1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:02,480 Speaker 1: I think of days as to the death of John 2 00:00:02,560 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 1: Templeton and what surveillance did, and we do this today 3 00:00:06,320 --> 00:00:09,480 Speaker 1: with Charlie Munger. We had Terry Weisman on great to 4 00:00:09,520 --> 00:00:12,600 Speaker 1: have Sam Stovall on and Doug cass with his intimate 5 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:17,120 Speaker 1: relationship with Berkshire Hathaway. We finished strong with the Howard Marx, 6 00:00:17,640 --> 00:00:21,200 Speaker 1: chairman of oak Tree Capital Management, and I must point 7 00:00:21,239 --> 00:00:25,800 Speaker 1: out author of not one, two, but three important books 8 00:00:26,040 --> 00:00:29,440 Speaker 1: on investing of What to Do and just as importantly 9 00:00:29,520 --> 00:00:34,839 Speaker 1: Howard What Not to Do. Howard on Charlie Munger Getting 10 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 1: the odds on your side? How did Charlie Munger get 11 00:00:38,800 --> 00:00:40,760 Speaker 1: the odds on his side? 12 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 2: He started off with a brilliant mind and a brilliant partner. 13 00:00:46,800 --> 00:00:52,240 Speaker 2: He intensively studied the financials for thinking about the long term. 14 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:55,360 Speaker 2: He never tried to guess what a company or a 15 00:00:55,360 --> 00:00:58,080 Speaker 2: stock would do in the short term, and he held 16 00:00:58,120 --> 00:01:02,000 Speaker 2: for many years. You know, he was a great practitioner. 17 00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:04,720 Speaker 2: Sit on your hands, and he did it flawlessly. 18 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:08,679 Speaker 1: In the modern day, in the modern media, I remember 19 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:11,960 Speaker 1: reading those annual reports Howard. Years ago, there was no 20 00:01:12,160 --> 00:01:16,960 Speaker 1: financial media, there was no blogging internet. The short termism. 21 00:01:17,000 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 1: We're living it now. What is the lesson of Charlie 22 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:24,520 Speaker 1: Munger's long termism. 23 00:01:24,880 --> 00:01:27,240 Speaker 2: Well, if you want to hit the long ball, you 24 00:01:27,319 --> 00:01:31,320 Speaker 2: have to be very patient, and you know, when the 25 00:01:31,360 --> 00:01:33,479 Speaker 2: stock moves up the first twenty percent, you can't start 26 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:34,240 Speaker 2: taking profits. 27 00:01:35,080 --> 00:01:37,120 Speaker 3: Charlie and Warren have held things for decades. 28 00:01:38,360 --> 00:01:42,360 Speaker 2: And the other thing is they were and Charlie always 29 00:01:42,360 --> 00:01:48,559 Speaker 2: talked about this, you have very few moonshots. Charlie said 30 00:01:48,640 --> 00:01:52,520 Speaker 2: within the last year that most of his wealth came 31 00:01:52,520 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 2: from four decisions. And so you know what would have 32 00:01:57,000 --> 00:02:00,360 Speaker 2: happened if he would have started trimming those four decisions early, 33 00:02:01,960 --> 00:02:04,360 Speaker 2: he certainly would not have accomplished what he did. 34 00:02:04,760 --> 00:02:06,560 Speaker 3: And I think Warren would say the same thing. 35 00:02:06,600 --> 00:02:08,880 Speaker 2: Maybe the number four would be a little different with Warren, 36 00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:14,680 Speaker 2: but you know, you know, Warren's famous for having said, 37 00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:16,800 Speaker 2: put all your eggs in one basket, and I watched 38 00:02:16,840 --> 00:02:19,880 Speaker 2: the basket really closely, and I think that it wasn't 39 00:02:19,880 --> 00:02:27,320 Speaker 2: one basket. But the idea of concentration and patience coupled 40 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:30,880 Speaker 2: with good decisions makes for a great success. You know, 41 00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 2: a concentration and patience don't accomplish anything if you can't 42 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:40,519 Speaker 2: make above average investment decisions. But putting it all together 43 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 2: is the formula for success. 44 00:02:42,200 --> 00:02:45,320 Speaker 4: Howard, you wrote in some of your thoughts about Charlie 45 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 4: Munger that he had very definite opinions, in particular regarding 46 00:02:48,360 --> 00:02:52,520 Speaker 4: the investment management industry. He viewed the industry with considerable skepticism, 47 00:02:52,880 --> 00:02:54,520 Speaker 4: and while a member of it, I found myself in 48 00:02:54,560 --> 00:02:57,680 Speaker 4: agreement with him more often than not. What exactly are 49 00:02:57,720 --> 00:02:58,960 Speaker 4: you talking about in particular? 50 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:05,880 Speaker 2: You know, I think both Charlie and Warren felt that 51 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:12,359 Speaker 2: our industry, relatively few members of it made substantial contributions 52 00:03:12,400 --> 00:03:16,960 Speaker 2: to their clients wealth. Many more members were well paid. 53 00:03:19,000 --> 00:03:23,000 Speaker 2: He was always one who questioned incentives. He says, you 54 00:03:23,080 --> 00:03:25,880 Speaker 2: give me incentive, an incentive, I'll tell you the behavior. 55 00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:31,880 Speaker 2: And and I think that, you know, I think that 56 00:03:31,919 --> 00:03:37,839 Speaker 2: Warren and Charlie, if you their operation, they in fact 57 00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:42,320 Speaker 2: Warren's ed quotes not a partnership, not a corporation of partnership. 58 00:03:42,880 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 2: And they considered there there the people they manage money 59 00:03:46,560 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 2: for their shareholders, to be their partners. And they considered 60 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:52,960 Speaker 2: themselves to be working for their partners and not themselves 61 00:03:53,520 --> 00:03:57,240 Speaker 2: and their own wealth. And success was a byproduct of 62 00:03:57,360 --> 00:03:59,400 Speaker 2: working of doing great work for the partners. 63 00:04:00,600 --> 00:04:01,000 Speaker 4: Uh. 64 00:04:01,160 --> 00:04:04,880 Speaker 2: You know, I I like to put my sameself in 65 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 2: the same boat. Those sentiments appeal to me greatly, and 66 00:04:08,920 --> 00:04:09,960 Speaker 2: I've tried to follow that. 67 00:04:10,560 --> 00:04:13,760 Speaker 4: How difficult has it been to sort of to adapt 68 00:04:13,840 --> 00:04:17,200 Speaker 4: the strategy to different eras When you had conversations with 69 00:04:17,279 --> 00:04:20,080 Speaker 4: Charlie Munger, there are questions around tech and how that 70 00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:23,719 Speaker 4: changed the investment thesis. How did they think about the 71 00:04:23,839 --> 00:04:27,640 Speaker 4: changing concept of what a wonderful company looked like and 72 00:04:27,680 --> 00:04:28,880 Speaker 4: what fair value was. 73 00:04:31,600 --> 00:04:34,440 Speaker 2: You know, you, on the one hand, you have to 74 00:04:34,480 --> 00:04:37,839 Speaker 2: evolve with the times. On the other hand, you know 75 00:04:37,920 --> 00:04:41,080 Speaker 2: they never went a full bore into the tech sector. 76 00:04:42,880 --> 00:04:45,120 Speaker 2: You know their families are having made a lot of 77 00:04:45,120 --> 00:04:49,800 Speaker 2: money with Apple, but you know, most tech, the way 78 00:04:49,839 --> 00:04:51,679 Speaker 2: they said it, they put it on the too hard pile. 79 00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:59,400 Speaker 2: And if you have if you understand that your success 80 00:04:59,400 --> 00:05:02,200 Speaker 2: will come from small number of holdings, that means you 81 00:05:02,200 --> 00:05:05,200 Speaker 2: don't need and thirty thirty, fifty sixty, You don't need 82 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:07,880 Speaker 2: to exploit all the sceptors. 83 00:05:08,120 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 3: You just have to find a few great ones. 84 00:05:10,200 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 2: Of course, on the other hand, you know Tom said 85 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 2: that we're you know, we're in a new era with 86 00:05:15,520 --> 00:05:18,360 Speaker 2: all the communications we have. Part of what that means 87 00:05:18,760 --> 00:05:22,560 Speaker 2: is that the world is a more interconnected, intelligent place. 88 00:05:24,520 --> 00:05:26,480 Speaker 2: You know, back fifty years ago, we used to be 89 00:05:26,560 --> 00:05:30,599 Speaker 2: able to exploit things nobody else knew. Today, there's very 90 00:05:30,640 --> 00:05:34,480 Speaker 2: little information that doesn't make its way speedily around the world. 91 00:05:34,920 --> 00:05:37,200 Speaker 1: Howard to help us with one final question here to 92 00:05:37,240 --> 00:05:41,279 Speaker 1: the management the future management of Berkshire Halthaway. They have 93 00:05:41,360 --> 00:05:44,600 Speaker 1: a from COVID buildup of cash a four hundred and 94 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:48,440 Speaker 1: twelve billion out to half a trillion dollars five hundred 95 00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:51,480 Speaker 1: and twenty five trillion. You and everybody else out there 96 00:05:51,560 --> 00:05:55,560 Speaker 1: is living with explosive money market fund growth. You know 97 00:05:55,640 --> 00:06:00,280 Speaker 1: the story in that forward here for Berkshire half way. 98 00:06:00,800 --> 00:06:07,200 Speaker 1: What's the best use of there in our mounds of cash? 99 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:12,480 Speaker 2: You know, the people who run Berkshire today and will 100 00:06:12,520 --> 00:06:18,440 Speaker 2: run it tomorrow understand the limitations of size. All things 101 00:06:18,480 --> 00:06:23,520 Speaker 2: being equal, size makes it harder to outperform. They have 102 00:06:24,200 --> 00:06:28,279 Speaker 2: the best probability of outperforming of any company their size, 103 00:06:28,960 --> 00:06:32,719 Speaker 2: But their size will matter. And you know one of 104 00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:37,440 Speaker 2: my professors at University of Chicago, I asked him afterwards, 105 00:06:37,960 --> 00:06:40,160 Speaker 2: how would you manage a big fund? He'd say, I 106 00:06:40,200 --> 00:06:42,080 Speaker 2: would index the cord and manage the hell out of 107 00:06:42,120 --> 00:06:46,839 Speaker 2: the periphery, and I would imagine that at their size, 108 00:06:46,880 --> 00:06:49,920 Speaker 2: they'll have to move in the direction of something like that, 109 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:52,720 Speaker 2: although they will not give up on outperformance. 110 00:06:53,400 --> 00:06:56,400 Speaker 1: Howard Marx, thank you with the oak Tree Capital Management 111 00:06:56,640 --> 00:06:59,440 Speaker 1: in remembrance of Charlie