WEBVTT - Day One, Part Two at Schwab Impact in San Francisco

0:00:02.560 --> 0:00:06.920
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.

0:00:07.160 --> 0:00:10.480
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and

0:00:10.560 --> 0:00:12.960
<v Speaker 2>Tim Stenebek on Bloomberg Radio.

0:00:13.119 --> 0:00:14.480
<v Speaker 3>All right, let's get to Dana Dioria.

0:00:14.520 --> 0:00:17.040
<v Speaker 4>It's so sweet to have her actually here on site

0:00:17.079 --> 0:00:19.480
<v Speaker 4>with us. We're often talking to her remotely. Dana is

0:00:19.520 --> 0:00:23.000
<v Speaker 4>co chief investment Officer at Investment. They provide technology and

0:00:23.040 --> 0:00:25.280
<v Speaker 4>services to the wealth and asset management. They've got more

0:00:25.320 --> 0:00:28.640
<v Speaker 4>than five point eight trillion dollars in platform assets, more

0:00:28.640 --> 0:00:31.240
<v Speaker 4>than one hundred and eight thousand advisors, sixteen of the

0:00:31.280 --> 0:00:34.519
<v Speaker 4>twenty largest US banks, forty eight of the fifty largest

0:00:34.520 --> 0:00:36.760
<v Speaker 4>wealth management and brokerage firms, more than five hundred of

0:00:36.800 --> 0:00:40.360
<v Speaker 4>the largest RAS, thousands of companies as clients. She's all in,

0:00:40.560 --> 0:00:42.640
<v Speaker 4>and I got to say their platform sees a lot.

0:00:42.479 --> 0:00:44.159
<v Speaker 2>Tim, Dana Dioria, good to see you.

0:00:44.240 --> 0:00:45.600
<v Speaker 3>Welcome, Welcome to you.

0:00:45.920 --> 0:00:49.480
<v Speaker 2>Usually usually we see you in a little screen on yeah,

0:00:49.560 --> 0:00:52.080
<v Speaker 2>exactly in our studio black, So it's good to see

0:00:52.120 --> 0:00:55.200
<v Speaker 2>you here in person. What's the tone that you're taking

0:00:55.240 --> 0:00:57.960
<v Speaker 2>away here in this first day at Schwab.

0:00:57.720 --> 0:00:59.560
<v Speaker 1>Impact, Well, I think, and it's awesome to have you

0:00:59.600 --> 0:01:02.120
<v Speaker 1>here with the in our in our ecosystem, so to speak,

0:01:02.200 --> 0:01:06.200
<v Speaker 1>right the retail advisor. Yeah, look, it's it's all energy, right,

0:01:06.360 --> 0:01:09.720
<v Speaker 1>It's a lot of excitement, you know. The I've always

0:01:09.720 --> 0:01:12.600
<v Speaker 1>said and I often say that asset management and tech

0:01:12.640 --> 0:01:15.400
<v Speaker 1>are sort of blurring the lines a lot. And as

0:01:15.480 --> 0:01:18.520
<v Speaker 1>tech gets better and better at bringing solutions to the

0:01:18.560 --> 0:01:20.560
<v Speaker 1>advisory base, and we're just seeing that in these hype

0:01:20.600 --> 0:01:23.440
<v Speaker 1>conferences and impact is you know, just huge in our space.

0:01:23.480 --> 0:01:24.680
<v Speaker 3>Tell us about flows and stuff.

0:01:24.680 --> 0:01:26.560
<v Speaker 4>And I also think if you've seen anything different or

0:01:26.600 --> 0:01:29.680
<v Speaker 4>what you're hearing from your client base post elections, right, Uh,

0:01:29.800 --> 0:01:31.600
<v Speaker 4>you know, one one element of.

0:01:31.560 --> 0:01:32.840
<v Speaker 3>What is it going to be? How's it going to

0:01:32.880 --> 0:01:33.240
<v Speaker 3>play out?

0:01:33.280 --> 0:01:34.760
<v Speaker 4>Is off the table, and then there's a new set

0:01:34.760 --> 0:01:36.120
<v Speaker 4>in terms of the policies to come.

0:01:36.240 --> 0:01:37.960
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, for sure. I mean, of course there was the

0:01:37.959 --> 0:01:40.640
<v Speaker 1>Trump trade, and you know, if you happen to get

0:01:40.800 --> 0:01:42.440
<v Speaker 1>or you I won't say, happen if you if you

0:01:42.520 --> 0:01:45.360
<v Speaker 1>made that bet and you know, uh, pharma and fossil

0:01:45.360 --> 0:01:48.040
<v Speaker 1>fuels and financials and we're gonna have lower like regulation

0:01:48.080 --> 0:01:51.240
<v Speaker 1>and everything. I mean certainly you made a buck, right

0:01:51.360 --> 0:01:53.240
<v Speaker 1>if you if you went for that trade.

0:01:53.600 --> 0:01:55.520
<v Speaker 3>I think crypto crypto boom.

0:01:55.360 --> 0:01:57.480
<v Speaker 2>Right, when you say pharma, do you mean shorting pharma

0:01:57.640 --> 0:01:58.400
<v Speaker 2>or no, you mean.

0:01:58.320 --> 0:02:00.760
<v Speaker 1>Big just lower regulations right the whole.

0:02:00.840 --> 0:02:03.760
<v Speaker 2>Like Ideak's in charge, he might get a little angry.

0:02:03.520 --> 0:02:05.880
<v Speaker 3>With pharma, right, I mean there's new.

0:02:06.280 --> 0:02:08.120
<v Speaker 2>We saw farming companies fall when his when he was

0:02:08.160 --> 0:02:10.640
<v Speaker 2>his name was announced.

0:02:10.160 --> 0:02:13.240
<v Speaker 1>And there's new and every day, right, new information, especially

0:02:13.240 --> 0:02:15.320
<v Speaker 1>now that we're getting all the cabinet picks. I think,

0:02:15.440 --> 0:02:18.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, I draw the line between what was happening

0:02:18.080 --> 0:02:20.360
<v Speaker 1>prior to the election and what people were kind of

0:02:20.440 --> 0:02:23.520
<v Speaker 1>obviously taking that bet. And you know, the market price

0:02:23.560 --> 0:02:27.120
<v Speaker 1>can only reflect probabilities plus you know the outcome and

0:02:27.120 --> 0:02:29.320
<v Speaker 1>and some and it's one number to reflect all of that.

0:02:29.680 --> 0:02:32.600
<v Speaker 1>So yeah, probably if you if you made these bets

0:02:32.600 --> 0:02:35.000
<v Speaker 1>ahead of time, you made that buck. Uh. Now where

0:02:35.000 --> 0:02:37.240
<v Speaker 1>you stand is how well is the market pricing in

0:02:37.560 --> 0:02:39.840
<v Speaker 1>exactly that kind of information that you're talking about. Not

0:02:40.080 --> 0:02:43.440
<v Speaker 1>just do I think that you know this administration will

0:02:43.440 --> 0:02:45.440
<v Speaker 1>be good for pharma? Do I think this administration will

0:02:45.480 --> 0:02:47.280
<v Speaker 1>be good for fossil fuels? But how well is the

0:02:47.280 --> 0:02:50.040
<v Speaker 1>market pricing in that likelihood? And can I you know,

0:02:50.160 --> 0:02:51.080
<v Speaker 1>hang on for the ride.

0:02:51.120 --> 0:02:54.040
<v Speaker 4>It's so interesting Tim brought this up our Matt Miller,

0:02:54.960 --> 0:02:59.480
<v Speaker 4>and we're anchoring just before us and just saying how

0:02:59.560 --> 0:03:02.040
<v Speaker 4>and Vidio is like the most important thing, even more

0:03:02.040 --> 0:03:03.560
<v Speaker 4>than what like the Fed's going to do next.

0:03:04.520 --> 0:03:07.480
<v Speaker 3>Having said that, what the FED does next.

0:03:07.320 --> 0:03:10.520
<v Speaker 4>Is important, and I think what we think today may

0:03:10.520 --> 0:03:12.280
<v Speaker 4>not be exactly what we're going to be thinking a

0:03:12.320 --> 0:03:14.800
<v Speaker 4>week before the FED meeting. So how are you thinking

0:03:14.840 --> 0:03:16.239
<v Speaker 4>about FED policy right now?

0:03:16.600 --> 0:03:19.440
<v Speaker 1>You know, I'll tell you I have aired on the

0:03:19.520 --> 0:03:22.200
<v Speaker 1>side of they're going to need to be cautious about

0:03:22.240 --> 0:03:24.280
<v Speaker 1>these rate cuts. In fact, they didn't really expect that

0:03:24.320 --> 0:03:26.440
<v Speaker 1>fifty basis point right, And you know, I think it

0:03:26.440 --> 0:03:28.920
<v Speaker 1>was pre election and they decided to do it. I

0:03:28.919 --> 0:03:31.120
<v Speaker 1>think they thought they were behind in July. But when

0:03:31.160 --> 0:03:34.080
<v Speaker 1>you see inflation kind of sticking and you understand that,

0:03:34.240 --> 0:03:37.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, tariffs could potentially be inflationary, you know, we

0:03:37.560 --> 0:03:39.440
<v Speaker 1>may be looking at an administration that wants to run

0:03:39.440 --> 0:03:42.560
<v Speaker 1>the economy a bit hot. They're looking at fiscal policy

0:03:42.760 --> 0:03:45.760
<v Speaker 1>and you know, monetary policy that maybe has to counteract

0:03:45.760 --> 0:03:47.920
<v Speaker 1>some of that. So when you put that together, I

0:03:48.080 --> 0:03:50.920
<v Speaker 1>just don't think we can expect the big tailwind from

0:03:50.960 --> 0:03:52.480
<v Speaker 1>interest rate cuts in the coming year.

0:03:52.960 --> 0:03:55.200
<v Speaker 3>Interesting Wall nothing December.

0:03:56.360 --> 0:03:58.760
<v Speaker 1>I think December is definitely on the table, and the

0:03:58.800 --> 0:04:02.080
<v Speaker 1>base case is yes. But I also don't think it's

0:04:02.080 --> 0:04:03.880
<v Speaker 1>out of the realm of possibility that they don't do

0:04:03.960 --> 0:04:06.120
<v Speaker 1>it in December, depending on the data that comes out

0:04:06.160 --> 0:04:06.840
<v Speaker 1>between now and then.

0:04:06.880 --> 0:04:09.240
<v Speaker 2>So does that mean a higher terminal rate? Does that

0:04:09.320 --> 0:04:12.040
<v Speaker 2>mean that the new sort of normal stance of monetary

0:04:12.080 --> 0:04:13.880
<v Speaker 2>policy is high forever?

0:04:14.720 --> 0:04:17.560
<v Speaker 1>I think higher for longer, and we're back to this

0:04:17.720 --> 0:04:18.560
<v Speaker 1>terminology right.

0:04:18.839 --> 0:04:20.320
<v Speaker 2>Think about what think about the round trip we did

0:04:20.320 --> 0:04:22.480
<v Speaker 2>a year ago, Carol, we were sitting here after j.

0:04:22.600 --> 0:04:25.039
<v Speaker 2>Powell gives a press conference, I'd say eleven months ago,

0:04:25.400 --> 0:04:27.760
<v Speaker 2>basically like, oh, we'll see you know, six seven rate

0:04:27.800 --> 0:04:31.080
<v Speaker 2>cuts in twenty twenty four that obviously did not happen.

0:04:31.080 --> 0:04:33.720
<v Speaker 2>Now the question is, okay, well, is the terminal rate

0:04:33.800 --> 0:04:35.240
<v Speaker 2>something higher than we thought it would be.

0:04:35.600 --> 0:04:38.760
<v Speaker 1>I think the market has overshot the expectation of rate cuts.

0:04:38.760 --> 0:04:40.440
<v Speaker 1>You just said it, right, just going back to what

0:04:40.480 --> 0:04:43.160
<v Speaker 1>we saw. You know, of course, where did we begin

0:04:43.240 --> 0:04:45.679
<v Speaker 1>this year right with this huge expectation of rate cuts

0:04:45.680 --> 0:04:47.719
<v Speaker 1>and that was just that never made any sense depending

0:04:47.760 --> 0:04:50.080
<v Speaker 1>on you know, what the economy was doing. Anyway, I

0:04:50.120 --> 0:04:53.440
<v Speaker 1>think we've overshot I think the end point. It depends

0:04:53.480 --> 0:04:55.600
<v Speaker 1>on where you call this end point. Yes, I think

0:04:55.640 --> 0:04:58.160
<v Speaker 1>it could be a little bit higher than what is anticipated,

0:04:58.320 --> 0:05:02.000
<v Speaker 1>But I also think the slowness of the cuts and

0:05:02.040 --> 0:05:05.200
<v Speaker 1>the market you know, pricing that in and and you

0:05:05.200 --> 0:05:07.599
<v Speaker 1>know there there's a there's a little bit of a

0:05:07.600 --> 0:05:10.240
<v Speaker 1>case here to just stop the rate cuts all together.

0:05:09.960 --> 0:05:13.520
<v Speaker 3>For now is amazing. You guys shared your your team

0:05:13.560 --> 0:05:14.240
<v Speaker 3>shared of.

0:05:14.160 --> 0:05:16.160
<v Speaker 4>Some notes from you and said knowing what a candidate

0:05:16.200 --> 0:05:18.640
<v Speaker 4>favors also doesn't do much for figuring out what will

0:05:18.640 --> 0:05:20.560
<v Speaker 4>prevail over the course of the presidency from a stock

0:05:20.560 --> 0:05:24.000
<v Speaker 4>return perspective. For example, cold stocks have excelled under Biden,

0:05:24.360 --> 0:05:26.880
<v Speaker 4>while clean energy shares are performed under Trump. And you say,

0:05:26.960 --> 0:05:28.440
<v Speaker 4>that's our data, Bloomberg data.

0:05:28.600 --> 0:05:30.200
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, so it's.

0:05:30.200 --> 0:05:33.599
<v Speaker 4>Right, Like it's just it just reminds us there's so

0:05:33.720 --> 0:05:36.320
<v Speaker 4>much that we know that we don't know.

0:05:37.000 --> 0:05:40.359
<v Speaker 1>It's numerator and denominator, right, you know, it's what's going

0:05:40.440 --> 0:05:43.240
<v Speaker 1>to be good for the revenue of these companies, but

0:05:43.320 --> 0:05:47.039
<v Speaker 1>also how much the market has discounted that capability and

0:05:47.080 --> 0:05:49.680
<v Speaker 1>if and if there's too much of a discount, you know,

0:05:50.040 --> 0:05:53.599
<v Speaker 1>then it can't meet that And that goes right into Nvidia.

0:05:53.720 --> 0:05:56.159
<v Speaker 1>Is it price to perfection or is it you know,

0:05:56.520 --> 0:05:58.120
<v Speaker 1>way past the price of perfection.

0:05:58.240 --> 0:05:59.279
<v Speaker 3>So talk to us about Nvidia.

0:05:59.320 --> 0:06:01.760
<v Speaker 4>It's our focus now and understandably, in about thirteen minutes

0:06:01.800 --> 0:06:04.200
<v Speaker 4>we're going to be breaking down those results. We were

0:06:04.200 --> 0:06:07.800
<v Speaker 4>saying that options trading right now signals that the results

0:06:07.839 --> 0:06:11.719
<v Speaker 4>will be the most significant important catalyst.

0:06:11.480 --> 0:06:14.600
<v Speaker 3>Left this this year. How are you thinking about it?

0:06:14.640 --> 0:06:17.240
<v Speaker 4>What you might be ultimately hearing from clients and investors later,

0:06:17.279 --> 0:06:18.680
<v Speaker 4>I don't know tie it up for us.

0:06:18.720 --> 0:06:21.279
<v Speaker 1>The way that we think about it is when we

0:06:21.320 --> 0:06:23.680
<v Speaker 1>look at portfolios and just we look at the research

0:06:23.720 --> 0:06:26.440
<v Speaker 1>too around just what it's done to portfolios, the intense

0:06:26.480 --> 0:06:29.960
<v Speaker 1>concentration in these indexes, these big big names like in Vidia,

0:06:30.279 --> 0:06:33.720
<v Speaker 1>and so much of investor portfolios are actually sitting on

0:06:33.760 --> 0:06:36.120
<v Speaker 1>these outcomes, and I don't think a lot of investors

0:06:36.160 --> 0:06:39.119
<v Speaker 1>understand that, right. So if you say, okay, in Vidia

0:06:39.240 --> 0:06:43.240
<v Speaker 1>beat beat beat expectations and it does phenomenally, well, you

0:06:43.279 --> 0:06:44.240
<v Speaker 1>know that's fantastic.

0:06:44.640 --> 0:06:46.159
<v Speaker 3>If even if in videos, I.

0:06:46.160 --> 0:06:48.279
<v Speaker 1>Think we all know in Vidia's got a very good

0:06:48.320 --> 0:06:51.200
<v Speaker 1>product that is going to drive for a long period

0:06:51.240 --> 0:06:52.440
<v Speaker 1>of time, I'm still buying growth.

0:06:52.560 --> 0:06:54.520
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, right, So what.

0:06:54.560 --> 0:06:57.839
<v Speaker 1>Happens in this moment is that is not super important

0:06:57.839 --> 0:07:00.000
<v Speaker 1>for the for the course of what happens with AI

0:07:00.120 --> 0:07:02.200
<v Speaker 1>over the course of the year. But we are living

0:07:02.240 --> 0:07:04.719
<v Speaker 1>in a period of concentration where it is super important

0:07:04.760 --> 0:07:05.920
<v Speaker 1>for our client portfolios.

0:07:06.240 --> 0:07:08.840
<v Speaker 4>People want to know right, they care, they care. There

0:07:08.839 --> 0:07:11.040
<v Speaker 4>are just certain things that are like guiding lights. Dana,

0:07:11.160 --> 0:07:12.440
<v Speaker 4>so great to catch up with you again.

0:07:12.520 --> 0:07:13.440
<v Speaker 1>Thank you for having me.

0:07:13.600 --> 0:07:14.200
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, thank you.

0:07:14.560 --> 0:07:18.240
<v Speaker 4>Danna Dioria, co Chief investment Officer Evia Vestnet joining us

0:07:18.320 --> 0:07:19.600
<v Speaker 4>right here at Schwab Impact.

0:07:19.680 --> 0:07:21.760
<v Speaker 3>We're going to talk a little bit about ETFs right now.

0:07:21.960 --> 0:07:24.840
<v Speaker 4>A new record ninety six percent of ETFs have posted

0:07:25.080 --> 0:07:27.520
<v Speaker 4>positive returns of the past year. The majority of products

0:07:27.560 --> 0:07:31.040
<v Speaker 4>headed for double digit wins. Our Bloomberg intelligence team did

0:07:31.080 --> 0:07:33.600
<v Speaker 4>some analysis and this is what they found out and

0:07:33.680 --> 0:07:36.400
<v Speaker 4>tim the average US domiciled ETF up fourteen percent of

0:07:36.480 --> 0:07:39.600
<v Speaker 4>the past twelve months. Everybody's all in, Yeah they are.

0:07:40.680 --> 0:07:43.960
<v Speaker 2>It's like it's like the normal thing. Are ETFs now?

0:07:44.000 --> 0:07:46.239
<v Speaker 2>I mean, get this, Schwab started in the ETF business

0:07:46.280 --> 0:07:48.240
<v Speaker 2>fifteen years ago. It's one of the dominant players. They

0:07:48.240 --> 0:07:52.000
<v Speaker 2>got thirty one ETFs, including ten fixed income offerings, making

0:07:52.000 --> 0:07:54.880
<v Speaker 2>it the fifth largest provider of ETFs with more. Let's

0:07:54.880 --> 0:07:57.440
<v Speaker 2>bring in David botset Managing director, head of Innovation in

0:07:57.480 --> 0:08:00.440
<v Speaker 2>Stewardship at Schwab here on site in Sanford, Cisco.

0:08:00.640 --> 0:08:03.040
<v Speaker 5>Hello, good to see you. Good to see you. It's

0:08:03.080 --> 0:08:05.720
<v Speaker 5>been since last year since we talked an impact in Philadelphia.

0:08:05.760 --> 0:08:07.640
<v Speaker 3>Nothing's gone on in the past year, nothing at all.

0:08:08.120 --> 0:08:10.520
<v Speaker 2>Well, it's funny you think about innovation in the space,

0:08:10.560 --> 0:08:12.200
<v Speaker 2>and we've seen some big innovations this year when it

0:08:12.200 --> 0:08:15.560
<v Speaker 2>comes to crypto ETF specifically bitcoin and ether ETFs. How

0:08:15.600 --> 0:08:17.640
<v Speaker 2>do you think about innovation when it comes to ETFs.

0:08:17.680 --> 0:08:19.400
<v Speaker 5>You know, the first thing we start with is what

0:08:19.440 --> 0:08:21.600
<v Speaker 5>are the investor needs? You know, that's at the heart

0:08:21.640 --> 0:08:23.760
<v Speaker 5>and the ethos of everything we've been doing in ETF

0:08:23.840 --> 0:08:25.760
<v Speaker 5>so the past fifteen years you mentioned, and that's really

0:08:25.760 --> 0:08:28.080
<v Speaker 5>helped compel stuff up to four hundred billion dollars in

0:08:28.120 --> 0:08:30.840
<v Speaker 5>assets in our ETFs. So we've been doing an annual

0:08:30.880 --> 0:08:34.320
<v Speaker 5>ETF investor study now for over a decade that's asking

0:08:34.440 --> 0:08:38.440
<v Speaker 5>questions of both ETF investors and non ETF investors about

0:08:38.840 --> 0:08:42.000
<v Speaker 5>their various views on how do they think about ETFs,

0:08:42.040 --> 0:08:44.600
<v Speaker 5>what's most important to them about what they're investing in

0:08:44.880 --> 0:08:47.560
<v Speaker 5>and what categories they may invest in the future. That

0:08:47.679 --> 0:08:50.400
<v Speaker 5>provides us a lot of great insights to help drive

0:08:50.440 --> 0:08:51.680
<v Speaker 5>our innovation in the space.

0:08:52.000 --> 0:08:56.480
<v Speaker 4>All Right, So for non ETF investors versus ETF investors,

0:08:56.520 --> 0:08:57.640
<v Speaker 4>what they want is it different?

0:08:58.160 --> 0:09:01.080
<v Speaker 5>You know, there are some nuances to them. So in

0:09:01.120 --> 0:09:03.960
<v Speaker 5>some cases it's very much the same. It's things that

0:09:04.000 --> 0:09:07.240
<v Speaker 5>they're looking at when they're selecting an ETF, like cost right,

0:09:07.320 --> 0:09:10.120
<v Speaker 5>that stands out in both categories. But there are other

0:09:10.160 --> 0:09:13.680
<v Speaker 5>areas where we see non ETF investors they need more education,

0:09:13.800 --> 0:09:17.000
<v Speaker 5>they need more insights because their confidence level in selecting

0:09:17.000 --> 0:09:20.640
<v Speaker 5>an ETF is much less than those that are ETF investors.

0:09:20.760 --> 0:09:21.640
<v Speaker 5>Makes sense, it does.

0:09:21.800 --> 0:09:24.319
<v Speaker 4>Hey, listen, one thing that they need is a mortgage

0:09:24.360 --> 0:09:28.199
<v Speaker 4>backed security ETF, which just you guys launched this week

0:09:28.559 --> 0:09:29.600
<v Speaker 4>one day ago yesterday.

0:09:29.720 --> 0:09:32.439
<v Speaker 5>Yes, it was so tell us about that. You know what,

0:09:33.000 --> 0:09:35.640
<v Speaker 5>We listen to our investor base. The one thing that

0:09:35.640 --> 0:09:38.360
<v Speaker 5>they tell us is we need more precise tools for

0:09:38.400 --> 0:09:40.520
<v Speaker 5>our fixed income allocation. You know, we go back a

0:09:40.600 --> 0:09:43.840
<v Speaker 5>decade and everybody was using the aggregate index to get

0:09:43.880 --> 0:09:46.840
<v Speaker 5>their fixed income exposure. But in a dynamic interest rate

0:09:46.960 --> 0:09:49.240
<v Speaker 5>environment like we're in today, they want to control for

0:09:49.679 --> 0:09:53.320
<v Speaker 5>sector exposure, they want to control for duration, they want

0:09:53.360 --> 0:09:57.120
<v Speaker 5>to control for the credit quality and their portfolio. Mortgage

0:09:57.120 --> 0:09:59.559
<v Speaker 5>backed securities is one of those that frequently are under

0:10:00.320 --> 0:10:03.280
<v Speaker 5>utilized in a portfolio, but they think about how do

0:10:03.320 --> 0:10:08.040
<v Speaker 5>I redynamicize that aggregate exposure. They want that precision in

0:10:08.760 --> 0:10:09.760
<v Speaker 5>an MBS ETF.

0:10:09.920 --> 0:10:11.920
<v Speaker 2>Are you thinking about getting into what our own Eric

0:10:11.960 --> 0:10:15.960
<v Speaker 2>Beltunas over at Bloomer Intelligence calls the hot sauce ETFs. Like,

0:10:16.559 --> 0:10:19.040
<v Speaker 2>if you've got ninety five percent of your portfolio, you know,

0:10:19.160 --> 0:10:22.439
<v Speaker 2>in large cap stocks and maybe some bond funds, you

0:10:22.520 --> 0:10:25.040
<v Speaker 2>got five percent to play with, Maybe you throw some

0:10:25.120 --> 0:10:28.960
<v Speaker 2>into ARC or you throw some into Bitcoin ETF. Are

0:10:29.000 --> 0:10:31.840
<v Speaker 2>you guys thinking about getting into that sort of specialty category?

0:10:31.880 --> 0:10:33.720
<v Speaker 2>Maybe go leveraged in Vidia ETF.

0:10:34.480 --> 0:10:37.160
<v Speaker 5>You know, our bread and butter largely is in the

0:10:37.160 --> 0:10:42.640
<v Speaker 5>core analyst Eric's a great guy. I'd love to work

0:10:42.679 --> 0:10:44.320
<v Speaker 5>with them, but you know, our bread and butter is

0:10:44.360 --> 0:10:47.680
<v Speaker 5>really in the core products and solutions, right because where

0:10:47.720 --> 0:10:50.120
<v Speaker 5>we see the benefit that we can provide as an

0:10:50.120 --> 0:10:53.320
<v Speaker 5>ETF provider is on cost, which is number one in

0:10:53.360 --> 0:10:56.559
<v Speaker 5>our survey year and year again, Cost number one thing

0:10:56.640 --> 0:10:57.240
<v Speaker 5>people look.

0:10:57.080 --> 0:10:59.280
<v Speaker 2>At so there's a race to the bottom with those

0:10:59.400 --> 0:11:02.600
<v Speaker 2>sort of big broad ETF because there is so much competition.

0:11:02.679 --> 0:11:03.960
<v Speaker 2>And that's why I think you see a lot of

0:11:03.960 --> 0:11:06.200
<v Speaker 2>innovation happening in the Okay, well, how can we make

0:11:06.240 --> 0:11:09.480
<v Speaker 2>our product unique and also charge fifty basis points instead

0:11:09.480 --> 0:11:10.800
<v Speaker 2>of eight basis points?

0:11:10.840 --> 0:11:13.120
<v Speaker 5>Yes, well, I think you'll see us innovating in that

0:11:13.160 --> 0:11:16.319
<v Speaker 5>space is less on those hot sauce areas, and it's

0:11:16.360 --> 0:11:18.800
<v Speaker 5>more thinking about how do we use the ETF wrapper

0:11:18.840 --> 0:11:22.400
<v Speaker 5>in other ways bring actively managed strategies. Earlier this year

0:11:22.440 --> 0:11:25.880
<v Speaker 5>we launched the Schwab Alter Short Income ETF. You know,

0:11:25.880 --> 0:11:28.640
<v Speaker 5>you look at that alter short space, it's really hard

0:11:28.640 --> 0:11:31.600
<v Speaker 5>to index that category. We also think it's an area

0:11:31.640 --> 0:11:34.240
<v Speaker 5>where an active manager can potentially provide alpha.

0:11:34.400 --> 0:11:36.000
<v Speaker 3>Is it all about active going forward?

0:11:36.160 --> 0:11:38.440
<v Speaker 5>You know, I don't think it's all about active, Yeah,

0:11:38.480 --> 0:11:41.280
<v Speaker 5>but increasingly you're seeing that in that space that's either

0:11:41.320 --> 0:11:44.640
<v Speaker 5>coming through new launches or conversions of active mutual funds

0:11:44.640 --> 0:11:47.280
<v Speaker 5>and ETFs there, and they're taking an outsized portion of

0:11:47.520 --> 0:11:48.240
<v Speaker 5>the flows this year.

0:11:48.320 --> 0:11:50.360
<v Speaker 3>I always think about this, David. I began kind of

0:11:50.360 --> 0:11:51.760
<v Speaker 3>my career in business news.

0:11:51.800 --> 0:11:53.800
<v Speaker 2>You had a show, an ETF show, right or mutual.

0:11:53.520 --> 0:11:57.120
<v Speaker 4>Fund Mutual fun show not so long ago, and it's

0:11:57.200 --> 0:11:59.800
<v Speaker 4>just interesting to see the arc and how we move

0:11:59.840 --> 0:12:01.720
<v Speaker 4>to When is it that we just don't have mutual

0:12:01.720 --> 0:12:02.920
<v Speaker 4>funds and it's all about ETFs?

0:12:02.960 --> 0:12:03.960
<v Speaker 3>Is it just a matter of time?

0:12:04.240 --> 0:12:08.559
<v Speaker 5>I don't think so that continue. Well, I think it's

0:12:08.640 --> 0:12:12.040
<v Speaker 5>all about the benefits the ETF provides. It can provide

0:12:12.080 --> 0:12:15.120
<v Speaker 5>a cost benefit, It can provide a tax benefit because

0:12:15.120 --> 0:12:18.040
<v Speaker 5>they tend to be more tax efficient, and a trading benefit.

0:12:18.240 --> 0:12:21.600
<v Speaker 5>But in many accounts where it's a qualified account, you're

0:12:21.640 --> 0:12:24.400
<v Speaker 5>not paying taxes, that tax benefit isn't there. You also

0:12:24.400 --> 0:12:28.120
<v Speaker 5>see a lot of strategic allocation long longer term investors

0:12:28.520 --> 0:12:31.480
<v Speaker 5>for one K plans, retirement plans where you may not

0:12:31.640 --> 0:12:35.520
<v Speaker 5>necessarily need that tax benefit or the ability to trade

0:12:35.559 --> 0:12:37.360
<v Speaker 5>every day in your allocation. If I'm more of a

0:12:37.400 --> 0:12:38.760
<v Speaker 5>strategic investor.

0:12:38.360 --> 0:12:40.600
<v Speaker 4>Are investors though, who are planning for the retirement missing

0:12:40.679 --> 0:12:44.080
<v Speaker 4>alpha though by doing mutual funds that way?

0:12:44.160 --> 0:12:46.000
<v Speaker 3>Like, I mean, are they missing out on opportunities?

0:12:46.040 --> 0:12:49.880
<v Speaker 5>Pretend? I think potentially and increasingly they may miss out

0:12:49.880 --> 0:12:51.840
<v Speaker 5>on those opportunities because the innovation is going to be

0:12:51.840 --> 0:12:54.400
<v Speaker 5>more in the ETFs than it is in mutual funds.

0:12:54.480 --> 0:12:57.040
<v Speaker 5>So in those new opportunities that arise, what.

0:12:57.040 --> 0:12:59.840
<v Speaker 2>About money market ets versus money market mutual funds?

0:13:00.440 --> 0:13:03.000
<v Speaker 5>You know, it's interesting. We're seeing some work by other

0:13:03.120 --> 0:13:05.440
<v Speaker 5>firms in that space. It'll be interesting to see.

0:13:05.559 --> 0:13:06.800
<v Speaker 2>But right now, if I want to buy a money

0:13:06.800 --> 0:13:08.360
<v Speaker 2>market fund at Charles Shraub, I have to buy a

0:13:08.440 --> 0:13:09.000
<v Speaker 2>mutual fund.

0:13:09.280 --> 0:13:11.160
<v Speaker 5>It isn't a fund structure, that's right.

0:13:11.360 --> 0:13:11.760
<v Speaker 2>Why is that?

0:13:12.240 --> 0:13:14.840
<v Speaker 5>Well? I mean, I think the people like the dollar

0:13:15.000 --> 0:13:17.560
<v Speaker 5>nav right, That's one of the big distinctions where we've

0:13:17.600 --> 0:13:19.880
<v Speaker 5>seen that the one product that is in the market today.

0:13:20.360 --> 0:13:22.760
<v Speaker 5>You're no longer trading at a dollar like you do

0:13:22.920 --> 0:13:25.840
<v Speaker 5>with a money market fund. It's dollar in, dollar out.

0:13:25.880 --> 0:13:28.480
<v Speaker 5>You like that known factor, and I'm not sure that

0:13:28.760 --> 0:13:31.160
<v Speaker 5>investors will necessarily want to stray for that when they

0:13:31.200 --> 0:13:32.640
<v Speaker 5>think about their cash investments.

0:13:32.840 --> 0:13:35.480
<v Speaker 4>How does the macro play into the ETFs that you

0:13:35.520 --> 0:13:37.760
<v Speaker 4>guys are thinking about in terms of launches.

0:13:37.440 --> 0:13:39.520
<v Speaker 5>You know, for us, it's really about the long term view.

0:13:39.559 --> 0:13:42.520
<v Speaker 5>It's less about a macro current point in time. It's

0:13:42.559 --> 0:13:45.199
<v Speaker 5>really thinking about how do we serve investors' needs for

0:13:45.240 --> 0:13:45.840
<v Speaker 5>the long haul.

0:13:46.040 --> 0:13:48.920
<v Speaker 4>So even like you know, a new administration, new policies

0:13:48.920 --> 0:13:51.960
<v Speaker 4>that might impact the economy and various sectors.

0:13:52.040 --> 0:13:52.960
<v Speaker 3>It's not the way you play it.

0:13:52.960 --> 0:13:53.960
<v Speaker 5>It's not the way we play it.

0:13:53.960 --> 0:13:58.240
<v Speaker 3>That's right, all right? Interesting does the macro view though?

0:13:58.400 --> 0:14:00.120
<v Speaker 4>I mean, as you look at what's going on in

0:14:00.120 --> 0:14:02.640
<v Speaker 4>the space, how does it impact at all your thinking?

0:14:02.800 --> 0:14:05.080
<v Speaker 5>Yeah? So I think where it impacts our thinking is

0:14:05.360 --> 0:14:08.960
<v Speaker 5>when we talk to investors about how to allocate their portfolios. Okay, right,

0:14:09.040 --> 0:14:10.960
<v Speaker 5>you think about our do they have lots of questions

0:14:11.000 --> 0:14:12.439
<v Speaker 5>right now? Absolutely?

0:14:12.840 --> 0:14:15.200
<v Speaker 2>Let's say you were to just think about the universe

0:14:15.240 --> 0:14:18.439
<v Speaker 2>of ETFs in your world. How much of those ETFs

0:14:18.480 --> 0:14:21.200
<v Speaker 2>are when the money comes in? Is it about indexing

0:14:21.800 --> 0:14:25.440
<v Speaker 2>versus about something outside of indexing to try to get alpha?

0:14:25.520 --> 0:14:28.680
<v Speaker 5>You know, I think it's the way that indexing is used,

0:14:29.160 --> 0:14:32.600
<v Speaker 5>right model portfolio strategic allocations. It's more about how do

0:14:32.680 --> 0:14:36.400
<v Speaker 5>I tilt between large cap and small cap, domestic international

0:14:36.480 --> 0:14:39.560
<v Speaker 5>looking for those alpha opportunities rather than within the asset

0:14:39.560 --> 0:14:40.280
<v Speaker 5>class itself.

0:14:40.560 --> 0:14:43.720
<v Speaker 4>We mentioned you guys fifteen years just celebrate your anniversary

0:14:43.760 --> 0:14:45.720
<v Speaker 4>from your first ETF. How do you think about the

0:14:45.760 --> 0:14:48.600
<v Speaker 4>trajectory and kind of where the ETF market was at

0:14:48.640 --> 0:14:51.120
<v Speaker 4>the beginning. I remember a time I felt like every

0:14:51.280 --> 0:14:54.080
<v Speaker 4>guest or every other guest with somebody offering up a

0:14:54.080 --> 0:14:57.440
<v Speaker 4>new ETF. I feel like it's founded a different groove

0:14:57.600 --> 0:14:59.160
<v Speaker 4>now and it's matured.

0:14:59.200 --> 0:15:01.000
<v Speaker 3>But tell us about you've been in it.

0:15:01.160 --> 0:15:04.440
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I've been in the ETF industry for nearly twenty years,

0:15:04.440 --> 0:15:07.280
<v Speaker 5>so it's it's been a long time. It's been a

0:15:07.320 --> 0:15:10.000
<v Speaker 5>great run. But we've still got a lot of innovation

0:15:10.160 --> 0:15:12.320
<v Speaker 5>to go. So I think we're just in the early

0:15:12.400 --> 0:15:15.240
<v Speaker 5>inning still of what the ATF can bring to investors

0:15:15.320 --> 0:15:16.680
<v Speaker 5>and video ATF is it coming.

0:15:16.560 --> 0:15:20.560
<v Speaker 2>Anytimes they have? I think direction, Yes, the direction.

0:15:20.800 --> 0:15:23.760
<v Speaker 5>There are some single stock levered ETFs in the market.

0:15:23.920 --> 0:15:25.400
<v Speaker 2>That's what I was thinking of when I was referring

0:15:25.440 --> 0:15:28.560
<v Speaker 2>to that leveraged You were channeling your inner Eric.

0:15:28.920 --> 0:15:31.920
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, David, thank you so much. Fun to check in

0:15:31.960 --> 0:15:32.400
<v Speaker 3>with you again.

0:15:32.520 --> 0:15:33.040
<v Speaker 5>Thanks so much.

0:15:33.080 --> 0:15:34.800
<v Speaker 2>I hope Eric is listening and knows that I'm giving

0:15:34.840 --> 0:15:35.520
<v Speaker 2>him all this love.

0:15:35.640 --> 0:15:37.760
<v Speaker 3>He better I'll point it out to come on air.