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Speaker 1: Happy Wednesday, everybody, what's up?

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Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My

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Speaker 2: name is Matt Perrault. You guys get this podcast wherever

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Speaker 2: you get your audio podcasts. You can watch this fuck

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Speaker 2: this very video on the Betting Pros YouTube channel whenever

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Speaker 2: you want to do so. Video can be found on

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Speaker 2: your phone, computer, TV. All good stuff. Watch or listen

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Speaker 2: to the Daily Juice every single day. Good good week,

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Speaker 2: going four and two so far. We went to in one,

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Speaker 2: two and one.

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Speaker 1: That's good.

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Speaker 2: Up one point eight units on the week. As we

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Speaker 2: head into a Wednesday where I have three more bets.

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Speaker 2: In college basketball, I'm not making a future bet as

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Speaker 2: of yet. I know most of you guys were expecting it,

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Speaker 2: but I'm gonna wait a little bit. North Carolina did

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Speaker 2: lose last night. That was the game that we got wrong.

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Speaker 2: They lost at Georgia Tech Techa. Tough place to play

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Speaker 2: on the road in general in college basketball, real tough

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Speaker 2: places to play. But good win for Damon Sottlemarter's team,

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Speaker 2: and maybe some adjustment in the market is coming today.

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Speaker 2: So I want to wait and see and watch a

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Speaker 2: little bit to see what we get from a price perspective.

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Speaker 2: With North Carolina now would probably be the time to

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Speaker 2: jump in because they beat Duke on Saturday lookout, and

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Speaker 2: I think they're probably going to be Duke on Saturday.

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Speaker 1: So the pros were right look Ahead.

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Speaker 2: Spot number was too high for a home dog, just

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Speaker 2: like South Carolina, they won the game outright. That is

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Speaker 2: the second time we have bet a team plus fifteen

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Speaker 2: or higher and they've won the game outright. Oregon State

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Speaker 2: against Arizona was the other one, and then South Carolina

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Speaker 2: on the road against a really good Tennessee team. But

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Speaker 2: that number was ridiculous. Fifteen was a joke that was

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Speaker 2: come on, now, no way. They won the game outright,

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Speaker 2: so got that right. And then we got.

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Speaker 1: The what was the other one?

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Speaker 2: Indiana? Indiana hung on to beat Iowa, which was nice.

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Speaker 2: They won that game outright. They closed as favorites, but

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Speaker 2: they won and they covered, so we got that right. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so we've got three bets for you in college basketball.

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Speaker 1: Okay, let's start. We're going to college basketball.

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Speaker 2: We got three bets for us rocking and rolling here tonight,

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Speaker 2: and we're gonna start with Alabama and Georgia.

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Speaker 1: In the SEC.

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Speaker 2: Alabama is on the road, laying six points to the Bulldogs.

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Speaker 2: Alabama the number one most efficient offense in college basketball,

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Speaker 2: the number four effective field goal percentage in college basketball,

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Speaker 2: the number eleven and three point percentage in college basketball,

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Speaker 2: thirteen and two point percentage for Alabama in college basketball.

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Speaker 1: But don't sleep here on Georgia. Now.

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Speaker 2: Offensively, they're not great on the number side. Okay, they're

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Speaker 2: eighty third in efficiency, one hundred and seventy seventh in

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Speaker 2: effective field goal percentage on offense, one hundred and twelve

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Speaker 2: for defense, three point sorry, three point percentage, and two

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Speaker 2: hundred and thirty sixth in two point percentage. However, Alabama

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Speaker 2: lost here at Georgia last year. Alabama on the road

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Speaker 2: this year is three and six ats. Georgia at home

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Speaker 2: is six five and one, But they're six and one

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Speaker 2: in the SEC. Ats they're four and one over their

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Speaker 2: last five. They're eight and two over their last ten.

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Speaker 2: They covered against Florida on the road, catching eight, they

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Speaker 2: lost by four. They didn't cover against LSU, laying four

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Speaker 2: and a half. They won by two. But against Tennessee

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Speaker 2: at home, they were catching seven and seven and a half,

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Speaker 2: the same Tennessee team that killed Alabama. They lost by six.

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Speaker 2: Against Arkansas, they laid two. They won by ten. On

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Speaker 2: the road against Missouri, they're catching five and a half.

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Speaker 2: They won by seven. They played Kentucky on the road

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Speaker 2: at plus thirteen and a half, they lost by nine.

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Speaker 2: And they played at South Carolina catching six and a

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Speaker 2: half and they won that game by five. Now I

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Speaker 2: know Bama has been super hot. They beat LSU in

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Speaker 2: their last home game by twenty one. They beat Auburn

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Speaker 2: by four. We were on Bama against Auburn, lost by twenty.

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Speaker 2: We were on Bama against Tennessee, but they lost that

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Speaker 2: game badly. Missouri they won by eighteen. I know Bama

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Speaker 2: is hot. They've covered five of their last six games,

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Speaker 2: nine in two ats at home, five and two ats

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Speaker 2: in the conference. But here's the problem with college basketball

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Speaker 2: and the problem with Alabama on the road. Look what

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Speaker 2: they did against Tennessee. If they go cold from the outside,

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Speaker 2: they can lose to anybody. Bama can beat anybody, and

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Speaker 2: they can lose to anybody.

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Speaker 1: And you're on the road.

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Speaker 2: We saw what happened in Tennessee last night in the SEC.

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Speaker 2: I just think going on the road is so difficult.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Alabama lost to Tennessee in their last home game.

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Speaker 2: They beat Missippi State by eight as one point dogs.

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Speaker 2: That was a pretty impressive victory there, and they killed

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Speaker 2: South Carolina. We start going back and looking at the

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Speaker 2: way that they played, I mean against Arkansas State, they

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Speaker 2: didn't cover. Against Clemson, they didn't cover. Those are home

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Speaker 2: games for them. They won on the road against Creighton

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Speaker 2: they lost by three. They were catching seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: They covered there, but they were dogs. They weren't favored here.

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Speaker 2: You look at them being favored on the road. They

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Speaker 2: were favored against Vanderbilt, they won by three. They were favored.

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Speaker 2: They were favored against and there were dogs. As we

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Speaker 2: say they're favored. No, they've only been favored on the road.

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Speaker 2: What one time true road game they were favored. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: only one time against Vanderbilt and they didn't cover. Give

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Speaker 2: me the home dog plus six home dogs until further notice. Okay,

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Speaker 2: teams at home non ranked against ranked teams has been

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Speaker 2: a thing for a long time to take the non

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Speaker 2: ranked team at home. Sometimes they're favored, but this is dog.

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Speaker 1: I like dog.

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Speaker 2: Give me Georgia plus six for one point one units.

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Speaker 2: Second bet. Let's go to the Big twelve. Baylor's on

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Speaker 2: the road at Central Florida. We're talking about the seventh

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Speaker 2: most efficient offense against the eighth most efficient defense. Strength

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Speaker 2: on strength Baylor offense against UCF defense numbers three here

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Speaker 2: for this game, twelfth in effective field goal percentage offensively

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Speaker 2: thirty fifth in defense for Central Florida, third in three

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Speaker 2: point percentage for Baylor one hundred and twenty fourth for

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Speaker 2: UCF defensively seventy first, and two point percentage for Baylor

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Speaker 2: twenty fifth defensively for Central Florida's. So, how's the offense

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Speaker 2: for Central Florida?

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Speaker 1: Not good?

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Speaker 2: Okay, two hundred and tenth in efficiency two hundred and

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Speaker 2: ninety ninth and effective field goal percentage two hundred and

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Speaker 2: sixty ninth and three point percentage three hundred and sixth

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Speaker 2: in two point percentage. Baylor's defense is middle of the

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Speaker 2: pack in every stat They're not bad, they're.

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Speaker 1: Just not great.

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Speaker 2: So why do I like the home dog at plus

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Speaker 2: three because UCF is nine and three ats at home.

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Speaker 2: They're five and two ats in the Big twelve, and

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Speaker 2: they have beaten teams at home like Kansas they were

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Speaker 2: seven point dogs they won by five. They covered at

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Speaker 2: home against BYU, catching five and a half, they lost

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Speaker 2: by five, laying seven and a half against West Virginia

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Speaker 2: they won by thirteen. This team covered against Houston on

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Speaker 2: the road, catching seventeen and a half points and they

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Speaker 2: lost by fifteen. Yes, they got killed by k State

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Speaker 2: on the road. But Baylor's covered one time in their

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Speaker 2: last four games. Didn't cover against TCU lost by three,

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Speaker 2: didn't cover against Texas lost by two.

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Speaker 1: Or they did cover against Texas.

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Speaker 2: They're catching two and a half and they we were

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Speaker 2: on Texas there the number flipped case State lost by four.

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Speaker 2: They've lost three straight games straight up. Now UCF has

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Speaker 2: lost two of three, but they've covered five of their

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Speaker 2: last six and six of their last eight. One in

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Speaker 2: the last four and two in the last five on

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Speaker 2: the road. Yes, one in one Okie State they did cover,

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Speaker 2: laying four. They could they won by five. But this

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Speaker 2: is a team in the Big twelve. They're four to

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Speaker 2: three and one away from home overall, five and five

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Speaker 2: ats over their last ten, two and three ats over

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Speaker 2: their last five. The others going in the wrong direction.

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Speaker 2: Central Florida is playing really well this year, in particular

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Speaker 2: at home. They're seven and three over the last ten,

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Speaker 2: four and one over the last five. Three point home dogs.

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Speaker 2: Give me Central Florida UCF plus three. You want to

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Speaker 2: go money line. I don't have a problem with that

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Speaker 2: going money line. I think you may see an upset

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Speaker 2: here Baylor. Maybe going down Knights may take them out.

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Speaker 2: U SEEF plus three at home up against Baylor. And

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Speaker 2: finally we're going back to the SEC. Florida on the

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Speaker 2: road against Kentucky. The number is five and a half.

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Speaker 2: My goodness, gracious, get ready for offense. These two teams

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Speaker 2: one seventy went over when they met at Florida. Florida's

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Speaker 2: got the fourteenth most efficient offense, Kentucky ninth most efficient

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Speaker 2: offense one hundred and twenty, fifth in effective field goal

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Speaker 2: percentage for Florida, eighth for Kentucky, two hundred and second

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Speaker 2: in three point percentage for Florida, fourth for Kentucky offensively

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Speaker 2: ninety third and three point I'm sorry two point percentage

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Speaker 2: thirty ninth for Kentucky. They're both defenses are pretty much

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Speaker 2: the same. The difference comes to Roupp Arena and the

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Speaker 2: Kentucky offense. Pace of play. This is going to be

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Speaker 2: a track meet. Eighteenth in adjusted tempo for Florida. For

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Speaker 2: Kentucky they are better. They are twelfth in adjusted tempo.

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Speaker 2: Start looking at the way these games have gone so far.

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Speaker 2: The over is a good bet. It's just too high

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Speaker 2: to make it official. It's one seventy one. Kentucky's nine

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Speaker 2: to two to the over this year at home, Florida's

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Speaker 2: five to four and one to the over. On the

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Speaker 2: road this year in SEC play, Kentucky's five and two

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Speaker 2: to the over, four and three to the under for Florida.

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Speaker 2: But the last two games on the road for Kentucky

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Speaker 2: both have gone under. But Georgia at home went over,

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Speaker 2: Missisippi State at home went over, Missouri at home went over,

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Speaker 2: Illinois State at home went over. Last four games at

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Speaker 2: home at RUP have gone over for Kentucky on the

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Speaker 2: road against Missouri, it went under for Florida on the

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Speaker 2: road against Tennessee went under, So that's the worry. In

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Speaker 2: the SEC games, Florida's been playing unders. But I do

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Speaker 2: like it, not as much as the side though. Kentucky

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Speaker 2: at minus five and a half. They're six and five

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Speaker 2: at home. They're four and three in the SEC. But

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Speaker 2: Florida is six three, six and one ats on the

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Speaker 2: road and they're three and four in conference play. Didn't

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Speaker 2: cover against Georgia in their last game. They covered against

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Speaker 2: Missouri on the road. They won by twelve as three

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Speaker 2: point favorites, but against Tennessee they were dogs catching ten.

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Speaker 2: They lost by nineteen. Against Ole Mister, they're laying two

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Speaker 2: and a half. They lost by eighteen points. In Kentucky

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Speaker 2: at home, they beat Georgia thirty by nine. They didn't

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Speaker 2: cover in that game, but they cover against Misissippi State.

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Speaker 2: They covered against Missouri at home. They cover against Illinois

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Speaker 2: State at home. Florida's really Florida's good, but Kentucky's just

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Speaker 2: too good. They're too They're just much better here. I

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Speaker 2: like Kentucky nominaly the five and a half points home

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Speaker 2: favorite at RUP. When these teams play back on the

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Speaker 2: sixth of January, it was a two point win for

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Speaker 2: Kentucky hard fought game Kentucky one by two on the road.

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Speaker 2: We're talking about now at Rup, where Kentucky currently has

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Speaker 2: a record of ten and one, five and five straight

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Speaker 2: up for Florida. The only home loss on the year

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Speaker 2: for Kentucky they lost at home to UNC Wilmington, which

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Speaker 2: was like a what game?

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Speaker 1: Only home loss.

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Speaker 2: Everything else has been home wins for them, in particular

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Speaker 2: in SEC play against Missouri, against miss State, against Georgia,

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Speaker 2: they are three.

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Speaker 1: To zero at home and they beat Georgia.

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Speaker 2: I beat Florida eighty seven to eighty five in their

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Speaker 2: last matchup one seventy one.

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Speaker 1: You can sprinkle on the over as well if you

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Speaker 1: like it.

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Speaker 2: But I'm just gonna lay the five and a half

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Speaker 2: point tier with Kentucky minus five and a half Kentucky

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Speaker 2: against Florida. All right, three bets again in college basketball

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Speaker 2: two and one, two and one.

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Speaker 1: Let's keep it going here.

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Speaker 2: I would love another two and one night and then

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Speaker 2: another winning night here for us on a Wednesday. Georgia

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Speaker 2: plus six, Central Florida plus three, Kentucky minus five and

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Speaker 2: a half in the over one seventy one. If you

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Speaker 2: want to sprinkle and add on to something, feel free

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Speaker 2: to go ahead and do that. Mina is Matt Prolt.

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Speaker 2: You can follow me across all socials at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 2: Every single morning the Dally Juice Podcast I was being

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Speaker 2: brought to you by omastaks dot com