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Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of is information.

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Speaker 2: Wouldn't you agree to.

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Speaker 1: Five five dollars? This is a rale up?

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Speaker 3: How about they traveled one? You're saying that humans need

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Speaker 3: fantasy to make life bearable. Humans need fantasy to be human.

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Speaker 1: My goodness, not mistake.

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Speaker 3: Prone, the best, relentless, refusing to give up.

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Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn, very bless.

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Speaker 3: What's so, everybody? Welcome to the Fantasy Flex podcast from

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Speaker 3: the Action Network and Fantasy Labs. I'm your host, Chris Raban,

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Speaker 3: and this is your NFL Week one player projections episode.

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Speaker 3: As always, I'm joined by one of the most accurate

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Speaker 3: fantasy football rankers in the industry, the odds maker Sean Kerner. Sean,

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Speaker 3: what's going on?

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Speaker 1: What's up? Happy Week one? I love thanks time of

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Speaker 1: year because I'm like juggling the season long projection sheet,

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Speaker 1: the literal preseason player projection sheet. Well, kind of keeping

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Speaker 1: an eye on Week one, and it's kind of nice.

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Speaker 1: Preseasons done. Season long projections are pretty stable at this point,

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Speaker 1: so I'm like fully set on my Week one projections.

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Speaker 1: Always love this time of here.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, this is fun when you get the numbers start

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Speaker 3: turning into actual reality, we got games Thursday, Friday, Sunday, Monday,

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Speaker 3: four four days more. It's more football than not over

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Speaker 3: the next week, yeah, and for the next what twenty

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Speaker 3: twenty three weeks? So yeah, I don't like that. Very excited.

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Speaker 3: And for the new listeners, this is our player projections episode,

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Speaker 3: where we look at our initial projections for the week

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Speaker 3: each position. We start with our top five, We talk

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Speaker 3: about players higher and lower than consensus on, and then

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Speaker 3: we set a player prop for each position, just something

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Speaker 3: not necessarily like an actual line that we expect the

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Speaker 3: books to drop, but just a line that will help

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Speaker 3: us to sharpen an important player projection for the week,

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Speaker 3: so you could use it, you know, once the lines dropper.

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Speaker 3: Sometimes they're already out to bet. But I think it's

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Speaker 3: also helpful to just kind of get a good idea

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Speaker 3: of how some of these players are going to perform

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Speaker 3: this week that might be in question. So with all

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Speaker 3: that being said, we'll get into quarterback before we do.

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Speaker 3: Just want to quickly remind everyone all of our fantasy

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Speaker 3: football content for twenty twenty four from Chris Raybond Sean Turner,

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Speaker 3: available right now over at Fantasy labs dot com. All

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Speaker 3: of our rankings, projections and more. And remember we're not

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Speaker 3: only top five most accurate for season long, but also

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Speaker 3: numerous top five finishes for weekly rankings. I know Sean

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Speaker 3: has like eighteen first place trophies somewhere behind him. So yeah,

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Speaker 3: if you want accurate projections to set your fantasy lineups

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Speaker 3: and even bet props whatever you need to do, be

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Speaker 3: sure to go to Fantasy labs dot com and sign up.

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Speaker 3: All Right, Quarterback Top five Week one, twenty twenty four,

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Speaker 3: it's here.

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Speaker 1: What you got, all right? I got Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts,

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Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes, Anthony richardson number four, and CJ. Stroud wrapping

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Speaker 1: it up at number five.

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Speaker 3: Oh, very similar. I got Alan Hurts, Mahomes, Stroud four,

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Speaker 3: and richardson five.

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Speaker 1: So nice.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, love love Stroud this week, but I'll talk about

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Speaker 3: that in the second. And who are you high on?

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Speaker 1: I'm high on Trevor Lawrence this week against the Dolphins.

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Speaker 1: He's my quarterback eight to begin the week because East

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Speaker 1: R is right around quarterback thirteen right now. But I

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Speaker 1: was pretty high on Trevor Lawrence is entering the season

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Speaker 1: in general, I just think we could see him truly

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Speaker 1: break out in year five. We kind of saw a

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Speaker 1: glimpse of that in year two. I don't know if

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Speaker 1: it was, and then last year he was dealing with injuries.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to kind of chalk it up to that.

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Speaker 1: And yes, he's losing Calvin Ridley this year, but he

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Speaker 1: gained who I think is a stud receiver in rookie

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Speaker 1: Brian Thomas Junior in the first round. Plus they brought

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Speaker 1: in Gabe Davis, So I think he has some big

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Speaker 1: play up side in those two wide receivers, and he,

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Speaker 1: you know, still has steady targets in Christian Kirk and

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Speaker 1: Evan Ingram, so Trevor Lawrence, you know, has some sneaky

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Speaker 1: rushing rushing up set as well. And this is a

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Speaker 1: game where it could be a shootout where you know,

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Speaker 1: the Jaggers probably have to have him drop drop back

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Speaker 1: past a little bit more than normal keep up with

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Speaker 1: the Dolphins. So love is upside this week and he

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Speaker 1: just made it in my top ten for week one.

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Speaker 3: I feel like the odds of you betting the over

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Speaker 3: on a Brian Thomas Week one receiving yardage proper like

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Speaker 3: mines three hundred.

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Speaker 1: Potentially, yeah, potentially if it's below fifty. I haven't looked

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Speaker 1: at it up, but very possible.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Trevor Lawrence, he's gonna pop in models because he should.

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Speaker 3: He was very unlucky these past few years. A lot

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Speaker 3: of drops, especially in the red zone, a lot of

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Speaker 3: yardage left on the table. I think his touchdown rate

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Speaker 3: sells him a bit short. So yeah, look at at

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Speaker 3: our projections. Looks like you have him right around two

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Speaker 3: hundred and fifty yards as do I, and about one

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Speaker 3: point six passing touchdowns. I have one point five, so

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Speaker 3: you're a little higher than me there. But yeah, Trevor

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Speaker 3: Lawrence should have a better statistical season this year than

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Speaker 3: he had last. Yeah, I think Thomas could help a

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Speaker 3: whole lot. And Davis is a nice ad to get

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Speaker 3: some get some deep balls some red zone because that's

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Speaker 3: really where Lawrence is leaving a lot of meat on

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Speaker 3: the bones in the red zone. So now you got

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Speaker 3: Thomas who can score because he's talented, and Davis, who

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Speaker 3: you know, has a big body, deep threat.

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Speaker 1: So I like it all right for me.

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Speaker 3: A couple of guys stand out. Stroud I mentioned he's

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Speaker 3: actually out just outside the top five in the ECR,

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Speaker 3: but he's my QB number four. And that's because when

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Speaker 3: you look at the Indianapolis Colts. You know, it's been

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Speaker 3: a lot of talk in Indianapolis with Chris Baward the

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Speaker 3: GM about the secondary. You know, is the secondary gonna

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Speaker 3: hold up? And I think that there's a lot of

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Speaker 3: question marks. You know, Kenny Moore is a decent corner,

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Speaker 3: but you have a lot of question marks behind him

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Speaker 3: with Brent and you know, the safeties. So I really

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Speaker 3: like this matchup for Stroud because you got not one,

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Speaker 3: not too but what I think are three elite talents

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Speaker 3: at wide receiver in Nico Collins, Defined Diggs and Tank Dell.

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Speaker 3: He's got a great tech pass catching tight end in Schultz.

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Speaker 3: You got mixing coming over. Offensive line should be healthier.

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Speaker 3: So this is just indoor matchup. So this is just

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Speaker 3: a perfect spot, I think for CJ. Straud because this

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Speaker 3: Indianapolis secondary is one of the secondaries that I want

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Speaker 3: to target. You know, at gonna play a ton of

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Speaker 3: games indoors. You have a lot of inexperience at the

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Speaker 3: cornerback position. You know, Jayalen Jones is probably gonna have

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Speaker 3: to play a lot of snaps. You have Brents the same,

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Speaker 3: you know, he Cross. Nick Cross is gonna play safety

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Speaker 3: blackman who's he's solid. But overall, I think the secondary

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Speaker 3: if the coach struggle and fail to kind of get

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Speaker 3: back into the playoff position, I think the secondary is

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Speaker 3: going to be at the top of the list of reasons.

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Speaker 3: Why so just a great spot and the fact that

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Speaker 3: it's on the road. I actually like it even better

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Speaker 3: because that means, you know, the opponent, the AKA of

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Speaker 3: the Colts in this case, projected to score more on Houston.

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Speaker 3: And you know how CJ. Stroud does they go score

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Speaker 3: on him, He goes right back down the field and

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Speaker 3: scores on you. So I like the shootout potential here

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Speaker 3: for Stroud and then also Jayden Daniels. You know, this

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Speaker 3: Bucks defense is just kind of it's there. Don't love it,

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Speaker 3: don't hate it, but don't love it. I think it's

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Speaker 3: the kind of defense that will be solid for a

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Speaker 3: guy like Daniels to debut against. I think the commander

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Speaker 3: is actually a live dog in this game and have

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Speaker 3: a chance to pull out the win as an underdog.

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Speaker 3: So Daniels is my QB seven. He's still kind of

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Speaker 3: a fringe QB one in ECR at number eleven, but

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Speaker 3: even in a ten teamer I'm starting him because of

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Speaker 3: his rushing upside this week. You know, so some of

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Speaker 3: these pocket passers like Jared Goff, great spot, but you

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Speaker 3: know he's gonna hand off a lot, so a little

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Speaker 3: more variance with some of these guys, even if they're

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Speaker 3: projected for high team totals, whereas Daniels, even with a

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Speaker 3: middling team total, you know he's gonna scramble. You know,

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Speaker 3: he'll probably get some design runs and you know he

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Speaker 3: only has a few guys to throw to, So I

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Speaker 3: think the scrambling will kind of raise the floor each

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Speaker 3: and every week, regardless of you know, whether he takes

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Speaker 3: a while. You know, we'll probably take a bunch of

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Speaker 3: sacks and whatnot, but overall, already ready to already, I

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Speaker 3: think Daniels is startable in week one, even in ten

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Speaker 3: team weeks.

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Speaker 1: All have a prop for him coming up for you,

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Speaker 1: Oh baby.

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Speaker 3: All right, who are you low on?

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Speaker 1: Before we get to that, I'm low on Dak Prescott

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Speaker 1: this week against the Browns at Cleveland. I should say

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Speaker 1: he's my QB sixteen this week. And you know, people

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Speaker 1: who drafted Dak probably should have had in mind that

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Speaker 1: they're probably gonna potentially need somebody else for Week one

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Speaker 1: because this is a brutal matchup for Week one against

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Speaker 1: you know, elite Browns defense. The Cowboys offense could be

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Speaker 1: a bit rusty to start the season. Two. You know,

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Speaker 1: the offensive line and the run game will likely take

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Speaker 1: a step back this year, putting more pressure on Dak

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Speaker 1: in the passing game. But you know, Ceedee Lamb only

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Speaker 1: recently returned to practice after you know, signing his huge extension,

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Speaker 1: so he might not be in preseason form yet. I

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Speaker 1: don't think, you know, he's gonna get eased in necessarily,

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Speaker 1: but he's probably not gonna be in mid season form.

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Speaker 1: Plus Brandon Cooks has been missing a ton of practice

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Speaker 1: time recently with a knee injury. So I just don't

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Speaker 1: think this offense is gonna hit the ground running, especially

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Speaker 1: at Cleveland. So, just given how rough the Week one

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Speaker 1: streamer situation is, if you have Dak, you're probably gonna

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Speaker 1: have to play him, But I would just lower my

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Speaker 1: expectations for Week one.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, where you said you have in QB what six sixteen? Yeah, Hey,

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Speaker 3: I got him all the way down at twenty four.

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Speaker 1: I am not fling. I wish I was that low

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Speaker 1: on him maybe maybe.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, his yardage usually he's in you know, two sixties

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Speaker 3: to seventies. He averaged two sixty six last year against

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Speaker 3: the Browns. I have him down to two thirty five. So,

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Speaker 3: you know, just uh, just a tough, tough defense. Jim Schwartz.

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Speaker 3: I think it could be better in year two. They

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Speaker 3: got getting healthy at the right time. So yeah, just

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Speaker 3: just not a great week one spot for the.

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Speaker 1: Offense. Have you have Sam Darnold ranked ahead of him, Yeah, I.

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Speaker 3: Mean easily, it's about match up once you get outside. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: if he's if he can't run, I mean, Dak runs

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Speaker 3: a little, but you know, if he's not running, then yeah,

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Speaker 3: it's kind of comes down to match at week to week,

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Speaker 3: which is why we don't reach on on quarterbacks. You know,

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Speaker 3: we're either gonna get get a stud guy or to wait.

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Speaker 3: And that's why because you have Donald and if you

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Speaker 3: you know, kind of you could have got a like

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Speaker 3: a nice you know, running back or wide receiver depth

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Speaker 3: or maybe the last good tight end in a spot

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Speaker 3: where you drafted Dak and already have to bench them

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Speaker 3: for me, kind of a similar situation. Rock Purty for me,

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Speaker 3: is another guy who usually goes inside the top twelve,

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Speaker 3: but I don't think you want to start them this

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Speaker 3: week against the New York Jets, one of the best

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Speaker 3: defenses in the National Football League, Hassan Reddick or not.

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Speaker 3: You know, they still have elite cornerbacks, they still have

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Speaker 3: talent all over the field. So the forty nine ers

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Speaker 3: most weeks they're just gonna crush whoever. But this is

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Speaker 3: one of the best defenses they faced in quite some time,

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Speaker 3: you know, now that I think about it, and you know,

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Speaker 3: that's when you can start to introduce some variant. So maybe,

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Speaker 3: you know, maybe you get into a situation where they

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Speaker 3: just have to throw a ton and they get behind.

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Speaker 3: But really, the reason I don't love it is because

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Speaker 3: not only are the Niners facing an elite defense, but

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Speaker 3: they're still a favorite, so it could have like un

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Speaker 3: run heavy game script and not many points to go around.

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Speaker 3: So Purty this week is my QB twenty five. He's

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Speaker 3: QB seventeen in consensus, so kind of ranked as a

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Speaker 3: mid range QB two or super flex QB. He's on

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Speaker 3: the fringe for me. I unless it's a deeper league.

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Speaker 3: I would much rather leave him on the bench to

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Speaker 3: start the year. Against the New York Jets. Usually he's

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Speaker 3: up close to like two passing touchdowns per game for me,

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Speaker 3: against the Jets, he's down to about one point five.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, just a big, big downgrade for Perty. And really,

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Speaker 3: this whole offense sans this whole passing offense SAMs Christian McCaffrey,

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Speaker 3: who you know contributes in all facets. But yeah, don't

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Speaker 3: don't like Purty this week?

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Speaker 1: All right?

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Speaker 3: What are you doing for this? What is the Jay Day?

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Speaker 3: Jayden Daniels prop.

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Speaker 1: Yep, Jaydeen Daniels. So I have my simulator where I

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Speaker 1: project where every quarterback finishes on the week. I use

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Speaker 1: it to help me in the Fantasy Pros contest full disclosure,

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Speaker 1: But where will Jadeen Daniels actual rank be after Week one?

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Speaker 1: Just to say, like, I have him right around in

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Speaker 1: ECR QB twelve. I know you're higher on him than me,

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Speaker 1: but I only actually have four quarterbacks projected with greater

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Speaker 1: than a fifty percent chance to actually finish in the

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Speaker 1: top twelve. So I think this is good. Just when

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Speaker 1: it comes to like after week one ends, if Jay

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Speaker 1: Dale's finishes seventeenth, it doesn't mean that you know, he

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Speaker 1: isn't QB one going forward or anything like that. So

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Speaker 1: I have his over under for his actual Week one

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Speaker 1: rank set at thirteen and a half. So will he

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Speaker 1: finish inside the top thirteen, I have it around a

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Speaker 1: fifty to fifty chance.

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna say yes. I think that rushing upside we

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Speaker 3: saw it. We've seen it with guys like Nanny Richardson

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Speaker 3: where even if the passing is you know, up and down,

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Speaker 3: which I'm sure it will be, I think that rushing

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Speaker 3: upside in a matchup against Tampa Bay, that's not very

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Speaker 3: scary at all. So yeah, I'll go over. But yeah,

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Speaker 3: that sounds about right. Yeah for a guy ranked yeah,

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Speaker 3: just fringe QB one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. And so like if he finishes QB thirteen, I

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Speaker 1: would say that makes him more likely to be on

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Speaker 1: track for QB one this year because you're gonna have

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Speaker 1: guys like I'm just pecking guys out of my ass,

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Speaker 1: like Will Levis or Derek Carr might randomly finish him

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Speaker 1: a top ten this week, which would push him down.

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Speaker 1: But I think if Daniels finishes inside the top thirteen,

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Speaker 1: that makes me a little bit more bullsh on him

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Speaker 1: going forward, if that makes sense, because you know most

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Speaker 1: quarterbacks like they're projected medium finish, like I said, is

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Speaker 1: like closer to ten to twelve. Then you realize, like

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Speaker 1: Josh Allen, his overrunners like nine and a half. So

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Speaker 1: that's just kind of how I think about, you know,

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Speaker 1: after the week's over, we're like j Dale's fishes QB thirteen,

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Speaker 1: I'd say that's a good start to his career.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and that's why again I think waiting on quarterbacks

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Speaker 3: and taking you know, the guys that add some rushing

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Speaker 3: upside because rushing gives you just a higher floor, I think,

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Speaker 3: because you know, you get that one point five x

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Speaker 3: and if you're if guys are struggling to get open

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Speaker 3: or you're struggling to pass it, what are they gonna do.

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Speaker 3: They gonna roll you out more, You're gonna scramble more.

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Speaker 3: So uh yeah, I think you know, at that at

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Speaker 3: the spot where he was going QB twelve, QB thirteen there,

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Speaker 3: it's it's gonna be hard for him to to face

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Speaker 3: plant too much barring you know, just getting hurt and

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Speaker 3: missing a ton of time, like like Richardson. But even then,

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Speaker 3: he didn't hurt you because you were the last or

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Speaker 3: one of the last ones to draft your QB one exactly.

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Speaker 3: All right, Let's go to running back. Who you got

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Speaker 3: in the top five for week one?

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Speaker 1: All right? I got Christian McCaffrey, Briefs Hall B, Jon Robinson,

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Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor. Wait, is this my season long? Rinks and

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Speaker 1: traves c etn at number five. I guess that's the

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Speaker 1: only surprise I got.

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Speaker 3: I got McCaffrey one B, John Robinson number two, Grease

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Speaker 3: number three, Saquon Barkley number four, and Jonathan Taylor number five.

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Speaker 3: Who are you high on?

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Speaker 1: I'm high on Josh Jacobs, you know, against the Eagles.

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Speaker 1: He's my RB nine ECRs RB sixteen. And I've had

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Speaker 1: multiple people reach out like, why the hell are you

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Speaker 1: so high on Josh Jacobs. I recently bumped him up

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Speaker 1: into the top ten. It's not like I personally was like, oh,

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Speaker 1: I think he's the top ten running back now. What

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Speaker 1: happened was Aj Dillon, their backup running back, was ruled

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Speaker 1: out for the season, and I had Aj Dillon eating

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Speaker 1: into Josh Jacobs rusher quite a bit along with rookie

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Speaker 1: Marshawn Lloyd. So with AJ Dillon out for the season,

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Speaker 1: that just raises Josh Jacobs four in my opinion when

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Speaker 1: it comes to touches and week one specifically, you know

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Speaker 1: Marshawn Lloyd is still nursing his way back from a

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Speaker 1: hamster injury. He's going to be limited at best if

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Speaker 1: he does suit up, so it'll be Emmanuel Wilson probably

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Speaker 1: being the number two back. So I think just Josh

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Speaker 1: Jacobs has one of the most bankable you know, workloads,

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Speaker 1: I think in week one in this range and a

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Speaker 1: lot of people get caught up in yards per attempt

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Speaker 1: and certainly you know that that is an issue when

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Speaker 1: it comes to Jacobs. He had a really bad season

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Speaker 1: last year. But you know volume is king when it

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Speaker 1: comes running back, so if if he gets extra touches

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Speaker 1: to overcome that, I'm not as worried about that. So

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Speaker 1: you know, I think this week specifically, he just has

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Speaker 1: a really high floor ceiling combo and who knows, maybe

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Speaker 1: he'll start to channel the twenty twenty two Josh Jacobs,

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Speaker 1: the league winner Josh Jacobs, and he's he's in a

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Speaker 1: much better offense. You know, the Packers will probably be

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Speaker 1: one of the highest scoring offenses in the league. He's

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Speaker 1: a lock for goal one carries, so I love his

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Speaker 1: upside again, He's not a guy I'm projecting for four

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Speaker 1: point five yards a carry, but I just have to

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Speaker 1: emphasize like I'm projecting him for a ton of touches

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Speaker 1: right out of the gate. So that's why I'm high

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Speaker 1: on him. It's just purely projection based. I don't think,

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Speaker 1: you know, he's a top back or anything, but I think,

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Speaker 1: especially to start the season, very bankable volume for Jacob.

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Speaker 1: So I'm higher on him than ESCR looks like. And

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Speaker 1: same goes for Chewba Hubbard. You know he's he's at

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Speaker 1: New Orleans. I have him RB twenty seven. R has

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Speaker 1: him RB thirty one, and he's he's the back that

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Speaker 1: I said draft him if you need, you know, early

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Speaker 1: season running back because you know Jonathan Brooks. I think

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Speaker 1: he's the best running back from this class. Probably won't

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Speaker 1: play until Week five at best, and even then he's

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Speaker 1: going to get eased back in because he is coming

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Speaker 1: back from an ACL tear late last season. So I

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Speaker 1: think Chewba Hubbard will be the Panthers starting running back

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Speaker 1: for most of the first half of the season. So

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Speaker 1: if you aren't using him week one or early on,

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Speaker 1: maybe you can consider trading him. To somebody that's a

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Speaker 1: little more desperate at running back, because I think this

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Speaker 1: is the time Hubbard's going to be offering the most value.

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Speaker 1: So I'm high on Hubbard week one and through, you know,

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Speaker 1: week five or six, whenever Jonathan Brooks comes back, but

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Speaker 1: I think he's gonna be in the RB three flex

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Speaker 1: mix until then.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. I like Hubbard as well. I am. I have

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Speaker 3: him projected for just under fourteen carries, so he's actually

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Speaker 3: just inside my top twenty four this week, so I

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Speaker 3: like him quite a bit. And Jacobs, Yeah, I've been

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Speaker 3: talking about this on some other shows, that Marshall and Lloyd.

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Speaker 3: It seems like he's in the doghouse right, not just

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Speaker 3: that he is injured, but the coach is kind of

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Speaker 3: frustrated that he's injured because when you're a rookie running back, yes,

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Speaker 3: it's easy to hit the ground running, but sometimes there's

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Speaker 3: certain things you have to learn, and in this case,

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Speaker 3: you know, there's protections and things like that in order

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Speaker 3: for him to be kind of a three down or

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Speaker 3: a guy that can play on any down, because you

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Speaker 3: do want him to play in the passing game. So

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Speaker 3: it sounds like Jacobs is not only going to see

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Speaker 3: a ton of early down work, but also see a

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Speaker 3: ton of passing down work. So yeah, I haven't projected

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Speaker 3: for you know, seventy five eighty percent of the snaps,

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Speaker 3: which is on the you know, kind of on the

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Speaker 3: high high end for running backs. So he Jacob's my

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Speaker 3: rb uh seven. I actually haven't projected for nineteen nineteen

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Speaker 3: and a half touches, nineteen point five touches against Philly.

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Speaker 1: Marshawn Lloyd looks like he missed practice today and Emmanuel

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Speaker 1: Wilson picked up at hip injury. It's a huge So

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Speaker 1: I mean they might have to get on Jayden Reid,

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Speaker 1: might get some more. Yeah, like Malik Willis put him

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Speaker 1: back there. But like, yeah, like this just goes to

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Speaker 1: show that Josh Jacobs has a very very high flour

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Speaker 1: for Week one at least, yeah.

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Speaker 3: Because I mean behind that it was Ellis Merroweather and

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Speaker 3: I think Michael p Ryner on the practice squad. So yeah,

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Speaker 3: if if Wilson's banged up and Lloyd's banged up, there's

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Speaker 3: a chance Jacob's essentially doesn't come out of the game.

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Speaker 3: And he's done that one in his good season a

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Speaker 3: couple of years ago when he led the league in

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Speaker 3: rushing for the Raiders. He had games like that where

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Speaker 3: he essentially came out for like one or two snaps

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00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:08,119
Speaker 3: so Samir White could get a breather. I mean to

402
00:22:08,440 --> 00:22:10,520
Speaker 3: change to give him a breather, but that was that.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I think Jacobs is absolutely trending up in

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Speaker 3: in season long too now because if this, you know,

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Speaker 3: if these injuries linger for his backups, he's gonna they're

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Speaker 3: gonna have to continue to ride him. Earlier year, like

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Speaker 3: a guy like Aaron Jones, they didn't start really riding

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Speaker 3: him until the stretch run into the playoffs, whereas there

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Speaker 3: they might have to ride Jacobs from from week one on.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, like him quite a bit as well. I

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Speaker 3: am high on Kenneth Walker the third, like the spot

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Speaker 3: at home six point favorite against the Denver Broncos. Start,

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Speaker 3: you know, starting a rookie quarterback, so Seattle should have

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Speaker 3: a pretty positive game script throughout and a good game

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Speaker 3: script for running backs new regime. I think Kenneth Walker

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Speaker 3: is gonna be maybe a little closer to the feature

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Speaker 3: back in this one. You know, Zach Charboney didn't really

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Speaker 3: impress last year, and he was stealing a lot of

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Speaker 3: passing down work. But I think Walker has a chance

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Speaker 3: to kind of operate as a little truer to a

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Speaker 3: featured role with Robin Sharbone, excuse me, as more of

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Speaker 3: a true backup at least to start the year. So

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Speaker 3: I have Kenneth Walker as my RB sixth this week

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Speaker 3: against Denver, and ECR has him just outside the top ten.

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Speaker 3: He's at RB twelve, so quite a bit higher on Walker.

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Speaker 3: And that's also because some of the guys I'm down

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Speaker 3: on a little bit but also love Walker, you know,

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Speaker 3: home favorite against the Bronco defense that I think you're

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Speaker 3: gonna be able to run on.

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Speaker 1: Yep. I'm a big sharbon A fan obviously, but when

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00:23:52,840 --> 00:23:55,600
Speaker 1: Walker is healthy, it's clear that this is his backfield.

432
00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:59,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, he got hurt, Like some of his usage numbers

433
00:23:59,359 --> 00:24:01,399
Speaker 3: are a little ski because he left I think, like,

434
00:24:01,640 --> 00:24:04,960
Speaker 3: you know, two three games last year, so his his

435
00:24:05,080 --> 00:24:07,240
Speaker 3: snaps here is probably a little higher than the you know,

436
00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:10,800
Speaker 3: the season out his last season's averages. A right, who

437
00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:12,679
Speaker 3: are you low on at running back for Week one?

438
00:24:13,280 --> 00:24:16,399
Speaker 1: So I'm picking on two backs that are in running

439
00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:18,399
Speaker 1: back situations that I just think are a bit murky.

440
00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:21,240
Speaker 1: So we want to be careful at least to start

441
00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:23,000
Speaker 1: the season. They might end up being you know, RB

442
00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:25,320
Speaker 1: two's who knows, but just at least for week one,

443
00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:28,560
Speaker 1: you probably want a more stable situation. And the first

444
00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:32,520
Speaker 1: guy is Brian Robinson Junior of the Commanders. You know,

445
00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:35,239
Speaker 1: he's my RB thirty five. East Yer has the RB

446
00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:38,000
Speaker 1: twenty eight. It's just gonna be interesting to see how

447
00:24:38,040 --> 00:24:40,320
Speaker 1: this backfield is sorted out. You know, with Austin Eckler

448
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:43,159
Speaker 1: now in the mix, I would assume that Eckler is

449
00:24:43,160 --> 00:24:44,800
Speaker 1: going to handle more of the passing down work, and

450
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:47,440
Speaker 1: you know, Robinson Junior is going to handle the early

451
00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:49,960
Speaker 1: down work between the twenties. But when they get around

452
00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:52,600
Speaker 1: the goal line, you know, I'm assuming Robinson will be

453
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:55,520
Speaker 1: the goal line back, but Eckler could mix in. Jane

454
00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:57,680
Speaker 1: Daniels is more than capable of running it in once

455
00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:00,720
Speaker 1: they get it anywhere on the field really, so I

456
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:03,440
Speaker 1: just think that's gonna box Robinson in. You know, Commanders

457
00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:05,760
Speaker 1: are going to be in more trailing game script, so

458
00:25:06,520 --> 00:25:09,200
Speaker 1: I just be careful about him week one. If he

459
00:25:09,280 --> 00:25:11,199
Speaker 1: goes off on your bench, great, you probably have an

460
00:25:11,280 --> 00:25:13,040
Speaker 1: RB two the rest of the season. Is that all

461
00:25:13,119 --> 00:25:17,359
Speaker 1: that means? But another guy similar situation as Gus Edwards

462
00:25:18,280 --> 00:25:21,560
Speaker 1: of the Chargers. He's my RB thirty nine, whereas Ecier

463
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:26,200
Speaker 1: has him RB thirty two. This new look Chargers offense

464
00:25:26,240 --> 00:25:30,439
Speaker 1: should be very run heavy under Greg Roman, so Edwards

465
00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:32,639
Speaker 1: could be the lead back in a run heavy offense,

466
00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:37,480
Speaker 1: which is great. But JK. Dobbins seems healthier than I expected.

467
00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:39,399
Speaker 1: I think that there was a chance he wasn't going

468
00:25:39,440 --> 00:25:41,280
Speaker 1: to be ready for week one, but he's been practicing

469
00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:44,440
Speaker 1: fully now for a few weeks. You know. Granted, he

470
00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:46,920
Speaker 1: is coming back from a torn achilles, which can be

471
00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:50,200
Speaker 1: really tough to bounce back from for running back, but

472
00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:53,520
Speaker 1: as of now, it looks like Dobbins is ready to go.

473
00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:56,200
Speaker 1: So this could easily be more of a you know,

474
00:25:56,320 --> 00:26:00,399
Speaker 1: fifty to fifty split backfield. Rookie Kmani Vidal could mix in.

475
00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:03,600
Speaker 1: We don't really know. So just Edwards, he probably has

476
00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:05,720
Speaker 1: a lower floor than I think people give him credit

477
00:26:05,800 --> 00:26:08,280
Speaker 1: for right now. So he's another guy I would just

478
00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:10,320
Speaker 1: kind of wait for week one to see how it

479
00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:13,040
Speaker 1: plays out, then roll the dice on him. You might

480
00:26:13,080 --> 00:26:17,200
Speaker 1: have a more safer bet at least to start the season.

481
00:26:17,320 --> 00:26:19,960
Speaker 1: So Gus Edwards is somebody I'm low on at least

482
00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:22,880
Speaker 1: to start until we see how this usage sorts out

483
00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:23,320
Speaker 1: in Week one.

484
00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:25,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think there was a quote in the offseason

485
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:28,800
Speaker 3: when they first signed it was like he's going to

486
00:26:28,840 --> 00:26:31,640
Speaker 3: be our bell cow, and I think people are kind

487
00:26:31,640 --> 00:26:33,920
Speaker 3: of holding on to that. But I'm you know, from

488
00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:37,199
Speaker 3: what I've been hearing, Dobbins has been getting just as

489
00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:40,639
Speaker 3: many if not more first team reps as Edwards. You know,

490
00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:43,800
Speaker 3: throughout the offseason. Dobbins is a better pass catcher as well.

491
00:26:43,920 --> 00:26:46,479
Speaker 3: So like I said, I do I do ding Dobbins

492
00:26:46,560 --> 00:26:50,880
Speaker 3: in my efficiency projections because of the achilles. It's really

493
00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:52,920
Speaker 3: tough because it's just not a large sample size. But

494
00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:55,320
Speaker 3: you know, from what I could find, you know, acres

495
00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:58,359
Speaker 3: a few other guys, there's definitely a dip in that

496
00:26:58,560 --> 00:27:02,639
Speaker 3: first season, especially coming back, so that that's a concern.

497
00:27:02,760 --> 00:27:06,760
Speaker 3: But I think there's Dobbins probably at fifty to fifty

498
00:27:06,840 --> 00:27:10,359
Speaker 3: at worst to lead the backfield and snaps and in

499
00:27:10,480 --> 00:27:14,320
Speaker 3: touches as well. So yeah, Edwards, if he's not scoring

500
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:17,920
Speaker 3: those you know, the Ravens just I mean so many

501
00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:22,280
Speaker 3: rushing touchdowns, the Chargers aren't necessarily going to score as

502
00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:25,119
Speaker 3: much as the Baltimore Ravens offense. They could, I mean

503
00:27:25,160 --> 00:27:26,920
Speaker 3: that would be that would be great for them, but

504
00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:29,840
Speaker 3: you can't. You're not projecting the Chargers offense for that

505
00:27:30,359 --> 00:27:34,240
Speaker 3: amount of touchdown equity. And so with that being said,

506
00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:37,119
Speaker 3: Edwards doesn't get a touchdown, you know, you could be

507
00:27:37,160 --> 00:27:40,959
Speaker 3: looking at like eight carries for thirty two yards no catches. Right,

508
00:27:41,560 --> 00:27:45,840
Speaker 3: That's that's a Gus Edwards line. Just let's just knock

509
00:27:45,840 --> 00:27:46,280
Speaker 3: go on with that.

510
00:27:46,359 --> 00:27:46,560
Speaker 1: JK.

511
00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:48,840
Speaker 3: Dobbs doesn't like blow out at knee and in Week

512
00:27:48,920 --> 00:27:51,480
Speaker 3: one or signed crazy because I feel like he's just

513
00:27:51,680 --> 00:27:54,720
Speaker 3: never able to stay on the field. Yeah, I think

514
00:27:54,720 --> 00:27:57,800
Speaker 3: there's too much uncertainty with Edwards to really roll the

515
00:27:57,920 --> 00:28:00,560
Speaker 3: dice in this spot unless you're in a unless you're

516
00:28:00,560 --> 00:28:03,879
Speaker 3: in a really deep league, you know, and you have

517
00:28:04,000 --> 00:28:06,840
Speaker 3: to start like multiple flexes or something like that. All

518
00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:10,600
Speaker 3: right for me, you know who I'm going to pick on. Guy.

519
00:28:10,880 --> 00:28:15,960
Speaker 3: We both love Kyen Williams. And it's not just because

520
00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:18,879
Speaker 3: we know Blake Korum is going to mix in. He

521
00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:21,639
Speaker 3: got rested with the rest of the starters all preseason.

522
00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:24,359
Speaker 3: It's not because Kien Williams is going to also handle

523
00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:28,680
Speaker 3: punt returns, which just naturally could win at his offensive

524
00:28:28,720 --> 00:28:30,520
Speaker 3: work well, just a tiny bit, even though it gives

525
00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 3: him another crack. You know, you'd rather get the crack

526
00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:35,639
Speaker 3: rushing because you get the yards than just get a

527
00:28:35,680 --> 00:28:38,800
Speaker 3: crack at a touchdown on which is a lot more difficult.

528
00:28:39,120 --> 00:28:44,040
Speaker 3: But but I don't think people realize when they think

529
00:28:44,080 --> 00:28:48,880
Speaker 3: of the Lions defense that it's the number one run defense,

530
00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:50,760
Speaker 3: or at least it was the number one run defense

531
00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:55,120
Speaker 3: in the entire National Football League last season. So number

532
00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:58,000
Speaker 3: one in DVA was the Lions run defense. And we

533
00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:04,280
Speaker 3: have a recent precedent of Kyen Williams playing the Lions

534
00:29:04,480 --> 00:29:07,880
Speaker 3: and not being very productive in fantasy because the last

535
00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:11,800
Speaker 3: game that Karen Williams played was the playoff loss to

536
00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:15,200
Speaker 3: the Detroit Lions. The Rams scored twenty three points. It

537
00:29:15,280 --> 00:29:19,680
Speaker 3: was a close game. Kien Williams thirteen carries, sixty one yards,

538
00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:24,840
Speaker 3: no touchdowns, one catch, one target nine yards, so seventy

539
00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:30,920
Speaker 3: total yards, seven and a half Fantasy points in half

540
00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:33,640
Speaker 3: PPR eight in PPR failed to hit double digits. So

541
00:29:35,080 --> 00:29:38,120
Speaker 3: now with Korum, you just don't know a similar situation.

542
00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:38,760
Speaker 1: You just don't know.

543
00:29:39,520 --> 00:29:44,560
Speaker 3: So he's he's I have him ranked RB fourteen he's outside.

544
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:46,520
Speaker 3: He's not an RB one for me, he's the RB

545
00:29:46,920 --> 00:29:50,080
Speaker 3: two for me this week, So you're probably still gonna

546
00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:54,640
Speaker 3: to start him, but you know, there's a chance if

547
00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:57,680
Speaker 3: you drafted well, you might have a running back that

548
00:29:57,720 --> 00:30:02,160
Speaker 3: you drafted after him that's more artible this week. And yeah,

549
00:30:02,160 --> 00:30:05,120
Speaker 3: it's kind of what we warned about with with Kyron

550
00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:07,080
Speaker 3: Wentz wake FORRHAM season began.

551
00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:10,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, like you said, the Lions, uh number one nd

552
00:30:10,800 --> 00:30:12,880
Speaker 1: against the run last year and they had a DJ

553
00:30:13,040 --> 00:30:17,640
Speaker 1: Reader who's stuff, So yeah, I know, I well, to

554
00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:19,200
Speaker 1: be fair, I don't know if he's playing Week one.

555
00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:21,800
Speaker 1: He is coming back from that quad injury, but he's

556
00:30:21,800 --> 00:30:24,120
Speaker 1: a game time decision at worse. But like that run

557
00:30:24,240 --> 00:30:26,800
Speaker 1: defense is going to be even better with him in it.

558
00:30:27,560 --> 00:30:30,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, and he has extra time because it was a

559
00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:33,360
Speaker 3: sunny night game. And uh, they also got Willie McNeil

560
00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:35,080
Speaker 3: in the in the middle, So I mean if they

561
00:30:35,320 --> 00:30:37,520
Speaker 3: if Reader and McNeil or in the middle, that's just

562
00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:40,400
Speaker 3: And then he got those linebackers that fly around like

563
00:30:41,160 --> 00:30:46,000
Speaker 3: Angeloni and Campbell, and yeah, it's it's not gonna be

564
00:30:46,000 --> 00:30:48,280
Speaker 3: an easy team I run against. And they also be

565
00:30:48,320 --> 00:30:50,160
Speaker 3: a little tougher to pass against, which is hurts the

566
00:30:50,840 --> 00:30:54,640
Speaker 3: the entire opposing offense. So yeah, just too much uncertainty. Again.

567
00:30:55,080 --> 00:30:57,360
Speaker 3: You know, if you drafted Kyraen with a top ten,

568
00:30:57,760 --> 00:31:00,920
Speaker 3: you know, with a second round quick I guess it is,

569
00:31:01,000 --> 00:31:03,480
Speaker 3: you're probably gonna have to start him. But I would

570
00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:08,320
Speaker 3: check our rankings because I do think there's a chance

571
00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:10,680
Speaker 3: you might have a couple guys like a Kenneth Walker

572
00:31:10,720 --> 00:31:13,680
Speaker 3: for example, for me anyway, like I have him ranked yeah,

573
00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:16,240
Speaker 3: or of Kien might have got a few hours later.

574
00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:18,280
Speaker 1: Go back in time and listen to our posit where

575
00:31:18,280 --> 00:31:20,480
Speaker 1: we said draft like Korum instead.

576
00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:23,080
Speaker 3: Yeah. Yeah, and he's not like a slam dunk this

577
00:31:23,160 --> 00:31:26,200
Speaker 3: week either. Again, No, probably gonna see more running work

578
00:31:26,320 --> 00:31:29,160
Speaker 3: against a tough defense. But I really want to see

579
00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:31,280
Speaker 3: how that snapcout breaks down, because remember last year it

580
00:31:31,400 --> 00:31:33,560
Speaker 3: was it was all about cam Akers and then I

581
00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:35,880
Speaker 3: think both of them got like twenty cares. Oh yeah,

582
00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:37,520
Speaker 3: no and Crazy.

583
00:31:37,880 --> 00:31:39,840
Speaker 1: Yeah. Whenever I talk about the Rams, it's from the

584
00:31:39,920 --> 00:31:41,360
Speaker 1: point of like, I don't know what the hell I'm

585
00:31:41,360 --> 00:31:43,320
Speaker 1: talking about. I'm guessing I'll be wrong. But that's kind

586
00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:48,200
Speaker 1: of why I don't like to overspend on any rams. Yeah, yeah,

587
00:31:48,320 --> 00:31:50,640
Speaker 1: last year well, two years ago, I thought Kyroen was

588
00:31:50,680 --> 00:31:52,880
Speaker 1: going to take over, and they they tried to trade

589
00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:54,800
Speaker 1: away acres and they gave him the job. It's just

590
00:31:55,000 --> 00:31:59,920
Speaker 1: mcveagh's unpredictable, kind of like Kyle Shanahan without having Christian McCaffrey.

591
00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:02,120
Speaker 1: So it's just going to be of all the situation.

592
00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:04,320
Speaker 1: So I agree you just treat him with caution for

593
00:32:04,360 --> 00:32:05,880
Speaker 1: Week one, but you probably have to play him.

594
00:32:06,440 --> 00:32:06,640
Speaker 3: Yeah.

595
00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:06,880
Speaker 1: Yeah.

596
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:09,640
Speaker 3: Week one last year, Cam Akers twenty two carries twenty

597
00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:14,680
Speaker 3: nine yards, Karen Williams fifteen for fifty two and two

598
00:32:14,760 --> 00:32:18,600
Speaker 3: targets out of out of just nowhere like that. It

599
00:32:18,720 --> 00:32:20,800
Speaker 3: was like, what was the bigger surprise than Week one

600
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:23,880
Speaker 3: last year for the Rams? Was it Kien Williams seventeen

601
00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:28,960
Speaker 3: opportunities or Puka Akua fifteen targets? Ten buck nineteen.

602
00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:31,560
Speaker 1: Could easily because I thought that Kyra was going to

603
00:32:31,600 --> 00:32:34,240
Speaker 1: do this the year before. I silly meet for not thinking,

604
00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:36,480
Speaker 1: you know, sticking with it. But remember they were playing

605
00:32:36,520 --> 00:32:37,520
Speaker 1: Malcolm Brown out of them.

606
00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:41,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, big fat Malcolm Brown looks like a defensive tackle.

607
00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:44,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, so that's that's McVeigh for you know, But Pooka

608
00:32:44,600 --> 00:32:46,840
Speaker 1: is a much bigger surprise in my opinion, to be

609
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:49,240
Speaker 1: just like a top five wide receiver out of the

610
00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:50,840
Speaker 1: gate like that, and.

611
00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:52,880
Speaker 3: Twenty two carries twenty nine yards R eight. I mean,

612
00:32:52,960 --> 00:32:55,720
Speaker 3: that's not surprising. But you don't see that. You don't

613
00:32:55,720 --> 00:32:57,560
Speaker 3: see that very often for anybody.

614
00:32:57,640 --> 00:32:59,720
Speaker 1: It's a camp Maker stat line. We know that it is.

615
00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:03,440
Speaker 3: Unfortunately, I you look pretty good in preseason for the Texans,

616
00:33:03,520 --> 00:33:09,440
Speaker 3: but who knows. Yeah, so let's let's stick with this backfield.

617
00:33:09,800 --> 00:33:17,480
Speaker 3: Oh boy, okay, let's go Kyen Williams versus Blake Korum.

618
00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:23,719
Speaker 3: Let's go rushing yards and I'll give I'll make Kyron

619
00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:30,960
Speaker 3: the favorite bye twenty seven and a half. Who you got.

620
00:33:31,680 --> 00:33:33,680
Speaker 1: That's a great line. That's about where I have it.

621
00:33:34,880 --> 00:33:36,560
Speaker 1: You know, when it comes to the Rams backfield, you

622
00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:39,320
Speaker 1: know that Seinfeld episode where George just started to do

623
00:33:39,440 --> 00:33:42,800
Speaker 1: the opposite. Yeah, I want to go with Korum here

624
00:33:42,880 --> 00:33:44,880
Speaker 1: and take the yards. So I'm going to go the

625
00:33:44,920 --> 00:33:49,280
Speaker 1: opposite here McVeigh logic, and I'll take Kyron minus twenty

626
00:33:49,360 --> 00:33:51,880
Speaker 1: seven and a half. And for all my Blake Korm shares.

627
00:33:51,920 --> 00:33:54,520
Speaker 1: I hope I'm wrong, but That's how I'm approaching this

628
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:56,239
Speaker 1: week one.

629
00:33:56,320 --> 00:33:59,520
Speaker 3: Prop Yeah you have yeah, we both have it about

630
00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:03,239
Speaker 3: twenty twenty eight yards different. You actually you have them

631
00:34:03,240 --> 00:34:06,800
Speaker 3: about thirty, Kiren sixty five, Korn thirty seven.

632
00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:07,120
Speaker 1: I have.

633
00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:09,320
Speaker 3: I actually have just the whole team rushing for a

634
00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:11,800
Speaker 3: fewer yards, so I have Kiren fifty eight Korn thirty.

635
00:34:12,640 --> 00:34:14,680
Speaker 3: But either way, it's about it. Yeah, about just under

636
00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:15,600
Speaker 3: thirty yard difference.

637
00:34:15,680 --> 00:34:19,200
Speaker 1: Yeah. I think that's a great line. And uh, let's

638
00:34:19,200 --> 00:34:20,640
Speaker 1: just put it this way. We're gonna learn a lot

639
00:34:20,760 --> 00:34:22,279
Speaker 1: about this backfield out for Week one.

640
00:34:22,680 --> 00:34:25,640
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, definitely. I mean, and I'm even interested to

641
00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:28,480
Speaker 3: see if my guy Jordan Winnington gets any snaps and

642
00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:31,279
Speaker 3: if Ye Robinson keeps playing, you know, like all the

643
00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:34,080
Speaker 3: snaps are at well factors back in. So yeah, very interested.

644
00:34:34,800 --> 00:34:38,319
Speaker 3: The Rams do, just because they rest their guys all

645
00:34:38,360 --> 00:34:39,080
Speaker 3: preseason and.

646
00:34:39,160 --> 00:34:40,640
Speaker 1: This is an offense we want to invest in.

647
00:34:41,120 --> 00:34:44,800
Speaker 3: I mean, oh yeah, all right, let's get to wide receiver.

648
00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:47,480
Speaker 3: But before we do, just want to remind everyone that

649
00:34:47,680 --> 00:34:50,319
Speaker 3: all of our fantasy content this year is located at

650
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Speaker 3: fantasylevs dot com. Our award winning rankings and projections, as

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Speaker 3: well as all of our fantasy content all year long,

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Speaker 3: Action network dot com. All right wide receiver. Top five?

686
00:37:12,719 --> 00:37:13,080
Speaker 3: Who you got?

687
00:37:13,960 --> 00:37:18,520
Speaker 1: I got Tyreek, Hill, City, Lamb, Jamar Chase for Now,

688
00:37:19,880 --> 00:37:22,120
Speaker 1: Amine Ross, Saint Brown and Justin Jefferson.

689
00:37:22,320 --> 00:37:24,480
Speaker 3: Same for me, but just a little different order. Tyreek

690
00:37:24,600 --> 00:37:28,640
Speaker 3: is number one, Got Saint Brown number two. Jefferson number three.

691
00:37:28,880 --> 00:37:32,120
Speaker 3: Loves the matchup. Lamb number four so little being a

692
00:37:32,120 --> 00:37:34,640
Speaker 3: little cautious with the tougher matchup, and you know some

693
00:37:34,760 --> 00:37:37,439
Speaker 3: of the missed time and same thing for Chase. Chase

694
00:37:37,560 --> 00:37:39,680
Speaker 3: is five, just you know, missing a little bit of

695
00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:42,239
Speaker 3: time could be a game where they don't even need

696
00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:46,400
Speaker 3: them too much Patriot Office then, I mean, I don't know,

697
00:37:46,520 --> 00:37:49,880
Speaker 3: it's it's like Joe Burrow still has that like wingering

698
00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:53,680
Speaker 3: wrist injury, so something to uh, something to watch as well.

699
00:37:53,840 --> 00:37:58,080
Speaker 3: So have have Chase and Lamb other weeks. They might

700
00:37:58,160 --> 00:38:00,440
Speaker 3: be a little bit higher, but will be some tareek

701
00:38:00,480 --> 00:38:02,399
Speaker 3: this week and web me some mon Rock can't really

702
00:38:02,520 --> 00:38:03,760
Speaker 3: coke any holes in your games.

703
00:38:04,200 --> 00:38:07,560
Speaker 1: Who are you high on Josh Palmer? I'm going right

704
00:38:07,640 --> 00:38:10,000
Speaker 1: back to the Josh Palmer well right here. I mentioned

705
00:38:10,160 --> 00:38:13,279
Speaker 1: him on the Waiver Wire pod. But he's he's a

706
00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:16,280
Speaker 1: guy that's sneaky. He's in the wide Receiver three flex

707
00:38:16,880 --> 00:38:19,800
Speaker 1: discussion this week, so I think he is startable, especially

708
00:38:19,840 --> 00:38:23,920
Speaker 1: against the Raiders. And you know, anytime Palmer has needed

709
00:38:23,960 --> 00:38:27,240
Speaker 1: to step up without k and Ellen and or Mike Williams,

710
00:38:28,239 --> 00:38:30,400
Speaker 1: he has. So he has a history of you know,

711
00:38:30,560 --> 00:38:33,759
Speaker 1: being the top target or top two target in this

712
00:38:33,880 --> 00:38:37,000
Speaker 1: offense before and coming through. So to begin the season,

713
00:38:37,080 --> 00:38:40,239
Speaker 1: I think he is going to be justin Herbert's number

714
00:38:40,320 --> 00:38:43,640
Speaker 1: one target. I'll talk about it in a bit, but

715
00:38:43,680 --> 00:38:45,880
Speaker 1: I think lad McConkie could take over that role in

716
00:38:45,960 --> 00:38:48,560
Speaker 1: the second half of the season. But initially, I think

717
00:38:48,640 --> 00:38:52,480
Speaker 1: this is Josh Palmer's wide receiver room, and again I

718
00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:53,879
Speaker 1: think he has a high floor. I think you could

719
00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:56,719
Speaker 1: trust them week one, and then you're kind of waiting

720
00:38:56,800 --> 00:39:00,640
Speaker 1: for these high upside, volatile you know, received on your bench,

721
00:39:00,719 --> 00:39:03,319
Speaker 1: like a Ken Coleman or someone like that. You want

722
00:39:03,360 --> 00:39:04,799
Speaker 1: them to kind of have a big game or two

723
00:39:04,840 --> 00:39:07,080
Speaker 1: before you could trust them. I think Josh Palmer out

724
00:39:07,120 --> 00:39:08,759
Speaker 1: of the gate, I think you could trust him in

725
00:39:08,880 --> 00:39:11,719
Speaker 1: this wide receiver three flex range if you kind of

726
00:39:11,760 --> 00:39:14,040
Speaker 1: skipped that wide receiver, which hopefully you didn't. But I

727
00:39:14,120 --> 00:39:17,440
Speaker 1: think Palmer provides a nice safety net in his playable

728
00:39:17,719 --> 00:39:18,120
Speaker 1: week one.

729
00:39:18,560 --> 00:39:22,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, and something that goes a little bit overlooked, you

730
00:39:22,239 --> 00:39:24,400
Speaker 3: know when you're just kind of looking at this offense,

731
00:39:25,160 --> 00:39:29,799
Speaker 3: is that Dobbins and Edwards, at least earlier in the year,

732
00:39:29,920 --> 00:39:33,000
Speaker 3: are projected to take pretty much all of the snaps

733
00:39:33,120 --> 00:39:35,600
Speaker 3: at running back. Both of those guys tend to have

734
00:39:35,880 --> 00:39:39,680
Speaker 3: lower target rates per route than the average running back,

735
00:39:40,000 --> 00:39:43,440
Speaker 3: which just means more targets downfield, you know for the receivers,

736
00:39:44,360 --> 00:39:47,480
Speaker 3: and the tight ends aren't really that crazy either. I

737
00:39:47,520 --> 00:39:50,400
Speaker 3: mean you got Hayden Hurst, will Disley and Stone Smart

738
00:39:50,440 --> 00:39:54,160
Speaker 3: made it over par him, So both the running back

739
00:39:54,320 --> 00:39:56,680
Speaker 3: and tight end rooms for the Chargers aren't going to

740
00:39:56,760 --> 00:39:59,040
Speaker 3: just be you know, hogging targets. At least that's not

741
00:39:59,120 --> 00:40:02,480
Speaker 3: how it project which is kind of different from how

742
00:40:02,520 --> 00:40:04,480
Speaker 3: it's been in years past, when you had ectword just

743
00:40:04,719 --> 00:40:07,840
Speaker 3: gobbling targets up at running back and usually had like

744
00:40:07,920 --> 00:40:11,440
Speaker 3: an Everett or a Cook or a pretty decent I

745
00:40:11,520 --> 00:40:15,040
Speaker 3: mean Hurst desad, but you know, not really a guy

746
00:40:15,120 --> 00:40:17,640
Speaker 3: that you're're expecting that to cut into too much. So

747
00:40:18,040 --> 00:40:21,279
Speaker 3: like Palmer could hit the ground running and like be

748
00:40:21,480 --> 00:40:24,160
Speaker 3: the unquestioned, like he could be a target hog early

749
00:40:24,239 --> 00:40:26,400
Speaker 3: in the time. Yeah, like if this team, if they

750
00:40:26,440 --> 00:40:29,239
Speaker 3: don't go super super run heavy, if they just go

751
00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:32,280
Speaker 3: kind of normal run heavy. But like Greg Roman actually

752
00:40:32,320 --> 00:40:35,000
Speaker 3: had a normal pass rate. I think it was the

753
00:40:35,160 --> 00:40:38,360
Speaker 3: last time his last year with Baltimore they passed like

754
00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:40,960
Speaker 3: right around league average, So he wasn't even with Lamar

755
00:40:41,200 --> 00:40:44,040
Speaker 3: so if they just do that, you could be looking

756
00:40:44,040 --> 00:40:46,920
Speaker 3: at like an eight to ten weekly target guy with

757
00:40:47,080 --> 00:40:50,399
Speaker 3: Josh Palmer, and that could sustain all the year. So yeah,

758
00:40:50,480 --> 00:40:53,239
Speaker 3: I like to call on on Palmer. I'm highing him

759
00:40:53,239 --> 00:40:56,239
Speaker 3: as well. I'm going to talk about some guys kind

760
00:40:56,280 --> 00:41:01,920
Speaker 3: of fringe, you know, wide receiver two options that I

761
00:41:02,080 --> 00:41:05,839
Speaker 3: have that I like this week. The number one guy

762
00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:09,879
Speaker 3: is Rashi Rice. So he's the consensus wide receiver twenty four.

763
00:41:10,400 --> 00:41:12,960
Speaker 3: So if you're in a ten teamer, there's a chance

764
00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:15,800
Speaker 3: he might be debating, you know, whether to start or

765
00:41:15,840 --> 00:41:19,200
Speaker 3: sit him. He's not wide receiver eight, so I think

766
00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:21,000
Speaker 3: you should be starting out. I think the whole knock

767
00:41:21,040 --> 00:41:24,120
Speaker 3: on Rice was that we you know, in season long ranks,

768
00:41:24,760 --> 00:41:27,480
Speaker 3: we were projecting him to miss games due to suspension.

769
00:41:27,840 --> 00:41:31,320
Speaker 3: But now that's kind of off the table for the

770
00:41:31,400 --> 00:41:34,319
Speaker 3: most part. Number one, but number two, his per game

771
00:41:34,400 --> 00:41:37,160
Speaker 3: averages are still high. So even though he was going

772
00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:39,960
Speaker 3: yeah right around you know somewhere in the mid to

773
00:41:40,080 --> 00:41:43,279
Speaker 3: waight twenties in season long, his per game that was

774
00:41:43,400 --> 00:41:45,719
Speaker 3: most people were kind of projecting a couple of miss

775
00:41:45,800 --> 00:41:48,560
Speaker 3: games at least, you know, for suspension, but his per

776
00:41:48,680 --> 00:41:51,560
Speaker 3: game averages to still end in the top. You know,

777
00:41:51,719 --> 00:41:54,960
Speaker 3: twenty five thirty with a couple of miss games. At

778
00:41:55,040 --> 00:41:57,440
Speaker 3: least that means your per game averages are you know,

779
00:41:58,040 --> 00:42:02,480
Speaker 3: wide receiver one status and Marky's Brown doubtful save You're

780
00:42:02,520 --> 00:42:06,640
Speaker 3: worthy first game as a pro, and the Chiefs sometimes

781
00:42:06,760 --> 00:42:10,040
Speaker 3: you know how they are with rookie wide receivers. Even

782
00:42:10,120 --> 00:42:12,560
Speaker 3: Rice was frustrating last year. I think he was getting

783
00:42:12,600 --> 00:42:14,760
Speaker 3: what like a was it like a forty to fifty

784
00:42:14,960 --> 00:42:17,520
Speaker 3: thirty forty fifty percent snap rate those first few weeks.

785
00:42:17,880 --> 00:42:22,560
Speaker 3: Nicole Hardman, same thing, even Tyreek Hill it wasn't immediately

786
00:42:22,960 --> 00:42:28,320
Speaker 3: thrust into action. So there's also the possibility that essentially

787
00:42:28,480 --> 00:42:31,360
Speaker 3: everything's the same as last year. No Mark's Brown. You

788
00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:34,080
Speaker 3: have a like a guy running wind springs, a fast

789
00:42:34,080 --> 00:42:37,800
Speaker 3: guy running wind sprints on the outside, Yeah, Watson or

790
00:42:37,880 --> 00:42:44,160
Speaker 3: Worthy a Watson or mvs and uh and Rice and

791
00:42:44,280 --> 00:42:48,120
Speaker 3: Travis Kelcey gobbling up targets over the middle. There's no

792
00:42:48,480 --> 00:42:51,600
Speaker 3: Jared McKinnon Joe. So this is sets up just like

793
00:42:51,760 --> 00:42:55,480
Speaker 3: Rice's stretch run where he was a wide receiver one.

794
00:42:55,640 --> 00:42:59,400
Speaker 3: So don't sleep on Rashid Rice. And it sounds like

795
00:42:59,600 --> 00:43:03,200
Speaker 3: from every thing I'm hearing about you know what's going

796
00:43:03,239 --> 00:43:06,640
Speaker 3: on in practice and following the Kansas City beat, sounds

797
00:43:06,719 --> 00:43:10,160
Speaker 3: like Rice has expanded his routrey and has drawing praise

798
00:43:10,200 --> 00:43:12,640
Speaker 3: from mahomes for what he's been able to do over

799
00:43:12,719 --> 00:43:15,320
Speaker 3: the intermediate area of the Fielcuse. Remember he was mostly

800
00:43:15,440 --> 00:43:17,640
Speaker 3: just you know, catch it like two three yards past

801
00:43:17,640 --> 00:43:19,759
Speaker 3: the lot of scribbage and run after. But if he

802
00:43:19,840 --> 00:43:22,600
Speaker 3: can add the intermediate like now you're looking at like

803
00:43:22,640 --> 00:43:25,920
Speaker 3: a Deebo Samuel type season. Remember that year he had

804
00:43:25,920 --> 00:43:27,680
Speaker 3: a couple of years ago where he's just I mean,

805
00:43:28,360 --> 00:43:32,360
Speaker 3: so yeah, Rashid Rice is a guy, kind of quiet offseason,

806
00:43:32,480 --> 00:43:36,680
Speaker 3: but really like him. Tank Dell and Stefan Diggs for me,

807
00:43:37,280 --> 00:43:40,920
Speaker 3: both inside my top twenty five consensus had Digs at

808
00:43:40,960 --> 00:43:43,839
Speaker 3: twenty seven, Dell at thirty two, but already talked about

809
00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:48,240
Speaker 3: it with Stroud. This cornerback group for the Cult lots

810
00:43:48,280 --> 00:43:51,480
Speaker 3: of question marks. All of these guys or Digs in

811
00:43:51,560 --> 00:43:55,400
Speaker 3: Dell especially are going to move around. So you know,

812
00:43:55,600 --> 00:43:59,080
Speaker 3: Kenny Moore, good guy, good corn. Their best corner usually

813
00:43:59,120 --> 00:44:01,560
Speaker 3: plays in the slot. But Dell and Diggs, I think

814
00:44:01,600 --> 00:44:04,000
Speaker 3: we'll be able to move around and Collins, but also

815
00:44:04,560 --> 00:44:07,360
Speaker 3: they play a ton of zone. This is still Gus Bradley.

816
00:44:07,880 --> 00:44:10,160
Speaker 3: It's not a tough defense to prepare for. You're gonna

817
00:44:10,200 --> 00:44:13,080
Speaker 3: be able to kind of pick your spot. So I

818
00:44:13,160 --> 00:44:15,839
Speaker 3: think you want to start all your textan receivers this week.

819
00:44:15,920 --> 00:44:21,800
Speaker 3: You have a close, high projected shootout brewing with the

820
00:44:21,880 --> 00:44:24,920
Speaker 3: team's weakest wink at least the way it sets up

821
00:44:25,000 --> 00:44:27,719
Speaker 3: right now, at the cornerback position, and you have three

822
00:44:27,760 --> 00:44:31,800
Speaker 3: elite receivers. So yeah, sign me up for Tankdell and

823
00:44:31,960 --> 00:44:32,680
Speaker 3: Stefon Diggs.

824
00:44:33,360 --> 00:44:36,680
Speaker 1: All right, we go one. I'm a low on Ladd McConkey.

825
00:44:36,760 --> 00:44:40,080
Speaker 1: As I referenced earlier. He's my wide receiver fifty five

826
00:44:40,360 --> 00:44:43,759
Speaker 1: versus the consensus of wide receiver forty six. And he's

827
00:44:43,800 --> 00:44:46,040
Speaker 1: a rookie I think has a ton of upside. I

828
00:44:46,200 --> 00:44:48,719
Speaker 1: like him as a good bench dash, but I see

829
00:44:48,760 --> 00:44:50,760
Speaker 1: him more thriving in the second half of the season.

830
00:44:51,480 --> 00:44:53,320
Speaker 1: So just week one, we don't really know how this

831
00:44:53,400 --> 00:44:55,960
Speaker 1: wide receiver room is going to shake out. I think

832
00:44:56,160 --> 00:44:59,360
Speaker 1: Josh Palmer's the safest bet. He'll be out there most snaps.

833
00:44:59,400 --> 00:45:02,359
Speaker 1: But mconk he is a guy that they could pull

834
00:45:03,280 --> 00:45:07,000
Speaker 1: in two wide receiver sets or fewer, at least initially

835
00:45:07,920 --> 00:45:09,759
Speaker 1: and they're gonna be run heavy teams, so they might

836
00:45:09,800 --> 00:45:12,040
Speaker 1: be using a lot of heavy personnel sets. I saw

837
00:45:12,120 --> 00:45:15,280
Speaker 1: one play in preseason they were using like eight offensive linemen.

838
00:45:15,360 --> 00:45:18,560
Speaker 1: They have a lot of creative like run schemes. That's

839
00:45:18,600 --> 00:45:20,800
Speaker 1: gonna hurt McConkey if that's the case, unless he is

840
00:45:20,880 --> 00:45:23,200
Speaker 1: out on the field and two wide receiver sets. But

841
00:45:23,280 --> 00:45:25,279
Speaker 1: he's a guy. There's a ton of available targets in

842
00:45:25,360 --> 00:45:28,600
Speaker 1: this offense without you know, Kean Allen and Mike Williams

843
00:45:28,680 --> 00:45:31,080
Speaker 1: and Austin Eckler even mentioned it. The tight end room

844
00:45:31,800 --> 00:45:34,640
Speaker 1: took a hit this year as well without Gerald Everett.

845
00:45:34,680 --> 00:45:37,719
Speaker 1: So I think McConkie could be, you know, a top

846
00:45:37,800 --> 00:45:40,040
Speaker 1: forty receiver this year. But he's not a guy i'm

847
00:45:40,080 --> 00:45:43,080
Speaker 1: trusting early on, so I'm a bit lower on him.

848
00:45:43,160 --> 00:45:45,680
Speaker 1: But I expect him to only see an increase in

849
00:45:45,719 --> 00:45:49,279
Speaker 1: playing time and potentially prove his way into two wide

850
00:45:49,320 --> 00:45:52,239
Speaker 1: receiver sets and that's when I think he'll shine and

851
00:45:52,360 --> 00:45:55,399
Speaker 1: potentially offer a top forty value. But yeah, I think

852
00:45:55,520 --> 00:45:58,360
Speaker 1: he has a ton of upside. He could play outside, inside,

853
00:45:59,000 --> 00:46:02,040
Speaker 1: win downfield really good after the catch, So he's a

854
00:46:02,120 --> 00:46:04,759
Speaker 1: receiver I'm very very high on it just it might

855
00:46:04,800 --> 00:46:07,600
Speaker 1: be a slower start for him in this in this

856
00:46:07,800 --> 00:46:08,319
Speaker 1: landing spot.

857
00:46:09,400 --> 00:46:11,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, and you drafted him as your wide receiver four

858
00:46:11,880 --> 00:46:14,640
Speaker 3: maybe even five, so you should be able to leave

859
00:46:14,680 --> 00:46:17,200
Speaker 3: him on your bench and you know, see kind of

860
00:46:17,200 --> 00:46:19,080
Speaker 3: see how the snaps break down. But I think if

861
00:46:19,160 --> 00:46:21,439
Speaker 3: you are, we can to start a charge your wide

862
00:46:21,480 --> 00:46:23,040
Speaker 3: receiver in a pinch. Palmer is the way to go,

863
00:46:23,160 --> 00:46:24,840
Speaker 3: just based on what we've seen, you know from the

864
00:46:25,120 --> 00:46:28,120
Speaker 3: preseason usage and you know the yes here he has

865
00:46:28,120 --> 00:46:31,160
Speaker 3: that chemistry with Herbert and more likely to play in

866
00:46:31,880 --> 00:46:36,520
Speaker 3: you know, in that one two double tight end personnel, which,

867
00:46:37,000 --> 00:46:39,480
Speaker 3: like you said, Greg Roman, probably well, he was quite

868
00:46:39,480 --> 00:46:42,080
Speaker 3: a bit in what's projected to be has a tied

869
00:46:42,120 --> 00:46:43,920
Speaker 3: for the lowest total of the week at forty and

870
00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:49,040
Speaker 3: a half. Chargers Raiders Divisional Game two. For me, Garrett Wilson,

871
00:46:49,440 --> 00:46:54,520
Speaker 3: I'm surprised to see him ranked seventh in expert consensus.

872
00:46:54,560 --> 00:46:57,520
Speaker 3: He's my wide receiver twenty one and that's just because ah,

873
00:46:57,600 --> 00:47:01,640
Speaker 3: he's up to excuse me, wide receiver in consensus, he

874
00:47:01,760 --> 00:47:04,440
Speaker 3: jumped up a spot. No way, I'm ranking him over

875
00:47:04,520 --> 00:47:08,440
Speaker 3: Jamar Chase, which is consensus or you know another fifteen

876
00:47:08,480 --> 00:47:12,719
Speaker 3: wide receivers after him, because you know, this is just

877
00:47:12,840 --> 00:47:14,879
Speaker 3: like the Jets third tough matchup. De Niers are still

878
00:47:14,920 --> 00:47:18,920
Speaker 3: a tough matchup defensively. You know, still a lot of talent.

879
00:47:19,600 --> 00:47:21,400
Speaker 3: Brandon Staley, you know, say what you want about him

880
00:47:21,400 --> 00:47:23,840
Speaker 3: as a head coach, but you know he's gonna be

881
00:47:24,800 --> 00:47:27,920
Speaker 3: you know, coaching, helping coach the defense along with Sorenson.

882
00:47:28,480 --> 00:47:31,640
Speaker 3: You know, we have Ward and Lenore at corner, both

883
00:47:31,680 --> 00:47:35,400
Speaker 3: of those guys who've created very well in terms of

884
00:47:35,480 --> 00:47:38,920
Speaker 3: PFF last year, top twenty five guys on the outside.

885
00:47:39,480 --> 00:47:43,040
Speaker 3: And it just projects to be a low scoring, lower

886
00:47:43,080 --> 00:47:46,160
Speaker 3: scoring game than either of these teams are used to.

887
00:47:46,640 --> 00:47:51,440
Speaker 3: So not a real spot where I want to you know,

888
00:47:52,160 --> 00:47:55,279
Speaker 3: I'm kind of rushing to start Garrett Wilson. Now, you

889
00:47:55,480 --> 00:47:58,000
Speaker 3: obviously drafted him, you spent probably a late first early

890
00:47:58,080 --> 00:48:02,239
Speaker 3: second round pick on him. But you know, in ten teamers,

891
00:48:02,800 --> 00:48:05,839
Speaker 3: again there's a chance that you may have a couple

892
00:48:05,960 --> 00:48:08,759
Speaker 3: other wide receivers and a flex ranked higher than him.

893
00:48:08,760 --> 00:48:11,120
Speaker 3: Because he's my wide receiver twenty one. In twelve teamers,

894
00:48:11,640 --> 00:48:13,360
Speaker 3: you're starting him as a number two, or if you

895
00:48:13,400 --> 00:48:16,000
Speaker 3: start three wides, you're starting him. But I just wanted

896
00:48:16,040 --> 00:48:17,560
Speaker 3: to kind of put that out there that I'm about

897
00:48:17,680 --> 00:48:23,080
Speaker 3: fifteen fourteen to fifteen spots lower than consentus on Wilson

898
00:48:23,360 --> 00:48:24,000
Speaker 3: to start the year.

899
00:48:24,920 --> 00:48:25,560
Speaker 1: And also Mike.

900
00:48:25,480 --> 00:48:28,600
Speaker 3: Williams looks like he might suit up in week one,

901
00:48:28,640 --> 00:48:32,439
Speaker 3: which is also things Wilson just a little bit as well.

902
00:48:35,520 --> 00:48:38,399
Speaker 3: All right, it's your turn for prop wide receiver. Who

903
00:48:38,440 --> 00:48:38,719
Speaker 3: you got?

904
00:48:39,000 --> 00:48:43,280
Speaker 1: All right, I got one for you, Dontavian Wicks routes

905
00:48:43,360 --> 00:48:46,279
Speaker 1: run percentage in week one, Let's go. I love this,

906
00:48:47,040 --> 00:48:49,560
Speaker 1: Let's go, baby. I think that I have to set

907
00:48:49,560 --> 00:48:53,200
Speaker 1: this number because the hell I know I'm gonna I'm

908
00:48:53,239 --> 00:48:55,480
Speaker 1: going to go fifty three and a half percent.

909
00:48:56,040 --> 00:48:59,279
Speaker 3: Oh man, it's funny because in my model, I do

910
00:48:59,400 --> 00:49:01,120
Speaker 3: it in two and a half, So like I do

911
00:49:01,560 --> 00:49:03,400
Speaker 3: like fifty and then the next is fifty two and

912
00:49:03,440 --> 00:49:05,040
Speaker 3: a half, So like I don't get a lout of

913
00:49:05,080 --> 00:49:05,879
Speaker 3: fifty three and a half.

914
00:49:05,920 --> 00:49:09,000
Speaker 2: So that's okay, Yeah, yeah, no, no, no, that's that's

915
00:49:09,000 --> 00:49:10,279
Speaker 2: what I'm saying. That's a good one I would go.

916
00:49:10,280 --> 00:49:11,640
Speaker 3: I mean, I guess if I had to, I would

917
00:49:11,640 --> 00:49:14,960
Speaker 3: go fifty three point seventy five in like situations where

918
00:49:14,960 --> 00:49:17,200
Speaker 3: I'm really trying to get granular. But but let me

919
00:49:17,320 --> 00:49:20,520
Speaker 3: look at my actual projection just because yeah, that one,

920
00:49:20,640 --> 00:49:23,800
Speaker 3: that was a tough one for me too. Uh So

921
00:49:24,680 --> 00:49:29,200
Speaker 3: for week one, I have Wis. I haven't met forty

922
00:49:29,239 --> 00:49:32,680
Speaker 3: seven and a half, so I'm reluctantly gonna go under.

923
00:49:32,800 --> 00:49:35,960
Speaker 3: I gave the nod to the three guys. You know,

924
00:49:36,239 --> 00:49:39,319
Speaker 3: obviously I mentioned Dobbs. I have close to eighty percent

925
00:49:39,360 --> 00:49:42,000
Speaker 3: because that's just he really didn't vary too much. I

926
00:49:42,000 --> 00:49:44,720
Speaker 3: actually have seventy seven and a half, so little little

927
00:49:44,760 --> 00:49:47,759
Speaker 3: conservative with Dobbs Watson, I have seventy two and a

928
00:49:47,840 --> 00:49:51,040
Speaker 3: half because when he's healthy start the year. Did you

929
00:49:51,080 --> 00:49:56,279
Speaker 3: hear what Watson's been doing, like with the hamstring strength, He.

930
00:49:56,440 --> 00:49:58,759
Speaker 1: Like even it out so they're equal or something like that.

931
00:49:58,920 --> 00:50:02,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, so you had e asymmetrical hamstring, but it wasn't

932
00:50:02,200 --> 00:50:05,920
Speaker 3: just asymmetrical. It was I think the one hamstring was

933
00:50:05,960 --> 00:50:09,719
Speaker 3: like twenty or thirty percent stronger than the other side.

934
00:50:09,719 --> 00:50:11,640
Speaker 3: So he says he's got it down to like I

935
00:50:11,719 --> 00:50:13,920
Speaker 3: think eight to twelve. Now, he's still got more to go.

936
00:50:14,120 --> 00:50:17,200
Speaker 3: But uh yeah, when he's as long as he's healthy,

937
00:50:17,280 --> 00:50:19,440
Speaker 3: I think he he's going to be around seventies. Too

938
00:50:19,520 --> 00:50:23,919
Speaker 3: talented not to and then read sixty five. We talked

939
00:50:23,960 --> 00:50:26,200
Speaker 3: about him. He kind of tops out in the mid

940
00:50:26,320 --> 00:50:29,680
Speaker 3: sixties most times, especially if all four healthy. So yeah,

941
00:50:29,880 --> 00:50:33,520
Speaker 3: I could, I could raise Wicks up to to get

942
00:50:33,600 --> 00:50:35,400
Speaker 3: to that, like fifty three and a half, but that

943
00:50:35,480 --> 00:50:39,360
Speaker 3: would essentially mean zeroing out like Bo Melton or you know,

944
00:50:39,480 --> 00:50:42,600
Speaker 3: Heath whoever's active. Probably Melton as the number five, and

945
00:50:43,400 --> 00:50:47,040
Speaker 3: Melton was actually quite productive as well last year, so

946
00:50:47,480 --> 00:50:49,040
Speaker 3: I don't want to. I don't want to zero him

947
00:50:49,040 --> 00:50:51,480
Speaker 3: out until I see any evidence that they're going with

948
00:50:51,640 --> 00:50:54,160
Speaker 3: just a four man rotation. So for now, yeah, I'm

949
00:50:54,480 --> 00:50:57,560
Speaker 3: conservative forty seven and a half. Don't feel great about it,

950
00:50:57,600 --> 00:51:00,600
Speaker 3: but knowing will he'll run like forty set and still

951
00:51:00,680 --> 00:51:04,120
Speaker 3: lead the team in receiving, So that's what. But I

952
00:51:04,239 --> 00:51:05,200
Speaker 3: love I love their routes.

953
00:51:05,280 --> 00:51:06,440
Speaker 1: Run. That's a good that's a.

954
00:51:06,440 --> 00:51:09,560
Speaker 3: Fun one to project. Man.

955
00:51:10,760 --> 00:51:13,439
Speaker 1: Yeah, Basically, if any of the top receivers get knocked

956
00:51:13,440 --> 00:51:14,640
Speaker 1: out of the game, uh.

957
00:51:15,320 --> 00:51:19,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, Watson, Watson, Hamstring or get suddenly.

958
00:51:19,960 --> 00:51:22,840
Speaker 1: With Jacob's like the only healthy running back again, they

959
00:51:22,920 --> 00:51:26,360
Speaker 1: might use reading a creative way. Yeah, Wix on the

960
00:51:26,400 --> 00:51:29,239
Speaker 1: field and read on the field more more often than

961
00:51:29,280 --> 00:51:32,759
Speaker 1: they usually do. Uh, They're it's gonna be hard to

962
00:51:32,880 --> 00:51:34,920
Speaker 1: keep Wis off the field, and then you.

963
00:51:34,920 --> 00:51:37,160
Speaker 3: Still gotta get you still have to have we have

964
00:51:37,200 --> 00:51:39,200
Speaker 3: have enough room for your one two personnel too, though.

965
00:51:39,239 --> 00:51:41,120
Speaker 3: It's just really tough to project this pack because like

966
00:51:41,320 --> 00:51:43,439
Speaker 3: Craft and Musgrave are too good tight end.

967
00:51:43,440 --> 00:51:45,000
Speaker 1: So it's a good problem to have they have.

968
00:51:45,160 --> 00:51:48,399
Speaker 3: It's funny because I feel like everyone, or at least

969
00:51:48,440 --> 00:51:51,160
Speaker 3: in our little best ball bubble where we start drafting

970
00:51:51,239 --> 00:51:54,080
Speaker 3: in like April, everyone was just so high in Marshall

971
00:51:54,200 --> 00:51:56,480
Speaker 3: Lloyd and he could still pan out at some point,

972
00:51:56,520 --> 00:51:59,000
Speaker 3: but yeah, it's just ironic that he's the guy somehow

973
00:51:59,040 --> 00:52:02,080
Speaker 3: in the doghouse, even with getting going to ir and

974
00:52:02,239 --> 00:52:05,040
Speaker 3: like it's like the one position where there was somewhat

975
00:52:05,080 --> 00:52:08,080
Speaker 3: of an opening and I can't seize it yet. Yep,

976
00:52:09,120 --> 00:52:10,719
Speaker 3: all right, let's close it out with tight end.

977
00:52:10,800 --> 00:52:16,280
Speaker 1: Top five we got Travis Kelce, Trey McBride, Sam Laporta,

978
00:52:16,520 --> 00:52:18,320
Speaker 1: Evan Ingram, and Kyle Pitts.

979
00:52:19,440 --> 00:52:22,200
Speaker 3: Oh, Kyle Pitts, Yeah, he's I'm hiring him this year

980
00:52:22,239 --> 00:52:26,000
Speaker 3: as well. I would love to like see like confirm

981
00:52:26,080 --> 00:52:27,719
Speaker 3: that for a week. But I like that you have

982
00:52:27,880 --> 00:52:32,080
Speaker 3: been the top five already. I have Kelsey Laporta, Daltonton

983
00:52:32,160 --> 00:52:34,960
Speaker 3: Kaid who I love and going against Arizona should be

984
00:52:34,960 --> 00:52:37,719
Speaker 3: a solid matchup. McBride love him as well. The Bills

985
00:52:37,760 --> 00:52:41,520
Speaker 3: don't have those safeties or Milano injured again, like it

986
00:52:41,560 --> 00:52:43,759
Speaker 3: seems like every year, the Bill's just they used to

987
00:52:43,760 --> 00:52:46,040
Speaker 3: be a team you could never play tight ends against,

988
00:52:46,040 --> 00:52:48,560
Speaker 3: and now it seems like they're always hurting at a

989
00:52:48,680 --> 00:52:51,879
Speaker 3: safety and linebacker. And then Andrews wrapped up the top five.

990
00:52:52,000 --> 00:52:55,239
Speaker 3: So but Pitts is right there. Yeah, I just I'd

991
00:52:55,320 --> 00:52:59,120
Speaker 3: love to see a week in you know, Pittsburgh actually

992
00:52:59,280 --> 00:53:01,160
Speaker 3: matches up airly well, and I don't. I just don't

993
00:53:01,160 --> 00:53:05,239
Speaker 3: want that Mike Tomlin underdone voodoo messing with my five

994
00:53:05,520 --> 00:53:07,160
Speaker 3: week one you know how that goes.

995
00:53:07,280 --> 00:53:11,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, Hi, I'm high on our boy chig At

996
00:53:11,080 --> 00:53:15,040
Speaker 1: qwonquo At. I'm tight end twenty two. He stars a

997
00:53:15,080 --> 00:53:16,840
Speaker 1: little bit lower tight end twenty four. But he's a

998
00:53:16,880 --> 00:53:18,840
Speaker 1: guy I just wanted to talk about because it was

999
00:53:18,920 --> 00:53:21,839
Speaker 1: his time. Last year. Everybody including us was high on him.

1000
00:53:21,960 --> 00:53:24,279
Speaker 1: Just if he just only had playing time, he would

1001
00:53:24,320 --> 00:53:27,520
Speaker 1: go off. He was a disappointment last year, not gonna live.

1002
00:53:27,760 --> 00:53:30,560
Speaker 1: But he still has that you know, upside as a

1003
00:53:30,640 --> 00:53:34,160
Speaker 1: potential streaming play in deeper leagues. You know, the Titans

1004
00:53:34,200 --> 00:53:36,719
Speaker 1: offense is going to be much more pass heavy this

1005
00:53:36,920 --> 00:53:40,760
Speaker 1: year in the post Derrick Henry era, And I'll admit

1006
00:53:40,840 --> 00:53:42,799
Speaker 1: it was concerning, like towards the end of last year,

1007
00:53:43,160 --> 00:53:47,280
Speaker 1: just how much the then rookie Josh Wiley was mixing

1008
00:53:47,360 --> 00:53:50,920
Speaker 1: him down the stretch. But under this new coaching regime,

1009
00:53:51,120 --> 00:53:53,840
Speaker 1: it does seem clear that Chig is, you know, the

1010
00:53:54,160 --> 00:53:57,320
Speaker 1: clear lead tight end, and Wiley's been dealing with an injury,

1011
00:53:57,400 --> 00:54:00,560
Speaker 1: so he's he's not even guaranteed to this week. So

1012
00:54:00,600 --> 00:54:03,279
Speaker 1: I think week one, again, this is probably just for

1013
00:54:03,400 --> 00:54:05,640
Speaker 1: like DFS or Super Deep League something like that, but

1014
00:54:05,719 --> 00:54:08,359
Speaker 1: I think chu Quanquo could have us thinking good week.

1015
00:54:08,560 --> 00:54:11,839
Speaker 1: He's always had that upside. He's very athletic, talented, pass

1016
00:54:11,880 --> 00:54:14,680
Speaker 1: catching tight end, so I think he could surprise this week,

1017
00:54:14,719 --> 00:54:16,759
Speaker 1: even though you know it's not a great spot at

1018
00:54:16,880 --> 00:54:20,279
Speaker 1: Chicago just there's not that many guys in this range

1019
00:54:20,320 --> 00:54:22,279
Speaker 1: that stick out. But I had him a little bit

1020
00:54:22,360 --> 00:54:24,520
Speaker 1: higher than consensus at least to start the week.

1021
00:54:24,920 --> 00:54:28,800
Speaker 3: Yeah. Yeah, I think like, why, we've got a concussion, right, Yeah, he's.

1022
00:54:28,680 --> 00:54:31,439
Speaker 1: Been out for a couple of weeks. I want to say,

1023
00:54:31,560 --> 00:54:34,399
Speaker 1: so even if he suits up, they might just eas

1024
00:54:34,480 --> 00:54:37,439
Speaker 1: him back in because they they do have a check.

1025
00:54:37,520 --> 00:54:40,680
Speaker 1: But at some point, you know, Wiley could uh you know,

1026
00:54:40,760 --> 00:54:43,319
Speaker 1: make this more of an even split. But I think

1027
00:54:43,360 --> 00:54:45,200
Speaker 1: he is more on the probable side for week one,

1028
00:54:45,239 --> 00:54:47,279
Speaker 1: but if anything, they'll ease him, eas him back in.

1029
00:54:47,719 --> 00:54:48,719
Speaker 1: Yeah for me.

1030
00:54:49,760 --> 00:54:55,480
Speaker 3: So the highest floor guy that is for me is

1031
00:54:55,640 --> 00:54:58,879
Speaker 3: zach Ertz talked about him on the Waivers pod as well,

1032
00:54:58,960 --> 00:55:02,920
Speaker 3: But I expect him to be on the field for

1033
00:55:03,000 --> 00:55:06,719
Speaker 3: about seventy five percent of the pass player or so

1034
00:55:06,800 --> 00:55:08,520
Speaker 3: to start these season. That's generally what it's been in

1035
00:55:08,719 --> 00:55:11,719
Speaker 3: the Kingsbury offense. And then you know, you'll kind of

1036
00:55:11,760 --> 00:55:14,320
Speaker 3: wear down as the year progresses. But right now I

1037
00:55:14,360 --> 00:55:16,279
Speaker 3: think if he should probably be able to get you

1038
00:55:16,400 --> 00:55:19,919
Speaker 3: at least three catches. He had quite a few games

1039
00:55:19,960 --> 00:55:24,040
Speaker 3: even last year with five catches. So in full PPR,

1040
00:55:24,640 --> 00:55:26,400
Speaker 3: you know, there's not a lot of touchdowns to go

1041
00:55:26,480 --> 00:55:29,360
Speaker 3: around outside the top, you know, six seven, eight guys

1042
00:55:29,560 --> 00:55:32,960
Speaker 3: at tight end, but zach Ertz has like that four

1043
00:55:33,040 --> 00:55:36,520
Speaker 3: or five catch up side. And the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1044
00:55:37,400 --> 00:55:41,879
Speaker 3: were give up the second most points to Fantasy points

1045
00:55:41,880 --> 00:55:45,239
Speaker 3: to tight ends last year. So Ertz, Yeah, he had

1046
00:55:45,320 --> 00:55:48,760
Speaker 3: three six catch games last year and he only played

1047
00:55:48,800 --> 00:55:54,239
Speaker 3: in seven. So like him then kind of like a

1048
00:55:54,400 --> 00:55:59,360
Speaker 3: high upside flyer. Is Kobe Parkinson who you know, the

1049
00:55:59,440 --> 00:56:01,520
Speaker 3: Rams gave a lot of money to Tyler Higbees on

1050
00:56:02,000 --> 00:56:05,080
Speaker 3: the ir and or is it the pup whatever, one

1051
00:56:05,120 --> 00:56:07,040
Speaker 3: of those things, one of those lists where he can't play.

1052
00:56:08,520 --> 00:56:13,080
Speaker 3: I get confused, the NFI whatever, it's it's there. Yeah,

1053
00:56:13,520 --> 00:56:16,239
Speaker 3: you're not playing right. And but he tours Aco or

1054
00:56:16,360 --> 00:56:19,480
Speaker 3: he got hurt late in the year. So Parkinson might

1055
00:56:19,560 --> 00:56:21,440
Speaker 3: just be the starting tight end all year, and that's

1056
00:56:21,520 --> 00:56:24,399
Speaker 3: generally been an eighty you know, seventy five to eighty

1057
00:56:24,440 --> 00:56:28,520
Speaker 3: five percent route position in the Ram offense. And Davis

1058
00:56:28,600 --> 00:56:31,920
Speaker 3: Allen and Hunter Long I was out of preseason game,

1059
00:56:31,960 --> 00:56:34,080
Speaker 3: I saw them. I saw them on the field. Not good.

1060
00:56:34,560 --> 00:56:36,960
Speaker 3: Not good for them, Great for Kobe Parkinson because that

1061
00:56:37,000 --> 00:56:40,000
Speaker 3: means he's he's being treated as like the unquestioned starter

1062
00:56:40,160 --> 00:56:43,040
Speaker 3: and there's like the backup rolls up for grabs. So

1063
00:56:43,160 --> 00:56:46,320
Speaker 3: you could see like a eighty five fifteen split between

1064
00:56:46,640 --> 00:56:49,960
Speaker 3: Parkinson and his backups at tight end in Week one

1065
00:56:50,040 --> 00:56:54,160
Speaker 3: and he's so he's my tight end sixteen to open

1066
00:56:54,239 --> 00:56:56,839
Speaker 3: the week, which is about ten spots higher. And then

1067
00:56:57,280 --> 00:57:00,400
Speaker 3: I have to mention this guy just because I'm like

1068
00:57:00,600 --> 00:57:03,160
Speaker 3: twenty spot I'm like plus twenty higher than him, and

1069
00:57:03,680 --> 00:57:06,160
Speaker 3: he's he does crack my top twenty. So probably more

1070
00:57:06,200 --> 00:57:10,360
Speaker 3: of a DFS play. But our boy Johnny Munt for

1071
00:57:10,920 --> 00:57:14,160
Speaker 3: the Enisoda Vikings. When t J. Hocketson was out last year,

1072
00:57:14,160 --> 00:57:16,040
Speaker 3: we were we thought it was going to be Josh Oliver.

1073
00:57:16,720 --> 00:57:19,720
Speaker 3: It was Johnny Munt's seventy five percent routes run average

1074
00:57:19,760 --> 00:57:21,520
Speaker 3: in those two games. Like he did it once. I

1075
00:57:21,560 --> 00:57:23,200
Speaker 3: think he was like an eighty something and we were like,

1076
00:57:23,320 --> 00:57:24,960
Speaker 3: wait a minute, is he gonna do this again? And

1077
00:57:25,040 --> 00:57:27,320
Speaker 3: then he did it again, Like I guess that wasn't

1078
00:57:27,400 --> 00:57:32,000
Speaker 3: just like a mistake. So Johnny mutt Man, they love him.

1079
00:57:32,400 --> 00:57:34,120
Speaker 3: Kevin O'Connell, I think he was with him on the

1080
00:57:34,240 --> 00:57:36,640
Speaker 3: Rams and then he brought him over here. I think

1081
00:57:36,680 --> 00:57:38,960
Speaker 3: he calls him like the best number three tight end

1082
00:57:39,000 --> 00:57:40,880
Speaker 3: in the league, and he must be because he jumps

1083
00:57:40,920 --> 00:57:45,040
Speaker 3: right to number one when Hocketts is out, So I

1084
00:57:45,200 --> 00:57:48,960
Speaker 3: kind of have it projected similarly, Whereas Oliver's role stays

1085
00:57:49,120 --> 00:57:53,720
Speaker 3: pretty consistent and Mont gets most of the Hockinson A route.

1086
00:57:53,840 --> 00:57:56,760
Speaker 3: So uh yeah, I have month as a top twenty

1087
00:57:56,840 --> 00:58:00,280
Speaker 3: tight end against the giants. So in DFS, nice little

1088
00:58:00,600 --> 00:58:03,040
Speaker 3: little dark throw or I guesf you're in a I

1089
00:58:03,040 --> 00:58:04,880
Speaker 3: guess a super deep, super deep leak.

1090
00:58:05,760 --> 00:58:09,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know you were setting odds on my convince

1091
00:58:09,080 --> 00:58:12,320
Speaker 1: me prop being Brian Thomas Junior. Probably a fear projection.

1092
00:58:12,840 --> 00:58:15,160
Speaker 1: I got zach Ertz the top of your over two

1093
00:58:15,160 --> 00:58:19,400
Speaker 1: and a half receptions, like maybe even money, that's clearly

1094
00:58:19,480 --> 00:58:21,600
Speaker 1: the like if that's the top of the boys, is

1095
00:58:21,640 --> 00:58:24,280
Speaker 1: the favorite. But I'm only willing to go to like

1096
00:58:24,400 --> 00:58:25,920
Speaker 1: even money. I can't go. I can't go in the

1097
00:58:26,000 --> 00:58:28,360
Speaker 1: negatives yet. But you're trending that direction for sure.

1098
00:58:28,920 --> 00:58:31,560
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, No, it's just one of those kind of

1099
00:58:31,640 --> 00:58:34,480
Speaker 3: inefficiencies where it's like it's not sexy. Yeah, it probably

1100
00:58:34,480 --> 00:58:36,960
Speaker 3: won't pay off all year, but it could pay off

1101
00:58:37,040 --> 00:58:40,840
Speaker 3: for at like seven eight nine games, kind of like Cuba.

1102
00:58:41,000 --> 00:58:43,800
Speaker 3: You know, it's like who knows, Like let's start the

1103
00:58:43,920 --> 00:58:49,560
Speaker 3: year scoring and then go from there. Yep, all right,

1104
00:58:49,840 --> 00:58:51,960
Speaker 3: Uh who you on?

1105
00:58:53,280 --> 00:58:57,320
Speaker 1: I'm low on Juan Johnson, you know, he again he

1106
00:58:58,040 --> 00:59:00,840
Speaker 1: this is a week where there's no really inside the

1107
00:59:00,880 --> 00:59:03,080
Speaker 1: top fifteen I think is a must hit or anything.

1108
00:59:03,200 --> 00:59:06,200
Speaker 1: So we're just talking about guys that are probably on

1109
00:59:06,320 --> 00:59:08,600
Speaker 1: the fringe and deeper leagues anyway. But Juwan Johnson's a

1110
00:59:08,640 --> 00:59:11,400
Speaker 1: guy where I'm shocked he's even ready for Week one.

1111
00:59:11,400 --> 00:59:13,200
Speaker 1: There was a chance he was going to miss some games.

1112
00:59:13,880 --> 00:59:18,120
Speaker 1: He I think he had a knee cleanup procedure preseason game.

1113
00:59:18,280 --> 00:59:20,040
Speaker 1: If you'll let me get there.

1114
00:59:20,280 --> 00:59:24,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, sorry, sorry, well preseason going around in my head.

1115
00:59:24,920 --> 00:59:27,800
Speaker 1: I know, no, and I was shocked. I was shocked

1116
00:59:27,840 --> 00:59:30,400
Speaker 1: he played that. So he's clearly playing in Week one

1117
00:59:30,520 --> 00:59:32,080
Speaker 1: because I was going to say he played in the

1118
00:59:32,120 --> 00:59:35,600
Speaker 1: last preseason game. But still like he he barely practiced,

1119
00:59:35,640 --> 00:59:39,080
Speaker 1: he was out for most of training camp, most of preseason.

1120
00:59:39,160 --> 00:59:41,920
Speaker 1: Doesn't matter for him. But if anything, I think he's

1121
00:59:41,960 --> 00:59:43,840
Speaker 1: going to ease back in. You know, they still have

1122
00:59:43,880 --> 00:59:45,840
Speaker 1: Taysom Hill, they can use a tight end foster from

1123
00:59:45,880 --> 00:59:48,120
Speaker 1: a row, so I just think his snap count might

1124
00:59:48,160 --> 00:59:51,160
Speaker 1: build be a little bit lower than we're expecting for

1125
00:59:51,240 --> 00:59:53,960
Speaker 1: Week one. So not that you're playing Juwan Johnson anyway,

1126
00:59:54,040 --> 00:59:56,080
Speaker 1: but at least in terms of the fans pros contest,

1127
00:59:56,960 --> 00:59:59,120
Speaker 1: I'll probably be a little bit lower on him because

1128
00:59:59,120 --> 01:00:01,480
Speaker 1: he's just a guy that he's playing week one, but

1129
01:00:01,600 --> 01:00:03,560
Speaker 1: he's probably not one hundred percent. So he's just the

1130
01:00:03,640 --> 01:00:06,480
Speaker 1: guy that I'm projecting closer like ninety percent of what

1131
01:00:06,640 --> 01:00:08,480
Speaker 1: his typical role would be.

1132
01:00:09,160 --> 01:00:12,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I have him like in like the fifty ish,

1133
01:00:13,480 --> 01:00:15,840
Speaker 3: you know, snap snap rate in the fifty ish where

1134
01:00:15,840 --> 01:00:17,600
Speaker 3: it's like no.

1135
01:00:17,800 --> 01:00:19,800
Speaker 1: No, no, no no no.

1136
01:00:20,160 --> 01:00:23,520
Speaker 2: I thought, yeah, that's fair, like a like a fifty

1137
01:00:24,840 --> 01:00:26,640
Speaker 2: rate or something, right, that's exactly Yeah.

1138
01:00:28,240 --> 01:00:34,960
Speaker 3: Okay, prop let's go with Taysom Hill, our guy Payne's favorite.

1139
01:00:35,560 --> 01:00:39,160
Speaker 3: Enjoy this, but listen, man, tight end is a wasteland

1140
01:00:39,400 --> 01:00:43,040
Speaker 3: outside that top you know, ten to eleven. Yeah, Bowers questionable,

1141
01:00:43,240 --> 01:00:45,680
Speaker 3: like Goddard is questionable. So this is going to be

1142
01:00:45,880 --> 01:00:50,320
Speaker 3: very relevant. Uh So let's go Taysom Hill scrimmage yard,

1143
01:00:50,480 --> 01:00:53,840
Speaker 3: So rushing, receiving to take passing out of the equation,

1144
01:00:54,240 --> 01:00:57,640
Speaker 3: no passing, no passing because I think because he's been

1145
01:00:57,680 --> 01:01:00,440
Speaker 3: playing a lot of full back, so like like so like,

1146
01:01:00,520 --> 01:01:02,320
Speaker 3: let's take passing out of the equation. Now, Okay, we'll

1147
01:01:02,360 --> 01:01:06,800
Speaker 3: treat that as a bonus. Like, so just rushing and receiving. Okay,

1148
01:01:07,560 --> 01:01:11,080
Speaker 3: over under twenty nine and a half, I'll.

1149
01:01:10,960 --> 01:01:13,760
Speaker 1: Go over barely. I think that's a great line, and

1150
01:01:13,840 --> 01:01:16,080
Speaker 1: I'm well aware that we're not including passing yards, but

1151
01:01:16,160 --> 01:01:18,960
Speaker 1: I have it closer to thirty two. I just think

1152
01:01:19,040 --> 01:01:22,080
Speaker 1: with you know, Juwan Johnson maybe not being one hundred

1153
01:01:22,080 --> 01:01:25,720
Speaker 1: percent to start the year, and Kendre Miller on ir.

1154
01:01:25,840 --> 01:01:27,520
Speaker 3: Know, the Marshall Lloyd of the Stains.

1155
01:01:27,920 --> 01:01:30,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, I was gonna say Marshall Lloyd's Marshall Lloyd's

1156
01:01:30,840 --> 01:01:32,920
Speaker 1: not as big of a doghouse as Kendre Miller goes

1157
01:01:33,000 --> 01:01:36,040
Speaker 1: right now. But I just think that, you know, they're

1158
01:01:36,040 --> 01:01:38,680
Speaker 1: a little bit thinner at running back and tight end

1159
01:01:38,720 --> 01:01:40,480
Speaker 1: than they would at full strength, so that would just

1160
01:01:40,640 --> 01:01:45,320
Speaker 1: mean potentially more tays, some snaps. So that's a great line.

1161
01:01:45,760 --> 01:01:48,280
Speaker 1: I'll slightly go over, but I think that there's a

1162
01:01:48,360 --> 01:01:49,520
Speaker 1: path there, at least for week one.

1163
01:01:50,240 --> 01:01:52,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, actually have I have him around thirty five. The

1164
01:01:52,720 --> 01:01:55,200
Speaker 3: average around thirty five, But it's hard to project his

1165
01:01:55,360 --> 01:01:58,960
Speaker 3: median because it's so high variant. He has games where

1166
01:01:59,000 --> 01:02:03,560
Speaker 3: he's like it's like zero or like eighty yards and

1167
01:02:03,600 --> 01:02:04,880
Speaker 3: two touchdowns or something like that.

1168
01:02:05,480 --> 01:02:07,880
Speaker 1: Next week I'm gonna put a note. Next week I'll

1169
01:02:07,920 --> 01:02:11,080
Speaker 1: give a tasteum prop but it'll be a range like

1170
01:02:11,160 --> 01:02:14,360
Speaker 1: will he finish between ten and forty yards? And see

1171
01:02:14,400 --> 01:02:16,720
Speaker 1: if you can figure that out, because that's you're right

1172
01:02:16,840 --> 01:02:19,640
Speaker 1: his media, it's you just said it, and he's gonna

1173
01:02:19,720 --> 01:02:21,320
Speaker 1: go way over it, wable of it. But if you

1174
01:02:21,360 --> 01:02:23,320
Speaker 1: try to set a rain for him, it's almost impossible.

1175
01:02:23,840 --> 01:02:27,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, all right, well, this is this is good stuff.

1176
01:02:27,160 --> 01:02:29,560
Speaker 3: This is what This is what we've been playing all

1177
01:02:29,600 --> 01:02:34,600
Speaker 3: off season for our Week one NFL Player Projections pod.

1178
01:02:34,680 --> 01:02:37,320
Speaker 3: Here on the Fantasy Flex is in the books. Make

1179
01:02:37,360 --> 01:02:39,360
Speaker 3: sure you check out fantasywabs dot com for all of

1180
01:02:39,400 --> 01:02:42,360
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1181
01:02:42,560 --> 01:02:45,760
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1182
01:02:45,840 --> 01:02:48,880
Speaker 3: com slash flex for twenty dollars off. Right now, Sean

1183
01:02:49,040 --> 01:02:51,640
Speaker 3: is on x app the Underscarage Maker. I'm actress Raybon

1184
01:02:51,680 --> 01:02:53,720
Speaker 3: and we're at those same handle on a free, award

1185
01:02:53,760 --> 01:02:57,840
Speaker 3: winning Action Networks app. So next time we get dish money.

1186
01:03:05,160 --> 01:03:09,640
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1187
01:03:09,720 --> 01:03:12,480
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1188
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