WEBVTT - 4/7/25: Elon Jumps Ship On Tariffs, Mass Protests Erupt, Dem Congressman Faces Off On Tariffs

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<v Speaker 1>Hey, guys, Saga and Crystal here.

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<v Speaker 3>dot com. Let's turn out to some internal divisions inside

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<v Speaker 3>of the Trump administration. Elon Musk, allegedly the most powerful

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<v Speaker 3>person who was currently in the Trump administration, is majorly

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<v Speaker 3>counter signaling the Donald Trump tariffs. He appeared recently in

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<v Speaker 3>an interview with respect to Europe where he has been

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<v Speaker 3>speaking against tariffs and what he would like to see

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<v Speaker 3>is the end goal.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's take a listen.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm hopeful, for example, with the tariffs that at the

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<v Speaker 4>end of the day, I hope it is agreed that

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<v Speaker 4>both Europe and the United States should move ideally in

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<v Speaker 4>my view, to a zero tariff situation, effectively creating a

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<v Speaker 4>free trade zone between Europe and North America. And that

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<v Speaker 4>would be my That's what I hope occurs. And also

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<v Speaker 4>more freedom of people to move between Europe and North

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<v Speaker 4>America if they wish, if they wish to work in Europe,

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<v Speaker 4>who wish to work in America, they should be allowed

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<v Speaker 4>to do so in my view. So that has certainly

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<v Speaker 4>been my advice to the president.

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<v Speaker 3>Obviously that's not what the President has taken in terms

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<v Speaker 3>of his advice.

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<v Speaker 1>And Elon is now openly.

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<v Speaker 3>At war with Peter Navarro, who is Trump's trade advisor

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<v Speaker 3>and definitely the person where a lot of these formula

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<v Speaker 3>and this idea came from.

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<v Speaker 1>Put this up there on the screen just so you

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<v Speaker 1>guys can see.

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<v Speaker 3>So Navarro gave an interview where he was responding to

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<v Speaker 3>some of Elon's To some of Elon's points, Elon replied,

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<v Speaker 3>a PhD in Econ from Harvard is a bad thing,

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<v Speaker 3>not a good thing. Results in the ego and brains

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<v Speaker 3>are greater than problem. He replies, Navarro is one hundred

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<v Speaker 3>percent correct, PhD or no PhD, just obsessed with trade

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<v Speaker 3>for quite a while. Elon quote, he ain't built shit.

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<v Speaker 3>Here is Peter Navarro's response, Let's take a listen.

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<v Speaker 5>Can we go back to Elon Musk for a second,

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<v Speaker 5>because I'm glad that you brought that up. He also

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<v Speaker 5>took a shot at you personally on X and he's

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<v Speaker 5>going against the administration with respect to the tariff policy.

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<v Speaker 5>The President has said in the coming months he may

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<v Speaker 5>leave the administration.

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<v Speaker 6>Peter, is there a rift internally?

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<v Speaker 7>No? Look Elon.

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<v Speaker 8>Look Elon when he's in his doge line is great,

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<v Speaker 8>But we understand what's going on here? Do we just

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<v Speaker 8>have to understand? Elon sells cars and he's in Texas

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<v Speaker 8>assembling cars that have big parts of that car from Mexico, China.

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<v Speaker 8>Batteries come from Japan or China, the electronics come from Taiwan,

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<v Speaker 8>and he's simply protecting his own interests as any business

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<v Speaker 8>person would do. We're more concerned about Detroit building cadillacts

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<v Speaker 8>with American engines, and that's what this is all about.

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<v Speaker 8>So it's fine, there's no riff here.

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<v Speaker 3>There's no rift, Crystal. So who do we wrote root for?

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<v Speaker 3>Is this is an Iran Iraq situation? You wish puts

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<v Speaker 3>both sides. The best of Lovey is that is that

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<v Speaker 3>where I don't know, he's not wrong in terms of

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<v Speaker 3>Elon's incentives.

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<v Speaker 1>What's Tesla stock at But here's the thing.

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<v Speaker 6>Here's the thing though.

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<v Speaker 1>Minus nine today, good Lord.

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<v Speaker 6>Tesla has god Let's issues.

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<v Speaker 2>The Tesla mostly elonth leadership and the union busting, but

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<v Speaker 2>they've gone out of their way to source parts domestically.

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<v Speaker 3>They are made in America, beyond the battery. It's the

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<v Speaker 3>more made in America card than GM.

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<v Speaker 2>I want you to think about what Peter Navarro was

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<v Speaker 2>actually saying here, because if their policy was going to

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<v Speaker 2>do what you're saying, this policy is going to do,

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<v Speaker 2>should be a huge beneficiary. They're an American made car.

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<v Speaker 2>This should be great. Elon should be celebrating, this would

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<v Speaker 2>be his And the fact that for even Tesla, which

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<v Speaker 2>has done everything they can to have a supply chain

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<v Speaker 2>that is more or less here in America, that for

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<v Speaker 2>even them, it's going to be devastating and a real

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<v Speaker 2>problem in Tesla stock is falling.

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<v Speaker 6>You know, there's all sorts of.

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<v Speaker 2>Reasons Tesla stock's been falling, but the latest one is

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<v Speaker 2>certainly related to the tariffs. As the rest of the

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<v Speaker 2>market is in freefall at the moment, So it's such

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<v Speaker 2>an admission that even for a company like Tesla, this

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<v Speaker 2>is going to be extremely bad for business. As far

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<v Speaker 2>as Elon's ideology, you know, we noted, I don't think

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<v Speaker 2>this got nearly enough attention at the time when he

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<v Speaker 2>was out there praising Javier Malay, it was anarcho capitalist,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, hardcore libertarian leader of Argentina praising him for

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<v Speaker 2>rolling back tariffs, and we noted that right away, like

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<v Speaker 2>that's very different from what the Trump plan here is. Ultimately,

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<v Speaker 2>Elon also so had gone to war over you know,

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<v Speaker 2>h one B's with members of the sort of like

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<v Speaker 2>Steve Bannon type MAGA portion of the Republican base. At

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<v Speaker 2>that time, he won the fight for Donald Trump's heart.

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<v Speaker 2>Trump basically, you know, completely sided with him in that

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<v Speaker 2>particular battle. That's not going to be the case in

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<v Speaker 2>this battle because Trump has just decided this is happening period,

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<v Speaker 2>end of story. So you know, question mark what this

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<v Speaker 2>means for the future of the Trump Elon relationship. Last

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<v Speaker 2>week we talked about the fact that Trump was saying

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<v Speaker 2>he Elon's going to be out in a few months.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, Elon has already completely changed his political stripes.

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<v Speaker 6>You could see him.

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<v Speaker 2>If the Democrats go back to being like a total neoliberal,

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<v Speaker 2>like they're renegotiating TPP or whatever, maybe Elon's going to

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<v Speaker 2>come back to the Democratic Party. I don't think that

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<v Speaker 2>any Democrats should ultimately want that, but who knows what

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<v Speaker 2>the future is going to hold. But you know, very

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<v Speaker 2>noteworthy given how much power Elon has and how Peter

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<v Speaker 2>Navarro really is the sort of like hardest core ideological

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<v Speaker 2>tear up supporter within the Trump administration. Who I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>he is the sickest fan, but that's he's not just

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<v Speaker 2>there to be a sick fan.

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<v Speaker 3>Allow you know, let me go off on this a

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<v Speaker 3>little bit because I like Peter Navarro and I'm pro

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<v Speaker 3>tariff and I'm pro to but like this talking point,

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<v Speaker 3>that's the problem with Japan. Like Trump just put this out,

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<v Speaker 3>spoke to the Japanese Prime minister this morning. He's sending

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<v Speaker 3>a trop team to negotiate. They have treated the US

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<v Speaker 3>very poorly. They don't take our cars, but we take

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<v Speaker 3>millions of theirs. Yeah, you could give away a Ford

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<v Speaker 3>f one fifty in Tokyo and they wouldn't drive it.

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<v Speaker 1>Why would you.

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<v Speaker 3>It's an over engineered, eighty something thousand dollars massive car.

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<v Speaker 3>That wouldn't make sense when you have access to a

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<v Speaker 3>ten thousand dollars more fuel efficient.

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<v Speaker 1>Toyota high loock.

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<v Speaker 3>You know why we drive Toyota's because they're more fuel efficient,

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<v Speaker 3>more comfortable, better engineered, and they're cheaper.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not because of a trade deficit. Same in Europe.

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<v Speaker 3>The Fords and Chevies or whatever that sell in Europe,

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<v Speaker 3>they would never sell here.

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<v Speaker 1>They're tiny.

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<v Speaker 3>If you ever go over there, you don't even recognize

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<v Speaker 3>some of these models America.

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<v Speaker 2>Try to drive an F one to fifty through like

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<v Speaker 2>a European yea.

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<v Speaker 6>Literally, you could work.

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<v Speaker 3>You ranked one of those piece of shits little Pugo's,

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<v Speaker 3>and to'll be driving around in Italy and you still

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<v Speaker 3>can barely fit the damn thing through these one thousand

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<v Speaker 3>year old Okay, so that's one thing. But that's what

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<v Speaker 3>he's like, This is a Steven Miller thing too. He's like,

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<v Speaker 3>you never see any American cars in Japan. I'm like, yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>why is that? It's like, it's not because they're it's

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<v Speaker 3>not because they're being blocked.

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<v Speaker 1>It's because their cars are better than.

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<v Speaker 3>Ours, And I hate I hate sounding like some Milton

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<v Speaker 3>Friedman esque like they're you know, specialized comparative advantage, But like,

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<v Speaker 3>what are we doing here? Do we really want to

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<v Speaker 3>Japanese who have half of the median income of the

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<v Speaker 3>average American to be rolling around in a.

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<v Speaker 1>Cadillac with a cooler in it?

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<v Speaker 3>The way that that's what these Americans are buying. And

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<v Speaker 3>actually they shouldn't even buy them. They're ridiculous. They break

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<v Speaker 3>all the time, they have too many electronics in it,

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<v Speaker 3>They're way too expensive. We choose all of this bullshit

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<v Speaker 3>luxury and then wonder why they were get to twenty

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<v Speaker 3>percent APR and a sixty eight thousand dollars car payment

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<v Speaker 3>for a brand new car. It's one of those where

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<v Speaker 3>it's totally out of step, Like they would laugh at

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<v Speaker 3>you if we were like, oh, you need to buy more?

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<v Speaker 3>What is the Chevy equinhawks And I'm like, no, why

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<v Speaker 3>would I do that? Whenever I have access to the

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<v Speaker 3>Toyleta will last me for twenty five years, or Honda

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<v Speaker 3>or you know, go to South Korea and tell them

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<v Speaker 3>this preposterous This is where I just I'm seeing it's

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<v Speaker 3>not even nineteenth century, because at least that actually made sense,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, I dug out, Actually, I'll bring it in.

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<v Speaker 3>We can, we can look it over together. I have

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<v Speaker 3>a nineteen oh two US at list that I found

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<v Speaker 3>in an antique store, and it's awesome because it shows

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<v Speaker 3>all of our national expenditures and our customs duties.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's true, almost.

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<v Speaker 3>Forty two percent of all of revenue in nineteen oh

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<v Speaker 3>two from my at list shows comes from the customs duties.

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<v Speaker 3>But you know, it's also a country that basically spent

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<v Speaker 3>nothing and had no income to act. It was very,

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<v Speaker 3>very different, right.

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<v Speaker 7>One of the.

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<v Speaker 3>Interesting things in there too is to actually see how

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<v Speaker 3>little America mattered at that time. In that atlas, it

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<v Speaker 3>has a list of the military sizes of the Great

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<v Speaker 3>German of the Germanic Empire, and America's like number twenty

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<v Speaker 3>five in all of these It's not just a fascinating

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<v Speaker 3>view into history. But my point just broadly is just like,

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<v Speaker 3>what are we trying to do here? Are we trying

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<v Speaker 3>to have more reindustrialization?

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<v Speaker 1>Great?

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<v Speaker 3>Do we want to force jap American cars on? Have

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<v Speaker 3>we not exported enough Western bullshit over to them?

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<v Speaker 1>Leave them alone?

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<v Speaker 7>Same?

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<v Speaker 3>You know, with there and this is not just my

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<v Speaker 3>you know, Japanese love same thing with the Europeans, like

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<v Speaker 3>they drive their cars because they're engineered for their purposes,

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<v Speaker 3>in the same way that the Jeep grand wagoneer with

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<v Speaker 3>coolers appeals to the American soccer mom. Most of the

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<v Speaker 3>other rest of the world thinks that's grotesque and weird.

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<v Speaker 3>But you know, different markets, different strokes for different folks.

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<v Speaker 3>I just like listening to all of this. It's that

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<v Speaker 3>their own goals make genuinely no sense on their face.

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<v Speaker 3>And I don't think it's just people like me who

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<v Speaker 3>are free you know, anti free trade protections or whatever.

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<v Speaker 3>Even to the basic person, the person who is dying

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<v Speaker 3>to understand this, you can't. There's nothing there, there's nothing

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<v Speaker 3>to tug on.

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<v Speaker 2>No, there is nothing there, And it's it's going to harm.

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<v Speaker 2>Like if your goal is increasing manufacturing in the US,

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<v Speaker 2>it's going to harm manufacturing in the US. If there

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<v Speaker 2>is no change to this, it will harm manufacturing in

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<v Speaker 2>the US, it will harm ordinary people. And we've talked

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<v Speaker 2>about this in previous shows, but I want to make

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<v Speaker 2>sure we get in this show too. The whole social

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<v Speaker 2>contract of this country is cheap shit that's what we don't.

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<v Speaker 1>Get, and the number has to go up for.

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<v Speaker 6>And the number has to That's right, that's what we like.

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<v Speaker 2>That's we don't have a social safety not like the

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<v Speaker 2>you know, Norwegian we don't have that, like the Scandinavian countries,

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<v Speaker 2>like Europe does.

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<v Speaker 6>We don't have that. Okay, so what do we get?

0:10:34.720 --> 0:10:37.440
<v Speaker 2>We get our Walmart runs, we get our Costco trips,

0:10:37.760 --> 0:10:39.960
<v Speaker 2>we get what hassan biker calls our treats.

0:10:40.240 --> 0:10:43.160
<v Speaker 6>We get our treats, we get them cheap, and the

0:10:43.160 --> 0:10:46.400
<v Speaker 6>line goes up. That's the deal. Okay. I would like

0:10:46.440 --> 0:10:47.200
<v Speaker 6>to change that deal.

0:10:47.960 --> 0:10:50.280
<v Speaker 2>The deal that is on offer from Trump is you

0:10:50.320 --> 0:10:52.520
<v Speaker 2>don't get your treats and you don't get anything else.

0:10:52.679 --> 0:10:54.800
<v Speaker 2>You don't get anything else, You're gonna lose your job.

0:10:54.960 --> 0:10:57.400
<v Speaker 2>We're gonna have a recession. The line is gonna go down.

0:10:57.880 --> 0:11:02.640
<v Speaker 2>Like I mean, he is playing with fire. He really

0:11:02.679 --> 0:11:06.480
<v Speaker 2>is playing with fire here. And maybe uh, you know,

0:11:06.720 --> 0:11:09.080
<v Speaker 2>the global economy is able to absorb this better than

0:11:09.120 --> 0:11:12.760
<v Speaker 2>we expect. Maybe the charish are rolled back and Trump

0:11:12.840 --> 0:11:16.319
<v Speaker 2>is you know, making the ultimate bluff here, and maybe

0:11:16.400 --> 0:11:19.080
<v Speaker 2>it doesn't end up as catastrophic as it could. But

0:11:19.360 --> 0:11:22.840
<v Speaker 2>he is playing with fire because you are getting to

0:11:22.960 --> 0:11:27.000
<v Speaker 2>the core contract that has been made and sold to

0:11:27.000 --> 0:11:31.520
<v Speaker 2>the American people over fifty years. And he is in

0:11:31.800 --> 0:11:35.640
<v Speaker 2>one fell sloop swoop without any democratic input, knowing damn

0:11:35.679 --> 0:11:37.880
<v Speaker 2>well that it is going to be like a political

0:11:37.880 --> 0:11:40.080
<v Speaker 2>bloodbath for him in his body whatever. He doesn't care.

0:11:40.840 --> 0:11:44.400
<v Speaker 2>He is in one fell swoop with no democratic input,

0:11:44.600 --> 0:11:50.760
<v Speaker 2>completely blowing that up. We'll see, we'll see what the

0:11:50.800 --> 0:11:53.720
<v Speaker 2>fallout is. We'll see how people react to that. But

0:11:54.360 --> 0:11:57.480
<v Speaker 2>I think it's I think on it makes it honestly,

0:11:57.559 --> 0:11:59.400
<v Speaker 2>you know. One of the things that are also about

0:11:59.400 --> 0:12:01.520
<v Speaker 2>the market rash that also was like making me sick

0:12:01.600 --> 0:12:04.200
<v Speaker 2>last week to think about. There was a metric that

0:12:04.240 --> 0:12:07.880
<v Speaker 2>came out I think from Friday's trading that hedge funders

0:12:07.920 --> 0:12:10.840
<v Speaker 2>were dumping more than equities than they ever had before.

0:12:10.960 --> 0:12:11.840
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I did see that.

0:12:11.800 --> 0:12:16.600
<v Speaker 2>And retail was buying the dip at larger numbers. And

0:12:16.679 --> 0:12:21.360
<v Speaker 2>so you also have like the movement over the past

0:12:21.440 --> 0:12:24.640
<v Speaker 2>number of years or like the you know, the the

0:12:24.679 --> 0:12:28.880
<v Speaker 2>Stonks movement, the game stop that like impetus of retail

0:12:28.920 --> 0:12:31.600
<v Speaker 2>trading and crypto and those people are going to get destroyed.

0:12:32.080 --> 0:12:37.439
<v Speaker 2>Like I just the amount of pain the real harm

0:12:37.640 --> 0:12:39.720
<v Speaker 2>that all of this is going to do to real

0:12:39.800 --> 0:12:43.120
<v Speaker 2>people boggles my mind. It just boggles my mind. I

0:12:43.160 --> 0:12:46.679
<v Speaker 2>cannot wrap my head around it. And so I don't know.

0:12:47.280 --> 0:12:48.160
<v Speaker 2>I don't know where we're by.

0:12:48.200 --> 0:12:50.480
<v Speaker 3>The dip ros are and a tough one because they're

0:12:50.480 --> 0:12:52.800
<v Speaker 3>about down about ten percent when they bought the dip

0:12:52.920 --> 0:12:55.640
<v Speaker 3>So you know it's rough. At the same time, you know,

0:12:55.640 --> 0:12:58.000
<v Speaker 3>I feel of a long term view, et cetera. Yes,

0:12:58.080 --> 0:13:01.400
<v Speaker 3>things are cheap, and I wouldn't ever encourage panic.

0:13:01.160 --> 0:13:02.640
<v Speaker 6>Sellings, not financial advice.

0:13:02.720 --> 0:13:05.079
<v Speaker 1>This none of this is you absolute shouldn't ask me.

0:13:06.559 --> 0:13:12.600
<v Speaker 3>But just generally, where we are selling, we are screwing

0:13:12.640 --> 0:13:17.400
<v Speaker 3>with people's lives. Yes, there will be damage at a

0:13:17.440 --> 0:13:20.240
<v Speaker 3>personal level. The number one cause of divorce in North

0:13:20.240 --> 0:13:23.240
<v Speaker 3>America is money problems. The number was one of the

0:13:23.280 --> 0:13:27.120
<v Speaker 3>major reasons that commit people commit suicide, great depression, people

0:13:27.240 --> 0:13:29.880
<v Speaker 3>feeling inadequate, et cetera. That's just tell on a person,

0:13:29.920 --> 0:13:32.800
<v Speaker 3>men in particular, man in particular, provider role. Go look

0:13:32.840 --> 0:13:36.240
<v Speaker 3>at the male suicide rate from O nine bloodbath. The

0:13:36.240 --> 0:13:40.520
<v Speaker 3>same thing whenever it comes to businesses, people's dreams. I

0:13:40.640 --> 0:13:43.640
<v Speaker 3>just talked, it's April. A lot of people graduating millions

0:13:43.679 --> 0:13:46.720
<v Speaker 3>of Americans graduating in a month from now. What are

0:13:46.720 --> 0:13:49.679
<v Speaker 3>they gonna do, you know, their theory? What are their

0:13:49.720 --> 0:13:51.520
<v Speaker 3>parents going to be? Can they are they gonna have

0:13:51.559 --> 0:13:53.840
<v Speaker 3>to move home? A whole generation of millennials had to

0:13:53.840 --> 0:13:55.680
<v Speaker 3>move home. It was embarrassing, you know, for a lot

0:13:55.720 --> 0:13:58.120
<v Speaker 3>of folks. They felt very inadequate. It caused a lot

0:13:58.160 --> 0:14:00.720
<v Speaker 3>of social problems. All of the this is coming together

0:14:01.080 --> 0:14:04.199
<v Speaker 3>right now, and yeah, you're screwing with people's lives. That's

0:14:04.240 --> 0:14:07.200
<v Speaker 3>really where you know. I don't I don't forgive that.

0:14:07.480 --> 0:14:09.880
<v Speaker 3>I don't downplay that, And I think it's a genuine

0:14:10.120 --> 0:14:13.360
<v Speaker 3>red like it's a red button panic mode. And people

0:14:13.400 --> 0:14:15.760
<v Speaker 3>can accuse you of bed wetting and all that. I'm

0:14:15.800 --> 0:14:18.480
<v Speaker 3>always going to bed web for people who are you know,

0:14:18.520 --> 0:14:21.480
<v Speaker 3>for who are trying to just live at a very

0:14:21.520 --> 0:14:24.760
<v Speaker 3>basic level, and who as you said, they signed the contract,

0:14:24.800 --> 0:14:27.680
<v Speaker 3>they didn't do anything wrong, and I genuinely don't think

0:14:27.800 --> 0:14:29.600
<v Speaker 3>that they are getting what they thought they were going

0:14:29.600 --> 0:14:30.960
<v Speaker 3>to get. Like you could say all you want about

0:14:30.960 --> 0:14:33.680
<v Speaker 3>Trump ten percent, this is catched so far beyond that

0:14:34.000 --> 0:14:36.320
<v Speaker 3>from where you know anything that he sold out on

0:14:36.360 --> 0:14:39.240
<v Speaker 3>the campaign and even common understanding.

0:14:38.800 --> 0:14:41.800
<v Speaker 2>He ran on I'm going to bring prices down, right,

0:14:41.880 --> 0:14:44.600
<v Speaker 2>this is going to raise prices significant. And now he's

0:14:44.600 --> 0:14:47.120
<v Speaker 2>saying I don't really care. I could care less prices

0:14:47.160 --> 0:14:50.160
<v Speaker 2>go up. I mean that is directly contradary. So yes, look,

0:14:50.280 --> 0:14:53.120
<v Speaker 2>if you're a Wall Street if you're on Wallstreet and

0:14:53.160 --> 0:14:55.480
<v Speaker 2>you were like placing bets based on that, he's not

0:14:55.480 --> 0:14:57.880
<v Speaker 2>serious about these tariffs. Like you were a fool. Sorry,

0:14:57.960 --> 0:15:00.920
<v Speaker 2>you were an absolute fool. You should have just read

0:15:01.040 --> 0:15:02.960
<v Speaker 2>Jeff Stine and the Washington Post and you'd be much

0:15:03.000 --> 0:15:05.600
<v Speaker 2>better position. But for your ordinary person, he was out

0:15:05.640 --> 0:15:07.800
<v Speaker 2>there saying I'm going to deal with this inflation crisis,

0:15:07.800 --> 0:15:10.960
<v Speaker 2>like this was a central centerpiece of his campaign.

0:15:11.480 --> 0:15:13.240
<v Speaker 6>And I saw the numbers earlier.

0:15:13.360 --> 0:15:15.560
<v Speaker 2>Forty percent of the people who shifted from Biden to

0:15:15.640 --> 0:15:18.760
<v Speaker 2>vote for Trump, they said inflation was their number one reason, right,

0:15:18.800 --> 0:15:21.000
<v Speaker 2>That's what they thought they were getting. They thought that

0:15:21.000 --> 0:15:24.280
<v Speaker 2>that was Trump was the businessman, and he would, you know,

0:15:24.520 --> 0:15:27.520
<v Speaker 2>write the economics ship, and he's always had high approval

0:15:27.560 --> 0:15:29.720
<v Speaker 2>ratings on the economy, and they just sort of felt

0:15:29.720 --> 0:15:32.120
<v Speaker 2>like he's got it, like he'll do a good job, right,

0:15:32.200 --> 0:15:34.640
<v Speaker 2>whatever that entails. He says, terrorists, he says, you know,

0:15:34.800 --> 0:15:35.560
<v Speaker 2>tax Cus.

0:15:35.320 --> 0:15:37.160
<v Speaker 6>Well, I he'll figure it out. He's a good businessman.

0:15:37.200 --> 0:15:39.920
<v Speaker 2>I'm sure he's gonna, you know, steer your scent in

0:15:40.000 --> 0:15:43.640
<v Speaker 2>a good direction. In no way, in no land did

0:15:44.120 --> 0:15:47.640
<v Speaker 2>the mass of voters think that intentionally crashing the stock

0:15:47.640 --> 0:15:49.680
<v Speaker 2>market was going to be that direction. And the reason

0:15:49.720 --> 0:15:52.560
<v Speaker 2>I keep saying that was such kind. He posted himself

0:15:52.640 --> 0:15:56.760
<v Speaker 2>a video that said Trump is intentionally crashing the stock market,

0:15:57.160 --> 0:15:59.000
<v Speaker 2>and how can you not look at this and say,

0:15:59.200 --> 0:16:02.720
<v Speaker 2>he is andeering a massive crash of the stock market

0:16:02.760 --> 0:16:05.440
<v Speaker 2>and very likely if we continue in this direction, a

0:16:05.520 --> 0:16:07.040
<v Speaker 2>recession intentionally.

0:16:09.920 --> 0:16:10.760
<v Speaker 6>That's probably a.

0:16:10.680 --> 0:16:15.720
<v Speaker 2>Good transition point, given the likely fallout from these policies,

0:16:15.720 --> 0:16:18.360
<v Speaker 2>to move to the already the resistance that is formed

0:16:18.400 --> 0:16:21.240
<v Speaker 2>on among the liberal base against Trump. You know, one

0:16:21.240 --> 0:16:23.760
<v Speaker 2>of the early some of the early things that we

0:16:23.800 --> 0:16:26.600
<v Speaker 2>said about Trump two point zero after the election in particular,

0:16:26.600 --> 0:16:29.200
<v Speaker 2>and even early into inauguration the early months of his

0:16:29.240 --> 0:16:32.320
<v Speaker 2>administration is like, this resistance is not the same as

0:16:32.360 --> 0:16:34.880
<v Speaker 2>twenty seventeen. Like you had the Women's March. It was

0:16:34.920 --> 0:16:37.440
<v Speaker 2>so many people in the streets. You had, of course,

0:16:37.720 --> 0:16:40.640
<v Speaker 2>and this part still is different, but you had democratic

0:16:40.680 --> 0:16:44.920
<v Speaker 2>electeds and the media and a lot of corporate executives

0:16:45.200 --> 0:16:48.320
<v Speaker 2>all standing up against Trump. This time the landscape is

0:16:48.480 --> 0:16:52.480
<v Speaker 2>very different. Well, over the weekend, we had our first

0:16:52.840 --> 0:16:56.240
<v Speaker 2>mass resistance anti Trump protests movement.

0:16:57.000 --> 0:16:57.760
<v Speaker 6>This was organized.

0:16:57.760 --> 0:16:59.920
<v Speaker 2>It's called hands Off and let's go ahead and put

0:16:59.920 --> 0:17:02.080
<v Speaker 2>the vo up on the screen and I can tell

0:17:02.120 --> 0:17:02.800
<v Speaker 2>you more about it.

0:17:02.840 --> 0:17:04.000
<v Speaker 6>So this was from Boston.

0:17:04.560 --> 0:17:07.879
<v Speaker 2>Estimates are that there were some six hundred thousand people

0:17:08.440 --> 0:17:12.360
<v Speaker 2>that came out in locations across the country. So this

0:17:12.400 --> 0:17:16.240
<v Speaker 2>is Austin, Texas here. There were protests in all fifty states.

0:17:16.680 --> 0:17:19.479
<v Speaker 2>There were Ryan Grimm's dad was down at one in

0:17:19.520 --> 0:17:22.800
<v Speaker 2>the village, you know, down even in my area, which

0:17:22.840 --> 0:17:26.280
<v Speaker 2>is you know, pretty far outside of of DC, there

0:17:26.359 --> 0:17:27.280
<v Speaker 2>was a protest there.

0:17:27.119 --> 0:17:29.480
<v Speaker 6>That was making Georgia. Here's Oakland, California.

0:17:29.520 --> 0:17:32.400
<v Speaker 2>There were huge ones in the major cities in New York,

0:17:32.480 --> 0:17:37.280
<v Speaker 2>in Chicago, Portland, Oregon with a very significant protest there, Richmond, Virginia.

0:17:37.640 --> 0:17:41.800
<v Speaker 2>I know, I saw quite significant one in Utah in

0:17:41.840 --> 0:17:44.080
<v Speaker 2>Salt Lake City, Utah. Even in some smaller places like

0:17:44.160 --> 0:17:45.720
<v Speaker 2>we had the make and Georgia one up on the screen.

0:17:45.760 --> 0:17:49.240
<v Speaker 2>So thirteen hundred different locations, all fifty states, six hundred

0:17:49.280 --> 0:17:52.359
<v Speaker 2>thousand people and you know, the branding is interesting to

0:17:52.400 --> 0:17:55.679
<v Speaker 2>meet too, Soccer, because this is also i think a

0:17:55.720 --> 0:17:59.280
<v Speaker 2>contrast from last time around the beating heart of the

0:17:59.320 --> 0:18:02.520
<v Speaker 2>sort of Democrats a base resistance to Trump last time

0:18:02.840 --> 0:18:05.680
<v Speaker 2>was Russiagate, and it was also like, you know, him

0:18:05.720 --> 0:18:08.480
<v Speaker 2>being a misogynist. That's where the women's march, the hands

0:18:08.480 --> 0:18:11.600
<v Speaker 2>off you know whatever, Yeah, the grab a vibe.

0:18:11.680 --> 0:18:15.040
<v Speaker 1>Let's just let's just all forget that that happened this Yeah.

0:18:14.840 --> 0:18:17.880
<v Speaker 2>So anyway, this time it's the messaging is hands off,

0:18:17.920 --> 0:18:20.760
<v Speaker 2>as in hands off soci security, hands off Medicare, hands

0:18:20.760 --> 0:18:22.400
<v Speaker 2>off Medicaid, hands off veterans.

0:18:22.840 --> 0:18:24.440
<v Speaker 6>And there was a lot of both.

0:18:24.320 --> 0:18:27.920
<v Speaker 2>You know, anti Trump and anti dog and anti elon sentiment.

0:18:28.119 --> 0:18:31.000
<v Speaker 2>But there was also a lot of frustration too, and

0:18:31.040 --> 0:18:33.520
<v Speaker 2>we can put put e three actually up on the

0:18:33.520 --> 0:18:36.199
<v Speaker 2>screen from Ken Klippenstein. There was also a lot of

0:18:36.240 --> 0:18:41.480
<v Speaker 2>frustration among these folks aimed at Democrats, who Democratic elected officials,

0:18:41.480 --> 0:18:46.840
<v Speaker 2>who they felt was were not fighting back adequately. The

0:18:47.200 --> 0:18:49.080
<v Speaker 2>So there was a lot more of a i guess

0:18:49.080 --> 0:18:51.600
<v Speaker 2>a sort of class war frame here as well in

0:18:51.680 --> 0:18:55.119
<v Speaker 2>terms of focusing on the social safety net versus twenty seventeen.

0:18:55.520 --> 0:18:59.200
<v Speaker 2>But Ken was there at one protest, and he talked

0:18:59.200 --> 0:19:01.120
<v Speaker 2>to people and just asked them, like, why are you there.

0:19:01.400 --> 0:19:03.680
<v Speaker 2>One person said Luigi was very right.

0:19:04.280 --> 0:19:05.040
<v Speaker 6>If that gives you a.

0:19:05.080 --> 0:19:07.160
<v Speaker 2>Sense of where they are right now. Another one said

0:19:07.160 --> 0:19:10.720
<v Speaker 2>Congress is doing nothing. They were disgusted with the lack

0:19:10.760 --> 0:19:14.360
<v Speaker 2>of leadership, both from Congressional Republicans and Democrats. There's no spine,

0:19:14.840 --> 0:19:17.760
<v Speaker 2>said another is this America? There were a lot of

0:19:17.760 --> 0:19:22.000
<v Speaker 2>concerns about the deportation with no due process, the disappearing

0:19:22.040 --> 0:19:24.480
<v Speaker 2>of people into this foreign gulag, and El Salvador recover

0:19:24.560 --> 0:19:27.800
<v Speaker 2>more developments there tomorrow. Someone said, we have to fight

0:19:27.880 --> 0:19:30.600
<v Speaker 2>height harder, We have to get rid of them. It's

0:19:30.720 --> 0:19:34.000
<v Speaker 2>rough out there, and talking specifically about Trump and Musk.

0:19:34.480 --> 0:19:38.520
<v Speaker 2>So what I would say is Sager, why I think

0:19:38.560 --> 0:19:40.919
<v Speaker 2>that these are significant is, first, it's the first like

0:19:41.000 --> 0:19:45.120
<v Speaker 2>real mass resistance that we've seen. Second, it comes at

0:19:45.160 --> 0:19:48.159
<v Speaker 2>a pivotal moment because you just had the Wisconsin Supreme

0:19:48.160 --> 0:19:50.720
<v Speaker 2>Court thing, in those Florida special elections, and now you

0:19:50.840 --> 0:19:55.200
<v Speaker 2>have this tariff insanity, and so I think it will

0:19:55.240 --> 0:19:59.760
<v Speaker 2>probably make Republicans a little bit more nervous about the

0:19:59.760 --> 0:20:02.800
<v Speaker 2>way that the opposition is getting more organized and more vocal.

0:20:03.040 --> 0:20:07.320
<v Speaker 2>And I think probably most significantly, it will help bolster

0:20:07.600 --> 0:20:10.760
<v Speaker 2>Democrats and make them feel a little more emboldened than

0:20:10.880 --> 0:20:14.840
<v Speaker 2>the meek way that they have predominantly been operating in

0:20:14.880 --> 0:20:16.320
<v Speaker 2>the Trump two point zero well.

0:20:16.119 --> 0:20:18.520
<v Speaker 3>I think that the benefit that the protest movement has

0:20:18.560 --> 0:20:22.840
<v Speaker 3>more than anything is that the doge and social Security

0:20:23.200 --> 0:20:26.800
<v Speaker 3>was it was realistic, but it was still somewhat hypothetical,

0:20:26.920 --> 0:20:29.840
<v Speaker 3>and it was like, Okay, it's going to eventually get

0:20:29.880 --> 0:20:33.720
<v Speaker 3>to this place, right about social Security, Medicare, etc. Yes,

0:20:33.880 --> 0:20:35.560
<v Speaker 3>we can talk about longer lines, but this is not

0:20:35.720 --> 0:20:38.200
<v Speaker 3>exactly the same thing as like a real cut, same

0:20:38.240 --> 0:20:41.200
<v Speaker 3>with elon taking over the government or any of that.

0:20:41.000 --> 0:20:41.960
<v Speaker 1>That was all.

0:20:42.359 --> 0:20:44.399
<v Speaker 3>I think it still requires quite a bit of like

0:20:44.480 --> 0:20:48.159
<v Speaker 3>media literacy and its people actually reading the news to

0:20:48.200 --> 0:20:50.959
<v Speaker 3>be able to connect with that everybody can connect with

0:20:51.280 --> 0:20:54.919
<v Speaker 3>losing money and higher prices. That's where what you want

0:20:55.080 --> 0:20:57.959
<v Speaker 3>is your protest, the center of gravity of your argument

0:20:58.160 --> 0:21:00.879
<v Speaker 3>to hit to exactly where people's concern is.

0:21:01.359 --> 0:21:03.040
<v Speaker 1>That is where people are.

0:21:02.920 --> 0:21:05.720
<v Speaker 3>At right now, and that's why we can all agree

0:21:05.800 --> 0:21:09.160
<v Speaker 3>at a fundamental level that this is one which will

0:21:09.160 --> 0:21:12.640
<v Speaker 3>strike truly at the heart of where every common American

0:21:12.920 --> 0:21:15.639
<v Speaker 3>can come together. Immigration, I mean, look, even on the

0:21:15.640 --> 0:21:18.080
<v Speaker 3>immigration thing, as you know, I changed my mind on

0:21:18.119 --> 0:21:20.040
<v Speaker 3>this stuff. But the Wall Street Journal poll shows that

0:21:20.080 --> 0:21:22.720
<v Speaker 3>even if you violate due process, the due process, I

0:21:22.720 --> 0:21:24.919
<v Speaker 3>think the majority of Americans, the people who stand behind

0:21:24.920 --> 0:21:26.919
<v Speaker 3>that people got to be honest about where the country

0:21:26.960 --> 0:21:29.919
<v Speaker 3>is too on immigration. So as much concern trolling as

0:21:30.040 --> 0:21:32.000
<v Speaker 3>or does come from a lot of liberal activists, like

0:21:32.000 --> 0:21:34.320
<v Speaker 3>you've got to understand also where a lot of public

0:21:34.359 --> 0:21:37.000
<v Speaker 3>opinion is on the other side. But here this is

0:21:37.040 --> 0:21:40.879
<v Speaker 3>where public opinion I think is totally united behind at

0:21:40.960 --> 0:21:44.480
<v Speaker 3>least on increased prices and the violation of the social

0:21:44.480 --> 0:21:48.200
<v Speaker 3>contract without an immense amount of change on the other side,

0:21:48.240 --> 0:21:50.199
<v Speaker 3>which they're not wrong, they don't see and they're correct.

0:21:50.359 --> 0:21:53.160
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, I wouldn't call it concern trolling.

0:21:53.200 --> 0:21:54.119
<v Speaker 6>I would just call it concern.

0:21:54.359 --> 0:21:56.040
<v Speaker 3>Well, I'm just saying, though, I mean, you have to

0:21:56.119 --> 0:22:00.320
<v Speaker 3>acknowledge the architect the architecture of where we are in

0:22:00.359 --> 0:22:02.600
<v Speaker 3>the discourse as a country that's a pretty insane place.

0:22:02.680 --> 0:22:03.920
<v Speaker 6>Country has moved.

0:22:03.920 --> 0:22:06.640
<v Speaker 2>I saw that pole and the way that it was phrased,

0:22:07.200 --> 0:22:09.760
<v Speaker 2>it is definitely did not ask the question do you

0:22:09.840 --> 0:22:16.080
<v Speaker 2>support sending indefinitely a makeup artist who has literally done

0:22:16.119 --> 0:22:19.400
<v Speaker 2>nothing wrong at all to a foreign prison to be torture.

0:22:19.119 --> 0:22:20.439
<v Speaker 6>For the rest of his life. That was not the

0:22:20.440 --> 0:22:21.320
<v Speaker 6>phrasing of the Pole.

0:22:21.680 --> 0:22:24.240
<v Speaker 2>So I don't think that Democrat should be afraid of

0:22:24.280 --> 0:22:27.639
<v Speaker 2>prosecuting that case as well. But there is no doubt

0:22:27.720 --> 0:22:30.439
<v Speaker 2>that in terms of you know, what will cause people

0:22:30.880 --> 0:22:36.000
<v Speaker 2>en mass to completely turn on this administration, this president specifically,

0:22:36.440 --> 0:22:38.840
<v Speaker 2>like if your your bottom line is your bottom line,

0:22:38.880 --> 0:22:41.000
<v Speaker 2>if you can't make rent, if you can't afford to

0:22:41.040 --> 0:22:43.800
<v Speaker 2>feedure it, prices are going up, if you lose your job,

0:22:44.160 --> 0:22:47.600
<v Speaker 2>if the president engineers a recession, you can.

0:22:47.480 --> 0:22:51.160
<v Speaker 6>Expect these protests to be like to look like.

0:22:51.160 --> 0:22:54.720
<v Speaker 2>Nothing compared to the backlash that will come. And that

0:22:54.760 --> 0:22:57.880
<v Speaker 2>seems to be what Trump is is courting right now.

0:22:58.080 --> 0:23:01.359
<v Speaker 2>So with that being said, we're really excited to be

0:23:01.440 --> 0:23:05.480
<v Speaker 2>able to have Rocana on and or in casts. So

0:23:05.960 --> 0:23:07.879
<v Speaker 2>both of them just to set this up a little bit,

0:23:07.880 --> 0:23:10.760
<v Speaker 2>and they'll explain their positions specifically, so I don't mischaracterize,

0:23:10.800 --> 0:23:13.880
<v Speaker 2>but you know, Rowe is someone who is not an ioliberal.

0:23:13.920 --> 0:23:16.160
<v Speaker 2>He supports some level of protection and he's certainly supported

0:23:16.160 --> 0:23:20.720
<v Speaker 2>the Biden protectionism and industrial policy. Orn also supported the

0:23:20.760 --> 0:23:27.240
<v Speaker 2>Biden tariffs and industrial policy. Oran is on the right.

0:23:27.480 --> 0:23:32.800
<v Speaker 2>He is very supportive of tariffs in general. However, he

0:23:32.840 --> 0:23:35.320
<v Speaker 2>does have some concerns about the way that this is

0:23:35.520 --> 0:23:39.040
<v Speaker 2>playing out. So I think it should be an interesting

0:23:39.119 --> 0:23:42.239
<v Speaker 2>discussion slash debate between the two of them about the

0:23:42.280 --> 0:23:46.080
<v Speaker 2>actual contours of what is being done here, and you

0:23:46.119 --> 0:23:48.920
<v Speaker 2>know what the fallout could ultimately be. So let's go

0:23:48.960 --> 0:23:54.120
<v Speaker 2>ahead and get to that discussion. So we are very

0:23:54.119 --> 0:23:56.240
<v Speaker 2>fortunate to be joined by two friends of the show

0:23:56.240 --> 0:23:59.560
<v Speaker 2>here for a little friendly discussion slash maybe debate. We

0:23:59.680 --> 0:24:02.760
<v Speaker 2>have orn Cass who is senior economists for American Compass,

0:24:02.760 --> 0:24:05.480
<v Speaker 2>and we also have Connerson Rocanna of California.

0:24:05.800 --> 0:24:07.960
<v Speaker 6>Great to see both of you. Really appreciate you taking the.

0:24:07.880 --> 0:24:08.760
<v Speaker 1>Time, Gridge to you.

0:24:09.440 --> 0:24:10.960
<v Speaker 7>Thank you. Congressman.

0:24:11.200 --> 0:24:12.600
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, of course you should be on with the.

0:24:12.520 --> 0:24:15.000
<v Speaker 7>Warn I always love debating or chatting with them.

0:24:15.080 --> 0:24:17.040
<v Speaker 2>Lovely, all right, congresson, let me just start with you,

0:24:17.160 --> 0:24:19.560
<v Speaker 2>just top line, what do you think of what the

0:24:19.600 --> 0:24:20.560
<v Speaker 2>President's up to here?

0:24:21.760 --> 0:24:27.000
<v Speaker 9>This is the single most destructive act to the American

0:24:27.040 --> 0:24:30.560
<v Speaker 9>economy and American wealth in modern times.

0:24:30.680 --> 0:24:33.480
<v Speaker 7>I mean, you have to look at probably what Vulker.

0:24:33.240 --> 0:24:36.359
<v Speaker 9>Did in the nineteen eighties in terms of inducing a

0:24:36.480 --> 0:24:39.720
<v Speaker 9>recession to have anything close and their vulgar actually had.

0:24:39.680 --> 0:24:41.920
<v Speaker 7>Reasons because you had high inflation.

0:24:42.160 --> 0:24:46.960
<v Speaker 9>Here, you just have blanket tariffs which are going to

0:24:46.960 --> 0:24:50.520
<v Speaker 9>actually make it harder for manufacturers because it's going to

0:24:50.640 --> 0:24:53.320
<v Speaker 9>drive up input costs and supply chain costs.

0:24:53.560 --> 0:24:55.840
<v Speaker 7>You have no permanence, so if you're Mary.

0:24:55.560 --> 0:24:57.920
<v Speaker 9>Barrow or Jim Farley, you can't even say let's build

0:24:57.960 --> 0:25:00.600
<v Speaker 9>factories here, because Trump himself would say, I don't know,

0:25:00.720 --> 0:25:02.520
<v Speaker 9>maybe these will be gone in a month or two

0:25:02.560 --> 0:25:07.640
<v Speaker 9>months or a year. They're not targeted, and they're impacting

0:25:08.400 --> 0:25:11.480
<v Speaker 9>allies as as well as very poor countries. I mean,

0:25:11.480 --> 0:25:15.399
<v Speaker 9>it is just economic illiteracy. What I would say is,

0:25:15.840 --> 0:25:19.480
<v Speaker 9>you know, you have the sort of total free market

0:25:19.680 --> 0:25:23.800
<v Speaker 9>people who just think let everything be free markets. They're wrong,

0:25:23.960 --> 0:25:27.480
<v Speaker 9>and then you have this kind of incoherent protectionism. They're wrong,

0:25:27.920 --> 0:25:31.160
<v Speaker 9>and what we need is sort of smart industrial, smart tariff.

0:25:30.880 --> 0:25:34.480
<v Speaker 2>Policy or in what are your thoughts on the specifics

0:25:34.480 --> 0:25:36.000
<v Speaker 2>of what the president has imposed here?

0:25:36.840 --> 0:25:38.879
<v Speaker 10>Well, I guess I agree with some of that and

0:25:38.920 --> 0:25:42.800
<v Speaker 10>disagree with some of it. I think big picture, you know,

0:25:42.880 --> 0:25:47.000
<v Speaker 10>the direction here and moving away from the unfettered globalization

0:25:47.200 --> 0:25:51.320
<v Speaker 10>of the last generation is the right move. I actually

0:25:51.400 --> 0:25:55.360
<v Speaker 10>think also that the sort of very blunt and broad tariffs,

0:25:55.359 --> 0:25:59.560
<v Speaker 10>something like a ten percent global tariff, is a useful policy.

0:26:00.080 --> 0:26:02.879
<v Speaker 10>Preferred to see us sort of change the rules of

0:26:02.920 --> 0:26:06.320
<v Speaker 10>the game in that way, then have government going product

0:26:06.320 --> 0:26:09.240
<v Speaker 10>by product, sector by sector and trying to figure out

0:26:09.280 --> 0:26:12.639
<v Speaker 10>what to do in every case. But I do agree

0:26:12.640 --> 0:26:15.000
<v Speaker 10>with the Congressman that in terms of how some of

0:26:15.040 --> 0:26:17.680
<v Speaker 10>this has been rolled out, with some of the confusion,

0:26:17.800 --> 0:26:21.359
<v Speaker 10>certainly the lack of permanence, I think we're sort of

0:26:21.400 --> 0:26:24.359
<v Speaker 10>increasing the costs a lot further than they need to be,

0:26:24.480 --> 0:26:26.639
<v Speaker 10>and we're probably not going to get all the benefits

0:26:26.720 --> 0:26:29.920
<v Speaker 10>that we potentially could. And so you know, in my mind,

0:26:30.520 --> 0:26:33.359
<v Speaker 10>I think the Vulgar comparison is actually very interesting because

0:26:33.640 --> 0:26:36.560
<v Speaker 10>you know, ultimately Vulker was addressing a very serious problem.

0:26:36.760 --> 0:26:39.320
<v Speaker 10>There was pain involved, and I think we all look

0:26:39.320 --> 0:26:41.560
<v Speaker 10>at back at that very grateful that we had leaders

0:26:41.800 --> 0:26:43.879
<v Speaker 10>who were willing to bite that bullet and that it

0:26:43.920 --> 0:26:47.480
<v Speaker 10>was successful. And so I think that model can work.

0:26:47.520 --> 0:26:50.000
<v Speaker 10>I think that kind of thing is needed here as well,

0:26:50.800 --> 0:26:53.000
<v Speaker 10>But the specifics do matter, and I think there's a

0:26:53.000 --> 0:26:54.639
<v Speaker 10>long way to go here. On the specifics.

0:26:54.800 --> 0:26:57.400
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I meanficing to the specifics and more.

0:26:57.560 --> 0:26:59.359
<v Speaker 3>Because we could debate roll out, we shall also a

0:26:59.400 --> 0:27:02.280
<v Speaker 3>debate vision about where things want to go. Something that

0:27:02.520 --> 0:27:05.240
<v Speaker 3>Howard Lutnik, the Commerce Secretary responsible for really much of

0:27:05.240 --> 0:27:08.399
<v Speaker 3>this out, has said is to bring back manufacturing, even

0:27:08.520 --> 0:27:11.239
<v Speaker 3>in terms of screwing the little screws. So let's take

0:27:11.240 --> 0:27:12.760
<v Speaker 3>a listen to that, and we're going to get both

0:27:12.760 --> 0:27:13.560
<v Speaker 3>of your reactions.

0:27:14.040 --> 0:27:15.320
<v Speaker 11>Great American workers.

0:27:15.359 --> 0:27:17.520
<v Speaker 12>You know, we are going to a place on other network,

0:27:17.600 --> 0:27:21.719
<v Speaker 12>armies of millions of people. Well remember the army of

0:27:21.920 --> 0:27:25.359
<v Speaker 12>millions and millions of human beings screwing in little little

0:27:25.359 --> 0:27:26.800
<v Speaker 12>screws to make iPhones.

0:27:26.920 --> 0:27:29.159
<v Speaker 11>That kind of thing is going to come to America.

0:27:29.240 --> 0:27:32.320
<v Speaker 11>It's going to be automated, and great Americans, the trade

0:27:32.440 --> 0:27:35.280
<v Speaker 11>craft of America is going to fix them, is going

0:27:35.359 --> 0:27:37.600
<v Speaker 11>to work on them. They're going to be mechanics, there's

0:27:37.640 --> 0:27:40.879
<v Speaker 11>going to be HVAC specialists, there's going to be electricians.

0:27:40.920 --> 0:27:44.919
<v Speaker 11>The trade craft of America, our high school educated Americans,

0:27:44.960 --> 0:27:47.239
<v Speaker 11>the corn to our workforce is going to have the

0:27:47.280 --> 0:27:51.280
<v Speaker 11>greatest resurgence of jobs in the history of America to

0:27:51.359 --> 0:27:54.320
<v Speaker 11>work on these high tech factories which are all coming

0:27:54.320 --> 0:27:59.080
<v Speaker 11>to America. That's what's going concerned the next generation of America.

0:27:59.280 --> 0:28:01.919
<v Speaker 3>Congress, your reaction up because you represent one of the

0:28:01.920 --> 0:28:04.240
<v Speaker 3>most high tech districts in the United States.

0:28:04.760 --> 0:28:06.320
<v Speaker 7>I was just a little bit sad.

0:28:07.040 --> 0:28:09.399
<v Speaker 9>I had invite the commerce sector to come out to

0:28:09.440 --> 0:28:12.160
<v Speaker 9>my district where could give him a free education. Screws

0:28:12.240 --> 0:28:16.240
<v Speaker 9>are about zero point two percent of an iPhone's cost.

0:28:16.359 --> 0:28:17.920
<v Speaker 7>You know, we may want to work on.

0:28:17.880 --> 0:28:21.720
<v Speaker 9>Things like the display screen or the flash drive or

0:28:21.720 --> 0:28:24.639
<v Speaker 9>the camera. I mean, it's almost like he's living in

0:28:24.640 --> 0:28:28.560
<v Speaker 9>the nineteenth century. Of course, they've got nineteenth century policies.

0:28:28.000 --> 0:28:29.440
<v Speaker 7>On how to build an industrial base.

0:28:29.480 --> 0:28:32.360
<v Speaker 9>I mean, you want to build high tech factories here,

0:28:32.560 --> 0:28:35.800
<v Speaker 9>what we need is financing. What we need is a

0:28:35.840 --> 0:28:37.960
<v Speaker 9>government to say, if you build it, will buy it.

0:28:38.040 --> 0:28:40.640
<v Speaker 7>That's how Silicon Valley started. What we need is investment

0:28:41.200 --> 0:28:42.120
<v Speaker 7>in the workforce.

0:28:42.200 --> 0:28:45.080
<v Speaker 9>So they're just going about this in a way that

0:28:45.920 --> 0:28:50.520
<v Speaker 9>isn't how FDR or Hamilton or Lincoln built the America.

0:28:50.560 --> 0:28:52.760
<v Speaker 7>I mean, taris were a part of.

0:28:52.680 --> 0:28:55.560
<v Speaker 9>It, but it was a very discreet part of it.

0:28:56.160 --> 0:28:59.800
<v Speaker 9>FDR actually, who didn't want more to re industrialize America

0:28:59.840 --> 0:29:02.800
<v Speaker 9>than anyone in the modern age, actually opposed the high

0:29:02.920 --> 0:29:07.000
<v Speaker 9>terrafsy it's explicitly opposed as the smooth Hawley tariffs, and

0:29:07.040 --> 0:29:10.400
<v Speaker 9>then opposed high tariffs and had a.

0:29:11.000 --> 0:29:13.120
<v Speaker 7>Vision for industrialization.

0:29:13.400 --> 0:29:17.400
<v Speaker 9>So you know, this is just I can't emphasize enough

0:29:17.440 --> 0:29:21.440
<v Speaker 9>how much this is economic incoherence and how much Trump

0:29:21.480 --> 0:29:24.360
<v Speaker 9>supporters are a gas at what's going on.

0:29:24.440 --> 0:29:26.440
<v Speaker 7>I mean, the guy won because people thought he knew

0:29:26.440 --> 0:29:27.360
<v Speaker 7>what he was doing with.

0:29:27.520 --> 0:29:32.360
<v Speaker 9>The economy and business. And he's destroying American wealth. He's

0:29:32.480 --> 0:29:36.479
<v Speaker 9>destroying American factories. There are no new factories that are

0:29:36.480 --> 0:29:39.720
<v Speaker 9>coming up because these things aren't permanent. He's increasing the

0:29:39.800 --> 0:29:44.040
<v Speaker 9>input cost of factories. He's hurting small businesses. The Russell

0:29:44.120 --> 0:29:47.680
<v Speaker 9>two thousand is collapsing, and I just I hope there's

0:29:47.680 --> 0:29:49.440
<v Speaker 9>some intervention or.

0:29:49.640 --> 0:29:51.400
<v Speaker 2>Let me let me get tried. I want your response

0:29:51.400 --> 0:29:54.040
<v Speaker 2>to that. But also some of the things Lutnik has

0:29:54.040 --> 0:29:56.480
<v Speaker 2>been saying kind of get to this key question of

0:29:56.760 --> 0:29:59.600
<v Speaker 2>what is even really the goal here, because you know,

0:29:59.640 --> 0:30:03.520
<v Speaker 2>people raise, Okay, let's say you bring iPhone production to

0:30:03.640 --> 0:30:06.680
<v Speaker 2>the US, the iPhones because we have higher labor costs

0:30:06.720 --> 0:30:08.440
<v Speaker 2>and because, by the way, you know, we don't have

0:30:08.480 --> 0:30:10.880
<v Speaker 2>as large of a social safety net. Also as other countries,

0:30:10.880 --> 0:30:13.000
<v Speaker 2>So businesses have to bear a lot of that cost

0:30:13.040 --> 0:30:15.800
<v Speaker 2>in terms of what they're paying labor. Things are going

0:30:15.840 --> 0:30:18.800
<v Speaker 2>to cost a lot more. And what Letnik has been

0:30:18.800 --> 0:30:21.440
<v Speaker 2>saying is no, because it's really going to be robots

0:30:21.520 --> 0:30:23.880
<v Speaker 2>doing this job, which raises a question of like, Okay,

0:30:23.880 --> 0:30:27.120
<v Speaker 2>so we're bringing back manufacturing for robots to fill the jobs,

0:30:27.280 --> 0:30:30.000
<v Speaker 2>or is this about jobs? Is it about national security

0:30:30.440 --> 0:30:35.280
<v Speaker 2>in your ideal world? What is actually the goal here?

0:30:35.560 --> 0:30:38.920
<v Speaker 2>Is it to have manufacturing capacity for robots to be

0:30:38.960 --> 0:30:41.760
<v Speaker 2>screwing in tiny screws, or is it to have manufacturing

0:30:41.760 --> 0:30:44.240
<v Speaker 2>capacity for human beings some blend.

0:30:43.960 --> 0:30:44.360
<v Speaker 1>Of the two.

0:30:44.680 --> 0:30:47.320
<v Speaker 2>How do you see that particular dimension of this.

0:30:48.400 --> 0:30:50.440
<v Speaker 10>It's a great question, and I guess briefly, I just

0:30:50.440 --> 0:30:53.360
<v Speaker 10>want to say I agree entirely with the Congressman about

0:30:53.360 --> 0:30:55.720
<v Speaker 10>his broader point about the other kinds of policy we

0:30:55.800 --> 0:30:58.480
<v Speaker 10>need here too, whether it's the financing policy, I think,

0:30:58.520 --> 0:31:02.320
<v Speaker 10>workforce development, yes, huge, you know that's not kind of

0:31:02.320 --> 0:31:04.920
<v Speaker 10>like details of implementation. That's a big part of the

0:31:04.960 --> 0:31:07.720
<v Speaker 10>strategy that I think we probably agree on to a

0:31:07.720 --> 0:31:13.080
<v Speaker 10>significant extent. I strongly disagree with his reaction to the

0:31:13.320 --> 0:31:16.800
<v Speaker 10>Commerce Secretary's comments because I think it reflects what we've

0:31:16.840 --> 0:31:19.640
<v Speaker 10>been seeing too much in this debate, which is an

0:31:19.680 --> 0:31:22.840
<v Speaker 10>attempt to sort of take the worst possible and even

0:31:22.960 --> 0:31:27.240
<v Speaker 10>obviously incorrect interpretation of what people are saying, just just

0:31:27.280 --> 0:31:29.720
<v Speaker 10>to dunk on it rather than try to engage with it.

0:31:30.040 --> 0:31:32.520
<v Speaker 10>Letnick didn't say it was the screws that were a

0:31:32.600 --> 0:31:35.560
<v Speaker 10>high value part of the iPhone and that that's what

0:31:35.600 --> 0:31:38.000
<v Speaker 10>he wanted people making. What he said was that he

0:31:38.080 --> 0:31:41.320
<v Speaker 10>wanted to have the actual assembly process, which includes the

0:31:41.360 --> 0:31:44.400
<v Speaker 10>screwing of the screws, in the United States, that that

0:31:44.480 --> 0:31:47.200
<v Speaker 10>would be automated, and that the good jobs that he's

0:31:47.240 --> 0:31:50.600
<v Speaker 10>talking about are the jobs actually operating the automated factory.

0:31:51.320 --> 0:31:53.280
<v Speaker 10>And so look, I'm happy to have a debate about

0:31:53.280 --> 0:31:54.960
<v Speaker 10>whether that's right, but let's be clear on what he

0:31:55.040 --> 0:31:59.000
<v Speaker 10>was actually saying, which is not nonsensical or incoherent, and

0:31:59.360 --> 0:32:00.800
<v Speaker 10>I think it's actually you're saying it.

0:32:00.880 --> 0:32:02.640
<v Speaker 7>Much more censically than he did. He did.

0:32:02.680 --> 0:32:06.680
<v Speaker 9>He didn't say let's have people be operating the advanced machines.

0:32:06.720 --> 0:32:09.320
<v Speaker 7>He said let's have them doing the assembly of the screws.

0:32:09.600 --> 0:32:10.800
<v Speaker 7>I just think he's out of touch.

0:32:10.800 --> 0:32:13.280
<v Speaker 9>I don't know if he's ever been to Apple's campus

0:32:13.360 --> 0:32:15.360
<v Speaker 9>or to Silicon Valley. I think he's got no clue

0:32:15.360 --> 0:32:18.760
<v Speaker 9>about technology. I think these people are stuck in James

0:32:18.760 --> 0:32:22.480
<v Speaker 9>folk expansionism and McKinley's tariffs. And the saddest thing is

0:32:22.480 --> 0:32:24.120
<v Speaker 9>they don't understand the modern economy.

0:32:24.160 --> 0:32:25.240
<v Speaker 7>They're kind of clueless.

0:32:25.560 --> 0:32:26.720
<v Speaker 1>Go ahead, orn you can respond to that.

0:32:26.800 --> 0:32:26.920
<v Speaker 9>Well.

0:32:26.920 --> 0:32:29.880
<v Speaker 10>Look, Keith, I mean was specifically saying he was talking

0:32:29.960 --> 0:32:34.280
<v Speaker 10>about the mechanics jobs maintaining the robots. This was I'm

0:32:34.320 --> 0:32:36.200
<v Speaker 10>happy to say that there's room for improvement on the

0:32:36.200 --> 0:32:39.600
<v Speaker 10>communication here, But what he was talking about is highly automated,

0:32:39.640 --> 0:32:42.640
<v Speaker 10>highly productive factories and the jobs that come along with those.

0:32:42.840 --> 0:32:44.760
<v Speaker 9>My guess is he probably wouldn't even be able to

0:32:44.800 --> 0:32:47.240
<v Speaker 9>name the five pp components of an iPhone. Like literally,

0:32:47.320 --> 0:32:49.600
<v Speaker 9>I don't think the guy understands the modern economy.

0:32:49.600 --> 0:32:51.960
<v Speaker 10>But fine, I understand that part of your job is

0:32:52.600 --> 0:32:55.680
<v Speaker 10>up communicating it. I understand that part of your job

0:32:55.720 --> 0:32:57.480
<v Speaker 10>is just to attack people on the other side. But

0:32:57.520 --> 0:33:00.000
<v Speaker 10>I'm interested in what the actual substance of the time.

0:33:00.360 --> 0:33:02.800
<v Speaker 9>I think it was collapse the American economy. Who has

0:33:02.840 --> 0:33:05.000
<v Speaker 9>gotten the people who are going to get people laid off? Yeah,

0:33:05.080 --> 0:33:08.480
<v Speaker 9>in that attack, and he's done almost destruction of American wealth,

0:33:08.520 --> 0:33:09.640
<v Speaker 9>of the American academy.

0:33:09.640 --> 0:33:12.120
<v Speaker 7>We won't see answered Crystal, he's in coherent.

0:33:12.320 --> 0:33:14.320
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, go ahead and answer the question. And I want

0:33:14.320 --> 0:33:15.040
<v Speaker 1>to thank you God.

0:33:15.600 --> 0:33:18.320
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, because I think the vision point is very important here,

0:33:18.400 --> 0:33:20.920
<v Speaker 10>and it's it's a key point to understand that, you

0:33:20.960 --> 0:33:24.400
<v Speaker 10>know what what I think the Trump administration envisions. You know, certainly,

0:33:24.440 --> 0:33:26.520
<v Speaker 10>what I think is so important in focusing on this

0:33:26.600 --> 0:33:31.080
<v Speaker 10>reindustrialization is not that you're somehow bringing back the same

0:33:31.160 --> 0:33:33.960
<v Speaker 10>jobs of the nineteen fifties, doing the same kind of work.

0:33:34.440 --> 0:33:37.200
<v Speaker 10>What you're talking about is actually rebuilding the industrial base

0:33:37.440 --> 0:33:41.000
<v Speaker 10>and a strong industrial base in this country where we

0:33:41.120 --> 0:33:46.120
<v Speaker 10>do actually have high quality, advanced, cutting edge manufacturing across

0:33:46.160 --> 0:33:47.600
<v Speaker 10>a wide range of sectors.

0:33:48.000 --> 0:33:48.680
<v Speaker 1>For one thing, it.

0:33:48.640 --> 0:33:51.280
<v Speaker 10>Does provide a lot of good employment. And yes, there

0:33:51.280 --> 0:33:54.120
<v Speaker 10>are many fewer jobs in those factories than there were

0:33:54.120 --> 0:33:55.280
<v Speaker 10>in the factories.

0:33:54.800 --> 0:33:57.000
<v Speaker 1>Of the nineteen fifties, but you know what, there's a.

0:33:56.960 --> 0:33:59.200
<v Speaker 10>Lot more jobs in those factories than there already not

0:33:59.360 --> 0:34:02.320
<v Speaker 10>having the factories. And so when you're talking about how

0:34:02.400 --> 0:34:07.040
<v Speaker 10>you produce a broad based renaissance in the industrial economy,

0:34:07.080 --> 0:34:08.839
<v Speaker 10>you're talking about a lot of regions that have left

0:34:08.880 --> 0:34:12.000
<v Speaker 10>behind that you don't bring back by putting everybody back

0:34:12.080 --> 0:34:15.120
<v Speaker 10>in a factory. That you bring back by having highly productive,

0:34:15.200 --> 0:34:17.960
<v Speaker 10>high value factories. If we're sending a lot more advanced

0:34:17.960 --> 0:34:20.399
<v Speaker 10>engineers to work in those factories, that would be great

0:34:20.440 --> 0:34:22.920
<v Speaker 10>for those regions too, And so there's a lot of

0:34:23.000 --> 0:34:23.600
<v Speaker 10>upside there.

0:34:23.640 --> 0:34:24.040
<v Speaker 1>And soccer.

0:34:24.120 --> 0:34:26.520
<v Speaker 10>Just to make one more quick point, I think the

0:34:26.560 --> 0:34:28.880
<v Speaker 10>other thing that's key to recognize here is that the

0:34:29.000 --> 0:34:31.920
<v Speaker 10>reason the industrial base is important is that you can't

0:34:31.960 --> 0:34:33.880
<v Speaker 10>just pick and choose which things you want to be

0:34:33.880 --> 0:34:35.800
<v Speaker 10>good at. We've tried to do that with our defense

0:34:35.840 --> 0:34:37.640
<v Speaker 10>industrial base. We're just going to be good at the

0:34:37.680 --> 0:34:40.480
<v Speaker 10>aircraft carriers and the submarines, and someone else can make

0:34:40.520 --> 0:34:43.360
<v Speaker 10>everything else. And what we're seeing is that you can't

0:34:43.400 --> 0:34:45.560
<v Speaker 10>just make those things, you can't just do the high

0:34:45.640 --> 0:34:49.000
<v Speaker 10>end stuff if you don't actually have the core industrial

0:34:49.000 --> 0:34:51.040
<v Speaker 10>base underneath it. And so that's why I think the

0:34:51.080 --> 0:34:53.600
<v Speaker 10>broad based tariff model is right. We actually we actually

0:34:53.719 --> 0:34:56.560
<v Speaker 10>do need to have a capacity to really make We're

0:34:56.600 --> 0:34:58.200
<v Speaker 10>not going to be authuric, we're not going to make

0:34:58.239 --> 0:35:00.920
<v Speaker 10>everything for ourselves, but we do to have an industrial

0:35:00.960 --> 0:35:03.319
<v Speaker 10>economy that supports our prosperity.

0:35:03.560 --> 0:35:04.919
<v Speaker 3>One of the things that's at the heart of both

0:35:04.920 --> 0:35:07.640
<v Speaker 3>of your arguments. We'll start with Orn for you, with

0:35:07.719 --> 0:35:09.520
<v Speaker 3>you Orn, and then to you Congressman, because this is

0:35:09.520 --> 0:35:11.000
<v Speaker 3>a bit of a challenge, is that you're both kind

0:35:11.000 --> 0:35:14.120
<v Speaker 3>of talking more about quote unquote high tech manufacturing. But

0:35:14.160 --> 0:35:16.680
<v Speaker 3>the way that this is sold and ultimately was you know,

0:35:16.719 --> 0:35:19.239
<v Speaker 3>Trump was elected on the backs of was on working

0:35:19.280 --> 0:35:21.880
<v Speaker 3>class voters who don't necessarily have a four year college

0:35:21.920 --> 0:35:25.840
<v Speaker 3>degree or you know, years of vocational training and engineering knowledge,

0:35:25.920 --> 0:35:28.280
<v Speaker 3>et cetera. So in both of your cases and support

0:35:28.360 --> 0:35:30.759
<v Speaker 3>of these policies, how do they actually help, you know,

0:35:30.840 --> 0:35:33.640
<v Speaker 3>the person in the bottom, let's say, quintile of the

0:35:33.680 --> 0:35:36.040
<v Speaker 3>American economy and somebody who feels as if their job

0:35:36.080 --> 0:35:38.239
<v Speaker 3>and their stable life was taken away from them, because

0:35:38.280 --> 0:35:40.000
<v Speaker 3>I haven't seen that in the vision that either of

0:35:40.000 --> 0:35:40.680
<v Speaker 3>you are really saying.

0:35:40.760 --> 0:35:43.040
<v Speaker 1>Or and you can start, well, let's.

0:35:42.880 --> 0:35:44.560
<v Speaker 10>Keep in mind that when you're talking about the bottom

0:35:44.600 --> 0:35:47.319
<v Speaker 10>of quintile, you know, you're talking about people don't even

0:35:47.320 --> 0:35:49.759
<v Speaker 10>have a high school educational a lot of times, and

0:35:50.280 --> 0:35:52.440
<v Speaker 10>so you know, to some extent what you also want

0:35:52.520 --> 0:35:55.920
<v Speaker 10>is even the sort of lower skilled you know, service

0:35:56.040 --> 0:35:58.720
<v Speaker 10>jobs in a local economy, whether those are good jobs

0:35:58.760 --> 0:36:01.880
<v Speaker 10>depends on whether you have strong manufacturing base. I actually

0:36:01.880 --> 0:36:03.920
<v Speaker 10>love sending people to a wonderful video. You know, the

0:36:04.040 --> 0:36:07.520
<v Speaker 10>very libertarian Cato Institute did a video trying to show

0:36:07.560 --> 0:36:10.319
<v Speaker 10>that free trade was good, and they highlighted a town

0:36:10.360 --> 0:36:13.000
<v Speaker 10>that had been crushed by NAFTA, and then they showed

0:36:13.000 --> 0:36:15.560
<v Speaker 10>it coming back twenty years later. And the way that

0:36:15.600 --> 0:36:17.640
<v Speaker 10>it was coming back was with guess what, a new

0:36:17.640 --> 0:36:21.799
<v Speaker 10>manufacturing plant making cars to sell in America. And so

0:36:21.840 --> 0:36:24.120
<v Speaker 10>the examples of the jobs that created was not in

0:36:24.160 --> 0:36:26.399
<v Speaker 10>the It was in the manufacturing plant for one thing.

0:36:26.680 --> 0:36:28.840
<v Speaker 10>It was also at the pizza parlor in town, because

0:36:28.840 --> 0:36:30.640
<v Speaker 10>you can have a good pizza parlor in a town

0:36:31.080 --> 0:36:34.560
<v Speaker 10>that has a strong manufacturing plant. And so this is

0:36:34.600 --> 0:36:38.360
<v Speaker 10>about a broader industrial ecosystem and a broader economy generally

0:36:38.800 --> 0:36:41.800
<v Speaker 10>that actually spreads economy or excuse me, that that spreads

0:36:41.800 --> 0:36:42.800
<v Speaker 10>prosperity widely.

0:36:43.160 --> 0:36:44.480
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, a congressman, go ahead.

0:36:45.600 --> 0:36:48.719
<v Speaker 7>Well, I agree with a number of things that were

0:36:48.880 --> 0:36:49.239
<v Speaker 7>to said.

0:36:49.280 --> 0:36:53.440
<v Speaker 9>One is that if you have factories in a place,

0:36:54.239 --> 0:36:57.400
<v Speaker 9>it has a multiplier effect three to four times. So

0:36:57.760 --> 0:37:00.360
<v Speaker 9>let's say you have a modern steel plant, You're not

0:37:00.360 --> 0:37:02.040
<v Speaker 9>going to have forty five hundred people because you have

0:37:02.160 --> 0:37:04.840
<v Speaker 9>robots in automation, you have one thousand people in a

0:37:04.920 --> 0:37:06.320
<v Speaker 9>town of twenty thirty thousand.

0:37:06.400 --> 0:37:08.479
<v Speaker 7>That's still a lot. And if those are.

0:37:08.440 --> 0:37:10.640
<v Speaker 9>High paying jobs, they're going to spend them on restaurants,

0:37:10.640 --> 0:37:12.759
<v Speaker 9>they're going to spend them on daycare, they're going to

0:37:12.760 --> 0:37:15.920
<v Speaker 9>spend them on a gym membership, and it can actually

0:37:16.400 --> 0:37:21.840
<v Speaker 9>revitalize an economy. Now, to your point, Siger, there's a

0:37:21.840 --> 0:37:25.600
<v Speaker 9>difference between saying we want advanced manufacturing and we just want.

0:37:25.520 --> 0:37:26.840
<v Speaker 7>High tech stuff. I agree with you.

0:37:26.880 --> 0:37:30.000
<v Speaker 9>If it was just let's put semiconductor factories and battery

0:37:30.080 --> 0:37:33.840
<v Speaker 9>plants everywhere, that is maybe not going to create a

0:37:33.920 --> 0:37:36.920
<v Speaker 9>sufficient amount of jobs for the working and middle class.

0:37:36.960 --> 0:37:39.640
<v Speaker 9>But if we're talking about advanced steel plants, if we're

0:37:39.640 --> 0:37:44.160
<v Speaker 9>talking about advanced production in and of itself, that is

0:37:44.200 --> 0:37:46.280
<v Speaker 9>going to create electrician plumber.

0:37:47.640 --> 0:37:49.960
<v Speaker 7>Jobs, jobs of machinists.

0:37:50.000 --> 0:37:51.600
<v Speaker 9>And what we should do is make sure that every

0:37:51.600 --> 0:37:54.160
<v Speaker 9>person in high school has an opportunity to have a trade,

0:37:54.280 --> 0:37:58.239
<v Speaker 9>whether that's a vocational trade or a digital trade, and

0:37:58.360 --> 0:38:02.400
<v Speaker 9>many of these advanced manufacturers facilities would create those jobs.

0:38:02.400 --> 0:38:04.520
<v Speaker 9>Plus they're going to spawn the service sector to have

0:38:04.640 --> 0:38:09.120
<v Speaker 9>higher wages but it needs more of an investment in

0:38:09.160 --> 0:38:12.480
<v Speaker 9>the workforce, and it also needs, in my view, standards

0:38:12.480 --> 0:38:13.080
<v Speaker 9>for wages.

0:38:13.480 --> 0:38:15.759
<v Speaker 2>Laren, let me get to you on this piece, which

0:38:15.800 --> 0:38:17.520
<v Speaker 2>is something you've kind of alluded to, if we could

0:38:17.560 --> 0:38:21.200
<v Speaker 2>put F four up on the screen, because you've said, listen,

0:38:21.520 --> 0:38:24.160
<v Speaker 2>you support tariffs in principle, but it has to be

0:38:24.200 --> 0:38:26.200
<v Speaker 2>done the right way, and part of that, like a

0:38:26.280 --> 0:38:29.560
<v Speaker 2>really critical part of that the right way is pairing

0:38:29.640 --> 0:38:30.840
<v Speaker 2>it with industrial policy.

0:38:31.239 --> 0:38:33.400
<v Speaker 6>And you can see here we actually.

0:38:33.040 --> 0:38:34.520
<v Speaker 2>Not that it's been the end all be all, not

0:38:34.560 --> 0:38:36.279
<v Speaker 2>that it's been enough, not that we don't need to

0:38:36.320 --> 0:38:39.000
<v Speaker 2>do more, but we actually have had a policy over

0:38:39.000 --> 0:38:42.560
<v Speaker 2>the past couple of years that has significantly increased US

0:38:42.560 --> 0:38:46.040
<v Speaker 2>manufacturing construction spending, and that has been, you know, the

0:38:46.080 --> 0:38:50.439
<v Speaker 2>Biden policy of combination of protectionism and industrial policy through

0:38:50.440 --> 0:38:53.400
<v Speaker 2>both the Chips Act and the Inflation Reduction Act.

0:38:53.800 --> 0:38:56.680
<v Speaker 6>So not only is this new.

0:38:56.600 --> 0:39:01.719
<v Speaker 2>Tariff scheme completely on board from any sort of industrial policy,

0:39:02.120 --> 0:39:04.160
<v Speaker 2>not only are we actually at a time when this

0:39:04.239 --> 0:39:09.200
<v Speaker 2>administration is engaged in an austerity push that was going

0:39:09.239 --> 0:39:11.839
<v Speaker 2>in the opposite direction of industrial policy, but they're also

0:39:11.920 --> 0:39:16.520
<v Speaker 2>undermining these programs which actually we're working to increase the

0:39:16.640 --> 0:39:17.839
<v Speaker 2>US manufacturing base.

0:39:19.160 --> 0:39:21.520
<v Speaker 10>Well, I certainly agree with the strength of some of

0:39:21.560 --> 0:39:24.320
<v Speaker 10>the industrial policy that we've seen in the last few years.

0:39:24.360 --> 0:39:27.239
<v Speaker 10>You know, I'm a very strong supporter of the Chips Act,

0:39:27.360 --> 0:39:29.120
<v Speaker 10>and I think what you saw in that chart was

0:39:29.239 --> 0:39:32.560
<v Speaker 10>a huge bump overall, driven almost entirely by a huge

0:39:32.600 --> 0:39:37.359
<v Speaker 10>bump in those red bars, the electronics and manufacturing where

0:39:37.400 --> 0:39:39.239
<v Speaker 10>the Chips ack. You know, look, we're spending a lot

0:39:39.239 --> 0:39:42.760
<v Speaker 10>of public money. It's about forty billion dollars of public money,

0:39:42.760 --> 0:39:45.279
<v Speaker 10>but that is generating hundreds of billions of dollars of

0:39:45.320 --> 0:39:49.080
<v Speaker 10>investment in those specific chips factories. Then, you know, as

0:39:49.080 --> 0:39:52.359
<v Speaker 10>the Congressman was describing, in a broader ecosystem of other

0:39:52.440 --> 0:39:57.080
<v Speaker 10>manufacturing and suppliers around them. That's a huge part of

0:39:57.120 --> 0:39:59.920
<v Speaker 10>the picture. I think my support is for the ada

0:40:00.120 --> 0:40:02.400
<v Speaker 10>that you don't want to only do that, And the

0:40:02.440 --> 0:40:05.440
<v Speaker 10>reason is that what we'd start to look at is, okay, well,

0:40:05.480 --> 0:40:07.800
<v Speaker 10>now every one of those bars that you want to increase,

0:40:07.880 --> 0:40:09.080
<v Speaker 10>are we going to go you know, are we going

0:40:09.120 --> 0:40:11.360
<v Speaker 10>to pass a law for everyone? Right? I mean, it

0:40:11.400 --> 0:40:13.320
<v Speaker 10>took us four or five years to get the Chips

0:40:13.320 --> 0:40:17.759
<v Speaker 10>ACKed up and running. There's an interesting effort now on shipbuilding.

0:40:18.000 --> 0:40:20.719
<v Speaker 10>Funny enough, the Ships Act, you know, I think that's

0:40:20.840 --> 0:40:23.520
<v Speaker 10>very promising too. But the idea that we're going to

0:40:23.560 --> 0:40:26.959
<v Speaker 10>go through every industry and in every case figure out

0:40:27.000 --> 0:40:29.120
<v Speaker 10>how to create a new bill, a new office to

0:40:29.280 --> 0:40:32.600
<v Speaker 10>fund the investment in that where there is something as

0:40:32.680 --> 0:40:36.000
<v Speaker 10>particularly a high priority like chips, absolutely is I think

0:40:36.000 --> 0:40:38.799
<v Speaker 10>the industrial policy push makes a lot of sense. But

0:40:38.920 --> 0:40:42.080
<v Speaker 10>on the on alongside that, accompanying it, I do think

0:40:42.080 --> 0:40:44.040
<v Speaker 10>it's important to put a thumb on the scale for

0:40:44.160 --> 0:40:48.839
<v Speaker 10>domestic manufacturing broadly and say that whoever's supplying those factories

0:40:48.920 --> 0:40:51.360
<v Speaker 10>and other industries that aren't going to be politically sexy,

0:40:52.360 --> 0:40:54.720
<v Speaker 10>you know, we would like to see investment in domestic

0:40:54.760 --> 0:40:55.600
<v Speaker 10>industry there.

0:40:55.400 --> 0:40:59.719
<v Speaker 2>Too, Congressman on that chart, and you know, you've you've

0:40:59.719 --> 0:41:02.480
<v Speaker 2>had sort of a bipartisan consensus that has emerged that

0:41:02.600 --> 0:41:05.319
<v Speaker 2>is a break from neoliberalism. And you know, Trump gets

0:41:05.360 --> 0:41:07.400
<v Speaker 2>some credit for that from his first term with his

0:41:07.680 --> 0:41:11.000
<v Speaker 2>China tariffs. I think, you know, the Biden policy maintained

0:41:11.000 --> 0:41:14.880
<v Speaker 2>most of those, expanded them, introduced the industrial policy piece.

0:41:15.320 --> 0:41:16.840
<v Speaker 6>And one of the things that I'm.

0:41:16.719 --> 0:41:19.800
<v Speaker 2>Fearful of is that Democrats will just be completely negatively

0:41:19.800 --> 0:41:23.560
<v Speaker 2>polarized against all tariffs, and you already see some signs

0:41:23.600 --> 0:41:28.359
<v Speaker 2>of this among the Democratic base. Representative Deluzio's member from

0:41:28.480 --> 0:41:32.279
<v Speaker 2>westerns Sorry, Western Pennsylvania, put on a video that was like, Hey,

0:41:32.360 --> 0:41:33.640
<v Speaker 2>I have big problems these tarifs.

0:41:33.719 --> 0:41:34.400
<v Speaker 6>Tarrifs in general.

0:41:34.480 --> 0:41:37.000
<v Speaker 2>Okay, maybe in the right place, but big problems with

0:41:37.040 --> 0:41:40.200
<v Speaker 2>what Trump is doing. And he was viciously attacked online

0:41:40.440 --> 0:41:43.279
<v Speaker 2>by a lot of liberal Democrats who say, how dare

0:41:43.320 --> 0:41:45.600
<v Speaker 2>you even say that tariffs are good in any circumstance?

0:41:45.640 --> 0:41:46.200
<v Speaker 6>Whatsoever?

0:41:46.480 --> 0:41:49.000
<v Speaker 2>You know, as you someone who has like myself a

0:41:49.080 --> 0:41:52.120
<v Speaker 2>more nuanced view on trade and sees the utility of

0:41:52.160 --> 0:41:55.759
<v Speaker 2>tariffs in certain targeted instances, what are you hearing and

0:41:55.760 --> 0:41:58.400
<v Speaker 2>feeling from your colleagues? Is that a concern that you share?

0:42:00.239 --> 0:42:00.719
<v Speaker 7>I think the.

0:42:00.719 --> 0:42:03.719
<v Speaker 9>Attacks on Representative de Lusia beIN totally uncalled for.

0:42:03.800 --> 0:42:06.560
<v Speaker 7>He's one of the most thoughtful people on this issue.

0:42:06.600 --> 0:42:07.839
<v Speaker 7>I'd highly recommend his New.

0:42:07.840 --> 0:42:10.080
<v Speaker 9>York Times out bet on terraffs, which he basically said,

0:42:10.440 --> 0:42:15.960
<v Speaker 9>smart terraffs to protect critical industries against unfair trade practices

0:42:16.000 --> 0:42:18.960
<v Speaker 9>and dumping are perfectly reasonable. What we don't want is

0:42:19.560 --> 0:42:22.359
<v Speaker 9>blanket tariffs, and what we don't want is them done

0:42:22.440 --> 0:42:26.239
<v Speaker 9>with no collaboration, because you have no idea whether it's

0:42:26.239 --> 0:42:28.520
<v Speaker 9>going to be there a month, two months, three months,

0:42:29.160 --> 0:42:32.960
<v Speaker 9>and there is no planning in terms of whether they're

0:42:33.080 --> 0:42:36.239
<v Speaker 9>actually going to help create new factories.

0:42:36.280 --> 0:42:38.240
<v Speaker 7>So I think the attacks on him have been.

0:42:39.400 --> 0:42:43.480
<v Speaker 9>Unreasonable, and he's one of the most thoughtful members of Congress.

0:42:43.520 --> 0:42:44.719
<v Speaker 7>In fact, he's leading this group.

0:42:44.760 --> 0:42:47.760
<v Speaker 9>I've been calling for economic patriotism, and he's been leading

0:42:47.760 --> 0:42:50.320
<v Speaker 9>a group of economic patriots.

0:42:49.840 --> 0:42:51.759
<v Speaker 7>Group that is very productive.

0:42:51.920 --> 0:42:54.480
<v Speaker 9>I do want to say that I appreciated Orion's role

0:42:54.600 --> 0:42:58.879
<v Speaker 9>in helping with the Chips and Science Act Todd Young

0:42:58.920 --> 0:42:59.720
<v Speaker 9>and I did that.

0:42:59.680 --> 0:43:02.680
<v Speaker 7>With at the time. Senator Schumer is a much.

0:43:02.520 --> 0:43:06.520
<v Speaker 9>Better legislator than he is in this moment in getting

0:43:06.520 --> 0:43:09.480
<v Speaker 9>that through, and it's one of the things I'm proudest of.

0:43:09.560 --> 0:43:10.000
<v Speaker 7>And he's right.

0:43:10.400 --> 0:43:13.040
<v Speaker 9>From thirty billion dollars, that's won four hundred billion dollars

0:43:13.080 --> 0:43:20.680
<v Speaker 9>of investment all five semiconductor manufacturers Intel, Micron, sk Heinez, Samsung,

0:43:20.719 --> 0:43:23.120
<v Speaker 9>and TSMC here in the United States. No other country

0:43:23.160 --> 0:43:26.879
<v Speaker 9>has that, and so we should be looking at efforts

0:43:27.520 --> 0:43:31.120
<v Speaker 9>like that. The problem is Trump is basically Reaganism of

0:43:31.160 --> 0:43:36.640
<v Speaker 9>the tax breaks deregulation disguised as I want to build

0:43:36.640 --> 0:43:40.880
<v Speaker 9>new factories, and basically he's added to that high, high

0:43:40.960 --> 0:43:42.440
<v Speaker 9>blanket irrational tariffs.

0:43:42.520 --> 0:43:45.400
<v Speaker 7>There's no strategy of building things.

0:43:45.800 --> 0:43:48.000
<v Speaker 9>And in the three periods in American history, you look

0:43:48.000 --> 0:43:50.040
<v Speaker 9>at Hamilton, you look at Lincoln, you look at FDR.

0:43:50.160 --> 0:43:52.000
<v Speaker 7>How they did it. The large part of it was.

0:43:52.280 --> 0:43:55.520
<v Speaker 9>In federal investment, then investment in our workforce.

0:43:55.640 --> 0:43:57.680
<v Speaker 3>My last question, urin this is a political and a

0:43:57.680 --> 0:44:01.600
<v Speaker 3>coalition question for you is restrained person. I supported the

0:44:01.640 --> 0:44:04.360
<v Speaker 3>withdrawal from Afghanistan, we also have to admit it was

0:44:04.400 --> 0:44:07.239
<v Speaker 3>a disaster the rollout, even if we support it on

0:44:07.280 --> 0:44:10.520
<v Speaker 3>a policy level, it enabled I would say, and I

0:44:10.560 --> 0:44:13.359
<v Speaker 3>know the Congressman will disagree with me full scale. You know,

0:44:13.520 --> 0:44:16.879
<v Speaker 3>funding of the war in Ukraine. It emboldened the neo

0:44:16.960 --> 0:44:18.839
<v Speaker 3>cons and in my opinion, you know, set our foreign

0:44:18.840 --> 0:44:21.839
<v Speaker 3>policy in a much worse direction for a few years,

0:44:21.880 --> 0:44:24.160
<v Speaker 3>even though at a basic level I agreed, you know,

0:44:24.200 --> 0:44:26.319
<v Speaker 3>with the spirit of what was being done. Since you

0:44:26.360 --> 0:44:29.360
<v Speaker 3>are involved in these coalitional fights, are you worried that

0:44:29.440 --> 0:44:32.239
<v Speaker 3>a bad rollout here would embolden the Cato Institute, the

0:44:32.239 --> 0:44:36.200
<v Speaker 3>American Americans for Tax Reform, the Chamber of Commerce and

0:44:36.280 --> 0:44:37.560
<v Speaker 3>winning over the public's heart.

0:44:37.680 --> 0:44:38.880
<v Speaker 1>If this is not done correctly.

0:44:40.080 --> 0:44:42.239
<v Speaker 10>I don't worry so much about those sort of old

0:44:42.360 --> 0:44:44.400
<v Speaker 10>right groups, which which I just don't think are as

0:44:44.800 --> 0:44:47.960
<v Speaker 10>relevant anymore as they used to be. Just across the board,

0:44:48.040 --> 0:44:50.680
<v Speaker 10>I do worry a lot about the American people. I

0:44:50.719 --> 0:44:54.160
<v Speaker 10>do worry that if this is done poorly, if there

0:44:54.200 --> 0:44:57.760
<v Speaker 10>are a lot of unnecessary costs imposed, if the point

0:44:57.760 --> 0:45:01.640
<v Speaker 10>of the policy hasn't communicated well, and then if you

0:45:01.760 --> 0:45:04.239
<v Speaker 10>don't do the kinds of things that actually generate the benefits,

0:45:04.760 --> 0:45:07.600
<v Speaker 10>then I think people will rightly look at it and say, well,

0:45:08.760 --> 0:45:13.080
<v Speaker 10>that didn't work, and the broader principles have the potential

0:45:13.120 --> 0:45:16.160
<v Speaker 10>to be discredited. So I do think getting this right

0:45:16.280 --> 0:45:19.440
<v Speaker 10>is obviously incredibly important, and you know that's something that

0:45:19.719 --> 0:45:23.000
<v Speaker 10>American Compass we were sort of ultimately focused on.

0:45:23.200 --> 0:45:23.359
<v Speaker 7>Right.

0:45:23.400 --> 0:45:25.480
<v Speaker 10>We're very happy to kind of go to the mat

0:45:25.520 --> 0:45:28.640
<v Speaker 10>defending these principles in the direction and at the exact

0:45:28.680 --> 0:45:31.239
<v Speaker 10>same time be totally honest about what we think is

0:45:31.560 --> 0:45:34.720
<v Speaker 10>not structured correctly, what we think really puts the project

0:45:34.719 --> 0:45:38.080
<v Speaker 10>at risk, and hopefully that plays some small part in

0:45:38.719 --> 0:45:40.280
<v Speaker 10>maybe moving us in a better direction.

0:45:40.760 --> 0:45:44.760
<v Speaker 2>Orn Trump can always change. You could do something different tomorrow,

0:45:45.239 --> 0:45:47.720
<v Speaker 2>you know, we could be having a completely different discussion

0:45:47.760 --> 0:45:48.240
<v Speaker 2>next week.

0:45:48.360 --> 0:45:49.160
<v Speaker 6>God only knows.

0:45:49.320 --> 0:45:53.640
<v Speaker 2>But if these particular tariffs move forward and stay in

0:45:53.680 --> 0:45:58.240
<v Speaker 2>place and are not matched with any commesorate industrial policy

0:45:58.680 --> 0:46:02.239
<v Speaker 2>or support for Americans who are in American businesses who

0:46:02.280 --> 0:46:05.480
<v Speaker 2>are going to be facing massive fallout over this, do

0:46:05.520 --> 0:46:08.120
<v Speaker 2>you think that these tariffs will do more harm than

0:46:08.320 --> 0:46:09.440
<v Speaker 2>good in your estimation?

0:46:10.800 --> 0:46:12.799
<v Speaker 10>I think I think the short term costs have the

0:46:12.800 --> 0:46:14.319
<v Speaker 10>potential to be pretty high.

0:46:14.400 --> 0:46:14.560
<v Speaker 7>You know.

0:46:14.600 --> 0:46:16.880
<v Speaker 10>I think one of the most important elements of this

0:46:17.040 --> 0:46:19.760
<v Speaker 10>that that we've always put into anything we argue for

0:46:20.520 --> 0:46:22.640
<v Speaker 10>is that you want to see things phased in because

0:46:22.680 --> 0:46:26.280
<v Speaker 10>the kind of transformation that we're talking about takes time,

0:46:26.760 --> 0:46:29.240
<v Speaker 10>and so you certainly want things to be coming into effect,

0:46:29.520 --> 0:46:32.160
<v Speaker 10>you know, as quickly as possible to create incentives that

0:46:32.160 --> 0:46:34.920
<v Speaker 10>that people respond to. But it doesn't make a lot

0:46:34.920 --> 0:46:37.719
<v Speaker 10>of sense to impose a lot of costs faster than

0:46:37.719 --> 0:46:40.480
<v Speaker 10>people can respond. And so I think that's where we're

0:46:40.520 --> 0:46:42.799
<v Speaker 10>getting a lot of the unnecessary cost. And that on

0:46:42.840 --> 0:46:45.319
<v Speaker 10>the flip side, if and Congressman exactly right about this,

0:46:45.360 --> 0:46:48.000
<v Speaker 10>if you don't have the certainty in the permanence, you're

0:46:48.000 --> 0:46:50.239
<v Speaker 10>not going to get the investment and therefore you're not

0:46:50.239 --> 0:46:52.560
<v Speaker 10>going to get the benefit. And so that's that's what

0:46:52.600 --> 0:46:55.680
<v Speaker 10>I'm focused on, is there are costs here. I love

0:46:55.760 --> 0:46:59.320
<v Speaker 10>that that we potentially have leaders communicating that we accept

0:46:59.360 --> 0:47:00.800
<v Speaker 10>that there will be call us for things and we

0:47:00.840 --> 0:47:02.759
<v Speaker 10>think they're worth that. But you have to get that

0:47:02.800 --> 0:47:04.759
<v Speaker 10>equation right, and you have to take an approach that

0:47:05.480 --> 0:47:07.960
<v Speaker 10>keeps the cost as low as possible and that then

0:47:08.000 --> 0:47:10.680
<v Speaker 10>delivers the benefits. And that's what I think we have

0:47:10.760 --> 0:47:11.280
<v Speaker 10>to sharpen.

0:47:11.360 --> 0:47:14.359
<v Speaker 1>All right, Congressman, last word to you one minute until

0:47:14.360 --> 0:47:14.799
<v Speaker 1>we got to go.

0:47:14.880 --> 0:47:18.680
<v Speaker 9>What do you say building things in America has always

0:47:18.719 --> 0:47:20.840
<v Speaker 9>been hard when after you are trying it In nineteen

0:47:20.920 --> 0:47:23.600
<v Speaker 9>thirty three is when he started, and he prepared the

0:47:23.600 --> 0:47:27.440
<v Speaker 9>country over a decade for then what was the industrialization

0:47:27.680 --> 0:47:28.359
<v Speaker 9>in World War Two?

0:47:28.440 --> 0:47:30.160
<v Speaker 7>And I just think we've got to be honest with

0:47:30.200 --> 0:47:31.120
<v Speaker 7>the American.

0:47:30.760 --> 0:47:35.360
<v Speaker 9>People that just having massive tax breaks and having the

0:47:35.480 --> 0:47:40.440
<v Speaker 9>tariffs isn't going to magically transform us into a manufacturing superpower.

0:47:40.440 --> 0:47:43.520
<v Speaker 9>What we need is an investment in the workforce. What

0:47:43.560 --> 0:47:45.840
<v Speaker 9>we need is to doing hard things.

0:47:45.600 --> 0:47:46.239
<v Speaker 7>Like the chip sack.

0:47:46.320 --> 0:47:49.200
<v Speaker 9>What we needed is better state capacity and being able

0:47:49.239 --> 0:47:52.719
<v Speaker 9>to do things faster than we did during the Chipsack.

0:47:53.000 --> 0:47:56.840
<v Speaker 9>What we did is federal financing, and it takes years

0:47:57.000 --> 0:47:59.960
<v Speaker 9>to build, and this is not something that can just

0:48:00.120 --> 0:48:03.319
<v Speaker 9>happen in one quarter. But I think what Trump is

0:48:03.360 --> 0:48:06.040
<v Speaker 9>doing is appealing to this sense that we lost too

0:48:06.120 --> 0:48:08.720
<v Speaker 9>much to China. We need to build, but trying to

0:48:09.120 --> 0:48:11.279
<v Speaker 9>tell people he can just magically wave a wand with

0:48:11.360 --> 0:48:15.680
<v Speaker 9>tariff policy and tax policy and fix it. He can't,

0:48:15.760 --> 0:48:18.120
<v Speaker 9>and he's making things worse with the blanket tariffs.

0:48:18.200 --> 0:48:18.520
<v Speaker 1>Got it.

0:48:18.520 --> 0:48:20.279
<v Speaker 3>Well, thank you both very much for joining us. I

0:48:20.280 --> 0:48:21.560
<v Speaker 3>think people will get a lot out of it, so

0:48:21.600 --> 0:48:22.239
<v Speaker 3>we appreciate it.

0:48:22.239 --> 0:48:23.879
<v Speaker 6>Thanks gentlemen, this was great.

0:48:23.920 --> 0:48:26.560
<v Speaker 1>Thank you, thank you, Thank you guys so much for watching.

0:48:26.600 --> 0:48:28.880
<v Speaker 3>We appreciate it. I hope you enjoyed our tariff special.

0:48:28.920 --> 0:48:30.040
<v Speaker 3>We'll see you all tomorrow.