1 00:00:03,480 --> 00:00:07,560 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Law Podcast. I'm June Grosso. Every 2 00:00:07,640 --> 00:00:10,440 Speaker 1: day we bring you insight and analysis into the most 3 00:00:10,480 --> 00:00:13,399 Speaker 1: important legal news of the day. You can find more 4 00:00:13,480 --> 00:00:18,040 Speaker 1: episodes of the Bloomberg Law Podcast on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud 5 00:00:18,320 --> 00:00:23,239 Speaker 1: and on Bloomberg dot com slash podcasts. California is challenging 6 00:00:23,280 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 1: the Environmental Protection Agency over its moves to roll back 7 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:30,040 Speaker 1: auto emissions, the state's tenth lawsuit against the agency since 8 00:00:30,080 --> 00:00:34,200 Speaker 1: President Trump took office. California's A. G. Javier B. Serra 9 00:00:34,400 --> 00:00:38,120 Speaker 1: issued a warning. My message to the e p A 10 00:00:38,640 --> 00:00:42,640 Speaker 1: and administrator through it is simple, do your job, regulate 11 00:00:42,680 --> 00:00:48,200 Speaker 1: carbon pollution from vehicles, defend the clean car standards, don't 12 00:00:48,240 --> 00:00:51,640 Speaker 1: tear them up. Sixteen other states and d C joined 13 00:00:51,640 --> 00:00:54,600 Speaker 1: in the lawsuit, and joining me is Debra and Civice, 14 00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:59,280 Speaker 1: director of the Environmental Law Clinic at Stanford University. Debra 15 00:00:59,360 --> 00:01:02,360 Speaker 1: and the PA has not changed the rules yet, So 16 00:01:02,400 --> 00:01:06,800 Speaker 1: why is California filing this lawsuit now? Well, that's right, 17 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:08,959 Speaker 1: the rules have not been changed yet. But of course 18 00:01:09,000 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 1: the administration has been talking about it for over a year, 19 00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:15,279 Speaker 1: and in the middle of April, the administration put out 20 00:01:15,319 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 1: a new announcement saying that they were had reviewed the 21 00:01:21,440 --> 00:01:25,560 Speaker 1: what's what's called the mid term evaluation for these standards 22 00:01:25,600 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 1: that was put out right at the end of the 23 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:31,480 Speaker 1: Obama administration. They've reviewed it and they're reversing course on it, 24 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:33,840 Speaker 1: and they believe that the auto industry will not be 25 00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:37,440 Speaker 1: able to meet the standards. So that in mid April, 26 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:41,080 Speaker 1: that's that's the decision that the that the California the 27 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:44,240 Speaker 1: other states are challenging at this point, and what's the argument. 28 00:01:44,959 --> 00:01:49,160 Speaker 1: What are the grounds for the lawsuit? So the grounds 29 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:52,040 Speaker 1: for the lawsuit I believe, although that what gets filed 30 00:01:52,040 --> 00:01:53,920 Speaker 1: in the d C circuit is a very short, sort 31 00:01:53,960 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 1: of one paragraph listing all the parties saying that they're 32 00:01:57,200 --> 00:02:01,600 Speaker 1: challenging that April thirteenth to determination and UH that that 33 00:02:01,680 --> 00:02:03,520 Speaker 1: the auto industries will not be able to meet the 34 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 1: current standards. And so it's not clear from that document 35 00:02:07,240 --> 00:02:09,840 Speaker 1: exactly the legal arguments that will be made, but but 36 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:13,639 Speaker 1: I suspect those arguments will be that, UH, the administration 37 00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:17,720 Speaker 1: does not have UH sufficient information to support support a 38 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:22,280 Speaker 1: reversal of the pretty detailed findings during the very end 39 00:02:22,320 --> 00:02:26,280 Speaker 1: of the Obama administration. Also, UM, it's set to argue 40 00:02:26,320 --> 00:02:30,960 Speaker 1: the e p A arbitrarily reversed course on April two. Right? 41 00:02:31,160 --> 00:02:35,120 Speaker 1: Is that a good argument? Um? It's an interesting argument. Yes, 42 00:02:35,160 --> 00:02:37,120 Speaker 1: I mean I think it's it's generally the argument that 43 00:02:37,160 --> 00:02:40,080 Speaker 1: states would make that that that because there's a documented 44 00:02:40,120 --> 00:02:42,240 Speaker 1: body of evidence that was gathered by e p A 45 00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:45,360 Speaker 1: before the new administration, that the current administration or to 46 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:49,000 Speaker 1: reverse decision has to have enough support and the and 47 00:02:49,040 --> 00:02:51,880 Speaker 1: their argument is it's arbitrary here because there is not 48 00:02:52,040 --> 00:02:55,040 Speaker 1: enough support for for reversing. I would say that that 49 00:02:55,480 --> 00:02:57,920 Speaker 1: I think the defense of the e p A to 50 00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:01,200 Speaker 1: this particular lawsuit will be there is no final agency 51 00:03:01,240 --> 00:03:05,560 Speaker 1: action here, and so your your your challenges premature. You 52 00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:09,400 Speaker 1: have to wait until we actually roll back the standards. 53 00:03:09,440 --> 00:03:13,000 Speaker 1: So the v Clear Clean Air Act allows California to 54 00:03:13,000 --> 00:03:16,120 Speaker 1: set its own greenhouse gas emissions regulations because of a 55 00:03:16,200 --> 00:03:19,520 Speaker 1: legal waiver, and there have been rubblings that the Trump 56 00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 1: administration may try to revoke that waiver. Which side would 57 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 1: have the stronger case in the inevitable court battle that 58 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:29,480 Speaker 1: would follow. Yeah, my my sense of course, we'd have 59 00:03:29,520 --> 00:03:32,320 Speaker 1: to wait and see what the grounds the administration gives 60 00:03:32,360 --> 00:03:34,600 Speaker 1: for revocation of the waiver. And I think it is 61 00:03:34,639 --> 00:03:37,240 Speaker 1: telegraphing that that's coming. Um. So I'll have to wait 62 00:03:37,280 --> 00:03:40,000 Speaker 1: and see, but my sense generally is that the states, 63 00:03:40,360 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 1: California and other states that would join it would have 64 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:46,640 Speaker 1: the stronger argument because in the Clean Air Act, Congress 65 00:03:46,680 --> 00:03:49,400 Speaker 1: made made it clear that the burden was really on 66 00:03:49,920 --> 00:03:52,720 Speaker 1: the e p a UM in terms of denying the waiver. 67 00:03:52,840 --> 00:03:55,160 Speaker 1: That is, the presumption is generally the waiver will be 68 00:03:55,200 --> 00:03:58,400 Speaker 1: granted that it's necessary, and it's the burdens on e 69 00:03:58,520 --> 00:04:01,560 Speaker 1: p A. So given that at and given the information 70 00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:04,280 Speaker 1: that's or that's been used to grant the waiver in 71 00:04:04,320 --> 00:04:07,360 Speaker 1: the past, I think probably the states have the stronger argument. 72 00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:11,960 Speaker 1: Let's talk about the auto industry itself. Well, weakening the 73 00:04:12,040 --> 00:04:16,320 Speaker 1: emission standards put US automakers in the future at a 74 00:04:16,400 --> 00:04:22,480 Speaker 1: disadvantage compared to overseas companies that are advancing the technologies 75 00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:27,040 Speaker 1: and automobiles. Well, there's certainly an argument that that's that's true. 76 00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:29,680 Speaker 1: And of course it's the auto industry at the start 77 00:04:29,720 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 1: of the current administration that came in very um strongly 78 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:38,279 Speaker 1: and and asked the administration to freeze standards or rollback standards. 79 00:04:38,360 --> 00:04:41,680 Speaker 1: And I think some of the auto industry are getting 80 00:04:41,720 --> 00:04:45,760 Speaker 1: some cold feet about that very extreme position for this 81 00:04:45,880 --> 00:04:51,440 Speaker 1: very reason that it it potentially puts the domestic auto industry, um, 82 00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:54,359 Speaker 1: you know back, given what's going on in China and 83 00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:59,159 Speaker 1: other places countries where uh, there's there's a there's a 84 00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:02,400 Speaker 1: concerted f to move forward with electric vehicles and in 85 00:05:02,520 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 1: higher mileage vehicles. Deborra I mentioned that California has to 86 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:09,440 Speaker 1: the e p A ten times since Trump took office. 87 00:05:09,520 --> 00:05:12,200 Speaker 1: Jerry Brown was at the press conference yesterday and he 88 00:05:12,240 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 1: had some harsh words tell us about he spent decades 89 00:05:16,080 --> 00:05:20,000 Speaker 1: building up his environmental legacy and he's trying to protect it. 90 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:23,000 Speaker 1: Tell us a little bit about that. Yeah, sure, So 91 00:05:23,080 --> 00:05:27,400 Speaker 1: California has its own cap and trade program around greenhouse 92 00:05:27,400 --> 00:05:30,240 Speaker 1: gas emissions and is trying to do has a low 93 00:05:30,279 --> 00:05:33,320 Speaker 1: carbon fuel standard, number of other things, um that the 94 00:05:33,360 --> 00:05:36,560 Speaker 1: state's trying to do, kind of being out in front 95 00:05:36,640 --> 00:05:39,600 Speaker 1: of the where the federal government is and kind of 96 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:41,640 Speaker 1: pulling a lot of other states along with it. So 97 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:45,080 Speaker 1: that's the reputation of California out there. I would say 98 00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:47,680 Speaker 1: that the that the fuel economy standards that are the 99 00:05:48,080 --> 00:05:51,080 Speaker 1: heart of this dispute are a big piece of that picture. 100 00:05:51,160 --> 00:05:56,560 Speaker 1: Because UM, transportation accounts for something like forty of the 101 00:05:56,600 --> 00:05:59,920 Speaker 1: greenhouse gas emissions nationally in the same as true in California. 102 00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:03,559 Speaker 1: So um so that the governor and the Attorney General 103 00:06:03,600 --> 00:06:07,839 Speaker 1: are really trying to guard uh that particular piece of 104 00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 1: California's policy against rollback at the federal level. It's very 105 00:06:12,440 --> 00:06:15,680 Speaker 1: early in these suits, but has either side won any 106 00:06:15,720 --> 00:06:20,520 Speaker 1: of the early legal battles. Um Uh, There's not been 107 00:06:20,800 --> 00:06:24,520 Speaker 1: much in the way of decisions in these suits. As 108 00:06:24,680 --> 00:06:27,000 Speaker 1: as I said, one of the things about the current 109 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 1: administration is they're pushing stuff out the door that, in 110 00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:33,120 Speaker 1: my view is not necessarily fully baked, which doesn't make 111 00:06:33,160 --> 00:06:36,279 Speaker 1: for a good position in defending a lawsuit. So I 112 00:06:36,279 --> 00:06:38,839 Speaker 1: think we're going to see as this, as these cases 113 00:06:39,240 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 1: move forward, that it will be difficult for the administration 114 00:06:43,200 --> 00:06:45,800 Speaker 1: to win some of these cases. I suspect the States 115 00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:49,120 Speaker 1: will prevail in a number of them. In the in 116 00:06:49,160 --> 00:06:52,240 Speaker 1: the auto in the instance of the auto industry, just 117 00:06:52,480 --> 00:06:55,760 Speaker 1: give we have about forty seconds here, tell us how 118 00:06:55,800 --> 00:06:59,839 Speaker 1: this the States suing represent of new car sales nationally. 119 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:03,680 Speaker 1: What does that mean for the lawsuit? Right? So that's 120 00:07:03,680 --> 00:07:07,400 Speaker 1: significant because if if the if the Pruitt, if administrator 121 00:07:07,440 --> 00:07:10,600 Speaker 1: pro it rolls back the standards, the national standards. That's 122 00:07:10,640 --> 00:07:14,800 Speaker 1: when the waiver comes into play. And California plus a 123 00:07:14,920 --> 00:07:16,960 Speaker 1: number of other states are able to go with the 124 00:07:16,960 --> 00:07:20,120 Speaker 1: California standards. And so if um And as I said, 125 00:07:20,120 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 1: I mean, I think they're likely to win a fight 126 00:07:22,000 --> 00:07:25,120 Speaker 1: over the waiver, that means that then you've got two sets. 127 00:07:25,520 --> 00:07:27,600 Speaker 1: I'm sorry, I have to stop you there. Thanks so 128 00:07:27,680 --> 00:07:30,360 Speaker 1: much that. Stebor And civis director of the Environment to 129 00:07:30,440 --> 00:07:37,400 Speaker 1: Laugh Clinic at Stanford University. Caravans have been a common 130 00:07:37,440 --> 00:07:40,880 Speaker 1: tactic for advocacy groups to bring attention to asylum seekers, 131 00:07:41,120 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 1: but the latest caravan of Central American immigrants to arrive 132 00:07:44,320 --> 00:07:46,840 Speaker 1: at the border has gotten an extraordinary amount of attention 133 00:07:46,960 --> 00:07:50,400 Speaker 1: even internationally. That's because President Trump has been using the 134 00:07:50,480 --> 00:07:52,920 Speaker 1: caravan as a symbol of what he sees as lacks 135 00:07:52,960 --> 00:07:56,239 Speaker 1: immigration laws, a point he reiterated at the White House 136 00:07:56,280 --> 00:08:00,040 Speaker 1: on Monday. Our immigration laws in this country are a 137 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:03,760 Speaker 1: total disaster. They're left at all over the world. They're 138 00:08:03,800 --> 00:08:07,400 Speaker 1: left at for their stupidity, and we have to have 139 00:08:07,520 --> 00:08:11,680 Speaker 1: strong immigration laws. My guest is Rick, super professor at 140 00:08:11,720 --> 00:08:15,480 Speaker 1: the University of Buffalo School of Law. Rick, despite Trump's 141 00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:19,080 Speaker 1: threats and demands to stop this latest caravan from coming 142 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:22,080 Speaker 1: into the country. The immigrants were allowed to enter the 143 00:08:22,080 --> 00:08:25,720 Speaker 1: country and US officials began processing them on Monday night. 144 00:08:26,080 --> 00:08:29,280 Speaker 1: Explain why, no matter what the President says, the government 145 00:08:29,320 --> 00:08:33,360 Speaker 1: has no choice but to consider requests for asylum. So 146 00:08:33,559 --> 00:08:36,400 Speaker 1: the reason that the silent systems here is because of 147 00:08:36,400 --> 00:08:39,560 Speaker 1: a treat that many countries signs. So in this case, 148 00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:42,199 Speaker 1: it's not just US law, it's all other countries that 149 00:08:42,280 --> 00:08:46,120 Speaker 1: participated in this. Uh that was essentially formed after World 150 00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:49,599 Speaker 1: War Two and uh, you know, dealing with the refugee 151 00:08:49,640 --> 00:08:53,720 Speaker 1: situation that occurred afterwards. That essentially allows everyone to make 152 00:08:53,760 --> 00:08:56,840 Speaker 1: a claim at least that they qualify for asylum because 153 00:08:56,840 --> 00:08:59,280 Speaker 1: they have a well founded fear of persecution. Uh. And 154 00:08:59,320 --> 00:09:01,360 Speaker 1: if they sat US side, than the government has an 155 00:09:01,360 --> 00:09:04,640 Speaker 1: obligation not to send them back into harm's way. So 156 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:07,960 Speaker 1: even if Congress was actually able to agree on passing 157 00:09:08,000 --> 00:09:14,000 Speaker 1: tougher immigration laws, the international treaties would play into that. Yeah, 158 00:09:14,040 --> 00:09:17,199 Speaker 1: I mean technically the treaties are ratified by Congress. I 159 00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:20,960 Speaker 1: think could be very unlikely that in any immigration reform 160 00:09:21,080 --> 00:09:25,240 Speaker 1: that the particular asylum provision itself and our obligation under 161 00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:28,720 Speaker 1: international law would be changed. Um. But it's certainly been 162 00:09:28,760 --> 00:09:31,960 Speaker 1: a useful political sort of tool to talk about general 163 00:09:32,000 --> 00:09:35,040 Speaker 1: immigration form as a whole. Uh, though none of the 164 00:09:35,080 --> 00:09:38,760 Speaker 1: proposals in immigration reform with regard to the substance as 165 00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:41,320 Speaker 1: opposed to the procedure of how we actually process them 166 00:09:41,720 --> 00:09:45,920 Speaker 1: has ever been proposed. Recently, with regard to asylum, Rick 167 00:09:46,000 --> 00:09:49,479 Speaker 1: explained the process of entering the country and seeking asylum 168 00:09:49,600 --> 00:09:53,600 Speaker 1: starting with the credible fear interview. Yeah, So essentially what 169 00:09:53,720 --> 00:09:56,720 Speaker 1: happens is the customers of order protection will do a 170 00:09:56,760 --> 00:09:59,400 Speaker 1: credible fear interview to just sort of stuss out whether 171 00:09:59,480 --> 00:10:03,160 Speaker 1: or not they think individual has a plausible claim, uh 172 00:10:03,320 --> 00:10:06,320 Speaker 1: for a well founded fear of persecution. Once that has 173 00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:10,640 Speaker 1: been past established, and they attend to air on the 174 00:10:10,679 --> 00:10:13,520 Speaker 1: side of allowing individuals to proceed with their claim. If 175 00:10:13,559 --> 00:10:16,240 Speaker 1: there's any plausible claim, uh, then you actually make the 176 00:10:16,240 --> 00:10:19,160 Speaker 1: claim itself. That would be presented to an immigration judge, 177 00:10:19,240 --> 00:10:22,720 Speaker 1: there of course backlogged at this particular point, um, and 178 00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:26,120 Speaker 1: then immigration judge will make that determination um, at which point, 179 00:10:26,559 --> 00:10:29,400 Speaker 1: if it's affirmed, then we have an obligation not to 180 00:10:29,440 --> 00:10:32,280 Speaker 1: return them. If it's denied, then they would be removed. 181 00:10:32,640 --> 00:10:36,560 Speaker 1: So the number of credible fear interviews has soared from 182 00:10:36,600 --> 00:10:39,760 Speaker 1: five thousand in two thousand seven to about eighty thousand 183 00:10:39,840 --> 00:10:43,200 Speaker 1: last year, according to The New York Times. So what 184 00:10:43,600 --> 00:10:48,600 Speaker 1: how how difficult is it to actually get asylum? Asylum 185 00:10:48,720 --> 00:10:53,079 Speaker 1: is relatively difficult to establish. There's a lot of different criterias, 186 00:10:53,120 --> 00:10:56,680 Speaker 1: and for this particular wave, which is really coming from 187 00:10:56,679 --> 00:10:59,120 Speaker 1: Central America, there's a lot of push factors since romocrats, 188 00:10:59,240 --> 00:11:02,800 Speaker 1: leading to some people are calling the surge. UM, what 189 00:11:02,960 --> 00:11:06,080 Speaker 1: the biggest concern is trying to fit what they fear 190 00:11:06,240 --> 00:11:09,160 Speaker 1: into one of the five categories. So it's not just 191 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:11,040 Speaker 1: that you fear for your life, but you fear for 192 00:11:11,080 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 1: your life based on a particular reason that these individuals 193 00:11:15,559 --> 00:11:18,560 Speaker 1: UH that are targeting you are targeting you for UM 194 00:11:18,559 --> 00:11:21,480 Speaker 1: trying to prove that, especially when the concern is just 195 00:11:21,559 --> 00:11:26,360 Speaker 1: about generalized violence, UH are since times a difficult. The 196 00:11:26,400 --> 00:11:30,160 Speaker 1: administration has complained about what it's called the catch and 197 00:11:30,240 --> 00:11:33,839 Speaker 1: release policies that allow people seeking asylum to be free 198 00:11:33,880 --> 00:11:37,120 Speaker 1: while their cases are pending. Do you see any shift 199 00:11:37,200 --> 00:11:41,240 Speaker 1: in policy from the Obama administration to the Trump administration 200 00:11:41,320 --> 00:11:46,200 Speaker 1: with regard to the process of determining asylum claims. Yeah, 201 00:11:46,240 --> 00:11:48,960 Speaker 1: so there have been some shift going on with guard 202 00:11:49,000 --> 00:11:53,120 Speaker 1: determining asylum claims. Um. There are some moves by Jeff 203 00:11:53,200 --> 00:11:55,520 Speaker 1: Sessions and Department of Justice of trying to and it 204 00:11:55,559 --> 00:11:58,400 Speaker 1: seems like he's moving towards changing some of the criteria 205 00:11:58,440 --> 00:12:02,280 Speaker 1: of what would qualify under the abstintive criterias themselves. Uh, 206 00:12:02,320 --> 00:12:04,079 Speaker 1: though that hasn't been reported very much, and we're sort 207 00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:06,360 Speaker 1: of waiting to see what he's going to actually announce, 208 00:12:06,360 --> 00:12:07,959 Speaker 1: because he's going to be able to make those decisions 209 00:12:07,960 --> 00:12:10,200 Speaker 1: on their own. As we've got to catch and release. 210 00:12:10,360 --> 00:12:13,920 Speaker 1: It's a sort of a difficult prong. President Obama also 211 00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:17,160 Speaker 1: struggle with it as well, and certainly President Trump has 212 00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:20,360 Speaker 1: released several two executive orders and APPROPLAM sort of a 213 00:12:20,400 --> 00:12:25,120 Speaker 1: memorandum encouraging the elimination of a catching release UM. Unfortunately, 214 00:12:25,200 --> 00:12:28,559 Speaker 1: just seems like the capacity to keep all these individuals 215 00:12:28,559 --> 00:12:32,280 Speaker 1: in detention, especially with the court backlock um. And also 216 00:12:32,360 --> 00:12:35,720 Speaker 1: because so many of them are families and children, uh 217 00:12:35,720 --> 00:12:40,000 Speaker 1: and federal law along with a settlement does require specific 218 00:12:40,040 --> 00:12:43,679 Speaker 1: provisions for children. Right, we can't keep them in prison 219 00:12:43,720 --> 00:12:48,800 Speaker 1: like facilities. Is really making hard to let's say, eliminate catching, 220 00:12:48,880 --> 00:12:53,400 Speaker 1: release or at least releasing individuals pending their immigration claim. Um. 221 00:12:53,760 --> 00:12:58,760 Speaker 1: So the Justice Department filed criminal charges against eleven suspected 222 00:12:58,840 --> 00:13:01,959 Speaker 1: members of the carat and for entering the country illegally. 223 00:13:02,480 --> 00:13:06,319 Speaker 1: Explain how that's different from the group who actually waited 224 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:09,400 Speaker 1: at the border. Yeah, so this is this is actually 225 00:13:09,480 --> 00:13:12,280 Speaker 1: quite interesting, especially with all the talk about border protection, 226 00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:15,360 Speaker 1: because for the vast majority of the surge and the 227 00:13:15,440 --> 00:13:17,880 Speaker 1: vast majority of these individuals in the caravan, what they're 228 00:13:17,880 --> 00:13:21,200 Speaker 1: actually doing is following the process that's laid out. So 229 00:13:21,200 --> 00:13:25,640 Speaker 1: they're presenting themselves to customers and border protection for uh inspection. Uh, 230 00:13:25,679 --> 00:13:27,959 Speaker 1: they're making their immigration claim. They're going to go through 231 00:13:28,000 --> 00:13:31,240 Speaker 1: the process of determination be made, and they either remain 232 00:13:31,360 --> 00:13:34,240 Speaker 1: or they get removed. Uh. The eleven individuals, and again 233 00:13:34,240 --> 00:13:37,600 Speaker 1: we'll hear more data facts about them, uh maybe in 234 00:13:37,679 --> 00:13:40,960 Speaker 1: a few weeks time. If they try to elude inspection 235 00:13:41,080 --> 00:13:45,480 Speaker 1: and enter the country without inspection, essentially trying to sneak 236 00:13:45,520 --> 00:13:49,280 Speaker 1: into the country, then that may subject them to criminal penalties, 237 00:13:49,400 --> 00:13:54,040 Speaker 1: especially they had tried to enter before. Um. But what's 238 00:13:54,040 --> 00:13:56,000 Speaker 1: interesting in some ways with all the talk about word 239 00:13:56,040 --> 00:13:59,080 Speaker 1: protection is that the vast majority of the surge, and 240 00:13:59,080 --> 00:14:01,440 Speaker 1: of course all the individuals caravan or actually following the 241 00:14:01,440 --> 00:14:03,880 Speaker 1: process the way it's set out. Um. And in some 242 00:14:03,920 --> 00:14:06,640 Speaker 1: sense they're presenting themselves to customers and border protection as 243 00:14:06,679 --> 00:14:10,319 Speaker 1: opposed to trying to lead their detection. Rick. Uh, from 244 00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:13,160 Speaker 1: what I've been reading, a lot of the immigrants in 245 00:14:13,200 --> 00:14:17,400 Speaker 1: the caravan will be will be talking about the persecution 246 00:14:17,520 --> 00:14:21,240 Speaker 1: by gangs and gang violence. Is that going to be 247 00:14:21,400 --> 00:14:25,400 Speaker 1: enough to get asylum? Yeah? The game violence claim, well, 248 00:14:25,440 --> 00:14:27,840 Speaker 1: I mean, in some ways to claim itself reflects the 249 00:14:27,880 --> 00:14:30,800 Speaker 1: fact that there is a substantial increase in violence in 250 00:14:30,840 --> 00:14:33,720 Speaker 1: the Central American countries, right. So, uh, this is the 251 00:14:33,760 --> 00:14:36,440 Speaker 1: reason why the surge is really coming from Central America 252 00:14:36,520 --> 00:14:39,280 Speaker 1: as opposed to other countries like Mexico, which has been 253 00:14:39,360 --> 00:14:43,080 Speaker 1: sort of the focus of concern for a long time. Um. 254 00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:46,560 Speaker 1: The claims themselves really depend on a case by case basis. 255 00:14:46,760 --> 00:14:50,840 Speaker 1: There have been some claims, uh of game violence that 256 00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:55,000 Speaker 1: have successfully claimed that they were persecuting specific individuals because 257 00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:58,360 Speaker 1: they belonged to a social group of family affiliation, because 258 00:14:58,400 --> 00:15:01,200 Speaker 1: of some sort of a political penny in because maybe 259 00:15:01,240 --> 00:15:03,320 Speaker 1: they spoke out against the gags, or try to make 260 00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:06,480 Speaker 1: some sort of uh a move against them that isn't 261 00:15:06,840 --> 00:15:09,520 Speaker 1: entirely just anti game, but really sort of expressing a 262 00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:13,920 Speaker 1: political opinion about how how things should operate. Um. And 263 00:15:13,960 --> 00:15:16,040 Speaker 1: it may be actually, since a lot of these individuals 264 00:15:16,040 --> 00:15:19,640 Speaker 1: to come from Honduras, especially with the political turmoil Hunduras, 265 00:15:19,640 --> 00:15:23,080 Speaker 1: that some of them may actually be presenting claims based 266 00:15:23,080 --> 00:15:27,640 Speaker 1: on government persecution, which oftentimes would be easier case because 267 00:15:27,640 --> 00:15:30,000 Speaker 1: it falls into a political opinion. But all these things 268 00:15:30,040 --> 00:15:32,600 Speaker 1: really depend on a case by case analysis, which is 269 00:15:32,600 --> 00:15:35,160 Speaker 1: why it takes so much time. But in some ways 270 00:15:35,240 --> 00:15:37,560 Speaker 1: it's why we assure that the people that we don't 271 00:15:37,600 --> 00:15:41,040 Speaker 1: remove are the people that really are a threat based 272 00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:43,880 Speaker 1: on this treaty. Thanks so much, Rick, that's Professor Rick 273 00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:47,280 Speaker 1: Sue of the University of Buffalo School of Law. Thanks 274 00:15:47,280 --> 00:15:50,560 Speaker 1: for listening to the Bloomberg Law Podcast. You can subscribe 275 00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:53,840 Speaker 1: and listen to the show on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, and 276 00:15:53,880 --> 00:15:58,360 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. I'm June Brosso. This 277 00:15:58,720 --> 00:16:03,360 Speaker 1: is Bloomberg. Given to patent the gidn end Up, the 278 00:16:03,560 --> 00:16:04,040 Speaker 1: flume