1 00:00:01,360 --> 00:00:03,640 Speaker 1: This episode is brought to you by P and C Bank. 2 00:00:04,000 --> 00:00:06,760 Speaker 1: A lot of people think podcasts about work are boring, 3 00:00:07,000 --> 00:00:10,840 Speaker 1: and sure they definitely can be, but understanding a professionals 4 00:00:10,920 --> 00:00:14,160 Speaker 1: routine shows us how they achieve their success little by little, 5 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:18,200 Speaker 1: day after day. It's like banking with P and C Bank. 6 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:21,480 Speaker 1: It might seem boring to safe plan and make calculated 7 00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:24,599 Speaker 1: decisions with your bank, but keeping your money boring is 8 00:00:24,640 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 1: what helps you live or more happily fulfilled life. P 9 00:00:28,080 --> 00:00:32,879 Speaker 1: and C Bank Brilliantly Boring since eighteen sixty five. Brilliantly 10 00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:35,600 Speaker 1: Boring since eighteen sixty five is a service mark of 11 00:00:35,600 --> 00:00:38,840 Speaker 1: the PNC Financial Service Group, Inc. P and C Bank 12 00:00:39,280 --> 00:00:42,000 Speaker 1: National Association Member FDIC. 13 00:00:44,600 --> 00:00:45,279 Speaker 2: Erness What's Up? 14 00:00:45,360 --> 00:00:47,839 Speaker 1: You ever walk into a small business and everything just 15 00:00:47,960 --> 00:00:51,159 Speaker 1: works like the checkout is fast, the receipts are digital, 16 00:00:51,680 --> 00:00:54,640 Speaker 1: tipping is a breeze, and you're out the door before 17 00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:58,840 Speaker 1: the line even builds. Odds are they're using Square? We 18 00:00:58,960 --> 00:01:01,520 Speaker 1: love supporting business that run on Square because it just 19 00:01:01,560 --> 00:01:04,800 Speaker 1: feels seamless. Whether it's a local coffee shop, a vendor 20 00:01:04,840 --> 00:01:07,080 Speaker 1: at a pop up market, or even one of our 21 00:01:07,160 --> 00:01:10,800 Speaker 1: merch partners. Square makes it easy for them to take payments, 22 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:14,760 Speaker 1: manage inventory, and run their business with confidence, all from 23 00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:18,240 Speaker 1: one simple system. If you're a business owner or even 24 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:21,880 Speaker 1: just thinking about launching something soon, Square is hands down 25 00:01:21,880 --> 00:01:24,199 Speaker 1: one of the best tools out there to help you start, 26 00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:28,200 Speaker 1: run and grow. It's not just about payments, it's about 27 00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:30,640 Speaker 1: giving you time back so you can focus on what 28 00:01:30,800 --> 00:01:34,480 Speaker 1: matters most ready. To see how Square can transform your business, 29 00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:39,680 Speaker 1: visit Square dot com backslash, go backslash eyl to learn more. 30 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:44,600 Speaker 1: That's Square dot com backslash, go backslash eyl. Don't wait, 31 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:47,720 Speaker 1: don't hesitate. Let's Square handle the back end so you 32 00:01:47,760 --> 00:01:49,400 Speaker 1: can keep pushing your vision forward. 33 00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:54,880 Speaker 3: But there's still a lot of uncertainty any economy. And 34 00:01:54,960 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 3: that's the thing that is like, you know, it's one thing, 35 00:01:57,560 --> 00:02:00,480 Speaker 3: like the sector and how much you reduce to it, 36 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:04,800 Speaker 3: how much, But when the economy crashes, none of it, 37 00:02:04,880 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 3: none of it, None of that matters. If there's a 38 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:12,120 Speaker 3: global recession or if there's an economy crash, then every 39 00:02:12,200 --> 00:02:16,799 Speaker 3: number could be good and your your projections and forecasting 40 00:02:17,520 --> 00:02:18,360 Speaker 3: it's not gonna matter. 41 00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:21,600 Speaker 2: But are there any signs of a recession? Here's the 42 00:02:21,639 --> 00:02:22,160 Speaker 2: funny part. 43 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:26,960 Speaker 4: Now here somethings credit because the Democrats got their ass 44 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:29,840 Speaker 4: kicks so bad in this selection. The media is going 45 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 4: to report if we actually hear the recession this time. 46 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:35,960 Speaker 4: Last time they didn't. They changed the skew for what 47 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:40,320 Speaker 4: recession was. If he get two negative quarters, it's. 48 00:02:40,160 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 2: Going to be on every channel in America. 49 00:02:42,400 --> 00:02:44,680 Speaker 1: He calls a recession, but there hasn't been a signs 50 00:02:44,680 --> 00:02:46,000 Speaker 1: of it, right if we even look at it, if 51 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:48,400 Speaker 1: we can in the bondo market, the bond market, I'm 52 00:02:48,400 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 1: just if we're talking about the S and P and 53 00:02:50,880 --> 00:02:52,880 Speaker 1: for the last quarter, I think our average is about 54 00:02:53,280 --> 00:02:56,400 Speaker 1: thirteen percent on earnings, which is a positive sign. That 55 00:02:56,400 --> 00:02:59,200 Speaker 1: wouldn't be a sign of economy that is headed towards 56 00:02:59,200 --> 00:03:02,400 Speaker 1: the recession. Is there a pullback in this sector for sure? 57 00:03:02,880 --> 00:03:06,440 Speaker 1: So even if we looked at the next six months, yeah, 58 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:10,040 Speaker 1: the economy, it's really what's going to happen over the 59 00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 1: next couple of weeks when we figure out what's going 60 00:03:12,480 --> 00:03:14,400 Speaker 1: to be the impact of these tariffs, Who are going 61 00:03:14,440 --> 00:03:16,400 Speaker 1: to impact and how do we combat that. 62 00:03:17,800 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 2: The lead that he had from the inauguration is gone. Yes, 63 00:03:21,560 --> 00:03:22,920 Speaker 2: that all those games have been. 64 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:26,440 Speaker 4: That alone is scary, and if he doesn't write that ship, 65 00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:29,399 Speaker 4: we may drop an up to twelve or thirteen percent. 66 00:03:30,480 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 2: As a as a status in peace or a specific company. 67 00:03:35,720 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 3: That's it. But the stock market is not a direct 68 00:03:38,760 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 3: correlation on the recession. It's a laggering indicator. Yeah, we 69 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:46,200 Speaker 3: have unprecedented territories that we're walking in right now. He's 70 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:50,320 Speaker 3: talking about putting tariffs, global terrorts pretty much an EU China, 71 00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:54,800 Speaker 3: Mexico call in Canada. So you're putting teriffs on everybody 72 00:03:54,880 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 3: pretty much. Those are all every every global major power. 73 00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:03,080 Speaker 3: You're putting taroft for that's what one day. There's uncertainty 74 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:06,080 Speaker 3: as far as the geopolitical aspect of it, as far 75 00:04:06,080 --> 00:04:10,320 Speaker 3: as Ukraine say you want to turn Kaza into a resort. 76 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:15,160 Speaker 3: That guy Saudi Arabia man who even says that the 77 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:22,040 Speaker 3: job numbers lights fishy. Inflation does come down for now. 78 00:04:23,320 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 3: They say that there's a new virus that came out 79 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:27,120 Speaker 3: of China. 80 00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:28,880 Speaker 2: Already been whipped up. 81 00:04:29,160 --> 00:04:31,200 Speaker 3: A variety of different factors that's in the play here. 82 00:04:32,160 --> 00:04:40,040 Speaker 3: So and spending, it's like this those things we don't, 83 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 3: this could be extremely harmful to America. The cutbacks, yes, 84 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:51,359 Speaker 3: because it's like you don't you can't lose. It's like 85 00:04:51,760 --> 00:04:54,640 Speaker 3: weight loss right if you if you lose too much 86 00:04:54,680 --> 00:04:56,719 Speaker 3: weight too fast, that can actually be harmful to you, 87 00:04:57,160 --> 00:04:59,919 Speaker 3: shock your body. You gotta lose, you gotta lose like 88 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:02,520 Speaker 3: five pound. You can't just lose eighty seven pounds in 89 00:05:02,560 --> 00:05:07,920 Speaker 3: one week. It's danger left, that's dangerous causes complications for real. 90 00:05:08,160 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 3: So it's like you're putting a shock into the economy 91 00:05:12,520 --> 00:05:18,080 Speaker 3: by just trying to cut hundreds of billions of dollars. 92 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:21,360 Speaker 3: It's going to be interested in how this thing plays out. 93 00:05:21,400 --> 00:05:26,039 Speaker 3: But I'll tell you what, if the economy is in 94 00:05:26,440 --> 00:05:29,520 Speaker 3: is in turmoil, none of the numbers are gonna matter. 95 00:05:31,400 --> 00:05:33,880 Speaker 4: Not as much, and the ones that are great are 96 00:05:33,880 --> 00:05:35,320 Speaker 4: going to rise to the top, and it's going to 97 00:05:35,320 --> 00:05:39,200 Speaker 4: be a super hyper concentration into the ones Microsoft and Video. 98 00:05:39,040 --> 00:05:40,839 Speaker 2: That I feel like that's what we've seen. 99 00:05:40,960 --> 00:05:44,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, even during the past three to four years when 100 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:47,400 Speaker 1: you looked at the rest of one hundred and you look, 101 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:49,080 Speaker 1: those weren't not moving. 102 00:05:49,240 --> 00:05:50,960 Speaker 3: And technically it's supposed to be a down yet, And 103 00:05:51,240 --> 00:05:53,920 Speaker 3: like you said, historically, the first year of a presidency 104 00:05:54,400 --> 00:05:57,040 Speaker 3: is pretty flat, the second year of a presidency is down, 105 00:05:57,640 --> 00:05:59,360 Speaker 3: and the third year of a presidency is up. 106 00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:02,880 Speaker 2: So I think he readrites through these books though, Bro. 107 00:06:03,000 --> 00:06:05,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, until he doesn't, right, I just until he doesn't. 108 00:06:05,960 --> 00:06:06,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, I just I don't know. 109 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:09,400 Speaker 3: History doesn't. History repeats itself usually. 110 00:06:10,440 --> 00:06:12,479 Speaker 4: Part he had a great chance to come out to 111 00:06:12,520 --> 00:06:13,880 Speaker 4: a great start and lead. 112 00:06:13,960 --> 00:06:16,359 Speaker 2: Well, yeah, the decisions were just horrible. But now he 113 00:06:16,400 --> 00:06:18,279 Speaker 2: has to live. He's trying to He's living on the 114 00:06:18,320 --> 00:06:19,159 Speaker 2: things that he said. 115 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:22,280 Speaker 3: Was going to attach him. He's not a rational person. 116 00:06:23,080 --> 00:06:26,280 Speaker 3: He's doing a variety of irrational things. Yes, he's doing 117 00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:29,640 Speaker 3: a variety of irrational things. Right, you can only do 118 00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:31,080 Speaker 3: irrational things for so long. 119 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:34,400 Speaker 1: Yeah. The uncertainty is not great. It's not good. It 120 00:06:34,440 --> 00:06:35,279 Speaker 1: doesn't help anybody. 121 00:06:36,200 --> 00:06:36,279 Speaker 2: Like. 122 00:06:38,279 --> 00:06:41,520 Speaker 3: The things that he's doing are dangerous. 123 00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:44,919 Speaker 2: Yeah. 124 00:06:45,520 --> 00:06:49,120 Speaker 5: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child 125 00:06:49,200 --> 00:06:53,000 Speaker 5: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from El Salvador 126 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:57,400 Speaker 5: accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with 127 00:06:57,440 --> 00:07:01,359 Speaker 5: filming and selling child pornography, and miss These are just 128 00:07:01,440 --> 00:07:05,200 Speaker 5: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President 129 00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:08,839 Speaker 5: Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy nom the United States 130 00:07:08,839 --> 00:07:13,640 Speaker 5: Secretary of Homeland Security under President Trump, attempted illegal border 131 00:07:13,680 --> 00:07:17,200 Speaker 5: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over 132 00:07:17,280 --> 00:07:20,520 Speaker 5: one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you 133 00:07:20,560 --> 00:07:24,440 Speaker 5: are here illegally, your next you will be fine nearly 134 00:07:24,520 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 5: one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported. You will 135 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:32,200 Speaker 5: never return. But if you register using our CBP home 136 00:07:32,240 --> 00:07:35,640 Speaker 5: app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally. 137 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 5: Do what's right, leave now. Under President Trump, America's laws, 138 00:07:40,920 --> 00:07:43,360 Speaker 5: border and families will be protected. 139 00:07:43,440 --> 00:07:45,600 Speaker 2: Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security,