,120 Speaker 2: You guys are powered, as we said, or I tried 568 00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:31,879 Speaker 2: to say the introduction AI powered app development platform. So 569 00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:33,920 Speaker 2: what is the role of AI in this? 570 00:26:34,320 --> 00:26:38,240 Speaker 8: So there's a couple of things. Firstly, our user experience 571 00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:41,080 Speaker 8: with the customer is like a Domino's Pizza experience plus 572 00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:43,960 Speaker 8: conversational AI. So you talk to the system and as 573 00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:47,520 Speaker 8: you talk, NATASHAI I will understand what you're saying and 574 00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:49,199 Speaker 8: we'll say, okay, let me ask this question. But she 575 00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:51,240 Speaker 8: may not ask the question that the human might ask 576 00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:54,359 Speaker 8: the question. And that's important because we're sill at a 577 00:26:54,400 --> 00:26:57,480 Speaker 8: stage where AI is a toddler, not an adult, and 578 00:26:57,520 --> 00:26:59,240 Speaker 8: so having a human in the loop is really important 579 00:26:59,280 --> 00:27:01,879 Speaker 8: and we realize this our own experience. The second is 580 00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:05,520 Speaker 8: there are things that a machine can do, for example, 581 00:27:05,840 --> 00:27:08,879 Speaker 8: like does the app look like the design? It's a 582 00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:11,399 Speaker 8: computer vision problem. We don't need a human to look 583 00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:13,359 Speaker 8: and go through every single screen on every single device 584 00:27:13,359 --> 00:27:15,800 Speaker 8: and highlight you know what's wrong. And so those are 585 00:27:15,840 --> 00:27:18,720 Speaker 8: really good examples. Our entire platform is powered by knowledge graphs. 586 00:27:18,760 --> 00:27:21,359 Speaker 8: I think about a knowledge graphs like a synthetic brain. 587 00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:23,960 Speaker 8: It knows what you want to build before you know, 588 00:27:25,080 --> 00:27:27,640 Speaker 8: because it's got so much data and so many relationships 589 00:27:27,680 --> 00:27:30,920 Speaker 8: between them. But the most important thing is what we're 590 00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:33,600 Speaker 8: what we're really seeing as an industry trend is the 591 00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:36,480 Speaker 8: shift towards making humans more creative so you don't have 592 00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:37,359 Speaker 8: to do the benign work? 593 00:27:37,560 --> 00:27:39,960 Speaker 2: Is it kind of like I love editing, so like 594 00:27:40,040 --> 00:27:42,680 Speaker 2: somebody writes something and then you go off and edit it. 595 00:27:42,720 --> 00:27:44,919 Speaker 8: Is that kind of how we even further? 596 00:27:45,359 --> 00:27:45,520 Speaker 10: Yeah? 597 00:27:45,640 --> 00:27:47,240 Speaker 8: Look, so I think the editing is even I think 598 00:27:47,280 --> 00:27:50,160 Speaker 8: the editing is a great analogy, right, And I think 599 00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:52,399 Speaker 8: that's what you're getting. What's what we're seeing now is 600 00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:54,639 Speaker 8: eighty percent of the work can be done by machine. 601 00:27:54,880 --> 00:27:55,160 Speaker 6: Yeah. 602 00:27:55,240 --> 00:27:58,280 Speaker 8: The last twenty percent is the human power of creativity? Right? 603 00:27:58,680 --> 00:28:01,720 Speaker 4: Is chat GPT then? And I'm calling it that, but 604 00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:03,280 Speaker 4: I know it's a lot bigger than that. Is that 605 00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:05,440 Speaker 4: a tailwind or a headwind for you? 606 00:28:06,040 --> 00:28:08,520 Speaker 8: I think it's a tailwind, you know. I was joking 607 00:28:08,520 --> 00:28:11,119 Speaker 8: with someone this morning that suddenly llms are things that 608 00:28:11,160 --> 00:28:14,480 Speaker 8: you hear on the tube. The large language models, which 609 00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:18,600 Speaker 8: the acronym that obviously what chat chiped's underlying is six 610 00:28:18,640 --> 00:28:20,600 Speaker 8: months ago, no one talked about llms in the tube 611 00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:23,120 Speaker 8: or chatchiped in the tube. Now suddenly everybody talks about. 612 00:28:22,880 --> 00:28:25,199 Speaker 2: Airbody this, and this is something we were trying to 613 00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:27,399 Speaker 2: talk with. I was with our Rachel Matt, who covers 614 00:28:27,440 --> 00:28:29,880 Speaker 2: AI for Bloomberg News. I mean, what is it what 615 00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:34,919 Speaker 2: happened that all of a sudden this is dominating our conversation. 616 00:28:35,080 --> 00:28:38,640 Speaker 2: AI is not a new thing. We've been using it already. 617 00:28:38,760 --> 00:28:40,680 Speaker 2: We were talking about before you or as you came 618 00:28:40,720 --> 00:28:42,760 Speaker 2: in that I read a sentence and you know, whatever 619 00:28:43,040 --> 00:28:45,880 Speaker 2: program and it helps me finish the sentence. What is 620 00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:49,239 Speaker 2: it that happened? Was it just Microsoft buying something or 621 00:28:49,560 --> 00:28:52,760 Speaker 2: what was out there? What was technologically that happened? 622 00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:56,160 Speaker 8: So I think it was like the perfect storm, and 623 00:28:56,480 --> 00:28:59,640 Speaker 8: it's it's like, you know, you had a piece of 624 00:28:59,600 --> 00:29:02,440 Speaker 8: technolog that had just reached the light level of inflection. 625 00:29:03,080 --> 00:29:05,760 Speaker 8: It got in the hands of general public, they could 626 00:29:05,760 --> 00:29:08,360 Speaker 8: actually do things with it. You had enough people writing 627 00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:11,479 Speaker 8: about it, and it drove into mainstream news so quickly. 628 00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:13,920 Speaker 8: Keep in mind that the reason has become so prolific 629 00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:16,920 Speaker 8: is a part of also how news percolates today compared 630 00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:19,240 Speaker 8: to say when AOL came out with the internet way 631 00:29:19,240 --> 00:29:21,880 Speaker 8: back when, right in the early intern days. Easy to quickly, 632 00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:23,440 Speaker 8: it's very easy to go very quickly. 633 00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:26,800 Speaker 2: It's all bite size your business. Tell us about growth rates. 634 00:29:26,800 --> 00:29:28,520 Speaker 2: We're Bloomberg. We like numbers. Tell us a little bit 635 00:29:28,560 --> 00:29:30,320 Speaker 2: about what you guys are doing, and you're profitable. What's 636 00:29:30,320 --> 00:29:30,880 Speaker 2: your growth rate? 637 00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:35,600 Speaker 8: So we grew last year at two hundred and thirty 638 00:29:35,640 --> 00:29:38,000 Speaker 8: percent year on year. The year before we grew to an. 639 00:29:37,840 --> 00:29:39,160 Speaker 2: Eighty two Are you talking toplant? 640 00:29:39,160 --> 00:29:40,200 Speaker 8: What are your top line revenue? 641 00:29:40,280 --> 00:29:40,520 Speaker 10: Okay? 642 00:29:40,600 --> 00:29:40,960 Speaker 8: And two? 643 00:29:41,280 --> 00:29:42,600 Speaker 2: Tell us what kind of numbers. 644 00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:45,240 Speaker 8: It's it's the it's in the in the in the 645 00:29:45,320 --> 00:29:47,840 Speaker 8: high hundreds of millions. It's low in the hundreds of millions, okay. 646 00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:51,000 Speaker 8: And the year before we grew it three hundred percent 647 00:29:51,040 --> 00:29:52,960 Speaker 8: year in year. We've only been out of beta for 648 00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:57,120 Speaker 8: two and a half years. Profitable, we're almost there, okay 649 00:29:57,280 --> 00:30:00,360 Speaker 8: this year on and off, I mean technology, these were 650 00:30:00,360 --> 00:30:03,600 Speaker 8: also investing a lot, right, So, but for us it's 651 00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:05,840 Speaker 8: the more important thing is we're really focused around building 652 00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:09,120 Speaker 8: a business with strong economics, and so you know, we 653 00:30:09,120 --> 00:30:12,000 Speaker 8: we return between four to six times marketing and sales, 654 00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:15,200 Speaker 8: so our customers really stick onto the platform and they 655 00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:15,760 Speaker 8: spend more. 656 00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:19,920 Speaker 2: All right, really interesting, and it really just plays into 657 00:30:20,160 --> 00:30:22,160 Speaker 2: so much that's going on in our world. Come back, 658 00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:23,320 Speaker 2: let's know how the growth is going. 659 00:30:23,320 --> 00:30:24,920 Speaker 8: Thank you really appreciate it to come back. 660 00:30:25,000 --> 00:30:30,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, really fun, really appreciate. Sachan dev Dougal, co founder 661 00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:31,720 Speaker 2: and chief wizard. What does a chief wizard do? 662 00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:32,760 Speaker 10: Just you got ten. 663 00:30:32,600 --> 00:30:34,600 Speaker 8: Seconds learning to be a CEO? 664 00:30:34,880 --> 00:30:41,320 Speaker 2: Okay, that's cool, CEO adapt that's a nice cover. He 665 00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:44,960 Speaker 2: is a chief wizard and more of Builder dot Ai 666 00:30:45,160 --> 00:30:47,880 Speaker 2: in our Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studio looking forward to and 667 00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:49,880 Speaker 2: coming back and giving us an update. All right, you're 668 00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:53,200 Speaker 2: listening and watching Bloomberg Business Week right here on Bloomberg Radio. 669 00:30:55,280 --> 00:30:59,600 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Business Wait inside from the reporters and 670 00:30:59,800 --> 00:31:03,400 Speaker 1: editor who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus 671 00:31:03,480 --> 00:31:07,600 Speaker 1: global business, finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week 672 00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:12,600 Speaker 1: Podcast with Carol Messer and Tim Stenebek from Bloomberg Radio. 673 00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:19,400 Speaker 2: All Right, everybody, Well, the repo man is, why. 674 00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:24,000 Speaker 4: Are you I'm so sorry that I can't control. 675 00:31:24,320 --> 00:31:25,040 Speaker 7: It's kind of funny. 676 00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:29,840 Speaker 2: Well, this whole idea is just really charming. He's back, 677 00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:31,600 Speaker 2: perhaps a sign of our times. We're talking about the 678 00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:33,920 Speaker 2: Repo man. Yeah, it was not just a movie. It's 679 00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:37,160 Speaker 2: actually a real man or woman who's out there repossessing 680 00:31:37,200 --> 00:31:39,760 Speaker 2: our cars. Let's get into it with Bloomberg News Personal 681 00:31:39,760 --> 00:31:42,800 Speaker 2: Finance reporter Claire Valentine, who tracked him or her down 682 00:31:43,800 --> 00:31:46,720 Speaker 2: and a convention. Who knew there's actually a convention out there? 683 00:31:47,120 --> 00:31:49,400 Speaker 2: The stories of the upcoming new issue of Bloomberg Business 684 00:31:49,400 --> 00:31:53,200 Speaker 2: Week on newstands starting tomorrow, already online at Bloomberg dot com, 685 00:31:53,240 --> 00:31:55,680 Speaker 2: slash Businessweekend on the Bloomberg terminal. So let's get to 686 00:31:55,760 --> 00:31:58,000 Speaker 2: it and more on her reporting, Claire joining us in 687 00:31:58,000 --> 00:32:00,920 Speaker 2: her Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio al the editor of Bloomberg 688 00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:04,600 Speaker 2: Business Retil Weber, and Jill I have to say when 689 00:32:04,600 --> 00:32:06,360 Speaker 2: Claire I was in the makeup room a while ago 690 00:32:06,440 --> 00:32:08,080 Speaker 2: and she's like, you don't even believe what I'm doing. 691 00:32:08,120 --> 00:32:10,920 Speaker 2: I'm like, Repo, what what's going on? So so glad 692 00:32:10,920 --> 00:32:12,000 Speaker 2: we can talk about this story. 693 00:32:12,560 --> 00:32:14,160 Speaker 10: Are we not going to talk about Boys to Men? 694 00:32:14,480 --> 00:32:16,240 Speaker 10: Because the Boys to Men was. 695 00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:18,520 Speaker 7: Movie? 696 00:32:19,800 --> 00:32:21,360 Speaker 10: I mean, it's a certain movie. I don't know if 697 00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:24,040 Speaker 10: it's going to be this one. But somebody got to 698 00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:27,240 Speaker 10: the end of the road. All right, Okay, the connection, 699 00:32:27,720 --> 00:32:30,880 Speaker 10: so you get yeah, you get that, there's the road there. Yeah, 700 00:32:31,320 --> 00:32:35,360 Speaker 10: the producers all over that one. Okay. So this immediate 701 00:32:35,360 --> 00:32:37,320 Speaker 10: with the moment Claire started talking about that story about 702 00:32:37,360 --> 00:32:38,840 Speaker 10: the return of the rep a man, I was like, 703 00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:43,600 Speaker 10: oh man, you had me at the But the repost 704 00:32:43,600 --> 00:32:47,080 Speaker 10: story is a really significant one. The car is so 705 00:32:47,120 --> 00:32:51,960 Speaker 10: central to the American economy, and when people start to 706 00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:55,320 Speaker 10: lose that car, I think it has some bigger implications 707 00:32:55,320 --> 00:32:59,120 Speaker 10: for the US economy. But I do want to start 708 00:32:59,120 --> 00:33:03,080 Speaker 10: with this convention because lo and behold, there's a convention 709 00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:07,360 Speaker 10: for everything, and of course there's one for REPO men. 710 00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:11,360 Speaker 10: What goes down at the REPO convention? Claire, Well, as. 711 00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:14,160 Speaker 7: Soon as I heard that this existed, I told my 712 00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:16,480 Speaker 7: boss I have got to go to this and just 713 00:33:16,520 --> 00:33:19,080 Speaker 7: see what it's all about. And it did not disappoint. 714 00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:23,320 Speaker 7: It was a two day convention in Orlando, Florida. So 715 00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:27,120 Speaker 7: I went down on an airplane full of screaming children 716 00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:31,360 Speaker 7: going to Disney World and college students on their way 717 00:33:31,400 --> 00:33:36,120 Speaker 7: to spring break, and got this convention and the first 718 00:33:36,160 --> 00:33:39,360 Speaker 7: thing that really struck me was how many tow trucks 719 00:33:39,360 --> 00:33:42,240 Speaker 7: they managed to get in this hotel. They had displayed 720 00:33:42,360 --> 00:33:46,440 Speaker 7: all their tow trucks. There was all these vendors, all 721 00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:49,640 Speaker 7: this technology on the best way to repo cars. And 722 00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:53,959 Speaker 7: it really got real when one convention attendant looked at 723 00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:56,280 Speaker 7: me and said, yeah, everyone in this room has been 724 00:33:56,320 --> 00:33:57,600 Speaker 7: shot at at least once. 725 00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:01,400 Speaker 2: Why these individually? Is it largely men? 726 00:34:02,360 --> 00:34:04,680 Speaker 7: A lot of men? But it's you know, it really 727 00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:07,840 Speaker 7: is all small business. And I'm really glad I went 728 00:34:07,920 --> 00:34:11,680 Speaker 7: because in doing stories about the repoman and the consumer, 729 00:34:12,400 --> 00:34:14,920 Speaker 7: it was nice to put actual phases to this. And 730 00:34:14,960 --> 00:34:17,399 Speaker 7: what really struck me was that, you know, there is 731 00:34:17,440 --> 00:34:20,480 Speaker 7: this narrative of the evil repo man, and I'm sure 732 00:34:20,480 --> 00:34:23,279 Speaker 7: it's true in some cases, but no one here is 733 00:34:23,280 --> 00:34:26,279 Speaker 7: getting super rich off repoeing cars. He's a very down 734 00:34:26,280 --> 00:34:30,440 Speaker 7: to earth, regular Americans that just happened to make their 735 00:34:30,480 --> 00:34:32,440 Speaker 7: money taking cars from people. 736 00:34:33,080 --> 00:34:37,000 Speaker 10: Okay, so how is that business trending? And by business 737 00:34:37,040 --> 00:34:43,200 Speaker 10: I mean repos Right, this is not something that you know, 738 00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:46,120 Speaker 10: we've really seen for a while, right is it? How 739 00:34:46,600 --> 00:34:47,799 Speaker 10: is it back? And how big is it? 740 00:34:48,080 --> 00:34:48,279 Speaker 6: Yeah? 741 00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:52,680 Speaker 7: So during the pandemic, repos largely dried up. There was 742 00:34:52,840 --> 00:34:56,879 Speaker 7: stimulus checks, a lot of leniency from lenders on pain 743 00:34:57,000 --> 00:35:00,400 Speaker 7: auto loans. Now things are kind of starting to turn, 744 00:35:00,680 --> 00:35:04,520 Speaker 7: and I think this convention really marks almost the start 745 00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:08,120 Speaker 7: of what we're going to see as a surge in repossessions. 746 00:35:09,040 --> 00:35:11,560 Speaker 7: The estimates are that they were about one point two 747 00:35:11,680 --> 00:35:15,600 Speaker 7: million in twenty twenty two. It's up from last year, 748 00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:19,200 Speaker 7: but still down from about one point seven million in 749 00:35:19,280 --> 00:35:23,120 Speaker 7: twenty nineteen. So these are really picking up, and I 750 00:35:23,160 --> 00:35:25,920 Speaker 7: think the convention as a whole was this great window 751 00:35:26,040 --> 00:35:28,319 Speaker 7: into the economy. Right now, do they. 752 00:35:28,200 --> 00:35:30,840 Speaker 10: Play any jokes on each other at a convention like this? 753 00:35:32,840 --> 00:35:38,400 Speaker 7: The jokes that I saw, Let's see who's there. The 754 00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:41,800 Speaker 7: highlight was definitely the repo demo. There's some jokes thrown around. 755 00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:42,760 Speaker 10: There with the demo. 756 00:35:42,840 --> 00:35:46,400 Speaker 7: The repot demo was all of the convention attendees filed 757 00:35:46,440 --> 00:35:49,120 Speaker 7: out to the parking lot, where I thought this was 758 00:35:49,239 --> 00:35:50,120 Speaker 7: very poetic. 759 00:35:50,480 --> 00:35:50,920 Speaker 6: It was a. 760 00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:56,719 Speaker 7: Giant tow truck that was repossessing a Toyota Hybrid. So 761 00:35:56,760 --> 00:35:59,480 Speaker 7: it was like this very liberal car that they were 762 00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:04,440 Speaker 7: like re possessing, and they everyone was crying around the 763 00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:08,280 Speaker 7: tow truck was getting hooked up to take this car away, 764 00:36:08,440 --> 00:36:11,680 Speaker 7: and they were demonstrating all the best techniques and how 765 00:36:11,760 --> 00:36:14,400 Speaker 7: you know what the repro agent honing techniques, towing techniques, 766 00:36:14,680 --> 00:36:17,640 Speaker 7: That's what I thought that was the best one. Well, 767 00:36:17,800 --> 00:36:19,359 Speaker 7: the thing that that stood out to me the most 768 00:36:19,440 --> 00:36:21,880 Speaker 7: is that they really emphasized that when your back is 769 00:36:22,080 --> 00:36:26,400 Speaker 7: turned to the situation behind you, that's the most vulnerable 770 00:36:26,920 --> 00:36:29,040 Speaker 7: because you're at risk of violence. 771 00:36:28,640 --> 00:36:30,439 Speaker 2: Because you have to do it right as somebody who's 772 00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:32,600 Speaker 2: repossessing right. You have to physically do it so like 773 00:36:32,640 --> 00:36:32,920 Speaker 2: you're not. 774 00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:35,879 Speaker 7: Yeah, and it can get really dicey. That was another 775 00:36:35,880 --> 00:36:38,480 Speaker 7: big takeaway. I had no idea how dangerous this industry was. 776 00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:42,080 Speaker 10: There's the other side of this. You talk to people 777 00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:45,360 Speaker 10: who have had their vehicles repossessed, and I'm curious what 778 00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:47,160 Speaker 10: came out of those conversations. 779 00:36:47,920 --> 00:36:50,160 Speaker 7: A lot of people really struggling right now to afford 780 00:36:50,200 --> 00:36:55,000 Speaker 7: their car loans. We saw car prices skyrocket during the pandemic, 781 00:36:55,040 --> 00:36:57,799 Speaker 7: a lot of supply chain issues. A lot of people 782 00:36:57,840 --> 00:37:00,359 Speaker 7: in America just have to have a car, no way 783 00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:02,279 Speaker 7: to get around if you're you know, don't live in 784 00:37:02,280 --> 00:37:06,000 Speaker 7: a city with good public transportation. So people are taking 785 00:37:06,040 --> 00:37:11,400 Speaker 7: out loans with insane interest rates, I mean nineteen twenty percent, 786 00:37:12,239 --> 00:37:16,080 Speaker 7: and their car payments are just so high. There's not 787 00:37:16,200 --> 00:37:18,320 Speaker 7: enough money to go around, especially with inflation. 788 00:37:18,520 --> 00:37:20,480 Speaker 2: You talk about Sarah Fader in your story, and she's 789 00:37:20,520 --> 00:37:23,160 Speaker 2: the one right who's got a nineteen percent interest loan 790 00:37:23,239 --> 00:37:25,120 Speaker 2: from American Credit Acceptance. 791 00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:29,160 Speaker 7: Yes. I went up to New Haven and met Sarah, 792 00:37:29,200 --> 00:37:32,279 Speaker 7: met her family, saw the car, really talked with her 793 00:37:32,320 --> 00:37:36,920 Speaker 7: about her situation, and it really hits home just what 794 00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:38,879 Speaker 7: a lot of people are dealing with right now. I mean, 795 00:37:38,920 --> 00:37:41,440 Speaker 7: her rent had gone up, her groceries were so expensive, 796 00:37:41,440 --> 00:37:45,480 Speaker 7: She's got two teenagers, and with a high car payment, 797 00:37:45,680 --> 00:37:47,400 Speaker 7: there's she's such a tough spot. 798 00:37:48,040 --> 00:37:52,600 Speaker 4: And lenders are excited about making these loans, even if 799 00:37:52,719 --> 00:37:54,719 Speaker 4: they're lending out that money to people who they know 800 00:37:54,880 --> 00:37:56,200 Speaker 4: can't necessarily afford it. 801 00:37:56,320 --> 00:37:59,359 Speaker 7: Right, Yeah, it's the whole way they package up these 802 00:37:59,360 --> 00:38:03,399 Speaker 7: auto loans into bonds. In some cases, investors would still 803 00:38:03,400 --> 00:38:07,000 Speaker 7: get their money back with interest if even three quarters 804 00:38:07,000 --> 00:38:09,319 Speaker 7: of barers so falls it on the loans. So it's 805 00:38:09,480 --> 00:38:11,919 Speaker 7: of course, you know, moves to Wall Street where they're 806 00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:14,319 Speaker 7: eager to package these up and sell them and make 807 00:38:14,360 --> 00:38:15,120 Speaker 7: money off of them. 808 00:38:15,440 --> 00:38:19,799 Speaker 10: Okay, So with the people that you talked to. See 809 00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:23,799 Speaker 10: your car gets repossessed and you know you've lost out 810 00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:27,120 Speaker 10: in that vehicle. Where does the story go from there? 811 00:38:27,120 --> 00:38:29,000 Speaker 10: What do they have to do to get it back, 812 00:38:29,040 --> 00:38:31,240 Speaker 10: to get back to work, to get all that stuff 813 00:38:31,239 --> 00:38:33,719 Speaker 10: that not only has impacts for them, but also the 814 00:38:33,760 --> 00:38:34,560 Speaker 10: economy as a whole. 815 00:38:34,600 --> 00:38:37,400 Speaker 7: Ring. Yeah, in many cases, it's not just the back 816 00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:40,480 Speaker 7: payments that they have to make that they haven't paid 817 00:38:40,480 --> 00:38:44,360 Speaker 7: so far. It's additional fees for repossession and for towing, 818 00:38:44,640 --> 00:38:46,919 Speaker 7: and then there's the hit to their credit score, which 819 00:38:46,960 --> 00:38:49,120 Speaker 7: is going to affect them in the future. I talked 820 00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:51,680 Speaker 7: with a couple of people who'd had their cars repossessed 821 00:38:51,680 --> 00:38:54,520 Speaker 7: that essentially just had to count it as a loss. 822 00:38:54,600 --> 00:38:56,840 Speaker 7: They didn't have the money to get the car back, 823 00:38:57,160 --> 00:38:59,279 Speaker 7: so they were going to have to just move on 824 00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:02,239 Speaker 7: with their lives in any way they can. But it 825 00:39:02,320 --> 00:39:06,000 Speaker 7: definitely you know, when people suddenly don't have a car, 826 00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:08,600 Speaker 7: they can't get to work, maybe they lose their job, 827 00:39:08,800 --> 00:39:10,720 Speaker 7: and it's just this whole spiral cycle. 828 00:39:11,520 --> 00:39:13,680 Speaker 2: So you know, what I'm also curious about is the 829 00:39:13,680 --> 00:39:17,680 Speaker 2: individuals who are the repo man or woman. Do they 830 00:39:17,719 --> 00:39:20,040 Speaker 2: think about this like in terms of that there are 831 00:39:20,239 --> 00:39:24,440 Speaker 2: people and you know, with problems and financial problems. I 832 00:39:24,520 --> 00:39:26,560 Speaker 2: just wonder, is it a job or is it a 833 00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:27,160 Speaker 2: lot more than that. 834 00:39:28,120 --> 00:39:30,279 Speaker 7: I think that's a great question, and it is, you know, 835 00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:33,400 Speaker 7: I don't think they're ignorant of that. But I do 836 00:39:33,480 --> 00:39:36,759 Speaker 7: think what came away from me from the conference was 837 00:39:36,840 --> 00:39:40,120 Speaker 7: very much I think there's this attitude that REPO men 838 00:39:40,239 --> 00:39:42,359 Speaker 7: are misunderstood, and it was a bit of a. 839 00:39:43,880 --> 00:39:46,600 Speaker 2: That's another new movie or we're talking about but go ahead, 840 00:39:46,640 --> 00:39:47,000 Speaker 2: go ahead. 841 00:39:47,800 --> 00:39:50,840 Speaker 7: That the REPO men were sort of like, we're the 842 00:39:50,840 --> 00:39:53,759 Speaker 7: good guys and we're just doing our job. No one 843 00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:57,160 Speaker 7: understands how hard or how dangerous that is. And I think, 844 00:39:57,200 --> 00:40:00,560 Speaker 7: you know, it's it's easy to point your finger at 845 00:40:00,560 --> 00:40:03,960 Speaker 7: at the villain in these situations. I do think the 846 00:40:04,000 --> 00:40:07,400 Speaker 7: truth is more nuanced. You also have in some cases 847 00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:10,080 Speaker 7: predatory lenders that are giving out loans was kind of 848 00:40:10,120 --> 00:40:12,840 Speaker 7: high interest rates. So it's a whole system that contributes 849 00:40:12,880 --> 00:40:13,920 Speaker 7: to this kind of crisis. 850 00:40:14,960 --> 00:40:19,439 Speaker 10: Okay, I'm curious about the Python. Can we talk about 851 00:40:19,480 --> 00:40:19,960 Speaker 10: the Python? 852 00:40:20,320 --> 00:40:21,320 Speaker 7: Yes, the Python. 853 00:40:21,800 --> 00:40:22,280 Speaker 10: The Python. 854 00:40:22,320 --> 00:40:24,560 Speaker 7: It's a pretty impressive truck. I'm not gonna lie. 855 00:40:25,280 --> 00:40:28,760 Speaker 10: It must just like make this room get really excited 856 00:40:29,239 --> 00:40:31,280 Speaker 10: a room full of REPO people. 857 00:40:31,360 --> 00:40:33,560 Speaker 7: I wish I had seen them get these tow trucks 858 00:40:33,600 --> 00:40:35,960 Speaker 7: into the conference room because it was a very nice 859 00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:39,319 Speaker 7: conference center. I mean this was like palm trees this one. 860 00:40:39,320 --> 00:40:41,839 Speaker 7: I mean it's Florida. It was Florida. It was very nice. 861 00:40:41,840 --> 00:40:43,040 Speaker 7: And then all of a sudden you look around and 862 00:40:43,040 --> 00:40:46,719 Speaker 7: there's five tow trucks sitting around. It's I mean, they 863 00:40:46,760 --> 00:40:49,040 Speaker 7: were huge. And what I love the most is that 864 00:40:49,160 --> 00:40:51,480 Speaker 7: to sort of demonstrate how they work, they had this 865 00:40:51,600 --> 00:40:55,360 Speaker 7: little toy car that they were towing that was just 866 00:40:55,480 --> 00:40:58,439 Speaker 7: like the size of a kid's little tricycle. It's showing 867 00:40:58,440 --> 00:40:59,000 Speaker 7: how you hook it up. 868 00:40:59,040 --> 00:40:59,920 Speaker 2: So they have a sense of humor. 869 00:41:00,640 --> 00:41:03,080 Speaker 7: There was a certain extent I eighty eight thousand dollars. 870 00:41:02,719 --> 00:41:07,520 Speaker 10: Though, and these are small businesses, you know. I found 871 00:41:07,560 --> 00:41:09,880 Speaker 10: that to be really interesting, Like it's it's not like 872 00:41:09,920 --> 00:41:11,880 Speaker 10: it's some big company. It's like you're out there on 873 00:41:11,920 --> 00:41:16,400 Speaker 10: your own reprossing vehicles. Was that true for everyone in 874 00:41:16,440 --> 00:41:18,279 Speaker 10: the room? Were they all small businesses or how many 875 00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:19,399 Speaker 10: of them work for somebody else? 876 00:41:19,480 --> 00:41:21,920 Speaker 7: I mean, I would say most of them were small businesses. 877 00:41:21,960 --> 00:41:23,960 Speaker 7: I mean you look around at the clientele and These 878 00:41:24,000 --> 00:41:27,080 Speaker 7: are not you know, millionaires, businessmen in suits. These are 879 00:41:27,400 --> 00:41:30,080 Speaker 7: very you know, blue collar kind of workers. And I'd 880 00:41:30,120 --> 00:41:33,319 Speaker 7: say maybe they have, you know, a place with at 881 00:41:33,440 --> 00:41:36,920 Speaker 7: most to thirty employees, but there are really giant firms 882 00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:38,439 Speaker 7: doing this well. 883 00:41:38,840 --> 00:41:41,000 Speaker 4: It makes me wonder, Claire, like, on a personal level, 884 00:41:41,160 --> 00:41:43,640 Speaker 4: was it ever hard for you to walk up to 885 00:41:43,640 --> 00:41:46,440 Speaker 4: people and just say like, hey, can you give me 886 00:41:47,560 --> 00:41:48,480 Speaker 4: your life story? 887 00:41:48,640 --> 00:41:51,880 Speaker 7: Were you like nervous at all? I was only because 888 00:41:51,920 --> 00:41:54,680 Speaker 7: I'm pretty sure I was the only journalist there. I'm 889 00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:57,279 Speaker 7: sure I am one of the only women, one of 890 00:41:57,280 --> 00:42:01,400 Speaker 7: the only women. These people are not huge fans, so 891 00:42:01,680 --> 00:42:03,040 Speaker 7: got a lot of that, got a lot of people 892 00:42:03,080 --> 00:42:06,400 Speaker 7: coming up to me and being like, oh, hey, I 893 00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:09,040 Speaker 7: heard you're the journalist. Yeah, so it's me. 894 00:42:09,320 --> 00:42:12,080 Speaker 4: Honestly, I went to a men's rights conference for Bloomberg 895 00:42:12,120 --> 00:42:12,719 Speaker 4: a few years ago. 896 00:42:12,840 --> 00:42:14,000 Speaker 7: It sounds very similar. 897 00:42:14,200 --> 00:42:17,800 Speaker 4: You're like, hey, yeah, sorry it was Did. 898 00:42:17,719 --> 00:42:18,920 Speaker 2: You talk to the journalist? 899 00:42:19,120 --> 00:42:21,279 Speaker 7: Yeah? I do think. You know, there are pros and 900 00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:23,839 Speaker 7: cons to being a young woman in this industry, and 901 00:42:24,400 --> 00:42:26,960 Speaker 7: you know, lots of cons, as you and I know, 902 00:42:27,120 --> 00:42:30,000 Speaker 7: but one of the pros is that kind of non threatening. 903 00:42:30,400 --> 00:42:30,560 Speaker 1: Yeah. 904 00:42:30,600 --> 00:42:32,680 Speaker 7: I think if i'd been a big guy coming in 905 00:42:32,719 --> 00:42:34,400 Speaker 7: there talking to the reputman. It may have been a 906 00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:39,200 Speaker 7: little different. So it was a very unique situation recording 907 00:42:39,200 --> 00:42:40,080 Speaker 7: wise that I've been in. 908 00:42:41,360 --> 00:42:43,319 Speaker 10: Does make me wonder who do these people work for? 909 00:42:43,880 --> 00:42:46,000 Speaker 10: You know, like and like how do they get their 910 00:42:46,040 --> 00:42:47,480 Speaker 10: next job? 911 00:42:47,600 --> 00:42:47,799 Speaker 4: Oh? 912 00:42:47,840 --> 00:42:51,000 Speaker 7: This is fascinating. I had no idea the technology behind 913 00:42:51,040 --> 00:42:54,000 Speaker 7: all of this. There were so many firms that were 914 00:42:54,040 --> 00:43:00,960 Speaker 7: advertising their databases. So in some cases these small businesses 915 00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:04,680 Speaker 7: sign up to have access to databases with all this 916 00:43:04,920 --> 00:43:09,279 Speaker 7: license plate data. Oh, it's all proprietary, right, And it 917 00:43:09,320 --> 00:43:10,920 Speaker 7: was fascinating to me. I mean, these are all this 918 00:43:11,000 --> 00:43:13,400 Speaker 7: is public sector, this is or private sector. This is 919 00:43:13,400 --> 00:43:14,760 Speaker 7: not government data. 920 00:43:14,840 --> 00:43:17,640 Speaker 2: So somebody's feeding it into these these apps if you will, or. 921 00:43:17,640 --> 00:43:20,880 Speaker 7: Whatever, like basic like readers that compile all of this 922 00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:23,719 Speaker 7: and then REPO agents can access it to then track 923 00:43:23,800 --> 00:43:24,360 Speaker 7: down your. 924 00:43:24,239 --> 00:43:28,279 Speaker 10: Car AI's work. What do they make? 925 00:43:29,280 --> 00:43:30,160 Speaker 2: How can they afford that? 926 00:43:30,200 --> 00:43:30,560 Speaker 3: Eighty eight? 927 00:43:30,600 --> 00:43:31,240 Speaker 2: That's a dullar? 928 00:43:31,320 --> 00:43:31,959 Speaker 10: What is it called? 929 00:43:32,080 --> 00:43:32,560 Speaker 5: Python? 930 00:43:32,680 --> 00:43:32,879 Speaker 1: Yeah? 931 00:43:33,120 --> 00:43:34,920 Speaker 10: What I want to see is with the Python get. 932 00:43:34,719 --> 00:43:40,440 Speaker 7: Repossessed'll circle right? Yeah, definitely? Yeah. I you know, in 933 00:43:40,520 --> 00:43:42,879 Speaker 7: terms of profit margins on these, I don't have an 934 00:43:42,880 --> 00:43:45,520 Speaker 7: incredible idea. I do think they have had a tough 935 00:43:45,560 --> 00:43:46,200 Speaker 7: couple of years. 936 00:43:46,320 --> 00:43:48,400 Speaker 10: Yeah, because the numbers went down, right like the pandemic 937 00:43:48,800 --> 00:43:51,560 Speaker 10: there was you know, the chart in the story sort 938 00:43:51,600 --> 00:43:54,680 Speaker 10: of says it all. It's like it's backed because you know, 939 00:43:55,200 --> 00:43:59,120 Speaker 10: there was a lull and so and speaking to everyone there, though, 940 00:43:59,360 --> 00:44:01,880 Speaker 10: do they think that this these numbers are going to 941 00:44:01,960 --> 00:44:03,080 Speaker 10: keep going up? 942 00:44:04,239 --> 00:44:06,160 Speaker 7: I think so, yeah. I mean that's I think the 943 00:44:06,200 --> 00:44:09,279 Speaker 7: fact that they dropped so much really has contributed to 944 00:44:09,320 --> 00:44:11,960 Speaker 7: this sort of you know, our industry is in crisis 945 00:44:12,000 --> 00:44:14,399 Speaker 7: and risk kind of mentality. And now what I saw 946 00:44:14,400 --> 00:44:16,719 Speaker 7: at the conference was a lot of people getting more 947 00:44:16,760 --> 00:44:19,360 Speaker 7: excited or getting more like, our industry is on the 948 00:44:19,440 --> 00:44:21,000 Speaker 7: upswing now we are. 949 00:44:21,080 --> 00:44:22,120 Speaker 2: Bad news is good news. 950 00:44:22,120 --> 00:44:24,240 Speaker 7: Bad news is good news. Yeah. Yeah. 951 00:44:24,360 --> 00:44:25,960 Speaker 2: I also thought it was interesting that, you know, one 952 00:44:26,000 --> 00:44:27,400 Speaker 2: of the things we talk about with I feel like 953 00:44:27,400 --> 00:44:29,479 Speaker 2: everybody who comes on is like the tight labor market, 954 00:44:29,520 --> 00:44:31,560 Speaker 2: and they're dealing with that too, just quickly they are. 955 00:44:31,640 --> 00:44:36,000 Speaker 7: Yeah, they're having a lot of trouble hiring workers, especially 956 00:44:36,040 --> 00:44:40,440 Speaker 7: because many of their repo agents from pre pandemic went 957 00:44:40,480 --> 00:44:41,960 Speaker 7: to other industries. 958 00:44:41,560 --> 00:44:44,680 Speaker 2: Right, right, exactly did they try to recruit you? 959 00:44:45,040 --> 00:44:45,840 Speaker 8: Just I'm just curious. 960 00:44:46,160 --> 00:44:47,240 Speaker 7: I quite have the profile. 961 00:44:50,160 --> 00:44:52,880 Speaker 2: Unbelievable, really funny. You took us to a place that 962 00:44:52,920 --> 00:44:56,760 Speaker 2: I think nobody has really seen. Claire Valentine, she's personal 963 00:44:56,760 --> 00:44:59,319 Speaker 2: finance reporter at Bloomberg News here in studio with us, 964 00:44:59,400 --> 00:45:02,040 Speaker 2: longing till were the editor of Bloomberg Business Week, and 965 00:45:02,080 --> 00:45:04,080 Speaker 2: of course the stories we mentioned coming up in the 966 00:45:04,080 --> 00:45:06,720 Speaker 2: new issue of Bloomberg Business Week out on newsstands tomorrow, 967 00:45:07,160 --> 00:45:10,600 Speaker 2: already online at Bloomberg dot com, slash BusinessWeek and also 968 00:45:10,680 --> 00:45:11,920 Speaker 2: on the Bloomberg terminal. 969 00:45:12,480 --> 00:45:14,359 Speaker 4: Are you gonna get a python anytime soon? 970 00:45:14,560 --> 00:45:16,440 Speaker 2: Explain the song to me? Was that from the movie 971 00:45:16,719 --> 00:45:17,320 Speaker 2: It's Boys. 972 00:45:17,520 --> 00:45:19,239 Speaker 4: I was just laughing from boys to men. 973 00:45:19,320 --> 00:45:21,759 Speaker 2: I didn't anticipate boys to men playing in my ears. 974 00:45:21,920 --> 00:45:23,279 Speaker 2: Like the wedding. He wanted to get like all the 975 00:45:23,280 --> 00:45:24,360 Speaker 2: couples get up on the floor. 976 00:45:24,920 --> 00:45:25,719 Speaker 10: This is Bloomberg. 977 00:45:27,719 --> 00:45:34,080 Speaker 2: I'm brother Marc, a journal How about you let me drive? 978 00:45:34,600 --> 00:45:39,839 Speaker 8: No, no, no, no, honey, please, how do the riding gravels? 979 00:45:40,239 --> 00:45:41,600 Speaker 1: Let's wat I want to drive. 980 00:45:41,600 --> 00:45:45,759 Speaker 6: It's a good question time. 981 00:45:48,600 --> 00:45:50,799 Speaker 1: This is the drive to the Globe. 982 00:45:50,719 --> 00:45:51,520 Speaker 10: Dot com for me. 983 00:45:51,560 --> 00:45:55,000 Speaker 1: I think we'll buy around you on Bloomberg Radio. 984 00:45:55,280 --> 00:45:57,320 Speaker 2: All right, everybody, just at your eighteen minutes left in 985 00:45:57,360 --> 00:46:01,399 Speaker 2: the trading day. Really the little changed here just down 986 00:46:01,400 --> 00:46:03,360 Speaker 2: about point three percent on the DALLA. So the biggest 987 00:46:03,360 --> 00:46:05,560 Speaker 2: move on a percentage basis right now is for the 988 00:46:05,600 --> 00:46:09,279 Speaker 2: Dow Jones Industrial Average call it flat as you heard 989 00:46:09,320 --> 00:46:10,960 Speaker 2: from Charlie on the S and P and the Nasdaq 990 00:46:11,040 --> 00:46:13,120 Speaker 2: just one tenth of a percent here. Our next guest 991 00:46:13,160 --> 00:46:16,280 Speaker 2: notes that with earnings releases picking up, some companies weren't 992 00:46:16,320 --> 00:46:18,600 Speaker 2: some pretty close watching. So let's get to it with 993 00:46:18,600 --> 00:46:22,040 Speaker 2: Burns McKinney, portfolio manager at the Global Value Equity Manager 994 00:46:22,360 --> 00:46:26,319 Speaker 2: and Texas based NFJ Investment Group. He is on the 995 00:46:26,360 --> 00:46:29,120 Speaker 2: phone from Dallas, Texas. Hey, Burn's, good to have you 996 00:46:29,160 --> 00:46:32,920 Speaker 2: here with Maddie and myself. So tell me out in Texas. 997 00:46:32,960 --> 00:46:36,640 Speaker 2: What are people talking about? Yeah? 998 00:46:37,000 --> 00:46:39,160 Speaker 11: I think that people are still you know, they've we've 999 00:46:39,200 --> 00:46:42,359 Speaker 11: been talking about inflation, inflation, inflation for fuite sometime, and 1000 00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:45,319 Speaker 11: it's something that you know, that's it's probably of all 1001 00:46:45,360 --> 00:46:47,439 Speaker 11: the economic statistics you look at, you know, whether people 1002 00:46:47,440 --> 00:46:49,920 Speaker 11: focus on GDP or earnings, it's the one thing that's 1003 00:46:50,000 --> 00:46:51,200 Speaker 11: kind of right in your face and you go to 1004 00:46:51,239 --> 00:46:53,160 Speaker 11: the grocery store, you see the price of Eggs. I mean, 1005 00:46:53,239 --> 00:46:56,680 Speaker 11: the price of gasoline is is advertised in you know, 1006 00:46:57,040 --> 00:46:59,680 Speaker 11: in five foot letters on huge designs, and so people 1007 00:46:59,760 --> 00:47:02,319 Speaker 11: have been talking about inflation for quite some time. But 1008 00:47:02,680 --> 00:47:04,640 Speaker 11: you know, we are starting to see a shift such 1009 00:47:04,680 --> 00:47:07,280 Speaker 11: that I think the focus is kind of moving towards 1010 00:47:07,280 --> 00:47:09,760 Speaker 11: the fact that the economy is starting to slow. 1011 00:47:10,760 --> 00:47:14,000 Speaker 4: So talk to me Burns about the stickiness of inflation 1012 00:47:14,239 --> 00:47:17,720 Speaker 4: versus the indications that you're seeing in terms of slowing. 1013 00:47:17,760 --> 00:47:20,000 Speaker 4: Because I have to wonder, I know you're in Texas, 1014 00:47:20,040 --> 00:47:22,200 Speaker 4: big oil state, but are you worried at all about 1015 00:47:22,239 --> 00:47:25,160 Speaker 4: these OPEC cuts making inflation stickier than we might be 1016 00:47:25,200 --> 00:47:26,479 Speaker 4: seen in the data right now? 1017 00:47:28,480 --> 00:47:31,319 Speaker 11: Well, you know, OPEK, it really does appear that they've 1018 00:47:31,400 --> 00:47:34,960 Speaker 11: kind of settled on trying to establish a cost more 1019 00:47:35,160 --> 00:47:39,280 Speaker 11: for oil of around eighty dollars. That's something that probably 1020 00:47:39,600 --> 00:47:41,560 Speaker 11: in many ways makes it sticky. But at the same time, 1021 00:47:41,640 --> 00:47:44,480 Speaker 11: you know, that's something that as well, you know, at 1022 00:47:44,520 --> 00:47:47,120 Speaker 11: some point you start lapping you know, these figures and 1023 00:47:47,560 --> 00:47:50,760 Speaker 11: it no longer actually has the impact on inflation today. 1024 00:47:50,840 --> 00:47:54,520 Speaker 11: But you know, really investors are focused on inflation being sticky. 1025 00:47:54,600 --> 00:47:56,880 Speaker 11: You know, there's there's been a lot of consternation of 1026 00:47:56,920 --> 00:47:59,239 Speaker 11: the fact that it hasn't been it's been pulling back, 1027 00:47:59,280 --> 00:48:02,120 Speaker 11: but it hasn't been coming down as quickly as a 1028 00:48:02,160 --> 00:48:04,600 Speaker 11: lot of forecaster, a lot of investors would would really 1029 00:48:04,680 --> 00:48:06,360 Speaker 11: like to see it come down. And you know, I 1030 00:48:06,360 --> 00:48:09,040 Speaker 11: think that's something that just really involves patients. You know, 1031 00:48:09,080 --> 00:48:12,440 Speaker 11: they say that, you know that it took about you know, 1032 00:48:12,480 --> 00:48:14,800 Speaker 11: a year and a half or so for inflation to 1033 00:48:14,880 --> 00:48:18,800 Speaker 11: kind of peak, and expectations should really sort of remnage 1034 00:48:18,800 --> 00:48:20,360 Speaker 11: themselves such that it might take a year and a 1035 00:48:20,360 --> 00:48:22,440 Speaker 11: half for it to actually come down to prior levels, 1036 00:48:22,600 --> 00:48:25,520 Speaker 11: and even then it probably won't go all the way 1037 00:48:25,600 --> 00:48:28,479 Speaker 11: back down to that two percent sub to two percent level, 1038 00:48:28,520 --> 00:48:31,399 Speaker 11: because you know, there are some structural factors that may 1039 00:48:31,400 --> 00:48:33,960 Speaker 11: actually keep it a little bit more elevated than it's been. 1040 00:48:34,000 --> 00:48:36,880 Speaker 11: You know, really, I think the primary one being just 1041 00:48:36,960 --> 00:48:40,600 Speaker 11: the you know, the reversal of the globalization and and 1042 00:48:40,840 --> 00:48:43,279 Speaker 11: the you know, near shoring of supply chains and may 1043 00:48:43,360 --> 00:48:45,440 Speaker 11: keep prices higher. But we do think that it's probably 1044 00:48:45,440 --> 00:48:47,160 Speaker 11: going to pull back and continue to pull back the 1045 00:48:47,160 --> 00:48:47,879 Speaker 11: remainder this year. 1046 00:48:47,960 --> 00:48:48,239 Speaker 3: All right. 1047 00:48:48,239 --> 00:48:50,719 Speaker 2: What we love is when a guest comes on and 1048 00:48:50,760 --> 00:48:52,560 Speaker 2: they say, we've got some names you want to talk 1049 00:48:52,600 --> 00:48:54,799 Speaker 2: about because we can get into the specifics which I 1050 00:48:54,800 --> 00:48:58,720 Speaker 2: think our audience really appreach it, appreciate, appreciates about around 1051 00:48:58,719 --> 00:49:00,880 Speaker 2: the much you know, debate that we are having on 1052 00:49:00,920 --> 00:49:04,040 Speaker 2: so many different macro issues. So, having said that, Zoetes 1053 00:49:04,400 --> 00:49:08,480 Speaker 2: zts is the ticker Animal Pharmaceuticals. If you will, this 1054 00:49:08,640 --> 00:49:10,720 Speaker 2: is a name that you like. It's up roughly twenty 1055 00:49:10,719 --> 00:49:12,960 Speaker 2: percent so far this year. I know people spend a 1056 00:49:13,000 --> 00:49:14,879 Speaker 2: lot on their pets. I know I spend a lot 1057 00:49:14,880 --> 00:49:18,320 Speaker 2: of my pets. I know private equity likes the pet space. 1058 00:49:18,480 --> 00:49:20,200 Speaker 2: What is it about zoetis so that. 1059 00:49:20,160 --> 00:49:20,799 Speaker 5: You really like? 1060 00:49:21,960 --> 00:49:22,160 Speaker 1: Sure? 1061 00:49:22,239 --> 00:49:24,320 Speaker 11: Yeah, and private equity definitely does you know there was 1062 00:49:24,560 --> 00:49:28,640 Speaker 11: one of the European competitor was just announced to an acquisition, 1063 00:49:28,719 --> 00:49:32,879 Speaker 11: Decra Pharmaceuticals. Yeah, an acquisition was announced just earlier this week. 1064 00:49:32,960 --> 00:49:34,880 Speaker 11: But yeah, I think this is the name that you know, 1065 00:49:34,920 --> 00:49:39,120 Speaker 11: you're looking for companies that have the company specific you know, 1066 00:49:39,200 --> 00:49:42,080 Speaker 11: benefits from long term structural tailwinds and they have a 1067 00:49:42,080 --> 00:49:43,560 Speaker 11: couple of big ones. You know, this is the name 1068 00:49:43,600 --> 00:49:45,760 Speaker 11: that you know for those who an't is familiar with it, 1069 00:49:45,760 --> 00:49:49,200 Speaker 11: it's you know, really the leading pure play global animal 1070 00:49:49,200 --> 00:49:51,000 Speaker 11: health company. It was spun out a few years back 1071 00:49:51,040 --> 00:49:54,200 Speaker 11: from Pfizer, and you know, they split their business pretty 1072 00:49:54,200 --> 00:49:58,600 Speaker 11: equally between what they call companion care i e. Pets 1073 00:49:58,600 --> 00:50:01,520 Speaker 11: and livestock. So the two big secular trends, one of 1074 00:50:01,560 --> 00:50:04,480 Speaker 11: which is you're just seeing increasing demand for global protein 1075 00:50:04,640 --> 00:50:07,000 Speaker 11: as you have a growing middle class. And then on 1076 00:50:07,040 --> 00:50:09,239 Speaker 11: the pet side, you're just seeing that you know, as 1077 00:50:09,280 --> 00:50:12,000 Speaker 11: you know correctly noted, you know, pets are becoming increasingly 1078 00:50:12,719 --> 00:50:16,520 Speaker 11: important members of people's families. And as that's happened. 1079 00:50:16,560 --> 00:50:20,080 Speaker 2: Costly members and costly members families, there's been more Yeah, 1080 00:50:20,120 --> 00:50:22,240 Speaker 2: there's been more penetration of medicines used for pets. 1081 00:50:22,280 --> 00:50:24,280 Speaker 11: And you know, I could say for our for our household, 1082 00:50:24,320 --> 00:50:27,040 Speaker 11: they probably have me forgo my meds before we would, 1083 00:50:27,239 --> 00:50:29,480 Speaker 11: you know, have our cat or our dog, you know, 1084 00:50:29,640 --> 00:50:31,880 Speaker 11: forego theirs. And that's something that makes it. It tends 1085 00:50:31,880 --> 00:50:34,880 Speaker 11: to be defensive for that reason, and it tends to 1086 00:50:34,880 --> 00:50:36,920 Speaker 11: give them pricing power, which is what you should look 1087 00:50:36,960 --> 00:50:38,520 Speaker 11: for in an inflationary environment. 1088 00:50:39,040 --> 00:50:41,560 Speaker 4: So talk to me about true as Financial another pick 1089 00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:44,480 Speaker 4: of yours. It's a Charlotte based bank. Why why do 1090 00:50:44,520 --> 00:50:46,840 Speaker 4: you like it? Because we're obsessed with the regional bank story. 1091 00:50:46,920 --> 00:50:47,680 Speaker 4: So tell me more. 1092 00:50:48,719 --> 00:50:50,799 Speaker 11: Yeah, this is one you know for contrarians who are 1093 00:50:50,880 --> 00:50:53,320 Speaker 11: kind of looking for, you know, the proverbial babies that 1094 00:50:53,320 --> 00:50:56,080 Speaker 11: have been thrown out with the bath water with respect 1095 00:50:56,160 --> 00:51:00,040 Speaker 11: to you know, some of the recent banking turmoil. But 1096 00:51:00,320 --> 00:51:03,400 Speaker 11: you know, for one thing, we do tell our clients 1097 00:51:03,440 --> 00:51:05,680 Speaker 11: that that a lot of the turmoil that we've seen 1098 00:51:05,680 --> 00:51:09,560 Speaker 11: around Silicon Valley Bank really was very company specific to them. 1099 00:51:09,640 --> 00:51:12,160 Speaker 11: You know, they had some issues with hedging, hedging their 1100 00:51:12,200 --> 00:51:16,720 Speaker 11: assets as well as a very concentrated deposit base, whereas 1101 00:51:16,920 --> 00:51:18,960 Speaker 11: you know Truest it's uh, you know, it's now I 1102 00:51:18,960 --> 00:51:24,359 Speaker 11: think the sixth largest US bank, So it does have 1103 00:51:24,480 --> 00:51:27,880 Speaker 11: good diverse diversity of their clients. It was born with 1104 00:51:28,120 --> 00:51:29,960 Speaker 11: the merger of bb and T and sun Trust, and 1105 00:51:30,000 --> 00:51:32,360 Speaker 11: so they're located in a lot of the great places 1106 00:51:32,600 --> 00:51:35,200 Speaker 11: the South, the sun Belt, where you do have good 1107 00:51:35,280 --> 00:51:38,440 Speaker 11: demographic and population growth. Right now, it trades at a 1108 00:51:38,520 --> 00:51:41,120 Speaker 11: discount to book value, which is a discount even to 1109 00:51:41,160 --> 00:51:44,240 Speaker 11: the regional banks. You have a six percent dividend yield 1110 00:51:44,239 --> 00:51:46,920 Speaker 11: that that does look pretty safe. They hiked it by 1111 00:51:46,960 --> 00:51:50,160 Speaker 11: eight percent over the past year, which demonstrates management confidence 1112 00:51:50,160 --> 00:51:53,480 Speaker 11: in the business. And you know, yeah, and you compare 1113 00:51:53,520 --> 00:51:54,880 Speaker 11: it to you know, where there has been some of 1114 00:51:54,920 --> 00:51:57,719 Speaker 11: the turmoil. You know, roughly, you know, only half of 1115 00:51:57,800 --> 00:52:01,120 Speaker 11: their their deposits running shirt, which does prevent them from 1116 00:52:01,160 --> 00:52:02,680 Speaker 11: having any sort of run on a bank like you 1117 00:52:02,760 --> 00:52:04,520 Speaker 11: saw in Silicon. 1118 00:52:04,239 --> 00:52:06,040 Speaker 2: Valance, Hey Burns. One last one I want to ask 1119 00:52:06,080 --> 00:52:09,080 Speaker 2: you about, certainly because real estate is on our minds, 1120 00:52:09,080 --> 00:52:11,040 Speaker 2: as you know, and wondering if that's the next shoot 1121 00:52:11,040 --> 00:52:14,240 Speaker 2: a drop coming off of the bank crisis not crisis, 1122 00:52:14,280 --> 00:52:17,600 Speaker 2: if you will. Alexandria real estate ticker is AR. It's 1123 00:52:17,680 --> 00:52:22,080 Speaker 2: up about off about fifteen percent so far in twenty 1124 00:52:22,080 --> 00:52:25,520 Speaker 2: twenty three, twenty one billion dollar market cap. They play 1125 00:52:25,520 --> 00:52:29,360 Speaker 2: in the Pharmer space personal care research thirty seconds. 1126 00:52:29,400 --> 00:52:33,040 Speaker 11: Why though this name, you know, it's you know right now, 1127 00:52:33,040 --> 00:52:36,000 Speaker 11: it's traded about thirteen and a half time spun from operations. 1128 00:52:36,040 --> 00:52:38,399 Speaker 11: You have a nice four percent dividend deals, which we love. 1129 00:52:38,840 --> 00:52:40,719 Speaker 11: And what they do is they own office and lab space. 1130 00:52:40,760 --> 00:52:43,840 Speaker 11: They least a pharma, biotech and diagnostics, and so you know, 1131 00:52:43,880 --> 00:52:46,000 Speaker 11: sometimes people sort of misclassify it. They think of it 1132 00:52:46,040 --> 00:52:48,839 Speaker 11: as being more of a real estate play, but really 1133 00:52:48,920 --> 00:52:51,840 Speaker 11: it tends to trade more with the biotechs, and you know, 1134 00:52:51,840 --> 00:52:54,759 Speaker 11: they have long term relationships with where there's academic institutions, 1135 00:52:54,800 --> 00:52:56,840 Speaker 11: all the places you want your kids to get into college, 1136 00:52:56,840 --> 00:52:59,680 Speaker 11: you know, Harvard, Stanford, Duke, as well as a lot 1137 00:52:59,680 --> 00:53:01,160 Speaker 11: of the big form of companies. And they have a 1138 00:53:01,160 --> 00:53:04,480 Speaker 11: great track record of growing their funds from operations every 1139 00:53:04,560 --> 00:53:07,640 Speaker 11: quarter for just like five years. And so it doesn't 1140 00:53:07,640 --> 00:53:09,719 Speaker 11: really trade like the reefs, and as a result it 1141 00:53:09,719 --> 00:53:12,400 Speaker 11: should give investors a little bit of defensiveness in involved 1142 00:53:12,440 --> 00:53:12,840 Speaker 11: the market. 1143 00:53:12,880 --> 00:53:14,800 Speaker 2: All right, but as we said, down about eighteen percent 1144 00:53:14,880 --> 00:53:18,040 Speaker 2: so far here in twenty twenty three, and that's after 1145 00:53:18,120 --> 00:53:20,880 Speaker 2: a year. Well, we know a lot of assets classes 1146 00:53:20,920 --> 00:53:22,600 Speaker 2: and assets where are really beating up? 1147 00:53:22,600 --> 00:53:24,000 Speaker 10: Who was down about twenty sixty percent? 1148 00:53:24,200 --> 00:53:27,040 Speaker 2: Hey Burns, thank you so much. Bernie McKinney, he's portfolio 1149 00:53:27,120 --> 00:53:30,439 Speaker 2: manager at NFJ Investment Group. Joining us on a phone 1150 00:53:30,440 --> 00:53:31,440 Speaker 2: from Dallas, Texas. 1151 00:53:31,520 --> 00:53:36,640 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Radio. This is the Bloomberg Business Week Podcast. 1152 00:53:36,719 --> 00:53:39,680 Speaker 1: I'll a little lot of Apple, Spotify and anywhere else 1153 00:53:39,719 --> 00:53:43,719 Speaker 1: you get your podcast. Listen live weekday afternoons from three 1154 00:53:43,719 --> 00:53:47,520 Speaker 1: to six easterning on Bloomberg dot com, the iHeartRadio app, 1155 00:53:47,600 --> 00:53:50,120 Speaker 1: tune In, and the Bloomberg Business app. You can also 1156 00:53:50,280 --> 00:53:53,680 Speaker 1: watch US live every weekday on YouTube and always on 1157 00:53:53,719 --> 00:53:55,040 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg terminal alone.