WEBVTT - Tesla Can't Stop Losing

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<v Speaker 1>Well, Elon Musk is now the richest person on the planet.

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<v Speaker 2>More than half the satellites in space are owned and

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<v Speaker 2>controlled by one man.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, he's a legitimate super genius. I mean legitimate. He says.

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<v Speaker 2>He's always voted for Democrats, but this year it will

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<v Speaker 2>be different.

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<v Speaker 3>He'll vote Republican.

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<v Speaker 1>There is a reason the US government is so reliant

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<v Speaker 1>on ed Elon.

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<v Speaker 4>Musk is a scam artist and he's done nothing.

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<v Speaker 1>Anything he does, he's fascinating people.

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<v Speaker 2>Welcome to Elon Inc, Bloomberg's weekly podcast about Elon Musk.

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<v Speaker 2>It's Tuesday, April sixteenth, twenty twenty four. I'm your host,

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<v Speaker 2>David Papadopolis. Today we have Tesla on our minds first

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<v Speaker 2>and foremost. There's been a flurry of news in the

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<v Speaker 2>wake of the company's dismal first quarter sales, a management shakeup,

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<v Speaker 2>a midnight announcement of layoffs, and yet another plunge in

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<v Speaker 2>the stock. On a happier note, for he's heading off

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<v Speaker 2>to India soon to meet with Prime Minister Narandra Modi.

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<v Speaker 2>It's an important trip for him and for sales of

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<v Speaker 2>Tesla's and Starlink satellites, and a controversial one for X Plus,

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<v Speaker 2>now this is important. We have an update on Elon's

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<v Speaker 2>feud with Coachella. Honestly, I have no idea what the

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<v Speaker 2>hell happened here, but apparently it sounded something like this,

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<v Speaker 2>for the love of God, but Max Chafkin. Max will

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<v Speaker 2>explain to us later what that's all about. But we're

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<v Speaker 2>gonna talk Tesla first, and so Max our Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 2>Week Reporter extraordinaries here.

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<v Speaker 1>With us a lot resisting the urge too yet.

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<v Speaker 2>Yet but wait, and we also have Dana Hall, Elon

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<v Speaker 2>Reporter extraordinaire and by the way, a scoop machine. Hello Dana, Hello, Hello. Okay,

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<v Speaker 2>so Dana, starting with Tesla. The news came out late

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<v Speaker 2>Sunday night. They're laying off a large number of workers.

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<v Speaker 2>What exactly is going on?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, so just to step back for a minute, Tesla

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<v Speaker 3>has over one hundred and forty thousand employees globally. Periodically,

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<v Speaker 3>Elon musk freaks out about the economy, about sales, about

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<v Speaker 3>their growth, about capex, about their need to cut costs,

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<v Speaker 3>and wax wax a large percentage over the weekend. All

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<v Speaker 3>these employees were like bracing for layoffs. There was all

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<v Speaker 3>these text messages my phone was blowing up. We hear

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<v Speaker 3>they're coming, We hear they're coming. And then like after

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<v Speaker 3>and then on Sunday evening, at eight forty five pm Pacific,

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<v Speaker 3>people started getting emails that they were being let go.

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<v Speaker 3>And then Musk sent out an email to the company.

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<v Speaker 3>I think it was after midnight. I was asleep. I

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<v Speaker 3>woke up and it was already out, basically saying that

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<v Speaker 3>they were restructuring the company and they were laying off

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<v Speaker 3>more than ten percent of their workforce. And just put

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<v Speaker 3>this in perspective, this is the largest reduction in force

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<v Speaker 3>in Tesla's history. They've never done ten percent before. And

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<v Speaker 3>the chatter within the company is that it's more than

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<v Speaker 3>ten percent. It's actually we've heard that it's more like

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<v Speaker 3>twenty percent. And people are still waiting for other shoes

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<v Speaker 3>to drop. So this is by no means over. And

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<v Speaker 3>I think what's interesting is that Wall Street typically likes

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<v Speaker 3>it when companies do layoffs. It's this sort of awful

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<v Speaker 3>secret that layoffs are good for shareholders.

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<v Speaker 2>Wall Street likes Blood Landing.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, yeah, this had the opposite effect, Like the stock

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<v Speaker 3>was down yesterday. Granted, everyone's also worried about World War three,

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<v Speaker 3>but like, this is not improving the stock at all.

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<v Speaker 3>And the people that were laid off, I have just

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<v Speaker 3>had the most harrowing conversations with employees. Some people got

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<v Speaker 3>the email at three thirty in the morning, and the

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<v Speaker 3>email else saying that you were laid off went to

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<v Speaker 3>your personal email. So if you like woke up and

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<v Speaker 3>commuted to work and didn't check your personal email, you

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<v Speaker 3>like got to the office and like your badge didn't work,

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<v Speaker 3>or like the security ran out and we're like, sorry,

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<v Speaker 3>you can't come into the building. So layoffs are always brutal,

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<v Speaker 3>but there's a lot of pain and angers right now.

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<v Speaker 2>Very haphazardly, it would appear max to that point on

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<v Speaker 2>the stock it's a almost forty percent this year. Why

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<v Speaker 2>is the market interpreting it this way?

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<v Speaker 1>Well, so two things. One is Wall Street likes layoffs

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<v Speaker 1>because you know, it's perceived as keeping expenses under control,

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<v Speaker 1>friendly to shareholders and so on. Wall Street does not

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<v Speaker 1>like erratic behavior, does not like surprises. And I think

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<v Speaker 1>that this is both surprising and a little bit confusing. Right.

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<v Speaker 1>It's like Elon Musk during the last earnings call was

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<v Speaker 1>talking all about ramping up production of this new model

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<v Speaker 1>that's going to save Tesla's sort of growth issues. This

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<v Speaker 1>is supposed to be a growth stock, right and of

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<v Speaker 1>course there are ways in which some cost cutting, right

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<v Speaker 1>size and whatever you want to whatever euphemism you want

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<v Speaker 1>to use, can be compatible with that. But it just

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<v Speaker 1>feels like there was a sudden shift in strategy that

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<v Speaker 1>is not being explained super well. The second thing is context.

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<v Speaker 1>Tesla stock is way down because there are more They

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<v Speaker 1>are making more cars than they can sell, and that

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<v Speaker 1>is a big problem. That be a problem for any company,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's particularly problem given that Elon Musk has said

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<v Speaker 1>for years and years and years that the big problem

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<v Speaker 1>is they weren't the demand was unlimited. The big problem

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<v Speaker 1>was manufacturing. So basically the markets for many people, I

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<v Speaker 1>think their understanding of this company is sort of broken.

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<v Speaker 3>It's also a really big problem for Tesla because they

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<v Speaker 3>don't have a dealer network. They sell directly to consumers.

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<v Speaker 3>So when they have forty six thousand cars in inventory,

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<v Speaker 3>they are holding that inventory on their books.

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<v Speaker 1>That is a drag on.

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<v Speaker 3>Their profit and they report earnings on Tuesday.

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<v Speaker 2>Explain that a little more. Dana. So typically an enormal

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<v Speaker 2>model with Ford and GM and others. This isn't a

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<v Speaker 2>Ford and GM problem. This is a problem that the dealer.

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<v Speaker 2>The dealers are choking on that.

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<v Speaker 3>Supply, right, So, like typically dealers have the inventory and

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<v Speaker 3>they do all the tricks in the book to try

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<v Speaker 3>to move cars off of their lots. But Tesla doesn't

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<v Speaker 3>have dealers. Tesla sells directly to consumers, so when there's

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<v Speaker 3>excess inventory, it is on the corporate balance sheet, not

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<v Speaker 3>the balance sheet of a dealer. It's like all Tesla.

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<v Speaker 3>So it's just like another drag And it's not a

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<v Speaker 3>surprise that like Tesla decided to do this before earning

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<v Speaker 3>the earnings call next week that said, we've been bracing

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<v Speaker 3>for I've been bracing for layoffs for weeks now because

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<v Speaker 3>in February we broke the news that like Tesla managers

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<v Speaker 3>were asked this question of like is this employee's role critical?

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<v Speaker 3>And so we sort of knew that something was up,

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<v Speaker 3>it was just a matter of like when and how severe.

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<v Speaker 3>But yeah, this is severe, and uh it also just

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<v Speaker 3>is they've hired like crazy in certain departments, Like they're

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<v Speaker 3>hiring all these AI and optimists and JOJO people, so

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<v Speaker 3>but now they're cutting like across the board pretty severely.

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<v Speaker 2>That's the part that I guess. I wonder if it's

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<v Speaker 2>just to a certain degree reflection of musk speed. You

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<v Speaker 2>ramp up, it's the speed of light, and then when

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<v Speaker 2>things go against you, yeah, you just and so maybe

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<v Speaker 2>there's an element of that in this case. Here you

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<v Speaker 2>both have factory workers who are losing their jobs and

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<v Speaker 2>white collar workers who are losing their jobs. In the past,

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<v Speaker 2>hasn't attended to mostly just be the white collar folks.

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<v Speaker 3>Oh no, No, when they cut, they cut across the board.

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<v Speaker 3>It's everything. It's engineers, it's hr it's recruiting, it's white collar,

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<v Speaker 3>it's support, it's policy, it's legal, it's manufacturing. They're cutting

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<v Speaker 3>across the board.

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<v Speaker 1>So two other things in terms of just the sort

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<v Speaker 1>of weirdness. One is Elon Musk has been saying for

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<v Speaker 1>a long time that Tesla's FSD, which is like where

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<v Speaker 1>he's supposedly going email full self driving, which has now

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<v Speaker 1>been called full self driving parentheses supervised, as pointed out

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<v Speaker 1>last week, kind of a weird name for a product.

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<v Speaker 1>But in any case, he's been saying, based, yeah, it

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<v Speaker 1>costs twelve thousand dollars one hundred and ninety or one

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<v Speaker 1>hundred ninety nine dollars a month. But it's going to

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<v Speaker 1>get more expensive over time because it's so valuable. If

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<v Speaker 1>you have a robotaxi, then you could send your car

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<v Speaker 1>out while you sleep. As we've discussed, David, this is

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<v Speaker 1>your retirement plan. You could pay hard, you might not

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<v Speaker 1>pay for more. You might pay more, right, but no,

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<v Speaker 1>but suddenly there was a sudden price cut of full

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<v Speaker 1>self driving, So you suddenly have this weird reset of

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<v Speaker 1>a bunch of the basic underpinnings of this company. The

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<v Speaker 1>last thing just to build on with Dana is saying

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<v Speaker 1>it's not just that they have a huge and a

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<v Speaker 1>huge bunch of cars that are sitting on their books.

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<v Speaker 1>They've been cutting prices super super aggressively for a very

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<v Speaker 1>long time, for like a year now. It's like you've

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<v Speaker 1>cut prices like crazy. There's a limit to which they

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<v Speaker 1>can discount.

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<v Speaker 2>I think at this point, you cut prices super aggressively

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<v Speaker 2>with the idea that was going to help you move

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<v Speaker 2>greater quantities of volume, and it's just not happening at all.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, you've cut prices and your volumes are stagnant. Dana,

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<v Speaker 2>part of these layoffs there are two very big names

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<v Speaker 2>of people who are leaving. Two top executives tell us

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<v Speaker 2>about them and what we know about their departure from

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<v Speaker 2>the company.

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<v Speaker 3>So Tesla only has four named executive officers. One of

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<v Speaker 3>them is Drew Biglino. He's the senior vice president of

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<v Speaker 3>Engineering and the Energy Division. He was basically the de

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<v Speaker 3>facto CTO. He really kind of rose to prominence after J. B.

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<v Speaker 3>Strabo left the company. He stood with Elon at the

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<v Speaker 3>battery day that they did a couple of years ago.

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<v Speaker 3>Like Drew was an engineers went to Stanford like very

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<v Speaker 3>well known, like diehard Tesla employee. He resigned on Sunday,

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<v Speaker 3>and Tesla.

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<v Speaker 2>Even put out he resigned, Dana or he was resigned.

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<v Speaker 3>He resigned. I'm pretty sure never say absolute, but I

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<v Speaker 3>am pretty positive that he resigned. In the eight that

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<v Speaker 3>went out today, Tesla said that he resigned. So that's

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<v Speaker 3>just like a big loss in terms of institutional knowledge.

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<v Speaker 3>Drew oversee a lot of the battery development for the

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<v Speaker 3>forty six eighty cells that Tesla is trying to make

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<v Speaker 3>in house. And then the other key person who resigned,

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<v Speaker 3>which was almost more shocking to me, was Rohan Patel

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<v Speaker 3>who is the vice president of Business Development and Policy,

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<v Speaker 3>basically like the lead DC guy for Elon Musk. Anytime

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<v Speaker 3>Elon Musk goes to Capitol Hill, what if he's like

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<v Speaker 3>meeting with Schumer and talking about AI like Rohan was

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<v Speaker 3>right by his side. Rohan used to work in the

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<v Speaker 3>Obama White House, was like the architect of this whole

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<v Speaker 3>India strategy. And you know, Rohan was also the executive

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<v Speaker 3>that would push back against media stories on X and

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<v Speaker 3>was very vocal and had just like a big social

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<v Speaker 3>media presence in terms of trying to set the record

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<v Speaker 3>straight in terms of reporting on the company. So those

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<v Speaker 3>two people leaving, it's a sign to me that this

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<v Speaker 3>is just not like a normal layoff. This is the

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<v Speaker 3>company is shifting strategy. And some executives are at a

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<v Speaker 3>point where in their careers where they're like, you know what,

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<v Speaker 3>I'm out, I'm not gonna do this, I am it

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<v Speaker 3>is a good time for me to pass the torch,

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<v Speaker 3>like I'm gonna spend time with my kids, like you

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<v Speaker 3>go do your ROBOTAXI thing.

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<v Speaker 1>So with rohuntel as Dana points out, former Obama White

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<v Speaker 1>House figure also very much a ev sustainability somebody who's

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<v Speaker 1>kind of interest in this. If you look at his background, right,

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<v Speaker 1>he's done a lot of work on climate stuff. Of course,

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<v Speaker 1>big part of Tesla's DC strategy is selling a company,

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<v Speaker 1>has been selling the company as a climate solution. His

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<v Speaker 1>departure on top of this other one. It's like it's

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<v Speaker 1>basically two guys who are really bought into EV's maybe

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<v Speaker 1>the probably the two most important people at the company

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<v Speaker 1>besides Elon Musk having to do with EV's, and they're

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<v Speaker 1>both out.

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<v Speaker 2>With the collapse in the price yesterday and the collapse

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<v Speaker 2>in the price we saw at the opening of the

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<v Speaker 2>session today, this company is now worth less than a

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<v Speaker 2>half a trillion dollars, still an awful lot of money,

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<v Speaker 2>But at its peak, Tesla was worth one point three

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<v Speaker 2>trillion dollars. It is now declined in value eight hundred

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<v Speaker 2>billion dollars, which is a lot of money. Dana and Max,

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<v Speaker 2>I will hit you guys with an anecdote I heard

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<v Speaker 2>over the weekend from my mother. My mom's a source

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<v Speaker 2>of lots of information in good Tibbets. A neighbor of

0:12:07.679 --> 0:12:11.640
<v Speaker 2>hers she noticed the other day suddenly was not driving

0:12:12.000 --> 0:12:14.600
<v Speaker 2>his Tesla, and she said, what happened? To your tesla.

0:12:15.000 --> 0:12:18.600
<v Speaker 2>He said, no, I decided I cannot abide mister Musk.

0:12:18.679 --> 0:12:21.679
<v Speaker 2>I'm getting rid of it. He got rid of it.

0:12:21.800 --> 0:12:24.960
<v Speaker 2>He essentially was too embarrassed to own it, and he

0:12:25.280 --> 0:12:30.960
<v Speaker 2>replaced it with an all ev BMW. I'll just say this,

0:12:31.120 --> 0:12:34.760
<v Speaker 2>it's come up in the past, mister Musk, for all

0:12:34.800 --> 0:12:37.480
<v Speaker 2>he's done for this company, for making it that company

0:12:37.520 --> 0:12:39.640
<v Speaker 2>at some point was worth one point three trillion dollars,

0:12:39.880 --> 0:12:42.120
<v Speaker 2>and for all the brain power and so on and

0:12:42.120 --> 0:12:46.440
<v Speaker 2>so forth, he probably is about the worst brand ambassador

0:12:47.120 --> 0:12:49.120
<v Speaker 2>in the history of the world right now in terms

0:12:49.160 --> 0:12:52.160
<v Speaker 2>of alienating his core customer base.

0:12:52.280 --> 0:12:55.080
<v Speaker 1>Max, I'm hesitant to go that far, just because he

0:12:55.240 --> 0:12:58.960
<v Speaker 1>is a branding genius and this trillion dollar plus valuation,

0:12:59.440 --> 0:13:02.439
<v Speaker 1>which was totally bonkers by any normal you talk to

0:13:02.480 --> 0:13:06.079
<v Speaker 1>any autoanalysts, right, it's it's so crazy, it's confusing, right,

0:13:06.120 --> 0:13:09.760
<v Speaker 1>And it's like entirely about Elon Musk's force of personality.

0:13:09.920 --> 0:13:13.600
<v Speaker 2>But are you conflating that is the value of the stock,

0:13:13.800 --> 0:13:17.280
<v Speaker 2>and that is the fanboys who pile into the stock. Yeah,

0:13:17.320 --> 0:13:20.000
<v Speaker 2>that's different, I feel like to a certain degree than

0:13:20.280 --> 0:13:21.080
<v Speaker 2>in Connecticut.

0:13:21.080 --> 0:13:22.760
<v Speaker 1>Well, I think it's so First of all, I think

0:13:22.760 --> 0:13:27.120
<v Speaker 1>it's all connected. I think that the Tesla brand is complicated,

0:13:27.160 --> 0:13:31.280
<v Speaker 1>and it incorporates obviously like climate change and like doing something,

0:13:31.440 --> 0:13:34.360
<v Speaker 1>and but also it also incorporates the kind of success

0:13:34.440 --> 0:13:37.800
<v Speaker 1>narrative around Elon Musk. I agree with you, David, that

0:13:38.000 --> 0:13:42.240
<v Speaker 1>it's been like an incredibly self destructive period. I've been

0:13:42.280 --> 0:13:44.880
<v Speaker 1>thinking a lot about King Lear. I mean, it feels

0:13:44.920 --> 0:13:50.439
<v Speaker 1>like Musk is in this kind of weird destructive late stag,

0:13:50.600 --> 0:13:54.000
<v Speaker 1>Like he's just like looking at the world around him

0:13:54.040 --> 0:13:57.040
<v Speaker 1>and looking at all these assets and like one by

0:13:57.160 --> 0:13:59.880
<v Speaker 1>one undermining them in various ways. And you know, this

0:14:00.120 --> 0:14:03.880
<v Speaker 1>pivot to software, which of course makes financial sense, it

0:14:03.920 --> 0:14:06.199
<v Speaker 1>really runs counter to a big part of the Elon

0:14:06.320 --> 0:14:09.520
<v Speaker 1>Musk brand and the Elon Musk mythology. The whole big

0:14:09.920 --> 0:14:11.840
<v Speaker 1>thing that people would talk about with Elon Musk, the

0:14:11.840 --> 0:14:14.320
<v Speaker 1>thing that got people so excited about Elon Musk is like,

0:14:14.400 --> 0:14:16.760
<v Speaker 1>this is a guy that builds stuff. Right the rest

0:14:16.800 --> 0:14:21.520
<v Speaker 1>of Silicon Valley they're just making apps, and here's Elon Musk, industrialist.

0:14:21.360 --> 0:14:22.920
<v Speaker 2>And industrialist of our times.

0:14:23.000 --> 0:14:25.040
<v Speaker 3>I'm going to push back a little bit on this, guys,

0:14:25.120 --> 0:14:29.920
<v Speaker 3>because if you read Masterplan Part duh from twenty sixteen.

0:14:30.120 --> 0:14:32.480
<v Speaker 2>Because you chied in me last week, Dan, I read it.

0:14:32.560 --> 0:14:33.960
<v Speaker 2>I spent all weekend reading it.

0:14:35.800 --> 0:14:37.160
<v Speaker 1>Do you read it like one hundred times?

0:14:37.800 --> 0:14:38.080
<v Speaker 2>Sure?

0:14:38.480 --> 0:14:42.520
<v Speaker 3>Okay, autonomy has always been part of the plan, and

0:14:43.160 --> 0:14:45.760
<v Speaker 3>so it's not real it's to call it a pivot

0:14:45.760 --> 0:14:49.920
<v Speaker 3>to autonomy. Yes, it seems like it's clearly a pivot

0:14:49.960 --> 0:14:54.400
<v Speaker 3>that the robotaxi is taking priority over the twenty five

0:14:54.440 --> 0:14:59.640
<v Speaker 3>thousand dollars consumer facing car. But like Elon has been

0:14:59.720 --> 0:15:02.120
<v Speaker 3>upset yes with autonomous cars for like a decade now.

0:15:02.160 --> 0:15:04.480
<v Speaker 3>I mean, he's been promising this forever, and I think

0:15:04.480 --> 0:15:08.000
<v Speaker 3>what has changed just that he's very confident about FSD

0:15:08.160 --> 0:15:11.400
<v Speaker 3>version twelve, so confident that they dropped beta from the name.

0:15:11.880 --> 0:15:14.240
<v Speaker 3>They have all this data, they think it's going to work.

0:15:14.520 --> 0:15:17.600
<v Speaker 3>He's all in, and he's just basically, we've got to

0:15:17.640 --> 0:15:20.360
<v Speaker 3>spend all this money now on compute. We've got to

0:15:20.400 --> 0:15:22.840
<v Speaker 3>really reorient the next phase of the growth is going

0:15:22.880 --> 0:15:25.840
<v Speaker 3>to be the robotaxi. I don't think investors are fully

0:15:25.880 --> 0:15:28.040
<v Speaker 3>buying it. But it's also like the message, the messaging

0:15:28.040 --> 0:15:30.400
<v Speaker 3>has been so murky that it's not a problem as

0:15:30.480 --> 0:15:30.920
<v Speaker 3>to why.

0:15:31.600 --> 0:15:33.520
<v Speaker 2>So, first of all, my answer to your question is no.

0:15:33.600 --> 0:15:36.040
<v Speaker 2>I read it, and I read it ninety nine, I

0:15:36.280 --> 0:15:38.440
<v Speaker 2>read one hundred times. But that is the issue. If

0:15:38.480 --> 0:15:42.360
<v Speaker 2>you are going to save the Earth from climate change

0:15:42.400 --> 0:15:44.640
<v Speaker 2>and we are going to stave off the worst effects

0:15:44.680 --> 0:15:48.960
<v Speaker 2>of climate change, is the cheap Tesla not significantly more

0:15:49.000 --> 0:15:51.560
<v Speaker 2>important than the robotaxis.

0:15:52.640 --> 0:15:55.240
<v Speaker 3>Well, you won't need to sell as many cars to

0:15:55.920 --> 0:16:00.400
<v Speaker 3>consumers if the robotaxi can just operate twenty four seven

0:16:00.440 --> 0:16:02.880
<v Speaker 3>and drive you around when you need to get where

0:16:02.920 --> 0:16:05.640
<v Speaker 3>you need to go. And the robotaxi is still going

0:16:05.720 --> 0:16:09.480
<v Speaker 3>to be electric. So there's like climate arguments to be

0:16:09.560 --> 0:16:12.760
<v Speaker 3>made about optimizing the vehicles on the road, and like

0:16:12.840 --> 0:16:14.800
<v Speaker 3>why do we have so much traffic because people are

0:16:14.880 --> 0:16:17.080
<v Speaker 3>driving so much like we could have. There's like a

0:16:17.080 --> 0:16:21.360
<v Speaker 3>lot of arguments around the climate imperatives around a robotaxi.

0:16:21.400 --> 0:16:23.480
<v Speaker 3>But yeah, it still seems like a big shift, like

0:16:23.720 --> 0:16:27.040
<v Speaker 3>the company is at this big inflection point and not

0:16:27.160 --> 0:16:30.080
<v Speaker 3>everyone is on board with it, including some executives.

0:16:30.120 --> 0:16:32.960
<v Speaker 1>Apparently electric cars have downsides, right, and when making a

0:16:33.000 --> 0:16:36.720
<v Speaker 1>car is an expense, you know, is carbon intensive, but

0:16:37.240 --> 0:16:40.320
<v Speaker 1>come on, like one of these things is real. It's

0:16:40.400 --> 0:16:42.920
<v Speaker 1>a car, they work. You can buy them their electric motors,

0:16:43.080 --> 0:16:46.040
<v Speaker 1>and one of them is imaginary. There is no Tesla

0:16:46.120 --> 0:16:49.200
<v Speaker 1>full self driving car. There is no robotaxi. There is

0:16:49.280 --> 0:16:54.440
<v Speaker 1>no clear pathway to getting a robotaxi. What we have right.

0:16:54.360 --> 0:16:57.120
<v Speaker 2>Now is there really why is there no clear path?

0:16:57.200 --> 0:17:02.200
<v Speaker 1>It's going to require a regulatory overhaul that would be BACTLL,

0:17:02.480 --> 0:17:05.960
<v Speaker 1>a redesign of our infrastructure, it would be it's a

0:17:06.200 --> 0:17:09.560
<v Speaker 1>massive undertaking that has not even begun. And again, as

0:17:09.560 --> 0:17:12.560
<v Speaker 1>I said, like last week, you have companies that are

0:17:12.640 --> 0:17:15.520
<v Speaker 1>much further along on this kind of regulatory thing and

0:17:15.560 --> 0:17:19.680
<v Speaker 1>they are struggling. Cruise GM big company invested a ton

0:17:19.760 --> 0:17:22.520
<v Speaker 1>of money in getting its cars on the road, getting

0:17:22.520 --> 0:17:24.480
<v Speaker 1>its robotaxis on the road, had to pull them off.

0:17:25.440 --> 0:17:27.840
<v Speaker 1>And so it's just there is no clear path here.

0:17:27.880 --> 0:17:30.800
<v Speaker 2>So autonomous is not just hard, it's really really hard.

0:17:30.840 --> 0:17:32.840
<v Speaker 2>I get it. Okay, very good. All right, We're gonna

0:17:32.840 --> 0:17:37.639
<v Speaker 2>move on to mister Musk's big upcoming trip to India.

0:17:42.320 --> 0:17:45.760
<v Speaker 2>So we're now joined by Dan Flatley, a national security

0:17:45.800 --> 0:17:49.679
<v Speaker 2>reporter here at Bloomberg, and Dan, along with Dana and Max,

0:17:49.760 --> 0:17:52.439
<v Speaker 2>is going to tell us all about Elon's big trip

0:17:52.520 --> 0:17:56.879
<v Speaker 2>coming up to India. Dan, when does it start and

0:17:57.000 --> 0:18:00.000
<v Speaker 2>what exactly is on mister Musk's agenda here.

0:18:00.680 --> 0:18:03.080
<v Speaker 5>So the visit itself is sort of timed at the

0:18:03.080 --> 0:18:06.000
<v Speaker 5>beginning of elections in India, so the elections will take

0:18:06.240 --> 0:18:08.399
<v Speaker 5>you almost a month to sort of roll through the

0:18:08.400 --> 0:18:12.359
<v Speaker 5>whole country. But essentially there's something to be gained by

0:18:12.359 --> 0:18:14.800
<v Speaker 5>both parties in this, and that Musk he's trying to

0:18:14.840 --> 0:18:18.760
<v Speaker 5>get beyond the US, beyond China, trying to reach new markets,

0:18:18.800 --> 0:18:21.880
<v Speaker 5>and Mody is sort of trying to promote this pro

0:18:21.960 --> 0:18:25.280
<v Speaker 5>business agenda, and so both parties have something to gain

0:18:25.359 --> 0:18:28.280
<v Speaker 5>from this. Of course, Tesla's under a bit of strain

0:18:28.320 --> 0:18:31.560
<v Speaker 5>at the moment because some not great results in terms

0:18:31.600 --> 0:18:34.200
<v Speaker 5>of the valuation and some layoffs and things like that.

0:18:34.280 --> 0:18:36.160
<v Speaker 5>So you know, it comes at kind of an important

0:18:36.200 --> 0:18:39.639
<v Speaker 5>time both politically and for business reasons for both of

0:18:39.680 --> 0:18:40.840
<v Speaker 5>these individuals.

0:18:42.400 --> 0:18:46.560
<v Speaker 2>Now Dan, knowing what we know about Elon and knowing

0:18:46.600 --> 0:18:49.120
<v Speaker 2>a bit what we know about mister Mody, are these

0:18:49.160 --> 0:18:52.480
<v Speaker 2>two are simpatico in their views of the world.

0:18:53.600 --> 0:18:55.800
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean I think that Musk is sort of

0:18:56.200 --> 0:19:00.359
<v Speaker 5>has kind of cultivated this image not only as a

0:19:00.359 --> 0:19:02.800
<v Speaker 5>thought leader but also somebody who's become more and more

0:19:02.800 --> 0:19:07.199
<v Speaker 5>interested in politics. And in that regard, he has cultivated

0:19:07.240 --> 0:19:12.760
<v Speaker 5>relationships with folks like Modi, folks like Javier Milay in Argentina,

0:19:13.440 --> 0:19:18.320
<v Speaker 5>other sort of free market enthusiasts, let's call them. You

0:19:18.320 --> 0:19:22.080
<v Speaker 5>could call them authoritarian. You could say potentially that some

0:19:22.240 --> 0:19:26.760
<v Speaker 5>of the leaders in these governments where he's visiting have

0:19:26.840 --> 0:19:32.080
<v Speaker 5>authoritarian tendencies or certainly trying to stay in power. So

0:19:32.760 --> 0:19:35.800
<v Speaker 5>this is sort of part and parcel of his idea

0:19:36.080 --> 0:19:40.200
<v Speaker 5>of having not just influence over the world of technology.

0:19:40.520 --> 0:19:43.640
<v Speaker 5>And so yes, there's sympatico in that sense, and certainly

0:19:43.680 --> 0:19:47.280
<v Speaker 5>it's a reach beyond sort of the kind of the

0:19:47.320 --> 0:19:51.239
<v Speaker 5>normal places where folks like this would go to that

0:19:51.320 --> 0:19:52.000
<v Speaker 5>kind of influence.

0:19:52.720 --> 0:19:58.000
<v Speaker 2>Now, Max speaking of strong regimes, authoritarian esque regimes, as

0:19:58.000 --> 0:20:00.800
<v Speaker 2>he travels to India, what does our sense of how

0:20:00.840 --> 0:20:03.640
<v Speaker 2>this is being received over in China, which is also

0:20:03.640 --> 0:20:05.160
<v Speaker 2>a very important market for Misty.

0:20:05.359 --> 0:20:09.000
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so we've seen this with consumer electronics as Apple

0:20:09.119 --> 0:20:13.200
<v Speaker 1>has attempted to diversify its supply chain. China has kind

0:20:13.200 --> 0:20:17.000
<v Speaker 1>of tended to view India's efforts to encourage, you know,

0:20:17.119 --> 0:20:20.200
<v Speaker 1>people to set up manufacturing operations there as in competition

0:20:20.720 --> 0:20:24.919
<v Speaker 1>with them with China. When China banned the iPhone in

0:20:24.960 --> 0:20:28.240
<v Speaker 1>some government offices last year. It was viewed by some

0:20:28.640 --> 0:20:31.240
<v Speaker 1>as a response to Apple's efforts. And what we saw

0:20:31.280 --> 0:20:33.639
<v Speaker 1>ahead of this visit is the Global Times, which is

0:20:33.840 --> 0:20:38.440
<v Speaker 1>essentially a government controlled newspaper running an editorial saying, oh boy,

0:20:38.520 --> 0:20:40.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, Tesla's making a big mistake. This is going

0:20:40.400 --> 0:20:42.760
<v Speaker 1>to be a lot harder than Elon Musk thinks, you know,

0:20:43.000 --> 0:20:46.520
<v Speaker 1>essentially at least dumping cold water on this, if not

0:20:46.920 --> 0:20:50.520
<v Speaker 1>maybe a subtle warning to Elon Musk over what China

0:20:50.640 --> 0:20:53.080
<v Speaker 1>might see as an effort to diversify to get to

0:20:53.440 --> 0:20:55.879
<v Speaker 1>invest less in China and more in India. So I

0:20:55.880 --> 0:20:58.679
<v Speaker 1>think that is going to be a real challenge for

0:20:58.720 --> 0:21:01.400
<v Speaker 1>Elon Musk. The other thing is like the Indian electric

0:21:01.440 --> 0:21:02.680
<v Speaker 1>car market is small.

0:21:02.800 --> 0:21:04.760
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, let me ask you that perhaps the eb market

0:21:04.800 --> 0:21:07.679
<v Speaker 2>is smaller in India now, but is there potentially a

0:21:07.720 --> 0:21:09.920
<v Speaker 2>gold mine down the road for the company.

0:21:10.000 --> 0:21:10.200
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:21:10.200 --> 0:21:13.440
<v Speaker 5>I mean interestingly, this is one of the areas in

0:21:13.480 --> 0:21:16.440
<v Speaker 5>which Elon Musk and the Biden administration are kind of aligned.

0:21:16.920 --> 0:21:20.240
<v Speaker 5>The Biden administration, for a lot of different reasons, but

0:21:21.680 --> 0:21:24.959
<v Speaker 5>some national security reasons, has put a lot of focus

0:21:25.000 --> 0:21:28.400
<v Speaker 5>on India as a counter to China. And so there

0:21:28.480 --> 0:21:33.640
<v Speaker 5>is potentially some not just business benefits that could come

0:21:33.720 --> 0:21:36.600
<v Speaker 5>from this alliance between Elon Musk and the Rendra Modi,

0:21:36.680 --> 0:21:39.639
<v Speaker 5>but also some national security dividends that could come in

0:21:39.680 --> 0:21:42.239
<v Speaker 5>the sense that if Musk is able to get in there,

0:21:42.240 --> 0:21:44.199
<v Speaker 5>if Tesla's able to get in there and develop the

0:21:44.240 --> 0:21:48.840
<v Speaker 5>electric vehicle industry in India or develop the technological capabilities

0:21:48.840 --> 0:21:52.080
<v Speaker 5>of that country in ways that haven't previously been seen,

0:21:52.480 --> 0:21:56.480
<v Speaker 5>it could provide a counterweight to China. And ultimately that

0:21:56.600 --> 0:21:59.639
<v Speaker 5>is something that not just the Biden administration, but national

0:21:59.640 --> 0:22:03.680
<v Speaker 5>security folks here in Washington across Republican and Democratic administrations

0:22:03.720 --> 0:22:04.560
<v Speaker 5>want to see.

0:22:04.720 --> 0:22:07.280
<v Speaker 3>There's another opportunity for Tessel here, which is that they

0:22:07.280 --> 0:22:11.160
<v Speaker 3>are really trying to diversify away from just selling cars.

0:22:11.240 --> 0:22:13.479
<v Speaker 3>You know, they're all in on the robotaxi, this promise

0:22:13.480 --> 0:22:15.760
<v Speaker 3>of autonomy. But they have an energy division, and the

0:22:15.800 --> 0:22:19.520
<v Speaker 3>big driver of their energy division is the megapac, which

0:22:19.560 --> 0:22:23.680
<v Speaker 3>is these massive batteries that are sold to utility companies.

0:22:23.680 --> 0:22:26.359
<v Speaker 3>And India has a real infrastructure problem when it comes

0:22:26.400 --> 0:22:30.080
<v Speaker 3>to electricity, and you cannot develop an electric car market

0:22:30.200 --> 0:22:33.880
<v Speaker 3>unless you have a pretty stable, reliable source of electric

0:22:33.960 --> 0:22:37.040
<v Speaker 3>power and megapack is a big solution for that, right

0:22:37.119 --> 0:22:39.719
<v Speaker 3>because it allows you to store solar and wind, and

0:22:39.760 --> 0:22:42.639
<v Speaker 3>it's been hugely popular here in the US and in

0:22:42.680 --> 0:22:46.399
<v Speaker 3>markets like Australia and the UK. And so while everyone

0:22:46.440 --> 0:22:48.359
<v Speaker 3>is waiting to see if there's this big announcement that

0:22:48.440 --> 0:22:51.400
<v Speaker 3>Tesla's going to open up an electric vehicle plant in

0:22:51.400 --> 0:22:53.960
<v Speaker 3>India at some point down the road, I think we

0:22:54.000 --> 0:22:55.720
<v Speaker 3>should also watch to see what they say on the

0:22:55.840 --> 0:22:57.680
<v Speaker 3>energy side of that equation.

0:22:58.080 --> 0:23:00.680
<v Speaker 2>Right, And then as you talk about that, it also

0:23:01.000 --> 0:23:03.640
<v Speaker 2>reminds me of just going back to their first segment

0:23:03.680 --> 0:23:05.879
<v Speaker 2>of our show here in which we talked about how

0:23:06.760 --> 0:23:09.960
<v Speaker 2>bad sales have been for Tesla and how much demand

0:23:10.200 --> 0:23:12.439
<v Speaker 2>is drying up. And I guess I just wonder, in

0:23:12.560 --> 0:23:17.040
<v Speaker 2>the abstract, Jesus, does Tesla really need another factory in

0:23:17.080 --> 0:23:17.480
<v Speaker 2>the world.

0:23:19.000 --> 0:23:21.440
<v Speaker 3>Not right now? So they had their they so basically

0:23:21.480 --> 0:23:25.000
<v Speaker 3>their over capacity right now? Are they are not selling

0:23:25.040 --> 0:23:27.600
<v Speaker 3>the cars They ended the quarter with forty six thousand

0:23:27.680 --> 0:23:31.000
<v Speaker 3>cars in inventory. They already announced plans to build a

0:23:31.000 --> 0:23:34.160
<v Speaker 3>plant in Mexico, which has not really broken ground yet,

0:23:34.320 --> 0:23:37.800
<v Speaker 3>so they don't need a third plant now, No, not

0:23:37.920 --> 0:23:40.320
<v Speaker 3>at all, which is why like any announcement. I think

0:23:40.359 --> 0:23:42.560
<v Speaker 3>I would be surprised if there's like a firm deadline

0:23:42.600 --> 0:23:44.920
<v Speaker 3>as to when that investment would take place.

0:23:45.640 --> 0:23:49.360
<v Speaker 1>Especially we're getting all these signs that they're either scaling

0:23:49.440 --> 0:23:54.360
<v Speaker 1>back or pausing or killing the This more inexpensive car max.

0:23:54.200 --> 0:23:56.080
<v Speaker 2>Isn't the argument that and this is what the inter

0:23:56.160 --> 0:24:00.320
<v Speaker 2>tubes tell me that in order to penetrate the Indian market,

0:24:00.400 --> 0:24:02.600
<v Speaker 2>which will be the authority is down the road, an

0:24:02.720 --> 0:24:06.440
<v Speaker 2>enormous ev market, you need to make cars in India.

0:24:06.560 --> 0:24:09.639
<v Speaker 2>They will only allow you to import so many from.

0:24:09.640 --> 0:24:12.000
<v Speaker 1>They're gonna Elon Musk Is gonna need to make some

0:24:12.160 --> 0:24:15.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of concession to Mody to allow him to at

0:24:15.600 --> 0:24:16.440
<v Speaker 1>least import cars.

0:24:16.440 --> 0:24:19.360
<v Speaker 3>And Tesla got what they wanted because India lowered the tariffs.

0:24:19.400 --> 0:24:22.159
<v Speaker 3>That was the big thing, like in terms of concessions

0:24:22.200 --> 0:24:23.000
<v Speaker 3>like India's rea.

0:24:23.640 --> 0:24:26.200
<v Speaker 2>So they were the tariffs. But because the promise has

0:24:26.240 --> 0:24:27.760
<v Speaker 2>to be though, all right, I'll lower the teriffs for

0:24:27.800 --> 0:24:29.320
<v Speaker 2>you now. Oh and by the way, you got to

0:24:29.359 --> 0:24:30.480
<v Speaker 2>where's your ears have to invest?

0:24:30.720 --> 0:24:32.359
<v Speaker 1>Right? Right? And there's been some I think there have

0:24:32.359 --> 0:24:35.480
<v Speaker 1>been some reports of Teslas sourcing more, more parts and

0:24:35.520 --> 0:24:38.840
<v Speaker 1>so on from India. So there probably are intermediary steps.

0:24:39.119 --> 0:24:42.200
<v Speaker 1>But remember Elon musk Is, as he's told us before,

0:24:42.560 --> 0:24:46.520
<v Speaker 1>between two growth waves, really struggling with the stock price

0:24:47.000 --> 0:24:50.320
<v Speaker 1>showing up in India. As you said, David, huge market

0:24:50.520 --> 0:24:53.200
<v Speaker 1>potentially anyway, right, small market now, but a lot of people.

0:24:53.440 --> 0:24:57.159
<v Speaker 1>It does maybe help him change the story from no

0:24:57.200 --> 0:24:58.800
<v Speaker 1>one will buy their cars to look at all this

0:24:58.880 --> 0:24:59.399
<v Speaker 1>growth on the.

0:24:59.440 --> 0:25:03.399
<v Speaker 2>Hurricket now tapping into the world's hottest market. Look at

0:25:03.480 --> 0:25:08.200
<v Speaker 2>us go Dan. Another key product that mister Mosque would

0:25:08.680 --> 0:25:10.720
<v Speaker 2>be looking to sell in India is Starlink and the

0:25:10.720 --> 0:25:13.520
<v Speaker 2>Starlink satellites. We've seen how they've been used now on

0:25:13.600 --> 0:25:17.399
<v Speaker 2>battlefields across the globe, but moreover just in remote parts

0:25:17.440 --> 0:25:20.280
<v Speaker 2>of the world. India certainly has lots of remote parts.

0:25:20.680 --> 0:25:23.119
<v Speaker 2>Is this a big push here? Is this part of

0:25:23.160 --> 0:25:26.000
<v Speaker 2>his push to get Starlink there? Yeah, certainly.

0:25:26.080 --> 0:25:27.919
<v Speaker 5>I mean I think that that was one of the

0:25:28.440 --> 0:25:31.960
<v Speaker 5>one of the focuses of his talks with Javier Milay

0:25:32.000 --> 0:25:34.680
<v Speaker 5>of Argentina, and I expect that it will be part

0:25:34.760 --> 0:25:38.359
<v Speaker 5>of his discussions with Mody and the Indian government as well, because,

0:25:38.760 --> 0:25:44.639
<v Speaker 5>as you mentioned, David, Starlink and SpaceX these are services

0:25:44.680 --> 0:25:48.480
<v Speaker 5>that land even more squarely in the national security realm.

0:25:48.560 --> 0:25:51.280
<v Speaker 5>This is something that is squarely in the national security sphere,

0:25:51.440 --> 0:25:53.480
<v Speaker 5>and it's something that I'm sure that he'll be talking

0:25:53.520 --> 0:25:56.560
<v Speaker 5>about with Mody. But he's also there's lots of back

0:25:56.600 --> 0:25:59.720
<v Speaker 5>and forth between US officials about how this should be controlled,

0:25:59.720 --> 0:26:02.800
<v Speaker 5>how should be regulated, whether it should be regulated, how

0:26:02.800 --> 0:26:04.800
<v Speaker 5>it's being used, and is it being used counter to

0:26:04.920 --> 0:26:08.120
<v Speaker 5>US interests. So these are very active discussions that are

0:26:08.160 --> 0:26:11.480
<v Speaker 5>happening not just abroad but also here in the United States.

0:26:11.520 --> 0:26:13.400
<v Speaker 5>So it'd be very interesting to see where they land

0:26:13.440 --> 0:26:13.720
<v Speaker 5>on that.

0:26:13.880 --> 0:26:17.280
<v Speaker 2>So he's just on the heels of another meeting last

0:26:17.280 --> 0:26:22.199
<v Speaker 2>week at a Tesla plant with the Argentine President Javier Milay.

0:26:22.760 --> 0:26:25.240
<v Speaker 2>Now he's about to head off to India to see

0:26:25.280 --> 0:26:31.840
<v Speaker 2>mode this Milays visit beyond two libertarian cool dudes taking

0:26:31.880 --> 0:26:35.560
<v Speaker 2>funny pictures together, what was the purpose of it and

0:26:35.800 --> 0:26:38.080
<v Speaker 2>what does it do for mister Musk.

0:26:38.200 --> 0:26:41.040
<v Speaker 5>You know, hard to say exactly what the larger business

0:26:41.080 --> 0:26:45.560
<v Speaker 5>or geopolitical purpose of this meeting would be. Obviously, these

0:26:45.600 --> 0:26:48.600
<v Speaker 5>are two sort of fellow travelers, as you say, as

0:26:48.680 --> 0:26:52.440
<v Speaker 5>the libertarian school of thought, but there is an interesting

0:26:53.480 --> 0:26:58.640
<v Speaker 5>line to be drawn between both Musk's engagement with Argentine

0:26:58.680 --> 0:27:01.840
<v Speaker 5>government and the Indian government in that a lot of

0:27:01.840 --> 0:27:04.439
<v Speaker 5>what Musk has done over the years has been heavily

0:27:04.480 --> 0:27:08.320
<v Speaker 5>dependent on some sort of government policy or intervention in

0:27:08.359 --> 0:27:11.159
<v Speaker 5>some way or other, whether it's with SpaceX and the

0:27:11.240 --> 0:27:15.000
<v Speaker 5>rocket programs, whether it's with ev credits or other sorts

0:27:15.000 --> 0:27:17.280
<v Speaker 5>of things with Tesla in some of the earlier days

0:27:17.280 --> 0:27:22.400
<v Speaker 5>of its history. So there is, despite Musk's libertarian leanings,

0:27:22.840 --> 0:27:25.879
<v Speaker 5>he does have a lot of ties to governments around

0:27:25.880 --> 0:27:28.800
<v Speaker 5>the world, both here in the US, in India, in

0:27:29.240 --> 0:27:33.400
<v Speaker 5>Argentina and other places China certainly. So it's an interesting

0:27:33.560 --> 0:27:36.639
<v Speaker 5>kind of paradox in the sense that he has this

0:27:36.800 --> 0:27:40.439
<v Speaker 5>very free market orientation and yet he does need to

0:27:40.960 --> 0:27:44.200
<v Speaker 5>talk to governments quite frequently in order to make sure

0:27:44.240 --> 0:27:48.120
<v Speaker 5>that his companies are positioned in the best possible posture

0:27:48.320 --> 0:27:51.440
<v Speaker 5>to do business there. And so I'm certain that while

0:27:51.440 --> 0:27:53.960
<v Speaker 5>there may be no deliverables quote unquote, as they say

0:27:54.000 --> 0:27:56.920
<v Speaker 5>here in DC from that meeting with Melee, there certainly

0:27:57.080 --> 0:28:00.840
<v Speaker 5>is a relationship growing there and in other places as well,

0:28:00.880 --> 0:28:02.040
<v Speaker 5>that he wants to maintain.

0:28:03.200 --> 0:28:05.840
<v Speaker 1>Just it really feels like we've talked on this podcast

0:28:05.880 --> 0:28:09.240
<v Speaker 1>about geopolitical Elon this kind of globe trotting figure who's

0:28:09.280 --> 0:28:12.359
<v Speaker 1>going to Italy and going to Auschwitz and meeting with

0:28:12.480 --> 0:28:15.920
<v Speaker 1>NT Yahou and so on, And it really feels he's

0:28:15.920 --> 0:28:19.240
<v Speaker 1>getting a lot of very impressive sort of pr opportunities,

0:28:19.359 --> 0:28:21.000
<v Speaker 1>and this MODI one would be one. I think the

0:28:21.040 --> 0:28:23.640
<v Speaker 1>MELA one maybe ranks a little bit lower in terms

0:28:23.640 --> 0:28:27.199
<v Speaker 1>of I for my impressiveness. But what I'll say is

0:28:27.880 --> 0:28:32.560
<v Speaker 1>Elon has, as Dan saying, historically, been incredibly effective at

0:28:32.840 --> 0:28:37.040
<v Speaker 1>basically extracting concessions from governments, figuring out what he has

0:28:37.119 --> 0:28:40.240
<v Speaker 1>to give and getting what he wants. And with China,

0:28:40.360 --> 0:28:42.240
<v Speaker 1>right when he opened up in China, he got the

0:28:42.320 --> 0:28:45.280
<v Speaker 1>Chinese government to change the rules for foreign auto manufacturer.

0:28:45.280 --> 0:28:47.760
<v Speaker 1>They're the first, the only car company from the US

0:28:47.800 --> 0:28:49.840
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't have a joint venture, that doesn't have a

0:28:49.880 --> 0:28:54.400
<v Speaker 1>domestic partner. And I don't think it's clear the current

0:28:54.440 --> 0:28:58.880
<v Speaker 1>iteration of geopolitical Elon feels kind of scattershot and half

0:28:58.920 --> 0:29:02.600
<v Speaker 1>baked and somewhat you know, maybe like they're sort of

0:29:02.640 --> 0:29:05.480
<v Speaker 1>paying attention to how this might affect Tesla, but also

0:29:05.520 --> 0:29:07.120
<v Speaker 1>he seems to be thinking a lot about how it's

0:29:07.160 --> 0:29:09.840
<v Speaker 1>going to play on X and it's like we're caught

0:29:09.880 --> 0:29:15.920
<v Speaker 1>halfway between genuine diplomacy and mugging for social media.

0:29:16.000 --> 0:29:17.920
<v Speaker 3>The other word I just want to mention is lithium.

0:29:18.200 --> 0:29:21.040
<v Speaker 3>So a big part of the whole ev strategy is

0:29:21.080 --> 0:29:23.200
<v Speaker 3>where you're getting your raw minerals from. And we have

0:29:23.240 --> 0:29:26.080
<v Speaker 3>this whole we're all waiting for, like final Treasury guidance

0:29:26.160 --> 0:29:29.840
<v Speaker 3>about thirty D and the foreign entities of concern and

0:29:30.040 --> 0:29:33.000
<v Speaker 3>which like you can't get minerals via China, and there's

0:29:33.040 --> 0:29:37.160
<v Speaker 3>all these loopholes that automakers are lobbying for, and it's

0:29:37.160 --> 0:29:39.920
<v Speaker 3>like a whole big thing in DC, as dan Well knows.

0:29:39.960 --> 0:29:42.880
<v Speaker 3>But Tesla needs to get their raw materials from somewhere,

0:29:42.960 --> 0:29:45.360
<v Speaker 3>and Argentina is a big source of lithium, so there

0:29:45.360 --> 0:29:47.680
<v Speaker 3>could have been like a real supply chain strategy there.

0:29:47.720 --> 0:29:51.560
<v Speaker 3>But it seems also that like Elon's geopolitical Elons World

0:29:51.560 --> 0:29:54.400
<v Speaker 3>Tour is often like touring around with the autocrats of

0:29:54.400 --> 0:29:58.240
<v Speaker 3>the world, like Bolsonaro, and it's like there's this brethren

0:29:58.360 --> 0:30:01.840
<v Speaker 3>of rising autocrats. Oh seem to be the places where

0:30:01.880 --> 0:30:04.200
<v Speaker 3>he is spending his time.

0:30:04.480 --> 0:30:07.280
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Max, And it seems like at times he's willing

0:30:07.600 --> 0:30:11.360
<v Speaker 2>to give up some of the free speech stuff that

0:30:11.400 --> 0:30:15.680
<v Speaker 2>he feels so strongly about on x in exchange for

0:30:16.160 --> 0:30:17.120
<v Speaker 2>access to these.

0:30:17.200 --> 0:30:21.680
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and look like Elon Musk in the past, caving

0:30:21.760 --> 0:30:25.720
<v Speaker 1>essentially to demands of Turkey or various other countries that

0:30:25.760 --> 0:30:27.960
<v Speaker 1>are restricting speech in ways that maybe he personally doesn't

0:30:27.960 --> 0:30:31.000
<v Speaker 1>disagree with. That's what every tech company does. This thing

0:30:31.040 --> 0:30:34.320
<v Speaker 1>in Brazil feels like more of an aberration. It's kind

0:30:34.320 --> 0:30:36.000
<v Speaker 1>of part of what I'm trying to say, like, it

0:30:36.240 --> 0:30:40.800
<v Speaker 1>feels more like breaking from what had been what had

0:30:40.880 --> 0:30:46.520
<v Speaker 1>felt like a consistent, coherent strategy to something that is

0:30:46.640 --> 0:30:51.360
<v Speaker 1>more scattershot and that looks like what it looks like,

0:30:51.440 --> 0:30:53.600
<v Speaker 1>that looks like a guy who wants to brow down

0:30:53.720 --> 0:30:55.600
<v Speaker 1>with some cool guy dictators.

0:30:55.680 --> 0:30:58.880
<v Speaker 5>I was looking at some of Musk's tweets or posts

0:30:58.920 --> 0:31:04.040
<v Speaker 5>i should say, recently, and reading some of the stuff

0:31:04.040 --> 0:31:06.360
<v Speaker 5>that he said, some of the reporting on his sort

0:31:06.400 --> 0:31:08.920
<v Speaker 5>of management style, and it sort of strikes me that

0:31:08.960 --> 0:31:10.400
<v Speaker 5>one of the things, one of the things that he

0:31:10.440 --> 0:31:12.600
<v Speaker 5>may have in common with some of these more authoritarian

0:31:12.640 --> 0:31:15.760
<v Speaker 5>type leaders is that he has a vision for the future.

0:31:15.840 --> 0:31:18.840
<v Speaker 5>He seems to have a very definite idea of the

0:31:18.880 --> 0:31:21.360
<v Speaker 5>way that things should be done. And that kind of

0:31:21.440 --> 0:31:24.560
<v Speaker 5>vision is one could say, or one might argue, is

0:31:24.600 --> 0:31:30.959
<v Speaker 5>more easily implemented in a strong authoritarian government where democracy

0:31:31.000 --> 0:31:34.560
<v Speaker 5>is messire change is hard to implement, there's a lot

0:31:34.600 --> 0:31:37.360
<v Speaker 5>of pushback, and so he may feel that he has

0:31:37.400 --> 0:31:39.200
<v Speaker 5>a better chance of implementing this vision.

0:31:39.640 --> 0:31:41.520
<v Speaker 1>I don't think we should sleep on this lithium thing,

0:31:41.600 --> 0:31:45.400
<v Speaker 1>because that is hugely important. That's hugely important for Tesla

0:31:45.720 --> 0:31:48.440
<v Speaker 1>And who knows, like maybe the weird memes and the

0:31:48.640 --> 0:31:51.840
<v Speaker 1>cool photos and stuff with melee are just a distraction

0:31:52.000 --> 0:31:53.840
<v Speaker 1>for like a major commodity deal.

0:31:53.920 --> 0:31:58.400
<v Speaker 2>That that's true, Argentina does have a good amount of lithium. Dan,

0:31:58.560 --> 0:31:59.680
<v Speaker 2>thanks again for joining us.

0:32:00.080 --> 0:32:00.400
<v Speaker 5>Thank you.

0:32:04.440 --> 0:32:08.000
<v Speaker 2>Now to our feud of the week. Let's all listen to.

0:32:09.920 --> 0:32:20.880
<v Speaker 4>This. This is a.

0:32:20.840 --> 0:32:24.880
<v Speaker 3>Difficult thing to explain, but we're having a major technical

0:32:24.920 --> 0:32:27.840
<v Speaker 3>air where all the song timbers are.

0:32:27.760 --> 0:32:31.000
<v Speaker 1>Double speed and I have not practiced the math because

0:32:31.040 --> 0:32:35.560
<v Speaker 1>I'm not fastened math. But I am going to I

0:32:35.600 --> 0:32:36.200
<v Speaker 1>am going to.

0:32:38.400 --> 0:32:38.960
<v Speaker 5>Handy this.

0:32:40.440 --> 0:32:47.479
<v Speaker 4>All right, Let's try this again, y'all.

0:32:47.600 --> 0:32:51.480
<v Speaker 3>Don't trudge me for being bad at calculating things.

0:32:55.040 --> 0:32:58.239
<v Speaker 2>So so Max, I mean I don't know, man, I mean,

0:32:58.280 --> 0:32:59.920
<v Speaker 2>help me out. Here, what is going on.

0:33:00.000 --> 0:33:01.400
<v Speaker 1>I don't know about you, David, but that makes me

0:33:01.640 --> 0:33:06.160
<v Speaker 1>really confident about Robotaxis going forward. That is Grimes. That's

0:33:06.160 --> 0:33:11.000
<v Speaker 1>Elon Musk's former partner, the mother of some of his children,

0:33:11.440 --> 0:33:12.960
<v Speaker 1>performing is the word.

0:33:12.800 --> 0:33:15.040
<v Speaker 2>At She was performing at Coachell.

0:33:15.240 --> 0:33:19.840
<v Speaker 1>She was attempting to do DJ stuff, and she was

0:33:19.840 --> 0:33:22.280
<v Speaker 1>attempting to mix two different tracks. I think I've gotten

0:33:22.280 --> 0:33:26.560
<v Speaker 1>really deep on on DJ reddit and essentially she was

0:33:26.640 --> 0:33:30.560
<v Speaker 1>unable to master her mixing board. And over the course,

0:33:30.600 --> 0:33:34.160
<v Speaker 1>they're actually several or maybe more than several clips just

0:33:34.320 --> 0:33:37.840
<v Speaker 1>like this where she's stopping the set and screaming and

0:33:38.200 --> 0:33:42.080
<v Speaker 1>really and true frustrate real, I cannot get this through

0:33:42.080 --> 0:33:44.480
<v Speaker 1>this phone tree right now. I've been pressing zero a

0:33:44.520 --> 0:33:46.680
<v Speaker 1>million times and they won't. I cannot get a human.

0:33:47.080 --> 0:33:50.600
<v Speaker 1>It was some serious frustration. And of course this has

0:33:50.640 --> 0:33:53.680
<v Speaker 1>absolutely nothing to do with Elon Musk, except again that

0:33:53.720 --> 0:33:56.520
<v Speaker 1>Grimes is his ex or I don't know who knows.

0:33:56.640 --> 0:33:58.640
<v Speaker 2>It has to have something to do with the on

0:33:58.640 --> 0:34:01.040
<v Speaker 2>the show. I will I'm going to bring it back.

0:34:01.080 --> 0:34:05.320
<v Speaker 1>Don't worry. Elon Musk has a long running feud with Coachella,

0:34:05.440 --> 0:34:08.800
<v Speaker 1>so in certain ways Grimes is just you know, getting

0:34:08.880 --> 0:34:12.640
<v Speaker 1>in on an pre existing feud, which, as I understand it,

0:34:12.680 --> 0:34:16.480
<v Speaker 1>began in twenty twenty when Elon Musk tweeted that Coachella

0:34:16.640 --> 0:34:19.480
<v Speaker 1>sucked and that it was better five years earlier when

0:34:19.520 --> 0:34:24.279
<v Speaker 1>you could discover new bands. And I went back to

0:34:24.360 --> 0:34:25.759
<v Speaker 1>twenty fifteen to.

0:34:25.719 --> 0:34:27.040
<v Speaker 2>Try to figure out which new bands.

0:34:27.680 --> 0:34:30.080
<v Speaker 1>Well, I don't know which band he found, but Drake

0:34:30.160 --> 0:34:34.120
<v Speaker 1>performed there Steely Dan, so a couple possibilities for the

0:34:34.360 --> 0:34:38.680
<v Speaker 1>unknown bands that Elon may have discovered at Coachella in

0:34:38.760 --> 0:34:40.759
<v Speaker 1>twenty fourteen or twenty fifty Dan.

0:34:40.800 --> 0:34:43.600
<v Speaker 2>If nothing else got you listening to that, it's hard

0:34:43.640 --> 0:34:45.520
<v Speaker 2>to listen to. You have to feel bad for grind.

0:34:45.880 --> 0:34:49.520
<v Speaker 3>Oh yeah, it's hugely embarrassing. You're like a DJ and

0:34:49.560 --> 0:34:51.839
<v Speaker 3>you can't mix on the fly, and you're in front

0:34:51.840 --> 0:34:56.239
<v Speaker 3>of this crowd of people, and she's so frustrated that

0:34:56.280 --> 0:34:58.680
<v Speaker 3>she's screaming in agony. That's that was terrible.

0:35:00.120 --> 0:35:03.120
<v Speaker 2>There were moments of last week's podcast that we sounded

0:35:03.200 --> 0:35:03.760
<v Speaker 2>very similar.

0:35:03.880 --> 0:35:07.080
<v Speaker 1>I I kind of liked it as a performance. Honestly,

0:35:07.200 --> 0:35:08.799
<v Speaker 1>would you have first of all, would you have known

0:35:08.880 --> 0:35:12.319
<v Speaker 1>if she hadn't screamed in frustration? Right?

0:35:12.440 --> 0:35:14.480
<v Speaker 2>So, I feel like this is a big moment for her.

0:35:14.560 --> 0:35:18.399
<v Speaker 1>In a way, you're giving people their money's worth bye bye.

0:35:18.640 --> 0:35:20.880
<v Speaker 1>So by engaging with the material rather than just like

0:35:20.920 --> 0:35:23.440
<v Speaker 1>pressing your space bar and your laptop and letting it go.

0:35:23.400 --> 0:35:25.279
<v Speaker 2>This is if you actually think about it. Then so

0:35:25.360 --> 0:35:29.920
<v Speaker 2>Elon both sticks it to Coachella, right, which who he

0:35:30.480 --> 0:35:32.080
<v Speaker 2>really doesn't like at all, and at the same time

0:35:32.120 --> 0:35:33.400
<v Speaker 2>he boosts Grimes his career.

0:35:33.680 --> 0:35:38.120
<v Speaker 1>So I also want to say, what do you want

0:35:38.160 --> 0:35:41.560
<v Speaker 1>to say? Well, two things. One is to tell Grimes

0:35:41.760 --> 0:35:45.000
<v Speaker 1>this was an impressive performance by any normal measure. Grimes

0:35:45.239 --> 0:35:49.000
<v Speaker 1>was delivered to the stage in a gigantic mechanized spider,

0:35:49.600 --> 0:35:54.520
<v Speaker 1>and then she actually apologized for this spider. Uh no, No,

0:35:54.800 --> 0:35:57.319
<v Speaker 1>never apologized for the spider. She apologized for the screw up,

0:35:57.719 --> 0:36:01.479
<v Speaker 1>essentially blaming the help. He was like, the problem here

0:36:02.000 --> 0:36:04.360
<v Speaker 1>is that I didn't do it myself. It was the

0:36:04.840 --> 0:36:07.200
<v Speaker 1>staff screwed up, which is definitely I think how Elon

0:36:07.239 --> 0:36:07.920
<v Speaker 1>we played it as.

0:36:07.880 --> 0:36:10.640
<v Speaker 2>Well, probably so then we shouldn't feel bad for her. No,

0:36:10.719 --> 0:36:12.440
<v Speaker 2>and but actually not only she would not feel bad

0:36:12.480 --> 0:36:14.640
<v Speaker 2>for because you just told us this is gonna this

0:36:14.680 --> 0:36:17.200
<v Speaker 2>is gonna make her career. This is her breakthrough. Moment.

0:36:17.560 --> 0:36:19.920
<v Speaker 2>I'm sure she should thank the staff is what she

0:36:19.960 --> 0:36:20.759
<v Speaker 2>should be doing here.

0:36:21.040 --> 0:36:24.040
<v Speaker 1>I don't know that I said that. I think what

0:36:24.120 --> 0:36:28.080
<v Speaker 1>I said is that this was a more interesting performance

0:36:28.480 --> 0:36:30.240
<v Speaker 1>than Grimes might have otherwise delivered.

0:36:30.400 --> 0:36:32.359
<v Speaker 2>What I can say about this performance, it is the

0:36:32.400 --> 0:36:35.840
<v Speaker 2>first performance by Grimes that I've ever heard in my life.

0:36:35.920 --> 0:36:36.680
<v Speaker 2>That I will say.

0:36:36.840 --> 0:36:39.880
<v Speaker 1>There is so much good content on the internet about this.

0:36:40.040 --> 0:36:44.120
<v Speaker 1>There TikTok's rating. They're like seven different screams and people

0:36:44.200 --> 0:36:47.640
<v Speaker 1>rating the different screams with different energy. DJ read it

0:36:47.920 --> 0:36:50.040
<v Speaker 1>is all over this. You could you can go down

0:36:50.040 --> 0:36:50.600
<v Speaker 1>a deep rabbit.

0:36:50.640 --> 0:36:53.160
<v Speaker 2>But yeah no, And to that point, Max wasn't isn't there.

0:36:53.280 --> 0:36:56.239
<v Speaker 2>One of the theories being bandied about is that this

0:36:56.560 --> 0:37:00.800
<v Speaker 2>was Elon sticking it to Grimes as well.

0:37:01.040 --> 0:37:05.440
<v Speaker 1>So I've seen two different theories. One is that Elon hacked.

0:37:05.880 --> 0:37:08.000
<v Speaker 1>Elon and Grimes are in the middle of a custody battle,

0:37:08.040 --> 0:37:10.640
<v Speaker 1>as we've talked about on the show, that Elon hacked

0:37:10.680 --> 0:37:15.520
<v Speaker 1>her DJ equipment to embarrass her. The other theory is

0:37:15.560 --> 0:37:17.920
<v Speaker 1>that some people have noticed that some of these videos

0:37:17.920 --> 0:37:21.840
<v Speaker 1>from Coachella have been taken down, that Elon is suppressing,

0:37:22.400 --> 0:37:25.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, shadow banning. If you will the people who

0:37:25.239 --> 0:37:27.399
<v Speaker 1>are having fun at Grimes's expense. Of course, these two

0:37:27.480 --> 0:37:31.080
<v Speaker 1>theories are are in complete contradiction. I will say the

0:37:31.120 --> 0:37:35.800
<v Speaker 1>shadow man theory basically, anytime anything happens on Twitter, pre Elon,

0:37:36.000 --> 0:37:38.919
<v Speaker 1>post Elon, people complain about shadow banning. So I don't

0:37:39.040 --> 0:37:42.239
<v Speaker 1>think that Elon has been twiddling the knobs on the algorithm,

0:37:42.360 --> 0:37:45.040
<v Speaker 1>hitting the sink beat button on the algorithm, if you will,

0:37:45.239 --> 0:37:47.520
<v Speaker 1>to try to suppress Grimes is thing. I think the

0:37:47.640 --> 0:37:52.640
<v Speaker 1>Coachella hacking scenario again very far fetched, although maybe slightly

0:37:52.760 --> 0:37:55.600
<v Speaker 1>less far fetched than the ex hacking scenario.

0:37:55.760 --> 0:37:57.680
<v Speaker 2>And for our listeners, you should just know that Max

0:37:57.760 --> 0:38:00.759
<v Speaker 2>is wearing a tin foil hat as Lazy's out for

0:38:00.840 --> 0:38:01.360
<v Speaker 2>us here.

0:38:01.320 --> 0:38:04.919
<v Speaker 1>Kids, if you're an aspiring DJ, you what you want

0:38:04.920 --> 0:38:06.920
<v Speaker 1>to do before you get up on stage and Coachella

0:38:06.960 --> 0:38:10.239
<v Speaker 1>is have a backup mix that's ready to go so

0:38:10.280 --> 0:38:11.799
<v Speaker 1>that you this doesn't happen to you.

0:38:12.360 --> 0:38:12.799
<v Speaker 4>Here we go.

0:38:13.120 --> 0:38:13.440
<v Speaker 1>That's it.

0:38:13.680 --> 0:38:14.760
<v Speaker 4>That is the uh.

0:38:14.800 --> 0:38:17.560
<v Speaker 2>That's frankly, that's the single biggest takeaway the entire show.

0:38:25.440 --> 0:38:28.440
<v Speaker 2>This episode was produced by Magnus Henrickson, who is also

0:38:28.480 --> 0:38:33.400
<v Speaker 2>our supervising producer, Naomi Shaven, and Rayhan HARMANSI are senior editors.

0:38:33.680 --> 0:38:37.600
<v Speaker 2>The idea for this very show also came from Rayhan

0:38:38.200 --> 0:38:41.880
<v Speaker 2>Blake Maple's Handles Engineering, and we get special editing assistants

0:38:41.880 --> 0:38:45.480
<v Speaker 2>from Jeff Grocott. The Elon Inc. Theme is written and

0:38:45.520 --> 0:38:50.680
<v Speaker 2>performed by Takea Yasuzawa and Alex Sugiura. Brendan Francis Newnham

0:38:50.719 --> 0:38:53.000
<v Speaker 2>is our executive producer, and Sage Bauman is the head

0:38:53.000 --> 0:38:57.240
<v Speaker 2>of Bloomberg Podcasts. I'm David Papadopoulos. If you have a minute,

0:38:57.320 --> 0:39:00.480
<v Speaker 2>rate and review our show, it'll help other listenerspot find us.

0:39:00.840 --> 0:39:01.600
<v Speaker 2>See you next week.

0:39:04.760 --> 0:39:09.560
<v Speaker 4>Mhmm.