WEBVTT - Economic Uncertainty and Market Trends - Navigating Potential Recession Risks

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<v Speaker 2>Erness What's Up?

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<v Speaker 3>But there's still a lot of uncertainty any economy. And

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<v Speaker 3>that's the thing that is like, you know, it's one thing,

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<v Speaker 3>like the sector and how much you reduce to it,

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<v Speaker 3>how much, But when the economy crashes, none of it,

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<v Speaker 3>none of it, None of that matters. If there's a

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<v Speaker 3>global recession or if there's an economy crash, then every

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<v Speaker 3>number could be good and your your projections and forecasting

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<v Speaker 3>it's not gonna matter.

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<v Speaker 2>But are there any signs of a recession? Here's the

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<v Speaker 2>funny part.

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<v Speaker 4>Now here somethings credit because the Democrats got their ass

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<v Speaker 4>kicks so bad in this selection. The media is going

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<v Speaker 4>to report if we actually hear the recession this time.

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<v Speaker 4>Last time they didn't. They changed the skew for what

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<v Speaker 4>recession was. If he get two negative quarters, it's.

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<v Speaker 2>Going to be on every channel in America.

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<v Speaker 1>He calls a recession, but there hasn't been a signs

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<v Speaker 1>of it, right if we even look at it, if

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<v Speaker 1>we can in the bondo market, the bond market, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>just if we're talking about the S and P and

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<v Speaker 1>for the last quarter, I think our average is about

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<v Speaker 1>thirteen percent on earnings, which is a positive sign. That

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<v Speaker 1>wouldn't be a sign of economy that is headed towards

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<v Speaker 1>the recession. Is there a pullback in this sector for sure?

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<v Speaker 1>So even if we looked at the next six months, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>the economy, it's really what's going to happen over the

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<v Speaker 1>next couple of weeks when we figure out what's going

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<v Speaker 1>to be the impact of these tariffs, Who are going

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<v Speaker 1>to impact and how do we combat that.

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<v Speaker 2>The lead that he had from the inauguration is gone. Yes,

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<v Speaker 2>that all those games have been.

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<v Speaker 4>That alone is scary, and if he doesn't write that ship,

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<v Speaker 4>we may drop an up to twelve or thirteen percent.

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<v Speaker 2>As a as a status in peace or a specific company.

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<v Speaker 3>That's it. But the stock market is not a direct

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<v Speaker 3>correlation on the recession. It's a laggering indicator. Yeah, we

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<v Speaker 3>have unprecedented territories that we're walking in right now. He's

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<v Speaker 3>talking about putting tariffs, global terrorts pretty much an EU China,

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<v Speaker 3>Mexico call in Canada. So you're putting teriffs on everybody

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<v Speaker 3>pretty much. Those are all every every global major power.

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<v Speaker 3>You're putting taroft for that's what one day. There's uncertainty

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<v Speaker 3>as far as the geopolitical aspect of it, as far

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<v Speaker 3>as Ukraine say you want to turn Kaza into a resort.

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<v Speaker 3>That guy Saudi Arabia man who even says that the

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<v Speaker 3>job numbers lights fishy. Inflation does come down for now.

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<v Speaker 3>They say that there's a new virus that came out

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<v Speaker 3>of China.

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<v Speaker 2>Already been whipped up.

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<v Speaker 3>A variety of different factors that's in the play here.

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<v Speaker 3>So and spending, it's like this those things we don't,

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<v Speaker 3>this could be extremely harmful to America. The cutbacks, yes,

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<v Speaker 3>because it's like you don't you can't lose. It's like

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<v Speaker 3>weight loss right if you if you lose too much

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<v Speaker 3>weight too fast, that can actually be harmful to you,

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<v Speaker 3>shock your body. You gotta lose, you gotta lose like

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<v Speaker 3>five pound. You can't just lose eighty seven pounds in

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<v Speaker 3>one week. It's danger left, that's dangerous causes complications for real.

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<v Speaker 3>So it's like you're putting a shock into the economy

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<v Speaker 3>by just trying to cut hundreds of billions of dollars.

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<v Speaker 3>It's going to be interested in how this thing plays out.

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<v Speaker 3>But I'll tell you what, if the economy is in

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<v Speaker 3>is in turmoil, none of the numbers are gonna matter.

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<v Speaker 4>Not as much, and the ones that are great are

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<v Speaker 4>going to rise to the top, and it's going to

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<v Speaker 4>be a super hyper concentration into the ones Microsoft and Video.

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<v Speaker 2>That I feel like that's what we've seen.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, even during the past three to four years when

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<v Speaker 1>you looked at the rest of one hundred and you look,

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<v Speaker 1>those weren't not moving.

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<v Speaker 3>And technically it's supposed to be a down yet, And

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<v Speaker 3>like you said, historically, the first year of a presidency

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<v Speaker 3>is pretty flat, the second year of a presidency is down,

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<v Speaker 3>and the third year of a presidency is up.

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<v Speaker 2>So I think he readrites through these books though, Bro.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, until he doesn't, right, I just until he doesn't.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I just I don't know.

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<v Speaker 3>History doesn't. History repeats itself usually.

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<v Speaker 4>Part he had a great chance to come out to

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<v Speaker 4>a great start and lead.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, yeah, the decisions were just horrible. But now he

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<v Speaker 2>has to live. He's trying to He's living on the

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<v Speaker 2>things that he said.

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<v Speaker 3>Was going to attach him. He's not a rational person.

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<v Speaker 3>He's doing a variety of irrational things. Yes, he's doing

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<v Speaker 3>a variety of irrational things. Right, you can only do

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<v Speaker 3>irrational things for so long.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah. The uncertainty is not great. It's not good. It

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't help anybody.

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<v Speaker 2>Like.

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<v Speaker 3>The things that he's doing are dangerous.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 5>An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child

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<v Speaker 5>in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from El Salvador

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<v Speaker 5>accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with

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<v Speaker 5>filming and selling child pornography, and miss These are just

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<v Speaker 5>some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President

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<v Speaker 5>Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy nom the United States

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<v Speaker 5>Secretary of Homeland Security under President Trump, attempted illegal border

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<v Speaker 5>crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over

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<v Speaker 5>one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you

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<v Speaker 5>are here illegally, your next you will be fine nearly

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<v Speaker 5>one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported. You will

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<v Speaker 5>never return. But if you register using our CBP home

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<v Speaker 5>app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally.

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<v Speaker 5>Do what's right, leave now. Under President Trump, America's laws,

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<v Speaker 5>border and families will be protected.

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<v Speaker 2>Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security,