1 00:00:09,600 --> 00:00:13,320 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network. 2 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:17,360 Speaker 1: I am Chad Milman and today, how the heck do 3 00:00:17,520 --> 00:00:21,759 Speaker 1: professional betters do it? The NFL season is hopefully across 4 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:25,560 Speaker 1: your fingers knock on wood, just six weeks away. More 5 00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:28,360 Speaker 1: and more states are legalizing sports betting. More and more 6 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:32,199 Speaker 1: new betters are learning about how to bet. They wonder 7 00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:35,360 Speaker 1: what to bet. They are curious about how much they 8 00:00:35,440 --> 00:00:37,960 Speaker 1: bet on a game in a week, in a season. 9 00:00:38,880 --> 00:00:42,120 Speaker 1: Simon Hunter, are resident professional better and member of our 10 00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 1: podcast family, gets these questions all the time and he 11 00:00:45,960 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 1: is going to break down everything he knows about how 12 00:00:49,000 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 1: to be a pro capital p pro at betting. But first, 13 00:00:54,520 --> 00:00:58,600 Speaker 1: two weeks ago, when Bob SCOOCHI Scooch made his triumphant return, 14 00:00:59,440 --> 00:01:02,280 Speaker 1: we asked fans to rate and review the podcast. Those 15 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:05,800 Speaker 1: who did and used the winning phrase the right side 16 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:08,600 Speaker 1: is the winning side in their review were eligible to 17 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:13,160 Speaker 1: win a copy of the Odds signed by both me 18 00:01:13,240 --> 00:01:16,120 Speaker 1: and Bob Scucci. We have loads and loads of reviews, 19 00:01:16,120 --> 00:01:18,600 Speaker 1: so thank you for that. Later in the show we 20 00:01:18,680 --> 00:01:22,840 Speaker 1: will read our favorites, but there can only be one winner. 21 00:01:23,120 --> 00:01:28,279 Speaker 1: The listener will be revealed. Also, we are doing another 22 00:01:28,640 --> 00:01:32,560 Speaker 1: phrase that pays contest same practice. Go rate and review 23 00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 1: the podcast. Use the phrase Simon the Genius professional Better says. 24 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:41,000 Speaker 1: If we choose your review, you will win one of 25 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:43,400 Speaker 1: Simon's favorite plays of the year, honest to God. And 26 00:01:43,400 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 1: you're gonna hear about all these in the podcast, how 27 00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:49,000 Speaker 1: important these are, and like these are Simon's massive money plays. 28 00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:51,120 Speaker 1: He makes three or four of these every year. You 29 00:01:51,160 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 1: will get one of them. Use the phrase Simon the 30 00:01:55,800 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 1: Genius professional Better says in the review, and you will 31 00:02:00,040 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 1: get one of his best plays of the year. Finally, 32 00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:05,960 Speaker 1: don't forget to listen to the Action Network podcast. We 33 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 1: are going nearly every day now NFL Fantasy with Chris Raybon, 34 00:02:10,560 --> 00:02:15,040 Speaker 1: Shaun Corner, Matthew Freedman, College football was Stucky and Colin Wilson, 35 00:02:15,600 --> 00:02:18,240 Speaker 1: Golf with Jason Suli, with Peter Jennings, and our newest 36 00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:21,160 Speaker 1: member of the Action Team, Amanda Rose. Listen to them 37 00:02:21,200 --> 00:02:25,600 Speaker 1: all make some money. But now at last, Signon Hunter 38 00:02:29,680 --> 00:02:34,959 Speaker 1: and now a word from a wise guy with Simon Hunter. 39 00:02:38,080 --> 00:02:39,640 Speaker 1: And I just want people to know I didn't come 40 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:42,600 Speaker 1: up with that humble uh saying calling myself a genius. 41 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:45,840 Speaker 1: I'm no genius, but I try my best. Simon the 42 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:50,160 Speaker 1: Genius Professional Better says, get it. I did sort of 43 00:02:50,160 --> 00:02:54,040 Speaker 1: a little play on. Simon says, I like that. I 44 00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:56,440 Speaker 1: do like that. Use that phrase in your review and 45 00:02:56,480 --> 00:02:58,480 Speaker 1: you will get one of Simon's favorite players of the year, 46 00:02:58,520 --> 00:03:00,800 Speaker 1: and you'll probably want a lot of money. You're on 47 00:03:00,840 --> 00:03:02,639 Speaker 1: the beach, or at least you were on the beach today. 48 00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:05,840 Speaker 1: I was on the beach. Now I'm back in South Jersey. 49 00:03:06,040 --> 00:03:08,560 Speaker 1: I at least I've been able to stay occupied during 50 00:03:08,600 --> 00:03:11,320 Speaker 1: this Uh. I tried it tough without for a month, 51 00:03:11,680 --> 00:03:13,239 Speaker 1: um and doing nothing, and then I got to the 52 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:14,639 Speaker 1: point where it's like, all right, I just need to 53 00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:16,720 Speaker 1: be outside and do something like every time. I can't 54 00:03:16,760 --> 00:03:19,440 Speaker 1: just keep looking at my laptop all day every day. Well, 55 00:03:19,440 --> 00:03:22,280 Speaker 1: so that's my question, Like, who knows what's going to 56 00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:25,959 Speaker 1: happen with the NFL season? Right? So is it hard 57 00:03:26,080 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 1: to get motivated every day to do the work, to 58 00:03:29,320 --> 00:03:32,320 Speaker 1: like get yourself in front of a computer and research. 59 00:03:32,880 --> 00:03:34,640 Speaker 1: I think it's like what everyone goes through is you 60 00:03:34,680 --> 00:03:37,280 Speaker 1: have highs and lows um with whatever you're doing in life, 61 00:03:37,280 --> 00:03:40,600 Speaker 1: but when you really love what you do, like I do, Honestly, 62 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:42,720 Speaker 1: the hardest part of My job is the off season 63 00:03:42,720 --> 00:03:46,200 Speaker 1: where it's just I'm just itching for games and prepping 64 00:03:46,280 --> 00:03:48,240 Speaker 1: for this season, and it's kind of a routine that 65 00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:50,119 Speaker 1: I'm used to every off season. With this season, I've 66 00:03:50,120 --> 00:03:52,960 Speaker 1: had to do I would say, two different models already 67 00:03:53,080 --> 00:03:56,000 Speaker 1: on just predicting what lines will be without fans and 68 00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:59,440 Speaker 1: which teams will be affected negatively and positively. And it's 69 00:03:59,480 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 1: really kind have been a world wind where it's taking 70 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:04,400 Speaker 1: a lot of adjustment. It's a lot of unease going 71 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:06,680 Speaker 1: into the season because I'm usually confident in my system 72 00:04:06,720 --> 00:04:09,480 Speaker 1: and now with this unknown is coming up, it feels 73 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:11,600 Speaker 1: like it's gonna be a fun, weird adjustment for the 74 00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 1: first four weeks of the season. If there is football, 75 00:04:14,360 --> 00:04:17,559 Speaker 1: all right, You just used three words that I would 76 00:04:17,560 --> 00:04:20,320 Speaker 1: not think about. How Like, if you are a better 77 00:04:20,480 --> 00:04:23,760 Speaker 1: and you're a creature of habit trying to figure out 78 00:04:23,800 --> 00:04:25,720 Speaker 1: how you're going to make money this year and having 79 00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:29,960 Speaker 1: so many unknowns, you use the word fun. What about 80 00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:33,960 Speaker 1: any of this? And I'm not judging it in any way, 81 00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:36,000 Speaker 1: but like that to me speaks to how much you 82 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:39,080 Speaker 1: love what you're doing. Break that down, Yeah, you gotta 83 00:04:39,160 --> 00:04:41,960 Speaker 1: be a little bit of a nerd. If you you 84 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:43,520 Speaker 1: want to do this shift that you just gotta love 85 00:04:43,600 --> 00:04:47,200 Speaker 1: numbers and trying to find the little value in the 86 00:04:47,200 --> 00:04:49,400 Speaker 1: little niches that people are overlooking. I can give you 87 00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:51,640 Speaker 1: an edge and what you're trying to do. I really 88 00:04:51,720 --> 00:04:54,479 Speaker 1: enjoyed the sense that it's fun seeing players that I 89 00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:56,320 Speaker 1: know we're gonna take a leap for the following the 90 00:04:56,400 --> 00:04:59,040 Speaker 1: upcoming season, and then other people aren't seeing that, and 91 00:04:59,080 --> 00:05:02,000 Speaker 1: I capitalized and that value on those teams. If you 92 00:05:02,160 --> 00:05:07,719 Speaker 1: really don't like numbers and lots of data plugging and pulling, 93 00:05:07,760 --> 00:05:10,159 Speaker 1: and I mean it is a grind. I'm not gonna lie, 94 00:05:10,240 --> 00:05:12,440 Speaker 1: but it gives you such comfort in the season where 95 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:14,920 Speaker 1: it's like I know what I'm doing, I trust my system. 96 00:05:14,960 --> 00:05:18,800 Speaker 1: Where like a funny example was last year during the playoffs, 97 00:05:18,839 --> 00:05:21,679 Speaker 1: I gave out to all these lovely fans of ours. 98 00:05:21,800 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 1: I told him I loved the Titans, and I had 99 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:25,760 Speaker 1: the game of three and a half and I said, 100 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:27,279 Speaker 1: there was value on the money line and this is 101 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:29,400 Speaker 1: against the Ravens in the playoffs. This is there's I 102 00:05:29,440 --> 00:05:31,240 Speaker 1: had the number three and a half, so the line 103 00:05:31,240 --> 00:05:33,240 Speaker 1: on the market was ten a half eleven, So I 104 00:05:33,240 --> 00:05:34,880 Speaker 1: had that confidence for I was putting that number out 105 00:05:34,880 --> 00:05:36,960 Speaker 1: and telling people take the Titans, take the Titans money 106 00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:39,440 Speaker 1: aline against the Ravens. I might have got maybe like 107 00:05:39,600 --> 00:05:42,760 Speaker 1: ten likes on the post and just fifty d M 108 00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:44,719 Speaker 1: s or messages saying how a bunch of an idiot 109 00:05:44,760 --> 00:05:48,160 Speaker 1: I was, how there's no no smart person would waste 110 00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:51,960 Speaker 1: their money on taking the Titans. So obviously the Titans win, 111 00:05:52,200 --> 00:05:54,000 Speaker 1: and maybe three of those people message me like a 112 00:05:54,200 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 1: call like great hit. And the finally week I had 113 00:05:57,120 --> 00:06:00,360 Speaker 1: Kansas City as a fourteen point favorite or third team 114 00:06:00,440 --> 00:06:03,440 Speaker 1: against the Titans. Same people back in my d M 115 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:05,920 Speaker 1: new idiot, how can you under the Titans like this? 116 00:06:06,320 --> 00:06:08,240 Speaker 1: The line seven and a half. There's no way they're 117 00:06:08,279 --> 00:06:09,960 Speaker 1: going to beat them by six and a half points. 118 00:06:10,279 --> 00:06:12,680 Speaker 1: I think Kansas City was up eighteen and Titans got 119 00:06:12,680 --> 00:06:15,200 Speaker 1: a late junk touchdown to put it to eleven. But 120 00:06:15,240 --> 00:06:17,000 Speaker 1: it's just one of those where I was dead on 121 00:06:17,080 --> 00:06:19,480 Speaker 1: and like if when you see the results like that, 122 00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:22,680 Speaker 1: it it pushed like there's days and when I'm struggling 123 00:06:22,680 --> 00:06:24,080 Speaker 1: to do it and I don't feel like doing work 124 00:06:24,080 --> 00:06:26,159 Speaker 1: and I'm just thinking myself, those are what you live for. 125 00:06:26,240 --> 00:06:28,679 Speaker 1: Those moments. So if you see a huge advantage in lines, 126 00:06:29,080 --> 00:06:31,640 Speaker 1: and you hit it big and everyone who it's it 127 00:06:31,720 --> 00:06:34,280 Speaker 1: with you is just in that zone where holy hell, 128 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:36,760 Speaker 1: that's a great read. So it's a good feeling, alright. 129 00:06:36,800 --> 00:06:38,760 Speaker 1: So the purpose of this conversation is to figure out 130 00:06:39,040 --> 00:06:44,120 Speaker 1: how you get from this moment now to that moment 131 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:46,120 Speaker 1: at the end of the year where you're so comfortable 132 00:06:46,160 --> 00:06:49,280 Speaker 1: that you understand this in a way nobody else's. And 133 00:06:49,320 --> 00:06:52,039 Speaker 1: you said, like, one of the things is you look 134 00:06:52,680 --> 00:06:55,479 Speaker 1: to see about players you think are going to step 135 00:06:55,560 --> 00:06:58,680 Speaker 1: up that nobody else is recognized yet who are some 136 00:06:58,720 --> 00:07:00,920 Speaker 1: of those players? How have you identify when you look 137 00:07:00,960 --> 00:07:03,080 Speaker 1: at stuff and you're trying to find players of big jumps, 138 00:07:03,240 --> 00:07:05,480 Speaker 1: you should always just start with the quarterback, especially when 139 00:07:05,480 --> 00:07:08,120 Speaker 1: you're doing systems like this where that is by far 140 00:07:08,200 --> 00:07:11,680 Speaker 1: the most important position. Barton one, if if really flips 141 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:14,400 Speaker 1: games and flips lines that in other sports, I mean, 142 00:07:14,440 --> 00:07:17,400 Speaker 1: I guess goalie for hockey and pitching for baseball can 143 00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:20,720 Speaker 1: have that. But it's incredible how important to the line 144 00:07:20,720 --> 00:07:24,120 Speaker 1: a good quarterback is and what you're doing for upcoming season. 145 00:07:24,160 --> 00:07:25,880 Speaker 1: I'm trying to find those dimes in the rough. These 146 00:07:25,960 --> 00:07:28,440 Speaker 1: quarterbacks are gonna take that next step and we've already 147 00:07:28,440 --> 00:07:30,840 Speaker 1: covered in a couple other ones where Kyler Murray, when 148 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:33,760 Speaker 1: you watch this kid's tape and just all the numbers, 149 00:07:33,840 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 1: he is a freak. He is truly incredible his style 150 00:07:37,480 --> 00:07:39,640 Speaker 1: and in that offense, how it's gonna be opened up. 151 00:07:39,920 --> 00:07:42,200 Speaker 1: That's a that's a big one where most of the 152 00:07:42,200 --> 00:07:44,800 Speaker 1: fantasy community and the gambling community, they're on the Cardinals. 153 00:07:44,800 --> 00:07:47,280 Speaker 1: They see that this kid is the real deal, and 154 00:07:47,320 --> 00:07:49,600 Speaker 1: now it's a really hard division, and that's why people 155 00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:51,360 Speaker 1: are a little you know, they're backing down from that 156 00:07:51,400 --> 00:07:53,160 Speaker 1: because they're saying how they're going to pass the forty 157 00:07:53,240 --> 00:07:56,480 Speaker 1: nine and Seahawks. But a kid like Kyler Murray, another 158 00:07:56,560 --> 00:07:59,040 Speaker 1: kid like Drew Lock for Denverse. These are kids where 159 00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:00,560 Speaker 1: the numbers are saying at the at the end of 160 00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:03,560 Speaker 1: the year, once they got over the rookie wall and 161 00:08:03,560 --> 00:08:05,480 Speaker 1: they kind of we're able to start slowing games down, 162 00:08:05,600 --> 00:08:08,840 Speaker 1: reading the defenses, you should see a huge jump. And 163 00:08:08,920 --> 00:08:13,320 Speaker 1: their offenses and their gms have both supported them this offseason, 164 00:08:13,360 --> 00:08:16,000 Speaker 1: where Denver's offense has only gotten better, adding two weapons 165 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:18,920 Speaker 1: and a wide receiver and running back. And we're looking 166 00:08:18,960 --> 00:08:21,680 Speaker 1: at Arizona adding Dia the best receiver in the league, 167 00:08:21,720 --> 00:08:24,320 Speaker 1: So you really have to have confidence in both these 168 00:08:24,360 --> 00:08:27,160 Speaker 1: young quarterbacks coming in this season. Al right, So you're 169 00:08:27,160 --> 00:08:31,400 Speaker 1: talking about DeAndre Hopkins and and like going to the Cardinals. Now, 170 00:08:32,360 --> 00:08:35,120 Speaker 1: you just mentioned every single time you say something, it 171 00:08:35,160 --> 00:08:37,679 Speaker 1: brings up a question that I think is like you're 172 00:08:37,760 --> 00:08:40,400 Speaker 1: leading me down the path here. You mentioned the Seahawks 173 00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:43,240 Speaker 1: and the Niners. You mentioned Kyler Murray and the Cardinals. 174 00:08:43,679 --> 00:08:46,560 Speaker 1: Everybody in fantasy and gambling loves Kyler Murray. You said 175 00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:49,760 Speaker 1: that everyone in gambles, fantasy and gambling loves the Cardinals. 176 00:08:49,840 --> 00:08:54,240 Speaker 1: Right now, do you think there's also some identification of 177 00:08:54,400 --> 00:08:58,040 Speaker 1: likely regression for the Seahawks and the Niners because of 178 00:08:58,600 --> 00:09:00,800 Speaker 1: what some numbers said about what they did last year 179 00:09:00,800 --> 00:09:04,160 Speaker 1: and potentially overperforming. Uh, well, the funny numbers when the 180 00:09:04,160 --> 00:09:06,959 Speaker 1: Seahawks just said they were lucky. But it's it's just 181 00:09:06,960 --> 00:09:10,080 Speaker 1: because the numbers don't get that. Russell Wilson is arguably 182 00:09:10,080 --> 00:09:12,400 Speaker 1: one of the best quarterbacks we've ever seen, and he 183 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:15,520 Speaker 1: just never dies. He's always swinging. He could be down 184 00:09:15,559 --> 00:09:18,200 Speaker 1: fourteen and he is just gonna keep running and throwing 185 00:09:18,280 --> 00:09:22,120 Speaker 1: deep balls and taking shots. And my system always hates 186 00:09:22,240 --> 00:09:26,400 Speaker 1: the Seahawks especially last year. I think then and Uh 187 00:09:26,559 --> 00:09:29,560 Speaker 1: it might have been the Browns for the two two 188 00:09:29,559 --> 00:09:31,360 Speaker 1: worst reads for me when every week I was on 189 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:33,319 Speaker 1: the wrong side with them. I couldn't couldn't kind of 190 00:09:33,360 --> 00:09:36,360 Speaker 1: couldn't hold it down because every year I track how 191 00:09:36,400 --> 00:09:39,000 Speaker 1: I do with teams and coaches, and that's a little 192 00:09:39,559 --> 00:09:41,560 Speaker 1: it sounds weird, but you will find a few track 193 00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:45,360 Speaker 1: different teams and coaches, Like there's certain teams and coaches 194 00:09:45,360 --> 00:09:47,040 Speaker 1: that no matter what, you're always gonna be on the 195 00:09:47,080 --> 00:09:50,880 Speaker 1: wrong side of. It's just a weird algorithm and the 196 00:09:50,920 --> 00:09:54,320 Speaker 1: fact that you're just reading them wrong. And so last 197 00:09:54,360 --> 00:09:57,680 Speaker 1: year the Seahawks they had I think it was ten 198 00:09:57,720 --> 00:10:00,199 Speaker 1: games asided by seven points or less, and they like 199 00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:03,160 Speaker 1: nine of them, and the Cowboys and the options side 200 00:10:03,160 --> 00:10:06,959 Speaker 1: of the spectrum were like four in uh four and 201 00:10:07,080 --> 00:10:11,000 Speaker 1: seven and seven point games where diesel things flip seasons, 202 00:10:11,000 --> 00:10:13,240 Speaker 1: where people are looking at Seahawks coming off all those 203 00:10:13,240 --> 00:10:15,800 Speaker 1: wins last year and they're betting them this year thinking 204 00:10:15,800 --> 00:10:18,640 Speaker 1: they'll have the same luck, where I'm thinking they won't. 205 00:10:19,280 --> 00:10:21,880 Speaker 1: And a different team with the forty niners, is that 206 00:10:21,960 --> 00:10:25,040 Speaker 1: their defense, if you look at the numbers, just carried 207 00:10:25,080 --> 00:10:27,679 Speaker 1: them for the first eight weeks and when they got 208 00:10:27,800 --> 00:10:30,280 Speaker 1: hurt a lot of their d linemen. They kind of 209 00:10:30,320 --> 00:10:31,920 Speaker 1: had a lot of games that were close and they 210 00:10:31,960 --> 00:10:33,800 Speaker 1: were really blowing teams out and teams are coming back 211 00:10:33,840 --> 00:10:36,360 Speaker 1: on them, Like that game they dropped to Atlanta, they 212 00:10:36,360 --> 00:10:38,439 Speaker 1: were just banged up at home. Their whole defense was 213 00:10:38,480 --> 00:10:40,920 Speaker 1: hurt Atlanta. Atlanta took a tune and they beat him. 214 00:10:40,920 --> 00:10:42,839 Speaker 1: When Atlanta was I don't know. I think they were 215 00:10:42,880 --> 00:10:45,800 Speaker 1: like three and ten at the time. And that's one 216 00:10:45,840 --> 00:10:47,640 Speaker 1: of those things we're looking at the forty niners is 217 00:10:47,640 --> 00:10:50,360 Speaker 1: they don't have much turnover their defense, so they should 218 00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:52,880 Speaker 1: come back good. But like we were just talking about, 219 00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:55,400 Speaker 1: they their final game of the year came down to 220 00:10:55,440 --> 00:10:56,839 Speaker 1: one play at the one yard line for them to 221 00:10:56,840 --> 00:10:58,840 Speaker 1: get the number one seed instead of being the five seed. 222 00:10:59,280 --> 00:11:01,200 Speaker 1: So it's one of those are people I get it 223 00:11:01,200 --> 00:11:03,000 Speaker 1: they're gonna back the four niners, but they don't get 224 00:11:03,040 --> 00:11:04,520 Speaker 1: how many if they go through all the numbers. They 225 00:11:04,559 --> 00:11:07,439 Speaker 1: had so many games where they they flipped and one 226 00:11:07,480 --> 00:11:09,120 Speaker 1: at the end of the games where the following year, 227 00:11:09,160 --> 00:11:11,199 Speaker 1: you just can't count on those kind of things, right. Well, 228 00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:13,560 Speaker 1: I think a lot of people are already thinking about 229 00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:17,520 Speaker 1: are the Niners equivalent to the Ramps? You know the 230 00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:19,720 Speaker 1: Ramps who two years ago went to the Super Bowl 231 00:11:19,760 --> 00:11:21,640 Speaker 1: and the next year like couldn't make the playoffs and 232 00:11:21,679 --> 00:11:25,400 Speaker 1: they had such a steep decline. And I've already seen 233 00:11:25,520 --> 00:11:31,000 Speaker 1: sort of some Pythagrian theorem columns about the Niners becoming 234 00:11:31,000 --> 00:11:34,319 Speaker 1: that kind of team, right, I'm just against it because 235 00:11:34,880 --> 00:11:37,480 Speaker 1: with the the Rams, the writing was a little bit 236 00:11:37,480 --> 00:11:39,920 Speaker 1: on the wall that they had all these big personalities 237 00:11:40,160 --> 00:11:43,480 Speaker 1: and that Super Bowl anger was kind of predictable with them, 238 00:11:43,559 --> 00:11:46,320 Speaker 1: Like I think most people were down on them, like 239 00:11:46,400 --> 00:11:49,400 Speaker 1: most pros were taking their unders, and I just didn't 240 00:11:49,440 --> 00:11:51,400 Speaker 1: really like the way the Rams were coming in the 241 00:11:51,440 --> 00:11:54,640 Speaker 1: last season where the four ninners and Shanahan, Yeah, he 242 00:11:54,720 --> 00:11:57,080 Speaker 1: chokes in the Super Bowls. I mean, I can't argue 243 00:11:57,080 --> 00:11:59,199 Speaker 1: with people on that. He both times he's been the 244 00:11:59,200 --> 00:12:01,040 Speaker 1: Super Bowl, he's let teams come back on them and 245 00:12:01,080 --> 00:12:03,719 Speaker 1: beat them by not running a good offense. But as 246 00:12:03,720 --> 00:12:06,400 Speaker 1: a numbers guy, there's a few teams more fun and 247 00:12:06,480 --> 00:12:09,280 Speaker 1: enjoyable doing notes on in the forty Niners and his offense, 248 00:12:09,360 --> 00:12:12,120 Speaker 1: his run schemes, I mean he's doing run schemes from 249 00:12:12,120 --> 00:12:15,440 Speaker 1: the nineteen fifties and they're working because people just aren't 250 00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:17,560 Speaker 1: used to that style on the fullback play that he does. 251 00:12:18,080 --> 00:12:19,760 Speaker 1: So I actually still have confidence in them. I just 252 00:12:19,760 --> 00:12:21,559 Speaker 1: don't like I think they're all runners ten or ten 253 00:12:21,559 --> 00:12:23,200 Speaker 1: and a half. I don't that that's high for me, 254 00:12:23,280 --> 00:12:25,480 Speaker 1: so I'll be on their Underbut I do like, I 255 00:12:25,520 --> 00:12:27,520 Speaker 1: do still like them compared to what the rams were 256 00:12:27,559 --> 00:12:29,760 Speaker 1: the following year. Alright, I got one more question I 257 00:12:29,800 --> 00:12:32,200 Speaker 1: want to ask you before we get into the like 258 00:12:32,480 --> 00:12:35,320 Speaker 1: nuts and bolts and nitty gritty of like what it's 259 00:12:35,360 --> 00:12:37,199 Speaker 1: like to be a professional better and how to do 260 00:12:37,280 --> 00:12:39,600 Speaker 1: some of the things you do. Is people start to 261 00:12:39,720 --> 00:12:42,480 Speaker 1: think about how do I manage bankroll? How do I 262 00:12:42,520 --> 00:12:45,520 Speaker 1: think about putting together a portfolio on a week to 263 00:12:45,559 --> 00:12:48,320 Speaker 1: week basis, all those kinds of things you mentioned right 264 00:12:48,320 --> 00:12:51,280 Speaker 1: off the top. When you're putting together your rankings right now. 265 00:12:51,360 --> 00:12:53,079 Speaker 1: One of the things that's sort of fun and interesting 266 00:12:53,080 --> 00:12:58,000 Speaker 1: about this is you're the way you're judging teams and 267 00:12:58,040 --> 00:13:01,400 Speaker 1: how they will perform with fans or without fans. How 268 00:13:01,440 --> 00:13:04,760 Speaker 1: could you possibly be accounting for that from a numbers 269 00:13:04,800 --> 00:13:09,360 Speaker 1: tangible numbers perspective. I think most people do the baseline 270 00:13:09,360 --> 00:13:12,559 Speaker 1: of three for home field. So that's the old school. 271 00:13:13,200 --> 00:13:15,199 Speaker 1: The line will always put in three points to take 272 00:13:15,240 --> 00:13:17,720 Speaker 1: into account for home field advantage. Most people can do 273 00:13:17,720 --> 00:13:19,960 Speaker 1: the basic thing where they're looking at teams that are bad, 274 00:13:20,360 --> 00:13:23,680 Speaker 1: like the Ings or the Chargers where they don't have 275 00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:27,000 Speaker 1: home field or the Dolphins. They don't have regardless of 276 00:13:27,040 --> 00:13:29,640 Speaker 1: start with, but it's actually benefiting them because now they're 277 00:13:29,640 --> 00:13:33,040 Speaker 1: not getting other teams fans in their stadiums, so teams 278 00:13:33,040 --> 00:13:35,719 Speaker 1: likes aren't very good. That's a big boost that have 279 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:38,800 Speaker 1: not having to worry about playing sixty and road games 280 00:13:38,800 --> 00:13:41,240 Speaker 1: a year. I mean, that's one of those teams where 281 00:13:41,800 --> 00:13:44,079 Speaker 1: some I've talked to some sharp especiallyized in Vegas, and 282 00:13:44,080 --> 00:13:46,319 Speaker 1: a lot of these guys are loving where my numbers 283 00:13:46,320 --> 00:13:48,400 Speaker 1: say they're gonna push or beyond there. They're loving them 284 00:13:48,400 --> 00:13:50,680 Speaker 1: because they love that d line. They think Haskins could 285 00:13:50,679 --> 00:13:52,800 Speaker 1: take another take a step you over there where it's 286 00:13:52,800 --> 00:13:56,400 Speaker 1: a slow down running offense quick passes, They're not gonna 287 00:13:56,480 --> 00:13:59,720 Speaker 1: have to adjust much with crowd noise. I mean, this 288 00:13:59,800 --> 00:14:02,080 Speaker 1: is the kids second year, so going from him being 289 00:14:02,080 --> 00:14:04,520 Speaker 1: in sixteen road games to just being in a practice 290 00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:07,320 Speaker 1: kind of feeling, that's a big deal for Theirs. So 291 00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:09,320 Speaker 1: those are the kind of teams where people they need 292 00:14:09,360 --> 00:14:11,840 Speaker 1: to go through and try to figure out what's the 293 00:14:11,840 --> 00:14:14,560 Speaker 1: weight for the home field to these teams. And like, 294 00:14:14,600 --> 00:14:16,600 Speaker 1: the funny thing was, like I I the Seahawks. I 295 00:14:16,600 --> 00:14:18,440 Speaker 1: thought that was gonna be a big weight home field 296 00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:20,160 Speaker 1: a bans for them. It's actually not as good as 297 00:14:20,160 --> 00:14:22,000 Speaker 1: people think. The last three or four years here, a 298 00:14:22,000 --> 00:14:24,880 Speaker 1: lot of their home home games are one score games, 299 00:14:25,120 --> 00:14:27,000 Speaker 1: and it seems like on the road is when the 300 00:14:27,000 --> 00:14:30,000 Speaker 1: Seahawks are really blown teams out. So I actually didn't great, 301 00:14:30,040 --> 00:14:31,880 Speaker 1: they didn't. Don't think they made my top five of 302 00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:34,640 Speaker 1: like most lost points for home field. The one that 303 00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:38,680 Speaker 1: really stuck out was the Chiefs and the Eagles as 304 00:14:38,680 --> 00:14:41,000 Speaker 1: teams that lost four or five points for home field, 305 00:14:41,320 --> 00:14:43,760 Speaker 1: but at the same time their quarterbacks are gaining then 306 00:14:44,520 --> 00:14:46,200 Speaker 1: that much points back, so it's not that big of 307 00:14:46,200 --> 00:14:48,880 Speaker 1: a loss, all right. Number one, you can't say the 308 00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:54,360 Speaker 1: Redskins anymore. Oh right, I've been under a rock, buddy, Yeah, 309 00:14:54,440 --> 00:14:55,840 Speaker 1: I know that whole thing is going on. Did they 310 00:14:55,880 --> 00:14:57,640 Speaker 1: have a new name yet? I don't think they have 311 00:14:57,640 --> 00:15:00,280 Speaker 1: a new name. But Matt Mitchell just bleep out every 312 00:15:00,280 --> 00:15:03,040 Speaker 1: single time he says that would be good. All right. 313 00:15:03,080 --> 00:15:05,640 Speaker 1: So you mentioned there are five teams and your top 314 00:15:05,680 --> 00:15:09,640 Speaker 1: five of sort of biggest losers. When it comes to 315 00:15:09,680 --> 00:15:13,240 Speaker 1: no fans, who are they? I had the Bills, the Cowboys, 316 00:15:13,280 --> 00:15:16,360 Speaker 1: the Eagles, the Chiefs, and this this one was just 317 00:15:16,440 --> 00:15:18,320 Speaker 1: random me because just because do they really have a 318 00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:20,640 Speaker 1: home field? But it was the Browns. It doesn't make 319 00:15:20,680 --> 00:15:23,720 Speaker 1: sense for the Browns graded out. They play way better 320 00:15:23,800 --> 00:15:26,000 Speaker 1: at home than on the road. All right, So the 321 00:15:26,000 --> 00:15:28,200 Speaker 1: way you're figuring this house is like, these are the 322 00:15:28,240 --> 00:15:31,440 Speaker 1: teams that tend to perform better when they're at home, 323 00:15:31,640 --> 00:15:35,000 Speaker 1: and so there is some kind of advantage. Big Way 324 00:15:35,120 --> 00:15:38,560 Speaker 1: was sorry, it's comebacks. So I was looking That's what 325 00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:40,280 Speaker 1: I was really looking for his teams. I get down 326 00:15:40,320 --> 00:15:42,360 Speaker 1: the second or third quarter and then come back at home. 327 00:15:42,800 --> 00:15:44,360 Speaker 1: Because I do think that has something to do with 328 00:15:44,360 --> 00:15:48,080 Speaker 1: crowd momentum of people champing, because if anyone played sports, 329 00:15:48,600 --> 00:15:50,880 Speaker 1: there is a different feeling of your at home and 330 00:15:50,920 --> 00:15:52,800 Speaker 1: people are backing you and everyone's with you, and then 331 00:15:52,840 --> 00:15:54,720 Speaker 1: you're on the road and everyone hates you and you're 332 00:15:54,720 --> 00:15:56,960 Speaker 1: going against them you wanted to hate you. So those 333 00:15:56,960 --> 00:16:00,480 Speaker 1: are two really weird different sensations that you motivate athletes. 334 00:16:00,760 --> 00:16:02,680 Speaker 1: So that's why I think I said on Twitter the 335 00:16:02,720 --> 00:16:05,520 Speaker 1: live betting this year, it's gonna be so weird and 336 00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:07,480 Speaker 1: hard to figure out what to do with these teams, 337 00:16:07,680 --> 00:16:09,560 Speaker 1: because who knows how teams are gonna play when they're down. 338 00:16:09,560 --> 00:16:11,800 Speaker 1: Maybe they just give up because no one, no one cares, 339 00:16:11,800 --> 00:16:13,480 Speaker 1: no one's yelling out of, no one's cheering. It's it's 340 00:16:13,520 --> 00:16:15,440 Speaker 1: just gonna be weird, all right. So then who are 341 00:16:15,480 --> 00:16:19,160 Speaker 1: the teams that gain the most from not having fans. 342 00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:24,000 Speaker 1: You've already mentioned the the Voldemort from Washington, the unmentionable, 343 00:16:24,280 --> 00:16:26,120 Speaker 1: But who are the teams that get the most benefit. 344 00:16:26,320 --> 00:16:28,120 Speaker 1: It's gonna be exactly what people think. It's gonna be 345 00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:31,240 Speaker 1: the bad team. So it's gonna be the Miami keep 346 00:16:31,320 --> 00:16:33,320 Speaker 1: saying that. I'm so sorry, man, I gotta I gotta 347 00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:34,880 Speaker 1: call them whatever their new name is, the Red Tails 348 00:16:34,960 --> 00:16:37,640 Speaker 1: or whatever, apologize to me. I'm just kidding with you, 349 00:16:37,680 --> 00:16:39,880 Speaker 1: bet I know I feel back because I do know 350 00:16:39,920 --> 00:16:41,760 Speaker 1: people are offended by it. I like, I'm not I'm 351 00:16:41,760 --> 00:16:45,120 Speaker 1: not trying to be that guy. The Jaguars like these 352 00:16:45,160 --> 00:16:48,520 Speaker 1: teams that they never really sell out, like the number 353 00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:51,000 Speaker 1: one team was easily the Chargers because they literally haven't 354 00:16:51,000 --> 00:16:53,760 Speaker 1: played a home games since they left San Diego, and 355 00:16:53,800 --> 00:16:56,600 Speaker 1: it was funny where if they started Tyrod Taylor, I 356 00:16:56,720 --> 00:17:00,400 Speaker 1: actually do like they're they're over for the season, but 357 00:17:00,520 --> 00:17:02,480 Speaker 1: I don't think that's gonna happen. I don't think Tyrod's 358 00:17:02,480 --> 00:17:04,840 Speaker 1: playing alright. I want to get to uh, I want 359 00:17:04,880 --> 00:17:06,720 Speaker 1: to get to the one on one here, but first 360 00:17:06,800 --> 00:17:09,920 Speaker 1: let me remind everybody that we are doing another phrase 361 00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:14,119 Speaker 1: that pays contest save practices last week go rate and 362 00:17:14,160 --> 00:17:18,639 Speaker 1: review the podcast using the phrase. Simon the Genius Professional 363 00:17:18,720 --> 00:17:23,560 Speaker 1: Better says. Simon the Genius Professional Better says, if we 364 00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:28,160 Speaker 1: choose your review, you will win Simon for one week. 365 00:17:28,200 --> 00:17:30,520 Speaker 1: You will get one of his favorite plays of the year. 366 00:17:30,560 --> 00:17:32,760 Speaker 1: He makes three or four of these plays every year. 367 00:17:33,080 --> 00:17:35,440 Speaker 1: You will get one of them. He will give you. 368 00:17:35,720 --> 00:17:39,600 Speaker 1: He is a professional better. Simon the Genius Professional Better says, 369 00:17:39,680 --> 00:17:41,800 Speaker 1: he is a professional better. He will give you one 370 00:17:41,840 --> 00:17:43,760 Speaker 1: of his favorite plays of the year. That is a 371 00:17:43,840 --> 00:17:47,239 Speaker 1: real gift. It's a good deal. Um. I gave it 372 00:17:47,280 --> 00:17:49,280 Speaker 1: to a guy last year, one of your fans who 373 00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:51,439 Speaker 1: was like one of the five people that time. I 374 00:17:51,440 --> 00:17:53,800 Speaker 1: found my Twitter account on there when I was tracking 375 00:17:53,880 --> 00:17:57,480 Speaker 1: your guys picks and uh, just every week was common 376 00:17:57,520 --> 00:17:59,160 Speaker 1: all my stuff and I said, hey man, I gotta, 377 00:17:59,200 --> 00:18:01,080 Speaker 1: I gotta one can put your whole account on it's 378 00:18:01,080 --> 00:18:03,680 Speaker 1: gonna hit. And uh, I just felt it's just a 379 00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:05,840 Speaker 1: good feeling and these like you know, normal people reach 380 00:18:05,840 --> 00:18:07,480 Speaker 1: out there just like thank you so much, Like I 381 00:18:07,560 --> 00:18:09,359 Speaker 1: just paid rent for this must it's a good feeling, 382 00:18:09,800 --> 00:18:12,080 Speaker 1: all right. Listen, normal people are reaching out all the time, 383 00:18:12,080 --> 00:18:15,399 Speaker 1: and they're listening right now. When you are becoming a 384 00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:19,080 Speaker 1: professional better, what is the best first habit you need 385 00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:22,639 Speaker 1: to develop? So there there there are so many and 386 00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:25,399 Speaker 1: like I've always told people, you always need to be 387 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:28,879 Speaker 1: learning and evolving in this field. There is no right method. 388 00:18:29,200 --> 00:18:32,080 Speaker 1: And people, more often than not that've been in long 389 00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:34,480 Speaker 1: enough they'll have good advice for you there. If they've 390 00:18:34,520 --> 00:18:36,119 Speaker 1: been doing it for long enough and they've made it 391 00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:38,239 Speaker 1: through everything, they're gonna be pretty good at what they 392 00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:39,760 Speaker 1: do because there's not many of us that do this. 393 00:18:40,080 --> 00:18:43,760 Speaker 1: Um My first advice I ever got was to realize 394 00:18:43,760 --> 00:18:46,359 Speaker 1: that you're the one that has the control, your in power. 395 00:18:46,840 --> 00:18:49,359 Speaker 1: You don't have to do anything you don't want to do. 396 00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:51,680 Speaker 1: The sports book isn't making you go there, you don't 397 00:18:51,720 --> 00:18:54,720 Speaker 1: have to bet that game. You need to really, if 398 00:18:54,720 --> 00:18:56,800 Speaker 1: you want to take this serious and you want to 399 00:18:56,800 --> 00:18:58,600 Speaker 1: through this as a part time hobby that you want 400 00:18:58,640 --> 00:19:01,119 Speaker 1: to make extra mindy aside, you realize you need to 401 00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:03,199 Speaker 1: pick and choose your spot. You can't be waking up 402 00:19:03,240 --> 00:19:05,840 Speaker 1: every morning betting the same amount in every single game. 403 00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:08,440 Speaker 1: I know a lot of people are using the one 404 00:19:08,560 --> 00:19:10,840 Speaker 1: unit method, Like you have a hundred units whatever your 405 00:19:10,840 --> 00:19:13,760 Speaker 1: bank roll list, and these people just each game, they're 406 00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:16,879 Speaker 1: using one unit on each game. That's not how you're 407 00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:19,119 Speaker 1: gonna make money doing what we do. You need to 408 00:19:20,600 --> 00:19:23,000 Speaker 1: There's gonna be times where I'll have a game, I'm 409 00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:25,120 Speaker 1: gonna put a grand on it, and then if I'm 410 00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:27,680 Speaker 1: watching this basketball game he's upcoming basketball games, I might 411 00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:29,560 Speaker 1: throw fifty or twenty dollars on that. You need to 412 00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:31,480 Speaker 1: know how to manage your money. And that's the most 413 00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:34,680 Speaker 1: important part for starting out, is that we're trying to 414 00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 1: build a bank roll. You're not like these people that 415 00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:40,000 Speaker 1: tweet out these guys winning millions and hundreds of thousand dollars. 416 00:19:40,040 --> 00:19:43,840 Speaker 1: That's not you. That's that's barely point zero zero one 417 00:19:43,840 --> 00:19:46,359 Speaker 1: percent of the people that gamble. Those that's not the 418 00:19:46,440 --> 00:19:49,440 Speaker 1: right mentality, and you need to have the tide of grinding, 419 00:19:49,560 --> 00:19:51,600 Speaker 1: because that's what this is. It's a grind when you 420 00:19:51,600 --> 00:19:53,440 Speaker 1: start out because you're trying to build a bank roll 421 00:19:54,040 --> 00:19:56,000 Speaker 1: something you can use on the side of your life 422 00:19:56,000 --> 00:19:58,480 Speaker 1: that's not gonna affect everything you do in normal life. 423 00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:02,200 Speaker 1: So when started out, I mean I told you, I 424 00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:05,400 Speaker 1: lost I mean from I mean I started really young. 425 00:20:05,440 --> 00:20:08,560 Speaker 1: I lost from probably six or seven years, and so 426 00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:10,520 Speaker 1: I met the right people who could kind of guide 427 00:20:10,560 --> 00:20:12,800 Speaker 1: me and told me that you're you're missing the whole 428 00:20:12,800 --> 00:20:17,240 Speaker 1: part of this. Where gut betters, they sure they do well, um, 429 00:20:17,280 --> 00:20:19,680 Speaker 1: but if you build a system, something you can trust, 430 00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:22,240 Speaker 1: it just gives you such a piece of mind that 431 00:20:22,359 --> 00:20:24,560 Speaker 1: you know that you're you've put the time and effort 432 00:20:24,560 --> 00:20:27,000 Speaker 1: into something that's telling you what to do. You're not 433 00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:29,600 Speaker 1: having to just sit there and say, oh, this team 434 00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:32,200 Speaker 1: looked terrible last week. They can't they can't play good 435 00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:34,520 Speaker 1: again this week. Like gut betting, is really tough to 436 00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:38,000 Speaker 1: build a bank roll off because what you need is 437 00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:42,720 Speaker 1: you need to basically you're you're trying to find an 438 00:20:42,800 --> 00:20:46,080 Speaker 1: edge every week, especially I mean especially in football, where 439 00:20:46,520 --> 00:20:49,680 Speaker 1: it's a limited time. We're only sixteen games a week, 440 00:20:49,760 --> 00:20:51,440 Speaker 1: most of them are on the one day of the week. 441 00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:55,000 Speaker 1: So I told you early on I bet every game 442 00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:57,760 Speaker 1: because I find value in every game. But there's gonna 443 00:20:57,760 --> 00:21:00,399 Speaker 1: be games where I've lined that up as because of 444 00:21:00,400 --> 00:21:02,800 Speaker 1: my system that this is where the big, big money 445 00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:06,399 Speaker 1: discrepancy is. So I'm gonna hit that game fifteen to 446 00:21:06,520 --> 00:21:08,560 Speaker 1: twenty times. And the way it is in New Jersey 447 00:21:08,600 --> 00:21:11,239 Speaker 1: now is we have I'm not sure that number. Now, 448 00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:16,000 Speaker 1: we might have seventeen online sports books. So instead of 449 00:21:16,040 --> 00:21:18,560 Speaker 1: putting all my money just into one account and these 450 00:21:18,560 --> 00:21:21,359 Speaker 1: people eventually are gonna ban me after two months, you 451 00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:23,800 Speaker 1: spread it all out. Instead of putting seventeen thousand on 452 00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:25,919 Speaker 1: one game, you put a thousand and each web on 453 00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:29,800 Speaker 1: each app, and you just diversify what you're betting instead 454 00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:31,840 Speaker 1: of putting it all on one app where they're gonna 455 00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:35,960 Speaker 1: flag you. These guys, I learned really early in Vegas. 456 00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:38,719 Speaker 1: This is this is this is their job. Their jobs, 457 00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:40,920 Speaker 1: a lot of these guys, these bookmakers, is to find 458 00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:43,359 Speaker 1: guys like you and get you out because you're hurting. 459 00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:46,440 Speaker 1: You're hurting their bottom line because you have an edge, 460 00:21:46,560 --> 00:21:48,720 Speaker 1: and don't they don't want people of edges that they 461 00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:51,320 Speaker 1: want the guy coming off the street for the bachelor 462 00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:53,320 Speaker 1: party with a bunch of buddies and they're gonna throw 463 00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:56,600 Speaker 1: some money on some horse racing. So you need to 464 00:21:56,600 --> 00:21:59,760 Speaker 1: know going in that like, bookmakers are cool. I've met 465 00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:01,720 Speaker 1: plenty of guys who wrote books that are just like 466 00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:04,320 Speaker 1: good dudes who were doing a job. But you need 467 00:22:04,359 --> 00:22:08,520 Speaker 1: to have a Kobe mentality where you're literally playing these 468 00:22:08,520 --> 00:22:10,600 Speaker 1: guys one on one. You're not going against other people. 469 00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:12,679 Speaker 1: That's what's so funny the gambling community. People get mad 470 00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:15,719 Speaker 1: at you for losing a winning it's really all in 471 00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:19,560 Speaker 1: this together, going against the bookmakers. It's not against each other. 472 00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:22,359 Speaker 1: That's what's really funny with the gambling community, especially on Twitter. 473 00:22:23,680 --> 00:22:27,720 Speaker 1: So you went two different directions, and so I want 474 00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:32,199 Speaker 1: to separate a little bit, like the you bet as 475 00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:37,240 Speaker 1: a professional and you're betting at scale, and but you 476 00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:39,600 Speaker 1: you you sort of made a really good point in 477 00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:43,240 Speaker 1: the beginning that a lot of people are grinding at 478 00:22:43,280 --> 00:22:45,960 Speaker 1: this just like as a fun thing, and they shouldn't 479 00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:49,000 Speaker 1: expect you put fifty bucks down and you're gonna end up. 480 00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:52,280 Speaker 1: You know, someone who's winning one point one million on 481 00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:59,160 Speaker 1: Colin Markawa, right, and so um so. But you also said, 482 00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:02,720 Speaker 1: like you put together a system. Most people are not professional. 483 00:23:02,840 --> 00:23:04,439 Speaker 1: Most people are not going to have the time to 484 00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:07,359 Speaker 1: put together a system. So how would you recommend to 485 00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:10,960 Speaker 1: people they start thinking about managing bank roll if they're 486 00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:13,320 Speaker 1: doing this in a casual way, they're new to betting, 487 00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:15,400 Speaker 1: they're they're in a state where it's newly legal, they're 488 00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:18,239 Speaker 1: in New Jersey, Illinois, Colorado or whatever, and they're just 489 00:23:18,320 --> 00:23:20,600 Speaker 1: sort of coming to the game a little bit. And 490 00:23:20,640 --> 00:23:23,719 Speaker 1: that's really simple. Where there's gaglan is kind of blown up. 491 00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:26,080 Speaker 1: Now there's so many people you can go to advice 492 00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:28,679 Speaker 1: and you can check off if if they're losing a 493 00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:31,440 Speaker 1: bunch and their lines saying they're winning blah blah blah. 494 00:23:31,720 --> 00:23:33,159 Speaker 1: You check this people off and you move on to 495 00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:35,200 Speaker 1: the next person, because if you don't have the time, 496 00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:36,840 Speaker 1: what you're trying to find is someone that you trust 497 00:23:36,880 --> 00:23:40,080 Speaker 1: and is reliable giving out picks because they've put the 498 00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:43,520 Speaker 1: time and work in. And if you like, say I 499 00:23:43,600 --> 00:23:45,919 Speaker 1: like the Eagles one weekend, the guy I followed doesn't 500 00:23:45,920 --> 00:23:48,240 Speaker 1: he likes the other side. Maybe I just don't take 501 00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:50,680 Speaker 1: that side, maybe because I trust them instead of taking 502 00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:52,760 Speaker 1: the other side, I just don't do anything. And that's 503 00:23:52,760 --> 00:23:55,040 Speaker 1: what I was getting back to that if people don't 504 00:23:55,080 --> 00:23:57,240 Speaker 1: understand how much power they have and picking and choosing, 505 00:23:57,320 --> 00:24:00,280 Speaker 1: It's like there might be weeks during the NFL's season 506 00:24:00,320 --> 00:24:02,600 Speaker 1: that I might only have forty grand out and then 507 00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:05,480 Speaker 1: two weeks later, I might have two KO because I'm 508 00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:07,960 Speaker 1: there's so many games I love and I always know. 509 00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:10,600 Speaker 1: That's why I don't really force things, especially if I 510 00:24:10,600 --> 00:24:13,800 Speaker 1: have a losing weekend, I could care less, because you 511 00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:16,840 Speaker 1: have to have the mentality that you're going to get 512 00:24:16,840 --> 00:24:19,200 Speaker 1: it back. And if you chase, if you're doing live 513 00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:22,040 Speaker 1: betting on the Sunday night football game, you're already lost. 514 00:24:22,080 --> 00:24:24,480 Speaker 1: You already you already losing, no matter even if you win, 515 00:24:24,480 --> 00:24:26,639 Speaker 1: you're gonna lose that money the next night. If you 516 00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:30,200 Speaker 1: find yourself chasing, this isn't something you should be doing, 517 00:24:30,359 --> 00:24:33,320 Speaker 1: because that's how people going to a spiral when they 518 00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:36,480 Speaker 1: go to gambling anonymous, because they're always chasing that whatever 519 00:24:36,520 --> 00:24:39,000 Speaker 1: they start out losing, they're always chasing getting that back. 520 00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:42,359 Speaker 1: And you can't have that mentality where every week is 521 00:24:42,359 --> 00:24:45,159 Speaker 1: a new week. You kind of throw out the losses 522 00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:47,760 Speaker 1: and you start fresh you have a clear mind, it's 523 00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:50,080 Speaker 1: way easier and not to force things because you just 524 00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:52,879 Speaker 1: have to keep trusting that things are gonna work out. Now, 525 00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:55,959 Speaker 1: asking me about how people get involved the systems is 526 00:24:56,119 --> 00:24:58,440 Speaker 1: you can go online and you can find people that 527 00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:00,280 Speaker 1: have built systems and you can take those to SIMS 528 00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:03,919 Speaker 1: and tweak it and update them. But it's hard to 529 00:25:03,960 --> 00:25:05,920 Speaker 1: figure out what the right things to be looking for. 530 00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:10,000 Speaker 1: I mean, it took me like three years of like legit, 531 00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:12,240 Speaker 1: working my ass off on it to get it right. 532 00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:15,879 Speaker 1: And you have to really do that and then trust 533 00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:18,800 Speaker 1: it and no one not to trust it. Like I 534 00:25:18,840 --> 00:25:20,840 Speaker 1: talked to you about at the time, it's a system. 535 00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:23,600 Speaker 1: It's a computer. It doesn't know that Tom Brady is 536 00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:25,840 Speaker 1: the best quarterback ever, doesn't know that Patrick Mahomes is 537 00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:29,399 Speaker 1: the next goat so and that's super Bowl my system 538 00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:31,439 Speaker 1: like San Frme. But like I told you, I'm not 539 00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:34,840 Speaker 1: going against my homes that there's something going on here 540 00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:36,760 Speaker 1: with this kid just can't lose. He just keeps coming 541 00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:39,000 Speaker 1: back and it worked out going against my system. But 542 00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:40,800 Speaker 1: I don't do that all the time. There's just certain 543 00:25:40,840 --> 00:25:43,480 Speaker 1: times you have to go against the computer. I love 544 00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:46,280 Speaker 1: the idea of this phrase that you have, that you 545 00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:50,359 Speaker 1: have the power, because I don't think a lot of betters. 546 00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:52,560 Speaker 1: I don't think a lot of amateur betters, and this 547 00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:55,840 Speaker 1: is really who this conversation is for. I don't think 548 00:25:55,840 --> 00:25:57,960 Speaker 1: they think about it that way. I think when you 549 00:25:58,000 --> 00:26:00,560 Speaker 1: were new to betting, you think give it as the 550 00:26:00,560 --> 00:26:03,440 Speaker 1: bookmakers have the power, or there are professional betters who 551 00:26:03,440 --> 00:26:06,720 Speaker 1: know more than I do. It is a scary, wondrous, 552 00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:13,960 Speaker 1: intimidating place. The I it that you make the choice 553 00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:17,400 Speaker 1: and you do not have to bet holds incredible sway 554 00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:19,480 Speaker 1: people when they start out, the worst thing that happened 555 00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:22,000 Speaker 1: to you is if you win, because you think yourself, 556 00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:24,760 Speaker 1: this is pretty easy. This is my first time doing 557 00:26:24,840 --> 00:26:26,639 Speaker 1: sports betting for the first month, and I'm up a 558 00:26:26,680 --> 00:26:29,439 Speaker 1: grander two and it kind of gives you the false 559 00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:32,600 Speaker 1: sense of security where it doesn't work that way. Most 560 00:26:32,680 --> 00:26:35,040 Speaker 1: even the best pros I know that they're gonna lose, 561 00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:38,439 Speaker 1: They're gonna have down years, and it's kind of one 562 00:26:38,440 --> 00:26:40,960 Speaker 1: of those where it mix your hard like like I 563 00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:43,199 Speaker 1: I'll win big, and it's it's a fun feeling, but 564 00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:45,840 Speaker 1: it's a fleeting one where it's like, Okay, what am 565 00:26:45,840 --> 00:26:49,280 Speaker 1: I gonna do next week. So it's a fun and 566 00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:53,600 Speaker 1: grinding feeling of you're always looking for that next game. 567 00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:56,119 Speaker 1: So these people that they don't realize they have the 568 00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:58,600 Speaker 1: power in the sense that I'm a dejenuor two man, 569 00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:01,240 Speaker 1: I'd like betting twenty here and there on different sports games. 570 00:27:01,240 --> 00:27:03,840 Speaker 1: It's fun. Like if you're chilling at home watching a game, 571 00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:06,040 Speaker 1: it's nice, You're gonna throw a couple of dollars on 572 00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:08,359 Speaker 1: it and either can get free dinner that night or 573 00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:11,320 Speaker 1: you're buying you and your wife double. So you need 574 00:27:11,359 --> 00:27:13,720 Speaker 1: to understand that people are gonna give out games and 575 00:27:13,720 --> 00:27:15,399 Speaker 1: they're gonna say, I love this one, this is a 576 00:27:15,400 --> 00:27:17,480 Speaker 1: big one. And those are the ones where you're not 577 00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:19,320 Speaker 1: just gonna do your twentyl I bet on, You're gonna risk, 578 00:27:19,359 --> 00:27:22,080 Speaker 1: You're gonna take that hundred dollar. Because where I'm where 579 00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:24,560 Speaker 1: I've gotten, I didn't get here without taking big risks. 580 00:27:24,600 --> 00:27:27,119 Speaker 1: There weren't times where I'm putting half of my bank 581 00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:30,320 Speaker 1: roll onto a game and it I've lost those and 582 00:27:30,359 --> 00:27:33,240 Speaker 1: it's like, holy ship, man, I just worked two years 583 00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:35,720 Speaker 1: to get that money and now I just lost half 584 00:27:35,760 --> 00:27:38,880 Speaker 1: of it. But the more you learn from those losses, 585 00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:41,440 Speaker 1: the longer you do it. It's it's one of those 586 00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:43,399 Speaker 1: where you don't really think about it because it's just 587 00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:46,239 Speaker 1: they think all these pros do these things where they 588 00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:48,480 Speaker 1: make maybe two or three big bets here and that's 589 00:27:48,480 --> 00:27:50,560 Speaker 1: all they do. That's not true at all. I mean, 590 00:27:50,600 --> 00:27:53,480 Speaker 1: most professionals, they're gonna have action on every sport. We 591 00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:56,959 Speaker 1: watch everything. We love sports, but we're what makes us 592 00:27:56,960 --> 00:27:58,639 Speaker 1: so good is that we take these big risk on 593 00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:01,600 Speaker 1: games we know we have a big advantage off. When 594 00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:04,000 Speaker 1: did it transition for you? When did it go from 595 00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:07,360 Speaker 1: betting fifty to a hundred dollars a game? And that 596 00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:10,359 Speaker 1: was either comfortable or seemed like a lot to all 597 00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:12,160 Speaker 1: of a sudden, I've got two hundred grand to play 598 00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:15,159 Speaker 1: on the weekend and I'm not even flinching like that 599 00:28:15,240 --> 00:28:18,000 Speaker 1: took a while to grow. Um like I got. I 600 00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:20,399 Speaker 1: was lucky where I had a job young, Like I 601 00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:22,280 Speaker 1: think I told you, I worked in TV. I was nineteen, 602 00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:25,200 Speaker 1: so I had money early on, and I wasn't really 603 00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:27,760 Speaker 1: spending money because I was getting paid they'll travel with 604 00:28:27,800 --> 00:28:31,200 Speaker 1: the company and living hotels. And when I snumbled into it, 605 00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:34,280 Speaker 1: I had over probably like fifteen thousand to play with. 606 00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:37,120 Speaker 1: When I started out and it was grinding. I really 607 00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:39,160 Speaker 1: wasn't getting much from it. And then as I built 608 00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:42,560 Speaker 1: my system, I would say, by like twenty eleven twelve, 609 00:28:42,680 --> 00:28:46,440 Speaker 1: I kind of grew that to about forty and it 610 00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:48,959 Speaker 1: was still slow grind because I was scared. I wouldn't 611 00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:50,520 Speaker 1: lie to you, like I was scared to put a 612 00:28:50,600 --> 00:28:54,360 Speaker 1: large steak into certain games because there's nothing like that. 613 00:28:54,480 --> 00:28:57,720 Speaker 1: I mean. The biggest bet early on for me was 614 00:28:57,800 --> 00:29:01,400 Speaker 1: that Denver, Carolina Super Bowl for Peyton Man who had 615 00:29:01,440 --> 00:29:04,960 Speaker 1: a dead arm. Cam Newton was m VP, just out 616 00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:07,280 Speaker 1: of body experience how good he was. I looked at 617 00:29:07,280 --> 00:29:10,880 Speaker 1: the numbers in Denver's defense was grated out off the charts, 618 00:29:11,000 --> 00:29:13,760 Speaker 1: is like one of the greatest defenses you could ever have. 619 00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:16,239 Speaker 1: The Monday the lines came out, I went in, I 620 00:29:16,360 --> 00:29:19,240 Speaker 1: hit three casinos in Vegas. I put big steaks, and 621 00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:20,920 Speaker 1: I had a couple of runners running and do a 622 00:29:20,920 --> 00:29:23,240 Speaker 1: couple more bets on it. I probably didn't sleep five 623 00:29:23,320 --> 00:29:25,760 Speaker 1: days leading up to that Super Bowl. I just was 624 00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:29,400 Speaker 1: sweating anxiety. That one of my thinking Campton's God, he 625 00:29:29,520 --> 00:29:32,280 Speaker 1: is the greatest quarterback I've ever seen. And it got 626 00:29:32,320 --> 00:29:34,720 Speaker 1: to the point where, right before you even kicked off 627 00:29:34,760 --> 00:29:36,480 Speaker 1: I was said to myself, I don't know, I came 628 00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:38,600 Speaker 1: and watched this. I came and watched this game. So 629 00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:40,520 Speaker 1: I think I spent the first half of my buddy's 630 00:29:40,560 --> 00:29:44,720 Speaker 1: bathroom just watching like Yahoo Sports or something on my phone. 631 00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:47,720 Speaker 1: And I came out and I was just like, this 632 00:29:47,760 --> 00:29:50,959 Speaker 1: is gonna happen like this, this defense, this is this 633 00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:53,880 Speaker 1: is what's gonna do it. So that was the biggest 634 00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:57,120 Speaker 1: risk I took back then and say I hadn't, I 635 00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:59,560 Speaker 1: probably wouldn't have half of what my bank roll is 636 00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:02,040 Speaker 1: now because that gave me. That gave me enough money 637 00:30:02,080 --> 00:30:04,800 Speaker 1: where the following season I could really pick my spots 638 00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:06,440 Speaker 1: where I would have games where I could play tan 639 00:30:06,520 --> 00:30:08,480 Speaker 1: k on instead of doing what I was doing with 640 00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:11,160 Speaker 1: like two K or three K, like my bank roll, 641 00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:13,560 Speaker 1: doubling it. That's the key to doing what we do 642 00:30:13,640 --> 00:30:15,880 Speaker 1: here is that if you double up, you can keep 643 00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:18,760 Speaker 1: losing these one little one unit place each week. That's 644 00:30:18,760 --> 00:30:20,760 Speaker 1: not gonna hurt you as long as you're hitting these 645 00:30:20,760 --> 00:30:24,040 Speaker 1: big money plays three to four a year, like we're 646 00:30:24,040 --> 00:30:26,320 Speaker 1: talking our business that you do three. So if you 647 00:30:26,360 --> 00:30:29,120 Speaker 1: go two and one or three and oh, you're done. 648 00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:30,920 Speaker 1: You're done in your big bets for the season, doesn't 649 00:30:30,920 --> 00:30:32,520 Speaker 1: matter if you have another one coming up that you're 650 00:30:32,560 --> 00:30:35,440 Speaker 1: like this lines off. You have to have that maturity 651 00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:37,640 Speaker 1: and mentality just not to do it. You got you 652 00:30:37,680 --> 00:30:40,440 Speaker 1: gotta sit down because you've already run your luck that season. 653 00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:42,600 Speaker 1: Three oh and big bets. That's like I mean, every 654 00:30:42,600 --> 00:30:44,440 Speaker 1: I would say every four years, I might get that. 655 00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:47,520 Speaker 1: But if you don't, say you're you're one and two, 656 00:30:47,920 --> 00:30:49,320 Speaker 1: you gotta do it. You gotta go for the fourth. 657 00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:50,880 Speaker 1: So now you're two and two, you have to play 658 00:30:50,960 --> 00:30:53,320 Speaker 1: the fifth one. You need to try to get above 659 00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:55,960 Speaker 1: the green, and if you don't, you just bounce back 660 00:30:56,000 --> 00:30:57,640 Speaker 1: the found season. That's why, like I tell you, you 661 00:30:57,680 --> 00:31:00,280 Speaker 1: can't really you can get down on losses, but in 662 00:31:00,320 --> 00:31:02,720 Speaker 1: this business you have to just accept you're gonna to lose, 663 00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:05,000 Speaker 1: and we all lose. It doesn't matter how good you are, 664 00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:07,440 Speaker 1: how good you're reading things, You're gonna lose because it's 665 00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:10,160 Speaker 1: a sport. It's unknown, all right. So that's a very 666 00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:13,800 Speaker 1: good reminder that if people want one of these three 667 00:31:14,040 --> 00:31:16,160 Speaker 1: massive bets of the year, they have to go in 668 00:31:16,560 --> 00:31:20,240 Speaker 1: and use the phrase. Simon the Genius Professional Better says 669 00:31:20,760 --> 00:31:23,760 Speaker 1: in a review of the podcast, and Simon will give 670 00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:25,520 Speaker 1: you one of those if we choose your review if 671 00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:29,280 Speaker 1: we like it, a lot um to two themes stick 672 00:31:29,320 --> 00:31:31,920 Speaker 1: out and that is a fascinating story. That Bronco story 673 00:31:31,960 --> 00:31:34,840 Speaker 1: is fascinating, but also sort of the way you translate 674 00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:36,800 Speaker 1: that and sort of the inner workings of the business 675 00:31:36,800 --> 00:31:40,120 Speaker 1: where there are guys, sort of the conversations you're having 676 00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:42,960 Speaker 1: with professional betters about sort of like you're playing three 677 00:31:42,960 --> 00:31:44,720 Speaker 1: to five big ones, right. If you're doing well, you 678 00:31:44,800 --> 00:31:47,320 Speaker 1: walk away. If you're not, you push it a little bit, 679 00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:50,720 Speaker 1: but you don't get crazy. Which leads me to two 680 00:31:50,760 --> 00:31:53,400 Speaker 1: things that I think it's important for people to understand. 681 00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:59,440 Speaker 1: One discipline, like how do you develop the discipline and 682 00:31:59,800 --> 00:32:03,040 Speaker 1: how how do you sort of live with potential regret 683 00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:07,800 Speaker 1: when you are someone who needs to be betting the 684 00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:11,920 Speaker 1: way you are. Uh, the discipline part is really hard. 685 00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:15,040 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lie. It took me a while to 686 00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:16,760 Speaker 1: get over because I had the same thing where I 687 00:32:16,760 --> 00:32:19,040 Speaker 1: would get piste and I chase if if games weren't 688 00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:21,520 Speaker 1: going my way, especially the four o'clock games, I would 689 00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:24,040 Speaker 1: get mad and I would chase. And I think it's 690 00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:26,640 Speaker 1: over time that you realize if you're just chilling your patient. 691 00:32:26,880 --> 00:32:29,400 Speaker 1: You're gonna get that money back. It's that's like we 692 00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:31,720 Speaker 1: go back to you're in complete control. And if you 693 00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:34,760 Speaker 1: can just say that, like take a deep breath, say 694 00:32:34,800 --> 00:32:37,080 Speaker 1: I'm I read this wrong terribly, I'm not gonna read 695 00:32:37,120 --> 00:32:39,200 Speaker 1: it better here if I keep chasing, let me just 696 00:32:39,240 --> 00:32:42,160 Speaker 1: wait until next week and get this back. That's such 697 00:32:42,160 --> 00:32:44,720 Speaker 1: a huge thing because like we were talking, once you 698 00:32:44,760 --> 00:32:48,160 Speaker 1: start chasing, it just spirals and you you're going against yourself, 699 00:32:48,240 --> 00:32:51,280 Speaker 1: your your question, your own judgment. And it's one of 700 00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:53,760 Speaker 1: those where I can, honestly, there's games I bet I can, 701 00:32:53,960 --> 00:32:55,640 Speaker 1: like a minute in you can already feel that you're 702 00:32:55,680 --> 00:32:58,560 Speaker 1: like I'm on the wrong side. Like nothing's gonna change 703 00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:01,320 Speaker 1: this game. This team hasn't momentum. There's them their practice 704 00:33:01,360 --> 00:33:03,600 Speaker 1: this week, everything they did for preparation this week, it's 705 00:33:03,640 --> 00:33:06,200 Speaker 1: just right, and I'm on the wrong side. I don't 706 00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:09,560 Speaker 1: really sweat it because, like I know, we had this 707 00:33:09,560 --> 00:33:12,240 Speaker 1: whole thing where people yell at players and they getting 708 00:33:12,280 --> 00:33:15,040 Speaker 1: mad at players and especially fans in the stadium. I've 709 00:33:15,040 --> 00:33:17,000 Speaker 1: never really had that where I always put the blame 710 00:33:17,040 --> 00:33:20,040 Speaker 1: on myself, where it's it's not these guys fault. I 711 00:33:20,080 --> 00:33:22,520 Speaker 1: believe them that I misread them, and it's one of 712 00:33:22,520 --> 00:33:24,360 Speaker 1: those you you always have to just look at yourself. 713 00:33:24,640 --> 00:33:27,280 Speaker 1: If you misread a game, it's not because of anything 714 00:33:27,320 --> 00:33:29,480 Speaker 1: it's going on with these teams or what. It's because 715 00:33:29,480 --> 00:33:31,680 Speaker 1: you just read it wrong. You didn't put the time 716 00:33:31,680 --> 00:33:34,600 Speaker 1: in and you misstepped or overlook something and it just 717 00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:37,360 Speaker 1: didn't work out. Where too many people put too much passion. 718 00:33:37,840 --> 00:33:40,280 Speaker 1: I know fans stands for a fanatic, but you just 719 00:33:40,320 --> 00:33:42,120 Speaker 1: need to take a step back and think to yourself, 720 00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:43,880 Speaker 1: am I really mad at all these players and I 721 00:33:43,880 --> 00:33:45,760 Speaker 1: really blaming other people for my problems? Or am I 722 00:33:45,760 --> 00:33:48,800 Speaker 1: gonna take my own woes and think to myself, all right, 723 00:33:48,840 --> 00:33:51,160 Speaker 1: I need to improve. It's my own fault of these mistakes. 724 00:33:51,760 --> 00:33:56,280 Speaker 1: Phenomenal advice, Simon, Like this was a lesson. The last 725 00:33:56,320 --> 00:33:58,600 Speaker 1: twenty minutes of this podcast have been a lesson in 726 00:33:58,720 --> 00:34:02,760 Speaker 1: sort of new betters should be looking at this. By 727 00:34:02,760 --> 00:34:07,080 Speaker 1: the way, whether they're betting five bucks or five times, 728 00:34:07,520 --> 00:34:11,920 Speaker 1: it's all the same. It's all the same. And that's 729 00:34:11,960 --> 00:34:14,439 Speaker 1: what I want people to understand is that you're seeing 730 00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:16,319 Speaker 1: all these people who are making all this money. You 731 00:34:16,360 --> 00:34:18,920 Speaker 1: can't really think that way. You need to just focus 732 00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:21,439 Speaker 1: on yourself and try to build your own bankroll, because 733 00:34:21,440 --> 00:34:24,040 Speaker 1: once you do that, you can just turn like like 734 00:34:24,080 --> 00:34:25,880 Speaker 1: I talked to guys who are stock investors all the 735 00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:28,160 Speaker 1: time and if someone can do with the stock, and 736 00:34:28,160 --> 00:34:30,000 Speaker 1: they said, hey, if you buy the stock, it's gonna 737 00:34:30,000 --> 00:34:33,000 Speaker 1: double your money by tomorrow. People would buy that stock 738 00:34:33,040 --> 00:34:34,120 Speaker 1: and they'd be into that, And I tried to tell 739 00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:36,360 Speaker 1: them it's the same thing as sports betting, where you 740 00:34:36,400 --> 00:34:38,680 Speaker 1: were giving your getting something that you can double your 741 00:34:38,680 --> 00:34:41,200 Speaker 1: money or do whatever with it. And if you can 742 00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:45,200 Speaker 1: find and pick those spots, it's such a profitable, easy 743 00:34:45,320 --> 00:34:47,879 Speaker 1: thing to do on the side hustle, especially nowadays. We 744 00:34:47,880 --> 00:34:49,960 Speaker 1: we're just talking. You guys have tons of writers or 745 00:34:49,960 --> 00:34:54,320 Speaker 1: Reaction Network. It's there. Literally their job is gambling in sports. 746 00:34:54,360 --> 00:34:56,480 Speaker 1: They're trying to win you money. If these people could 747 00:34:56,520 --> 00:34:58,520 Speaker 1: find these people on trust them, you don't need to 748 00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:00,400 Speaker 1: waste your time trying to study and do stuff like that. 749 00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:01,840 Speaker 1: You have people that are doing it for you and 750 00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:03,960 Speaker 1: you can just do a side hustle making money off 751 00:35:04,000 --> 00:35:06,560 Speaker 1: these people. And that's the best thing about sports betting. 752 00:35:06,600 --> 00:35:09,000 Speaker 1: It's it's just like giving your money to a stock investor. 753 00:35:09,040 --> 00:35:11,560 Speaker 1: It's like These people are taking your money and doubling 754 00:35:11,600 --> 00:35:14,200 Speaker 1: it for you. That's what you're looking for in sports betting, Simon, 755 00:35:14,239 --> 00:35:16,040 Speaker 1: how do you think I bet all two hundred and 756 00:35:16,080 --> 00:35:19,040 Speaker 1: fifty six games last year and one in a fifty clever. 757 00:35:19,120 --> 00:35:20,920 Speaker 1: I'm not doing research. I'm just listening to what our 758 00:35:20,960 --> 00:35:23,400 Speaker 1: guys say. I'm listening to you. I'm listening to the 759 00:35:23,440 --> 00:35:26,239 Speaker 1: Action Network and I he're Stucky and Chris Raybon on 760 00:35:26,280 --> 00:35:28,960 Speaker 1: their podcast talking about betting in the podcast that comes 761 00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:32,520 Speaker 1: out every Thursday. That's all I'm doing. It's it's and 762 00:35:32,520 --> 00:35:34,319 Speaker 1: that's all you need. It's all you like. You don't 763 00:35:34,320 --> 00:35:37,479 Speaker 1: need to be stressing about these things. And like I said, 764 00:35:37,600 --> 00:35:39,600 Speaker 1: if if they have a game they're on and you 765 00:35:39,640 --> 00:35:41,400 Speaker 1: are on the other side, just don't take the other 766 00:35:41,440 --> 00:35:43,600 Speaker 1: side and don't take the side there on. You just 767 00:35:43,640 --> 00:35:45,560 Speaker 1: really can sit that one out and play until you 768 00:35:45,600 --> 00:35:46,920 Speaker 1: do match up on them and you do have the 769 00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:49,319 Speaker 1: same alignment with them. Because it's pretty simple. It's that 770 00:35:49,960 --> 00:35:51,960 Speaker 1: people just like action. And like I said earlier on, 771 00:35:51,960 --> 00:35:53,680 Speaker 1: if you like action, just put twenty on that game 772 00:35:53,719 --> 00:35:57,160 Speaker 1: instead of putting fifty. You just want to maximize your money, 773 00:35:57,360 --> 00:35:58,960 Speaker 1: like you don't want to just be thrown away and 774 00:35:58,960 --> 00:36:03,040 Speaker 1: giving away. Simon, you are a professional better. You are 775 00:36:03,080 --> 00:36:06,920 Speaker 1: a genius professional better, and you're our professional better. And 776 00:36:07,200 --> 00:36:11,400 Speaker 1: two weeks ago, folks, two weeks ago, remember Scooch made 777 00:36:11,480 --> 00:36:13,560 Speaker 1: his triumphant return. We asked fans to rate and review 778 00:36:13,560 --> 00:36:16,400 Speaker 1: of the podcast. Those who did and used the winning 779 00:36:16,440 --> 00:36:19,840 Speaker 1: phrase the right side as the winning side in their review, 780 00:36:20,680 --> 00:36:23,480 Speaker 1: we're eligible to win a signed copy of the Odds 781 00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:26,640 Speaker 1: from both me and Scooch. We have loads and loads reviews. 782 00:36:26,800 --> 00:36:30,720 Speaker 1: In a second we will reveal the winner, But first 783 00:36:31,200 --> 00:36:35,560 Speaker 1: a reminder, we are doing another phrase that pays contest, 784 00:36:36,840 --> 00:36:41,160 Speaker 1: same same practice. Go rate and review the podcast using 785 00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:44,920 Speaker 1: the phrase Simon the Genius professional Better says. If we 786 00:36:45,040 --> 00:36:48,160 Speaker 1: choose your review, your choose your review, you will win 787 00:36:48,239 --> 00:36:50,719 Speaker 1: one of Simon's favorite plays for the year. You've heard 788 00:36:50,760 --> 00:36:53,080 Speaker 1: him talk about how he thinks about those things, the 789 00:36:53,239 --> 00:36:57,160 Speaker 1: value he places on those things. Those are like those three, 790 00:36:57,280 --> 00:36:59,600 Speaker 1: four or five big bets he makes all year that 791 00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:03,280 Speaker 1: bill to his bankroll. Uh, you will get one of them. Seriously, 792 00:37:03,320 --> 00:37:05,080 Speaker 1: Simon will give you one of his best plays of 793 00:37:05,080 --> 00:37:07,800 Speaker 1: the year. Thank you Simon for joining us. But before 794 00:37:07,800 --> 00:37:11,480 Speaker 1: you go, the winner of last week's phrase that pays 795 00:37:11,600 --> 00:37:14,319 Speaker 1: contest winning a copy of the Odds signed by me 796 00:37:14,480 --> 00:37:20,520 Speaker 1: and Scooch is but uh. Jason Embery at Jason Embery 797 00:37:20,520 --> 00:37:24,200 Speaker 1: on Twitter, who wrote in a five star review the 798 00:37:24,280 --> 00:37:27,480 Speaker 1: heart of the show with Chad interviewing Scooch, a bookmaker 799 00:37:28,000 --> 00:37:31,080 Speaker 1: who is incredibly insightful and Canada. Not only does Scooch 800 00:37:31,400 --> 00:37:33,839 Speaker 1: give good information on the podcast, but he also has 801 00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:36,839 Speaker 1: transformed my view of people who run sports books. Look 802 00:37:36,840 --> 00:37:39,680 Speaker 1: at Scooch doing that. Chad is also on the podcast, 803 00:37:39,719 --> 00:37:42,279 Speaker 1: which is nice of him to say, But seriously, Chad 804 00:37:42,360 --> 00:37:46,000 Speaker 1: is an entertaining small cast of guests. Now, Simon Hunter 805 00:37:46,120 --> 00:37:48,840 Speaker 1: is one of them. He's a great interviewer and he 806 00:37:48,920 --> 00:37:52,120 Speaker 1: leaves us with pearls of wisdom, like the right side 807 00:37:52,160 --> 00:37:55,040 Speaker 1: is the winning side. Signmon, you're gonna get a with 808 00:37:55,080 --> 00:37:56,640 Speaker 1: you like that because someone's gonna want one of your place. 809 00:37:57,080 --> 00:37:59,160 Speaker 1: I really appreciate I need that self confidence right now. 810 00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:01,560 Speaker 1: I know you everybuddy, listen, you're gonna be on with 811 00:38:01,640 --> 00:38:03,399 Speaker 1: us every week, and I'm super excited like you were 812 00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:05,759 Speaker 1: last year. Uh, And I appreciate you doing this because 813 00:38:05,800 --> 00:38:08,759 Speaker 1: this was unbelievably smart stuff and so I think people 814 00:38:08,920 --> 00:38:10,680 Speaker 1: really appreciate it. Of course, but I'm here at help 815 00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:13,719 Speaker 1: my man, all right. This has been the favorite from 816 00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:19,239 Speaker 1: the Action Network. Download rate review, Subscribe from Apple Podcasts, 817 00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:23,120 Speaker 1: from Spotify, wherever you get your podcast. Until next time, 818 00:38:23,719 --> 00:38:24,400 Speaker 1: I love you.