Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody, the Fantasy Bros. M LB. This is
Speaker 1: Leading Off Live, brought you by Bet three six five.
Speaker 1: It's me Joey P. That of course is the Welsh,
Speaker 1: and it's you, the Peanuts and the Crackerjacks joining us
Speaker 1: live here on the show. I feel a little better
Speaker 1: than yesterday. I feel like in my head I sound
Speaker 1: like a cross between Harvey Feierstein and Jimminy Glick, that
Speaker 1: old character that Martin Short used to play that I'm
Speaker 1: a big fin of and how we talked about the shoe.
Speaker 1: So I'm just gonna talk like this today because my
Speaker 1: allergies have been killing me for the last twenty four hours,
Speaker 1: but nobody cares. Nobody cares about me. They care about
Speaker 1: my home run calls that they care about because ooh wait,
Speaker 1: somebody Welsh, somebody I don't know who, but somebody's at
Speaker 1: the top of the board. Oh wait, it's me. It's me.
Speaker 1: It's joe E P at the top of the home
Speaker 1: run board. Much to the chagrin of everybody, getting closer
Speaker 1: and closer to breaking that Vladimir Guerrero bet over my leg?
Speaker 1: What say you? Well?
Speaker 2: I do love that you're here, locking into that that
Speaker 2: you are gonna break, Like that's the idea that because
Speaker 2: people get like super mad about that. Yeah, I love
Speaker 2: the idea full bow Jackson boom. Yeah, it's the worst
Speaker 2: part of April's my month. This is supposed to be
Speaker 2: my good month, Like, hey, betting birthday a that Now
Speaker 2: it's the worst part. You just you're at the tippy
Speaker 2: top of the leader board. I don't know what to
Speaker 2: do about it. I'm the worst home run call we are?
Speaker 2: What the hell's today?
Speaker 1: Thursday?
Speaker 2: Wednesday?
Speaker 1: Today's Thursday.
Speaker 2: Yes, we are two more days away from me implementing
Speaker 2: a wheel next week to start picking my home run calls.
Speaker 2: I literally am just going to start spinning a wheel
Speaker 2: to pick them. I am this bad. I'm so bad,
Speaker 2: so bad.
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know what your process is for
Speaker 1: the home run calls.
Speaker 2: It's a lot.
Speaker 1: Well maybe maybe you do less. My process is looking
Speaker 1: at the pictures with heavy flyball rates, looking at good
Speaker 1: BVP numbers, looking at good ballpark factor. Like I just
Speaker 1: try to like hone in on a couple of things,
Speaker 1: and I just go, eh, that guy, now here's the problem.
Speaker 1: I've been terrible in the betting world the last two days.
Speaker 1: Just just miserable after an incredible opening week, Just misery.
Speaker 1: So if I had just been you know, I don't know, smart,
Speaker 1: and been betting all these home runs, I'd be way
Speaker 1: in the positive.
Speaker 2: Oh your ROI would be a lot better if you
Speaker 2: You know what my thing always has been. If I
Speaker 2: feel really confident about a homer and this is why
Speaker 2: I haven't been doing it, is I'll play their total bass.
Speaker 2: So if I love a homer guy big time. I'm
Speaker 2: not a big like bet the home runs. I bet
Speaker 2: their total bases or whatever. But yeah, whatever, Oh Joe,
Speaker 2: look at me. I'm job's a b I call the
Speaker 2: home runs.
Speaker 1: Hey everybody, heyo, hey yo, what's up everybody? All right,
Speaker 1: let's get to the headlines. Let's start with Jackson Holiday
Speaker 1: made his debut. I got to see a little of it.
Speaker 1: Got back from football practice last night. Got to see
Speaker 1: some Jackson Holiday. Little misplay there, little miscommunication in the outfield.
Speaker 1: But a very exciting, energetic player I know is oh four.
Speaker 1: He did have an RBI in there against the Red Sox,
Speaker 1: but like it he is. He brings an energy and
Speaker 1: a pulse, which is a very exciting thing. He's gonna
Speaker 1: be fine. Like the over four. I mean, don't worry
Speaker 1: about it at all. So we want to officially congratulate
Speaker 1: Jackson Holiday on the show here with his major league debut.
Speaker 1: As you can see, he is a tasty snack. Hopefully
Speaker 1: you're watching on the YouTube channel because I always said
Speaker 1: that Jackson Holliday did always remind me a little bit
Speaker 1: of Little Debbie and our little credible graphics, Little Holly,
Speaker 1: Little Holly, little Hollidy.
Speaker 2: I was gonna use his first name, but then I
Speaker 2: was like, that's not gonna go well, so little Holly,
Speaker 2: so little Holly.
Speaker 1: There was that controversy too, is it Lil Debbie or
Speaker 1: little Debbie? I know that's always one that we've done
Speaker 1: here on the past.
Speaker 2: But yeah, I think it's little.
Speaker 1: Isn't you think as little? Is that what it is?
Speaker 1: But regardless, congratulations to Jackson Holiday making his major league debut.
Speaker 1: By the way, I also last year, everybody knows who
Speaker 1: watches on the YouTube channel, I like to have some
Speaker 1: fun with AI, and last year we had some very
Speaker 1: creepy pictures with AI made somewhere are actually pretty good.
Speaker 1: Fun with AI did go awry at times.
Speaker 2: If you have Jackson Holiday eating Debbie snacked.
Speaker 1: I'm out, whoa, whoa, it's it's a family show. No,
Speaker 1: what I did was I put into the AI machine.
Speaker 1: Can you give me a picture of Jackson Holliday from
Speaker 1: the Orioles uh combined with Little Debbie? And this is
Speaker 1: what it gave me. And it's adorable. Look how cute
Speaker 1: that little kid is. Look at that? I mean, this
Speaker 1: is why you watch on the YouTube channel like we're
Speaker 1: a baseball show, but we're also a fun show. And
Speaker 1: would you eat the snack cakes there if they were
Speaker 1: like if that was the face of Little Debbie going forward,
Speaker 1: if they had a boy versions sud of the little
Speaker 1: cute girl, I would still buy the snacks if they
Speaker 1: switched over, right, Yeah.
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm gonna be honest with I don't think
Speaker 2: a picture of a boy or girl is gonna affect
Speaker 2: my snack eating. But it is a it's a very
Speaker 2: nice looking for, very cute looking for probably exactly how
Speaker 2: Jackson Holiday was.
Speaker 1: As a kid, but exactly like a little kid like that.
Speaker 2: That's the creepy stuff.
Speaker 1: That's Look how far AI is coming a year of
Speaker 1: the show like that c Zagna together, which was just
Speaker 1: the worst thing ever. But yeah, there you go speaking
Speaker 1: of some of the best and worst things ever. Ellie
Speaker 1: de la Cruz, that was my guy yesterday, solo homer,
Speaker 1: two for three. He is read hot right now. And
Speaker 1: here's a lesson, folks about April. Edward Julian against Bobby
Speaker 1: millerfall people yesterday three for four with a pair of homers.
Speaker 1: Yesterday Vinnie Pasquentino, my cousin, Vinnie three for three with
Speaker 1: a homer, a double five ribbies, a career high for him.
Speaker 1: And Tristan Kasas, who everybody's been just freaking out about.
Speaker 1: He had a home run, two run dinger for him yesterday.
Speaker 1: It's only April. It's the eleventh of April. Those are
Speaker 1: three guys, and I think a lot of people were
Speaker 1: starting to get a little itchy about again. I saw
Speaker 1: people yesterday in the chat talking about dropping Vinnie pas Quentino,
Speaker 1: whatever terrible idea that would be. We tried to tell people,
Speaker 1: don't do that, and this is why you wait. It's
Speaker 1: the eleventh of April now, and I think it's a
Speaker 1: good lesson to understand, like, you can't overreact in April
Speaker 1: to slow starts with guys, because if it happened in
Speaker 1: the middle of June or the middle of July, nobody
Speaker 1: would even care if they had a bad week. Welsh,
Speaker 1: what'd you think about those three performances? Which one stood
Speaker 1: out to you? Yeah?
Speaker 2: I mean, I for the most part agree with what
Speaker 2: you're saying. I mean, the overarching theme is like you
Speaker 2: should not absolutely freak out, especially to that level where
Speaker 2: you're like, I'm done with him, I gotta get rid
Speaker 2: of him. I'm gonna cut him. That's the stuff that
Speaker 2: it's like, no, no, no, hold up. You're allowed to
Speaker 2: be frustrated. You're allowed to bench him. You know, if
Speaker 2: you're in a daily format and you want to bench
Speaker 2: for a couple of days, or even a weekly format
Speaker 2: maybe you know NFBC, you start back up on Friday,
Speaker 2: you want to do that. If I drive a guy
Speaker 2: in the top one hundred, there's no chance in April
Speaker 2: I'm cutting the guy unless he's hurt. Tommy John all
Speaker 2: your pictures. If I had a guy like in the
Speaker 2: one fifty one eighty range, I'm probably still not doing
Speaker 2: that through April. Maybe I'm gonna just bench. So the
Speaker 2: overarching theme is correct, you know, is Venny gonna be
Speaker 2: one hundred percent fine? I don't know I'm not the
Speaker 2: biggest any guy. Hard hit numbers are down. He is
Speaker 2: not barreling the ball at all, but it is early.
Speaker 2: I think Tristicasus is the one that jumps out to me.
Speaker 2: He was a guy that I said is going to
Speaker 2: bounce back. I think I put him in my trade
Speaker 2: video like I think I've been saying. I think he's
Speaker 2: going to have that big bounce back thirty plus home
Speaker 2: r Ends season. I believe is in the books. Edward
Speaker 2: Judlian we both love. But I would also take this
Speaker 2: to the other side for the rookies. I we didn't
Speaker 2: really talk about Jackson Holliday. You kind of moved past
Speaker 2: it after the creepy little DeBie pictures and everything like that.
Speaker 2: But I I think they were adorable. They were, Yeah,
Speaker 2: it's it's adorable, but it's like adorable and like.
Speaker 1: AI pictures are a little bit unsettling. I think that
Speaker 1: is day but.
Speaker 2: Also like the creepy thought of like packaging of a
Speaker 2: little little Jackson Holiday, like I'm gonna eat this Jackson
Speaker 2: Holiday bar that's all kind of but the same thing
Speaker 2: with that, like you know, there are people out there
Speaker 2: that are like, ah, Jackson, Howdy stunk. He sucks, oh
Speaker 2: for four.
Speaker 1: This is why he didn't break camp with him, because
Speaker 1: he's over four.
Speaker 2: Over hyped. You could clearly tell that was a lot
Speaker 2: in that game for like a twenty year old. He
Speaker 2: had a bad misque in the outfield, a little behind
Speaker 2: on pitches in Fenway Park. Like, I think he's gonna
Speaker 2: be fine. His approaches were good hitting nine. So with
Speaker 2: all these guys, yeah, yeah, take take a seat your
Speaker 2: top echelant, top one fifty players. Don't be quick and
Speaker 2: push them out, because yeah, you're gonna have these big performances.
Speaker 1: We talked about where he would hit in the batting order.
Speaker 1: Were you surprised that it was nine?
Speaker 2: After I thought about it, Like, no, it's not. I
Speaker 2: thought it would be six, not nine. A lot of
Speaker 2: Ale teams have done this for a long time, but
Speaker 2: everybody does where you know, it's like your second leadoff hitter,
Speaker 2: you're just getting less at bad. So I think that works.
Speaker 2: But the one to really come back to of all
Speaker 2: of them is like Ellie is really putting some stuff together.
Speaker 2: I still don't think you can maintain like forty percent
Speaker 2: strikeout rate and hitting like two ninety plus, but it
Speaker 2: just doesn't matter. He is going to be the anomaly
Speaker 2: guy that is gonna hit two forty, two, thirty two
Speaker 2: fifty somewhere in there, and he's gonna put up monster
Speaker 2: monster stats. But you have to be able to stomach it.
Speaker 2: So I think he is for a more specific type
Speaker 2: of fantasy owner because we're all like, oh, look at
Speaker 2: Ellie right now when he's oh for thirty five and
Speaker 2: eighteen strikeouts. Let's see how those same people are feeling.
Speaker 1: Maybe what happen Like I again over four who cares
Speaker 1: like it's it's one game. But the thing that always
Speaker 1: bugs me is this whole You know, you have a
Speaker 1: young player who makes good contact, and just because of
Speaker 1: whatever you know, the certain you know, managers of things
Speaker 1: in their heads about baseball. Look, you want a young
Speaker 1: player to be successful, give him lineup protection. That's it.
Speaker 1: You want to hit him eight nine in the lineup.
Speaker 1: It's not gonna be as helpful. Yeah, you're gonna turn
Speaker 1: it over eventually, but still you want to got to
Speaker 1: get off with two good start, Hit him towards the
Speaker 1: top of the order, Hit him in front of somebody
Speaker 1: where is gonna see some strikes, and good things are
Speaker 1: gonna happen.
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, you're gonna also have Gunner. He has Gunner
Speaker 2: hitting right behind him. That's why the run opportunities could
Speaker 2: be really interesting.
Speaker 1: I just want to start him off better, that's all.
Speaker 1: You know. By the time of the lineup cycles, you
Speaker 1: look at Jake Watkins. I had someone drop Louis Castillo.
Speaker 1: What why would someone do that? I snapped him up
Speaker 1: and I already have Kirby two. Now that's funny. That's funny.
Speaker 1: So there you go. Now, Jerry Nelson says, what about uh,
Speaker 1: mister Nolan Jones, And I say, well, this is exactly
Speaker 1: what we're gonna talk about. Nolan Jones over five through
Speaker 1: strikeouts yesterday, hitting the Bucks fifty seven right now. He
Speaker 1: did put the ball in play at the end of
Speaker 1: the game with bases loaded, but still perfect example. It's
Speaker 1: April buy him everywhere. He is not that bad of
Speaker 1: a hitter. We all know that because we saw it
Speaker 1: last year. So uh again, here's Norman saying that Nolan
Speaker 1: Jones got dropped in my daily fab league. How much
Speaker 1: do I spend on him? A quarter of my budget.
Speaker 1: I don't even know if you have to spend that much,
Speaker 1: but I think you should Welsh. Do you think it's
Speaker 1: gonna take a quarter of your budget to get Nolan
Speaker 1: Jones back on someone's team?
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I mean this is that top one hundred guy.
Speaker 2: I think if you would be doing him, people are
Speaker 2: going percenting it. This is a tough one. This is
Speaker 2: a really tough one for me because I'm not an
Speaker 2: Olan Jones guy.
Speaker 1: I'm come on, come on, you're not Nolan Jones guy.
Speaker 1: But come on, buf fifty seven. I'm not a buff
Speaker 1: fifty seven hitter.
Speaker 2: No, No, I think there's anomalies here. He has barrel. He
Speaker 2: was a fifteen percent barrel percentage guy. He's at three
Speaker 2: percent right now. Like that's not gonna maintain. But but
Speaker 2: and his hard hit numbers, by the way, higher than
Speaker 2: last year over a fifty percent hard hit rate. But
Speaker 2: here's the problem. Expect a batting average is one to
Speaker 2: eighty right now. He's got a forty percent strikeout rate
Speaker 2: for a guy that is, you know, gonna walk a
Speaker 2: bunch and on bass and blah blah blah. Not only
Speaker 2: he's not making contact, but he's swinging through absolutely everything.
Speaker 2: But I do believe a decent amount of it doesn't
Speaker 2: make sense in the long term, So sure I would
Speaker 2: buy into him, but I'm not like, go and buy
Speaker 2: Nolan Jones everywhere, blah blah. I would pick him up.
Speaker 2: I absolutely would be aggressive because I do think he'll
Speaker 2: turn it around. But I said this in the offseason.
Speaker 2: Don't be disappointed when over an entire year Nolan Jones
Speaker 2: does what he did last year. In the partial of
Speaker 2: the year, I think he can be a twenty twenty
Speaker 2: ish guy. I think somebody just asked, did they ask this? No,
Speaker 2: they didn't, but I thought this is interesting. Cossus versus
Speaker 2: Nolan Jones. They were saying they're sitting Jones for Casus
Speaker 2: right now. I would take Trista Cossas rest of season
Speaker 2: over Nolan Jones. But I still think Nolan Jones can
Speaker 2: be a top one hundred player.
Speaker 1: Nolan Jones, you can give you a stolen basis costas
Speaker 1: and roto. I don't think I take that importance.
Speaker 2: It was like getting him low. If you can get
Speaker 2: Nolan Jones off of a wire or someone's just like,
Speaker 2: this is ridiculous and I'm off of it. Yeah, yeah,
Speaker 2: sure give that to me, but I'm not gonna pay,
Speaker 2: you know, ninety cents on the dollar for Nolan Jones
Speaker 2: because I wasn't in draft season.
Speaker 1: Look, I know Nolan Jones wasn't your guy to start
Speaker 1: the year, and you're being very diplomatic here about it,
Speaker 1: and that's a good thing. But I do believe that,
Speaker 1: like you said, you know, the baseball's a game of streaks.
Speaker 1: We know this. No One Jones is going to have
Speaker 1: a hash rig in here somewhere. So if you got
Speaker 1: dropped in your league, I would go up to thirty percent.
Speaker 1: I don't think you're going to miss that. And I
Speaker 1: think the best part is you're gonna get all the
Speaker 1: good stuff. You're gonna get one of those red hot
Speaker 1: months coming at some point. Yeah.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you take off the first two weeks of what
Speaker 2: Nolan Jones has done and that the production is better
Speaker 2: and it's Colorado. I mean, like Colorado, It's gonna matters. Yeah.
Speaker 2: What I'm encouraged about if people are sitting here, I'm
Speaker 2: encouraged about the hard hit numbers still being there. I'm
Speaker 2: also encouraged that the barrel numbers don't make sense. They
Speaker 2: literally don't make sense for the type of player he is.
Speaker 2: So when he starts barreling with big hard hit numbers,
Speaker 2: you know, hard hit numbers are sometimes that tall tale
Speaker 2: sign of like if you make contact. That's why I
Speaker 2: like Jum Hulee. Hard hit numbers look really good. Things
Speaker 2: are gonna start happening for him. Things will start happening
Speaker 2: of data.
Speaker 1: That's the hard part about right now is they don't
Speaker 1: have a lot of going by the way. You want
Speaker 1: to see the face of encouragement because it looks like this.
Speaker 1: Hey everybody, Yeah, oh boy, I'm so excited. I'm excited
Speaker 1: about baseball. You guys excited about baseball. Gee wizze, oh whiz,
Speaker 1: gee whiz everybody.
Speaker 2: I just want to against Cutter Crawford.
Speaker 1: He's good. Dolly. That hard hit rate sure is high.
Speaker 2: I'm excited to walk.
Speaker 1: Hilarious. Jordan Hicks, he's encouraging. Uh. Six innings one earned
Speaker 1: victory over the Gnats. Strikeouts were a little disappointing yesterday,
Speaker 1: but still Jordan Hicks continues to be National again.
Speaker 2: Dude, I go under. You'll under on strikeouts against the Nationals.
Speaker 2: Anytime you get a high strikeout picture, the numbers are
Speaker 2: always still big. You play unders and they cash that
Speaker 2: attack the Nationals opposing picture, and if they're guys like
Speaker 2: Jordan Hicks. They're just gonna push what but but you know,
Speaker 2: Hicks has been awesome, by the way, just want to
Speaker 2: point out, like as a reliever, he has jumped right
Speaker 2: into that. Yeah, you absolutely loved him. He's moving from
Speaker 2: like you know, streamable type of guy to someone you
Speaker 2: continuously hold him put out there every day.
Speaker 1: I I I still am also on the camp of
Speaker 1: when you get to Memorial Day you start shopping him
Speaker 1: around because you don't want to be on the back
Speaker 1: end here with Hicks of the season. In redraft leagues,
Speaker 1: you gotta be more proactive, and there's enough pitching injury.
Speaker 1: Like if you could somehow turn Jordan Hicks into a
Speaker 1: really good, solid everyday player who's underperform in the first
Speaker 1: half of the season or first two months, you do
Speaker 1: that trade because Hicks is going to be limited. He's
Speaker 1: not gonna throw one hundred and fifty innings like that's
Speaker 1: never gonna happen.
Speaker 2: He needs a couple more games to rattle ze good
Speaker 2: Memorial Day games.
Speaker 1: And Memorial Day you don't want to wait too long
Speaker 1: where everybody's worried about the innings. You want to wait
Speaker 1: just long enough where he's got a good good resume
Speaker 1: built up, and there's still future ahead where people aren't
Speaker 1: worrying too much. That's why I said end of May,
Speaker 1: because if you wait till July, it might be too
Speaker 1: long of a wait. Dylan Cees didn't have to wait
Speaker 1: for a good outing for him. He's I got a
Speaker 1: two one six ra now point eight four whip, twenty strikeouts,
Speaker 1: six walks in sixteen and two thirds innings three starts.
Speaker 1: Been really good for Dylan, sees Logan Gilbert, ironically, Welsh's
Speaker 1: least favorite Mariner pitcher, has been the best Mariner pitcher arguably.
Speaker 1: Blue Jay has just scored one run in seven two thirds,
Speaker 1: struck out eight yesterday, Tanner Biby, not a good start
Speaker 1: for him, laboring yesterday five runs given up for him
Speaker 1: in four and a third innings. That era is up
Speaker 1: to five nine three, the whip is at one point
Speaker 1: eight three. Now, the strikeout to walk grates still very
Speaker 1: Tanner Bibby, it's two to one. It's fifteen to eight
Speaker 1: over thirteen innings, so that's very strong to me. If
Speaker 1: the strikeout walk grate is strong, I'm buying what are
Speaker 1: you doing with Tanner Biby.
Speaker 2: My wheels are turning to ask you who would you
Speaker 2: rather have rest of season, Jordan Hicks or Tanner byby
Speaker 2: Tanner Biby.
Speaker 1: I'd see I had zero chills, zero hesitation on that
Speaker 1: because I think Tanner Biby is gonna give me one
Speaker 1: hundred and fifty innings this year.
Speaker 2: I think that might be training pitcher for pitcher. Sometimes
Speaker 2: is whatever.
Speaker 1: No, that's a good question. I kind of answer like
Speaker 1: Jeff Goldblum, though.
Speaker 2: I went I had somebody last night message me going.
Speaker 1: That you ask a question, yes about impressures, two pictures
Speaker 1: and and the irony. The irony is one young one
Speaker 1: also young one reliever, one starter but now converted into starter.
Speaker 1: Lots of things colliding. Yes, this is.
Speaker 2: Good if your your voice is like one hundred percent normal.
Speaker 2: Doubt my voice so bad right now? I can't that's
Speaker 2: an A plus one. But I had somebody hit me
Speaker 2: up last night going, oh, man, I think I'm gonna
Speaker 2: regret not keeping Cutter Crawford over Tanner Bibey. And I
Speaker 2: was like, I think will be okay. This is another
Speaker 2: one of those numbers look absurd with Tanner Biby, he
Speaker 2: hasn't expected e Ra. That's two runs higher. Than his
Speaker 2: actual era, which is five nine. He's giving up more
Speaker 2: than double barrels than he did last year, which is
Speaker 2: pretty ridiculous. And his vilo is down, his velo is
Speaker 2: down about a mile prower. So I think there are
Speaker 2: general like worries that are gonna be out there, but
Speaker 2: some of these are just too bombastic. They're too much
Speaker 2: that I think, like, if Tanner Biby's being cut, I
Speaker 2: would pick him up. Hold see if these things, you know,
Speaker 2: pick back up on the back half. But yeah, I don't.
Speaker 2: I don't think he's as bad as the numbers are
Speaker 2: currently telling us.
Speaker 1: I don't think so either, So we'll continue to be
Speaker 1: on that same path with that. All right, A few
Speaker 1: notes to guys you missed it. The Twins Tigers not
Speaker 1: happening today, Brewis Red is not happening today. So if
Speaker 1: you have daily transactions, make your moves, do whatever you
Speaker 1: gotta do. I had to take Parolta out of a
Speaker 1: lineup and move them to tomorrow, just for fun, A
Speaker 1: little fun here, Bo and Josh Naylor both hit home
Speaker 1: runs in the same inning yesterday and brothers did it
Speaker 1: on siblings Day. Welsh. What a feel good story, you know,
Speaker 1: how that makes me feel.
Speaker 2: Like, now, hey, I wish my brother was here. Ethan
Speaker 2: is gonna be a number one pick. We're gonna be
Speaker 2: hitting homers for years and years. Oh little sorry, he's
Speaker 2: turning into what was the Saturday Night Live character? Oh no,
Speaker 2: mister Bill, I'm turning him into mister Bill.
Speaker 1: Yeah, a little bit.
Speaker 2: Jose A.
Speaker 1: Bray You was dropped to the eighth spot in the lineup.
Speaker 1: He's hitting zero eighty eight with a one sixty two
Speaker 1: on base and a zero eighty eight, slugging zero home runs,
Speaker 1: zero extra base hits. He's got zero RBI. There's a
Speaker 1: lot of zero's here. I don't know if I ever
Speaker 1: remember a player being so consistently good as jose bray
Speaker 1: You and so just like set your watch and forget
Speaker 1: it to just falling off the face of the planet.
Speaker 2: You know that term. I've used a lot where the
Speaker 2: falling knife syndrome, where it's like, you know, you don't
Speaker 2: want to catch the falling up. This is the this
Speaker 2: is like the falling This is the one year I remember,
Speaker 2: you know, my idiocy last year being like, hey, he's
Speaker 2: going to turn it around, and he was a big bye.
Speaker 2: Don't draft Matt also because you could get guys like
Speaker 2: you know, Viadie Pascatino and jose Bray you later and
Speaker 2: stuff like that, like when he fell off, he fell
Speaker 2: off and I he's always made really good contact. And
Speaker 2: Houston's a place where you feel like, you know, you've
Speaker 2: got a little bit of extra wiggle room to make
Speaker 2: it work. But I don't know if it's just slow
Speaker 2: starts or whatever, but a braid is just a nothing
Speaker 2: burger right now. There's nothing to hold on to. There's
Speaker 2: nothing to want to manage or be like, hey, should
Speaker 2: I go and pick up and buy No, there's nothing there.
Speaker 1: I want to say, he's thirty seven now, is that
Speaker 1: what he is? You know? Although we don't know for
Speaker 1: sure because sometimes A. Brady was one of the guys
Speaker 1: that came over from Cuba, so you got a leg
Speaker 1: you never know exactly how old some of those guys
Speaker 1: really are. I mean, there's a chance he's seventy four
Speaker 1: years old. It's very possible, but like so, who knows
Speaker 1: how that decline goes. But jose A. Brady was a
Speaker 1: terrific career, one of my favorite players because the guy
Speaker 1: that always he hit on the road, he hit it
Speaker 1: home he hit lefties, he hit righties. He was just
Speaker 1: like he hit in the first F, second F. He
Speaker 1: was just like great, He's just great. He was one
Speaker 1: of the guys like, yes, I just want that guy
Speaker 1: in my fantasy team. It just kind of makes me sad.
Speaker 1: What doesn't make me sad? Jackson Curio one for three,
Speaker 1: two RBI and the rookie lookie today. He also had
Speaker 1: a stolen base in that game. Spencer Adaghetti seven runs
Speaker 1: at three innings. I tried to warn everybody. I said,
Speaker 1: let's not go crazy here. I'd even put him. You know, well,
Speaker 1: sometimes I know the waiver one video comes out. I
Speaker 1: try to be proactive, and I'm like, oh, let me
Speaker 1: add this guy regardless Vale of the start is didn't
Speaker 1: even add him to the waiver wire video. Like, no,
Speaker 1: I'm not gay.
Speaker 2: I watched some of it. I tried to make it
Speaker 2: appointment watching. I watched the seven run here two No
Speaker 2: I know, I mean it got back. I'm saying early,
Speaker 2: like early, early, like the fastball he was hitting that
Speaker 2: ninety seven he was throwing. I didn't even know. He
Speaker 2: was throwing like a cutter inside, which looked pretty decent.
Speaker 2: And he had the sweeper and sweeper didn't look very good.
Speaker 2: Didn't look like a good pitch. That's what I said
Speaker 2: when we were talking about Hi'm like, this is at
Speaker 2: best a streaming option right now. I trust the work
Speaker 2: of the astros, but I don't know. If the command
Speaker 2: isn't there, it's probably not going to be pretty. And
Speaker 2: it wasn't and he wasn't and he got arrogettied. For sure?
Speaker 1: True or false? We already know I have multiple cousin
Speaker 1: Vinnie's and a cousin Donnie because he's here on the show.
Speaker 1: Do I have a cousin Angelo?
Speaker 2: Definitely?
Speaker 1: That is correct.
Speaker 2: Definitely, you look like someone who talks to an Angelo alive.
Speaker 1: I wonder if that is my cousin Angela. It could be,
Speaker 1: for all I know, he was a huge Yankee fan.
Speaker 1: My cousin Angela. I don't see him very often. All right,
Speaker 1: let's get to the up and downs from yesterday before
Speaker 1: we do. Don't forget everybody, make sure you're placing your
Speaker 1: bets with bet three sixty five. The sponsor of the
Speaker 1: show used that promo code leading off bet five bucks,
Speaker 1: get one hundred and fifty in bonus bets, and remember
Speaker 1: to drop your comments below because if you do, and
Speaker 1: you subscribe to Fantasy pros MLB, Yeah, Josey Ramirez autograph,
Speaker 1: Jersey can be yours again. Subscribe, drop a comment, ring
Speaker 1: the bell for notifications. That's all you gotta do to
Speaker 1: win this bad boy. Ups and downs from yesterday, I
Speaker 1: had to lease gotta see three for three, two doubles,
Speaker 1: two rebies. Steel He's been great. Corey brad Cody Bradford,
Speaker 1: excuse me, got Corey brock Cody Bradford seven strikeouts, six
Speaker 1: and two thirds. Again it's the A's, but still he's
Speaker 1: been excellent.
Speaker 2: He's I just want to point out real quick, he's
Speaker 2: I got screwed last night because I had a uh
Speaker 2: it was like an underdog and I only needed Cody
Speaker 2: Bradford to not give up.
Speaker 1: You're like not even saying sentences. You're like saying like fragments.
Speaker 1: I'm rude. John King's underdog.
Speaker 2: I had this. That's what amount on it. He needed
Speaker 2: to not give up a run in the first Josh
Speaker 2: Smith screwed to him. They had a double, played it
Speaker 2: in the inning, threw it out into the outfield. He
Speaker 2: gets another out and then just a little bink over
Speaker 2: to the corner his stuff isn't so I got it
Speaker 2: screwed on that. But Bradford command really good stuff. Isn't
Speaker 2: like overpowering, but there's good spin numbers, he knows how
Speaker 2: to hit corners and stuff like that. Pretty dang good picture.
Speaker 2: Be interesting to see what they do when Michael Lorenzen
Speaker 2: gets healthy. I'm not sure that's someone I take out
Speaker 2: of the rotation.
Speaker 1: I'm taking brade for out of rotations. Might well, look
Speaker 1: when Schurezer comes back, we can have that conversation, but
Speaker 1: not when Lorenzing comes back, which is Look, it's a
Speaker 1: good problem for the Texas Rangers to have because when
Speaker 1: you have some of the other pictures they have in
Speaker 1: this rotation, you're gonna need depth. At some point, you
Speaker 1: think John Frey out. Before we get to the other
Speaker 1: one too. Razor Ramon has a question here how much
Speaker 1: FAB for holiday? So if you're in one of those
Speaker 1: leagues where you couldn't draft rookies or whatever they is,
Speaker 1: how much Let's say you've gotten ninety dollars left in
Speaker 1: FAB out of one hundred what he's been.
Speaker 2: I would probably, I mean, I think you have to
Speaker 2: start at twenty five percent. I just think he's polarizing.
Speaker 2: This could be tough because I probably in most FAB
Speaker 2: based leagues. Yeah, I probably want to save a lot
Speaker 2: of my money for pitching Paul schemes. I don't know,
Speaker 2: like probably, like I tend to spend fab really early
Speaker 2: in seasons. I know a lot of people like to
Speaker 2: save it. I like to be really hyper aggressive. Yeah,
Speaker 2: I think thirty to thirty five, So that's probably like
Speaker 2: somewhere between thirty and forty percent somewhere in there. But
Speaker 2: don't be shocked if someone over overdoes it.
Speaker 1: Now Tim thinks he's a funny guy. He said, I'm
Speaker 1: pretty sure I spotted Joe in an episode of Sopranos yesterday.
Speaker 1: Fun fact, my agent did send me for an audition
Speaker 1: for Sopranos. It was for one yeah, but the agent
Speaker 1: I was working with at the time. I was a
Speaker 1: professional actor for many years. I was never a big
Speaker 1: Sopranos fan because having grown up in the real neighborhoods,
Speaker 1: I knew the real, authentic stuff, and to me.
Speaker 2: That show was a little bit so you got sent
Speaker 2: to like one or.
Speaker 1: You did head line. Yeah, I had one line, and
Speaker 1: I was like really, And the best part is I
Speaker 1: went to the casting director, which by the way, was
Speaker 1: Christopher Walken's wife was the UH casting director for Sopranos.
Speaker 1: Fun fact, So in the casting office of all this stuff,
Speaker 1: I have the one line, like I could do this,
Speaker 1: Like I went to you know, I went to the
Speaker 1: British American Dramatic Arts Academy. I think I can handle
Speaker 1: the one ye here like I got this. You know what. No,
Speaker 1: here's the funny part. The funny part is they give
Speaker 1: me all the instruction about you know, slate blah blah blah,
Speaker 1: here's your mark. And then he said, and try to
Speaker 1: keep it simple. And all I kept thinking of was
Speaker 1: what has everybody been doing in this room for the
Speaker 1: last six hours with this one line, not keeping it simple?
Speaker 1: That they felt compelled to tell me to keep this
Speaker 1: one line simple? It was hilarious.
Speaker 2: Did I get what you should have done?
Speaker 1: They ended up. I remember my dad watching because I
Speaker 1: saw the line and he said, yeah, he was some
Speaker 1: like five hundred pounds you know, to drool from the neighborhood.
Speaker 1: You know, they just that's what they wanted. They didn't
Speaker 1: want actors.
Speaker 2: You miss an opportunity when she's keep it simple, you
Speaker 2: should have been like, forget about it.
Speaker 1: The car is here, Rusty. That was the that was
Speaker 1: the line. Actually, remember, oh, you.
Speaker 2: Know we need to do we need to track down
Speaker 2: some big giant whale human was somebody find that clip
Speaker 2: for us as the guy saying there.
Speaker 1: You go, there you go, that's there you go, peanuts
Speaker 1: and crackage and then.
Speaker 2: Well Ai Joe's face on the big fat guy and
Speaker 2: then we'll have him live out his dream.
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the arrest of the up
Speaker 1: Michael Bush to run Homer for him. You know, he
Speaker 1: is still rostered in just like sixty percent of leagues.
Speaker 1: I was looking yesterday. That's absurd, Like that guy should
Speaker 1: be picked up everywhere. I don't know why he's not.
Speaker 1: Here's the three down Hunter Green, what a weird day.
Speaker 1: Gave up seven runs but struck out nine guys Like
Speaker 1: that is like quintessential Hunter Green. For me, I feel
Speaker 1: like where you just you don't know what to do
Speaker 1: with this guy. Another class example of this guy who
Speaker 1: can throw, but a guy who can't pitch, like you.
Speaker 2: Oh, I know it's with him, is not play around
Speaker 2: with it. I'll always have in my head when he
Speaker 2: was because he was out here for a while, out
Speaker 2: in Arizona because he was like hurt and he was
Speaker 2: in you know, pitching and rookie ball and just recovering
Speaker 2: that there was a minor leagueer. It was actually at
Speaker 2: the Angel Stadium the Tempe Diablo that a minor leaguer
Speaker 2: told me when I brought up Hunter Green, was like,
Speaker 2: he has really is a really good fastball because it's
Speaker 2: one oh one, but it's straight. It's the most hittable
Speaker 2: hundred fastball I've ever seen. And this was like a
Speaker 2: rookie level guy, and that's always stuck out to me.
Speaker 2: But that's why he went to the heavy slider early on.
Speaker 2: It just he hasn't refined. It's probably gonna take location
Speaker 2: years for him.
Speaker 1: If he could take a couple of miles off and
Speaker 1: locate the fastball, you'd be much better off. Tim wants
Speaker 1: me to do the one line as Jeff Goldblum. So
Speaker 1: here we go, get try out. Excuse me, Rusty, the
Speaker 1: car is here. It's here.
Speaker 2: I think that's what she meant by keeping it simple.
Speaker 1: They're probably Jeff Goldblum and I had the same acting teacher.
Speaker 1: Also a fun fact, there you.
Speaker 2: Go, there you go, name droppies.
Speaker 1: Finally, after all these years of listening to Welsh talk
Speaker 1: about spring training and Aclie hanging out with this guy
Speaker 1: and Manny Machado and I had, you know, we went
Speaker 1: to Fridays and had you know.
Speaker 2: I got some music ones I could talk about. I've
Speaker 2: always wanted to act and say, can we have that
Speaker 2: as a bucket list? I want to if there's a
Speaker 2: movie producer out there, put Joe and I in something,
Speaker 2: just anything, Give me just one more line than Joe.
Speaker 1: Also down Ross strippling six runs, five strikeouts and six
Speaker 1: of the things that Kyle Hendrix seven runs. Injuries, not
Speaker 1: too many today to talk about. Lars Newbarr expected to
Speaker 1: be active. We talked about this yesterday. We predicted this
Speaker 1: weekend looks like Friday, So there you go. Cutter Crawford
Speaker 1: tweaked his knee, so we'll keep an eye on that one.
Speaker 1: Nathaniel Lowe with the oblique it took live batting practice,
Speaker 1: so that's good. Moving in the right direction there. And
Speaker 1: Garrett Cole is going to play catch on Thursday. Isn't
Speaker 1: that nice? You know he's gonna play catch with what who?
Speaker 1: This guy?
Speaker 2: Someone already is getting mad about us doing this, like, hey,
Speaker 2: Gary cool, Yeah you say long standing thing. Are you
Speaker 2: let's have a catch type of guy? Because I'm a
Speaker 2: let's just throw a baseball.
Speaker 1: That's how I that's when you say to your son,
Speaker 1: let's go throw a baseball.
Speaker 2: Baseball around.
Speaker 1: But a lot of people are like, let's you want
Speaker 1: to throw the ball around? Yes, play catch. Have a
Speaker 1: catch doesn't offend me. But it was not a phrase
Speaker 1: that we used, like you want to have a catch,
Speaker 1: you want to play catch like you play. I don't
Speaker 1: like it at all, actually like it. Bothers like let's
Speaker 1: go cards is very serious about it. It's play catch
Speaker 1: in four capitol letters.
Speaker 2: Play play. Yeah, okay, I don't know. If you're a
Speaker 2: have a catch guy, then you're like the little Debbie picture.
Speaker 1: To me, Beef says, I'd be a great villain in
Speaker 1: a Batman movie. There you go, the pizza delivery guy that.
Speaker 2: Went Milan in any movie for sure.
Speaker 1: Always played the villain. That's what I did. And look,
Speaker 1: I gotta play the hero here because I gotta pull
Speaker 1: some things out. Because it's that time again, boys and girls,
Speaker 1: It's time for the Best Bets of the Day with
Speaker 1: Joey p and the Welsh right here from Bet three
Speaker 1: sixty five. Make sure you use bet three six five,
Speaker 1: use that promo code leading off, get five dollars, bet
Speaker 1: in there, get one hundred and fifty and bonus bets
Speaker 1: and Welsh and I need to get off the schneid.
Speaker 1: It's been a tough, really just brutal couple days here
Speaker 1: on the channel. Here we got to get back into
Speaker 1: the home run. Call has been good, the betting has
Speaker 1: been spotty. So I'm gonna go right to the betting
Speaker 1: Pros prop bet cheat sheet today and I'm gonna keep
Speaker 1: it simple. I'm gonna go back to the bots. We
Speaker 1: talked about AI in the beginning of the show today.
Speaker 1: Now it's time to use the AI and use all
Speaker 1: the intelligence that we have at Fantasy Pros and betting Pros.
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna go with Kansas City on the money
Speaker 1: line plus one twenty against Houston. Brady Singer has been
Speaker 1: really good. Hunter Brown has been spotty, so I'm gonna
Speaker 1: continue to roll with Brady Singer in this one. Corey
Speaker 1: seeger over one and a half total basis, you get
Speaker 1: this at even money right now, So I like that one.
Speaker 1: So does the betting Pros prop bet cheat sheet. And
Speaker 1: also Bobby Junior over one and a half total bases
Speaker 1: today minus won ten simple little duo parlay of the
Speaker 1: day Texas money Line minus one eighty against the lowly
Speaker 1: Oakland A's and the KC money Line. If I already
Speaker 1: like Brady Singer, I might as well be all in here.
Speaker 1: Kansas City money Line plus one twenty are getting plus
Speaker 1: money against Houston, which is tough. Again, Houston's a good team,
Speaker 1: but I think we can get a w here today.
Speaker 1: You put those two things together and you get plus
Speaker 1: two thirty four. So Kansas City money Line put it
Speaker 1: with the Texas money line, and then Corey Seeger Bobby
Speaker 1: went over on the total basis, welch, what do you
Speaker 1: have for the people today?
Speaker 2: By the way, I almost had at one point I
Speaker 2: deleted it, but I had the Kansas City first five
Speaker 2: money line? Was it that that I was interested? Everything
Speaker 2: I liked was in that Milwaukee game, by the way,
Speaker 2: So I kind of got screwed by the Milwaukee rainout.
Speaker 1: So here's what I got a lot of excuses here, Yeah.
Speaker 2: That's excuses. I mean, hey, I have been horrible and betting.
Speaker 2: You've been guarded the home run hitter I read hot red.
Speaker 1: Hot opening week, stone cold in week two.
Speaker 2: But yeah, I'm median. I'm median line right now. I
Speaker 2: was pretty dead even yesterday, just absolutely screwed right at
Speaker 2: the end. But we'll turn it to today. I've got
Speaker 2: the Pittsburgh Phillies first five total runs. It's at four
Speaker 2: and a half, and I'm taking the over. Pittsburgh's actually
Speaker 2: really good against lefties right now. They've got i think
Speaker 2: the second highest run total against lefties all season. And
Speaker 2: I know Jered Jones has been awesome and I think
Speaker 2: he'll still continuously be good. But one thing he does
Speaker 2: do is he pounds that fastball high up in the
Speaker 2: zone and a little hint to what's coming later. I
Speaker 2: do think there's an opportunity for guys like Harper and
Speaker 2: Schwarber to be able to get to him. So I'm
Speaker 2: taking the first five innings and i'm going over four
Speaker 2: and a half. That's around minus twenty, you can find it.
Speaker 2: I'm also taking another first five, first five innings Boston Baltimore.
Speaker 2: I'm taking those total runs four and a half, and
Speaker 2: now I'm going under Grayson Rodriguez and Garrett Whitlock. It's
Speaker 2: a pretty dang good matchup. They both aren't high end
Speaker 2: first five run totals the other two teams. By the way,
Speaker 2: Pittsburgh is seventh in runs through the first five on
Speaker 2: the league so far, and Phillies are up near the top.
Speaker 2: This is one where I think Grayson and Whitlock are
Speaker 2: gonna shut down early on. So I'm pretty decently with
Speaker 2: this one. First five, four and a half underruns and
Speaker 2: then finally this is all juiced up. I wanted to
Speaker 2: play maybe Freddy Peralta. I actually had a strikeout parlay going.
Speaker 2: But my other bet which I'm lying with is Jared
Speaker 2: Jones strikeouts. But again, like I said, it is juiced up.
Speaker 2: It's five and a half right now, love it to
Speaker 2: play it under like in a parlay, it's like one plus,
Speaker 2: but he's been a strikeout machine. So Jared Jones five
Speaker 2: and a half over strikeouts, that's my third bet.
Speaker 1: There you have it. Those are the best bets of
Speaker 1: the day, And of course make sure you use bet
Speaker 1: three six five and that promo code leading off when
Speaker 1: you sign up. Bet five bucks get one hundred and
Speaker 1: fifty in bonus bets. Welsh, it's time for the home
Speaker 1: run call, and just to take a look at the
Speaker 1: leaderboard in case you missed the top of the show, everybody,
Speaker 1: in case you showed up late, Joey p at the
Speaker 1: top with eight. Everybody else has less than me. Right now,
Speaker 1: we do have Bow's and O's at seven, Pazzi at seven,
Speaker 1: in L's kel at Sixes at six, Sclarp at six,
Speaker 1: and the Yankees.
Speaker 2: Ruh, sounds like a seizure talking about all these names.
Speaker 1: I felt like I might have one. But again, it's
Speaker 1: it's a fun thing to do. And if you haven't tried,
Speaker 1: go try today. Discord join it, fantasybros dot com, slash chat.
Speaker 1: Actually let's use this one today. How about this one?
Speaker 1: Here you go, This is a better one. Fantasybros dot com,
Speaker 1: slash Chat. Join the home run channel. Also join us.
Speaker 1: Yesterday we had a fun discussion with folks in cleaning
Speaker 1: up on our discord too. Every Wednesday after the show
Speaker 1: we'd extend the show over on Discord and wells should
Speaker 1: I take questions? And it's always very helpful Welsh because
Speaker 1: you get to really talk about you know, people's teams
Speaker 1: and the roster, so it's not just like in a
Speaker 1: vacuum kind of questions, and it's always much easier to
Speaker 1: give out a better answer for a lot of those.
Speaker 2: If you have acting questions, by the way, you could
Speaker 2: talk to Joe Juilliard trained actor or whatever.
Speaker 1: Not Juilliard, but I did attend to Conservatory University of
Speaker 1: the Arts in Philadelphia, so not quite Juilliard. I was
Speaker 1: not snobby enough for Julliard, but Juilliard really produced.
Speaker 2: Oh you're snobby enough show, don't worry for sure.
Speaker 1: That's a good You're snobby enough all right, So today
Speaker 1: the home run goes to Marcus Simeon. That's right, Marcus
Speaker 1: is my man, he's my dude. Give me Marcus Simeon
Speaker 1: and Welsh just in case you feel better. The guy
Speaker 1: that you picked was actually one that I was toying
Speaker 1: with picking earlier in the day. But let's go to
Speaker 1: Welsh and maybe he can get off the schneid finally
Speaker 1: with his hat call.
Speaker 2: Otherwise we're going to the Wheel next week. But yeah,
Speaker 2: I'm going with Kyle Schwarber. The wind is blowing out
Speaker 2: in that game. I was looking about a half an
Speaker 2: hour ago, is like twenty three miles an hour now.
Speaker 2: That is coming out a little bit left. But you
Speaker 2: take big, hard hit guys. Ellie Da La Cruz would
Speaker 2: have been like a great one to have if it
Speaker 2: was a good matchup. You know these guys that can
Speaker 2: just put a ball opposite field and it can fly out.
Speaker 2: And that's why I'm going with Kyle Schwarber. Kyle Schwarber
Speaker 2: is a guy that I think you put that high
Speaker 2: fastball in. I think he Jery Jones could take the
Speaker 2: first matchup against Schwarber, but I do think Schwarber can
Speaker 2: get one of those big ninety nine fastballs, ninety eight
Speaker 2: fastball up in the zone. You take it out with
Speaker 2: big wins. So I'm gonna go with Schwarba to try
Speaker 2: to get back on the board.
Speaker 1: Good lord, Well, look, I want you to hit a
Speaker 1: home run, but I kind of want to see the wheel.
Speaker 2: We're gonna have to get a whole new overlay to
Speaker 2: put the wheel up and everything like that. If we
Speaker 2: do it, I'm gonna be so much work.
Speaker 1: We oh my guess. But shout out to Ethan too,
Speaker 1: who gave us these beautiful graphics today. I mean these
Speaker 1: are just fantastic.
Speaker 2: Back look holiday snacks.
Speaker 1: You know what, Welsh, could you please hit a home
Speaker 1: run for me today? Gee? I sure, I am sick,
Speaker 1: but I sure would feel better if you'd hit a
Speaker 1: home run for me. Gee whiz, that'd be great. Maybe
Speaker 1: I could get out of this hospital.
Speaker 2: Why is he wearing a T on his hat too?
Speaker 2: I know it's not a B.
Speaker 1: It looks like a D for Debbie, Little Debbie, Oh
Speaker 1: little Debbie. Okay, you gotta represent the brand, bro, that's
Speaker 1: what you gotta do. All right. There's a lot of
Speaker 1: afternoon baseball, so we're gonna get out of here and
Speaker 1: let you guys watch it if it is still going on,
Speaker 1: which hopefully some games don't get canceled today. That'll do
Speaker 1: it for us, But the story of the game goes
Speaker 1: on for the Welsh. I'm Joey P. We'll see you
Speaker 1: next time. Kids. Enjoy your baseball. Good aye.