1
00:00:10,680 --> 00:00:12,960
Speaker 1: What's up, guys, How are you time for our Thursday

2
00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:15,360
Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

3
00:00:15,360 --> 00:00:17,680
Speaker 1: Matt Barrault. You can follow me on Twitter at sports

4
00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:20,480
Speaker 1: doc Matt. We are here every morning wherever you get

5
00:00:20,520 --> 00:00:24,840
Speaker 1: your podcasts on YouTube and all over the place. It

6
00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:27,440
Speaker 1: seems it's been a ton of fun. The Discord channel

7
00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:31,040
Speaker 1: was hopin' yesterday. We are near the end of the

8
00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:34,760
Speaker 1: regular season in the NBA and the NHL. Last game

9
00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:37,919
Speaker 1: of the regular season in the NHL today, and we

10
00:00:37,960 --> 00:00:41,000
Speaker 1: are always found here on bettingpros dot com. All right,

11
00:00:41,120 --> 00:00:45,120
Speaker 1: so here's where we were yesterday. I added a bunch

12
00:00:45,440 --> 00:00:48,560
Speaker 1: two player props. I added, we've now gone five and

13
00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:51,279
Speaker 1: one over the last six player props. Two and oh

14
00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:54,840
Speaker 1: again four and oh last two days on the player props,

15
00:00:54,840 --> 00:00:57,400
Speaker 1: so that was really great. Luca got there for us.

16
00:00:57,880 --> 00:00:59,720
Speaker 1: Bog Donovitch as well got there for us, so we

17
00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:02,400
Speaker 1: had both of those. I added the Vegas gold Knights

18
00:01:02,440 --> 00:01:05,920
Speaker 1: on the puck line that cashed. I added the Kings

19
00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:08,920
Speaker 1: on the reverse puck line that did not cash, but

20
00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:12,000
Speaker 1: the plus one twenty on the Golden Knights getting the

21
00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:14,640
Speaker 1: puck line winning six nothing. That was easy and it

22
00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:17,000
Speaker 1: stayed under six and a half, so we got that right.

23
00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:19,640
Speaker 1: The White Sox win as well on the money line,

24
00:01:19,680 --> 00:01:22,280
Speaker 1: so we got that right. The Wild lose, so we

25
00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:23,960
Speaker 1: don't get that right. But a five and two night

26
00:01:24,040 --> 00:01:26,880
Speaker 1: for us on the podcast last night is good. It's

27
00:01:27,080 --> 00:01:30,920
Speaker 1: up love it. Let's keep it rolling here into a Thursday.

28
00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:35,680
Speaker 1: All right. So yesterday was NFL schedule release day, and

29
00:01:36,520 --> 00:01:39,400
Speaker 1: I gave you a bet on the Discord Channel. And

30
00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:41,720
Speaker 1: this is why it's so important to be on the

31
00:01:41,760 --> 00:01:43,640
Speaker 1: Discord Channel if you were a listener or listener to

32
00:01:43,640 --> 00:01:47,800
Speaker 1: the Daily Juice. I find value in certain plays, and

33
00:01:47,840 --> 00:01:51,000
Speaker 1: I found value in the Raiders win total that I

34
00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:53,880
Speaker 1: told you about on the Discord Channel. And the number

35
00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:57,559
Speaker 1: has since moved, but I am counting the number as

36
00:01:57,560 --> 00:02:00,480
Speaker 1: to the number I told you to bet and where

37
00:02:00,480 --> 00:02:02,360
Speaker 1: to bet it and where to find it, because I

38
00:02:02,400 --> 00:02:04,600
Speaker 1: bet it and I found it and it was a

39
00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:07,120
Speaker 1: full unit wager that I made. And I'm going to

40
00:02:07,160 --> 00:02:09,480
Speaker 1: explain here. A lot of you guys were saying, well, Matt,

41
00:02:09,480 --> 00:02:11,320
Speaker 1: why did you make that bet? What did you see?

42
00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:14,040
Speaker 1: I'm going to explain to you why I made that

43
00:02:14,080 --> 00:02:17,120
Speaker 1: bet coming up here on the podcast. I do have

44
00:02:17,200 --> 00:02:19,320
Speaker 1: a golf bet that I am making that I like

45
00:02:20,200 --> 00:02:23,320
Speaker 1: a lot, and it's really heavy on the juice, So

46
00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:25,480
Speaker 1: I'm going to roll a full unit on it, and

47
00:02:25,560 --> 00:02:28,880
Speaker 1: I might really regret it, but I love the matchup.

48
00:02:29,040 --> 00:02:30,400
Speaker 1: I'm not sure you guys are going to be able

49
00:02:30,440 --> 00:02:32,760
Speaker 1: to get it everywhere, but I found it at Circus

50
00:02:32,760 --> 00:02:35,160
Speaker 1: Sports here in Vegas and I laid it. It's really

51
00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:37,960
Speaker 1: heavy on the juice, but this involved one golfer who's

52
00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:40,800
Speaker 1: playing really well for the Byron Nelson coming up starting today.

53
00:02:41,480 --> 00:02:44,640
Speaker 1: And I've got two NBA plays to tell you about

54
00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:47,120
Speaker 1: you that you guys can hop in on, one of

55
00:02:47,160 --> 00:02:51,920
Speaker 1: which I would recommend using for the bet MGM offer. Okay,

56
00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:53,799
Speaker 1: I'll tell you right here. We're going to take the

57
00:02:53,880 --> 00:02:56,359
Speaker 1: Knicks on the first half. I don't know where the

58
00:02:56,440 --> 00:02:58,000
Speaker 1: number is going to be as of yet, four and

59
00:02:58,000 --> 00:02:59,720
Speaker 1: a half is the number. It's probably two two and

60
00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:03,440
Speaker 1: a half for the Knicks. Tonight at home. Knicks are

61
00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:06,040
Speaker 1: laying four and a half over all, and I think

62
00:03:06,040 --> 00:03:08,920
Speaker 1: this is a good time to jump in here and

63
00:03:09,080 --> 00:03:11,960
Speaker 1: use this against the Spurs for the Knicks. And this

64
00:03:12,080 --> 00:03:14,160
Speaker 1: is the offer from BETMGM that we've told you guys

65
00:03:14,200 --> 00:03:16,720
Speaker 1: about quite a bit, which is basically, you bet twenty

66
00:03:16,760 --> 00:03:19,839
Speaker 1: dollars to win one hundred dollars on any event. It's

67
00:03:19,880 --> 00:03:22,760
Speaker 1: a very cool deal because you either win your bet

68
00:03:23,080 --> 00:03:25,720
Speaker 1: or you win one hundred dollars in free bets regardless

69
00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:28,119
Speaker 1: of the outcome. You can use this when you sign

70
00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:31,200
Speaker 1: up for a BETMGM account using the promo code Juice

71
00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:34,720
Speaker 1: one hundred. This is available in New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana,

72
00:03:34,720 --> 00:03:38,960
Speaker 1: West Virginia, Tennessee, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Virginia, and Iowa. You bet

73
00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:41,520
Speaker 1: twenty dollars, you win one hundred dollars on any event.

74
00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:43,960
Speaker 1: Why not use it for the Knicks in the first half.

75
00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:46,440
Speaker 1: I don't know the number yet, okay, but when it

76
00:03:46,440 --> 00:03:48,040
Speaker 1: comes out when you're listening to this, you should be

77
00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:50,360
Speaker 1: able to get it. Day of Bet the Knicks in

78
00:03:50,400 --> 00:03:52,760
Speaker 1: the first half. Okay. So let's start right there. As

79
00:03:52,800 --> 00:03:55,400
Speaker 1: to why I'm saying bet the Knicks in the first half.

80
00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:57,400
Speaker 1: Betting the Knicks in the first half is this The

81
00:03:57,480 --> 00:04:00,920
Speaker 1: Knicks have been extremely profitable here over the year. Thirty

82
00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:04,200
Speaker 1: nine twenty eight and one against the number in the

83
00:04:04,200 --> 00:04:07,440
Speaker 1: first quarter for the New York Knicks in the first half.

84
00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:09,680
Speaker 1: The New York Knicks are still the best in the

85
00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:12,880
Speaker 1: entire NBA forty five, twenty one and two for the

86
00:04:12,960 --> 00:04:15,760
Speaker 1: Knicks in the first half, they're twenty one and twelve

87
00:04:15,800 --> 00:04:18,400
Speaker 1: at home in the first half they are seven and

88
00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:20,920
Speaker 1: three to the number over the last ten. They are

89
00:04:20,960 --> 00:04:24,680
Speaker 1: the number one team by far in terms of against

90
00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:28,440
Speaker 1: the spread record at home they are also they are

91
00:04:28,640 --> 00:04:31,800
Speaker 1: number four in terms of being twenty one and twelve

92
00:04:32,279 --> 00:04:35,160
Speaker 1: up two point seven to six units. On the road,

93
00:04:35,200 --> 00:04:38,160
Speaker 1: they're even better on the road. They're the number one

94
00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:40,240
Speaker 1: team in the NBA on the road twenty four nine

95
00:04:40,240 --> 00:04:43,640
Speaker 1: and two overall against the number on the road, but

96
00:04:43,920 --> 00:04:46,920
Speaker 1: still very good at home seven and three overall over

97
00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:49,159
Speaker 1: the last ten, up two point two units. Over the

98
00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:51,800
Speaker 1: last ten, Knicks have been solid. To bet this, We're

99
00:04:51,800 --> 00:04:53,880
Speaker 1: going Knicks in the first half, laying two two and

100
00:04:53,920 --> 00:04:57,279
Speaker 1: a half here against the San Antonio Spurs for the

101
00:04:57,320 --> 00:04:59,560
Speaker 1: first play for us here today for a half a unit.

102
00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:01,880
Speaker 1: I'm taking the other half a unit, and we're going

103
00:05:01,920 --> 00:05:05,720
Speaker 1: to talk about the Chicago Bulls taking on the Toronto Raptors,

104
00:05:05,880 --> 00:05:09,720
Speaker 1: who have completely and totally punted on this season. Toronto

105
00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:12,919
Speaker 1: is thirty thirty eight and one to the number. Chicago's

106
00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:16,240
Speaker 1: thirty six and thirty three to the number. Over the

107
00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:19,239
Speaker 1: last five, Toronto is two, two and one to the number.

108
00:05:19,360 --> 00:05:22,560
Speaker 1: Chicago is three and two. Over the last ten, Toronto

109
00:05:22,640 --> 00:05:24,599
Speaker 1: was four to five and one to the number, and

110
00:05:24,640 --> 00:05:27,479
Speaker 1: they've lost three straight to the number. They're four and

111
00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:31,120
Speaker 1: six Chicago to the number overall. Now, Chicago lost by

112
00:05:31,160 --> 00:05:33,600
Speaker 1: eight as four and a half point dogs to Brooklyn.

113
00:05:33,680 --> 00:05:36,400
Speaker 1: But before that they beat Detroit as nine and a

114
00:05:36,400 --> 00:05:38,760
Speaker 1: half point favorites the one by twelve. There were four

115
00:05:38,800 --> 00:05:41,200
Speaker 1: point dogs to Boston the one by twenty two, and

116
00:05:41,240 --> 00:05:43,279
Speaker 1: they were four and a half point favorites against Charlotte

117
00:05:43,320 --> 00:05:46,240
Speaker 1: and they won by twenty one. The Bulls are technically

118
00:05:46,320 --> 00:05:49,680
Speaker 1: not mathematically eliminated yet from the play in tournament. It's

119
00:05:49,800 --> 00:05:52,400
Speaker 1: incredibly impossible for them to make it. They're not making it,

120
00:05:52,440 --> 00:05:54,599
Speaker 1: but they're going into the game to night, at least

121
00:05:54,640 --> 00:05:57,039
Speaker 1: with Zach Lavine still playing all right. This might be

122
00:05:57,080 --> 00:06:00,520
Speaker 1: the last game he really plays hard in and the

123
00:06:00,520 --> 00:06:04,560
Speaker 1: Toronto Raptors have packed it in. The Raptors now have

124
00:06:04,760 --> 00:06:10,679
Speaker 1: lost overall. They've lost seven of eight. They've covered only

125
00:06:10,839 --> 00:06:14,240
Speaker 1: three of their last six games, the last three games

126
00:06:14,360 --> 00:06:16,760
Speaker 1: thirteen and a half point dogs to the Clippers lost

127
00:06:16,800 --> 00:06:19,920
Speaker 1: by nineteen six and a half point dogs to Memphis,

128
00:06:20,040 --> 00:06:23,400
Speaker 1: lost by ten two point dogs to Washington, they lost

129
00:06:23,440 --> 00:06:26,200
Speaker 1: by two, so certainly a push. They lost by five

130
00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:28,960
Speaker 1: to the Clippers as eleven point dogs, and they won

131
00:06:29,000 --> 00:06:32,039
Speaker 1: by seven against the Lakers as ten point dogs, and

132
00:06:32,080 --> 00:06:35,080
Speaker 1: they covered against Utah. But before that catching five from

133
00:06:35,120 --> 00:06:38,360
Speaker 1: Denver lost by ten, catching four, and after Brooklyn lost

134
00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:42,279
Speaker 1: by thirteen. They're laying nine here to Chicago. They just

135
00:06:42,320 --> 00:06:44,000
Speaker 1: want to go play golf. They don't want to be

136
00:06:44,040 --> 00:06:45,560
Speaker 1: a part of this at all. This is just it's

137
00:06:45,560 --> 00:06:49,520
Speaker 1: a road trip to Chicago. Bulls are at home. Bulls

138
00:06:49,600 --> 00:06:52,839
Speaker 1: at home aren't great to the number, fourteen and twenty

139
00:06:53,200 --> 00:06:56,120
Speaker 1: to the number. But I think here in this spot

140
00:06:56,480 --> 00:06:58,960
Speaker 1: maybe the last time they took on Boston at home

141
00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:02,000
Speaker 1: as four point dogs one by twenty two. They lost

142
00:07:02,040 --> 00:07:03,720
Speaker 1: their last game out to Brooklyn by four and a

143
00:07:03,760 --> 00:07:05,240
Speaker 1: half as four and a half point dogs. It was

144
00:07:05,320 --> 00:07:08,040
Speaker 1: my eight, So they're favored here. It's a chance to

145
00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:11,200
Speaker 1: end the year, end things on a higher note, if

146
00:07:11,240 --> 00:07:14,120
Speaker 1: you will, against a really bad team in Toronto that

147
00:07:14,160 --> 00:07:16,440
Speaker 1: doesn't want to be on the road here, I'll lay

148
00:07:16,440 --> 00:07:18,600
Speaker 1: the nine points with Chicago it's a little bit of

149
00:07:18,600 --> 00:07:21,120
Speaker 1: a crazy game because Chicago's got to have Zach Lavine

150
00:07:21,160 --> 00:07:23,880
Speaker 1: go off tonight. So maybe we'll eyeball a Zach Levine

151
00:07:23,920 --> 00:07:28,160
Speaker 1: prop tonight. But I'm gonna lay the nine Chicago minus

152
00:07:28,240 --> 00:07:34,240
Speaker 1: nine taking on the Toronto Raptors here tonight. So Nick's

153
00:07:34,240 --> 00:07:36,720
Speaker 1: first half. I don't have the number exactly, but we're

154
00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:39,440
Speaker 1: gonna bet the Nicks in the first half minus two

155
00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:42,040
Speaker 1: to two and a half. Then you got Chicago minus nine,

156
00:07:42,160 --> 00:07:44,680
Speaker 1: both for a half a unit for two NBA plays

157
00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:47,440
Speaker 1: going tonight. Okay, we have two NBA prop bets that

158
00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:49,480
Speaker 1: we're going as well, all right, so we'll have those

159
00:07:49,520 --> 00:07:52,560
Speaker 1: for you in the discord channel. The link is below

160
00:07:52,680 --> 00:07:55,280
Speaker 1: me on the YouTube channel, or you guys can go

161
00:07:55,280 --> 00:07:57,520
Speaker 1: there with betting pros dot Com slast chat to get

162
00:07:57,560 --> 00:08:00,680
Speaker 1: into the YouTube channel. That's where I add, that's where

163
00:08:00,720 --> 00:08:05,000
Speaker 1: I post things, and that's where I put this Raiders bet.

164
00:08:05,080 --> 00:08:07,840
Speaker 1: All right, let's get into this. The schedule came out,

165
00:08:08,440 --> 00:08:11,640
Speaker 1: FanDuel posted a win total of six and a half

166
00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:16,160
Speaker 1: for the Las Vegas Raiders seventeen game schedule. It was

167
00:08:16,160 --> 00:08:20,200
Speaker 1: a mistake. It was way too low. It has since moved.

168
00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:22,720
Speaker 1: It is since now seven seven and a half. I hope,

169
00:08:22,720 --> 00:08:24,520
Speaker 1: we'll hope for you guys get it. At seven. I'm

170
00:08:24,520 --> 00:08:27,520
Speaker 1: still okay with betting this at seven, but six and

171
00:08:27,560 --> 00:08:29,480
Speaker 1: a half I was all over it. I bet a

172
00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:33,240
Speaker 1: full unit on this. Bet okay, I bet it's just

173
00:08:33,400 --> 00:08:37,880
Speaker 1: you know, minus one ten, full unit on the Vegas

174
00:08:38,000 --> 00:08:40,640
Speaker 1: Raiders to win more than six and a half games,

175
00:08:40,960 --> 00:08:45,000
Speaker 1: to win seven games. So a bunch of you were like, okay, Matt,

176
00:08:45,200 --> 00:08:47,920
Speaker 1: why are you doing that with Vegas? And I've got

177
00:08:47,920 --> 00:08:50,120
Speaker 1: to be honest, I was. I was pretty shocked. Actually,

178
00:08:50,160 --> 00:08:52,000
Speaker 1: you know what. Sorry it was minus one thirty because

179
00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:53,960
Speaker 1: it still is six and a half. It hasn't moved.

180
00:08:54,040 --> 00:08:56,520
Speaker 1: Somebody told me it moved. It hasn't moved. It's six

181
00:08:56,520 --> 00:08:58,040
Speaker 1: and a half minus one thirty. I didn't bet mis

182
00:08:58,040 --> 00:08:59,800
Speaker 1: one ten bet. I bet minus one thirty. It's still

183
00:08:59,840 --> 00:09:03,000
Speaker 1: there right now, So that's wrong. I'm sorry. Somebody told

184
00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:04,840
Speaker 1: me that on the Discord channel that had gone to seven.

185
00:09:05,160 --> 00:09:07,360
Speaker 1: It was seven at DraftKings. It's still six and a

186
00:09:07,360 --> 00:09:10,679
Speaker 1: half today. What I'm seeing here for FanDuel, it's still

187
00:09:10,720 --> 00:09:13,440
Speaker 1: six and a half at mis one thirty. Pay the

188
00:09:13,520 --> 00:09:17,920
Speaker 1: juice full unit bet. Here's why okay, So Vegas has

189
00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:21,960
Speaker 1: the second hardest schedule on paper right now, behind the Steelers.

190
00:09:22,320 --> 00:09:25,000
Speaker 1: The Steelers have the full number one strength of schedule,

191
00:09:25,080 --> 00:09:28,360
Speaker 1: hardest schedule of anybody. Steelers won Raiders two. So they

192
00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:30,720
Speaker 1: might go, ah, they're going to be in trouble. Look it,

193
00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:33,480
Speaker 1: this is all off last year, right, I mean, we

194
00:09:33,480 --> 00:09:35,280
Speaker 1: don't know what teams are going to look like. Hey,

195
00:09:35,440 --> 00:09:38,439
Speaker 1: all the time last year's schedule. Throw it out the window. Man,

196
00:09:39,080 --> 00:09:43,000
Speaker 1: No fans, no home field advantage. When I tell you

197
00:09:43,120 --> 00:09:45,360
Speaker 1: that Vegas is going to be one of the hardest

198
00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:48,960
Speaker 1: places to play in the entire NFL. Coming here to

199
00:09:49,040 --> 00:09:53,160
Speaker 1: Vegas is going to be a problem. People have been

200
00:09:53,240 --> 00:09:57,280
Speaker 1: locked up in their houses for a year. These players

201
00:09:57,320 --> 00:10:00,199
Speaker 1: have been locked up for a year, and they're coming

202
00:10:00,240 --> 00:10:04,760
Speaker 1: to the party capital of America and their millionaires. This

203
00:10:04,840 --> 00:10:07,439
Speaker 1: is going to be the biggest problem for every head

204
00:10:07,480 --> 00:10:10,560
Speaker 1: coach coming on the road as to when do they

205
00:10:10,720 --> 00:10:13,600
Speaker 1: show up to play this game, because if they come

206
00:10:13,640 --> 00:10:17,200
Speaker 1: in on Friday, look out, this is going to be

207
00:10:17,320 --> 00:10:21,200
Speaker 1: party Central on Friday into Saturday, and then you might

208
00:10:21,360 --> 00:10:25,439
Speaker 1: lose track of your players. The Vegas Golden Knights had

209
00:10:25,440 --> 00:10:28,280
Speaker 1: a thing called the Vegas flew. In the first year

210
00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:31,120
Speaker 1: of existence, teams that showed up to play here in

211
00:10:31,200 --> 00:10:35,600
Speaker 1: Vegas got curb stomped because Vegas was good and the

212
00:10:35,640 --> 00:10:39,800
Speaker 1: whole atmosphere was insane. There's going to be a club,

213
00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:45,360
Speaker 1: a club with two DJs in the end zone called

214
00:10:45,400 --> 00:10:50,320
Speaker 1: the win Field Club here at Allegiant Stadium. We haven't

215
00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:55,199
Speaker 1: had sixty thousand people yet partying all day for a game.

216
00:10:56,000 --> 00:11:00,560
Speaker 1: The Ravens are walking into an absolute buzzsaw on Monday

217
00:11:00,640 --> 00:11:04,080
Speaker 1: Night football. Okay, how do I know that? Well, the

218
00:11:04,120 --> 00:11:06,840
Speaker 1: rest of the country has the line at six and

219
00:11:06,840 --> 00:11:10,199
Speaker 1: a half for the Ravens. Here in Vegas it's four.

220
00:11:10,960 --> 00:11:13,560
Speaker 1: Why because the locals are gonna come in and bet

221
00:11:13,600 --> 00:11:16,679
Speaker 1: the over, and they're gonna bet the home team like crazy,

222
00:11:17,080 --> 00:11:20,760
Speaker 1: and so they're shading it already. But I'm telling you,

223
00:11:21,520 --> 00:11:24,880
Speaker 1: even though some people are gonna punch holes in the Raiders,

224
00:11:25,559 --> 00:11:28,800
Speaker 1: they're better than people think. Derek Carr is better than

225
00:11:28,840 --> 00:11:33,080
Speaker 1: people think. You've got Josh Jacobs, You've got Waller, and

226
00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:35,920
Speaker 1: you've got a team that I think people need to

227
00:11:36,000 --> 00:11:40,400
Speaker 1: stop sleeping on. They beat the Chiefs at the Chiefs

228
00:11:40,480 --> 00:11:43,840
Speaker 1: last year. People just forget that that happened. That the

229
00:11:43,920 --> 00:11:46,240
Speaker 1: Raiders were able to do that because they think, oh

230
00:11:46,320 --> 00:11:50,880
Speaker 1: it's John Gruden. Ha ha. They stink. All right, this

231
00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:54,599
Speaker 1: is a tough schedule. I'm not debating it. However, I

232
00:11:54,679 --> 00:11:57,600
Speaker 1: think Henry Ruggs takes a step. I think you've got

233
00:11:57,600 --> 00:12:00,079
Speaker 1: some decent wide receiving options. I think John Brown to

234
00:12:00,240 --> 00:12:03,120
Speaker 1: be a really interesting weapon here with Rugs and Brown

235
00:12:03,160 --> 00:12:05,520
Speaker 1: on either side. You've got Burners to open up the

236
00:12:05,559 --> 00:12:08,240
Speaker 1: middle part of the field for Darren Waller to go

237
00:12:08,280 --> 00:12:11,240
Speaker 1: to work. You've got Willie Snead who's been coming over

238
00:12:11,320 --> 00:12:14,240
Speaker 1: has been a reliable third down receiver, hunter Renfro in

239
00:12:14,280 --> 00:12:17,520
Speaker 1: the slot. Yeah, you drafted Alex Leatherwood to protect and

240
00:12:18,120 --> 00:12:20,640
Speaker 1: increase the offensive line. In the first round. You brought

241
00:12:20,640 --> 00:12:24,320
Speaker 1: back Richie Incognito. Sure, their defense needs some help, but

242
00:12:25,000 --> 00:12:27,600
Speaker 1: you know they made a draft pick and they've got

243
00:12:27,720 --> 00:12:30,800
Speaker 1: Trevon Morig who most likely have been a first round

244
00:12:30,880 --> 00:12:33,120
Speaker 1: pick and now he's going to be a free safety.

245
00:12:33,200 --> 00:12:35,160
Speaker 1: That got him in the third round pick Janick and

246
00:12:35,160 --> 00:12:38,400
Speaker 1: Goatway former Raven now to help coming off the edge,

247
00:12:38,720 --> 00:12:41,040
Speaker 1: you need Cleveland Ferrell to continue to develop and take

248
00:12:41,080 --> 00:12:43,920
Speaker 1: a step forward. Because Jonathan Abram back off of injury.

249
00:12:44,280 --> 00:12:46,720
Speaker 1: You've got Damon Arnett who needs to take a step forward.

250
00:12:46,760 --> 00:12:49,920
Speaker 1: Casey Hayward would signed from the San Diego from the

251
00:12:50,040 --> 00:12:54,840
Speaker 1: LA sorry, from the Los Angeles Chargers coming over. So

252
00:12:54,920 --> 00:12:57,079
Speaker 1: let's look at the schedule, right, Where can I find

253
00:12:57,120 --> 00:13:00,240
Speaker 1: seven wins? I have them beating the Ravens out right

254
00:13:00,280 --> 00:13:03,640
Speaker 1: in game one. All right, allegiance, it's going to be

255
00:13:03,640 --> 00:13:07,680
Speaker 1: a full house, sixty thousand screaming fans, Monday night football,

256
00:13:07,960 --> 00:13:12,400
Speaker 1: electric atmosphere, insane atmosphere. I like the Raiders to win.

257
00:13:12,480 --> 00:13:15,280
Speaker 1: Game one on the road at the Steelers in Week

258
00:13:15,280 --> 00:13:19,200
Speaker 1: two is a loss? One win so far home for

259
00:13:19,240 --> 00:13:23,880
Speaker 1: the Dolphins. Win. There's two on the road at the Chargers,

260
00:13:24,080 --> 00:13:27,400
Speaker 1: tough place to play, Raiders have won there before at

261
00:13:27,440 --> 00:13:30,880
Speaker 1: so far. Maybe that's a loss home for the Bears.

262
00:13:31,240 --> 00:13:34,400
Speaker 1: Win at the Broncos. Tough place to play, but the

263
00:13:34,400 --> 00:13:36,920
Speaker 1: Broncos might not be any good. That's a coin flip. Okay,

264
00:13:36,960 --> 00:13:39,120
Speaker 1: but I don't need that game. That's a coin flip

265
00:13:40,000 --> 00:13:45,280
Speaker 1: home game versus the Eagles win. Okay. Ravens, Dolphins, Bears,

266
00:13:45,600 --> 00:13:49,959
Speaker 1: Eagles four wins before the bye week Week eight, great

267
00:13:49,960 --> 00:13:53,400
Speaker 1: time for the buye Okay at New York off the

268
00:13:53,400 --> 00:13:57,880
Speaker 1: bye win. We got five wins on the road at

269
00:13:57,960 --> 00:14:02,000
Speaker 1: Kansas City. Yikes. Not going to deny it. Really hard

270
00:14:02,000 --> 00:14:04,440
Speaker 1: place to play revenge on the mind for the Chiefs

271
00:14:04,480 --> 00:14:06,760
Speaker 1: after that game last year. But the Chiefs is sorry,

272
00:14:06,760 --> 00:14:10,400
Speaker 1: that's a home game. Raiders almost beat the Chiefs last

273
00:14:10,440 --> 00:14:15,240
Speaker 1: year here in Vegas and beat them at Arrowhead in

274
00:14:15,320 --> 00:14:18,600
Speaker 1: Kansas City. Could they win that game? Maybe? I don't

275
00:14:18,640 --> 00:14:21,840
Speaker 1: need it. Okay, I got five home for the Bengals. Win,

276
00:14:22,160 --> 00:14:26,600
Speaker 1: they're six at the Dallas Cowboys, winnable game. Don't need it.

277
00:14:27,280 --> 00:14:33,560
Speaker 1: Week thirteen home against Washington, win seven wins there, it

278
00:14:33,640 --> 00:14:37,800
Speaker 1: is seven and ten. They can lose at Kansas City,

279
00:14:38,120 --> 00:14:42,120
Speaker 1: at Cleveland, home for the Broncos, at the Colts, at

280
00:14:42,160 --> 00:14:46,160
Speaker 1: the Chargers. It's a mistake, all right. That's a mistake.

281
00:14:46,600 --> 00:14:49,640
Speaker 1: Six and a half is a mistake by FanDuel. And

282
00:14:50,720 --> 00:14:52,400
Speaker 1: I don't get it. I mean I looked at that

283
00:14:52,440 --> 00:14:54,760
Speaker 1: and I was like, that's a miss. You can do it.

284
00:14:54,760 --> 00:14:56,120
Speaker 1: You can bet it right now. I'm looking at it

285
00:14:56,160 --> 00:14:58,960
Speaker 1: six and a half at FanDuel right now, mis one

286
00:14:58,960 --> 00:15:03,160
Speaker 1: point thirty unit. Bet on the Raiders to win seven games.

287
00:15:03,800 --> 00:15:06,080
Speaker 1: I bet this last year. You guys have been og

288
00:15:06,320 --> 00:15:09,560
Speaker 1: listeners of the Daily Juice Raiders to win eight games

289
00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:13,720
Speaker 1: last year, and they won eight. This is one win less.

290
00:15:13,800 --> 00:15:15,880
Speaker 1: It was seven and a half last year. It's six

291
00:15:15,920 --> 00:15:19,040
Speaker 1: and a half this year. And we added a game,

292
00:15:19,640 --> 00:15:23,320
Speaker 1: and we're adding fans to a home field environment that

293
00:15:23,440 --> 00:15:25,760
Speaker 1: late in the year. I think the Bengals are gonna

294
00:15:25,800 --> 00:15:28,160
Speaker 1: come in here. Are Washington's gonna come in here and

295
00:15:28,200 --> 00:15:32,520
Speaker 1: be like, oh, let's focus on football. No, their years

296
00:15:32,520 --> 00:15:35,000
Speaker 1: are gonna be over. Those are both bad football teams

297
00:15:35,040 --> 00:15:36,480
Speaker 1: and they're gonna have to deal with the fact that

298
00:15:36,600 --> 00:15:40,080
Speaker 1: Vegas is gonna be the king of distractions. How do

299
00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:42,440
Speaker 1: you keep your guys away from the casinos? How do

300
00:15:42,480 --> 00:15:44,800
Speaker 1: you keep your players away from the nightlife? How do

301
00:15:44,840 --> 00:15:49,160
Speaker 1: you keep your players in their rooms? Eh, this is

302
00:15:49,200 --> 00:15:52,560
Speaker 1: post COVID Now, okay, this is not gonna fly. You

303
00:15:52,600 --> 00:15:54,800
Speaker 1: can't do what you just did. You can't say, hey,

304
00:15:54,840 --> 00:16:01,160
Speaker 1: you violate this, you violate that. Uh huh. Vegas today, MGM, Caesars, Cosmo,

305
00:16:01,600 --> 00:16:07,280
Speaker 1: win Stratt, one hundred percent capacity in the rooms and

306
00:16:07,520 --> 00:16:11,080
Speaker 1: on the floor of the casinos. Vegas is back, baby,

307
00:16:11,320 --> 00:16:14,960
Speaker 1: And this is May. You're telling me that in October

308
00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:20,760
Speaker 1: or November? Yeah, ain't happening. Get ready for the Vegas

309
00:16:20,760 --> 00:16:24,000
Speaker 1: flu Get ready for the home field advantage. Get ready

310
00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:26,680
Speaker 1: for a Leegiant stadium. Six and a half is way

311
00:16:26,680 --> 00:16:29,880
Speaker 1: too low. Over six and a half wins MIAs one

312
00:16:30,040 --> 00:16:34,280
Speaker 1: thirty for the Raiders, one full unit. I will sprinkle

313
00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:37,920
Speaker 1: these in as we go when I see mistakes or

314
00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:40,440
Speaker 1: I see numbers and I'm jumping on I know, you say, Matt,

315
00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:44,240
Speaker 1: I'm you're betting football. I do a win total in May. Yeah,

316
00:16:44,680 --> 00:16:48,000
Speaker 1: because value is value, and if you can find it,

317
00:16:48,640 --> 00:16:52,360
Speaker 1: jump on it. Because cashing tickets is cashing tickets, and

318
00:16:52,520 --> 00:16:55,920
Speaker 1: value is value. Raiders over six and a half minus

319
00:16:55,960 --> 00:16:59,680
Speaker 1: one thirty for a full unit, Okay, and then I've

320
00:16:59,680 --> 00:17:01,640
Speaker 1: got one, one full unit to play here with the

321
00:17:01,680 --> 00:17:05,280
Speaker 1: at and T Byron Nelson Matthew Fitzpatrick in a head

322
00:17:05,320 --> 00:17:08,960
Speaker 1: to head up against Matt Kucher. This is interesting, And

323
00:17:09,680 --> 00:17:12,440
Speaker 1: I posted this to the Discord channel as well, because

324
00:17:12,440 --> 00:17:14,680
Speaker 1: I almost like I was kind of shocked about that.

325
00:17:15,920 --> 00:17:18,320
Speaker 1: You know, Matt Kucher can be a guy who can

326
00:17:18,320 --> 00:17:20,360
Speaker 1: be up and down. He can do some fun things.

327
00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:24,320
Speaker 1: But Matt Matthew Fitzpatrick heading into the Byron Nelson has

328
00:17:24,440 --> 00:17:27,240
Speaker 1: gone tied for fifth time for eleventh, time for tenth,

329
00:17:27,280 --> 00:17:30,119
Speaker 1: tied for ninth, tie for eighteenth, tied for thirty fourth,

330
00:17:30,320 --> 00:17:33,960
Speaker 1: and tied for fourth. Okay, I mean he's not one

331
00:17:33,960 --> 00:17:37,800
Speaker 1: of the longer hitters off the tee, but he's really accurate,

332
00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:42,400
Speaker 1: really strong iron game, and a guy who can putt.

333
00:17:42,560 --> 00:17:45,639
Speaker 1: He's a pretty good putter. So at circa and again

334
00:17:45,680 --> 00:17:48,880
Speaker 1: you have to find this, but Fitzpatrick could win this thing,

335
00:17:49,160 --> 00:17:51,520
Speaker 1: all right, He's plus two thousand to win this thing,

336
00:17:51,560 --> 00:17:53,280
Speaker 1: but he could win this thing. A lot of people

337
00:17:53,359 --> 00:17:57,200
Speaker 1: like Matthew Fitzpatrick to win the tournament. But because it's

338
00:17:57,280 --> 00:18:01,160
Speaker 1: minus one point eighty against Matt Kutcher, this is where

339
00:18:01,160 --> 00:18:02,960
Speaker 1: I had to lay a full unit to get any

340
00:18:02,960 --> 00:18:04,880
Speaker 1: real value out of this bet. I had to lay

341
00:18:04,880 --> 00:18:06,879
Speaker 1: a full unit so it could blow up in my face.

342
00:18:06,920 --> 00:18:09,800
Speaker 1: I've not been good with golf, my record. I'll run

343
00:18:09,840 --> 00:18:11,440
Speaker 1: through some of my records here in just one second.

344
00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:13,480
Speaker 1: I know you guys like to hear that was one

345
00:18:13,520 --> 00:18:15,360
Speaker 1: of the things on the discord chat. You guys wanted

346
00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:17,560
Speaker 1: to hear more about my record. But I'm laying a

347
00:18:17,600 --> 00:18:21,600
Speaker 1: full unit. Matthew Fitzpatrick minus one eighty against Matt Coucher

348
00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:23,840
Speaker 1: at the at and t. It's a four round bet,

349
00:18:24,200 --> 00:18:27,960
Speaker 1: all four rounds. Matthew Matt Matt Fitzpatrick to finish ahead

350
00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:32,399
Speaker 1: of Matt Kucher here battle of the mats, and if

351
00:18:32,400 --> 00:18:34,960
Speaker 1: Fitzpatrick doesn't make the cut, I'm screwed and I'm down

352
00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:37,480
Speaker 1: a full unit. But We've had a couple of good days,

353
00:18:37,760 --> 00:18:39,640
Speaker 1: so I'm feeling a little bit flush, in a little

354
00:18:39,680 --> 00:18:42,080
Speaker 1: bit more aggressive, So why not go ahead and fire

355
00:18:42,119 --> 00:18:44,879
Speaker 1: here on Matthew on Matt Fitzpatrick a player that I

356
00:18:44,920 --> 00:18:47,160
Speaker 1: do like a lot. He's young, but he's heading into

357
00:18:47,160 --> 00:18:50,560
Speaker 1: this tournament pretty hot, into the Byron Nelson. So full

358
00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:53,879
Speaker 1: unit minus one eighty Matthew Fitzpatrick four round head to

359
00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:58,080
Speaker 1: head against Matt Coucher at minus one eighty. My golf record,

360
00:18:58,119 --> 00:19:00,320
Speaker 1: in case you are curious, is six and twelve twelve

361
00:19:00,440 --> 00:19:03,960
Speaker 1: down two point one five units. Okay, not good, So

362
00:19:03,960 --> 00:19:06,359
Speaker 1: I win this. I hit this, Okay. I'm gonna make

363
00:19:06,400 --> 00:19:07,760
Speaker 1: a little bit of back, a little back here and

364
00:19:07,800 --> 00:19:09,800
Speaker 1: then a ton, but I'll make a little back to

365
00:19:10,080 --> 00:19:14,320
Speaker 1: improve that record. Here on the PGA for NBA player props,

366
00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:20,720
Speaker 1: I am now, I am up. Let's see, I am

367
00:19:20,800 --> 00:19:25,520
Speaker 1: now fifty eight and thirty seven over sixty percent on those,

368
00:19:25,600 --> 00:19:28,240
Speaker 1: and I am up nearly four units on NBA player

369
00:19:28,240 --> 00:19:30,679
Speaker 1: props at a quarter unit, which is pretty good for

370
00:19:30,760 --> 00:19:35,320
Speaker 1: the NBA. What did I go yesterday going into the night,

371
00:19:35,359 --> 00:19:37,960
Speaker 1: I was forty two and twenty eight, up five point

372
00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:44,959
Speaker 1: seventy one units, and I yeah, we didn't make an

373
00:19:45,040 --> 00:19:48,560
Speaker 1: NBA play officially yesterday. There was only hockey, so nothing

374
00:19:48,600 --> 00:19:54,879
Speaker 1: on that. Baseball improved to ten and sixteen, So baseball

375
00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:58,199
Speaker 1: gets to be now down two point five units for

376
00:19:58,280 --> 00:20:02,560
Speaker 1: baseball and so slowly chipping away after that really cool

377
00:20:02,600 --> 00:20:06,720
Speaker 1: start Hockey improved. We're now to what eighty two and

378
00:20:06,760 --> 00:20:09,520
Speaker 1: seventy two somewhere in that range like a fifty four

379
00:20:09,600 --> 00:20:13,000
Speaker 1: percent hit rate for hockey. We're up now think one

380
00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:16,240
Speaker 1: point five units somewhere in that range for hockey once

381
00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:18,959
Speaker 1: we do the math here for after last night. So

382
00:20:19,600 --> 00:20:22,919
Speaker 1: NBA continues to be really good, sixty percent hitting on

383
00:20:23,040 --> 00:20:26,280
Speaker 1: NBA forty two and twenty eight, NBA player props still

384
00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:29,480
Speaker 1: really hot. Fifty eight and thirty seven now well over

385
00:20:29,520 --> 00:20:33,600
Speaker 1: sixty percent there on that Major League Baseball eh coming

386
00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:35,280
Speaker 1: around hopefully going to get a little better from for

387
00:20:35,359 --> 00:20:39,639
Speaker 1: Major League Baseball here, PGA has not been good NFL

388
00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:43,520
Speaker 1: last year during the NFL. During the regular season for

389
00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:47,120
Speaker 1: the NFL, I went seventy five and sixty five, up

390
00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:50,399
Speaker 1: six units. Okay, that's where I was last year for

391
00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:54,439
Speaker 1: player props in the NFL, I went sixty four and

392
00:20:54,480 --> 00:20:58,320
Speaker 1: fifty three, up three units. So I was up nine

393
00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:03,040
Speaker 1: units for the NFL going into the playoffs. And that's

394
00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:05,400
Speaker 1: where I fell straight on my face and I lost

395
00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:08,320
Speaker 1: nine units, going six and fifteen in the NFL playoffs,

396
00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:12,480
Speaker 1: losing nine units. So I was completely flat throughout the

397
00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:16,280
Speaker 1: entire NFL season. I was totally flat, up nine during

398
00:21:16,280 --> 00:21:20,480
Speaker 1: the regular season, down nine during the postseason. Just horrific.

399
00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:22,960
Speaker 1: I was so embarrassed about all that. It was awful.

400
00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:25,879
Speaker 1: But that's where the record is currently. Okay, So to

401
00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:28,480
Speaker 1: recap two player props coming in the discore channel later

402
00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:33,480
Speaker 1: Chicago minus nine half a unit, Nick's first half minus two,

403
00:21:33,640 --> 00:21:36,680
Speaker 1: somewhere in that range. Half a unit raiders over six

404
00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:39,200
Speaker 1: and a half minus one thirty for the season win

405
00:21:39,320 --> 00:21:43,040
Speaker 1: total for one unit Matthew Fitzpatrick minus one eighty over

406
00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:45,800
Speaker 1: Matt Coocher four rounds laying minus one eighty. So we're

407
00:21:45,840 --> 00:21:47,399
Speaker 1: going to full unit because we're laying a lot of

408
00:21:47,480 --> 00:21:49,280
Speaker 1: juice there, and I want it to be fun for

409
00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:52,000
Speaker 1: four days, so it's basically a quarter unit every day.

410
00:21:53,160 --> 00:21:54,920
Speaker 1: I'm willing to put it down there for golf and

411
00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:56,680
Speaker 1: run with it a little bit to give me something

412
00:21:56,720 --> 00:21:58,919
Speaker 1: to pay attention to for the Byron Nelson for golf

413
00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:01,560
Speaker 1: here over the next four days. My name is Matt Parolt.

414
00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:03,879
Speaker 1: To follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Every

415
00:22:03,920 --> 00:22:06,200
Speaker 1: single morning, it's the Diligence Podcast being brought to you

416
00:22:06,280 --> 00:22:15,719
Speaker 1: by bet MGM right here on bettingpros dot com.