1 00:00:15,480 --> 00:00:16,120 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:16,120 --> 00:00:19,000 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Monday morning episode of 3 00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:22,119 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perrelt. You 4 00:00:22,160 --> 00:00:24,640 Speaker 2: guys can follow me across all of my socials at 5 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:27,639 Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt, and we are in the middle of 6 00:00:27,720 --> 00:00:34,320 Speaker 2: an ice age Friday loser, Saturday loser, and Sunday loser. 7 00:00:35,360 --> 00:00:36,840 Speaker 1: We were good. 8 00:00:36,880 --> 00:00:40,560 Speaker 2: On Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, but overall we go ten and sixteen. 9 00:00:40,680 --> 00:00:42,960 Speaker 1: On the week we are down. 10 00:00:43,960 --> 00:00:48,599 Speaker 2: We took a pretty big chunk out of the overall 11 00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:51,560 Speaker 2: bank roll and what I was up for the year. 12 00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:55,000 Speaker 2: The Vikings, my god, they made it pretty, but they 13 00:00:55,040 --> 00:00:58,280 Speaker 2: lose the game over in Ireland's first half was awful. 14 00:00:58,600 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 2: The Browns and Alliance that fell forty four. That was 15 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:04,120 Speaker 2: the play of the day. So if you bet forty four, 16 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:06,880 Speaker 2: you pushed. I bet it overnight and it was forty 17 00:01:06,880 --> 00:01:08,920 Speaker 2: four and a half. So that's a loss. The Rams 18 00:01:09,000 --> 00:01:11,200 Speaker 2: luckily win, but that probably should have been a loss. 19 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 2: If somebody hangs on to the football into the end zone, 20 00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:16,200 Speaker 2: the Colts probably win that game. And then the Chargers 21 00:01:16,240 --> 00:01:20,280 Speaker 2: lose Patriots in a blowout. Chargers lose bad bet there 22 00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:22,600 Speaker 2: because of the Chargers unfortunately go down so one in 23 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:27,320 Speaker 2: three down two point four to five units on the day. Now, 24 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:31,120 Speaker 2: couple of things to recap here at the top, Major 25 00:01:31,200 --> 00:01:35,199 Speaker 2: League Baseball is over, okay, So that means we can 26 00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:38,959 Speaker 2: we have had five bets graded from the Major League 27 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:44,280 Speaker 2: Baseball regular season. Those five bets are the Cardinals win 28 00:01:44,560 --> 00:01:48,960 Speaker 2: over hit it, Rockies under wins, we hit it, Tampa 29 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:52,320 Speaker 2: Bay to miss the playoffs. That should be one point 30 00:01:52,320 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 2: eight six. I flip the numbers, which I can do sometimes, 31 00:01:57,480 --> 00:02:00,320 Speaker 2: up one point eight six units on Tampa Bay to 32 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:03,600 Speaker 2: miss the playoffs, Rangers over on their wins that missed, 33 00:02:03,760 --> 00:02:06,680 Speaker 2: the Astros to win the World Series that missed, So 34 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:08,360 Speaker 2: that should be one unit, by the way, not one 35 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:10,799 Speaker 2: point one. That should just be one unit. So that 36 00:02:11,160 --> 00:02:13,520 Speaker 2: takes us to a three to two mark up one 37 00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:17,359 Speaker 2: point seven eight units like one point eight I think 38 00:02:17,360 --> 00:02:19,639 Speaker 2: it is. So it's one point eight units being up 39 00:02:19,760 --> 00:02:23,160 Speaker 2: on the day for Major League Baseball to recap. Now 40 00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:26,920 Speaker 2: that leaves us with two bets left in Major League Baseball, 41 00:02:27,919 --> 00:02:30,399 Speaker 2: one the Cubs to win the National League and two 42 00:02:30,840 --> 00:02:34,320 Speaker 2: the Brewers to win the World Series. Those two bets 43 00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:38,240 Speaker 2: matter because it factors into our third play today that 44 00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:40,240 Speaker 2: I'm going to give you that happens to be in 45 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:44,079 Speaker 2: Major League Baseball, but double night for Monday Night football. 46 00:02:44,320 --> 00:02:46,880 Speaker 2: Two bets coming at you here on the Daily Juice 47 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:48,240 Speaker 2: for the games coming up. 48 00:02:48,160 --> 00:02:49,360 Speaker 1: Before two nights. 49 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:53,040 Speaker 2: But before we do that, we should tell you about 50 00:02:53,080 --> 00:02:57,320 Speaker 2: our friends at hard Rock Bet. They are the title 51 00:02:57,400 --> 00:03:02,240 Speaker 2: sponsor of the Daily Juice pot cast. Week four concludes 52 00:03:02,280 --> 00:03:05,359 Speaker 2: tonight with two with two games a doubleheader New York 53 00:03:05,440 --> 00:03:09,320 Speaker 2: versus Miami and Cincinnati against Denver. Listen to these streaks 54 00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:12,840 Speaker 2: from hard Rock Bet their stats hub. You'll find live 55 00:03:12,919 --> 00:03:15,280 Speaker 2: odds to bet on and all these streaks on the 56 00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 2: hard Rock Bet app. Miami has won nine in a 57 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:21,200 Speaker 2: row against New York at hard Rock Stadium. Devon Achien 58 00:03:21,200 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 2: has scored a touchdown in six trade home games as 59 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:25,880 Speaker 2: a home favorite. Denver is won eight in a row, 60 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:29,160 Speaker 2: and both JK. Dobbins and Cortland Suttonham who are touchdown 61 00:03:29,440 --> 00:03:32,440 Speaker 2: following a loss in four games in a row. If 62 00:03:32,480 --> 00:03:34,639 Speaker 2: you haven't tried your first bet on hard Rock Bet, 63 00:03:34,680 --> 00:03:37,000 Speaker 2: there's still time to get one hundred and dollars in 64 00:03:37,080 --> 00:03:37,760 Speaker 2: bonus bets. 65 00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 1: If you win, just place five dollars. 66 00:03:40,240 --> 00:03:42,520 Speaker 2: If it hits, you will only get the winnings, but 67 00:03:42,560 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 2: also one hundred and fifty in bonus bets plus Tonight 68 00:03:45,160 --> 00:03:47,160 Speaker 2: hard Rock Bet you can get a Monday Night parlay 69 00:03:47,200 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 2: boost for the game. 70 00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:51,560 Speaker 1: There's new promos every day. 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Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eight 80 00:04:15,640 --> 00:04:18,080 Speaker 3: eight eight admit it In Indiana if you are something 81 00:04:18,080 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 3: of you know has a gambling problem and wants help, 82 00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:22,239 Speaker 3: call one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem 83 00:04:22,240 --> 00:04:26,480 Speaker 3: called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 84 00:04:26,880 --> 00:04:28,440 Speaker 1: Let's talk football, then baseball. 85 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:31,320 Speaker 2: We'll go a little lengthy on baseball because I think 86 00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:33,800 Speaker 2: It's a strategic play that I'm going to make coming 87 00:04:33,880 --> 00:04:39,480 Speaker 2: up here for us for the playoffs Tuesday tomorrow. Unbelievable, 88 00:04:39,520 --> 00:04:45,160 Speaker 2: what a four games, Tigers, Guardians, Red Sox, Yankees. I mean, 89 00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:47,160 Speaker 2: are you kidding me? The American League payoffs are going 90 00:04:47,200 --> 00:04:51,640 Speaker 2: to be electric. But let's talk tonight Game one the 91 00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:54,960 Speaker 2: Dolphins and the Jets. So Justin Fields will start tonight 92 00:04:55,160 --> 00:04:58,000 Speaker 2: for the Jets. As you just heard, the Jets have 93 00:04:58,240 --> 00:05:03,000 Speaker 2: really struggled playing again Miami. The total in these games 94 00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:05,480 Speaker 2: head to head wise, we're five and five to the 95 00:05:05,880 --> 00:05:07,960 Speaker 2: five and five on from a total perspective, with the 96 00:05:08,040 --> 00:05:12,640 Speaker 2: last two games last year January December went over. Last 97 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:17,039 Speaker 2: time the game was played in Miami last year was 98 00:05:17,040 --> 00:05:21,760 Speaker 2: in December of twenty four, thirty two to twenty six. 99 00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:25,640 Speaker 2: The game went over forty five and a half. Now, 100 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:27,960 Speaker 2: that's a very similar number that we're looking at right 101 00:05:28,000 --> 00:05:31,400 Speaker 2: now with forty four and a half between these two teams. 102 00:05:31,800 --> 00:05:34,800 Speaker 2: To me, when you look at Tua and the way 103 00:05:34,839 --> 00:05:39,400 Speaker 2: he's been at home, he is a ten times better 104 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:43,800 Speaker 2: quarterback at home than he is on the road. If 105 00:05:43,839 --> 00:05:47,719 Speaker 2: you're looking at Backtua on the road, he's thirteen and 106 00:05:47,839 --> 00:05:51,640 Speaker 2: nineteen straight up at home, He's twenty five and nine 107 00:05:51,960 --> 00:05:56,400 Speaker 2: straight up. Okay, different player, much better. Both these teams 108 00:05:56,440 --> 00:06:00,320 Speaker 2: are zero and three. Both these teams are desperate now 109 00:06:00,360 --> 00:06:04,480 Speaker 2: at night two as a starter fifteen times in primetime, 110 00:06:04,640 --> 00:06:08,080 Speaker 2: Miami is five and ten straight up and against the spread. Okay, 111 00:06:08,080 --> 00:06:11,839 Speaker 2: that's not good. Okay, that is that is not good 112 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:16,599 Speaker 2: for Tua. But at home in primetime in South Beach, 113 00:06:16,920 --> 00:06:20,000 Speaker 2: it gets even worse. Two is one in three straight up, 114 00:06:20,120 --> 00:06:23,680 Speaker 2: zero to four against the number. The Dolphins are favored 115 00:06:23,720 --> 00:06:27,320 Speaker 2: over the Jets. Again, justin Field's coming back here in 116 00:06:27,400 --> 00:06:30,320 Speaker 2: this game. I just think when you talk about the 117 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:33,360 Speaker 2: Jets defense, the Jets are gonna give up points. 118 00:06:33,640 --> 00:06:35,599 Speaker 1: Okay. The Jets defense is. 119 00:06:35,640 --> 00:06:38,039 Speaker 2: Having a tough time on third down, have a tough 120 00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:40,440 Speaker 2: time getting off the field. They don't have the same 121 00:06:40,480 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 2: pass rush they had in years past, and two at 122 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:45,960 Speaker 2: home is a better quarterback like I talked about, and 123 00:06:46,000 --> 00:06:49,360 Speaker 2: their offense is just better. Their playmakers are better. Eh, 124 00:06:49,480 --> 00:06:52,279 Speaker 2: Chane and Hill are just better. They're on the ball better. 125 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:52,680 Speaker 1: Okay. 126 00:06:53,000 --> 00:06:55,719 Speaker 2: Patriots and the Dolphins just played a whale of a 127 00:06:55,720 --> 00:06:58,400 Speaker 2: football game in which we saw so many points being 128 00:06:58,400 --> 00:06:58,840 Speaker 2: put up. 129 00:06:59,520 --> 00:07:01,520 Speaker 1: I'm gonna be the over in this game. But I'm 130 00:07:01,520 --> 00:07:02,200 Speaker 1: not gonna. 131 00:07:01,920 --> 00:07:04,920 Speaker 2: Get burned like I got burned with a forty four 132 00:07:04,920 --> 00:07:08,240 Speaker 2: and a half with the with the the Lions and 133 00:07:08,279 --> 00:07:11,400 Speaker 2: the Browns. So I'm gonna buy the half a point, okay, 134 00:07:11,440 --> 00:07:12,640 Speaker 2: And you don't have to do that. You can just 135 00:07:12,760 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 2: lay the over if you want to trail listen, hiss, 136 00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:16,360 Speaker 2: bet the over, you can. But when I go ice cold, 137 00:07:16,400 --> 00:07:18,840 Speaker 2: I tend to try to guarantee I don't get burned 138 00:07:18,880 --> 00:07:21,200 Speaker 2: on the hook like I did with the Lions and 139 00:07:21,240 --> 00:07:24,040 Speaker 2: the Browns. I'm gonna go over forty four, but buy 140 00:07:24,080 --> 00:07:26,720 Speaker 2: it down at Mice one twenty five Circus Sports not 141 00:07:26,800 --> 00:07:29,120 Speaker 2: expensive Mie one twenty five for me here in Vegas 142 00:07:29,240 --> 00:07:31,680 Speaker 2: to go ahead and buy it. I bought it down 143 00:07:31,800 --> 00:07:34,560 Speaker 2: to miss one twenty five and went over forty four. 144 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 2: I do think we see offense. I do think we 145 00:07:37,120 --> 00:07:39,680 Speaker 2: see both the teams score. I do think we see turnovers. 146 00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:42,680 Speaker 2: I think Twa throws a pick tonight. I'll be curious 147 00:07:42,680 --> 00:07:45,000 Speaker 2: to see what Justin Fields looked like. Ause Tyron Taylor 148 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:47,160 Speaker 2: was good last week. I liked what I saw out 149 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:49,680 Speaker 2: of Tyrod Taylor. So if Justin Fields doesn't look right 150 00:07:49,760 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 2: with the concussion protocol. I think you have Tyron Taylor 151 00:07:52,920 --> 00:07:55,520 Speaker 2: coming in and he's a servicell backup that can score 152 00:07:55,560 --> 00:07:56,760 Speaker 2: on this Dolphins defense. 153 00:07:57,000 --> 00:07:58,480 Speaker 1: I don't love Miami's defense. 154 00:07:58,560 --> 00:08:01,360 Speaker 2: We saw Justin Fields put a big points up against 155 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 2: the Steelers defense, and I think the Dolphins equally will 156 00:08:05,480 --> 00:08:06,640 Speaker 2: surrender points here. 157 00:08:06,960 --> 00:08:07,880 Speaker 1: I'm gonna play the over. 158 00:08:08,120 --> 00:08:10,920 Speaker 2: Let's go over forty four, buy it down from forty 159 00:08:10,920 --> 00:08:14,119 Speaker 2: four and a half to forty four. Dolphins Jets over 160 00:08:14,480 --> 00:08:19,679 Speaker 2: and minus one twenty five for one point two five units. Now, 161 00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:24,520 Speaker 2: Broncos late game up against the Bengals. The Bengals and 162 00:08:24,640 --> 00:08:25,360 Speaker 2: Jake Browning. 163 00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:26,000 Speaker 1: Yikes. 164 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:31,600 Speaker 2: So if you look at head coaches since twenty thirteen, 165 00:08:31,760 --> 00:08:35,800 Speaker 2: Sean Payton has faced twenty six teams with a backup quarterback. 166 00:08:36,720 --> 00:08:40,400 Speaker 2: Those backup quarterbacks are six and twenty against Sean Payton 167 00:08:40,440 --> 00:08:43,560 Speaker 2: straight up, eleven and fifteen against the spread. Though, but 168 00:08:44,360 --> 00:08:47,880 Speaker 2: last sixteen games two and fourteen straight up. 169 00:08:48,720 --> 00:08:52,319 Speaker 1: That's not great. Okay, that's not great. 170 00:08:52,559 --> 00:08:55,240 Speaker 2: Sean Payton is twelve and four straight up at home 171 00:08:55,520 --> 00:08:59,640 Speaker 2: facing a backup quarterback. Now, Zach Taylor without Joe Burrow 172 00:09:00,200 --> 00:09:03,920 Speaker 2: has not been good, I mean, has has not been 173 00:09:03,960 --> 00:09:08,320 Speaker 2: good by any stretch in the imagination. However, I am 174 00:09:08,400 --> 00:09:13,319 Speaker 2: taking a little bit of a risk here, just historically speaking. 175 00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:15,920 Speaker 2: When a team gets blown out in the NFL, these 176 00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:18,320 Speaker 2: are professional athletes, These are pride for athletes. 177 00:09:18,320 --> 00:09:19,760 Speaker 1: They tend to bounce back. 178 00:09:20,120 --> 00:09:23,680 Speaker 2: The Bengals lost forty eight to ten last week, thirty 179 00:09:23,679 --> 00:09:26,719 Speaker 2: eight point margin of a loss. Teams who lost by 180 00:09:26,720 --> 00:09:30,200 Speaker 2: twenty eight or more points who are then underdogs their 181 00:09:30,240 --> 00:09:33,520 Speaker 2: next game, big underdogs by four points or more seven 182 00:09:33,559 --> 00:09:38,240 Speaker 2: and a half tonight one nineteen seventy six and three. 183 00:09:39,080 --> 00:09:43,600 Speaker 2: Okay ats sixty one percent. Bo Knicks didn't play great 184 00:09:43,679 --> 00:09:44,120 Speaker 2: last week. 185 00:09:44,160 --> 00:09:45,080 Speaker 1: But here's the thing. 186 00:09:45,160 --> 00:09:48,199 Speaker 2: It's the offensive line in the defensive line I think 187 00:09:48,240 --> 00:09:50,440 Speaker 2: will be the difference in this football game. I think 188 00:09:50,480 --> 00:09:53,160 Speaker 2: the Bengals can't stop the run, and I think the 189 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:56,040 Speaker 2: Broncos are going to road grade them tonight. I think 190 00:09:56,040 --> 00:09:58,319 Speaker 2: the Broncos are going to run the ball at will 191 00:09:58,920 --> 00:10:01,520 Speaker 2: against the Bengals. And on the other side, I think 192 00:10:01,520 --> 00:10:04,000 Speaker 2: the offensive line for the Bengals is in real trouble. 193 00:10:04,480 --> 00:10:09,199 Speaker 2: I think this Broncos defense is going to eat tonight 194 00:10:09,280 --> 00:10:11,080 Speaker 2: and I think Jake Browning is going to have no 195 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:14,959 Speaker 2: time to get the football out. I don't think Chase 196 00:10:14,960 --> 00:10:16,720 Speaker 2: Brown's going to be able to run the ball very 197 00:10:16,800 --> 00:10:20,240 Speaker 2: much here, and that makes Jake Browning one dimensional. And 198 00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:24,680 Speaker 2: I just think a coach is eight and twenty three 199 00:10:24,800 --> 00:10:30,839 Speaker 2: now straight up without Joe Burrow continues his misery and 200 00:10:31,520 --> 00:10:33,480 Speaker 2: Browning's at home and at home. 201 00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 1: He look good. I think at home he will play well. 202 00:10:35,400 --> 00:10:39,600 Speaker 2: But on the road in primetime at altitude, with that 203 00:10:39,679 --> 00:10:43,440 Speaker 2: offensive line against the defensive line for the Broncos and 204 00:10:43,520 --> 00:10:46,400 Speaker 2: that secondary, I think I think, I think Browning will 205 00:10:46,400 --> 00:10:49,320 Speaker 2: make mistakes. I think Browning will be picked off, He'll 206 00:10:49,360 --> 00:10:52,360 Speaker 2: be sacked consistently. And on the flip side, I think 207 00:10:52,360 --> 00:10:54,280 Speaker 2: you're going to see a big game from the offense 208 00:10:54,400 --> 00:10:56,480 Speaker 2: running the football. And that's why I don't think this 209 00:10:56,559 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 2: game flies over. So I would be hesitant to bet the. 210 00:10:59,800 --> 00:11:00,720 Speaker 1: Old in the game. 211 00:11:01,200 --> 00:11:03,640 Speaker 2: But I just think in terms of the schedule, in 212 00:11:03,720 --> 00:11:07,720 Speaker 2: terms of the spot, I just think this is a 213 00:11:07,760 --> 00:11:09,280 Speaker 2: mismatch in a lot of ways here. 214 00:11:09,320 --> 00:11:10,000 Speaker 1: And I think JK. 215 00:11:10,120 --> 00:11:13,160 Speaker 2: Dobbins and company, I think they run the ball like crazy. 216 00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:17,640 Speaker 2: I could see maybe ten to thirteen points being scored 217 00:11:17,679 --> 00:11:20,200 Speaker 2: by the Bengals, And on the flip side, I think 218 00:11:20,200 --> 00:11:23,200 Speaker 2: it's twenty four you know, twenty four to thirteen type 219 00:11:23,280 --> 00:11:26,200 Speaker 2: final year for the Broncos. I don't think it's gonna 220 00:11:26,200 --> 00:11:29,120 Speaker 2: be a massively high scoring game, but I do think 221 00:11:29,200 --> 00:11:33,199 Speaker 2: it's gonna be a dominated performance by the offensive line 222 00:11:33,360 --> 00:11:36,920 Speaker 2: by the Broncos against the Bengals on both sides, offensive 223 00:11:36,960 --> 00:11:40,079 Speaker 2: and defensive lines. I think we'll control this game, and 224 00:11:40,160 --> 00:11:43,480 Speaker 2: that's why the Broncos will win this. Denver's been very 225 00:11:43,520 --> 00:11:45,800 Speaker 2: good at home. They're eight and one straight up over 226 00:11:45,800 --> 00:11:48,240 Speaker 2: their last nine games at home. I think they win 227 00:11:48,800 --> 00:11:52,160 Speaker 2: and they'll cover seven. I'm gonna buy it off of 228 00:11:52,200 --> 00:11:54,960 Speaker 2: seven and a half and buy it down. You don't 229 00:11:55,000 --> 00:11:58,360 Speaker 2: have to, Okay, but this podcast, it's what I am betting. 230 00:11:59,320 --> 00:12:01,120 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna bet a seven. I don't want to 231 00:12:01,120 --> 00:12:01,760 Speaker 1: lose on a hook. 232 00:12:02,320 --> 00:12:05,360 Speaker 2: And it's only miss one thirty on a money it's basically, 233 00:12:05,400 --> 00:12:07,120 Speaker 2: you know, I feel like it's almost like a money 234 00:12:07,120 --> 00:12:10,400 Speaker 2: line play. I don't think the Bengals win this game. 235 00:12:10,840 --> 00:12:18,720 Speaker 2: Three road teams won yesterday. Three home teams are dominating 236 00:12:18,800 --> 00:12:21,600 Speaker 2: in the in the NFL right now, and I mean, frankly, 237 00:12:21,640 --> 00:12:24,120 Speaker 2: the Cowboys should have won. But you know, we were 238 00:12:24,120 --> 00:12:26,760 Speaker 2: in the Discord channel talking about that and we got 239 00:12:26,760 --> 00:12:29,800 Speaker 2: the Cowboys. We teased the Cowboys up to thirteen, pulled 240 00:12:29,800 --> 00:12:32,520 Speaker 2: the total down to forty one, and took the over 241 00:12:32,800 --> 00:12:33,880 Speaker 2: in that cash easily. 242 00:12:33,880 --> 00:12:36,000 Speaker 1: Even eighty points got scored in. 243 00:12:35,920 --> 00:12:38,720 Speaker 2: That game, which, by the way, can we all agree 244 00:12:38,800 --> 00:12:40,800 Speaker 2: that the NFL needs to figure out a way to 245 00:12:40,880 --> 00:12:44,320 Speaker 2: not have ties? Like can we play ten minutes and 246 00:12:44,360 --> 00:12:46,680 Speaker 2: then adapt the college football. 247 00:12:46,360 --> 00:12:50,840 Speaker 1: Rules where you then will go and have a team. 248 00:12:50,960 --> 00:12:52,959 Speaker 2: You know, after ten minutes of action, we're going to 249 00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:54,840 Speaker 2: put the ball on the twenty five yard line and 250 00:12:54,920 --> 00:12:58,000 Speaker 2: let each team have a possession and just play it 251 00:12:58,000 --> 00:12:59,800 Speaker 2: out like that and then make the teams go for 252 00:12:59,800 --> 00:13:02,400 Speaker 2: two and to try to end the game like that. 253 00:13:03,000 --> 00:13:05,520 Speaker 2: We all, I mean it was nine o'clock Pacific time 254 00:13:05,520 --> 00:13:08,840 Speaker 2: when the game ended. That's midnight Eastern time. Everybody sit 255 00:13:08,920 --> 00:13:11,680 Speaker 2: up and watched a four hour football game. To have 256 00:13:11,720 --> 00:13:15,080 Speaker 2: it end in a tie. If you're in a survivor pool, 257 00:13:15,720 --> 00:13:19,000 Speaker 2: both teams got eliminated. Both teams. Everyone who picked the 258 00:13:19,000 --> 00:13:21,319 Speaker 2: Packers and the Cowboys, you're all out. I mean, I 259 00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:23,360 Speaker 2: don't know how many few people took the Cowboys, but 260 00:13:23,559 --> 00:13:26,000 Speaker 2: Packers were a big pick in survivor pools. 261 00:13:26,040 --> 00:13:26,480 Speaker 1: You're out. 262 00:13:27,559 --> 00:13:30,480 Speaker 2: Some let you stay alive for a tie, but most 263 00:13:30,679 --> 00:13:33,800 Speaker 2: at circa for the circa million, Nope, I mean circa 264 00:13:33,880 --> 00:13:36,800 Speaker 2: survivor Nope, you're out if you took the Packers. So 265 00:13:38,440 --> 00:13:42,200 Speaker 2: we got to correct that. I don't I don't like ties. 266 00:13:42,480 --> 00:13:45,640 Speaker 2: You know, the NHL gear get rid of ties. Baseball 267 00:13:45,720 --> 00:13:49,000 Speaker 2: made sure you don't have ties. Football needs to be next. 268 00:13:49,040 --> 00:13:51,680 Speaker 2: College football get rid of ties. The NFL needs to 269 00:13:51,720 --> 00:13:53,920 Speaker 2: be next. We can't have in twenty twenty five, we 270 00:13:53,960 --> 00:13:57,520 Speaker 2: cannot have ties. It makes absolutely no sense to do that. 271 00:13:57,960 --> 00:14:00,600 Speaker 2: But do you know what does make sense? Prop bet 272 00:14:00,720 --> 00:14:03,720 Speaker 2: cheat sheet. Have you guys checked this out yet? I've 273 00:14:03,720 --> 00:14:05,400 Speaker 2: been talking about it for a long time. You guys 274 00:14:05,440 --> 00:14:07,760 Speaker 2: should one hundred percent go and check it out. The 275 00:14:07,840 --> 00:14:09,640 Speaker 2: prop bet cheat chet is a great way to attack 276 00:14:09,679 --> 00:14:13,240 Speaker 2: tonight's action here in the NFL. The NFL prop bet 277 00:14:13,320 --> 00:14:16,840 Speaker 2: cheat Sheet shows you the best valuable value plays for 278 00:14:16,960 --> 00:14:20,320 Speaker 2: every game. Every day, you get daily prop bet value 279 00:14:20,400 --> 00:14:23,480 Speaker 2: rankings based on projections, find the best props for all 280 00:14:23,520 --> 00:14:27,280 Speaker 2: major passing, rushing, and receiving stat categories. Use it now 281 00:14:27,520 --> 00:14:32,040 Speaker 2: by going to bettingpros dot com slash props, or go 282 00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:34,480 Speaker 2: to the Betting Pros app and check it out. 283 00:14:34,800 --> 00:14:37,040 Speaker 1: The prop bet cheat sheet. I use it for the NBA, 284 00:14:37,160 --> 00:14:39,400 Speaker 1: A ton use it for the NFL as well. 285 00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:44,160 Speaker 2: Check it out. Finally, let's talk some baseball. Well, two 286 00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:46,400 Speaker 2: things on the way out. Two things first, last bet 287 00:14:46,440 --> 00:14:48,360 Speaker 2: and then want one thing to say. I want to 288 00:14:48,360 --> 00:14:50,200 Speaker 2: comment on one thing, say thank you. 289 00:14:52,520 --> 00:14:54,400 Speaker 1: The playoffs are set up like this. 290 00:14:54,600 --> 00:14:56,440 Speaker 2: Okay, if you don't know yet, here are the here's 291 00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:58,720 Speaker 2: the if you're listening, I'm putting it up on the screen. 292 00:14:58,760 --> 00:15:00,800 Speaker 1: I apologize. But here's the post season. Okay. 293 00:15:01,400 --> 00:15:04,440 Speaker 2: I want your attention to the bottom right hand bracket. Okay, 294 00:15:04,600 --> 00:15:06,800 Speaker 2: screw the Yankees. We hate the Yankees. We'll talk about 295 00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:10,160 Speaker 2: that later. The Cubs play the Padres. 296 00:15:10,520 --> 00:15:10,920 Speaker 1: Okay. 297 00:15:11,280 --> 00:15:13,800 Speaker 2: We have a six and a half a six and 298 00:15:13,800 --> 00:15:16,320 Speaker 2: a half to one ticket on the Cubs to win 299 00:15:16,360 --> 00:15:20,280 Speaker 2: the National League. We have a twenty seven to one 300 00:15:20,360 --> 00:15:25,000 Speaker 2: ticket on the Brewers to win the World Series. So 301 00:15:25,840 --> 00:15:29,720 Speaker 2: if the Cubs lose to the Padres, we would have 302 00:15:29,840 --> 00:15:33,880 Speaker 2: to be really banking heavily on the on. 303 00:15:33,880 --> 00:15:35,120 Speaker 1: The Brewers to get there. 304 00:15:35,360 --> 00:15:40,240 Speaker 2: Okay, Rather than we're let's guarantee ourselves a team in 305 00:15:40,320 --> 00:15:43,920 Speaker 2: the National League Championship Series. The way we do that 306 00:15:44,440 --> 00:15:47,800 Speaker 2: is by taking the Padres right now. Now, it does 307 00:15:48,040 --> 00:15:51,240 Speaker 2: give up one unit on the Brewers, but I'm okay 308 00:15:51,280 --> 00:15:54,680 Speaker 2: with that. It gives up one unit on the Cubs 309 00:15:55,360 --> 00:16:00,120 Speaker 2: technically as well, but the Padres or the Cubs. 310 00:15:59,760 --> 00:16:01,120 Speaker 1: Will face the Brewers. 311 00:16:01,720 --> 00:16:05,400 Speaker 2: I want to have tickets on all three teams, so 312 00:16:06,080 --> 00:16:09,520 Speaker 2: if the Brewers are there in the National League Championship Series, 313 00:16:09,720 --> 00:16:11,640 Speaker 2: we will go ahead and hedge because we have so 314 00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:16,400 Speaker 2: much value on that. Okay, we will guarantee profit every 315 00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:18,800 Speaker 2: step of the way. You can let this ride if 316 00:16:18,840 --> 00:16:21,680 Speaker 2: you want, but I'm always about trying to guarantee myself profit. 317 00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:25,480 Speaker 2: So I'm going to take the Padres to win the 318 00:16:25,560 --> 00:16:29,120 Speaker 2: National League just to get to the World Series. At 319 00:16:29,160 --> 00:16:31,880 Speaker 2: most books, it's seven and a half to one. I 320 00:16:31,920 --> 00:16:35,640 Speaker 2: think this is a very smart strategic play. We have 321 00:16:35,840 --> 00:16:40,440 Speaker 2: guaranteed ourselves one half of the National League Championship Series, 322 00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:42,520 Speaker 2: and it's because we're set up so well here with 323 00:16:42,560 --> 00:16:45,120 Speaker 2: the Cubs and the Brewers from a money standpoint. So 324 00:16:45,600 --> 00:16:47,760 Speaker 2: let's go ahead and jump in on that. At plus 325 00:16:47,800 --> 00:16:50,920 Speaker 2: seven fifty for one unit for the Padres to win 326 00:16:50,960 --> 00:16:53,240 Speaker 2: the National League. You could also do the Padres to 327 00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:55,560 Speaker 2: win the World Series if you want, But I just 328 00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:58,440 Speaker 2: think that there's I mean, we want the Brewers to 329 00:16:58,520 --> 00:17:01,920 Speaker 2: get there, So the Padres to win the World Series 330 00:17:02,240 --> 00:17:04,520 Speaker 2: is a little more complicated, a little more difficult to 331 00:17:04,560 --> 00:17:06,640 Speaker 2: get into it, but because I don't know if they're 332 00:17:06,640 --> 00:17:09,119 Speaker 2: able to get past the Dodgers. 333 00:17:09,200 --> 00:17:10,800 Speaker 1: The Dodgers are the team that could blow. 334 00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:13,600 Speaker 2: Everything up for us, okay, But if it is Brewers 335 00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:17,040 Speaker 2: versus Dodgers in the National League Championship Series, we have 336 00:17:17,200 --> 00:17:19,720 Speaker 2: tons of wiggle room to come in here and bet 337 00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:24,480 Speaker 2: on the Dodgers to guarantee us profit. Okay from a 338 00:17:24,520 --> 00:17:26,320 Speaker 2: World Series perspective, So. 339 00:17:26,720 --> 00:17:28,480 Speaker 1: We will figure this out. 340 00:17:28,680 --> 00:17:31,360 Speaker 2: We will guarantee ourselves that we will make money on 341 00:17:31,400 --> 00:17:34,239 Speaker 2: this ticket for the Brewers because we have such an 342 00:17:34,240 --> 00:17:36,080 Speaker 2: incredible amount of value to play on with it. 343 00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:37,280 Speaker 1: So we're going to do that. 344 00:17:37,320 --> 00:17:40,359 Speaker 2: So the plays for Monday Broncos minus seven and minus 345 00:17:40,359 --> 00:17:44,080 Speaker 2: one thirty Jets and the Dolphins over forty four at 346 00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:46,800 Speaker 2: minus one twenty five and the Padres to win the 347 00:17:46,880 --> 00:17:50,000 Speaker 2: National League at plus seven point fifty to try to 348 00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:52,919 Speaker 2: get ourselves into a situation where we now have at 349 00:17:53,040 --> 00:17:56,680 Speaker 2: least one half of the National League Championship Series. We'll 350 00:17:56,680 --> 00:17:58,199 Speaker 2: see who winds up coming out of it. On the 351 00:17:58,240 --> 00:17:59,760 Speaker 2: other side. Again, if you look at the top of 352 00:17:59,760 --> 00:18:05,000 Speaker 2: the break reds against the Dodgers, that should be pretty quick. 353 00:18:05,520 --> 00:18:07,680 Speaker 1: Dodgers Phillies is going to be epic. 354 00:18:07,960 --> 00:18:10,000 Speaker 2: Phillies are the odds un favorite to win the World 355 00:18:10,040 --> 00:18:13,239 Speaker 2: Series right now, So you get the Phillies. And then 356 00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:15,360 Speaker 2: when the Phillies, if it's the Phillies and the Brewers, 357 00:18:15,800 --> 00:18:18,119 Speaker 2: or the Phillies and the Cubs, or Phillies and the Padres, 358 00:18:18,119 --> 00:18:21,240 Speaker 2: whoever it might be, we're tetleying getting a better ticket 359 00:18:21,280 --> 00:18:22,680 Speaker 2: six and a half to one and seven and a 360 00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:25,240 Speaker 2: half to one or twenty seven to one where sit 361 00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:28,479 Speaker 2: on better tickets there for the National League Championship Series. 362 00:18:28,560 --> 00:18:32,000 Speaker 2: So I'm way too invested emotionally in the American League 363 00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:35,119 Speaker 2: side of things to get involved financially. So let's keep 364 00:18:35,160 --> 00:18:37,640 Speaker 2: going with the National League to attack it with the postseason. 365 00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:39,960 Speaker 2: It all begins on Tuesday, so let's go ahead and 366 00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:42,280 Speaker 2: have that. So we guarantee ourselves least one team. We 367 00:18:42,320 --> 00:18:45,560 Speaker 2: know one half from a ticket perspective, we have one 368 00:18:45,600 --> 00:18:48,040 Speaker 2: half of the National League Championship Series if we buy 369 00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:48,639 Speaker 2: the Padres. 370 00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:50,080 Speaker 1: So do that buy the Padres? 371 00:18:50,440 --> 00:18:53,800 Speaker 2: Okay, one quick thing and a big thank you, so 372 00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:57,440 Speaker 2: my other show, The Bostonian Versus the Book. It will 373 00:18:57,440 --> 00:19:00,879 Speaker 2: be on today one o'clock Eastern time. There's a podcast 374 00:19:00,920 --> 00:19:02,959 Speaker 2: audio if you listen to The Daily Juice. You can 375 00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:05,280 Speaker 2: go search for The Bostonian Versus of the Book on 376 00:19:05,359 --> 00:19:08,680 Speaker 2: Apple and Spotify. It comes out around like two thirty 377 00:19:08,720 --> 00:19:11,600 Speaker 2: Eastern time. Every weekday. Show is live from one to 378 00:19:11,640 --> 00:19:15,359 Speaker 2: two ish one two fifteen ish Eastern time, live on 379 00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:18,199 Speaker 2: the Bostonian Verses of the Book YouTube page. But I 380 00:19:18,240 --> 00:19:21,720 Speaker 2: wanted to say publicly a thank you to Betting Pros 381 00:19:21,800 --> 00:19:25,199 Speaker 2: in Fantasy Pros for the donation that they gave to 382 00:19:25,760 --> 00:19:28,879 Speaker 2: Dave Sheapan, my co host on that show, who passed 383 00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:32,520 Speaker 2: away last weekend. Dave will be buried a week from 384 00:19:32,520 --> 00:19:36,040 Speaker 2: today in Las Vegas, and I. 385 00:19:35,960 --> 00:19:36,679 Speaker 1: Didn't see it. 386 00:19:36,800 --> 00:19:38,720 Speaker 2: I wish I saw it earlier, but I didn't see 387 00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:42,240 Speaker 2: it until Friday, and I wanted to make sure that 388 00:19:42,280 --> 00:19:44,959 Speaker 2: I set a public thank you to the company. And 389 00:19:45,119 --> 00:19:47,520 Speaker 2: I've worked for a lot of crumbing media companies in 390 00:19:47,520 --> 00:19:50,480 Speaker 2: my career, and it really makes me happy that I'm 391 00:19:50,520 --> 00:19:53,159 Speaker 2: currently working for a company that has a soul and 392 00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:56,520 Speaker 2: then for a company that will not even telling me 393 00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:58,600 Speaker 2: they give a thousand dollars and didn't even tell me 394 00:19:59,160 --> 00:20:01,159 Speaker 2: to the GoFundMe that was set up for Dave and 395 00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:03,760 Speaker 2: his family in the wake of his passing, so. 396 00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:05,480 Speaker 1: Really meant the world to me. 397 00:20:05,600 --> 00:20:07,560 Speaker 2: And I wanted to say a big thank you publicly 398 00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:09,919 Speaker 2: to the owners of Betting Pros and Fancy Pros for 399 00:20:09,960 --> 00:20:12,280 Speaker 2: doing that, because it did not go unnoticed, and I 400 00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:14,680 Speaker 2: wanted to say it publicly that that was a first 401 00:20:14,760 --> 00:20:19,320 Speaker 2: class just a really really nice gesture to someone who 402 00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:22,520 Speaker 2: they met literally one time when I brought Dave to 403 00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:26,000 Speaker 2: an event here in Vegas for Betting Pros and that 404 00:20:26,080 --> 00:20:28,919 Speaker 2: was the only time that they met Dave. So to 405 00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:32,240 Speaker 2: make that donation to his family really meant a lot 406 00:20:32,280 --> 00:20:32,520 Speaker 2: to me. 407 00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:33,200 Speaker 1: So I wanted to. 408 00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:35,879 Speaker 2: Say thank you to Betting Pros and Fancy Pros for 409 00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:36,399 Speaker 2: doing that. 410 00:20:36,840 --> 00:20:37,760 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt. 411 00:20:37,800 --> 00:20:39,640 Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials 412 00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:42,320 Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys get 413 00:20:42,320 --> 00:20:43,000 Speaker 2: your podcasts. 414 00:20:43,320 --> 00:21:02,480 Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice as