1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:02,320 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, thanks for listening to Breaking Points with Crystal 2 00:00:02,360 --> 00:00:04,240 Speaker 1: and Sager. We're going to be totally upfront with you. 3 00:00:04,360 --> 00:00:07,200 Speaker 1: We took a big risk going independent to make this work. 4 00:00:07,320 --> 00:00:11,880 Speaker 1: We need your support to beat the corporate media CNN, Fox, MSNBC. 5 00:00:12,200 --> 00:00:15,760 Speaker 1: They are ripping this country apart. They are making millions 6 00:00:15,760 --> 00:00:18,360 Speaker 1: of dollars doing it to help support our mission of 7 00:00:18,440 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 1: making all of us hate each other, less hate the 8 00:00:20,720 --> 00:00:24,000 Speaker 1: corrupt ruling class more support the show. 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We have an amazing show for everybody today. 19 00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:10,120 Speaker 1: What do we have, Crystal, Indeed we do. We got 20 00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:12,959 Speaker 1: Michael Brendan Daugherty on today. He's going to be talking 21 00:01:13,040 --> 00:01:16,679 Speaker 1: about vaccine hesitancy and if we actually want to get 22 00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:19,360 Speaker 1: more people vaccinated, what would be the best approach. I'm 23 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:21,720 Speaker 1: really excited to talk to him in depth about that 24 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:27,160 Speaker 1: really interesting story this morning. The continuing tense battle between 25 00:01:27,240 --> 00:01:30,400 Speaker 1: the White House and Facebook. What's going on there? First 26 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:34,760 Speaker 1: rioter sentenced from January sixth. We'll talk about whether we 27 00:01:34,800 --> 00:01:37,959 Speaker 1: think that sentence was adequate or too much, and where 28 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:42,199 Speaker 1: things go from here. Major update in Haiti. The US 29 00:01:42,240 --> 00:01:44,720 Speaker 1: has sort of switched horses there and is backing a 30 00:01:44,880 --> 00:01:49,440 Speaker 1: different potential leader in that country. Also new fears among 31 00:01:49,480 --> 00:01:52,920 Speaker 1: Democrats both about twenty twenty two and about twenty twenty four, 32 00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:55,840 Speaker 1: especially if Kamala Harris is at the helm. But we 33 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:59,840 Speaker 1: wanted to start with a pretty significant stock market crash 34 00:01:59,840 --> 00:02:02,480 Speaker 1: that happened yesterday. Yeah, this was a really big deal 35 00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:06,560 Speaker 1: and actually coincides with a lot of elite mainstream discourse 36 00:02:06,680 --> 00:02:10,960 Speaker 1: around the Delta variant, around fears around pushing for more lockdown. 37 00:02:11,040 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 1: So let's put this up there on the screen, which 38 00:02:12,800 --> 00:02:15,320 Speaker 1: is that the S and P five hundred yesterday fell 39 00:02:15,400 --> 00:02:19,600 Speaker 1: the most since May as investors grow increasingly concerned that 40 00:02:19,639 --> 00:02:22,920 Speaker 1: the Delta variant will weigh in on the global economy. 41 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:24,840 Speaker 1: Now look at the next one there, which is that 42 00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:29,680 Speaker 1: the Dow Jones actually had its worst day since losing 43 00:02:29,680 --> 00:02:33,480 Speaker 1: two point two percent on the index, the most since October. 44 00:02:33,760 --> 00:02:35,480 Speaker 1: And I think this is really important because I want 45 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 1: to put this all in context for everybody. What's happening 46 00:02:38,680 --> 00:02:41,320 Speaker 1: right now is a total elite panic. When we were 47 00:02:41,360 --> 00:02:44,440 Speaker 1: planning the show, I was like, Crystal, I don't understand 48 00:02:44,480 --> 00:02:47,560 Speaker 1: the cases. I mean, yeah, there's like, take a look 49 00:02:47,600 --> 00:02:50,720 Speaker 1: at the moving average. There's a slight uptick. Yes, people 50 00:02:50,760 --> 00:02:53,800 Speaker 1: are dying of the delta variant. Ninety nine point seven 51 00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:56,840 Speaker 1: percent of them are unvaccinated. And you look at that 52 00:02:56,919 --> 00:02:59,480 Speaker 1: and you're like, how has this in the last week? 53 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:04,520 Speaker 1: Because this national conversation. So let's like actually go through it. 54 00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:07,240 Speaker 1: Here's a map, the New York Times map, the daily 55 00:03:07,320 --> 00:03:10,040 Speaker 1: case Tracker. You can go and look look at the 56 00:03:10,160 --> 00:03:14,360 Speaker 1: lack of red within the hotspots. Even where we do 57 00:03:14,440 --> 00:03:18,080 Speaker 1: have hot spots, it's predominantly in places I believe with 58 00:03:18,160 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 1: a less than I think if they have like a 59 00:03:20,040 --> 00:03:25,200 Speaker 1: thirty percent vaccination rate, largely amongst the lower middle class, Black, 60 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:29,000 Speaker 1: Hispanic and white Americans. Pretty much the same story all 61 00:03:29,120 --> 00:03:32,320 Speaker 1: across the United States. Yes, the Sun Belt where or 62 00:03:32,400 --> 00:03:36,920 Speaker 1: those populations disproportionately live. But when you see the uptick 63 00:03:37,280 --> 00:03:40,680 Speaker 1: even within the confirmed cases, and more the lack of 64 00:03:40,840 --> 00:03:45,400 Speaker 1: deaths amongst the elderly, especially the elderly who are vaccinated, 65 00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:49,960 Speaker 1: I don't understand where this like top down panic is 66 00:03:50,000 --> 00:03:54,680 Speaker 1: coming from. I saw the Americans Physicians Association yesterday say 67 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:58,280 Speaker 1: that every child over too should be wearing a mask indoors. 68 00:03:58,280 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 1: I'm like, this is insanity. And you pair that with 69 00:04:01,520 --> 00:04:05,240 Speaker 1: La County bringing back indoor mask mandates again in violation 70 00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 1: of CDC guidance which says that that's not recommended whatsoever. 71 00:04:09,920 --> 00:04:14,320 Speaker 1: And we're beginning to see this elite, top drowned driven narrative, 72 00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:17,640 Speaker 1: which is what the stock market is now is now 73 00:04:17,680 --> 00:04:20,560 Speaker 1: reacting to. And my fear is that this becomes a 74 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:24,960 Speaker 1: snowball because we remember back to the early days of coronavirus. 75 00:04:25,200 --> 00:04:27,560 Speaker 1: Is all of those fed into one another. Now, Look, 76 00:04:27,600 --> 00:04:30,360 Speaker 1: I actually think that was justified in February of twenty twenty. 77 00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:34,400 Speaker 1: This time, though, given the media attention, I have to 78 00:04:34,520 --> 00:04:37,360 Speaker 1: just think that this is because frankly, there's not a 79 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 1: lot of other stories going on, and b which is 80 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:42,640 Speaker 1: that there are a lot of people having a lot 81 00:04:42,640 --> 00:04:45,680 Speaker 1: of trouble just letting go of coronavirus restriction and letting 82 00:04:45,680 --> 00:04:48,840 Speaker 1: a very modest increase in cases, you know, spur some 83 00:04:49,080 --> 00:04:53,640 Speaker 1: very extreme behavior and proposals. So first of all, it's 84 00:04:53,680 --> 00:04:56,960 Speaker 1: always important to say, like, why bother covering the stock market, which, 85 00:04:57,000 --> 00:04:58,640 Speaker 1: of course we believe to be a graph of rich 86 00:04:58,640 --> 00:05:03,320 Speaker 1: people's feelings. But rich people's feelings country, right, they tend 87 00:05:03,400 --> 00:05:05,919 Speaker 1: to drive a lot of what happens in the United 88 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:09,000 Speaker 1: States of America. So that's why we wanted to dig into, like, well, 89 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 1: what exactly is going on here with regard to the 90 00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:15,400 Speaker 1: delta variant case load, since delta is now the sort 91 00:05:15,400 --> 00:05:19,680 Speaker 1: of like primary spreading variant in the country at this point. 92 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:23,359 Speaker 1: I think there's a little bit of confusion here that 93 00:05:23,560 --> 00:05:27,160 Speaker 1: is somewhat deliberately fed by the media because coronavirus was 94 00:05:27,200 --> 00:05:30,080 Speaker 1: great for ratings. But I also don't want to underplay 95 00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 1: the fact case numbers new case numbers are up over 96 00:05:35,800 --> 00:05:38,320 Speaker 1: the past fourteen days by one hundred and ninety eight percent. 97 00:05:38,839 --> 00:05:42,400 Speaker 1: So that sounds really really bad and it is not good, right, 98 00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:45,680 Speaker 1: Don't like, don't let me sugarcoated here, it's not good, 99 00:05:45,800 --> 00:05:48,719 Speaker 1: especially in places that have low vaccination rates. The case 100 00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:53,040 Speaker 1: numbers are definitely spiking. As you saw on that map, Arkansas, Missouri, 101 00:05:53,080 --> 00:05:56,240 Speaker 1: and Florida are the three places that are hardest hit 102 00:05:56,480 --> 00:06:00,440 Speaker 1: right now. However, when you're talking about percentage change, it 103 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:02,680 Speaker 1: matters where you started, and the reality is we were 104 00:06:02,720 --> 00:06:05,719 Speaker 1: doing really well before this current spike. So when you 105 00:06:05,760 --> 00:06:07,359 Speaker 1: hear numbers like, oh my god, it's going up one 106 00:06:07,440 --> 00:06:09,960 Speaker 1: hundred and ninety eight percent, definitely something you want to watch. 107 00:06:10,120 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 1: Definitely something you want to pay attention to and think 108 00:06:12,480 --> 00:06:14,600 Speaker 1: about what's the right response and how do we get 109 00:06:14,640 --> 00:06:17,920 Speaker 1: more people vaccinated, because that's really the ballgame now at 110 00:06:17,960 --> 00:06:22,240 Speaker 1: this point, beyond masking or social distancing or anything, it's 111 00:06:22,279 --> 00:06:25,560 Speaker 1: really about getting people vaccinated because they are the ones, 112 00:06:25,800 --> 00:06:29,239 Speaker 1: like ninety eight percent who are getting COVID and getting 113 00:06:29,240 --> 00:06:33,279 Speaker 1: hospitalized and ultimately dying from this. But you have to 114 00:06:33,360 --> 00:06:35,880 Speaker 1: keep in mind that we were in a really good place, 115 00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:39,640 Speaker 1: So even that dramatic of an increase still puts us 116 00:06:39,720 --> 00:06:43,239 Speaker 1: in a pretty darn good place as compared to where 117 00:06:43,240 --> 00:06:47,520 Speaker 1: we have been with the pandemic. Now, with regard to like, 118 00:06:47,560 --> 00:06:50,600 Speaker 1: what is the stock market thinking about here? I think 119 00:06:50,680 --> 00:06:54,960 Speaker 1: part of this is for a lot of the pandemic 120 00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:57,160 Speaker 1: last year, you and I and a lot of other 121 00:06:57,200 --> 00:06:59,520 Speaker 1: folks were like scratching our heads because it just kept 122 00:06:59,520 --> 00:07:02,400 Speaker 1: going up and up, especially remember when the cases were 123 00:07:02,480 --> 00:07:06,799 Speaker 1: sky as possible. How is this justified? And there hasn't 124 00:07:06,960 --> 00:07:10,840 Speaker 1: really been any correction since then, So I think part 125 00:07:10,840 --> 00:07:13,440 Speaker 1: of this, Yes, it's spurred by the fact that the 126 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:15,600 Speaker 1: caseload is going up, the fact that there are a 127 00:07:15,600 --> 00:07:18,960 Speaker 1: couple localities that are flirting with some new restrictions. But 128 00:07:19,040 --> 00:07:21,360 Speaker 1: I also think that there was sort of like this 129 00:07:21,720 --> 00:07:24,200 Speaker 1: not that the stock mark had been over exuberant for 130 00:07:24,240 --> 00:07:26,520 Speaker 1: a long period of time and was probably due for 131 00:07:26,600 --> 00:07:30,600 Speaker 1: a correction as well. However, it is really interesting, while 132 00:07:30,760 --> 00:07:34,520 Speaker 1: most stocks overall were down yesterday, one of the things 133 00:07:34,520 --> 00:07:37,480 Speaker 1: that was telling that indicates it's related to where the 134 00:07:37,520 --> 00:07:40,680 Speaker 1: pandemic is right now is which stocks actually performed well. 135 00:07:41,080 --> 00:07:45,920 Speaker 1: Chief among them grocery stores, krober and places like that. 136 00:07:46,920 --> 00:07:50,280 Speaker 1: Those stocks had a very good day yesterday, which tells 137 00:07:50,320 --> 00:07:53,320 Speaker 1: you that investors had on their minds like, Okay, if 138 00:07:53,360 --> 00:07:56,920 Speaker 1: we do go back into lockdown procedures, what are the 139 00:07:57,080 --> 00:07:59,280 Speaker 1: places are, what are the stocks that are going to 140 00:07:59,320 --> 00:08:01,560 Speaker 1: do really well. Well, even if we do go back 141 00:08:01,600 --> 00:08:05,920 Speaker 1: into that into that mode, now, the other question is 142 00:08:05,920 --> 00:08:09,400 Speaker 1: is it realistic or is it likely that we're going 143 00:08:09,480 --> 00:08:13,120 Speaker 1: to re enter a mass lockdown mode. I personally just 144 00:08:13,120 --> 00:08:15,320 Speaker 1: don't see it, and I think there's a lot of 145 00:08:15,760 --> 00:08:17,880 Speaker 1: I think there's a lot of fear mongering about this, 146 00:08:18,560 --> 00:08:21,360 Speaker 1: particularly like you know, the right is very anti lockdown, 147 00:08:21,400 --> 00:08:23,400 Speaker 1: so when you see something like masking in LA, like 148 00:08:23,440 --> 00:08:25,280 Speaker 1: it's important to pay attention to and see where this 149 00:08:25,400 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 1: is going. I just do not think that the public 150 00:08:28,960 --> 00:08:33,000 Speaker 1: has any appetite for mass lockdowns. Again, I don't think 151 00:08:33,040 --> 00:08:36,120 Speaker 1: that you're going to see the Biden administration, whose central 152 00:08:36,200 --> 00:08:39,760 Speaker 1: promise was returned to normal, wanting to go back into 153 00:08:39,920 --> 00:08:44,440 Speaker 1: full lockdown mode. So I'm highly skeptical that we're going 154 00:08:44,480 --> 00:08:47,520 Speaker 1: to see another mass wave of lockdowns. Are you going 155 00:08:47,559 --> 00:08:52,199 Speaker 1: to have individual localities, particularly in urban liberal places, places 156 00:08:52,240 --> 00:08:55,680 Speaker 1: like LA potentially places like New York that institute some 157 00:08:55,960 --> 00:08:59,880 Speaker 1: type of mask mandates or social distancing mandates or those 158 00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:02,040 Speaker 1: sorts of things. As we enter the fall of caseloads 159 00:09:02,080 --> 00:09:04,680 Speaker 1: continue to go up. Yes, Is it going to be 160 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:09,040 Speaker 1: anything like what we experienced before? I highly, highly, highly 161 00:09:09,160 --> 00:09:11,520 Speaker 1: highly doubt it. I highly doubt it as well, but 162 00:09:11,600 --> 00:09:14,120 Speaker 1: I am washing this filter through and that's why I 163 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:16,120 Speaker 1: went ahead and I found this. Let's put it up 164 00:09:16,120 --> 00:09:18,800 Speaker 1: there on the screen. This is from the Columbus Dispatch, 165 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:22,360 Speaker 1: So this is what's filtering through to local media and 166 00:09:22,400 --> 00:09:25,240 Speaker 1: where local conversations are happening. The title for those who 167 00:09:25,240 --> 00:09:28,400 Speaker 1: are listening is with delta variant looming, could poorly vaccinated 168 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:31,880 Speaker 1: Ohio face return of lockdowns and mass And what you 169 00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:35,280 Speaker 1: have there is you have basically a speculative comment with 170 00:09:35,400 --> 00:09:38,520 Speaker 1: several quotes from people inside the public health community and 171 00:09:38,559 --> 00:09:42,480 Speaker 1: more who are pushing for mass lockdowns and more mandates. 172 00:09:42,520 --> 00:09:44,240 Speaker 1: And what they point to is the fact that seventy 173 00:09:44,240 --> 00:09:47,520 Speaker 1: percent of adult Ohioans won't be vaccinated until about May 174 00:09:47,520 --> 00:09:50,880 Speaker 1: of twenty twenty two, given what the rates are there 175 00:09:50,920 --> 00:09:54,240 Speaker 1: in Ohio. Now, all of that being said, that doesn't 176 00:09:54,280 --> 00:09:59,959 Speaker 1: mean that you won't see some sort of resistance to this. 177 00:10:00,120 --> 00:10:03,240 Speaker 1: I definitely think that will be the case. I don't 178 00:10:03,240 --> 00:10:05,440 Speaker 1: think any red state in the country will lock down. 179 00:10:05,840 --> 00:10:09,600 Speaker 1: Will the Red state? Well yes, But and that's why 180 00:10:09,600 --> 00:10:11,679 Speaker 1: I thought this was significant, is to see ian this 181 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:15,760 Speaker 1: even floated like in the Columbus Dispatch. I thought Oh wow, 182 00:10:15,800 --> 00:10:18,600 Speaker 1: like this actually is beginning to happen. It's an elite 183 00:10:18,679 --> 00:10:22,600 Speaker 1: driven conversation. LA brings back the indoor mass mandate. If 184 00:10:22,679 --> 00:10:24,760 Speaker 1: New York and all of them we could go back 185 00:10:24,800 --> 00:10:27,840 Speaker 1: to kind of a weird two tiered lockdown system for 186 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:30,600 Speaker 1: the states. I think this is all really bad. And 187 00:10:30,640 --> 00:10:33,920 Speaker 1: my biggest fear around this is what we were discussing yesterday, 188 00:10:34,200 --> 00:10:36,800 Speaker 1: is if LA brings back mask mandates, it sends the 189 00:10:36,840 --> 00:10:39,800 Speaker 1: message that getting vaccinated was pointless. Like the more that 190 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:42,480 Speaker 1: you bring back mass mandates, more lockdown procedures and more, 191 00:10:42,640 --> 00:10:45,040 Speaker 1: then what was the whole point. The whole point of 192 00:10:45,080 --> 00:10:47,440 Speaker 1: getting the shot was so we didn't have to do 193 00:10:47,480 --> 00:10:51,479 Speaker 1: this anymore. And I said it yesterday, but requiring vaccinated 194 00:10:51,520 --> 00:10:55,880 Speaker 1: Americans to continue lockdown procedure and mask mandates is asking 195 00:10:55,920 --> 00:10:58,199 Speaker 1: those people who did what they were asked to do 196 00:10:58,480 --> 00:11:00,600 Speaker 1: to have more regard for the help the people who 197 00:11:00,640 --> 00:11:03,840 Speaker 1: are unvaccinated. Those people decided to make a choice. There 198 00:11:03,920 --> 00:11:06,040 Speaker 1: is nothing wrong with that. You're allowed to make a 199 00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:08,920 Speaker 1: choice here in this country. That being said, you are 200 00:11:09,000 --> 00:11:11,800 Speaker 1: at a higher risk of having a more severe case 201 00:11:12,080 --> 00:11:14,800 Speaker 1: of COVID and that's on you at this point, and 202 00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:18,880 Speaker 1: it's the government policy is basically crafting this strange thing 203 00:11:18,920 --> 00:11:23,560 Speaker 1: where they're like putting in authority and using it with 204 00:11:23,640 --> 00:11:27,360 Speaker 1: the guys of we already made this public choice, like 205 00:11:27,400 --> 00:11:30,559 Speaker 1: two people, We told them you can either get vaccinated 206 00:11:30,640 --> 00:11:32,640 Speaker 1: or not, and that is what's going to push us 207 00:11:32,760 --> 00:11:36,120 Speaker 1: towards normalcy. Now we've generally reached that threshold where forty 208 00:11:36,200 --> 00:11:39,559 Speaker 1: nine percent of total US population of adults who are 209 00:11:39,559 --> 00:11:42,960 Speaker 1: fully vaccinated. So I just worry about trickle down effects 210 00:11:43,080 --> 00:11:45,160 Speaker 1: which could cause a lot more social chaos as we 211 00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:47,880 Speaker 1: move forward. I'm just a lot more skeptical than you 212 00:11:47,920 --> 00:11:49,719 Speaker 1: are that this is going to be widespread. I mean, 213 00:11:49,840 --> 00:11:52,560 Speaker 1: there's not a single Republican politician in the entire country 214 00:11:52,559 --> 00:11:54,440 Speaker 1: that's going to push any kind of lockdown measure, not 215 00:11:54,480 --> 00:11:57,199 Speaker 1: at all. And the states that are facing the major 216 00:11:57,240 --> 00:11:59,679 Speaker 1: spikes right now, they're all Republican states. I mean it's oh, 217 00:11:59,760 --> 00:12:02,520 Speaker 1: Hi is actually not really on that list. The big 218 00:12:02,840 --> 00:12:09,280 Speaker 1: increases are in Florida, Ronda Santis obviously, Arkansas, and Missouri. 219 00:12:09,360 --> 00:12:11,439 Speaker 1: Those are the top three states. You can see if 220 00:12:11,440 --> 00:12:13,080 Speaker 1: we can put that map back up on the screen, 221 00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:15,000 Speaker 1: you can actually see exactly where they are. And it's 222 00:12:15,000 --> 00:12:17,600 Speaker 1: worth remembering what this map used to look like I 223 00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:21,480 Speaker 1: mean it used to be the entire country looked the 224 00:12:21,520 --> 00:12:25,679 Speaker 1: way that Missouri looks right now. Basically so Missouri, Arkansas, 225 00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:29,160 Speaker 1: you see some mount breaks in Louisiana, you see Florida, 226 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:32,000 Speaker 1: you see a little bit Alabama, a little bit of Mississippi. 227 00:12:32,640 --> 00:12:36,640 Speaker 1: Those are all Republican states. There is not one governor 228 00:12:36,679 --> 00:12:38,839 Speaker 1: of any of those states that is going to go 229 00:12:38,920 --> 00:12:41,400 Speaker 1: back into full lockdown mode. I just don't see it. 230 00:12:41,760 --> 00:12:44,280 Speaker 1: So are you going to have one off things like 231 00:12:44,520 --> 00:12:49,680 Speaker 1: LA where you've got, you know, a political incentive, you 232 00:12:49,679 --> 00:12:53,240 Speaker 1: have a large portion of the population that is very 233 00:12:53,240 --> 00:12:59,160 Speaker 1: committed to like their pandemic era masking routine. Yeah, yeah, 234 00:12:59,240 --> 00:13:01,160 Speaker 1: you might have someone off things like that. Are you 235 00:13:01,200 --> 00:13:03,640 Speaker 1: going to have massive nationwide I just don't see it. 236 00:13:03,679 --> 00:13:07,160 Speaker 1: The Biden administration so far has shown to be pretty 237 00:13:07,160 --> 00:13:10,160 Speaker 1: savvy about where Americans are with how they feel about 238 00:13:10,400 --> 00:13:12,719 Speaker 1: lockdowns and where they are with regards to the pandemic 239 00:13:12,800 --> 00:13:14,959 Speaker 1: and not wanting to be put in these like they 240 00:13:14,960 --> 00:13:17,439 Speaker 1: have authoritarian instincts in other directions. We're about to talk 241 00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:20,360 Speaker 1: about Facebook, and I actually think that that is related 242 00:13:20,400 --> 00:13:23,000 Speaker 1: to this story in that what they want to do 243 00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:27,680 Speaker 1: is for any of these coronavirus hot spots and places 244 00:13:27,720 --> 00:13:30,360 Speaker 1: where people aren't vaccinated. They want to say that's the 245 00:13:30,440 --> 00:13:33,920 Speaker 1: fault of Facebook, it's the fault of misinformation. It's not 246 00:13:33,960 --> 00:13:35,840 Speaker 1: on us. We didn't have anything to do with it. 247 00:13:35,960 --> 00:13:39,240 Speaker 1: So look over there. That's going to be their response. 248 00:13:39,280 --> 00:13:43,520 Speaker 1: By and large, Joe Biden's central promise of his campaign, 249 00:13:43,679 --> 00:13:47,120 Speaker 1: the only thing that he really ran on was We're 250 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:51,360 Speaker 1: going to get back to normal. So I'm highly skeptical 251 00:13:51,720 --> 00:13:54,800 Speaker 1: that we're going to have mass lockdowns. If the stock 252 00:13:54,840 --> 00:13:57,320 Speaker 1: market was in fact reacting to the idea that we're 253 00:13:57,360 --> 00:14:00,840 Speaker 1: going to have mass lockdowns, like these people are off times, idiots, 254 00:14:01,200 --> 00:14:04,040 Speaker 1: and it's a good time to buy, is you know? 255 00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:06,679 Speaker 1: And I think there was a correction. This is all 256 00:14:06,720 --> 00:14:08,920 Speaker 1: fake anyway, as we all know, there was like a 257 00:14:08,920 --> 00:14:11,080 Speaker 1: correction that was waiting out. But what does that even mean. 258 00:14:11,520 --> 00:14:15,079 Speaker 1: So so anyway, if this is all in response to 259 00:14:15,120 --> 00:14:17,040 Speaker 1: oh my god, I think we're going to have lockdowns again, 260 00:14:17,160 --> 00:14:19,120 Speaker 1: I think that's a very overwrought wave of the game. 261 00:14:19,240 --> 00:14:21,280 Speaker 1: I hope you're right. I could just be colored because 262 00:14:21,320 --> 00:14:23,440 Speaker 1: I know the lunatics that run the city and who 263 00:14:23,480 --> 00:14:26,000 Speaker 1: live in the city, who would love to bring those 264 00:14:26,080 --> 00:14:29,720 Speaker 1: mask mandates, Joe Biden DC would be the type you 265 00:14:30,080 --> 00:14:33,760 Speaker 1: see it. I'm going to see outdoor masking again within 266 00:14:33,800 --> 00:14:38,400 Speaker 1: a week. I'm already ready for preparing storics, preparing my constitution, 267 00:14:38,880 --> 00:14:41,560 Speaker 1: going on Zillow browsing compounds out in the woods. That's 268 00:14:41,600 --> 00:14:45,360 Speaker 1: probably where let's go ahead and uh, let's look at 269 00:14:45,400 --> 00:14:47,240 Speaker 1: what Joe Biden had to say about the stock market 270 00:14:47,320 --> 00:14:50,840 Speaker 1: drop yesterday. Let's take a listen. It turns out capitalism 271 00:14:50,920 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 1: is alive and very well. We're making serious progress to 272 00:14:54,920 --> 00:14:57,320 Speaker 1: ensure that it works the way it's supposed to work 273 00:14:58,200 --> 00:15:01,480 Speaker 1: for the good of the American peace people. So for 274 00:15:01,560 --> 00:15:04,160 Speaker 1: all those predictions of doom and gloom, six months in, 275 00:15:05,040 --> 00:15:11,480 Speaker 1: here's where we stand. Record growth, record job creation, workers 276 00:15:11,480 --> 00:15:17,200 Speaker 1: getting hard earned breaks. Look, we brought this economy back 277 00:15:17,240 --> 00:15:20,560 Speaker 1: from the brink, and we designed our strategy not only 278 00:15:20,560 --> 00:15:23,400 Speaker 1: is provide for a temporary boost, but to lay the 279 00:15:23,440 --> 00:15:30,240 Speaker 1: foundation for long term boom that brings everyone along. So 280 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:33,000 Speaker 1: you can see they're you know, not really reacting as 281 00:15:33,040 --> 00:15:36,520 Speaker 1: big or reacting in the way exactly as you said. 282 00:15:36,600 --> 00:15:38,640 Speaker 1: Isn't that be like, Look, we're going for long term boom, 283 00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:41,840 Speaker 1: not setting doom and gloom expectations. That is really what 284 00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:45,000 Speaker 1: their political valance needs to be within the race. I 285 00:15:45,040 --> 00:15:47,520 Speaker 1: hope you're right, Crystal. I really do. Like you said, 286 00:15:47,520 --> 00:15:52,080 Speaker 1: maybe the bankers and me are idiots, But watching that happen, 287 00:15:52,480 --> 00:15:54,680 Speaker 1: I was like, oh my god, this could be some 288 00:15:54,720 --> 00:15:59,280 Speaker 1: sort of slow roll feedback loop into at least trying again, 289 00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:03,240 Speaker 1: and even that I think would diminish vaccine hesitancy, or 290 00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:07,040 Speaker 1: it would increase vaccine hesitancy, diminish the case of the vaccine, 291 00:16:07,280 --> 00:16:09,520 Speaker 1: and diminish public confidence in a lot of these people 292 00:16:09,560 --> 00:16:11,600 Speaker 1: even more so, you know, we're already at rock bottom. 293 00:16:11,640 --> 00:16:13,840 Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about Facebook. And this has to 294 00:16:13,880 --> 00:16:15,880 Speaker 1: do more with Joe Biden, who was during the same 295 00:16:16,280 --> 00:16:19,240 Speaker 1: news conference, which is that, yes, we brought you the 296 00:16:19,280 --> 00:16:21,920 Speaker 1: news that on Friday. Whenever he was asked about Facebook, 297 00:16:21,920 --> 00:16:26,800 Speaker 1: what's your message to Facebook? Biden explicitly said Facebook is 298 00:16:26,960 --> 00:16:31,400 Speaker 1: killing people, and I somehow found myself defending Facebook being like, 299 00:16:31,640 --> 00:16:35,640 Speaker 1: you know, sorry, that's actually not how it works. It 300 00:16:35,720 --> 00:16:40,000 Speaker 1: turns out we have mass institutional distrust all across the 301 00:16:40,120 --> 00:16:43,640 Speaker 1: United States. If you didn't get the numbers, it is stunning, Crystal. 302 00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:46,000 Speaker 1: I know we talk about it every day, but even 303 00:16:46,000 --> 00:16:49,080 Speaker 1: then seeing it quantified is amazing. Only forty nine percent 304 00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:52,320 Speaker 1: of Americans are fully vaccinated, like fifty six percent have 305 00:16:52,400 --> 00:16:55,520 Speaker 1: had one dose. That's forty four percent of adults in 306 00:16:55,520 --> 00:16:58,440 Speaker 1: this country who said Nope, I'm not doing it. Yeah, 307 00:16:58,440 --> 00:17:00,680 Speaker 1: And if you think about how much the mainstream has 308 00:17:00,720 --> 00:17:04,040 Speaker 1: said that you should get it. Every Republican politician, the 309 00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:06,960 Speaker 1: President of the United States, throwing the full force of 310 00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:11,040 Speaker 1: the US government, the medical community, was Sean Kennedy being like, 311 00:17:11,119 --> 00:17:12,919 Speaker 1: go on and get the vaccine. I believe it is. 312 00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:15,120 Speaker 1: You want to know how crazy things are. Sean Hannity 313 00:17:15,240 --> 00:17:18,280 Speaker 1: is making sense these days, and Fox and Friends is 314 00:17:18,320 --> 00:17:22,200 Speaker 1: being responsible. So that's where we're at right now. And 315 00:17:22,600 --> 00:17:26,160 Speaker 1: even then, forty four percent of people say no, I'm 316 00:17:26,200 --> 00:17:28,240 Speaker 1: not going to take it now. If there's a variety 317 00:17:28,240 --> 00:17:32,320 Speaker 1: of reasons for that. I actually don't think medical misinformation 318 00:17:32,560 --> 00:17:35,359 Speaker 1: is the chief reason. I'll be very controversial and say this. 319 00:17:35,880 --> 00:17:39,400 Speaker 1: I really think it comes down to a cost benefit analysis, 320 00:17:39,400 --> 00:17:42,920 Speaker 1: which we'll talk about with Michael Brennan Doherty, and people 321 00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:44,960 Speaker 1: like I just don't trust you. And look, I see 322 00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:47,359 Speaker 1: it organically in terms of comments whenever I talk about 323 00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:50,320 Speaker 1: the vaccine and more, people like experimental use. And look, 324 00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:54,720 Speaker 1: we could talk endlessly about why the efficacy. At this point, 325 00:17:54,840 --> 00:17:57,600 Speaker 1: hundreds of millions of people have taken maybe where we're 326 00:17:57,600 --> 00:18:00,000 Speaker 1: a billion people have taken it and are completely fond. 327 00:18:00,480 --> 00:18:02,479 Speaker 1: I mean, you know, in terms of the dropping numbers. 328 00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:05,239 Speaker 1: But look, if you really really think about it, it 329 00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:08,800 Speaker 1: comes down to this, I don't trust you, and that 330 00:18:09,040 --> 00:18:12,520 Speaker 1: is a core societal problem. And you know, I think 331 00:18:12,560 --> 00:18:15,320 Speaker 1: Biden maybe recognized this. You had to walk it back 332 00:18:15,560 --> 00:18:17,399 Speaker 1: a little bit. Just take a listen, though, because he's 333 00:18:17,440 --> 00:18:20,440 Speaker 1: still he's still leaning very heavily on the whole misinformation thing. 334 00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:24,159 Speaker 1: Facebook isn't killing people. These twelve people are out there 335 00:18:24,200 --> 00:18:28,200 Speaker 1: giving misinformation and you wanted listening to it, is getting 336 00:18:28,280 --> 00:18:32,399 Speaker 1: hurt by it. It's killing people. It's bad information. My 337 00:18:32,520 --> 00:18:36,040 Speaker 1: hope is that Facebook, instead of taking it personally and 338 00:18:36,160 --> 00:18:39,320 Speaker 1: somehow I'm saying Facebook is killing people, that they would 339 00:18:39,359 --> 00:18:44,399 Speaker 1: do something about the misinformation, the outrageous mid misinformation about 340 00:18:44,760 --> 00:18:48,640 Speaker 1: the vaccine. That's what I meant. So there you can 341 00:18:48,840 --> 00:18:50,600 Speaker 1: you can see there. Of course, he's still leaning very 342 00:18:50,600 --> 00:18:53,240 Speaker 1: heavily on the misinformation. I do think the White House 343 00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:56,280 Speaker 1: continues to make a big mistake. Vaccinated or unvaccinated Americans 344 00:18:56,280 --> 00:18:58,960 Speaker 1: are going to feel persecuted in terms of going after 345 00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:02,280 Speaker 1: information sources that they may trust. Number one and number two, 346 00:19:02,280 --> 00:19:05,679 Speaker 1: which is that the best way to combat that misinformation is, 347 00:19:05,720 --> 00:19:09,800 Speaker 1: like I said, go and find people who have credibility. 348 00:19:10,040 --> 00:19:12,879 Speaker 1: Black Americans are the least likely in America to get vaccinated. 349 00:19:13,119 --> 00:19:18,080 Speaker 1: Go find people amongst low institutional trust Black Americans and 350 00:19:18,240 --> 00:19:21,000 Speaker 1: have them go to the South and say here's why 351 00:19:21,040 --> 00:19:23,440 Speaker 1: I think you should do it. Same thing amongst lower 352 00:19:23,480 --> 00:19:26,840 Speaker 1: middle class Whites, same thing amongst lower middle class Hispanics. 353 00:19:26,880 --> 00:19:30,080 Speaker 1: And yet I don't see any actual creative thinking going 354 00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:31,800 Speaker 1: on in the White House. They just want to cast 355 00:19:31,800 --> 00:19:34,199 Speaker 1: their blame onto people who are posting on Facebook. Do 356 00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:36,679 Speaker 1: I think those people on Facebook are responsible and you know, 357 00:19:36,720 --> 00:19:41,879 Speaker 1: are purveyors and misinformation. Yeah, but you know, misinformation only 358 00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:44,720 Speaker 1: works whenever there's a deep foundation in order to play 359 00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:48,399 Speaker 1: in it. Yeah, when there's a fundamental mistrust there that 360 00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:51,439 Speaker 1: you can sort of prey on with your misinformation. This 361 00:19:51,560 --> 00:19:55,119 Speaker 1: is people who already want a reason. Yeah, there you 362 00:19:55,200 --> 00:19:57,920 Speaker 1: go to not get the vaccine and to mistrust it, 363 00:19:58,320 --> 00:20:00,360 Speaker 1: and then they have a story that backs it up. 364 00:20:00,680 --> 00:20:02,680 Speaker 1: So you're just sort of like filling in the blanks 365 00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:06,200 Speaker 1: for them, but the skepticism was there to start with. 366 00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:09,439 Speaker 1: You know, I'm really surprised I have not seen and 367 00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:11,080 Speaker 1: I know we've both been on the lookout for it. 368 00:20:11,160 --> 00:20:16,520 Speaker 1: I just haven't seen much actual data and research about who, 369 00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:19,600 Speaker 1: well we know who's not getting vaccinated, but why, Like, 370 00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:23,119 Speaker 1: we really haven't seen. There's a lot of guesswork and 371 00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:27,760 Speaker 1: people like using whatever their political lenses to try to 372 00:20:27,800 --> 00:20:31,280 Speaker 1: get inside of the minds of people who are unvaccinated. 373 00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:34,639 Speaker 1: But I just haven't seen all that much in terms 374 00:20:34,640 --> 00:20:38,520 Speaker 1: of concrete evidence of what strategies have worked so far, 375 00:20:39,600 --> 00:20:43,639 Speaker 1: what the reluctance still is. What percent Because this is 376 00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:46,320 Speaker 1: a big question for me, it's not clear to me. 377 00:20:46,560 --> 00:20:49,320 Speaker 1: What did you it's like forty four percent who haven't 378 00:20:49,320 --> 00:20:52,960 Speaker 1: gotten vaccinated at all so far, somewhere around that for adults. 379 00:20:53,320 --> 00:20:56,760 Speaker 1: What percentage of that is really hardened? Like, hell no, 380 00:20:57,359 --> 00:20:59,639 Speaker 1: there's no way, no one's going to talk me into it, 381 00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:02,280 Speaker 1: going to be convinced I'd rather take the risk of 382 00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:05,680 Speaker 1: getting coronavirus, et cetera. Like what percent is really hardcore 383 00:21:06,280 --> 00:21:09,560 Speaker 1: and what percent is either persuadable or there's been some 384 00:21:09,760 --> 00:21:13,560 Speaker 1: logistical hurdle or other reason they haven't gotten it where 385 00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:16,560 Speaker 1: maybe they could be moved on the margins, because from 386 00:21:16,600 --> 00:21:19,280 Speaker 1: the little bit of data I've seen, I'm convinced that 387 00:21:19,400 --> 00:21:22,560 Speaker 1: of that forty four percent, there's still a decent chunk 388 00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:26,280 Speaker 1: that could be open to the vaccine if they didn't 389 00:21:26,320 --> 00:21:30,120 Speaker 1: have a work logistical hurdle or a childcare logistical hurdle 390 00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:34,040 Speaker 1: or whatever it is that is keeping them from going 391 00:21:34,040 --> 00:21:36,920 Speaker 1: out and actually getting this vaccine. I'm convinced there's still 392 00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:40,080 Speaker 1: a chunk that could be persuaded. There's some people you're 393 00:21:40,280 --> 00:21:43,040 Speaker 1: just not gonna I hope. So bottom line, and that's 394 00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:45,560 Speaker 1: that's what I'm saying, which is we got to shake 395 00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:48,000 Speaker 1: things up and change things completely. I mean, I know 396 00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:51,520 Speaker 1: it seemed cringe. I thought the Olivia Rodrigo thing was good. 397 00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:53,159 Speaker 1: I'm like, you know that she's a teen. You know, 398 00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:55,480 Speaker 1: a seventeen year old has a lot of fan base 399 00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:58,480 Speaker 1: amongst people who are really young gen z like TikTok 400 00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:00,919 Speaker 1: all of that. I'm like, that's kind of exactly what 401 00:22:00,960 --> 00:22:03,439 Speaker 1: I'm talking about here. We just go and find people 402 00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:07,119 Speaker 1: who have credibility within groups who you are seeing. You know, 403 00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:09,679 Speaker 1: it was hugely shared on Facebook too. I have to 404 00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:15,800 Speaker 1: say that Driver's License song I despise, sorry, but I 405 00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:18,399 Speaker 1: when that song comes on, I really would to kill myself. 406 00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:22,160 Speaker 1: My girlfriend loves Ngty and like, yeah, I know, she's 407 00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:24,280 Speaker 1: like something about like she's like sings about getting ice 408 00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:26,760 Speaker 1: cream like this chick is seventeen. She's eighteen now at 409 00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:31,080 Speaker 1: eighty But whatever, It's not for me anyway. I'm not 410 00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:33,960 Speaker 1: the target audience. I've already got my vaccine and I'm old, 411 00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:38,160 Speaker 1: so right, but I'm still rocking out to Blank eighty two. 412 00:22:38,720 --> 00:22:40,800 Speaker 1: I do think I think you're right though, that that 413 00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:45,360 Speaker 1: they identified a group which is young people who they 414 00:22:45,400 --> 00:22:50,320 Speaker 1: think are still reachable, and tried to find someone who 415 00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:52,920 Speaker 1: has some credibility within that group. And that's not a 416 00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:55,520 Speaker 1: bad strategy. Well work or not, I just honestly, I 417 00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:57,880 Speaker 1: don't know. I don't know that we have the data 418 00:22:57,920 --> 00:22:59,880 Speaker 1: or the research to say it, but it's certainly worth 419 00:22:59,880 --> 00:23:03,119 Speaker 1: it try. When I see the Biden administration doing this 420 00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:06,800 Speaker 1: Facebook stuff, to me, it's a signal that they've given up, 421 00:23:07,000 --> 00:23:10,000 Speaker 1: that they're looking for a scapegoat rather than a solution. 422 00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:12,720 Speaker 1: That's what I really think this is about. This is 423 00:23:12,760 --> 00:23:16,280 Speaker 1: about being able to say it's these twelve actors on 424 00:23:16,359 --> 00:23:19,800 Speaker 1: Facebook spreading into misinformation that are killing people and it 425 00:23:19,840 --> 00:23:21,600 Speaker 1: really has nothing to do with us, and there's really 426 00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:24,200 Speaker 1: nothing we can do about it. Facebook will like yell 427 00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:26,280 Speaker 1: at you and will castigate you. Are they actually got 428 00:23:26,280 --> 00:23:29,560 Speaker 1: to like force Facebook to sensors that will suggest this 429 00:23:29,680 --> 00:23:32,480 Speaker 1: or that. But I don't think this is actually about 430 00:23:32,760 --> 00:23:38,200 Speaker 1: looking for some sort of action or solution or policy. 431 00:23:38,800 --> 00:23:41,560 Speaker 1: I think this is about finding a scapegoat, which by 432 00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:44,520 Speaker 1: the way, is also what Facebook said, and I think 433 00:23:44,560 --> 00:23:45,960 Speaker 1: they're kind of right about that, you know. And I 434 00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:47,919 Speaker 1: gotta tell you, I was pissed off yesterday before we 435 00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:49,840 Speaker 1: played the Jens Hockey clip we're about to show you. 436 00:23:49,960 --> 00:23:53,359 Speaker 1: She was asked whether the White House would ask Trump 437 00:23:53,480 --> 00:23:56,359 Speaker 1: in order to cut a PSA to get vaccinated, and 438 00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:58,320 Speaker 1: they were like, well, we don't think we should have 439 00:23:58,359 --> 00:24:00,960 Speaker 1: to invite him. Trump is a vain man. If Joe 440 00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:03,640 Speaker 1: Biden called him up and was like, Trump, I need 441 00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:06,040 Speaker 1: you to do this, I think personally he would do 442 00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:09,040 Speaker 1: it and be you don't think that's worth it? I do. 443 00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:12,040 Speaker 1: I think that, you know, Biden, if you really want 444 00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:14,440 Speaker 1: to heal the soul of the nation and all that, 445 00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:17,720 Speaker 1: call the guy who you defeated for president and just 446 00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:20,680 Speaker 1: be like, look, Donald, we have our differences. I need 447 00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:22,399 Speaker 1: you to cut this video. There are a lot of 448 00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:24,840 Speaker 1: people who trust you. And then if Trump projects him, 449 00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:27,639 Speaker 1: then Trump is the jackass in that situation. And they 450 00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:31,000 Speaker 1: can leak it, but they're pulling it down being like, 451 00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:33,400 Speaker 1: oh listen, yeah, is it annoying you have to stroke 452 00:24:33,520 --> 00:24:35,960 Speaker 1: stroke the former president's ego in order to cut a 453 00:24:36,000 --> 00:24:39,159 Speaker 1: PSA to go get vaccinated. Yeah, it is. And Trump 454 00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:41,479 Speaker 1: is an extraordinarily vain guy. Well he's the one who 455 00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:44,040 Speaker 1: got elected, so whatever he is, what it is, he 456 00:24:44,080 --> 00:24:46,600 Speaker 1: has a lot of credibility with millions of the people 457 00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:49,040 Speaker 1: who won't get vaccinated. I think they should ask him. 458 00:24:49,160 --> 00:24:51,359 Speaker 1: I don't know why. It's so crazy, And you know, 459 00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:54,000 Speaker 1: the press, there's a lot of discussion around this, which 460 00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:56,760 Speaker 1: is just a lot of wish casting. Everybody wants to 461 00:24:56,760 --> 00:24:59,800 Speaker 1: say like, oh, it's all you know, boomer whites who 462 00:24:59,840 --> 00:25:02,479 Speaker 1: are not getting vaccinated, who watch Fox News. There's some 463 00:25:02,600 --> 00:25:05,480 Speaker 1: of that, But I mean, like I said, nobody seems 464 00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:07,400 Speaker 1: to want to talk about the fact that black Americans 465 00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:09,800 Speaker 1: are the least likely to be vaccinated in the United States, 466 00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:13,880 Speaker 1: and if they do, it's some like oh, Tuskegee whatever. Yeah, 467 00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:17,639 Speaker 1: maybe maybe I definitely think that plays a part, but 468 00:25:18,119 --> 00:25:20,679 Speaker 1: you know, it's also been a long time. Maybe it 469 00:25:20,720 --> 00:25:22,760 Speaker 1: doesn't have anything to even do with that, and it's 470 00:25:22,800 --> 00:25:27,959 Speaker 1: just deep lack of institutional trust. Go and find people 471 00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:33,360 Speaker 1: who are I don't know, musicians, anyone, you know, radio hote, 472 00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:37,760 Speaker 1: somebody like Charlemagne the god Right. Ask him to ask 473 00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:40,480 Speaker 1: the Breakfast Club and all those people to cut those ads. 474 00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:41,840 Speaker 1: But they don't want to. I mean, the last time 475 00:25:41,840 --> 00:25:46,359 Speaker 1: Biden talked to Charlemagne so well, so I guess I 476 00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:49,840 Speaker 1: understand why they would want to. But this is part 477 00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:51,919 Speaker 1: of what I'm saying. If you really want to be 478 00:25:52,000 --> 00:25:54,280 Speaker 1: the president, if you really want to put it all 479 00:25:54,280 --> 00:25:57,000 Speaker 1: behind you, unite the count. If your actual goal is 480 00:25:57,000 --> 00:26:00,440 Speaker 1: getting people vaccinated, call Trump tomorrow. Call people who have 481 00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:03,360 Speaker 1: deep credibility in the black community. Call people have deep 482 00:26:03,359 --> 00:26:07,239 Speaker 1: credibility amongst lower middle class Hispanic people. Those are If 483 00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:10,000 Speaker 1: you did that, lower middle class white Hispanics Blacks, all 484 00:26:10,040 --> 00:26:12,320 Speaker 1: of whom disproportionately are likely to live in the South, 485 00:26:13,040 --> 00:26:17,000 Speaker 1: not have access generally to organs of mainstream media and more, 486 00:26:17,119 --> 00:26:19,119 Speaker 1: we would have a ton more people get vaxxed. But 487 00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:22,400 Speaker 1: they don't want to do that. I'm actually skeptical whether 488 00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:24,439 Speaker 1: that would really work. I mean, we had, you know, 489 00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:27,040 Speaker 1: Barack who's more trusted, Like there are a few people 490 00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:29,240 Speaker 1: more trusted in the black community in the Barack Obama 491 00:26:29,280 --> 00:26:32,919 Speaker 1: who's come out and said the thing. But look, I 492 00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:35,280 Speaker 1: think all of it is worth a try, right, even Trump. 493 00:26:35,359 --> 00:26:37,000 Speaker 1: Remember we saw that focus group. Granted it was a 494 00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:39,359 Speaker 1: Franklin's focus group, and apparently his stuff is all like 495 00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:41,879 Speaker 1: completely invented nonsense. So I don't know why I'm citing 496 00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:43,680 Speaker 1: it right now, but he talked to these Trump utters 497 00:26:43,720 --> 00:26:45,840 Speaker 1: that were lying, Eh, if the President says we should 498 00:26:45,840 --> 00:26:48,000 Speaker 1: get vaccine, that doesn't really change their mind either. I 499 00:26:48,000 --> 00:26:51,000 Speaker 1: don't know that there's any politician who's really going to 500 00:26:51,119 --> 00:26:54,800 Speaker 1: change that core. I do think I am convinced that 501 00:26:54,800 --> 00:26:58,879 Speaker 1: there is some persuadable group within that forty four percent, 502 00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:01,639 Speaker 1: and it may be just proportionately young people who are 503 00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:03,240 Speaker 1: just looking at it like, yeah, I don't really feel 504 00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:05,040 Speaker 1: at risk, and I'm young and invincible and I don't 505 00:27:05,040 --> 00:27:08,680 Speaker 1: feel like it, So there may. I do think there's 506 00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:13,480 Speaker 1: some persuadable group. But for the hardcore, like hell no group, right, 507 00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:17,240 Speaker 1: that ship has sailed. It's sailed over years and decades 508 00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:20,639 Speaker 1: of built up institutional mistrust, which maybe you know have 509 00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:23,880 Speaker 1: come from different places depending on where you live and 510 00:27:24,240 --> 00:27:27,159 Speaker 1: what race you are, and what your personal experience with 511 00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:31,320 Speaker 1: the medical system has been. But look, all of this 512 00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:34,760 Speaker 1: is worth a try because it is genuinely about saving 513 00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:38,119 Speaker 1: lives and making sure that we can get back to 514 00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:40,479 Speaker 1: some sense of normalcy without having to continue to look 515 00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:42,480 Speaker 1: at these case numbers and be afraid. To your point, 516 00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:45,639 Speaker 1: let's say five to ten percent works. Ten percent of 517 00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:49,159 Speaker 1: the two hundred and nine million adults, that's two million people. 518 00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:52,760 Speaker 1: So if we got ten percent more, that's a lot, right, 519 00:27:52,800 --> 00:27:55,679 Speaker 1: I mean, and even five that's a million. So a 520 00:27:55,840 --> 00:27:59,720 Speaker 1: million extra people who don't have to worry about dying 521 00:27:59,760 --> 00:28:02,920 Speaker 1: from COVID or at the very least, you know, having 522 00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:06,919 Speaker 1: the least amount of symptoms possible as variants come. I 523 00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:09,880 Speaker 1: think that's pretty good trade off personally. And to your 524 00:28:09,920 --> 00:28:12,960 Speaker 1: point about what the White House is doing, well, you 525 00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:16,240 Speaker 1: know they're they're keeping the door open in terms of 526 00:28:16,280 --> 00:28:19,160 Speaker 1: a war with Facebook, and that's literally their words. Let's 527 00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:21,080 Speaker 1: take a listen to what she said. I don't think 528 00:28:21,080 --> 00:28:23,439 Speaker 1: we've taken any options off the table. That's up to 529 00:28:23,520 --> 00:28:26,320 Speaker 1: Congress to determine how they want to proceed moving forward. 530 00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:28,879 Speaker 1: But let me just note that we're not in a 531 00:28:28,920 --> 00:28:31,719 Speaker 1: war or a battle with Facebook. We're in a battle 532 00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:34,600 Speaker 1: with the virus. And the problem we're seeing that our 533 00:28:34,640 --> 00:28:39,040 Speaker 1: Surgeon General elevated just last week is that disinformation traveling 534 00:28:39,360 --> 00:28:41,800 Speaker 1: through a range of mediums. Some of them are a 535 00:28:41,880 --> 00:28:44,680 Speaker 1: range of social media platforms, some of them are media, 536 00:28:44,840 --> 00:28:47,600 Speaker 1: some of them are through the mouths of public officials. 537 00:28:48,240 --> 00:28:53,560 Speaker 1: That bad information, inaccurate information about vaccines is killing people. 538 00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:57,800 Speaker 1: So there you go, we're keeping all options on the table, 539 00:28:57,960 --> 00:29:01,600 Speaker 1: continuing the escalatory war. I do think, like you said, 540 00:29:01,680 --> 00:29:03,720 Speaker 1: the best thing to do would be to try something else, 541 00:29:03,760 --> 00:29:05,960 Speaker 1: and instead of they're trying to find escapegoat, which I 542 00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:08,040 Speaker 1: don't think is the right strategy, both in terms of 543 00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:10,160 Speaker 1: trying to get people vaccinated, and I think people see 544 00:29:10,160 --> 00:29:12,000 Speaker 1: through it. I think that there's reason Biden had to 545 00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:14,800 Speaker 1: walk that back. His people were saying, this is totally absurd, 546 00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:18,200 Speaker 1: and they're trying to deplatform everybody from every platform or whatever. 547 00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:20,880 Speaker 1: That's completely ridiculous, pretty funny. One Bien's like, I'm not 548 00:29:20,920 --> 00:29:23,960 Speaker 1: trying to say Facebook is killing feeling like you literally 549 00:29:24,040 --> 00:29:27,400 Speaker 1: literally said that literally what you said. Right. Hey, So 550 00:29:27,480 --> 00:29:30,880 Speaker 1: remember how we told you how awesome premium membership was, Well, 551 00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:33,040 Speaker 1: here we are again to remind you that becoming a 552 00:29:33,080 --> 00:29:35,760 Speaker 1: premium member means you don't have to listen to our 553 00:29:35,840 --> 00:29:38,640 Speaker 1: constant please for you to subscribe. So what are you 554 00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:41,240 Speaker 1: waiting for? Become a premium member today by going to 555 00:29:41,320 --> 00:29:43,680 Speaker 1: Breakingpoints dot com, which you can click on in the 556 00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:48,480 Speaker 1: show notes. Now they're very interesting development yesterday, can put 557 00:29:48,680 --> 00:29:50,960 Speaker 1: Glenn Greenwald's tweet up on the screen here. So we 558 00:29:51,040 --> 00:29:55,920 Speaker 1: had the first January sixth rioter, guy named Paul Hodgkins, 559 00:29:56,720 --> 00:30:00,840 Speaker 1: who was sentenced on a felony guilty plea. What he 560 00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:05,920 Speaker 1: pled guilty to was something like obstruction of congressional proceedings 561 00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:09,960 Speaker 1: or something like that. Prosecutors wanted eighteen months in prison. 562 00:30:10,080 --> 00:30:12,120 Speaker 1: What he actually pled to and what he was sentenced 563 00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:16,560 Speaker 1: to was eight months in prison. So here's we could 564 00:30:16,560 --> 00:30:19,120 Speaker 1: put Michael Tracy's tweet up on the screen, which has 565 00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:23,800 Speaker 1: the details of what Paul Hodgkins did. So he trespassed 566 00:30:23,840 --> 00:30:28,440 Speaker 1: in the Capitol and then walking among the desks in 567 00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:31,960 Speaker 1: the Senate chamber. He was wearing eye goggles I'm not 568 00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:35,560 Speaker 1: really sure why that's that relevant. He took a selfie 569 00:30:35,600 --> 00:30:39,360 Speaker 1: style photograph with his cell phone, walked down the Senate 570 00:30:39,360 --> 00:30:42,000 Speaker 1: well where a few feet away several individuals were shouting, praying, 571 00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:45,320 Speaker 1: and sharing and using a bullhorn. He walked toward the individuals, 572 00:30:45,400 --> 00:30:47,960 Speaker 1: remained standing with them while they continued commanding the attention 573 00:30:48,120 --> 00:30:50,840 Speaker 1: of others, and then at about three fifteen pm, he 574 00:30:50,960 --> 00:30:53,880 Speaker 1: left the Senate chamber and he left the US Capitol building. 575 00:30:54,160 --> 00:30:58,120 Speaker 1: So there's a big conversation going on about whether this 576 00:30:58,280 --> 00:31:04,400 Speaker 1: sentence is appropriate given that Paul Hodgkins, based on what 577 00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:07,120 Speaker 1: we know, was non violent. You look, according to the 578 00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:09,880 Speaker 1: federal to the federal government here, who have all the 579 00:31:09,920 --> 00:31:12,560 Speaker 1: cameras and the records, I bet you if he was violent, 580 00:31:12,600 --> 00:31:14,880 Speaker 1: they would have said so yes. So according to the 581 00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:19,640 Speaker 1: federal prosecutors here, didn't attack anyone, didn't even deface any property. 582 00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:23,440 Speaker 1: What he's accused of doing is h entering the capital 583 00:31:23,760 --> 00:31:27,360 Speaker 1: unlawfully and taking a selfie in the Senate gallery. So 584 00:31:27,840 --> 00:31:29,800 Speaker 1: I really thought a lot about this one, Sagara, because 585 00:31:29,800 --> 00:31:31,440 Speaker 1: I don't want to have a knee jerk reaction to 586 00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:34,160 Speaker 1: this stuff, and I did think what happened on January 587 00:31:34,160 --> 00:31:37,120 Speaker 1: sixth was horrendous, and I do think that people who 588 00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:40,120 Speaker 1: were involved, especially people who were involved and we saw 589 00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:42,760 Speaker 1: some of the assaults on officers, the guy who was 590 00:31:42,760 --> 00:31:46,080 Speaker 1: getting crushed in the door, all of that, like you should, 591 00:31:46,160 --> 00:31:49,840 Speaker 1: there should be consequences for those actions that are commensurate 592 00:31:49,920 --> 00:31:53,479 Speaker 1: with the actions that you took. However, you can't judge 593 00:31:53,520 --> 00:31:57,760 Speaker 1: this one individual based on the awfulness of the day. 594 00:31:57,880 --> 00:32:00,400 Speaker 1: You have to judge him on what his individ visual 595 00:32:00,880 --> 00:32:04,480 Speaker 1: part was and what actions were taken. So I tried 596 00:32:04,600 --> 00:32:07,640 Speaker 1: in order to you know, attempt to remove my own 597 00:32:07,720 --> 00:32:11,160 Speaker 1: bias from the situation, because I'm obviously not particularly sympathetic 598 00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:13,320 Speaker 1: to this group of people. I thought about, well, what 599 00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:16,320 Speaker 1: if it was like a Black Lives Matter protester who 600 00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:20,880 Speaker 1: went into a police station illegally that had already been 601 00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:24,040 Speaker 1: you know, broken open by another group of protesters and 602 00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:26,720 Speaker 1: took a selfie and hung out for a while and 603 00:32:26,760 --> 00:32:30,360 Speaker 1: then left. Would I think that that action merited eight 604 00:32:30,360 --> 00:32:32,800 Speaker 1: months in prison? And the answer is no. You know, 605 00:32:33,160 --> 00:32:36,640 Speaker 1: what are my principles. I don't believe in this system 606 00:32:36,720 --> 00:32:41,200 Speaker 1: of you know, mass incarceration that we have constructed. I 607 00:32:41,280 --> 00:32:45,840 Speaker 1: don't believe that these sorts of like, you know, making 608 00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:49,479 Speaker 1: a show of someone and sentencing them based on like 609 00:32:49,560 --> 00:32:52,520 Speaker 1: the totality of the day. I don't I don't believe 610 00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:57,840 Speaker 1: in that. That isn't core to my principles. So evaluating 611 00:32:57,880 --> 00:33:00,360 Speaker 1: the situation through that lens I have to say, like, 612 00:33:00,520 --> 00:33:03,680 Speaker 1: this seems like this really seems like throwing the book 613 00:33:03,720 --> 00:33:08,040 Speaker 1: at someone who was not ultimately violent in order to 614 00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:12,480 Speaker 1: make a statement about the terrible nature of the day. 615 00:33:12,560 --> 00:33:14,200 Speaker 1: And then the other thing here that I think is 616 00:33:14,600 --> 00:33:18,080 Speaker 1: relevant is the government really wanted to paint this as 617 00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:22,120 Speaker 1: a domestic terror. Yes, and you know, the judge didn't 618 00:33:22,160 --> 00:33:24,680 Speaker 1: really buy that. Again, ultimately what he pled to was 619 00:33:24,720 --> 00:33:28,440 Speaker 1: obstruction of congressional proceedings or something of that nature. But 620 00:33:29,040 --> 00:33:31,640 Speaker 1: the other thing that I really oppose is just casually 621 00:33:31,640 --> 00:33:36,160 Speaker 1: throwing around this word terrorism and using it, oftentimes as 622 00:33:36,200 --> 00:33:42,760 Speaker 1: a justification for furthering mass incarceration, for increasing surveillance, and 623 00:33:43,200 --> 00:33:47,040 Speaker 1: further empowering the national and security state. And so you know, 624 00:33:47,320 --> 00:33:50,560 Speaker 1: that sort of approach of the government is also something 625 00:33:50,560 --> 00:33:53,080 Speaker 1: that I find, you know, really troubling. No, I think 626 00:33:53,120 --> 00:33:55,160 Speaker 1: you're right, and that was the problem that I kind 627 00:33:55,160 --> 00:33:58,320 Speaker 1: of had with this. Look, it's actually pretty simple. Take 628 00:33:58,360 --> 00:34:01,200 Speaker 1: the Black Lives Matter protester, for example, if he wandered 629 00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:03,360 Speaker 1: in to that, then no, Like, I don't think you 630 00:34:03,400 --> 00:34:06,200 Speaker 1: deserve eight months in prison. If you threw a molotov 631 00:34:06,280 --> 00:34:08,960 Speaker 1: cocktail at a police station or he threw one at 632 00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:11,799 Speaker 1: an actual police officer, yeah, I think you should go 633 00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:14,799 Speaker 1: to jail, probably for a while. And it doesn't take 634 00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:17,400 Speaker 1: a difference, It doesn't take a brain in order to 635 00:34:17,440 --> 00:34:20,280 Speaker 1: see that, and I think Americans would generally be on board. 636 00:34:20,560 --> 00:34:23,879 Speaker 1: The troubling part here is that they tried to use 637 00:34:23,880 --> 00:34:27,719 Speaker 1: the domestic terrorism and while Paul Hodgkins ultimately got eight 638 00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:31,080 Speaker 1: months in prison, they sought eighteen months. That's a year 639 00:34:31,160 --> 00:34:33,920 Speaker 1: and a half that the government was asking saying January 640 00:34:33,920 --> 00:34:36,520 Speaker 1: sixth was an activemestic terror and using that to color 641 00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:39,640 Speaker 1: the specific actions. I'm not defending Paul Hodgkins. The guy 642 00:34:39,680 --> 00:34:43,080 Speaker 1: looks like an idiot, Frankly, I'll just say it plainly, 643 00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:46,040 Speaker 1: in terms of wandering around going in there. At the 644 00:34:46,160 --> 00:34:48,240 Speaker 1: end of the day, he was in the Capitol building 645 00:34:48,280 --> 00:34:51,799 Speaker 1: for twenty five minutes. According to the government himself. He 646 00:34:51,840 --> 00:34:53,800 Speaker 1: walked in and he was like, WHOA, this is crazy, 647 00:34:54,040 --> 00:34:56,879 Speaker 1: took a selfie and walked out didn't do anything else. 648 00:34:56,920 --> 00:34:59,440 Speaker 1: If he defaced property, that's actually a different story. If 649 00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:01,960 Speaker 1: you go in pulled something down, you ripped up a desk, 650 00:35:02,320 --> 00:35:05,000 Speaker 1: or you're you know, zip tie guy, or you're one 651 00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:08,040 Speaker 1: of those people who who was like trying to break 652 00:35:08,080 --> 00:35:11,120 Speaker 1: through the glass or whatever with the vice president or 653 00:35:11,160 --> 00:35:14,200 Speaker 1: whatever on the other side, that's a whole other story. Folks. 654 00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:17,000 Speaker 1: That's actually completely different. If you're one of the ring 655 00:35:17,120 --> 00:35:19,759 Speaker 1: leaders or one of those people who pushed through the 656 00:35:19,800 --> 00:35:23,239 Speaker 1: barricade knocked a female officer on the ground, that is 657 00:35:23,320 --> 00:35:26,880 Speaker 1: completely different. But using, as you said, the totality of 658 00:35:26,920 --> 00:35:30,080 Speaker 1: the event, and I think a lot of Americans justified 659 00:35:30,120 --> 00:35:33,400 Speaker 1: outrage at what happened and using that to throw the 660 00:35:33,440 --> 00:35:36,120 Speaker 1: book at a guy like this, I think it also 661 00:35:36,239 --> 00:35:40,680 Speaker 1: reveals a lot of ridiculous, you know, kind of posturing 662 00:35:40,719 --> 00:35:42,839 Speaker 1: within the media, which is that frankly, outside of people 663 00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:45,200 Speaker 1: on the left, it's basically you and Glenn Greenwall Michael 664 00:35:45,200 --> 00:35:47,719 Speaker 1: Tracy were talking about this and that's it. Everybody else 665 00:35:47,760 --> 00:35:51,440 Speaker 1: is just silent. They're happy watching this guy, you know, 666 00:35:51,640 --> 00:35:54,640 Speaker 1: march to prison. Let's be one hundred percent honest. After 667 00:35:54,640 --> 00:35:57,120 Speaker 1: all those looters got off in New York City, people 668 00:35:57,160 --> 00:35:59,719 Speaker 1: were caring all of that and maybe even agree with that. 669 00:36:00,040 --> 00:36:01,880 Speaker 1: I don't know, you know, it depends. I think some 670 00:36:01,920 --> 00:36:04,560 Speaker 1: people will at least deserve a misdemeanor charge. But if 671 00:36:04,600 --> 00:36:07,080 Speaker 1: this is a Black Lives Matter protester, they would have 672 00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:10,160 Speaker 1: raised hell to have I mean, there's no way it 673 00:36:10,160 --> 00:36:12,040 Speaker 1: would have happened. Well, let all know that. But let 674 00:36:12,080 --> 00:36:15,000 Speaker 1: me flip that around too, because I think the hypocrisy 675 00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:16,919 Speaker 1: goes both ways. Because you have a lot of people 676 00:36:17,000 --> 00:36:20,120 Speaker 1: on the right who they want to use Antithace way 677 00:36:20,200 --> 00:36:22,879 Speaker 1: too much and this is over the top, and he's 678 00:36:22,920 --> 00:36:25,799 Speaker 1: a political prisoner and all of this. There's a lot 679 00:36:25,840 --> 00:36:28,320 Speaker 1: of hypocrisy to go. But if this was Black Lives 680 00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:32,839 Speaker 1: Matter protesters storming the capitol, those very same people who 681 00:36:32,840 --> 00:36:36,520 Speaker 1: are saying that what's his name, Hodgekatch, that he's a 682 00:36:36,520 --> 00:36:39,600 Speaker 1: political prisoner and he's being wrongfully prosecuted in all of this, 683 00:36:40,120 --> 00:36:42,520 Speaker 1: they would say build the jail on top of these people. 684 00:36:42,560 --> 00:36:44,440 Speaker 1: They deserve to go away for a life. I mean, 685 00:36:44,480 --> 00:36:46,719 Speaker 1: you even see it in the commentary, because a lot 686 00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:48,719 Speaker 1: of the commentary from the right right now is like 687 00:36:49,120 --> 00:36:51,400 Speaker 1: they should with the Black Lives Matter protest, they should 688 00:36:51,400 --> 00:36:54,000 Speaker 1: have thrown the book at them. Well, I think that 689 00:36:54,160 --> 00:36:58,600 Speaker 1: everyone is sort of viewing this through their tribal partisan lens. 690 00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:02,320 Speaker 1: If your principal is lock them up, then your principle 691 00:37:02,320 --> 00:37:04,719 Speaker 1: here should be lock them up. If your principle is 692 00:37:04,960 --> 00:37:07,880 Speaker 1: believe in restorative justice. I think the mass incarceration state 693 00:37:07,920 --> 00:37:10,120 Speaker 1: goes way too far. I think that, you know, the 694 00:37:10,120 --> 00:37:13,520 Speaker 1: government throwing around these charges of domestic terror for their 695 00:37:13,560 --> 00:37:15,799 Speaker 1: own benefit, because that's the other thing too, is the 696 00:37:15,840 --> 00:37:18,919 Speaker 1: government really needs to make a show of we got 697 00:37:18,920 --> 00:37:22,440 Speaker 1: the bad guys, We're throwing the book at him. Justice 698 00:37:22,520 --> 00:37:26,360 Speaker 1: is being done, even though we know every step of 699 00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:30,360 Speaker 1: the way. Truly the government failed on that day, so 700 00:37:30,480 --> 00:37:33,400 Speaker 1: now they've got to overcompensate and show that they're getting 701 00:37:33,400 --> 00:37:35,440 Speaker 1: the bad guys. The other thing is that you know, 702 00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:37,440 Speaker 1: a lot of we haven't seen a lot of the 703 00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:42,040 Speaker 1: ringleaders who committed more of these serious crimes. We haven't 704 00:37:42,040 --> 00:37:45,759 Speaker 1: seen them be charged, we haven't seen them certainly be sentenced. 705 00:37:45,800 --> 00:37:49,440 Speaker 1: At this point. This was the first guilty felony plea 706 00:37:49,560 --> 00:37:53,320 Speaker 1: that we've seen. So I think there's also some cya 707 00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:56,480 Speaker 1: here happening from the government where they feel like they 708 00:37:56,560 --> 00:37:59,239 Speaker 1: need to make a show to the public that we 709 00:37:59,320 --> 00:38:01,719 Speaker 1: did our job. We got the wrongdoers, we got the 710 00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:04,000 Speaker 1: bad guys, and we're taking care of business when the 711 00:38:04,040 --> 00:38:07,600 Speaker 1: reality is that they failed from the start and if 712 00:38:07,600 --> 00:38:09,560 Speaker 1: they had it, none of this would ever have happened. 713 00:38:09,600 --> 00:38:11,840 Speaker 1: Three hundred percent right, And I mean, this is the 714 00:38:11,880 --> 00:38:14,120 Speaker 1: real issue. And we'll push the button here, which is 715 00:38:14,160 --> 00:38:16,719 Speaker 1: why haven't those ringleaders been come out? You know, We've 716 00:38:16,760 --> 00:38:21,640 Speaker 1: seen a lot of speculation online within the analyzing exactly 717 00:38:21,640 --> 00:38:24,640 Speaker 1: what happened there within the indictments around the use of 718 00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:28,320 Speaker 1: confidential informants. I'm not saying anything was organized or whatever. 719 00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:31,719 Speaker 1: I frankly literally have no idea, but I do think 720 00:38:31,760 --> 00:38:34,120 Speaker 1: it's important that a lot of that stuff come to 721 00:38:34,200 --> 00:38:36,719 Speaker 1: light and that as these things began to move through 722 00:38:36,719 --> 00:38:39,480 Speaker 1: the court system and we learn more. We already know 723 00:38:39,600 --> 00:38:42,360 Speaker 1: that there was that one undercover MPD officer that was 724 00:38:42,360 --> 00:38:44,960 Speaker 1: present there who he was like, I observed, you know, 725 00:38:45,080 --> 00:38:47,319 Speaker 1: so and so within that was just one and I 726 00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:49,399 Speaker 1: mean they would be idiots if they didn't have any more. Yeah. 727 00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:53,040 Speaker 1: We also know that the kidnapping plot that was disruptive 728 00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:56,560 Speaker 1: in Michigan with Gretchen Whitmer, that they had at least 729 00:38:56,920 --> 00:39:00,640 Speaker 1: twelve FBI informants the lead, one of which now is 730 00:39:00,640 --> 00:39:03,240 Speaker 1: in big I was going to say, the most cringe 731 00:39:03,280 --> 00:39:06,600 Speaker 1: photo I've ever seen was of that guy. He's like 732 00:39:06,600 --> 00:39:09,680 Speaker 1: took it with him selfie and yeah, so this FBI agent, 733 00:39:09,800 --> 00:39:11,680 Speaker 1: this is a little bit of a sidebars. Then we 734 00:39:11,719 --> 00:39:14,840 Speaker 1: were looking at about illustrie, our illustrious, brave men and 735 00:39:14,880 --> 00:39:18,520 Speaker 1: women of the FBI, the lead sort of witness for 736 00:39:18,640 --> 00:39:23,440 Speaker 1: the government, this special art. Yeah, this guy he's now 737 00:39:23,520 --> 00:39:26,600 Speaker 1: been arrested in charge with domestic time that puts u 738 00:39:26,719 --> 00:39:30,839 Speaker 1: and entrapment apparently against somebody else. Yeah. So anyway, we 739 00:39:30,920 --> 00:39:35,360 Speaker 1: know that the FBI infiltrated at least one three percent 740 00:39:35,600 --> 00:39:39,600 Speaker 1: group in Michigan very extensively, so you would think that 741 00:39:39,680 --> 00:39:44,400 Speaker 1: there were probably some other government informants and agents involved. 742 00:39:44,440 --> 00:39:46,560 Speaker 1: Now I'm not saying that they were the ringleaders, that 743 00:39:46,600 --> 00:39:49,080 Speaker 1: they're the ones that like catched this plot and pushed it, 744 00:39:49,160 --> 00:39:51,719 Speaker 1: but I mean we would like to know more, I 745 00:39:51,719 --> 00:39:53,319 Speaker 1: guess is what I will say. I would like to 746 00:39:53,360 --> 00:39:56,040 Speaker 1: know more, like to know a lot more about those folks. Okay, 747 00:39:56,840 --> 00:40:02,200 Speaker 1: big story, big developments down in Haiti, and this whole 748 00:40:02,239 --> 00:40:05,759 Speaker 1: story is fascinating for a lot of reasons. Of course, 749 00:40:05,800 --> 00:40:10,239 Speaker 1: as you all know President Joven al Moise, who was 750 00:40:10,360 --> 00:40:14,840 Speaker 1: recently assassinated in a plot that is wild and we 751 00:40:14,920 --> 00:40:18,200 Speaker 1: are still learning the details of the Haitian government says 752 00:40:18,280 --> 00:40:22,600 Speaker 1: this dude in Florida wanted to become the president, and 753 00:40:22,640 --> 00:40:25,800 Speaker 1: he hired these mercenaries, some of whom were Haitian American, 754 00:40:25,880 --> 00:40:29,640 Speaker 1: some of whom were Colombian. There's a lot going on there. 755 00:40:29,680 --> 00:40:31,880 Speaker 1: But the piece I want to focus on today is 756 00:40:31,880 --> 00:40:35,640 Speaker 1: there's been this power vacuum in the country. The Prime Minister, 757 00:40:35,680 --> 00:40:40,279 Speaker 1: a guy named Claude Joseph, basically right after Moise is assassinated, 758 00:40:40,360 --> 00:40:44,160 Speaker 1: tries to claim power and tries to claim international legitimacy 759 00:40:44,760 --> 00:40:47,840 Speaker 1: and tries to take command. He's the one who asked 760 00:40:47,880 --> 00:40:50,360 Speaker 1: the US to send in troops, which is of course 761 00:40:50,400 --> 00:40:53,560 Speaker 1: a horrific idea. Unfortunately, the Biden administration so far has 762 00:40:53,600 --> 00:40:55,799 Speaker 1: said no, although they are leaving that potential option on 763 00:40:55,800 --> 00:41:00,560 Speaker 1: the table, which is amazing. So initially the U and 764 00:41:00,640 --> 00:41:04,239 Speaker 1: the international community backed this guy. And just to give 765 00:41:04,280 --> 00:41:06,680 Speaker 1: you a little bit more of the context, part of 766 00:41:06,760 --> 00:41:10,239 Speaker 1: why there's such a question mark around who should take 767 00:41:10,280 --> 00:41:15,359 Speaker 1: the place of jovnal Moise is because Moise has been 768 00:41:15,400 --> 00:41:18,040 Speaker 1: ruling by decree, he didn't call elections even though he 769 00:41:18,120 --> 00:41:21,319 Speaker 1: overstayed his term in office. We backed him in that 770 00:41:21,440 --> 00:41:23,960 Speaker 1: by the way Trump did, and then Biden came right 771 00:41:24,040 --> 00:41:27,319 Speaker 1: in and continued the same Trump policy of backing this 772 00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:31,960 Speaker 1: essentially authoritarians, strong man dictator ruling by decree and writing 773 00:41:31,960 --> 00:41:36,040 Speaker 1: his own new constitution in Haiti. Because there were no elections, 774 00:41:36,120 --> 00:41:39,440 Speaker 1: there are very few remaining elected leaders in the country. 775 00:41:39,640 --> 00:41:42,480 Speaker 1: There are only ten members of the Senate remaining out 776 00:41:42,520 --> 00:41:45,520 Speaker 1: of supposed to be thirty. And there are no other 777 00:41:45,920 --> 00:41:48,480 Speaker 1: elected members of I don't know if they call it 778 00:41:48,480 --> 00:41:52,000 Speaker 1: the House or the Representative, the lower body, there's none 779 00:41:52,120 --> 00:41:55,680 Speaker 1: because there were no elections, so they're all gone. The judiciary, 780 00:41:56,120 --> 00:41:58,960 Speaker 1: a bunch of the judges resigned because of Moe's overstaying 781 00:41:58,960 --> 00:42:04,839 Speaker 1: his term. Chief Justice in June died of coronavirus, and 782 00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:08,200 Speaker 1: there are multiple versions of the constitution, with three versions 783 00:42:08,200 --> 00:42:10,640 Speaker 1: of the constitution. There are multiple versions of the constitution. 784 00:42:10,920 --> 00:42:13,680 Speaker 1: In one of them, that Chief Justice, who has now 785 00:42:13,960 --> 00:42:17,080 Speaker 1: passed away because of COVID, would have been the successor. 786 00:42:17,280 --> 00:42:20,000 Speaker 1: So that's why this is such a big question mark. 787 00:42:20,320 --> 00:42:22,600 Speaker 1: And then oh, let me add on one more layer, 788 00:42:22,920 --> 00:42:25,760 Speaker 1: which is that Claude Joseph, who was the prime minister 789 00:42:26,040 --> 00:42:32,600 Speaker 1: under Moez. He had just been terminated, essentially replaced, and 790 00:42:32,800 --> 00:42:35,200 Speaker 1: a new guy was set to be sworn in as 791 00:42:35,320 --> 00:42:38,560 Speaker 1: prime minister in the following week. So that's the state 792 00:42:38,600 --> 00:42:43,280 Speaker 1: of affairs. So initially, Claude Joseph country's leader in the aftermath. 793 00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:45,200 Speaker 1: We can throw the New York Times tear sheet up 794 00:42:45,200 --> 00:42:47,359 Speaker 1: on the screen now, so reading for this. Now, claud 795 00:42:47,440 --> 00:42:51,040 Speaker 1: Joseph was a country's leader in the aftermath of Moyes's assassination. 796 00:42:51,719 --> 00:42:55,719 Speaker 1: He will hand power now to Ariel Henry and join 797 00:42:55,760 --> 00:43:00,439 Speaker 1: a new unity government intended to keep Haiti stable. Haiti 798 00:43:00,520 --> 00:43:04,440 Speaker 1: has become a baseball throwne among foreign diplomats. That's according 799 00:43:04,440 --> 00:43:07,040 Speaker 1: to Joseph Lambert, the president of Haiti Senate, adding that 800 00:43:07,080 --> 00:43:10,400 Speaker 1: pressure from American diplomats was a major factor in the 801 00:43:10,440 --> 00:43:13,440 Speaker 1: reshuffling of Haiti's leadership. So this new guy who's now 802 00:43:13,440 --> 00:43:16,640 Speaker 1: going to take power, Ariel Henry, he was the one 803 00:43:16,680 --> 00:43:19,640 Speaker 1: who was set to be sworn in as prime minister 804 00:43:19,840 --> 00:43:24,000 Speaker 1: in the next week. So initially, the so called core 805 00:43:24,080 --> 00:43:29,080 Speaker 1: group of foreign governments and international organizations that basically see 806 00:43:29,080 --> 00:43:32,839 Speaker 1: themselves as running Haiti, which is outrageous, including the un 807 00:43:32,920 --> 00:43:38,120 Speaker 1: organization of American stage consistently a bad actor EU, the US, France, Spain, Canada, 808 00:43:38,200 --> 00:43:41,960 Speaker 1: Germany and Brazil. They had initially backed Joseph and now 809 00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:45,720 Speaker 1: they're throwing their weight behind this other guy, Ariel Henry, 810 00:43:45,719 --> 00:43:47,960 Speaker 1: who had been set to be sworn in as prime minister. 811 00:43:48,280 --> 00:43:52,280 Speaker 1: And we really don't know, Sager, why they switched horses 812 00:43:52,440 --> 00:43:55,879 Speaker 1: like this. We have no indication of what made them 813 00:43:55,920 --> 00:43:58,040 Speaker 1: decide that, you know, we should we should go from 814 00:43:58,120 --> 00:44:00,520 Speaker 1: Claude Joseph, who was the prime minister was going to 815 00:44:00,560 --> 00:44:03,640 Speaker 1: be taken out to this other dude. That's where things stand, 816 00:44:03,640 --> 00:44:06,319 Speaker 1: and I just think it's incredibly telling. And the Times 817 00:44:06,400 --> 00:44:09,399 Speaker 1: quotes a lot of Haitians who are very upset by 818 00:44:09,440 --> 00:44:12,440 Speaker 1: the way that like why do we Why are we 819 00:44:12,560 --> 00:44:14,560 Speaker 1: the ones who were saying, now we decided we're done 820 00:44:14,600 --> 00:44:16,359 Speaker 1: with this one. We're gonna pick this one now, Like 821 00:44:16,800 --> 00:44:18,600 Speaker 1: why are we in the position to do that? It's 822 00:44:18,640 --> 00:44:20,839 Speaker 1: really hard because you also don't know who do these 823 00:44:20,880 --> 00:44:24,920 Speaker 1: people have even democratic legitimacy within Haiti. There's actually literally 824 00:44:24,920 --> 00:44:27,680 Speaker 1: no way of knowing. I think some of it might 825 00:44:27,760 --> 00:44:32,240 Speaker 1: have to do again, this is total speculation, but his government, 826 00:44:32,440 --> 00:44:35,760 Speaker 1: Joseph's government. He's the one who's releasing all the intel 827 00:44:35,880 --> 00:44:38,719 Speaker 1: that we at least know of the assassination, and some 828 00:44:38,760 --> 00:44:42,600 Speaker 1: of it has seemed pretty crazy. You know, mercenaries, Colombians, 829 00:44:42,680 --> 00:44:46,759 Speaker 1: American doctors and FBI in FORUMSBI informists. There's a lot 830 00:44:46,800 --> 00:44:50,000 Speaker 1: going on here. And my thinking is is like maybe 831 00:44:50,440 --> 00:44:54,520 Speaker 1: they found out something, maybe like within his role, or 832 00:44:54,680 --> 00:44:57,920 Speaker 1: like maybe he's not releasing something once again. But I 833 00:44:57,960 --> 00:45:01,640 Speaker 1: think the core point stands these people figure it out 834 00:45:01,719 --> 00:45:03,920 Speaker 1: for themselves. And you know, to be clear, it's not 835 00:45:04,000 --> 00:45:08,160 Speaker 1: America here. It's like the entire international collection, right, It's 836 00:45:08,200 --> 00:45:11,600 Speaker 1: like the European Union, Spain, Canada, Germany, Brazil called on 837 00:45:11,640 --> 00:45:15,600 Speaker 1: Saturday for the formation of a consensual and inclusive government. 838 00:45:15,960 --> 00:45:18,759 Speaker 1: And so it does just seem like it's such a 839 00:45:18,800 --> 00:45:23,240 Speaker 1: mess that a lot of international organizations which have interests 840 00:45:23,239 --> 00:45:26,040 Speaker 1: at least in Haiti, are kind of manipulating and pulling 841 00:45:26,040 --> 00:45:30,160 Speaker 1: the strings. Yeah, for over one hundred years. I mean, 842 00:45:30,520 --> 00:45:32,239 Speaker 1: you know, I went through some of the history here, 843 00:45:32,320 --> 00:45:38,399 Speaker 1: but backing dictators who were horrific and murderous because they're 844 00:45:38,800 --> 00:45:45,439 Speaker 1: anti communist, tossing out a democratically elected leader twice, John 845 00:45:45,440 --> 00:45:49,600 Speaker 1: bertrand Aristeine under Bush one and then Bush two, they 846 00:45:49,640 --> 00:45:52,600 Speaker 1: both got a chance to back a coup against him. 847 00:45:53,640 --> 00:45:56,520 Speaker 1: And then with regards to Moise, I think this is 848 00:45:56,560 --> 00:45:59,000 Speaker 1: really important. This is another New York Times tear street 849 00:45:59,040 --> 00:46:01,319 Speaker 1: we can throw up on the screen. This is what 850 00:46:01,360 --> 00:46:04,640 Speaker 1: I was alluding to. Both the Trump administration and the 851 00:46:04,680 --> 00:46:08,640 Speaker 1: Biden administration back this guy, even though he had what's 852 00:46:08,640 --> 00:46:11,680 Speaker 1: described as an increasingly autocratic rule, even though there were 853 00:46:12,280 --> 00:46:16,799 Speaker 1: massive protests in the streets against this dude, because he, uh, 854 00:46:16,880 --> 00:46:20,640 Speaker 1: there were allegations of major corruption, of basically being in 855 00:46:20,680 --> 00:46:23,240 Speaker 1: bed with the gangs that run much of the country 856 00:46:23,239 --> 00:46:25,399 Speaker 1: at this point, And if I could read just these 857 00:46:25,440 --> 00:46:28,840 Speaker 1: first couple of paragraphs, it says, as protesters hurled rocks 858 00:46:29,239 --> 00:46:32,360 Speaker 1: outside Hades's national Palace and set fires on the streets 859 00:46:32,400 --> 00:46:36,520 Speaker 1: to demand President Joevenel Mawes's resignation, President Trump invited him 860 00:46:36,520 --> 00:46:39,600 Speaker 1: tomor a Lago in twenty nineteen, posing cheerfully with him 861 00:46:39,640 --> 00:46:42,560 Speaker 1: in one of the club's ordinate entryways. But lest you 862 00:46:42,600 --> 00:46:45,600 Speaker 1: think that this is a partisan attack, the very next paragraph, 863 00:46:46,040 --> 00:46:49,560 Speaker 1: after members of Congress warned that mister Mowes's anti democratic 864 00:46:49,600 --> 00:46:52,400 Speaker 1: abuses reminded them of the run up to the dictatorship 865 00:46:52,440 --> 00:46:55,600 Speaker 1: that terrorized Haiti in decades past, that we supported as well, 866 00:46:56,080 --> 00:47:00,640 Speaker 1: the Biden administration publicly through its weight behind mister MOSE's 867 00:47:00,880 --> 00:47:04,960 Speaker 1: claim on power. So that was the state of affairs 868 00:47:05,160 --> 00:47:08,239 Speaker 1: when Moise was assassinated. And now you have just a 869 00:47:08,360 --> 00:47:12,439 Speaker 1: complete and utter mess, and you still have this core 870 00:47:12,480 --> 00:47:18,120 Speaker 1: group the US, EU unas all trying to control the 871 00:47:18,160 --> 00:47:20,520 Speaker 1: fate of the Haitian people that should be in the 872 00:47:20,600 --> 00:47:23,520 Speaker 1: hands of the Haitian people. Yeah, I think you're absolutely right, 873 00:47:23,560 --> 00:47:27,560 Speaker 1: And it looks like it's a continuing troubling situation, and 874 00:47:27,719 --> 00:47:29,200 Speaker 1: I guess we'll keep an eye on it. We will 875 00:47:29,200 --> 00:47:32,440 Speaker 1: definitely keep an eye on it all right. Another interesting 876 00:47:32,800 --> 00:47:36,359 Speaker 1: development here, so Democrats starting to look towards twenty twenty two, 877 00:47:36,440 --> 00:47:39,120 Speaker 1: wanting to hold on to control of the House, control 878 00:47:39,160 --> 00:47:41,520 Speaker 1: of the Senate, which is obviously as narrow as it 879 00:47:41,560 --> 00:47:45,439 Speaker 1: could possibly be. And what they are finding is that 880 00:47:45,520 --> 00:47:49,239 Speaker 1: a lot of Democrats in more rural areas in particular, 881 00:47:49,440 --> 00:47:53,800 Speaker 1: and more Republican leaning areas, are doing their darnedest to 882 00:47:54,320 --> 00:47:59,880 Speaker 1: distance themselves from the terrible, terrible, toxic Democratic party branding 883 00:47:59,880 --> 00:48:03,680 Speaker 1: I've been talking about for a very long time. For 884 00:48:04,040 --> 00:48:07,759 Speaker 1: years now, it has been incredibly effective just to throw 885 00:48:07,880 --> 00:48:12,440 Speaker 1: Nancy Pelosi in an AD basically since twenty at least 886 00:48:12,480 --> 00:48:15,560 Speaker 1: since twenty ten. Throw just throw Nancy Pelosi in an AD, 887 00:48:16,040 --> 00:48:19,560 Speaker 1: run against any candidate, tie them to the National Democratic Party, 888 00:48:19,560 --> 00:48:23,040 Speaker 1: and you're done. And what's interesting here is they point out, 889 00:48:23,120 --> 00:48:25,800 Speaker 1: I think this is true that a lot of the 890 00:48:25,960 --> 00:48:30,200 Speaker 1: policies of the Democratic Party on economics in particular at 891 00:48:30,200 --> 00:48:34,280 Speaker 1: this point very popular. Right. We saw in twenty twenty 892 00:48:34,520 --> 00:48:38,600 Speaker 1: minimum wage fifteen dollars minimum wage passing easily in Florida. 893 00:48:38,600 --> 00:48:40,799 Speaker 1: At the same time the Democrats lose. To me, that's 894 00:48:40,840 --> 00:48:46,000 Speaker 1: like the perfect instance of the distance between the terrible brand, 895 00:48:46,360 --> 00:48:49,279 Speaker 1: which is filled with like contempt and condescension for most 896 00:48:49,320 --> 00:48:52,960 Speaker 1: of the country, and some of the policies which are popular. 897 00:48:53,000 --> 00:48:56,879 Speaker 1: I think the antitrust executive orders that Biden just pass 898 00:48:57,120 --> 00:49:01,520 Speaker 1: very popular. That's exactly right, Grossly and some other Republicans 899 00:49:01,520 --> 00:49:04,279 Speaker 1: in the Farm Bureau, these are conservative groups, they got 900 00:49:04,280 --> 00:49:08,279 Speaker 1: behind it. These are popular policies. I'm talking today in 901 00:49:08,440 --> 00:49:12,520 Speaker 1: my monologue about the child tax credit also extraordinarily popular 902 00:49:13,000 --> 00:49:19,080 Speaker 1: across partisan divides. However, just to spoiler alert here, this 903 00:49:19,239 --> 00:49:23,239 Speaker 1: never works like trying to distance yourself from the very 904 00:49:23,320 --> 00:49:26,719 Speaker 1: party that you're running in. It literally never works. I 905 00:49:26,719 --> 00:49:28,879 Speaker 1: saw when I was running for Congress in twenty ten 906 00:49:29,800 --> 00:49:32,520 Speaker 1: a lot of people were trying this game of saying 907 00:49:32,560 --> 00:49:35,040 Speaker 1: this Barack Obama guy, I don't know about him, and 908 00:49:35,200 --> 00:49:37,480 Speaker 1: I'm different from all of these other people. I'm not 909 00:49:37,640 --> 00:49:40,800 Speaker 1: like these other Democrats. There was a time in American 910 00:49:40,840 --> 00:49:43,760 Speaker 1: politics where that was effective, where you could be a 911 00:49:43,840 --> 00:49:47,840 Speaker 1: Kentucky Democrat or you could be an Ohio Democrat or 912 00:49:47,840 --> 00:49:51,320 Speaker 1: whatever it is. That time has passed. All politics is 913 00:49:51,400 --> 00:49:54,520 Speaker 1: national now. So if you don't like the Democratic Party brand, 914 00:49:54,600 --> 00:49:57,080 Speaker 1: do something to change it. But you have no choice 915 00:49:57,200 --> 00:49:59,120 Speaker 1: but to be married to these people, and the voters 916 00:49:59,120 --> 00:50:00,440 Speaker 1: are very much going to see it that way. I 917 00:50:00,440 --> 00:50:02,440 Speaker 1: think that's the sad thing. And just to give you 918 00:50:02,480 --> 00:50:04,880 Speaker 1: an idea of like where some real fear is, the 919 00:50:04,880 --> 00:50:07,080 Speaker 1: free Beacon actually wrote the story. Let's put it up 920 00:50:07,080 --> 00:50:09,960 Speaker 1: there on the screen, which is shows that a majority 921 00:50:09,960 --> 00:50:12,440 Speaker 1: of this is according to Trafalgar, which you know a 922 00:50:12,520 --> 00:50:14,040 Speaker 1: year ago would have said was a joke, but they 923 00:50:14,040 --> 00:50:16,399 Speaker 1: actually were still the most accurate of twenty twenty. So true. 924 00:50:16,480 --> 00:50:19,799 Speaker 1: There you go, majority of Americans are not confident that 925 00:50:19,960 --> 00:50:23,080 Speaker 1: Kamala Harris is ready for the presidency. And what we 926 00:50:23,200 --> 00:50:27,160 Speaker 1: really do see within that is that normally vice presidential 927 00:50:27,239 --> 00:50:29,600 Speaker 1: approvals will generally go kind of up because they don't 928 00:50:29,600 --> 00:50:33,520 Speaker 1: really do anything, they're not really present before the public. 929 00:50:33,800 --> 00:50:36,000 Speaker 1: Al Gore was just seen like okay, you know, I 930 00:50:36,000 --> 00:50:38,400 Speaker 1: don't mind Al Gore, Joe Biden. I mean, that's what 931 00:50:38,520 --> 00:50:40,840 Speaker 1: made him popular in America. Before that, he had no 932 00:50:41,200 --> 00:50:45,839 Speaker 1: public profile. But with Kamala Harris, it's pretty bad. I mean, 933 00:50:45,840 --> 00:50:49,480 Speaker 1: it just says that the majority of Democratic respondents even 934 00:50:49,680 --> 00:50:52,520 Speaker 1: will view her favorably, but it's still split. Forty three 935 00:50:52,560 --> 00:50:55,960 Speaker 1: percent of Democrats polled there said that they lack confidence 936 00:50:56,239 --> 00:50:58,920 Speaker 1: in Harris. And generally, what you're seeing with you know 937 00:50:59,160 --> 00:51:02,680 Speaker 1: first and generally what you're seeing here is that the 938 00:51:02,760 --> 00:51:05,360 Speaker 1: lack of confidence and we're using this as a proxy 939 00:51:05,440 --> 00:51:09,160 Speaker 1: for political talent. Is you know Tim Ryan, who's ad 940 00:51:09,200 --> 00:51:11,280 Speaker 1: we're about to show you he's running for Senate in Ohio. 941 00:51:11,560 --> 00:51:15,080 Speaker 1: They talk here about a Montana Democrat who is trying 942 00:51:15,120 --> 00:51:18,600 Speaker 1: to shirk off, you know, the national profile. You're always 943 00:51:18,600 --> 00:51:22,760 Speaker 1: gonna have Kamala Harris around your neck. And that's really 944 00:51:23,000 --> 00:51:26,640 Speaker 1: I think a big problem especially if she were to 945 00:51:26,640 --> 00:51:29,040 Speaker 1: ever be elevated to the top of the ticket. Just 946 00:51:29,120 --> 00:51:32,760 Speaker 1: the lack of political talent, the sheer just like odiousness 947 00:51:32,960 --> 00:51:35,640 Speaker 1: that comes through in a lot of her interviews will 948 00:51:35,680 --> 00:51:37,360 Speaker 1: just be hung around the neck. And you saw that 949 00:51:37,400 --> 00:51:40,360 Speaker 1: with Hillary. That's what happened with Hillary and the Democratic Party. 950 00:51:40,480 --> 00:51:43,279 Speaker 1: That's kind of what I think would happen here with 951 00:51:43,360 --> 00:51:46,120 Speaker 1: Kamala and the story though, I do think is fascinating because, 952 00:51:46,200 --> 00:51:49,680 Speaker 1: as you said, people always try I'm from College Station, Texas. 953 00:51:49,880 --> 00:51:53,680 Speaker 1: My congressman was Chet Edwards. He represented our county, which 954 00:51:53,719 --> 00:51:56,319 Speaker 1: at one point had or our district which had George W. 955 00:51:56,400 --> 00:51:58,600 Speaker 1: Bush's ranch, just so people have an idea of how 956 00:51:58,640 --> 00:52:01,080 Speaker 1: conservative it was, like an art lust twenty eight district. 957 00:52:01,360 --> 00:52:05,840 Speaker 1: He represented it for twenty years. He lost by I 958 00:52:05,880 --> 00:52:09,440 Speaker 1: think thirty something points in twenty ten after winning re election, 959 00:52:09,800 --> 00:52:12,400 Speaker 1: and he would be he was beating like every single 960 00:52:12,440 --> 00:52:14,279 Speaker 1: like guys who would run against him. I can't remember 961 00:52:14,320 --> 00:52:15,800 Speaker 1: his name. He was like, I'm a US Marine, I 962 00:52:15,880 --> 00:52:18,279 Speaker 1: deployed to Iraq. He'd beat him by like sixteen Yes, 963 00:52:18,440 --> 00:52:21,719 Speaker 1: it was amazing. It was probably AOC's fault, right, Yeah, No, 964 00:52:21,800 --> 00:52:24,000 Speaker 1: I mean I actually want to make that point, which 965 00:52:24,080 --> 00:52:26,279 Speaker 1: is that I know that a lot of people want 966 00:52:26,320 --> 00:52:30,280 Speaker 1: to blame like AOC and squad for defining Democratic Party 967 00:52:30,400 --> 00:52:32,920 Speaker 1: in a way that's difficult to overcome an estate like 968 00:52:32,960 --> 00:52:36,839 Speaker 1: Ohio or another place. But the reality is Democrats lost 969 00:52:36,920 --> 00:52:40,000 Speaker 1: rural America a decade agoa literally in two thousand, a 970 00:52:40,120 --> 00:52:44,960 Speaker 1: decade ago. And this is another aside. The guy who 971 00:52:45,000 --> 00:52:47,960 Speaker 1: was AG secretary at that time, Vilsack, is now AG 972 00:52:48,080 --> 00:52:52,200 Speaker 1: secretary again and was, you know, great for big business 973 00:52:52,280 --> 00:52:55,840 Speaker 1: and agribusiness and monopoly is not so great for small farmers. 974 00:52:55,880 --> 00:52:57,560 Speaker 1: And I do think that is a small part of 975 00:52:57,680 --> 00:53:01,080 Speaker 1: why Democrats lost rural America. But the bigger point was 976 00:53:02,000 --> 00:53:05,239 Speaker 1: people like Pelosi and others within the party who look 977 00:53:05,280 --> 00:53:06,880 Speaker 1: down their nose at a lot of the country. And 978 00:53:06,960 --> 00:53:09,880 Speaker 1: I really don't even think it's particularly and these numbers 979 00:53:09,920 --> 00:53:13,080 Speaker 1: bear it out, like it's not even really particularly a 980 00:53:13,239 --> 00:53:17,120 Speaker 1: policy issue. It's an attitude issue. So you look at 981 00:53:17,120 --> 00:53:22,200 Speaker 1: someone like Pelosi, who's incredibly wealthy and as we are 982 00:53:22,400 --> 00:53:25,280 Speaker 1: going to talk about in another segment over the weekend, 983 00:53:25,600 --> 00:53:29,960 Speaker 1: got even more wildly wealthy during her time in office, somehow, 984 00:53:29,960 --> 00:53:33,520 Speaker 1: because she's just such a genius at picking stocks and 985 00:53:33,800 --> 00:53:37,320 Speaker 1: who feels very distant and very out of touch from 986 00:53:37,520 --> 00:53:40,880 Speaker 1: the reality that most Americans are facing. You have also 987 00:53:41,320 --> 00:53:44,000 Speaker 1: a very clever strategy and the part of Republicans to 988 00:53:44,280 --> 00:53:48,239 Speaker 1: just focus on the cultural issues where Republicans are more 989 00:53:48,280 --> 00:53:52,160 Speaker 1: aligned with rural America than Democrats are, and where by 990 00:53:52,200 --> 00:53:54,200 Speaker 1: the way, you don't really have to deliver anything. You 991 00:53:54,239 --> 00:53:56,680 Speaker 1: can just say the right words and signal that you're 992 00:53:56,719 --> 00:53:58,960 Speaker 1: on the right team. And that's been a very effective 993 00:53:58,960 --> 00:54:02,480 Speaker 1: strategy on the republic inside and Democrats have not Democrats 994 00:54:02,600 --> 00:54:05,280 Speaker 1: rather than trying to win back voters. Max Alvarez always 995 00:54:05,280 --> 00:54:07,120 Speaker 1: makes this point, they just look for a new state. 996 00:54:07,239 --> 00:54:10,880 Speaker 1: They're like, Ohio's gone, good luck, Ohio, We're done with you. 997 00:54:11,080 --> 00:54:13,239 Speaker 1: What We're moving on to Arizona. We're going to pick 998 00:54:13,280 --> 00:54:16,480 Speaker 1: up Arizona Nex. So you know, forget you, We're moving away, 999 00:54:16,719 --> 00:54:19,720 Speaker 1: which you've still got shared Brown representing the state. Like, clearly, 1000 00:54:19,760 --> 00:54:22,640 Speaker 1: some Democrat can still win in the state. Can Tim 1001 00:54:22,719 --> 00:54:24,919 Speaker 1: Ryan still win in the state of Ohio? No, he can. Yeah, 1002 00:54:25,120 --> 00:54:26,799 Speaker 1: I don't think so. And this is funny, this is 1003 00:54:26,840 --> 00:54:29,520 Speaker 1: what they called out in the ad. In the entire 1004 00:54:29,880 --> 00:54:33,080 Speaker 1: three minutes of this ad, Tim Ryan never says the 1005 00:54:33,120 --> 00:54:36,360 Speaker 1: word I am a Democrat running in for the Senate 1006 00:54:36,440 --> 00:54:38,880 Speaker 1: in the state of Ohio, which Trump won by about 1007 00:54:38,920 --> 00:54:40,640 Speaker 1: eight points. Just look at this, I mean it could 1008 00:54:40,640 --> 00:54:43,759 Speaker 1: be a Republican ad. No football coach puts a team 1009 00:54:43,760 --> 00:54:46,800 Speaker 1: out on the field without a game plan, and right now, 1010 00:54:46,960 --> 00:54:50,080 Speaker 1: our workers need a game plan. We're competing with countries 1011 00:54:50,200 --> 00:54:53,040 Speaker 1: around the world for jobs, so in my mind, there's 1012 00:54:53,080 --> 00:54:56,480 Speaker 1: nothing more patriotic than investing in our team. Our people 1013 00:54:56,760 --> 00:55:00,680 Speaker 1: are workers. I'm not talking about handouts, talking about being 1014 00:55:00,680 --> 00:55:03,840 Speaker 1: prepared to win. The outer strength of our country is 1015 00:55:03,840 --> 00:55:10,160 Speaker 1: a reflection of the inner strength of our citizens. Come on, Brady, 1016 00:55:10,440 --> 00:55:13,080 Speaker 1: is this a pup of Bbish to work a place 1017 00:55:13,239 --> 00:55:16,040 Speaker 1: just like this? Till he lost his job? With thousands 1018 00:55:16,120 --> 00:55:19,640 Speaker 1: of others, how they lose your job? Well, somewhere along 1019 00:55:19,680 --> 00:55:22,880 Speaker 1: the way, something broke. We forgot what made us successful 1020 00:55:22,880 --> 00:55:25,800 Speaker 1: in the first place. It can't be businesses versus workers. 1021 00:55:25,920 --> 00:55:29,680 Speaker 1: This is a partnership, but that partnership needs to be redefined. 1022 00:55:29,920 --> 00:55:32,160 Speaker 1: We have to cut workers in on the deal. I'll 1023 00:55:32,160 --> 00:55:35,000 Speaker 1: work with anyone to rebuild our economy, but I will 1024 00:55:35,040 --> 00:55:38,719 Speaker 1: never sell out our workers. So I'm going to fix that. Well, 1025 00:55:38,760 --> 00:55:40,880 Speaker 1: we need to hit the reset button. We need to 1026 00:55:40,920 --> 00:55:44,080 Speaker 1: reimagine the entire thing. We need to invest in the 1027 00:55:44,120 --> 00:55:48,240 Speaker 1: businesses so they can create more jobs for even more workers. 1028 00:55:48,440 --> 00:55:50,719 Speaker 1: We need to step up our training in science and 1029 00:55:50,760 --> 00:55:54,960 Speaker 1: technology so the clean energy jobs come to Ohio today. 1030 00:55:55,480 --> 00:55:58,560 Speaker 1: We need to make huge investments into our public infrastructure, 1031 00:55:58,560 --> 00:56:02,640 Speaker 1: our roads, our bridges, are airports, broadband. We can actually 1032 00:56:02,640 --> 00:56:07,160 Speaker 1: revitalize manufacturing, secure US supply chains and make things here 1033 00:56:09,719 --> 00:56:12,759 Speaker 1: all right. I will say I'm calling for a moratorium 1034 00:56:12,760 --> 00:56:15,120 Speaker 1: on using your children in ads until we can figure 1035 00:56:15,160 --> 00:56:18,600 Speaker 1: out what the hell is shut down on shut down 1036 00:56:18,719 --> 00:56:20,799 Speaker 1: using kids. I mean, the kid is cute. I'm more 1037 00:56:20,880 --> 00:56:22,640 Speaker 1: just like you know, this hasn't about I don't like 1038 00:56:23,040 --> 00:56:25,600 Speaker 1: having people use their kids in ads. Think it's weird. 1039 00:56:25,880 --> 00:56:28,960 Speaker 1: So anyway, bottom line is three minutes of cringe there. 1040 00:56:29,320 --> 00:56:31,480 Speaker 1: But nowhere in those three minutes of cringe did he 1041 00:56:31,560 --> 00:56:33,799 Speaker 1: layer on the additional cringe that he's a Democrat. Right? No, 1042 00:56:33,840 --> 00:56:36,200 Speaker 1: but that's that's an important point, right, And I mean 1043 00:56:36,239 --> 00:56:37,839 Speaker 1: you watch that and you're like, man, this could be 1044 00:56:37,880 --> 00:56:39,840 Speaker 1: like a Republican ad. Honestly, I mean, outside of the 1045 00:56:39,840 --> 00:56:42,440 Speaker 1: word is clean energy. And look, I don't think it's 1046 00:56:42,440 --> 00:56:45,600 Speaker 1: gonna work. I think he's totally gonna lose, but it 1047 00:56:45,640 --> 00:56:48,879 Speaker 1: is a good example of kind of like how people 1048 00:56:48,920 --> 00:56:51,839 Speaker 1: are trying to pull this out. Shared Brown could teach 1049 00:56:51,880 --> 00:56:54,280 Speaker 1: a lot of people about how to do this. But honestly, 1050 00:56:54,320 --> 00:56:56,920 Speaker 1: the lesson from share It is be legit since like 1051 00:56:57,040 --> 00:57:00,560 Speaker 1: nineteen ninety seven. That's right, that's all it is stand 1052 00:57:00,640 --> 00:57:04,120 Speaker 1: up for workers. And yeah, his whole businesses versus workers, 1053 00:57:04,120 --> 00:57:05,680 Speaker 1: that's not the thing. It's like, Well, actually I do 1054 00:57:05,800 --> 00:57:08,480 Speaker 1: need some adversarial relations there, but that's another story for 1055 00:57:08,520 --> 00:57:10,840 Speaker 1: another day. Wow, you guys must really like listening to 1056 00:57:10,840 --> 00:57:12,880 Speaker 1: our voices. Well, I know this is annoying. Instead of 1057 00:57:12,920 --> 00:57:15,520 Speaker 1: making you listen to a Viagra commercial. When you're done, 1058 00:57:15,680 --> 00:57:18,000 Speaker 1: check out the other podcast I do with Marshall Costsof 1059 00:57:18,160 --> 00:57:20,400 Speaker 1: called The Realignment. We talk a lot about the deeper 1060 00:57:20,440 --> 00:57:23,840 Speaker 1: issues that are changing realigning in American society. You always 1061 00:57:23,880 --> 00:57:26,040 Speaker 1: need more Crystal and Zagur in your daily lives. Take 1062 00:57:26,040 --> 00:57:28,320 Speaker 1: care guys, So Crystal, what are you taking a look 1063 00:57:28,360 --> 00:57:31,160 Speaker 1: at today? Well, like the stimulus text before them, the 1064 00:57:31,360 --> 00:57:36,160 Speaker 1: child tax credit has officially reached meme status. So I 1065 00:57:36,160 --> 00:57:39,560 Speaker 1: got my first child tax credit payment today, which means 1066 00:57:39,600 --> 00:57:43,120 Speaker 1: the government has officially paid me more child support than 1067 00:57:43,120 --> 00:57:56,400 Speaker 1: my baby daddy ever has tell us you can see 1068 00:57:56,400 --> 00:58:03,680 Speaker 1: it from the Okay, class people will make we need 1069 00:58:03,760 --> 00:58:20,720 Speaker 1: them big clean million. So, according to Vox, hashtag child 1070 00:58:20,800 --> 00:58:23,880 Speaker 1: tax Credit and hashtag child Tax Credit twenty twenty one, 1071 00:58:24,320 --> 00:58:28,120 Speaker 1: those both went wild on TikTok with tens of millions 1072 00:58:28,120 --> 00:58:30,600 Speaker 1: of us each. As you may know, the Child Tax 1073 00:58:30,640 --> 00:58:33,680 Speaker 1: Credit provides parents with three hundred dollars per child under 1074 00:58:33,680 --> 00:58:36,280 Speaker 1: six and two hundred and fifty for kids six to seventeen. 1075 00:58:36,760 --> 00:58:39,280 Speaker 1: So if you've got three kids, you could be getting 1076 00:58:39,280 --> 00:58:41,640 Speaker 1: a max benefit of nine hundred dollars per month, and 1077 00:58:41,720 --> 00:58:44,640 Speaker 1: that is real money. What's more, the credit is not 1078 00:58:44,800 --> 00:58:47,080 Speaker 1: just for low income families. It starts phasing out at 1079 00:58:47,080 --> 00:58:49,400 Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty k for most married parents, which 1080 00:58:49,440 --> 00:58:53,160 Speaker 1: means that some eighty eight percent of children in thirty 1081 00:58:53,240 --> 00:58:57,520 Speaker 1: nine million households are going to benefit. That matters a lot. 1082 00:58:57,880 --> 00:59:00,520 Speaker 1: The fact that comfortably middle class family is will receive 1083 00:59:00,600 --> 00:59:03,400 Speaker 1: the benefit makes it much less likely that it's going 1084 00:59:03,440 --> 00:59:06,200 Speaker 1: to be welfare queen to death. So knowing all of 1085 00:59:06,240 --> 00:59:08,840 Speaker 1: that shouldn't be all that surprising that the sudden infusion 1086 00:59:08,880 --> 00:59:11,000 Speaker 1: of cash to millions of pomps and dads might provoke 1087 00:59:11,040 --> 00:59:13,320 Speaker 1: a bit of a sensation, especially when you consider that 1088 00:59:13,360 --> 00:59:15,640 Speaker 1: the people who will be helped the most by the 1089 00:59:15,640 --> 00:59:17,840 Speaker 1: money are also the people who have been the most 1090 00:59:17,960 --> 00:59:21,520 Speaker 1: routinely screwed over by a corporate run government that consistently 1091 00:59:21,520 --> 00:59:24,400 Speaker 1: protects the interests of the wealthy over the many. What's 1092 00:59:24,440 --> 00:59:27,240 Speaker 1: interesting is that usually on this show we think about 1093 00:59:27,320 --> 00:59:30,960 Speaker 1: cultural culture and we think about material politics as being 1094 00:59:31,000 --> 00:59:34,480 Speaker 1: totally separate. Here and also with the stimulus jacks, you 1095 00:59:34,520 --> 00:59:39,280 Speaker 1: have a collision of culture with populist economics. The very 1096 00:59:39,360 --> 00:59:42,200 Speaker 1: visible and widespread nature of the program made it into 1097 00:59:42,360 --> 00:59:45,200 Speaker 1: a cultural moment, the type of thing that normal people 1098 00:59:45,240 --> 00:59:48,200 Speaker 1: are talking about in normal settings, not just weirdest like us, 1099 00:59:48,560 --> 00:59:52,280 Speaker 1: and that is actually really powerful. In fact, cash politics 1100 00:59:52,360 --> 00:59:56,120 Speaker 1: as culture could be exactly the thing to combat these 1101 00:59:56,120 --> 00:59:59,960 Speaker 1: shiny objects and sectarian silliness of our typical culture war battle. 1102 01:00:00,640 --> 01:00:03,280 Speaker 1: Democrats are certainly betting on the power of cash. For now, 1103 01:00:03,280 --> 01:00:06,280 Speaker 1: the credit is temporary. Biden's COVID stimulus included just one 1104 01:00:06,360 --> 01:00:09,960 Speaker 1: year of funding for it. The proposed reconciliation package they're 1105 01:00:09,960 --> 01:00:13,080 Speaker 1: talking about funding it through twenty twenty four, and that date, 1106 01:00:13,120 --> 01:00:16,680 Speaker 1: by the way, not an accident. Effectively, the Biden administration 1107 01:00:16,800 --> 01:00:19,360 Speaker 1: and congressional Democrats. They want to create a kind of 1108 01:00:19,440 --> 01:00:22,840 Speaker 1: household financial cliff for the twenty twenty four general election, 1109 01:00:23,440 --> 01:00:27,240 Speaker 1: forcing Republicans to either back making the tax credit permanent 1110 01:00:27,720 --> 01:00:30,600 Speaker 1: or get hit over the head repeatedly with the fact 1111 01:00:30,600 --> 01:00:32,840 Speaker 1: that they plan to take money out of the pockets 1112 01:00:33,080 --> 01:00:36,960 Speaker 1: of thirty nine million households just as Biden. Probably Biden 1113 01:00:37,040 --> 01:00:39,880 Speaker 1: is running for reelection, so cement and endorse a big 1114 01:00:39,920 --> 01:00:44,240 Speaker 1: Biden win or take an extraordinarily unpopular position. That's going 1115 01:00:44,280 --> 01:00:46,960 Speaker 1: to be the choice offered to Republicans. As one dem 1116 01:00:47,000 --> 01:00:50,200 Speaker 1: strategist told The Daily Beast, I can all but guarantee 1117 01:00:50,200 --> 01:00:52,960 Speaker 1: you Democrats are going to tattoo it to their foreheads, 1118 01:00:53,000 --> 01:00:56,000 Speaker 1: and not to do it would be criminal, So a 1119 01:00:56,040 --> 01:00:59,160 Speaker 1: sort of natural experiment is being set up. We know 1120 01:00:59,280 --> 01:01:02,760 Speaker 1: Republicans are run on being a bulwark against critical race theory, 1121 01:01:02,760 --> 01:01:06,360 Speaker 1: canceled culture, and cultural liberalism in general. They might dust 1122 01:01:06,360 --> 01:01:09,240 Speaker 1: off the old Tea Party era anti deficit rhetoric too, 1123 01:01:09,560 --> 01:01:12,120 Speaker 1: but clearly the energy in the party at the grossroots 1124 01:01:12,200 --> 01:01:15,720 Speaker 1: level is pure culture war. And I may wish it 1125 01:01:15,760 --> 01:01:19,000 Speaker 1: were otherwise, but these cultural freakounts, they're pretty powerful when 1126 01:01:19,040 --> 01:01:21,920 Speaker 1: politics has not worked for a long time to actually 1127 01:01:21,960 --> 01:01:25,640 Speaker 1: improve material well being. It collapses down to culture war, 1128 01:01:26,160 --> 01:01:28,720 Speaker 1: which team pisses off the people I hate the most, 1129 01:01:28,960 --> 01:01:30,800 Speaker 1: who can at least yell into the wood in a 1130 01:01:30,840 --> 01:01:35,320 Speaker 1: way that I find satisfying rather than enraging. But I 1131 01:01:35,480 --> 01:01:38,760 Speaker 1: do think that Republicans forgot one important lesson from their 1132 01:01:38,800 --> 01:01:41,320 Speaker 1: near miss back in twenty twenty. A lot has been 1133 01:01:41,320 --> 01:01:44,760 Speaker 1: made of Latino voters, in particular, shifting to the GOP puzzle. 1134 01:01:44,840 --> 01:01:47,360 Speaker 1: Journalists took themselves down to the Rio Grand Valley to 1135 01:01:47,400 --> 01:01:49,800 Speaker 1: find out what exactly was going on there, and one 1136 01:01:49,800 --> 01:01:52,920 Speaker 1: of the answers that they got was pretty straightforward. Residents 1137 01:01:52,960 --> 01:01:55,240 Speaker 1: got a stimulus check with Trump's name on it, and 1138 01:01:55,520 --> 01:01:58,320 Speaker 1: that seemed pretty good to them. One former mayor told 1139 01:01:58,320 --> 01:02:01,080 Speaker 1: The Wall Street Journal that for the Similars checks, he 1140 01:02:01,160 --> 01:02:04,360 Speaker 1: started to see memes of Latinos holding out their hands 1141 01:02:04,400 --> 01:02:06,480 Speaker 1: to Papa Trump for money. If we speak in the 1142 01:02:06,560 --> 01:02:09,000 Speaker 1: language of memes, he said, there were a lot of 1143 01:02:09,040 --> 01:02:11,720 Speaker 1: Trump as this fatherly figure who was gonna help you. 1144 01:02:12,320 --> 01:02:14,840 Speaker 1: Not only that Pelosi and the Democrats they may well 1145 01:02:14,840 --> 01:02:18,160 Speaker 1: have been punished by voters for playing games with stimulus checks. 1146 01:02:18,240 --> 01:02:20,360 Speaker 1: Leading up to the election, something we talked about a 1147 01:02:20,360 --> 01:02:23,760 Speaker 1: lot at the time, and McConnell and the Senate Republicans 1148 01:02:23,800 --> 01:02:26,080 Speaker 1: may well have been punished by voters in Georgia for 1149 01:02:26,160 --> 01:02:30,120 Speaker 1: blocking another round of checks. These are all budding signs 1150 01:02:30,160 --> 01:02:34,080 Speaker 1: that cash politics could truly reign supreme. One hallmark of 1151 01:02:34,080 --> 01:02:37,480 Speaker 1: the neoliberal era has been making government policy as byzantine 1152 01:02:37,560 --> 01:02:41,840 Speaker 1: and non obvious as possible. Everything's means tested, everything's loaded 1153 01:02:41,840 --> 01:02:46,040 Speaker 1: down with paperwork, and just frankly, really confusing. Technocrats loved 1154 01:02:46,240 --> 01:02:48,800 Speaker 1: to create these programs and benefits that you didn't even 1155 01:02:48,840 --> 01:02:51,440 Speaker 1: really know you were receiving. Obamacare is a pretty good 1156 01:02:51,480 --> 01:02:53,440 Speaker 1: example of that. Whole lot of people benefit from the 1157 01:02:53,440 --> 01:02:56,080 Speaker 1: program without having any idea that they're actually benefiting from 1158 01:02:56,120 --> 01:02:59,400 Speaker 1: the program. So even when the government might actually be 1159 01:02:59,520 --> 01:03:02,080 Speaker 1: doing so something for you, it can be kind of 1160 01:03:02,120 --> 01:03:05,000 Speaker 1: hard to tell or extremely onerous in order to claim 1161 01:03:05,000 --> 01:03:08,280 Speaker 1: that benefit checks are the polar opposite of that. They 1162 01:03:08,320 --> 01:03:10,160 Speaker 1: are in your face to the point of being a 1163 01:03:10,200 --> 01:03:15,400 Speaker 1: cultural sensation, and maybe just maybe fighting culture war with cash. 1164 01:03:15,480 --> 01:03:18,680 Speaker 1: Culture war is exactly the way out of an endless 1165 01:03:18,760 --> 01:03:22,480 Speaker 1: sectarian healscape. This is the test saga, because it's going 1166 01:03:22,560 --> 01:03:24,920 Speaker 1: to be one more thing I promise. Just wanted to 1167 01:03:24,920 --> 01:03:27,640 Speaker 1: make sure you knew about my podcast with Kyle Kolinski. 1168 01:03:27,720 --> 01:03:30,120 Speaker 1: It's called Crystal, Kyle and Friends, where we do long 1169 01:03:30,160 --> 01:03:33,240 Speaker 1: form interviews with people like Noam Chomsky, Cornell West, and 1170 01:03:33,280 --> 01:03:37,080 Speaker 1: Glenn Greenwald. You can listen on any podcast platform, or 1171 01:03:37,160 --> 01:03:39,600 Speaker 1: you can subscribe over on substack to get the video 1172 01:03:39,600 --> 01:03:42,320 Speaker 1: a day early. We're gonna stop bugging you now enjoy 1173 01:03:43,000 --> 01:03:45,160 Speaker 1: all right, Sager, what are you looking at? Well? Aside 1174 01:03:45,160 --> 01:03:47,240 Speaker 1: from my own personal biases, one of the reasons that 1175 01:03:47,320 --> 01:03:50,440 Speaker 1: the initial success of this newly independent show meant so 1176 01:03:50,560 --> 01:03:52,720 Speaker 1: much to me is it a validated a thesis that 1177 01:03:52,800 --> 01:03:55,520 Speaker 1: Crystal and I have that literally the largest market for 1178 01:03:55,600 --> 01:03:58,240 Speaker 1: news in America right now is for those Americans who 1179 01:03:58,360 --> 01:04:02,760 Speaker 1: hate the news here on YouTube, on Spotify or Apple 1180 01:04:02,800 --> 01:04:06,680 Speaker 1: podcasts or substack. The tens of millions of people turned 1181 01:04:06,680 --> 01:04:10,200 Speaker 1: away from the mainstream media to seek literally anything else 1182 01:04:10,240 --> 01:04:12,480 Speaker 1: that doesn't make them hate one another. That is why 1183 01:04:12,520 --> 01:04:15,200 Speaker 1: I was especially amused in the last few days when 1184 01:04:15,200 --> 01:04:19,080 Speaker 1: I saw twin pieces of news. One that formerly MSNBC's 1185 01:04:19,080 --> 01:04:22,280 Speaker 1: Casey's Hunt is leaving the five am hour of that 1186 01:04:22,360 --> 01:04:26,680 Speaker 1: network for CNN two. CNN is planning the big launch 1187 01:04:26,720 --> 01:04:29,480 Speaker 1: of a new streaming platform. Now, we laughed a bit 1188 01:04:29,480 --> 01:04:31,959 Speaker 1: about it yesterday because now they're entering the same game 1189 01:04:32,040 --> 01:04:35,560 Speaker 1: as us. But the details were unveiled yesterday and it's 1190 01:04:35,600 --> 01:04:38,720 Speaker 1: just too good to let it pass by. CNN is 1191 01:04:38,760 --> 01:04:42,560 Speaker 1: announcing CNN Plus, the most ambitious thing they've done since 1192 01:04:42,600 --> 01:04:45,960 Speaker 1: Ted Turner started the network. They say, here's how they 1193 01:04:45,960 --> 01:04:48,960 Speaker 1: describe it quote. The new venture called CNN Plus, was 1194 01:04:48,960 --> 01:04:51,800 Speaker 1: formally announced on Monday morning. It will exist side by 1195 01:04:51,840 --> 01:04:55,280 Speaker 1: side with CNN's existing TV networks and will feature eight 1196 01:04:55,320 --> 01:04:58,800 Speaker 1: to twelve hours of live programming a day. Wow, that's 1197 01:04:58,800 --> 01:05:01,440 Speaker 1: what people ask for, right, eight to twelve hours a 1198 01:05:01,520 --> 01:05:05,520 Speaker 1: day of more CNN. But it honestly gets worse. So 1199 01:05:05,680 --> 01:05:08,560 Speaker 1: much of the deals that CNN have signed, which say 1200 01:05:08,560 --> 01:05:12,200 Speaker 1: that it's live programming, can only be available on the 1201 01:05:12,280 --> 01:05:16,040 Speaker 1: Cable News Bundle, So that means it can only offer 1202 01:05:16,160 --> 01:05:21,520 Speaker 1: up new content centered around quote CNN's most promising talent, 1203 01:05:21,840 --> 01:05:25,520 Speaker 1: as well as quote a thriving community component for fans 1204 01:05:25,720 --> 01:05:28,760 Speaker 1: to connect directly with anchors and experts in real time. 1205 01:05:29,400 --> 01:05:31,280 Speaker 1: This is hilarious to me for a number of reasons, 1206 01:05:31,320 --> 01:05:33,280 Speaker 1: because I will sit here and do something you very 1207 01:05:33,360 --> 01:05:37,320 Speaker 1: rarely will hear from me. CNN actually is good at something. 1208 01:05:37,640 --> 01:05:41,240 Speaker 1: That something is whenever some crazy stuff is happening, like 1209 01:05:41,400 --> 01:05:45,600 Speaker 1: riots in January sixth or last summer, a timely news conference, 1210 01:05:45,680 --> 01:05:49,080 Speaker 1: like in the early days of coronavirus car chases, you 1211 01:05:49,160 --> 01:05:52,400 Speaker 1: get the idea, the parts where they're not talking and 1212 01:05:52,480 --> 01:05:56,680 Speaker 1: they're showing you basically what is going on. That stuff 1213 01:05:56,800 --> 01:06:00,520 Speaker 1: is very really valuable actually and pretty expensive to resources 1214 01:06:00,560 --> 01:06:03,600 Speaker 1: all over the world. It's the original selling point of 1215 01:06:03,920 --> 01:06:07,560 Speaker 1: CNN and of cable news generally. The problem for America 1216 01:06:07,640 --> 01:06:12,040 Speaker 1: happened whenever cable news executives realize that actually, not that 1217 01:06:12,160 --> 01:06:15,640 Speaker 1: much stuff happens all the time, which demands live attention. 1218 01:06:16,120 --> 01:06:18,440 Speaker 1: So they had a whole bunch of airtimes that they 1219 01:06:18,480 --> 01:06:23,080 Speaker 1: have to fill in between lucrative advertisements. That's when hell 1220 01:06:23,200 --> 01:06:26,000 Speaker 1: was unleashed on us. The networks were raking in money 1221 01:06:26,080 --> 01:06:29,920 Speaker 1: on advertising, so in between the ads, they built comparatively 1222 01:06:30,000 --> 01:06:32,720 Speaker 1: cheap studios in New York and Washington, and they just 1223 01:06:32,800 --> 01:06:36,280 Speaker 1: hired a bunch of people to talk and talk and talk. 1224 01:06:36,440 --> 01:06:39,959 Speaker 1: And fundamentally, the problem with cable news today is none 1225 01:06:39,960 --> 01:06:43,200 Speaker 1: of it is actually about the news. It's about inane 1226 01:06:43,320 --> 01:06:47,920 Speaker 1: and stupid commentary in between advertisements for gold, biagra or 1227 01:06:47,960 --> 01:06:51,560 Speaker 1: blood pressure medication. The only way to keep you hooked 1228 01:06:51,800 --> 01:06:54,840 Speaker 1: in between all of those ads is what is to 1229 01:06:54,880 --> 01:06:57,960 Speaker 1: dial up your broad pressure. Tell you why the Democrats 1230 01:06:57,960 --> 01:07:01,120 Speaker 1: are the reincarnation of Satan, or why fascism is just 1231 01:07:01,200 --> 01:07:04,440 Speaker 1: around the corner after this ad. That's how we lost 1232 01:07:04,480 --> 01:07:06,920 Speaker 1: our country. That's how we ended up with Trump and 1233 01:07:06,960 --> 01:07:10,280 Speaker 1: the tension in the air where millions of Americans hate 1234 01:07:10,320 --> 01:07:12,880 Speaker 1: each other at levels we've just never seen before. The 1235 01:07:12,880 --> 01:07:16,240 Speaker 1: tragic story of CNN is the story of America. What's 1236 01:07:16,280 --> 01:07:19,160 Speaker 1: worse is this now. What they want to do is 1237 01:07:19,280 --> 01:07:22,000 Speaker 1: replicate all of that crap that they've pushed onto their 1238 01:07:22,000 --> 01:07:24,880 Speaker 1: boomer audiences and then bundle it up eight to twelve 1239 01:07:24,920 --> 01:07:27,919 Speaker 1: hours more per day and give it to you. There's 1240 01:07:28,000 --> 01:07:31,120 Speaker 1: just one problem, for once in their lives, they have 1241 01:07:31,160 --> 01:07:34,840 Speaker 1: to deal with a real market. Most people are captured 1242 01:07:34,880 --> 01:07:38,760 Speaker 1: by the news oligarchy. CNN, Fox and MSNBC have a 1243 01:07:38,840 --> 01:07:41,840 Speaker 1: virtual monopoly in terms of TV news, which is available 1244 01:07:41,880 --> 01:07:43,919 Speaker 1: as part of the cable news bundle, which is where 1245 01:07:43,920 --> 01:07:46,520 Speaker 1: tens of millions of people get their information, like it 1246 01:07:46,600 --> 01:07:48,959 Speaker 1: or not. Efforts to try and disrupt that are fool 1247 01:07:48,960 --> 01:07:51,800 Speaker 1: hardy at best, probably doomed because it's an old industry. 1248 01:07:52,120 --> 01:07:55,280 Speaker 1: But the people who get their news that way are old, 1249 01:07:55,560 --> 01:07:57,760 Speaker 1: and if you want to survive in streaming, you have 1250 01:07:57,800 --> 01:08:00,000 Speaker 1: to come out here and hack it with the big boys. 1251 01:08:00,360 --> 01:08:03,040 Speaker 1: And this is where we owed all of you, my 1252 01:08:03,120 --> 01:08:07,240 Speaker 1: friends triumph out here on the internet. Yeah, Google, Facebook, Twitter, 1253 01:08:07,400 --> 01:08:10,880 Speaker 1: they control everything, but the old media players are irrelevant 1254 01:08:11,120 --> 01:08:13,640 Speaker 1: and like us here at breaking points, they have to 1255 01:08:13,760 --> 01:08:18,000 Speaker 1: actually compete for your eyeballs and more importantly, your dollars. 1256 01:08:18,320 --> 01:08:22,040 Speaker 1: CNN is about to discover the real truth people who 1257 01:08:22,080 --> 01:08:24,600 Speaker 1: cut the cord, people who aren't old and glued to 1258 01:08:24,640 --> 01:08:27,120 Speaker 1: their TV to tell them what to think. They freaking 1259 01:08:27,240 --> 01:08:32,599 Speaker 1: hate CNN, Fox and MSNBC's idiotic commentary which ruined our 1260 01:08:32,640 --> 01:08:35,160 Speaker 1: politics in the first place, and they will vote with 1261 01:08:35,240 --> 01:08:38,719 Speaker 1: their clicks and their subscription dollars. I'm not saying it's perfect. 1262 01:08:39,000 --> 01:08:41,000 Speaker 1: Lots of people who I can't stand are making great 1263 01:08:41,040 --> 01:08:44,280 Speaker 1: livings out here in the independent ecosystem, but I will 1264 01:08:44,320 --> 01:08:46,799 Speaker 1: pretty much take any of the cringe segments on YouTube 1265 01:08:47,040 --> 01:08:49,960 Speaker 1: over the poison that CNN has been peddling now for years. 1266 01:08:50,280 --> 01:08:52,840 Speaker 1: CNN is about to find out the hard way just 1267 01:08:52,960 --> 01:08:56,920 Speaker 1: how little people actually value their contributions to American life. 1268 01:08:56,960 --> 01:08:58,960 Speaker 1: They can't hide behind the fact that if you want 1269 01:08:59,000 --> 01:09:01,679 Speaker 1: to watch sports, or if you want to watch live news, 1270 01:09:01,920 --> 01:09:05,559 Speaker 1: you're literally forced to watch them. Now they're competing out 1271 01:09:05,600 --> 01:09:08,240 Speaker 1: here with the rest of us, and honestly, I wish 1272 01:09:08,280 --> 01:09:10,240 Speaker 1: them luck in a devious kind of way, because I 1273 01:09:10,280 --> 01:09:13,599 Speaker 1: can't wait to watch it fail as practically anything else 1274 01:09:13,760 --> 01:09:16,840 Speaker 1: rises up and beats them at their previously rigged game. 1275 01:09:17,080 --> 01:09:18,920 Speaker 1: And I think that's what it comes down to, Crystal, 1276 01:09:19,080 --> 01:09:22,400 Speaker 1: Which is that joining us now? National Reviews Michael Brendan 1277 01:09:22,479 --> 01:09:25,759 Speaker 1: Doherty's author of a new piece in National Review where 1278 01:09:25,800 --> 01:09:28,240 Speaker 1: he's talking about how if you want to have people 1279 01:09:28,280 --> 01:09:32,640 Speaker 1: get vaccinated, that the unvaccinated cannot feel disrespected. This is 1280 01:09:32,760 --> 01:09:34,800 Speaker 1: part of a big thing that we've talked about in 1281 01:09:34,840 --> 01:09:38,160 Speaker 1: today's show about how exactly to reach people who have 1282 01:09:38,320 --> 01:09:41,360 Speaker 1: so such low institutional trust and more. Michael, we really 1283 01:09:41,360 --> 01:09:44,680 Speaker 1: appreciate you joining us. Thanks man, Thank you so much. 1284 01:09:44,720 --> 01:09:47,479 Speaker 1: It's a pleasure to be here. Absolutely. Let's just start 1285 01:09:47,520 --> 01:09:49,880 Speaker 1: off with this, what do you think are some of 1286 01:09:49,920 --> 01:09:53,759 Speaker 1: the pathologies that we have seen as to why about 1287 01:09:53,800 --> 01:09:56,920 Speaker 1: forty four percent of the US population does not want 1288 01:09:56,960 --> 01:10:00,160 Speaker 1: to get vaccinated right now. Well, I mean, the the 1289 01:10:00,240 --> 01:10:04,880 Speaker 1: overwhelming reason is the simplest reason, which is they don't 1290 01:10:05,200 --> 01:10:09,640 Speaker 1: fear COVID as much as they fear the vaccine. You 1291 01:10:10,360 --> 01:10:13,040 Speaker 1: people who are enthusiasts for the vaccine may find that 1292 01:10:13,160 --> 01:10:20,920 Speaker 1: very silly or enumerate or misinformed, but millions of people 1293 01:10:20,960 --> 01:10:28,479 Speaker 1: decided long before the vaccines were approved, that COVID was 1294 01:10:28,600 --> 01:10:32,439 Speaker 1: overblown for them, that this was something that mainly affected 1295 01:10:32,520 --> 01:10:36,320 Speaker 1: people over sixty five, it wasn't very serious, especially for 1296 01:10:36,400 --> 01:10:40,679 Speaker 1: younger people who are generally healthy and fit, and so 1297 01:10:40,880 --> 01:10:44,040 Speaker 1: they don't want to take the risk of a vaccine, 1298 01:10:45,400 --> 01:10:48,080 Speaker 1: whatever that risk may be. They've been told there are 1299 01:10:48,200 --> 01:10:52,719 Speaker 1: very few adverse effects noticed, but they worry about things 1300 01:10:52,760 --> 01:10:56,200 Speaker 1: like long term effects, and they know from their own 1301 01:10:56,240 --> 01:10:59,479 Speaker 1: reading and study that, of course a new vaccine for 1302 01:10:59,520 --> 01:11:03,160 Speaker 1: a novel disease in the midst of a pandemic, it 1303 01:11:03,240 --> 01:11:07,240 Speaker 1: can't have full FDA approval, it doesn't yet, and it 1304 01:11:07,320 --> 01:11:11,120 Speaker 1: can't have long term studies on its effects. And so 1305 01:11:11,400 --> 01:11:14,160 Speaker 1: many of them are just making a calculation that they 1306 01:11:14,200 --> 01:11:18,360 Speaker 1: feel is completely rational, that they don't want to take this, 1307 01:11:18,960 --> 01:11:22,719 Speaker 1: and some would go further, and they feel that because 1308 01:11:22,720 --> 01:11:27,080 Speaker 1: public health officials have occasionally lied or misrepresented the truth 1309 01:11:27,680 --> 01:11:34,000 Speaker 1: about risks that they've covered up potentially the lab leak theory, 1310 01:11:34,040 --> 01:11:37,360 Speaker 1: and tried to censor that. They feel that there's you know, 1311 01:11:37,360 --> 01:11:39,719 Speaker 1: many of them feel that there's something maybe a little 1312 01:11:39,760 --> 01:11:44,240 Speaker 1: underhanded or sinister at work in the vaccine effort, and 1313 01:11:44,280 --> 01:11:47,840 Speaker 1: they've also find I think what would caused me to 1314 01:11:47,880 --> 01:11:51,360 Speaker 1: write the piece was that in just talking to the 1315 01:11:51,439 --> 01:11:55,120 Speaker 1: vaccine skeptics in my own family, in my among my friends, 1316 01:11:56,600 --> 01:11:59,720 Speaker 1: I noticed that none of the public health apparatus was 1317 01:11:59,720 --> 01:12:03,920 Speaker 1: a dressing their stated concerns. Right, it would just be 1318 01:12:04,080 --> 01:12:10,160 Speaker 1: these kind of messages about what we already know about 1319 01:12:10,160 --> 01:12:13,880 Speaker 1: the vaccines, and they're concerned about what we don't know, 1320 01:12:14,479 --> 01:12:17,479 Speaker 1: and they find it creepy that millions of dollars is 1321 01:12:17,520 --> 01:12:20,640 Speaker 1: being spent reaching out to them and yet they're not 1322 01:12:20,960 --> 01:12:25,960 Speaker 1: being spoken to like adults with real concerns. And like 1323 01:12:26,000 --> 01:12:29,519 Speaker 1: I said in the piece, I think one thing that 1324 01:12:29,520 --> 01:12:33,840 Speaker 1: would go a long way towards re establishing trust is 1325 01:12:33,960 --> 01:12:38,960 Speaker 1: just acknowledging some of the concerns that it's normal to 1326 01:12:39,360 --> 01:12:43,080 Speaker 1: feel this way about a new vaccine, that it's normal 1327 01:12:43,160 --> 01:12:46,519 Speaker 1: to wonder about long term side effects, that no we 1328 01:12:46,600 --> 01:12:49,800 Speaker 1: can't know with one hundred percent certainty that there are 1329 01:12:49,840 --> 01:12:53,679 Speaker 1: no long term effects from these vaccines, but you could 1330 01:12:53,800 --> 01:12:59,040 Speaker 1: try to explain in a medically plausible way why that's 1331 01:12:59,080 --> 01:13:02,320 Speaker 1: such a low problem ability. Event Now, I suspect that 1332 01:13:02,320 --> 01:13:06,720 Speaker 1: that's something true and something public health officials could do, 1333 01:13:07,360 --> 01:13:11,640 Speaker 1: but it's beyond my competence as a pundit to do that. 1334 01:13:12,120 --> 01:13:16,080 Speaker 1: So it's on someone else to give this explanation. And 1335 01:13:16,120 --> 01:13:19,040 Speaker 1: I know for many people it feels like lowering themselves 1336 01:13:19,120 --> 01:13:23,640 Speaker 1: to address people they deem to have made an irrational 1337 01:13:23,720 --> 01:13:28,760 Speaker 1: choice already. But if you want vaccines in arms at 1338 01:13:28,760 --> 01:13:30,679 Speaker 1: this point, this is kind of what you have to do. 1339 01:13:31,680 --> 01:13:35,400 Speaker 1: And if you treasure your political animosities or your disdain 1340 01:13:36,120 --> 01:13:38,680 Speaker 1: for people who don't have the vaccine more than the 1341 01:13:38,720 --> 01:13:41,840 Speaker 1: campaign to vaccine, well maybe that's an indicator that you're 1342 01:13:41,920 --> 01:13:46,280 Speaker 1: not as afraid of a larger unvaccinated population being out 1343 01:13:46,320 --> 01:13:50,080 Speaker 1: there as you think you are. Maybe you're okay with it. Michael. 1344 01:13:50,200 --> 01:13:53,639 Speaker 1: You know, there's been a lot of focus on white 1345 01:13:53,680 --> 01:13:58,519 Speaker 1: conservative men in particular and the high levels of vaccine 1346 01:13:58,520 --> 01:14:01,800 Speaker 1: hesitancy there if you look across and this is something 1347 01:14:01,960 --> 01:14:03,920 Speaker 1: a graphic that we showed a couple times now on 1348 01:14:03,960 --> 01:14:06,639 Speaker 1: the show. If you look across racial groups, it's actually 1349 01:14:06,680 --> 01:14:10,519 Speaker 1: African Americans overall who have the lowest vaccination rate, And 1350 01:14:10,600 --> 01:14:13,840 Speaker 1: there seems to be, you know, a sort of you know, 1351 01:14:14,080 --> 01:14:16,760 Speaker 1: through line between what your income level is and what 1352 01:14:16,800 --> 01:14:19,960 Speaker 1: your education status is and whether or not you get 1353 01:14:20,040 --> 01:14:24,519 Speaker 1: vaccine vaccine. Of course, African Americans disproportionately lower income in 1354 01:14:24,600 --> 01:14:28,240 Speaker 1: this country. So the reasons that you're giving here based 1355 01:14:28,240 --> 01:14:31,439 Speaker 1: on your experience talking to people you know in your circle, 1356 01:14:31,560 --> 01:14:33,599 Speaker 1: your family and your friends, et cetera. Do you think 1357 01:14:33,600 --> 01:14:37,200 Speaker 1: that those reasons are specific to sort of white conservatives 1358 01:14:37,280 --> 01:14:41,040 Speaker 1: or do you think that they go across racial groups. Well, 1359 01:14:41,680 --> 01:14:47,200 Speaker 1: in general, I think the feeling of the feeling that 1360 01:14:47,479 --> 01:14:51,599 Speaker 1: vac's resistant people or vacs hesitant people have that is 1361 01:14:51,720 --> 01:14:55,599 Speaker 1: common is this idea of I don't fear COVID as 1362 01:14:55,680 --> 01:14:58,719 Speaker 1: much as I fear the vaccine. Right, It's as simple 1363 01:14:58,920 --> 01:15:05,639 Speaker 1: and primal and elemental as that. But for different groups, 1364 01:15:06,160 --> 01:15:09,920 Speaker 1: there can be different mixtures of or different reasons for 1365 01:15:10,640 --> 01:15:16,360 Speaker 1: simple mistrust in public authority, whether it's you know, for 1366 01:15:16,560 --> 01:15:20,559 Speaker 1: maybe for white conservatives, they feel like, you know, they 1367 01:15:20,600 --> 01:15:25,560 Speaker 1: may feel like public health officials endorsed the BLM protests 1368 01:15:25,720 --> 01:15:28,639 Speaker 1: last summer when there were still restrictions on outdoor activity, 1369 01:15:28,720 --> 01:15:31,760 Speaker 1: and they may think, these people really don't have my 1370 01:15:31,880 --> 01:15:34,439 Speaker 1: interests at heart in some fundamental way, and there's something 1371 01:15:34,880 --> 01:15:38,120 Speaker 1: dishonest at work. For Black Americans, it may be an 1372 01:15:38,120 --> 01:15:43,360 Speaker 1: experience of something where they've heard about, you know, their 1373 01:15:43,479 --> 01:15:48,040 Speaker 1: mother or their sister seemingly being treated differently when she 1374 01:15:48,200 --> 01:15:50,920 Speaker 1: delivered a baby at a hospital than other patients. They 1375 01:15:50,920 --> 01:15:55,639 Speaker 1: may hear other stories of how black people are prescribed 1376 01:15:55,640 --> 01:15:59,200 Speaker 1: pain medication and different levels than white people. They may 1377 01:15:59,200 --> 01:16:04,400 Speaker 1: hear all this simply distrust the medical establishment or all establishments. 1378 01:16:05,240 --> 01:16:08,320 Speaker 1: So and you have to speak to that as well 1379 01:16:09,360 --> 01:16:13,200 Speaker 1: in your public health messaging campaigns. You know, it's interesting, Michael, 1380 01:16:13,240 --> 01:16:16,599 Speaker 1: I saw I bizarrely saw a lot of criticism against 1381 01:16:16,680 --> 01:16:18,800 Speaker 1: you from the on this piece, from a lot of 1382 01:16:18,800 --> 01:16:22,200 Speaker 1: people in the center left who were like, if Michael 1383 01:16:22,439 --> 01:16:26,040 Speaker 1: was real, he'd be like Chucker Carlson's full of it 1384 01:16:26,360 --> 01:16:30,639 Speaker 1: and he's killing people in the Fox News Rupert Murdoch machine. 1385 01:16:30,960 --> 01:16:34,200 Speaker 1: Uh what I mean? I obviously know I think your 1386 01:16:34,200 --> 01:16:36,840 Speaker 1: response is correct, But what do you say to those 1387 01:16:36,880 --> 01:16:38,880 Speaker 1: critics because maybe people are here saying the same thing, 1388 01:16:38,920 --> 01:16:41,920 Speaker 1: but like, you have a responsibility to call these people out. 1389 01:16:41,920 --> 01:16:46,599 Speaker 1: What do you make of the argument, Well, I think 1390 01:16:46,640 --> 01:16:51,080 Speaker 1: I disagree with Tucker, But among my friends and family, 1391 01:16:51,600 --> 01:16:57,360 Speaker 1: nobody even has a cable television subscription. They don't watch Tucker. 1392 01:16:58,760 --> 01:17:02,240 Speaker 1: They get their information from social media that it's shared laterally, 1393 01:17:03,200 --> 01:17:06,280 Speaker 1: usually across Instagram would be the most common thing, Like 1394 01:17:06,360 --> 01:17:11,200 Speaker 1: people sharing Instagram stories of someone having a strange adverse 1395 01:17:11,240 --> 01:17:17,479 Speaker 1: reaction and maybe a dissenting doctor that is hyping this up. 1396 01:17:17,800 --> 01:17:21,479 Speaker 1: Maybe they follow you know, Martin Kohldorf of Harvard, who was, 1397 01:17:21,720 --> 01:17:25,920 Speaker 1: you know, a pioneer in designing vaccine safety systems, and 1398 01:17:26,000 --> 01:17:29,320 Speaker 1: he's saying, well, not everyone has to get vaccinated. That's 1399 01:17:29,360 --> 01:17:34,360 Speaker 1: a bit of a superstition. So the sources of where 1400 01:17:34,400 --> 01:17:38,040 Speaker 1: they get their information are various. But the big thing is, 1401 01:17:38,040 --> 01:17:41,080 Speaker 1: I would say, is this is a demand side issue. 1402 01:17:42,280 --> 01:17:48,720 Speaker 1: Average people aren't. It's not like misinformation comes through the 1403 01:17:48,720 --> 01:17:52,679 Speaker 1: Internet and just hits them. It's they have a gut reaction, 1404 01:17:53,320 --> 01:17:58,559 Speaker 1: a gut feeling and response about whether the COVID itself 1405 01:17:58,640 --> 01:18:02,360 Speaker 1: is overblown or whether public health officials are being manipulative 1406 01:18:02,360 --> 01:18:06,040 Speaker 1: in some way, and they have this fear, the fear 1407 01:18:06,040 --> 01:18:09,680 Speaker 1: of the unknown and listen they know. For instance, you know, 1408 01:18:10,200 --> 01:18:13,840 Speaker 1: people say like, okay, well just research the history of 1409 01:18:14,600 --> 01:18:18,479 Speaker 1: MR and a theory which goes back fifty years. We've 1410 01:18:18,520 --> 01:18:22,360 Speaker 1: known theoretically that this should work for a very long time, 1411 01:18:23,120 --> 01:18:25,200 Speaker 1: and now it's here, and so you should celebrate that. 1412 01:18:25,360 --> 01:18:27,640 Speaker 1: And they would just recently say like, yes, that's a 1413 01:18:27,680 --> 01:18:31,800 Speaker 1: theory on paper, but science is about empiricism, so this 1414 01:18:32,000 --> 01:18:34,840 Speaker 1: is a live experiment. And some of them, I mean, 1415 01:18:34,920 --> 01:18:37,680 Speaker 1: one of my best friends from high school said I 1416 01:18:37,720 --> 01:18:42,960 Speaker 1: am willing to be the control group, and that's his attitude. 1417 01:18:43,040 --> 01:18:47,200 Speaker 1: So you have to address those fears first, and the 1418 01:18:47,240 --> 01:18:51,320 Speaker 1: misinformation would take care of itself. Yeah, so Michael, let 1419 01:18:51,320 --> 01:18:52,880 Speaker 1: me ask you on that. I think we're all on 1420 01:18:52,920 --> 01:18:55,040 Speaker 1: the same page that you know, some of the comments 1421 01:18:55,040 --> 01:18:58,880 Speaker 1: from the Biden administration recently are deeply troubling and authoritarian. 1422 01:18:59,000 --> 01:19:00,880 Speaker 1: And the idea of that the government is going to 1423 01:19:00,920 --> 01:19:03,160 Speaker 1: tell all the social media platforms that you can be 1424 01:19:03,360 --> 01:19:06,320 Speaker 1: like internet death penalty for this or that person that 1425 01:19:06,400 --> 01:19:11,240 Speaker 1: they're choosing. Not good, right, But oh yeah, let's put 1426 01:19:11,240 --> 01:19:15,439 Speaker 1: that aside. Okay, would it work. Let's say that, you know, 1427 01:19:15,680 --> 01:19:18,640 Speaker 1: the Biden administration goes and these twelve people that they 1428 01:19:18,680 --> 01:19:21,320 Speaker 1: keep talking about are spreading so much of the misinformation. 1429 01:19:21,600 --> 01:19:24,360 Speaker 1: Let's say they get them offline, they're no longer able 1430 01:19:24,400 --> 01:19:29,200 Speaker 1: to share whatever vaccine misinformation they're sharing. Do you think 1431 01:19:29,240 --> 01:19:33,400 Speaker 1: that would work to help reduce the fears of some 1432 01:19:33,560 --> 01:19:37,160 Speaker 1: of the people who continue to be vaccine hesdent. No. 1433 01:19:37,360 --> 01:19:40,040 Speaker 1: I mean, censorship is the thing that I hear most 1434 01:19:40,160 --> 01:19:44,400 Speaker 1: often about as setting off people's spidery sense that something 1435 01:19:44,760 --> 01:19:49,240 Speaker 1: is sinister about This is a great point. It totally 1436 01:19:49,320 --> 01:19:53,400 Speaker 1: increases their distrust and like I said, what they want 1437 01:19:53,439 --> 01:19:57,800 Speaker 1: to hear is are some of the most common things. So, 1438 01:19:57,960 --> 01:20:03,240 Speaker 1: for instance, the unit US government runs the Vaccine Adverse 1439 01:20:03,240 --> 01:20:08,160 Speaker 1: Events Reporting site THEIRS. Its data is public, it's available 1440 01:20:08,160 --> 01:20:12,040 Speaker 1: for everyone, and during this vaccination drive, there's just been 1441 01:20:12,040 --> 01:20:17,240 Speaker 1: this huge surge of reporting across it of adverse events. Now, 1442 01:20:17,479 --> 01:20:19,400 Speaker 1: this is something you don't have to be a doctor 1443 01:20:19,439 --> 01:20:23,040 Speaker 1: to put enter an event. I mean people have said 1444 01:20:23,080 --> 01:20:25,360 Speaker 1: that they've turned into the Hulk or other things. There's 1445 01:20:25,400 --> 01:20:29,200 Speaker 1: some really silly stuff on there, but lots of vaccine 1446 01:20:29,240 --> 01:20:34,160 Speaker 1: skeptics look at that site. That's not misinformation, that's government 1447 01:20:34,280 --> 01:20:38,519 Speaker 1: hosted information, and no one in the government is really 1448 01:20:38,600 --> 01:20:42,439 Speaker 1: contextualizing it. For them, and so all that's left is 1449 01:20:42,479 --> 01:20:47,200 Speaker 1: for Alex Berenson or Tucker Carlson to give context to 1450 01:20:47,280 --> 01:20:52,439 Speaker 1: that information. MIT found in a study of people who 1451 01:20:52,479 --> 01:20:55,600 Speaker 1: dissented from public health during COVID that they tended to 1452 01:20:55,720 --> 01:21:00,360 Speaker 1: use the same exact data sets as proponents of public 1453 01:21:00,439 --> 01:21:03,840 Speaker 1: health orthodoxy, they just interpret it in a different way. 1454 01:21:04,360 --> 01:21:07,880 Speaker 1: And so my view is that to counter you know 1455 01:21:07,920 --> 01:21:11,759 Speaker 1: what you deem misinformation, you don't need censorship, You need 1456 01:21:11,880 --> 01:21:19,200 Speaker 1: patient contextualization, You need more information and better information. Censorship 1457 01:21:19,200 --> 01:21:23,680 Speaker 1: would have the exact opposite effect that they want. And 1458 01:21:23,840 --> 01:21:25,840 Speaker 1: so Michael, I think this is where it kind of 1459 01:21:25,960 --> 01:21:29,439 Speaker 1: we were having a debate on the show today, which 1460 01:21:29,520 --> 01:21:31,559 Speaker 1: is that to what extent? Here's what I was saying. 1461 01:21:31,560 --> 01:21:33,680 Speaker 1: My basic posit was this, It was like, instead of 1462 01:21:33,760 --> 01:21:38,200 Speaker 1: talking about Facebook, look at the actual populations lower middle 1463 01:21:38,240 --> 01:21:41,880 Speaker 1: class blacks, whites, and Hispanics, find people who have credibility 1464 01:21:42,120 --> 01:21:45,080 Speaker 1: within those groups and send them through the Deep South 1465 01:21:45,400 --> 01:21:49,280 Speaker 1: or wherever where you see hotspots and people with vaccinations. 1466 01:21:49,280 --> 01:21:51,360 Speaker 1: But what Crystal was rightly saying is I don't know 1467 01:21:51,400 --> 01:21:55,479 Speaker 1: if it work. We pointed to as it was a 1468 01:21:55,560 --> 01:21:58,519 Speaker 1: past Frank Lunz focus group, So take that with you know, 1469 01:21:58,520 --> 01:22:02,000 Speaker 1: the biggest grain of salt you can refine. But they 1470 01:22:02,000 --> 01:22:04,120 Speaker 1: were like, look, I support Trump, but if he told 1471 01:22:04,160 --> 01:22:06,200 Speaker 1: me to get vaccinated, I wouldn't do anything about it. 1472 01:22:06,439 --> 01:22:08,759 Speaker 1: Do you think that they're it wouldn't have any impact 1473 01:22:08,760 --> 01:22:12,240 Speaker 1: on my decision? Is there is there a way for 1474 01:22:12,439 --> 01:22:16,320 Speaker 1: quote unquote influencers, people with credibility and more, to message 1475 01:22:16,320 --> 01:22:18,720 Speaker 1: this or is it more of a bottom up phenomenon 1476 01:22:18,760 --> 01:22:25,360 Speaker 1: that we're seeing. It depends how those influencers go about it. 1477 01:22:25,439 --> 01:22:29,960 Speaker 1: You know, if it's something completely independent, where it's literally 1478 01:22:30,040 --> 01:22:34,840 Speaker 1: just like a well known Internet celebrity but just volunteering 1479 01:22:34,880 --> 01:22:38,200 Speaker 1: their experience, maybe you know, some of them don't get 1480 01:22:38,280 --> 01:22:40,960 Speaker 1: vaccinated and then they get seriously ill and they share 1481 01:22:41,000 --> 01:22:43,680 Speaker 1: that story and it goes viral. That would be more 1482 01:22:43,680 --> 01:22:47,519 Speaker 1: effective than something that is branded as a government ad, 1483 01:22:47,640 --> 01:22:51,519 Speaker 1: because then it feels like that's taking advantage. I mean, 1484 01:22:51,640 --> 01:22:54,040 Speaker 1: what I think you'll find in what some studies are 1485 01:22:54,120 --> 01:22:58,680 Speaker 1: starting to indicate is that vaccine hesitant people, some of 1486 01:22:58,720 --> 01:23:02,000 Speaker 1: them do end up taking the vaccine. They really are 1487 01:23:02,040 --> 01:23:04,559 Speaker 1: telling the truth when they say they were waiting to 1488 01:23:04,640 --> 01:23:08,240 Speaker 1: see what would happen, and some of the key influencers 1489 01:23:08,240 --> 01:23:11,440 Speaker 1: for them turn out to be their GP. Right. They're 1490 01:23:11,439 --> 01:23:14,360 Speaker 1: a doctor they've known for years. And it's a problem 1491 01:23:14,400 --> 01:23:17,799 Speaker 1: for America because lots of people don't have a GP. 1492 01:23:18,360 --> 01:23:21,040 Speaker 1: And maybe one reason why the UK has had so 1493 01:23:21,120 --> 01:23:25,479 Speaker 1: much success in uptake is because the NHA system, whatever 1494 01:23:25,520 --> 01:23:28,360 Speaker 1: you want to say about it, people can find their 1495 01:23:28,520 --> 01:23:31,600 Speaker 1: GP and they can get information from someone they know 1496 01:23:32,680 --> 01:23:36,760 Speaker 1: that has a medical background. When they're just looking at 1497 01:23:36,760 --> 01:23:40,599 Speaker 1: Tony Fauci telling you that you know your three year 1498 01:23:40,640 --> 01:23:44,200 Speaker 1: old has to mask outdoors or something like that, I mean, 1499 01:23:44,640 --> 01:23:46,800 Speaker 1: you might just think like this is some kind of 1500 01:23:46,880 --> 01:23:50,120 Speaker 1: fraud is at work here. Okay, guys, thanks for watching. 1501 01:23:50,160 --> 01:23:52,200 Speaker 1: That was a fifteen minute preview of what will be 1502 01:23:52,240 --> 01:23:55,600 Speaker 1: a longer conversation available to all of our Premium subscribers, 1503 01:23:55,840 --> 01:23:58,519 Speaker 1: which is we give them two long form interviews a month. 1504 01:23:58,600 --> 01:24:00,439 Speaker 1: Michael is one of the perfect people to do that with. 1505 01:24:00,680 --> 01:24:02,840 Speaker 1: If you want to become a Premium subscriber today, link 1506 01:24:02,920 --> 01:24:05,280 Speaker 1: is right down there in the description notes Premium members 1507 01:24:05,280 --> 01:24:07,719 Speaker 1: who've get the long form interview with Michael a little 1508 01:24:07,720 --> 01:24:10,080 Speaker 1: bit later today. We love you all so much and 1509 01:24:10,120 --> 01:24:12,000 Speaker 1: we will see you all on Thursday. Love you guys, 1510 01:24:12,040 --> 01:24:28,800 Speaker 1: see you Thursday. Thanks for listening. To the show guys, 1511 01:24:28,800 --> 01:24:31,360 Speaker 1: we really appreciate it. To help other people find the show, 1512 01:24:31,400 --> 01:24:33,360 Speaker 1: Go ahead and leave us a five star rating on 1513 01:24:33,439 --> 01:24:36,920 Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. Really helps 1514 01:24:36,960 --> 01:24:40,240 Speaker 1: other people find the show. As always special thank you 1515 01:24:40,280 --> 01:24:43,880 Speaker 1: to Supercast for powering our premium membership. If you want 1516 01:24:43,880 --> 01:24:46,920 Speaker 1: to find out more, go to Crystalansager dot com