1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:05,280 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast. Pot all right, 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:13,760 Speaker 1: here we go fifteen tunny, twenty five, thirty thirty five, 3 00:00:13,800 --> 00:00:15,440 Speaker 1: forty coty five fifty. 4 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:20,520 Speaker 2: And the kick as block the college Football World Stunners, 5 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:29,080 Speaker 2: Oh my goodness, he stumbled, and football the lateral turn 6 00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:33,880 Speaker 2: a general the ads. Don't you believe that I'm. 7 00:00:33,800 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 3: Not gonna table off the field to night. 8 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 2: It's not the size of the dog in the fight. 9 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 2: It's the size of the fight in the dog. 10 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:51,280 Speaker 3: What's up the generation? Welcome to the Big Nuts on 11 00:00:51,280 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 3: Campus Podcast. This is the Week one college Football Betting Preview, 12 00:00:56,320 --> 00:00:59,640 Speaker 3: Part two. I'm stuck in joining me as always my 13 00:00:59,720 --> 00:01:03,640 Speaker 3: fellow BBOC co host Colin Wilson. Today we were going 14 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:06,720 Speaker 3: to cover games on Saturday and Sunday and try to 15 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:10,880 Speaker 3: hit like twenty five thirty if you're new year, That's 16 00:01:10,920 --> 00:01:13,240 Speaker 3: what we tried to do. We'll get to our trash, 17 00:01:13,560 --> 00:01:16,000 Speaker 3: a couple of orders of housekeeping. Every week I have 18 00:01:16,360 --> 00:01:19,840 Speaker 3: my trash segment and guess what's back the board that's 19 00:01:19,880 --> 00:01:22,319 Speaker 3: we agree on. Last year they went thirty four to 20 00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:24,320 Speaker 3: twenty three and one our head to head I won 21 00:01:24,400 --> 00:01:27,759 Speaker 3: by one. Shout to Diego Pavia. We already have one 22 00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:29,200 Speaker 3: ahead to head. I have noted doubt here. I don't 23 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:30,440 Speaker 3: want to take up too much time, but I have 24 00:01:30,440 --> 00:01:33,600 Speaker 3: Clemson No, and you have Clemson Yes to win the ACC. 25 00:01:34,680 --> 00:01:37,759 Speaker 3: My trash went twenty one and twelve last year. Will 26 00:01:37,760 --> 00:01:39,960 Speaker 3: also note Colin give him a chance to get some 27 00:01:40,000 --> 00:01:42,560 Speaker 3: trash every week as well. So that's the board. It's 28 00:01:42,600 --> 00:01:46,280 Speaker 3: a little fun aspect that we added last year. Also, 29 00:01:46,319 --> 00:01:48,360 Speaker 3: if you missed part one, we went over every game 30 00:01:48,520 --> 00:01:51,200 Speaker 3: on Thursday and Friday except Georgia Tech Colorado. That was 31 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:53,160 Speaker 3: on me, but we'll cover that in fourth down when 32 00:01:53,200 --> 00:01:55,360 Speaker 3: we go three and out. So we didn't forget about 33 00:01:55,360 --> 00:01:57,480 Speaker 3: you totally. Georgia Tech and Colorada fans. I had that 34 00:01:57,480 --> 00:02:00,160 Speaker 3: on my next page for some reason. For Saturday, we'll 35 00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:04,120 Speaker 3: cover that game. We won't cover Monday TCU North Carolina 36 00:02:04,160 --> 00:02:07,320 Speaker 3: because we will have an episode on Sunday with voicemails 37 00:02:07,360 --> 00:02:08,840 Speaker 3: nine to five nine Bad Beat. Make sure you call 38 00:02:08,880 --> 00:02:10,679 Speaker 3: in yell at us about all of our terrible picks 39 00:02:10,720 --> 00:02:13,000 Speaker 3: all weekend, or praise us if you want, but that's 40 00:02:13,040 --> 00:02:16,040 Speaker 3: not as fun. But we'll have voicemails and then we'll 41 00:02:16,120 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 3: quickly pre be that game. Look ahead to week two 42 00:02:19,480 --> 00:02:21,720 Speaker 3: as well. Make sure you check out the group of 43 00:02:21,760 --> 00:02:25,960 Speaker 3: five guys as well, Duck and Breeze they kill it. Lastly, 44 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:28,400 Speaker 3: if you don't have the Action Network gap, and especially 45 00:02:28,400 --> 00:02:31,239 Speaker 3: if you're new here, you're missing the full BBOC betting 46 00:02:31,280 --> 00:02:34,440 Speaker 3: experience and it's free. Just download it. Well if that's 47 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:37,320 Speaker 3: coming in all weekend, so make sure you check that out. 48 00:02:37,320 --> 00:02:39,480 Speaker 3: The Action Neverkap the award winning action of app. I 49 00:02:39,480 --> 00:02:42,720 Speaker 3: should say shout out to everyone that has given me 50 00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:47,239 Speaker 3: a follow over the years. All right, let's get right 51 00:02:47,280 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 3: into it. We're going to start with the marquee games 52 00:02:50,760 --> 00:02:55,920 Speaker 3: of the weekend. It's another fabulous weekend of college football. 53 00:02:56,639 --> 00:02:58,640 Speaker 1: Let's check out the marquee matchups. 54 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:01,480 Speaker 2: We'll all end up that for week one. 55 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:06,840 Speaker 3: All right, so let's start with the biggest game of 56 00:03:06,960 --> 00:03:12,480 Speaker 3: week one, and that's Texas Ohio State at the Shoe. 57 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:15,040 Speaker 3: This is one verse three. Ohio State's a two and 58 00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:18,440 Speaker 3: a half point favorite, total down to forty seven and 59 00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:22,560 Speaker 3: a half. Usually when you have one verse three a 60 00:03:22,560 --> 00:03:24,920 Speaker 3: lot of certainty. We could talk about things that we know. 61 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:27,840 Speaker 3: It's not necessarily the case here both these teams, and 62 00:03:27,840 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 3: that's partly due to just the nature of college football 63 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:32,480 Speaker 3: these days. But both these teams, what outside the top 64 00:03:32,600 --> 00:03:36,400 Speaker 3: eighty ninety returning production. They lose a lot. There's questions 65 00:03:36,440 --> 00:03:39,680 Speaker 3: for both teams. Ohio State, we you know, they lost 66 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:41,560 Speaker 3: two backs in the NFL, but still a lot of 67 00:03:41,600 --> 00:03:45,520 Speaker 3: talent in the backfield. Wide receivers are loaded, led by 68 00:03:45,600 --> 00:03:49,760 Speaker 3: Jeremiah Smith among others. Tight End room at Max Claire 69 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:52,920 Speaker 3: is loaded. Offensive line loses a lot to the NFL, 70 00:03:52,920 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 3: but their interior guys played in the playoff last year. 71 00:03:55,560 --> 00:03:59,120 Speaker 3: Tackles a question. They you know, they've switched their tackles around. 72 00:03:59,160 --> 00:04:01,640 Speaker 3: It looks like the transfer or Minnesota might start at 73 00:04:01,720 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 3: right tackle, So that's something to watch. Defensively, a lot 74 00:04:05,840 --> 00:04:08,160 Speaker 3: of State not only that, probably the best offensive player 75 00:04:08,200 --> 00:04:10,400 Speaker 3: in college football, they argue, they have the best defensive 76 00:04:10,400 --> 00:04:13,920 Speaker 3: player in Klee. Down's curious to see what the defensive 77 00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:17,400 Speaker 3: rotation looks like in the secondary. How who it looks 78 00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:20,359 Speaker 3: like styles the other styles? Is gonna play nickel? But 79 00:04:20,440 --> 00:04:23,440 Speaker 3: how do they use Downs? Is it similar to last year? 80 00:04:23,480 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 3: Who's going to take that free that deep safety role 81 00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:28,279 Speaker 3: when they need it? Probably my biggest worry on the 82 00:04:28,320 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 3: team outside of quarterback, and that's the theme with a 83 00:04:31,960 --> 00:04:34,680 Speaker 3: lot of these top teams, Julian saying did win the job, 84 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:37,800 Speaker 3: but it wasn't the most glowing report out of camp. 85 00:04:38,440 --> 00:04:40,119 Speaker 3: Still a young kid, all the talent in the world. 86 00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:43,239 Speaker 3: But how long is that adjustment period? We shall see 87 00:04:43,720 --> 00:04:45,960 Speaker 3: And it looks like Keenholts kind Holts already forget the 88 00:04:46,320 --> 00:04:50,680 Speaker 3: right pronunciation, Keenholts. He might get some packages, the more 89 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:53,240 Speaker 3: mobile guy, so you might see him maybe like in that. 90 00:04:53,440 --> 00:04:54,960 Speaker 3: You know Devin Brown used to do that. 91 00:04:56,920 --> 00:04:58,120 Speaker 1: Devin Brown, remember that? 92 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:01,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, Devin Brown went down at the and they lost 93 00:05:01,080 --> 00:05:03,880 Speaker 3: the job to a freshman. We'll talk about cal later. 94 00:05:04,080 --> 00:05:05,720 Speaker 3: So there's a lot of questions arount of State, mainly 95 00:05:05,760 --> 00:05:08,000 Speaker 3: the quarterback, but you know, some on the offensive line, 96 00:05:08,320 --> 00:05:11,040 Speaker 3: some on the defensive line. See how the secondary stakes out. 97 00:05:11,040 --> 00:05:13,720 Speaker 3: And then it's Matt Patricia. They drop off from Jim 98 00:05:13,800 --> 00:05:18,480 Speaker 3: Knowles Texas. Hey, they're not without questions either. It's not 99 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:21,080 Speaker 3: like arch Manning, who has I think we have a 100 00:05:21,120 --> 00:05:22,800 Speaker 3: little more confidence in what he'll be than sayings we've 101 00:05:22,839 --> 00:05:25,200 Speaker 3: seen them, but it's only we've seen them a ton. Also, 102 00:05:25,360 --> 00:05:28,479 Speaker 3: offensive line lost a lot of pro town. They have 103 00:05:28,480 --> 00:05:30,919 Speaker 3: a really good offensive line coach, but how does that 104 00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:33,039 Speaker 3: all come together? And a lot of this what's going 105 00:05:33,080 --> 00:05:34,400 Speaker 3: to come down to with these two teams is which 106 00:05:34,400 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 3: freshmen really flash, especially early on in the air. But 107 00:05:36,960 --> 00:05:39,640 Speaker 3: the Texas defense too, I think there's gonna be a 108 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:42,400 Speaker 3: bit of a drop off, just like Ohio State. That 109 00:05:42,520 --> 00:05:44,600 Speaker 3: defensive line over the past two years lost a lot 110 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:48,000 Speaker 3: of talent, especially in the interior secondary lost two pros. 111 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:50,720 Speaker 3: So we'll see how all that comes together. So a 112 00:05:50,760 --> 00:05:53,440 Speaker 3: lot of questions what this comes down to. To me, 113 00:05:53,839 --> 00:05:57,040 Speaker 3: I do trust Arch a little bit more right now 114 00:05:57,080 --> 00:06:00,520 Speaker 3: than saying that could be off certainly, But I mean 115 00:06:00,560 --> 00:06:03,200 Speaker 3: I do project Ohio State as a small favor. I 116 00:06:03,320 --> 00:06:06,360 Speaker 3: missed the three, Mike might come back. I don't know. 117 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:08,560 Speaker 3: If it does get the three, I'm taking it. What 118 00:06:08,640 --> 00:06:12,880 Speaker 3: I'm more interested in doing here, gimme sark from behind 119 00:06:12,920 --> 00:06:17,200 Speaker 3: baby against Patricia, making some second half adjustments, give me 120 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:20,159 Speaker 3: some Texas live if they're down at the half with 121 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:24,279 Speaker 3: the better number, that's what I'm looking for. If it 122 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:27,239 Speaker 3: hits three, I'm going to have to take its numbers wise, 123 00:06:27,279 --> 00:06:29,039 Speaker 3: and I think this is more of a coin flip 124 00:06:29,080 --> 00:06:31,479 Speaker 3: game with a ton of uncertainty on both sides. Do 125 00:06:31,600 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 3: respect the home field advantage, but what are you seeing 126 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:35,920 Speaker 3: here in Texas Ohio State. 127 00:06:36,400 --> 00:06:38,480 Speaker 1: There's way more questions around Ohio State than there is 128 00:06:38,520 --> 00:06:41,120 Speaker 1: around Texas. But you've already alluded to one of the 129 00:06:41,120 --> 00:06:44,000 Speaker 1: biggest elements of college football. What determines a national title 130 00:06:44,040 --> 00:06:47,400 Speaker 1: contender is coordinators, and especially coordinators that can change on 131 00:06:47,440 --> 00:06:51,920 Speaker 1: the fly, change at halftime, change drive to drive. Remember, 132 00:06:52,320 --> 00:06:55,479 Speaker 1: these college kids are now getting tablets in their face 133 00:06:55,520 --> 00:06:58,480 Speaker 1: as of like last year, with live video of what's happening, 134 00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:02,440 Speaker 1: and that is built this huge buffer between the coordinators 135 00:07:02,440 --> 00:07:04,920 Speaker 1: that know how to use that on the sidelines prepare 136 00:07:04,920 --> 00:07:07,080 Speaker 1: their teams for the next drive. I mean, the NFL 137 00:07:07,200 --> 00:07:11,400 Speaker 1: just gets screenshots, the college kids get video on the sideline, 138 00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:13,720 Speaker 1: and I think it really showed. It's why I believe 139 00:07:13,720 --> 00:07:15,680 Speaker 1: about a year ago I was preaching to everybody that 140 00:07:15,840 --> 00:07:18,600 Speaker 1: the coordinators that know how to implement this are the 141 00:07:18,640 --> 00:07:21,800 Speaker 1: ones that are going to shine. Chip Kelly Jim Knowles 142 00:07:22,400 --> 00:07:25,000 Speaker 1: completely changed the game plan for the entire Ohio State 143 00:07:25,040 --> 00:07:28,880 Speaker 1: team mid stream heading into the playoff, and Ryan Day 144 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:30,280 Speaker 1: was just going to sit back and let him do it. 145 00:07:30,360 --> 00:07:31,760 Speaker 1: And it's good that he did because they won the 146 00:07:31,800 --> 00:07:34,680 Speaker 1: national title. But do you have the creativity of Chip 147 00:07:34,760 --> 00:07:37,240 Speaker 1: Kelly with Brian Hartline. I don't think so. Do you 148 00:07:37,400 --> 00:07:41,320 Speaker 1: have Jim Knowles, a wizard as your defensive coordinator? I 149 00:07:41,320 --> 00:07:43,120 Speaker 1: don't think so. And I think that is a huge 150 00:07:43,160 --> 00:07:44,960 Speaker 1: difference in this game that you're mentioning. Now. I have 151 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:46,960 Speaker 1: so many questions about Ohio State, and then you look 152 00:07:46,960 --> 00:07:50,080 Speaker 1: at the passing game. Jeremiah Smith obviously deserves to be 153 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:52,120 Speaker 1: mentioned with Ryan Williams as the best wide receivers in 154 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:55,200 Speaker 1: college football. If you remember last year, Rose Bowl shows 155 00:07:55,240 --> 00:07:58,200 Speaker 1: up and Jeremiah Smith just just eats the entire Oregon 156 00:07:58,240 --> 00:08:00,760 Speaker 1: team and sends them back home. This week, what happens, 157 00:08:00,800 --> 00:08:03,160 Speaker 1: Texas finds out a way to limit Jermiah Smith. He 158 00:08:03,200 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 1: was targeted three times by Will Howard. He made one 159 00:08:05,440 --> 00:08:10,880 Speaker 1: catch for three yards. Pete Kwakowski implemented the bracket, rolled 160 00:08:10,880 --> 00:08:13,280 Speaker 1: the coverage over, made sure that Jermia Smith was completely 161 00:08:13,280 --> 00:08:15,200 Speaker 1: taken out of the game. Now, there are other weapons 162 00:08:15,240 --> 00:08:18,640 Speaker 1: here for Julian Saying to connect with, but I guarantee 163 00:08:18,880 --> 00:08:21,120 Speaker 1: they're going to roll coverages and not let Jermiah Smith 164 00:08:21,120 --> 00:08:22,600 Speaker 1: beat him. I mean, you will be in the game 165 00:08:22,640 --> 00:08:24,440 Speaker 1: if you don't let Jermiah Smith beat you. And I 166 00:08:24,480 --> 00:08:26,360 Speaker 1: bet you they implement that same thing that they did 167 00:08:26,440 --> 00:08:28,800 Speaker 1: last year. So Malik Muhammad expected to be one of 168 00:08:28,800 --> 00:08:31,080 Speaker 1: the best corners of the nation. Can he hang on 169 00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:33,560 Speaker 1: his own a man demand coverage. I don't know. We'll 170 00:08:33,600 --> 00:08:35,480 Speaker 1: see what they do. But they shut down Jermia Smith 171 00:08:35,559 --> 00:08:38,040 Speaker 1: last year. I expect it to happen again. If Texas 172 00:08:38,040 --> 00:08:40,559 Speaker 1: loses this game, we're gonna be able to pinpoint why. 173 00:08:40,920 --> 00:08:43,840 Speaker 1: And it's because Sart got too cute. Sark made a 174 00:08:43,880 --> 00:08:46,480 Speaker 1: comment this week, boy me listening to pressers and coach 175 00:08:46,520 --> 00:08:50,000 Speaker 1: speaking in what Arch does is he expands our playbook. 176 00:08:50,080 --> 00:08:52,640 Speaker 1: See what Jaden Daniels, Jalen Hurts and Josh Allen do, 177 00:08:52,720 --> 00:08:54,640 Speaker 1: and we expect to do that. And when I first 178 00:08:54,679 --> 00:08:57,080 Speaker 1: heard that, I'm like, oh my gosh, like everyone's gonna 179 00:08:57,120 --> 00:08:59,040 Speaker 1: run and bet Texas money, which, as I'm sitting here, 180 00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:00,679 Speaker 1: one of the sharpest books, I guess just went down 181 00:09:00,679 --> 00:09:03,439 Speaker 1: to one. That's the thinking when you hear that statement. 182 00:09:03,920 --> 00:09:06,720 Speaker 1: But I've seen enough Steve Sarkisian games where he gets 183 00:09:06,760 --> 00:09:09,880 Speaker 1: in so deep into his bag it backfires, and I 184 00:09:09,920 --> 00:09:12,439 Speaker 1: think if Texas loses this game, it's because he gets 185 00:09:12,480 --> 00:09:13,560 Speaker 1: too cute in the red zone. 186 00:09:13,600 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 3: How much this Arch theoretically he should help Texas in 187 00:09:17,559 --> 00:09:19,400 Speaker 3: the red zone because of his legs. 188 00:09:19,720 --> 00:09:21,720 Speaker 1: You got to do arch over the interior. We're not 189 00:09:21,760 --> 00:09:25,079 Speaker 1: doing tosses to the Weisner. They're elite everywhere and I'm 190 00:09:25,120 --> 00:09:27,280 Speaker 1: not worried about the offensive line. Texas is the play. 191 00:09:27,760 --> 00:09:30,040 Speaker 1: Do you agree with me here? You should watch Caleb 192 00:09:30,080 --> 00:09:33,280 Speaker 1: Downs from the get go. And if Caleb Downs is 193 00:09:33,320 --> 00:09:36,240 Speaker 1: locked into a position playing zone or manning single high 194 00:09:36,280 --> 00:09:38,360 Speaker 1: safety and not allowed to roam, I think that is 195 00:09:38,720 --> 00:09:41,320 Speaker 1: huge red flag for Ohio States defense from the start. 196 00:09:41,440 --> 00:09:43,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna be watching the second a close. I 197 00:09:43,040 --> 00:09:44,840 Speaker 3: can't put it on the agree because I need three. 198 00:09:45,559 --> 00:09:47,360 Speaker 3: Will be looking. I mean it might, it might come, 199 00:09:47,400 --> 00:09:50,400 Speaker 3: but I will be looking for Texas live for sure. 200 00:09:51,040 --> 00:09:53,719 Speaker 3: Should be a good one to start off the day. 201 00:09:53,800 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 3: Let's go to the next Marque game. This is an 202 00:09:56,160 --> 00:09:59,360 Speaker 3: interesting game under the radar. Interesting between Alabama and Florida 203 00:09:59,400 --> 00:10:03,680 Speaker 3: State three thir the Eastern and ABC at do Campbell 204 00:10:03,679 --> 00:10:06,920 Speaker 3: Stateium in Tallahassee. Bama thirteen and a half point favorite 205 00:10:06,920 --> 00:10:09,760 Speaker 3: total fifty and a half. Reason this is so interesting 206 00:10:09,840 --> 00:10:13,520 Speaker 3: to me is Alabama. They had a disappointing year last year. 207 00:10:13,640 --> 00:10:16,320 Speaker 3: What they ended their streak of I don't even know 208 00:10:16,320 --> 00:10:18,280 Speaker 3: how long how many they had an FBS record of 209 00:10:18,360 --> 00:10:20,000 Speaker 3: double digit win seasons. 210 00:10:19,760 --> 00:10:21,040 Speaker 1: Says Greg Mackroyno. Nine. 211 00:10:21,080 --> 00:10:23,720 Speaker 3: I think yeah, I think it was sixteen seventeen years, 212 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:27,480 Speaker 3: and they ended with a sour taste their mouth. Had 213 00:10:27,480 --> 00:10:30,319 Speaker 3: lost to Oklahoma, they didn't make the College Football Playoff, 214 00:10:30,320 --> 00:10:32,080 Speaker 3: they lose to Michigan in the bowl game. So I'm 215 00:10:32,120 --> 00:10:34,559 Speaker 3: sure they've been Caitlyn de Wora, we both have a 216 00:10:34,640 --> 00:10:36,640 Speaker 3: ton of respect for he's been harping on that all summer. 217 00:10:37,080 --> 00:10:38,959 Speaker 3: And then Florida State, I mean they went two week 218 00:10:39,000 --> 00:10:42,640 Speaker 3: ten easily could have lost to every FBS team, So 219 00:10:42,679 --> 00:10:46,280 Speaker 3: they I'm sure their staff, the players that are left 220 00:10:46,280 --> 00:10:50,480 Speaker 3: over are have been foaming at the mouth all summer 221 00:10:50,720 --> 00:10:52,719 Speaker 3: and they want both these teams want to get back 222 00:10:52,760 --> 00:10:56,839 Speaker 3: out there and just wash away. Last year. Florida State 223 00:10:56,880 --> 00:10:59,960 Speaker 3: obviously a little bit has went a little bit more south, 224 00:11:00,200 --> 00:11:02,520 Speaker 3: but compared to Alabama and what they were expecting, it 225 00:11:02,559 --> 00:11:06,640 Speaker 3: definitely was a disappointment. So you're probably going to get everything. 226 00:11:06,720 --> 00:11:08,679 Speaker 3: You're probably gonna get everything in the kitchen sink from 227 00:11:08,720 --> 00:11:12,000 Speaker 3: Florida State in front of their home fans after what 228 00:11:12,040 --> 00:11:14,720 Speaker 3: happened last season. Gus smells on now the offensive coordinator 229 00:11:14,720 --> 00:11:19,480 Speaker 3: of Tommy Castianos, the quarterback. And by the way, this 230 00:11:19,559 --> 00:11:22,560 Speaker 3: is what's gone wrong for Florida State. You can look 231 00:11:22,559 --> 00:11:25,120 Speaker 3: at these two teams and it's it's kind of the 232 00:11:25,160 --> 00:11:26,839 Speaker 3: teams that are I think, doing it wrong orus the 233 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:29,600 Speaker 3: teams that are doing it right, like Florida State just 234 00:11:30,080 --> 00:11:32,599 Speaker 3: all in trying to do everything in the portal and 235 00:11:32,720 --> 00:11:34,839 Speaker 3: that's not as easy to do these days. Alabama is 236 00:11:34,880 --> 00:11:37,920 Speaker 3: like building the roster, developing and then also just taking 237 00:11:37,920 --> 00:11:40,480 Speaker 3: guys in the portal where you need and still recruiting 238 00:11:40,520 --> 00:11:42,560 Speaker 3: at a high level. And that's why Florida State has 239 00:11:42,559 --> 00:11:46,079 Speaker 3: falling behind. I will say it's been very it was 240 00:11:46,160 --> 00:11:49,120 Speaker 3: very difficult for me to just price Florida State this year, 241 00:11:49,520 --> 00:11:51,880 Speaker 3: Like how much am I upgrading them from last year? 242 00:11:51,880 --> 00:11:56,160 Speaker 3: I mean I downgraded them at close to the bottom. 243 00:11:56,320 --> 00:11:58,319 Speaker 3: At one point last year is close to three touchdowns, 244 00:11:58,920 --> 00:12:03,640 Speaker 3: so they were which is like you said, never ever happened. 245 00:12:04,960 --> 00:12:08,280 Speaker 3: So I upgraded them close to as much as any 246 00:12:08,320 --> 00:12:10,240 Speaker 3: I think they're the second most upgraded team in the country. 247 00:12:10,280 --> 00:12:11,559 Speaker 3: But I could be off, like I could be like 248 00:12:11,600 --> 00:12:16,439 Speaker 3: four or five points off either direction. So I'm at 249 00:12:16,440 --> 00:12:19,200 Speaker 3: eleven and I was ready to I just give me 250 00:12:19,240 --> 00:12:23,080 Speaker 3: the fourteen is what I was thinking here, And like, 251 00:12:23,240 --> 00:12:26,120 Speaker 3: could Costianos and Malzan have some success running on this 252 00:12:26,160 --> 00:12:28,600 Speaker 3: Alabama defense. It's possible. I mean, I'm sure they're spending 253 00:12:28,600 --> 00:12:30,640 Speaker 3: a lot of time looking at that Oklahoma tape when 254 00:12:30,679 --> 00:12:33,400 Speaker 3: Oklahoma just ran out of Bama with Jackson Arnold all day. 255 00:12:34,559 --> 00:12:36,080 Speaker 3: But Bama doesn't really have any holes. And look, they 256 00:12:36,080 --> 00:12:37,199 Speaker 3: had a bunch of guys I could have went to 257 00:12:37,200 --> 00:12:39,800 Speaker 3: the NFL as opposed to like Ohio State and Texas 258 00:12:39,880 --> 00:12:41,760 Speaker 3: lost a lot of guys to the NFL. I'ven't lost some, 259 00:12:41,880 --> 00:12:44,880 Speaker 3: but they had a lot that could have left foot State. 260 00:12:45,000 --> 00:12:48,839 Speaker 3: So their defense looks stacked. The offensive line has some questions, 261 00:12:49,720 --> 00:12:51,840 Speaker 3: but you know, really good left tackle. There's a couple 262 00:12:51,880 --> 00:12:55,000 Speaker 3: other guys that you're really confident in wide receiver, room, 263 00:12:55,040 --> 00:12:57,920 Speaker 3: stacked running back room, a lot of talent. But they 264 00:12:57,920 --> 00:13:00,000 Speaker 3: did lose jam Miller to an injury. He will be back, 265 00:13:00,040 --> 00:13:01,720 Speaker 3: but he won't be available for this game, which is 266 00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:04,600 Speaker 3: worth noting. But Alabama's roster is in much better shape. 267 00:13:04,679 --> 00:13:07,800 Speaker 3: It's also worth that Alabama's depth is way better. So 268 00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:09,360 Speaker 3: one of the things I worry about when thinking about 269 00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:13,120 Speaker 3: potentially betting Florida State. Wasof if that the longer this 270 00:13:13,200 --> 00:13:16,000 Speaker 3: game goes on, the worse it is for Florida State. 271 00:13:16,040 --> 00:13:18,480 Speaker 3: They're probably going to wear down in this game. Does 272 00:13:18,520 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 3: that mean that they want to go slower and try 273 00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:22,040 Speaker 3: to shorten this game? I think that would be the 274 00:13:22,080 --> 00:13:23,640 Speaker 3: smart thing to do. I don't know how much tempo 275 00:13:23,679 --> 00:13:26,800 Speaker 3: Gus wants to use. But then the depth chart comes 276 00:13:26,800 --> 00:13:29,720 Speaker 3: out for Florida State and this sent Florida State's Florida 277 00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:35,520 Speaker 3: State Twitter into They were flabbergas that it's some of 278 00:13:35,520 --> 00:13:37,640 Speaker 3: the names on the depth chart where the walk Ons were. 279 00:13:37,800 --> 00:13:40,760 Speaker 3: It's like they're leading team. Brown wasn't listed as the starter. 280 00:13:41,280 --> 00:13:44,040 Speaker 3: I don't know the jack linebacker, the linebacker room was all. 281 00:13:45,440 --> 00:13:48,000 Speaker 3: The depth chart for the defense is ugly, so I 282 00:13:48,600 --> 00:13:51,240 Speaker 3: don't know. I like the higher at the head of White, 283 00:13:51,679 --> 00:13:55,120 Speaker 3: the new defensive coordinator. I'm not sure what the plan 284 00:13:55,240 --> 00:13:57,679 Speaker 3: is here. Is it a smoke screen? I don't know, 285 00:13:57,800 --> 00:14:00,840 Speaker 3: but that scares me. Then potentially wearing down scares me, 286 00:14:02,000 --> 00:14:05,280 Speaker 3: so I'm the vibes are starting to go away. I'm 287 00:14:05,280 --> 00:14:08,520 Speaker 3: wanting to bet Florida State. I would have needed fourteen, 288 00:14:09,520 --> 00:14:13,760 Speaker 3: so I'm hoping that this line is not going to fourteen, 289 00:14:13,800 --> 00:14:17,480 Speaker 3: and I don't have to make that decision, you know, 290 00:14:17,520 --> 00:14:19,120 Speaker 3: and I might end up passing me. My number is 291 00:14:19,160 --> 00:14:20,920 Speaker 3: like eleven, in between eleven and eleven and a half, 292 00:14:20,960 --> 00:14:23,720 Speaker 3: so you know, week one up, i'd probably play fourteen 293 00:14:23,680 --> 00:14:26,280 Speaker 3: to fourteen. But I willingly admit I could be way 294 00:14:26,320 --> 00:14:29,120 Speaker 3: off of Florida State's raiding, like how much I upgraded them, 295 00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:31,400 Speaker 3: and the step chart doesn't give you that much confidence. 296 00:14:33,400 --> 00:14:38,360 Speaker 3: And we'll see there's it's it should be a fascinating game, though, 297 00:14:38,360 --> 00:14:39,920 Speaker 3: what are you seeing here in Florida State Alabama? 298 00:14:39,920 --> 00:14:42,040 Speaker 1: Well, I have Alabama power rateed number one in the nation, 299 00:14:42,160 --> 00:14:44,200 Speaker 1: but then again, there's like five teams within two points 300 00:14:44,240 --> 00:14:45,960 Speaker 1: of each other, so that's not that big of a deal. 301 00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:48,760 Speaker 1: I actually make this game in the mid twenties, and 302 00:14:48,880 --> 00:14:51,840 Speaker 1: I just have not been able to get Florida State 303 00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:56,280 Speaker 1: up into the just outside the echelon of college football playoff, 304 00:14:56,320 --> 00:14:59,200 Speaker 1: which is what a spread of thirteen would indicate to me. 305 00:14:59,280 --> 00:15:02,360 Speaker 1: That Florida State is right outside the college world playoff. 306 00:15:03,040 --> 00:15:04,880 Speaker 1: They're not what have they done in the off season 307 00:15:04,960 --> 00:15:06,920 Speaker 1: to get any better? Are we sure? Gus Malzon's offense 308 00:15:06,920 --> 00:15:09,560 Speaker 1: still works. I mean, there was a lot of talent 309 00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:12,840 Speaker 1: on that offense last year with r J Harvey, kJ Jefferson, 310 00:15:13,320 --> 00:15:15,600 Speaker 1: five other quarterbacks that ran that offense. I mean that 311 00:15:16,320 --> 00:15:17,800 Speaker 1: there was no reason, you see, if should have been 312 00:15:17,800 --> 00:15:19,840 Speaker 1: as bad as they were. And I'm not sure Gus 313 00:15:19,920 --> 00:15:25,640 Speaker 1: is you know, Wildcat zone ready. 314 00:15:23,800 --> 00:15:25,760 Speaker 3: Still was fine of the year. 315 00:15:26,160 --> 00:15:28,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, the quarterback position was terrible, and that kind of 316 00:15:28,360 --> 00:15:31,480 Speaker 1: brings me to, you know, the update you know up 317 00:15:31,480 --> 00:15:34,400 Speaker 1: tympically h backs the RPOs that Thomas Caslonas is gonna run. 318 00:15:34,800 --> 00:15:36,880 Speaker 1: He can't throw the ball. I mean, everybody's focusing on 319 00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:39,520 Speaker 1: the eighteen tds five i nts of Boston College. We 320 00:15:39,560 --> 00:15:41,320 Speaker 1: had a six to seven big time throw to turnover 321 00:15:41,400 --> 00:15:44,040 Speaker 1: worthy play ratio. That's horrible. He did have one hundred 322 00:15:44,040 --> 00:15:46,120 Speaker 1: and eighty three yards on scrambles, one hundred and four 323 00:15:46,160 --> 00:15:48,280 Speaker 1: on design calls. But I mean if you break it down, 324 00:15:49,440 --> 00:15:53,160 Speaker 1: Caslanos averaged two point five yards on zone read calls 325 00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:56,640 Speaker 1: when he ran into BC. That's not given me a 326 00:15:56,640 --> 00:16:00,000 Speaker 1: whole bunch of confidence. And there's nothing elusive in his numbers. 327 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:02,000 Speaker 1: I mean ten miss tackles. I mean it's a pretty 328 00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:04,920 Speaker 1: low rating for a quarterback can you get the ball 329 00:16:04,960 --> 00:16:08,200 Speaker 1: to usc transferred Deduce Robinson right, I mean a six 330 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:11,280 Speaker 1: foot ten Wings fan. The problem is you're going up 331 00:16:11,280 --> 00:16:14,320 Speaker 1: against Demonte Jackson and Xavian Brown at the corner at 332 00:16:14,360 --> 00:16:16,680 Speaker 1: Dijon Leeve. He's seen this five star freshman kid, he's 333 00:16:16,720 --> 00:16:18,240 Speaker 1: like seven foot. I mean, he's got like a seven 334 00:16:18,240 --> 00:16:21,760 Speaker 1: foot Wings fan. He's really tall. You know. The safety's 335 00:16:21,840 --> 00:16:25,160 Speaker 1: key on dab Bray Hubbard. I mean, they're gonna do 336 00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:27,000 Speaker 1: what they have to do to make sure Duce Robinson 337 00:16:27,040 --> 00:16:30,480 Speaker 1: doesn't beat him. I love the Alabama swarm defense of 338 00:16:30,560 --> 00:16:34,400 Speaker 1: Cane Wollmack, the fact that he got them into nearly 339 00:16:34,600 --> 00:16:36,960 Speaker 1: a top ten ranking and almost everything fourth and defensive 340 00:16:36,960 --> 00:16:39,760 Speaker 1: finishing drive seventh in quality drives. This is what Alabama 341 00:16:39,840 --> 00:16:43,920 Speaker 1: was last year, second graded in PFF tackling. Those are 342 00:16:43,960 --> 00:16:45,880 Speaker 1: metrics that are all come down on Cane Wollmeck, and 343 00:16:45,920 --> 00:16:47,640 Speaker 1: he is still there and his defense is supposed to 344 00:16:47,640 --> 00:16:50,000 Speaker 1: be better this year than it was the year before. 345 00:16:50,240 --> 00:16:52,280 Speaker 1: On the other side, am I worried about Ty Simpson. 346 00:16:53,080 --> 00:16:56,360 Speaker 1: I mean, he's not Ryan Grubbs quarterback that Mac think. 347 00:16:56,240 --> 00:16:59,200 Speaker 3: For me too, I'm not a Simpson guy, so I 348 00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:02,040 Speaker 3: haven't powered f but where do you fout Florida State 349 00:17:02,080 --> 00:17:06,360 Speaker 3: power A. I Florida State fortieth and I upgraded them 350 00:17:06,400 --> 00:17:07,680 Speaker 3: thirteen points. 351 00:17:08,240 --> 00:17:12,040 Speaker 1: Sixty seventh, and I would make them eleven point dog 352 00:17:12,040 --> 00:17:14,000 Speaker 1: to Miami on a neutral. That's how bad I have it. 353 00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:15,399 Speaker 3: You're sixty seven? 354 00:17:15,760 --> 00:17:18,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I have them down there around Houston. I 355 00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:21,600 Speaker 1: would put Iowa State by thirteen on a neutral. 356 00:17:21,960 --> 00:17:23,320 Speaker 3: You're out of your mind. 357 00:17:23,480 --> 00:17:25,960 Speaker 1: Well, we're gonna find out. What do they do in 358 00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:26,480 Speaker 1: the off season. 359 00:17:26,560 --> 00:17:27,679 Speaker 3: You could be wrong. I told you I could be 360 00:17:27,680 --> 00:17:28,000 Speaker 3: way off. 361 00:17:28,040 --> 00:17:29,920 Speaker 1: But I mean, what has Florida State done to give 362 00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:33,000 Speaker 1: everybody confidence that this is going to work? Thomas castlonas like, 363 00:17:33,040 --> 00:17:34,640 Speaker 1: were we running to the window to bet this guy 364 00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:39,400 Speaker 1: at Boston College? Gus malson what dumbster fire? So anyways, 365 00:17:39,400 --> 00:17:42,080 Speaker 1: for the Alabama offense, like you wonder if ty Simpson's 366 00:17:42,080 --> 00:17:44,280 Speaker 1: not even gonna get touched? Like I think the addition 367 00:17:44,320 --> 00:17:47,400 Speaker 1: of James Williams at defensive edge from Nebraska getting thirty 368 00:17:47,400 --> 00:17:50,280 Speaker 1: one pressures to come in is great, But are you 369 00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:53,240 Speaker 1: lining up against Caden Proctor? I think you just became 370 00:17:53,280 --> 00:17:55,639 Speaker 1: a non factor. And by the way, go check out 371 00:17:55,720 --> 00:17:58,680 Speaker 1: James Williams numbers. The transfer from Nebraska against the run. 372 00:17:58,720 --> 00:18:01,520 Speaker 1: They're horrible Aslantos is not a guy we were running 373 00:18:01,520 --> 00:18:01,760 Speaker 1: to bed. 374 00:18:01,800 --> 00:18:04,120 Speaker 3: Look, I trust I like to higher Brian grow up. Yeah, 375 00:18:04,119 --> 00:18:07,600 Speaker 3: but last year, this is a team. This was Saban 376 00:18:07,680 --> 00:18:10,399 Speaker 3: and then it was last year with the Boor. This 377 00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:16,879 Speaker 3: is a team that went to Tennessee with Nico and 378 00:18:17,000 --> 00:18:20,280 Speaker 3: lost twenty four to seventh. They went to Oklahoma that 379 00:18:20,400 --> 00:18:22,680 Speaker 3: dumpster fire her team and lost twenty four to three. 380 00:18:23,280 --> 00:18:26,359 Speaker 3: They went to Vandy and lost forty to thirty five. 381 00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:28,680 Speaker 1: Like, this is Jalen Norro's fault. 382 00:18:28,880 --> 00:18:30,360 Speaker 3: This has been a this has been a thing. Well, 383 00:18:30,359 --> 00:18:34,120 Speaker 3: not giving up forty and that's not a Jalen Millroe's fault, 384 00:18:34,280 --> 00:18:36,520 Speaker 3: and then not being able to like I mean Oklahoma 385 00:18:36,560 --> 00:18:39,640 Speaker 3: in that game ran I mean, I know that they 386 00:18:39,680 --> 00:18:41,600 Speaker 3: surprised him a bit with the game plan, but there 387 00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:43,600 Speaker 3: was no adjustments. I mean, Jacksonland in that game that 388 00:18:43,640 --> 00:18:45,440 Speaker 3: they won twenty forty three, went nine to eleven for 389 00:18:45,520 --> 00:18:48,480 Speaker 3: sixty yards and he ran for one thirty one. Zavia 390 00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:51,240 Speaker 3: Robinson ran for one oh seven. They ran fifty times 391 00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:54,159 Speaker 3: for two hundred and sixty yards. So like there was 392 00:18:54,200 --> 00:18:56,200 Speaker 3: some more issues on this Albama team. I'm assuming they're 393 00:18:56,240 --> 00:18:57,760 Speaker 3: going to clean him up. But it's not like this 394 00:18:57,800 --> 00:18:59,720 Speaker 3: team was flawless last year and they were like one 395 00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:02,000 Speaker 3: player away. They got their doors going off a couple 396 00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:04,679 Speaker 3: of times on the road by you know, not elite teams. 397 00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:06,639 Speaker 1: I'm in at thirteen. I had that in the app 398 00:19:06,680 --> 00:19:08,400 Speaker 1: like two weeks ago on Alabama. 399 00:19:08,400 --> 00:19:10,399 Speaker 3: I think I might have to take it at least small. 400 00:19:10,640 --> 00:19:12,000 Speaker 3: I still got to dig a more in it, but 401 00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:13,879 Speaker 3: it's I have. I just have a feeling. This seam's 402 00:19:13,880 --> 00:19:15,680 Speaker 3: gonna be close. But we can go ahead to head 403 00:19:15,680 --> 00:19:17,520 Speaker 3: in this next game LSU Clemson. 404 00:19:17,760 --> 00:19:19,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, we can at night. 405 00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:23,280 Speaker 3: I mean, I'm just I'm just telling you, man, that's 406 00:19:23,280 --> 00:19:24,159 Speaker 3: what it's all about. 407 00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:26,119 Speaker 1: I thought you were gonna wimp out of this, but 408 00:19:26,200 --> 00:19:27,560 Speaker 1: you're you're gonna do this. Huh. 409 00:19:27,640 --> 00:19:29,920 Speaker 3: All right, well, we'll do three and a half since 410 00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:30,520 Speaker 3: we don't want. 411 00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:33,320 Speaker 1: To push, right, we don't want to push. 412 00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:35,560 Speaker 3: So I'll be nice because there's four out there. LSU 413 00:19:35,680 --> 00:19:37,800 Speaker 3: Clemson's going on head to head. We already know we've 414 00:19:37,800 --> 00:19:39,680 Speaker 3: ben if you're listening to the first time we've been. 415 00:19:40,240 --> 00:19:43,480 Speaker 3: Colin's super high on Clemson. I'm not I like the 416 00:19:43,560 --> 00:19:46,200 Speaker 3: SELSU defense much more than he does, and you want 417 00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:50,600 Speaker 3: to take Blake Baker, everyone says, I like the transfers 418 00:19:50,600 --> 00:19:52,840 Speaker 3: they brought in on defense. I'm curious to see how 419 00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:54,840 Speaker 3: they use Blake Perkins. We're gonna see and we'll see 420 00:19:54,840 --> 00:19:57,080 Speaker 3: how Clemson choose to decide to attack him and how 421 00:19:57,160 --> 00:20:01,199 Speaker 3: much how often he's on the field. But look, this 422 00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:05,760 Speaker 3: is a Clemson team that everyone talks about. Look that 423 00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:07,879 Speaker 3: the biggest worry for me is the offensive line. So 424 00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:11,080 Speaker 3: but there is a world where LSU can finally run 425 00:20:11,080 --> 00:20:12,960 Speaker 3: the ball. They couldn't run the ball last year like 426 00:20:13,000 --> 00:20:15,640 Speaker 3: they were down with Georgia and how bad their running 427 00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:18,720 Speaker 3: offense was in terms of SEC and by the way, Georgia, 428 00:20:18,760 --> 00:20:20,560 Speaker 3: the only team they could run against all year was Clemson. 429 00:20:20,760 --> 00:20:24,280 Speaker 3: Clemson couldn't stop anyone against the run. Anyone with a 430 00:20:24,359 --> 00:20:28,680 Speaker 3: pulse ran all over them. So I get that they 431 00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:30,760 Speaker 3: have one of the best defensive lines on paper. They 432 00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:32,040 Speaker 3: guys who are going to go in the first round 433 00:20:32,040 --> 00:20:33,879 Speaker 3: of the NFL Draft. But even with those guys last year, 434 00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:35,600 Speaker 3: and look they have everyone back, their number one returning 435 00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:39,000 Speaker 3: production YadA, YadA, YadA, they still were outside the top 436 00:20:39,080 --> 00:20:42,440 Speaker 3: seventy five in rush success rate. This is a team 437 00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:45,440 Speaker 3: that would give up routinely give up five point five 438 00:20:45,520 --> 00:20:47,520 Speaker 3: six six and a half yards per carrying the game 439 00:20:47,760 --> 00:20:51,800 Speaker 3: against anyone with a pulse. Got just bullied by Louisville 440 00:20:51,840 --> 00:20:55,520 Speaker 3: at home. Anyone with a pulse. They lost to last year, 441 00:20:56,960 --> 00:20:59,679 Speaker 3: and they were extremely lucky to make the College ball playoff. 442 00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:03,000 Speaker 3: Shout to Mario Crystal Ball for losing to Syracuse because 443 00:21:03,000 --> 00:21:04,520 Speaker 3: I was all in on Clemson last year. I don't 444 00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:05,520 Speaker 3: know when the AC I don't then go to the 445 00:21:05,560 --> 00:21:07,760 Speaker 3: College wall playoff, but that was at a different price point. 446 00:21:07,960 --> 00:21:10,240 Speaker 3: And now everyone is and that that team last year 447 00:21:10,280 --> 00:21:12,040 Speaker 3: was barely a playoff team. And yet oh they look 448 00:21:12,080 --> 00:21:16,000 Speaker 3: good against Texas and a loss and what they barely 449 00:21:16,040 --> 00:21:17,760 Speaker 3: covered or whatever. They were right on the number. 450 00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:20,760 Speaker 1: No upgrade though, Yes, but. 451 00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:24,120 Speaker 3: It doesn't mean day one that it's he's just gonna wait. 452 00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:26,600 Speaker 3: Rundy is his thing. I think he's eventually gonna get 453 00:21:26,600 --> 00:21:29,840 Speaker 3: it fixed. I agreed. Look, I have Clemson power ated seventh. 454 00:21:30,320 --> 00:21:32,640 Speaker 3: So a lot of people are like, yeah, that might 455 00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:37,000 Speaker 3: be I think it might be too hot to be honest, Well, 456 00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:39,160 Speaker 3: actually I have LSU at half point ahead home field 457 00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:42,159 Speaker 3: advantage for Clempson. It is above a field goal so 458 00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:45,640 Speaker 3: I don't think this line is egregious. No, by any stretch, 459 00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:47,240 Speaker 3: it's not. I got to show a huge edge on it. 460 00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:49,040 Speaker 3: But I have to stick to my guns. It's Week one. 461 00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:52,760 Speaker 3: I've been saying all all summer Clemson is overrated, and 462 00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:54,719 Speaker 3: I'm I'm admitting that might be too high on them. 463 00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:56,840 Speaker 3: I think LSU is more upside, Like we kind of 464 00:21:56,840 --> 00:21:59,480 Speaker 3: know what Clemson is. I'll take nuss Meyer over Club Nick. 465 00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:01,560 Speaker 3: They might have a run game of this offensive line. 466 00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:03,520 Speaker 3: It's now look the offensive like could collapse on the road. 467 00:22:03,560 --> 00:22:05,960 Speaker 3: Week one, brand new offensive line, like you're gonna five 468 00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:08,200 Speaker 3: new starters, looks like DJ Chester your one returning starter 469 00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:11,000 Speaker 3: probably might not even start. He lost four to the NFL. 470 00:22:11,320 --> 00:22:15,080 Speaker 3: But I'll ask you a trivia question, who is, out 471 00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:19,919 Speaker 3: of all the current coaches, who is the most profitable 472 00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:23,160 Speaker 3: since two thousand and five as an underdog. 473 00:22:23,680 --> 00:22:25,840 Speaker 1: I mean it's gotta be. You're probably coming up with 474 00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:26,840 Speaker 1: Brian Kelly things you want. 475 00:22:26,720 --> 00:22:30,960 Speaker 3: To run, and all I hear about is Brian Kelly 476 00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:33,920 Speaker 3: can't win the first game of the year. I'll grant 477 00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:39,000 Speaker 3: you that we can lose by three here Netflix, but no, 478 00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:42,040 Speaker 3: he's awful. And if so, who likes Brian Kelly. Why 479 00:22:42,080 --> 00:22:45,080 Speaker 3: is that we're talking about Dabbo in Week one last year? 480 00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:50,480 Speaker 3: Destroyed by Georgia. Three years ago, destroyed by Georgia, scored 481 00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:53,040 Speaker 3: three points, three points. Oh, it's Georgia. They're so good. 482 00:22:53,080 --> 00:22:56,000 Speaker 3: Georgia wasn't that good last year? How about two years ago? 483 00:22:56,960 --> 00:23:00,199 Speaker 3: Was that at home against Duke? They were I had 484 00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:03,400 Speaker 3: a big number. It just laid an egg, got destroyed 485 00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:05,680 Speaker 3: by Duke by twenty. I think that game is at home. 486 00:23:06,080 --> 00:23:08,640 Speaker 3: Why were we talking about Dabo so one game since 487 00:23:08,680 --> 00:23:12,600 Speaker 3: COVID in Week one? Give me the points, baby, go tagas? 488 00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:15,280 Speaker 1: Oh man, what time does this game kick? You and 489 00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:17,040 Speaker 1: I are gonna be primed by the time six thirty 490 00:23:17,080 --> 00:23:20,520 Speaker 1: comes around, There's no question about it. Let's go beyond. 491 00:23:22,280 --> 00:23:24,800 Speaker 1: Jesus Christ has been a part of Dabo Swingingy's life 492 00:23:24,960 --> 00:23:27,879 Speaker 1: the entire time. But I don't think dabos saw the 493 00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:31,800 Speaker 1: light until this offseason. There's finally a transfer portal hal 494 00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:34,840 Speaker 1: and there's finally a defensive coordinator that he didn't just 495 00:23:35,000 --> 00:23:38,640 Speaker 1: upgrade from assistant. All Right, Dabo has seen the light. 496 00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:41,800 Speaker 1: He understands how college football works. He's gonna have to 497 00:23:41,800 --> 00:23:43,960 Speaker 1: eat some words that he said in the past about 498 00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:47,200 Speaker 1: how he's gonna retire. Right. I love the moves that 499 00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 1: Clemson has made in the off season. I don't have 500 00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:51,639 Speaker 1: as many questions about them as you do. And by 501 00:23:51,640 --> 00:23:54,600 Speaker 1: the way, for transparency, I make Clemson by one on 502 00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:57,040 Speaker 1: a neutral so I don't think the line is outrageous either. 503 00:23:57,080 --> 00:23:59,119 Speaker 3: I mean this is yes, you'd make it like five 504 00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:00,120 Speaker 3: four point. 505 00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:03,359 Speaker 1: Well, you know I do the I do like a 506 00:24:03,400 --> 00:24:06,560 Speaker 1: tailor series to get home field advantage, Like I could 507 00:24:06,560 --> 00:24:09,359 Speaker 1: look up what Clemsons is, but you know everybody, every 508 00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:12,280 Speaker 1: team is different from me. Two point four yeah, same Yeah. 509 00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:16,560 Speaker 3: Between for a night game and big game is between 510 00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:17,560 Speaker 3: three and a half and four. 511 00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:22,120 Speaker 1: Yeah. So look, I said this in the acc pod, 512 00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:24,960 Speaker 1: so I'll repeat it quickly. Club Nick is getting better 513 00:24:25,000 --> 00:24:26,960 Speaker 1: and better three point nine to three point three to 514 00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:29,719 Speaker 1: two point three percent turnover worthy play rate. It has 515 00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:32,960 Speaker 1: gotten better year over year over year. Twenty eight big 516 00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:35,320 Speaker 1: time throws at thirteen turnover worthy plays last year was 517 00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:38,400 Speaker 1: his ratio. He is getting much better with pressure. Club 518 00:24:38,480 --> 00:24:42,640 Speaker 1: Nick finished ninth in the Almighty stat on target rate 519 00:24:42,720 --> 00:24:45,840 Speaker 1: last year. His accuracy is elite. He can hit anybody 520 00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:48,359 Speaker 1: on the move. That is good news. For Antonio Williams 521 00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:50,360 Speaker 1: and the sow. That is good news for an aging 522 00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:52,960 Speaker 1: Bryant westco who should be much better. I mean the 523 00:24:53,040 --> 00:24:54,960 Speaker 1: jump from freshman to sophomore. I can't wait to see 524 00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:58,040 Speaker 1: this kid because he was mentioned with Ryan Williams and 525 00:24:58,080 --> 00:25:00,639 Speaker 1: Jeremiah Smith in that recruiting class and it took him 526 00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:02,960 Speaker 1: a while to come on. So I'm interested to see 527 00:25:03,000 --> 00:25:04,680 Speaker 1: how this goes. I will give you those. There's a 528 00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:07,639 Speaker 1: hiccup at running back. I thought this true freshman Gideon 529 00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:09,920 Speaker 1: Davidson was going to be the starter that they took 530 00:25:09,960 --> 00:25:13,320 Speaker 1: wide receiver converted running back Adam Randall on the depth chart. 531 00:25:13,359 --> 00:25:15,040 Speaker 1: That doesn't mean that Gideon and Davidson isn't gonna get 532 00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:17,439 Speaker 1: some runs here. But someone's got to join Clubnick in 533 00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:19,520 Speaker 1: these zone reads. You just can't be all on Clubnick 534 00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:21,560 Speaker 1: with his legs. So we'll see how that works out. 535 00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:24,440 Speaker 1: But then again, you know, I think Blake Baker, the 536 00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:27,119 Speaker 1: defensive coordon for LSU's got so much to improve on 537 00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:30,600 Speaker 1: eightieth in defensive quality drives, you're letting everybody march up 538 00:25:30,600 --> 00:25:33,240 Speaker 1: and down the field. You're getting wiped. You can bring 539 00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:35,159 Speaker 1: all these transfers together. I mean, you're sticking in this 540 00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:37,600 Speaker 1: in a hostile environment. Expect them to communicate with each other. 541 00:25:37,840 --> 00:25:39,679 Speaker 1: Blake Baker has not been able to get a secondary 542 00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:41,199 Speaker 1: to communicate with each other even when he was back 543 00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:43,200 Speaker 1: at Missouri. So all of a sudden, we're gonna expect 544 00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:43,520 Speaker 1: it now. 545 00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:46,160 Speaker 3: I'm not saying it's a lock Benny Strepp, it's week one, 546 00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:48,280 Speaker 3: but I still need to see more from clubmen. You're 547 00:25:48,320 --> 00:25:51,720 Speaker 3: anointing him, like all his numbers last year compared to 548 00:25:51,840 --> 00:25:55,639 Speaker 3: m who's Nutsmyer's playing? Oh app State, They're historically bad defense. 549 00:25:55,720 --> 00:25:59,000 Speaker 3: NC State's worst defense in twenty years, Stanford's defense last year, 550 00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:03,320 Speaker 3: Florida State next year, Wake Forest, UVA, Louisville. Why he 551 00:26:03,320 --> 00:26:05,760 Speaker 3: threw fifty six times for two hundred and ten yards, 552 00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:10,320 Speaker 3: VY Tech sixteen to thirty four for two to eleven Citadel. 553 00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:12,879 Speaker 3: Oh yeah, great, Like he looked better at the end 554 00:26:12,920 --> 00:26:16,320 Speaker 3: of the year, but still the body of work need 555 00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:18,840 Speaker 3: to see more. Go Tigers. All right, let's get to 556 00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:21,399 Speaker 3: the rundown before we go three and out, and then 557 00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:24,200 Speaker 3: we'll talk Sunday as well. Don't worry, we'll get the 558 00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:26,640 Speaker 3: Georgia Tech Colorado as well. I'm going to go through 559 00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:29,199 Speaker 3: a bunch of games quickly. Here you teld me if 560 00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:32,960 Speaker 3: you want to stop any agree. Washington, Colorida State. I 561 00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:36,560 Speaker 3: think Husky's roll, but across the twenty one probably a pass. 562 00:26:36,920 --> 00:26:39,399 Speaker 1: Washington can still play in the secondary Colorado State with 563 00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:42,040 Speaker 1: j Norvil's returning to the pass with Nickelosi Fowler, that's 564 00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:42,880 Speaker 1: a bad combination. 565 00:26:43,640 --> 00:26:46,879 Speaker 3: Utah UCLA. This line is taken off, but you says 566 00:26:46,920 --> 00:26:49,600 Speaker 3: real banged up at wide receiver, the d is going 567 00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:52,840 Speaker 3: to take a big step back. With all the NFL 568 00:26:52,920 --> 00:26:55,800 Speaker 3: talent they lost, the offensive line should still be a mess. 569 00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:58,920 Speaker 3: I'm not a Nico guy. I know the line's taken off. 570 00:26:58,920 --> 00:27:01,399 Speaker 3: It's still either Utah or nothing. 571 00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:03,960 Speaker 1: I don't know where we put I don't know what number. 572 00:27:04,000 --> 00:27:06,399 Speaker 1: I wouldn't take Utah at Nico imla of a twenty 573 00:27:06,400 --> 00:27:08,959 Speaker 1: five percent pressure to sack ratio. He can't get out 574 00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:11,040 Speaker 1: of his own way. And one other stat for Nico 575 00:27:11,280 --> 00:27:14,399 Speaker 1: that I did not mention the preseason pod two point 576 00:27:14,480 --> 00:27:17,800 Speaker 1: nine to five seconds to throw. That is an eternity 577 00:27:17,840 --> 00:27:19,639 Speaker 1: and I don't even know how that stat came out 578 00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:22,679 Speaker 1: of the Tennessee Volunteers offense, which is quick strike on slots. 579 00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:25,960 Speaker 1: Nico is not a good quarterback period. I would take 580 00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:27,600 Speaker 1: Utah even up with this number. If you're just now 581 00:27:27,600 --> 00:27:29,320 Speaker 1: getting into college football, would still take it. 582 00:27:30,000 --> 00:27:32,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, I anybody you have like five five touchdowns against 583 00:27:32,480 --> 00:27:34,760 Speaker 3: the FBS teams faced last year, and that was on 584 00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:36,600 Speaker 3: Tennessee's offense, which are much better off as a line, 585 00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:39,200 Speaker 3: running back situation, and wide receivers even though they were down. 586 00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:45,920 Speaker 3: Wazoo Idaho can tell you I know some some real 587 00:27:45,960 --> 00:27:49,960 Speaker 3: money on the koops. I have no feel EMU Texas State. 588 00:27:50,200 --> 00:27:53,239 Speaker 3: Chris Creighton as a dog is a god. He just 589 00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:55,760 Speaker 3: makes games close. They won't beat themselves. They'll be good 590 00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:59,280 Speaker 3: on with penalties and special teams. They're catching two touchdowns 591 00:27:59,320 --> 00:28:02,280 Speaker 3: thirteen and half. Fourth line's been back and forth. Looks 592 00:28:02,280 --> 00:28:04,080 Speaker 3: like Brad Jackson is going to start for Texas State. 593 00:28:04,840 --> 00:28:06,960 Speaker 3: I think No Kim is gonna get the start for EMU. 594 00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:10,479 Speaker 3: But it's still a battle create and catch a two touchdowns. 595 00:28:10,520 --> 00:28:11,840 Speaker 3: Tempting throw now pass. 596 00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:13,920 Speaker 1: Em U Texas State is going to be San Marco's 597 00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,600 Speaker 1: got about fifty percent chance of rain, heavy rain to 598 00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:19,360 Speaker 1: start this game, so be cognizant of that. With the total, 599 00:28:19,400 --> 00:28:20,680 Speaker 1: which I think is spot on, a fifty eight and 600 00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:21,800 Speaker 1: a half, em. 601 00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:24,880 Speaker 3: You will find a way to covers my guess. ARC 602 00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:28,920 Speaker 3: State host Simo, remember they an FCS school last year 603 00:28:28,960 --> 00:28:31,440 Speaker 3: before the big Arkansas game? Do they trip up here? 604 00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:35,640 Speaker 3: And that leads us in to Colin talking Razorbacks football. 605 00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:37,960 Speaker 2: Whoo, pig suy. 606 00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:40,720 Speaker 3: Absolute dumpster fined dumps Fine. 607 00:28:40,760 --> 00:28:42,120 Speaker 1: I don't know how we win a game the rest 608 00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:44,239 Speaker 1: of the year. Just blow a program up, give us 609 00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:45,000 Speaker 1: a death sentence. 610 00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:47,719 Speaker 2: Colin's talking Razorback. 611 00:28:47,240 --> 00:28:53,080 Speaker 3: Football Arkansas's Alabama A and M today? I mean, what 612 00:28:53,120 --> 00:28:55,440 Speaker 3: did I read last week that Arkansas Pittman's moving one 613 00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:58,040 Speaker 3: of the offensive linemen to defensive line. What's what's going 614 00:28:58,040 --> 00:28:59,120 Speaker 3: on in Arkansas right now? 615 00:28:59,520 --> 00:29:03,640 Speaker 1: Pittman is getting ready to retire. His buyouts about to 616 00:29:03,640 --> 00:29:06,200 Speaker 1: be cut in half and that'll be affordable, and his 617 00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:07,920 Speaker 1: agent can't step in and keep him from retiring. So 618 00:29:07,960 --> 00:29:10,720 Speaker 1: he's getting ready to retire, and hopefully Patrino and Travis 619 00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:12,920 Speaker 1: Williams don't tear each other's throats out before it happens 620 00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:15,360 Speaker 1: real quick. On this game, Alabama AM and M is 621 00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:18,960 Speaker 1: worse than horrible. Arkansas beat UAPB last year seventy to 622 00:29:19,040 --> 00:29:21,160 Speaker 1: zero in this exact same spot before they went and 623 00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:24,080 Speaker 1: played Oklahoma State. I think Patrino had ten touchdowns up 624 00:29:24,120 --> 00:29:26,000 Speaker 1: before the third quarter. I can't even remember because it 625 00:29:26,080 --> 00:29:29,120 Speaker 1: was just it was ten drive, ten finishing drive opportunities, 626 00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:32,880 Speaker 1: ten touchdowns. Alabama A and M was power rated similarly 627 00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:36,720 Speaker 1: to UAPB, maybe a little bit worse. The Bulldogs quarterback 628 00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:39,760 Speaker 1: running back area is an area of development, according to 629 00:29:39,800 --> 00:29:42,000 Speaker 1: new head coach Sam Shade, who's taking who just took 630 00:29:42,040 --> 00:29:45,480 Speaker 1: over last December, also said, Yeah, we lost to a 631 00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:47,320 Speaker 1: lot of dudes after the spring game and we had 632 00:29:47,320 --> 00:29:49,680 Speaker 1: to go portal a bunch of guys in this is bad. 633 00:29:50,120 --> 00:29:53,400 Speaker 1: I think Taylor Patrino not only do they get their 634 00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:55,360 Speaker 1: fair share up. Oh and remember I said this last 635 00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:58,320 Speaker 1: year because the bet last year wasn't time. By the way, 636 00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:01,000 Speaker 1: all right, Arkansas in the first half one hundred percent 637 00:30:01,000 --> 00:30:02,760 Speaker 1: when it comes out recording this on a Tuesday, because 638 00:30:02,760 --> 00:30:05,240 Speaker 1: that's what the bet was last year. That's what Patrino does. 639 00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:08,520 Speaker 1: Thirty five zero, forty two zero whatever by the first 640 00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:10,640 Speaker 1: half minus forty two and a half if you want it. 641 00:30:10,800 --> 00:30:13,440 Speaker 1: Arkansas is absolutely going to rehab it on Alabama A 642 00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:13,840 Speaker 1: and him. 643 00:30:13,960 --> 00:30:15,600 Speaker 3: Well, don't you worry, We'll have plenty time to talk 644 00:30:15,640 --> 00:30:18,240 Speaker 3: about the Arkansas ulser next week before we break down 645 00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:21,280 Speaker 3: the huge showdown against Arkansas State. By the way, I 646 00:30:21,360 --> 00:30:23,840 Speaker 3: mentioned EMU Mac manifesto. By the time you listen, this 647 00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:26,320 Speaker 3: will be out ten thousand words on all the Mac teams. 648 00:30:26,360 --> 00:30:27,920 Speaker 3: Make sure you check it out on the Action Network 649 00:30:28,280 --> 00:30:32,200 Speaker 3: happenactionwork dot Com. Moving on you, Mass temple Duck had 650 00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:33,560 Speaker 3: a really good take on this. He got in front 651 00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:35,280 Speaker 3: of this number. There still might be some meat on 652 00:30:35,320 --> 00:30:37,880 Speaker 3: the bone. Should be slow, run heavy under. I think 653 00:30:37,960 --> 00:30:40,960 Speaker 3: his look there, but it has been hit. Marshall Georgia. 654 00:30:41,040 --> 00:30:43,200 Speaker 3: Interesting game in that George is laying thirty nine and 655 00:30:43,240 --> 00:30:47,240 Speaker 3: a half Kirby smart Oh and thirteen against the spread. 656 00:30:47,320 --> 00:30:49,240 Speaker 3: As a favorite of thirty eight or more. He usually 657 00:30:49,280 --> 00:30:52,080 Speaker 3: just works on one thing, just works on things against 658 00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:55,320 Speaker 3: these poores. Like one time against Kent State, they were 659 00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:58,280 Speaker 3: just dropping eight and he made Stetson Bennett run like Mesh, 660 00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:00,000 Speaker 3: like thirteen plays in a row to get it right. 661 00:31:00,640 --> 00:31:03,760 Speaker 3: They were dropping a so like last year against against 662 00:31:03,840 --> 00:31:06,800 Speaker 3: UMass they were working on like vanilla stuff. So but 663 00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:09,440 Speaker 3: I don't know if I could play Marshall. Marshall's a disaster. 664 00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:11,480 Speaker 3: I think it's gonna be del Rio Wilson is gonna 665 00:31:11,480 --> 00:31:13,080 Speaker 3: be the starter. But they have like three quarterbacks who 666 00:31:13,080 --> 00:31:15,040 Speaker 3: are in the mix, this retrot freshman Zyon Turner, the 667 00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:17,880 Speaker 3: old Yukon guy, so they might like run and run 668 00:31:17,920 --> 00:31:20,120 Speaker 3: stuff all the way to the end. And there's a 669 00:31:20,120 --> 00:31:21,920 Speaker 3: ton of Turner room both these rosters, so there could 670 00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:24,520 Speaker 3: be some broken plays. So I thought about the under. 671 00:31:25,040 --> 00:31:26,959 Speaker 3: I don't know if I'm the stomach for Marshall. It 672 00:31:27,040 --> 00:31:31,720 Speaker 3: is worth noting teams FBS teams against the FBS teams 673 00:31:31,720 --> 00:31:33,160 Speaker 3: that are laying over thirty seven and a half in 674 00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:36,000 Speaker 3: Week one. Past ten years, fifteen and one against the 675 00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:39,320 Speaker 3: spread have historically been a good vet these big favorites 676 00:31:39,360 --> 00:31:43,000 Speaker 3: and FBS orus FBS games in Week one. The other 677 00:31:43,040 --> 00:31:45,520 Speaker 3: one that comes to mind is Penn State laying Oh. 678 00:31:45,560 --> 00:31:47,920 Speaker 3: The other one is we're we've faded, but now it's 679 00:31:47,920 --> 00:31:50,400 Speaker 3: not if the line has come out, Yeah, maybe we're 680 00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:52,480 Speaker 3: safe with or Georgia State. 681 00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:54,480 Speaker 1: But in that field, that lane's gonna kick that field 682 00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:55,640 Speaker 1: goal and make it thirty eight. And you and I 683 00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:56,520 Speaker 1: got thirty eight and a half. 684 00:31:56,640 --> 00:31:58,520 Speaker 3: We need thirty five is what we want because we're 685 00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:01,880 Speaker 3: gonna other people are going to get in late so Indiana. 686 00:32:01,920 --> 00:32:04,760 Speaker 3: Oh to you, I'm about right on uh nothing there, 687 00:32:04,840 --> 00:32:10,640 Speaker 3: but I'm not not fading stig and right against uh. 688 00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:11,000 Speaker 3: Oh do you? 689 00:32:11,560 --> 00:32:12,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's pretty simple. 690 00:32:12,720 --> 00:32:15,840 Speaker 3: I win google me. 691 00:32:16,320 --> 00:32:16,440 Speaker 1: Oh. 692 00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:18,200 Speaker 3: Do you find the way to be feisty in these games? 693 00:32:18,200 --> 00:32:20,800 Speaker 3: Though they really do. Early in the year, I thought. 694 00:32:20,520 --> 00:32:22,760 Speaker 1: I thought Toledo was gonna be your uh. I thought 695 00:32:22,760 --> 00:32:24,240 Speaker 1: Tlito was gonna come in and try to upset you. 696 00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:26,440 Speaker 1: In Lexington that let line took off today. There must 697 00:32:26,440 --> 00:32:27,360 Speaker 1: have been a service release. 698 00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:31,760 Speaker 3: Yeah. I wanted Kentucky. I wanted to keep getting coming down. 699 00:32:32,240 --> 00:32:34,360 Speaker 3: It was just my numbers. But I don't really trust Kentucky. 700 00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:35,960 Speaker 3: So I was happy that it didn't keep going. 701 00:32:36,120 --> 00:32:37,400 Speaker 1: There's a lot of hate on them, and I have 702 00:32:37,520 --> 00:32:38,800 Speaker 1: this power righted over ten. 703 00:32:39,080 --> 00:32:42,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, same h. I was hoping it like kept going. 704 00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:46,640 Speaker 3: It got real cute, but yeah, it didn't lean Kentucky 705 00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:51,480 Speaker 3: under ten, but I don't trust them. Maryland Fau air 706 00:32:51,560 --> 00:32:55,880 Speaker 3: raid back in Boca. It's the that's Western Kentucky South. 707 00:32:56,120 --> 00:32:59,440 Speaker 1: That's one of our offensive coordinator quarterback combos that transferred in. 708 00:32:59,560 --> 00:33:01,160 Speaker 1: I would have I would I would do a team 709 00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:02,080 Speaker 1: total over on Fau. 710 00:33:02,720 --> 00:33:05,479 Speaker 3: Maryland still a three man race. At quarterback. We probably 711 00:33:05,480 --> 00:33:08,600 Speaker 3: won't know until kick. They have the top five in 712 00:33:08,640 --> 00:33:11,120 Speaker 3: his class freshman who I thought was gonna start. But 713 00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:13,120 Speaker 3: you have the UCLA transfer named Martin. If you have 714 00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:18,200 Speaker 3: another retro freshman named Martin, still a race uh to 715 00:33:19,840 --> 00:33:24,920 Speaker 3: Rice Ull Rice. But their option that Davidson offense could 716 00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:28,000 Speaker 3: be fun could be tricky. They named the X wide 717 00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:30,480 Speaker 3: receiver guy who went to the receiver back, Jenkins the quarterback. 718 00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:34,120 Speaker 3: They could shock ul here. I don't think ul as 719 00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:38,760 Speaker 3: well coached. They could be around Robin Piece like ULO 720 00:33:38,840 --> 00:33:41,520 Speaker 3: doesn't really know what to expect. They could And this 721 00:33:41,560 --> 00:33:43,280 Speaker 3: is like when Rice will be at its healthiest depth 722 00:33:43,320 --> 00:33:45,680 Speaker 3: will be a big problem all year. So I don't 723 00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:47,200 Speaker 3: hate a flyer on Rice. I might have them in 724 00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:49,680 Speaker 3: a round Robin Utah State UTEP. 725 00:33:50,400 --> 00:33:53,520 Speaker 2: We're talking minor nation out in. 726 00:33:53,560 --> 00:33:56,040 Speaker 3: The West Dixons town of l past so. 727 00:33:57,520 --> 00:33:58,120 Speaker 2: Picks up. 728 00:33:59,280 --> 00:34:03,160 Speaker 1: I respotting just has just not gotten this roster any 729 00:34:03,200 --> 00:34:07,440 Speaker 1: better over the offseason, Malik, who's that Scotty Walden? Walden? 730 00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:10,200 Speaker 3: I will say they got a lot stronger, like they're 731 00:34:10,280 --> 00:34:13,160 Speaker 3: they're and that's not just coach speak. Like their squats 732 00:34:13,160 --> 00:34:15,560 Speaker 3: went up like one hundred and ten pounds. They definitely 733 00:34:15,600 --> 00:34:20,160 Speaker 3: got bigger and stronger, which you hope translates in the trenches. 734 00:34:20,200 --> 00:34:22,280 Speaker 3: They're gonna play an aggressive defense. They need to turnover 735 00:34:22,320 --> 00:34:24,960 Speaker 3: lockland defense. That's just like what they're trying to do. 736 00:34:25,000 --> 00:34:26,799 Speaker 3: And then they're gonna go fast on offense. And if 737 00:34:26,840 --> 00:34:28,960 Speaker 3: you're getting turnovers, list things get married with each other. 738 00:34:29,560 --> 00:34:32,080 Speaker 3: Malchai Nelson, I like the move. Start him. He's a 739 00:34:32,080 --> 00:34:34,080 Speaker 3: former five star. If he hits great, If he doesn't, 740 00:34:34,120 --> 00:34:36,560 Speaker 3: after Texas bench him, go to one of the other guys. 741 00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:38,200 Speaker 3: Like you just try to play it for the upside. 742 00:34:38,520 --> 00:34:40,560 Speaker 3: It's funny. They announced him as a starter at eleven 743 00:34:40,600 --> 00:34:43,759 Speaker 3: o three am. Eastern Line moved from three and a 744 00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:47,000 Speaker 3: half up to six. It was a service releasedt the 745 00:34:47,040 --> 00:34:48,799 Speaker 3: same time. I don't know if it was related like. 746 00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:50,759 Speaker 1: That is Malachi Nelson by the way, speaking of people 747 00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:52,600 Speaker 1: that can only squat one hundred and ten pounds, Like, 748 00:34:52,600 --> 00:34:54,719 Speaker 1: what is Malachi Nelson done to deserve that kind of 749 00:34:54,719 --> 00:34:55,200 Speaker 1: line move? 750 00:34:56,280 --> 00:34:58,360 Speaker 3: No, I'm saying they was he was faded. 751 00:34:58,760 --> 00:35:00,200 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, u. 752 00:35:00,120 --> 00:35:02,080 Speaker 3: TEP was minus three and a half and now Nelson 753 00:35:02,200 --> 00:35:05,920 Speaker 3: was the starter and it went up to Utah State 754 00:35:05,960 --> 00:35:12,239 Speaker 3: minus six. Okay, that's deserved Lean UTEP but not not 755 00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:14,600 Speaker 3: really that interested. I'm really interested in watching it though 756 00:35:15,440 --> 00:35:19,279 Speaker 3: Michigan New Mexico Underwood gets the start. Don't know how 757 00:35:19,320 --> 00:35:23,160 Speaker 3: New Mexico scores Lean under There, UTSA Texas A and 758 00:35:23,280 --> 00:35:28,440 Speaker 3: m tex AM took some money. Not Utsa's defense lost everything. 759 00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:30,160 Speaker 3: They're probably gonna have a shot to get in the 760 00:35:30,200 --> 00:35:32,120 Speaker 3: back door. Maybe they can make it interesting. I just don't. 761 00:35:32,200 --> 00:35:33,600 Speaker 3: They might not be able to get any stops. 762 00:35:33,719 --> 00:35:35,440 Speaker 1: That's a big number. I think it should be nineteen. 763 00:35:35,680 --> 00:35:36,480 Speaker 1: That's a big number. 764 00:35:36,719 --> 00:35:39,120 Speaker 3: I'm at like twenty pointy eight. But I'm really afraid 765 00:35:39,160 --> 00:35:42,560 Speaker 3: of UTSA defense early on against just like a professional 766 00:35:42,640 --> 00:35:45,080 Speaker 3: offense that can just run it down their throat. But 767 00:35:45,239 --> 00:35:48,239 Speaker 3: ucsa's offense has some talent and they bring a lot 768 00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:52,319 Speaker 3: back and they're well coached. UVA Coastal Ua UBA's real 769 00:35:52,360 --> 00:35:56,640 Speaker 3: banged up offensive line, secondary Coastal. A lot of questions 770 00:35:57,120 --> 00:35:58,480 Speaker 3: at what's tech scream. 771 00:35:58,680 --> 00:36:01,560 Speaker 1: Dozens of questions Darians maybe. 772 00:36:01,640 --> 00:36:03,000 Speaker 3: Like just because like if you want to throw an 773 00:36:03,040 --> 00:36:05,279 Speaker 3: around Robin, it's a possibility, but probably a pass. 774 00:36:05,680 --> 00:36:08,000 Speaker 1: It's a long week one. 775 00:36:08,400 --> 00:36:10,120 Speaker 3: It is a long week one before we go three 776 00:36:10,160 --> 00:36:16,400 Speaker 3: and now the time four trash. Baby, what's that smell? 777 00:36:16,960 --> 00:36:18,640 Speaker 3: It dings me? 778 00:36:18,920 --> 00:36:21,760 Speaker 1: This trash, the sweet sweet trash. 779 00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:26,160 Speaker 3: The trash is a gold mine, old mine, old mine, 780 00:36:26,200 --> 00:36:28,600 Speaker 3: all right, first trash of the year. I put it 781 00:36:28,600 --> 00:36:31,640 Speaker 3: in the Action app last week last Saturday when we 782 00:36:31,640 --> 00:36:35,160 Speaker 3: were in Chicago. If you didn't already see we're rolling 783 00:36:35,160 --> 00:36:38,560 Speaker 3: with Georgia State. Anything over five touchdowns, so it's still 784 00:36:38,600 --> 00:36:43,360 Speaker 3: out there. I made this like thirty one something, so 785 00:36:43,400 --> 00:36:45,640 Speaker 3: I thought the line was like a touchdown too high. 786 00:36:45,680 --> 00:36:48,120 Speaker 3: At thirty eight and a half, still good enough to play? Now? 787 00:36:48,200 --> 00:36:49,600 Speaker 3: Is it scary fading lane? Here? 788 00:36:49,840 --> 00:36:50,160 Speaker 1: Yes? 789 00:36:50,440 --> 00:36:53,480 Speaker 3: Go look at last year's result, Laney like someone seventy 790 00:36:53,480 --> 00:36:56,200 Speaker 3: two nothing in the in the week one and then 791 00:36:56,239 --> 00:36:58,359 Speaker 3: someone like fifty two, like they just destroyed. But they 792 00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:01,120 Speaker 3: played four cupcakes to start last and then what happened? 793 00:37:01,239 --> 00:37:04,880 Speaker 3: They went they played Kentucky after doing that, showed a 794 00:37:04,880 --> 00:37:06,759 Speaker 3: lot of their offense to Kentucky, upset them and kept 795 00:37:06,800 --> 00:37:08,239 Speaker 3: them out of the College Wall playoff. Well guest of 796 00:37:08,320 --> 00:37:10,640 Speaker 3: that Week two Kentucky. And then they have another SEC 797 00:37:10,840 --> 00:37:13,520 Speaker 3: game in too lane. I doubt they want to show 798 00:37:13,520 --> 00:37:17,759 Speaker 3: as much here, and they're not as good as last year. 799 00:37:17,800 --> 00:37:20,040 Speaker 3: They lost a ton, they lost Jackson Darthur defense was 800 00:37:20,080 --> 00:37:21,960 Speaker 3: so good that s it's shocking they were not in 801 00:37:22,000 --> 00:37:24,359 Speaker 3: the College for Wall playoff. This team is nowhere close 802 00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:27,400 Speaker 3: to as good. It's the they're the portal gods. I 803 00:37:27,400 --> 00:37:29,440 Speaker 3: don't think it was the year to do that again. 804 00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:33,160 Speaker 3: So at Georgia State had some guys, they have some talent. 805 00:37:33,440 --> 00:37:35,160 Speaker 3: I think they can put up enough points here. And 806 00:37:35,200 --> 00:37:37,080 Speaker 3: I don't know the famous last words. I don't know 807 00:37:37,080 --> 00:37:39,600 Speaker 3: if Lane's gonna be totally interested in driving this all 808 00:37:39,600 --> 00:37:42,239 Speaker 3: the way up and showing as much as possible. We 809 00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:47,720 Speaker 3: are rolling with Georgia State plus thirty five and a half. 810 00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:50,359 Speaker 3: I am so excited to write this on the trash board, 811 00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:53,800 Speaker 3: the first trash of the year. You agree with this, 812 00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:55,200 Speaker 3: we can put it on the agree too. 813 00:37:55,320 --> 00:37:57,640 Speaker 1: Double didn't put it on the agree Definitely like this 814 00:37:57,719 --> 00:37:58,960 Speaker 1: trash all right? 815 00:37:59,040 --> 00:38:01,719 Speaker 3: And then you got some additional trash. 816 00:38:01,880 --> 00:38:10,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think we're probably gonna want to look, Uh. 817 00:38:07,160 --> 00:38:08,520 Speaker 3: Come on, man, are we doing this or not? 818 00:38:08,719 --> 00:38:10,319 Speaker 1: You no, I'm are we doing it or now? 819 00:38:10,560 --> 00:38:11,040 Speaker 3: I'm on the. 820 00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:14,799 Speaker 2: Second point even being a lie if we can't do this. 821 00:38:14,920 --> 00:38:17,360 Speaker 1: But it's gross because I know that they've lost so 822 00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:19,719 Speaker 1: many players. But uh, I think we want to look 823 00:38:19,719 --> 00:38:22,360 Speaker 1: at South Dakota catching Iowa State in a primo spot 824 00:38:22,400 --> 00:38:23,520 Speaker 1: coming back from Ireland. 825 00:38:24,000 --> 00:38:26,160 Speaker 3: Kansas State's in that same spot to top to the 826 00:38:26,160 --> 00:38:26,760 Speaker 3: top spot. 827 00:38:27,200 --> 00:38:29,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, so that number is out there, what is at 828 00:38:29,120 --> 00:38:31,400 Speaker 1: a fourteen and a half. Yeah, it's just such a 829 00:38:31,400 --> 00:38:34,239 Speaker 1: primo spot before the Syhawk Trophy game next week and 830 00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:36,560 Speaker 1: then god them and I say coming off and plus 831 00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:39,239 Speaker 1: I remember a world where Drake almost beat Iowa State. 832 00:38:39,400 --> 00:38:42,880 Speaker 1: I mean these games, Yeah, these games are gross. 833 00:38:43,160 --> 00:38:47,360 Speaker 3: They have Iowan deck yep, and they will show nothing 834 00:38:48,040 --> 00:38:50,359 Speaker 3: like they will get read and they will get out 835 00:38:50,400 --> 00:38:54,080 Speaker 3: of their healthy without showing anything. With Iowa coming up, yeah, 836 00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:55,719 Speaker 3: I would agree. I have a lot of questions about 837 00:38:55,719 --> 00:39:00,160 Speaker 3: South Dakota a lot, Yes, but it's a spot whethylaying 838 00:39:00,200 --> 00:39:01,120 Speaker 3: north of two touchdowns. 839 00:39:01,160 --> 00:39:05,319 Speaker 1: Yeah, let's go ahead and get that in. And Cal. Yeah, 840 00:39:05,320 --> 00:39:06,680 Speaker 1: I mean if we want to consider Cal, I think 841 00:39:06,680 --> 00:39:08,600 Speaker 1: they should be favored against Oregon State and then you know, 842 00:39:08,600 --> 00:39:10,160 Speaker 1: this is the healthiest we're going to get out of 843 00:39:10,160 --> 00:39:11,719 Speaker 1: the Cal team. And then it's going to be justin 844 00:39:11,719 --> 00:39:15,359 Speaker 1: Wilcox's probably best defensive performance. I mean, if there's any 845 00:39:15,360 --> 00:39:17,279 Speaker 1: more energy left in him as a coach, and this 846 00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:19,239 Speaker 1: roster that believes in him. It's going to come out 847 00:39:19,280 --> 00:39:21,680 Speaker 1: in this game. You know, they do have a new 848 00:39:21,680 --> 00:39:25,360 Speaker 1: offensive line coach and Famika and a. There should be 849 00:39:25,440 --> 00:39:27,520 Speaker 1: some improvement there. I know that we got Devin Brown 850 00:39:27,640 --> 00:39:30,360 Speaker 1: siding here, and you know they got a good freshman 851 00:39:30,600 --> 00:39:34,399 Speaker 1: Saga Palute, so you know, I think the offensive line 852 00:39:34,400 --> 00:39:36,640 Speaker 1: has improved. I think the quarterback situation is as dire 853 00:39:36,640 --> 00:39:38,360 Speaker 1: as people are making it out to be. An Oregon 854 00:39:38,400 --> 00:39:43,600 Speaker 1: State their defeat. Their defense just has way too many 855 00:39:43,640 --> 00:39:46,080 Speaker 1: face especially the defensive line. I think cal can hang here. 856 00:39:46,160 --> 00:39:48,160 Speaker 1: I think the I don't want to say that whole 857 00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:50,680 Speaker 1: cliche wrong team favored, but I think Calvin's outright. 858 00:39:51,239 --> 00:39:53,000 Speaker 3: You think they can hang there one point dogs. I 859 00:39:53,040 --> 00:39:55,960 Speaker 3: hope they can hang. I mean they're going with the 860 00:39:56,000 --> 00:39:58,839 Speaker 3: freshman a quarterback. I don't know. I don't have too 861 00:39:58,840 --> 00:40:01,640 Speaker 3: strong with field there. I'll ravage in the portal. I 862 00:40:01,640 --> 00:40:04,640 Speaker 3: don't trust Oregon State. I don't trust either offensive line. 863 00:40:05,040 --> 00:40:06,399 Speaker 3: I don't know what I'm gonna get from this true 864 00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:08,759 Speaker 3: freshman quarterback, which scares me. He gives them more of 865 00:40:08,800 --> 00:40:10,840 Speaker 3: an upside. I think they made the right decision not 866 00:40:10,880 --> 00:40:13,400 Speaker 3: going with Devin Brown. Yeah, you make mistakes here. I 867 00:40:13,440 --> 00:40:15,200 Speaker 3: think they're probably going to hand him handle them with 868 00:40:15,400 --> 00:40:20,680 Speaker 3: kids gloves. Cal's secondary lost three starters to the NFL, 869 00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:25,040 Speaker 3: but Wilcox always has a good secondary. He knows how 870 00:40:25,040 --> 00:40:27,120 Speaker 3: to develop guys there. And look, I don't I don't 871 00:40:27,120 --> 00:40:30,080 Speaker 3: trust Malik Murphy and I expect Oregon State will go 872 00:40:30,160 --> 00:40:32,880 Speaker 3: run heavy. Belik Burvery will take his shots downfield, but 873 00:40:32,880 --> 00:40:36,759 Speaker 3: will probably be inaccurate under For me, there completely inaccurate. 874 00:40:36,880 --> 00:40:38,439 Speaker 3: That's a that's a dead shot under. 875 00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:38,680 Speaker 1: I think. 876 00:40:38,680 --> 00:40:40,760 Speaker 3: I think that's like a complete grinder. I don't necessarily 877 00:40:40,760 --> 00:40:44,680 Speaker 3: disagree with You're taking the points, all right, Before we 878 00:40:44,680 --> 00:40:46,120 Speaker 3: get out of here, is still a lot to get to. 879 00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:50,200 Speaker 3: Let's go three and out. 880 00:40:50,520 --> 00:40:52,640 Speaker 2: Let's make it a quick three and out? 881 00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:57,760 Speaker 3: All right? Uh? Three and out? First out. Georgia Tech, Colorado. 882 00:40:58,440 --> 00:41:02,000 Speaker 3: Georgia Tech a four and a half point favorite total 883 00:41:02,280 --> 00:41:05,120 Speaker 3: has come down. This game's on Friday night. I missed 884 00:41:05,160 --> 00:41:07,320 Speaker 3: this in part one. If you're wondering why we're covering 885 00:41:07,320 --> 00:41:09,320 Speaker 3: this now, if you missed the early part of the podcast, 886 00:41:10,719 --> 00:41:12,440 Speaker 3: do you know Georgia Tech. This is an easy This 887 00:41:12,560 --> 00:41:15,839 Speaker 3: is not an easy trip going out to altitude in Colorado. 888 00:41:16,560 --> 00:41:19,200 Speaker 3: Crowd is probably gonna be hyped eight pm Eastern on ESPN. 889 00:41:19,280 --> 00:41:21,960 Speaker 3: Totals come down to fifty two and a half. I 890 00:41:22,000 --> 00:41:25,400 Speaker 3: don't disagree with that move down. My first thought is 891 00:41:25,440 --> 00:41:28,359 Speaker 3: Georgia Tech. But I like betting Brent Key is a dog. 892 00:41:28,480 --> 00:41:30,360 Speaker 3: I think he's like fourteen and three or something against 893 00:41:30,360 --> 00:41:33,400 Speaker 3: the spread. I'll betting it was against a dog against Clemson. 894 00:41:33,480 --> 00:41:36,480 Speaker 3: I know that already and any other time he's a dog. 895 00:41:36,520 --> 00:41:39,040 Speaker 3: This year, he's not as good as a favorite. Part 896 00:41:39,040 --> 00:41:40,400 Speaker 3: of that, it's the way that Georgia Tech plays, and 897 00:41:40,440 --> 00:41:42,839 Speaker 3: that's kind of conducive to this under here because short 898 00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:44,560 Speaker 3: to Tech more of a grinded out team. They don't 899 00:41:44,560 --> 00:41:46,560 Speaker 3: have Singleton anymore. We'll see how this kid Rivers can 900 00:41:46,560 --> 00:41:48,640 Speaker 3: step up. The FIU transfer is really good there, but 901 00:41:49,280 --> 00:41:51,960 Speaker 3: he's not as good as Singleton and their offensive line. 902 00:41:51,960 --> 00:41:54,359 Speaker 3: They lost some key pieces. They lost some important tight ends. 903 00:41:54,840 --> 00:41:59,319 Speaker 3: You still have your the Haines and Haynes show, Jamal 904 00:41:59,360 --> 00:42:02,240 Speaker 3: Haynes and Haynes a quarterback and running back. The defense, 905 00:42:02,280 --> 00:42:05,279 Speaker 3: it's all about the defensive coordinator fixing the past d 906 00:42:05,440 --> 00:42:07,439 Speaker 3: which was not good last year. The rund was good, 907 00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:10,440 Speaker 3: but they lost some guys on that defensive front, so 908 00:42:10,600 --> 00:42:13,319 Speaker 3: there are some questions there. But Colorado, I trust their 909 00:42:13,320 --> 00:42:17,160 Speaker 3: defensive coordinator. Livingston's really good, really good with adjustments. Colorado 910 00:42:17,200 --> 00:42:19,080 Speaker 3: is gonna go more run heavy. 911 00:42:18,960 --> 00:42:19,160 Speaker 2: They do. 912 00:42:19,160 --> 00:42:21,000 Speaker 3: You have some talented receivers, but look, I mean they 913 00:42:21,040 --> 00:42:26,799 Speaker 3: lost a boatload to the NFL on the outside and 914 00:42:27,160 --> 00:42:29,160 Speaker 3: he lost to Door Sanders as well. All they could 915 00:42:29,160 --> 00:42:31,040 Speaker 3: do well last year was throw the ball. This year 916 00:42:31,040 --> 00:42:34,200 Speaker 3: it's gonna be more run heavy, so naturally they're gonna 917 00:42:34,239 --> 00:42:38,960 Speaker 3: be slower. I I don't know if I trust Salter 918 00:42:39,120 --> 00:42:42,279 Speaker 3: fully and part of the reason for that last year 919 00:42:42,360 --> 00:42:45,480 Speaker 3: to down the year like that, can I excuse him? 920 00:42:45,800 --> 00:42:48,320 Speaker 3: They don't play He doesn't play anybody, so like Jordan 921 00:42:48,320 --> 00:42:51,520 Speaker 3: Pek's not you know, Texas or Ohio State. But they're 922 00:42:51,560 --> 00:42:54,200 Speaker 3: a big upgrade over Look good Kay's salts played the 923 00:42:54,239 --> 00:42:57,960 Speaker 3: last two years. There's zero Power Conference teams. I don't 924 00:42:58,000 --> 00:43:01,520 Speaker 3: have a sample size of what he looks like. The 925 00:43:01,600 --> 00:43:04,480 Speaker 3: last Power Conference ting you played was that Bowl game 926 00:43:04,520 --> 00:43:07,480 Speaker 3: against Oregon when they lost like one hundred and ninety 927 00:43:07,520 --> 00:43:11,480 Speaker 3: to nothing, so and obviously they were way out class. 928 00:43:11,520 --> 00:43:13,600 Speaker 3: There's like, I don't know what the make of Salter 929 00:43:13,719 --> 00:43:16,840 Speaker 3: after last year was it just like the situation sour, 930 00:43:16,960 --> 00:43:19,400 Speaker 3: but the competitions don't. They always have like the easiest 931 00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:22,279 Speaker 3: schedule in the country. I like some of the talent 932 00:43:22,360 --> 00:43:25,160 Speaker 3: that they have at Wide Receiver, even after what they've lost. 933 00:43:26,280 --> 00:43:29,560 Speaker 3: I think under is worth a look here. I think 934 00:43:29,600 --> 00:43:31,759 Speaker 3: Georgia Tech gets it done, but there's some questions on 935 00:43:31,800 --> 00:43:35,480 Speaker 3: that side. This is feels like a spot that Colorado 936 00:43:35,480 --> 00:43:36,600 Speaker 3: is gonna get up for. I think it's gonna be 937 00:43:36,640 --> 00:43:38,680 Speaker 3: a really entertaining game. Do you have anything here? Yeah? 938 00:43:38,680 --> 00:43:40,600 Speaker 1: I mean I took the under on the app weeks ago, 939 00:43:40,640 --> 00:43:42,640 Speaker 1: but that I think that number is wi gone now 940 00:43:42,680 --> 00:43:47,160 Speaker 1: and it just continues to tumble, just making sure that 941 00:43:47,200 --> 00:43:49,280 Speaker 1: I did. Yeah, under fifty five the biggest key in totals. 942 00:43:49,320 --> 00:43:50,960 Speaker 1: I remember it was I was dipping, but now it's 943 00:43:50,960 --> 00:43:54,759 Speaker 1: down fifty two. I might be the only person in 944 00:43:54,760 --> 00:43:57,560 Speaker 1: the world that's gonna have a Colorado ticket here. I don't. 945 00:43:57,600 --> 00:44:00,880 Speaker 1: I think this is just complete hate. I think that 946 00:44:00,920 --> 00:44:03,600 Speaker 1: it's flipped. I think these people that have lined up 947 00:44:03,640 --> 00:44:06,000 Speaker 1: for two years to bet this Colorado Buffalo's team and 948 00:44:06,040 --> 00:44:09,920 Speaker 1: the Fox Big Noon Kick and have lost money, you know, 949 00:44:10,000 --> 00:44:11,920 Speaker 1: because you got to think about a Dion came out, 950 00:44:12,040 --> 00:44:14,440 Speaker 1: got everybody that big winn against TCU, had some amazing 951 00:44:14,440 --> 00:44:16,480 Speaker 1: covers that we didn't expect two years ago, and now 952 00:44:16,480 --> 00:44:18,800 Speaker 1: he's been losing people money. I think this is pure hate. 953 00:44:19,400 --> 00:44:22,560 Speaker 1: I think the altitude is a problem. You know, there's 954 00:44:22,880 --> 00:44:26,239 Speaker 1: plenty of transfers on this Georgia Tech offensive line. Colorado's 955 00:44:26,239 --> 00:44:28,200 Speaker 1: linebackers last year or a big reason they were top 956 00:44:28,239 --> 00:44:31,400 Speaker 1: twenty five and limiting pass EPA they finished eleventh, and 957 00:44:31,480 --> 00:44:34,680 Speaker 1: coverage grading. That's Robert Livingston. I mean, I mean he 958 00:44:34,719 --> 00:44:37,719 Speaker 1: hasn't gone anywhere. He's still a defensive coordinator and I 959 00:44:37,760 --> 00:44:39,760 Speaker 1: still expect them to be buttoned up on the defensive 960 00:44:39,760 --> 00:44:41,600 Speaker 1: side of the ball. Now Salter is going to try 961 00:44:41,600 --> 00:44:43,800 Speaker 1: to do it all. I don't know any of the weapons. 962 00:44:43,800 --> 00:44:47,160 Speaker 3: They haven't around him, Marion Miller Doe right, but. 963 00:44:47,120 --> 00:44:48,319 Speaker 1: He's going to try to do it all on the ground, 964 00:44:48,360 --> 00:44:49,960 Speaker 1: through the air. I mean, you mentioned you know what 965 00:44:50,040 --> 00:44:52,680 Speaker 1: has he done? Still he has more big time throws 966 00:44:52,680 --> 00:44:56,200 Speaker 1: and turnover worth he plays. His passing hasn't been horrible. 967 00:44:56,600 --> 00:45:01,239 Speaker 1: But in my opinion, this game comes down to one 968 00:45:01,280 --> 00:45:06,680 Speaker 1: element with each defense. Second level tackling. I just mentioned 969 00:45:06,680 --> 00:45:11,560 Speaker 1: the Colorado excellent tackling, excellent fundamentals, very well coached. Last year, 970 00:45:11,600 --> 00:45:14,160 Speaker 1: Georgia Tech finished one hundred and twenty third in PFF tackling. 971 00:45:14,560 --> 00:45:17,040 Speaker 1: I think second level is tackling is the key here, 972 00:45:18,120 --> 00:45:20,240 Speaker 1: and to me, that screens color I'm gonna be on Colorad. 973 00:45:20,360 --> 00:45:21,719 Speaker 1: I was thinking about taking the five. I'm not sure 974 00:45:21,719 --> 00:45:24,440 Speaker 1: if it's gonna go up any higher. I just think 975 00:45:24,440 --> 00:45:26,160 Speaker 1: this number is way too high. I think Colora should 976 00:45:26,160 --> 00:45:28,600 Speaker 1: be favored by a field goal or more. I don't. 977 00:45:28,640 --> 00:45:30,680 Speaker 1: I'm way off there. I mean there's a couple of 978 00:45:30,680 --> 00:45:34,040 Speaker 1: teams Miami, Colorado, Florida State. Like my numbers just do 979 00:45:34,120 --> 00:45:35,359 Speaker 1: not jive with the market at all. 980 00:45:36,040 --> 00:45:38,400 Speaker 3: Numbers I should lean Colorado with you should be a 981 00:45:38,400 --> 00:45:40,879 Speaker 3: fun let's put it on the border. I can't get 982 00:45:40,920 --> 00:45:44,239 Speaker 3: there all right. Second down, favorite overdog, You're new here, 983 00:45:44,239 --> 00:45:46,960 Speaker 3: we get out our favorite favorite favorite overdog. It was 984 00:45:46,960 --> 00:45:48,399 Speaker 3: a call one of the boy smails. I'm forget about 985 00:45:48,400 --> 00:45:49,920 Speaker 3: the woicemail nine five to nine bad Beat, where we 986 00:45:49,920 --> 00:45:51,719 Speaker 3: play all the best ones on Sunday, react to them, 987 00:45:51,840 --> 00:45:54,160 Speaker 3: recap the games, look at the next week. Both of 988 00:45:54,239 --> 00:45:58,080 Speaker 3: ours fit my system. This week, which I've been writing 989 00:45:58,080 --> 00:46:02,520 Speaker 3: about for ten years, teams that have are making their 990 00:46:02,560 --> 00:46:06,400 Speaker 3: debut against teams that already played FBS versus FBS sixty 991 00:46:06,440 --> 00:46:09,000 Speaker 3: one and a half percent since two thousand and five. 992 00:46:09,360 --> 00:46:12,840 Speaker 3: That applies to Georgia Southern playing Fresno State, who was 993 00:46:12,880 --> 00:46:15,880 Speaker 3: a mess last week. I'm not buying anything they're selling. 994 00:46:16,280 --> 00:46:18,239 Speaker 3: I do expect their defense to be better this week. 995 00:46:18,239 --> 00:46:21,279 Speaker 3: I respect Nick Benedetto, but the offense is just a 996 00:46:21,280 --> 00:46:24,160 Speaker 3: mess right now that the offensive line not in great shape, 997 00:46:24,320 --> 00:46:26,480 Speaker 3: can't really run the ball. The weapons are way down. 998 00:46:27,400 --> 00:46:31,279 Speaker 3: I think that Georgia Southern and their air raid will 999 00:46:31,320 --> 00:46:34,040 Speaker 3: be able to move the ball with French. And I 1000 00:46:34,040 --> 00:46:35,960 Speaker 3: think Georgia Southern gets it done on the road. They 1001 00:46:36,000 --> 00:46:39,279 Speaker 3: have that advantage, that film advantage. It's worth more and 1002 00:46:39,320 --> 00:46:40,600 Speaker 3: you don't have the word. You didn't have to travel, 1003 00:46:40,640 --> 00:46:43,200 Speaker 3: you didn't get bumps and bruises, you don't have to 1004 00:46:43,239 --> 00:46:45,880 Speaker 3: show anything on tape. The other team had to show everything. 1005 00:46:46,480 --> 00:46:48,520 Speaker 3: That advantage over time is paid off. So give me 1006 00:46:49,160 --> 00:46:52,200 Speaker 3: small favorite. All my favorites that I like are on 1007 00:46:52,560 --> 00:46:55,919 Speaker 3: Thursday and Friday for the most part, So favorite uber 1008 00:46:55,960 --> 00:46:58,759 Speaker 3: Dog on Saturday, Georgia Southern, who you're rolling with, you're 1009 00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:00,000 Speaker 3: rolling with the other team with this fits? 1010 00:47:00,160 --> 00:47:03,360 Speaker 1: Yeah. Favorite favorite. I'm going Arizona big time. I was 1011 00:47:03,920 --> 00:47:07,000 Speaker 1: saying Joe's I was telling everybody, Hey, Arizona's thirteen and 1012 00:47:07,040 --> 00:47:08,759 Speaker 1: a half out there, you go get it because it's moving. 1013 00:47:08,760 --> 00:47:10,560 Speaker 1: And I tweeted it out thirteen and a half shouldn't 1014 00:47:10,560 --> 00:47:12,040 Speaker 1: be thirteen and a half. And I had people actually 1015 00:47:12,080 --> 00:47:13,960 Speaker 1: asking like, oh, we're taking a Hawaii boss. I'm like, no, 1016 00:47:14,080 --> 00:47:18,800 Speaker 1: we're not taking Hawaii. Listen, you could we got stuff. 1017 00:47:18,800 --> 00:47:20,480 Speaker 1: He's trend. I got another trend for you. Timmy Chang 1018 00:47:20,520 --> 00:47:22,280 Speaker 1: is two and fifteen. On the road away from the island. 1019 00:47:22,280 --> 00:47:25,920 Speaker 1: It just doesn't go well. Mike Alajado high ankle sprain, 1020 00:47:26,040 --> 00:47:28,400 Speaker 1: expected to suit up. This kid is not playing. 1021 00:47:28,800 --> 00:47:31,800 Speaker 3: He had definitely not played one hundred percent, like he 1022 00:47:31,880 --> 00:47:37,440 Speaker 3: got it out, but he had to after that happens. 1023 00:47:37,600 --> 00:47:40,240 Speaker 1: And then so I went into the box score Hawaii's offense. 1024 00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:43,680 Speaker 1: Out of eleven drives, they produced one methodical and no explosives, 1025 00:47:43,719 --> 00:47:45,960 Speaker 1: and explosive drive is considered ten yards per play, like, 1026 00:47:46,000 --> 00:47:49,880 Speaker 1: this is not an explosive offense whatsoever. And then go 1027 00:47:49,960 --> 00:47:52,360 Speaker 1: to the other side of the ball. Stanford was stuffed 1028 00:47:52,400 --> 00:47:55,239 Speaker 1: on seven of forty two attempts. Now to anybody else, 1029 00:47:55,280 --> 00:47:57,200 Speaker 1: in the world. That might not mean anything. The national 1030 00:47:57,280 --> 00:47:59,480 Speaker 1: average for stuffing a team running the ball is thirty 1031 00:47:59,480 --> 00:48:03,799 Speaker 1: percent fifteen percent. Hawaii was supposed to have like one 1032 00:48:03,840 --> 00:48:07,760 Speaker 1: of the best Mountain West Conference defensive lines and linebackers, 1033 00:48:08,040 --> 00:48:10,840 Speaker 1: and they couldn't even stuff Stanford for half of what 1034 00:48:10,920 --> 00:48:13,440 Speaker 1: the national rate is. So I don't believe in his 1035 00:48:13,520 --> 00:48:15,960 Speaker 1: defense Seth Dagy's taken over the air raid offense there. 1036 00:48:15,960 --> 00:48:18,040 Speaker 1: For Arizona, I expect no if a feed would be 1037 00:48:18,040 --> 00:48:20,719 Speaker 1: better than he was last year. You know there's a 1038 00:48:20,719 --> 00:48:22,799 Speaker 1: new transfer center. I just I don't think Hawhi he's 1039 00:48:22,800 --> 00:48:24,120 Speaker 1: gonna be able to take advantage of that. I would 1040 00:48:24,160 --> 00:48:25,640 Speaker 1: take this all the way to twenty one, but let's 1041 00:48:25,640 --> 00:48:27,480 Speaker 1: clock us at seventeen and a half or over for 1042 00:48:27,560 --> 00:48:29,160 Speaker 1: favorite favorite everdogs. 1043 00:48:29,480 --> 00:48:33,120 Speaker 3: Georgia Southern and Arizona both fit the debut versus team 1044 00:48:33,160 --> 00:48:35,600 Speaker 3: that already played Week one trend historically about sixty one 1045 00:48:35,640 --> 00:48:38,080 Speaker 3: and a half percent. All right, let's go to third down. 1046 00:48:38,560 --> 00:48:40,120 Speaker 3: It's our favorite underdog money line. 1047 00:48:40,040 --> 00:48:46,640 Speaker 1: Parlay, turning good weekends into great weekends. 1048 00:48:47,080 --> 00:48:51,680 Speaker 3: It's time for the money line parlay. We've been doing 1049 00:48:51,680 --> 00:48:56,200 Speaker 3: this since twenty eighteen. We are now eighty five and 1050 00:48:56,360 --> 00:49:03,440 Speaker 3: one twenty seven for plus seventeen point nine units, So 1051 00:49:03,440 --> 00:49:07,319 Speaker 3: we've done pretty well. Last year was about they were 1052 00:49:07,320 --> 00:49:10,480 Speaker 3: thirteen and thirteen plus five units. We do one per week. 1053 00:49:11,360 --> 00:49:16,759 Speaker 3: This week we're going to Sunday Baby Botech give me 1054 00:49:16,840 --> 00:49:20,840 Speaker 3: my hokies on a neutral against South Carolina. Sam Sifkis 1055 00:49:21,200 --> 00:49:25,560 Speaker 3: masterclass incoming. Learn the name new defensive coordinator for vo Tech. 1056 00:49:25,680 --> 00:49:27,880 Speaker 3: I think it's a huge upgrade over Marv who they 1057 00:49:27,920 --> 00:49:30,160 Speaker 3: let go. He doesn't even have a job anywhere now. 1058 00:49:30,760 --> 00:49:33,000 Speaker 3: I think he was awful. Yes, Votek lost a lot, 1059 00:49:33,080 --> 00:49:34,920 Speaker 3: but did you watch him last year? They were terrible. 1060 00:49:34,960 --> 00:49:37,800 Speaker 3: I know they lost power Forward talent and NFL talent. 1061 00:49:38,040 --> 00:49:42,440 Speaker 3: They were so disorganized that scheme was so bad. Well, 1062 00:49:42,440 --> 00:49:45,000 Speaker 3: Sekis comes from the NFL, work with two great staffs, 1063 00:49:45,200 --> 00:49:49,080 Speaker 3: does a lot of unique things with three high safety looks. 1064 00:49:50,000 --> 00:49:51,880 Speaker 3: I think he has the safeties to do what he 1065 00:49:51,920 --> 00:49:55,040 Speaker 3: wants to do. I'm not completely sure. There's just some 1066 00:49:55,080 --> 00:49:57,560 Speaker 3: guys that I like from lower levels that they got 1067 00:49:57,560 --> 00:49:59,880 Speaker 3: that I really liked that I think can hit. We'll see, 1068 00:50:00,160 --> 00:50:04,399 Speaker 3: but this is the post hype by low of VA Tech. Yeah, 1069 00:50:04,560 --> 00:50:06,480 Speaker 3: wooting out right here. They are going to be in 1070 00:50:06,560 --> 00:50:10,560 Speaker 3: my money line round Robin too, and I'm so we're 1071 00:50:10,560 --> 00:50:14,560 Speaker 3: both low in South Carolina. So I'm sure sellers, after 1072 00:50:14,560 --> 00:50:17,200 Speaker 3: we've been trashing, South Carolina is going to just roast 1073 00:50:17,400 --> 00:50:19,880 Speaker 3: Sefkas and that's that's gonna be an awful Sunday for me. 1074 00:50:20,280 --> 00:50:23,680 Speaker 3: But the South Carolina defense, it's going to take a 1075 00:50:23,680 --> 00:50:27,959 Speaker 3: big step back. Lost a ton of talent for four 1076 00:50:28,000 --> 00:50:30,000 Speaker 3: picks in the NFL Draft. I think in the first 1077 00:50:30,040 --> 00:50:33,759 Speaker 3: eighty the entire team that lost those four picks, plus 1078 00:50:33,840 --> 00:50:37,160 Speaker 3: eight others signed NFL contracts. A lot of talent has gone. 1079 00:50:37,320 --> 00:50:40,520 Speaker 3: I have a lot of questions about South Carolina getting 1080 00:50:40,520 --> 00:50:42,280 Speaker 3: a little bit too much love heading into the season. 1081 00:50:42,320 --> 00:50:45,000 Speaker 3: I think Votech's flying under the radar. I like both 1082 00:50:45,040 --> 00:50:49,640 Speaker 3: their coordinator hires. I think Drones is going to look better, healthier. 1083 00:50:50,200 --> 00:50:53,040 Speaker 3: The whole team should be healthier. I think it's just 1084 00:50:53,040 --> 00:50:57,000 Speaker 3: a good spot for Va Tech to sneak up and 1085 00:50:57,080 --> 00:51:00,799 Speaker 3: surprise South Carolina. Give me the Hokies moneyline. 1086 00:51:01,840 --> 00:51:04,080 Speaker 1: How this game is on a neutral field and Mercedes 1087 00:51:04,120 --> 00:51:06,600 Speaker 1: bens like it should be on a Sunday night in 1088 00:51:06,680 --> 00:51:11,520 Speaker 1: Blacksburg with Entner Sandman playing. You screwed that up college football. 1089 00:51:12,239 --> 00:51:15,640 Speaker 1: I'm gonna. I wanted desperately to go Northwestern or Southern 1090 00:51:15,640 --> 00:51:18,680 Speaker 1: miss I'm gonna wait to do long shots, which we've 1091 00:51:18,719 --> 00:51:22,680 Speaker 1: had success do a TD ten point thirteen point underdogs. 1092 00:51:23,160 --> 00:51:25,240 Speaker 1: We've hit him before, but I'm gonna need some information 1093 00:51:25,280 --> 00:51:26,919 Speaker 1: before i go that long so I'm just gonna stick 1094 00:51:26,960 --> 00:51:31,120 Speaker 1: with Texas. I do like their chances up there. SARP, 1095 00:51:31,200 --> 00:51:32,880 Speaker 1: see you soon. Stay out of that bag. I know 1096 00:51:32,920 --> 00:51:35,280 Speaker 1: it's expanded for you with Arch they running the RPO, 1097 00:51:35,400 --> 00:51:36,800 Speaker 1: but don't get too much in your head down to 1098 00:51:36,800 --> 00:51:42,239 Speaker 1: the end zone. Too many questions for Ohio State, the 1099 00:51:42,280 --> 00:51:44,600 Speaker 1: defensive line downgrade that Arch can take care of with 1100 00:51:44,640 --> 00:51:47,520 Speaker 1: the RPO. Too many questions on the offensive side with 1101 00:51:47,600 --> 00:51:49,320 Speaker 1: Julian saying how does he get the ball to Jermiah 1102 00:51:49,360 --> 00:51:51,440 Speaker 1: Smith who was shut down for only one catch on 1103 00:51:51,480 --> 00:51:54,280 Speaker 1: three targets last year against this very same Texas defense. 1104 00:51:55,360 --> 00:51:59,640 Speaker 1: Just way too many questions up and down for Ohio State. Particularly, 1105 00:52:00,120 --> 00:52:02,320 Speaker 1: ask yourself this question, which set of coordinators would you 1106 00:52:02,440 --> 00:52:04,799 Speaker 1: rather have here? Would you rather have Steve Starkeigan calling 1107 00:52:04,800 --> 00:52:07,360 Speaker 1: the offensive plays against Matt Patricia? Would you rather have 1108 00:52:07,400 --> 00:52:09,719 Speaker 1: Brian Hartline with a water down playbook at Chip Kelly 1109 00:52:09,760 --> 00:52:12,560 Speaker 1: going up against Pete Kuitakowski. The answers Texas. So we're 1110 00:52:12,560 --> 00:52:15,920 Speaker 1: going Texas money line, nice safe, short money line to 1111 00:52:16,239 --> 00:52:18,200 Speaker 1: get this parlay home hopefully, or at least kick it 1112 00:52:18,200 --> 00:52:19,439 Speaker 1: off before we get to Virginia Tech. 1113 00:52:20,239 --> 00:52:22,680 Speaker 3: There it is money on underdog parlay or if you 1114 00:52:22,719 --> 00:52:25,080 Speaker 3: just want to play them separate or throw them in 1115 00:52:25,120 --> 00:52:28,839 Speaker 3: their round robin, Virginia Tech and Texas. All right, before 1116 00:52:28,840 --> 00:52:29,920 Speaker 3: we get out of here, we are going for it 1117 00:52:29,960 --> 00:52:31,759 Speaker 3: on fourth down because we didn't forget about you, Notre 1118 00:52:31,880 --> 00:52:34,560 Speaker 3: Dame in Miami. Another top ten matchup on Sunday, Sunday night, 1119 00:52:34,560 --> 00:52:40,880 Speaker 3: seven thirty Eastern on ABC. Oh Downie boy, the pipes 1120 00:52:41,320 --> 00:52:51,080 Speaker 3: pipe suck from Landswood. This kid's gonna get weird because 1121 00:52:51,080 --> 00:52:54,520 Speaker 3: those Sunday night games on Labor Day weekend or is 1122 00:52:54,520 --> 00:52:56,480 Speaker 3: it the Monday night games? I forget which ones always 1123 00:52:56,480 --> 00:52:58,640 Speaker 3: get weird? One of them? They probably both will always 1124 00:52:58,680 --> 00:53:01,560 Speaker 3: get weird. When was like the LSU extra point Florida 1125 00:53:01,560 --> 00:53:03,720 Speaker 3: State game? Was that a Sunday or Monday? 1126 00:53:03,800 --> 00:53:04,960 Speaker 1: I think that was a Monday night? 1127 00:53:05,239 --> 00:53:06,480 Speaker 3: And then how about the game last year? Was you 1128 00:53:06,600 --> 00:53:08,319 Speaker 3: LSU and USC? Is that a Monday night? 1129 00:53:08,520 --> 00:53:09,200 Speaker 1: Was a Monday night? 1130 00:53:09,840 --> 00:53:12,080 Speaker 3: Maybe the Monday night. Maybe that's a teaser for our 1131 00:53:12,560 --> 00:53:14,320 Speaker 3: podcast nine point nine. Bet you don't forget what the 1132 00:53:14,400 --> 00:53:16,640 Speaker 3: voicemail a teaser for our podcast. On Sunday, we'll recap 1133 00:53:16,680 --> 00:53:18,239 Speaker 3: the weekend. We'll talk about that game of Monday night. 1134 00:53:18,400 --> 00:53:20,160 Speaker 3: I have a feeling this game will get weird. Notre 1135 00:53:20,239 --> 00:53:22,400 Speaker 3: name two and a half point favorite total is down 1136 00:53:22,440 --> 00:53:24,040 Speaker 3: a bunch fifty four and a half to forty done 1137 00:53:24,040 --> 00:53:27,200 Speaker 3: and a half crossed the second biggest kay in fifty one. 1138 00:53:28,400 --> 00:53:30,399 Speaker 3: I played this, I missed the under. The under made 1139 00:53:30,400 --> 00:53:33,560 Speaker 3: a ton of sense to me, and I missed it 1140 00:53:33,960 --> 00:53:36,160 Speaker 3: how I played it. I'm gonna look for an under live. 1141 00:53:37,600 --> 00:53:41,840 Speaker 3: So how I think this plays out is maybe similar 1142 00:53:41,880 --> 00:53:46,239 Speaker 3: to like Notre Dame Texas A and m You know, 1143 00:53:46,280 --> 00:53:48,520 Speaker 3: that game was just a complete grinder. So number one 1144 00:53:48,520 --> 00:53:51,879 Speaker 3: Miami's offense is going to go from like electric, oh 1145 00:53:51,920 --> 00:53:54,200 Speaker 3: my god, fireworks every play to like we got to 1146 00:53:54,239 --> 00:53:56,719 Speaker 3: run it, ball control. So their off it's gonna look 1147 00:53:56,760 --> 00:53:59,480 Speaker 3: completely different. They lost all, you know, all their weapons, 1148 00:53:59,520 --> 00:54:01,439 Speaker 3: did I thought you cam Ward to number one pick? 1149 00:54:03,120 --> 00:54:06,560 Speaker 3: So I think it's going to be slow, run the 1150 00:54:06,560 --> 00:54:09,040 Speaker 3: ball and their defense should be better. And then Notre 1151 00:54:09,120 --> 00:54:12,200 Speaker 3: Dame the defense is really good. It's gonna be hard 1152 00:54:12,200 --> 00:54:15,400 Speaker 3: for mimingnew the ball in them anyway, and they have 1153 00:54:15,520 --> 00:54:19,000 Speaker 3: questions on offense because their quarterback. The reports have not 1154 00:54:19,040 --> 00:54:21,319 Speaker 3: been good in camp, and now you're making your first 1155 00:54:21,320 --> 00:54:24,360 Speaker 3: start on the road in prime time. There could potentially 1156 00:54:24,360 --> 00:54:27,800 Speaker 3: be weather. So what do I think Freeman probably does, 1157 00:54:29,440 --> 00:54:31,960 Speaker 3: probably says, all right, let's run the ball with our 1158 00:54:32,000 --> 00:54:34,960 Speaker 3: stable of backs. We rely on our defense, especially early. 1159 00:54:35,360 --> 00:54:37,359 Speaker 3: So I went with the first half under twenty four. 1160 00:54:38,800 --> 00:54:40,920 Speaker 3: Still out there under twenty four minus one fifteen. I 1161 00:54:40,960 --> 00:54:42,959 Speaker 3: think it'll be really slow early. Now what I don't 1162 00:54:42,960 --> 00:54:44,920 Speaker 3: want the reason I didn't go full game under forty 1163 00:54:44,960 --> 00:54:47,440 Speaker 3: nine a half already missed the best number. If I can 1164 00:54:47,440 --> 00:54:49,120 Speaker 3: get a better number live, at least over fifty one, 1165 00:54:49,360 --> 00:54:53,480 Speaker 3: I will take it. But I Carson Beck against that secondary. 1166 00:54:54,160 --> 00:54:56,520 Speaker 3: Once he has to start throwing, it could be mistakes. 1167 00:54:56,640 --> 00:54:59,160 Speaker 3: There could be weather that could lead the mistakes. If 1168 00:54:59,239 --> 00:55:03,520 Speaker 3: notre ame falls behind and Carr has to start slinging around. 1169 00:55:03,719 --> 00:55:06,719 Speaker 3: The word is he's been turnover prone, so you might 1170 00:55:06,719 --> 00:55:08,880 Speaker 3: get more turnovers then. But I think both coaches are 1171 00:55:08,880 --> 00:55:10,680 Speaker 3: gonna come into this and say run the ball. We're 1172 00:55:10,680 --> 00:55:12,520 Speaker 3: gonna trust our defenses. We don't want our quarterbacks to 1173 00:55:12,520 --> 00:55:15,040 Speaker 3: make a mistake early. What do I think that leads 1174 00:55:15,040 --> 00:55:19,200 Speaker 3: to low scoring first half? Hopefully, hopefully there's no early mistakes. 1175 00:55:19,200 --> 00:55:22,279 Speaker 3: But depending on where the fuel position is Carson back 1176 00:55:22,840 --> 00:55:24,919 Speaker 3: DJ Carr, You're more than welcome to throw red zone 1177 00:55:24,920 --> 00:55:27,319 Speaker 3: picks as long as they're not out set of return 1178 00:55:27,400 --> 00:55:30,200 Speaker 3: ninety five yards for a touchdown. But I went first 1179 00:55:30,200 --> 00:55:33,640 Speaker 3: half under here. If it gets to three, I probably 1180 00:55:33,680 --> 00:55:38,680 Speaker 3: have to take Miami like I make it two, But 1181 00:55:39,520 --> 00:55:45,160 Speaker 3: just on principle, because of the questions with Carr, I 1182 00:55:45,360 --> 00:55:47,880 Speaker 3: might think about just taking the three. I mean, the 1183 00:55:47,880 --> 00:55:50,640 Speaker 3: game's gonna be on Sunday night, it's Week one standalone game. 1184 00:55:51,000 --> 00:55:53,880 Speaker 3: But I just keep coming back to like it's crystal 1185 00:55:53,920 --> 00:55:58,040 Speaker 3: Ball and in these big games, Freeman, I just trust 1186 00:55:58,120 --> 00:56:00,480 Speaker 3: them more. At this point, he'll probably have team more 1187 00:56:00,480 --> 00:56:06,160 Speaker 3: buttoned up, more ready to go, more focused, and he'll 1188 00:56:06,200 --> 00:56:09,080 Speaker 3: do the little things. He'll make the right fourth down decisions. 1189 00:56:09,160 --> 00:56:12,520 Speaker 3: He'll have those little analytical decisions throughout the game that 1190 00:56:12,560 --> 00:56:14,520 Speaker 3: we saw all throughout last year. He's becoming one of 1191 00:56:14,520 --> 00:56:17,680 Speaker 3: the sharpest not only program builders, but in game coaches 1192 00:56:18,080 --> 00:56:22,560 Speaker 3: that could make the difference. So maybe I don't want 1193 00:56:22,560 --> 00:56:24,759 Speaker 3: to get involved, but just on principle, I make it too. 1194 00:56:24,800 --> 00:56:27,440 Speaker 3: And then there's all these concerns about this freshman quarterback 1195 00:56:27,480 --> 00:56:29,680 Speaker 3: making his first start. You're gonna give me three I might, 1196 00:56:29,760 --> 00:56:31,799 Speaker 3: but first stelf under is my favorite bet there. What 1197 00:56:31,800 --> 00:56:32,359 Speaker 3: do you see here? 1198 00:56:33,000 --> 00:56:35,319 Speaker 1: Well, I wanted to wait until three days before so 1199 00:56:35,360 --> 00:56:38,880 Speaker 1: that the weather could the forecast becomes real firm. I like, 1200 00:56:38,920 --> 00:56:41,080 Speaker 1: how we get to be meteorologists. I've missed my job 1201 00:56:41,120 --> 00:56:45,240 Speaker 1: as a meteorologist. Right now, it's projected to be a 1202 00:56:45,280 --> 00:56:47,799 Speaker 1: heavy rain in the first quarter of this game, the 1203 00:56:47,800 --> 00:56:51,040 Speaker 1: first hour of this game over a fifty percent chance 1204 00:56:51,040 --> 00:56:53,080 Speaker 1: and supposed to be heavy. What that means is we're 1205 00:56:53,080 --> 00:56:57,800 Speaker 1: going to have a chunky, hard rock that completely favors 1206 00:56:58,120 --> 00:57:00,319 Speaker 1: the rushing team, and that would be your I love 1207 00:57:00,400 --> 00:57:03,680 Speaker 1: eating behind this offensive line. The Miami d don't forget 1208 00:57:03,760 --> 00:57:06,000 Speaker 1: under Corey Heathern. They are transitioning to a new defensive 1209 00:57:06,000 --> 00:57:09,040 Speaker 1: scheme of four two five. That move was made to 1210 00:57:09,160 --> 00:57:12,840 Speaker 1: enhance the pass rush. It might be moot in this game, 1211 00:57:13,160 --> 00:57:15,680 Speaker 1: and if there is passing that really helps the under 1212 00:57:15,680 --> 00:57:18,760 Speaker 1: two Uh, there's no expectations of stopping the ground game. 1213 00:57:18,800 --> 00:57:20,640 Speaker 1: Ruben Baine is going to be an issue for this 1214 00:57:20,720 --> 00:57:23,720 Speaker 1: offensive line. But still, if Notre Dame stays in standard 1215 00:57:23,760 --> 00:57:26,880 Speaker 1: downs with Jeremiah Love, we are talking thirteen play drives 1216 00:57:26,880 --> 00:57:30,600 Speaker 1: at eat clock. I don't think we're alone in this thinking, 1217 00:57:31,080 --> 00:57:32,960 Speaker 1: because even though the total is dip down to forty nine, 1218 00:57:33,000 --> 00:57:35,880 Speaker 1: the first half is actually we're losing the twenty fours 1219 00:57:35,960 --> 00:57:37,800 Speaker 1: and we're seeing twenty three and a halves on the board. 1220 00:57:38,400 --> 00:57:40,160 Speaker 3: I wanted twenty four though. 1221 00:57:40,040 --> 00:57:43,480 Speaker 1: I wanted to wait until three days Thursday, so the 1222 00:57:43,520 --> 00:57:45,720 Speaker 1: forecast can shore up. And I don't think recording this 1223 00:57:45,800 --> 00:57:47,240 Speaker 1: on Tuesday night, we're gonna get there. 1224 00:57:48,480 --> 00:57:50,520 Speaker 3: The field. So yeah, the field. And there's a game 1225 00:57:50,600 --> 00:57:55,360 Speaker 3: playing card right at four o'clock the day before. Oh really, 1226 00:57:56,320 --> 00:57:59,840 Speaker 3: Florida A and M is playing Howard in the Orange 1227 00:58:00,040 --> 00:58:03,240 Speaker 3: Awesome Classic, So there's a game being played the day before. 1228 00:58:04,240 --> 00:58:07,080 Speaker 3: Add in the weather like this speed on this field 1229 00:58:07,160 --> 00:58:08,040 Speaker 3: might not be ideal. 1230 00:58:09,040 --> 00:58:11,640 Speaker 1: Look, Carson Beck, I'm not really worried about him. You're 1231 00:58:11,680 --> 00:58:15,240 Speaker 1: going up against what turned into an elite shutdown corner 1232 00:58:15,240 --> 00:58:17,560 Speaker 1: as a freshman with Leonard More And oh, by the way, 1233 00:58:18,040 --> 00:58:21,160 Speaker 1: Notre Dame can play some pass coverage despite the defensive 1234 00:58:21,160 --> 00:58:24,320 Speaker 1: coordinator change. Freeman's gonna have them just fine. So I 1235 00:58:24,400 --> 00:58:24,920 Speaker 1: like the under in. 1236 00:58:24,920 --> 00:58:26,360 Speaker 3: The first half. Throw on the board. 1237 00:58:26,360 --> 00:58:29,120 Speaker 1: Agree, Oh yeah, absolutely absolutely, but let's make it. Let's 1238 00:58:29,120 --> 00:58:29,800 Speaker 1: make it twenty four. 1239 00:58:30,120 --> 00:58:31,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, there's a twenty four star. 1240 00:58:31,440 --> 00:58:33,240 Speaker 1: I can't wait. I can't wait till Thursday. I mean, 1241 00:58:33,280 --> 00:58:34,240 Speaker 1: we're gonna have to do this now. 1242 00:58:34,440 --> 00:58:35,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, I've already put it. I put it in earlier. 1243 00:58:36,280 --> 00:58:37,760 Speaker 1: Oh shit, no, wonder. 1244 00:58:38,000 --> 00:58:42,960 Speaker 3: Recap of the board. Trash. Colin's going with South Dakota. 1245 00:58:43,720 --> 00:58:45,440 Speaker 3: I would, we would agree with that's FCS, So we 1246 00:58:45,440 --> 00:58:46,800 Speaker 3: won't do that. We don't know where the line's going 1247 00:58:46,840 --> 00:58:49,400 Speaker 3: to be. And cal I like the under with cal 1248 00:58:49,720 --> 00:58:54,040 Speaker 3: My Trash Georgia State, head to head, LSU Clemson, I 1249 00:58:54,040 --> 00:58:58,000 Speaker 3: got LSU, Colins Clemson agree, first half under twenty four, 1250 00:58:58,080 --> 00:59:02,400 Speaker 3: Notre Dame Miami, Georgia State. Anything over thirty five. That'll 1251 00:59:02,440 --> 00:59:04,920 Speaker 3: do it for us. Thirty games in a little over 1252 00:59:04,960 --> 00:59:07,760 Speaker 3: an hour. You'd love to see it mid season four. 1253 00:59:08,800 --> 00:59:11,120 Speaker 3: Thanks to Colin for joining me, Thanks to our producer 1254 00:59:11,160 --> 00:59:13,600 Speaker 3: Matt Mitchell. Most importantly, thanks to all of you for 1255 00:59:13,640 --> 00:59:16,240 Speaker 3: tuning in. If you have an extra second, please leave 1256 00:59:16,280 --> 00:59:19,120 Speaker 3: a five star review, Tell a friend, telling enemy, Subscribe, 1257 00:59:19,120 --> 00:59:21,280 Speaker 3: on subscribe. Subscribe you to know the drill. Thanks for 1258 00:59:21,320 --> 00:59:23,200 Speaker 3: tuning in. We will have live shows coming back, don't 1259 00:59:23,200 --> 00:59:28,240 Speaker 3: forget about They'll start next week, I believe every Saturday. 1260 00:59:28,760 --> 00:59:30,440 Speaker 3: Nothing this weekend on that front, but we love a 1261 00:59:30,480 --> 00:59:33,400 Speaker 3: recap show nine to five nine Bad Beat calling to 1262 00:59:33,440 --> 00:59:36,440 Speaker 3: the voice, smail, yell at us, yell about your bets, 1263 00:59:36,520 --> 00:59:38,880 Speaker 3: yell about whatever you want. If you haven't listened to 1264 00:59:38,920 --> 00:59:41,280 Speaker 3: the show, it's very fun and very entertaining. And we'll 1265 00:59:41,280 --> 00:59:44,200 Speaker 3: also recap what happened on the weekend and look ahead 1266 00:59:44,200 --> 00:59:49,320 Speaker 3: to Monday and then next week as well. So thanks 1267 00:59:49,320 --> 00:59:51,640 Speaker 3: again for tuning in. It's good to be back, baby, 1268 00:59:52,600 --> 00:59:54,720 Speaker 3: catch y'all on Sunday. Cheers. 1269 00:59:54,960 --> 00:59:55,640 Speaker 1: Peas Out. 1270 01:00:04,720 --> 01:00:09,240 Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 1271 01:00:09,280 --> 01:00:12,080 Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 1272 01:00:12,120 --> 01:00:15,200 Speaker 2: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler