WEBVTT - MLB: Leading Off April 11th, 2024 (EP. 788) 0:00:06.040 --> 0:00:09.240 Welcome in everybody, the Fantasy Bros. M LB. This is 0:00:09.320 --> 0:00:11.920 Leading Off Live, brought you by Bet three six five. 0:00:12.240 --> 0:00:14.480 It's me Joey P. That of course is the Welsh, 0:00:14.640 --> 0:00:16.880 and it's you, the Peanuts and the Crackerjacks joining us 0:00:16.880 --> 0:00:19.360 live here on the show. I feel a little better 0:00:19.400 --> 0:00:22.920 than yesterday. I feel like in my head I sound 0:00:23.000 --> 0:00:26.159 like a cross between Harvey Feierstein and Jimminy Glick, that 0:00:26.239 --> 0:00:29.640 old character that Martin Short used to play that I'm 0:00:29.640 --> 0:00:32.240 a big fin of and how we talked about the shoe. 0:00:32.479 --> 0:00:34.199 So I'm just gonna talk like this today because my 0:00:34.240 --> 0:00:36.200 allergies have been killing me for the last twenty four hours, 0:00:36.200 --> 0:00:39.520 but nobody cares. Nobody cares about me. They care about 0:00:39.760 --> 0:00:43.120 my home run calls that they care about because ooh wait, 0:00:43.880 --> 0:00:47.280 somebody Welsh, somebody I don't know who, but somebody's at 0:00:47.320 --> 0:00:49.760 the top of the board. Oh wait, it's me. It's me. 0:00:50.320 --> 0:00:53.080 It's joe E P at the top of the home 0:00:53.159 --> 0:00:57.200 run board. Much to the chagrin of everybody, getting closer 0:00:57.200 --> 0:01:00.480 and closer to breaking that Vladimir Guerrero bet over my leg? 0:01:00.600 --> 0:01:01.480 What say you? Well? 0:01:02.640 --> 0:01:04.959 I do love that you're here, locking into that that 0:01:05.000 --> 0:01:07.080 you are gonna break, Like that's the idea that because 0:01:07.080 --> 0:01:09.040 people get like super mad about that. Yeah, I love 0:01:09.080 --> 0:01:11.560 the idea full bow Jackson boom. Yeah, it's the worst 0:01:11.600 --> 0:01:13.400 part of April's my month. This is supposed to be 0:01:13.440 --> 0:01:16.120 my good month, Like, hey, betting birthday a that Now 0:01:16.200 --> 0:01:17.880 it's the worst part. You just you're at the tippy 0:01:17.920 --> 0:01:19.360 top of the leader board. I don't know what to 0:01:19.400 --> 0:01:21.759 do about it. I'm the worst home run call we are? 0:01:22.120 --> 0:01:23.199 What the hell's today? 0:01:23.240 --> 0:01:23.559 Thursday? 0:01:23.640 --> 0:01:24.080 Wednesday? 0:01:24.600 --> 0:01:25.480 Today's Thursday. 0:01:25.560 --> 0:01:29.000 Yes, we are two more days away from me implementing 0:01:29.080 --> 0:01:32.160 a wheel next week to start picking my home run calls. 0:01:32.400 --> 0:01:35.440 I literally am just going to start spinning a wheel 0:01:35.720 --> 0:01:38.560 to pick them. I am this bad. I'm so bad, 0:01:39.040 --> 0:01:39.479 so bad. 0:01:39.959 --> 0:01:42.360 I mean, I don't know what your process is for 0:01:42.400 --> 0:01:43.880 the home run calls. 0:01:44.000 --> 0:01:44.480 It's a lot. 0:01:44.600 --> 0:01:47.680 Well maybe maybe you do less. My process is looking 0:01:47.680 --> 0:01:50.400 at the pictures with heavy flyball rates, looking at good 0:01:50.480 --> 0:01:54.560 BVP numbers, looking at good ballpark factor. Like I just 0:01:54.560 --> 0:01:56.080 try to like hone in on a couple of things, 0:01:56.360 --> 0:01:59.280 and I just go, eh, that guy, now here's the problem. 0:01:59.520 --> 0:02:02.559 I've been terrible in the betting world the last two days. 0:02:02.640 --> 0:02:06.640 Just just miserable after an incredible opening week, Just misery. 0:02:06.800 --> 0:02:09.760 So if I had just been you know, I don't know, smart, 0:02:09.760 --> 0:02:11.600 and been betting all these home runs, I'd be way 0:02:11.720 --> 0:02:12.720 in the positive. 0:02:12.760 --> 0:02:14.360 Oh your ROI would be a lot better if you 0:02:15.320 --> 0:02:16.800 You know what my thing always has been. If I 0:02:16.800 --> 0:02:18.799 feel really confident about a homer and this is why 0:02:18.800 --> 0:02:21.320 I haven't been doing it, is I'll play their total bass. 0:02:21.480 --> 0:02:23.880 So if I love a homer guy big time. I'm 0:02:23.919 --> 0:02:26.119 not a big like bet the home runs. I bet 0:02:26.120 --> 0:02:28.640 their total bases or whatever. But yeah, whatever, Oh Joe, 0:02:28.680 --> 0:02:30.440 look at me. I'm job's a b I call the 0:02:30.440 --> 0:02:30.960 home runs. 0:02:31.000 --> 0:02:34.920 Hey everybody, heyo, hey yo, what's up everybody? All right, 0:02:35.000 --> 0:02:38.359 let's get to the headlines. Let's start with Jackson Holiday 0:02:38.840 --> 0:02:40.519 made his debut. I got to see a little of it. 0:02:40.560 --> 0:02:43.440 Got back from football practice last night. Got to see 0:02:43.440 --> 0:02:46.720 some Jackson Holiday. Little misplay there, little miscommunication in the outfield. 0:02:46.720 --> 0:02:50.880 But a very exciting, energetic player I know is oh four. 0:02:51.200 --> 0:02:53.320 He did have an RBI in there against the Red Sox, 0:02:53.320 --> 0:02:56.600 but like it he is. He brings an energy and 0:02:56.639 --> 0:02:59.400 a pulse, which is a very exciting thing. He's gonna 0:02:59.440 --> 0:03:01.760 be fine. Like the over four. I mean, don't worry 0:03:01.760 --> 0:03:04.720 about it at all. So we want to officially congratulate 0:03:05.240 --> 0:03:08.800 Jackson Holiday on the show here with his major league debut. 0:03:09.400 --> 0:03:13.040 As you can see, he is a tasty snack. Hopefully 0:03:13.080 --> 0:03:15.560 you're watching on the YouTube channel because I always said 0:03:15.560 --> 0:03:17.880 that Jackson Holliday did always remind me a little bit 0:03:17.880 --> 0:03:21.120 of Little Debbie and our little credible graphics, Little Holly, 0:03:21.440 --> 0:03:22.760 Little Holly, little Hollidy. 0:03:24.000 --> 0:03:25.360 I was gonna use his first name, but then I 0:03:25.360 --> 0:03:27.120 was like, that's not gonna go well, so little Holly, 0:03:27.320 --> 0:03:27.960 so little Holly. 0:03:28.080 --> 0:03:30.280 There was that controversy too, is it Lil Debbie or 0:03:30.400 --> 0:03:32.799 little Debbie? I know that's always one that we've done 0:03:32.800 --> 0:03:33.839 here on the past. 0:03:33.560 --> 0:03:35.360 But yeah, I think it's little. 0:03:35.720 --> 0:03:37.320 Isn't you think as little? Is that what it is? 0:03:37.360 --> 0:03:41.720 But regardless, congratulations to Jackson Holiday making his major league debut. 0:03:42.480 --> 0:03:47.200 By the way, I also last year, everybody knows who 0:03:47.200 --> 0:03:49.480 watches on the YouTube channel, I like to have some 0:03:49.560 --> 0:03:51.720 fun with AI, and last year we had some very 0:03:51.760 --> 0:03:54.840 creepy pictures with AI made somewhere are actually pretty good. 0:03:55.360 --> 0:03:58.240 Fun with AI did go awry at times. 0:03:58.400 --> 0:04:01.320 If you have Jackson Holiday eating Debbie snacked. 0:04:01.400 --> 0:04:04.400 I'm out, whoa, whoa, it's it's a family show. No, 0:04:04.600 --> 0:04:07.000 what I did was I put into the AI machine. 0:04:07.320 --> 0:04:09.720 Can you give me a picture of Jackson Holliday from 0:04:09.720 --> 0:04:14.320 the Orioles uh combined with Little Debbie? And this is 0:04:14.360 --> 0:04:17.840 what it gave me. And it's adorable. Look how cute 0:04:17.880 --> 0:04:22.160 that little kid is. Look at that? I mean, this 0:04:22.200 --> 0:04:24.320 is why you watch on the YouTube channel like we're 0:04:24.360 --> 0:04:27.279 a baseball show, but we're also a fun show. And 0:04:28.040 --> 0:04:29.920 would you eat the snack cakes there if they were 0:04:30.000 --> 0:04:32.520 like if that was the face of Little Debbie going forward, 0:04:32.520 --> 0:04:34.200 if they had a boy versions sud of the little 0:04:34.200 --> 0:04:36.560 cute girl, I would still buy the snacks if they 0:04:36.600 --> 0:04:38.200 switched over, right, Yeah. 0:04:38.040 --> 0:04:39.760 I mean, I'm gonna be honest with I don't think 0:04:39.800 --> 0:04:42.440 a picture of a boy or girl is gonna affect 0:04:42.480 --> 0:04:45.640 my snack eating. But it is a it's a very 0:04:45.760 --> 0:04:49.920 nice looking for, very cute looking for probably exactly how 0:04:50.200 --> 0:04:51.080 Jackson Holiday was. 0:04:51.080 --> 0:04:54.120 As a kid, but exactly like a little kid like that. 0:04:54.240 --> 0:04:55.239 That's the creepy stuff. 0:04:55.279 --> 0:04:57.279 That's Look how far AI is coming a year of 0:04:57.279 --> 0:05:01.719 the show like that c Zagna together, which was just 0:05:01.839 --> 0:05:05.280 the worst thing ever. But yeah, there you go speaking 0:05:05.320 --> 0:05:08.080 of some of the best and worst things ever. Ellie 0:05:08.080 --> 0:05:11.000 de la Cruz, that was my guy yesterday, solo homer, 0:05:11.000 --> 0:05:13.200 two for three. He is read hot right now. And 0:05:13.279 --> 0:05:17.680 here's a lesson, folks about April. Edward Julian against Bobby 0:05:17.680 --> 0:05:20.840 millerfall people yesterday three for four with a pair of homers. 0:05:20.920 --> 0:05:24.200 Yesterday Vinnie Pasquentino, my cousin, Vinnie three for three with 0:05:24.240 --> 0:05:27.240 a homer, a double five ribbies, a career high for him. 0:05:27.760 --> 0:05:31.240 And Tristan Kasas, who everybody's been just freaking out about. 0:05:31.560 --> 0:05:34.039 He had a home run, two run dinger for him yesterday. 0:05:34.440 --> 0:05:36.960 It's only April. It's the eleventh of April. Those are 0:05:37.040 --> 0:05:38.560 three guys, and I think a lot of people were 0:05:38.560 --> 0:05:41.599 starting to get a little itchy about again. I saw 0:05:41.600 --> 0:05:44.120 people yesterday in the chat talking about dropping Vinnie pas Quentino, 0:05:44.200 --> 0:05:47.239 whatever terrible idea that would be. We tried to tell people, 0:05:47.240 --> 0:05:49.400 don't do that, and this is why you wait. It's 0:05:49.440 --> 0:05:51.000 the eleventh of April now, and I think it's a 0:05:51.000 --> 0:05:55.400 good lesson to understand, like, you can't overreact in April 0:05:55.520 --> 0:05:57.599 to slow starts with guys, because if it happened in 0:05:57.600 --> 0:06:00.359 the middle of June or the middle of July, nobody 0:06:00.400 --> 0:06:02.080 would even care if they had a bad week. Welsh, 0:06:02.200 --> 0:06:04.360 what'd you think about those three performances? Which one stood 0:06:04.400 --> 0:06:05.360 out to you? Yeah? 0:06:05.400 --> 0:06:07.279 I mean, I for the most part agree with what 0:06:07.279 --> 0:06:09.920 you're saying. I mean, the overarching theme is like you 0:06:09.960 --> 0:06:14.000 should not absolutely freak out, especially to that level where 0:06:14.000 --> 0:06:16.920 you're like, I'm done with him, I gotta get rid 0:06:16.960 --> 0:06:19.279 of him. I'm gonna cut him. That's the stuff that 0:06:19.320 --> 0:06:21.520 it's like, no, no, no, hold up. You're allowed to 0:06:21.560 --> 0:06:24.040 be frustrated. You're allowed to bench him. You know, if 0:06:24.040 --> 0:06:25.640 you're in a daily format and you want to bench 0:06:25.680 --> 0:06:27.480 for a couple of days, or even a weekly format 0:06:27.560 --> 0:06:29.920 maybe you know NFBC, you start back up on Friday, 0:06:29.960 --> 0:06:32.000 you want to do that. If I drive a guy 0:06:32.000 --> 0:06:34.480 in the top one hundred, there's no chance in April 0:06:34.480 --> 0:06:37.760 I'm cutting the guy unless he's hurt. Tommy John all 0:06:37.800 --> 0:06:39.560 your pictures. If I had a guy like in the 0:06:39.600 --> 0:06:42.559 one fifty one eighty range, I'm probably still not doing 0:06:42.600 --> 0:06:44.919 that through April. Maybe I'm gonna just bench. So the 0:06:45.000 --> 0:06:48.000 overarching theme is correct, you know, is Venny gonna be 0:06:48.040 --> 0:06:49.880 one hundred percent fine? I don't know I'm not the 0:06:49.880 --> 0:06:52.839 biggest any guy. Hard hit numbers are down. He is 0:06:52.880 --> 0:06:55.160 not barreling the ball at all, but it is early. 0:06:55.320 --> 0:06:57.719 I think Tristicasus is the one that jumps out to me. 0:06:57.839 --> 0:06:59.440 He was a guy that I said is going to 0:06:59.440 --> 0:07:01.159 bounce back. I think I put him in my trade 0:07:01.240 --> 0:07:03.040 video like I think I've been saying. I think he's 0:07:03.080 --> 0:07:05.080 going to have that big bounce back thirty plus home 0:07:05.120 --> 0:07:08.440 r Ends season. I believe is in the books. Edward 0:07:08.520 --> 0:07:10.520 Judlian we both love. But I would also take this 0:07:10.880 --> 0:07:13.840 to the other side for the rookies. I we didn't 0:07:13.840 --> 0:07:15.800 really talk about Jackson Holliday. You kind of moved past 0:07:15.800 --> 0:07:18.440 it after the creepy little DeBie pictures and everything like that. 0:07:18.520 --> 0:07:21.920 But I I think they were adorable. They were, Yeah, 0:07:21.360 --> 0:07:23.880 it's it's adorable, but it's like adorable and like. 0:07:25.040 --> 0:07:27.680 AI pictures are a little bit unsettling. I think that 0:07:28.200 --> 0:07:29.240 is day but. 0:07:29.160 --> 0:07:31.840 Also like the creepy thought of like packaging of a 0:07:31.880 --> 0:07:35.400 little little Jackson Holiday, like I'm gonna eat this Jackson 0:07:35.440 --> 0:07:39.400 Holiday bar that's all kind of but the same thing 0:07:39.400 --> 0:07:41.400 with that, like you know, there are people out there 0:07:41.520 --> 0:07:45.480 that are like, ah, Jackson, Howdy stunk. He sucks, oh 0:07:45.520 --> 0:07:45.880 for four. 0:07:46.040 --> 0:07:47.920 This is why he didn't break camp with him, because 0:07:47.920 --> 0:07:48.920 he's over four. 0:07:48.920 --> 0:07:52.680 Over hyped. You could clearly tell that was a lot 0:07:52.680 --> 0:07:54.560 in that game for like a twenty year old. He 0:07:54.600 --> 0:07:57.880 had a bad misque in the outfield, a little behind 0:07:57.920 --> 0:08:00.360 on pitches in Fenway Park. Like, I think he's gonna 0:08:00.360 --> 0:08:02.760 be fine. His approaches were good hitting nine. So with 0:08:02.800 --> 0:08:06.000 all these guys, yeah, yeah, take take a seat your 0:08:06.400 --> 0:08:09.480 top echelant, top one fifty players. Don't be quick and 0:08:09.680 --> 0:08:11.840 push them out, because yeah, you're gonna have these big performances. 0:08:11.840 --> 0:08:13.320 We talked about where he would hit in the batting order. 0:08:13.320 --> 0:08:14.480 Were you surprised that it was nine? 0:08:15.440 --> 0:08:17.200 After I thought about it, Like, no, it's not. I 0:08:17.200 --> 0:08:19.400 thought it would be six, not nine. A lot of 0:08:19.440 --> 0:08:20.880 Ale teams have done this for a long time, but 0:08:20.920 --> 0:08:23.800 everybody does where you know, it's like your second leadoff hitter, 0:08:23.920 --> 0:08:26.200 you're just getting less at bad. So I think that works. 0:08:26.240 --> 0:08:29.040 But the one to really come back to of all 0:08:29.080 --> 0:08:32.319 of them is like Ellie is really putting some stuff together. 0:08:32.760 --> 0:08:35.560 I still don't think you can maintain like forty percent 0:08:35.600 --> 0:08:38.640 strikeout rate and hitting like two ninety plus, but it 0:08:38.760 --> 0:08:40.920 just doesn't matter. He is going to be the anomaly 0:08:40.960 --> 0:08:43.400 guy that is gonna hit two forty, two, thirty two 0:08:43.480 --> 0:08:45.520 fifty somewhere in there, and he's gonna put up monster 0:08:45.640 --> 0:08:48.200 monster stats. But you have to be able to stomach it. 0:08:48.240 --> 0:08:50.480 So I think he is for a more specific type 0:08:50.480 --> 0:08:52.440 of fantasy owner because we're all like, oh, look at 0:08:52.440 --> 0:08:55.240 Ellie right now when he's oh for thirty five and 0:08:55.520 --> 0:08:58.400 eighteen strikeouts. Let's see how those same people are feeling. 0:08:58.720 --> 0:09:02.319 Maybe what happen Like I again over four who cares 0:09:02.360 --> 0:09:04.160 like it's it's one game. But the thing that always 0:09:04.240 --> 0:09:06.000 bugs me is this whole You know, you have a 0:09:06.040 --> 0:09:09.080 young player who makes good contact, and just because of 0:09:09.120 --> 0:09:12.720 whatever you know, the certain you know, managers of things 0:09:12.720 --> 0:09:14.800 in their heads about baseball. Look, you want a young 0:09:14.840 --> 0:09:16.959 player to be successful, give him lineup protection. That's it. 0:09:17.600 --> 0:09:18.960 You want to hit him eight nine in the lineup. 0:09:18.960 --> 0:09:20.559 It's not gonna be as helpful. Yeah, you're gonna turn 0:09:20.559 --> 0:09:22.480 it over eventually, but still you want to got to 0:09:22.480 --> 0:09:24.160 get off with two good start, Hit him towards the 0:09:24.200 --> 0:09:25.800 top of the order, Hit him in front of somebody 0:09:25.840 --> 0:09:27.560 where is gonna see some strikes, and good things are 0:09:27.559 --> 0:09:28.000 gonna happen. 0:09:28.080 --> 0:09:29.679 Yeah, well, you're gonna also have Gunner. He has Gunner 0:09:29.720 --> 0:09:31.960 hitting right behind him. That's why the run opportunities could 0:09:31.960 --> 0:09:32.520 be really interesting. 0:09:33.640 --> 0:09:35.520 I just want to start him off better, that's all. 0:09:35.559 --> 0:09:37.199 You know. By the time of the lineup cycles, you 0:09:37.320 --> 0:09:40.559 look at Jake Watkins. I had someone drop Louis Castillo. 0:09:40.840 --> 0:09:43.520 What why would someone do that? I snapped him up 0:09:43.520 --> 0:09:46.079 and I already have Kirby two. Now that's funny. That's funny. 0:09:46.160 --> 0:09:49.520 So there you go. Now, Jerry Nelson says, what about uh, 0:09:49.600 --> 0:09:52.320 mister Nolan Jones, And I say, well, this is exactly 0:09:52.360 --> 0:09:54.400 what we're gonna talk about. Nolan Jones over five through 0:09:54.400 --> 0:09:58.240 strikeouts yesterday, hitting the Bucks fifty seven right now. He 0:09:59.000 --> 0:10:00.880 did put the ball in play at the end of 0:10:00.920 --> 0:10:04.840 the game with bases loaded, but still perfect example. It's 0:10:04.920 --> 0:10:07.599 April buy him everywhere. He is not that bad of 0:10:07.640 --> 0:10:09.120 a hitter. We all know that because we saw it 0:10:09.200 --> 0:10:12.360 last year. So uh again, here's Norman saying that Nolan 0:10:12.440 --> 0:10:14.600 Jones got dropped in my daily fab league. How much 0:10:14.640 --> 0:10:16.680 do I spend on him? A quarter of my budget. 0:10:17.440 --> 0:10:18.959 I don't even know if you have to spend that much, 0:10:18.960 --> 0:10:21.040 but I think you should Welsh. Do you think it's 0:10:21.040 --> 0:10:23.080 gonna take a quarter of your budget to get Nolan 0:10:23.120 --> 0:10:24.280 Jones back on someone's team? 0:10:24.520 --> 0:10:26.560 Oh yeah, I mean this is that top one hundred guy. 0:10:26.640 --> 0:10:28.800 I think if you would be doing him, people are 0:10:28.800 --> 0:10:30.959 going percenting it. This is a tough one. This is 0:10:31.000 --> 0:10:33.160 a really tough one for me because I'm not an 0:10:33.200 --> 0:10:33.960 Olan Jones guy. 0:10:34.000 --> 0:10:37.000 I'm come on, come on, you're not Nolan Jones guy. 0:10:37.000 --> 0:10:38.480 But come on, buf fifty seven. I'm not a buff 0:10:38.480 --> 0:10:39.200 fifty seven hitter. 0:10:39.400 --> 0:10:42.760 No, No, I think there's anomalies here. He has barrel. He 0:10:42.800 --> 0:10:45.040 was a fifteen percent barrel percentage guy. He's at three 0:10:45.080 --> 0:10:47.880 percent right now. Like that's not gonna maintain. But but 0:10:48.040 --> 0:10:49.920 and his hard hit numbers, by the way, higher than 0:10:50.000 --> 0:10:51.920 last year over a fifty percent hard hit rate. But 0:10:52.000 --> 0:10:54.120 here's the problem. Expect a batting average is one to 0:10:54.240 --> 0:10:57.240 eighty right now. He's got a forty percent strikeout rate 0:10:57.480 --> 0:10:59.600 for a guy that is, you know, gonna walk a 0:10:59.600 --> 0:11:01.640 bunch and on bass and blah blah blah. Not only 0:11:01.640 --> 0:11:04.080 he's not making contact, but he's swinging through absolutely everything. 0:11:04.120 --> 0:11:07.560 But I do believe a decent amount of it doesn't 0:11:07.640 --> 0:11:10.440 make sense in the long term, So sure I would 0:11:10.440 --> 0:11:12.880 buy into him, but I'm not like, go and buy 0:11:13.040 --> 0:11:15.560 Nolan Jones everywhere, blah blah. I would pick him up. 0:11:15.559 --> 0:11:17.480 I absolutely would be aggressive because I do think he'll 0:11:17.480 --> 0:11:19.240 turn it around. But I said this in the offseason. 0:11:19.600 --> 0:11:23.800 Don't be disappointed when over an entire year Nolan Jones 0:11:24.000 --> 0:11:26.520 does what he did last year. In the partial of 0:11:26.600 --> 0:11:28.600 the year, I think he can be a twenty twenty 0:11:28.720 --> 0:11:32.360 ish guy. I think somebody just asked, did they ask this? No, 0:11:32.440 --> 0:11:34.760 they didn't, but I thought this is interesting. Cossus versus 0:11:34.760 --> 0:11:37.640 Nolan Jones. They were saying they're sitting Jones for Casus 0:11:37.720 --> 0:11:40.880 right now. I would take Trista Cossas rest of season 0:11:40.960 --> 0:11:43.160 over Nolan Jones. But I still think Nolan Jones can 0:11:43.160 --> 0:11:44.120 be a top one hundred player. 0:11:44.080 --> 0:11:46.000 Nolan Jones, you can give you a stolen basis costas 0:11:46.160 --> 0:11:47.840 and roto. I don't think I take that importance. 0:11:47.840 --> 0:11:49.360 It was like getting him low. If you can get 0:11:49.400 --> 0:11:52.080 Nolan Jones off of a wire or someone's just like, 0:11:52.120 --> 0:11:54.000 this is ridiculous and I'm off of it. Yeah, yeah, 0:11:54.000 --> 0:11:56.640 sure give that to me, but I'm not gonna pay, 0:11:57.120 --> 0:11:59.080 you know, ninety cents on the dollar for Nolan Jones 0:11:59.120 --> 0:12:00.680 because I wasn't in draft season. 0:12:00.760 --> 0:12:04.520 Look, I know Nolan Jones wasn't your guy to start 0:12:04.520 --> 0:12:07.960 the year, and you're being very diplomatic here about it, 0:12:08.000 --> 0:12:10.319 and that's a good thing. But I do believe that, 0:12:11.160 --> 0:12:12.960 like you said, you know, the baseball's a game of streaks. 0:12:13.000 --> 0:12:14.440 We know this. No One Jones is going to have 0:12:14.440 --> 0:12:16.280 a hash rig in here somewhere. So if you got 0:12:16.360 --> 0:12:18.199 dropped in your league, I would go up to thirty percent. 0:12:18.200 --> 0:12:20.080 I don't think you're going to miss that. And I 0:12:20.080 --> 0:12:21.880 think the best part is you're gonna get all the 0:12:21.880 --> 0:12:23.800 good stuff. You're gonna get one of those red hot 0:12:23.840 --> 0:12:25.040 months coming at some point. Yeah. 0:12:25.080 --> 0:12:27.040 Yeah, you take off the first two weeks of what 0:12:27.080 --> 0:12:29.199 Nolan Jones has done and that the production is better 0:12:29.240 --> 0:12:32.960 and it's Colorado. I mean, like Colorado, It's gonna matters. Yeah. 0:12:33.160 --> 0:12:35.199 What I'm encouraged about if people are sitting here, I'm 0:12:35.320 --> 0:12:38.319 encouraged about the hard hit numbers still being there. I'm 0:12:38.360 --> 0:12:40.920 also encouraged that the barrel numbers don't make sense. They 0:12:41.000 --> 0:12:43.640 literally don't make sense for the type of player he is. 0:12:43.640 --> 0:12:46.840 So when he starts barreling with big hard hit numbers, 0:12:47.000 --> 0:12:49.440 you know, hard hit numbers are sometimes that tall tale 0:12:49.480 --> 0:12:51.120 sign of like if you make contact. That's why I 0:12:51.120 --> 0:12:53.559 like Jum Hulee. Hard hit numbers look really good. Things 0:12:53.600 --> 0:12:55.760 are gonna start happening for him. Things will start happening 0:12:57.240 --> 0:12:58.160 of data. 0:12:58.200 --> 0:12:59.680 That's the hard part about right now is they don't 0:12:59.679 --> 0:13:01.439 have a lot of going by the way. You want 0:13:01.440 --> 0:13:03.440 to see the face of encouragement because it looks like this. 0:13:05.920 --> 0:13:09.840 Hey everybody, Yeah, oh boy, I'm so excited. I'm excited 0:13:09.840 --> 0:13:14.960 about baseball. You guys excited about baseball. Gee wizze, oh whiz, 0:13:15.480 --> 0:13:16.720 gee whiz everybody. 0:13:16.880 --> 0:13:18.560 I just want to against Cutter Crawford. 0:13:18.600 --> 0:13:21.600 He's good. Dolly. That hard hit rate sure is high. 0:13:21.840 --> 0:13:22.880 I'm excited to walk. 0:13:23.240 --> 0:13:29.079 Hilarious. Jordan Hicks, he's encouraging. Uh. Six innings one earned 0:13:29.200 --> 0:13:33.240 victory over the Gnats. Strikeouts were a little disappointing yesterday, 0:13:33.240 --> 0:13:36.120 but still Jordan Hicks continues to be National again. 0:13:36.880 --> 0:13:42.000 Dude, I go under. You'll under on strikeouts against the Nationals. 0:13:42.040 --> 0:13:44.120 Anytime you get a high strikeout picture, the numbers are 0:13:44.120 --> 0:13:46.920 always still big. You play unders and they cash that 0:13:47.200 --> 0:13:51.439 attack the Nationals opposing picture, and if they're guys like 0:13:51.520 --> 0:13:54.360 Jordan Hicks. They're just gonna push what but but you know, 0:13:54.520 --> 0:13:56.360 Hicks has been awesome, by the way, just want to 0:13:56.360 --> 0:13:59.320 point out, like as a reliever, he has jumped right 0:13:59.360 --> 0:14:03.000 into that. Yeah, you absolutely loved him. He's moving from 0:14:03.000 --> 0:14:05.960 like you know, streamable type of guy to someone you 0:14:06.000 --> 0:14:07.760 continuously hold him put out there every day. 0:14:08.280 --> 0:14:11.000 I I I still am also on the camp of 0:14:11.480 --> 0:14:13.400 when you get to Memorial Day you start shopping him 0:14:13.400 --> 0:14:15.920 around because you don't want to be on the back 0:14:16.000 --> 0:14:18.840 end here with Hicks of the season. In redraft leagues, 0:14:19.360 --> 0:14:21.960 you gotta be more proactive, and there's enough pitching injury. 0:14:22.000 --> 0:14:25.440 Like if you could somehow turn Jordan Hicks into a 0:14:25.480 --> 0:14:29.040 really good, solid everyday player who's underperform in the first 0:14:29.040 --> 0:14:30.560 half of the season or first two months, you do 0:14:30.600 --> 0:14:32.840 that trade because Hicks is going to be limited. He's 0:14:32.840 --> 0:14:34.640 not gonna throw one hundred and fifty innings like that's 0:14:34.640 --> 0:14:35.280 never gonna happen. 0:14:35.320 --> 0:14:38.440 He needs a couple more games to rattle ze good 0:14:38.880 --> 0:14:39.880 Memorial Day games. 0:14:39.720 --> 0:14:41.680 And Memorial Day you don't want to wait too long 0:14:41.720 --> 0:14:44.480 where everybody's worried about the innings. You want to wait 0:14:44.760 --> 0:14:47.920 just long enough where he's got a good good resume 0:14:48.000 --> 0:14:51.080 built up, and there's still future ahead where people aren't 0:14:51.080 --> 0:14:53.040 worrying too much. That's why I said end of May, 0:14:53.520 --> 0:14:56.080 because if you wait till July, it might be too 0:14:56.120 --> 0:14:59.080 long of a wait. Dylan Cees didn't have to wait 0:14:59.080 --> 0:15:00.240 for a good outing for him. He's I got a 0:15:00.240 --> 0:15:04.080 two one six ra now point eight four whip, twenty strikeouts, 0:15:04.120 --> 0:15:06.840 six walks in sixteen and two thirds innings three starts. 0:15:06.920 --> 0:15:10.280 Been really good for Dylan, sees Logan Gilbert, ironically, Welsh's 0:15:10.400 --> 0:15:14.400 least favorite Mariner pitcher, has been the best Mariner pitcher arguably. 0:15:15.200 --> 0:15:17.600 Blue Jay has just scored one run in seven two thirds, 0:15:17.720 --> 0:15:20.840 struck out eight yesterday, Tanner Biby, not a good start 0:15:20.840 --> 0:15:24.520 for him, laboring yesterday five runs given up for him 0:15:24.520 --> 0:15:27.000 in four and a third innings. That era is up 0:15:27.080 --> 0:15:29.120 to five nine three, the whip is at one point 0:15:29.160 --> 0:15:32.440 eight three. Now, the strikeout to walk grates still very 0:15:32.520 --> 0:15:34.600 Tanner Bibby, it's two to one. It's fifteen to eight 0:15:34.880 --> 0:15:37.920 over thirteen innings, so that's very strong to me. If 0:15:37.920 --> 0:15:40.560 the strikeout walk grate is strong, I'm buying what are 0:15:40.560 --> 0:15:41.600 you doing with Tanner Biby. 0:15:42.040 --> 0:15:44.440 My wheels are turning to ask you who would you 0:15:44.560 --> 0:15:47.320 rather have rest of season, Jordan Hicks or Tanner byby 0:15:47.880 --> 0:15:48.560 Tanner Biby. 0:15:49.080 --> 0:15:51.520 I'd see I had zero chills, zero hesitation on that 0:15:51.560 --> 0:15:53.520 because I think Tanner Biby is gonna give me one 0:15:53.600 --> 0:15:54.800 hundred and fifty innings this year. 0:15:54.840 --> 0:15:57.520 I think that might be training pitcher for pitcher. Sometimes 0:15:57.640 --> 0:15:57.960 is whatever. 0:15:58.120 --> 0:16:00.200 No, that's a good question. I kind of answer like 0:16:00.240 --> 0:16:01.240 Jeff Goldblum, though. 0:16:01.080 --> 0:16:05.640 I went I had somebody last night message me going. 0:16:06.640 --> 0:16:12.480 That you ask a question, yes about impressures, two pictures 0:16:12.720 --> 0:16:17.760 and and the irony. The irony is one young one 0:16:18.240 --> 0:16:23.400 also young one reliever, one starter but now converted into starter. 0:16:23.760 --> 0:16:28.680 Lots of things colliding. Yes, this is. 0:16:28.600 --> 0:16:30.840 Good if your your voice is like one hundred percent normal. 0:16:30.880 --> 0:16:33.240 Doubt my voice so bad right now? I can't that's 0:16:33.280 --> 0:16:35.080 an A plus one. But I had somebody hit me 0:16:35.160 --> 0:16:36.920 up last night going, oh, man, I think I'm gonna 0:16:36.960 --> 0:16:40.120 regret not keeping Cutter Crawford over Tanner Bibey. And I 0:16:40.200 --> 0:16:43.320 was like, I think will be okay. This is another 0:16:43.360 --> 0:16:45.720 one of those numbers look absurd with Tanner Biby, he 0:16:45.720 --> 0:16:48.520 hasn't expected e Ra. That's two runs higher. Than his 0:16:48.560 --> 0:16:52.000 actual era, which is five nine. He's giving up more 0:16:52.040 --> 0:16:54.840 than double barrels than he did last year, which is 0:16:55.080 --> 0:16:58.080 pretty ridiculous. And his vilo is down, his velo is 0:16:58.080 --> 0:16:59.880 down about a mile prower. So I think there are 0:17:00.160 --> 0:17:02.520 general like worries that are gonna be out there, but 0:17:03.160 --> 0:17:06.720 some of these are just too bombastic. They're too much 0:17:06.960 --> 0:17:09.960 that I think, like, if Tanner Biby's being cut, I 0:17:10.000 --> 0:17:13.080 would pick him up. Hold see if these things, you know, 0:17:13.240 --> 0:17:16.120 pick back up on the back half. But yeah, I don't. 0:17:16.160 --> 0:17:17.840 I don't think he's as bad as the numbers are 0:17:17.840 --> 0:17:18.760 currently telling us. 0:17:19.400 --> 0:17:22.560 I don't think so either, So we'll continue to be 0:17:22.640 --> 0:17:24.560 on that same path with that. All right, A few 0:17:24.640 --> 0:17:27.359