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Speaker 1: Hello friends, and welcome back to the College Football Early

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Speaker 1: Line Look Ahead Show. I am thorn Eystrom, joined by

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Speaker 1: Eric Froton. Chris Welsh is out today, So Froton and

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Speaker 1: I are students without a teacher. We're gonna be shooting

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Speaker 1: spitballs and hopefully giving you guys out some winners. Proton,

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Speaker 1: very very fun weekend of college football that we just

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Speaker 1: got out of.

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Speaker 2: What were your biggest takeaways?

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Speaker 3: Oh geez, biggest takeaways are USC Washington Where is the defense?

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Speaker 3: I mean, we always knew that the Grinch was busy.

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Speaker 3: You know, you should have been stealing Christmas as opposed

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Speaker 3: to calling defenses. But I mean Washington too. You know,

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Speaker 3: you can't say enough about how vulnerable I think this

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Speaker 3: team looks with them playing Utah, Oregon State and Wazoo

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Speaker 3: coming up. I mean, I think they're vulnerable and could

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Speaker 3: possibly dump one of those three games to ruin the

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Speaker 3: magical season for the Huskies.

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Speaker 1: Well, yeah, mister Grinch is gonna have plenty more time

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Speaker 1: for Christmas, isn't he. He's gonna have plenty of time

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Speaker 1: for Chris the SHOPI after he got fired here this

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Speaker 1: afternoon on Sunday, as we record very there tarmac treatment.

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Speaker 3: We finally gave him the kiff and tarmac treatment, you know,

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Speaker 3: they did completely justified finally did.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And we'll get more into the Alex Green firing

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Speaker 1: here as we go. But let's dive right into the

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Speaker 1: card here for next week, and like I said, hopefully

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Speaker 1: give out some winners, get some early bets that people

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Speaker 1: can get in on, get some line value and whatnot.

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Speaker 1: We'll start out with a weekday game here Virginia and

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Speaker 1: Louisville showing a live line here of Louisville minus eighteen

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Speaker 1: and a half. What are you seeing in the market

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Speaker 1: on this one for a time?

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Speaker 3: Well, first off, Thors, anybody from the region will tell

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Speaker 3: you it's loull Louisville, Louisville, It's lous.

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Speaker 2: I'm from up north. For a time, I got a

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Speaker 2: tough time.

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Speaker 3: With But with that line, gosh, we got an open

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Speaker 3: at seventeen and a half, with obviously Louisville as the

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Speaker 3: favorite since they are hosting and they, I mean, they

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Speaker 3: destroyed Virginia Tech this week, but it opened up the

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Speaker 3: total at forty six and a half with a notable

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Speaker 3: move to fifty one and a half in short order.

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Speaker 3: And I think A lot of that has to do

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Speaker 3: with you know, we expected Jawar Jordan, their all conference

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Speaker 3: caliber running back, to be injured. He played, James Thrash

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Speaker 3: was out, he didn't play, but it didn't even matter.

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Speaker 3: I mean, Virginia Tech could do nothing against that Louisville defense.

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Speaker 3: And if you look at you know they're playing Virginia Virginia.

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Speaker 3: You know they didn't look too good obviously this past week,

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Speaker 3: and they lost their quarterback, the unpredictable Tony Musket. You know,

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Speaker 3: you don't know what he's gonna be, but he's always interesting.

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Speaker 3: Incomes Anthony Coheed and Calandria. There's one. There's one for you,

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Speaker 3: Prague Rockers that's pretty good from the nineties and early,

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Speaker 3: thank you, thank you very much, and just simply did

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Speaker 3: not have the same efficacy. I think that you know

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Speaker 3: that accounts for the tick up in both the total

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Speaker 3: and for this line. I'm interested to hear what you

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Speaker 3: think about the eighteen and a half where it currently sits.

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Speaker 1: Well, First, would you mind telling the people that story

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Speaker 1: of Scott Bell in the fifty team league. As far

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Speaker 1: as starting Tony Musket, I feel like we need to

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Speaker 1: immortalize that story of starting Tony Musket in the fifty

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Speaker 1: team league.

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Speaker 3: Well, I actually I didn't get a chance to look

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Speaker 3: at it. He started Tony Musket this.

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Speaker 1: Yek, So okay, I'll tell the people. Scott Bell ends.

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Speaker 1: So Scott Bell works for the Dallas Morning News. We

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Speaker 1: had the fifty team first round of the playoffs this

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Speaker 1: past weekend. Scott Bell needed an emergency starting quarterback to start,

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Speaker 1: so he ends up signing Tony Musket, the Virginia starting quarterback,

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Speaker 1: on Friday off the waiver wire, to plug into his lineup.

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Speaker 1: He ends up losing his game by a fraction of

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Speaker 1: a point by like point zero point two.

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Speaker 2: Points or whatever.

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Speaker 1: Tony Musket gets knocked out of the game against Georgia

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Speaker 1: Tech on the first drive, but not before he turned

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Speaker 1: the ball over and had negative you know, a point

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Speaker 1: or whatever. If Bell had just started, nobody he would

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Speaker 1: have won his game because he started Musket or no,

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Speaker 1: he got sacked. I'm sorry, So, so it wasn't It

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Speaker 1: wasn't the turnover point. It was that he had negative

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Speaker 1: you know whatever, a negative eight yards rushing or rushing.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, So the fractional negative point of Musket got him

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Speaker 1: got Bell the loss.

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Speaker 2: Uh.

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Speaker 1: Sorry, mister, but I also lost in the first round

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Speaker 1: of the fifty team or playoffs, so we we both

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Speaker 1: got to score it out. But tough times and tough

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Speaker 1: times for Virginia as a whole on that one. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: Louisville playing playing good bae and that defense playing very well.

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Speaker 1: They didn't even need Plumber in that game, you know,

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Speaker 1: even the banged up guys like you were mentioned and

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Speaker 1: playing really well.

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Speaker 2: My line on that game you were alluding to it before.

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Speaker 1: Uh, And I'm not even I'm just gonna say the

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Speaker 1: Cardinals for Aton because I'm going to stay away from

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Speaker 1: the pronunciation. Uh is Cardinals minus twenty point seven at

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Speaker 1: home in that one. And for Aton as you know,

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Speaker 1: that stadium during those weak night games gets rocking.

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Speaker 3: Uh.

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Speaker 2: This Virginia team going.

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Speaker 1: There, especially if they have to start that true freshman quarterback,

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Speaker 1: I don't know about that one. I don't know about

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Speaker 1: that proposition. You got to go there, and like you're

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Speaker 1: mentioned in Cardinals defense playing very well. Now, I don't

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Speaker 1: know about that one. For me, that one would be

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Speaker 1: Cardinals or pass You can't.

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Speaker 3: I don't see how you take Virginia here on the

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Speaker 3: road freshman quarterback. He actually scored a touchdown on the

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Speaker 3: first drive you lit, and then proceeded to do I mean,

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Speaker 3: next to nothing for the rest of that game. Dangerous

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Speaker 3: spot here. I don't see how you can take to Virginia.

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Speaker 2: Dangerous spot.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and the Cardinals moving in on on what's looking

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Speaker 1: to be now special season mister Brohm and his homecoming.

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Speaker 2: Pretty pretty good.

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Speaker 1: Ye, next game here, we got a marquee one, Michigan

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Speaker 1: traveling to Penn State.

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Speaker 2: Can Penn State play spoilers?

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Speaker 1: I know there's a lot of coaches around the country

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Speaker 1: that would love Penn State to rise up here and

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Speaker 1: knock Michigan off.

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Speaker 2: Penn State at home, live in the.

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Speaker 1: Market here as we record early Sunday evening plus five

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Speaker 1: and a half at home.

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Speaker 2: What are you seeing with this one? For a time?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, this is another fairly heavy mover. This

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Speaker 3: opened at minus five, which is you know, excuse me,

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Speaker 3: it opened at seven on FanDuel opened at five on Circa.

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Speaker 3: We're currently sitting at five and a half. But in

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Speaker 3: addition to that, so you have variants just between the books,

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Speaker 3: but in addition open up at forty eight and a

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Speaker 3: half on Circa for a total that's down to forty

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Speaker 3: four and a half on FanDuel. That's kind of more

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Speaker 3: indicative of what you're seeing in the non Vegas market.

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Speaker 3: That's a four point differential in terms of that, and

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Speaker 3: it just goes to show where I don't think the

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Speaker 3: market believes that Penn State can score on this Michigan defense.

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Speaker 3: I think they're looking at what they did against Ohio

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Speaker 3: State only put up twelve points against you know, the Buckeyes,

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Speaker 3: and that was another low scoring affair. I think that's

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Speaker 3: kind of what the reaction is that we're looking at

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Speaker 3: from just the open to where we sit now at

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Speaker 3: three cord time.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure, my line on this game is Michigan

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Speaker 1: is three point six. But yeah, that's that's the big

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Speaker 1: question for a time you hit on it Ken Penn

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Speaker 1: State's offense, score whatsoever on Michigan's defense. And then of

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Speaker 1: course the question on the other side, is Michigan playing

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Speaker 1: a real opponent this time? What is going to happen?

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Speaker 1: And I know some other people are like, well, thors

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Speaker 1: say the other question, which is Michigan playing a real

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Speaker 1: opponent without getting their signs in advance. So I'm we'll

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Speaker 1: have to see right, and Michigan I'm sorry Penn State.

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Speaker 1: I will give them credit. Last week playing Maryland, you know,

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Speaker 1: you're like, Penn State have played, they'd had a couple

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Speaker 1: of dud performances in a row, and then they're going

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Speaker 1: on the road to Maryland. You're like, what are they

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Speaker 1: going to do in this one? You know, it looked

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Speaker 1: like a spot where potentially they could get picked off,

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Speaker 1: an upset.

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Speaker 2: You know, and maybe the season is going to go

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Speaker 2: down the drain.

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Speaker 1: Here they came out and walloped Maryland, wallot Maryland in

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Speaker 1: a spot for Maryland that profiled as the revenge spot

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Speaker 1: of all time. Baby too has not played well against

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Speaker 1: Penn State. Maryland has not played well against Penn State

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Speaker 1: in the past. Penn State was a little bit banged up,

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Speaker 1: and that's you know, you have to monitor some of

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Speaker 1: the injury reports from Penn State this week because of that.

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Speaker 1: That'll be important to check on some of those key

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Speaker 1: players that were down or thinged up for them. But

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Speaker 1: Penn State rose up off the mat. That was something

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Speaker 1: you wanted to see heading into this game, especially you

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Speaker 1: be in the look at spot with Michigan on deck,

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Speaker 1: so I like to see that, and of course Michigan

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Speaker 1: I'm sorry. Penn State has the awesome defense as well

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Speaker 1: the counteract Michigan's offense. Michigan got to rise up here

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Speaker 1: in competition. Penn State's already played good, good teams up

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Speaker 1: till now, so I mean, we'll have to see Penn

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Speaker 1: State has played the good competition whereas Michigan has it.

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Speaker 1: My system says that there's a little bit of line

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Speaker 1: value on Penn State. You go through the key number

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Speaker 1: of four, this is going to be a low scoring game.

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Speaker 1: You have that total in the low forties. My early

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Speaker 1: lean in this game would be on Penn State and

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Speaker 1: what I expect to be a low scoring game. But

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Speaker 1: we're definitely gonna be digging into this one more as

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Speaker 1: the week goes up.

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Speaker 2: It's not an.

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Speaker 1: Early week bet for me because I need to dig

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Speaker 1: into the specifically the injury reports in this game. I

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Speaker 1: want to see who is active on both teams and

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Speaker 1: what's the status of those guys and whatnot. But this

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Speaker 1: is going to be a very interesting game to dig

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Speaker 1: into this week, and when it.

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Speaker 3: Comes to the injury reports too. I will actually be

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Speaker 3: at Penn State at Michigan. At Penn State, I will

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Speaker 3: be on the field and I will be looking forward

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Speaker 3: to it as much as possible. Like you know, obviously

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Speaker 3: we have to do the show. It's a new kick.

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Speaker 3: I'll be doing from ten am to eleven am my

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Speaker 3: live show. But I'll just try to get out there

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Speaker 3: as soon as possible to see who is out there,

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Speaker 3: who is dressed, and who is on the field to

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Speaker 3: the best of my ability to do that reporting because

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Speaker 3: as we all know, we can't rely on local beat

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Speaker 3: reporters to tell us the truth for sure.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, they're the megaphones for the coaches. They

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Speaker 2: just really relay exactly what they're telling.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, they're they're They're not out there, Parson anything, They're

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Speaker 1: just telling you, yea relaying. Moving to the SEC now Alabama.

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Speaker 1: Impressive performance by Alabama. Alabama. They started out the season

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Speaker 1: exactly how I thought they were going to be. I

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Speaker 1: was pessimistic about them over the summer for Aton, as

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Speaker 1: you know, we met up in Canton and in August,

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Speaker 1: but they have the coaching job has been fabulous, you

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Speaker 1: know ever since you know, mid to late September. You

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Speaker 1: know that the South Florida game after that that was

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Speaker 1: sort of the come to Jesus moment and Mill Roe.

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Speaker 2: You got to tip your hat to the kid.

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Speaker 1: You know, Like I never thought in his entire career

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Speaker 1: he was going to get to the point of where

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Speaker 1: he is right now, right like the running in the

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Speaker 1: athleticism for that kid, it speaks for itself. The arm

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Speaker 1: and the pocket presence and stuff like that.

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Speaker 2: It's it's every week.

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Speaker 1: It goes up and up and up. Like I thought,

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Speaker 1: Jalen Milroe is going to play in the NFL. I

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Speaker 1: didn't think it was going to be at the quarterback

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Speaker 1: position for us.

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Speaker 3: You know, I like Johnson in other words, exactly.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, like I was, I was begging the drum for

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Speaker 1: a position switch. Jalen Milroe is going to play in

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Speaker 1: the NFL, and it is going to be a quarterback,

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Speaker 1: And if he keeps progressing like this, it is going

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Speaker 1: to be in a lot higher round than I was

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Speaker 1: initially anticipating. Because he has both the crazy running utility.

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Speaker 1: He also has again a shocking amount of pocket presence.

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Speaker 1: He plays behind that sieve of an offensive line and

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Speaker 1: there's always guys flying around him and whatnot, and he

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Speaker 1: keeps his his you know, his head about him and whatnot,

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Speaker 1: like you know, he doesn't allow that he doesn't convert

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Speaker 1: the sacks, the pressures into sacks, you know, on his

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Speaker 1: own accord whatnot.

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Speaker 2: And the ability.

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Speaker 1: To test the defense down the field and drop the

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Speaker 1: balls and the bugs stuff like that has been extremely

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Speaker 1: impressive this year. He's gonna have to keep working on

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Speaker 1: the intermediate accuracy different stuff like that, of course, but

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Speaker 1: the progress has been very impressive so far. Alabama was

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Speaker 1: a bit aided last night at I mean, we have

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Speaker 1: to say it by by the Jayden Daniels injury everything

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Speaker 1: like that them to pull away at the end there

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Speaker 1: by a couple of touchdowns. Now Alabama coming off that

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Speaker 1: huge win, they turn around, they're traveling to Kentucky this

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Speaker 1: coming Saturday. Right now in the market, we have a

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Speaker 1: line in this game for a time, and you know

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Speaker 1: some of these lines are you know, even as we

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Speaker 1: talked there, they're toggling, toggling Alabama. Right now, I'm seeing

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Speaker 1: ten and a half point favorite at Kentucky.

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Speaker 2: What are you seeing with this one? Yeah?

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Speaker 3: This is actually it. Not only was the ten and

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Speaker 3: a half it opened it twelve on CIRCA the sharpest

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Speaker 3: sportsbook in the world, but the total of the opened

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Speaker 3: up open at fifty one and a half currently down

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Speaker 3: to forty seven. You can find it, so you know,

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Speaker 3: maybe a couple of forty six and a half's if

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Speaker 3: you go and look for it. And I think that

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Speaker 3: really speaks more to what we're getting out of Kentucky

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Speaker 3: and Devin Leary, you know, as opposed to what we're

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Speaker 3: getting out of Alabama, because, like you said last night,

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Speaker 3: LSU's defense has been much maligned and deservedly so. But

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Speaker 3: I mean, Jalen Millroe entered that game as with the

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Speaker 3: work thirty six and a half percent pressure to sack

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Speaker 3: rate in the entire Power five, and he looked magnificent,

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Speaker 3: like you said, navigating the pocket, resetting his eyes. He

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Speaker 3: missed Isaiah Bond on a surefire touchdown down the sidelines

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Speaker 3: after he broke the pocket, but he just made up

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Speaker 3: for it and ran because both him and Daniels went

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Speaker 3: I mean over one hundred and fifty yards each on

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Speaker 3: the rushing side. But Milroe is built, like you said,

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Speaker 3: He's built like Jaquinna Jackson, He's built like Rashawn Johnson,

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Speaker 3: you know, two of the more recent QB to running

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Speaker 3: back conversions. He's jacked Jaylen Milroe, I mean, excuse me.

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Speaker 3: On the other side, you know Jayden Daniels, he's about

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Speaker 3: a buck eighty buck eighty five. I saw him this year.

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Speaker 3: He was one of the counselors at the Elite eleven

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Speaker 3: camp in Redondo Beach for the Elite eleven Finals, and

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Speaker 3: it's noticeable how skinny he is. It's if you're gonna

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Speaker 3: run your quarterback that much in the teeth of Alabama's defense,

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Speaker 3: that's what you're gonna get. Milroe is jiggity jacked, and

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Speaker 3: he was able. He was able to do it, and

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Speaker 3: he was able to do it all day long with

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Speaker 3: no problems, despite the fact the previous two games he

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Speaker 3: was in negative rushing yard is territory. It's like Saban

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Speaker 3: was saving him. But when they needed to really break

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Speaker 3: out that game script, and they did against LSU, I

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Speaker 3: wouldn't see I don't see the reason why they wouldn't

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Speaker 3: do it again at Kentucky. You know, another like a

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Speaker 3: slow moving team doesn't want to go and whip the

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Speaker 3: ball around if they don't have to, or put themselves

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Speaker 3: into danger with a mediocre quarterback with a you know,

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Speaker 3: slightly blow average arm in Devin Leary. So this is

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Speaker 3: a dangerous spot for Kentucky, even on the road. If

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Speaker 3: Alabama can continue to do what they did against LSU,

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Speaker 3: it's gonna be a long day for the Wildcats.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Something to keep an eye on here, Devin Leary's status.

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Speaker 1: He got poked in the eye or something in his eye.

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Speaker 1: You know, there was an eye issue in the game

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Speaker 1: Kentucky game yesterday, So some to keep forgive the pun,

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Speaker 1: something to keep an eye on there. I have not

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Speaker 1: seen an update on now when he left the game

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Speaker 1: briefly in the third quarter yesterday, So we'll see. You know,

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Speaker 1: he's in the injury ten for a bed and you

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Speaker 1: know he did come back, but we'll have to see,

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Speaker 1: you know, between the the you know, there was a

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Speaker 1: shoulder thing and then the eye thing, so we'll have

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Speaker 1: to see.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 1: I would anticipate that he's going to be fine for

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Speaker 1: this game, but that is something to check on because

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Speaker 1: there was a couple of you know, minors scare as

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Speaker 1: far as that thing goes. But assuming that that Leary's fine,

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Speaker 1: stuff like that, Uh, my line is right where Vegas

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Speaker 1: is on this one. You know, depending on the book

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Speaker 1: you're looking at right now, we're either at ten and

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Speaker 1: a half or eleven. My line on this game is

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Speaker 1: Alabama minus ten point six, So I'm right there. Uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, Alabama coming out the big win. Now you

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Speaker 1: go on the road. This would not be a bet

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Speaker 1: for me right now. For Ton you mentioned Kentucky, they're

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Speaker 1: going to try to play as it called, They're gonna

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Speaker 1: slow the tempo down. What you know, what is Alabama's

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Speaker 1: prerogative in this one. You know they are going to

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Speaker 1: try to run a little bit more different stuff like that.

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Speaker 1: We'll see how it goes. Would not be an early

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Speaker 1: week bet for me as far as the strategy yesterday,

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Speaker 1: I am still upset that the Milroe overpassing did not

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Speaker 1: get there and it was a freebee. But then Lsu

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Speaker 1: was just like, hey, Jalen, take as many yards as

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Speaker 1: you want running, like just go ahead.

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Speaker 2: And so yeah, I mean like some.

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Speaker 1: Of those freebee passes, like you were mentioning Millroe's like,

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Speaker 1: oh no, I'll just take the free thirty yards that

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Speaker 1: is right in front of me.

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Speaker 2: Appreciated Lsu at defense.

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Speaker 1: We definitely got it back with the over and then

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Speaker 1: you know, I was laying the three with Bama, So

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to complain too much. But I think

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Speaker 1: Milroe finished like ten yards beneath that is over and

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Speaker 1: passing and there is so often he saw a receiver

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Speaker 1: right in front of him, but he's like, no, no,

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Speaker 1: I'll just sprint past everybody because it's anyway, because.

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Speaker 3: He's probably better in the open field and the receiver

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Speaker 3: he's throwing to get a way more. He's like two

359
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Speaker 3: twenty five, two thirty, Like good, good luck to the

360
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Speaker 3: secondary pet tackling Milrow there, he's just blowing past people.

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Speaker 1: Sure as yeah, yeah, and again kudos dam kudos to

362
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Speaker 1: Alabama's staff and ls hu's defense just could not be

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Speaker 1: any every single week.

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Speaker 2: It just opens your eyes as to how bad they are.

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Speaker 3: Uh.

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Speaker 1: Moving to our next one, first Pac twelve game, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna discuss today Arizona traveling to Colorado line in this one, Uh, Arizona,

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Speaker 1: we were we were just under ten. I'm showing ten

369
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Speaker 1: right now. Arizona lay in tent at Colorado. Arizona a

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Speaker 1: team streaking, opening people's eyes.

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Speaker 2: They they they you.

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Speaker 1: Know UCLA team, you know Chip Kelly in the past,

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Speaker 1: you know you know a finesse guy, a flash guy.

374
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Speaker 1: Ucla earlier this season playing bullyballing people with the defense,

375
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Speaker 1: the physical run game. Carson Steele, you know, the Tim

376
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Speaker 1: Riggins kid. They got to tackle break or whatnot, and

377
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Speaker 1: Arizona was like, no, actually we're gonna bully you, and

378
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Speaker 1: they did for four quarters. UCLA wanted no part of

379
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Speaker 1: that one. They were like, okay, you win, Uncle and

380
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Speaker 1: so I and now Arizona going to go in and

381
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Speaker 1: play this finesse Colorado team.

382
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Speaker 2: We'll see how that one goes. What are you seeing

383
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Speaker 2: with this one? Now?

384
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Speaker 1: I'm seeing this line just toggle back down to nine

385
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Speaker 1: and a half as we're sitting here live. What are

386
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Speaker 1: you seeing in the market for aton. Where has this

387
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Speaker 1: one been moving throughout the day? What's your analysis on

388
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Speaker 1: this one?

389
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Speaker 3: Yeah, the line's been fairly static, you know, it's been

390
00:18:36,000 --> 00:18:37,960
Speaker 3: pretty even. Opens up at fifty seven and a half

391
00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:39,879
Speaker 3: on the total down to fifty five and a half,

392
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Speaker 3: you know, I mean surprisingly ticking down probably has to

393
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Speaker 3: do with Shador. You know, I'm actually a little surprised

394
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Speaker 3: we haven't got more movement. Opened up at nine and

395
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Speaker 3: a half, like you said it was at nine. You said,

396
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Speaker 3: it's ticking back up to nine and a half, and

397
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Speaker 3: I think we're going to see it continue to go up.

398
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Speaker 3: Shadoor apparently he's injured.

399
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Speaker 1: You know, like he looked like Kellen Winslow senior out

400
00:19:00,600 --> 00:19:03,200
Speaker 1: there yesterday. It was it was like he was gonna

401
00:19:03,240 --> 00:19:05,800
Speaker 1: take it carried off numerous times. I was like, okay,

402
00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:07,680
Speaker 1: that's the shot that ends in and then they would

403
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Speaker 1: like pick him back up and you know it's like that.

404
00:19:10,040 --> 00:19:14,720
Speaker 1: Remember the game at Marshall with uh uh Byron left

405
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Speaker 1: Wage where you know he was limping and they would

406
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Speaker 1: have to carry him down the field when they get

407
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Speaker 1: along pass. That was like shredeer, You're just getting knocked around.

408
00:19:21,720 --> 00:19:24,840
Speaker 1: He's clearly injured, clear clearly. And that you know, a

409
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Speaker 1: lot of that stem from the previous game where they.

410
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Speaker 3: Played U C l A and the Layatu and you

411
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Speaker 3: know the Brothers of Destruction on the edge along with Layatuo.

412
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Speaker 3: They were they sacked him seven times, you know, two

413
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Speaker 3: weeks ago. I was actually at that game as well

414
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Speaker 3: during my West Coast swing, and it was a four

415
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Speaker 3: alarm fire drill every single pass attempt. And the theory was,

416
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Speaker 3: as we all know, by demoting Sean Lewis, which is

417
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Speaker 3: which is a stroke of genius on Dionce Park, somehow

418
00:19:56,440 --> 00:19:59,800
Speaker 3: the offense didn't improve without Sean Lewis at the helm

419
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Speaker 3: figure and inserting Shermer as the new play caller. The

420
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Speaker 3: theory was, well, maybe they'll try to run the ball more. Well,

421
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Speaker 3: you don't have an offensive line, and you've got one

422
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Speaker 3: hundred and eighty pound Dylan Edwards back there. You've got

423
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Speaker 3: the hanky panking man Anthony Hankerson, who is just a blank,

424
00:20:16,080 --> 00:20:18,639
Speaker 3: He's just a guy. And they ran the ball like

425
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Speaker 3: twelve times last game? Where was it They didn't take

426
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Speaker 3: the heat off of Shador at all after he got

427
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Speaker 3: mauled against UCLA. I watched it in person. It was uncomfortable.

428
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Speaker 3: He's injured. He was injured before he took a shot

429
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Speaker 3: to play at halftime for UCLA. Comes out. He can

430
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Speaker 3: barely stand. I mean I would I think if you

431
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Speaker 3: throw him out there against Arizona, who as we discussed,

432
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Speaker 3: I mean, they're rolling right now, they look awesome Against

433
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Speaker 3: Oregon State, you're gonna go and expose him to that.

434
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Speaker 3: It's all it's under ten points, like, I can't, I

435
00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:53,440
Speaker 3: can't get into that. And plus you throw in the

436
00:20:53,800 --> 00:20:56,679
Speaker 3: poor coaching from Dion at the end of the first half.

437
00:20:57,119 --> 00:21:01,720
Speaker 3: Right Colorado Oregon State, they had all they had to do, right,

438
00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:04,239
Speaker 3: They're on like the three yard line. All they have

439
00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:06,480
Speaker 3: to do is run the ball three times with thirty

440
00:21:06,560 --> 00:21:09,639
Speaker 3: seconds left, and it's a seven to three game heading

441
00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:13,560
Speaker 3: into the locker room. Done. They don't have to do

442
00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:16,200
Speaker 3: anything said. They come out and throw the ball twice,

443
00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:19,480
Speaker 3: you know, stopping the clock. Then they run it on

444
00:21:19,560 --> 00:21:22,080
Speaker 3: third down for some reason, which they just I mean,

445
00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:25,960
Speaker 3: Oregon States goes, you know, Johnson Smith time out, get

446
00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:29,640
Speaker 3: the ball back. Fifteen seconds later they score with down

447
00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:32,639
Speaker 3: fourteen to three. It's like to say that was an

448
00:21:32,760 --> 00:21:36,439
Speaker 3: unforced error is a drastic understatement. I mean, they just

449
00:21:36,480 --> 00:21:38,880
Speaker 3: can't get out of their own way. And with Washington,

450
00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:42,679
Speaker 3: excuse me, Arizona rolling Noah fifiit up. I mean, you

451
00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:45,800
Speaker 3: can't believe Tedoro and McMillan Noah Fafiita played at the

452
00:21:45,840 --> 00:21:48,720
Speaker 3: same high school at the same time. I mean, what

453
00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:51,920
Speaker 3: did that look like in Southern California? Jetfish head coach

454
00:21:51,960 --> 00:21:57,760
Speaker 3: of Arizona, just rating Southern California for quality prospects. That

455
00:21:57,840 --> 00:22:02,440
Speaker 3: team is rolling right now. I cannot take I could

456
00:22:02,480 --> 00:22:05,040
Speaker 3: not take Colorado on this position. I think it's a

457
00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:06,960
Speaker 3: great deal right now, and that's going to climb over ten.

458
00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:07,920
Speaker 2: Yeah.

459
00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:11,040
Speaker 1: Same, My line's right around where it is right now,

460
00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:13,160
Speaker 1: you know, being nine and a half. My mine's nine

461
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:16,760
Speaker 1: point three. But I would not advocate for taking color

462
00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:17,960
Speaker 1: out of here.

463
00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:21,840
Speaker 3: I mean, just this week exactly, stay in the game

464
00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:22,919
Speaker 3: this week.

465
00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:27,359
Speaker 1: Exactly, you know, And and Credittioner for that is a

466
00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:30,680
Speaker 1: tough kid. I know that there's you know, he's he's

467
00:22:30,720 --> 00:22:32,720
Speaker 1: taking a lot of crap. Coach Prime is taking a

468
00:22:32,760 --> 00:22:35,159
Speaker 1: lot of crap. And you know, maybe you know, some

469
00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:37,680
Speaker 1: people argue that they brought it on themselves because they

470
00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:41,119
Speaker 1: you know, they they're ostentatious, they talk a lot, and

471
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:44,159
Speaker 1: but there they were trying to bring attention to a

472
00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:46,280
Speaker 1: one and eleven program that was one of the worst

473
00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:48,679
Speaker 1: Power five programs that we had ever seen before, and

474
00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:52,440
Speaker 1: they were trying to attract talent to help themselves out.

475
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:57,080
Speaker 1: You know, I mean, forgive them and and like you know,

476
00:22:57,280 --> 00:22:59,320
Speaker 1: for for someone like that like this.

477
00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:01,880
Speaker 2: This kid has been beat up to heck this.

478
00:23:01,960 --> 00:23:04,439
Speaker 1: Year and he you know again, like he's very clearly

479
00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:08,480
Speaker 1: playing through injuries behind what is now one of the

480
00:23:08,520 --> 00:23:13,040
Speaker 1: worst Power five offensive lines objectively. Yeah, and he's he's

481
00:23:13,080 --> 00:23:16,560
Speaker 1: stranded out there. They're playing in these empty sets or

482
00:23:16,600 --> 00:23:20,280
Speaker 1: you know, the four wide whatever they're not keeping anyone

483
00:23:20,320 --> 00:23:22,719
Speaker 1: back to help them. And you know, I mean the

484
00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:26,280
Speaker 1: passing seventy five percent of the time, and these defenses

485
00:23:26,280 --> 00:23:28,720
Speaker 1: are just teeing off on He's just being you know,

486
00:23:29,000 --> 00:23:31,200
Speaker 1: sacked over and over again or hit over and over

487
00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:33,720
Speaker 1: again when he gets the ball and whatnot. And the

488
00:23:33,800 --> 00:23:37,320
Speaker 1: kid stays back there, keeps his eyes downfield, and he

489
00:23:37,359 --> 00:23:41,600
Speaker 1: will take a shot to unload the ball. Extremely tough kids,

490
00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:44,720
Speaker 1: So I give him credit. But this is going to

491
00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:46,679
Speaker 1: be a slog to get to the end of the season.

492
00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:51,240
Speaker 1: And the slog continues on Saturday, Arizona. We're talking about

493
00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:54,439
Speaker 1: this over the weekend my show with Mike Farrell. The

494
00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:57,920
Speaker 1: thing that impresses me the most about the Jetfish thing

495
00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:02,199
Speaker 1: when when it was going on at the beginning, what

496
00:24:02,280 --> 00:24:06,840
Speaker 1: we talked about was the flashy stuff, getting Delora, getting

497
00:24:06,960 --> 00:24:12,160
Speaker 1: the skill guys, you got Cowing, you bring in Wiley McMillan.

498
00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:14,000
Speaker 1: That I mean that, you know, we talked a lot

499
00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:16,560
Speaker 1: about that one. Right five star kid, Oh my gosh,

500
00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:19,800
Speaker 1: what he did in the trenches, though it didn't get

501
00:24:19,800 --> 00:24:23,400
Speaker 1: as much ink in the in the moment, right, He's

502
00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:26,919
Speaker 1: got all kinds of NFL guys on both trenches like

503
00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:28,880
Speaker 1: you just sort of like wake up to this fact

504
00:24:28,920 --> 00:24:31,240
Speaker 1: of like, oh my gosh, like Arizona has, you know,

505
00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:34,400
Speaker 1: one of the better offensive lines and defensive lines in the.

506
00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:37,080
Speaker 2: Pac twelve, Like when did this happen? Right?

507
00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:40,320
Speaker 1: And their skill guys are really really good, And then

508
00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:42,880
Speaker 1: you all of a sudden you realize, like, oh my god,

509
00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:46,000
Speaker 1: like their skill their skill position guys are some of

510
00:24:46,040 --> 00:24:48,680
Speaker 1: the best in the Pac twelve. For feed up, maybe

511
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:51,119
Speaker 1: one of the better quarterbacks in the Pac twelve. And

512
00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:54,200
Speaker 1: even if he got it injured, Delora is pretty good.

513
00:24:54,440 --> 00:24:58,000
Speaker 1: And then their trenches are and is Jed Fish one

514
00:24:58,040 --> 00:24:59,280
Speaker 1: of the better coaches in.

515
00:24:59,240 --> 00:24:59,959
Speaker 2: The Pac twelve?

516
00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:02,320
Speaker 1: And then you're thinking, all of a sudden, is this

517
00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:06,320
Speaker 1: Arizona team becoming one of or is it one of

518
00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:10,800
Speaker 1: the better Pac twelve teams? We saw play with USC?

519
00:25:11,080 --> 00:25:14,280
Speaker 1: Maybe it should have beaten USC. One of the only

520
00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:17,040
Speaker 1: coaching mistakes that Jetfish made all season. Should have gone

521
00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:19,560
Speaker 1: for two and and and I think, you know, against

522
00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:22,000
Speaker 1: the USC in that overtime. I bet Jedfish days up

523
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:24,880
Speaker 1: at night thinking about that one. You know, they lost

524
00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:27,679
Speaker 1: the two games in overtime. If those had gone different,

525
00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:30,080
Speaker 1: this could have been an entirely different season. I think

526
00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:34,400
Speaker 1: that Arizona's even better than their record indicates. This Arizona

527
00:25:34,440 --> 00:25:37,960
Speaker 1: team is so good that the UCLA wins some of

528
00:25:38,040 --> 00:25:40,320
Speaker 1: these wins they've had over good teams are no fluke.

529
00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:43,560
Speaker 2: They beat the hell out of that UCLA team. That

530
00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:45,320
Speaker 2: UCLA team wanted no part of them.

531
00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:49,240
Speaker 3: It's no different to all season. That's the first time

532
00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:52,399
Speaker 3: I've seen them take it like that because what was

533
00:25:52,440 --> 00:25:56,720
Speaker 3: a top fifteen unit headed into the game and Arizona exposed.

534
00:25:56,320 --> 00:26:00,240
Speaker 1: Them, took it to them. Yeah, Carson Steel, a guy.

535
00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:02,600
Speaker 1: You know, UCLA is the team that dominates the line

536
00:26:02,600 --> 00:26:04,720
Speaker 1: of scrimmage, right, I mean, Dan Post, they're well on

537
00:26:04,800 --> 00:26:07,720
Speaker 1: other teams. Not in that game. Not in that game.

538
00:26:07,760 --> 00:26:10,480
Speaker 1: They got a run over. And I think it's coming

539
00:26:10,520 --> 00:26:13,800
Speaker 1: here too that you had their qbs too.

540
00:26:14,119 --> 00:26:18,239
Speaker 3: I mean they Ucla. Their line was getting overrun as

541
00:26:18,280 --> 00:26:21,560
Speaker 3: opposed to what they did to Colorado. Garbas was out.

542
00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:25,119
Speaker 3: Dante Moore, their five star freshman, comes in. He got hurt.

543
00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:29,560
Speaker 3: Like they were all over UCLA all game. No running lanes.

544
00:26:29,640 --> 00:26:32,080
Speaker 3: I think you know Steele had under forty yards rushing.

545
00:26:32,280 --> 00:26:33,800
Speaker 3: I want to say his line was said at seventy

546
00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:35,600
Speaker 3: six and a half, which I advocated the UNDERWROA my

547
00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:39,120
Speaker 3: show because the running was on the wall. What I mean,

548
00:26:39,440 --> 00:26:41,480
Speaker 3: can't say enough of what Arizona and this is a

549
00:26:41,560 --> 00:26:45,640
Speaker 3: team Kevin Someone was running this team three years ago.

550
00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:49,560
Speaker 3: You don't get a bigger upgrade in coaching than Kevin

551
00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:51,639
Speaker 3: Someone to jet fish and the proof is in the

552
00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:53,080
Speaker 3: put exactly.

553
00:26:53,080 --> 00:26:55,120
Speaker 1: You almost started to feel bad for Carson Steel. Maybe

554
00:26:55,160 --> 00:27:00,960
Speaker 1: it's from Blue Steel for a time. Everyone out there,

555
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:03,800
Speaker 1: download the free Betting Pros app for iOS and Android.

556
00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:06,399
Speaker 1: Follow experts, top righted betters and betters on hot streaks,

557
00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:09,640
Speaker 1: get INSIDT notifications with new bets, are plays, customize your

558
00:27:09,640 --> 00:27:12,760
Speaker 1: notifications by sports. You only receive alerts for bets that

559
00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:16,280
Speaker 1: inter su You can limit alerts so you get only historic,

560
00:27:16,600 --> 00:27:19,879
Speaker 1: historically ROI positive markets of the betters that you follow.

561
00:27:20,240 --> 00:27:22,879
Speaker 1: To take advantage of these features and more, download the

562
00:27:22,880 --> 00:27:26,480
Speaker 1: Betting Pros app by visiting Bettingpros dot com, slash apps

563
00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:29,760
Speaker 1: or search Betting Pros in the app store. All right,

564
00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:31,439
Speaker 1: for all time, Let's hit a few more before we

565
00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:33,280
Speaker 1: get out of here. Let's stay in the pac twelve

566
00:27:33,400 --> 00:27:39,480
Speaker 1: Utah at Washington next Saturday line. We got on this one.

567
00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:43,720
Speaker 1: Washington coming off that win at ten point win against

568
00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:48,560
Speaker 1: USC Saturday night. Washington was a ten earlier today, think

569
00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:52,119
Speaker 1: this one is toggled down to nine. Washington taking some

570
00:27:52,200 --> 00:27:55,640
Speaker 1: money here Sunday after noon. So Washington lay in nine

571
00:27:55,680 --> 00:27:59,280
Speaker 1: at home in Seattle this coming Saturday. What are you

572
00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:00,760
Speaker 1: seeing in the market this one for a time?

573
00:28:01,400 --> 00:28:04,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, as discussed, you know, that's moved down from nine.

574
00:28:04,840 --> 00:28:07,560
Speaker 3: Actually in terms of circuit, I opened up at ten

575
00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:10,000
Speaker 3: and a half at fifty three and a half. It

576
00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:14,560
Speaker 3: stayed pretty much stagnant in terms of the uh, you

577
00:28:14,560 --> 00:28:18,000
Speaker 3: know where we're at for that for where FanDuel opened,

578
00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:20,520
Speaker 3: So it had two different openings. He had Vegas ten

579
00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:23,359
Speaker 3: and a half, he had FanDuel opened at nine. It

580
00:28:23,440 --> 00:28:26,199
Speaker 3: kind of toggled around in terms of you know, up

581
00:28:26,320 --> 00:28:29,000
Speaker 3: until record time to where, like you said, it's settled

582
00:28:29,040 --> 00:28:31,159
Speaker 3: back down to nine at this point after going up

583
00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:33,080
Speaker 3: a little bit. But the total, you know, I was

584
00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:36,359
Speaker 3: kind of surprised where it went from fifty seven and

585
00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:38,520
Speaker 3: a half down to fifty three and a half. A

586
00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:42,800
Speaker 3: real discrepancy between Vegas and the national books where it

587
00:28:42,960 --> 00:28:45,440
Speaker 3: you know, it didn't move much from FanDuel, but you know,

588
00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:48,920
Speaker 3: there's a four point differential from the two, giving you

589
00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:53,080
Speaker 3: some arbitrage opportunities. At least on the open Utah, for

590
00:28:53,080 --> 00:28:55,680
Speaker 3: the first time all year, we got an offensive explosion

591
00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:59,200
Speaker 3: out of them. I mean, you know, they ran three

592
00:28:59,280 --> 00:29:02,160
Speaker 3: hundred and fifty two yards on the ground. They went

593
00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:06,840
Speaker 3: for just a classic you know, Utah wanting to bowl

594
00:29:06,920 --> 00:29:10,840
Speaker 3: you over and just suffocate you, and they did. You know,

595
00:29:10,840 --> 00:29:14,360
Speaker 3: you got three touchdowns out of their neo fight quarterback.

596
00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:16,560
Speaker 3: You know, we will not be seeing Cam rising. That

597
00:29:17,120 --> 00:29:19,920
Speaker 3: by far, I would say the best offensive performance they've

598
00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:23,200
Speaker 3: had all year, and they needed it after how they

599
00:29:23,200 --> 00:29:25,719
Speaker 3: looked against Oregon last week. They needed to get their

600
00:29:25,760 --> 00:29:28,920
Speaker 3: groove back a little bit now going up there against

601
00:29:29,440 --> 00:29:34,640
Speaker 3: going to Husky Stadium, going to Washington. I'm curious to see,

602
00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:39,360
Speaker 3: as we discussed this, Washington off defense has shown cracks.

603
00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:41,880
Speaker 3: I mean, you can definitely run on them. You know,

604
00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:45,719
Speaker 3: the USC didn't even have Marshawn Lloyd, didn't matter. Austin

605
00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:48,880
Speaker 3: Jones still went and was running no problem. They had

606
00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:51,800
Speaker 3: no problem on you know, doing what they needed to

607
00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:56,200
Speaker 3: against that defensive line. I'm curious to see if Utah

608
00:29:56,320 --> 00:30:00,800
Speaker 3: can emulate that and impose their will you know, on

609
00:30:00,840 --> 00:30:03,120
Speaker 3: the ground, But what's going to happen when they need

610
00:30:03,160 --> 00:30:05,960
Speaker 3: to pass? You know that Washington isn't as bad. You know,

611
00:30:06,000 --> 00:30:08,520
Speaker 3: they're actually okay in terms of their past defense. What's

612
00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:09,840
Speaker 3: going to happen when we have to put the ball

613
00:30:09,880 --> 00:30:11,960
Speaker 3: in the air. That's the real question for me in

614
00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:12,480
Speaker 3: this game.

615
00:30:13,200 --> 00:30:15,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I know Michael Pennix has struggle a little bit

616
00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:17,400
Speaker 1: in recent weeks, but he has thrown better than Arizona

617
00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:19,560
Speaker 1: State quarterback Cam Scatiba did.

618
00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:25,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, oh yeah, camp Scatabo another under. Gosh, yes, mega under.

619
00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:27,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, Cam rushing the yards, but yeah, he.

620
00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:31,080
Speaker 3: Had to do something. Trent Poorgay, he was out after

621
00:30:31,120 --> 00:30:37,000
Speaker 3: five passes. I mean, horror show. It was a disaster

622
00:30:37,640 --> 00:30:40,800
Speaker 3: for the Arizona State on all levels of that game.

623
00:30:40,880 --> 00:30:42,200
Speaker 3: That was bad news.

624
00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:45,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, Jacob Connover was so bad that they were like, yeah,

625
00:30:45,160 --> 00:30:47,400
Speaker 1: they gave him the old hook. It was like Broadway

626
00:30:47,480 --> 00:30:49,360
Speaker 1: with the with the long hook out of there. And

627
00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:53,320
Speaker 1: then they literally put in camp Scatba to play quarterback.

628
00:30:53,480 --> 00:30:55,880
Speaker 1: And then the coach after the game, dilling him, was like, yeah,

629
00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:59,600
Speaker 1: Cam's are our fifth string quarterback, so we put him in.

630
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:02,480
Speaker 1: They actually put bor Gaye back in for a little bit.

631
00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:05,040
Speaker 1: It was clearly injured. But you know, they were like,

632
00:31:05,080 --> 00:31:07,200
Speaker 1: we can't, we can't have any more of Jacob conover.

633
00:31:07,400 --> 00:31:09,320
Speaker 3: But then they were like, you know, I mean Jacob

634
00:31:09,320 --> 00:31:10,560
Speaker 3: turnovers what I call them?

635
00:31:10,680 --> 00:31:14,240
Speaker 2: Oh, Jacob turnover? Yeah, yeah, I like it, yeah in

636
00:31:14,320 --> 00:31:14,760
Speaker 2: this one.

637
00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:17,440
Speaker 1: So you know, you have a couple of different things

638
00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:20,000
Speaker 1: going on, where Utah obviously is a better team at

639
00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:21,920
Speaker 1: home than they are on the road, so you know

640
00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:24,080
Speaker 1: you have to bake that, and obviously Washington is better

641
00:31:24,160 --> 00:31:26,480
Speaker 1: home team than they are on the road. So you

642
00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:30,360
Speaker 1: know that skews towards Washington. But you were mentioning the

643
00:31:30,480 --> 00:31:34,960
Speaker 1: Washington defense thing. Washington's pass defense is way, way, way

644
00:31:34,960 --> 00:31:38,240
Speaker 1: better than its run defense. So that is a data

645
00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:41,760
Speaker 1: point decidedly in Utah's advantage that they would prefer a

646
00:31:41,800 --> 00:31:45,840
Speaker 1: team skew that way. Washington's run defense one hundred and

647
00:31:45,840 --> 00:31:50,480
Speaker 1: twenty fourth, rushing success rate, one hundred and thirtieth, opportunity

648
00:31:50,560 --> 00:31:54,720
Speaker 1: rate one hundred and thirty first in stuff rate, Washington's

649
00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:58,320
Speaker 1: pass defense way better forty ninth success rate, thirty second

650
00:31:58,400 --> 00:31:59,880
Speaker 1: marginal ex pleosiveness, et cetera.

651
00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:02,800
Speaker 3: So six point two yards per past that sixteenth in

652
00:32:02,880 --> 00:32:04,240
Speaker 3: the country. Heading in last week.

653
00:32:04,560 --> 00:32:07,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, So I mean Utah is you know, at least

654
00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:10,440
Speaker 1: is going to try just grind, grind, grind, grind, grind, grind, grind, right,

655
00:32:11,240 --> 00:32:13,280
Speaker 1: you know, and and so we'll see how they can

656
00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:16,880
Speaker 1: do that. Marshawn Lloyd presumably very disappointed that he was

657
00:32:16,920 --> 00:32:20,520
Speaker 1: inactive in that USC game because he couldn't try to

658
00:32:20,560 --> 00:32:24,840
Speaker 1: match at Dylan Johnson going thermonuclear on Saturday night, you know,

659
00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:26,600
Speaker 1: in in that game whatever it could.

660
00:32:27,120 --> 00:32:29,200
Speaker 3: Dream Dylan Johnson in that game.

661
00:32:29,320 --> 00:32:33,080
Speaker 1: Nast Yeah, I mean both, yeah, both some of the

662
00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:37,560
Speaker 1: shoddiest run defenses in the entire nation. In your handicap,

663
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:40,360
Speaker 1: those are some of the key things to be looking

664
00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:44,400
Speaker 1: for in this game as far as qualitatively with with

665
00:32:44,480 --> 00:32:46,960
Speaker 1: the value and where is where is this line value?

666
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:50,240
Speaker 1: Like heading into the week, my line is right where

667
00:32:50,320 --> 00:32:54,280
Speaker 1: Vegas is right now, you know, this line at nine

668
00:32:54,320 --> 00:32:57,240
Speaker 1: is what I'm showing. Like the consensus, my line is

669
00:32:57,400 --> 00:33:01,840
Speaker 1: Washington minus nine point one. So I'm right there. I

670
00:33:01,880 --> 00:33:04,440
Speaker 1: will not be betting this one today. I will be

671
00:33:04,520 --> 00:33:08,160
Speaker 1: diving into this handicap though. You know another thing I

672
00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:11,560
Speaker 1: want to look into is Penix. Beginning of the season

673
00:33:11,840 --> 00:33:15,600
Speaker 1: was gangbusters. Some of these recent weeks have played way

674
00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:19,280
Speaker 1: down depending on the defensive strategy. And Utah one of

675
00:33:19,320 --> 00:33:22,600
Speaker 1: the great defensive coaching staffs that we have in college

676
00:33:22,640 --> 00:33:25,680
Speaker 1: football over the last twenty years. If some of these

677
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:29,480
Speaker 1: other bozo defensive coaching staffs that you know that have

678
00:33:29,480 --> 00:33:30,880
Speaker 1: been out there that have been able to figure out

679
00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:33,200
Speaker 1: how to slow down Michael Pennix a little bit, We're

680
00:33:33,240 --> 00:33:33,800
Speaker 1: able to do it.

681
00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:36,880
Speaker 2: Utah presumably will be able to do it as well.

682
00:33:37,360 --> 00:33:39,080
Speaker 1: So those are some of the things you know that

683
00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:41,480
Speaker 1: I will be considering when I head into this handicap,

684
00:33:41,560 --> 00:33:44,480
Speaker 1: But not enough line value one one side or the

685
00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:46,680
Speaker 1: other for me to bet this one early. But I

686
00:33:46,680 --> 00:33:48,160
Speaker 1: think this is going to be a fun handicap to

687
00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:49,880
Speaker 1: get into this week. We'll be talking more about it

688
00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:52,320
Speaker 1: later this week. Next game for a Tom Florida traveling

689
00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:57,600
Speaker 1: to LSU liveline on this one LSU minus thirteen. The

690
00:33:57,920 --> 00:34:01,200
Speaker 1: obvious key thing with this handicap, we'll dive right into

691
00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:04,600
Speaker 1: that one right now. The status of Jayden Daniels. Jayden

692
00:34:04,680 --> 00:34:06,880
Speaker 1: Daniels is going to be starting for the Tigers. Are

693
00:34:06,880 --> 00:34:09,160
Speaker 1: you going to get Garrett Nussmeyer. You and I didn't

694
00:34:09,160 --> 00:34:11,279
Speaker 1: stay at a holiday and express last night, but what

695
00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:12,520
Speaker 1: do you think in this one and what are you

696
00:34:12,600 --> 00:34:14,160
Speaker 1: seeing in the market today with this game?

697
00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:18,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, we're seeing, you know, pretty darn close in terms

698
00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:22,120
Speaker 3: of the line itself opened at twelve, like you said,

699
00:34:22,120 --> 00:34:24,959
Speaker 3: it's at thirteen right now. But you know, the real

700
00:34:25,000 --> 00:34:27,640
Speaker 3: movement again we're seeing a lot of these totals is

701
00:34:27,680 --> 00:34:30,520
Speaker 3: really where the arbitrage opportunities have been this week open

702
00:34:30,560 --> 00:34:32,839
Speaker 3: at sixty seven and a half down to sixty two

703
00:34:33,160 --> 00:34:37,080
Speaker 3: at time of recording on the duel. And you know,

704
00:34:37,160 --> 00:34:39,080
Speaker 3: a lot of that, I gotta think, as you mentioned,

705
00:34:39,120 --> 00:34:42,680
Speaker 3: has to do with Jayden Daniels. Now, Garrett Newsmyer when

706
00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:46,520
Speaker 3: he is played has been pretty competent, you know. I

707
00:34:46,600 --> 00:34:49,120
Speaker 3: mean last year when it was the Max Johnson Show,

708
00:34:49,600 --> 00:34:51,920
Speaker 3: he took over and I frankly he was better than

709
00:34:51,920 --> 00:34:55,680
Speaker 3: Max Johnson to the point where people were wondering, you know,

710
00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:57,560
Speaker 3: is it going to be is there going to be

711
00:34:57,640 --> 00:35:00,320
Speaker 3: a you know, who's it going to be? Gonna be

712
00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:03,600
Speaker 3: Jadan Daniels, who was you know good at times last

713
00:35:03,640 --> 00:35:07,120
Speaker 3: year wasn't as great? Or is it gonna be New Smyers.

714
00:35:07,120 --> 00:35:09,240
Speaker 3: He's gonna take him over. There was a potential QB

715
00:35:09,360 --> 00:35:13,120
Speaker 3: controversy obviously, Jayden and Daniels in mobility, he just you know,

716
00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:15,839
Speaker 3: shot past them and it was obviously the right call

717
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:18,919
Speaker 3: because he's been phenomenal this year. But he is a

718
00:35:18,920 --> 00:35:22,439
Speaker 3: at least a competent signal caller who didn't transfer after

719
00:35:22,520 --> 00:35:27,080
Speaker 3: losing the job because he sees himself after Jadan Daniels

720
00:35:27,160 --> 00:35:30,440
Speaker 3: leaves because he's a senior taking over the rains next season.

721
00:35:30,520 --> 00:35:35,319
Speaker 3: So he is a competent quarterback. Obviously with Florida, Uh,

722
00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:39,520
Speaker 3: you know you're dealing with Graham Mertz. Eugene Wilson went nuclear.

723
00:35:40,200 --> 00:35:44,319
Speaker 3: Uh yeah, sure, honestly the best For my money, I

724
00:35:44,320 --> 00:35:46,799
Speaker 3: think he's been you know, I think he's been the

725
00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:49,880
Speaker 3: best wide receiver that's a true freshman all year in

726
00:35:49,960 --> 00:35:54,040
Speaker 3: any respect anywhere. And my gosh, he is explosive. So

727
00:35:54,800 --> 00:35:56,840
Speaker 3: the fact that this went down is clearly on the

728
00:35:56,920 --> 00:36:02,440
Speaker 3: on the quarterbacks get right spot in Baton rouge for LSU.

729
00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:05,160
Speaker 3: But again, I think you just got to sit tight

730
00:36:05,239 --> 00:36:06,839
Speaker 3: and wait to see what happens on this.

731
00:36:07,640 --> 00:36:11,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, it's tough with concussion protocol, right, like

732
00:36:11,600 --> 00:36:14,239
Speaker 1: we just we don't know, you know, you never know

733
00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:18,279
Speaker 1: what the concussion protocol. So like you said, we'll just

734
00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:21,040
Speaker 1: have to wait and see and you drop from Daniels

735
00:36:21,040 --> 00:36:25,840
Speaker 1: to Nusmeyer. That's clear downgrade which needs to be reflected

736
00:36:25,840 --> 00:36:28,560
Speaker 1: in the line and you will see that later this week.

737
00:36:28,920 --> 00:36:33,000
Speaker 1: If Daniels is ruled out, you know, you know, you

738
00:36:33,120 --> 00:36:36,640
Speaker 1: pig that one will be three points, will be three

739
00:36:36,680 --> 00:36:37,320
Speaker 1: and a half.

740
00:36:37,120 --> 00:36:39,480
Speaker 2: Four like, we'll have to see. But that's that's a

741
00:36:39,560 --> 00:36:40,480
Speaker 2: round where I would have it.

742
00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:44,399
Speaker 1: Nusmeyer is a very solid backup, so you know, I mean,

743
00:36:45,160 --> 00:36:47,920
Speaker 1: you're not gonna get crazier than that. Some of the

744
00:36:48,440 --> 00:36:51,719
Speaker 1: you know, like last year when with the Chadwell thing,

745
00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:56,040
Speaker 1: when at Coastal when you went from McCall tech guest,

746
00:36:56,520 --> 00:36:58,880
Speaker 1: you know, like that one you had a little bit

747
00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:02,239
Speaker 1: over a touchdown like and we've seen some examples of

748
00:37:02,280 --> 00:37:04,279
Speaker 1: that where you know, you have the bigger run. It's

749
00:37:04,280 --> 00:37:06,239
Speaker 1: not gonna be quite that high in this case, but

750
00:37:06,320 --> 00:37:08,640
Speaker 1: you are going to have a bit of a dip there.

751
00:37:09,160 --> 00:37:13,400
Speaker 1: I will say though on LSU, we have that Florida

752
00:37:13,440 --> 00:37:16,680
Speaker 1: though it's not like they have a sparkling hell sheet either.

753
00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:20,240
Speaker 1: Let's get into that one. I mean, Mertz is fine,

754
00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:23,440
Speaker 1: but Florida's got issues on the other side. So in

755
00:37:24,040 --> 00:37:27,480
Speaker 1: the last game for Florida. They play without three defensive

756
00:37:27,520 --> 00:37:32,600
Speaker 1: starters for the whole game, leading tackler Schamar James, defensive

757
00:37:32,640 --> 00:37:37,120
Speaker 1: tackle Cam Jackson and their defensive and Tyreek Sap. But

758
00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:40,920
Speaker 1: during the game against Arkansas and for Aton, as you know,

759
00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:46,000
Speaker 1: wasn't a particularly impressive performance a team in Arkansas that

760
00:37:46,040 --> 00:37:49,959
Speaker 1: had just fired mister Danny knows, their offensive coordinator, because

761
00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:51,080
Speaker 1: they couldn't get out of there.

762
00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:53,799
Speaker 3: You know, within a week of each other. It had

763
00:37:53,800 --> 00:37:54,240
Speaker 3: to happen.

764
00:37:55,040 --> 00:37:56,560
Speaker 1: Well, of course it had to happen, but they, you know,

765
00:37:56,640 --> 00:37:58,960
Speaker 1: all season Arkansas couldn't get out of the way offensively,

766
00:37:58,960 --> 00:38:00,319
Speaker 1: and then all of a sudden they you know, and

767
00:38:00,360 --> 00:38:02,000
Speaker 1: of course part of it was just getting rid of

768
00:38:02,080 --> 00:38:04,719
Speaker 1: Dani Andos. But then they run into Florida's defense and

769
00:38:04,719 --> 00:38:07,720
Speaker 1: all of a sudden kJ Jefferson was an NFL prospect again.

770
00:38:08,040 --> 00:38:10,919
Speaker 1: But you know, so the Florida plays with those three

771
00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:13,080
Speaker 1: defense starts the whole game. But then during the game

772
00:38:13,120 --> 00:38:18,719
Speaker 1: against Arkansas, Florida also loses linebacker Jack Pieburn and defensive

773
00:38:18,800 --> 00:38:22,680
Speaker 1: end TJ. Searcy in the second half. You got to

774
00:38:22,760 --> 00:38:25,920
Speaker 1: monitor the status of those guys. If Florida's out all

775
00:38:25,960 --> 00:38:28,600
Speaker 1: five of them in this one that could be tough

776
00:38:28,640 --> 00:38:29,080
Speaker 1: for them to.

777
00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:34,440
Speaker 3: So you did whatever they wanted. They scored three points

778
00:38:34,480 --> 00:38:36,840
Speaker 3: the game beforehand, you know, and they went up to

779
00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:37,919
Speaker 3: drop thirty eight less.

780
00:38:38,080 --> 00:38:39,680
Speaker 2: It's freaking Mississippi, isn't all?

781
00:38:39,760 --> 00:38:41,400
Speaker 3: Kenny Geyton at oc.

782
00:38:42,600 --> 00:38:47,000
Speaker 1: Exactly well, exactly, yeah, my line, which you know, I mean,

783
00:38:47,080 --> 00:38:50,239
Speaker 1: take it with a grain of salt because we don't

784
00:38:50,239 --> 00:38:51,080
Speaker 1: even know he's gonna.

785
00:38:50,880 --> 00:38:52,560
Speaker 2: Be playing in this game at this point.

786
00:38:52,640 --> 00:38:57,080
Speaker 1: But I got LSU minus fourteen right now, you know,

787
00:38:57,200 --> 00:39:00,760
Speaker 1: in the market right now, LSU minus thirteen, but again,

788
00:39:01,200 --> 00:39:01,800
Speaker 1: very fluid.

789
00:39:01,920 --> 00:39:02,319
Speaker 2: Right now.

790
00:39:02,680 --> 00:39:07,560
Speaker 1: I baked in a slight penalty for LSU, slight penalty

791
00:39:07,600 --> 00:39:11,879
Speaker 1: for Florida based on this, but very provisional, the same

792
00:39:11,920 --> 00:39:14,719
Speaker 1: way I'm betting the sports books, but their stuff very provisional.

793
00:39:15,160 --> 00:39:18,439
Speaker 1: And I know that the betters out there, the short

794
00:39:18,520 --> 00:39:20,000
Speaker 1: you know, the people in the market that bet this

795
00:39:20,000 --> 00:39:23,000
Speaker 1: stuff early on Sunday, they're doing what we call speculation

796
00:39:23,080 --> 00:39:26,320
Speaker 1: betting right now right like there, you know, is Daniel's

797
00:39:26,320 --> 00:39:30,200
Speaker 1: gonna play. The Florida guys reading tea leaves and then

798
00:39:30,280 --> 00:39:32,520
Speaker 1: you know they're they're doing what they think might happen,

799
00:39:32,640 --> 00:39:34,439
Speaker 1: and then we can come back and hit it later,

800
00:39:35,000 --> 00:39:37,879
Speaker 1: you know, based on this where's the value whatnot? We'll

801
00:39:37,880 --> 00:39:40,160
Speaker 1: have to see again, you know, pay attention later this

802
00:39:40,239 --> 00:39:41,320
Speaker 1: week for all that stuff.

803
00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:45,200
Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean yeah, if Daniels doesn't play, obviously

804
00:39:45,280 --> 00:39:45,960
Speaker 2: had to downgrade.

805
00:39:45,960 --> 00:39:47,360
Speaker 1: But you have to keep an eye on the Florida

806
00:39:47,400 --> 00:39:50,200
Speaker 1: defensive stuff as well, staying in the sec for a

807
00:39:50,280 --> 00:39:54,720
Speaker 1: ton Mississippi traveling to Georgia next weekend or this coming weekend.

808
00:39:55,239 --> 00:39:58,759
Speaker 1: Georgia right now in the market eleven.

809
00:39:58,239 --> 00:39:59,040
Speaker 2: And a half.

810
00:39:59,600 --> 00:40:04,560
Speaker 1: We got let me see if this one so I'm

811
00:40:04,560 --> 00:40:09,680
Speaker 1: seeing eleven right now. Georgia coming off of an impressive

812
00:40:09,880 --> 00:40:13,400
Speaker 1: ish win over Missouri. Didn't cover, but that's a frisky

813
00:40:13,440 --> 00:40:18,080
Speaker 1: Missouri team and Ole Mess they hang on at home

814
00:40:18,880 --> 00:40:23,440
Speaker 1: to beat the fighting Jimbos of A and M on Saturday.

815
00:40:24,239 --> 00:40:27,960
Speaker 1: What do you think about about this one, Georgia against

816
00:40:28,000 --> 00:40:29,920
Speaker 1: Ole Mess And what were you seeing today in the

817
00:40:29,920 --> 00:40:30,920
Speaker 1: market with this one?

818
00:40:31,280 --> 00:40:33,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean fairly tight in terms of the movement.

819
00:40:33,960 --> 00:40:38,960
Speaker 3: Really wasn't much opened up at minus twelve, you can see,

820
00:40:38,960 --> 00:40:42,000
Speaker 3: you know, it took a tick down and fifty six

821
00:40:42,040 --> 00:40:44,520
Speaker 3: and a half on the total. It's now up to

822
00:40:44,600 --> 00:40:46,759
Speaker 3: fifty eight and a half. I think a lot of

823
00:40:46,800 --> 00:40:49,960
Speaker 3: that has to do. Look how Mississippi State just shredded

824
00:40:50,120 --> 00:40:52,560
Speaker 3: Texas A and M, who had been able to slow

825
00:40:52,640 --> 00:40:54,879
Speaker 3: down a couple of pretty decent offenses. But I mean

826
00:40:55,280 --> 00:40:59,120
Speaker 3: there were no match for Jackson Dart and Trey Harris.

827
00:40:59,280 --> 00:41:02,960
Speaker 3: And Trey Ris went for two hundred on A and M.

828
00:41:03,040 --> 00:41:06,680
Speaker 3: And you know, Jackson Dart, the guy, the guy deserves

829
00:41:06,719 --> 00:41:09,840
Speaker 3: a lot of credit. They bring in Spencer Standers, not

830
00:41:09,920 --> 00:41:14,239
Speaker 3: your door, but Spencer Sanders from Oklahoma State, and like,

831
00:41:14,320 --> 00:41:16,160
Speaker 3: all right, well, maybe we can light a fire under

832
00:41:16,200 --> 00:41:18,160
Speaker 3: this guy, and you know, we'll see what we got

833
00:41:18,160 --> 00:41:21,760
Speaker 3: with Spencer Sanders. I mean, anybody who's watched Spencer Sanders

834
00:41:21,760 --> 00:41:24,960
Speaker 3: know that that was that was a long shot to

835
00:41:25,040 --> 00:41:27,080
Speaker 3: have him beat out Jackson Dart. But they also Brian

836
00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:31,040
Speaker 3: Walker Howard from LSU, who's a borderline five star recruit

837
00:41:31,360 --> 00:41:35,080
Speaker 3: who it's his second year, and you know, an UPGRADEDQB

838
00:41:35,239 --> 00:41:40,800
Speaker 3: room didn't matter. Jackson Dart has fulfilled the high uh

839
00:41:41,000 --> 00:41:44,160
Speaker 3: you know, the recruiting billing that he had, and he

840
00:41:44,320 --> 00:41:47,480
Speaker 3: was just masterful that game. I was particularly pretty high.

841
00:41:47,480 --> 00:41:50,280
Speaker 3: I'm on the college fantasy front. I have many shares

842
00:41:50,320 --> 00:41:53,120
Speaker 3: of Jackson Dart and you know, pleased to see that.

843
00:41:53,680 --> 00:41:56,480
Speaker 3: But now they're going up against Georgia. But you know,

844
00:41:56,840 --> 00:42:00,799
Speaker 3: Missouri was able to hang with him reasonably. Georgia was

845
00:42:00,840 --> 00:42:03,719
Speaker 3: in control of that game the whole way through. You know,

846
00:42:03,760 --> 00:42:05,920
Speaker 3: they were able to score a touchdown to kind of

847
00:42:05,920 --> 00:42:09,239
Speaker 3: close it. Obviously the back door cover out of Missouri,

848
00:42:10,080 --> 00:42:12,160
Speaker 3: you know in that game. But Georgia was in control

849
00:42:12,200 --> 00:42:15,760
Speaker 3: of that game. They looked pretty good. But they're playing

850
00:42:15,800 --> 00:42:19,600
Speaker 3: a I mean this Mississippi's offense. This is lane This

851
00:42:19,640 --> 00:42:22,920
Speaker 3: is the lane train pulling into the station now in Athens.

852
00:42:23,280 --> 00:42:25,160
Speaker 3: I do think they're gonna be able to score on them.

853
00:42:25,160 --> 00:42:27,440
Speaker 3: I think that's why you see the tick up from

854
00:42:27,480 --> 00:42:29,279
Speaker 3: fifty six and a half to fifty eight. I don't

855
00:42:29,320 --> 00:42:31,480
Speaker 3: blame that at all. I think you're going to see

856
00:42:31,960 --> 00:42:35,160
Speaker 3: a pretty pretty good back and forth. I do like

857
00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:35,840
Speaker 3: the over.

858
00:42:35,680 --> 00:42:38,279
Speaker 2: Here, I do too, Yeah.

859
00:42:38,400 --> 00:42:40,560
Speaker 1: I mean you got the tempo on the one side

860
00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:43,560
Speaker 1: with the lane train run, one of the fastest tempos

861
00:42:43,600 --> 00:42:46,160
Speaker 1: in the nation. And then on the Georgia side, we've

862
00:42:46,160 --> 00:42:48,960
Speaker 1: seen it ever since brock Bauers went out right like

863
00:42:49,040 --> 00:42:51,600
Speaker 1: with when you have brock Bauers, you have to use him.

864
00:42:51,640 --> 00:42:53,799
Speaker 1: And the way that that manifested was pounding him with

865
00:42:53,840 --> 00:42:57,239
Speaker 1: targets in the short to intermediate sector right, and then

866
00:42:57,280 --> 00:43:02,000
Speaker 1: they were inefficiency monster in that guard. But when Bowers, uh,

867
00:43:02,200 --> 00:43:04,719
Speaker 1: when he got injured, they've been throwing down the field

868
00:43:04,760 --> 00:43:07,760
Speaker 1: way way more and they've they've been able to spotlight

869
00:43:07,800 --> 00:43:10,040
Speaker 1: some of those receivers they have, and they have speed

870
00:43:10,320 --> 00:43:11,440
Speaker 1: both in the spot.

871
00:43:11,280 --> 00:43:14,520
Speaker 3: Now Clucky is back on the outside. Early in the season,

872
00:43:14,560 --> 00:43:17,319
Speaker 3: they brought me as soon as what as soon as

873
00:43:17,320 --> 00:43:20,520
Speaker 3: Boers went out. Ladd has been going nuts both of

874
00:43:20,520 --> 00:43:21,360
Speaker 3: these last two games.

875
00:43:21,360 --> 00:43:23,239
Speaker 1: And they got love it, you know, and and you

876
00:43:23,280 --> 00:43:25,439
Speaker 1: know the outside receive that. You know again, they got

877
00:43:25,440 --> 00:43:28,960
Speaker 1: speed and that Carson Beck kid can rip it, you know.

878
00:43:29,080 --> 00:43:31,000
Speaker 1: And so yeah, I mean you have all that different

879
00:43:31,080 --> 00:43:34,440
Speaker 1: kind of stuff. I this this game profiles is over

880
00:43:34,560 --> 00:43:37,120
Speaker 1: by the way, you know, right now where I'm looking

881
00:43:37,120 --> 00:43:40,239
Speaker 1: at the total right now in market fifty nine, my

882
00:43:40,320 --> 00:43:44,640
Speaker 1: system drops seventy three pro Ton seventy three.

883
00:43:44,840 --> 00:43:47,000
Speaker 3: You've got a couple of premier signal callers, even if

884
00:43:47,040 --> 00:43:49,359
Speaker 3: they don't get the national love. He's to Drake May

885
00:43:49,719 --> 00:43:53,280
Speaker 3: out of Shador, out of Caleb. Both of these two guys,

886
00:43:53,400 --> 00:43:56,520
Speaker 3: Dark and Beck have tons of shares of both of them.

887
00:43:56,520 --> 00:43:58,360
Speaker 3: I have. I have beck in every single one of

888
00:43:58,360 --> 00:44:01,879
Speaker 3: my C two C leagues, I believe, and like you're saying,

889
00:44:01,960 --> 00:44:04,280
Speaker 3: when you got to Signal college, you got the talent

890
00:44:04,400 --> 00:44:07,640
Speaker 3: level on both sides of the you know, the offensive units.

891
00:44:07,880 --> 00:44:09,480
Speaker 3: I'm in. I'm in on that over.

892
00:44:10,000 --> 00:44:12,080
Speaker 2: Might have to might have to buy a ticket. I

893
00:44:12,160 --> 00:44:13,719
Speaker 2: might have to buy a ticket, might have to buy

894
00:44:13,719 --> 00:44:14,000
Speaker 2: a ticket.

895
00:44:14,080 --> 00:44:17,680
Speaker 1: Right when we get off this record, Yeah, that that

896
00:44:17,760 --> 00:44:18,720
Speaker 1: number looks tasty.

897
00:44:19,040 --> 00:44:23,480
Speaker 2: Moving to our get off exactly, moving.

898
00:44:23,239 --> 00:44:26,880
Speaker 1: To our next one ACC show down in the Sunshine State, Miami,

899
00:44:26,960 --> 00:44:31,319
Speaker 1: traveling to Florida state line on this one fourteen and

900
00:44:31,360 --> 00:44:35,040
Speaker 1: a half. Uh yeah, still sitting at fourteen and a

901
00:44:35,080 --> 00:44:38,400
Speaker 1: half Florida State laying fourteen and a half a line

902
00:44:38,440 --> 00:44:40,279
Speaker 1: that uh maybe for.

903
00:44:40,280 --> 00:44:42,120
Speaker 2: Some people it feels a little bit elevated.

904
00:44:42,160 --> 00:44:45,560
Speaker 1: But you know, coming off the showing that Miami had yesterday,

905
00:44:46,719 --> 00:44:50,799
Speaker 1: really rough for for the ol Miami Hurricanes. Tyler van

906
00:44:50,920 --> 00:44:54,319
Speaker 1: Dyke not not looking great right now and Florida State

907
00:44:54,400 --> 00:44:56,480
Speaker 1: healthy not looking healthy either.

908
00:44:56,760 --> 00:44:57,560
Speaker 2: Not looking healthy.

909
00:44:57,600 --> 00:44:59,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's it's it's been a rough go for mister

910
00:44:59,719 --> 00:45:02,080
Speaker 1: Tyler been dying for about a month here and Florida

911
00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:06,040
Speaker 1: State they had, you know, initially the nerd dog and

912
00:45:06,480 --> 00:45:08,640
Speaker 1: Pitt they were, you know, doing some things to slow

913
00:45:08,680 --> 00:45:11,400
Speaker 1: down Florida State for what a quarter and a half

914
00:45:12,480 --> 00:45:13,920
Speaker 1: maybe even a little bit longer.

915
00:45:13,760 --> 00:45:15,759
Speaker 3: Headed into half Yeah, yeah, you.

916
00:45:15,800 --> 00:45:17,840
Speaker 1: Know, and Trey Benson was a little bit pressure, you

917
00:45:17,880 --> 00:45:20,279
Speaker 1: know and whatever. But then you know, Florida State got

918
00:45:20,280 --> 00:45:23,959
Speaker 1: it going and they did their thing this one in Tallahasseee.

919
00:45:23,960 --> 00:45:25,239
Speaker 1: Like I said, fourteen and a half, what have you

920
00:45:25,320 --> 00:45:26,960
Speaker 1: been seeing with this one for a time? And which

921
00:45:26,960 --> 00:45:28,120
Speaker 1: way would you lean in this game?

922
00:45:28,480 --> 00:45:30,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, it seemed like Norvella went back to his playing

923
00:45:30,840 --> 00:45:33,040
Speaker 3: days and threw in the corn rows at halftime and said,

924
00:45:33,040 --> 00:45:36,279
Speaker 3: all right, off is enough. We mean business here. But

925
00:45:36,320 --> 00:45:39,200
Speaker 3: the problem is, well, we'll get into the line movement

926
00:45:39,680 --> 00:45:42,120
Speaker 3: open to fifty two and a half and minus thirteen.

927
00:45:42,160 --> 00:45:44,239
Speaker 3: As you mentioned, that has ticked up and over the

928
00:45:44,320 --> 00:45:47,799
Speaker 3: key number of fourteen and a half, which tells you

929
00:45:47,840 --> 00:45:51,240
Speaker 3: kind of what you need to know with how that everybody,

930
00:45:51,320 --> 00:45:54,320
Speaker 3: you know, the market is reacting stuck. It's only fifty

931
00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:57,080
Speaker 3: one and a half or so, so the total has

932
00:45:57,120 --> 00:46:00,000
Speaker 3: stayed relatively stagnant. But both these teams have an injury issue,

933
00:46:00,440 --> 00:46:03,320
Speaker 3: as the scuff of Miami. I watched both the previous

934
00:46:03,360 --> 00:46:06,440
Speaker 3: of Miami games heading into this week, and watch Van

935
00:46:06,520 --> 00:46:08,480
Speaker 3: Dyke because I'm I'm a big proponent of Van Dyke.

936
00:46:08,520 --> 00:46:10,640
Speaker 3: I think he has he has a huge arm, he's

937
00:46:10,680 --> 00:46:14,000
Speaker 3: not afraid to test windows. And if he watched him

938
00:46:14,360 --> 00:46:17,680
Speaker 3: last game, he threw a couple of interceptions, you know,

939
00:46:17,719 --> 00:46:19,880
Speaker 3: one in particular where he had a guy streaking down

940
00:46:19,920 --> 00:46:23,680
Speaker 3: the sidelines and he's simply underthrew it. And it wasn't

941
00:46:23,680 --> 00:46:26,440
Speaker 3: a case he doesn't have the veloss. He's not hitting

942
00:46:26,600 --> 00:46:29,839
Speaker 3: those you know, outside the number throws like I've seen

943
00:46:29,920 --> 00:46:31,520
Speaker 3: him do for the pre you know, when he was

944
00:46:31,600 --> 00:46:34,360
Speaker 3: healthy pretty much at twenty one. Like when he's healthy,

945
00:46:34,400 --> 00:46:37,279
Speaker 3: he rips it. That is not the case. Way too

946
00:46:37,280 --> 00:46:40,400
Speaker 3: many Floridas out of Van Dyke, and it really exposed

947
00:46:40,400 --> 00:46:43,480
Speaker 3: itself this past week. And on the side Florida State,

948
00:46:43,760 --> 00:46:49,799
Speaker 3: no Johnny Wilson, surprise dnp out of keon Coleman. I mean,

949
00:46:49,840 --> 00:46:51,480
Speaker 3: where did where did that come from? No?

950
00:46:52,280 --> 00:46:52,719
Speaker 2: Where to that?

951
00:46:52,840 --> 00:46:56,360
Speaker 3: All see all year week long. So they had to

952
00:46:56,400 --> 00:46:58,480
Speaker 3: rely a little bit more like said on the running

953
00:46:58,520 --> 00:47:02,120
Speaker 3: game to a Philly and trade Benson Trede. Benson finally

954
00:47:02,160 --> 00:47:04,719
Speaker 3: ripped one off and you know got his touchdown. Like

955
00:47:04,760 --> 00:47:08,640
Speaker 3: you said, it wasn't much at halftime. The key offensive

956
00:47:08,680 --> 00:47:11,000
Speaker 3: injuries are what I'm concerned about here in this game,

957
00:47:11,600 --> 00:47:15,160
Speaker 3: and I tell you I'm leaning under based on that

958
00:47:15,200 --> 00:47:18,279
Speaker 3: because Miami's defense is pretty good. Florida State is I mean,

959
00:47:18,320 --> 00:47:21,480
Speaker 3: Jared versus Company is stout. I don't know how Miami's

960
00:47:21,480 --> 00:47:24,360
Speaker 3: gonna move the ball particularly well against them given the

961
00:47:24,440 --> 00:47:26,920
Speaker 3: kind of limitations. If you will get Van Dijke, I

962
00:47:26,920 --> 00:47:29,080
Speaker 3: guess he you know the rumors he had a hand injury,

963
00:47:29,200 --> 00:47:32,800
Speaker 3: but he's got a knee brace that is I mean gigantic.

964
00:47:32,880 --> 00:47:36,160
Speaker 3: It's taped, it's a big brace everything, and it's on

965
00:47:36,239 --> 00:47:39,240
Speaker 3: his plant leg. That's a problem against this defense.

966
00:47:40,160 --> 00:47:43,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll keep my comment short because you basically hit everything,

967
00:47:43,360 --> 00:47:46,360
Speaker 1: like the Florida State receiving Corp is banged up, the

968
00:47:46,360 --> 00:47:50,600
Speaker 1: Florida State running game on again, off again. You and

969
00:47:50,640 --> 00:47:53,400
Speaker 1: I love Benson. We love Benson, but like you know,

970
00:47:53,440 --> 00:47:55,080
Speaker 1: it's sort of been on again, off again. And if

971
00:47:55,080 --> 00:47:57,320
Speaker 1: Miami is able to load up, because you know what

972
00:47:57,560 --> 00:48:01,040
Speaker 1: to see with Wilson with home and and then the

973
00:48:01,360 --> 00:48:04,680
Speaker 1: other kid was out as well, High King Williams, well

974
00:48:04,760 --> 00:48:06,279
Speaker 1: to see if if they get them back. But if

975
00:48:06,320 --> 00:48:09,279
Speaker 1: they don't, who's in Florida State where they just going

976
00:48:09,320 --> 00:48:11,480
Speaker 1: to throw everything to Bell? You know, I mean like, well,

977
00:48:11,520 --> 00:48:14,959
Speaker 1: you know, so you know it could neuter that they'll

978
00:48:15,000 --> 00:48:17,880
Speaker 1: be able to load up again against Benson and Totefilly whatnot.

979
00:48:18,200 --> 00:48:20,160
Speaker 1: So you know it's going to suppress the scoring. I

980
00:48:20,160 --> 00:48:23,000
Speaker 1: ain't afraid of Miami's offense at all. For the reasons

981
00:48:23,000 --> 00:48:25,520
Speaker 1: that you're stating, Van Dyke does does not look well,

982
00:48:26,239 --> 00:48:28,880
Speaker 1: the line is to me more or less fair because

983
00:48:28,880 --> 00:48:32,160
Speaker 1: of that. My line's just slightly over that Florida State

984
00:48:32,239 --> 00:48:35,359
Speaker 1: fifteen point three, not over a key number. There's there's

985
00:48:35,400 --> 00:48:37,920
Speaker 1: the hell things like we're mentioning. I would lean the

986
00:48:37,960 --> 00:48:40,320
Speaker 1: under for all the reasons that you're stating because of

987
00:48:40,360 --> 00:48:42,319
Speaker 1: the hell stuff. But that's something to monitor for both

988
00:48:42,360 --> 00:48:45,200
Speaker 1: the over under and decide as we go throughout the

989
00:48:45,200 --> 00:48:47,719
Speaker 1: week before you bet this thing just a couple more

990
00:48:47,760 --> 00:48:49,560
Speaker 1: and then we'll get you guys out of here. Tennessee

991
00:48:49,760 --> 00:48:53,959
Speaker 1: Forton traveling to Missouri. Line in this one just over

992
00:48:54,000 --> 00:48:58,480
Speaker 1: a pick them in this one right now in the market.

993
00:48:57,840 --> 00:48:58,799
Speaker 2: This one been going.

994
00:48:59,239 --> 00:49:04,000
Speaker 1: We got Tennessee laying a point and a half is

995
00:49:04,000 --> 00:49:06,680
Speaker 1: what we're seeing right now in the market ab Missouri.

996
00:49:07,000 --> 00:49:08,520
Speaker 1: What do you what have you been seeing with this

997
00:49:08,560 --> 00:49:10,359
Speaker 1: one for a time? Which way way would you lean

998
00:49:10,360 --> 00:49:11,240
Speaker 1: early in the week.

999
00:49:11,440 --> 00:49:14,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, pretty pretty close, you know, open it one. It's

1000
00:49:14,280 --> 00:49:16,440
Speaker 3: a one and a half. You know, it's depending on

1001
00:49:16,440 --> 00:49:19,040
Speaker 3: where you go, it's pretty darn close to that. It

1002
00:49:19,120 --> 00:49:21,000
Speaker 3: has ticked up opened a fifty seven and a half

1003
00:49:21,000 --> 00:49:22,840
Speaker 3: on the total up to fifty nine and a half.

1004
00:49:22,880 --> 00:49:25,920
Speaker 3: And you know, with Tennessee for the first half of

1005
00:49:25,960 --> 00:49:30,000
Speaker 3: the season, they were the you know, the opposite of

1006
00:49:30,239 --> 00:49:33,560
Speaker 3: the you know twenty twenty two Tennessee team that was

1007
00:49:33,600 --> 00:49:36,000
Speaker 3: just chucking and ducking like they were playing a much

1008
00:49:36,040 --> 00:49:40,360
Speaker 3: more conservative brand of football, you know, riding Jalen Wright,

1009
00:49:40,400 --> 00:49:43,840
Speaker 3: who's who came into the the year as sort of

1010
00:49:43,880 --> 00:49:46,880
Speaker 3: the co starter, you know, maybe the one B to

1011
00:49:47,160 --> 00:49:50,239
Speaker 3: Jabari Small's one A. He has taken that over. They've

1012
00:49:50,280 --> 00:49:53,280
Speaker 3: really leaned on the running game and a pretty good defense.

1013
00:49:53,719 --> 00:49:57,399
Speaker 3: That changed against Kentucky because the f I mentioned Devin

1014
00:49:57,440 --> 00:49:59,760
Speaker 3: Leary went out and chucked for over three hundred yards

1015
00:49:59,760 --> 00:50:03,960
Speaker 3: again and that is just not what Kentucky has done

1016
00:50:04,040 --> 00:50:06,600
Speaker 3: all season. Kind of exposed some of the cracks. And

1017
00:50:06,600 --> 00:50:09,560
Speaker 3: when you got this Missouri team. You know, they're at Missouri,

1018
00:50:10,520 --> 00:50:14,560
Speaker 3: as i've you know, sung the praises of offensive coordinator

1019
00:50:14,600 --> 00:50:17,760
Speaker 3: Kirby More, formerly a Fresno State was there the previous

1020
00:50:17,760 --> 00:50:21,360
Speaker 3: two years on the He's a direct descendant of the

1021
00:50:21,440 --> 00:50:23,920
Speaker 3: Kaelin de Boor coaching tree. Now the head coach of

1022
00:50:24,120 --> 00:50:28,360
Speaker 3: Washington has led that offensive explosion. He has really helped

1023
00:50:28,440 --> 00:50:32,600
Speaker 3: Missouri become more up tempo, more efficient. Brady Cook has

1024
00:50:32,640 --> 00:50:36,239
Speaker 3: run that offense extremely well. Obviously they didn't weren't able

1025
00:50:36,239 --> 00:50:38,279
Speaker 3: to beat Georgia, but you know, I can't really knock

1026
00:50:38,360 --> 00:50:39,840
Speaker 3: him for that. They were the twelfth team in the

1027
00:50:39,920 --> 00:50:42,520
Speaker 3: nation headed into that game and still put up three

1028
00:50:42,560 --> 00:50:46,560
Speaker 3: touchdowns against it. You know, the Georgia defense. Uh, it's

1029
00:50:46,600 --> 00:50:48,640
Speaker 3: a really there's a good reason why this is taken up.

1030
00:50:48,719 --> 00:50:50,719
Speaker 3: I do like the over here and a couple of

1031
00:50:51,120 --> 00:50:53,399
Speaker 3: teams that I think will be able to score each other.

1032
00:50:53,440 --> 00:50:57,359
Speaker 3: Missouri good defense, not a great defense. I think you're

1033
00:50:57,360 --> 00:50:58,839
Speaker 3: gonna see some points on the board here.

1034
00:50:59,040 --> 00:50:59,880
Speaker 2: I like this.

1035
00:51:00,160 --> 00:51:01,680
Speaker 3: It would have overshot at fifty nine and a half.

1036
00:51:01,719 --> 00:51:02,640
Speaker 3: I think it continues to go.

1037
00:51:03,280 --> 00:51:07,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, my total sixty two, So we would agree on

1038
00:51:07,080 --> 00:51:11,360
Speaker 1: that one. My side is right where we're at in Vegas.

1039
00:51:11,640 --> 00:51:14,799
Speaker 1: I'm at a Tennessee minus one point seven, So so

1040
00:51:14,960 --> 00:51:17,879
Speaker 1: right there can Missouri get up off the mat after

1041
00:51:18,320 --> 00:51:21,840
Speaker 1: you know, I guess a nearish miss. They played Georgia

1042
00:51:22,360 --> 00:51:26,239
Speaker 1: closer than certainly most of the public anticipated heading in.

1043
00:51:27,080 --> 00:51:28,960
Speaker 1: You miss out on that one, now you're headed home

1044
00:51:29,000 --> 00:51:33,000
Speaker 1: playing this This Tennessee one should be a closer game, obviously,

1045
00:51:34,120 --> 00:51:36,080
Speaker 1: you know, a shot here to get up off the

1046
00:51:36,080 --> 00:51:39,560
Speaker 1: matt ken they We'll have to see a match up

1047
00:51:39,560 --> 00:51:42,120
Speaker 1: a little bit better in this one, you know, the

1048
00:51:42,400 --> 00:51:44,960
Speaker 1: but you know, Tennessee's pass defense is up from where

1049
00:51:44,960 --> 00:51:46,560
Speaker 1: they were last year when when they were a siven

1050
00:51:46,680 --> 00:51:51,000
Speaker 1: in that area. But Georgia elite pass defense, so we'll

1051
00:51:51,000 --> 00:51:53,480
Speaker 1: have to see. And Georgia was able to suppress the

1052
00:51:53,480 --> 00:51:55,560
Speaker 1: passing right like I mean, you know, both in terms

1053
00:51:55,600 --> 00:51:59,520
Speaker 1: of cook and then you know Tampa down on Luther Burden.

1054
00:51:59,600 --> 00:52:02,080
Speaker 1: So those guys should have a better game in this one.

1055
00:52:02,280 --> 00:52:04,080
Speaker 1: For a toon one more to break down a little

1056
00:52:04,080 --> 00:52:06,919
Speaker 1: bit more in depth, USC coming off the tough one

1057
00:52:07,840 --> 00:52:11,080
Speaker 1: against Washington on Saturday night and their first game in

1058
00:52:11,120 --> 00:52:14,960
Speaker 1: the post Alex screench Era traveling to Oregon. Man the road,

1059
00:52:14,960 --> 00:52:17,120
Speaker 1: don't get any easier for USC, does it?

1060
00:52:17,960 --> 00:52:18,400
Speaker 2: Oregon?

1061
00:52:18,520 --> 00:52:20,840
Speaker 1: Right now in the market fourteen and a half point

1062
00:52:21,000 --> 00:52:24,600
Speaker 1: favorite in Eugene got a total in this game in

1063
00:52:24,640 --> 00:52:28,200
Speaker 1: the market seventy three and a half. So we're gonna

1064
00:52:28,880 --> 00:52:31,399
Speaker 1: we have another profile of a shootout for the new

1065
00:52:31,440 --> 00:52:35,560
Speaker 1: interim defensive coordinator at USC. What's been going on with

1066
00:52:35,640 --> 00:52:37,799
Speaker 1: this game in the market today and what would be

1067
00:52:37,800 --> 00:52:39,440
Speaker 1: your early week angle on this game?

1068
00:52:39,800 --> 00:52:40,080
Speaker 2: Sure?

1069
00:52:40,120 --> 00:52:43,040
Speaker 3: Well, I think the it's funny the total open to

1070
00:52:43,080 --> 00:52:45,839
Speaker 3: seventy three and a half, and like you said, it's

1071
00:52:46,000 --> 00:52:48,799
Speaker 3: hung right there, which is kind of rare for a

1072
00:52:48,840 --> 00:52:50,960
Speaker 3: game of this sort of a magnitude. You know, we've

1073
00:52:50,960 --> 00:52:53,120
Speaker 3: seen a lot of flip flopping, but where the movement

1074
00:52:53,280 --> 00:52:56,880
Speaker 3: was here is open at seventeen at circa you know,

1075
00:52:57,000 --> 00:53:00,000
Speaker 3: down at that fourteen fourteen and a half range right now.

1076
00:53:00,080 --> 00:53:03,399
Speaker 3: That's a pretty sizable move obviously approaching you know, going

1077
00:53:03,440 --> 00:53:07,160
Speaker 3: from key number down to key number, you know, just

1078
00:53:07,160 --> 00:53:10,279
Speaker 3: says that the market, maybe the market does believe in

1079
00:53:10,400 --> 00:53:14,000
Speaker 3: the Alex Grinch, you know, firing or whatever have you,

1080
00:53:14,040 --> 00:53:16,960
Speaker 3: and that USC can score with Oregon because they haven't

1081
00:53:17,000 --> 00:53:19,719
Speaker 3: had a problem scoring. You know, obviously, as we all know,

1082
00:53:19,800 --> 00:53:22,760
Speaker 3: we I don't need to get into that. But Oregon's defense,

1083
00:53:23,239 --> 00:53:25,400
Speaker 3: you know, they've been pretty damn good too, fifteenth and

1084
00:53:25,480 --> 00:53:28,040
Speaker 3: epa per play in terms of yards per past six

1085
00:53:28,080 --> 00:53:31,160
Speaker 3: point three. So it's going to be a case of

1086
00:53:31,440 --> 00:53:36,520
Speaker 3: can USC run the ball against this Oregon defense and

1087
00:53:36,600 --> 00:53:38,239
Speaker 3: try to take a little bit of the heat off

1088
00:53:38,239 --> 00:53:41,520
Speaker 3: of Kalbe who you know, he's I mean, BLUs the guy.

1089
00:53:41,600 --> 00:53:45,160
Speaker 3: He has been running for his life, you know, for

1090
00:53:45,239 --> 00:53:47,880
Speaker 3: a good portion of the season. The offensive line hasn't

1091
00:53:47,920 --> 00:53:50,240
Speaker 3: done him, you know, many great shakes in that respect,

1092
00:53:50,280 --> 00:53:54,000
Speaker 3: but he's just so mobile and so good. You know,

1093
00:53:54,640 --> 00:53:57,920
Speaker 3: I lean that over even though it hasn't moved, just

1094
00:53:58,000 --> 00:54:02,560
Speaker 3: because of the magnitude of these two offenses and that,

1095
00:54:02,800 --> 00:54:05,040
Speaker 3: you know, I don't know if you can really look

1096
00:54:05,040 --> 00:54:07,960
Speaker 3: at the Allench Grinch you know, firing and say all right,

1097
00:54:08,000 --> 00:54:10,280
Speaker 3: we'll all is going to be well now at USC.

1098
00:54:11,520 --> 00:54:15,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, Alex Grinch getting getting let go today

1099
00:54:15,600 --> 00:54:18,200
Speaker 1: and took a lot of criticism, some of it fair,

1100
00:54:18,680 --> 00:54:20,080
Speaker 1: some of it not. You know, one of it I

1101
00:54:20,400 --> 00:54:23,120
Speaker 1: wasn't sure about was you know that some people said

1102
00:54:23,120 --> 00:54:25,719
Speaker 1: that that he wasn't consistent, you know, but I'm not

1103
00:54:25,760 --> 00:54:28,279
Speaker 1: sure about that. Last year they were eighty seventh SP

1104
00:54:28,400 --> 00:54:32,120
Speaker 1: plus defense this year the eighty seventh s P plus defense.

1105
00:54:32,880 --> 00:54:34,920
Speaker 2: So can you really say he wasn't consistent.

1106
00:54:34,600 --> 00:54:37,480
Speaker 3: A model of consistency, you could argue.

1107
00:54:37,400 --> 00:54:39,640
Speaker 2: Exactly the two.

1108
00:54:39,840 --> 00:54:44,600
Speaker 1: So they're going with cod defensive coordinators in where do

1109
00:54:44,680 --> 00:54:50,839
Speaker 1: we have that? Sean Knewah, their defensive line coach, and

1110
00:54:51,320 --> 00:54:55,120
Speaker 1: Brian Odom, the linebacker coach, will be co defensive coordinators

1111
00:54:55,160 --> 00:54:57,879
Speaker 1: the rest of the season. I don't really think that's

1112
00:54:57,920 --> 00:55:01,120
Speaker 1: gonna matter. I don't really see that defense getting any

1113
00:55:01,160 --> 00:55:03,319
Speaker 1: better words. Really, what they need to do is get

1114
00:55:03,400 --> 00:55:07,080
Speaker 1: better players in the off season. I honestly, I think,

1115
00:55:07,400 --> 00:55:09,919
Speaker 1: you know, it's honestly my really what my take, it's

1116
00:55:10,000 --> 00:55:12,320
Speaker 1: it's what my take is a Brian Farrence at Iowa.

1117
00:55:12,920 --> 00:55:14,600
Speaker 1: It's not really a Brian Ferrence. I think it's a

1118
00:55:14,640 --> 00:55:16,520
Speaker 1: Kirk Ference thing. In the same way this isn't really

1119
00:55:16,560 --> 00:55:18,759
Speaker 1: an Alex Grinch thing. To me, it's more of a

1120
00:55:18,800 --> 00:55:22,520
Speaker 1: Lincoln Riley thing. Lincoln Riley needs to prioritize getting in

1121
00:55:22,600 --> 00:55:25,400
Speaker 1: more defenders in the portal as opposed to fetishrizing all

1122
00:55:25,440 --> 00:55:28,760
Speaker 1: of his you know, the shriny offensive stuff and like whatnot.

1123
00:55:28,880 --> 00:55:31,280
Speaker 1: When he when he's going out and shopping for players

1124
00:55:31,320 --> 00:55:34,320
Speaker 1: in the summer, and in the same way that Kirk Farence.

1125
00:55:34,760 --> 00:55:37,560
Speaker 1: It's a strategic thing of of shifting, you know, like

1126
00:55:37,640 --> 00:55:40,839
Speaker 1: everything with with Kirk ference, it's it's it's let's set

1127
00:55:40,880 --> 00:55:43,960
Speaker 1: up the defense to be in the best possible position,

1128
00:55:44,480 --> 00:55:47,560
Speaker 1: you know, like in game as opposed to the up

1129
00:55:47,760 --> 00:55:50,919
Speaker 1: So Brian Farrence will never play up tempo. He will

1130
00:55:50,960 --> 00:55:53,360
Speaker 1: never go for it on four down right, you know,

1131
00:55:53,360 --> 00:55:56,120
Speaker 1: because he's not going to leave the defense stranded. Right,

1132
00:55:56,160 --> 00:55:59,000
Speaker 1: So he's fine doing that. Well, we'll go you know,

1133
00:55:59,120 --> 00:56:02,480
Speaker 1: the re downs and then we'll we'll punt it back

1134
00:56:02,520 --> 00:56:05,319
Speaker 1: to you at the you know, year forty. So we'll

1135
00:56:05,440 --> 00:56:07,360
Speaker 1: you know, because we have the awesome punter and Torita

1136
00:56:07,680 --> 00:56:09,000
Speaker 1: you we're gonna give it to you at the two

1137
00:56:09,080 --> 00:56:11,239
Speaker 1: yard line and then you know you're gonna go three

1138
00:56:11,280 --> 00:56:11,480
Speaker 1: and out.

1139
00:56:11,480 --> 00:56:12,760
Speaker 2: You'll give it back to us at the forty.

1140
00:56:12,760 --> 00:56:15,520
Speaker 1: We'll do it again and eventually you're gonna shoot yourself

1141
00:56:15,520 --> 00:56:17,680
Speaker 1: in the foot and you know, and then we'll get

1142
00:56:17,680 --> 00:56:18,520
Speaker 1: our points that way.

1143
00:56:18,800 --> 00:56:20,480
Speaker 2: It's the same thing here.

1144
00:56:20,680 --> 00:56:24,360
Speaker 1: Uh, you know, last last offseason, Lincoln Riley finally threw

1145
00:56:24,800 --> 00:56:29,239
Speaker 1: grinch a couple bones with Bear Alexander Mason Cobb and

1146
00:56:29,280 --> 00:56:32,120
Speaker 1: then he had Bullock as well. But there there needs

1147
00:56:32,120 --> 00:56:33,800
Speaker 1: to be a little bit more. I'm not gonna go

1148
00:56:33,920 --> 00:56:35,879
Speaker 1: you know, you know, do it do a whole thing

1149
00:56:35,880 --> 00:56:39,919
Speaker 1: of like, you know, the whole defense of Grinch, because

1150
00:56:39,960 --> 00:56:42,200
Speaker 1: it's not like I thought he did, like a fabulous shop,

1151
00:56:42,480 --> 00:56:44,680
Speaker 1: but us he does need to get more talent there.

1152
00:56:44,920 --> 00:56:47,480
Speaker 1: This is more a thing of like usc defense is

1153
00:56:47,520 --> 00:56:50,200
Speaker 1: not turning around this year because Alex Grinch is going

1154
00:56:50,200 --> 00:56:52,960
Speaker 1: out the door. They're gonna get lit up here in

1155
00:56:53,000 --> 00:56:56,239
Speaker 1: the same way the cal got their doors blown off

1156
00:56:56,280 --> 00:57:00,400
Speaker 1: defensively last week Forroton Mia copa or not me a call,

1157
00:57:00,760 --> 00:57:04,839
Speaker 1: I praise to you for your call a Bonix last week.

1158
00:57:05,200 --> 00:57:08,120
Speaker 1: Froton not only was calling for the over on Bonix

1159
00:57:08,200 --> 00:57:10,840
Speaker 1: his passing yard edge this past week. And I believe

1160
00:57:11,480 --> 00:57:13,640
Speaker 1: if I'm recalling correctly, I think it was two seventy

1161
00:57:13,640 --> 00:57:16,040
Speaker 1: three and a half in the market on Saturday, three

1162
00:57:16,320 --> 00:57:19,400
Speaker 1: old Yes, but Froton was banging the table for the

1163
00:57:19,520 --> 00:57:21,600
Speaker 1: ladder all the way up on the aut lines day

1164
00:57:22,160 --> 00:57:25,400
Speaker 1: two eighty five, the two ninety five, the three oh

1165
00:57:25,520 --> 00:57:26,160
Speaker 1: five fro time.

1166
00:57:26,200 --> 00:57:29,720
Speaker 2: Where did Bonix end up finishing against cow Uh?

1167
00:57:29,760 --> 00:57:33,160
Speaker 3: Well, you know, three twenty five. It was the max

1168
00:57:33,200 --> 00:57:36,959
Speaker 3: out in terms of his uh, you know, his ladder play,

1169
00:57:37,040 --> 00:57:40,040
Speaker 3: his alt lines, which have been pretty profitable this year, frankly,

1170
00:57:41,360 --> 00:57:44,240
Speaker 3: but they he ended up in the three fifties. And

1171
00:57:44,520 --> 00:57:46,840
Speaker 3: when it comes to you know, the three twenty five,

1172
00:57:47,360 --> 00:57:51,960
Speaker 3: that was a plus three seventy play against As we discussed,

1173
00:57:52,000 --> 00:57:55,800
Speaker 3: I mean, it was that was coming. Whether whether you

1174
00:57:55,840 --> 00:57:57,919
Speaker 3: know you liked it or not, there was no way

1175
00:57:58,160 --> 00:58:01,000
Speaker 3: that the offense was going to slow down in that

1176
00:58:01,040 --> 00:58:05,200
Speaker 3: particular contest deal against Cal. Cal has been getting humped

1177
00:58:05,960 --> 00:58:10,120
Speaker 3: all season long, but they've been scoring just enough, the

1178
00:58:10,200 --> 00:58:13,960
Speaker 3: Latin lover Fernana Mendoza, just enough, you know, to be

1179
00:58:14,000 --> 00:58:15,960
Speaker 3: able to like keep all right. And they did it

1180
00:58:16,000 --> 00:58:18,240
Speaker 3: perfectly like they were. They were down thirty five to

1181
00:58:18,520 --> 00:58:21,440
Speaker 3: you know, like thirteen, but then you know you're like,

1182
00:58:21,520 --> 00:58:23,640
Speaker 3: oh no, they're gonna take BONICKX out. He might only

1183
00:58:23,720 --> 00:58:26,800
Speaker 3: hit the two seventy three. Oh no, No, dn't worry. Cal

1184
00:58:26,920 --> 00:58:29,880
Speaker 3: scored nineteen just enough to make him keep the foot

1185
00:58:29,920 --> 00:58:32,840
Speaker 3: on the gas. And that's the beauty of Cal and

1186
00:58:32,880 --> 00:58:36,040
Speaker 3: taking over positions against them. They can't play d but

1187
00:58:36,120 --> 00:58:38,680
Speaker 3: they can do just enough. Thanks to Jake Spavoto on

1188
00:58:38,760 --> 00:58:41,760
Speaker 3: offense to keep it interesting and to keep your over

1189
00:58:41,880 --> 00:58:42,400
Speaker 3: is rocking.

1190
00:58:43,000 --> 00:58:44,080
Speaker 2: Great call by you there.

1191
00:58:44,480 --> 00:58:47,120
Speaker 1: This might be the game where boniks you know, it's

1192
00:58:47,160 --> 00:58:50,840
Speaker 1: like the ninety two percent completion and Bucky Irving is

1193
00:58:50,880 --> 00:58:55,080
Speaker 1: the guy with the ladder against that USC run defense,

1194
00:58:55,360 --> 00:58:58,480
Speaker 1: where Bucky Irving has the Dylan Johnson game, you know,

1195
00:58:58,560 --> 00:58:59,000
Speaker 1: or it's like.

1196
00:58:58,920 --> 00:59:01,480
Speaker 2: The two hundred fifty yards or and five touchdowns.

1197
00:59:01,120 --> 00:59:03,520
Speaker 3: Dylan Johnson I thought. I looked at Dylan Johnson like, well,

1198
00:59:03,560 --> 00:59:05,920
Speaker 3: it's USC's run defense. I didn't put it out. That's

1199
00:59:06,080 --> 00:59:06,560
Speaker 3: that's on me.

1200
00:59:07,160 --> 00:59:09,560
Speaker 1: And Dylan Johnson was on my bench in the fifty team.

1201
00:59:09,960 --> 00:59:13,240
Speaker 1: I'm I'm never gonna get over that. But yeah, So

1202
00:59:13,360 --> 00:59:15,600
Speaker 1: my line in this one is, you know, we got

1203
00:59:15,640 --> 00:59:17,480
Speaker 1: fourteen and a half in the market. My line is

1204
00:59:17,680 --> 00:59:21,840
Speaker 1: is Oregon minus thirteen point four is a fair line, right,

1205
00:59:21,920 --> 00:59:24,760
Speaker 1: I mean, you know, especially with the things up in

1206
00:59:24,800 --> 00:59:26,560
Speaker 1: the air, with the USC defense, they're gonna have to

1207
00:59:26,600 --> 00:59:27,720
Speaker 1: make some adjustments there.

1208
00:59:28,360 --> 00:59:31,520
Speaker 2: USC are they going to quit now? Right?

1209
00:59:31,600 --> 00:59:34,040
Speaker 1: I mean everything that they wanted, you know, with the

1210
00:59:34,120 --> 00:59:38,280
Speaker 1: season that's done now obviously now you take the third

1211
00:59:38,400 --> 00:59:41,720
Speaker 1: loss and whatnot, and Oregon they got everything to play

1212
00:59:41,800 --> 00:59:45,120
Speaker 1: for baby, you went out Oregon, You're going to the CFP.

1213
00:59:45,800 --> 00:59:46,760
Speaker 3: That just is what it is.

1214
00:59:47,240 --> 00:59:50,160
Speaker 1: So everything is in front of Oregon, everything is done

1215
00:59:50,200 --> 00:59:53,520
Speaker 1: for USC. The over is that that would be it

1216
00:59:53,640 --> 00:59:57,480
Speaker 1: for me here. My system put out a total on

1217
00:59:57,560 --> 00:59:58,240
Speaker 1: this one eighty.

1218
00:59:58,040 --> 01:00:02,720
Speaker 2: Six point eight last week. Yeah, you know, seventy three

1219
01:00:02,760 --> 01:00:04,720
Speaker 2: and a half is what it is in the market.

1220
01:00:04,880 --> 01:00:07,080
Speaker 2: And some people out there might be like, that's ludicrous,

1221
01:00:07,160 --> 01:00:07,720
Speaker 2: that's stupid.

1222
01:00:08,320 --> 01:00:11,520
Speaker 1: My system basically put out the exact same line the

1223
01:00:11,840 --> 01:00:14,800
Speaker 1: total for the USC why shooting game last week. In fact,

1224
01:00:14,840 --> 01:00:19,120
Speaker 1: I think it was eighty nine and you know two yeah, yeah,

1225
01:00:19,320 --> 01:00:20,920
Speaker 1: what did that one end up getting to it?

1226
01:00:21,000 --> 01:00:24,920
Speaker 3: It was something yeah, yeah, I actually saw a live

1227
01:00:25,040 --> 01:00:29,040
Speaker 3: line during the game, I think right around halftime, and

1228
01:00:30,240 --> 01:00:33,880
Speaker 3: so yeah, they blew my mind. But what are you

1229
01:00:33,920 --> 01:00:37,240
Speaker 3: gonna do? You know, that's how the game was trending.

1230
01:00:37,400 --> 01:00:40,680
Speaker 1: My gosh, yeah, I And and of course Oregon's gonna

1231
01:00:40,720 --> 01:00:43,080
Speaker 1: get out in front here and then USC is going

1232
01:00:43,120 --> 01:00:45,240
Speaker 1: to have to do the hurry up and let's just

1233
01:00:45,320 --> 01:00:47,880
Speaker 1: go for it and try. The only thing that could

1234
01:00:47,960 --> 01:00:50,000
Speaker 1: impede this thing in any way is Oregon, of course,

1235
01:00:50,120 --> 01:00:52,760
Speaker 1: is going to just run right like and that's where

1236
01:00:52,800 --> 01:00:55,320
Speaker 1: Bucky Irving is he's gonna be client. It's gonna be

1237
01:00:55,320 --> 01:00:58,280
Speaker 1: shoots and ladders for you know, with our props with

1238
01:00:58,640 --> 01:01:01,400
Speaker 1: old Bucky, and then that's I you know Bonix. I

1239
01:01:01,440 --> 01:01:03,040
Speaker 1: don't know if it's going to be his ladder game

1240
01:01:03,120 --> 01:01:05,320
Speaker 1: or whatever, but that's why you know, Bonix, it's gonna

1241
01:01:05,320 --> 01:01:06,480
Speaker 1: be one of those things where it's all of his

1242
01:01:06,600 --> 01:01:07,360
Speaker 1: easy throws.

1243
01:01:07,760 --> 01:01:08,640
Speaker 2: And that's why you know his.

1244
01:01:08,720 --> 01:01:11,840
Speaker 1: Completion percentage has gotten ludicrous in this system when they

1245
01:01:11,920 --> 01:01:13,800
Speaker 1: get ahead and it's such as all these easy.

1246
01:01:13,600 --> 01:01:14,280
Speaker 2: Throws and whatever.

1247
01:01:14,400 --> 01:01:17,080
Speaker 1: But I'm not touching the side of that one. I

1248
01:01:17,400 --> 01:01:21,120
Speaker 1: do like the over for the reasons that I stated Throton.

1249
01:01:21,440 --> 01:01:23,240
Speaker 1: This has been a lot of fun to all the time.

1250
01:01:23,320 --> 01:01:27,320
Speaker 1: We got four today, but good times next week. Mister

1251
01:01:27,440 --> 01:01:29,360
Speaker 1: Welsh is going to be back. But I hope we

1252
01:01:29,440 --> 01:01:31,800
Speaker 1: did good without the teacher in today. I hope we

1253
01:01:31,840 --> 01:01:34,680
Speaker 1: didn't get in trouble. That the principle what didn't have

1254
01:01:34,760 --> 01:01:37,600
Speaker 1: to be called in uh at least, so you know

1255
01:01:37,680 --> 01:01:38,600
Speaker 1: we didn't get in trouble.

1256
01:01:39,040 --> 01:01:40,040
Speaker 2: That's Eric Froton.

1257
01:01:40,280 --> 01:01:44,960
Speaker 1: You can follow him at CF Froton CF Did I

1258
01:01:45,000 --> 01:01:45,440
Speaker 1: say that right?

1259
01:01:45,480 --> 01:01:45,880
Speaker 2: Froton?

1260
01:01:46,080 --> 01:01:46,400
Speaker 3: Correct?

1261
01:01:46,680 --> 01:01:47,160
Speaker 2: CF?

1262
01:01:47,360 --> 01:01:50,200
Speaker 3: Just two F CF Froton. I should have picked a

1263
01:01:50,280 --> 01:01:53,800
Speaker 3: more you know, easy Twitter handle back in the day.

1264
01:01:53,800 --> 01:01:58,720
Speaker 1: Cef Throton on Twitter, dash X. I am thorn Icehrim.

1265
01:01:58,840 --> 01:02:01,560
Speaker 1: You can follow me at ORKU. We will see you

1266
01:02:01,640 --> 01:02:04,720
Speaker 1: next time. Next week back with mister Welsh. Thanks for

1267
01:02:04,800 --> 01:02:05,280
Speaker 1: tuning in.

1268
01:02:06,240 --> 01:02:08,320
Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

1269
01:02:08,640 --> 01:02:11,240
Speaker 1: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and

1270
01:02:11,360 --> 01:02:13,160
Speaker 1: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL.

1271
01:02:13,600 --> 01:02:16,440
Speaker 2: Also subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com

1272
01:02:16,560 --> 01:02:17,520
Speaker 2: slash Betting Pros.