1 00:00:00,760 --> 00:00:03,720 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, ready or not, twenty twenty four is here 2 00:00:03,880 --> 00:00:06,320 Speaker 1: and we here at breaking points, are already thinking of 3 00:00:06,400 --> 00:00:08,600 Speaker 1: ways we can up our game for this critical election. 4 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:11,719 Speaker 2: We rely on our premium subs to expand coverage, upgrade 5 00:00:11,760 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 2: the studio ad staff give you, guys, the best independent 6 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:17,440 Speaker 2: coverage that is possible. If you like what we're all about, 7 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:20,080 Speaker 2: it just means the absolute world to have your support. 8 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 2: But enough with that, let's get to the show. Good morning, everybody, 9 00:00:38,120 --> 00:00:40,640 Speaker 2: Happy Monday. We have an amazing show for everybody today. 10 00:00:40,640 --> 00:00:41,920 Speaker 2: What do we have, Crissel, Indeed we do. 11 00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:44,479 Speaker 1: We've got lots of big updates on the dead ceiling, 12 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:46,600 Speaker 1: but many questions remain, so we will break all of 13 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:48,960 Speaker 1: that down for you. Also, Ronda Santa is taking his 14 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:51,960 Speaker 1: strongest shots yet at Donald Trump. Kind of interesting the 15 00:00:51,960 --> 00:00:54,040 Speaker 1: way that he is attacking him, so we will play 16 00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:57,520 Speaker 1: those comments for you as well. Also, some pretty interesting 17 00:00:57,560 --> 00:01:01,360 Speaker 1: revelations about chat GPT and just how it just invents 18 00:01:01,400 --> 00:01:04,160 Speaker 1: stuff all the time, all the time, like way more 19 00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 1: than maybe you thought, certainly more than I thought, so 20 00:01:06,720 --> 00:01:08,960 Speaker 1: we'll dig into that. We also have some new numbers 21 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:12,399 Speaker 1: about where jobs are moving within the United States, and 22 00:01:12,440 --> 00:01:14,919 Speaker 1: of course workers along with them, and some new comments 23 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:17,759 Speaker 1: from Jake Tapper about Joe Biden's pull numbers, which are 24 00:01:17,840 --> 00:01:18,840 Speaker 1: kind of astonishing. 25 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:20,640 Speaker 3: So that is all very interesting. 26 00:01:20,680 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 1: But before we get to any of that, this is 27 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:27,920 Speaker 1: officially our last week in this particular on this particular set, 28 00:01:28,000 --> 00:01:28,680 Speaker 1: in this studio. 29 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:30,560 Speaker 2: It's sad. It's sad. It's gonna say. It's gonna be 30 00:01:30,560 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 2: hard to say goodbye to this desk after we designed 31 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:36,320 Speaker 2: it ourselves, Crystal and shepherded it, this entire set. There's 32 00:01:36,319 --> 00:01:38,840 Speaker 2: a lot of emotions flying through the studio, but we're 33 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 2: really excited for what comes next. Thank you to the 34 00:01:40,600 --> 00:01:43,160 Speaker 2: Premium members who've been helping us out. As we've said, 35 00:01:43,360 --> 00:01:46,360 Speaker 2: we recently had got a delivery of the largest television 36 00:01:46,440 --> 00:01:47,840 Speaker 2: that world has ever seen. 37 00:01:47,920 --> 00:01:50,440 Speaker 3: Nobody can relate these genuinely insane. 38 00:01:50,240 --> 00:01:52,640 Speaker 2: I can't even believe looking at these boxes. You guys 39 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:54,280 Speaker 2: are the ones who are helping us pay for it. 40 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:56,720 Speaker 2: It's the biggest expense ever in the history of our company. 41 00:01:56,760 --> 00:01:59,200 Speaker 2: So thank you all so so much who are signing 42 00:01:59,280 --> 00:02:01,960 Speaker 2: up and helping support us at this time. It's breakingpoints 43 00:02:02,200 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 2: dot com if you're able to, And then of course 44 00:02:04,200 --> 00:02:05,960 Speaker 2: it's also Memorial Day, so don't want to let that 45 00:02:06,000 --> 00:02:08,320 Speaker 2: pass without taking just a moment or something. If you 46 00:02:08,360 --> 00:02:12,440 Speaker 2: know somebody who either lost someone or you actually are 47 00:02:12,480 --> 00:02:14,520 Speaker 2: somebody who lost someone, you know thinking about you and 48 00:02:14,600 --> 00:02:17,200 Speaker 2: that person on this day. So think about that just 49 00:02:17,440 --> 00:02:19,679 Speaker 2: for a bit before you go and enjoy your Memorial Day. 50 00:02:19,760 --> 00:02:21,920 Speaker 1: Yes, indeed, but also hope that you are enjoying your 51 00:02:22,040 --> 00:02:23,280 Speaker 1: Memorial Day out there. 52 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:24,640 Speaker 3: So do both of those things. 53 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, So let's get to the very latest 54 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:28,560 Speaker 1: of what we know about the debt sealing. There is 55 00:02:28,600 --> 00:02:31,720 Speaker 1: a tentative deal that has been reached between Biden and 56 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 1: Kevin McCarthy. 57 00:02:32,480 --> 00:02:33,880 Speaker 3: I'll give you the details of it and in just 58 00:02:33,919 --> 00:02:34,320 Speaker 3: a moment. 59 00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:36,519 Speaker 1: Important keep in mind, though, that they've got to sell 60 00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:40,040 Speaker 1: this deal to the Democrats and maybe most Dice Lee 61 00:02:40,160 --> 00:02:41,640 Speaker 1: that's not really word, but you guys know what I'm 62 00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:45,480 Speaker 1: trying to say to the Republican caucus, number of whom 63 00:02:45,560 --> 00:02:47,640 Speaker 1: have already come out and said like, hell, no, this 64 00:02:47,720 --> 00:02:50,519 Speaker 1: is horrible, this is disgusting, et cetera, et cetera. Let's 65 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:53,840 Speaker 1: take a listen, though, to start with how President Biden 66 00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:56,200 Speaker 1: was selling this deal to the press yesterday. 67 00:02:56,200 --> 00:02:59,360 Speaker 4: Take a listen, and the agreement also represents the compromises 68 00:02:59,400 --> 00:03:02,920 Speaker 4: me as known. Got everything they want, But that's the 69 00:03:02,960 --> 00:03:06,400 Speaker 4: responsibility of governing. Suppose you want to try to make 70 00:03:06,440 --> 00:03:08,799 Speaker 4: it look like I made some compromise in the debt stealing, 71 00:03:08,840 --> 00:03:09,440 Speaker 4: and I didn't. 72 00:03:09,919 --> 00:03:11,839 Speaker 5: I made a compromise on the budget. 73 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:13,200 Speaker 6: That's what they wanted. 74 00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:14,760 Speaker 4: It is you make a compromise on the budget, and 75 00:03:14,760 --> 00:03:16,360 Speaker 4: that's what you've done, even though you haven't gone as 76 00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:17,880 Speaker 4: far as they wanted. Isn't that sure? 77 00:03:18,120 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 7: Yeah? 78 00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:23,000 Speaker 5: Well, can you think of an alternative? I think he 79 00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:25,680 Speaker 5: negotiated with me in good faith. He kept his word, 80 00:03:25,760 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 5: He said what he would do, He did what he 81 00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:30,160 Speaker 5: said he'd do, and I have no idea what to 82 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:31,680 Speaker 5: have votes I expect he does. 83 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:34,360 Speaker 1: No idea whether McCarthy has the votes. I expect he does. 84 00:03:34,400 --> 00:03:36,840 Speaker 1: Nobody got everything they wanted. There was a lot of 85 00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:38,720 Speaker 1: cope in there about them being like, you said you 86 00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:41,760 Speaker 1: weren't going to negotiate, and now you're negotiating. He's like, 87 00:03:41,880 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 1: I didn't negotiate at all. This is on the budget, 88 00:03:44,800 --> 00:03:48,119 Speaker 1: not the dead's doing. Okay, dude, whatever. So we still 89 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:51,800 Speaker 1: don't have all the details of this tentative agreement. So 90 00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:55,040 Speaker 1: but we have some of the outlines here top lines. 91 00:03:55,120 --> 00:03:57,440 Speaker 1: Here's Jeff Stein's reporting from the Washington Post. Go and 92 00:03:57,440 --> 00:03:59,400 Speaker 1: put this up on the screen. So he says, smmary 93 00:03:59,400 --> 00:04:02,360 Speaker 1: of deal, as I understand it, again, important caveats because 94 00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:05,760 Speaker 1: nobody has all of the specifics yet. Debt ceiling raised 95 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:08,280 Speaker 1: for two years, so it gets Joe Biden passed the 96 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:12,960 Speaker 1: next election. Domestic programs frozen next year and then up 97 00:04:13,080 --> 00:04:16,599 Speaker 1: one percent in twenty twenty five, so it's an inflation 98 00:04:16,800 --> 00:04:19,039 Speaker 1: adjusted cut that was more along the lines of what 99 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:20,320 Speaker 1: Democrats were pushing for. 100 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:21,760 Speaker 3: Joe Biden was pushing for. 101 00:04:22,160 --> 00:04:26,360 Speaker 1: It does lift defense spending and also veterans affairs money. 102 00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:30,560 Speaker 1: There is some tightening of work requirements on TAMP, which 103 00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:33,400 Speaker 1: is which is the welfare program, and SNAP, which is 104 00:04:33,440 --> 00:04:36,760 Speaker 1: food stamps Energy Permitting details to be determined. I think 105 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:40,200 Speaker 1: Joe Manchin got his pipeline deal in there clawback some 106 00:04:40,800 --> 00:04:43,600 Speaker 1: new IRS dollars, but not as far as Republicans had 107 00:04:43,600 --> 00:04:46,359 Speaker 1: originally floated. He goes on to say work requirement for 108 00:04:46,360 --> 00:04:49,680 Speaker 1: food Stamps moves from age fifty to age fifty four. 109 00:04:49,960 --> 00:04:52,520 Speaker 1: Trying to get more clarity on TAMP. Sorry, I'm not sure. 110 00:04:52,520 --> 00:04:55,240 Speaker 1: We'll update when I learn more details. My understanding is 111 00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:58,159 Speaker 1: the energy permitting changes are very minimal. Go ahead to 112 00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:01,880 Speaker 1: the next piece here some additionals a details. Remember one 113 00:05:01,920 --> 00:05:04,240 Speaker 1: of the things that Republicans were pushing for was to 114 00:05:04,480 --> 00:05:07,880 Speaker 1: end the student loan debt forgiveness program. He says, there 115 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:09,880 Speaker 1: is a student loan provision as well. The agreement, as 116 00:05:09,920 --> 00:05:13,800 Speaker 1: I understand it, codifies into law the administration's existing plan 117 00:05:14,080 --> 00:05:17,480 Speaker 1: to end for barants, so payments will restart. Theoretically, if 118 00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:20,720 Speaker 1: there is another emergency, they could and again enact of moratorium, 119 00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:24,360 Speaker 1: no change to Biden's student debt cancelation program. He goes 120 00:05:24,360 --> 00:05:26,240 Speaker 1: on to say, I'll be watching very carefully to what 121 00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:28,320 Speaker 1: precisely happened to the portion of the federal government that 122 00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:29,640 Speaker 1: covers anti poverty. 123 00:05:29,320 --> 00:05:30,360 Speaker 3: Programs over two years. 124 00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:32,560 Speaker 1: In inflation adjust terms, it could look like a more 125 00:05:32,600 --> 00:05:36,719 Speaker 1: significant cut than flat funding suggests. Interesting, we actually have 126 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:40,280 Speaker 1: gotten some more details about the snap cuts. In particular, 127 00:05:40,720 --> 00:05:43,719 Speaker 1: it's not even clear that it will be an overall 128 00:05:43,760 --> 00:05:46,640 Speaker 1: cut to the program, because while they are tightening up 129 00:05:46,680 --> 00:05:50,080 Speaker 1: work requirements for people age fifty to fifty four, they 130 00:05:50,080 --> 00:05:53,640 Speaker 1: are eliminating work requirements for people who are homeless and 131 00:05:53,720 --> 00:05:54,839 Speaker 1: also for veterans. 132 00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:57,880 Speaker 3: So you have your sort of just shifting who. 133 00:05:57,839 --> 00:06:01,200 Speaker 1: Is eligible for SNAP without work requirements, So it's not 134 00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:03,520 Speaker 1: even apparent that that is a cut across the board. 135 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:07,440 Speaker 1: So Mattaglesius, I think had a good analysis and then saga, 136 00:06:07,440 --> 00:06:09,280 Speaker 1: I want to get your view of all of this 137 00:06:09,400 --> 00:06:11,680 Speaker 1: as well. Put this up on the screen from his substack. 138 00:06:12,080 --> 00:06:14,440 Speaker 1: He says, I thought this was maybe the best line. 139 00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:18,000 Speaker 1: If you ignore everything about the circumstances of how this 140 00:06:18,080 --> 00:06:21,160 Speaker 1: came together, it's really not a bad deal. In particular, 141 00:06:21,320 --> 00:06:23,400 Speaker 1: the big GOP win here is they forced Biden to 142 00:06:23,440 --> 00:06:27,479 Speaker 1: agree to flat nominal discretionary spending for one year and 143 00:06:27,520 --> 00:06:30,000 Speaker 1: then a one percent nominal increase the year after that, 144 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:32,679 Speaker 1: which is a significant cut in inflation adjusted per capita 145 00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:33,559 Speaker 1: or GDP terms. 146 00:06:34,160 --> 00:06:36,240 Speaker 3: But and this is the key point. 147 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 1: That's something Republicans could and would have gotten through the 148 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:43,520 Speaker 1: normal appropriations process anyway. He goes on to say, by 149 00:06:43,520 --> 00:06:45,880 Speaker 1: giving Republicans a policy win in this way rather than 150 00:06:45,880 --> 00:06:49,599 Speaker 1: through the normal appropriations that's the budgeting process, Biden has 151 00:06:49,720 --> 00:06:53,160 Speaker 1: validated the debt sealing hostage tactic that meaningfully increases the 152 00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:55,839 Speaker 1: odds of a future substantive disaster either in terms of 153 00:06:55,839 --> 00:06:59,680 Speaker 1: policy concessions or a breach. So overall, as I look 154 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:03,080 Speaker 1: at this, first of all, it's sort of enraging that 155 00:07:03,160 --> 00:07:06,839 Speaker 1: we have this whole like potential global crisis catastrophe, which 156 00:07:06,880 --> 00:07:10,760 Speaker 1: by the way, has already had real economic impact and 157 00:07:11,000 --> 00:07:15,000 Speaker 1: probably increased our government's borrowing costs and injected all of 158 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:18,160 Speaker 1: this uncertainty and chaos and disaster, et cetera for something 159 00:07:18,200 --> 00:07:22,440 Speaker 1: they could have gotten through normally made. And so I 160 00:07:22,480 --> 00:07:25,160 Speaker 1: certainly blame the Republicans for using these tactics, which I 161 00:07:25,160 --> 00:07:27,200 Speaker 1: think are disgraceful and should be out of bounds. And 162 00:07:27,240 --> 00:07:30,440 Speaker 1: I certainly blame the Biden administration for giving into these tactics. 163 00:07:30,800 --> 00:07:33,240 Speaker 1: And I think Aglaysias is exactly right here that, Okay, 164 00:07:33,280 --> 00:07:35,200 Speaker 1: if you ignore everything else, you'd be like, it's not 165 00:07:35,320 --> 00:07:36,880 Speaker 1: it could be a lot worse. It could you know, 166 00:07:37,000 --> 00:07:39,280 Speaker 1: could have been much steeper cuts that hurt a lot 167 00:07:39,320 --> 00:07:41,560 Speaker 1: more people and also did harm. 168 00:07:41,360 --> 00:07:42,120 Speaker 3: To the economy. 169 00:07:42,560 --> 00:07:45,000 Speaker 1: But what you're doing is validating this tactic. So you 170 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:47,520 Speaker 1: can bet two years down the line they're going to 171 00:07:47,600 --> 00:07:49,280 Speaker 1: do the same thing all over again. 172 00:07:49,400 --> 00:07:51,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, and right, so two years from now, you know, 173 00:07:51,240 --> 00:07:54,160 Speaker 2: we'll see what happens. But I know on on its face, 174 00:07:54,400 --> 00:07:57,360 Speaker 2: for the quote unquote merits of the deal will save 175 00:07:57,640 --> 00:07:59,720 Speaker 2: some more of this analysis. But this is a huge 176 00:07:59,800 --> 00:08:02,800 Speaker 2: law for Kevin McCarthy and for maybe not Kevin McCarthy, 177 00:08:02,920 --> 00:08:05,480 Speaker 2: is a massive loss for the Freedom Caucus members of 178 00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:08,560 Speaker 2: which they are making it known, and on its face, 179 00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:10,920 Speaker 2: like for Joe Biden, this is I think this would 180 00:08:10,960 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 2: be a victory for him because he can both look. 181 00:08:13,120 --> 00:08:14,800 Speaker 2: I think we both also know that there is a 182 00:08:14,840 --> 00:08:18,760 Speaker 2: fetishization of like bipartisanship or a lot of voters for 183 00:08:18,800 --> 00:08:20,800 Speaker 2: some reason, they think it's a very good thing. It 184 00:08:20,840 --> 00:08:22,800 Speaker 2: can be, it can't be, depends on how we talk 185 00:08:22,800 --> 00:08:25,280 Speaker 2: about it. On the detail. It's all about the nuance, right, 186 00:08:25,320 --> 00:08:30,280 Speaker 2: So bipartisan rail safety good, bipartisan like bipartisan feigning concern 187 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:33,600 Speaker 2: about the deficit while you increase military spending in at Ukraine. Yeah, 188 00:08:33,640 --> 00:08:34,920 Speaker 2: maybe I'm just going to go ahead and say that's 189 00:08:34,920 --> 00:08:38,600 Speaker 2: bad and that's what's happened here. But you know, Biden 190 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:42,079 Speaker 2: gets the rhetorical win of inegotiated. He didn't really give 191 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:44,880 Speaker 2: away the store. There are not really meaningful cuts. If 192 00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:48,520 Speaker 2: you are a genuine economic libertarian type, this is ludicrous. 193 00:08:48,600 --> 00:08:50,040 Speaker 2: You know, if you're looking at this if you're somebody 194 00:08:50,040 --> 00:08:52,680 Speaker 2: who cares about the debt. Even on the IRS piece, 195 00:08:52,720 --> 00:08:55,720 Speaker 2: which was a huge thing, they are only able to 196 00:08:55,760 --> 00:08:58,840 Speaker 2: claw back apparently some twenty billion or so of the 197 00:08:58,880 --> 00:09:01,400 Speaker 2: forty billion, and that twenty what they're going to do 198 00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:03,720 Speaker 2: is they're just going to defer the spending cuts in 199 00:09:03,760 --> 00:09:06,240 Speaker 2: the future, so they'll still be fully funded for a 200 00:09:06,280 --> 00:09:09,199 Speaker 2: shorter period of time. It actually won't meaningfully change IRS 201 00:09:09,320 --> 00:09:11,319 Speaker 2: enforcement at all. This is another thing I was getting 202 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:14,080 Speaker 2: so annoyed by, because they are correct in saying that 203 00:09:14,160 --> 00:09:17,760 Speaker 2: the IRS disproportionally targets, you know, people were poor. I've 204 00:09:17,760 --> 00:09:20,640 Speaker 2: done the entire monologues about this. What I've always advocated 205 00:09:20,640 --> 00:09:22,160 Speaker 2: for is that there's actually a simple change in the 206 00:09:22,240 --> 00:09:23,840 Speaker 2: law you can make, which is say, don't use this 207 00:09:23,840 --> 00:09:27,160 Speaker 2: funding go below anybody over one million dollars or so. 208 00:09:27,240 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 2: And of course, you know they never want to insert 209 00:09:29,280 --> 00:09:31,280 Speaker 2: these pros, so the entire thing is just ridiculous to me. 210 00:09:31,800 --> 00:09:34,160 Speaker 2: What makes it especially offensive is that they are not 211 00:09:34,200 --> 00:09:38,840 Speaker 2: only increasing military spending, but specifically trying to increase some 212 00:09:38,960 --> 00:09:41,960 Speaker 2: of the backwards a to Ukraine, not the in terms 213 00:09:41,960 --> 00:09:45,599 Speaker 2: of refilling stockpiles and helping with the depreciation costs, and 214 00:09:45,600 --> 00:09:48,720 Speaker 2: they're hiding all these other nonsense provisions in there, which 215 00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:51,000 Speaker 2: are basically just box checks for things that they say 216 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:53,520 Speaker 2: that they're against on paper, like the irs, and they 217 00:09:53,520 --> 00:09:57,000 Speaker 2: didn't even do that. So overall the deal itself, it's 218 00:09:57,000 --> 00:09:58,679 Speaker 2: not going to change much. I mean, you know, I 219 00:09:58,720 --> 00:10:01,600 Speaker 2: guess it's good for everybody's stock for four oh one ks. Now, 220 00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:05,200 Speaker 2: this is all presumes if it passes, right, because that 221 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:07,200 Speaker 2: is actually kind of up in the air right now. 222 00:10:07,200 --> 00:10:08,880 Speaker 2: I mean, christ, we haven't yet received word from the 223 00:10:08,880 --> 00:10:10,959 Speaker 2: Progressive Caucus to whether they're going to vote for it 224 00:10:11,160 --> 00:10:13,120 Speaker 2: or not. If they do, this deal might almost get 225 00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:16,199 Speaker 2: one hundred percent Democratic support or somewhere near that, and 226 00:10:16,240 --> 00:10:18,800 Speaker 2: then you don't actually even need that many Republicans to 227 00:10:18,880 --> 00:10:21,200 Speaker 2: support it. Although McCarthy has said I will not bring 228 00:10:21,240 --> 00:10:22,880 Speaker 2: the floor, I will not bring the bill to the 229 00:10:22,920 --> 00:10:26,240 Speaker 2: floor without a majority of the support. Although that's only 230 00:10:26,320 --> 00:10:28,240 Speaker 2: what you know, one hundred or so members out of 231 00:10:28,240 --> 00:10:31,000 Speaker 2: the two I forget the exact number of there. It's 232 00:10:31,040 --> 00:10:32,920 Speaker 2: really not that many people when you consider how many 233 00:10:33,000 --> 00:10:35,560 Speaker 2: defections he could have, which would then be a huge 234 00:10:35,600 --> 00:10:37,960 Speaker 2: internal blow to him for his speakership. 235 00:10:38,000 --> 00:10:38,400 Speaker 3: That's right. 236 00:10:38,520 --> 00:10:42,040 Speaker 1: So the reason that he is going to commit to 237 00:10:42,080 --> 00:10:43,760 Speaker 1: and has already committed to we have to have a 238 00:10:43,800 --> 00:10:46,680 Speaker 1: majority of the Republican caucus behind this is because his 239 00:10:46,800 --> 00:10:48,920 Speaker 1: ass would be on the line. And you'll recall, as 240 00:10:48,960 --> 00:10:51,640 Speaker 1: part of the deal that he brokeered in order to 241 00:10:51,720 --> 00:10:55,080 Speaker 1: become Speaker, he made it a lot easier for them 242 00:10:55,160 --> 00:10:57,760 Speaker 1: to toss him out as Speaker of the House. So 243 00:10:58,120 --> 00:11:00,400 Speaker 1: that's in the back of his mind. And you already 244 00:11:00,400 --> 00:11:03,240 Speaker 1: have a lot of House Freedom Caucus members who are 245 00:11:03,880 --> 00:11:05,880 Speaker 1: you know, they're not being subtle about this. I mean, 246 00:11:05,880 --> 00:11:08,880 Speaker 1: they hate this deal, railing against it on Twitter. You 247 00:11:08,880 --> 00:11:10,439 Speaker 1: can bet there's going to be a lot of conservative 248 00:11:10,440 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 1: media that is very against the deal. There's a lot 249 00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:15,000 Speaker 1: of incentive to posture as being against this deal in 250 00:11:15,080 --> 00:11:18,040 Speaker 1: terms of support from the grossroots space. So he's in 251 00:11:18,040 --> 00:11:20,160 Speaker 1: a bit of a tricky position, and I'm not sure 252 00:11:20,160 --> 00:11:23,320 Speaker 1: that he made things easier for himself by saying some 253 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:25,920 Speaker 1: like relatively nice things about Joe Biden. We may like 254 00:11:26,000 --> 00:11:29,760 Speaker 1: appreciate that level of civility, but there are plenty of 255 00:11:29,760 --> 00:11:32,240 Speaker 1: people within his caucus who will not appreciate that level 256 00:11:32,240 --> 00:11:33,960 Speaker 1: of civility. Let's take us in a little bit of 257 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:35,160 Speaker 1: what Speaker McCarthy had to. 258 00:11:35,080 --> 00:11:37,600 Speaker 7: Say, the President said he would negotiate with us for 259 00:11:37,720 --> 00:11:40,400 Speaker 7: ninety seven days. He wouldn't even allow us to talk. 260 00:11:40,600 --> 00:11:42,480 Speaker 7: After we passed a bill, we were able to get in, 261 00:11:42,760 --> 00:11:45,240 Speaker 7: but it wasn't until the final two weeks that would 262 00:11:45,240 --> 00:11:49,080 Speaker 7: we really be able to sit down and communicate with 263 00:11:49,080 --> 00:11:51,920 Speaker 7: one another. I do want to thank the President's team 264 00:11:51,920 --> 00:11:56,360 Speaker 7: that he put together, very professional, very smart, very strong 265 00:11:56,400 --> 00:11:58,839 Speaker 7: beliefs that are different than ours, and I think at 266 00:11:58,840 --> 00:12:01,000 Speaker 7: the end of the day can look together to be 267 00:12:01,000 --> 00:12:03,120 Speaker 7: able to pass this in the House and the Senate together. 268 00:12:03,360 --> 00:12:06,480 Speaker 1: So very professional, very smart, is what McCarthy had to 269 00:12:06,520 --> 00:12:09,520 Speaker 1: say about the Biden team. Let's go and put up 270 00:12:09,559 --> 00:12:11,960 Speaker 1: the next piece, though, of some of the House Freedom 271 00:12:12,000 --> 00:12:15,160 Speaker 1: Caucus reaction, which is a little bit different tone from 272 00:12:15,160 --> 00:12:18,480 Speaker 1: what we're hearing from House Speaker McCarthy. There, this is 273 00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:21,120 Speaker 1: just some These are some of the sort of selected 274 00:12:21,240 --> 00:12:24,280 Speaker 1: key players and the way they're reacting to it. You've 275 00:12:24,320 --> 00:12:27,640 Speaker 1: got Ralph Norman saying this quote deal is insanity. A 276 00:12:27,679 --> 00:12:30,360 Speaker 1: four trillion dollars debt dealing increase with virtually no cuts 277 00:12:30,400 --> 00:12:32,880 Speaker 1: is not what we agreed to. Not going to vote 278 00:12:32,880 --> 00:12:36,040 Speaker 1: to bankrupt our country. The American people deserve better. You've 279 00:12:36,040 --> 00:12:39,160 Speaker 1: got Congressman Bob good saying, I'm hearing the quote deal. 280 00:12:39,200 --> 00:12:41,720 Speaker 1: They all put deal in quotations marks for some reason, 281 00:12:41,840 --> 00:12:44,000 Speaker 1: is for a four trillion dollar increase in the debt limit. 282 00:12:44,080 --> 00:12:46,240 Speaker 1: If that is true, I don't need to hear anything else. 283 00:12:46,679 --> 00:12:50,120 Speaker 1: No one claiming to be conservative could justify a yes vote. 284 00:12:50,360 --> 00:12:51,439 Speaker 3: You've got chip Roy. 285 00:12:51,640 --> 00:12:54,200 Speaker 1: I do not like the quote deal as I understand 286 00:12:54,240 --> 00:12:56,000 Speaker 1: it from the cheerleading so far. I will more to 287 00:12:56,040 --> 00:12:58,959 Speaker 1: follow once I see more details. You've got Dan Bishop 288 00:12:59,160 --> 00:13:02,120 Speaker 1: of the eighty billion dollar dollars Democrats appropriate to the 289 00:13:02,160 --> 00:13:04,720 Speaker 1: irs over ten years. The quote deal ver sins one 290 00:13:04,760 --> 00:13:07,120 Speaker 1: point nine billion. You read that right, That's the kind 291 00:13:07,160 --> 00:13:07,760 Speaker 1: of get. 292 00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:08,120 Speaker 3: That's so good. 293 00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:12,040 Speaker 1: McCarthy agreed to increase the debt ceiling for trillion dollars. 294 00:13:12,240 --> 00:13:14,480 Speaker 1: I saw Lauren Bober. There were others who were also 295 00:13:14,559 --> 00:13:18,840 Speaker 1: being highly critical, and Sager chip Roy is a key 296 00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:21,760 Speaker 1: player here, because you know, some of this is so arcane. 297 00:13:21,840 --> 00:13:24,400 Speaker 1: But one of the parts of the deal that McCarthy 298 00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:28,560 Speaker 1: also made to secure his speakership was stacking the Rules 299 00:13:28,600 --> 00:13:33,200 Speaker 1: Committee with some of these hardline House Freedom Caucus members, 300 00:13:33,280 --> 00:13:36,320 Speaker 1: chip Roy being one of them. This thing has to 301 00:13:36,400 --> 00:13:39,920 Speaker 1: get through that committee in order to for it even 302 00:13:39,960 --> 00:13:42,800 Speaker 1: to get to the floor for a vote. It's looking 303 00:13:42,880 --> 00:13:44,880 Speaker 1: right now like the swing vote on that. So it's 304 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:50,160 Speaker 1: six Republicans four Democrats on there. Usually in recent political history, 305 00:13:50,600 --> 00:13:53,319 Speaker 1: the opposing party on this committee never votes for whatever 306 00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:54,520 Speaker 1: the party in power wants. 307 00:13:54,559 --> 00:13:56,000 Speaker 3: Like never, that just doesn't happen. 308 00:13:56,040 --> 00:13:56,560 Speaker 2: So the four. 309 00:13:56,440 --> 00:13:58,920 Speaker 1: Democrats are assumed to be a know although they could 310 00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:01,920 Speaker 1: in theory crossover and vote for the thing. You've already 311 00:14:01,960 --> 00:14:04,160 Speaker 1: got a number of Republicans who are on the committee 312 00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:06,760 Speaker 1: who are on the record saying no, I'm not voting 313 00:14:06,800 --> 00:14:07,080 Speaker 1: for it. 314 00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:09,479 Speaker 3: And so Thomas Massey, who's. 315 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:12,720 Speaker 1: This sort of like quirky libertarian type out of Kentucky, 316 00:14:13,160 --> 00:14:17,480 Speaker 1: may end up being the swing vote now ideologically on spending. 317 00:14:17,480 --> 00:14:19,280 Speaker 1: At least, he tends to be more aligned with the 318 00:14:19,320 --> 00:14:22,800 Speaker 1: House Freedom Caucus. But he also has been turned into 319 00:14:22,840 --> 00:14:25,320 Speaker 1: somewhat of an ally of McCarthy. He was with him 320 00:14:25,320 --> 00:14:28,200 Speaker 1: from the beginning in terms of the speakership. So there's 321 00:14:28,280 --> 00:14:32,200 Speaker 1: a lot of dicey dynamics at play here. Still, I 322 00:14:32,240 --> 00:14:34,840 Speaker 1: think the problems are more on the Republican side. We've 323 00:14:34,880 --> 00:14:37,440 Speaker 1: heard a lot more vocal opposition to the deal on 324 00:14:37,480 --> 00:14:39,640 Speaker 1: the Republican side than on the Democratic side. 325 00:14:39,640 --> 00:14:40,560 Speaker 3: But I guess you never. 326 00:14:40,480 --> 00:14:43,000 Speaker 2: Know, yeah exactly. I mean, look, in terms of whether 327 00:14:43,000 --> 00:14:44,960 Speaker 2: it will pass or not, I genuinely have no idea. 328 00:14:45,000 --> 00:14:47,560 Speaker 2: As people have pointed out the Rules Committee, it's very possible, 329 00:14:47,560 --> 00:14:49,920 Speaker 2: given the gravity of its circumstances on the debt ceiling, 330 00:14:49,960 --> 00:14:51,640 Speaker 2: that the Dems might actually vote, and then that you 331 00:14:51,680 --> 00:14:54,360 Speaker 2: wouldn't even need many of the Republican votes it could 332 00:14:54,480 --> 00:14:57,280 Speaker 2: effect you could have some defections. The other question is 333 00:14:57,280 --> 00:15:00,280 Speaker 2: also even if it does get through the House up 334 00:15:00,280 --> 00:15:02,720 Speaker 2: against a deadline of June fifth, and it's going to 335 00:15:02,760 --> 00:15:03,880 Speaker 2: take a couple of days, we're not going to have 336 00:15:03,880 --> 00:15:06,560 Speaker 2: a vote here on this thing until Wednesday. Then it's 337 00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:09,360 Speaker 2: going to immediately make its way over to the Senate. Now, 338 00:15:09,400 --> 00:15:12,080 Speaker 2: people shouldn't remember that the easiest way to get something 339 00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:14,680 Speaker 2: through the Senate is something called unanimous consent, where they 340 00:15:14,720 --> 00:15:17,760 Speaker 2: waive the thirty hours of debate rule on the floor. 341 00:15:17,800 --> 00:15:20,400 Speaker 2: Senator Mike Lee, who is also a libertarian, has come 342 00:15:20,440 --> 00:15:22,560 Speaker 2: out and said that he wants to do everything possible 343 00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:24,680 Speaker 2: if he doesn't like the deal to slow it down 344 00:15:24,680 --> 00:15:26,320 Speaker 2: on the floor, so all you need is a single 345 00:15:26,360 --> 00:15:29,760 Speaker 2: Senator or Ran Paul for that matter, to object to that, 346 00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:34,000 Speaker 2: and then you're immediately triggering that debate and the amended process, etc. 347 00:15:34,400 --> 00:15:36,960 Speaker 2: And who knows how much longer that could take. So 348 00:15:36,960 --> 00:15:39,200 Speaker 2: we could even be up against a technical default even 349 00:15:39,240 --> 00:15:41,920 Speaker 2: if it does get through both of those chambers. That said, 350 00:15:42,640 --> 00:15:45,280 Speaker 2: Senator McConnell came out with a statement last night and said, 351 00:15:45,320 --> 00:15:47,440 Speaker 2: I support the bill. Le's immediately pass this thing. So 352 00:15:47,640 --> 00:15:50,800 Speaker 2: I don't think it will meaningfully have any problems, but 353 00:15:50,840 --> 00:15:55,360 Speaker 2: there will be some fun intra like intra chamber games 354 00:15:55,400 --> 00:15:58,680 Speaker 2: about committees and objections and all of this stuff as 355 00:15:58,680 --> 00:16:00,880 Speaker 2: to how exactly it makes its way through. But I 356 00:16:00,880 --> 00:16:03,000 Speaker 2: do think the biggest the biggest thing that's up in 357 00:16:03,000 --> 00:16:05,760 Speaker 2: the air right now is will there be a GOP revolt? 358 00:16:05,800 --> 00:16:08,520 Speaker 2: Another question is what about Trump? You know, Trump is 359 00:16:08,520 --> 00:16:11,000 Speaker 2: not an idiot. He's going to be reading Lauren Bobert's tweets, 360 00:16:11,040 --> 00:16:13,040 Speaker 2: He's going to be reading all of these. He's said 361 00:16:13,040 --> 00:16:15,240 Speaker 2: before that Republicans shouldn't give in unless they get every 362 00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:18,600 Speaker 2: single thing that they want. There's no no world where 363 00:16:18,680 --> 00:16:21,760 Speaker 2: McCarthy could spend this as this is everything that I 364 00:16:21,800 --> 00:16:23,520 Speaker 2: got his talking points which you have in front of 365 00:16:23,520 --> 00:16:25,680 Speaker 2: you are are the stupidest thing you can imagine. 366 00:16:25,840 --> 00:16:29,120 Speaker 1: This is okay, So Sahil Kapor got his hand on 367 00:16:29,320 --> 00:16:31,920 Speaker 1: the GOP talking points that they're using to sell to 368 00:16:31,960 --> 00:16:32,880 Speaker 1: their own members. 369 00:16:33,200 --> 00:16:34,240 Speaker 3: Put this up on the screen. 370 00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:37,160 Speaker 1: First of all, they're calling the Fiscal Responsibility Act a 371 00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:40,120 Speaker 1: little bit of branding there. He says, Republicans will restore 372 00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:43,880 Speaker 1: fiscal sanity and hold Washington accountable. Number one a stop 373 00:16:43,960 --> 00:16:48,640 Speaker 1: out of control inflationary spending. Now, they mentioned cut spending 374 00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 1: year over year, including a rollback of non defense discretionary 375 00:16:51,680 --> 00:16:54,600 Speaker 1: spending because God forbid, we cut the Pentagon to twenty 376 00:16:54,600 --> 00:16:57,800 Speaker 1: two to twenty twenty two levels fully fun via medical limit, 377 00:16:57,840 --> 00:17:00,120 Speaker 1: top line federal spending to one percent annual growth for 378 00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:03,360 Speaker 1: the next six years. Now that's not actually even accurate 379 00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:06,720 Speaker 1: because the deal is only for two years. But there's 380 00:17:06,800 --> 00:17:09,600 Speaker 1: like a theoretical like, yeah, maybe we'll do it for 381 00:17:09,640 --> 00:17:12,520 Speaker 1: a while longer after this, but none of that is binding. 382 00:17:12,560 --> 00:17:14,240 Speaker 1: So even the six year part of this, which is 383 00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:17,399 Speaker 1: what the Republicans wanted and not what the Democratic Democrats wanted, 384 00:17:17,520 --> 00:17:19,360 Speaker 1: is really spin in propaganda. 385 00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:21,119 Speaker 3: Number two, lift more. 386 00:17:21,280 --> 00:17:23,960 Speaker 1: Americans dount of poverty, that's about the work requirements on 387 00:17:24,000 --> 00:17:27,920 Speaker 1: SNAP and on welfare, clawback tens of billions and unspent 388 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:30,560 Speaker 1: COVID funds. Okay, fine, nobody really objected to that, all 389 00:17:30,600 --> 00:17:34,680 Speaker 1: that much rain in executive overreach, and act into law 390 00:17:34,720 --> 00:17:37,680 Speaker 1: the first ever statutory and administrative pay go to hold 391 00:17:37,720 --> 00:17:41,480 Speaker 1: President Biden accountable for the full cost of executive rules 392 00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:46,320 Speaker 1: and regulations. Cut red tape and streamline energy and infrastructure projects. 393 00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:48,720 Speaker 1: That's that permitting reform, which we still don't have a 394 00:17:48,720 --> 00:17:52,479 Speaker 1: lot of details on. Slash funding for Biden's new IRS agents. 395 00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:56,960 Speaker 1: It's relatively modest. Cut there. Restart student loan repayments while 396 00:17:56,960 --> 00:17:59,960 Speaker 1: they were planning to restart them anyway, Make Congress work again, 397 00:18:00,200 --> 00:18:04,320 Speaker 1: compel a functioning appropriations process by imposing a temporary ninety 398 00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:07,720 Speaker 1: nine percent seur level cap until all twelve appropriations bills 399 00:18:07,720 --> 00:18:09,840 Speaker 1: are enacted. So they're requiring all twelve to go through 400 00:18:09,880 --> 00:18:13,320 Speaker 1: the House. Protect our senior's veterans in Americans national security. 401 00:18:13,320 --> 00:18:16,600 Speaker 1: That's the hike to the Pentagon budget, and block Biden 402 00:18:16,720 --> 00:18:21,280 Speaker 1: and Congressional Democrats demands for new taxes. That was where 403 00:18:21,320 --> 00:18:22,960 Speaker 1: they were like, no, we don't want to close the 404 00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:26,719 Speaker 1: carried interest loophole or you know, tax corporations or the 405 00:18:26,720 --> 00:18:29,000 Speaker 1: wealthy eddy more than we already do. 406 00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:30,360 Speaker 3: So they're claiming that as a win. 407 00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:32,080 Speaker 1: I don't know that I would claim that as a win, 408 00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:35,240 Speaker 1: especially because obviously that doesn't that goes against their aims 409 00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:37,560 Speaker 1: of reducing the deficit and the debt. So that's the 410 00:18:37,560 --> 00:18:39,520 Speaker 1: way they're selling it. And I mean, it's free week 411 00:18:39,600 --> 00:18:41,400 Speaker 1: t in terms of what the demands of the House 412 00:18:41,480 --> 00:18:42,439 Speaker 1: random Caucus were. 413 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:46,119 Speaker 2: Look ye on like on any objective metric, and the 414 00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:49,520 Speaker 2: Democrats are silently saying this, we won the House. Republicans 415 00:18:49,560 --> 00:18:53,359 Speaker 2: completely folded. I think ultimately what happened here is that 416 00:18:53,480 --> 00:18:56,359 Speaker 2: it came down to the wire because the Democrats, the 417 00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:58,280 Speaker 2: White House and all of them did have a decent 418 00:18:58,320 --> 00:19:01,240 Speaker 2: amount of leverage as well. They were saying, no, we're 419 00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:02,320 Speaker 2: not going to fold on this. We're not going to 420 00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:04,479 Speaker 2: fold on this. And the business community, as you and 421 00:19:04,480 --> 00:19:06,679 Speaker 2: I know, has been freaking out behind the scenes. And 422 00:19:06,680 --> 00:19:07,880 Speaker 2: I bet you know, we're willing to. 423 00:19:07,800 --> 00:19:09,240 Speaker 3: Bet McCarthy's close with him. 424 00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:12,040 Speaker 2: Exactly, and look, yeah, he is raising money from all 425 00:19:12,080 --> 00:19:14,760 Speaker 2: these billionaires. And if you don't think Jamie Diamond and 426 00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:17,080 Speaker 2: all these other folks don't have his cell phone. They're like, 427 00:19:17,119 --> 00:19:18,520 Speaker 2: you need to get this done. You need to get 428 00:19:18,520 --> 00:19:20,440 Speaker 2: your people in line. And then it just came a 429 00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:23,280 Speaker 2: question of well, who's the smallest minority here. It's the 430 00:19:23,320 --> 00:19:25,600 Speaker 2: Freedom Caucus. And if you have enough Democrats who are 431 00:19:25,600 --> 00:19:27,960 Speaker 2: willing to go along and pass the bill, if he 432 00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:31,200 Speaker 2: can have defections of thirty, forty, even fifty votes get 433 00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:33,960 Speaker 2: this thing through, he will be a hero to the 434 00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:37,720 Speaker 2: business community for all time forgetting this through, which for 435 00:19:37,800 --> 00:19:39,560 Speaker 2: a lot of these guys, that's what they want, right, 436 00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:40,200 Speaker 2: you know, Well. 437 00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:43,639 Speaker 1: Like he secures his most congressional you know, opportunity career 438 00:19:43,720 --> 00:19:46,960 Speaker 1: opportunities working as a lobbyist for these people, or on 439 00:19:47,040 --> 00:19:49,399 Speaker 1: serving on boards or whatever, cashing in whatever way that 440 00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:51,240 Speaker 1: he wants too, similar to what Paul Ryan did after 441 00:19:51,280 --> 00:19:53,639 Speaker 1: he left there go the House as well. I do 442 00:19:53,720 --> 00:19:56,040 Speaker 1: think the Trump factor kind of looms over this, you know, 443 00:19:56,119 --> 00:19:58,000 Speaker 1: does he say anything, does he weigh in? I think 444 00:19:58,000 --> 00:19:59,760 Speaker 1: if he weighs in, he will weigh in against the deal. 445 00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:03,119 Speaker 1: Don It's very likely because that's where the energy on 446 00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:04,679 Speaker 1: the base is going to be. That's where the energy 447 00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:06,960 Speaker 1: and conservative media is going to be. And so the 448 00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:10,200 Speaker 1: question is just you don't have a lot of Republicans 449 00:20:10,600 --> 00:20:14,359 Speaker 1: who are in those districts that are truly swing districts 450 00:20:14,359 --> 00:20:16,639 Speaker 1: that Joe Biden maybe even one or at least that 451 00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:19,960 Speaker 1: were really close, that are particularly worried about their general 452 00:20:20,040 --> 00:20:24,880 Speaker 1: election prospects coming up in twenty twenty four. The overwhelming 453 00:20:24,880 --> 00:20:27,240 Speaker 1: majority of the GOP caucus, they're going to be looking 454 00:20:27,240 --> 00:20:29,680 Speaker 1: at their right worried about is this going to sink 455 00:20:29,760 --> 00:20:32,800 Speaker 1: my chances in a primary? Is this going to become 456 00:20:32,920 --> 00:20:35,919 Speaker 1: some sort of like litmus test that is used in 457 00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:39,679 Speaker 1: some sort of Tea party esque fashion to kick me 458 00:20:39,760 --> 00:20:43,720 Speaker 1: out through the GOP primary process. If they start to 459 00:20:43,800 --> 00:20:46,119 Speaker 1: feel like there's a lot of momentum and there's a 460 00:20:46,160 --> 00:20:48,639 Speaker 1: lot of anger against the deal, and conservative media is 461 00:20:48,640 --> 00:20:52,240 Speaker 1: all unified, and of course the learned Boberts and those 462 00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:55,720 Speaker 1: folks are going to be incredibly vocal about their opposition 463 00:20:55,760 --> 00:20:58,800 Speaker 1: to this deal, that's when you could see things start 464 00:20:58,880 --> 00:21:01,280 Speaker 1: to crumble and you're left with things like, you know, 465 00:21:01,320 --> 00:21:04,320 Speaker 1: you could still theoretically have a discharge petition where all 466 00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:08,240 Speaker 1: the Democrats vote for something and you get those five ten. However, 467 00:21:08,320 --> 00:21:11,760 Speaker 1: many actually more moderate Republican members that represent these swing 468 00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:13,720 Speaker 1: districts to join with them. So even if it all 469 00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:16,679 Speaker 1: fell apart, it doesn't necessarily mean the thing is dead 470 00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:17,040 Speaker 1: in the water. 471 00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:18,640 Speaker 3: But that also takes a lot of time. 472 00:21:19,040 --> 00:21:25,400 Speaker 1: So it's looking like they're between the likely strong support 473 00:21:25,440 --> 00:21:29,280 Speaker 1: from the Democratic Caucus and some support from the GUP Caucus. 474 00:21:29,320 --> 00:21:31,200 Speaker 1: It's looking like they're going to be able to push 475 00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:33,439 Speaker 1: this thing through, but there are still a lot of 476 00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:36,600 Speaker 1: roadblocks and you know, a lot of possibilities that it 477 00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:38,080 Speaker 1: could come apart in the next couple days. 478 00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:40,560 Speaker 2: Keep everybody updated on what the updates and all that 479 00:21:40,600 --> 00:21:43,720 Speaker 2: will be. Remember about the seventy two hour period where 480 00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:47,040 Speaker 2: they do have seventy two hours now to actually review 481 00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:49,719 Speaker 2: and to read it. So watch the twitter feeds of 482 00:21:49,760 --> 00:21:51,440 Speaker 2: some of the Freedom Caucus members. One of them is 483 00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:53,520 Speaker 2: Dan Bishop. I think he likes to live tweet what 484 00:21:53,560 --> 00:21:55,520 Speaker 2: he finds in the bills. It actually can be really 485 00:21:55,600 --> 00:21:57,920 Speaker 2: quite informative. Yeah, so I recommend his twitter feed. I 486 00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:03,520 Speaker 2: will be checking appreciate that as well. All right, let's 487 00:22:03,520 --> 00:22:06,880 Speaker 2: speaking of Trump and some possible contrast. Let's get to 488 00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:09,800 Speaker 2: the next part here. Ron DeSantis, of which I now 489 00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:12,679 Speaker 2: have more respect for because he actually came out and 490 00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:16,200 Speaker 2: is the first candidate declared so far not to talk 491 00:22:16,280 --> 00:22:18,840 Speaker 2: in such mealy mouthed terms, although still just a little 492 00:22:18,880 --> 00:22:23,280 Speaker 2: bit and actually take a shot at Trump defend himself 493 00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:25,879 Speaker 2: from the accusations that have been hurled his way. In 494 00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:28,119 Speaker 2: an interview on The Ben Shapiro Show, here's what he 495 00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:28,680 Speaker 2: had to say. 496 00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:31,680 Speaker 8: So, how do you see a difference between your candidacy, 497 00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:34,000 Speaker 8: what you've been trying to do, your record in President Trump? 498 00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:38,080 Speaker 9: Well, I think it's interesting because he's been attacking me 499 00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:42,040 Speaker 9: by moving left. So this is a different guy than 500 00:22:42,080 --> 00:22:46,080 Speaker 9: twenty fifteen. Twenty sixteen. He attacked me for opposing an 501 00:22:46,119 --> 00:22:50,160 Speaker 9: amnesty bill in the Congress. He did support this amnesty, 502 00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:53,200 Speaker 9: this good lat too, two million illegal aliens. He wanted 503 00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:56,680 Speaker 9: to amnesty. I opposed it because that's what America First 504 00:22:56,760 --> 00:23:00,840 Speaker 9: principles dictate that you're opposed to amnesty. Both based COVID 505 00:23:00,920 --> 00:23:03,960 Speaker 9: nineteen and we both responded in the way we did. 506 00:23:04,560 --> 00:23:09,159 Speaker 9: He responded by elevating Anthony Fauci and really turning the 507 00:23:09,200 --> 00:23:12,720 Speaker 9: reins over to doctor Fauci, and I think too terrible 508 00:23:12,760 --> 00:23:16,439 Speaker 9: consequences for the United States. I was the leader in 509 00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:20,320 Speaker 9: this country and fighting back against Fauci. We bucked him 510 00:23:20,320 --> 00:23:22,919 Speaker 9: every step of the way starting in April of twenty twenty, 511 00:23:23,119 --> 00:23:26,440 Speaker 9: whether it's the schools, the businesses, the mandates, and our 512 00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:29,040 Speaker 9: state has never done better as a result. I mean, 513 00:23:29,080 --> 00:23:32,240 Speaker 9: I think the fact that Donald Trump gave Anthony Fauci 514 00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:35,760 Speaker 9: a presidential commendation on Trump's last day in office, that 515 00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:38,320 Speaker 9: was a gut punch to millions of people around this 516 00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:42,160 Speaker 9: country who were harmed by Fauci's lockdowns. I said very clearly, 517 00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:45,679 Speaker 9: you know, if I'm president somebody like Fauci is in 518 00:23:45,760 --> 00:23:48,240 Speaker 9: the government, I will bring them in and I will 519 00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:51,280 Speaker 9: tell them two things. You are fired. 520 00:23:51,560 --> 00:23:53,600 Speaker 2: So I mean, look, Christal, I have to at least 521 00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:56,199 Speaker 2: respect him for prosecuting a case against Trump's literally the 522 00:23:56,240 --> 00:23:58,920 Speaker 2: first person to do so. Now, well, I think it worked. 523 00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:01,520 Speaker 2: We'll see the first part on the amnesty. I think 524 00:24:01,560 --> 00:24:04,320 Speaker 2: it's very interesting rhetorically where he's talking about how Trump 525 00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:08,119 Speaker 2: is attacking him from the left. Obviously, immigration probably the 526 00:24:08,240 --> 00:24:11,399 Speaker 2: number one reason why Trump was the nominee in twenty sixteen, 527 00:24:11,560 --> 00:24:14,360 Speaker 2: an issue that matters tremendously to the base. The problem 528 00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:18,800 Speaker 2: I see for DeSantis is, well, rhetorically, you know, sorry, 529 00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:22,200 Speaker 2: on policy, you may be right. Rhetorically, can you really 530 00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:25,560 Speaker 2: outdo the Donald whenever it comes to the guy who 531 00:24:25,600 --> 00:24:28,120 Speaker 2: literally created the wall, or at. 532 00:24:28,040 --> 00:24:30,359 Speaker 3: The very least, sure my presumer good people. 533 00:24:30,600 --> 00:24:32,600 Speaker 2: It's gonna be tough, I think, to be able to 534 00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:35,040 Speaker 2: come out against him and to convince people that you're 535 00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:37,399 Speaker 2: the real deal, although if it were to work, this 536 00:24:37,520 --> 00:24:39,920 Speaker 2: is probably the only way. The Faucci thing, I also 537 00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:42,400 Speaker 2: think it is interesting. I'm curious for your thoughts. I 538 00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:46,360 Speaker 2: just feel as if running from running backwards, as in 539 00:24:46,440 --> 00:24:49,919 Speaker 2: reltigating COVID policy from three years ago, is not the 540 00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:53,040 Speaker 2: winner that some of these people seem to think. COVID policy, 541 00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:55,280 Speaker 2: lockdowns and all stuff. It matters a lot to a 542 00:24:55,280 --> 00:24:57,439 Speaker 2: lot of people on the Internet, and it also matters 543 00:24:57,480 --> 00:25:01,440 Speaker 2: a lot to people who are very very online when 544 00:25:01,840 --> 00:25:05,159 Speaker 2: at least in my experience, but normal voters who I 545 00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:08,760 Speaker 2: have seen out, especially interviews as well, whenever they talk 546 00:25:08,760 --> 00:25:11,359 Speaker 2: about DeSantis and Trump, not one of them mentions COVID. 547 00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:13,760 Speaker 2: They say, I like that he doesn't have the drama. 548 00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:17,400 Speaker 2: I like that he kept Florida, or he's made Florida nice. Yeah, 549 00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:19,520 Speaker 2: some of that has to do with COVID, but focusing 550 00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:21,879 Speaker 2: on the COVID piece just seems a little out of 551 00:25:21,880 --> 00:25:23,560 Speaker 2: step where I think some people were going to vote 552 00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:24,040 Speaker 2: for him anyway. 553 00:25:24,080 --> 00:25:26,160 Speaker 3: I mean, we've seen the numbers, like people don't care. 554 00:25:26,280 --> 00:25:30,360 Speaker 1: People have moved on and understandably so we're all moving forward, right. 555 00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:34,800 Speaker 3: So I think in a sort of like rational. 556 00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:38,600 Speaker 1: Sane world, I think some of these attacks may land, 557 00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:41,840 Speaker 1: But I just see no evidence that the GOP base 558 00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:47,920 Speaker 1: is actually that ideological. And Desanta's made this comment in 559 00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:50,040 Speaker 1: that attack where he's like, you know, this is different 560 00:25:50,080 --> 00:25:53,120 Speaker 1: than Trump in twenty fifteen, twenty sixteen, is it because 561 00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:56,360 Speaker 1: they tried the same line of attack against Trump back then, 562 00:25:56,480 --> 00:25:58,240 Speaker 1: Ty Cruz in particular, it was like. 563 00:25:58,520 --> 00:26:02,280 Speaker 3: He's not a real concern. We're further to the right here. 564 00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:05,240 Speaker 1: You know, he was a Democrat, he was he supported 565 00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:06,320 Speaker 1: a planned parenthood. 566 00:26:06,359 --> 00:26:06,760 Speaker 3: He's not. 567 00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:09,359 Speaker 1: They were trying to attack him from the right and 568 00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:12,280 Speaker 1: say we're the true conservatives and he is this rhino 569 00:26:12,440 --> 00:26:15,520 Speaker 1: and it just didn't work at all. So I do 570 00:26:15,640 --> 00:26:19,719 Speaker 1: remember this does feel like almost another dejent vous moment 571 00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:23,320 Speaker 1: of the type of attacks that they launched him last 572 00:26:23,320 --> 00:26:26,680 Speaker 1: time around, which ultimately fell flat. Now I agree with you, 573 00:26:26,760 --> 00:26:29,480 Speaker 1: like respect to him for at least trying because this 574 00:26:29,600 --> 00:26:32,320 Speaker 1: is at least a lot less humiliating than like Nikki. 575 00:26:32,080 --> 00:26:33,960 Speaker 3: Haley, I'm not kicking sideways, or. 576 00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:36,720 Speaker 1: Even Tim Scott who's like, I love Trump, his his 577 00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:39,159 Speaker 1: time in office was fantastic and it's like, okay, well 578 00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:41,200 Speaker 1: why are you running against him? Then that doesn't make 579 00:26:41,200 --> 00:26:45,280 Speaker 1: any sense, or certainly Mike Pence, who's just humiliating that, 580 00:26:45,600 --> 00:26:47,560 Speaker 1: you know, because of Trump, people were running around the 581 00:26:47,600 --> 00:26:49,720 Speaker 1: capitols running to hang him and he can't even come 582 00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:52,560 Speaker 1: out strongly against him even now after all of that. 583 00:26:53,080 --> 00:26:55,720 Speaker 1: So it's a much less humiliating approach, and you know, 584 00:26:55,840 --> 00:26:57,520 Speaker 1: to be honest with you, I also don't think that 585 00:26:57,640 --> 00:27:01,400 Speaker 1: he's going to pay a huge price for going after 586 00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:05,440 Speaker 1: Trump in this way because it is very policy based. 587 00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:08,119 Speaker 1: Do I think that it's gonna be sufficient? 588 00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:08,399 Speaker 7: No. 589 00:27:08,680 --> 00:27:11,200 Speaker 1: And this gets back to like, you know, we were 590 00:27:11,240 --> 00:27:13,280 Speaker 1: being hard on DeSantis about you gotta hit him, and 591 00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:14,879 Speaker 1: you gotta do this, and you gotta do that, and 592 00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:16,640 Speaker 1: I just look at the landscape and I'm like, I'm 593 00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:19,119 Speaker 1: just not really sure there's anything you alone can do 594 00:27:19,520 --> 00:27:23,440 Speaker 1: yes to knock this guy off. So it's a solid attempt. 595 00:27:23,520 --> 00:27:24,720 Speaker 1: Do I think it's really gonna work? 596 00:27:25,000 --> 00:27:28,080 Speaker 2: Probably not. Yeah, it probably won't work. It's great. The 597 00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:30,600 Speaker 2: point that you brought up, Like Ted Cruz and Rubio 598 00:27:30,680 --> 00:27:33,080 Speaker 2: and Jeb tried this. They're like, he's not a conservative. 599 00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:35,080 Speaker 2: He supports social security and he's like, yeah, I supports 600 00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:37,800 Speaker 2: SoCal security. They're like, he supports universal healthcare. He's like, yeah, 601 00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:40,760 Speaker 2: you know, everyone will have healthcare under Maya policy. He's like, 602 00:27:40,800 --> 00:27:43,120 Speaker 2: he not supports free trade. He said, Yep, He's right, 603 00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:45,960 Speaker 2: I don't support free trade. In many ways, Trump's moderation 604 00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:48,439 Speaker 2: on policy was a huge net positive to him on 605 00:27:48,480 --> 00:27:51,879 Speaker 2: top of his rhetoric in the twenty sixteen campaign. He 606 00:27:52,000 --> 00:27:54,119 Speaker 2: was extreme on the right issues for the base, and 607 00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:57,120 Speaker 2: then not extreme on the issues that didn't necessarily matter. 608 00:27:57,200 --> 00:27:59,879 Speaker 2: So immigration, though, this is a I think a good attempt, 609 00:27:59,880 --> 00:28:02,760 Speaker 2: and as you go to at least respect somebody who's 610 00:28:02,800 --> 00:28:04,800 Speaker 2: going to fight in the primary. Now, will we be 611 00:28:04,800 --> 00:28:06,280 Speaker 2: able to do that to his face? Is he going 612 00:28:06,320 --> 00:28:08,359 Speaker 2: to continue to keep it up? How we will respond 613 00:28:08,359 --> 00:28:10,760 Speaker 2: to the poll numbers? That is the ultimate question. But 614 00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:13,240 Speaker 2: one part that really stock out to us is actually 615 00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:18,439 Speaker 2: where DeSantis again correctly hits Trump on mail in voting. 616 00:28:18,440 --> 00:28:21,240 Speaker 2: And this was a fascinating part of this interview. It 617 00:28:21,240 --> 00:28:23,240 Speaker 2: hasn't taken as much notice. Let's take a listen. 618 00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:25,000 Speaker 8: Can you talk about your sort of on the ground 619 00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:27,520 Speaker 8: strategy and how that would be different from what President 620 00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:29,639 Speaker 8: Trump did in twenty twenty running against the Democrats. 621 00:28:29,720 --> 00:28:32,240 Speaker 9: I think telling people not to send in a mail 622 00:28:32,280 --> 00:28:35,480 Speaker 9: ballot is a huge mistake, and it ends up reducing 623 00:28:35,520 --> 00:28:37,840 Speaker 9: the pool of prospective voters. 624 00:28:37,840 --> 00:28:38,320 Speaker 3: In Florida. 625 00:28:38,400 --> 00:28:41,240 Speaker 9: We focused on some of these low propensity voters in 626 00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:44,040 Speaker 9: my reelection. They usually vote in presidential they don't always 627 00:28:44,080 --> 00:28:46,440 Speaker 9: vote in midterm, and we converted a lot of them 628 00:28:46,440 --> 00:28:49,640 Speaker 9: to vote. Most of them chose to vote by absentee 629 00:28:49,720 --> 00:28:52,120 Speaker 9: ballot through the mail. That was their choice. If we 630 00:28:52,200 --> 00:28:54,320 Speaker 9: told them you could only vote on election day, some 631 00:28:54,360 --> 00:28:57,560 Speaker 9: of them very well may not have voted. So understand 632 00:28:57,600 --> 00:29:00,680 Speaker 9: the battlefield. It's your responsibility as a can it to 633 00:29:00,800 --> 00:29:01,720 Speaker 9: head off. 634 00:29:01,640 --> 00:29:05,560 Speaker 2: That He's right, It's obvious, he's obviously right. I actually 635 00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:08,080 Speaker 2: loved that he said that. He's the first high profile 636 00:29:08,120 --> 00:29:11,440 Speaker 2: elected Republican to actually say it, because guess what, Trump 637 00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:14,040 Speaker 2: absolutely one hundred percent would have won if he had 638 00:29:14,040 --> 00:29:16,120 Speaker 2: just encouraged mail and voting. That's the funniest thing, you, 639 00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:18,960 Speaker 2: It's the most patriotic way to vote. It's the magaway 640 00:29:19,240 --> 00:29:21,680 Speaker 2: And guess what he would have won Georgia. He absolutely, 641 00:29:21,720 --> 00:29:23,840 Speaker 2: in my opinion, would have won Arizona. And all he 642 00:29:23,880 --> 00:29:25,960 Speaker 2: needed was to flip a single other state and the 643 00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:28,440 Speaker 2: turnout probably would have been even high. Remember, guys, he 644 00:29:28,560 --> 00:29:30,960 Speaker 2: got ten million more votes. He was campaigning against the 645 00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:34,920 Speaker 2: easiest way to vote, like he got ten million more 646 00:29:35,120 --> 00:29:38,120 Speaker 2: when he ran in twenty sixteen. Some what is a 647 00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:40,480 Speaker 2: seventy five million or whatever people came out to vote 648 00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:43,360 Speaker 2: for him. It's just one of those where it's so obvious. 649 00:29:43,400 --> 00:29:45,440 Speaker 2: And the Georgia, if you don't believe me, the Georgia 650 00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:48,720 Speaker 2: Secretary of State has already put out the data where 651 00:29:48,800 --> 00:29:50,720 Speaker 2: if just a number of people voted in the GOP 652 00:29:50,880 --> 00:29:54,560 Speaker 2: primary by mail had done so in the twenty twenty 653 00:29:54,640 --> 00:29:57,680 Speaker 2: election whenever it was Biden v. Trump, Trump wins a 654 00:29:57,720 --> 00:30:01,560 Speaker 2: state he did not lose by all that much. So DeSantis, 655 00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:03,880 Speaker 2: coming on the heels of what I still believe is 656 00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:07,719 Speaker 2: his best strength, I won. I turned this state twenty 657 00:30:07,760 --> 00:30:11,200 Speaker 2: points purple to deep read. I did it because I'm 658 00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:13,360 Speaker 2: a winner. I did it on policy, and I want 659 00:30:13,360 --> 00:30:16,200 Speaker 2: to make America just like what I did down in Florida. 660 00:30:16,280 --> 00:30:19,160 Speaker 2: That's a very compelling message to a certain group of people. Now, 661 00:30:19,240 --> 00:30:23,840 Speaker 2: unfortunately those group are mostly general election voters, not necessarily 662 00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:26,560 Speaker 2: primary voters. But with this I at least have to say, 663 00:30:26,560 --> 00:30:29,400 Speaker 2: once again, respect to the man for at least trying Yeah, 664 00:30:29,760 --> 00:30:30,680 Speaker 2: he's making a good case. 665 00:30:30,720 --> 00:30:32,720 Speaker 1: Well, what's interesting is even Trump has changed his mind 666 00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:35,600 Speaker 1: about mail and voting at Sea Pack. I think it 667 00:30:35,640 --> 00:30:37,920 Speaker 1: was this year he said it's time to change our 668 00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:41,240 Speaker 1: thinking on early and mail in voting. He also touted 669 00:30:41,240 --> 00:30:44,120 Speaker 1: his campaign's plans to encourage quote unquote ballot harvesting, which 670 00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:46,720 Speaker 1: of course had been like you know, derided as practically 671 00:30:46,800 --> 00:30:49,160 Speaker 1: legal even in those in some states it actually is legal. 672 00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:51,960 Speaker 1: By Republicans, he says, we have no choice but to 673 00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:54,600 Speaker 1: be Democrats at their own game. So even Trump at 674 00:30:54,600 --> 00:30:58,040 Speaker 1: this point acknowledges that the mail in voting thing was 675 00:30:58,080 --> 00:31:01,480 Speaker 1: a catastrophe for them certain state of Georgia. We have 676 00:31:01,640 --> 00:31:04,520 Speaker 1: the numbers that if he had just embraced mail and 677 00:31:04,560 --> 00:31:05,320 Speaker 1: voting now he went. 678 00:31:05,440 --> 00:31:05,920 Speaker 2: He wins. 679 00:31:06,520 --> 00:31:07,920 Speaker 3: There's another subtext here. 680 00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:09,880 Speaker 1: Though, which is about, you know, obviously what is a 681 00:31:09,920 --> 00:31:12,400 Speaker 1: hot issue for the Republican base, which is stop the 682 00:31:12,440 --> 00:31:16,160 Speaker 1: steal twenty twenty Was it legitimate or not, And the 683 00:31:16,200 --> 00:31:19,600 Speaker 1: subtext of what Desantas is suggesting here is that it 684 00:31:19,840 --> 00:31:22,400 Speaker 1: was legitimate and the reason you're ass loss is because 685 00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:23,120 Speaker 1: of things like. 686 00:31:23,560 --> 00:31:24,400 Speaker 3: Mail in voting. 687 00:31:24,680 --> 00:31:27,960 Speaker 1: Now this represents, though, another area where you know, to 688 00:31:28,000 --> 00:31:31,680 Speaker 1: this point, Desanta's hasn't really had to be put on 689 00:31:31,760 --> 00:31:35,120 Speaker 1: the spot about what he fully thinks about twenty twenty, 690 00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:37,640 Speaker 1: and it's another issue that hangs out there as a 691 00:31:37,760 --> 00:31:40,360 Speaker 1: very difficult, tricky one for him to navigate because, on 692 00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:43,920 Speaker 1: the one hand, you go full crazy, you're in, your 693 00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:46,600 Speaker 1: electability case is going to fall apart because we saw 694 00:31:46,640 --> 00:31:49,120 Speaker 1: what happened to you know, Mastriano and Carrie Lake and 695 00:31:49,160 --> 00:31:51,080 Speaker 1: these other characters who were all in. 696 00:31:51,040 --> 00:31:51,960 Speaker 3: On stop the steal. 697 00:31:52,320 --> 00:31:54,600 Speaker 1: On the other hand, the overwhelming majority of the Republican 698 00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:56,800 Speaker 1: base still thinks that the twenty twenty election was stolen. 699 00:31:56,920 --> 00:31:58,800 Speaker 1: So this is one of the ones that's going to 700 00:31:58,800 --> 00:32:00,680 Speaker 1: be very tricky to navigate. But yeah, I think the 701 00:32:00,720 --> 00:32:03,520 Speaker 1: subtext of what he's saying there is you lost and 702 00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:05,760 Speaker 1: one of the reasons you lost is because you didn't 703 00:32:05,800 --> 00:32:06,760 Speaker 1: embrace bail in voting. 704 00:32:06,800 --> 00:32:09,480 Speaker 2: Here, it's a Gordian Knott, I really is, I really 705 00:32:09,520 --> 00:32:11,320 Speaker 2: don't know how you get yourself out of it. I 706 00:32:11,400 --> 00:32:13,040 Speaker 2: feel for the man to be honest because it's like 707 00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:15,560 Speaker 2: in any rational way or like this obviously should work. 708 00:32:15,640 --> 00:32:17,360 Speaker 2: But you know we don't. As you said, we don't 709 00:32:17,360 --> 00:32:18,440 Speaker 2: live in a rational world. 710 00:32:18,800 --> 00:32:20,680 Speaker 1: So we'll see that's a good Not living in an 711 00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:22,640 Speaker 1: irrational world is a good pivot to the next start 712 00:32:22,640 --> 00:32:22,760 Speaker 1: of this. 713 00:32:22,920 --> 00:32:25,920 Speaker 2: That's right. And if you think that was nasty. The 714 00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:28,960 Speaker 2: knives are out for each other between the Trump and 715 00:32:29,040 --> 00:32:32,719 Speaker 2: DeSantis folks online, we've been paying quite a bit of attention. 716 00:32:32,800 --> 00:32:35,440 Speaker 2: There was actually this is this is actually everything this 717 00:32:35,600 --> 00:32:38,640 Speaker 2: Newsmax panel where actually somebody we've had on our show before, 718 00:32:38,920 --> 00:32:41,520 Speaker 2: Josh Hammer, was up against a Trumps surrogate and they 719 00:32:41,520 --> 00:32:44,800 Speaker 2: were going at each other on Trump and DeSantis. Here's 720 00:32:44,800 --> 00:32:45,440 Speaker 2: what it looked like. 721 00:32:45,680 --> 00:32:48,680 Speaker 10: DeSantis's botched campaign announcement proves that he and his team 722 00:32:48,720 --> 00:32:50,160 Speaker 10: are not ready for prime time. 723 00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:53,160 Speaker 3: He proposes a national federal sales tax. 724 00:32:53,200 --> 00:32:55,520 Speaker 10: He voted to cut social Security. He has no plan 725 00:32:55,600 --> 00:32:57,880 Speaker 10: to end the war in Ukraine. President Trump cut taxes, 726 00:32:57,880 --> 00:33:00,520 Speaker 10: secure the border, reinvested in our economy. He is the 727 00:33:00,640 --> 00:33:02,440 Speaker 10: day one leader that America needs. 728 00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:02,840 Speaker 4: Josh. 729 00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:05,000 Speaker 3: Just to wrap it up, He's going to Iowa he's 730 00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:05,480 Speaker 3: got time. 731 00:33:06,000 --> 00:33:08,000 Speaker 6: Look, I mean, Carolyn has the talking points, and that's 732 00:33:08,040 --> 00:33:10,480 Speaker 6: cute and everything. But the reality here is that Republican 733 00:33:10,600 --> 00:33:13,520 Speaker 6: primary voters are ready for a winner. They are sick 734 00:33:13,880 --> 00:33:16,640 Speaker 6: of losing. They are sick of relitigating an election from 735 00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:18,120 Speaker 6: two and a half years ago. They are sick of 736 00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:21,000 Speaker 6: Stormy Daniels and all of the crap this country is 737 00:33:21,040 --> 00:33:23,120 Speaker 6: going to tell in a tan basket, it's time to 738 00:33:23,160 --> 00:33:25,560 Speaker 6: put policy on the agenda and to start winning. 739 00:33:25,920 --> 00:33:28,760 Speaker 10: All right, you're reciting your Democrat talking points. My talking 740 00:33:28,800 --> 00:33:30,000 Speaker 10: points are truth and the pulse. 741 00:33:30,040 --> 00:33:32,000 Speaker 3: Prove it. 742 00:33:30,440 --> 00:33:32,920 Speaker 2: I just kidding started. 743 00:33:32,960 --> 00:33:34,520 Speaker 6: I mean, we got a long way to go here 744 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:37,000 Speaker 6: until the Iowa caucus is in the very beginning of 745 00:33:37,040 --> 00:33:38,040 Speaker 6: twenty twenty four. 746 00:33:38,280 --> 00:33:40,840 Speaker 2: You sound like a Democrat. That's what they'll always hit 747 00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:42,480 Speaker 2: you with that. I've seen it too. They're like, oh, 748 00:33:42,560 --> 00:33:44,800 Speaker 2: he's a new school you're a Democrat. It's like, yeah, 749 00:33:45,320 --> 00:33:46,560 Speaker 2: if that's what qualifies in here. 750 00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:48,400 Speaker 3: An idiot, Yeah, Well that's that's part of. 751 00:33:48,360 --> 00:33:51,720 Speaker 1: The Gurdi and not, as you so abletely, is that 752 00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:55,040 Speaker 1: Republican based voters have been trained to think any attack 753 00:33:55,080 --> 00:33:58,320 Speaker 1: on Trump is a democratic attack. Like anything you say 754 00:33:58,360 --> 00:34:00,920 Speaker 1: about him, doesn't matter if it's from the right, from 755 00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:04,200 Speaker 1: the left, on his car, whatever, especially when you're talking 756 00:34:04,200 --> 00:34:06,840 Speaker 1: about things like he mentioned Stormy Daniels, any of the 757 00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:09,600 Speaker 1: character attacks, you should just forget about it. 758 00:34:10,640 --> 00:34:13,920 Speaker 2: The Republican base is so conditioned to anybody who validates 759 00:34:13,920 --> 00:34:17,759 Speaker 2: that is a Democrat. So actually she's attacking him correctly. 760 00:34:18,000 --> 00:34:21,920 Speaker 2: He is obviously correct on the merits. So it's difficult, 761 00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:24,640 Speaker 2: and this is why I'm like, I don't know how 762 00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:26,600 Speaker 2: exactly you get yourself out of this, you know. At 763 00:34:26,600 --> 00:34:30,759 Speaker 2: the same time, though, the interest sniping too between the 764 00:34:31,080 --> 00:34:34,440 Speaker 2: between the DeSantis camp and the Trump camp has reached 765 00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:37,040 Speaker 2: just very high posting levels. Let's go ahead and put 766 00:34:37,040 --> 00:34:39,440 Speaker 2: this up there on the screen. You see here, Alex 767 00:34:39,480 --> 00:34:42,280 Speaker 2: Bruce Wist. This guy is like a hardcore Trump person 768 00:34:42,400 --> 00:34:45,239 Speaker 2: online and he's been putting out tweets where he's going 769 00:34:45,280 --> 00:34:47,920 Speaker 2: after Christina Pushaw, who is a form press secretary for 770 00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:51,160 Speaker 2: Desantie's part of the DeSantis campaign. She's been going after 771 00:34:51,920 --> 00:34:55,799 Speaker 2: some of the Trump surrogates online, calling them basically calling 772 00:34:55,880 --> 00:34:59,160 Speaker 2: out Trump both on policy. Then he's like DeSantis's campaign 773 00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:01,799 Speaker 2: argues with this sixteen year old kid over Ukraine and 774 00:35:01,840 --> 00:35:06,080 Speaker 2: botox after actually they accused Christina pushav Bucktocks. Then on 775 00:35:06,160 --> 00:35:10,080 Speaker 2: Friday got Trump supporter Gavin Wax fired Gavin. For those 776 00:35:10,120 --> 00:35:12,319 Speaker 2: who don't know, he's like former New York Republicans head 777 00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:14,520 Speaker 2: and he was actually working for the Babylon Bee, the 778 00:35:14,560 --> 00:35:17,759 Speaker 2: satire Republican site. He actually tweeted what the f is 779 00:35:17,800 --> 00:35:20,839 Speaker 2: wrong with you? Christina Pushaw and then Seth Dillon, the 780 00:35:20,880 --> 00:35:24,160 Speaker 2: CEO of Babylon b actually fired him on Twitter, and 781 00:35:24,200 --> 00:35:27,759 Speaker 2: then he apparently was accused about being part of some 782 00:35:28,000 --> 00:35:29,600 Speaker 2: drug ring. So just to give you an idea of 783 00:35:29,600 --> 00:35:31,840 Speaker 2: what level the discourse is at, let's go to the 784 00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:34,840 Speaker 2: next one there also as well, because as you can see, 785 00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:37,640 Speaker 2: she's going after Robert Barnesy, somebody I believe he has 786 00:35:37,640 --> 00:35:40,200 Speaker 2: a very popular show with another guy on Rumble, and 787 00:35:40,280 --> 00:35:42,480 Speaker 2: they say that, remember who put Fauci in charge of 788 00:35:42,520 --> 00:35:45,640 Speaker 2: COVID response in twenty twenty, Donald Trump did, and he said, 789 00:35:45,680 --> 00:35:49,160 Speaker 2: why delete this? It's true because the DeSantis campaign is 790 00:35:49,200 --> 00:35:51,520 Speaker 2: going after Trump on Fauci and there's a lot of 791 00:35:51,560 --> 00:35:52,560 Speaker 2: warring over COVID. 792 00:35:52,680 --> 00:35:54,040 Speaker 3: Barnes is now what Trump is that. 793 00:35:54,160 --> 00:35:55,840 Speaker 2: Barnes is a Trump guy. Yeah, let's go to the 794 00:35:55,840 --> 00:35:59,080 Speaker 2: next one up here on the screen. Here it's another 795 00:35:59,160 --> 00:36:02,759 Speaker 2: Twitter account who is Christina Pusha From twenty eighteen. She 796 00:36:02,800 --> 00:36:05,120 Speaker 2: worked in Georgia the country by the way, as a 797 00:36:05,160 --> 00:36:09,120 Speaker 2: registered foreign agent for a former Georgian president, Mikhail Sakosphieley, 798 00:36:09,160 --> 00:36:12,120 Speaker 2: who I believe is actually Ukrainian now last time I 799 00:36:12,200 --> 00:36:14,839 Speaker 2: checked it, anyway, I think you about that Sakosphiely. Yeah, 800 00:36:15,000 --> 00:36:15,839 Speaker 2: he's an interesting guy. 801 00:36:15,880 --> 00:36:17,560 Speaker 3: I think she worked in Ukraine, too, didn't she. 802 00:36:17,680 --> 00:36:19,680 Speaker 2: I believe that she also did, or at least did 803 00:36:19,719 --> 00:36:23,120 Speaker 2: some work with Zelensky. I want to say, way back 804 00:36:23,120 --> 00:36:26,640 Speaker 2: in the day before she came to work for Rond DeSantis. Anyway, 805 00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:29,560 Speaker 2: what do we learn from this? Knives are fully out 806 00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:32,640 Speaker 2: against each other, and I'm just not sure it's gonna work. 807 00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:35,200 Speaker 2: I Mean, look, a lot of it just seems like drama, 808 00:36:35,440 --> 00:36:37,279 Speaker 2: which is on the internet. But I think what people 809 00:36:37,320 --> 00:36:40,239 Speaker 2: should underscore is that this or should people take away? 810 00:36:40,560 --> 00:36:43,319 Speaker 2: The biggest takeaway to me is the Dishanta's team is 811 00:36:43,320 --> 00:36:45,720 Speaker 2: actually willing to go after him. Yeah, there's no Nikki 812 00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:48,560 Speaker 2: Haley people out there who were prosecuting outside of like 813 00:36:48,640 --> 00:36:51,359 Speaker 2: Liz Cheney Trump's or like Trump is a threat to democracy. 814 00:36:51,640 --> 00:36:55,720 Speaker 2: This is like actual knives out real campaign fighting against 815 00:36:55,760 --> 00:36:58,120 Speaker 2: each other. It will be bitter and we'll obviously going 816 00:36:58,200 --> 00:37:00,239 Speaker 2: to be a long and a hard fought content test, 817 00:37:00,320 --> 00:37:03,680 Speaker 2: but they are willing to actually declare war, and that 818 00:37:03,800 --> 00:37:07,040 Speaker 2: shows that they have some confidence at least in their process. Now, 819 00:37:07,120 --> 00:37:08,520 Speaker 2: is it going to work? We'll see. 820 00:37:08,600 --> 00:37:11,040 Speaker 1: There's a lot of khi vibes among some of these people, 821 00:37:11,120 --> 00:37:17,040 Speaker 1: whether its viciousness so that they mean, I'm personally enjoying 822 00:37:17,080 --> 00:37:19,719 Speaker 1: watching it all unfold greatly, like go go at it, 823 00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:23,680 Speaker 1: let him fight. But yeah, it is definitely it's game on, 824 00:37:24,280 --> 00:37:28,560 Speaker 1: like no holds barred. Clearly, DeSantis's launch has sort of 825 00:37:28,600 --> 00:37:32,359 Speaker 1: open the up the floodgates. People are picking sides. It's 826 00:37:32,400 --> 00:37:36,000 Speaker 1: going to be absolutely brutal and vicious online, and you know, 827 00:37:36,200 --> 00:37:39,040 Speaker 1: we'll see whether he's able to get some traction. I 828 00:37:39,080 --> 00:37:41,520 Speaker 1: do think that this is like you can't just sit 829 00:37:41,600 --> 00:37:44,760 Speaker 1: by and take the attacks and not say anything, because 830 00:37:44,840 --> 00:37:49,319 Speaker 1: ultimately that's just like it's emasculating, it's humiliating. So at 831 00:37:49,360 --> 00:37:52,320 Speaker 1: the very least, even if you don't think your attacks 832 00:37:52,360 --> 00:37:54,720 Speaker 1: are going to land, you got to stand up for yourself. 833 00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:56,879 Speaker 1: You've got to have some level of pushback. You gotta 834 00:37:56,880 --> 00:37:59,080 Speaker 1: have some knife fighters online who are willing to like 835 00:37:59,120 --> 00:38:02,640 Speaker 1: go to the mat for you as well. And you know, 836 00:38:03,000 --> 00:38:06,839 Speaker 1: the other dynamics that are unfolding are everybody else are 837 00:38:06,880 --> 00:38:09,240 Speaker 1: too afraid to go after Trump, and so they're training 838 00:38:09,280 --> 00:38:12,839 Speaker 1: their fire at DeSantis. So if no one is going 839 00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:15,439 Speaker 1: after Trump, say for maybe Chris Christy when he gets 840 00:38:15,440 --> 00:38:17,520 Speaker 1: in the race, he's sort of coming in like a 841 00:38:17,680 --> 00:38:19,920 Speaker 1: you know, guided missile to go directly at Trump and 842 00:38:19,960 --> 00:38:20,879 Speaker 1: try to knock him off. 843 00:38:21,480 --> 00:38:23,120 Speaker 3: So maybe between the two of them. 844 00:38:23,000 --> 00:38:24,680 Speaker 1: You're able to get some traction for some of these 845 00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:28,160 Speaker 1: attacks and able to convince some people that they need 846 00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:30,480 Speaker 1: to take another look. But I do think maybe the 847 00:38:30,480 --> 00:38:34,000 Speaker 1: most revealing part of this whole segment was when on 848 00:38:34,040 --> 00:38:37,799 Speaker 1: the Newsmax panel, the one dude is like launching very 849 00:38:37,840 --> 00:38:40,560 Speaker 1: sort of grounded attacks on Trump and we're done with 850 00:38:40,640 --> 00:38:42,840 Speaker 1: the messiness and Stormy Daniels and all of this. 851 00:38:42,960 --> 00:38:43,840 Speaker 3: Let's back a winner. 852 00:38:44,120 --> 00:38:46,480 Speaker 1: And she's able to very easily dismiss it by you 853 00:38:46,560 --> 00:38:49,799 Speaker 1: sound like a Democrat's that's hard to overcome when you 854 00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:54,280 Speaker 1: have a base that has been really trained to see 855 00:38:54,440 --> 00:38:58,200 Speaker 1: any sort of attack on Trump as coming from bad faith, 856 00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:01,879 Speaker 1: coming from liberals, come from the Democratic Party. I think 857 00:39:01,920 --> 00:39:04,400 Speaker 1: it makes it a very difficult sort of situation for 858 00:39:04,440 --> 00:39:05,279 Speaker 1: them to navigate buble. 859 00:39:05,320 --> 00:39:07,239 Speaker 2: We'll see, well, we'll see. Let's go to the next 860 00:39:07,280 --> 00:39:10,880 Speaker 2: one here. This is just so fascinating. It was first 861 00:39:10,920 --> 00:39:13,520 Speaker 2: the thread was found by our producer Mac. But it 862 00:39:13,520 --> 00:39:16,040 Speaker 2: fits neatly with a story that I've just been obsessed 863 00:39:16,040 --> 00:39:19,800 Speaker 2: with recently. So let's put this up there on the screen. CW. Howell, 864 00:39:19,840 --> 00:39:23,520 Speaker 2: who is a Duke PhD. And a professor, actually assigned 865 00:39:23,600 --> 00:39:26,680 Speaker 2: his students a really interesting assignment. He said that he 866 00:39:26,760 --> 00:39:29,719 Speaker 2: had them all generate an essay, sixty three of his 867 00:39:29,719 --> 00:39:32,600 Speaker 2: students which used a prompt that he gave them for 868 00:39:32,800 --> 00:39:36,960 Speaker 2: chat GPT. Their job was to then grade their essay 869 00:39:37,280 --> 00:39:42,080 Speaker 2: and look for so called hallucinated information and critique its analysis. Now, 870 00:39:42,200 --> 00:39:44,520 Speaker 2: what he points out hallucinated information and stuff we talked 871 00:39:44,520 --> 00:39:47,920 Speaker 2: about here before, fake quotes and fake sources, real sources 872 00:39:47,960 --> 00:39:51,880 Speaker 2: that are misunderstood and mischaracterized. He says that all sixty 873 00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:55,759 Speaker 2: three essays, every single assignment, what he found was that 874 00:39:55,880 --> 00:39:58,960 Speaker 2: the biggest takeaway is that their students learn that chat 875 00:39:59,040 --> 00:40:02,879 Speaker 2: TPT was not really because all of them included some 876 00:40:02,960 --> 00:40:05,759 Speaker 2: sort of hallucinated information crystal, and it shows you that 877 00:40:05,880 --> 00:40:08,960 Speaker 2: chat GPT, at least in its current form and maybe 878 00:40:09,040 --> 00:40:11,880 Speaker 2: for all time. Who knows how difficult this is for 879 00:40:11,920 --> 00:40:17,120 Speaker 2: them to solve. Is that can easily hallucinate and create 880 00:40:17,560 --> 00:40:21,800 Speaker 2: false information. As we have shown previously, it has created 881 00:40:21,920 --> 00:40:25,880 Speaker 2: false sexual assault allegations against people before. People who have 882 00:40:26,160 --> 00:40:28,800 Speaker 2: tried to use it for purposes. Will ask them questions 883 00:40:28,840 --> 00:40:30,719 Speaker 2: that they have deep knowledge about, and then we'll get 884 00:40:30,760 --> 00:40:33,400 Speaker 2: back answers that are set in a very declarative format 885 00:40:33,640 --> 00:40:34,919 Speaker 2: and which are completely wrong. 886 00:40:35,000 --> 00:40:37,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, like page numbers and studies. 887 00:40:37,600 --> 00:40:40,080 Speaker 2: What are you talking about? This is literally not what 888 00:40:40,120 --> 00:40:42,560 Speaker 2: it says. And actually thought, I think, by the way, 889 00:40:42,560 --> 00:40:45,080 Speaker 2: I love this assignment because showing people how to it's 890 00:40:45,080 --> 00:40:47,719 Speaker 2: like the real world example where he said the real 891 00:40:47,800 --> 00:40:49,880 Speaker 2: lesson for all my students was, yeah, you can't trust 892 00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:52,080 Speaker 2: your DD for stuff like this, And I was like, Wow, 893 00:40:52,120 --> 00:40:55,960 Speaker 2: what a useful thing to actually teach somebody in university 894 00:40:55,960 --> 00:40:58,440 Speaker 2: instead of some stupid essay which they're not even going 895 00:40:58,480 --> 00:41:01,000 Speaker 2: to think about ten years later. Oh, I actually can't 896 00:41:01,040 --> 00:41:03,560 Speaker 2: trust everything that I hear. Wow, it's more complicated, it's 897 00:41:03,600 --> 00:41:07,200 Speaker 2: more nuanced, and it actually fits exactly with the same 898 00:41:07,280 --> 00:41:09,440 Speaker 2: problem of a lawyer. Let's go ahead and put this 899 00:41:09,560 --> 00:41:12,839 Speaker 2: up there. Who it was a lawyer for a man 900 00:41:13,680 --> 00:41:18,840 Speaker 2: suing Avianca Airlines, the Colombian airline. The lawsuit was written 901 00:41:19,280 --> 00:41:22,680 Speaker 2: by a judge, or sorry, by a lawyer who actually 902 00:41:22,800 --> 00:41:27,480 Speaker 2: used chat GPT, and in his brief around the lawsuit 903 00:41:27,840 --> 00:41:32,920 Speaker 2: cited quote a dozen relevant decisions. All of those decisions, however, 904 00:41:33,440 --> 00:41:37,760 Speaker 2: actually could not find the decisions or the quotation sided 905 00:41:38,080 --> 00:41:41,240 Speaker 2: or that were summarized. In other words, they were completely 906 00:41:41,360 --> 00:41:45,800 Speaker 2: invented by chat GPT, and the lawyer who actually created 907 00:41:45,840 --> 00:41:48,600 Speaker 2: the brief had to come before the judge and issue 908 00:41:48,600 --> 00:41:51,319 Speaker 2: an affidavit saying that he had used chat gp to 909 00:41:51,400 --> 00:41:54,640 Speaker 2: do all of his legal research, which he now has 910 00:41:54,680 --> 00:41:57,480 Speaker 2: to admit is quote a source that has revealed itself 911 00:41:57,640 --> 00:42:01,640 Speaker 2: to be unreliable. Yank. Well. It is funny though, because 912 00:42:01,680 --> 00:42:03,440 Speaker 2: there are quite a few tech bros you know, who 913 00:42:03,480 --> 00:42:06,600 Speaker 2: are online being like legal profession is dead. Chat ChiPT 914 00:42:06,719 --> 00:42:10,239 Speaker 2: can passion, MCAT, exam, chat gp chip, you can pass 915 00:42:10,280 --> 00:42:13,120 Speaker 2: a legal a brief or what all that, And it's like, yeah, well, 916 00:42:13,880 --> 00:42:15,000 Speaker 2: you know what else they had to deal with in 917 00:42:15,000 --> 00:42:19,000 Speaker 2: the medical field. It's called liability. And if you let's 918 00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:20,960 Speaker 2: say you're right ninety nine percent of the time. Well, 919 00:42:21,000 --> 00:42:22,600 Speaker 2: if you get it wrong one percent of the time, 920 00:42:22,760 --> 00:42:25,160 Speaker 2: then what has Microsoft now just opened itself up to 921 00:42:25,160 --> 00:42:28,400 Speaker 2: a multi billion dollar lawsuit? And at scale one percent? 922 00:42:28,480 --> 00:42:30,400 Speaker 2: Is actually a lot of people about. 923 00:42:30,160 --> 00:42:33,200 Speaker 1: This lawyer who's now in the New York Times written 924 00:42:33,280 --> 00:42:36,200 Speaker 1: up for like this moron just like outsourced all his 925 00:42:36,239 --> 00:42:39,799 Speaker 1: works at chat GPT and didn't fact check any of it. 926 00:42:40,200 --> 00:42:43,320 Speaker 1: There's a funny exchange in here because apparently he actually 927 00:42:43,440 --> 00:42:46,520 Speaker 1: asked he didn't fact check it himself, like go outside 928 00:42:46,560 --> 00:42:48,520 Speaker 1: of the program to look up these cases and make 929 00:42:48,560 --> 00:42:51,960 Speaker 1: sure that they actually existed. But he asked chat gpt 930 00:42:52,239 --> 00:42:55,400 Speaker 1: if they were real? He said, is Borghesi a real case? 931 00:42:55,480 --> 00:42:55,880 Speaker 3: He typed. 932 00:42:55,880 --> 00:42:57,680 Speaker 1: According to a copy of the exchange, he submitted to 933 00:42:57,680 --> 00:43:00,880 Speaker 1: the judge, yes, the chat but replied, offering a citation, 934 00:43:00,960 --> 00:43:03,760 Speaker 1: adding it is a real case. Then the lawyer dug deeper, 935 00:43:04,000 --> 00:43:06,240 Speaker 1: what is your source? He wrote, According to a filing, 936 00:43:06,400 --> 00:43:09,720 Speaker 1: I apologize for the confusion earlier. Chat GPT responded, offering 937 00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:13,080 Speaker 1: a legal citation. Are the other cases you provided fake, 938 00:43:13,160 --> 00:43:16,279 Speaker 1: mister Schwartz, the lawyer asked, chat GPT responded, No, the 939 00:43:16,360 --> 00:43:18,920 Speaker 1: other cases I provided are real and can be found 940 00:43:18,920 --> 00:43:23,520 Speaker 1: in reputable legal databases. None of that was true, and 941 00:43:23,920 --> 00:43:26,160 Speaker 1: I think, you know, this is eye opening to me 942 00:43:26,320 --> 00:43:30,080 Speaker 1: of how often chat GPT just makes stuff up on 943 00:43:30,160 --> 00:43:33,800 Speaker 1: a whole cloth. Because we had seen some examples of people. 944 00:43:33,800 --> 00:43:35,480 Speaker 1: They asked him a question of, like, you know, what 945 00:43:35,560 --> 00:43:38,759 Speaker 1: is the most cited like economic paper or something like that. 946 00:43:39,440 --> 00:43:43,040 Speaker 1: And what it did is it took two existing economists 947 00:43:43,200 --> 00:43:46,000 Speaker 1: researchers who I think had never worked together or they 948 00:43:46,000 --> 00:43:49,200 Speaker 1: certainly didn't create this paper together, created a fake paper 949 00:43:49,239 --> 00:43:51,520 Speaker 1: with a fake title. But these were real economis. So 950 00:43:51,560 --> 00:43:53,799 Speaker 1: if you look at it, you would think it's got 951 00:43:53,800 --> 00:43:54,480 Speaker 1: sort of like the. 952 00:43:54,480 --> 00:43:55,880 Speaker 3: Semblance of truth to it. 953 00:43:55,920 --> 00:43:58,520 Speaker 1: You're like, oh, okay, well just maybe haven't heard of 954 00:43:58,560 --> 00:43:59,200 Speaker 1: that paper before. 955 00:43:59,280 --> 00:44:00,000 Speaker 3: Let me go check it out. 956 00:44:00,800 --> 00:44:06,319 Speaker 1: Totally fabricated, one hundred percent hallucinated. They mentioned in here 957 00:44:06,680 --> 00:44:10,719 Speaker 1: the sort of theory of how and why this happens, 958 00:44:11,120 --> 00:44:13,319 Speaker 1: because again, remember what this thing is, it's a so 959 00:44:13,400 --> 00:44:17,560 Speaker 1: called large language models. The programmers feed it all of 960 00:44:17,600 --> 00:44:21,440 Speaker 1: this text and existing case history and everything that's online 961 00:44:21,520 --> 00:44:26,120 Speaker 1: and books and whatever, and then it uses predictive algorithms 962 00:44:26,120 --> 00:44:28,160 Speaker 1: to come up with what its responses are going to be. 963 00:44:28,280 --> 00:44:29,480 Speaker 3: So what they say. 964 00:44:29,600 --> 00:44:32,360 Speaker 1: In terms of a theoretical explanation for how this happens 965 00:44:32,400 --> 00:44:37,120 Speaker 1: is CHATJPT generates realistic responses by making guesses about which 966 00:44:37,200 --> 00:44:40,560 Speaker 1: fragments of text should follow other sequences based on a 967 00:44:40,600 --> 00:44:43,399 Speaker 1: statistical model that is ingested billions of examples of text 968 00:44:43,400 --> 00:44:46,520 Speaker 1: pulled from all over the internet. In mister mattas that's 969 00:44:46,560 --> 00:44:49,000 Speaker 1: this guy who is the subject of the suit case. 970 00:44:49,360 --> 00:44:53,319 Speaker 1: The program appears to have discerned the labyrinthine framework of 971 00:44:53,360 --> 00:44:57,080 Speaker 1: a written legal argument, but is populated with names and 972 00:44:57,160 --> 00:45:00,520 Speaker 1: facts from a bullya base of existing cases. So it 973 00:45:00,760 --> 00:45:05,080 Speaker 1: used this predictive statistical analysis of what it thought should 974 00:45:05,120 --> 00:45:07,440 Speaker 1: go next to it kind of figured out, okay, this 975 00:45:07,480 --> 00:45:09,400 Speaker 1: is what a legal brief should look like, and then 976 00:45:09,440 --> 00:45:13,279 Speaker 1: it just mashed together a bunch of information that didn't 977 00:45:13,480 --> 00:45:17,000 Speaker 1: wasn't actually real, wasn't actually factually based to generate this 978 00:45:17,120 --> 00:45:20,920 Speaker 1: brief very similar to what these students found when you 979 00:45:20,960 --> 00:45:24,839 Speaker 1: know their professor assigned them this task. Very similar output here, 980 00:45:24,960 --> 00:45:26,680 Speaker 1: and I thought it was interesting what one of the 981 00:45:26,719 --> 00:45:30,720 Speaker 1: students said Sager in terms of her concerns, she wrote, 982 00:45:30,800 --> 00:45:33,840 Speaker 1: I'm not worried about AI getting to where we are now. 983 00:45:33,880 --> 00:45:37,400 Speaker 1: I'm much more worried about the possibility of us reverting 984 00:45:37,480 --> 00:45:41,240 Speaker 1: to where AI is. I'm increasingly thinking that's a real 985 00:45:41,600 --> 00:45:45,280 Speaker 1: danger where people do outsource a lot of their original 986 00:45:45,320 --> 00:45:49,239 Speaker 1: thinking to chat, GPT or other large language models, and 987 00:45:49,680 --> 00:45:52,400 Speaker 1: rather than you know, it making us better, it actually 988 00:45:52,400 --> 00:45:54,719 Speaker 1: in a sense sort of dumbs us down and you know, 989 00:45:54,800 --> 00:45:57,560 Speaker 1: waters down our thinking in a sense. You already see 990 00:45:57,600 --> 00:45:59,200 Speaker 1: this in a lot of the culture. And I don't 991 00:45:59,200 --> 00:46:01,680 Speaker 1: know if it's related to technology or what it's related to, 992 00:46:01,880 --> 00:46:04,359 Speaker 1: but how many of our movies are recycled, how much 993 00:46:04,400 --> 00:46:06,839 Speaker 1: of our music is just like taking beats from like 994 00:46:06,880 --> 00:46:08,840 Speaker 1: when I was in high school that were popular and 995 00:46:08,920 --> 00:46:10,759 Speaker 1: dumping it into a new song and putting some. 996 00:46:10,760 --> 00:46:11,560 Speaker 3: New words to it. 997 00:46:11,960 --> 00:46:15,480 Speaker 1: I already feel like there is such a degrading of 998 00:46:15,520 --> 00:46:18,480 Speaker 1: creativity and lessening of creativity, and I think part of 999 00:46:18,480 --> 00:46:21,080 Speaker 1: that is like the capitalist system, but I could see 1000 00:46:21,520 --> 00:46:25,200 Speaker 1: AI play an increasing role in all it has to 1001 00:46:25,320 --> 00:46:27,240 Speaker 1: draw on is like the things we've done in the past. 1002 00:46:27,560 --> 00:46:31,120 Speaker 1: It's not capable of creating something new. So for increasingly 1003 00:46:31,160 --> 00:46:35,240 Speaker 1: relying on this chat, GPT and other large language models 1004 00:46:35,239 --> 00:46:39,000 Speaker 1: that are just drawing and regurgitating and recycling and mashing 1005 00:46:39,040 --> 00:46:42,480 Speaker 1: together things that are from our past. Does that stultify 1006 00:46:42,520 --> 00:46:44,239 Speaker 1: our creativity even more than. 1007 00:46:44,120 --> 00:46:44,960 Speaker 3: Where we're already at. 1008 00:46:45,080 --> 00:46:47,080 Speaker 2: I agree one hundred percent. There's an elegance to the 1009 00:46:47,160 --> 00:46:49,120 Speaker 2: human One of my favorite scenes in movies from The 1010 00:46:49,160 --> 00:46:51,919 Speaker 2: Wolf of Wall Street where Leo DiCaprio is surrounded by 1011 00:46:52,239 --> 00:46:54,840 Speaker 2: his friends and John Bernhal is one of the actors 1012 00:46:54,880 --> 00:46:56,799 Speaker 2: and he's like, sell me this pen, and he hands 1013 00:46:56,840 --> 00:46:58,760 Speaker 2: it to one of his friends and the guy starts 1014 00:46:58,760 --> 00:47:01,840 Speaker 2: going like, oh, well, this pen is beautiful. He's like, 1015 00:47:01,880 --> 00:47:03,120 Speaker 2: now that's not going to work. And he has one 1016 00:47:03,160 --> 00:47:05,160 Speaker 2: of the other guy who is his favorite salesman, and 1017 00:47:05,480 --> 00:47:07,400 Speaker 2: Burnhal and he's like, sell me this pen. He's like, hey, 1018 00:47:07,400 --> 00:47:08,680 Speaker 2: can you write something down for me? He's like, no, 1019 00:47:08,719 --> 00:47:10,640 Speaker 2: I can't. He said, yeah, exactly, that's why you need 1020 00:47:10,760 --> 00:47:13,239 Speaker 2: this pen. And it's there's such an elegance to that. 1021 00:47:13,280 --> 00:47:15,600 Speaker 2: And I just actually tried it with chat GPT because 1022 00:47:15,640 --> 00:47:18,040 Speaker 2: it reminded me of this. I've seen this experiment before 1023 00:47:18,080 --> 00:47:20,920 Speaker 2: and it falls for that lowest common denominator of are 1024 00:47:20,920 --> 00:47:23,400 Speaker 2: you tired of ordinary pens? They're feeling lackluster, you know, 1025 00:47:23,440 --> 00:47:25,720 Speaker 2: like trying to describe, but it doesn't create the demand. 1026 00:47:25,719 --> 00:47:29,120 Speaker 2: It doesn't have that like understanding of the human dynamic 1027 00:47:29,200 --> 00:47:31,400 Speaker 2: of what's actually going on here. And I feel like 1028 00:47:31,680 --> 00:47:35,319 Speaker 2: all chat GPT is done is increase the lowest common denominator, 1029 00:47:35,320 --> 00:47:38,000 Speaker 2: so like it's better now for the lowest of low 1030 00:47:38,040 --> 00:47:40,360 Speaker 2: effort work. I think, Okay, I mean that's not a 1031 00:47:40,400 --> 00:47:43,360 Speaker 2: bad thing whenever it comes to white collar but people 1032 00:47:43,400 --> 00:47:47,160 Speaker 2: really underestimate, you know, how much little minute decision makings 1033 00:47:47,200 --> 00:47:50,239 Speaker 2: and creativity and things that require human beings to do. 1034 00:47:50,320 --> 00:47:52,680 Speaker 2: Can you automate all that? Maybe? But I always think 1035 00:47:52,680 --> 00:47:55,799 Speaker 2: about Noam Chomski's op ED where he taught and yeah, 1036 00:47:55,920 --> 00:47:58,840 Speaker 2: NOME right now, very complicated feelings on Noome after the 1037 00:47:58,880 --> 00:48:02,600 Speaker 2: whole Epstein thing, but this area of expertise on linguistics, 1038 00:48:02,800 --> 00:48:05,520 Speaker 2: what he wrote is that what lllms failed to understand 1039 00:48:05,560 --> 00:48:07,920 Speaker 2: is it's just literally not how the human human mind 1040 00:48:08,239 --> 00:48:11,560 Speaker 2: or language evolved. It's not about amalgamating a bunch of 1041 00:48:11,600 --> 00:48:14,520 Speaker 2: stuff and then spitting it out. You can never capture 1042 00:48:14,640 --> 00:48:17,000 Speaker 2: how language actually came to be in the way that 1043 00:48:17,160 --> 00:48:19,399 Speaker 2: communication really works, which I thought was a really cool 1044 00:48:19,400 --> 00:48:20,080 Speaker 2: way of putting it. 1045 00:48:20,120 --> 00:48:25,000 Speaker 1: But I could easily see us falling into the you know, trap, 1046 00:48:25,280 --> 00:48:28,200 Speaker 1: the laziness trap of let me just use chat GPT 1047 00:48:28,360 --> 00:48:31,480 Speaker 1: to do my first draft. Yeah, oh yeah, and how 1048 00:48:31,560 --> 00:48:33,399 Speaker 1: much of you know, I mean, we write a lot 1049 00:48:33,440 --> 00:48:35,759 Speaker 1: for this show. We write monologues, you know, all week 1050 00:48:35,840 --> 00:48:39,879 Speaker 1: every week, and so much of my thinking comes from 1051 00:48:39,960 --> 00:48:43,920 Speaker 1: having to actually sit with the blank paper and grapple 1052 00:48:43,960 --> 00:48:46,440 Speaker 1: with it. Yes, and I come up with new and 1053 00:48:46,480 --> 00:48:48,120 Speaker 1: size that I hadn't thought of before. As I'm in 1054 00:48:48,120 --> 00:48:50,200 Speaker 1: the writing process. Sometimes it starts I'm like, you know, 1055 00:48:50,280 --> 00:48:52,239 Speaker 1: this is weak, Like I need to change what I'm 1056 00:48:52,239 --> 00:48:55,399 Speaker 1: doing here, I need a different angle or whatever. If 1057 00:48:55,440 --> 00:48:59,839 Speaker 1: you're outsourcing even just that first draft to this automated technology, 1058 00:49:00,239 --> 00:49:03,640 Speaker 1: you really are losing some of the like spark that 1059 00:49:03,840 --> 00:49:07,359 Speaker 1: is unique to human beings. And I could easily see 1060 00:49:07,400 --> 00:49:10,799 Speaker 1: us falling down that path where all we're doing is 1061 00:49:10,840 --> 00:49:15,200 Speaker 1: having this machine regurgitate and mash up for us things 1062 00:49:15,239 --> 00:49:19,120 Speaker 1: that already exist, and you know, it dulling the sort 1063 00:49:19,160 --> 00:49:23,960 Speaker 1: of creativity and joy and variability of the human experience 1064 00:49:24,000 --> 00:49:27,719 Speaker 1: within our culture. So that's what this really underscored for 1065 00:49:27,880 --> 00:49:30,359 Speaker 1: me is actually some of the perils not of like 1066 00:49:30,680 --> 00:49:32,600 Speaker 1: I do think the concerns about like what's it going 1067 00:49:32,640 --> 00:49:34,000 Speaker 1: to do and how smart's it going to get and 1068 00:49:34,040 --> 00:49:35,600 Speaker 1: what how is it going to I think those are 1069 00:49:35,680 --> 00:49:39,800 Speaker 1: legitimate concerns, but this underscored for me the opposite concern, 1070 00:49:40,000 --> 00:49:42,080 Speaker 1: which is, rather than taking over, it just makes all 1071 00:49:42,120 --> 00:49:43,239 Speaker 1: of it like drags us down. 1072 00:49:43,320 --> 00:49:48,040 Speaker 2: It makes this Dummer very good point. All right, let's 1073 00:49:48,080 --> 00:49:50,320 Speaker 2: go to the next one here. This is absolutely fascinating. 1074 00:49:50,360 --> 00:49:52,920 Speaker 2: We've been keeping our eye on these metatrends. Put it 1075 00:49:53,000 --> 00:49:57,800 Speaker 2: up there, please, about domestic offshoring or sometimes called interra shoring, 1076 00:49:57,960 --> 00:50:03,080 Speaker 2: sometimes called like inside shoring. Nobody really knows how exactly 1077 00:50:03,800 --> 00:50:06,560 Speaker 2: to look at it, but I think it's really important 1078 00:50:06,600 --> 00:50:10,239 Speaker 2: because this is about how cities which we have seen 1079 00:50:10,440 --> 00:50:14,400 Speaker 2: have domestic migration, in migration and cities that have lost 1080 00:50:14,680 --> 00:50:18,359 Speaker 2: places are all not only following where people want to live, 1081 00:50:18,719 --> 00:50:22,960 Speaker 2: but also low wage jobs out of some key cities. 1082 00:50:23,080 --> 00:50:25,320 Speaker 2: So when we talk about low wage jobs, we're thinking 1083 00:50:25,320 --> 00:50:27,600 Speaker 2: about call centers. That's one of the ones that they 1084 00:50:27,640 --> 00:50:30,320 Speaker 2: show here. Basically jobs that don't pay enough to cover 1085 00:50:30,600 --> 00:50:33,960 Speaker 2: the cost of housing in cities like New York, Washington, 1086 00:50:34,040 --> 00:50:37,279 Speaker 2: d C. San Francisco have now been moving at a 1087 00:50:37,480 --> 00:50:39,719 Speaker 2: very fast paced in the last couple of years to 1088 00:50:39,880 --> 00:50:43,480 Speaker 2: less expensive places like Orlando, Phoenix, and Las Vegas. And 1089 00:50:43,480 --> 00:50:46,080 Speaker 2: what's really crazy about this, Crystal is this data is 1090 00:50:46,160 --> 00:50:48,960 Speaker 2: only as recent as twenty twenty one, so we have 1091 00:50:49,040 --> 00:50:53,640 Speaker 2: two full years that have completely changed since this has happened. 1092 00:50:54,200 --> 00:50:57,640 Speaker 2: They also actually point to the fact that this increase 1093 00:50:57,760 --> 00:51:02,040 Speaker 2: in domestic on shorings or interest storing, as I've said, 1094 00:51:02,360 --> 00:51:06,480 Speaker 2: has led to a huge increase in the number of 1095 00:51:06,760 --> 00:51:10,239 Speaker 2: jobs that specifically not only low wage but in some 1096 00:51:10,280 --> 00:51:16,960 Speaker 2: cases also executive jobs in Austin, Denver, San Jose, San Diego, Dallas, 1097 00:51:17,000 --> 00:51:21,000 Speaker 2: Fort Worth, Saint Louis, Missouri, and then Phoenix, Arizona. And 1098 00:51:21,040 --> 00:51:23,399 Speaker 2: so what they point to is that within a lot 1099 00:51:23,400 --> 00:51:26,279 Speaker 2: of these places you are seeing a huge increase. It 1100 00:51:26,760 --> 00:51:29,200 Speaker 2: also kind of fits with what we've talked here about 1101 00:51:29,400 --> 00:51:32,960 Speaker 2: where millions of people flee New York, San Francisco, Chicago, 1102 00:51:33,040 --> 00:51:34,799 Speaker 2: they're all going to the Sunbelt. The sun Belt just 1103 00:51:34,800 --> 00:51:36,879 Speaker 2: seems to be booming in a way that I don't 1104 00:51:36,880 --> 00:51:40,080 Speaker 2: think a lot of people are understanding, or they're going 1105 00:51:40,080 --> 00:51:43,920 Speaker 2: to places where it's a lower tax environment while still 1106 00:51:44,040 --> 00:51:46,000 Speaker 2: in the time zone where you're able to do business 1107 00:51:46,239 --> 00:51:49,160 Speaker 2: for remote work. I've talked about Boise before. Phoenix is 1108 00:51:49,200 --> 00:51:53,040 Speaker 2: another good example. Obviously everyone knows about Austin, but that's 1109 00:51:53,040 --> 00:51:55,360 Speaker 2: not the only city in Houston that's growing. You've got Houston, 1110 00:51:55,400 --> 00:52:00,000 Speaker 2: and you've got Dallas, all of the suburban area Florida, obviously, Georgia. 1111 00:52:00,200 --> 00:52:02,919 Speaker 2: Atlanta right now is absolutely hot. But you know, there's 1112 00:52:02,960 --> 00:52:04,759 Speaker 2: a lot of other areas in the Sun Belt as well, 1113 00:52:04,960 --> 00:52:07,160 Speaker 2: which has seen a major increase. And I think this 1114 00:52:07,200 --> 00:52:10,359 Speaker 2: is really going to reshape the entire US economy. And 1115 00:52:10,440 --> 00:52:14,320 Speaker 2: are you really are politics? Because if capital starts leaving 1116 00:52:14,680 --> 00:52:17,759 Speaker 2: these big cities, it lessens their political importance, and it 1117 00:52:17,840 --> 00:52:21,319 Speaker 2: lessens the concentration that made these cities important and all 1118 00:52:21,360 --> 00:52:22,800 Speaker 2: that stuff in the first place. One of the biggest 1119 00:52:22,840 --> 00:52:25,400 Speaker 2: things that they're talking about here is how the only 1120 00:52:25,480 --> 00:52:30,160 Speaker 2: thing that keeps the Washington, San Francisco, New York City 1121 00:52:30,360 --> 00:52:33,560 Speaker 2: and all these cities still high prestige is that they 1122 00:52:33,600 --> 00:52:37,360 Speaker 2: are where quote unquote high end jobs are the most concentrated, 1123 00:52:37,400 --> 00:52:40,000 Speaker 2: so the highest earners and all the executives. DC is 1124 00:52:40,080 --> 00:52:42,840 Speaker 2: number one, San Francisco number two, New York City is 1125 00:52:42,960 --> 00:52:45,839 Speaker 2: number three. Surprise DC is up there is number one. 1126 00:52:45,880 --> 00:52:47,399 Speaker 2: Probably has to do with government. 1127 00:52:47,120 --> 00:52:47,399 Speaker 3: I'm sure. 1128 00:52:47,680 --> 00:52:49,440 Speaker 2: Again we are the legal capital of the world. So 1129 00:52:49,520 --> 00:52:50,000 Speaker 2: there you go. 1130 00:52:50,160 --> 00:52:53,440 Speaker 1: Well, what they talked, speak to here is a further 1131 00:52:53,680 --> 00:52:58,160 Speaker 1: sort of sorting and bifurcating of our economy, where you know, 1132 00:52:58,200 --> 00:53:01,160 Speaker 1: what really makes the place sort of healthy and vibrant 1133 00:53:01,360 --> 00:53:05,800 Speaker 1: is that you have an array of people, different cultures, 1134 00:53:05,800 --> 00:53:10,840 Speaker 1: different income levels. Crucially, and we've already had this sorting 1135 00:53:11,000 --> 00:53:12,680 Speaker 1: happening in some of the largest cities. 1136 00:53:12,719 --> 00:53:14,400 Speaker 3: I think San Francisco it's the most. 1137 00:53:14,160 --> 00:53:18,640 Speaker 1: Clear, where you have very highly paid tech executives and 1138 00:53:18,680 --> 00:53:22,080 Speaker 1: other tech knowledge workers, and then you have you know, 1139 00:53:22,200 --> 00:53:25,000 Speaker 1: people who are you know, really struggling, and you have 1140 00:53:25,080 --> 00:53:28,720 Speaker 1: this vast inequality and it leads to a true hollowing 1141 00:53:28,760 --> 00:53:31,080 Speaker 1: out where if you're a middle class person like you 1142 00:53:31,120 --> 00:53:33,879 Speaker 1: can't live in San Francisco, there's a handful of them 1143 00:53:33,960 --> 00:53:36,279 Speaker 1: like hanging on there by their fingertips because they just 1144 00:53:36,320 --> 00:53:39,680 Speaker 1: love the place so much. But what this is pointing 1145 00:53:39,719 --> 00:53:42,200 Speaker 1: to is that that sort of hollowing out of those 1146 00:53:42,320 --> 00:53:46,480 Speaker 1: middle tier jobs and them leaving, you know, the jobs 1147 00:53:46,520 --> 00:53:48,640 Speaker 1: themselves leading the city and the workers along with them. 1148 00:53:48,640 --> 00:53:53,440 Speaker 1: Of course, that's coming for a much broader array of society. 1149 00:53:53,800 --> 00:53:54,120 Speaker 3: They say. 1150 00:53:54,120 --> 00:53:56,760 Speaker 1: As workers quit expensive cities, they leave behind a smaller 1151 00:53:56,800 --> 00:54:00,840 Speaker 1: workforce that's heavily concentrated with executive decision makers other people. 1152 00:54:00,560 --> 00:54:01,840 Speaker 3: Who are highly paid. 1153 00:54:02,320 --> 00:54:05,160 Speaker 1: They write in this report, this growing economic and geographic 1154 00:54:05,200 --> 00:54:08,279 Speaker 1: divide threatens to limit opportunity for people in lower cost 1155 00:54:08,400 --> 00:54:12,520 Speaker 1: regions and could have social and political consequences. As America's 1156 00:54:12,560 --> 00:54:15,520 Speaker 1: high end labor becomes concentrated and so called superstar cities, 1157 00:54:15,920 --> 00:54:19,280 Speaker 1: those living elsewhere could experience less social and economic mobility. 1158 00:54:19,360 --> 00:54:22,160 Speaker 1: I think this says a lot about where once opportunities lie. 1159 00:54:22,280 --> 00:54:24,680 Speaker 1: If you're a customer service rep or working in that realm, 1160 00:54:24,760 --> 00:54:26,920 Speaker 1: you'll find most of your opportunities away from those coastal 1161 00:54:26,920 --> 00:54:29,480 Speaker 1: cities that will influence your life, who your peers are, 1162 00:54:29,520 --> 00:54:31,799 Speaker 1: and the opportunities your children have. So it's a sort 1163 00:54:31,840 --> 00:54:36,399 Speaker 1: of further stratifying of American society, which, you know, there's 1164 00:54:37,000 --> 00:54:39,799 Speaker 1: a really good part of this, which is workers remote work, 1165 00:54:39,880 --> 00:54:42,160 Speaker 1: being able to work in cities where it's affordable for them, 1166 00:54:42,200 --> 00:54:44,160 Speaker 1: and being able to leave these cities that have been 1167 00:54:44,400 --> 00:54:46,600 Speaker 1: you know, have a terrible quality of life and they're 1168 00:54:46,640 --> 00:54:50,240 Speaker 1: just wildly unaffordable. But the more that we sort ourselves, 1169 00:54:50,280 --> 00:54:53,160 Speaker 1: the more that we stratified, the more you're also vulnerable 1170 00:54:53,200 --> 00:54:57,040 Speaker 1: to that sort of like coming apart phenomenon that we've 1171 00:54:57,080 --> 00:55:00,720 Speaker 1: already seen and has now been accelerated by COVID trend. 1172 00:55:00,719 --> 00:55:03,879 Speaker 1: You'll have cities that are the superstar like almost. 1173 00:55:03,520 --> 00:55:06,280 Speaker 3: Like luxury goods for the very. 1174 00:55:06,080 --> 00:55:09,120 Speaker 1: Wealthiest among us, and then you'll have like the rest 1175 00:55:09,120 --> 00:55:11,040 Speaker 1: of the country and big divides. 1176 00:55:11,840 --> 00:55:15,080 Speaker 2: We talked about it before, but they're basically openly admitting 1177 00:55:15,120 --> 00:55:17,160 Speaker 2: that the only way to save Manhattan is to turn 1178 00:55:17,200 --> 00:55:20,000 Speaker 2: it even more so into a rich person's playground. They're like, 1179 00:55:20,200 --> 00:55:22,440 Speaker 2: we got to make sure the bars never close, we 1180 00:55:22,520 --> 00:55:24,560 Speaker 2: got to destroy all the commercial real estate. We just 1181 00:55:24,560 --> 00:55:27,560 Speaker 2: got to turn this into like a Dubai like play 1182 00:55:27,920 --> 00:55:31,239 Speaker 2: like Playboy haven for the richest people in the world. 1183 00:55:31,040 --> 00:55:32,799 Speaker 3: Which was Bloomberg's vision for the way. 1184 00:55:32,920 --> 00:55:33,919 Speaker 2: It actually will work. 1185 00:55:34,000 --> 00:55:34,520 Speaker 3: Great task. 1186 00:55:34,680 --> 00:55:36,839 Speaker 2: That's the gross part is it will work. It also 1187 00:55:36,920 --> 00:55:39,719 Speaker 2: probably will destroy any of the last like cool things 1188 00:55:39,719 --> 00:55:42,880 Speaker 2: still that remain about New York City, but economically probably 1189 00:55:42,920 --> 00:55:44,880 Speaker 2: the right thing to do. I've seen it in so 1190 00:55:44,960 --> 00:55:47,879 Speaker 2: many places like the South of France, for example. Any 1191 00:55:48,000 --> 00:55:50,840 Speaker 2: charm in the South of France has long disappeared after 1192 00:55:51,120 --> 00:55:53,319 Speaker 2: like all the richest people in the world decided to 1193 00:55:53,320 --> 00:55:55,719 Speaker 2: come in buy it all up. Their whole hit neighborhoods 1194 00:55:55,719 --> 00:55:58,040 Speaker 2: of London which are basically not British anymore, and they 1195 00:55:58,080 --> 00:56:00,160 Speaker 2: belong to the golf are of states. This is it's 1196 00:56:00,160 --> 00:56:02,120 Speaker 2: not a critique. It's just like being there. You might 1197 00:56:02,160 --> 00:56:03,719 Speaker 2: as well be in Dubai and it's all like the 1198 00:56:03,880 --> 00:56:07,120 Speaker 2: ritzy you know, stuff all all around you, and you're like, oh, well, 1199 00:56:07,120 --> 00:56:09,160 Speaker 2: all the history from this is basically gone. Any of 1200 00:56:09,160 --> 00:56:11,719 Speaker 2: the original you know people, This is all just you know, 1201 00:56:11,800 --> 00:56:15,560 Speaker 2: basically serving money, which is just gross like whenever you 1202 00:56:15,600 --> 00:56:17,680 Speaker 2: see it. And yeah, I mean that's what they want 1203 00:56:17,760 --> 00:56:20,080 Speaker 2: New York, I guess to become. It probably is the 1204 00:56:20,200 --> 00:56:23,799 Speaker 2: endgame for most of these cities, but it will lead 1205 00:56:23,880 --> 00:56:26,560 Speaker 2: to a further coming apart phenomenon that you're pointing to. Yeah, 1206 00:56:26,640 --> 00:56:27,399 Speaker 2: that's not a good thing. 1207 00:56:27,600 --> 00:56:29,560 Speaker 1: No, it's not a good thing. So it's a real 1208 00:56:29,600 --> 00:56:31,480 Speaker 1: mix bag. I mean, I really cheer for workers to 1209 00:56:31,480 --> 00:56:33,920 Speaker 1: have a lot more flexibility. And the other part of 1210 00:56:33,920 --> 00:56:37,920 Speaker 1: this is certain jobs that are white collar jobs but 1211 00:56:38,040 --> 00:56:42,000 Speaker 1: are more mid tier level, they can be relocated to 1212 00:56:42,520 --> 00:56:45,000 Speaker 1: you know, a whole variety of other cities. People can 1213 00:56:45,040 --> 00:56:48,239 Speaker 1: live wherever and do those jobs. People who are you know, 1214 00:56:48,719 --> 00:56:51,520 Speaker 1: picking up your trash, who are serving you coffee, like 1215 00:56:51,600 --> 00:56:55,000 Speaker 1: those service sector jobs don't have that same luxury, and 1216 00:56:55,040 --> 00:56:57,160 Speaker 1: so that's how you'll end up with this. You know, 1217 00:56:57,239 --> 00:56:59,279 Speaker 1: cities that look like San Francisco, where it's the haves 1218 00:56:59,280 --> 00:57:01,240 Speaker 1: and the have nots, there's not a whole lot in between, 1219 00:57:01,280 --> 00:57:05,400 Speaker 1: and that's just not a healthy, healthy ecosystem for anybody whatsoever. 1220 00:57:06,600 --> 00:57:10,120 Speaker 1: We were pretty astonished to see some very critical commentary 1221 00:57:10,320 --> 00:57:13,800 Speaker 1: of President Joe Biden based on some new poll numbers 1222 00:57:13,840 --> 00:57:17,760 Speaker 1: over on CNN from Jake Tapper, who really did not 1223 00:57:17,880 --> 00:57:19,920 Speaker 1: pull any punches here. Take a listen to what he 1224 00:57:19,960 --> 00:57:22,600 Speaker 1: had to say about these new poll results, and we're back. 1225 00:57:22,440 --> 00:57:23,720 Speaker 3: With our twenty twenty four lead. 1226 00:57:23,960 --> 00:57:27,080 Speaker 11: Horrible news, horrible for Joe Biden and our new CNN Paul. 1227 00:57:27,120 --> 00:57:30,680 Speaker 11: While the president leads as Democratic competitors by a huge margin, 1228 00:57:31,080 --> 00:57:34,520 Speaker 11: two thirds of all of the American people surveyed, sixty 1229 00:57:34,560 --> 00:57:37,560 Speaker 11: six percent of the public say that a Biden victory 1230 00:57:38,120 --> 00:57:41,840 Speaker 11: would either be a setback or a disaster. I mean, 1231 00:57:41,880 --> 00:57:44,240 Speaker 11: when it comes to how voters see Joe Biden and 1232 00:57:44,520 --> 00:57:48,480 Speaker 11: another presidential term, I mean, those are some bad numbers. 1233 00:57:48,680 --> 00:57:53,160 Speaker 12: Well, I mean just your basic favorability, favorable opinion, or 1234 00:57:53,280 --> 00:57:57,240 Speaker 12: unfavorable Joe Biden. Look at how Americans are rating him, Jake, 1235 00:57:57,360 --> 00:58:00,800 Speaker 12: I mean, thirty five percent favorable. That is remarkably low. 1236 00:58:01,200 --> 00:58:04,480 Speaker 12: Fifty seven percent have an unfavorable rating. Well, look at 1237 00:58:04,480 --> 00:58:08,600 Speaker 12: this decline among independents from December thirty five percent favorable 1238 00:58:08,640 --> 00:58:11,240 Speaker 12: rating in December. He's now down a twenty six percent 1239 00:58:11,280 --> 00:58:15,000 Speaker 12: favorable with independence critical voters in the electorate. 1240 00:58:15,120 --> 00:58:16,320 Speaker 2: Jake. That's a big warning sign. 1241 00:58:17,200 --> 00:58:21,120 Speaker 11: And David, how do Biden's numbers here compare to those 1242 00:58:21,160 --> 00:58:22,920 Speaker 11: of the Republican front runner Donald Trump? 1243 00:58:23,040 --> 00:58:23,160 Speaker 1: Right? 1244 00:58:23,240 --> 00:58:25,640 Speaker 12: Well, you hear Joe Biden say all the time, compare 1245 00:58:25,720 --> 00:58:30,960 Speaker 12: him to the alternative, not the Almighty, And basically they're 1246 00:58:31,000 --> 00:58:32,600 Speaker 12: both not looking good, Jake. 1247 00:58:32,760 --> 00:58:37,960 Speaker 1: They're both basically equivalent there Trump and Biden's feasibilities. And 1248 00:58:38,280 --> 00:58:40,120 Speaker 1: I think this is a hard thing for Democrats to 1249 00:58:40,120 --> 00:58:43,880 Speaker 1: reckon with because we understand the very negative emotions that 1250 00:58:43,960 --> 00:58:46,560 Speaker 1: a lot of people have about a majority of people 1251 00:58:46,640 --> 00:58:48,400 Speaker 1: have about Donald Trump and feel it would be a 1252 00:58:48,440 --> 00:58:50,440 Speaker 1: disaster for him to be back in the White House. 1253 00:58:50,800 --> 00:58:53,000 Speaker 1: How do you grapple with it that people feel a 1254 00:58:53,040 --> 00:58:54,680 Speaker 1: lot of the same ways and a lot of the 1255 00:58:54,680 --> 00:58:58,320 Speaker 1: same numbers about Joe Biden. So to hear this laid 1256 00:58:58,320 --> 00:59:01,200 Speaker 1: down so starkly on CNN was really something. I mean, 1257 00:59:01,240 --> 00:59:03,720 Speaker 1: just to go over some of those numbers again, forty 1258 00:59:03,760 --> 00:59:05,200 Speaker 1: one percent of Americans. 1259 00:59:04,760 --> 00:59:07,120 Speaker 3: Believe it would be a disaster if Biden. 1260 00:59:06,880 --> 00:59:09,400 Speaker 1: Won in twenty twenty four. Twenty six percent said it 1261 00:59:09,400 --> 00:59:12,439 Speaker 1: would be a setback. Meanwhile, very similar numbers for Trump 1262 00:59:12,520 --> 00:59:14,920 Speaker 1: a little bit more forty four percent say a victory 1263 00:59:14,920 --> 00:59:18,240 Speaker 1: for Trump would be a disaster, twelve percent, so lower 1264 00:59:18,320 --> 00:59:20,800 Speaker 1: numbers say it would be set back, showing the sort 1265 00:59:20,840 --> 00:59:23,200 Speaker 1: of like you know, with Biden, people feel a little 1266 00:59:23,240 --> 00:59:26,600 Speaker 1: less strongly about them in either direction. But the fact 1267 00:59:26,640 --> 00:59:29,760 Speaker 1: that we have these two guys that overwhelming majority of 1268 00:59:29,760 --> 00:59:33,040 Speaker 1: Americans do not want that a plurality say this would 1269 00:59:33,080 --> 00:59:35,960 Speaker 1: be a disaster if they got back in there, And 1270 00:59:36,000 --> 00:59:39,120 Speaker 1: this is what we're likely to face in twenty twenty four. Yeah, 1271 00:59:39,160 --> 00:59:41,160 Speaker 1: we talked about like the decline of culture, and our 1272 00:59:41,240 --> 00:59:45,240 Speaker 1: chat GPT segment is this is as stark a sign 1273 00:59:45,520 --> 00:59:46,640 Speaker 1: of the. 1274 00:59:46,400 --> 00:59:48,760 Speaker 3: Decline of this country as I can imagine. 1275 00:59:48,760 --> 00:59:50,880 Speaker 2: Oh absolutely, And it's reflecting the poll. Put that up 1276 00:59:50,880 --> 00:59:52,360 Speaker 2: there on the screen where you can see. In the 1277 00:59:52,360 --> 00:59:55,000 Speaker 2: Democratic primary, Biden has only got sixty percent of the 1278 00:59:55,040 --> 00:59:58,160 Speaker 2: people who are affirmatively voting for him. RFK Junior is 1279 00:59:58,200 --> 01:00:01,160 Speaker 2: a twenty percent. Maryan Williamson's at eight percent, someone else 1280 01:00:01,280 --> 01:00:04,440 Speaker 2: also at eight percent. I mean, look, that's powerful stuff. 1281 01:00:04,480 --> 01:00:07,720 Speaker 2: And actually that puts Biden right around where Jimmy Carter 1282 01:00:07,840 --> 01:00:10,200 Speaker 2: ended up in nineteen eighty. Now I think he's probably 1283 01:00:10,240 --> 01:00:13,560 Speaker 2: better off because Trump also has such high negative ratings. 1284 01:00:13,600 --> 01:00:16,080 Speaker 2: But it really reveals to you, like in an alternative 1285 01:00:16,120 --> 01:00:19,040 Speaker 2: universe where the GOP is not twisted itself into notts. 1286 01:00:19,080 --> 01:00:21,880 Speaker 2: I mean, it's easiest lay up election really of all time. 1287 01:00:22,000 --> 01:00:24,640 Speaker 2: Like if they were able to pull themselves out of it, 1288 01:00:24,760 --> 01:00:27,280 Speaker 2: they could have, and if they had some Reaganesque type 1289 01:00:27,280 --> 01:00:30,520 Speaker 2: figure gal I mean, I honestly think like Glenn youngin 1290 01:00:30,640 --> 01:00:33,240 Speaker 2: somebody like very milk toast or anything, and get like 1291 01:00:33,320 --> 01:00:35,880 Speaker 2: fifty four or fifty five percent of the vote easily 1292 01:00:35,960 --> 01:00:38,720 Speaker 2: by just being like I'm not crazy and I don't 1293 01:00:38,760 --> 01:00:41,520 Speaker 2: like that guy, and neither do you. Everyone be like, okay, sure, 1294 01:00:41,600 --> 01:00:44,400 Speaker 2: I absolutely And that's one of those where the GOP, though, 1295 01:00:44,440 --> 01:00:46,480 Speaker 2: always finds a way to shoot himself, as in the 1296 01:00:46,520 --> 01:00:49,320 Speaker 2: foot Obama. You know, he wasn't as weak as Biden, 1297 01:00:49,400 --> 01:00:51,560 Speaker 2: but he was pretty weak. I think going into twenty twelve, 1298 01:00:51,600 --> 01:00:54,360 Speaker 2: I wish they acknowledged they were actually somewhat afraid and 1299 01:00:54,480 --> 01:00:56,640 Speaker 2: Romney got acted, They're like, oh we got this. Yeah. 1300 01:00:56,760 --> 01:00:57,480 Speaker 2: They very is easy. 1301 01:00:57,800 --> 01:00:59,960 Speaker 1: To their credit, though they also ran a very effect 1302 01:01:00,480 --> 01:01:04,360 Speaker 1: absolutely brutal. Romney brutally like you know, set the stage 1303 01:01:04,400 --> 01:01:06,360 Speaker 1: early for the caricature. 1304 01:01:05,840 --> 01:01:07,200 Speaker 3: Of him that they wanted to prosecute. 1305 01:01:07,240 --> 01:01:09,240 Speaker 1: He stepped in it with his like infamous forty seven 1306 01:01:09,280 --> 01:01:13,800 Speaker 1: percent comments. But you know, I just think also one 1307 01:01:13,800 --> 01:01:16,040 Speaker 1: thing I have to quibble with in terms of the 1308 01:01:16,120 --> 01:01:18,240 Speaker 1: Jake Taper commentaries, he goes out of his way to 1309 01:01:18,280 --> 01:01:20,280 Speaker 1: be like, oh, he's very, very far ahead of his 1310 01:01:20,520 --> 01:01:23,760 Speaker 1: primary opponents, and it's like yes and no. I mean, 1311 01:01:24,040 --> 01:01:27,160 Speaker 1: you're the sitting incumbent president and you're only getting sixty 1312 01:01:27,200 --> 01:01:27,720 Speaker 1: percent of the. 1313 01:01:27,760 --> 01:01:31,160 Speaker 3: Vote, and those members are not all that different. 1314 01:01:30,800 --> 01:01:34,280 Speaker 1: From what Trump is garnering in the Republican primary, and 1315 01:01:34,320 --> 01:01:36,000 Speaker 1: you wouldn't go out of your way to be like, 1316 01:01:36,040 --> 01:01:38,760 Speaker 1: he's very far ahead and he doesn't have any you know, 1317 01:01:38,880 --> 01:01:42,919 Speaker 1: any challenge whatsoever in the GOP primary. So and this 1318 01:01:43,000 --> 01:01:46,240 Speaker 1: is with you know, the media completely shutting out both 1319 01:01:46,400 --> 01:01:49,919 Speaker 1: RFK and Marian and doing everything they can to try 1320 01:01:49,920 --> 01:01:53,160 Speaker 1: to convince the public, like always got no serious primary conteeries. 1321 01:01:53,200 --> 01:01:55,960 Speaker 1: Practically the nominee already like it's just you know, a 1322 01:01:55,960 --> 01:01:57,920 Speaker 1: matter of time and he's going to be anointed, and 1323 01:01:58,240 --> 01:02:01,040 Speaker 1: no one real has stepped up against him him. Clearly 1324 01:02:01,120 --> 01:02:03,760 Speaker 1: there is a real hunger for there to be some 1325 01:02:03,960 --> 01:02:07,280 Speaker 1: alternative to him. And maybe the most stark numbers that 1326 01:02:07,320 --> 01:02:10,320 Speaker 1: I've seen recently is that you have an actual majority, 1327 01:02:10,880 --> 01:02:14,160 Speaker 1: it's fifty to fifty that think that Biden will even 1328 01:02:14,200 --> 01:02:17,360 Speaker 1: be the Democratic nominee, which shows you the lack of 1329 01:02:17,440 --> 01:02:21,520 Speaker 1: confidence that even Democratic voters and certainly the electric overall 1330 01:02:22,080 --> 01:02:25,920 Speaker 1: has in the current precedent. So you know, it's a 1331 01:02:25,960 --> 01:02:28,680 Speaker 1: grim landscape. Neither of these dues, as we've talked about, 1332 01:02:28,680 --> 01:02:31,480 Speaker 1: to have any intention of debating, Like, you know, the 1333 01:02:31,520 --> 01:02:33,920 Speaker 1: political calculus for them is that they're not going to 1334 01:02:33,920 --> 01:02:37,120 Speaker 1: pay a price if they don't actually engage in democratic process. 1335 01:02:37,440 --> 01:02:39,680 Speaker 1: And it's just very sad. So it was kind of 1336 01:02:39,760 --> 01:02:41,720 Speaker 1: nice to see a little bit of a little bit 1337 01:02:41,720 --> 01:02:43,840 Speaker 1: of unvarnished truth there slipped through on CNN. 1338 01:02:43,920 --> 01:02:46,240 Speaker 2: Every once in a while, the trip the truth. 1339 01:02:46,000 --> 01:02:51,840 Speaker 3: Actually breaks in, all right, sy weally looking at it, well. 1340 01:02:51,760 --> 01:02:54,040 Speaker 2: It seems every month these days is dedicated to some 1341 01:02:54,120 --> 01:02:56,800 Speaker 2: so called marginalized community. I have no idea where it 1342 01:02:56,800 --> 01:02:58,400 Speaker 2: all came from, because when I was a kid, it 1343 01:02:58,440 --> 01:03:00,720 Speaker 2: was just Black History Month, and that seems fine. But 1344 01:03:00,760 --> 01:03:02,600 Speaker 2: as May comes to an end, we are suddenly seeing 1345 01:03:02,720 --> 01:03:07,000 Speaker 2: the last chance and goodbyes to AAPI month. API Month 1346 01:03:07,040 --> 01:03:11,600 Speaker 2: for the uninitiated is Asian American and Pacific Island Heritage Month. Now, 1347 01:03:11,680 --> 01:03:13,840 Speaker 2: as someone who is technically within that group, the term 1348 01:03:13,880 --> 01:03:16,400 Speaker 2: has always bothered me. What do I have in common 1349 01:03:16,400 --> 01:03:18,400 Speaker 2: with someone who was South Korean, And what do they 1350 01:03:18,440 --> 01:03:20,880 Speaker 2: have in common with somebody of Cambodian descent, and what 1351 01:03:20,920 --> 01:03:24,400 Speaker 2: do they have in common with literal Polynesians. It collapses 1352 01:03:24,440 --> 01:03:28,160 Speaker 2: on a rudimentary analysis. Yet almost everywhere you look these days, 1353 01:03:28,160 --> 01:03:31,040 Speaker 2: if someone was to classify me in some corporate America structure, 1354 01:03:31,160 --> 01:03:33,600 Speaker 2: it's where I would fall. I always was just annoyed 1355 01:03:33,600 --> 01:03:36,600 Speaker 2: by it by it, but didn't actually think much until 1356 01:03:36,600 --> 01:03:39,440 Speaker 2: my friend Richard Hanania put out a very informative thread 1357 01:03:39,680 --> 01:03:42,960 Speaker 2: that tells us a lot about modern racial politics. Per 1358 01:03:43,200 --> 01:03:46,600 Speaker 2: Richard's telling, the origin of the term Asian American Pacific 1359 01:03:46,600 --> 01:03:49,800 Speaker 2: Islander actually has its roots in the US government. After 1360 01:03:49,840 --> 01:03:52,400 Speaker 2: the Office of Management and Budget put out Directory of 1361 01:03:52,520 --> 01:03:56,040 Speaker 2: Number fifteen in May nineteen seventy seven and created modern 1362 01:03:56,120 --> 01:04:00,360 Speaker 2: racial and ethnic categories for census purposes. These include American, 1363 01:04:00,440 --> 01:04:04,840 Speaker 2: Indian or Alaskan, Native, Asian or Pacific Islander, Black, Hispanic, 1364 01:04:04,920 --> 01:04:08,480 Speaker 2: and white. Now, leaving aside how nebulous Hispanic also is 1365 01:04:08,560 --> 01:04:11,400 Speaker 2: as a term, consider that the only reason they did 1366 01:04:11,440 --> 01:04:13,440 Speaker 2: five is because that was the minimum and they didn't 1367 01:04:13,440 --> 01:04:15,880 Speaker 2: want to do more. From there, things actually got even 1368 01:04:15,920 --> 01:04:19,000 Speaker 2: more interesting, per his telling, after the creation of the 1369 01:04:19,040 --> 01:04:22,080 Speaker 2: Asian American term, it came time to include Asians in 1370 01:04:22,160 --> 01:04:24,840 Speaker 2: the Small Business Act so that they could give grants 1371 01:04:24,880 --> 01:04:27,880 Speaker 2: to minority contractors. Since we had a new minority, they 1372 01:04:27,880 --> 01:04:30,960 Speaker 2: had to be included because the previous law only covered Blacks, 1373 01:04:31,000 --> 01:04:34,080 Speaker 2: Hispanics and Native Americans. Here, Congress took a stab at 1374 01:04:34,080 --> 01:04:42,520 Speaker 2: deciding which Asians count as disadvantage. They landed on Cambodians, Chinese, Guam, Japan, Korea, Laos, 1375 01:04:42,680 --> 01:04:47,280 Speaker 2: the Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines, Samoa, Taiwan, and Vietnam. That 1376 01:04:47,360 --> 01:04:49,520 Speaker 2: was it for Then there's a lot going on, so 1377 01:04:49,680 --> 01:04:51,600 Speaker 2: not much in common with each other, of course, and 1378 01:04:51,640 --> 01:04:54,600 Speaker 2: already stupid, but actually gets much stupid stupider. From that 1379 01:04:54,720 --> 01:04:58,439 Speaker 2: point forward, other Asian races so called I guess got 1380 01:04:58,520 --> 01:05:01,640 Speaker 2: upset because they were not included, so they slowly included 1381 01:05:01,720 --> 01:05:06,280 Speaker 2: the places like of India, Tonga, Sri Lanka, Indonesia, Nepal, Bhutan, 1382 01:05:06,640 --> 01:05:09,640 Speaker 2: and at that point basically anyone even peripherially connected to 1383 01:05:09,680 --> 01:05:12,720 Speaker 2: the Asian land mass or the Pacific Ocean scrambled to 1384 01:05:12,800 --> 01:05:15,440 Speaker 2: get in because if they didn't, they couldn't take advantage 1385 01:05:15,480 --> 01:05:17,880 Speaker 2: of the tax benefits. Here, though, is where things get 1386 01:05:17,920 --> 01:05:21,160 Speaker 2: even funnier. By the nineteen nineties, Pacific Islanders inclusion with 1387 01:05:21,240 --> 01:05:25,840 Speaker 2: the AAPIs began to cause problems because for the Pacific Islanders, 1388 01:05:26,080 --> 01:05:29,520 Speaker 2: with the rise of affirmative action, racial regimes and college admissions, 1389 01:05:29,640 --> 01:05:33,040 Speaker 2: they were competing against Asians when getting into college. This 1390 01:05:33,120 --> 01:05:36,600 Speaker 2: presented a problem. The federal government then created a new 1391 01:05:36,640 --> 01:05:40,360 Speaker 2: category called Native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders just to make 1392 01:05:40,400 --> 01:05:42,880 Speaker 2: sure that they could get into college easier. So, as 1393 01:05:42,960 --> 01:05:46,480 Speaker 2: Richard so absolutely puts it, quote in contracting, AAPI are 1394 01:05:46,560 --> 01:05:48,960 Speaker 2: united in being disadvantaged and in getting benefits from the 1395 01:05:48,960 --> 01:05:51,600 Speaker 2: government in college admissions, they are separated so that the 1396 01:05:51,640 --> 01:05:54,040 Speaker 2: few pis in the country don't have to compete with 1397 01:05:54,120 --> 01:05:57,640 Speaker 2: Korean and Chinese students. It's just all so absurd and 1398 01:05:57,720 --> 01:06:00,760 Speaker 2: too much to make up. But it has real as 1399 01:06:00,800 --> 01:06:02,320 Speaker 2: you can see from the chart that he put together. 1400 01:06:02,480 --> 01:06:04,959 Speaker 2: The term did not exist in the United States until 1401 01:06:05,000 --> 01:06:07,760 Speaker 2: the government created it out of sheer laziness and nepotism. 1402 01:06:08,040 --> 01:06:11,720 Speaker 2: Now it is some full blown fake cultural phenomenon. Reading 1403 01:06:11,720 --> 01:06:15,520 Speaker 2: Biding's executive order declaring AAPI month, you can't help but laugh, 1404 01:06:15,560 --> 01:06:17,640 Speaker 2: he says. Quote. This year, I was proud to launch 1405 01:06:17,680 --> 01:06:21,480 Speaker 2: the first ever national strategy to advance equity, justice, and 1406 01:06:21,560 --> 01:06:25,840 Speaker 2: opportunity for Asian American, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander communities. 1407 01:06:26,040 --> 01:06:29,760 Speaker 2: The new national strategy, ironically, is actually supposed to promote diversity, 1408 01:06:29,760 --> 01:06:33,680 Speaker 2: equity inclusion by actually collecting accurate census data on each 1409 01:06:33,720 --> 01:06:37,120 Speaker 2: individual subgroup. In other words, by getting more accurate data, 1410 01:06:37,160 --> 01:06:39,640 Speaker 2: they are admitting that the entire thing is not representative 1411 01:06:39,720 --> 01:06:42,480 Speaker 2: of any group of people and that the current data 1412 01:06:42,480 --> 01:06:46,240 Speaker 2: and term is useless. AAPI, to me, best signifies the 1413 01:06:46,240 --> 01:06:49,280 Speaker 2: diversity Olympics that people who aren't white in America are 1414 01:06:49,320 --> 01:06:52,280 Speaker 2: subject subject it to despite none of us ever asking 1415 01:06:52,320 --> 01:06:55,240 Speaker 2: for it. My own personal annoyance outside of being lumped 1416 01:06:55,240 --> 01:06:57,720 Speaker 2: in with Asian American is when people call us South 1417 01:06:57,760 --> 01:07:01,200 Speaker 2: Asians as if Indians, Pakistanis, and Bangladeshi's all have so 1418 01:07:01,320 --> 01:07:03,880 Speaker 2: much in common with each other. If they did, then 1419 01:07:03,880 --> 01:07:06,280 Speaker 2: they would be their own country. Why not just refer 1420 01:07:06,320 --> 01:07:09,280 Speaker 2: to people as Americans first, then if you reference prior 1421 01:07:09,320 --> 01:07:12,200 Speaker 2: toscent you can use nationality if that's what that person prefers. 1422 01:07:12,480 --> 01:07:16,080 Speaker 2: Consider the absurdity that Koreans, Japanese and Chinese are all 1423 01:07:16,080 --> 01:07:19,000 Speaker 2: supposed to be lumped together. It's almost as if bureaucrats 1424 01:07:19,000 --> 01:07:20,800 Speaker 2: who came up with the term, or the people who 1425 01:07:20,840 --> 01:07:23,520 Speaker 2: think about lumping them together as respectful don't know that 1426 01:07:23,560 --> 01:07:28,240 Speaker 2: in actual Asia, these countries individually have very complex relationships, 1427 01:07:28,400 --> 01:07:31,600 Speaker 2: in some cases despise each other or have centuries of 1428 01:07:31,680 --> 01:07:34,960 Speaker 2: intra warfare and conquests. By the way, as our previous 1429 01:07:35,000 --> 01:07:38,960 Speaker 2: discussion on Hispanics revealed, that term too collapses under the 1430 01:07:38,960 --> 01:07:42,840 Speaker 2: most basic of scrutiny alongside Latino. And finally, let me 1431 01:07:43,080 --> 01:07:46,280 Speaker 2: take this opportunity to speak to my fellow AAPIs the 1432 01:07:46,360 --> 01:07:50,200 Speaker 2: biggest conival by the diversity equity inclusion folks is to 1433 01:07:50,240 --> 01:07:52,640 Speaker 2: try to get us to go along with their nonsense 1434 01:07:52,840 --> 01:07:58,320 Speaker 2: while they simultaneously have architected an entire affirmative action regime 1435 01:07:58,680 --> 01:08:02,320 Speaker 2: designed to preference their admission to the cultural and financial 1436 01:08:02,320 --> 01:08:05,640 Speaker 2: elite at our expense. When they are forced to compete 1437 01:08:05,680 --> 01:08:09,360 Speaker 2: on merit, they fail miserably, so they are literally fighting 1438 01:08:09,360 --> 01:08:11,720 Speaker 2: tooth and nail to make sure it is harder for 1439 01:08:11,920 --> 01:08:14,560 Speaker 2: us to get in and easier for them. They are 1440 01:08:14,600 --> 01:08:17,800 Speaker 2: also targeting the professions that Asians in America have traditionally 1441 01:08:17,840 --> 01:08:21,040 Speaker 2: excelled at, like doctors and lawyers, to reduce merit based 1442 01:08:21,080 --> 01:08:24,760 Speaker 2: criteria and allow other groups an easier shot. Asians are 1443 01:08:24,880 --> 01:08:27,600 Speaker 2: minorities when they are convenient, and oppressors when they are not. 1444 01:08:27,960 --> 01:08:30,679 Speaker 2: An easier way is to just simply consider people as 1445 01:08:30,760 --> 01:08:34,080 Speaker 2: individuals with their own story. After all, the reason that 1446 01:08:34,120 --> 01:08:37,680 Speaker 2: most Asians came to the United States was opportunity and 1447 01:08:37,720 --> 01:08:41,280 Speaker 2: to be freed of the suffocating social constructions of traditional 1448 01:08:41,320 --> 01:08:45,000 Speaker 2: Asian cultures in America. You can be anything. We should 1449 01:08:45,080 --> 01:08:47,160 Speaker 2: keep it that way. Now. I hope you all have 1450 01:08:47,200 --> 01:08:50,599 Speaker 2: a good AAPI month. It's crazy that it was created. 1451 01:08:50,640 --> 01:08:53,480 Speaker 1: And if you want to hear my reaction to Sager's monologue, 1452 01:08:53,520 --> 01:09:03,639 Speaker 1: become a premium subscriber today. At breakingpoints, Dot com. 1453 01:09:00,160 --> 01:09:01,439 Speaker 3: You take a look at Well, guys. 1454 01:09:01,479 --> 01:09:04,280 Speaker 1: As you all certainly know, Ron DeSantis struggled last week 1455 01:09:04,280 --> 01:09:08,080 Speaker 1: to launch his presidential campaign alongside billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk 1456 01:09:08,160 --> 01:09:11,000 Speaker 1: on Musk's personal social media platform that would be Twitter. 1457 01:09:11,439 --> 01:09:14,040 Speaker 1: Didn't go all that well. The attempted launch was beset 1458 01:09:14,080 --> 01:09:17,280 Speaker 1: by some catastrophic technical failures that has lasted nearly half 1459 01:09:17,320 --> 01:09:20,479 Speaker 1: an hour. Once functioning, half the audience was gone, the 1460 01:09:20,520 --> 01:09:23,799 Speaker 1: audio was still horrendous, the content so stilted and fawning 1461 01:09:23,840 --> 01:09:26,320 Speaker 1: that Megan Kelly, who agrees with DeSantis on a lot 1462 01:09:26,360 --> 01:09:30,680 Speaker 1: of his cultural takes, declared it provda esque in its obsequiousness. 1463 01:09:30,960 --> 01:09:34,200 Speaker 1: Of course, this all made for unintentionally amazing schadenfreud to content, 1464 01:09:34,479 --> 01:09:39,040 Speaker 1: but the deeper applications of the incestuous relationships between politicians 1465 01:09:39,080 --> 01:09:43,200 Speaker 1: and their chosen billionaires those are anything but amusing. Literally, 1466 01:09:43,320 --> 01:09:47,400 Speaker 1: the day after DeSantis launched with Elon Musk, he signed 1467 01:09:47,400 --> 01:09:51,400 Speaker 1: into law a gigantic giveaway to one of Musk's companies 1468 01:09:51,439 --> 01:09:54,920 Speaker 1: that would be SpaceX. This new bill that DeSantis just 1469 01:09:54,960 --> 01:09:59,400 Speaker 1: signed in law protects SpaceX and other commercial space flight companies. 1470 01:09:59,200 --> 01:10:01,360 Speaker 3: From any leadlegal liability if a. 1471 01:10:01,320 --> 01:10:03,560 Speaker 1: Crew member or passenger is injured or killed due to 1472 01:10:03,600 --> 01:10:08,760 Speaker 1: the company's negligence, except in certain extreme circumstances, so participants 1473 01:10:08,840 --> 01:10:12,599 Speaker 1: now mussign a waiver which reads quote warning. Under Florida law, 1474 01:10:12,640 --> 01:10:15,400 Speaker 1: there is no liability for an injury to or death 1475 01:10:15,439 --> 01:10:18,160 Speaker 1: of a participant or crew in a spaceflight activity provided 1476 01:10:18,200 --> 01:10:21,599 Speaker 1: by a spaceflight entity if such injury or death results 1477 01:10:21,640 --> 01:10:26,000 Speaker 1: from the spaceflight activity. Injuries caused by spaceflight activities may include, 1478 01:10:26,040 --> 01:10:31,800 Speaker 1: among others, injury to land equipment, persons, and animals, as 1479 01:10:31,800 --> 01:10:33,320 Speaker 1: well as the potential for you to act in a 1480 01:10:33,360 --> 01:10:36,000 Speaker 1: negligent manner that may contribute to your injury or death. 1481 01:10:36,040 --> 01:10:39,400 Speaker 1: You are assuming the risk of participating in the spaceflight activity. 1482 01:10:39,720 --> 01:10:42,880 Speaker 1: As long as a waiver assigned SpaceX and all the 1483 01:10:42,920 --> 01:10:46,599 Speaker 1: other spaceflight companies, they're in the clear. Such protection from 1484 01:10:46,680 --> 01:10:50,360 Speaker 1: lawsuits is even more relevant for must Space Exploration right now, 1485 01:10:50,479 --> 01:10:53,880 Speaker 1: given the company's most recent disaster. So about a month ago, 1486 01:10:53,960 --> 01:10:56,960 Speaker 1: the company launched the largest rocket ever built, got off 1487 01:10:56,960 --> 01:11:00,400 Speaker 1: the ground, but not before exploding the launch pad, curling 1488 01:11:00,479 --> 01:11:02,920 Speaker 1: giant hunks of concrete with rebarred to the ocean and 1489 01:11:03,000 --> 01:11:06,719 Speaker 1: dangering offshore fuel storage tanks, and after mere minutes of flight, 1490 01:11:07,080 --> 01:11:11,080 Speaker 1: the whole thing blew up mid air. Unfortunately, no people aboard, 1491 01:11:11,160 --> 01:11:14,040 Speaker 1: but plenty of people on the ground did suffer. The 1492 01:11:14,120 --> 01:11:17,840 Speaker 1: launch and the subsequent explosions caused particulate matter, including sand, 1493 01:11:17,880 --> 01:11:20,360 Speaker 1: ash and heavier materials that were kicked up by the 1494 01:11:20,400 --> 01:11:21,200 Speaker 1: launch to. 1495 01:11:21,320 --> 01:11:23,599 Speaker 3: Rain down on a large area. 1496 01:11:24,000 --> 01:11:26,439 Speaker 1: Residents as far away as Port Isabel, that's a community 1497 01:11:26,479 --> 01:11:29,880 Speaker 1: about six miles away, were inundated. 1498 01:11:29,320 --> 01:11:30,519 Speaker 3: With this type of material. 1499 01:11:31,000 --> 01:11:33,960 Speaker 1: Researchers are worried that breathing the stuff in could cause 1500 01:11:34,040 --> 01:11:37,439 Speaker 1: long term respiratory issues. They're still researching that. And as 1501 01:11:37,479 --> 01:11:40,439 Speaker 1: if that wasn't enough, the launch pad explosion also start 1502 01:11:40,520 --> 01:11:43,040 Speaker 1: a wildfire that spread across three and a half acres 1503 01:11:43,080 --> 01:11:46,040 Speaker 1: of state park land. Now, according to environmental and cultural 1504 01:11:46,040 --> 01:11:48,920 Speaker 1: heritage nonprofits, which are now suing the government over all 1505 01:11:48,960 --> 01:11:52,439 Speaker 1: of this, all of these impacts were predictable and should 1506 01:11:52,479 --> 01:11:55,920 Speaker 1: have been revealed by an environmental impact assessment. They say 1507 01:11:55,960 --> 01:11:59,639 Speaker 1: the FAA violated the National Environment Policy Act by green 1508 01:11:59,680 --> 01:12:02,799 Speaker 1: lighting the launch of the heaviest rocket in history without 1509 01:12:02,920 --> 01:12:07,880 Speaker 1: engaging in this legally mandated thorough review. SpaceX, it turns out, 1510 01:12:07,920 --> 01:12:11,320 Speaker 1: successfully persuaded the FAA to use a less stringent process, 1511 01:12:11,479 --> 01:12:14,240 Speaker 1: which allowed them to piggyback off of approvals for their 1512 01:12:14,280 --> 01:12:17,760 Speaker 1: much smaller Falcon nine rockets. That's according to substacker Esghound, 1513 01:12:18,280 --> 01:12:22,080 Speaker 1: this process led SpaceX and the government to wildly underestimate 1514 01:12:22,120 --> 01:12:25,040 Speaker 1: the impact and potential destruction of this launch on nearly 1515 01:12:25,160 --> 01:12:29,160 Speaker 1: every level. Such of the swantastic results when government and 1516 01:12:29,280 --> 01:12:32,800 Speaker 1: industry are way too cozy, a disgusting American tradition, which 1517 01:12:32,800 --> 01:12:37,400 Speaker 1: apparently Governor DeSantis happily continues in Florida today. So Ron DeSantis, 1518 01:12:37,400 --> 01:12:39,120 Speaker 1: of course, he stakes a good bit of his political 1519 01:12:39,120 --> 01:12:42,200 Speaker 1: career on a fight with corporate giant Disney. He frames 1520 01:12:42,200 --> 01:12:44,840 Speaker 1: this battle in almost leftist terms as a noble stand 1521 01:12:44,840 --> 01:12:47,000 Speaker 1: against corporate power, and on that level, he actually has 1522 01:12:47,040 --> 01:12:49,960 Speaker 1: a point. Disney has for decades in Florida, received huge 1523 01:12:50,000 --> 01:12:52,400 Speaker 1: tax breaks been able to run its own government. But 1524 01:12:52,479 --> 01:12:55,320 Speaker 1: the launch with Musk and goodies to Musk revealed that 1525 01:12:55,360 --> 01:12:58,439 Speaker 1: DeSantis clearly doesn't have a problem with unaccountable corporate power 1526 01:12:58,720 --> 01:13:01,439 Speaker 1: so long as it's his ben factors and partisan allies 1527 01:13:01,479 --> 01:13:04,880 Speaker 1: who ultimately benefit. Now, DeSantis taking on Disney has nothing 1528 01:13:04,920 --> 01:13:07,919 Speaker 1: to do with principle and everything to do with political ambition. 1529 01:13:08,320 --> 01:13:11,040 Speaker 1: In fact, more than anything, the DeSantis Twitter campaign launch 1530 01:13:11,080 --> 01:13:13,680 Speaker 1: revealed just how little the governor actually cares about his 1531 01:13:13,720 --> 01:13:16,679 Speaker 1: supposed principles. He might stand up to Disney, but he's 1532 01:13:16,760 --> 01:13:19,960 Speaker 1: putty in Elon Musk's hands. He might decry social media 1533 01:13:20,040 --> 01:13:23,120 Speaker 1: censorship of conservatives on free speech grounds, but he will 1534 01:13:23,280 --> 01:13:26,080 Speaker 1: enthusiastically team up with a guy who just brazenly censored 1535 01:13:26,120 --> 01:13:28,719 Speaker 1: journalists in Turkey on behalf of a right wing government. 1536 01:13:29,080 --> 01:13:32,679 Speaker 1: DeSantis and other Republican partisans feigned deep concern about government 1537 01:13:32,680 --> 01:13:35,599 Speaker 1: power teamed up with social media oligarchs, but somehow see 1538 01:13:35,800 --> 01:13:38,839 Speaker 1: nothing wrong with the current governor and top presential contender 1539 01:13:38,880 --> 01:13:43,160 Speaker 1: receiving overt support from their own social media oligarch. They 1540 01:13:43,200 --> 01:13:46,160 Speaker 1: are rightly outraged by censorship of the Hunter Biden laptop 1541 01:13:46,200 --> 01:13:49,280 Speaker 1: story under Jack, but apparently have zero interest in how 1542 01:13:49,320 --> 01:13:52,599 Speaker 1: the platform could be manipulated under Elon to benefit his 1543 01:13:52,800 --> 01:13:56,320 Speaker 1: chosen favored candidate. It is telling that Desant has felt 1544 01:13:56,320 --> 01:14:00,360 Speaker 1: no shame signing Elon Musk giveaway bill one day after 1545 01:14:00,640 --> 01:14:03,519 Speaker 1: his Elon Musk sponsored launch. He doesn't expect the media 1546 01:14:03,560 --> 01:14:05,960 Speaker 1: to particularly notice, and he doesn't expect the Republican base 1547 01:14:06,040 --> 01:14:08,599 Speaker 1: to particularly care when all the world is a culture 1548 01:14:08,640 --> 01:14:12,200 Speaker 1: war principles really don't matter, only who is on what side. 1549 01:14:12,320 --> 01:14:15,599 Speaker 1: And with Desanta's gamely accepting utter humiliation on Twitter and 1550 01:14:15,640 --> 01:14:19,400 Speaker 1: promptly handing over a giant gift to SpaceX Elon, will 1551 01:14:19,439 --> 01:14:22,519 Speaker 1: have no doubt that DeSantis is firmly on his side, 1552 01:14:22,760 --> 01:14:23,880 Speaker 1: and that is he's having his. 1553 01:14:23,840 --> 01:14:24,599 Speaker 3: Way with Florida. 1554 01:14:24,680 --> 01:14:26,640 Speaker 1: He would have his way with the whole nation or 1555 01:14:26,640 --> 01:14:29,000 Speaker 1: DeSantis to ascend to the White House. 1556 01:14:29,200 --> 01:14:31,400 Speaker 3: And I think what really got me, Sager is the reason. 1557 01:14:31,600 --> 01:14:34,360 Speaker 2: And if you want to hear my reaction to Crystal's monologue, 1558 01:14:34,360 --> 01:14:40,559 Speaker 2: become a premium subscriber today at Breakingpoints dot com. Thank 1559 01:14:40,600 --> 01:14:42,519 Speaker 2: you guys so much for watching, and thank you to 1560 01:14:42,520 --> 01:14:45,439 Speaker 2: all the premium subscribers supporting us helping us build out. 1561 01:14:45,680 --> 01:14:47,599 Speaker 2: So it'll be sad to say goodbye to the desk, 1562 01:14:47,680 --> 01:14:49,880 Speaker 2: but we're ready to move on. I think I think 1563 01:14:49,880 --> 01:14:50,720 Speaker 2: we're ready to move on. 1564 01:14:51,040 --> 01:14:53,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, we see if we have an emotional reaction to 1565 01:14:53,360 --> 01:14:54,720 Speaker 1: the removal of the brick wall. 1566 01:14:54,840 --> 01:14:57,519 Speaker 2: New stuff is so cool, it makes it, it makes 1567 01:14:57,560 --> 01:14:58,960 Speaker 2: it easier. I think say goodbye. 1568 01:14:59,080 --> 01:14:59,439 Speaker 3: That's true. 1569 01:14:59,479 --> 01:15:00,840 Speaker 2: We've got a lot of great stuff in the work 1570 01:15:00,880 --> 01:15:03,280 Speaker 2: for everybody, and we will see you all tomorrow.