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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go fifteen hondy, twenty five, thirty

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Speaker 2: thirty five, forty forty five fifty and the kick as

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Speaker 2: block Look college football World stunder.

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Speaker 3: Good bye, Oh my goodness.

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Speaker 2: He stumbled, and football the lateral turn the corner of

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Speaker 2: the inside. Don't you the lad table off the field

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Speaker 2: to night. It's not the side of the dog in

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Speaker 2: the fighting. It's the size of the fight in the hall.

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Speaker 2: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 2: on Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is the

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Speaker 2: Week four college football betting preview. I'm stucky, joining me

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Speaker 2: as always Colin Wilson. Colin, we got through the week

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Speaker 2: three slate. I'm counting down the minutes to the start

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Speaker 2: of this Week four slate like I'm twelve and it's Christmas.

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Speaker 2: How great is this slate going to be?

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Speaker 4: I mean, there's no sense in wasting any time and

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Speaker 4: any extra noise. Let's get right to it.

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Speaker 2: Let's jump right into it. Let's hit a couple quick

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Speaker 2: look ahead or look aways, hangovers, sleepers, and the dreaded

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Speaker 2: sandwich spot.

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Speaker 4: Is it time to look ahead or look away?

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Speaker 2: Let's start with the fallout from Florida Tennessee from last weekend.

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Speaker 2: A couple suspensions too in the first half from the

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Speaker 2: end when hypel unnecessarily calls a time out at the

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Speaker 2: end of the game and then they late hit the quarterback.

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Speaker 2: Just clown stuff. But I'm sure that both teams we

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Speaker 2: fired up to face each other next year. But from

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Speaker 2: that game, you have Tennessee hosting UTSA and Florida hosting Charlotte,

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Speaker 2: both laying pretty big numbers. Here Tennessee close to three touchdowns,

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Speaker 2: Florida's sitting around four touchdown favorites. The spot is Charlotte.

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Speaker 2: I just can't get behind it. Like even if Florida's disinterested,

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Speaker 2: even if Graham Mertz isn't one hundred percent, they might

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Speaker 2: just be able to hand it off and run it

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Speaker 2: for days on the Charlotte d I still have a

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Speaker 2: great grasp on what Charlotte wants to do at quarterback.

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Speaker 2: It's a good spot. I wouldn't blame you for taking

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Speaker 2: four touchdowns, but I'm passing Tennessee UTSA. It's a pass.

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Speaker 2: I haven't seen enough for Milton yet, so I would

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Speaker 2: expect Tennessee to come out with full focus, but not

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Speaker 2: a team I'm looking to back right now. Do you

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Speaker 2: have any thoughts on either, Yeah.

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Speaker 4: I'm taking Tennessee against UTSA. UTSA is absolutely horrific in

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Speaker 4: defending the pass. Yeah, they like to be real fast,

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Speaker 4: but Frank Harris might not be there. I think that

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Speaker 4: gives way to Eddie I.

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Speaker 2: Could work, and that could work against them too. If

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Speaker 2: they're working fast and Tennessee's working fast and you're a

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Speaker 2: dog like, that's not what you want to do as

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Speaker 2: an overmatch team.

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Speaker 4: You get really bad. And UTSA right now has A

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Speaker 4: are outside the top one hundred strength of record, strength

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Speaker 4: of schedule, So when you reel off their stats, you

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Speaker 4: have to realize it's come against some really bad competition.

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Speaker 4: Meet me pause, one hundred and twenty ninth, then coverage

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Speaker 4: there are one hundred and sixth in pressures on one

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Speaker 4: hundred and twenty fourth and tackling. Those are some terrible

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Speaker 4: defensive numbers going in to take on a team that

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Speaker 4: should be pretty pissed off and embarrassed about losing that

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Speaker 4: game and against their rival. There's no overlook for Tennessee

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Speaker 4: after the Florida loss. But I don't expect Josh Hipel

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Speaker 4: to take his foot off the pedal here. He needs

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Speaker 4: a good win after what happened last week, and I

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Speaker 4: expect them to fly over their number. If Joe Milton

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Speaker 4: is terrible or inefficient, or he's not meeting Josh, I

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Speaker 4: mean Nico I Malayeva Ea Malayeva, he might.

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Speaker 2: We're good with just Nico. You always have to try,

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Speaker 2: are we We're talking Ucli lator, so I'm sure you're

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Speaker 2: gonna get your guy.

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Speaker 4: Las mentioned to him, I'm waiting for Nico. I've been

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Speaker 4: waiting for Nico all year. When once Nico comes in,

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Speaker 4: it's it's back to Rocky Top.

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Speaker 2: Any interest in backing Charlotte.

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Speaker 4: I project the game exactly where it's at, but I

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Speaker 4: expect it to kind of take off. And Pogy said this,

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Speaker 4: it's a fluid situation at quarterback, either Ivy or Jalen Jones.

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Speaker 4: They both played in the last game. It looks like

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Speaker 4: Ivy may get the call here they both played in

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Speaker 4: the second half. You know, Ivy hasn't thrown a turnover

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Speaker 4: worthy play and Jones has had three I in t's

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Speaker 4: and three so the quarterback situation is really scary. But

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Speaker 4: the one thing where I can't get in on this,

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Speaker 4: you know Biff Pogy love and the Charlotte love is

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Speaker 4: that there are one hundred and thirtieth and havoc allowed.

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Speaker 4: And that scares the hell out of me trying to

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Speaker 4: back these guys because while they've been covering in certain

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Speaker 4: parts of the games each week, they make mistakes and

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Speaker 4: shoot themselves in the foot. And until I see some

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Speaker 4: offensive continuity, I just cannot get behind it.

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Speaker 2: My name's Biff Pogy. Coaching for me is a ministry.

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Speaker 2: It's what I've been called to do. Yeah, moving on

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Speaker 2: to another spot here, Duke does a tricky spot, just

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Speaker 2: like Florida. Like I could see Florida being pretty disinterested.

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Speaker 2: Duke travels up to Yukon. Yukon has been they were

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Speaker 2: supposed to be a little improved after a Bowl last year.

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Speaker 2: They've been awful, zero to three, including a loss at

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Speaker 2: home against FIU last week, and their quarterbacks out. You're

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Speaker 2: down to Robertson, who can't really throw the ball. But

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Speaker 2: Duke goes to Yukon. This line is sitting around three touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: I think it's let's say it as it come off

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Speaker 2: the that's twenty one and a half. Duke's a twenty

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Speaker 2: one and a half point favorite. They have notre Dame

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Speaker 2: next week. I can't get there. With Yukon, they were

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Speaker 2: circled as a potential spot, but they just can't score.

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Speaker 2: And like Duke, the floor for Duke's offense is so

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Speaker 2: high with you know, even just a quarterback run. Duke's good.

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Speaker 2: I can't upgrade them enough. Elco's doing a tremendous job

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Speaker 2: in this Yukon team. Their offense is disgusting, like they're

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Speaker 2: gonna have to in order to cover this game. It's

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Speaker 2: got to be like twenty four to ten. Can they

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Speaker 2: hold Duke to like twenty I'm not sure. I know

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Speaker 2: Duke will probably sleepwalk here, but I have no interest

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Speaker 2: in back in this Yukon team right now.

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Speaker 4: I don't either, But the money in the market says

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Speaker 4: that you should. I mean, there's been some buyback on

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Speaker 4: here down to twenty one and a half. There's a

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Speaker 4: couple twenty at some softer books that are starting to

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Speaker 4: show up. And Duke should absolutely crush on both sides

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Speaker 4: of the ball, heavy advantages and success rate quality drives.

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Speaker 4: And Duke did play at Kansas in a similar spot

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Speaker 4: last year, kind of an ACC sandwich or before the

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Speaker 4: ACC play started with Virginia. They lost the game thirty

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Speaker 4: five to twenty seven. But I mean that's coming against Kansas.

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Speaker 4: It's like real competition. They didn't completely know show against

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Speaker 4: that Jayhawks team, so I expect them to show up.

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Speaker 4: But Elko coached at Notre Dame before he took off

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Speaker 4: and went to Texas, A and M. Notre Dame had

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Speaker 4: a season where they went four and eight. Mike Elko

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Speaker 4: got hired. He became such a big part of that program.

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Speaker 4: He left Clark Lee behind. I mean, Notre Dame is

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Speaker 4: a really big game personally for Elco. So that's where

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Speaker 4: the overlook comes in here. I don't know if that's

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Speaker 4: what's forcing this down. Some money in this market is

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Speaker 4: pushing this down to twenty one.

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Speaker 2: So there's some weather that a weather system that might

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Speaker 2: hit the East Coast and there's going to be some

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Speaker 2: wind and that makes it a little tougher for these

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Speaker 2: big favorites. So that might be part of it. But

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Speaker 2: I just love what I've seen from Riley Leonard a company.

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Speaker 2: I will tell you that maybe the look here is

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Speaker 2: ukon second half because Duke, you know, they might be sleepwalking,

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Speaker 2: but I just feel like they're too talented to not

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Speaker 2: jump out to a lead. If they do, then I

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Speaker 2: feel like they're gonna sit on this in the second half.

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Speaker 2: I might look you con second half all right? Moving

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Speaker 2: on here you a be at Georgia. Georgia after pretty

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Speaker 2: lackluster effort, especially in the first affic in South Carolina.

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Speaker 2: They have Auburn on deck. They face your boy, Trent

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Speaker 2: Dilfer and U A B. This should be a laugher.

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Speaker 5: Well plays their nation may really clear.

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Speaker 2: There's no reason to trust me. Absolute joke of a

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Speaker 2: schedule for Georgia. Georgia. Here is a forty two and

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Speaker 2: a half point favorite. I'm not laying forty two and

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Speaker 2: a half in the spot and I'm not back at

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Speaker 2: UAB past past pass for made you got something near?

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Speaker 4: Oh boy? I mean I project this at thirty eight,

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Speaker 4: so it's a little bit lower. This is the same

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Speaker 4: spot you're.

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Speaker 2: Playing, Trent. Don't care if you black ball me. I

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Speaker 2: don't know.

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Speaker 4: I kind of leaned something. But listen, this is the

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Speaker 4: same spot Georgia was in last year Kent State. This

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Speaker 4: was the same spot this sandwich game. Sandwich is Kent

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Speaker 4: State lost by seventeen. It was twenty six to thirteen

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Speaker 4: and a half. I don't know what's going on with

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Speaker 4: Georgia and these and the sleepy spots that they have,

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Speaker 4: is you know, Kirby's unhappy with this offense, was generating

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Speaker 4: these long, methodical drives and they ended up with only

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Speaker 4: three points. He's emphasized the red zone this week, so

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Speaker 4: we'll see. But when you look over at UAB, they

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Speaker 4: actually have a really high success rate and throwing with

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Speaker 4: Jacob Zeno. I didn't expect Zeno to have these kind

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Speaker 4: of passing numbers out here so far. You know, his

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Speaker 4: A dot has been cutting half from the last ten

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Speaker 4: years to five point five. So everything that they throw

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Speaker 4: is short, but it has been successful. Only seven of

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Speaker 4: them have been over twenty yards of the ninety eight

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Speaker 4: that he's thrown. So they're going to play an east

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Speaker 4: to west game. I don't think that really works against

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Speaker 4: the against the Georgia defense, who is easily the fastest

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Speaker 4: going from east to west and they are north to south.

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Speaker 4: So I think after the slow start last week, like

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Speaker 4: Georgia really struggled to get offensively into the game and

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Speaker 4: Kirby preaching red zone, I like the in this game,

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Speaker 4: so I'm not saying I'm taking you ab or Georgia.

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Speaker 4: I just like to over in this game. And it's

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Speaker 4: a projection that I have above.

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Speaker 2: Fifty nine seven thirty and I promise you I won't

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Speaker 2: watch one second of that game. Last one here before

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Speaker 2: we get to the marquee matchups USC. They have Colorado

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Speaker 2: next week, then the start of the Big Twelvey going

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Speaker 2: down to Arizona State. Arizona State with one of the

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Speaker 2: worst performances that we will see in college football to year.

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Speaker 2: They had eight turnovers, they used a million quarterbacks. It

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Speaker 2: was absolutely disgusting. They were shut out for the first time.

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Speaker 2: Shout out at home again's a group of five team,

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Speaker 2: but shout out at home for the first time since

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Speaker 2: nineteen eighty eight. They host USC and this number is crazy.

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Speaker 2: USC is a five touchdown favorite. I can't get to

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Speaker 2: this number. I don't know who's going to be on

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Speaker 2: the offensive line for Arazona State. They have a ton

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Speaker 2: of injuries there. I don't know who's going to be quarterback.

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Speaker 2: I think it's Drew Pine. He was taking first team reps.

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Speaker 2: They were all hurt last week. They were down the

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Speaker 2: conover the four string kid transfer from BYU. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: It's gonna take me some liquid courage on Saturday after

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Speaker 2: I get to a certain amount of drinks. But once

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Speaker 2: I do, I'm gonna bet Arizona State at this number.

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Speaker 2: I have to you, first of all, this is their

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Speaker 2: super Bowl. They can't go to a bowl. I should

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Speaker 2: do this, and this should have been in the trash

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Speaker 2: that this might be the biggest trash of all. This

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Speaker 2: is their super Bowl. They can't go to a bowl.

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Speaker 2: They were just embarrassed in back to back games. This

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Speaker 2: is it they have to beat. They're not gonna beat.

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Speaker 2: They have to show up here. If they don't, you

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Speaker 2: get bet against them every every week the rest of

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Speaker 2: the year. This number is just too high. USC's defense

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Speaker 2: is still not something that I really respect. Last year

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Speaker 2: Drew Pine is not good. But last year Drew Pine

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Speaker 2: twenty three of twenty six for three hundred and twenty

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Speaker 2: yards and three touchdowns against this USC defense. Maybe he

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Speaker 2: won't have a pocket to throw in. But too high.

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Speaker 2: The number is too high. USC could be also up

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Speaker 2: forty five to nothing at the half and then call

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Speaker 2: to day and then you still can cover. This number

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Speaker 2: is too high, do you agree?

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Speaker 4: Way too high? I mean it's I projected at twenty six.

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Speaker 4: But I think what I'm shocked by is that I

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Speaker 4: see USC defensively they're in the top five, and defensive

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Speaker 4: finishing drives, they've allowed only five opponent drives to get

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Speaker 4: into the red zone. Can you believe that it's just

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Speaker 4: tough not to see US get fifty? So you're really,

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Speaker 4: I mean your bet, you're asking Arizona State to get

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Speaker 4: a certain amount of points. I'm not sure if it's

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Speaker 4: smarter to bet on the spread or bet on the

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Speaker 4: fact that you're going to say Arizona State gets what

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Speaker 4: twelve eleven and a half points? Is that it's got

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Speaker 4: to be somewhere around there.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that they can get to seventeen twenty here.

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Speaker 2: I don't know us. Yeah, it's ugly, but it's too high.

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Speaker 2: I gotta do it at five touchdowns. I'll have a

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Speaker 2: couple of drinks that'll enable me to hit submit. All right,

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Speaker 2: let's move on here, see the marquee matches before we do.

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Speaker 2: As a reminder of the BBOC podcast is presented by

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Speaker 2: bet On. GM used bonus code action when signing up

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Speaker 2: in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan,

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Speaker 2: Terms of conditions do apply. Must be twenty one or older.

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Speaker 2: Gambling problem call one eight hundred gambler. All right, let's

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Speaker 2: get to the marquee matchups. It's another fabulous weekend of

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Speaker 2: college football.

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Speaker 4: Let's check out the marquee matchups.

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Speaker 2: We'll all end up betting for Week four as good

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Speaker 2: as it gets on a college football Saturday. We have

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Speaker 2: seven games that we'll get to. Let's start off with

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Speaker 2: Florida State at Clemson. Clemson's a two to two and

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Speaker 2: a half point underdog over under fifty five and a half.

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Speaker 2: This game's at noon Eastern on ABC. All right, let

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Speaker 2: me so, I always said this is a Dabo Sweeney

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Speaker 2: and Kid Clubni podcast, completely kidding.

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Speaker 4: Nobody's going to ever steal my joy.

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Speaker 3: Joy comes from within.

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Speaker 2: I hate I really didn't like this Clemson team like

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Speaker 2: you did coming into the year. And then you know,

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Speaker 2: I see this line and which was before the season

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Speaker 2: was minus Clemson minus four, and I asked myself, Okay,

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Speaker 2: you know that's a look adline. They're not the most

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Speaker 2: efficient things in the world. And we have data points

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Speaker 2: on what we've learned about these two teams. The consensus,

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Speaker 2: if you ask most people will be off Florida State's

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Speaker 2: really good, Clemson's a front. While I do agree that

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Speaker 2: Clemson has not utilized the portal and they're slowly falling behind,

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Speaker 2: have we really learned that much? So let me make

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Speaker 2: my case. Florida State comes out and beat tell us

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Speaker 2: you in in pressure fashion on primetime first weekend of

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Speaker 2: the year. Clemson me while loses at Duke as a

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Speaker 2: substantial favor, double digit favor on primetime, a game everyone's watching.

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Speaker 2: So I get that those two things stick in everyone's mind,

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Speaker 2: and there's not a ton of market matchups through in

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Speaker 2: the season. But Clemson vomited all over near the goal line,

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Speaker 2: like the result could have been way different by the way.

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Speaker 2: LSU also vomited near the goal line throughout the first half,

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Speaker 2: and they led it at the end of the first half.

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Speaker 2: Clemson also implementing a brand new offense, and they really weren't.

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Speaker 2: They didn't really utilize it. They have started through the

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Speaker 2: past couple of weeks, but it's the first game new offense.

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Speaker 2: Tons of mistakes, just like fumbles near the goal line.

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Speaker 2: So Florida State could have lost that game that that

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Speaker 2: things go differently early, and Clemson still could have won

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Speaker 2: that game if they don't fumble into the goal line,

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Speaker 2: and the common perception of these two teams would be

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Speaker 2: completely different. And then on top of that, we just

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Speaker 2: are now writing off the fact that Florida State almost

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Speaker 2: lost to Boston College, like just because they beat LSU.

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Speaker 2: I still have some issues with this Faria State defense.

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Speaker 2: I think Jordan Travis is okay, but maybe he's a

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Speaker 2: little banged up and not a full capacity. Hasn't looked

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Speaker 2: fantastic since that first game. The running game hasn't got going,

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Speaker 2: so yeah, and then Clempson the last two weeks has

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Speaker 2: succeeded market expectations. The offense are actually finally started to

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Speaker 2: throw down field. So I don't think that much has

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Speaker 2: changed from what we know about these two teams. So

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Speaker 2: Clemson at two, I'm waiting on a three, but Clemson

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Speaker 2: getting points here, I like, if I can't get the three,

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Speaker 2: I'll wait to see if I can get it in game.

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Speaker 2: They will be part of my round robin, I'll tell

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Speaker 2: you that. And I think that the market has overreacted

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Speaker 2: here just to that first weekend because that's what everyone remembers.

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Speaker 2: A lot of anchoring bias going on. So I think

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Speaker 2: this line is wrong. I think I don't think that

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Speaker 2: Clemson should be minus four as they were preseason, but

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Speaker 2: I don't think this should be an underdog here. What

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Speaker 2: say you?

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Speaker 4: I agree with you. I'm waiting for a three. I've

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Speaker 4: been waiting for a three all week. Listen, Clemson's just

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Speaker 4: going to have to run the ball with more authority here.

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Speaker 4: Really haven't had any kind of explosives in the past game.

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Speaker 4: They need to focus more on what is good with

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Speaker 4: this team, and that is the run club. Nicks had

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Speaker 4: ten design runs, five scrambles, and he's had three fumbles.

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Speaker 4: That's just been catastrophic. That's the catastrophic from the Dabosweeney

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Speaker 4: has been talking about is a cave. Klubnick has got

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Speaker 4: to stop killing these drives. Film off is just completely

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Speaker 4: underutilized right now. Will Shipley twenty six career rushing tds

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Speaker 4: at Clemson. He has none this year. None. Will Shipley's

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Speaker 4: running the best that he ever has and he's completely underutilized.

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Speaker 4: So if Gary Riley leans into that, then that is

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Speaker 4: a huge plus here and FSU can be run on.

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Speaker 4: I mean, don't don't get a twist. They're outside the

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Speaker 4: top fifty in defensive rushing success rate rush EPA. They're

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Speaker 4: one hundred and fifteenth in tackling this team. They're still

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Speaker 4: very undisciplined. Now when I switch over to the FSU side,

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Speaker 4: I don't see them running that successfully. With Trey Benson

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Speaker 4: averages two point nine yards after contact, his career average

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Speaker 4: is four point five. He's more than a yard and

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Speaker 4: a half off his career average. Like, is there a

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Speaker 4: weight issue? Is there an injury issue?

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Speaker 5: Is there?

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Speaker 4: What is going on with Tray Vincent because he's not

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Speaker 4: the same back whatsoever. And they're just making hay In

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Speaker 4: passing downs with Jordan Travis improvising. But this is an

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Speaker 4: older secondary that Clemson is starting to grow up. And

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Speaker 4: Clemson's top ten and defensive HAVOC right now. They have

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Speaker 4: seventeen passes defense, they have twenty four tackles for loss.

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Speaker 4: So I'm all in on Clemson here, and if Gary

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Speaker 4: Riley leans into this rush attack, they can be a

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Speaker 4: lot more explosive. And that's how you beat Florida State

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Speaker 4: is on the ground.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, two of the things to note here Florida State.

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Speaker 2: I was reading the kickers could come into player. This

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Speaker 2: should be a close competitive game. I just feel it

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Speaker 2: on my bones that Clemson's gonna win this like it's

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Speaker 2: called twenty seven to twenty four. Bryan Fitzgerald, the kicker

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Speaker 2: for Florida State. I don't trust him as far as

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Speaker 2: I can throw him. I was reading article today saying

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Speaker 2: he found his reason for playing, his why, and he's

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Speaker 2: back and he's thriving. He's three for three on field

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Speaker 2: goals this year from like thirty two yards. Give me

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Speaker 2: a break. Guy was three of six from between thirty

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Speaker 2: and thirty nine last year. But Clemson, their kicking situation

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Speaker 2: is not great. Their kicker, who missed I think four

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Speaker 2: of his first five, is not the kicker anymore. Dabo

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Speaker 2: called some kick. He doesn't do the transfer portal, but

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Speaker 2: he called some kid that was taking online Masters glasses

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Speaker 2: that used to be it was a walk on kicker

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Speaker 2: before it wasn't on the team. He's he's the kicker

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Speaker 2: this weekend. I forget his name. Dietz or heights. I forget,

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Speaker 2: but look at the kicking situation could be very interesting

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Speaker 2: this weekend.

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Speaker 4: You mean he's not Dabo didn't find him in a

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Speaker 4: keg party. That's where Lane Kiffen found his kicker. Founded

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Speaker 4: the punter sar at the keg party.

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Speaker 2: That's right. Yeah. By the way, Including the postseason, davosweeny

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Speaker 2: eleven and four against the spread. That's over seventy three

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Speaker 2: percent as an underdog against ranked opponents, covering by an

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Speaker 2: average margin of over six points per game. He's won

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Speaker 2: nine of those fifteen games straight up as a pump.

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Speaker 2: All right, Let's move on to the second marquee game

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Speaker 2: of the day, and that's Colorado at Oregon. Oregon's a

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Speaker 2: three touchdown favorite here over under seventy and a half.

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Speaker 2: This games at three thirty Eastern on ABC. By the way,

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Speaker 2: seventy and a half. That's going to be considered low

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Speaker 2: if Oregon puts up you know, seventy. We'll talk about

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Speaker 2: that later. These are two ranked teams. Since two thousand

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Speaker 2: and five, in games between two ranked opponents, favorites of

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Speaker 2: seventeen or more have gone thirty eight and twenty three

390
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Speaker 2: against the spread. That's sixty two and a half percent,

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Speaker 2: covering by five points per game. When favored by twenty

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Speaker 2: one or more. In a ranked matchup against a conference opponent,

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Speaker 2: the favorite is fourteen and four against the spread seventy percent.

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Speaker 2: I think that trend continues here. I think this is

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Speaker 2: a complete mismatch what we've seen from Colorado. You got

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Speaker 2: to give Dan a lot of credit. There's so much

397
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Speaker 2: more improved than last year.

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Speaker 5: I don't have time to enjoyed the moment. Santa and

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Speaker 5: I have time, you know, Santa and I have time.

400
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Speaker 5: He got to deliver the gifts. King got time to

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Speaker 5: enjoy his cookies. I ain't got time for it.

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Speaker 2: But the first game they came out again, I'm getting

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Speaker 2: back to this like anchoring byas what people remember, TCU

404
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Speaker 2: had no idea what to expect, Like what do you

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Speaker 2: go off of? Nothing like That's just got completely shell shocked.

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Speaker 2: So I think they've really benefited from that. Then the

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Speaker 2: next week again you play and Sanders's been amazing, don't

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Speaker 2: get me wrong, but you play a team that could

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Speaker 2: not snap the ball, and when they did, they would

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Speaker 2: just throw it to you. You gotta And then you

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Speaker 2: play Colorado State a team that got destroyed by Washington State,

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Speaker 2: and the oder should have beat you just marching up

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Speaker 2: and down the field. So I feel like I have

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Speaker 2: a pretty good hand on this team.

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Speaker 5: Now.

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Speaker 2: The offensive line is bad. You also don't have Travis

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Speaker 2: Hunter for both sides of the ball. Your defense is

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Speaker 2: really bad. You can't run the ball either. Really, you

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Speaker 2: want to have a lot of possessions going up to Oregon,

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Speaker 2: by the way, is for what it's worth, they are

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Speaker 2: the most profitable home conference favor in all of college

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Speaker 2: football over the past thirty years. The dam's gonna break

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Speaker 2: at one point because I just don't see how this

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Speaker 2: Oregon offense and home bo Nicks by the way, boe

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Speaker 2: next season then full effect. And then on the other side,

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Speaker 2: You're just not going to be able to survive on

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Speaker 2: those third and longs, third and longs without one of

428
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Speaker 2: your best weapons in a Hunter against this pass rush

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Speaker 2: that is just going to be in Sanders's face. And

430
00:20:58,280 --> 00:21:00,800
Speaker 2: by the way, Sanders, who's been a year, he's not

431
00:21:00,880 --> 00:21:04,080
Speaker 2: that fast, right, Like, he doesn't have like breakaway speed

432
00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:07,280
Speaker 2: to evade this rush, which I think is gonna eventually

433
00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:10,119
Speaker 2: overtake him. And I'm sure they want to put up.

434
00:21:10,760 --> 00:21:13,240
Speaker 2: Dan Lanning wants to put up a number here. Do

435
00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:16,200
Speaker 2: you remember them winning anything? I don't remember them winning anything.

436
00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:18,920
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm trying to remember what they want to

437
00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:21,840
Speaker 2: affect this conference. I don't remember. They want to pad

438
00:21:21,920 --> 00:21:25,760
Speaker 2: bo Nicks's little Heisman stats. Maybe we'll get another billboard

439
00:21:25,800 --> 00:21:27,800
Speaker 2: after this weekend. So I think that they're gonna come out,

440
00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:29,600
Speaker 2: They're gonna get out to a big lead, and they're

441
00:21:29,600 --> 00:21:31,560
Speaker 2: going to keep their foot on the gas and just

442
00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:35,400
Speaker 2: think it's ugly. I like Oregon minus twenty one or better.

443
00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:38,360
Speaker 4: I like Oregon minus twenty one and whatever it wants

444
00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:41,359
Speaker 4: to go up to. Listen, I said, for weeks the

445
00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:44,360
Speaker 4: Dionna is at the craps table and he's hot. It's

446
00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:47,359
Speaker 4: time to bet that don't pass. It's that seven is coming.

447
00:21:47,560 --> 00:21:49,280
Speaker 4: It's time to crap out here. And I think we'll

448
00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:51,720
Speaker 4: start off by saying, like, what is Travis Hunter's value

449
00:21:51,760 --> 00:21:54,600
Speaker 4: worth to the spread? We generally asked that question about quarterbacks,

450
00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:57,040
Speaker 4: but I think we have to ask it when Colorado

451
00:21:57,200 --> 00:21:59,680
Speaker 4: is a collection of players who transfer portal, but only

452
00:21:59,720 --> 00:22:02,440
Speaker 4: four five of them really affect the outcome of these games,

453
00:22:02,480 --> 00:22:04,480
Speaker 4: and Travis Hunters one of them. One hundred and fifty

454
00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:06,280
Speaker 4: seven snaps on offense and one hundred and eighty five

455
00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:08,160
Speaker 4: on defense. But then when he went out of the game,

456
00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:10,600
Speaker 4: Kendrick Breedlove came in. He's a transfer from ole Miss

457
00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:13,320
Speaker 4: to play corner. He played fifty three snaps against Colorado

458
00:22:13,359 --> 00:22:16,240
Speaker 4: State and Jay Norvel went after him immediately. He was

459
00:22:16,320 --> 00:22:20,080
Speaker 4: targeted seven times. He allowed five catches, a couple explosives.

460
00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:22,800
Speaker 4: I expect Oregon, I expect bow Knicks to do the

461
00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:25,280
Speaker 4: exact saying he's going to go right after Breedlove at

462
00:22:25,320 --> 00:22:29,280
Speaker 4: the corner position. So Colorado offensively, you mentioned it. They

463
00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:31,480
Speaker 4: can't establish the run. They haven't been able to established

464
00:22:31,480 --> 00:22:33,560
Speaker 4: the run in any game. And the defense is still

465
00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:35,600
Speaker 4: like I said, living at the craps table, they're one

466
00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:37,879
Speaker 4: hundred and twenty first and third down stops. They just

467
00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:41,240
Speaker 4: happened to have these great havoc plays in certain key points.

468
00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:44,359
Speaker 4: They're near dead last and defensive passing down success right,

469
00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:46,199
Speaker 4: they don't do a lot of things that you need

470
00:22:46,280 --> 00:22:49,000
Speaker 4: to do to be a good defense Oregon. There is

471
00:22:49,040 --> 00:22:51,480
Speaker 4: a combination of stats that they have that made this

472
00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:54,159
Speaker 4: so easy to bet, and I would still bet, and

473
00:22:54,280 --> 00:22:55,840
Speaker 4: that is they are number one in the nation and

474
00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:58,600
Speaker 4: offensive quality drives and they are fifth in the nation

475
00:22:58,840 --> 00:23:03,359
Speaker 4: and offensive finishing. Nobody is marching down the field at

476
00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:06,200
Speaker 4: a better rate than Oregon in all their games and

477
00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:09,119
Speaker 4: all their possessions, and they are fifth in offensive finishing drives.

478
00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:11,640
Speaker 4: Almost every single time they get past the forty yard line,

479
00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:14,719
Speaker 4: they're scoring a touchdown. The one thing where you can

480
00:23:14,760 --> 00:23:16,880
Speaker 4: attack Orgon and we said this in the PAC twelve

481
00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:19,240
Speaker 4: preview preseason, they can't defend the rush.

482
00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:21,680
Speaker 2: Can Colorado do that? Nope?

483
00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:24,640
Speaker 4: Are we betting Orgon? Yeah, a lot. So that's where

484
00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:25,400
Speaker 4: we're at with the Ducks.

485
00:23:25,880 --> 00:23:27,560
Speaker 2: Also, another thing that I'll mention is Oregon has had

486
00:23:27,600 --> 00:23:30,520
Speaker 2: a much easier path in like just winning these games,

487
00:23:30,960 --> 00:23:33,720
Speaker 2: while Colorado has just gotten up every week. It's these

488
00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:37,680
Speaker 2: huge events, it's it's it's that's exhausting, Like they have

489
00:23:37,800 --> 00:23:40,920
Speaker 2: to be just exhausted as a team, and that could

490
00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:44,640
Speaker 2: lead that there's this dam breaking in a very hostile environment.

491
00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:47,640
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to our third marquee game

492
00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:51,720
Speaker 2: of the day. Also at three point thirty Eastern on CBS,

493
00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:59,720
Speaker 2: ole Miss at Alabama. Really fascinating game here. Alabama's sitting

494
00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:03,720
Speaker 2: around touchdown favorite ole Miss continues to take money. Before

495
00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:06,800
Speaker 2: the season, this line was Alabama minus fifteen I think

496
00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:10,359
Speaker 2: over under fifty five and a half. So, you know,

497
00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:12,560
Speaker 2: Ole Miss. Their offenses looked really good. They've got a

498
00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:16,159
Speaker 2: couple of fraudulent covers. The defense is different under Pete Golding,

499
00:24:16,480 --> 00:24:19,119
Speaker 2: who was at Alabama last year, so there's a lot

500
00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:21,639
Speaker 2: of familiarity here. You obviously have Lane kiffinitt coach. You

501
00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:24,360
Speaker 2: have Pete Golding the defensive coordinator, and this defense isn't

502
00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:25,800
Speaker 2: the same as it was last year. Last year it

503
00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:27,879
Speaker 2: was like, let's just drop eight ben, don't break. But

504
00:24:28,280 --> 00:24:30,320
Speaker 2: now they're a little more focused on the run. I'm

505
00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:32,639
Speaker 2: sure they're going to be really familiar with Jalen Milroe

506
00:24:32,680 --> 00:24:35,560
Speaker 2: and his weaknesses and strengths. I don't know why Nick

507
00:24:35,600 --> 00:24:37,840
Speaker 2: Saban came out and named Milroe the starter this week.

508
00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:41,679
Speaker 2: Why give Ole Miss that competitive advantage of game planning

509
00:24:41,720 --> 00:24:43,679
Speaker 2: for Milroe? Don't I don't get it.

510
00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:46,720
Speaker 3: So don't ask. I know you would like to some

511
00:24:47,000 --> 00:24:49,600
Speaker 3: kind of way extract something out of this pipe that's

512
00:24:49,680 --> 00:24:54,000
Speaker 3: not there. It's not there. You all speculate and create things,

513
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:55,760
Speaker 3: and then you want people to respond to it.

514
00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:59,040
Speaker 2: So if you look on the surface, if I were

515
00:24:59,080 --> 00:25:01,520
Speaker 2: to make an argument for al Baba, I would say

516
00:25:01,600 --> 00:25:03,840
Speaker 2: Alabama was a seven to a seven and a half

517
00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:07,000
Speaker 2: point favorite, even though I bet Texas against Texas Texas

518
00:25:07,480 --> 00:25:09,720
Speaker 2: at home a couple of weeks ago, and they lost

519
00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:12,160
Speaker 2: it and convinstantly so so they have to be downgraded.

520
00:25:12,520 --> 00:25:18,199
Speaker 2: But now you know, Texas is touchdown better than Ole

521
00:25:18,280 --> 00:25:22,680
Speaker 2: Miss for my power ratings. So now you're laying seven,

522
00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:25,800
Speaker 2: maybe under seven. But there's something off with this Alabama team.

523
00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:27,840
Speaker 2: It's not to you know, Miller obviously is limited as

524
00:25:27,840 --> 00:25:30,119
Speaker 2: a passer. He can run. I'm sure Ole Miss is

525
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:34,040
Speaker 2: going to probably play that aggressively. So the big variants

526
00:25:34,040 --> 00:25:35,600
Speaker 2: in this game is Mirroe can throw the deep ball.

527
00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:37,479
Speaker 2: He can't really throw the intermediate routes, you can't really

528
00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:39,040
Speaker 2: read defenses, but he can throw a hell of a

529
00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:41,159
Speaker 2: deep ball. So yeah, there's a lot of variants in that,

530
00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:43,960
Speaker 2: like how many deep balls is Alabama hit? Say, if

531
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:46,359
Speaker 2: they goes with whole Miss, they have the chance to

532
00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:48,840
Speaker 2: hit some explosives here too, which scares me off the

533
00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:50,879
Speaker 2: total because I think Alabama wants to kind of pound this,

534
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:54,320
Speaker 2: just make this ground and pound and control the clock,

535
00:25:55,119 --> 00:25:57,680
Speaker 2: and you know Ole Miss wants to play faster, but

536
00:25:58,040 --> 00:25:59,800
Speaker 2: Alabama has a chance at some deep shots, and so

537
00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:02,560
Speaker 2: is ole Miss. So I'm probably it has a chance

538
00:26:02,600 --> 00:26:04,280
Speaker 2: to blow up, just like we saw the Texas game.

539
00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:06,760
Speaker 2: The Texas totally, So I'm staying away from the total.

540
00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:09,840
Speaker 2: I have an Old Miss twenty five to one future

541
00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:12,040
Speaker 2: to win the West. I'm so I'm rooting for ole

542
00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:15,080
Speaker 2: Miss here. I lean Ole Miss, I'll tell you that,

543
00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:18,800
Speaker 2: but I'm gonna stand on the sidelines. There's something off

544
00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:23,000
Speaker 2: with this team. The offensive line, the quarterback, a combination

545
00:26:23,119 --> 00:26:26,520
Speaker 2: of just things that are giving me bad vibes out.

546
00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:28,600
Speaker 4: The way Nick Saban is letting things loose, like the

547
00:26:28,640 --> 00:26:30,800
Speaker 4: way Nick Saban is handling this team. Yeah, there's a

548
00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:31,240
Speaker 4: lot off.

549
00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:34,760
Speaker 2: They've had four or five touchdowns called back for penalties.

550
00:26:35,119 --> 00:26:36,560
Speaker 2: You saw that in the Texas game too.

551
00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:39,760
Speaker 3: God makes a mistake, you want to condemn them.

552
00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:41,840
Speaker 2: But it seems like there's some smart money out there

553
00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:45,879
Speaker 2: taking ole Miss here, so I tend to agree. I

554
00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:47,640
Speaker 2: don't know if I'll end up betting it. I'm gonna

555
00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:48,920
Speaker 2: be rooting for ole Miss here for my future.

556
00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:51,760
Speaker 4: What do you think if you're dominating college football for

557
00:26:51,840 --> 00:26:54,520
Speaker 4: a span of fifteen years? And you have a number

558
00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:59,560
Speaker 4: of high profile assistants come through these these reclamation projects

559
00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:01,239
Speaker 4: where they failed and they had to come through your

560
00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:04,680
Speaker 4: program and rebuild themselves. And then they go out and

561
00:27:04,760 --> 00:27:07,040
Speaker 4: then they get players at the same level that you

562
00:27:07,200 --> 00:27:10,520
Speaker 4: have that's obviously going to even the playing field. And

563
00:27:10,640 --> 00:27:12,359
Speaker 4: I think a lot of that you've seen with Sark

564
00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:13,720
Speaker 4: and now I think you're going to see it with

565
00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:16,720
Speaker 4: Lane Kiffen. And look, look, I didn't listen to my

566
00:27:16,800 --> 00:27:20,200
Speaker 4: power ratings against Texas. I power uded the game, what

567
00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:22,880
Speaker 4: three Alabama minus three. I didn't listen to it because

568
00:27:22,920 --> 00:27:24,720
Speaker 4: I thought Jalen Milroe was going to be able to

569
00:27:24,760 --> 00:27:29,240
Speaker 4: do something special. The problem is Tommy Rees continues to

570
00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:31,840
Speaker 4: call an offensive style that's built for Notre Dame and

571
00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:34,800
Speaker 4: for Tyler Buckner and not for not for Jalen Milroe.

572
00:27:35,240 --> 00:27:39,119
Speaker 4: Just tell me why Alabama is not running a mesh

573
00:27:39,280 --> 00:27:43,000
Speaker 4: RPO Jalen Hurts style where he has one hot read,

574
00:27:43,400 --> 00:27:46,480
Speaker 4: he does his RPO, he checks his defensive ends, and

575
00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:48,760
Speaker 4: he has one hot read on the pass. Other than that,

576
00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:50,840
Speaker 4: you let him go. Instead, we're running him out of

577
00:27:50,840 --> 00:27:53,400
Speaker 4: shotgun and expecting him to read two or three progressions.

578
00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:55,840
Speaker 4: I just don't understand what this offense is.

579
00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:58,359
Speaker 1: And Tom Milroe is not a pro style quarterback, and

580
00:27:58,440 --> 00:28:00,240
Speaker 1: I keep going back to like say, the I'm just

581
00:28:00,520 --> 00:28:03,440
Speaker 1: praising the shit out of Tommy rees in the in

582
00:28:03,520 --> 00:28:06,000
Speaker 1: the summer, like as one of the best offensive nines

583
00:28:06,040 --> 00:28:06,400
Speaker 1: in the nation.

584
00:28:06,560 --> 00:28:08,000
Speaker 4: The rest of us are just kind of like, huh,

585
00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:10,840
Speaker 4: I did play a first half under I kind of

586
00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:13,760
Speaker 4: jokingly tweeted out that lane has only you know, scored

587
00:28:13,880 --> 00:28:15,800
Speaker 4: forty one points in the first three quarters and forty

588
00:28:15,840 --> 00:28:18,280
Speaker 4: four points in the fourth quarter, but really.

589
00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:20,639
Speaker 2: Twenty four points in the last seven minutes. Again storage Attech.

590
00:28:20,680 --> 00:28:21,439
Speaker 2: I'm still pissed.

591
00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:24,880
Speaker 4: Trey Harrison mostly explosive wide receiver for old to miss.

592
00:28:24,920 --> 00:28:25,560
Speaker 2: He's day to day.

593
00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:28,879
Speaker 4: Looks like Zakari Franklin is going to play the huge

594
00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:31,080
Speaker 4: transfer that came in from UTSA. We'll see how much

595
00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:33,879
Speaker 4: rust that he has. Quin Shawn Jenkins, why is he

596
00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:36,800
Speaker 4: only averaging you know, two point four yards after contact?

597
00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:39,160
Speaker 4: They just had a huge dip. We'll see if you know,

598
00:28:39,280 --> 00:28:41,800
Speaker 4: maybe he's healthy now. Ken ol Mis get better at

599
00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:44,080
Speaker 4: the line of scrimmage. Two lane stuff fifteen If thirty

600
00:28:44,120 --> 00:28:47,040
Speaker 4: one carries that kind of gives me concern about the

601
00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:49,440
Speaker 4: Old Miss offensive line, and then I switched over to

602
00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:53,600
Speaker 4: the Alabama side. Can this Alabama offensive line project Jalen Milroe.

603
00:28:53,680 --> 00:28:56,240
Speaker 4: I don't think so, not under any circumstance. It hasn't

604
00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:57,840
Speaker 4: been shown to me at all. I spoke about it,

605
00:28:57,920 --> 00:29:00,000
Speaker 4: got pushed her out by the USF. They couldn't get

606
00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:03,760
Speaker 4: a push against the USF. Yeah, that's scary. That's scary.

607
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:06,760
Speaker 4: The offensive scheme doesn't match the quarterback that you have running.

608
00:29:07,200 --> 00:29:11,680
Speaker 4: And Alabama is still committing penalties Alabama's offensive line, they're

609
00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:14,680
Speaker 4: now ninety seventh and havoc allowed. That's a huge number.

610
00:29:14,680 --> 00:29:17,680
Speaker 4: I can't believe that's associated with Alabama. And there's seventy

611
00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:20,560
Speaker 4: seventh in offensive momentum killer. So I'm on all Miss

612
00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:23,960
Speaker 4: here and I'm on a first half under Hodkati.

613
00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:26,680
Speaker 2: All right, let's stay on another game of three third

614
00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:30,040
Speaker 2: in Eastern on Fox. Other Marquee matchup UCLA Utah Utah

615
00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:33,440
Speaker 2: four and a half point favorite here over under fifty

616
00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:37,640
Speaker 2: two and a half. This game is at three point

617
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:41,600
Speaker 2: thirty Eastern on Fox. That actually, I should say, as

618
00:29:41,640 --> 00:29:43,160
Speaker 2: of the time that we're recording this, this is going

619
00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:45,240
Speaker 2: to be something to watch. Utah is now six point

620
00:29:45,320 --> 00:29:48,560
Speaker 2: favorite over Unders fifty two and a half. Maybe that

621
00:29:48,800 --> 00:29:52,520
Speaker 2: is market news on cam Rising. Kyle Whittingham keeps the

622
00:29:52,600 --> 00:29:57,640
Speaker 2: quarterback news as zip as any coach in the country.

623
00:29:57,840 --> 00:29:59,280
Speaker 2: You can recall last year in a prime time I mean,

624
00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:01,800
Speaker 2: no one knew that ca Rising was out until basically

625
00:30:01,880 --> 00:30:04,960
Speaker 2: the kickoff. That's the big news here. He's been practicing.

626
00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:07,640
Speaker 2: I assumed the plan was for him to always play

627
00:30:08,040 --> 00:30:11,640
Speaker 2: here in this game, and if he does, that's obviously

628
00:30:11,720 --> 00:30:16,560
Speaker 2: a major upgrade over Bryce and Barnes and you know Johnson.

629
00:30:16,560 --> 00:30:19,360
Speaker 2: They're running quarterback. He's been good in spurts, but now

630
00:30:19,440 --> 00:30:20,880
Speaker 2: people have a book on what they want to do

631
00:30:20,920 --> 00:30:23,280
Speaker 2: with him, and he's limited as a passer. We saw

632
00:30:23,320 --> 00:30:26,880
Speaker 2: a limited the offense was against Baylor without Cam Rising.

633
00:30:27,520 --> 00:30:30,720
Speaker 2: On the other end, there's still some quarterback uncertainty with

634
00:30:30,760 --> 00:30:35,680
Speaker 2: the UCLA. Is this Dante More's offense of the time,

635
00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:40,760
Speaker 2: all the time moving forward? If it is, that's probably

636
00:30:40,840 --> 00:30:44,880
Speaker 2: where UCLA can reach their highest ceiling. But then again,

637
00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:46,680
Speaker 2: Chip Kelly might be saying to himself, this is a

638
00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:49,800
Speaker 2: true freshman in rice Ecles, one of the hardest places

639
00:30:49,840 --> 00:30:51,680
Speaker 2: to play in the country, you know, So do you

640
00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:54,560
Speaker 2: get some veteran snaps in there. I don't know what

641
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:57,480
Speaker 2: Chip Kelly's sticking with this whole quarterback room. I assume

642
00:30:57,560 --> 00:30:59,800
Speaker 2: Rising's going to play. Is he going to be rusty?

643
00:30:59,880 --> 00:31:01,720
Speaker 2: I don't know. Too much uncertainty for me in this

644
00:31:01,800 --> 00:31:05,560
Speaker 2: game is a easy easy pass for me? What do

645
00:31:05,600 --> 00:31:07,840
Speaker 2: you have? These are your two your darlings.

646
00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:09,960
Speaker 4: I know these are the two teams that I took

647
00:31:10,040 --> 00:31:12,240
Speaker 4: to win the Pac twelve. So it's a really hard

648
00:31:12,520 --> 00:31:13,920
Speaker 4: you know, for me to side with one or the

649
00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:16,680
Speaker 4: other here. But let's start off with UCLA. When you

650
00:31:16,720 --> 00:31:18,640
Speaker 4: look at Dante Moore, he has gone on the road.

651
00:31:18,640 --> 00:31:21,080
Speaker 4: I wouldn't consider snap track in stadium in San Diego

652
00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:23,760
Speaker 4: State to be the same sort of environment about what

653
00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:26,080
Speaker 4: he's going to have here. He went seventeen of twenty

654
00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:28,600
Speaker 4: seven three tds, but if you look further into the stats,

655
00:31:28,680 --> 00:31:30,440
Speaker 4: really only one big time throw and he had a

656
00:31:30,480 --> 00:31:33,360
Speaker 4: mistake in there. And that was the only game that

657
00:31:33,800 --> 00:31:35,760
Speaker 4: Dante Moore was allowed to scramble. I mean, he had

658
00:31:35,800 --> 00:31:37,440
Speaker 4: a fumble in that game, but you haven't seen him

659
00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:40,160
Speaker 4: leave the pocket since then. So you know, UCLA has

660
00:31:40,240 --> 00:31:43,480
Speaker 4: been fantastic in standard downs and that's because they run

661
00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:45,760
Speaker 4: the ball sixty percent of the time. And if you

662
00:31:45,800 --> 00:31:47,640
Speaker 4: look at some of their running backs, I mean, Carson

663
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:50,840
Speaker 4: Steel absolutely electric, way more electric than he was even

664
00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:53,440
Speaker 4: a ball state. And I'm not done there because UCLA

665
00:31:53,840 --> 00:31:57,440
Speaker 4: might be the new running back you between Steele, TJ. Harden,

666
00:31:57,480 --> 00:32:01,480
Speaker 4: Anthony Adkins, and Colson Yankoff love that name, all average

667
00:32:01,600 --> 00:32:04,840
Speaker 4: more than eight yards of carry, and the combined they

668
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:06,840
Speaker 4: have eighty attempts, they all average more than eight yards

669
00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:09,360
Speaker 4: of carry. I understand its, san Diego said, I understand.

670
00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:12,480
Speaker 4: It's n C Central and Coastal. I get it. But Florida,

671
00:32:12,720 --> 00:32:17,680
Speaker 4: you know, had similar rushing stats compared to UCLA when

672
00:32:17,720 --> 00:32:21,080
Speaker 4: they played Utah. When it comes to success rate and

673
00:32:21,240 --> 00:32:24,720
Speaker 4: standard downs, Florida kind of fits the profile what UCLA

674
00:32:24,960 --> 00:32:27,120
Speaker 4: is and they had a little bit of you know,

675
00:32:27,240 --> 00:32:30,640
Speaker 4: success there above national average and yards per attempt a

676
00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:32,520
Speaker 4: little bit of success right there. So I do expect

677
00:32:32,600 --> 00:32:34,720
Speaker 4: UCLA to be able to run the ball here. Now.

678
00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:36,720
Speaker 4: The market is telling me that Cam Rising is going

679
00:32:36,800 --> 00:32:38,520
Speaker 4: to play, but I don't know how anybody really knows

680
00:32:38,560 --> 00:32:41,560
Speaker 4: that because Utah doesn't tell anybody, and they might suit

681
00:32:41,640 --> 00:32:43,640
Speaker 4: came Rising up, warm him up, and then not let

682
00:32:43,720 --> 00:32:45,960
Speaker 4: him play. At all. We've seen that happen with this too.

683
00:32:46,400 --> 00:32:50,160
Speaker 4: They're generating dry, they're generating drives at a top thirty clip,

684
00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:53,920
Speaker 4: but they're falling short and scoring position. Cam Rising can

685
00:32:54,080 --> 00:32:57,560
Speaker 4: change that. But when you look at the numbers, like

686
00:32:57,720 --> 00:33:00,720
Speaker 4: Ucla is really good against the past, their top five

687
00:33:00,840 --> 00:33:04,160
Speaker 4: and everything that you could mention when it comes against

688
00:33:04,200 --> 00:33:07,240
Speaker 4: the past, the problem is that if you want to

689
00:33:07,320 --> 00:33:10,480
Speaker 4: attack Ucla, it has to be on the ground. And

690
00:33:10,600 --> 00:33:12,880
Speaker 4: that's just I don't think cam Rising. I understand that

691
00:33:12,920 --> 00:33:14,680
Speaker 4: you're going to move the point sport if cam Raising

692
00:33:14,800 --> 00:33:17,120
Speaker 4: is playing, but that's not how you attack Ucla. You

693
00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:20,000
Speaker 4: attack Ucla on the ground because they're you know, you

694
00:33:20,080 --> 00:33:22,440
Speaker 4: want to help me out here on some pronunciation by

695
00:33:22,520 --> 00:33:27,560
Speaker 4: a too lay two right, love lots better. Ucla is

696
00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:32,400
Speaker 4: a much better team at defending the pass and getting

697
00:33:32,480 --> 00:33:34,600
Speaker 4: generating a pass rush and they are defending the run.

698
00:33:35,280 --> 00:33:37,520
Speaker 4: And so for that reason, I don't think cam Riising

699
00:33:37,600 --> 00:33:39,160
Speaker 4: coming back is that big of a deal. I'm going

700
00:33:39,240 --> 00:33:41,280
Speaker 4: to end up playing Ucla in this game. I do

701
00:33:41,440 --> 00:33:42,840
Speaker 4: like the under because the only way that these two

702
00:33:42,880 --> 00:33:44,360
Speaker 4: can attack each other is on the ground.

703
00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:48,760
Speaker 2: All right, moving on to prime time, let's stay in

704
00:33:48,840 --> 00:33:53,760
Speaker 2: the Pact twelve and talk a little Oregon State Washington State,

705
00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:57,959
Speaker 2: by the way or sponsor BETAMGM. I'm looking right now

706
00:33:58,120 --> 00:34:00,640
Speaker 2: Oregon minus twenty and a half minus one fifteen right now.

707
00:34:00,760 --> 00:34:05,440
Speaker 2: I like that, But let's talk the other. PAC twelve

708
00:34:05,480 --> 00:34:09,120
Speaker 2: gave Oregon State at Washington State. Washington State three point

709
00:34:09,200 --> 00:34:11,160
Speaker 2: home dog here. I believe they've covered ten straight at

710
00:34:11,200 --> 00:34:15,600
Speaker 2: home over under fifty obviously, where today fifty eight and

711
00:34:15,640 --> 00:34:18,399
Speaker 2: a half. Still a fascinating matchup. I have Oregon State

712
00:34:18,440 --> 00:34:19,840
Speaker 2: to win the PAC twelve, so I'm going to be

713
00:34:20,239 --> 00:34:25,080
Speaker 2: heavily invested in watching and rooting for the Beaves. I

714
00:34:25,160 --> 00:34:28,359
Speaker 2: make them a little over a three point favorite. I'd

715
00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:31,280
Speaker 2: been closer to four, but I've been trying to adjust

716
00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:35,040
Speaker 2: Washington State. They've been better than I expected. Not really

717
00:34:35,080 --> 00:34:36,360
Speaker 2: going to get in front of them here because I

718
00:34:36,480 --> 00:34:40,200
Speaker 2: just could be way off from my preseason numbers. Oregon

719
00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:42,520
Speaker 2: State has been good. They want to lean on their

720
00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:45,960
Speaker 2: excellent offensive line, their run game that sets up everything else.

721
00:34:46,880 --> 00:34:50,479
Speaker 2: What worries me about this particular matchup, though, is Washington State.

722
00:34:50,640 --> 00:34:52,840
Speaker 2: On the other hand, they want to throw it and

723
00:34:53,200 --> 00:34:55,160
Speaker 2: this year they want to be more vertical, and they're

724
00:34:55,200 --> 00:34:59,200
Speaker 2: throwing it more downfield, and their offense is ahead of

725
00:34:59,239 --> 00:35:01,320
Speaker 2: where I thought it would be at this point with

726
00:35:01,520 --> 00:35:05,960
Speaker 2: cam Ward at quarterback. The supposed weeks coming into the

727
00:35:06,040 --> 00:35:09,000
Speaker 2: year for Oregon State was their back end and their

728
00:35:09,040 --> 00:35:12,080
Speaker 2: secondary after some of the losses that occurred in the offseason.

729
00:35:12,880 --> 00:35:15,920
Speaker 2: On the other hand, Washington States strength so far this

730
00:35:16,000 --> 00:35:20,200
Speaker 2: year's been stopping the run. So Ken DJU attack this

731
00:35:20,400 --> 00:35:23,759
Speaker 2: Washington State secondary. Because Oregon State wants to set up

732
00:35:23,760 --> 00:35:27,000
Speaker 2: everything with the run, Washington State's more adept at stopping that,

733
00:35:27,640 --> 00:35:30,440
Speaker 2: and Oregon State wants to attack through the air, and

734
00:35:30,560 --> 00:35:32,160
Speaker 2: excuse be, Washington State wants to attack to the air,

735
00:35:32,200 --> 00:35:34,480
Speaker 2: and that's where Oregon State might be the most vulnerable.

736
00:35:35,000 --> 00:35:38,920
Speaker 2: So maybe from a matchup perspective, this actually does favor

737
00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:41,680
Speaker 2: Washington State and how they want to attack. But I

738
00:35:41,800 --> 00:35:44,480
Speaker 2: make the number closer to four. I'll be rooting for

739
00:35:44,600 --> 00:35:47,799
Speaker 2: my bes. What say you, I like Oregon State two.

740
00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:53,400
Speaker 4: I'm not as bullish on the Washington State rush defense

741
00:35:54,000 --> 00:35:56,200
Speaker 4: as probably what a lot of other people are. And

742
00:35:56,760 --> 00:35:58,799
Speaker 4: I mean, to me, the handicap and every Oregon State

743
00:35:58,840 --> 00:36:01,560
Speaker 4: game comes down to can you stop the rushing attack

744
00:36:02,120 --> 00:36:06,279
Speaker 4: with DJU? And they're excellent running backs, and so I

745
00:36:06,360 --> 00:36:08,440
Speaker 4: go back to when I mean Washington State has a

746
00:36:08,480 --> 00:36:10,040
Speaker 4: strength of schedule of one hundred and fifth, So I

747
00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:11,839
Speaker 4: have to go back to the one game where there

748
00:36:11,920 --> 00:36:13,920
Speaker 4: might have been a rushing attack, which was Wisconsin. But

749
00:36:13,920 --> 00:36:16,560
Speaker 4: they've completely changed their identity. And you know, the biggest

750
00:36:16,560 --> 00:36:18,560
Speaker 4: issue for Washington State that I can see right now

751
00:36:19,080 --> 00:36:21,600
Speaker 4: is defensive finishing drives. I mean, it really jumps off

752
00:36:21,640 --> 00:36:23,640
Speaker 4: the page because it's one hundred and twenty seventh. They're

753
00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:27,040
Speaker 4: near dead last on eleven opponent attempts past the forty

754
00:36:27,080 --> 00:36:30,359
Speaker 4: yard line. Teams are averaging four point nine points once

755
00:36:30,440 --> 00:36:33,279
Speaker 4: they get past the forty against Washington State. So that

756
00:36:33,400 --> 00:36:37,840
Speaker 4: includes Colorado State, Wisconsin, Northern Colorado. So you know in

757
00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:41,960
Speaker 4: Oregon State they continue to cook offensively in scoring position.

758
00:36:42,080 --> 00:36:44,359
Speaker 4: They do it every year underneath Jonathan Smith. This year

759
00:36:44,440 --> 00:36:46,160
Speaker 4: is no different. They're top ten.

760
00:36:46,320 --> 00:36:46,480
Speaker 3: Now.

761
00:36:46,560 --> 00:36:48,879
Speaker 4: The problem that I would have back in Washington State

762
00:36:49,360 --> 00:36:52,400
Speaker 4: is that they are still pretty bad and havoc allowed.

763
00:36:52,520 --> 00:36:55,399
Speaker 4: And cam Ward, yeah, he's got nine tds to zero

764
00:36:55,480 --> 00:36:58,040
Speaker 4: interceptions on the season. To go a little bit deeper

765
00:36:58,080 --> 00:36:59,920
Speaker 4: than that, it's a four to four ratio and big

766
00:37:00,080 --> 00:37:03,920
Speaker 4: time throws to turnover worthy plays, and really he's still

767
00:37:03,960 --> 00:37:06,880
Speaker 4: fumbling the ball. He had thirty two fumbles entering the season.

768
00:37:07,200 --> 00:37:09,759
Speaker 4: He's had four already coming in this year. And so

769
00:37:10,000 --> 00:37:12,560
Speaker 4: I like Oregon State here, I wouldn't buy it over three.

770
00:37:12,719 --> 00:37:14,279
Speaker 4: I powerated two and a half. I wouldn't buy it

771
00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:16,560
Speaker 4: over three. So I think right now is the last

772
00:37:16,640 --> 00:37:18,600
Speaker 4: number that I would spend on Oregon State.

773
00:37:19,120 --> 00:37:24,560
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to arguably the biggest game

774
00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:31,400
Speaker 2: of the day, Ohio State app Notre Dame, oh done

775
00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:43,200
Speaker 2: by the pipes Pipe So from Landswood, Ohio State is

776
00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:48,239
Speaker 2: a three point road favorite here it gives at seven

777
00:37:48,280 --> 00:37:52,000
Speaker 2: thirty Eastern NBC. I cannot wait for this game. These

778
00:37:52,120 --> 00:37:57,000
Speaker 2: two teams played last year in a game that Notre

779
00:37:57,080 --> 00:38:00,600
Speaker 2: Dame hung around him was an ugly, boring game. Those

780
00:38:00,680 --> 00:38:04,480
Speaker 2: teams could not look any different right now, by the

781
00:38:04,520 --> 00:38:06,680
Speaker 2: way over Runners sitting it out fifty five and a

782
00:38:06,719 --> 00:38:10,640
Speaker 2: half has come down from the opener. But last year,

783
00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:13,560
Speaker 2: if you look at these two teams when they played,

784
00:38:14,360 --> 00:38:16,960
Speaker 2: Notre Dame didn't have a quarterback who could throw a

785
00:38:17,000 --> 00:38:21,359
Speaker 2: birthday party. They had Drew Pine, who's throwing picks at

786
00:38:21,360 --> 00:38:26,279
Speaker 2: Arizona State and getting shut out and Tyler Buckner who

787
00:38:26,280 --> 00:38:29,600
Speaker 2: couldn't move the ball with the Alabama's weapons against South

788
00:38:29,640 --> 00:38:35,680
Speaker 2: Florida last weekend. That was their quarterbacks last year. And meanwhile,

789
00:38:36,480 --> 00:38:39,160
Speaker 2: they were going up against CJ. Stroud, the number two

790
00:38:39,360 --> 00:38:42,320
Speaker 2: overall pick in downfil draft. By the way, it was

791
00:38:42,480 --> 00:38:45,000
Speaker 2: the first coaching head coaching appearance for Freeman at as

792
00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:47,239
Speaker 2: well in Ohio State ended up winning twenty one at ten. Well,

793
00:38:47,520 --> 00:38:51,520
Speaker 2: those teams couldn't look any different this year because now

794
00:38:51,719 --> 00:38:54,479
Speaker 2: Notre Dame, in my opinion, has the quarterback advantage. Sam

795
00:38:54,520 --> 00:38:57,719
Speaker 2: Harmon has come in. He's been fantastic. You have a

796
00:38:57,920 --> 00:39:01,400
Speaker 2: really powerful rushing attack led by Audrick Estime's averaging I

797
00:39:01,440 --> 00:39:04,640
Speaker 2: think eight point seven yard somewhere around there eight point

798
00:39:04,760 --> 00:39:08,080
Speaker 2: six eight point eight yards per carry. And you have,

799
00:39:08,280 --> 00:39:12,040
Speaker 2: you know, an All American type left tackle. The receivers

800
00:39:12,080 --> 00:39:14,520
Speaker 2: are better than I expected. Chris Tyree making the transition

801
00:39:14,600 --> 00:39:17,080
Speaker 2: to slot giving that element of explosiveness was something that

802
00:39:17,160 --> 00:39:20,560
Speaker 2: the offense so really missed. The offense is so much better. Defense,

803
00:39:20,840 --> 00:39:23,560
Speaker 2: very veteran, one of the best linebacker rooms in the country.

804
00:39:24,080 --> 00:39:26,600
Speaker 2: Secondary veteran veteran group I mentioned. You know, you have

805
00:39:26,680 --> 00:39:29,759
Speaker 2: Morrison on one side, hard on the other. Meanwhile, Ohio

806
00:39:29,920 --> 00:39:34,319
Speaker 2: State the offense says, look meh so far this year.

807
00:39:34,400 --> 00:39:37,640
Speaker 2: Up until last week. Calm McCord named the starter same

808
00:39:37,719 --> 00:39:41,280
Speaker 2: Expo best receivers in the country, led by Marvin Harrison Junior.

809
00:39:41,360 --> 00:39:43,279
Speaker 2: But there's a lot of depth there as well. The

810
00:39:43,360 --> 00:39:45,920
Speaker 2: offensive line has questions. You lost drout, you lost your tackles.

811
00:39:45,960 --> 00:39:47,880
Speaker 2: They're still trying to figure that out. Yes, they went

812
00:39:47,960 --> 00:39:51,279
Speaker 2: bananas against Western Kentucky. West Kentucky's defense is horrendous. Calm

813
00:39:51,360 --> 00:39:53,479
Speaker 2: McCord named the Star. He was in a quarterback batt

814
00:39:53,520 --> 00:39:55,680
Speaker 2: up until about week two. He was great last week,

815
00:39:55,719 --> 00:39:58,160
Speaker 2: But there's little things that I don't like what I see.

816
00:39:58,360 --> 00:40:00,279
Speaker 2: You know, the deep ball has been bad. And look

817
00:40:00,320 --> 00:40:02,120
Speaker 2: what he's who he's playing against. He hasn't played against him.

818
00:40:02,440 --> 00:40:06,279
Speaker 2: The running game, the offensive line, all these things, they're

819
00:40:06,360 --> 00:40:08,960
Speaker 2: just not passing the eye tests for me. How what

820
00:40:09,160 --> 00:40:10,920
Speaker 2: I this boils down to me is I'm going to

821
00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:14,359
Speaker 2: make McCord beat me on the road by more than

822
00:40:14,400 --> 00:40:16,520
Speaker 2: a field goal. Here, although there should be a fair

823
00:40:16,560 --> 00:40:18,040
Speaker 2: share of Ohio State defense, I have a couple of

824
00:40:18,080 --> 00:40:21,000
Speaker 2: friends from Cleveland that are going I'm going to trust

825
00:40:21,040 --> 00:40:23,080
Speaker 2: Hartman and I do think the Ohio State defense has

826
00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:25,800
Speaker 2: improved second year under Jim Knowles. I do think they're improved.

827
00:40:25,800 --> 00:40:27,560
Speaker 2: I think that's the biggest takeaway from the Western Kentucky game,

828
00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:30,759
Speaker 2: because they haven't explosive passing attack, but I think that

829
00:40:30,920 --> 00:40:33,680
Speaker 2: they act. I think Notre Dame can actually get a

830
00:40:33,719 --> 00:40:35,719
Speaker 2: push here with their offensive line. I mean, the High

831
00:40:35,719 --> 00:40:39,120
Speaker 2: State's defensive line was getting pushed a bit by Youngstown

832
00:40:39,600 --> 00:40:43,040
Speaker 2: at times by Western Kentucky, you know, at times by Indiana.

833
00:40:43,600 --> 00:40:46,479
Speaker 2: This Notre Dame rushing attack and offensive line different level.

834
00:40:46,719 --> 00:40:48,239
Speaker 2: So I think that Notreame is actually gonna be able

835
00:40:48,239 --> 00:40:50,080
Speaker 2: to get a push and that's going to set up

836
00:40:50,080 --> 00:40:52,279
Speaker 2: some deep shops for Hartman and company. And on the

837
00:40:52,280 --> 00:40:55,200
Speaker 2: other side of the ball, I think Notre Dame's corners,

838
00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:57,240
Speaker 2: you're not going to stop this Ohio State passing attack.

839
00:40:57,280 --> 00:40:58,800
Speaker 2: But Ohio State is as good as corners as you

840
00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:01,000
Speaker 2: you can ask for in college. Will ball to try

841
00:41:01,040 --> 00:41:03,920
Speaker 2: and stick with Ohio State's receivers. I'm sure they're gonna

842
00:41:04,080 --> 00:41:06,920
Speaker 2: give some help to wherever Harrison is. And then Freeman.

843
00:41:07,560 --> 00:41:10,040
Speaker 2: He's talked a lot about wanting to be more aggressive

844
00:41:10,080 --> 00:41:12,120
Speaker 2: because he wasn't last year. But then He also said

845
00:41:12,160 --> 00:41:14,400
Speaker 2: he wants to take away the big play on defense,

846
00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:17,279
Speaker 2: which are kind of contradicting statements, but I think that's

847
00:41:17,280 --> 00:41:18,920
Speaker 2: what they're gonna do. Earli. They're gonna make Ohio State

848
00:41:19,000 --> 00:41:20,400
Speaker 2: beat them with the run, and the run hasn't been

849
00:41:20,440 --> 00:41:22,359
Speaker 2: there yet. Then on third downs when you can send

850
00:41:22,360 --> 00:41:25,080
Speaker 2: those linebackers and then take advantage of this Ohio State

851
00:41:25,120 --> 00:41:27,200
Speaker 2: office line and still figuring things out. So I like

852
00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:30,120
Speaker 2: what I've seen from Notre Dame. They've converted me. But

853
00:41:30,160 --> 00:41:32,160
Speaker 2: I haven't been right on Notre Dame this year, so

854
00:41:33,040 --> 00:41:35,640
Speaker 2: maybe maybe they're doomed. But I'm gonna make McCord beat

855
00:41:35,719 --> 00:41:37,680
Speaker 2: me here. I like the Irish at a field goal

856
00:41:37,760 --> 00:41:41,600
Speaker 2: or better. Do you agree, Well, I make the game

857
00:41:41,680 --> 00:41:44,319
Speaker 2: three and a half. And so it's been really hard

858
00:41:44,360 --> 00:41:46,000
Speaker 2: for me to pick a side in this game, and

859
00:41:46,120 --> 00:41:49,040
Speaker 2: I haven't. I can find fault in both of them,

860
00:41:49,120 --> 00:41:51,800
Speaker 2: and that kind of leads me to taking the under

861
00:41:51,920 --> 00:41:53,759
Speaker 2: in this game. I'm going to tell you what the

862
00:41:53,800 --> 00:41:55,920
Speaker 2: avenues are for scoring and then I'm going to tell

863
00:41:55,920 --> 00:41:56,960
Speaker 2: you why it leads to the under.

864
00:41:57,200 --> 00:41:59,600
Speaker 4: And really I agree with you, Kyle McCord for a

865
00:41:59,640 --> 00:42:02,560
Speaker 4: big time throws four turnover worthy plays. There's nothing impressive

866
00:42:02,600 --> 00:42:04,319
Speaker 4: in the way that he throws, especially deep.

867
00:42:04,680 --> 00:42:07,040
Speaker 2: His deep ball accuracy has been bad, bad, And that's

868
00:42:07,080 --> 00:42:07,480
Speaker 2: what I'm saying.

869
00:42:07,520 --> 00:42:09,360
Speaker 4: The numbers that I look at on PFF are like,

870
00:42:09,440 --> 00:42:13,400
Speaker 4: you know, depth concept, how much is your wide receiver

871
00:42:13,520 --> 00:42:15,359
Speaker 4: doing the work? The wide receivers are doing all the work,

872
00:42:15,880 --> 00:42:17,759
Speaker 4: you know, And that's what bothers me about McCourt is

873
00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:20,800
Speaker 4: he's just not impressive as what his touchdown numbers would say. So,

874
00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:23,160
Speaker 4: you know, and Notre Dames have actually been really decent

875
00:42:23,200 --> 00:42:25,440
Speaker 4: against the past, their top ten and passing success right

876
00:42:25,480 --> 00:42:28,040
Speaker 4: the corners, Benjamin Morrison, Cam Hart. You mentioned cam Heart.

877
00:42:28,480 --> 00:42:30,359
Speaker 4: They've been targeted twenty one times this year and they've

878
00:42:30,400 --> 00:42:33,840
Speaker 4: only allowed seven catches. Hart has three forced in completions

879
00:42:33,880 --> 00:42:35,640
Speaker 4: so far. So I think they're going to be buttoned

880
00:42:35,680 --> 00:42:38,080
Speaker 4: up at the corner position. Not sure they can keep

881
00:42:38,160 --> 00:42:40,040
Speaker 4: up with that. Buca and Harrison Junior. I mean, those

882
00:42:40,080 --> 00:42:41,719
Speaker 4: guys are elite. They're going to be playing at the

883
00:42:41,800 --> 00:42:44,120
Speaker 4: NFL level, but at least you should be the best

884
00:42:44,200 --> 00:42:46,200
Speaker 4: hurdles that you can throw in front of them. The

885
00:42:46,360 --> 00:42:49,440
Speaker 4: area to attack Notre Dame's defense, actually, I think is

886
00:42:49,480 --> 00:42:52,080
Speaker 4: on the ground. They're eighty sixth and tackle grading fifty

887
00:42:52,160 --> 00:42:53,800
Speaker 4: fifth in line yards, and they're not very good in

888
00:42:53,880 --> 00:42:56,719
Speaker 4: stuff rate. So you know, the one advantage that I

889
00:42:56,760 --> 00:42:58,840
Speaker 4: think Notre Dame has is running the ball over the

890
00:42:58,920 --> 00:43:01,560
Speaker 4: tackles over Joe. All the Buckeys are one hundred and

891
00:43:01,640 --> 00:43:04,080
Speaker 4: twelfth and stuff rate right now, and that's a strength

892
00:43:04,120 --> 00:43:07,279
Speaker 4: of schedule of one hundred and sixth. Defensively, you can't

893
00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:09,680
Speaker 4: control the line of scrimmage at all. Audric Estimay, you

894
00:43:09,760 --> 00:43:12,320
Speaker 4: mentioned how many how many yards he's averaging. He averages

895
00:43:12,320 --> 00:43:14,920
Speaker 4: four point seven after contact. He's a bowling ball. No

896
00:43:15,000 --> 00:43:16,880
Speaker 4: one's gonna be able to bring this guy down. So

897
00:43:17,600 --> 00:43:20,960
Speaker 4: both teams, in my opinion, have the advantages in running

898
00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:23,839
Speaker 4: the ball. I know that Ryan Day and Jim Knowles

899
00:43:23,880 --> 00:43:26,319
Speaker 4: are out there watching the tape of what NC State

900
00:43:26,520 --> 00:43:28,600
Speaker 4: was able to do against Sam Hartman with that three

901
00:43:28,680 --> 00:43:30,640
Speaker 4: three five. Now remember Jim Noles runs a four to

902
00:43:30,640 --> 00:43:33,279
Speaker 4: two five, so it's still a nickel package. They force

903
00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:35,799
Speaker 4: Hartman into three turnover worthy plays, So I think there's

904
00:43:35,840 --> 00:43:37,960
Speaker 4: going to be some struggles at the quarterback positions. I

905
00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:39,319
Speaker 4: think both of them are going to try to run

906
00:43:39,440 --> 00:43:41,919
Speaker 4: have little of success moving the chains. I like under

907
00:43:41,960 --> 00:43:42,719
Speaker 4: fifty five and a half.

908
00:43:43,440 --> 00:43:45,520
Speaker 2: I trust Hartman more than a Cord. I trust the

909
00:43:45,560 --> 00:43:48,440
Speaker 2: notre name offensive line right now, more than the Ohio

910
00:43:48,520 --> 00:43:50,399
Speaker 2: State offensive line, which means I trust the running game,

911
00:43:50,440 --> 00:43:52,680
Speaker 2: or so I trust a quarterback the running game the

912
00:43:52,719 --> 00:43:56,040
Speaker 2: offensive line more now. Wide receivers are nowhere close to

913
00:43:56,080 --> 00:43:57,560
Speaker 2: as good as Ohio State unless it is the best

914
00:43:57,600 --> 00:44:00,000
Speaker 2: in the country. So they could make a million plays

915
00:44:00,440 --> 00:44:02,799
Speaker 2: and win this game by themselves. But on the defensive side,

916
00:44:02,840 --> 00:44:06,400
Speaker 2: it's pretty close. These are two veteran, I think improved defenses.

917
00:44:07,040 --> 00:44:10,040
Speaker 2: So I'm you know, on the offense side, I'm going

918
00:44:10,080 --> 00:44:13,279
Speaker 2: to take the home team, the veteran quarterback who's been

919
00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:15,960
Speaker 2: here before. And this is the first time McCord has

920
00:44:16,000 --> 00:44:19,160
Speaker 2: played in a hostile environment in a big game, so

921
00:44:19,600 --> 00:44:22,480
Speaker 2: he could make some mistakes as well. Ryan Day. Ryan

922
00:44:22,560 --> 00:44:25,080
Speaker 2: Day also I think is overrated as a head coach,

923
00:44:25,160 --> 00:44:27,520
Speaker 2: and you know when he gets into these games, you know,

924
00:44:27,640 --> 00:44:30,920
Speaker 2: against ranked teams that they're better than he tends to

925
00:44:31,200 --> 00:44:33,920
Speaker 2: like get way too conservative, way too often with the

926
00:44:34,000 --> 00:44:36,680
Speaker 2: personnel that he has. For what it's worth, Ryan Day

927
00:44:36,760 --> 00:44:39,080
Speaker 2: is four and ten against the spread as a favorite

928
00:44:39,520 --> 00:44:42,320
Speaker 2: against top twenty teams. That's twenty eight and a half percent,

929
00:44:43,120 --> 00:44:47,160
Speaker 2: including one in eight in his past nine matchups. Quarterback

930
00:44:47,239 --> 00:44:50,160
Speaker 2: Sam Hartman covered five for his past six as an

931
00:44:50,200 --> 00:44:53,120
Speaker 2: underdog against ranked opponents. All right, let's move on to

932
00:44:53,200 --> 00:44:57,279
Speaker 2: the final marquee game. We've agreed a lot. I think

933
00:44:57,280 --> 00:44:58,920
Speaker 2: we're going to disagree on this one based on a

934
00:44:59,000 --> 00:45:01,359
Speaker 2: play that I saw come through. Yeah, Iowa Penn State

935
00:45:01,440 --> 00:45:04,600
Speaker 2: Penn State fourteen and a half point favorite, white Out

936
00:45:04,680 --> 00:45:08,359
Speaker 2: Happy Valley over under forty and a half seven thirty

937
00:45:08,440 --> 00:45:10,839
Speaker 2: on CBS. I saw you bet the over. I think

938
00:45:10,880 --> 00:45:16,000
Speaker 2: you're insane. This This game, to me is Penn State's

939
00:45:16,000 --> 00:45:18,920
Speaker 2: offense hasn't looked right. There's they can't get the run

940
00:45:18,960 --> 00:45:21,560
Speaker 2: gang going. The receivers are not have not been impressive.

941
00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:25,080
Speaker 2: Might be their ultimate downfall. The defense has been unreal.

942
00:45:25,239 --> 00:45:27,280
Speaker 2: The defense is real, They're.

943
00:45:27,120 --> 00:45:29,440
Speaker 5: Real, and they're spectacular.

944
00:45:30,080 --> 00:45:33,480
Speaker 2: Iowa offense. Their defense is going to be Iowa defense.

945
00:45:33,480 --> 00:45:35,239
Speaker 2: Their special teams, by the way, are going to be

946
00:45:35,360 --> 00:45:37,480
Speaker 2: their special teams are going to flip the field. Kirk

947
00:45:37,640 --> 00:45:39,439
Speaker 2: is going to play his conservative self in this type

948
00:45:39,480 --> 00:45:42,680
Speaker 2: of game. The Iowa offense is horrendous. They have no receivers.

949
00:45:43,160 --> 00:45:45,640
Speaker 2: They just lost their top weapon. And their tight end

950
00:45:45,800 --> 00:45:49,759
Speaker 2: who got injured last week. He's out and Kate mcnamers hurt.

951
00:45:50,160 --> 00:45:52,960
Speaker 2: I think, you know, our level of communication up front

952
00:45:53,040 --> 00:45:55,000
Speaker 2: with me the back, so because we know these guys

953
00:45:55,040 --> 00:46:02,480
Speaker 2: are gonna come a lot, I mean, there's I mean,

954
00:46:02,520 --> 00:46:04,200
Speaker 2: we have to be on key with our protection. So

955
00:46:07,400 --> 00:46:09,239
Speaker 2: we talked about this on the Sunday recap. You can

956
00:46:09,280 --> 00:46:11,880
Speaker 2: see him wincing after he runs. He can't make any throws.

957
00:46:12,040 --> 00:46:14,560
Speaker 2: He's pump faking, He's undecisive. I don't know how I

958
00:46:14,600 --> 00:46:17,279
Speaker 2: would scores more than ten points in this game. I

959
00:46:17,440 --> 00:46:21,560
Speaker 2: will trust the Iowa defense and the conservative Iowa play

960
00:46:21,640 --> 00:46:25,680
Speaker 2: calling and the you know, punting ability of Iowa's best

961
00:46:25,760 --> 00:46:31,960
Speaker 2: player to keep Penn State under thirty points. This is

962
00:46:31,960 --> 00:46:35,000
Speaker 2: an under for me. This is a classic Iowa under.

963
00:46:35,760 --> 00:46:37,960
Speaker 4: To me, it feels like this is exactly what Penn

964
00:46:38,000 --> 00:46:41,480
Speaker 4: State saw with Illinois last week, you know, offensively challenged

965
00:46:41,560 --> 00:46:44,960
Speaker 4: ball control. You know, it's just the fact that Luke

966
00:46:45,000 --> 00:46:50,279
Speaker 4: Altmeyer had a billion interceptions and the score should have

967
00:46:50,320 --> 00:46:52,680
Speaker 4: been a lot higher than the ending, which was what

968
00:46:53,040 --> 00:46:55,680
Speaker 4: forty three points. Penn State's going to get their points.

969
00:46:55,680 --> 00:46:57,719
Speaker 4: I wouldn't be surprised if they got thirty and then

970
00:46:57,760 --> 00:46:59,400
Speaker 4: you get on to the other side. Luke Altmeyer had

971
00:46:59,440 --> 00:47:02,320
Speaker 4: four turnover worth he plays or all interceptions, and literally

972
00:47:02,360 --> 00:47:05,400
Speaker 4: he threw it right at the PSU defenders. So you know,

973
00:47:05,480 --> 00:47:08,200
Speaker 4: I credit Penn State for getting a ton of pressure here.

974
00:47:08,239 --> 00:47:10,800
Speaker 4: I think they had eighteen pressures on twenty eight passing attempts.

975
00:47:11,280 --> 00:47:13,520
Speaker 4: I expect that to happen here. And you say, well,

976
00:47:13,600 --> 00:47:15,919
Speaker 4: that would play into the under not if it gives

977
00:47:16,000 --> 00:47:19,279
Speaker 4: Penn State field position at the twenty or thirty or

978
00:47:19,360 --> 00:47:21,600
Speaker 4: turns into a pick six. I think that this is

979
00:47:21,680 --> 00:47:25,240
Speaker 4: a havoc boom waiting to happen here. The way Cave McNamara,

980
00:47:25,280 --> 00:47:26,920
Speaker 4: you and I keep talking about, it's like, not just

981
00:47:26,960 --> 00:47:29,080
Speaker 4: the inaccuracy, but the fact that he throws it as

982
00:47:29,160 --> 00:47:31,440
Speaker 4: fast as he can to somebody that's within five yards

983
00:47:31,440 --> 00:47:33,920
Speaker 4: of him. Is he has no touch That could turn

984
00:47:33,960 --> 00:47:36,000
Speaker 4: into quick scores here. I mean, once you get below

985
00:47:36,080 --> 00:47:38,880
Speaker 4: forty one, I start to wonder if havoc plays a

986
00:47:38,960 --> 00:47:41,200
Speaker 4: part in scoring tds and field position, they can actually

987
00:47:41,239 --> 00:47:44,360
Speaker 4: put points, hidden yards and hidden points up on the board.

988
00:47:44,760 --> 00:47:47,800
Speaker 4: And that's exactly what I'm expecting here. So Drew Aller

989
00:47:47,920 --> 00:47:49,880
Speaker 4: has yet to throw an interception in his career. He

990
00:47:49,960 --> 00:47:52,480
Speaker 4: has one turnover worthy play. So I'm making a huge

991
00:47:52,560 --> 00:47:55,279
Speaker 4: case like why Penn State would cover the spread. But

992
00:47:55,360 --> 00:47:57,719
Speaker 4: at the same time, I just I mean, neither of

993
00:47:57,800 --> 00:48:00,799
Speaker 4: these teams have had problems with offensive momentum, and there

994
00:48:00,880 --> 00:48:02,960
Speaker 4: is some wind. I think the wind is contributed why

995
00:48:03,040 --> 00:48:04,799
Speaker 4: one of these books out there, the Sharper book has

996
00:48:04,840 --> 00:48:07,359
Speaker 4: moved to thirty nine. But once you get under forty one,

997
00:48:08,160 --> 00:48:11,400
Speaker 4: defensive TDS field position is in play for this. I mean,

998
00:48:11,440 --> 00:48:13,440
Speaker 4: that is not a hard total to get over, and

999
00:48:13,560 --> 00:48:15,520
Speaker 4: Penn State can get over that by themselves.

1000
00:48:16,120 --> 00:48:20,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't care what offensive momentum numbers look at that.

1001
00:48:20,239 --> 00:48:24,160
Speaker 2: I will play Utah State. Western Michigan might have the

1002
00:48:24,200 --> 00:48:26,960
Speaker 2: worst defense in the country, Syracuse crow up fifty on

1003
00:48:27,040 --> 00:48:29,239
Speaker 2: him and a half and Iowa was at like three

1004
00:48:29,320 --> 00:48:33,480
Speaker 2: points at midway through the second quarter. I'll be tweeting

1005
00:48:33,520 --> 00:48:35,759
Speaker 2: at you when this is ten to nothing at the

1006
00:48:35,880 --> 00:48:38,000
Speaker 2: end of the first half. All right, before you move

1007
00:48:38,080 --> 00:48:41,480
Speaker 2: on to rapid fire, do one of mind every want

1008
00:48:41,480 --> 00:48:42,879
Speaker 2: to make sure you check out the group of five guys.

1009
00:48:42,960 --> 00:48:47,000
Speaker 2: Mike and Mike do a tremendous job. Mike Calabresa, Mike Olnell,

1010
00:48:47,080 --> 00:48:49,080
Speaker 2: on the Group of five Deep Dive every Wednesday morning

1011
00:48:49,120 --> 00:48:51,840
Speaker 2: here on BBOC talking all things Group of five. A

1012
00:48:51,920 --> 00:48:55,440
Speaker 2: lot of love for Rice from Mike and Mike. All right,

1013
00:48:55,520 --> 00:48:59,920
Speaker 2: let's go rapid fire, throw out a couple games. I'll

1014
00:49:00,040 --> 00:49:03,280
Speaker 2: if throughout Cincinnati two touchdowns are better at home against Oklahoma,

1015
00:49:03,440 --> 00:49:07,160
Speaker 2: I mean, Oklahoma could be two doormats. They were arguably

1016
00:49:07,200 --> 00:49:09,759
Speaker 2: outplayed by SMU. I know that they covered by a hook.

1017
00:49:10,040 --> 00:49:13,839
Speaker 2: They scored two touchdowns late when SMU had a fake punt.

1018
00:49:13,840 --> 00:49:15,919
Speaker 2: Then they went forward at their own thirty and SMU

1019
00:49:15,960 --> 00:49:18,919
Speaker 2: actually outgained Oklahoma three sixty seven to three sixty five,

1020
00:49:19,239 --> 00:49:21,719
Speaker 2: and it wasn't like there was garbage yards. Oklahoma threw

1021
00:49:21,719 --> 00:49:23,560
Speaker 2: a thirty yard touchdown pass and third and long to

1022
00:49:23,600 --> 00:49:26,279
Speaker 2: cover the number late. Cincinnati did lose last week, but

1023
00:49:26,760 --> 00:49:28,600
Speaker 2: they outgained. Mind will have a five thirty eight to

1024
00:49:28,640 --> 00:49:31,960
Speaker 2: three fifty eight. The offense is humming there. They only

1025
00:49:31,960 --> 00:49:34,200
Speaker 2: had nine points in their final six red zone trips,

1026
00:49:34,560 --> 00:49:37,600
Speaker 2: blocked field goal, interception, some penalties, so they were a

1027
00:49:37,640 --> 00:49:39,440
Speaker 2: bit unlucky there. I think it's a good by low

1028
00:49:39,520 --> 00:49:43,960
Speaker 2: spot on Cincinnati first Big twelve game in a very

1029
00:49:44,120 --> 00:49:46,840
Speaker 2: raucous environment there. I think Oklahoma is a little overvalued

1030
00:49:46,840 --> 00:49:48,720
Speaker 2: for what it's worth. Since two thousand and five, teams

1031
00:49:48,760 --> 00:49:50,520
Speaker 2: that started three to oh straight up and against the

1032
00:49:50,560 --> 00:49:54,640
Speaker 2: spread when their favorites like Oklahoma is and has done

1033
00:49:55,400 --> 00:49:57,880
Speaker 2: just forty five, sixty seven and two against the spread.

1034
00:49:57,880 --> 00:50:01,640
Speaker 2: That's forty percent, failing to cover by almost a field

1035
00:50:01,640 --> 00:50:03,680
Speaker 2: goal per game. That includes twenty three, thirty eight, and

1036
00:50:03,760 --> 00:50:06,480
Speaker 2: three when favored by fourteen or more points thirty seven

1037
00:50:06,520 --> 00:50:08,680
Speaker 2: and a half percent. I like trends that speak to

1038
00:50:08,719 --> 00:50:11,759
Speaker 2: something that I can actually explain, and this does. This

1039
00:50:11,920 --> 00:50:13,319
Speaker 2: is like a team start out three to zero against

1040
00:50:13,320 --> 00:50:17,480
Speaker 2: the spread, straight up, probably against lesser competition, you know,

1041
00:50:17,600 --> 00:50:20,080
Speaker 2: Okamak like Tulsa at the backup quarterback Arkansas State with

1042
00:50:20,080 --> 00:50:23,040
Speaker 2: their coach crying on the sidelines, and then almost lost

1043
00:50:23,200 --> 00:50:25,480
Speaker 2: SMU at home. And I think their defensive line can

1044
00:50:25,520 --> 00:50:28,160
Speaker 2: give Oklahoma's offensive line some issues. The Oklahoma offensive line

1045
00:50:28,239 --> 00:50:32,400
Speaker 2: still has some question marks that I need to see answered.

1046
00:50:32,440 --> 00:50:33,680
Speaker 2: So I like the Bearcats.

1047
00:50:34,160 --> 00:50:36,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, I like Cincinnati too, And I like the over

1048
00:50:36,120 --> 00:50:37,840
Speaker 4: in this game. And I go back to the SMU

1049
00:50:37,920 --> 00:50:41,279
Speaker 4: game that Oklahoma played, and I couldn't believe how many

1050
00:50:41,360 --> 00:50:43,840
Speaker 4: punts I saw Oklahoma was punting like crazy for a

1051
00:50:43,920 --> 00:50:45,359
Speaker 4: long period of the time. And then when you look

1052
00:50:45,400 --> 00:50:47,759
Speaker 4: at their touchdown drives, of their four touchdown drives, two

1053
00:50:47,800 --> 00:50:51,160
Speaker 4: of them were just three play drives. They were completely explosive.

1054
00:50:51,680 --> 00:50:53,600
Speaker 4: That leads me to think that that's going to happening

1055
00:50:53,600 --> 00:50:55,880
Speaker 4: in Cincinnati because right now Cincinnati is one hundred and

1056
00:50:55,920 --> 00:50:59,360
Speaker 4: thirty first and defending explosives and standard downs, which is

1057
00:50:59,400 --> 00:51:01,439
Speaker 4: where I expect Oklahoma to be most of the day.

1058
00:51:01,560 --> 00:51:03,320
Speaker 4: So I do like the over in this game. But

1059
00:51:04,000 --> 00:51:06,839
Speaker 4: Cincinnati had what five hundred and forty something totally yards

1060
00:51:06,880 --> 00:51:09,560
Speaker 4: against Miami Ohio last week. I mean, they're the offense

1061
00:51:09,640 --> 00:51:12,040
Speaker 4: is moving, So I do like Cincinnati to keep it

1062
00:51:12,080 --> 00:51:12,760
Speaker 4: within two TVs.

1063
00:51:12,800 --> 00:51:18,880
Speaker 2: Here, Texas Tech at West Virginia. West Virginia off of

1064
00:51:18,960 --> 00:51:22,520
Speaker 2: that ugly win over Pit. They have some injury concerns here,

1065
00:51:22,560 --> 00:51:25,759
Speaker 2: but they're hosting Texas Tech. Texas Texas team. I can't

1066
00:51:25,760 --> 00:51:27,400
Speaker 2: really figure it out. Do you have anything here?

1067
00:51:28,160 --> 00:51:30,359
Speaker 4: I want West Virginia, but I'm waiting on Garrett Green

1068
00:51:30,400 --> 00:51:33,200
Speaker 4: to start. If Garrett Green doesn't go, he was banged up.

1069
00:51:33,280 --> 00:51:34,840
Speaker 4: He's day to day. We're not going to know probably

1070
00:51:34,880 --> 00:51:38,680
Speaker 4: till Saturday. It's going to be Nico Marshall and Sean

1071
00:51:38,760 --> 00:51:41,840
Speaker 4: Boyle waiting on the depth chart. West Virginia can absolutely

1072
00:51:41,840 --> 00:51:43,920
Speaker 4: win this game. They just got to have their quarterback here.

1073
00:51:44,680 --> 00:51:46,759
Speaker 4: Tyler Shook has not been great throwing the ball. He's

1074
00:51:46,760 --> 00:51:49,440
Speaker 4: got more turnover worthy plays than big time throws. It

1075
00:51:49,800 --> 00:51:52,200
Speaker 4: really falls off a cliff when he gets some pressure.

1076
00:51:52,400 --> 00:51:55,480
Speaker 4: He's only completed eight passes in a dirty pocket this year,

1077
00:51:56,200 --> 00:51:58,680
Speaker 4: so in West Virginia's sixth then pass rush in the nation.

1078
00:51:58,880 --> 00:52:01,560
Speaker 4: So I see a path for West Virginia to win

1079
00:52:01,640 --> 00:52:04,640
Speaker 4: this game. I just I need the quarterback. I need

1080
00:52:04,719 --> 00:52:05,280
Speaker 4: the quarterback.

1081
00:52:05,920 --> 00:52:07,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, keep an eye on the action or cap.

1082
00:52:07,760 --> 00:52:12,640
Speaker 2: See if Colin gets a play in there in country

1083
00:52:12,760 --> 00:52:19,320
Speaker 2: roads territory. Speaking of territory, your backyard, let's let Colin

1084
00:52:19,440 --> 00:52:23,880
Speaker 2: talk some Arkansas. Arkansas catching seventeen and a half at

1085
00:52:24,000 --> 00:52:28,560
Speaker 2: LSU over under fifty five basic bilos sell high on

1086
00:52:28,719 --> 00:52:31,759
Speaker 2: the surface. Here LSU blows out Mississippi State. I think

1087
00:52:31,800 --> 00:52:35,480
Speaker 2: Missippi State's terrible. So yeah, else you look good and

1088
00:52:35,600 --> 00:52:38,040
Speaker 2: doing it and I upgrading, But Misispi State's trash. For

1089
00:52:38,160 --> 00:52:41,479
Speaker 2: the lost Arizona at home. Then you have Arkansas coming

1090
00:52:41,560 --> 00:52:44,279
Speaker 2: off of a game where they lost the BUYU, but

1091
00:52:44,360 --> 00:52:47,279
Speaker 2: it was kind of fluky. Arkansas tends to play LSU close.

1092
00:52:47,360 --> 00:52:50,200
Speaker 2: No matter what, can your stay within seventeen? Are they

1093
00:52:50,239 --> 00:52:51,240
Speaker 2: going to embarrass themselves?

1094
00:52:51,719 --> 00:52:57,919
Speaker 4: Woo pick Suey Colin's talking razorback football. This seems a little,

1095
00:52:58,040 --> 00:53:02,040
Speaker 4: a little rich, very rare for the fact that LSU's

1096
00:53:02,120 --> 00:53:05,520
Speaker 4: defense has struggled so much in tackling, finishing drives, big

1097
00:53:05,640 --> 00:53:07,800
Speaker 4: play coverage, they're all outside the top one hundred and

1098
00:53:07,800 --> 00:53:12,239
Speaker 4: those metrics. The defense has not been buttoned up, but

1099
00:53:12,360 --> 00:53:15,120
Speaker 4: they absolutely had and in Mississippi State just couldn't, you know,

1100
00:53:15,280 --> 00:53:17,760
Speaker 4: expose any of that stuff. But the offense has offense

1101
00:53:17,760 --> 00:53:20,840
Speaker 4: has been fantastic. The biggest problem that I have in

1102
00:53:20,960 --> 00:53:23,920
Speaker 4: backing Arkansas because this spread flew over seventeen. I think

1103
00:53:23,960 --> 00:53:27,520
Speaker 4: I know why it flew over seventeen. Pittman on a

1104
00:53:27,640 --> 00:53:33,960
Speaker 4: presser yesterday Wednesday, is when the line moved, he stopped himself. Now,

1105
00:53:34,040 --> 00:53:38,359
Speaker 4: Raheem Sanders, Rocket Sanders is active and practicing, but he's

1106
00:53:38,400 --> 00:53:42,680
Speaker 4: doing it without pads. Pittman said, we don't expect Rocket

1107
00:53:42,760 --> 00:53:45,920
Speaker 4: to and then he paused himself and he said, Rocket's

1108
00:53:45,920 --> 00:53:48,680
Speaker 4: still day to day. So I think he kind of

1109
00:53:49,280 --> 00:53:51,040
Speaker 4: accidentally let the cat out of the bag. That Rocket

1110
00:53:51,080 --> 00:53:52,560
Speaker 4: Sanders aren't going to play in this game. And if

1111
00:53:52,600 --> 00:53:55,800
Speaker 4: he's not, I don't trust aj Green or Debinion to

1112
00:53:56,000 --> 00:53:58,160
Speaker 4: be able to put in the load from a rushing

1113
00:53:58,200 --> 00:54:01,840
Speaker 4: perspective against this LSU defense. And really the way that

1114
00:54:01,960 --> 00:54:04,440
Speaker 4: you attack LSU is through the air. We said this

1115
00:54:04,480 --> 00:54:07,279
Speaker 4: against Florida State. With the Jucos and the transfers and

1116
00:54:07,320 --> 00:54:10,520
Speaker 4: everything that they have in the back seven, Arkansas is

1117
00:54:10,560 --> 00:54:12,840
Speaker 4: not going to be able to expose that Austin Armstrong

1118
00:54:12,960 --> 00:54:15,239
Speaker 4: is dropping too many passes, Jaden Wilson is dropping too

1119
00:54:15,239 --> 00:54:17,680
Speaker 4: many passes. kJ Jefferson is not comfortable with any of

1120
00:54:17,719 --> 00:54:21,480
Speaker 4: his receivers. And I've been trying to stay away from

1121
00:54:21,560 --> 00:54:25,080
Speaker 4: saying this all year. Dan Enos is not a good

1122
00:54:25,080 --> 00:54:29,400
Speaker 4: offensive coordinator. You can throw in the tape from twenty seventeen.

1123
00:54:29,440 --> 00:54:31,759
Speaker 4: I don't give a shit, but dan Enos did not

1124
00:54:31,920 --> 00:54:34,239
Speaker 4: change the game plan against BYU, and then after three

1125
00:54:34,360 --> 00:54:37,560
Speaker 4: series everything went downhill and you look on the defensive

1126
00:54:37,600 --> 00:54:39,680
Speaker 4: side of the ball. I'm glad Travis Williams is calling

1127
00:54:39,760 --> 00:54:43,200
Speaker 4: a lot of aggressive pass rush and blitz, but you're

1128
00:54:43,320 --> 00:54:48,040
Speaker 4: leaving one high safety and playing man demand coverage it's

1129
00:54:48,120 --> 00:54:50,560
Speaker 4: not going to work against LSU, so I need Rocket

1130
00:54:50,640 --> 00:54:53,040
Speaker 4: Sanders back that. The line is way too rich, especially

1131
00:54:53,080 --> 00:54:55,719
Speaker 4: for the defense. Arkansas can play backdoor all day, but

1132
00:54:55,719 --> 00:54:57,080
Speaker 4: they got to have their horse running back.

1133
00:54:57,800 --> 00:55:01,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I might get involved there. They lose slender you

1134
00:55:01,160 --> 00:55:04,879
Speaker 2: on Twitter if they don't cover Baylor Texas Texas over

1135
00:55:04,920 --> 00:55:07,600
Speaker 2: a two touchdown favored here. This also seems a bit rich.

1136
00:55:07,719 --> 00:55:11,919
Speaker 2: But Baylor hasn't looked great. Their offensive line hasn't looked great,

1137
00:55:12,000 --> 00:55:14,640
Speaker 2: which is bad news against Texas. Blake Shapin's going to

1138
00:55:14,680 --> 00:55:18,520
Speaker 2: be out Dominic richardson their running backs out. Their offense

1139
00:55:18,560 --> 00:55:22,359
Speaker 2: look bad against Long Island Long Island last week for while.

1140
00:55:22,960 --> 00:55:25,560
Speaker 2: But this is Baylor's super Bowl at home against Texas.

1141
00:55:25,600 --> 00:55:27,040
Speaker 2: You should have expect them to come out with their

1142
00:55:27,080 --> 00:55:28,839
Speaker 2: hair on fire. Do they have enough to not get

1143
00:55:28,880 --> 00:55:32,000
Speaker 2: blown out? I would lean Bears here over two touchdowns?

1144
00:55:32,280 --> 00:55:33,280
Speaker 2: Any thoughts I would.

1145
00:55:33,320 --> 00:55:35,319
Speaker 4: Yeah, I may get twelve, and I mean I wish

1146
00:55:35,360 --> 00:55:37,719
Speaker 4: I could give everybody advanced stats. Is the reason why

1147
00:55:37,760 --> 00:55:39,600
Speaker 4: you should back Baylor. I do know that every time

1148
00:55:39,640 --> 00:55:42,320
Speaker 4: it hits fourteen, the market bounces back. I don't have

1149
00:55:42,640 --> 00:55:45,480
Speaker 4: any reason why Baylor is going to be able to

1150
00:55:45,520 --> 00:55:47,800
Speaker 4: backdoor this or why they're going to get their offensive

1151
00:55:47,800 --> 00:55:49,800
Speaker 4: line figured out and be able to rush on Texas.

1152
00:55:50,640 --> 00:55:54,319
Speaker 4: You know, Texas's deficiencies really are against the past, they

1153
00:55:54,360 --> 00:55:56,920
Speaker 4: haven't been that great and coverage and passing success rate.

1154
00:55:57,320 --> 00:56:00,480
Speaker 2: Oh and you don't have Shapin so yeah, and then

1155
00:56:00,480 --> 00:56:01,680
Speaker 2: if you wanted to play ball control you do on

1156
00:56:01,760 --> 00:56:03,759
Speaker 2: on bridfard Son. It's it's really tough for Bailor. And

1157
00:56:03,800 --> 00:56:06,520
Speaker 2: then your offensive line is bad against Texas defensive front.

1158
00:56:07,080 --> 00:56:09,240
Speaker 4: Maybe I have that bet Baylor because of the numbers,

1159
00:56:09,320 --> 00:56:11,560
Speaker 4: but there's just boy, there's just not a lot here

1160
00:56:11,600 --> 00:56:14,120
Speaker 4: on the Baylor side for me to justify it. All right,

1161
00:56:14,200 --> 00:56:17,719
Speaker 4: let's get to some trash the trash man pick of

1162
00:56:17,760 --> 00:56:18,120
Speaker 4: the week.

1163
00:56:18,680 --> 00:56:19,759
Speaker 2: I'm the trash man.

1164
00:56:20,120 --> 00:56:23,000
Speaker 3: Just throw me the trash, your garbage, and you know it.

1165
00:56:23,480 --> 00:56:26,920
Speaker 2: Totally unreliable, undependable. That's it. You've been told off.

1166
00:56:26,960 --> 00:56:27,480
Speaker 4: How do you like that?

1167
00:56:27,920 --> 00:56:28,160
Speaker 5: Good?

1168
00:56:29,040 --> 00:56:32,520
Speaker 2: I got five games here, Vandy plus fourteen. I think

1169
00:56:32,560 --> 00:56:34,759
Speaker 2: you disagree with this one. I need fourteen here. But

1170
00:56:35,560 --> 00:56:38,640
Speaker 2: it's a pure holder nose spot on Vandy coming home

1171
00:56:38,680 --> 00:56:43,640
Speaker 2: after a loss to UNLV. They're at home against Kentucky.

1172
00:56:44,960 --> 00:56:46,720
Speaker 2: For what it's where Stoops has only been a favorite

1173
00:56:46,920 --> 00:56:49,239
Speaker 2: of over fourteen fourteen or more points in the SEC.

1174
00:56:49,400 --> 00:56:52,520
Speaker 2: Four times they've ball come against Andy, he hasn't covered

1175
00:56:52,560 --> 00:56:55,399
Speaker 2: one of them. Usually is pretty conservative in this spot.

1176
00:56:55,440 --> 00:56:57,880
Speaker 2: They have Florida on deck as well. Then the schedule

1177
00:56:57,920 --> 00:57:01,920
Speaker 2: gets really tough. Noon start in Ashville. Kentucky has come

1178
00:57:01,960 --> 00:57:05,640
Speaker 2: out sleepy in every game it's played. Their offense hasn't

1179
00:57:05,680 --> 00:57:09,879
Speaker 2: looked great, and that's against Eastern Kentucky. They didn't score

1180
00:57:09,880 --> 00:57:12,279
Speaker 2: in the first half, a team that gave up like

1181
00:57:12,440 --> 00:57:17,840
Speaker 2: sixty to Cincy Ball State and Acron. There's a mechanical

1182
00:57:17,920 --> 00:57:22,200
Speaker 2: issue that Devin Leary's working through the offensive line will

1183
00:57:22,240 --> 00:57:24,680
Speaker 2: still be without its best offensive lineman and horses should

1184
00:57:24,680 --> 00:57:27,040
Speaker 2: be back for Florida, so that kind of mixes everything

1185
00:57:27,120 --> 00:57:29,480
Speaker 2: up and doesn't give you the ideal BLeague blue wall.

1186
00:57:30,160 --> 00:57:33,880
Speaker 2: The receivers haven't been great, so you know, I think

1187
00:57:33,920 --> 00:57:36,200
Speaker 2: that you know Vandy's defense is a train wreck. Leary's

1188
00:57:36,200 --> 00:57:39,360
Speaker 2: gonna put up some numbers here. This UK defense you

1189
00:57:39,400 --> 00:57:42,000
Speaker 2: can usually trust under Brad White, but I look, they've

1190
00:57:42,000 --> 00:57:43,920
Speaker 2: lost a lot. We haven't seen them tested yet this year.

1191
00:57:44,280 --> 00:57:47,560
Speaker 2: And aj Swan, who should be fully healthy here. Leary

1192
00:57:47,600 --> 00:57:49,760
Speaker 2: got banged up to last week also for what it's worth,

1193
00:57:50,280 --> 00:57:53,280
Speaker 2: but Swan's fully healthy. They got great receivers. It's pretty

1194
00:57:53,360 --> 00:57:55,000
Speaker 2: much all I have as a passing attack, so I

1195
00:57:55,080 --> 00:57:57,640
Speaker 2: think they can put up enough points against the potentially

1196
00:57:57,680 --> 00:58:00,240
Speaker 2: sleepy Kentucky teams, either cover or getting the back door here.

1197
00:58:01,080 --> 00:58:03,680
Speaker 2: I like Dandy who beat Kentucky outright last year as

1198
00:58:03,720 --> 00:58:05,280
Speaker 2: a seventeen point dog in Lexington.

1199
00:58:05,720 --> 00:58:05,919
Speaker 3: Yeah.

1200
00:58:06,000 --> 00:58:07,960
Speaker 4: I mean I bought this on open on Sunday when

1201
00:58:07,960 --> 00:58:09,800
Speaker 4: it was twelve and a half because I power rated

1202
00:58:09,800 --> 00:58:12,680
Speaker 4: above two touchdowns. Also with the thought that AJ Swan

1203
00:58:12,800 --> 00:58:14,560
Speaker 4: did get banged up. I didn't know the severity if

1204
00:58:14,600 --> 00:58:16,640
Speaker 4: it really was any kind of injury. Turns out it's

1205
00:58:16,720 --> 00:58:18,640
Speaker 4: just bruised up and he's going to be fine and

1206
00:58:18,720 --> 00:58:23,800
Speaker 4: keep on playing. So I just so everybody's not upset

1207
00:58:23,880 --> 00:58:27,560
Speaker 4: and surprised. I will absolutely be buying back on Vanderbilt

1208
00:58:27,600 --> 00:58:30,760
Speaker 4: at fourteen or fourteen and a half. It is something

1209
00:58:30,800 --> 00:58:33,320
Speaker 4: that I power rated higher, but at the same time,

1210
00:58:33,560 --> 00:58:35,439
Speaker 4: with Leary and his mechanics and the fact that AJ

1211
00:58:35,560 --> 00:58:38,480
Speaker 4: Swan is fine, I just had it was under the

1212
00:58:38,480 --> 00:58:41,000
Speaker 4: impression the way I power rated it would go above fourteen,

1213
00:58:41,000 --> 00:58:43,160
Speaker 4: which it did for a while. Now it's coming back.

1214
00:58:43,240 --> 00:58:45,120
Speaker 4: I'm going to buy out and have a little small window.

1215
00:58:46,560 --> 00:58:49,960
Speaker 2: Next one probably maybe the ugliest of them all. I'm

1216
00:58:50,000 --> 00:58:53,480
Speaker 2: gonna go pit against Carolina. I can't get to this number.

1217
00:58:54,040 --> 00:58:57,400
Speaker 2: Pitt's offense is embarrassing. Djerkovic thirty five is seventy five

1218
00:58:57,440 --> 00:58:59,520
Speaker 2: for four to seventy four, one fifty eight per game,

1219
00:59:00,600 --> 00:59:03,400
Speaker 2: four touchdowns, three interceptions, most that came against Ducane and

1220
00:59:03,480 --> 00:59:06,960
Speaker 2: sincey in garbage time. The offense has been terrible. The

1221
00:59:07,080 --> 00:59:09,120
Speaker 2: defense is still fine. It's always gonna be fine there.

1222
00:59:09,880 --> 00:59:12,240
Speaker 2: The offense can't complete a pass. I mean, the interceptions

1223
00:59:12,320 --> 00:59:15,680
Speaker 2: last week were horrendous. He looked like loss and he

1224
00:59:15,800 --> 00:59:20,640
Speaker 2: loft at one of the double coverage. The reunion with Signetti,

1225
00:59:20,720 --> 00:59:22,439
Speaker 2: who he thrived under in twenty twenty, is not gone

1226
00:59:22,440 --> 00:59:25,720
Speaker 2: to plan. And now they're playing Drake May and the

1227
00:59:25,800 --> 00:59:28,200
Speaker 2: Carolina offense off to a three to zero start, beats Authcunna,

1228
00:59:28,200 --> 00:59:31,400
Speaker 2: beat Minnesota, beat app State. So how the fuck is

1229
00:59:31,560 --> 00:59:35,000
Speaker 2: pick going to cover this number? Well, Pitt does this

1230
00:59:35,120 --> 00:59:39,080
Speaker 2: every year, and they will have bad losses and then

1231
00:59:39,080 --> 00:59:41,560
Speaker 2: they'll beat a ranked team at home. They've had two

1232
00:59:41,560 --> 00:59:43,320
Speaker 2: embarrassing losses in a row. You should get a best

1233
00:59:43,360 --> 00:59:45,280
Speaker 2: effort here for what's at Nardoozi. To my point, I'm

1234
00:59:45,320 --> 00:59:46,760
Speaker 2: not just thinking that up six and one against the

1235
00:59:46,800 --> 00:59:49,880
Speaker 2: spread as a home conference underdog and at least a

1236
00:59:49,920 --> 00:59:54,000
Speaker 2: field goal, covering by over twelve points per game. He's

1237
00:59:54,040 --> 00:59:56,880
Speaker 2: won five in a row outright as a home conference

1238
00:59:56,960 --> 00:59:58,880
Speaker 2: dog of at least a field goal. This is just

1239
00:59:58,960 --> 01:00:02,240
Speaker 2: what Pitt does. I have to assume I just can't

1240
01:00:02,240 --> 01:00:04,000
Speaker 2: get to this number. I'm at five, and I'm assuming

1241
01:00:04,040 --> 01:00:07,400
Speaker 2: that this pit offense is the worst it's been in very,

1242
01:00:07,520 --> 01:00:10,080
Speaker 2: very long time. Djerkovic has to be a little better.

1243
01:00:10,200 --> 01:00:12,680
Speaker 2: If not. I know Nordosis saying, we're not making a

1244
01:00:12,680 --> 01:00:14,440
Speaker 2: the quarterback chains, we're not making I assume he's got

1245
01:00:14,480 --> 01:00:17,080
Speaker 2: to go to the Penn State transfer. But what Pitt

1246
01:00:17,200 --> 01:00:19,200
Speaker 2: is going to do here and they try to do

1247
01:00:19,280 --> 01:00:22,120
Speaker 2: it last week, But Westerndon's run defense is actually pretty good.

1248
01:00:23,080 --> 01:00:24,680
Speaker 2: They're gonna come out and they're gonna try to run

1249
01:00:24,720 --> 01:00:28,360
Speaker 2: the ball one hundred times. Last week they ran the

1250
01:00:28,400 --> 01:00:33,919
Speaker 2: ball sixteen of their first seventeen plays. The second throw

1251
01:00:34,000 --> 01:00:36,720
Speaker 2: the game, the first is just this little tiny baby throw.

1252
01:00:36,920 --> 01:00:38,440
Speaker 2: The first throw of the game, the real throw is

1253
01:00:38,480 --> 01:00:40,920
Speaker 2: it five minutes ago in the first half, and then

1254
01:00:41,160 --> 01:00:43,960
Speaker 2: Jerkovis throw a pick and then Western he's scored, and

1255
01:00:44,000 --> 01:00:46,840
Speaker 2: then they scored again on another pick. They're gonna come

1256
01:00:46,880 --> 01:00:49,439
Speaker 2: out of here and just try to run, run, run,

1257
01:00:50,200 --> 01:00:53,360
Speaker 2: And you can do that against North Carolina like yards

1258
01:00:53,360 --> 01:00:55,960
Speaker 2: per ten against the run one hundred and thirteen stop

1259
01:00:56,080 --> 01:00:59,040
Speaker 2: right sixty fourth, wester virgunon is twenty fourth and fourth

1260
01:00:59,120 --> 01:01:03,200
Speaker 2: in those categories second leuvele yards, Westerrgian ninth, North Carolina

1261
01:01:03,320 --> 01:01:06,800
Speaker 2: hundred and third, line yards, Western Your thirteenth, North Carolina

1262
01:01:06,920 --> 01:01:10,080
Speaker 2: ninety third, rush play success rate, Western Your thirty six,

1263
01:01:10,200 --> 01:01:14,920
Speaker 2: North Coronina seventy rush pike exposed ess Westergreia second, North

1264
01:01:14,960 --> 01:01:17,800
Speaker 2: Carolina ninety third. So I think that they can establish

1265
01:01:17,840 --> 01:01:20,120
Speaker 2: the run here North Carolina. By the way, like you

1266
01:01:20,160 --> 01:01:21,960
Speaker 2: have Pitt, that will win these weird ton gins. They

1267
01:01:22,040 --> 01:01:25,520
Speaker 2: get into weird games with these inferior opponents, like.

1268
01:01:25,600 --> 01:01:26,120
Speaker 4: The app State.

1269
01:01:26,120 --> 01:01:29,160
Speaker 2: They're in double overtime with app State. I think Pitt

1270
01:01:29,280 --> 01:01:31,200
Speaker 2: somehow is going to win this game. I don't know how.

1271
01:01:31,440 --> 01:01:34,440
Speaker 2: You don't ask me how, but they're gonna It's just

1272
01:01:34,520 --> 01:01:37,560
Speaker 2: what the Pitt does. I like Pitt over a touchdown.

1273
01:01:38,160 --> 01:01:40,960
Speaker 4: I can tell you how North Carolina has a collection

1274
01:01:41,080 --> 01:01:44,840
Speaker 4: of two of the worst coordinators in all of FBS football. Now,

1275
01:01:45,080 --> 01:01:46,360
Speaker 4: I'm not going to go out on a hate for

1276
01:01:46,480 --> 01:01:48,560
Speaker 4: gene Chiswick, but I will go on eight for Chip Lindsay,

1277
01:01:49,000 --> 01:01:51,280
Speaker 4: how do you have Drake May and you fall this

1278
01:01:51,480 --> 01:01:54,800
Speaker 4: far off and you're scoring? And I will point directly

1279
01:01:54,880 --> 01:01:58,280
Speaker 4: to finishing drives. The biggest stat that I use for

1280
01:01:58,400 --> 01:02:02,720
Speaker 4: covering spreads twenty one drives for North Carolina, I have

1281
01:02:02,800 --> 01:02:06,040
Speaker 4: gone past the forty yard line. North Carolina is averaging

1282
01:02:06,160 --> 01:02:09,800
Speaker 4: three point two points, which is good more than a

1283
01:02:09,840 --> 01:02:12,960
Speaker 4: half point less than national average. Every year they are

1284
01:02:12,960 --> 01:02:15,840
Speaker 4: one hundred and fifth in offensive finishing drives. I don't

1285
01:02:15,960 --> 01:02:19,360
Speaker 4: understand how that's possible when you have a quarterback that

1286
01:02:19,480 --> 01:02:22,560
Speaker 4: could potentially be what second in the NFL draft. I mean,

1287
01:02:22,560 --> 01:02:25,200
Speaker 4: they're gonna go right behind Caleb right. I it makes

1288
01:02:25,240 --> 01:02:27,959
Speaker 4: no sense. These coordinators could get beat at any point.

1289
01:02:28,520 --> 01:02:30,160
Speaker 4: I haven't made a decision if I'm gonna join you.

1290
01:02:31,160 --> 01:02:34,440
Speaker 4: But yeah, I don't have a problem fading North Carolina.

1291
01:02:34,440 --> 01:02:36,480
Speaker 4: I can tell you that I have.

1292
01:02:36,840 --> 01:02:39,920
Speaker 2: Good good just weird sometimes, you know, over time, just

1293
01:02:39,960 --> 01:02:42,720
Speaker 2: get intuition about games. That's I can't get there my number.

1294
01:02:43,000 --> 01:02:45,480
Speaker 2: I think they could control the clock here, get a

1295
01:02:45,520 --> 01:02:49,080
Speaker 2: little home running dog and just getting that feet, that

1296
01:02:49,160 --> 01:02:52,040
Speaker 2: intuition that Pitt's gonna win this game. By the way,

1297
01:02:52,120 --> 01:02:53,520
Speaker 2: last year, I do think Off it's gonna take a

1298
01:02:53,520 --> 01:02:56,880
Speaker 2: step back too. May is always gonna be good, and

1299
01:02:57,000 --> 01:02:58,800
Speaker 2: it does. I add a little fear that Pit, like

1300
01:02:58,960 --> 01:03:01,520
Speaker 2: Pryce Press Leeds are on islands a lot and quarters,

1301
01:03:01,600 --> 01:03:03,960
Speaker 2: so in May's deep balls greats. Maybe they play a

1302
01:03:03,960 --> 01:03:05,960
Speaker 2: little software after last year. But last year in the

1303
01:03:06,040 --> 01:03:08,720
Speaker 2: loss against WUNC, Josh Downs and Antoine Green had twenty

1304
01:03:08,760 --> 01:03:11,000
Speaker 2: one catches for two hundred and eighty two yards and

1305
01:03:11,120 --> 01:03:15,160
Speaker 2: four touchdowns. They're both in the NFL, fortunately for Pitt.

1306
01:03:15,360 --> 01:03:17,400
Speaker 2: And yeah, I agree, the coordinator has been a downgrade

1307
01:03:17,800 --> 01:03:20,080
Speaker 2: and May's been great, but he's four touchdowns, four interceptions.

1308
01:03:20,160 --> 01:03:23,000
Speaker 2: Last year thirty eight touchdowns, seven interceptions. Yep, all right,

1309
01:03:23,120 --> 01:03:26,480
Speaker 2: next trash, I have to do this cal three touchdowns

1310
01:03:26,560 --> 01:03:28,800
Speaker 2: or more. I'm getting in front of the train of Washington,

1311
01:03:29,080 --> 01:03:32,800
Speaker 2: who put up over seven hundred yards and they basically

1312
01:03:33,240 --> 01:03:36,680
Speaker 2: called it quits after midway through the third quarter. Washington's

1313
01:03:36,720 --> 01:03:38,479
Speaker 2: arguably the best team in the country so far, doesn't

1314
01:03:38,480 --> 01:03:42,000
Speaker 2: mean they are but top the results wise, they've been fantastic.

1315
01:03:42,440 --> 01:03:48,400
Speaker 2: But Cal and Justin Wilcox, they do one thing exceptionally well.

1316
01:03:48,600 --> 01:03:52,919
Speaker 2: They ugly up these games with superior competition. No coach

1317
01:03:52,960 --> 01:03:55,520
Speaker 2: does it better. Look last year Cal was dreadful. Last

1318
01:03:55,600 --> 01:03:59,000
Speaker 2: year they lost by one possession at Notre Dame, lost

1319
01:03:59,040 --> 01:04:02,840
Speaker 2: by one possession at USC, lost by one possession against UCLA.

1320
01:04:03,800 --> 01:04:05,360
Speaker 2: By the way, they lost by one possession against this

1321
01:04:05,520 --> 01:04:08,280
Speaker 2: Washington team. It was twenty one to twenty one, and

1322
01:04:08,440 --> 01:04:10,440
Speaker 2: midway through the fourth quarter they lost twenty eight twenty one.

1323
01:04:10,480 --> 01:04:14,200
Speaker 2: In covered that game. Last year gets Cal gets it's

1324
01:04:14,240 --> 01:04:16,560
Speaker 2: this high power Washington. It was six nothing at the half.

1325
01:04:17,040 --> 01:04:19,480
Speaker 2: They take away explosive plays. So they're doing that again here.

1326
01:04:19,880 --> 01:04:24,640
Speaker 2: They're gonna rely on their ground game and I think

1327
01:04:24,680 --> 01:04:26,800
Speaker 2: you can have some success here, but they just find

1328
01:04:26,840 --> 01:04:30,440
Speaker 2: ways to ugly up games. Will Cox twenty six eleven

1329
01:04:30,520 --> 01:04:32,840
Speaker 2: and one against the spread as an underdog. It's insane.

1330
01:04:32,880 --> 01:04:37,080
Speaker 2: Over seventy percent. How about twenty one in six against

1331
01:04:37,120 --> 01:04:41,120
Speaker 2: the spread when catching more than four points. That's ridiculous.

1332
01:04:41,240 --> 01:04:44,720
Speaker 2: So yeah, this Washington team, I'm betting it's scary to

1333
01:04:44,840 --> 01:04:46,760
Speaker 2: in front of them. They're a machine right now. But

1334
01:04:46,840 --> 01:04:49,000
Speaker 2: I'm betting the calcn ugly this up, and I'm betting

1335
01:04:49,040 --> 01:04:51,400
Speaker 2: that this is probably the peak of the market on

1336
01:04:51,520 --> 01:04:54,240
Speaker 2: Washington after what they've done so far by bludgeting teams.

1337
01:04:54,520 --> 01:04:56,480
Speaker 2: They've also taken their foot off the gas a couple times.

1338
01:04:56,520 --> 01:04:58,920
Speaker 2: That's how tols that covered. So the backdoor will be

1339
01:04:58,960 --> 01:05:02,640
Speaker 2: wide open here. I like cow, It's scary, but I

1340
01:05:02,960 --> 01:05:03,640
Speaker 2: need the twenty one.

1341
01:05:04,560 --> 01:05:05,000
Speaker 5: Yeah, And.

1342
01:05:06,520 --> 01:05:08,880
Speaker 4: First off, I'm really happy Jaylen McMillan's going to be fine.

1343
01:05:08,880 --> 01:05:11,280
Speaker 4: I thought when he got injured against Michigan State, I thought,

1344
01:05:11,480 --> 01:05:14,520
Speaker 4: this is such a huge injury, especially what he does

1345
01:05:15,240 --> 01:05:18,520
Speaker 4: from the inside of the crossers and going over the middle.

1346
01:05:18,560 --> 01:05:20,600
Speaker 4: That's such a huge part for Washington. So that makes

1347
01:05:20,680 --> 01:05:23,600
Speaker 4: me wonder if they kind of just throw it into

1348
01:05:23,640 --> 01:05:26,160
Speaker 4: second third gear and say, let's take a you know,

1349
01:05:26,720 --> 01:05:29,480
Speaker 4: let's try let's just moderately go about this game and

1350
01:05:29,560 --> 01:05:31,760
Speaker 4: try to be more methodical than explosive. Because we are

1351
01:05:31,840 --> 01:05:36,720
Speaker 4: going on the road against Arizona. I could absolutely see

1352
01:05:36,800 --> 01:05:40,280
Speaker 4: Kaylin de boor Michael Pennix everybody just calling off the

1353
01:05:40,360 --> 01:05:42,560
Speaker 4: dogs and having a week where they win by fourteen

1354
01:05:42,600 --> 01:05:44,880
Speaker 4: to seventeen and not having to go balls of the

1355
01:05:44,920 --> 01:05:46,960
Speaker 4: wall like they did against Michigan State. I think it's

1356
01:05:46,960 --> 01:05:48,760
Speaker 4: still interesting, Like I think.

1357
01:05:48,760 --> 01:05:51,080
Speaker 2: Are you you two traumatized from that Michigan State bet

1358
01:05:51,320 --> 01:05:51,960
Speaker 2: bet coal here.

1359
01:05:53,040 --> 01:05:55,120
Speaker 4: What's funny is is like everybody's all I know, I

1360
01:05:55,200 --> 01:05:57,400
Speaker 4: lost that bed taking Michigan State. But I said on

1361
01:05:57,440 --> 01:06:01,840
Speaker 4: the podcast, it's like, I think that the market is

1362
01:06:01,920 --> 01:06:04,440
Speaker 4: just way too high on on what you know, how

1363
01:06:04,480 --> 01:06:06,080
Speaker 4: bad Michigan State is going to be. But at the

1364
01:06:06,080 --> 01:06:09,160
Speaker 4: same time, I pocketed a couple of dimes on a

1365
01:06:09,240 --> 01:06:11,000
Speaker 4: Game of the year minus five and a half. I mean,

1366
01:06:11,040 --> 01:06:12,800
Speaker 4: I nailed the Washington minus five and a half game

1367
01:06:12,800 --> 01:06:14,560
Speaker 4: they're open. I was happy about that result.

1368
01:06:14,720 --> 01:06:16,080
Speaker 2: Are you gonna back? Cow's the question?

1369
01:06:16,840 --> 01:06:20,040
Speaker 4: Not at twenty I would a twenty one throw some balls?

1370
01:06:20,320 --> 01:06:22,360
Speaker 2: All right? Last trash, This should have been in the

1371
01:06:22,400 --> 01:06:25,600
Speaker 2: Marquee matchup. By the way, seven Eastern Baby, you got

1372
01:06:25,680 --> 01:06:29,440
Speaker 2: Oregon State, Washington State, Ohio State, Notre Dame, Iowa, Penn State.

1373
01:06:29,960 --> 01:06:31,560
Speaker 2: Do you know what it's gonna be on my main screen?

1374
01:06:31,920 --> 01:06:37,280
Speaker 2: Oh boy, eat them up, cats, Baby, Sam Houston State

1375
01:06:37,720 --> 01:06:42,920
Speaker 2: seven Eastern ESPN plus Big twelve Network against Houston at Houston.

1376
01:06:43,040 --> 01:06:45,080
Speaker 2: We're taking the points. I'm waiting on this to se

1377
01:06:45,120 --> 01:06:47,480
Speaker 2: if it goes up, it's probably not because who the

1378
01:06:47,600 --> 01:06:50,320
Speaker 2: fuck is going to bet Houston this corpse of the team.

1379
01:06:51,080 --> 01:06:53,440
Speaker 2: How will Sam Houston State score? I don't know they

1380
01:06:53,480 --> 01:06:55,360
Speaker 2: had to buy. I'm sure they worked on the offense.

1381
01:06:55,880 --> 01:06:57,880
Speaker 2: Maybe you'll see Grank Andell here. It's been two weeks.

1382
01:06:57,920 --> 01:07:00,400
Speaker 2: The defense got the rest to Houston's a mess. I

1383
01:07:00,480 --> 01:07:02,160
Speaker 2: can't tell you how much of a mess they are.

1384
01:07:02,520 --> 01:07:04,520
Speaker 2: They should have lost to UTSA. They had seventeen gift

1385
01:07:04,560 --> 01:07:08,120
Speaker 2: the points one seventeen fourteen against that UTSA defense. Then

1386
01:07:08,160 --> 01:07:10,160
Speaker 2: the next week they're down twenty eight nothing against Rice,

1387
01:07:11,120 --> 01:07:13,960
Speaker 2: and then you assume and they lose to Rice, you

1388
01:07:14,000 --> 01:07:17,680
Speaker 2: assume a bounce back spot Big twelve opener, your program opener.

1389
01:07:17,720 --> 01:07:19,960
Speaker 2: You're hosting the defending national runner ups.

1390
01:07:20,280 --> 01:07:20,800
Speaker 3: You get.

1391
01:07:22,240 --> 01:07:27,240
Speaker 2: Seal clubbed by TCU, and the final score doesn't do

1392
01:07:27,360 --> 01:07:29,400
Speaker 2: it justice. I think it was thirty four to thirteen.

1393
01:07:30,080 --> 01:07:32,600
Speaker 2: They didn't score an offensive touchdown, first time Houston hasn't

1394
01:07:32,600 --> 01:07:34,280
Speaker 2: done that since twenty fourteen. They had a kick return

1395
01:07:34,640 --> 01:07:37,000
Speaker 2: for a touchdown in the second half. At one point,

1396
01:07:37,200 --> 01:07:39,480
Speaker 2: they had twenty one plays for fifty two yards in

1397
01:07:39,560 --> 01:07:43,160
Speaker 2: a blowout. This offense is broken. They miss Clayton tune

1398
01:07:43,200 --> 01:07:47,640
Speaker 2: to tank Dell Downovan Smith hasn't been anywhere close to

1399
01:07:47,720 --> 01:07:50,160
Speaker 2: what they expected. I think he's hurt as well. He

1400
01:07:50,200 --> 01:07:52,440
Speaker 2: said he had an oblique injury after the last week's game.

1401
01:07:52,880 --> 01:07:54,720
Speaker 2: That would explain it. Because they also can't run the ball,

1402
01:07:55,080 --> 01:07:59,400
Speaker 2: averaging three yards per rush, so the defense is also

1403
01:08:00,120 --> 01:08:01,760
Speaker 2: a mass. They lost two guys to the NFL and

1404
01:08:01,760 --> 01:08:04,120
Speaker 2: the secondary, they lost their top pass rushers. His team's

1405
01:08:04,160 --> 01:08:06,480
Speaker 2: a corpse. All the quotes coming out of Houston are bad.

1406
01:08:07,040 --> 01:08:09,160
Speaker 2: I think the locker room might be gone. Dana might

1407
01:08:09,200 --> 01:08:12,000
Speaker 2: be gone sooner rather than later. Sam Houston should come

1408
01:08:12,000 --> 01:08:14,520
Speaker 2: in here fired up. They might be. They got us.

1409
01:08:14,720 --> 01:08:16,360
Speaker 2: I feel like they need at least a touchdown here.

1410
01:08:16,840 --> 01:08:19,000
Speaker 2: But Houston comes out every one of these games and

1411
01:08:19,040 --> 01:08:21,160
Speaker 2: they dig themselves a whole win. Dana is a favorite.

1412
01:08:21,640 --> 01:08:25,960
Speaker 2: He's seven to seventeen against the spread as a favorite

1413
01:08:26,000 --> 01:08:27,880
Speaker 2: of ten or more points in his head coaching career

1414
01:08:28,120 --> 01:08:31,840
Speaker 2: seventeen twenty seven and one. That's poor. I'm going to

1415
01:08:31,880 --> 01:08:35,599
Speaker 2: hope Sam Houston State figures out something. Maybe maybe there's

1416
01:08:35,600 --> 01:08:37,960
Speaker 2: a chance they lose this game. Ten nothing. We're taking

1417
01:08:38,000 --> 01:08:41,040
Speaker 2: the points, eat them Upcats, I'm.

1418
01:08:40,960 --> 01:08:43,720
Speaker 4: One hund percent behind you. Houston has overlooked to the

1419
01:08:43,840 --> 01:08:46,240
Speaker 4: biggest game on their schedule because they talked about it

1420
01:08:46,320 --> 01:08:48,439
Speaker 4: at Big twelve Media Day, And that is Texas Tech.

1421
01:08:49,040 --> 01:08:51,639
Speaker 4: Not to mention Donovan Smith as a transfer from Texas Tech.

1422
01:08:51,720 --> 01:08:54,000
Speaker 4: Not to mention Dana's ties to the air raid de

1423
01:08:54,080 --> 01:08:58,280
Speaker 4: text everything, everything is Texas Tech Houston. That's the new

1424
01:08:58,400 --> 01:09:00,920
Speaker 4: big rivalry in the Big twelve. That's all Houston wanted

1425
01:09:00,920 --> 01:09:03,439
Speaker 4: to talk about when I talked to them back in July.

1426
01:09:03,720 --> 01:09:06,800
Speaker 4: So that big game is next week, probably not paying

1427
01:09:06,800 --> 01:09:09,479
Speaker 4: attention to Sam Houston. Here a couple of stats I'll

1428
01:09:09,560 --> 01:09:10,960
Speaker 4: leave you with here because I know that this is

1429
01:09:11,040 --> 01:09:13,000
Speaker 4: your team. This is going to be America's team soon.

1430
01:09:13,120 --> 01:09:17,679
Speaker 4: The amount we preach about them in passing downs on defense,

1431
01:09:18,880 --> 01:09:23,200
Speaker 4: Sam Houston is number one in the nation in passing

1432
01:09:23,280 --> 01:09:27,000
Speaker 4: down success rate on defense. Sam Houston is number two

1433
01:09:27,240 --> 01:09:31,040
Speaker 4: in the nation and limiting explosive plays in passing downs

1434
01:09:31,479 --> 01:09:35,479
Speaker 4: on defense. Now, and Houston can't run it can't. Yeah,

1435
01:09:35,640 --> 01:09:39,120
Speaker 4: So what is Houston just the most undisciplined team that's

1436
01:09:39,160 --> 01:09:40,400
Speaker 4: ever been on the face of the earth that's going

1437
01:09:40,439 --> 01:09:43,720
Speaker 4: to find themselves in passing down so defense is going

1438
01:09:43,800 --> 01:09:46,240
Speaker 4: to cook. I'm sorry I took air force a couple

1439
01:09:46,280 --> 01:09:48,960
Speaker 4: weeks ago against Sam Houston. I've been reminded by you

1440
01:09:49,560 --> 01:09:51,960
Speaker 4: and my co and coach Sam Pittman that Sam Houston's

1441
01:09:51,960 --> 01:09:54,080
Speaker 4: actually pretty good. I'm going to be with you here.

1442
01:09:54,160 --> 01:09:55,479
Speaker 4: Let's see if that twelve and a half we get

1443
01:09:55,479 --> 01:09:56,120
Speaker 4: it up to thirteen.

1444
01:09:56,520 --> 01:09:58,920
Speaker 2: Kay. Sam houston offense is so bad I can't. I

1445
01:09:59,000 --> 01:10:01,320
Speaker 2: cannot say anything good about their quarterbacks. Throned for under

1446
01:10:01,320 --> 01:10:04,040
Speaker 2: two hundred yards total in two games that they lost,

1447
01:10:04,080 --> 01:10:06,920
Speaker 2: and they're averaging one yard per carry, which is dead

1448
01:10:07,000 --> 01:10:09,720
Speaker 2: last in the country. I think one point one it

1449
01:10:09,800 --> 01:10:12,720
Speaker 2: means a record low. Their defense is all elite. But

1450
01:10:13,320 --> 01:10:16,040
Speaker 2: taking the points before we move on, go three and

1451
01:10:16,080 --> 01:10:16,439
Speaker 2: out here.

1452
01:10:18,760 --> 01:10:20,800
Speaker 4: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1453
01:10:22,160 --> 01:10:25,680
Speaker 2: Colt's take a second to mention our sponsor, Factor, America's

1454
01:10:25,880 --> 01:10:28,720
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1455
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1460
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1464
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1465
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1466
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1467
01:11:13,120 --> 01:11:17,120
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1468
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1469
01:11:22,479 --> 01:11:26,519
Speaker 2: Producer loves those for nothing but great things. All right,

1470
01:11:26,600 --> 01:11:27,720
Speaker 2: let's start Friday night lights.

1471
01:11:28,400 --> 01:11:31,240
Speaker 4: Let's hear a gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts.

1472
01:11:31,600 --> 01:11:36,800
Speaker 2: Hey, let's go play some football. Wisconsin Purdue. I'm buying Purdue,

1473
01:11:36,840 --> 01:11:41,480
Speaker 2: who hasn't beat Wisconsin since the Revolutionary War. But Wisconsin

1474
01:11:41,800 --> 01:11:45,320
Speaker 2: looks horrendous on offense. The offense, it's just a huge

1475
01:11:45,360 --> 01:11:47,920
Speaker 2: culture shift and everything about it. It's not working. The

1476
01:11:48,000 --> 01:11:49,800
Speaker 2: defense is also where if you weren't taling about the

1477
01:11:49,800 --> 01:11:52,320
Speaker 2: Wisconsin defense, they should have. They could have lost to

1478
01:11:52,320 --> 01:11:55,320
Speaker 2: Georgia Southern and Georgia Southern and turned it over fifteen times.

1479
01:11:55,840 --> 01:11:58,080
Speaker 2: I think Purdue is live here. They should score on

1480
01:11:58,120 --> 01:12:00,400
Speaker 2: this Wisconsin defense. I'd like the home dog n C

1481
01:12:00,479 --> 01:12:03,280
Speaker 2: State Virginia have no thoughts Brennann Armstrong revenge game against Virginia.

1482
01:12:04,000 --> 01:12:06,639
Speaker 2: We'll see if musket or Callandrew starts. I got nothing there.

1483
01:12:06,680 --> 01:12:10,519
Speaker 2: Boise State, San Diego State. I like San Diego State

1484
01:12:10,560 --> 01:12:13,680
Speaker 2: a touchdown or better. Their defenses look bad, but so

1485
01:12:13,880 --> 01:12:16,840
Speaker 2: is boiss These are two quarterbacks who can't really throw it,

1486
01:12:17,560 --> 01:12:21,200
Speaker 2: prefer to run it, but Boise's not really running their quarterback.

1487
01:12:21,320 --> 01:12:23,599
Speaker 2: Two great special teams, two good kickers, two good punters,

1488
01:12:23,640 --> 01:12:25,360
Speaker 2: although San Diego State is the same kicker and punter.

1489
01:12:26,320 --> 01:12:28,000
Speaker 2: These two teams that kind of look like mirrors to me.

1490
01:12:29,520 --> 01:12:32,360
Speaker 2: I'll happily take the touchdown. I think the San Diego

1491
01:12:32,400 --> 01:12:35,200
Speaker 2: State defense, which is definitely down, can still force Koreena

1492
01:12:35,200 --> 01:12:37,800
Speaker 2: into a couple of mistakes here. Air force San Jose State.

1493
01:12:37,920 --> 01:12:40,360
Speaker 2: I normally would look at San Jose State here, but

1494
01:12:40,560 --> 01:12:43,960
Speaker 2: I'm concerned about their defensive line and their triple option

1495
01:12:44,439 --> 01:12:47,720
Speaker 2: type defensive metrics, So you look at stuff right and

1496
01:12:47,800 --> 01:12:51,240
Speaker 2: things like that. They lost two professional two really elite

1497
01:12:51,320 --> 01:12:54,080
Speaker 2: defensive linemen from last year. That's hard to replace at

1498
01:12:54,080 --> 01:12:57,040
Speaker 2: school like Santjesse State, So I'm passing there, But I

1499
01:12:57,120 --> 01:12:59,360
Speaker 2: like the two om Dogs and Purdue in San Diego State.

1500
01:12:59,360 --> 01:13:01,360
Speaker 2: You got quick thoughts in any of the games Friday night.

1501
01:13:01,640 --> 01:13:03,479
Speaker 4: Yeah, I completely agree with you on air force. I'm

1502
01:13:03,479 --> 01:13:06,040
Speaker 4: opposite of you taking Boise State. I'm letting that number

1503
01:13:06,080 --> 01:13:07,960
Speaker 4: come down a little bit. Was it Seven's taking some

1504
01:13:08,080 --> 01:13:10,280
Speaker 4: heat today on San Diego State. Down to six at

1505
01:13:10,320 --> 01:13:13,599
Speaker 4: one of the Sharper shops. Listen to me. This comes

1506
01:13:13,640 --> 01:13:17,320
Speaker 4: down to two offenses that have completely different metrics when

1507
01:13:17,360 --> 01:13:20,639
Speaker 4: it comes to running the ball. An offensive momentum killer,

1508
01:13:20,720 --> 01:13:23,719
Speaker 4: which Boise State is top twenty five. They don't stop themselves.

1509
01:13:23,720 --> 01:13:26,479
Speaker 4: They're very they don't have a lot of havoc allowed,

1510
01:13:26,600 --> 01:13:28,800
Speaker 4: especially when they run the ball. But from a rushing

1511
01:13:28,880 --> 01:13:31,559
Speaker 4: success perspective, they are top thirty, and that is where

1512
01:13:31,640 --> 01:13:34,720
Speaker 4: San Diego State has had huge problems. They are dead

1513
01:13:34,800 --> 01:13:37,080
Speaker 4: last in the nation and defending the rush. They are

1514
01:13:37,120 --> 01:13:38,800
Speaker 4: one hundred and thirtieth in the line yards and they're

1515
01:13:38,800 --> 01:13:41,599
Speaker 4: one hundred and twenty seventh and defensive stuff rate. Boise

1516
01:13:41,760 --> 01:13:44,800
Speaker 4: State is trying with Bush Hampton an offensive coordinator. They

1517
01:13:44,840 --> 01:13:46,840
Speaker 4: just want to pound the ball, pound the rock, and

1518
01:13:46,880 --> 01:13:49,920
Speaker 4: they're not letting Taylor Green run whatsoever. So I expect

1519
01:13:49,960 --> 01:13:52,599
Speaker 4: them to have a ton of success in running the ball.

1520
01:13:52,920 --> 01:13:56,880
Speaker 4: And then defensively, it's just a scrambled drill with Jalen Maiden.

1521
01:13:56,880 --> 01:13:58,320
Speaker 4: And as much as I love San Diego State and

1522
01:13:58,360 --> 01:14:01,479
Speaker 4: I love betting the overs, here, there's nothing more than

1523
01:14:01,520 --> 01:14:03,920
Speaker 4: a scramble drill on offense. And their defense has, like

1524
01:14:04,000 --> 01:14:05,920
Speaker 4: I said, been terrible against the rush. So I'm gonna

1525
01:14:05,920 --> 01:14:07,840
Speaker 4: take Boise after that number comes down a little bit.

1526
01:14:08,080 --> 01:14:11,280
Speaker 4: I do Power rated it at six point nine. Nice

1527
01:14:11,320 --> 01:14:12,880
Speaker 4: for Boise stay there, So I'm gonna let it come down.

1528
01:14:12,880 --> 01:14:15,320
Speaker 4: I'm gonna be on the Broncos all.

1529
01:14:15,240 --> 01:14:16,880
Speaker 2: Right, we'll be head to head there. Let's move on

1530
01:14:17,040 --> 01:14:21,760
Speaker 2: to second down, and that's our favorite favorite.

1531
01:14:21,640 --> 01:14:23,240
Speaker 3: It's called the overdog parlay.

1532
01:14:23,680 --> 01:14:25,720
Speaker 2: I will start. I don't think I've lost one of

1533
01:14:25,760 --> 01:14:29,920
Speaker 2: these yet, so I will keep it going. And we're

1534
01:14:29,960 --> 01:14:33,960
Speaker 2: going to Texas A and M against Auburn. This is

1535
01:14:34,000 --> 01:14:37,240
Speaker 2: a game I had circled since last year, so and

1536
01:14:37,320 --> 01:14:39,280
Speaker 2: I've bet I faded Texas ANAM have fad of text

1537
01:14:39,320 --> 01:14:41,960
Speaker 2: A M until the Coalskim last year, and I remember

1538
01:14:42,000 --> 01:14:46,360
Speaker 2: betting Auburn against them, and Auburn in a game where

1539
01:14:46,439 --> 01:14:49,040
Speaker 2: their quarterback went six to sixteen for sixty yards and

1540
01:14:49,120 --> 01:14:51,400
Speaker 2: I think a couple of picks. Alburt won that game

1541
01:14:51,439 --> 01:14:54,679
Speaker 2: thirteen to ten. It was against a shorthanded, deflated text

1542
01:14:54,760 --> 01:14:58,840
Speaker 2: edity and handed the text under seventh loss and celebrated

1543
01:14:59,120 --> 01:15:03,840
Speaker 2: like they won the national title. I'm talking confetti, Cadillac

1544
01:15:03,880 --> 01:15:10,120
Speaker 2: Williams being hurled around the stadium. I've never seen anything

1545
01:15:10,200 --> 01:15:11,680
Speaker 2: like it for a regular season win against a team

1546
01:15:11,720 --> 01:15:14,479
Speaker 2: that was under five hundred. Good for Alburn. I never

1547
01:15:14,520 --> 01:15:16,840
Speaker 2: care when team solve right, but that tastes still in

1548
01:15:16,960 --> 01:15:21,400
Speaker 2: Texas A and M's mouth. They want revenge here and

1549
01:15:21,680 --> 01:15:24,360
Speaker 2: everything's perfectly set up. I think Stuart, their Starvarce was

1550
01:15:24,360 --> 01:15:27,639
Speaker 2: going to play too. This tax An M offense is rolling.

1551
01:15:28,600 --> 01:15:30,080
Speaker 2: I don't think Alburt's to be able to stop them.

1552
01:15:30,360 --> 01:15:32,679
Speaker 2: And Texa ANM's run defensive issues from last year they've

1553
01:15:32,680 --> 01:15:34,600
Speaker 2: been fixed. I don't know what the hell went on

1554
01:15:34,680 --> 01:15:37,560
Speaker 2: las Ye because they have the talent and if you

1555
01:15:37,600 --> 01:15:39,200
Speaker 2: look a lot of people remember that tax ANM at

1556
01:15:39,200 --> 01:15:42,080
Speaker 2: Miami game. Miami is legit Texas A and M. They

1557
01:15:42,400 --> 01:15:45,000
Speaker 2: Miami got them through the air. Auburn can't throw the ball.

1558
01:15:45,120 --> 01:15:47,560
Speaker 2: I mean, look at the Cow game. Alburn should have

1559
01:15:47,600 --> 01:15:49,479
Speaker 2: lost that game. They converted a third and seventeen late.

1560
01:15:49,680 --> 01:15:52,320
Speaker 2: They were down ten to ten to seven or ten

1561
01:15:52,400 --> 01:15:54,760
Speaker 2: to eight with like in late in the fourth quarter.

1562
01:15:55,360 --> 01:15:57,639
Speaker 2: This offense, Hugh Freeze, is not fixed it yet. It's

1563
01:15:57,680 --> 01:16:00,120
Speaker 2: gonna take time. Tex A and M is gonna them

1564
01:16:00,160 --> 01:16:03,720
Speaker 2: out here and stop all over oliver and not let

1565
01:16:03,800 --> 01:16:06,760
Speaker 2: out and then celebrate after I like TEXTA and M

1566
01:16:07,600 --> 01:16:08,479
Speaker 2: double digits or more.

1567
01:16:09,720 --> 01:16:11,200
Speaker 4: I'm going to stay in the SEC and I'm gonna

1568
01:16:11,200 --> 01:16:12,680
Speaker 4: go with the game we already talked about, and that's

1569
01:16:12,720 --> 01:16:16,280
Speaker 4: Tennessee over UTSA against a Tennessee team that wants to

1570
01:16:16,360 --> 01:16:19,360
Speaker 4: go extremely fast and throw the ball a lot, especially

1571
01:16:19,400 --> 01:16:22,599
Speaker 4: after getting embarrassed last week against Arrival in Florida. Now

1572
01:16:22,640 --> 01:16:24,360
Speaker 4: they come home, try to get it straight, try to

1573
01:16:24,400 --> 01:16:27,120
Speaker 4: get it right. There's no overlook for Tennessee here in

1574
01:16:27,200 --> 01:16:29,280
Speaker 4: the spot. It's a great spot to get back there.

1575
01:16:29,720 --> 01:16:32,160
Speaker 4: And if Joe Milton isn't there, Nico is a great

1576
01:16:32,240 --> 01:16:34,160
Speaker 4: reserve quarterback that we've all been waiting to come in.

1577
01:16:34,240 --> 01:16:36,160
Speaker 4: I think he can run. This offense probably a little

1578
01:16:36,200 --> 01:16:40,080
Speaker 4: bit better. I like Tennessee minus twenty one, hook twenty

1579
01:16:40,120 --> 01:16:42,200
Speaker 4: two whatever. Should be a blowout for these guys. They

1580
01:16:42,280 --> 01:16:43,479
Speaker 4: needed after that lost to Florida.

1581
01:16:44,040 --> 01:16:46,800
Speaker 2: By the way, a couple quarterback injuries worth watching this.

1582
01:16:46,960 --> 01:16:49,559
Speaker 2: There'll be a bunch, but Kansas State will Howard day

1583
01:16:49,600 --> 01:16:53,519
Speaker 2: to day, Missouri Brady Cook day to day. We'll see

1584
01:16:53,520 --> 01:16:57,519
Speaker 2: if Oklahoma State ever names a starting quarterback. We'll if

1585
01:16:57,520 --> 01:16:59,200
Speaker 2: they ask Brett about that. All right, before we get

1586
01:16:59,200 --> 01:17:01,320
Speaker 2: out of here, we have one final task and that's

1587
01:17:01,400 --> 01:17:06,160
Speaker 2: on third down, and that's our underdog moneyline parlay. Are

1588
01:17:06,320 --> 01:17:14,840
Speaker 2: two favorite underdogs turning good weekends into great weekends.

1589
01:17:15,479 --> 01:17:18,000
Speaker 4: It's time for the money line parlay.

1590
01:17:19,600 --> 01:17:23,639
Speaker 2: We cast last week. You finally got on the board

1591
01:17:23,800 --> 01:17:28,679
Speaker 2: for US, and Florida got there along with your JMU.

1592
01:17:28,800 --> 01:17:31,599
Speaker 2: So good call there, and a couple of people reach

1593
01:17:31,640 --> 01:17:33,880
Speaker 2: out and say that they hit their parlay, so that

1594
01:17:34,040 --> 01:17:36,320
Speaker 2: was nice, and they go like six to one this week,

1595
01:17:37,360 --> 01:17:40,040
Speaker 2: I don't need to just hold on my shirt Minor Nation.

1596
01:17:41,040 --> 01:17:42,880
Speaker 2: We're getting to win and we're getting a cover this week.

1597
01:17:43,120 --> 01:17:46,880
Speaker 2: Small underdogs, this is I think a good spot. Bilo

1598
01:17:47,040 --> 01:17:49,880
Speaker 2: cell High unil be off that win over an SEC team.

1599
01:17:50,760 --> 01:17:53,439
Speaker 2: I'm still not completely sold on this team. And they

1600
01:17:53,479 --> 01:17:55,360
Speaker 2: have Mountain West play I think starts next week. They

1601
01:17:55,439 --> 01:17:59,280
Speaker 2: go to UTEP Sleepy, Sleepy, Sleepy Spot. I think EAP

1602
01:17:59,280 --> 01:18:01,320
Speaker 2: will be up for this one. I think the miners

1603
01:18:01,360 --> 01:18:04,200
Speaker 2: get them. Not much else more to it than that.

1604
01:18:04,439 --> 01:18:07,280
Speaker 2: I like the the number in the spot. So let's

1605
01:18:07,320 --> 01:18:10,720
Speaker 2: go Minor Nation and where are you going? Yeah, this

1606
01:18:10,880 --> 01:18:13,280
Speaker 2: one kind of surprised me. I'm going to take Georgia

1607
01:18:13,360 --> 01:18:18,800
Speaker 2: Tech to beat wake Forest outright. Wake Forest is absolutely horrendous.

1608
01:18:19,280 --> 01:18:21,360
Speaker 2: There's a difference in strength of schedul here. Georgia Tech

1609
01:18:21,439 --> 01:18:23,439
Speaker 2: is fifteenth in the nation. They played some big boys.

1610
01:18:23,840 --> 01:18:26,720
Speaker 4: Wake Forest is one hundred and twenty fifth, and they

1611
01:18:26,880 --> 01:18:30,480
Speaker 4: beat Old Dominion by three last week, twenty seven to twenty.

1612
01:18:30,240 --> 01:18:32,920
Speaker 2: Four, down twenty four to seven in the second half.

1613
01:18:33,160 --> 01:18:36,320
Speaker 4: Down twenty four to seven. It's actually but I mean

1614
01:18:36,360 --> 01:18:38,400
Speaker 4: if you go back and look like Elon covered again

1615
01:18:38,439 --> 01:18:40,200
Speaker 4: against them with that field goal there at the end,

1616
01:18:41,200 --> 01:18:42,240
Speaker 4: you know they played Vandy.

1617
01:18:42,360 --> 01:18:43,680
Speaker 2: I mean there's just there's not a lot going on

1618
01:18:43,800 --> 01:18:46,519
Speaker 2: and had a Fandy had a muff punt that Wake

1619
01:18:46,600 --> 01:18:50,000
Speaker 2: returned for a touchdown and Vandy had three turnovers too.

1620
01:18:50,520 --> 01:18:53,479
Speaker 2: Wake hasn't played anyone. The defense has questioned SUPERCAD.

1621
01:18:53,960 --> 01:18:55,439
Speaker 4: So when you have a strength of schedule of one

1622
01:18:55,520 --> 01:18:58,240
Speaker 4: hundred and twenty fifth and you consider the teams that

1623
01:18:58,280 --> 01:19:01,680
Speaker 4: they've played, if I see red and your advanced analytics,

1624
01:19:01,760 --> 01:19:06,160
Speaker 4: that's really bad. You're almost dead last. And offensive rush explosiveness.

1625
01:19:06,920 --> 01:19:09,759
Speaker 4: You can defend the run whatsoever by lineyards and rushing

1626
01:19:09,840 --> 01:19:13,719
Speaker 4: success rate. Georgia Tech is a blue collar, grinding team,

1627
01:19:13,760 --> 01:19:16,040
Speaker 4: and I love Haynes King. I love these kids, and

1628
01:19:16,080 --> 01:19:17,479
Speaker 4: they get after it. I don't think they're capable of

1629
01:19:17,560 --> 01:19:19,320
Speaker 4: having a down week, and I bet they're pretty pissed

1630
01:19:19,360 --> 01:19:21,479
Speaker 4: off about Lane Kippen scoring a touchdown at the very

1631
01:19:21,560 --> 01:19:24,479
Speaker 4: end giving Georgia Tech to win this outright, this is

1632
01:19:24,560 --> 01:19:26,320
Speaker 4: a team that's going to exceed their win total. They're

1633
01:19:26,320 --> 01:19:28,040
Speaker 4: gonna upset some people and this is gonna be one

1634
01:19:28,080 --> 01:19:28,280
Speaker 4: of them.

1635
01:19:28,920 --> 01:19:32,200
Speaker 2: I agree. Yeah, Georgia Tech really should have beat Louisville,

1636
01:19:32,280 --> 01:19:34,559
Speaker 2: like could it beat? I mean, they were pretty even

1637
01:19:34,600 --> 01:19:37,800
Speaker 2: with Old Miss before that, those late Shenanigans. They had

1638
01:19:37,800 --> 01:19:40,200
Speaker 2: a couple of special teams plunders. But I agree here.

1639
01:19:40,560 --> 01:19:42,519
Speaker 2: I like Georgia Tech as well. I'm glad you picked

1640
01:19:42,560 --> 01:19:45,720
Speaker 2: that all right. That'll do it for us. Thank you,

1641
01:19:45,840 --> 01:19:48,080
Speaker 2: as always, the common Thanks to our producer Matt Mitchell,

1642
01:19:48,080 --> 01:19:50,320
Speaker 2: who's trolling me on Twitter right now, he said, currently

1643
01:19:50,400 --> 01:19:52,600
Speaker 2: on a zoom meeting with Stuckey, shouting eat him up

1644
01:19:52,640 --> 01:19:54,639
Speaker 2: cats and looking around like he's in an arena full

1645
01:19:54,640 --> 01:19:59,559
Speaker 2: of people. Thanks as always to you, Thanks to all

1646
01:19:59,600 --> 01:20:01,519
Speaker 2: of you. Make sure you subscribe on Subscribe, subscribe to

1647
01:20:01,560 --> 01:20:03,920
Speaker 2: a friend, tell on enemy. We will do giveaways on

1648
01:20:04,040 --> 01:20:06,479
Speaker 2: the Sunday recap show. So if you leave a five

1649
01:20:06,479 --> 01:20:08,280
Speaker 2: star of ye, I don't care what you say, then

1650
01:20:08,520 --> 01:20:12,200
Speaker 2: you will get We'll do some giveaways, so make sure

1651
01:20:12,520 --> 01:20:15,000
Speaker 2: that you leave those. They really help us out. Big

1652
01:20:15,040 --> 01:20:17,120
Speaker 2: bets on Campus Lift ten thirty IM Eastern on Saturday.

1653
01:20:17,120 --> 01:20:19,080
Speaker 2: Make sure you download the warning Action over cap. It's

1654
01:20:19,080 --> 01:20:22,080
Speaker 2: a hell of a slate. Enjoy it. Let's spend some

1655
01:20:22,200 --> 01:20:25,400
Speaker 2: money and have some fun while doing so. Appreciate all

1656
01:20:25,479 --> 01:20:29,000
Speaker 2: of you. Can't wait for Saturday. Good luck with all

1657
01:20:29,040 --> 01:20:30,720
Speaker 2: of your bets. Cheers, he's out.

1658
01:20:43,160 --> 01:20:46,560
Speaker 4: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1659
01:20:47,000 --> 01:20:49,799
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1660
01:20:50,120 --> 01:20:52,720
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1661
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