1 00:00:00,920 --> 00:00:03,080 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,160 --> 00:00:03,640 Speaker 1: your bets. 3 00:00:03,680 --> 00:00:06,360 Speaker 2: It is bet Joey p Joe Pizzapia and this is 4 00:00:06,480 --> 00:00:09,040 Speaker 2: VP NFL. It's time to look ahead to the best 5 00:00:09,080 --> 00:00:11,879 Speaker 2: bets of the divisional round of the playoffs, and don't 6 00:00:11,920 --> 00:00:17,119 Speaker 2: forget Come this Saturday once again, Scott Bogman Joe Pizzapia 7 00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:20,040 Speaker 2: will be live right here on the channel giving you 8 00:00:20,120 --> 00:00:23,840 Speaker 2: all they possibly can in game live betting Chiefs Texans 9 00:00:23,920 --> 00:00:26,880 Speaker 2: right here again. Subscribe to the channel four fifteen Eastern. 10 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:29,360 Speaker 2: We're gonna kick things off before the actual kickoff. We're 11 00:00:29,360 --> 00:00:31,480 Speaker 2: gonna talk about our best bets for that game. We're 12 00:00:31,480 --> 00:00:33,200 Speaker 2: gonna take you to the whole first half of that game, 13 00:00:33,400 --> 00:00:35,400 Speaker 2: have some fun, hang out with us, ring the bell 14 00:00:35,440 --> 00:00:37,920 Speaker 2: to lekos ding so you don't miss a second of 15 00:00:37,960 --> 00:00:40,519 Speaker 2: our in game live betting special again back by popular 16 00:00:40,560 --> 00:00:43,760 Speaker 2: demand because everybody enjoyed themselves so much. And I guess 17 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:45,880 Speaker 2: Bogmin and I have in our contracts we're only doing 18 00:00:45,880 --> 00:00:48,600 Speaker 2: Texans games, but we're gonna break down the Texans Chiefs. 19 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:50,159 Speaker 1: We're gonna break down all four. 20 00:00:49,960 --> 00:00:53,040 Speaker 2: Games here with my two best buds, Terrell Ferman Junior 21 00:00:53,120 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 2: and of course the Undertaker himself Andrew Ericson Terrell. Before 22 00:00:57,080 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 2: we get going, I just want to ask you one 23 00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:01,440 Speaker 2: more time. I understand maybe you thought it was an 24 00:01:01,480 --> 00:01:03,960 Speaker 2: anomaly a couple weeks ago, but after the Ravens once 25 00:01:04,000 --> 00:01:07,840 Speaker 2: again covered my spread, have you finally come to join 26 00:01:07,880 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 2: me on the island where the relevance lives? Because right 27 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:15,360 Speaker 2: now it looks like the Ravens are playing the best 28 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:16,280 Speaker 2: football of anybody. 29 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:19,600 Speaker 3: I wouldn't say the best football out of anybody, just 30 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:22,039 Speaker 3: because that boy Patrick Mahomes is still in the league 31 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:24,280 Speaker 3: and he and Andy Reed got something special going over 32 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:26,759 Speaker 3: and over there. But I am very, very pro Lamar. 33 00:01:26,920 --> 00:01:31,160 Speaker 3: I thought it was comical how all season Dan Olowski 34 00:01:31,160 --> 00:01:33,280 Speaker 3: and all these other talking heads were trying to tell 35 00:01:33,319 --> 00:01:36,440 Speaker 3: me that Josh Allen just wrapped up the MVP and 36 00:01:36,520 --> 00:01:39,600 Speaker 3: the lost and baby, Baby Baby, and here we are. 37 00:01:39,760 --> 00:01:43,400 Speaker 3: Lamar Jackson is first team, He's the favorite to be MVP. 38 00:01:43,640 --> 00:01:47,200 Speaker 3: The perennial MVP looks like like I have no quarrels 39 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:50,400 Speaker 3: with Lamar Jackson looking good. You know what, Tomlin, Sometimes 40 00:01:50,400 --> 00:01:53,280 Speaker 3: Tomlin as a dog fails you, but it's a system. 41 00:01:53,360 --> 00:01:56,040 Speaker 3: You gotta play the system to stay relevant. If you 42 00:01:56,040 --> 00:01:58,880 Speaker 3: start picking and choosing, picking and choosing, that's when you 43 00:01:58,920 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 3: start losing. You just got play the system. So I 44 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:03,920 Speaker 3: would take Tomlin as a dog ten times out of ten, 45 00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:05,480 Speaker 3: and I wouldn't question it all. 46 00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:08,320 Speaker 2: Right, Well, I would say maybe ninety eight out of 47 00:02:08,360 --> 00:02:10,480 Speaker 2: one hundred those two times where they play the Ravens. 48 00:02:10,520 --> 00:02:13,799 Speaker 2: Maybe you shouldn't do that anymore going forward because it's 49 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:17,079 Speaker 2: a different caliber team. Andrew ericson any other takeaways and 50 00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:19,280 Speaker 2: lessons from last week that you want to bring into 51 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 2: our divisional round discussion today. 52 00:02:22,680 --> 00:02:23,640 Speaker 4: No, I just think you know. 53 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:25,000 Speaker 5: One of the things I'm trying to do better at 54 00:02:25,160 --> 00:02:26,840 Speaker 5: is when you think you're right about something in the 55 00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:28,800 Speaker 5: beginning of the season and then you end up not 56 00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:30,640 Speaker 5: being right, but then it ends up being correct at 57 00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:32,639 Speaker 5: the end of the season. Going back to the entire 58 00:02:32,680 --> 00:02:35,280 Speaker 5: Steelers schedule, right first half of the year, they had 59 00:02:35,360 --> 00:02:38,840 Speaker 5: zero divisional games, zero and then what happens at the 60 00:02:38,919 --> 00:02:40,720 Speaker 5: end of the year. They fall apart because they have 61 00:02:40,760 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 5: to play all these divisional games. So I'm just like, 62 00:02:43,400 --> 00:02:45,040 Speaker 5: I knew this going into the year. I knew the 63 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:47,160 Speaker 5: second half was tough, and I still commit myself. Oh, 64 00:02:47,240 --> 00:02:49,760 Speaker 5: like the Steelers got it like like this is gonna 65 00:02:49,760 --> 00:02:51,760 Speaker 5: be the year, Like Tom's gonna win Coach of the Year, 66 00:02:52,040 --> 00:02:55,079 Speaker 5: They're gonna get out of mediocrity and couldn't be farther 67 00:02:55,120 --> 00:02:55,600 Speaker 5: from the truth. 68 00:02:55,639 --> 00:03:00,400 Speaker 3: I think it's hilarious that so many Steelers fans like 69 00:03:00,520 --> 00:03:03,679 Speaker 3: everywhere are calling for Mike Tomlin's job, like this isn't 70 00:03:03,720 --> 00:03:06,519 Speaker 3: a five win team without that coach, Like I think 71 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:10,160 Speaker 3: that's that's the funniest part of all of this for me, 72 00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 3: is that every single year this happens, and every single 73 00:03:13,560 --> 00:03:15,880 Speaker 3: year they call for the for his job, and it's like, 74 00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:19,280 Speaker 3: you Steelers fans, y'all don't know what the bottom is like. 75 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:22,080 Speaker 3: Come over here and figure out what it's like in 76 00:03:22,080 --> 00:03:24,040 Speaker 3: New York and you'll see what the bottom is like. 77 00:03:24,080 --> 00:03:25,600 Speaker 3: You have no idea what the bottom is like. 78 00:03:25,639 --> 00:03:27,519 Speaker 2: I don't think anyone's saying Mike Tomlin's not a good coach, 79 00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:28,880 Speaker 2: but Andy Reid. 80 00:03:29,160 --> 00:03:31,200 Speaker 3: No, no, no, no, it's actually people saying to Mike 81 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:32,680 Speaker 3: Tomlins all that that's just stupid. 82 00:03:32,880 --> 00:03:34,520 Speaker 1: Mike tom Win is a good football coach, but at 83 00:03:34,520 --> 00:03:35,120 Speaker 1: the same time, I. 84 00:03:35,080 --> 00:03:36,040 Speaker 4: Think it's quack. 85 00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:37,160 Speaker 1: He doesn't have a quarterback. 86 00:03:37,280 --> 00:03:40,400 Speaker 2: But also, you know, there's also I think a certain 87 00:03:40,400 --> 00:03:43,240 Speaker 2: time where maybe the message just starts to fall flat. 88 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 2: I mean Andy Reid is a perfect example, because Andy 89 00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 2: Reid was always a good football coach. He won a 90 00:03:48,120 --> 00:03:51,040 Speaker 2: ton in Philadelphia, got them to the championship game every year, 91 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 2: and it just eventually just kind of fell. 92 00:03:53,320 --> 00:03:57,520 Speaker 3: Flat and Philadelphia because he didn't have quarter that's. 93 00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:01,000 Speaker 1: For a long time. And then when anything's. 94 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:03,040 Speaker 5: Gonna trade into the to the Commanders so or at 95 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 5: the time a different team name. But this is what 96 00:04:05,080 --> 00:04:07,040 Speaker 5: happens with all these coaches. Bill Belichick, why is it 97 00:04:07,080 --> 00:04:08,560 Speaker 5: on the Pageres Somemore because he lost Tom Brady. 98 00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:10,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, but you know what, this one's quarterback. 99 00:04:10,200 --> 00:04:12,840 Speaker 2: This was on to a certain extent Tomlin because he 100 00:04:12,880 --> 00:04:14,280 Speaker 2: could have said, look, we're gonna take this year and 101 00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:16,680 Speaker 2: really evaluate a young quarterback and give him every opportunity 102 00:04:16,720 --> 00:04:18,880 Speaker 2: to be the guy next year. And instead they tried 103 00:04:18,880 --> 00:04:22,679 Speaker 2: to wink yeah. 104 00:04:22,520 --> 00:04:24,320 Speaker 5: Because they're never going to have a top ten pick 105 00:04:24,360 --> 00:04:26,200 Speaker 5: because they keep winning all these games. So it's like 106 00:04:26,240 --> 00:04:27,920 Speaker 5: they either have to do the Titans thing where they're 107 00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:30,560 Speaker 5: gonna fire Tom and like they fired Rabel, get the 108 00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:32,479 Speaker 5: number one pick and then restart a. 109 00:04:32,560 --> 00:04:33,599 Speaker 4: Right, you're gonna have to want to do that. 110 00:04:33,640 --> 00:04:35,720 Speaker 2: Everyone's gonna have to subscribe for the extra Mike Tomlin 111 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:38,080 Speaker 2: podcast we're gonna do later in the week, So we're. 112 00:04:37,880 --> 00:04:42,080 Speaker 1: Gonna we're gonna instead shift. I love like Tomlin. 113 00:04:42,120 --> 00:04:44,920 Speaker 2: I just maybe it's best for everybody to move along 114 00:04:45,080 --> 00:04:47,000 Speaker 2: and uh, you know, just change the scenery. 115 00:04:47,040 --> 00:04:48,200 Speaker 1: Sometimes it's just good for people. 116 00:04:48,040 --> 00:04:49,400 Speaker 3: Come on to New York and then hey, if y'all 117 00:04:49,400 --> 00:04:52,039 Speaker 3: get rid of them, come on in New York. Please 118 00:04:52,120 --> 00:04:55,080 Speaker 3: come to New York. It's not the Jicks. 119 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:58,039 Speaker 2: Chiefs Texan's Uh fun fact. I just saw this on 120 00:04:58,080 --> 00:05:02,200 Speaker 2: the internets. Uh, Chiefs zero to two at four thirty 121 00:05:02,240 --> 00:05:05,080 Speaker 2: games eight No, in all games are another start time. 122 00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:07,400 Speaker 2: I don't know if that they care about this little statistic. 123 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:10,560 Speaker 2: It's fun, Terrell. Let's talk about let's start with you 124 00:05:10,560 --> 00:05:13,520 Speaker 2: your favorite bets for this game, because I do believe 125 00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:14,880 Speaker 2: in the Chiefs. That's why I bet them at the 126 00:05:14,880 --> 00:05:16,440 Speaker 2: evening of the year, and that's why I double down 127 00:05:16,440 --> 00:05:18,159 Speaker 2: on them in midway through the season. That you know, 128 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:20,200 Speaker 2: there's a reason they keep winning football games. So let's 129 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:22,400 Speaker 2: talk about your favorite way to approach this one. Because 130 00:05:22,440 --> 00:05:23,720 Speaker 2: I know ANDREWI I think is gonna be on the 131 00:05:23,760 --> 00:05:26,920 Speaker 2: other side, So it'd be a really good argument counter argument. 132 00:05:27,000 --> 00:05:29,200 Speaker 2: Let's start here with the Chiefs. 133 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:32,799 Speaker 3: Texans go, oh, it's super easy here man, you trust 134 00:05:32,839 --> 00:05:35,719 Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes. When we get to playoff time, like this 135 00:05:35,800 --> 00:05:38,120 Speaker 3: is literally what they've been waiting for the entirety of 136 00:05:38,120 --> 00:05:41,159 Speaker 3: the whole season. And I understand the other side of 137 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 3: the argument and the hey, you know, they've been one 138 00:05:44,560 --> 00:05:46,960 Speaker 3: score games, one score games, one score games. The Texans 139 00:05:47,000 --> 00:05:48,920 Speaker 3: covered this number last time they played, But this is 140 00:05:48,960 --> 00:05:52,120 Speaker 3: something completely different. This is the playoffs. This is what 141 00:05:52,160 --> 00:05:54,760 Speaker 3: they've been waiting for. They literally coasted through the entire 142 00:05:54,800 --> 00:05:56,760 Speaker 3: season to get to this point. And I think this 143 00:05:56,839 --> 00:05:58,960 Speaker 3: is when Andy Reid opens up the playbook, all of 144 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 3: those plays that you wish you would have saw, where hey, 145 00:06:01,839 --> 00:06:04,599 Speaker 3: third and short, fourth and short, do we convert? Do 146 00:06:04,680 --> 00:06:06,880 Speaker 3: we go for it? All that? Oh, Andy Reids one 147 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:09,719 Speaker 3: hundred percent, all systems go here in this game. And 148 00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 3: then the defense and the offensive line for the Texans, 149 00:06:12,279 --> 00:06:14,680 Speaker 3: I just can't get past the offensive line. I don't 150 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 3: think they look good in that game last week against 151 00:06:16,640 --> 00:06:19,560 Speaker 3: the Jargers. I think it was the inability of Justin 152 00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:22,200 Speaker 3: Herbert and who is quote unquote a starting quarterback in 153 00:06:22,240 --> 00:06:24,599 Speaker 3: the league and one of the greatest quarterbacks in the league. Well, 154 00:06:24,640 --> 00:06:27,080 Speaker 3: he went out there and struggled against this Texans defense. 155 00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:28,840 Speaker 3: I don't think that's gonna be Patrick Mahomes. I think 156 00:06:28,880 --> 00:06:31,279 Speaker 3: that the defensive line for the Chiefs is gonna get home. 157 00:06:31,400 --> 00:06:34,120 Speaker 3: Chris Jones, Carlofcas everybody is gonna be all over c J. 158 00:06:34,279 --> 00:06:34,640 Speaker 1: Stroud. 159 00:06:34,839 --> 00:06:37,159 Speaker 3: And that's where you get the CJ. Stroud that we've 160 00:06:37,160 --> 00:06:39,480 Speaker 3: seen over the course of the entire season. When you 161 00:06:39,520 --> 00:06:41,720 Speaker 3: get pressure in his face, you force him to get 162 00:06:41,800 --> 00:06:43,320 Speaker 3: rid of the ball early, you force him to make 163 00:06:43,360 --> 00:06:45,880 Speaker 3: decisions earlier than he wants to, and it looks really, 164 00:06:45,920 --> 00:06:48,080 Speaker 3: really rough. They don't have tech Dell this time around. 165 00:06:48,120 --> 00:06:53,760 Speaker 3: They're missing. Yeah, So I think that Nicocollins and Joe 166 00:06:53,800 --> 00:06:56,880 Speaker 3: Mixon all of that. That's fine, that's okay, it's not enough. 167 00:06:57,160 --> 00:06:58,920 Speaker 3: It's not enough. I think that the Chiefs win this, 168 00:06:58,960 --> 00:07:00,680 Speaker 3: and I think the Chiefs win this going away. And 169 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:02,640 Speaker 3: this is the game. This is the game where they 170 00:07:02,640 --> 00:07:04,640 Speaker 3: sit here and say, hey, all right, we're gonna show y'all, 171 00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:06,320 Speaker 3: we don't have to play these one score games when 172 00:07:06,320 --> 00:07:08,279 Speaker 3: it matters. It matters that we're gonna go out here 173 00:07:08,320 --> 00:07:10,080 Speaker 3: and dominate this team. I don't think the Texans are 174 00:07:10,120 --> 00:07:12,880 Speaker 3: coming anywhere even close to the spread. I love Chiefs 175 00:07:12,880 --> 00:07:14,680 Speaker 3: plus eight and a half. I don't think the Texans 176 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:16,320 Speaker 3: are going to be able to score the ball at 177 00:07:16,360 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 3: all against this Chiefs defense when they're absolutely locked in. 178 00:07:19,400 --> 00:07:21,400 Speaker 3: I think the receivers are going to have struggle getting 179 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:25,040 Speaker 3: with separation against this secondary outside of Nico Collins. So yeah, 180 00:07:25,280 --> 00:07:28,239 Speaker 3: it's it for me. It's just gonna be Chiefs laying 181 00:07:28,240 --> 00:07:30,200 Speaker 3: eight and a half. And I actually like the Texans 182 00:07:30,200 --> 00:07:32,000 Speaker 3: team total under sixteen and a half as well. 183 00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:35,040 Speaker 2: All Right, so the Chiefs are flipping the switch according 184 00:07:35,080 --> 00:07:37,480 Speaker 2: to Terrell, which I kind of agree with that, Like, 185 00:07:37,520 --> 00:07:40,080 Speaker 2: I'm kind of there. But the Chiefs also have not 186 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:42,440 Speaker 2: put teams away all year either, and the Texans did 187 00:07:42,480 --> 00:07:45,080 Speaker 2: play them very tough. Now, I will say a very 188 00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:48,920 Speaker 2: emotional week last week at home. Defense played inspired football. 189 00:07:48,960 --> 00:07:51,160 Speaker 2: So as much as I'm worried about the Texans offensive 190 00:07:51,200 --> 00:07:53,440 Speaker 2: line and the Chiefs defense, I am a little bit 191 00:07:53,440 --> 00:07:56,560 Speaker 2: worried too, because that Texans defense very good. Andrew, let's 192 00:07:56,560 --> 00:07:58,640 Speaker 2: make the counter argument here, because you are on the 193 00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:00,600 Speaker 2: side of the points with the Texans. 194 00:08:00,680 --> 00:08:01,440 Speaker 1: Let's talk about it. 195 00:08:02,160 --> 00:08:04,880 Speaker 5: Yeah, because, yeah, the Chiefs will probably win, but they 196 00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:07,200 Speaker 5: don't beat teams on more than a touchdown. Like, are 197 00:08:07,200 --> 00:08:08,600 Speaker 5: they just like, oh, now it's the playoffs and now 198 00:08:08,640 --> 00:08:09,640 Speaker 5: we're going to blow teams out? 199 00:08:09,920 --> 00:08:11,960 Speaker 4: Is that really? Why is that the mindset? It just 200 00:08:12,000 --> 00:08:12,560 Speaker 4: win the game? 201 00:08:12,760 --> 00:08:14,000 Speaker 5: Like, why does it now to be we have to 202 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:16,760 Speaker 5: blow teams because we're not leaving We're not leaving it 203 00:08:16,800 --> 00:08:18,840 Speaker 5: the chance this time. Did they blow out teams in 204 00:08:18,880 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 5: the playoffs last year? I don't think so, not that 205 00:08:22,160 --> 00:08:25,000 Speaker 5: I remember. So Look the Chiefs when the spread is 206 00:08:25,040 --> 00:08:26,280 Speaker 5: six and a half points or more, they're one and 207 00:08:26,320 --> 00:08:28,440 Speaker 5: six against the spread this year. They've covered a game 208 00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:30,440 Speaker 5: one time when they've been favored by more than six 209 00:08:30,480 --> 00:08:32,600 Speaker 5: and a half points. This game, the spread in the 210 00:08:32,600 --> 00:08:35,040 Speaker 5: exact same matchup was three and a half points for 211 00:08:35,120 --> 00:08:35,600 Speaker 5: the Chiefs. 212 00:08:36,040 --> 00:08:37,240 Speaker 4: So, oh, now it's in the playoffs. 213 00:08:37,240 --> 00:08:39,240 Speaker 5: Oka, we're gonna get the chief five extra points against 214 00:08:39,280 --> 00:08:41,640 Speaker 5: the same exact team when their defense is playing better. 215 00:08:42,800 --> 00:08:44,760 Speaker 5: I don't get it. I think it's too many points. 216 00:08:44,840 --> 00:08:48,280 Speaker 5: So give me the Texans plus eight and a half. 217 00:08:48,520 --> 00:08:51,679 Speaker 5: The Texans traditionally and historically, this is the best spot 218 00:08:51,679 --> 00:08:55,200 Speaker 5: for them when they're road underdogs. Eleven six and one 219 00:08:55,320 --> 00:08:56,439 Speaker 5: against the spread. 220 00:08:56,880 --> 00:08:59,439 Speaker 4: I like this spot cold weather Texans. 221 00:08:59,160 --> 00:09:01,199 Speaker 3: Cold weather home team going out. 222 00:09:03,120 --> 00:09:04,520 Speaker 4: So like all the things I already get when they 223 00:09:04,520 --> 00:09:05,640 Speaker 4: face the Chiefs earlier this year. 224 00:09:05,760 --> 00:09:08,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, but that's that wasn't the playoffs, And this Texas 225 00:09:08,400 --> 00:09:10,960 Speaker 3: team looks significantly worse than they did when they placed 226 00:09:10,960 --> 00:09:12,880 Speaker 3: the Chiefs that point in the season. Like they are 227 00:09:12,960 --> 00:09:15,240 Speaker 3: significantly worse c. J. Stroud does not look like. 228 00:09:15,280 --> 00:09:16,800 Speaker 4: I don't think that defense is worse. 229 00:09:17,280 --> 00:09:19,079 Speaker 5: See the thing I mentioned this Joe earlier in the 230 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:21,079 Speaker 5: show when talking about these are the exact same four 231 00:09:21,120 --> 00:09:23,280 Speaker 5: teams that were in the AFC playoffs last year. So 232 00:09:23,320 --> 00:09:25,320 Speaker 5: if I would have told you preseason, oh it's gonna 233 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:26,760 Speaker 5: be the text to the Chiefs of the divisional round, 234 00:09:26,800 --> 00:09:29,440 Speaker 5: you'd be like, oh, she just had a great second year, right, 235 00:09:29,640 --> 00:09:30,960 Speaker 5: Like that's what people would think. 236 00:09:31,000 --> 00:09:32,080 Speaker 4: But just because the. 237 00:09:32,760 --> 00:09:35,120 Speaker 5: Path has been different, they've gotten here because of their 238 00:09:35,120 --> 00:09:37,240 Speaker 5: defense and not their offense. I just don't think they're 239 00:09:37,240 --> 00:09:39,640 Speaker 5: getting enough credit for getting this far. Again, they're playing 240 00:09:39,679 --> 00:09:41,440 Speaker 5: with the house money. They were supposed to lose against 241 00:09:41,480 --> 00:09:43,400 Speaker 5: the Chargers at home last week, and now they had 242 00:09:43,400 --> 00:09:45,600 Speaker 5: this elite pass rush. This is where upsets come from. 243 00:09:45,720 --> 00:09:49,080 Speaker 5: This is how throwing the Super Bowl champions is with 244 00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:50,760 Speaker 5: a pass rush. I've seen it before. We saw it 245 00:09:50,760 --> 00:09:52,920 Speaker 5: with the games played this Wildcard weekend because all the 246 00:09:52,920 --> 00:09:55,160 Speaker 5: teams like could generate pass rush that were able to 247 00:09:55,400 --> 00:09:57,760 Speaker 5: upset those better teams. Now again, they don't think that 248 00:09:57,960 --> 00:09:59,800 Speaker 5: Chiefs are going to lose at home, but by more 249 00:09:59,840 --> 00:10:02,040 Speaker 5: than touchdown, something that they have yet to do at 250 00:10:02,040 --> 00:10:03,240 Speaker 5: all any point this season. 251 00:10:03,600 --> 00:10:05,200 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll wait to see it. So I'll take the 252 00:10:05,320 --> 00:10:06,520 Speaker 4: I'll take the Texans. 253 00:10:06,240 --> 00:10:09,000 Speaker 2: All right, that's for everybody else to decide. Now watching 254 00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:11,439 Speaker 2: the show, I will say this, I like the Chiefs 255 00:10:11,440 --> 00:10:13,560 Speaker 2: to win. The eight and a half is just a 256 00:10:13,600 --> 00:10:15,800 Speaker 2: lot right now from the way the Chiefs have played. 257 00:10:15,880 --> 00:10:17,000 Speaker 1: I think it's very possible. 258 00:10:17,040 --> 00:10:19,040 Speaker 2: The range of outcomes though that Charrell's talking about, where 259 00:10:19,040 --> 00:10:20,920 Speaker 2: the Chiefs just come out and with the extra week 260 00:10:20,960 --> 00:10:23,480 Speaker 2: Andy Reid has to prepare, they blow the doors off 261 00:10:23,520 --> 00:10:24,640 Speaker 2: the Texans. 262 00:10:24,679 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 3: And even shout out to the YEP nineteen eleven a 263 00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:30,400 Speaker 3: cs Andy Reid is with extra time prepare. 264 00:10:30,559 --> 00:10:34,040 Speaker 2: And and that number is probably, you know, something that 265 00:10:34,080 --> 00:10:35,560 Speaker 2: we should all pay very close attention to. 266 00:10:36,000 --> 00:10:37,200 Speaker 5: How many, but how many of those spreads A by 267 00:10:37,240 --> 00:10:39,120 Speaker 5: eight and a half points. 268 00:10:40,000 --> 00:10:40,720 Speaker 3: We figured out. 269 00:10:42,120 --> 00:10:42,640 Speaker 1: Time to do that. 270 00:10:42,720 --> 00:10:46,080 Speaker 3: Live on this going to roll this team. They're going 271 00:10:46,120 --> 00:10:46,840 Speaker 3: to roll them. 272 00:10:47,080 --> 00:10:49,720 Speaker 2: All right, here we go, let's go to game number two. 273 00:10:49,760 --> 00:10:51,320 Speaker 2: I think the guys might have a little bit more 274 00:10:51,320 --> 00:10:53,920 Speaker 2: agreement on this one. I'm just saying the Washington Commanders 275 00:10:54,200 --> 00:10:56,000 Speaker 2: are going to go to Detroit. Commander's a great story 276 00:10:56,000 --> 00:10:59,000 Speaker 2: this year. Jayde Daniel's a terrific season. This is already 277 00:10:59,040 --> 00:11:02,120 Speaker 2: so far in a way, a win for the Commanders, 278 00:11:02,160 --> 00:11:04,040 Speaker 2: not just even getting to the playoffs and then having 279 00:11:04,080 --> 00:11:06,439 Speaker 2: a win in the playoffs on the road. Now I 280 00:11:06,520 --> 00:11:08,640 Speaker 2: gonna go and play the best team in the NFC. 281 00:11:08,679 --> 00:11:12,240 Speaker 2: So look, let's just all stand up slow clap for 282 00:11:12,280 --> 00:11:15,880 Speaker 2: the Commanders because they've been tremendous this year. But this 283 00:11:15,920 --> 00:11:18,040 Speaker 2: is where the fairy tale ends. I think we all 284 00:11:18,080 --> 00:11:20,319 Speaker 2: agree this is it. This is where you know the 285 00:11:20,520 --> 00:11:24,240 Speaker 2: pumpkin comes back, Cinderella loses the shoe, this is when 286 00:11:25,120 --> 00:11:27,400 Speaker 2: you know all that stuff goes south. So how are 287 00:11:27,400 --> 00:11:30,280 Speaker 2: we approaching this? This is what matters here. I do believe, 288 00:11:30,320 --> 00:11:32,600 Speaker 2: especially Montgomery back, that this is gonna be one Trell 289 00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:34,960 Speaker 2: where the Lions really control this football game from start 290 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:37,439 Speaker 2: to finish. In a lot of ways, and you're gonna see. Okay, 291 00:11:37,480 --> 00:11:39,480 Speaker 2: this is the measuring stick now for the Washington Commanders 292 00:11:39,520 --> 00:11:41,880 Speaker 2: going forward. Oka, if we're gonna beat the NFC, this 293 00:11:41,920 --> 00:11:43,280 Speaker 2: is where we have to bring our game up to 294 00:11:43,320 --> 00:11:45,120 Speaker 2: and I just don't think they're ready for that yet. 295 00:11:45,280 --> 00:11:49,000 Speaker 1: However, what is your approach to betting this game? Because 296 00:11:49,000 --> 00:11:50,360 Speaker 1: it is a nine and a half point spread? 297 00:11:50,760 --> 00:11:52,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna say Lias teams total over thirty two 298 00:11:52,960 --> 00:11:55,280 Speaker 3: and a half. I know it sounds, it sounds like 299 00:11:55,320 --> 00:11:57,920 Speaker 3: a lot, but this Lion's offense is just out of 300 00:11:57,960 --> 00:12:01,280 Speaker 3: this world in scoring points even with the defense, and 301 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:04,560 Speaker 3: being able to add defensive and special teams touchdowns as well. 302 00:12:04,640 --> 00:12:07,160 Speaker 3: Like they've constantly, constant, constantly been able to put up 303 00:12:07,240 --> 00:12:10,120 Speaker 3: points against basically everybody. And I mean this is a 304 00:12:10,160 --> 00:12:14,319 Speaker 3: Commander's defense that plays a lot of man Jared Goff 305 00:12:14,320 --> 00:12:17,480 Speaker 3: eats that up. A'man Ross Saint Brown can't be guarded 306 00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:21,120 Speaker 3: and he's got the revenge angle because guess who the 307 00:12:21,160 --> 00:12:24,080 Speaker 3: Commanders took over Amen Ross Saint Brown. He had a 308 00:12:24,120 --> 00:12:25,319 Speaker 3: touchdown last week day. 309 00:12:25,360 --> 00:12:25,959 Speaker 1: I'llmy Brown. 310 00:12:26,000 --> 00:12:28,000 Speaker 3: He knows his name, he knows when he was drafted. 311 00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:30,680 Speaker 3: He's one hundred percent going off in this game. So 312 00:12:30,880 --> 00:12:32,840 Speaker 3: let's just go ahead and load up on Amen Ross 313 00:12:32,840 --> 00:12:35,400 Speaker 3: Saint Brown for this playoff game. He's going off. This 314 00:12:35,480 --> 00:12:38,000 Speaker 3: is gonna be all Lions in terms of scoring. Now. 315 00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:40,280 Speaker 3: The only reason I didn't take the sprint is because 316 00:12:40,559 --> 00:12:44,240 Speaker 3: I am tired of Cardiac Daniels coming in the fourth 317 00:12:44,280 --> 00:12:45,520 Speaker 3: quarter and just saying I. 318 00:12:45,600 --> 00:12:48,040 Speaker 2: Talked about it last week, talking about last week, man, 319 00:12:48,240 --> 00:12:48,680 Speaker 2: I mean. 320 00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:50,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, hey, I was on the wrong side of 321 00:12:50,679 --> 00:12:53,000 Speaker 3: that one, completely on the wrong side that when Cardiac 322 00:12:53,080 --> 00:12:53,880 Speaker 3: Daniels came back. 323 00:12:53,960 --> 00:12:55,720 Speaker 2: I didn't give you the stat last week, though I 324 00:12:55,760 --> 00:12:58,200 Speaker 2: did give it you yah to you, hoping you would 325 00:12:58,320 --> 00:12:59,360 Speaker 2: like to eat it, and you didn't. 326 00:12:59,679 --> 00:13:02,240 Speaker 1: No, thank you. I'm going to have this subway sandwich. 327 00:13:02,360 --> 00:13:03,000 Speaker 1: That's no time. 328 00:13:03,160 --> 00:13:05,760 Speaker 3: I had my fill of the Rams and that was it. 329 00:13:06,800 --> 00:13:09,640 Speaker 3: Nothing else. I didn't want to eat anything else last week. 330 00:13:09,679 --> 00:13:12,120 Speaker 3: I only wanted to eat the Rams, so that was 331 00:13:12,240 --> 00:13:14,880 Speaker 3: that was it. But yeah, no, there's no way that. 332 00:13:14,880 --> 00:13:16,720 Speaker 1: I like the team Titlough. I like your approach. 333 00:13:16,800 --> 00:13:19,520 Speaker 3: I can sit there and really really feel good especially 334 00:13:19,600 --> 00:13:22,400 Speaker 3: with especially if this gets to be ugly and Jane 335 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:24,400 Speaker 3: Daniels just gets a whole bunch of garbage time to 336 00:13:24,480 --> 00:13:26,680 Speaker 3: kind of come back, and I mean seven point loss 337 00:13:26,679 --> 00:13:28,599 Speaker 3: is still lost. Like so I don't want anything to 338 00:13:28,640 --> 00:13:30,160 Speaker 3: do with the spread, but I do think the team 339 00:13:30,200 --> 00:13:31,559 Speaker 3: total is good. I think they can get over third 340 00:13:31,600 --> 00:13:32,120 Speaker 3: so and a half. 341 00:13:32,320 --> 00:13:33,760 Speaker 2: There's two things that were me the most about the 342 00:13:33,760 --> 00:13:38,160 Speaker 2: Commanders in this game, and one of them is what 343 00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:40,200 Speaker 2: they do on the ground in terms of giving up 344 00:13:40,240 --> 00:13:42,000 Speaker 2: yardage twenty three to thirty seven. 345 00:13:42,120 --> 00:13:44,000 Speaker 1: That's the third most yards to. 346 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:46,480 Speaker 2: The ground given up this year by a defense. So 347 00:13:47,520 --> 00:13:49,680 Speaker 2: the ability of Dave Montgomery and Jamier Gibbs, you just 348 00:13:49,720 --> 00:13:52,280 Speaker 2: literally run amuck on this team. And then on top 349 00:13:52,320 --> 00:13:55,400 Speaker 2: of that, the Dan Campbell philosophy of you know we're 350 00:13:55,400 --> 00:13:57,560 Speaker 2: going to grind out and you know that they're not 351 00:13:57,559 --> 00:13:59,200 Speaker 2: going to have the same kind of problems that you 352 00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:03,440 Speaker 2: saw Tampa, which is sloppiness with the football, sloppiness with 353 00:14:03,480 --> 00:14:05,840 Speaker 2: the count. So Ben Johnson has this offense very tight, 354 00:14:06,000 --> 00:14:09,439 Speaker 2: the continuity is very strong with these players, and their 355 00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:13,400 Speaker 2: execution is really good. So where Tampa gave them opportunities 356 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:15,680 Speaker 2: last week, I don't see the Lions doing that to 357 00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:19,040 Speaker 2: the Washington Commanders. Therefore, I'm with Toronda. I kind of 358 00:14:19,040 --> 00:14:20,920 Speaker 2: like just maybe let's just look at the Lions to 359 00:14:20,920 --> 00:14:22,520 Speaker 2: put up the points here and not worry too much 360 00:14:22,520 --> 00:14:24,240 Speaker 2: about all the other stuff there. Maybe that is the 361 00:14:24,280 --> 00:14:27,400 Speaker 2: best approach, But let's talk about your approach here to 362 00:14:27,440 --> 00:14:29,720 Speaker 2: this game here, Lions commander, is what your thoughts is 363 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:30,680 Speaker 2: we headed to the weekend. 364 00:14:31,320 --> 00:14:34,600 Speaker 5: I'm taking the Lions minus nine and a half minus. Again, 365 00:14:35,160 --> 00:14:37,120 Speaker 5: the Lions do one thing, and it's covering of spread. Yeah, 366 00:14:37,160 --> 00:14:39,200 Speaker 5: that's what they do. It doesn't matter what the number is. 367 00:14:39,280 --> 00:14:42,360 Speaker 5: They have destroyed teams at home, unlike the Kansas City Chiefs, 368 00:14:42,360 --> 00:14:44,160 Speaker 5: who see if I'm gonna lay a big number, it's 369 00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:46,040 Speaker 5: not the Chiefs. I will take it with the Detroit 370 00:14:46,080 --> 00:14:48,520 Speaker 5: Lions playing at home against the Commanders, who have fi 371 00:14:48,760 --> 00:14:52,160 Speaker 5: go to spread seven of the last eleven games against 372 00:14:52,200 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 5: teams with a winning record. Yes, they won out right 373 00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:57,400 Speaker 5: last week against Tampa Bay. While that was Tampa Bay 374 00:14:57,440 --> 00:14:59,560 Speaker 5: a lot of couple self inflicted things. Again, I like 375 00:14:59,560 --> 00:15:02,240 Speaker 5: the Commander last week, so, but I definitely felt like 376 00:15:02,280 --> 00:15:04,480 Speaker 5: I got bailed out on a couple opportunities with the 377 00:15:04,480 --> 00:15:06,440 Speaker 5: way that Tampa Bay played. But Tampa Bay had also 378 00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:08,120 Speaker 5: been messing around a week eighteen and almost lost to 379 00:15:08,120 --> 00:15:11,000 Speaker 5: the Saints like the lines have never been that team 380 00:15:11,040 --> 00:15:13,480 Speaker 5: at any point this season, especially in the second half. Again, 381 00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:17,320 Speaker 5: Dave Montgomery back tarn on Arnold's coming back to so 382 00:15:17,640 --> 00:15:20,280 Speaker 5: I think that this is the Lions going away and 383 00:15:20,600 --> 00:15:23,840 Speaker 5: they're staping their ticket to the NFC Championship game. 384 00:15:23,920 --> 00:15:25,760 Speaker 2: All right, Before we get to the Sunday games, a 385 00:15:25,800 --> 00:15:27,520 Speaker 2: quick reminder, now is a great time to join our 386 00:15:27,520 --> 00:15:30,760 Speaker 2: discord Betting Pros dot com slash Chat. If you're looking 387 00:15:30,760 --> 00:15:34,480 Speaker 2: to up your sports betting experience, join our exclusive sports 388 00:15:34,480 --> 00:15:37,880 Speaker 2: betting discord community again. At Bettingpros dot com slash Chat. 389 00:15:37,920 --> 00:15:40,960 Speaker 2: You get free picks from expert handicappers and you connect 390 00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:43,320 Speaker 2: with fellow betters and elevate your strategies and insights with 391 00:15:43,400 --> 00:15:46,880 Speaker 2: the pros. And that is the perfect thing to do 392 00:15:46,960 --> 00:15:50,520 Speaker 2: this time of year considering NFL Playoffs, Super Bowl, College 393 00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:53,880 Speaker 2: Championship around the corner, NHL, NBA, it's all going down 394 00:15:53,880 --> 00:15:55,760 Speaker 2: for you in NFL Draft right around the corner too, 395 00:15:55,880 --> 00:15:58,960 Speaker 2: So Bettingpros dot Com slash Chat join our community on 396 00:15:59,000 --> 00:16:02,520 Speaker 2: our discord today. Moving on to Sunday, this is the 397 00:16:02,560 --> 00:16:04,880 Speaker 2: game where I feel like, if one's gonna go sideways, 398 00:16:05,280 --> 00:16:07,640 Speaker 2: this is the one because the last time we saw 399 00:16:07,720 --> 00:16:10,480 Speaker 2: the Rams and Eagles akwon. Barkley was running for four 400 00:16:10,480 --> 00:16:12,760 Speaker 2: thousand yards in a game. It was crazy, It was nuts. 401 00:16:13,160 --> 00:16:14,840 Speaker 2: But Sean McVay has had a lot of time now 402 00:16:14,880 --> 00:16:17,000 Speaker 2: to marinate on that, and now he's got a second 403 00:16:17,040 --> 00:16:19,680 Speaker 2: shot at it, and good coaches tend to figure out 404 00:16:19,720 --> 00:16:21,920 Speaker 2: some mistakes. The Rams defense playing much better down the 405 00:16:21,960 --> 00:16:25,080 Speaker 2: stretch here, however, still a team that can give up 406 00:16:25,120 --> 00:16:28,320 Speaker 2: points at times. The Eagles continue to be the dysfunctional Eagles. 407 00:16:28,320 --> 00:16:31,400 Speaker 2: They're on a weird page with each other. But Terrell, 408 00:16:31,720 --> 00:16:34,000 Speaker 2: in terms of approach for this game, you want to 409 00:16:34,040 --> 00:16:35,520 Speaker 2: go to a side or you want to go to 410 00:16:35,560 --> 00:16:36,040 Speaker 2: a total. 411 00:16:37,080 --> 00:16:39,560 Speaker 3: I can't say anything bad about the Eagles because everybody's 412 00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:41,200 Speaker 3: just gonna come out here and say I'm a hater 413 00:16:41,480 --> 00:16:44,760 Speaker 3: and I'm stuck on being a Giants fan and the 414 00:16:44,760 --> 00:16:47,200 Speaker 3: Giants suck and all this other stuff about the Giants 415 00:16:47,240 --> 00:16:49,440 Speaker 3: sucking that have nothing to do with the Eagles. There's 416 00:16:49,480 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 3: a problem in Philadelphia, and I'm not gonna say it 417 00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:53,960 Speaker 3: because if I say it, then it's a problem. So 418 00:16:54,040 --> 00:16:56,880 Speaker 3: I'll let you say it. But there is a problem here. However, 419 00:16:57,320 --> 00:16:59,320 Speaker 3: I'm not gonna bet that problem because again, if I 420 00:16:59,360 --> 00:17:01,720 Speaker 3: say it's a problem, so I'll take the under, give 421 00:17:01,720 --> 00:17:04,320 Speaker 3: me the under. In the game, I think that the 422 00:17:04,400 --> 00:17:06,640 Speaker 3: Rams defense you talked about has played better. I think 423 00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:09,399 Speaker 3: that they can have a better showing against this Philadelphia offense. 424 00:17:09,440 --> 00:17:13,280 Speaker 3: But also that Philadelphia defense is really good, Like they 425 00:17:13,280 --> 00:17:15,400 Speaker 3: are really good, and they get after it, and they've 426 00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:18,080 Speaker 3: really really hit their stride towards the back end of 427 00:17:18,080 --> 00:17:20,439 Speaker 3: the season of really shutting Thames down. And so I 428 00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:23,119 Speaker 3: think that while I think the Rams can find a 429 00:17:23,119 --> 00:17:24,600 Speaker 3: way to move the ball here, it's not going to 430 00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:26,080 Speaker 3: be a lot. I think this is going to be 431 00:17:26,080 --> 00:17:28,520 Speaker 3: an ugly mucket up game. That's how the Rams want 432 00:17:28,520 --> 00:17:30,359 Speaker 3: to play it. They don't want to let Saquon Barkley 433 00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:32,080 Speaker 3: get loose. They don't want to let Jalen Hurts in 434 00:17:32,119 --> 00:17:34,239 Speaker 3: this offense get loose. I think that the Rams make 435 00:17:34,280 --> 00:17:36,640 Speaker 3: this an ugly, disgusting game and keep this one close, 436 00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:39,119 Speaker 3: keep it low scoring out here in cold weather in 437 00:17:39,119 --> 00:17:41,640 Speaker 3: the links. So yeah, I like this to go under. 438 00:17:41,640 --> 00:17:44,639 Speaker 3: I think this is a lower scoring game, something around 439 00:17:44,680 --> 00:17:46,880 Speaker 3: the twenty seventeen range type deal. 440 00:17:47,440 --> 00:17:48,920 Speaker 2: I think Eagles fans will be the first to tell 441 00:17:48,960 --> 00:17:50,679 Speaker 2: you about the things they don't like about the Eagles. 442 00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:54,560 Speaker 2: The defense has been great down the stretch. Here, you'd 443 00:17:54,600 --> 00:17:56,320 Speaker 2: like to see a little bit more points. I think 444 00:17:56,400 --> 00:17:58,439 Speaker 2: last week, I understand the first half maybe come out 445 00:17:58,440 --> 00:18:00,639 Speaker 2: a little flat, you're out of rhythm. The second half 446 00:18:00,920 --> 00:18:02,200 Speaker 2: they really should have put up more. 447 00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:02,720 Speaker 1: So. 448 00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:05,800 Speaker 2: I know we talked about this all week, Andrew never 449 00:18:05,840 --> 00:18:07,400 Speaker 2: at one point did I think the Eagles weren't going 450 00:18:07,400 --> 00:18:08,959 Speaker 2: to win that game. They were in control of it 451 00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:13,400 Speaker 2: from pillar to post. But the Rams are very dangerous 452 00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:17,119 Speaker 2: because they have experience, experienced, veteran quarterback who knows what 453 00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:18,200 Speaker 2: it takes to get the job on a Hall of 454 00:18:18,200 --> 00:18:20,400 Speaker 2: Fame quarterback at that too, let's call what it is 455 00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:24,040 Speaker 2: a great coach, and they're playing with house money, which 456 00:18:24,080 --> 00:18:26,360 Speaker 2: is a really dangerous thing. The Rams have nothing to lose. 457 00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:29,080 Speaker 2: They're not supposed to be there. The Eagles last year, 458 00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:31,479 Speaker 2: when there was pressure put on them, they folded, And 459 00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:32,919 Speaker 2: now I think this is the most pressure they're going 460 00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:33,720 Speaker 2: to see all season. 461 00:18:33,760 --> 00:18:35,760 Speaker 1: How they react to it? What are your thoughts? 462 00:18:36,400 --> 00:18:38,480 Speaker 5: Yeah, I feel again, I definitely feel like this is 463 00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:40,440 Speaker 5: an upset spot potentially, but I kind of felt that 464 00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:42,960 Speaker 5: way about the Packers and Eagles last week, And I 465 00:18:43,000 --> 00:18:45,399 Speaker 5: mean look, the Packers had opportunities, but they played one 466 00:18:45,400 --> 00:18:47,200 Speaker 5: of the worst games I've ever seen I've ever seen, 467 00:18:47,280 --> 00:18:49,640 Speaker 5: and all their guys kept getting injured, so they didn't 468 00:18:49,640 --> 00:18:51,600 Speaker 5: really have an opportunity to take a shot at the Eagles, 469 00:18:51,640 --> 00:18:53,440 Speaker 5: even if the Eagles didn't seem like they were really 470 00:18:53,480 --> 00:18:55,680 Speaker 5: firing on all cylinders. I mean, the Eagles, it seemed 471 00:18:55,720 --> 00:18:57,080 Speaker 5: like they were still trying to get out of their 472 00:18:57,080 --> 00:18:59,520 Speaker 5: own way, but the Packers just kept giving them opportunities 473 00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:03,160 Speaker 5: to just contin you to keep a strong lead. So again, 474 00:19:03,240 --> 00:19:04,640 Speaker 5: that's why I'm not picking sides either. 475 00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:04,880 Speaker 3: Here. 476 00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:07,080 Speaker 5: Again in the primer last week, I wrote up, I 477 00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:08,440 Speaker 5: like the under too, and that's why I should have 478 00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:09,760 Speaker 5: just bet. I should have just bet the under and 479 00:19:09,760 --> 00:19:11,520 Speaker 5: not pick sides. So I'm trying to learn from last week. 480 00:19:11,520 --> 00:19:14,600 Speaker 5: He's like, now, don't get don't get into the weeds 481 00:19:14,600 --> 00:19:16,919 Speaker 5: with his Eagles team picking who's gonna win by how 482 00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:18,880 Speaker 5: many points? Just take the under in the game. That's 483 00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:21,399 Speaker 5: been working because we know that the Eagles success is 484 00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:24,119 Speaker 5: about their defense, Like that's really the identity of this team. 485 00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:26,880 Speaker 5: Play defense, run the football. So I know that everyone 486 00:19:26,880 --> 00:19:28,760 Speaker 5: wants to do the high headlines about like Jalen Herts 487 00:19:28,760 --> 00:19:30,600 Speaker 5: and AJ Brown and the receivers because those are what 488 00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:33,560 Speaker 5: catches highlights, but that doesn't actually really matter when it 489 00:19:33,560 --> 00:19:36,280 Speaker 5: comes to like them winning games. It's about the defense 490 00:19:36,600 --> 00:19:39,959 Speaker 5: playing defense at home at the link. So again I 491 00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:43,000 Speaker 5: agree with Trell where they want to puck up this game. 492 00:19:43,119 --> 00:19:45,000 Speaker 5: I do think the Rams have a shot of running 493 00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:47,800 Speaker 5: the football effectively with Kyen n Kobe Dean is out 494 00:19:47,880 --> 00:19:49,680 Speaker 5: for the Eagles and he's been really effective in terms 495 00:19:49,720 --> 00:19:51,920 Speaker 5: of run stopping this year, so I think that's kind 496 00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:55,080 Speaker 5: of the under the radar injury that happened last week. 497 00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:57,760 Speaker 5: So we know that Seum McVay is more than happy 498 00:19:57,760 --> 00:20:00,600 Speaker 5: to feed Kyraen Williams Is as much as human possible. 499 00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:02,680 Speaker 5: And I will say to the Rams credit as well. 500 00:20:02,760 --> 00:20:05,680 Speaker 5: They've been really good in rematches this year, so they're 501 00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:07,840 Speaker 5: three to oh straight up when they face the team 502 00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:09,720 Speaker 5: for the second time, and they're actually three and o 503 00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:11,880 Speaker 5: towards the under in those games as well, So you're 504 00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:14,639 Speaker 5: kind of seeing teams adjust when they play teams for 505 00:20:14,680 --> 00:20:16,959 Speaker 5: a second time on both sides, and I think that 506 00:20:17,040 --> 00:20:18,800 Speaker 5: this is going to be more of an offensive struggle. 507 00:20:18,880 --> 00:20:20,879 Speaker 5: So agreed, especially with the under at forty three and 508 00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:21,960 Speaker 5: a half forty four and a half. 509 00:20:22,840 --> 00:20:23,760 Speaker 4: I think it's good value. 510 00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:25,800 Speaker 2: All right, Let's get to the last game here, and 511 00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:28,440 Speaker 2: it is the marquee matchup. It's the Bills and the Ravens. 512 00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:30,919 Speaker 2: I have very strong feelings about this one, and my 513 00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:34,320 Speaker 2: feeling is very plain, which is I want more Ravens. 514 00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:36,199 Speaker 2: I want to put the Ravens all the way to 515 00:20:36,240 --> 00:20:38,040 Speaker 2: minus three and a half at plus one forty four. 516 00:20:38,080 --> 00:20:39,760 Speaker 2: And that's what I want to do because that's how 517 00:20:39,760 --> 00:20:42,679 Speaker 2: confident I am in this team running them up and 518 00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:45,800 Speaker 2: controlling this game and controlling this football here. I know 519 00:20:45,840 --> 00:20:47,880 Speaker 2: the Bills have been a fun story. Josh Allen has 520 00:20:47,880 --> 00:20:50,480 Speaker 2: done a great job with what he's been given, but 521 00:20:50,560 --> 00:20:51,240 Speaker 2: I don't think. 522 00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:53,400 Speaker 1: It's enough to play against shouts here. 523 00:20:54,359 --> 00:20:57,639 Speaker 2: I'm just saying, man, look, Lamar Jackson has had the 524 00:20:57,680 --> 00:21:00,440 Speaker 2: best year of his career. Derrek Henry is a man 525 00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:03,600 Speaker 2: on a mission. This is their moment, this is their window. 526 00:21:03,880 --> 00:21:05,679 Speaker 2: The defense has played better now. I want to take 527 00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:07,879 Speaker 2: that with a small grain assault because the competition on 528 00:21:07,960 --> 00:21:09,800 Speaker 2: offense has not been great for this defense since they 529 00:21:09,800 --> 00:21:12,000 Speaker 2: come out of the By playing the Giants and the Steelers, 530 00:21:12,000 --> 00:21:13,919 Speaker 2: a bunch of dimes has not impressed me, and it 531 00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:16,159 Speaker 2: was freezing cold against the Bengals. They couldn't really get 532 00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:18,880 Speaker 2: any not against the Bengals, but the other matchup they played. 533 00:21:18,880 --> 00:21:20,919 Speaker 1: Here, you're playing against the Browns and teams like that. 534 00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:25,119 Speaker 2: Like, I'm not really color me unimpressed from that standpoint, 535 00:21:25,200 --> 00:21:28,840 Speaker 2: but they have done what they needed to do, and Terrell, 536 00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:31,159 Speaker 2: I'm very confident that the Ravens are going to win 537 00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:33,440 Speaker 2: this football game. And the fourth quarter, we're not biting 538 00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:34,919 Speaker 2: our nails. That's how I feel about it. 539 00:21:34,920 --> 00:21:40,760 Speaker 3: How do you feel, well, I think that this is 540 00:21:40,840 --> 00:21:45,040 Speaker 3: now the time for Lamar Jackson to shut everybody up. 541 00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:49,960 Speaker 3: Granted he's already won MVP. The vote's already in, so whatever, 542 00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:52,879 Speaker 3: like whatever happens the MVP votes are already in this 543 00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:55,159 Speaker 3: game does not affect that. But it does in the 544 00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:57,080 Speaker 3: psyche of both of these quarterbacks. And I think both 545 00:21:57,119 --> 00:21:58,760 Speaker 3: of these quarterbacks are going to get after it. But 546 00:21:59,040 --> 00:22:01,560 Speaker 3: I just like the Events team better. I think that 547 00:22:01,680 --> 00:22:03,720 Speaker 3: defense is a lot better. I think the defense is 548 00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:06,720 Speaker 3: really really locked in and has now started to really 549 00:22:06,760 --> 00:22:09,400 Speaker 3: find themselves. And it makes sense. I mean, you come 550 00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:12,679 Speaker 3: off an offseason where you lose your defensive coordinator. He 551 00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:15,000 Speaker 3: takes all these coaches and you're kind of revamping this 552 00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:17,520 Speaker 3: defense and figuring out, Hey, what's this ideaity gonna be 553 00:22:17,560 --> 00:22:20,119 Speaker 3: In early on in the season, you're still trying to 554 00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:22,359 Speaker 3: figure it out. Figure it out, figure it out. Well, 555 00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:26,119 Speaker 3: you play this Bills team when you haven't figured it 556 00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:28,080 Speaker 3: out yet, and you still help them to their lowest 557 00:22:28,119 --> 00:22:31,280 Speaker 3: total of the season. Like they can score double the 558 00:22:31,280 --> 00:22:33,760 Speaker 3: points and still not have enough points to be able 559 00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:36,639 Speaker 3: to handle business against the Baltimore Ravens at home this 560 00:22:36,720 --> 00:22:39,360 Speaker 3: time around, So I know the home field environment and 561 00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:41,720 Speaker 3: it's gonna be cold and all that Lamar Jackson's and 562 00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:43,840 Speaker 3: this team have played in cold games. I'm not worried 563 00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:46,160 Speaker 3: about that aspect. They played on the road. They're grown men. 564 00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:48,320 Speaker 3: This isn't college like. I think that they're gonna be 565 00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:51,080 Speaker 3: able to go out here use that energy on the road. 566 00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:54,399 Speaker 3: Run Derrick Henry. The Bills are horrible at defending the 567 00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:56,480 Speaker 3: running backs, so I think Justice Hill is gonna bail 568 00:22:56,560 --> 00:22:58,800 Speaker 3: them out of some drives with some nice completions, and 569 00:22:58,800 --> 00:23:00,760 Speaker 3: there's gonna be a lot of Justice in this game. 570 00:23:00,920 --> 00:23:02,640 Speaker 3: I think the two side in sets that they're gonna 571 00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:04,800 Speaker 3: run is really going to be confusing towards the middle 572 00:23:04,840 --> 00:23:06,480 Speaker 3: of the field, and I think Isaiah likely and Mark 573 00:23:06,520 --> 00:23:07,960 Speaker 3: Andrews is going to have a really good game in 574 00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:09,640 Speaker 3: this game. Like I think this is one of those 575 00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:12,440 Speaker 3: games where the Ravens offense is clicking on all cylinders, 576 00:23:12,440 --> 00:23:15,040 Speaker 3: and if that's clicking on all cylinders, I don't want 577 00:23:15,080 --> 00:23:17,359 Speaker 3: to take my chances with this Buffalo Bills team. I 578 00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:19,000 Speaker 3: really don't. I don't think that they're going to be 579 00:23:19,000 --> 00:23:22,040 Speaker 3: able to match the firepower of the Baltimore Ravens. So yeah, 580 00:23:22,080 --> 00:23:23,879 Speaker 3: I'm all over the Ravens here. I think this is 581 00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:27,040 Speaker 3: a smash Ravens spot and I'm looking forward to seeing 582 00:23:27,080 --> 00:23:31,240 Speaker 3: a Chiefs Ravens AFC Championship rematch. 583 00:23:31,840 --> 00:23:35,240 Speaker 2: Ericson, now's the time, big marquee matchup, take a stand. 584 00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:38,919 Speaker 5: I'm taking the over because both guys are worthy of 585 00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:40,680 Speaker 5: the MVP in my eyes, and that's what I want 586 00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:42,320 Speaker 5: to bet on, because I think that neither defense is 587 00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:44,720 Speaker 5: gonna be able to stop either of these offenses. Because 588 00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:46,920 Speaker 5: something I've been writing about in the primer at the 589 00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:48,520 Speaker 5: last two years when it comes to both the Ravens 590 00:23:48,520 --> 00:23:50,359 Speaker 5: and Bills, and we've seen it at times where there 591 00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:52,159 Speaker 5: are times that these guys. Both these teams play down 592 00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:54,040 Speaker 5: to their competition, they play with their food. I mean 593 00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:55,919 Speaker 5: the Ravens loss of the Raiders this season, and the 594 00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:58,480 Speaker 5: Browns and the Bills are down fourteen I thin against 595 00:23:58,480 --> 00:24:01,040 Speaker 5: the Patriots at home. So we just seen at times 596 00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:04,600 Speaker 5: them have mental lapses against inferior opponents, but when it's 597 00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:08,000 Speaker 5: the top tier opponent that they're playing, they show up. 598 00:24:08,280 --> 00:24:09,959 Speaker 5: And that's with both of these teams. So I think 599 00:24:10,000 --> 00:24:13,159 Speaker 5: you're gonna get MVP performances from both of these quarterbacks. 600 00:24:13,200 --> 00:24:15,440 Speaker 5: And it's gonna whoever has the ball last is gonna 601 00:24:15,480 --> 00:24:17,240 Speaker 5: be winning this game. So again I'm on the Ravens 602 00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:19,360 Speaker 5: side as well, but look, I'm not gonna count Josh 603 00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:21,159 Speaker 5: Allen out because I think that he's also worthy of 604 00:24:21,200 --> 00:24:24,240 Speaker 5: the MVP. So I think that's why I like the 605 00:24:24,320 --> 00:24:26,520 Speaker 5: over as much in this game, and just the trends 606 00:24:26,560 --> 00:24:28,960 Speaker 5: if you look at it, eight of the last nine 607 00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:31,480 Speaker 5: Ravens road games have gone over the total, and Buffalo 608 00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:34,480 Speaker 5: husband home to the over all year long, they've scored 609 00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:36,399 Speaker 5: thirty plus points to ten of their last eleven games 610 00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:38,879 Speaker 5: with their starters this season. And I think the thing 611 00:24:38,920 --> 00:24:41,240 Speaker 5: that gives me the most confidence too, is both teams 612 00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:45,040 Speaker 5: are coming off unders, so okay, we're due for some points. 613 00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:47,000 Speaker 5: And the last four games between the Ravens and Bills 614 00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:49,960 Speaker 5: have all gone under. So regression is coming, and it's 615 00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:51,800 Speaker 5: coming in the form of points on Sunday Night football. 616 00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:53,639 Speaker 2: So I like the over all, right, Sunday Night should 617 00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:56,000 Speaker 2: be a good one. All right, something's got to go sideway, 618 00:24:56,040 --> 00:24:57,400 Speaker 2: So I gotta find an upset special. 619 00:24:57,840 --> 00:24:58,880 Speaker 1: I don't think it's the text. 620 00:24:59,359 --> 00:25:01,800 Speaker 3: The no ups say it last week was really disappointing. 621 00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:05,120 Speaker 2: It was it was look, man, I look the Chargers 622 00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:07,399 Speaker 2: at every opportunity to the beginning of that game to 623 00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:12,159 Speaker 2: not crap the bed, and they basically just well it 624 00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:12,800 Speaker 2: was diarrhea. 625 00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:13,760 Speaker 1: Let's be honest. 626 00:25:13,840 --> 00:25:15,280 Speaker 2: That's what it was there in the first half of 627 00:25:15,280 --> 00:25:17,280 Speaker 2: that game, and then it didn't get better in the 628 00:25:17,280 --> 00:25:19,920 Speaker 2: second half. The turnovers everywhere, So let's be honest. 629 00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:20,280 Speaker 3: I mean, the. 630 00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:23,160 Speaker 2: Chargers could have put they could have been up twenty 631 00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:25,600 Speaker 2: to nothing in the first half of that game if 632 00:25:25,640 --> 00:25:28,520 Speaker 2: they had actually converted anything, but alas it wasn't meant 633 00:25:28,520 --> 00:25:30,560 Speaker 2: to be. Washington was the one that I thought had 634 00:25:30,560 --> 00:25:32,000 Speaker 2: the best chance that didn't happen. 635 00:25:32,040 --> 00:25:33,120 Speaker 1: So let's have. 636 00:25:33,119 --> 00:25:35,360 Speaker 2: Something to go sideways this week. If something's gonna go sideways, 637 00:25:35,359 --> 00:25:37,000 Speaker 2: I feel like it's the Rams. I think the Rams 638 00:25:37,040 --> 00:25:38,920 Speaker 2: of the team plus two to twenty on the money line. 639 00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:41,000 Speaker 2: Let's just go and just bet it and see if 640 00:25:41,040 --> 00:25:43,080 Speaker 2: the Eagles dysfunction finally comes home to roost. 641 00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:44,280 Speaker 1: I think that's the only thing. 642 00:25:44,280 --> 00:25:44,440 Speaker 3: Now. 643 00:25:44,440 --> 00:25:47,560 Speaker 2: Do I feel great about it? No, but it's a 644 00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:49,200 Speaker 2: good number. Getting more in two to one, I think 645 00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:50,280 Speaker 2: it's worthy of a look. 646 00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:51,359 Speaker 1: That's all I'm saying. 647 00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:54,880 Speaker 2: Let's go to the parlay for the Divisional Round weekend. 648 00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:59,359 Speaker 2: Let's take the Lions minus nine and a half. Let's 649 00:25:59,359 --> 00:26:01,359 Speaker 2: take the Cancer Chiefs on the money line. I know 650 00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:03,359 Speaker 2: it's heavy juice, Stay with me, folks, and let's take 651 00:26:03,359 --> 00:26:05,959 Speaker 2: the Baltimore Ravens minus one and a half. At minus 652 00:26:05,960 --> 00:26:08,199 Speaker 2: one h two. You put those three things together, you 653 00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:11,320 Speaker 2: get plus three seventy four right now, And that to 654 00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:15,680 Speaker 2: me is a nice way to enjoy this weekend of football. 655 00:26:15,800 --> 00:26:18,840 Speaker 2: So there you have it. That's everybody's best bets for 656 00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:21,280 Speaker 2: the Divisional Round. What are your favorite bets? Drop them 657 00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:23,520 Speaker 2: in the comments below. Subscribe to the channel and don't 658 00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:29,040 Speaker 2: forget join us. Saturday four fifteen, Eastern Chiefs Texans, Bogman 659 00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:31,879 Speaker 2: Pizza Pia. Forget the Manning cast, you want the Bogmin 660 00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:34,240 Speaker 2: Pizza Pia cast. That's the one you're looking for. Because 661 00:26:34,240 --> 00:26:36,080 Speaker 2: we're gonna be talking betting. We're gonna be watching this 662 00:26:36,200 --> 00:26:38,800 Speaker 2: game the way you watch this game to try to 663 00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:41,520 Speaker 2: make money off of it. You can turn down the announcers, 664 00:26:41,800 --> 00:26:44,480 Speaker 2: turn us up, make us your second screen experience, and 665 00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:46,240 Speaker 2: hang out with us for the first half of the 666 00:26:46,440 --> 00:26:48,679 Speaker 2: Chiefs game. That'll do it for us, but the story 667 00:26:48,720 --> 00:26:51,119 Speaker 2: of the game goes on for Andrew Ericson Andrel Furman. 668 00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:53,919 Speaker 1: I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time. Kids. 669 00:26:54,400 --> 00:26:57,040 Speaker 6: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 670 00:26:57,080 --> 00:26:59,399 Speaker 6: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 671 00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:02,879 Speaker 6: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 672 00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:05,800 Speaker 6: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 673 00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:09,520 Speaker 6: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 674 00:27:09,600 --> 00:27:12,080 Speaker 6: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros